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The ongoing crisis exacerbates Europe's economic vulnerabilities, potentially heightening recession risks without immediate ECB intervention.
The post Strait of Hormuz crisis persists, Europe recession fears grow appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions may lead to prolonged volatility in oil markets, affecting global economic stability and energy policies.
The post Oil prices jump $3 as US-Iran talks fail, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts supply appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Iran's mural signals stability, potentially reducing market volatility and speculation about leadership changes amid ongoing conflicts.
The post Iran unveils mural honoring leaders, signals leadership continuity appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The cancellation underscores the fragility of diplomatic efforts, potentially delaying peace and affecting regional stability and market confidence.
The post Trump cancels US envoy trip to Pakistan, Iran peace deal unlikely by April 30 appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The Eurozone faces economic strain as inflation rises, limiting ECB's rate cut options and potentially stalling economic recovery efforts.
The post Eurozone inflation jumps amid Iran conflict, ECB rate cut unlikely appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The meeting's outcome could significantly impact geopolitical stability and market dynamics, influencing future diplomatic engagements.
The post Trump holds national security meeting on reopening Strait of Hormuz appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The IRGC's actions highlight regional tensions, impacting market perceptions of control over strategic locations and potential military escalations.
The post IRGC claims neutralization of 15 US missiles in Hormozgan appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The discovery complicates ceasefire implementation, justifying continued IDF presence and highlighting risks of civilian area militarization.
The post IDF finds Hezbollah weapons cache in children’s bedroom in southern Lebanon appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btc news #capriole investments #charles edwards

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards says Bitcoin may be positioned for a sharp upside repricing if the network shows tangible progress on post-quantum security. Speaking on Bitcoin Suisse AG’s podcast with Dominic Weibel and Luca Gnos, Edwards argued that Bitcoin’s recent underperformance, weak sentiment and institutional hesitation suggest quantum risk may already be partly reflected in the market. Edwards framed the current setup as one of the strongest Bitcoin opportunity zones in months, but with a major caveat. In his view, Bitcoin has “completely flipped the script” after a nine-month downtrend, showing relative strength against equities and gold even as geopolitical risk, oil-market concerns and macro uncertainty remain elevated. “Bitcoin, which has been in a massive downtrend for the last nine months completely flipped the script in the last two, three weeks,” Edwards said. “Those are very strong signals that you usually only get every couple of years in my experience.” Quantum Risk Is Now Central To Bitcoin The central variable, according to Edwards, is no longer the traditional four-year cycle, miner supply or even short-term macro volatility. It is whether Bitcoin can show credible movement toward quantum-resistant signatures before the perceived threat window tightens further. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Renewed Demand From US Institutional Players — What’s Changing? Edwards said he remains constructive on Bitcoin as an investment because the asset has already been heavily discounted. But he was blunt about the longer-term risk if Bitcoin Core contributors and the broader ecosystem continue to treat quantum security as a distant issue. “I’m constructive and optimistic from an investor point of view because we had such a big discount,” he said. “Today it’s fully priced in the risk and more so. For me that means it’s a good opportunity in the near term.” That opportunity, however, is conditional. Edwards said his concern is that Bitcoin’s current cryptographic assumptions could become a live market issue before the network has completed the long process of developing, agreeing on and rolling out post-quantum upgrades. “If we do nothing for two years, I probably won’t have any Bitcoin,” Edwards said. “There is a time limit to some of this stuff.” Edwards criticized what he sees as complacency among parts of the Bitcoin development community. While he acknowledged that some preparatory work has been done, including references to BIP 360, he argued that Bitcoin still lacks a concrete migration path for post-quantum signatures and for coins that may remain exposed. “Some of the biggest core developers recently said it’s not even our top 100 priorities,” Edwards said. “And I’m just like, how? For me this is the only priority that Bitcoin should have. Nothing else matters.” Related Reading: Peter Brandt Sees Bitcoin Hitting $300,000-$500,000 By Late 2029 He said the technical problem is solvable, but not trivial. Post-quantum signature schemes can be larger, raising questions about block space, throughput, wallet migration and the treatment of dormant coins. Edwards also highlighted the unresolved issue of lost coins, including older outputs that could become vulnerable if sufficiently powerful quantum computers arrive before a network-wide transition. His base case is not that Bitcoin fails. Rather, he expects growing pressure from institutions, Ethereum’s quantum-readiness work and Bitcoin-focused companies to eventually force progress. He described any clear signal from major Bitcoin Core contributors that quantum resistance is becoming a serious priority as a potential catalyst. “As soon as there’s any traction from implementing code to improve Bitcoin, I think we’ll reprice higher and this risk goes away,” Edwards said. “If we get traction on quantum, we could have a new all-time high very quickly, I think. If we don’t, we may not get one.” Bitcoin Metrics Signal Value Beyond quantum, Edwards said several Capriole metrics point to Bitcoin trading in a deep value zone. He cited Capriole’s energy value model, which he said placed Bitcoin’s fair value around $115,000, implying roughly a 43% discount at the time of the discussion. He also pointed to discounted readings across metrics such as dynamic range NVT, Yardstick, MVRV Z-score and miner-related indicators. Still, Edwards stressed that mining metrics matter less than they once did. In his framework, institutional demand from ETFs and treasury companies has become the dominant supply-demand force. He said institutional buying had recently turned positive again, while long-term holder supply was beginning to rise after a long period of selling. That combination, he argued, is consistent with seller exhaustion. It also helps explain why Bitcoin has held up despite weak sentiment. For the near term, Edwards pointed to $71,000 as a key level and said Bitcoin could move toward $80,000 to $82,000 if current strength holds. A weekly or monthly close below $71,000, he said, would challenge that setup. At press time, BTC traded at $77,629. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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MegaETH's launch could trigger significant market volatility, influencing investor sentiment and future token valuation dynamics.
The post MegaETH token to launch April 30 with $1.6B valuation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The U.S. military buildup in the Gulf underscores heightened tensions and potential for prolonged regional instability amid stalled diplomacy.
The post US airlift boosts military presence in Gulf amid stalled Iran talks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Iran's move may signal a shift towards regional stability, impacting global oil markets and diplomatic relations beyond nuclear issues.
The post Iran proposes opening Strait of Hormuz without nuclear deal appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The UAE's loan demand highlights the use of financial leverage in regional diplomacy, potentially altering Pakistan's mediation role.
The post UAE demands $3.5B loan repayment from Pakistan amid Iran mediation efforts appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#price analysis #altcoins

