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#prediction markets

Iran's threats and military actions underscore regional instability, impacting global markets and highlighting regime cohesion amid leadership scrutiny.
The post Iran threatens to target Zionist embassies amid Operation True Promise 4 footage appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Iran's threats and military actions highlight regional tensions, impacting market perceptions of regime stability and geopolitical risks.
The post Iran threatens Zionist embassies amid rising regime fall odds to 13.5% by June 30 appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Institutional interest in Bitcoin ETFs grows, but market skepticism and volatility hinder significant price breakthroughs without clear catalysts.
The post Bitcoin ETFs see $69.6M inflows in April 2026, but $100K target remains at 0% YES appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#bitcoin #crypto #etf #btc #gold #btcusd #precious metal

Gold shed billions in March. Bitcoin quietly pulled in more than a billion. Flows Tell A Diverging Story US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds attracted $1.32 billion in net inflows last month, even as US-based gold ETFs bled $2.92 billion in net outflows over the same period. The gap caught the attention of Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, who said the trend reflects something bigger than a monthly blip — it points to Bitcoin’s growing appeal as a multi-purpose portfolio asset. Related Reading: Standard Chartered Sees Bitcoin Exploding To $500K By 2030 “There are just more use cases of why somebody would put a Bitcoin ETF in a portfolio,” Seyffart said on the Coin Stories podcast, published to YouTube on Friday. Gold’s rough March was punctuated by a single brutal day. On March 4, GLD — the largest US gold-backed ETF — recorded a $3 billion outflow, its steepest single-day withdrawal in over two years. Data from the Bank for International Settlements, cited in mid-March reports, showed Wall Street had been accelerating its gold selling over the prior four months, even as retail buyers were scooping up the metal at triple the pace seen six months earlier. Bitcoin Plays Multiple Roles, Gold Plays One Seyffart’s argument rests on a simple contrast. Gold is widely seen as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement — and not much else. Bitcoin, according to the analyst, gets used differently by different investors. Some buy it as a store of value, similar to gold. Others treat it as a growth asset or a way to bet on liquidity conditions. Still others hold it as a form of digital property or capital. “It can be hot sauce in a portfolio,” Seyffart said, describing how Bitcoin’s volatility and return potential can juice overall performance for investors willing to carry the risk. Based on that reasoning, Seyffart said his outlook is straightforward: Bitcoin ETFs will eventually surpass gold ETFs in total assets under management. US gold ETFs currently hold far more in AUM than their Bitcoin counterparts, so that would represent a significant shift in where big money parks itself. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stumbles Hard: The Worst Q1 In Years Raises Big Questions Both Assets Have Fallen In Tandem Contrasting ETF flows haven’t stopped Bitcoin and gold from falling in tandem. Bitcoin was trading at $66,889 at the time of the original report, off 7.35% over the prior 30 days. Gold was at $4,674, down 8.20% over the same stretch. According to Chris Kuiper, gold and Bitcoin have a history of alternating leadership. With gold outperforming in 2025, Kuiper said it would not be surprising if Bitcoin stepped up next. Whether that rotation plays out remains to be seen. But March’s fund flow data suggests at least some investors are already making their move. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

#prediction markets

The military escalation significantly diminishes near-term peace prospects, impacting diplomatic efforts and market confidence.
The post Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid Israel-Iran military escalation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The escalation risks prolonged instability in the region, impacting global oil markets and complicating diplomatic resolutions.
The post Israel escalates conflict with Iran, targeting oil facilities and reducing global flows appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#news

The FDIC just called a board meeting for April 7 with less than seven days notice. The agenda: finalizing how U.S. banks can issue stablecoins under the GENIUS Act. The FDIC board will consider a proposed rulemaking specifically covering GENIUS Act requirements for FDIC-supervised permitted payment stablecoin issuers – the legal mechanism that determines how …

#market analysis

Bitcoin whales and sharks have locked in $30.9 billion in BTC losses this year, resembling the 2022 bear market, as onchain data points to continued downside risk.

#news

Tap-to-earn mobile mining network Pi Network has paid out its first KYC validator rewards. Data shows that 18 million users were verified through 526 million validations that were completed. Network just completed something no blockchain has ever done at this scale, and most people are only now starting to realize how big this actually is. …

#regulation

The pushback highlights growing tensions between traditional banks and crypto firms, potentially impacting regulatory frameworks and consumer safety.
The post Banking group pushes back on Coinbase trust charter approval over consumer risks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#banking #regulation #analysis #fed #washington #featured #silicon valley bank #svb #unrealized losses

Washington is in a generous mood with its banks. In March, federal regulators unveiled a sweeping overhaul of capital requirements (the financial cushions that banks must hold to absorb losses in hard times), and the headlines wrote themselves: deregulation, relief, billions freed up for lending and buybacks. The proposal would cut the required capital for […]
The post US frees up billions for banks while quietly admitting SVB’s core failure never went away appeared first on CryptoSlate.

#news

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is sitting at 11. The Altcoin Season Index at 38, firmly in Bitcoin Season territory. And the crypto community is more divided than it has been all year. On one side: “Most altcoins will die,” wrote Altcoin Daily today, a sentiment also echoed by Ash Crypto, who put it …

#latest news

The $500 billion valuation would put Tether ahead of every US bank except JPMorgan Chase, surpassing Bank of America and placing it among the world’s largest financial firms.

#news

Tether, the issuer of the world’s biggest stablecoin USDT, is moving ahead with a major funding plan. The company is targeting a massive $500 billion valuation and has reportedly given investors just 14 days to commit funds or walk away forever.  Industry leaders believe that the outcome of this deal would make Tether’s worth more …

#shiba inu #shib #shib news #shib price #pepe #shiba inu news #shiba inu price #shibusd #shibusdt #pepe coin #pepe news #pepe price #pepeusd #pepeusdt

In the bull market cycle of 2021-2022, the Shiba Inu meme coin made waves in a way that changed the face of meme coins forever. This came after Dogecoin’s initial 36,000% rally, and Shiba Inu followed with an over 1,000,000% rally. Naturally, this has led to the search of the meme coin that will replicate Shiba Inu’s move and so far, the verdict has been that it will be the PEPE meme coin. One analyst deep dives into this, elaborating on why PEPE could pull a similar stunt. Why PEPE Is The Shiba Inu Of This Cycle Crypto analyst Rexha took to the X (formerly Twitter) platform to discuss the current meme coin market and what investors could expect to come from it. Starting out, they draw out a parallel between the SAFEMOON and active Solana traders chart, showing a similarity between the two. For context, SAFEMOON was one of the meme coins from 2021 that saw a massive run, but eventually turned out to be a scam. Related Reading: The Last Time XRP Made This Move Against Bitcoin, It Led To A 500% Increase To $3.3 Rexha pointed out that investors are often looking for the next big thing, as was seen back in 2021 after the Dogecoin and Shiba Inu rallies on the Ethereum blockchain. Traders had then moved to ‘cheaper’ blockchains in a bid to chase the next runner, leading to a lot of scams, which the analyst says culminated in SAFEMOON on the BNB Chain. Eventually, once the scams became too much and many traders were used as exit liquidity, attention shifted back to the meme coins that began the run. At the time, it was Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, as traders realized they were a ‘safer’ bet. This time around, though, it is not Dogecoin and Shiba Inu kickstarting the meme coin season and leading the charge. Instead, it was the likes of PEPE that had pumped on the Ethereum blockading, according to the analyst. The move to the Solana blockchain, Rexha explains, was the result of traders trying to chase new runners on a “cheap and fast” chain. However, with the advent of projects such as PumpFun sucking a fair amount of liquidity out of the market, the Solana ‘trenches’ have now mostly died out. Related Reading: Ripple Founder Pivots $1 Billion From XRP Fortune Into New Investment As the trend comes full cycle once again, the crypto analyst expects traders to move back to the meme coin that started it all, and that is PEPE in this place. Rexha calls this a “Return to Quality” on the Ethereum blockchain, predicting that PEPE’s second run will be similar to that of Shiba Inu’s second run. The analyst also warns that with this PEPE’s second run, traders will be lured back in with the hopes of having another run on other blockchains, such as a PumpFun “V2”. However, this is expected to be a “Final Extraction” event, so it is imperative that traders be careful when engaging with meme coins. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

#ethereum #news #bitcoin #price analysis #altcoins

The crypto market is heading into the weekend with mixed sentiment, as focus briefly moves from geopolitical tension to crypto regulation after Donald Trump turned attention toward legislation. Bitcoin is hovering around the $66K–$70K range, while Ethereum is slowly recovering, keeping the market on its feet. At the same time, interest is leaning toward large-cap …

#news #policy #prediction markets

A state judge ruled that Kalshi's prediction markets offering sports bets were "indistinguishable" from gambling, and extended a temporary ban in Nevada.

