Derive said options positioning and easing downside skew show traders cautiously preparing for a potential bitcoin recovery.
Expert trader Tony Severino, who correctly predicted Bitcoin’s top, has raised the possibility of a crash to $4,000. This comes as BTC continues to struggle to break key resistance levels, signaling that it could be at risk of a deeper decline. Expert Trader Raises Potential Bitcoin Drop To $4,000 In an X post, Tony Severino questioned the possibility that the next Bitcoin bull market is a lower high followed by a lower low. His accompanying chart showed BTC may be forming a Head-and-Shoulder pattern, which could spark a crash to $4,000. As such, he urged market participants to play the range and cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin 5TH Wave Is Not Over Yet, And Price Could Still Crash To $52,000; Analyst Warns When asked about a potential bottom for Bitcoin in this bear market, the expert trader said it’s more speculative because the idea of a bottom can change over time. However, he noted that BTC is bottoming now on shorter timeframes and that on the longest timeframes, it could still take a while. Severino also recently stated that he expects a maximum drawdown of around 72% for Bitcoin in this cycle, implying a bottom at around $34,000. Veteran trader Peter Brandt has also predicted that Bitcoin could drop to as low as $40,000 before it finds a bottom. Notably, BTC continues to struggle, suggesting it remains at risk of a deeper decline despite the recent relief rally to $70,000. In an X post, on-chain analytics platform Glassnode noted that profit-taking continues to absorb momentum at the $70,000 threshold. The platform added that this pattern is consistent with a thin-liquidity regime, in which even modest realization events are sufficient to suppress recovery attempts. How BTC Could Drop To $30,000 In This Bear Market Crypto analyst Willy Woo stated that Bitcoin has only ever existed in a secular global macro bull market between 2009 and 2026. He warned that if the global macro breaks down, then the $30,000 level is the fallback level of support. The analyst highlighted $16,000 as the final line to maintain BTC’s bull trend. Related Reading: Elliot Wave Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Will Crash In Final Move, What’s The Target? However, Willy Woo believes $45,000 would be a typical bear-market bottom for Bitcoin. He noted that this bearish sell-off by investors appears to have been exhausted, which may allow the price to consolidate sideways for a month and possibly rebound to the mid $70,000 range. However, this level would likely be rejected. The analyst explained that this is because the broader regime is heavily bearish, with both spot and futures liquidity deteriorating. Willy Woo predicts that Q4 would be a good time for the end of the bearish trend and that Q1 or Q2 2027 would be an appropriate time for bullish momentum to return. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $67,800, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Citrini warned everyone that these AI layoffs were coming, and it seems Jack Dorsey took their warning to heart and chose to act first.
After NVIDIA, the Chip giant registers quarterly revenue of $68.1B (73% YoY), the crypto market reacted in parallel. Bitcoin was pulled back from the critical $61,000 zone to barely hit $70,000 again. The AI coins and altcoins recorded the biggest daily gains after President Trump’s State of the Union address.The market cools down after the …
The UK Gambling Commission is exploring allowing cryptocurrency payments for bets, starting discussions on how digital assets could be used by licensed gambling operators in the country. This move comes as the Financial Conduct Authority advances its digital asset regulatory framework, with new crypto rules expected to take effect by October 2027, and could open …
Minnesota lawmakers want every Bitcoin ATM in the state gone. DFL Rep. Erin Koegel introduced House File 3642, a bill that would ban all crypto kiosks statewide and repeal the entire regulatory framework built just two years ago. The Minnesota Department of Commerce is backing the move, with government relations director Sam Smith confirming the …
The crypto market is down today, led by a sharp bitcoin price drop that has pushed BTC back toward the $66,200 mark. While the move has triggered caution across the market, it appears to be driven more by technical and liquidity factors than by any structural weakness. Bitcoin’s recent failure to sustain momentum above the …
Sentient launched Arena, a production-style platform to test AI agents on enterprise tasks, with Pantera and Franklin Templeton joining the initial cohort.
Your day-ahead look for Feb. 27, 2026
Minnesota legislators introduced House File 3642, a bill that would ban the placement and operation of all cryptocurrency kiosks, physical crypto ATMs, across the state by prohibiting anyone from installing or running them. The proposal also calls for repealing existing rules that regulate kiosk licensing, require disclosures, set transaction limits, and govern consumer protections, effectively …
U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren has strongly opposed World Liberty Financial’s plan to get a national bank charter. She called it a serious corruption issue linked to President Donald Trump. The issue has sparked new concern about crypto rules, foreign investment, and political influence in the digital finance industry. World Liberty Financial Bank Charter Application Faces …
The UK Gambling Commission's crypto exploration could reshape gambling regulations, balancing innovation with consumer protection and compliance.
The post UK regulator weighs crypto as payment option for gamblers appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Sam Bankman-Fried, the convicted FTX founder serving a 25-year sentence for wire fraud and conspiracy, posted a thread on X asking what he called “the biggest question for crypto”: will AI use it? SBF argued that AI models like ChatGPT and Claude need compute, and traditional finance cannot serve them. “How do they KYC? They …
Positioning in futures and options shows traders looking to protect against further declines.
The ruling keeps pre‑2019 investor claims in open court and rejects Binance’s bid to send the dispute to private arbitration in Singapore.
Block shares jumped more than 20% in premarket trading after CEO Jack Dorsey told employees the company will cut more than 4,000 roles and reorganize around an “AI-era” operating model. The reduction takes Block from more than 10,000 employees to just under 6,000 (“nearly half,” in Dorsey’s wording), while the company’s 8-K describes a “Workforce […]
The post Bitcoin pioneer Jack Dorsey wants 50% staff cut to feel “awkwardly human” as AI-era reset begins at Block appeared first on CryptoSlate.
The Bitcoin price is drifting in a holding pattern, and no one’s pretending otherwise. After Jane Street’s market impact rattled nerves earlier this week, attention has shifted to Washington specifically the White House’s March 1 internal deadline tied to negotiations around the Clarity Act. Regulatory clarity isn’t sexy, but in crypto, it moves markets. And …
ZKsync said it will deprecate ZKsync Lite on May 4, freezing the network and shifting focus to Era and ZK Stack.
It has been a rough stretch for Bitcoin. Prices have been pinned between $60,000 and $70,000 for weeks, and a brief dip below $67,000 on Thursday did little to ease investor nerves. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin The Poor Man’s Hedge Against Inflation? Coinbase CEO Thinks So Now, a handful of analysts are saying the worst of the selling may finally be over — though what comes next is far from exciting. No Crash, No Boom — Just Patience Crypto analyst Willy Woo put it plainly on X. The wave of bearish selling by investors “seems to have exhausted,” he said, giving Bitcoin some breathing room to trade flat for the next few weeks. A small bounce toward the mid-$70,000 range is possible. But Woo was clear — that kind of move would almost certainly be pushed back down before it gains any real footing. His best guess for when the bearish trend actually ends is Q4 2026. A genuine bull run, he said, probably won’t return until Q1 or Q2 of 2027. This bearish sell down by investors seems to have exhausted, which gives price a repreive to consolidate sideways for maybe a month, even a rebound to mid 70s, which would likely to be rejected. This is because the broader regime is heavily bearish with both spot and futures… pic.twitter.com/MAUlmBJtbE — Willy Woo (@willywoo) February 27, 2026 The wait, in other words, is measured in quarters — not weeks. