On Wednesday, Senate Republicans released the proposed text for the CLARITY Act, which has been met with pushback from Democrats regarding ethics provisions.
Iran experiences explosions and air defense activity in 14 cities. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 59% YES.
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BitMEX will have removed 65 derivative contracts and trading pairs in July, compared with just 19 across the first six months of the year.
Trump expresses frustration as US-Iran conflict continues. Iran reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 28.5% YES.
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Bond investors demand higher yields on BlackRock's AI financing deal. Fed pause in next three decisions at 32.5% YES.
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Eight Muslim countries condemned the Israeli raid on Al-Aqsa Mosque. Ceasefire between Israel and Iran through July 25 at 74.5% YES.
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Guterres calls for an end to Gaza suffering amid US-Iran strikes. Ceasefire through July 25 at 74.5% YES.
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Oil prices surge amid Middle East tensions. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 12.1% YES.
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Nasdaq, Cboe and the London Stock Exchange are among major exchanges moving toward longer trading hours.
Brent crude hits $100 as Trump reinstates tariffs. New all-time high by December priced at 20.5% YES.
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Oil prices surge amid geopolitical tensions, raising concerns for the U.S. economy. New all-time high by September 30 at 12.1% YES, by December 31 at 20.5% YES.
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Ukrainian drones targeted a logistics center in Crimea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 is now at 9.5% YES.
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Ripple invests in Notabene to integrate RLUSD into its network. XRP reaching $1.60 by July 2026 at 0.6% YES.
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Iran resists US negotiation efforts amid rising oil prices. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 20.5% YES.
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Amazon server facilities in Bahrain destroyed by a bunker-penetrating warhead. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 30 at 45% YES.
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Iran activates air defense in Tehran amid regional tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 60.5% YES.
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Trump considers a 'massive attack' on Iran amid military tensions. Iran reconstruction funding in a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026 at 28.5% YES.
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Kuwait activated air defenses as Iran targeted a US airbase. Military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 45% YES.
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Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping push oil prices above $100 per barrel. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 20.5% YES.
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The X account of Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev was recently compromised and used to promote the fake memecoin Vladhood (VLAD), with the hacker making $1.2 million in trading fees. Robinhood CEO X account hacked for fake memecoin promotion On July 23, a malicious actor launched the VLAD memecoin on the newly debuted Robinhood Chain (an …
Trump administration threatens a significant attack on Iran. Iran reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 28.5% YES.
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Iran rejects the US cease-fire deal. Reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 28.5% YES.
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US military conducts 13th night of strikes on Iranian sites. Iran full airspace closure by August 31 at 58.5% YES.
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Senate finalizes CLARITY Act text ahead of August recess. Act signed into law by 2026 at 32% YES.
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Thune says Clarity Act approval unlikely before August recess. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 33.5% YES.
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UK and Germany withdraw embassy staff from Tehran amid tensions. Military action by European countries on Iran by July at 3.5% YES.
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Indonesia's new crypto rules end influencer promotions. Bitcoin reaching $72K by July 26 at 0.5% YES.
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Mark Sanford enters the South Carolina Senate race, impacting Ralph Norman's chances. Norman's nomination at 20.5% YES.
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Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, with a 36% chance. Rate hike by September 2026 at 62% YES.
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Asian stocks expected to decline as oil prices surge past $100. Crude oil reaches new all-time high by December 31 at 20% YES.
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