#price analysis #altcoins #crypto news

The crypto market is beginning to show early signs of an altcoin rally, and select tokens are already moving ahead of the broader trend. While Bitcoin price remains in consolidation and major altcoins struggle to gain momentum, a few mid-cap and emerging assets are quietly breaking out, supported by rising volume and improving price structure. …

#latest news

The longer Bitcoin's price stays flat, the bigger the move up could eventually be, according to a crypto analyst.

#bitcoin #btc #bitcoin news #btcusdt #bitcoin whales #bitcoin sharks #bitcoin sharks & whales

On-chain data shows the large Bitcoin holders have been participating in a notable amount of loss realization recently, a sign of capitulation. Bitcoin Sharks & Whales See High Values On Realized Loss Metric In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Realized Loss for the sharks and whales. The “Realized Loss” here refers to an indicator that measures, as its name suggests, the total amount of loss that BTC holders are realizing through their transactions. Related Reading: Ethereum Drops Nearly 5% As Familiar Leverage Setup Plays Out In the context of the current topic, the version of the metric that’s of relevance is the one tracking the transfers related to two specific investor cohorts: the sharks and whales. These groups cover the 100 to 1,000 BTC and 1,000 to 10,000 BTC ranges, respectively. As such, the only investors who would qualify for the sharks and whales would be the big-money hands. Recently, the market as a whole has seen some pain as bearish momentum has dominated the sector, leading to loss-taking selloffs among investors. The sharks and whales haven’t been any different in behavior, as the chart for their Realized Loss shows. As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin sharks and whales have observed the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) of their combined Realized Loss sit at significant levels recently. From the chart, it’s visible that the loss realization spiked to particularly high levels following the price crashes in November and February, indicating a pronounced degree of market pain surrounding the events. Today, the 7-day SMA of the Bitcoin Realized Loss for the sharks and whales has a value greater than $200 million per day. “Typical capitulation behaviour from larger entities,” noted the analytics firm. Historically, major capitulation phases have tended to pave the way for bottoms as coins tend to transfer from weak hands to more resolute entities during such events. It now remains to be seen whether the loss taking from big-money investors has been extreme enough for a bottom yet. In some other news, Bitcoin has nearly arrived at the halfway point to the next Halving, as Glassnode has highlighted in another X post. Halvings are events that permanently slash in half BTC’s block subsidy, the compensation that miners receive for adding the next block to the chain. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bollinger Bands Tighten—Big Move Brewing? Halvings occur about every four years, with the next such event currently estimated to occur in April 2028. Bitcoin will reach the halfway point to this event at block 945,000. At the moment, the chain is at block 943,495. How BTC's block height has grown over its history | Source: Glassnode on X BTC Price Bitcoin has continued to consolidate recently as its price is trading around $67,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

#prediction markets

The increased odds reflect heightened geopolitical tensions, suggesting potential instability but not an immediate regime change.
The post Odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 rise to 14% amid military escalation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The increased odds highlight geopolitical tensions and market skepticism, underscoring the complexity of predicting regime stability.
The post Odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 rise to 13.5% amid US-Israeli air campaign appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#news #price analysis #altcoins

The latest supply event from Chainlink is back in focus as the network completed its routine quarterly unlock, releasing nearly 19 million LINK tokens into the market. While this process isn’t new, the size, timing, and on-chain activity around it are catching attention. $165M LINK Moved, Binance Sees Bulk Inflows According to on-chain tracker Yu …

#prediction markets

Investor caution amid geopolitical tensions suggests a shift in capital allocation, impacting market sentiment and Bitcoin's price outlook.
The post Bitcoin ETFs see $8.9M inflow as Ethereum leads with $71.1M on April 4: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Geopolitical tensions and regulatory uncertainties may hinder Bitcoin's growth, requiring significant catalysts for substantial price increases.
The post Bitcoin ETFs see $8.9M inflows amid cautious market sentiment: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#crypto #binance #bnb #crypto market #binance ceo #cryptocurrency #bnb price #binance news #crypto news #bnbusdt #binance exchange

