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The Ethereum price may be setting the stage for a historic breakout, as a new technical analysis suggests that ETH is closely mirroring the Bitcoin (BTC) price action from 2020 to 2021. With Ethereum currently consolidating beneath a long-term downtrend line and approaching critical resistance, a crypto analyst eyes a potential move to $20,000 if the historic pattern continues to play out. Ethereum Price Mirrors Bitcoin’s Historic 2021 Pattern According to a new analysis by crypto market expert Ted Pillows, Ethereum’s current price structure is beginning to reflect a striking resemblance to Bitcoin’s breakout phase in late 2020. The analyst’s chart shows ETH following a nearly identical pattern of accumulation, re-accumulation, and compression within a descending triangle fractal that Bitcoin displayed before its parabolic bull run in 2021. Related Reading: Billionaire Mike Novogratz Says Ethereum Will Enter Price Discovery If It Takes Out This Level At the time, Bitcoin had surged from a whopping $9,550 to roughly $64,000, marking a significant price increase of 570.37%. Just like BTC during the COVID pandemic shakeout, Pillow’s analysis shows that ETH has now emerged from a prolonged consolidation phase and is testing the downtrend resistance line that has capped its highs since the 2021 peak. If Ethereum breaks through its diagonal resistance, the analyst’s chart indicates that a vertical surge toward $29,500 may become technically viable. This would represent a significant increase of approximately 672% from the cryptocurrency’s current price of $3,820. Notably, the path to this bold target mirrors Bitcoin’s trajectory after it broke out of its long-term downtrend, triggering a rapid and exponential move. The chart also illustrates a potential breakout zone that aligns with the timing of the previous cycle’s price expansion—indicating that Ethereum could be preparing for its most powerful price rally yet. While the trajectory of Pillows’ arrow on the chart targets a possible surge toward $29,500, the top of the green shaded zone suggests Ethereum could reach a peak above $58,500. Such a bold move would mark a historic breakout, representing a surge of roughly 1,432% and placing ETH at nearly half of Bitcoin’s price of $118,940 as of writing. Analyst Sets $5,000 As ETH’s Minimum Target Due to Ethereum’s bullish run lately, a few analysts in the crypto community have forecasted a potential rally toward the $5,000 mark—a move that would set a new all-time high for the leading altcoin. However, while many consider a surge to $5,000 a major milestone, Pillows views this target as merely a baseline. Related Reading: This Ethereum Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern Looks Similar To 2019-2020, Here’s What Happened Last Time He has set $5,000 as the minimum target for his outlook, emphasizing his firm conviction in ETH’s bullish potential. On the chart, Ethereum’s recent consolidation is marked as a re-accumulation zone, setting the foundation for a significant rally. With a breakout from its long-term resistance in sight, Pillows’ analysis suggests that Ethereum could experience an extended bull phase with limited overhead resistance. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Heavy declines across altcoins extended into a second week, while bitcoin and ether showed relative strength amid growing macro uncertainty.
Bitcoin’s upward momentum could face a major hurdle as over 613,000 BTC—worth billions—loom over the market, posing a significant selloff risk. With Bitcoin eyeing the critical $119K resistance level, traders and investors are moving cautiously. This potential influx of supply could stall or even reverse the current bullish trend, raising concerns about near-term volatility. Profit-Taking …
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The post eToro to launch tokenized US equities on Ethereum appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
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Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a period of stability after its recent upward climb, currently trading around $118,502, marking a slight daily decline of about 0.3%. Despite approaching the notable resistance level at $120,000, the leading cryptocurrency has shown little indication of breaking through decisively. This quiet trading environment has drawn the attention of analysts, prompting a detailed examination of the current market sentiment and investor behavior patterns. A recent report by Arab Chain, an analyst at CryptoQuant, suggests there is waning interest among US investors at Bitcoin’s current price level. Related Reading: Bitcoin Remains Flat—And The SSR Ratio Might Explain Why Declining Demand from US Investors Utilizing the Coinbase Premium Index, a measure that compares Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase against other exchanges, Arab Chain highlights a clear downward trend in demand from American investors as prices have risen above the $105,000 mark. Arab Chain notes that although the Coinbase Premium Index remains slightly positive, indicating a minimal premium on Bitcoin in US markets, the significant reduction in this premium suggests declining enthusiasm at current price levels. Historically, strong buying interest from US investors has typically occurred when Bitcoin was priced under $105,000, suggesting that current valuations may be too elevated for many investors seeking favorable entry points. The analyst specifically noted: The index shows a significant decline in U.S. investor demand for Bitcoin. However, it remains in positive territory, indicating U.S. investors are not as active in purchasing Bitcoin at current prices compared to when it traded below $105,000. The trend suggests many potential buyers might be holding off, anticipating better opportunities should prices dip again. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Begin Profit-Taking Adding further context, another CryptoQuant analyst, Burak Kesmeci, identified emerging patterns among long-term Bitcoin holders at the key psychological resistance level of $120,000. According to Kesmeci, long-term holders have recently transitioned into net-negative territory, signaling initial phases of profit-taking. Such moves typically indicate that veteran investors, many of whom may have held Bitcoin through previous market cycles, are beginning to liquidate portions of their holdings to capitalize on recent gains. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Surges 28% as Metaplanet Adds $93M BTC — Analysts Eye $111K as Strategic Buy Zone Kesmeci highlighted the importance of monitoring this activity closely, pointing specifically to institutional involvement: One significant case to note is Galaxy Digital, reported to have sold approximately 80,000 BTC. Such sizeable institutional activity indicates this is more than typical retail profit-taking. This development raises questions regarding future market behavior, whether the current sell-off by larger holders represents strategic repositioning or signals broader market concerns. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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Bitcoin needs to regain momentum with higher trading volumes for BTC to clear the next big hurdle at $120,000 and reenter price discovery.
Bitcoin trades at a critical level, holding steady above $118,000 but failing to gain momentum for a breakout. Price action has continued to tighten over the past several days, and analysts now anticipate a major move once either key supply zones are absorbed or demand breaks below. The market sits on edge, waiting for confirmation of the next trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Builds at $117K: Cost Basis Distribution Defines Key Support Level Fresh data from CryptoQuant highlights a notable shift in long-term holder (LTH) behavior. At $118K, LTH supply began to decline, signaling the start of a distribution phase. These holders, known for accumulating during downtrends and selling into strength, are now gradually offloading their positions. This transition often marks the later stages of a bullish trend and echoes patterns from previous macro cycles. As Bitcoin struggles to break past resistance and LTHs reduce exposure, pressure continues to build. A clean breakout above the current range could reignite momentum and drive BTC to new highs, while a break below support may trigger a sharper correction. Either way, the current standoff won’t last much longer. The coming days could bring the decisive move that sets the tone for Bitcoin’s next major leg. LTH Distribution Begins As Bitcoin Mirrors Fall 2024 Pattern Top analyst Axel Adler has highlighted a key development in Bitcoin’s current structure. According to Adler, LTH supply has declined by 52,000 BTC so far, marking a significant shift in behavior. These holders, typically seen as the market’s most patient participants, are now beginning to reduce their exposure—just as Bitcoin remains locked in a tight consolidation range. This shift from accumulation to distribution closely mirrors the LTH behavior seen during fall 2024, when Bitcoin climbed from $65,000 to $100,000. In that period, long-term investors steadily sold into strength as the market pushed higher, locking in profits as late-stage momentum kicked in. Adler suggests that if the current trend continues, the distribution phase will intensify with each price leg up—just as it did in previous macro cycles. The timing of this transition is critical. Bitcoin continues to hover just below all-time highs, while altcoins have begun to show signs of increased volatility. As Ethereum and other major assets begin to move more aggressively, capital rotation may accelerate. Whether this benefits or pressures Bitcoin remains to be seen. Related Reading: TRON Sees $1B USDT Mint: Liquidity Wave Incoming? BTC Holds Steady As Tight Range Continues Bitcoin remains in a tight consolidation range between $115,724 and $122,077, with the 4-hour chart showing price currently hovering around $118,817. After bouncing from the lower boundary last week, BTC has managed to recover and now trades above the 50 SMA ($118,175), 100 SMA ($118,228), and well above the 200 SMA ($113,777). These moving averages have flattened, reflecting the ongoing equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Despite several tests of the $118K zone, BTC continues to respect the key support levels, showing resilience as selling pressure remains muted. Volume, however, remains low—suggesting that traders are still in wait-and-see mode, looking for a decisive breakout before committing to larger positions. Related Reading: Ethereum CME Futures Open Interest Hits Record $7.85B – Is ETH Overheating? The upper resistance at $122K remains untouched since mid-July, and each approach has been met with rejection. A clean break above this level with volume confirmation would signal a continuation of the broader uptrend and could trigger a move toward new all-time highs. On the downside, a break below $115K would invalidate the current structure and likely lead to increased volatility. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
SharpLink has generated approximately $3 million in rewards from staking its 438,190 Ethereum holdings, according to a company update released on July 29. According to the firm, it has leveraged staking rewards and equity issuance to expand its ETH treasury during the past week. To date, the company has earned 722 ETH, worth around $2.7 […]
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Bitcoin investment firm Twenty One Capital is set to receive 5,800 BTC from stablecoin issuer Tether as it prepares for its upcoming public listing, according to a July 29 statement. This inflow would bring the firm’s total Bitcoin holdings to over 43,500 BTC, making it the third-largest corporate holder globally. It would rank just behind […]
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