Solana is closing in on a decisive test near $86, with the price holding firm at a level that has yet to reject the move. While the market remains pinned below resistance, the structure behind it has already taken shape. A higher timeframe cup-and-handle formation is nearing completion, and network growth continues to expand alongside …

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The persistent threat of state-sponsored hacks could deter institutional investment and slow the broader adoption of DeFi technologies.
The post Lazarus Group hacks KelpDAO, pushes April DeFi losses over $600M appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The attack undermines confidence in a ceasefire, highlighting the fragility of peace efforts and potential for further regional instability.
The post Hezbollah rockets target schoolchildren, escalating Israel-Hezbollah conflict appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#bitcoin #btc #analysis #gdp #inflation #fed #rate cuts #rates #featured #macro #pce

Bitcoin is heading into a rare macro window where the first reaction may age fast. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to conclude its April meeting on April 29, with the FOMC decision and press conference landing that afternoon. The next morning, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis is scheduled to release the first quarter GDP and […]
The post Why this week could reprice Bitcoin in 48 Hours: Fed first, GDP and PCE right after appeared first on CryptoSlate.

#price analysis #altcoins

The Sui price is facing renewed pressure after a series of exploit-related incidents shook confidence across its DeFi ecosystem. Reports of multi-million-dollar losses linked to protocols such as Volo and Scallop triggered immediate selling, with traders reacting to heightened security concerns. Despite the negative headlines, SUI’s price reaction has remained relatively controlled compared to typical …

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Iran's resilience in oil operations challenges US influence, potentially altering geopolitical dynamics and impacting global oil markets.
The post Iran continues oil loading at Kharg Island despite US blockade appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets #news #week ahead

Your look at what's coming in the week starting April 27.

#exchange news #short news

Binance received nearly $6 billion in stablecoin deposits during March and April, including $3.5 billion in April alone. This happened even as global tensions and inflation fears created uncertainty in financial markets. The inflow shows that many traders are moving money back to the exchange, likely preparing to buy crypto assets again. Earlier months had …

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The exploit highlights vulnerabilities in DeFi, potentially increasing regulatory scrutiny and impacting market confidence and future investments.
The post $292M liquidated from crypto market amid North Korean DeFi exploit appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#latest news

French law enforcement agencies have been investigating wrench attacks and found that some of the alleged offenders were involved in multiple incidents

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The end of waivers could lead to higher oil prices, impacting global markets and increasing geopolitical tensions over energy resources.
The post US to end Iranian, Russian oil waivers, tightening global supply appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The situation highlights the disconnect between market predictions and on-ground realities, underscoring the volatility and unpredictability of conflict zones.
The post 10,000 Lebanese Christians trapped in Israel’s southern Lebanon security zone appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Emirates NBD's AT1 bond issuance highlights investor confidence in UAE banks amid regional instability, impacting Middle Eastern finance dynamics.
The post Emirates NBD to issue first Middle Eastern AT1 bond since Iran war start appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions could strain global economies, impacting trade balances and currency stability, especially in oil-dependent nations.
The post US-Iran conflict drives oil prices up, pressures India’s rupee appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Regional tensions highlight the precarious balance of power, with potential for significant geopolitical shifts impacting global stability.
The post Iranian naval forces await orders amid regional tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Bitcoin's repeated resistance at $79,000 amid geopolitical tensions and central bank decisions highlights market volatility and uncertainty.
The post Bitcoin hits 12-week high of $79,399 before third reversal at $79,000 level appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The disruptions highlight Nigeria's vulnerability to global supply chains, emphasizing the need for energy independence and diversification.
The post Strait of Hormuz disruptions boost Dangote, strain Nigerian airlines appeared first on Crypto Briefing.