Senator Richard Blumenthal has escalated his scrutiny of Binance, sending a follow‑up letter on April 1 to co‑CEO Richard Teng that presses the crypto exchange to explain apparent discrepancies between its testimony to the Senate and subsequent media reporting about transactions tied to Iran.  The New Haven Democrat said he is concerned that Binance may have provided “misrepresentations or misleading information to the Subcommittee and to the public,” and he demanded documents and records the company relied on in preparing its earlier responses. Senate Probe Seeks Wallets, Transactions, And Answers Blumenthal’s letter comes after reporting by Fortune and The New York Times that traced roughly $1.7 billion in flows from Binance‑linked accounts to entities with ties to Iran, a far larger sum than the $110,000 figure Binance cited last year for direct transactions with four major Iranian exchanges.  The senator said that gap, together with Binance’s partial or delayed production of materials requested by the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations (PSI), raised “further alarms about its candor and compliance with Congressional oversight.” Related Reading: New Bitcoin Crash Ahead? Bloomberg Strategist Forecasts Return To $10,000 – Here’s Why Blumenthal’s letter lays out a long list of specific questions and records requests. He asked Binance to disclose whether any accounts sent or received funds to or from a set of Iran‑linked wallets referenced in the reporting, and to provide the wallet addresses. He demanded a full, year‑over‑year accounting of transactions between Binance and known Iranian exchanges, and asked to explain the methodology it used to calculate the $110,000 figure, including whether it counted transfers that were later associated with Iranian exchanges. Blumenthal also pressed the crypto exchange on internal compliance practices. He asked whether Binance has removed, weakened, or relaxed any detection, screening, freezing, or reporting mechanisms since January 1, 2025, including tools designed to spot illicit indirect transfers.  He sought clarity on whether Binance has ever declined to investigate, suspend, or remove accounts tied to individuals inside Iran — including those using VPNs or “drop accounts” (KYC‑verified accounts that are bought, shared, or stolen).  Relatedly, he asked whether Binance had ever disciplined compliance staff who raised concerns internally or provided information to law enforcement or external partners, noting reports that Binance had dismissed personnel for “unauthorized disclosure.” Binance Given April 14 Deadline  The senator further criticized what he characterized as delayed or inadequate action by Binance in response to law enforcement warnings. He said Binance took two months to respond to law enforcement regarding alleged terrorist financing by entities such as Hexa Whale and another two months to remove an implicated shell entity.  He also alleged it took at least five months for Binance to remove Blessed Trust as a vendor after being warned about its role in suspected terrorist financing.  Blumenthal wrote that Binance appeared, in some cases, to have labeled certain accounts with internal tags like “Don’t block. Internal accounts,” which he said should have signaled the need for heightened scrutiny rather than protection from enforcement. Related Reading: ICBA Opposes OCC’s Conditional Nod For Coinbase National Trust Bank Charter He asked for exact dates showing when the companies and people involved opened Binance accounts, started sending funds to Iranian intermediaries, were reported to US law enforcement, and when they were suspended or removed.  The Senator also demanded explanations for any delays between being notified and taking action. Blumenthal invoked Senate rules and gave Binance until April 14 of this year to turn over records.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#prediction markets

Rising EU-US trade tensions could disrupt global markets, impacting economic stability and international trade relations significantly.
The post EU tariffs on US goods by September 30 loom as Trump escalates trade tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Skepticism about Iranian regime change highlights the regime's resilience and the complexities of geopolitical shifts in volatile regions.
The post Market odds for Iranian regime change by June 30 drop to 13.5% as skepticism grows: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The entrenched power structures in Iran suggest a stable regime, complicating external efforts for change and impacting market confidence.
The post Odds of Iranian regime change by June 30 drop to 13.5% from 20% a week ago appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Increased tensions in Tehran highlight potential for significant geopolitical shifts, impacting regional stability and global market dynamics.
The post Explosions in Tehran raise odds of regime change to 14% by June 30 appeared first on Crypto Briefing.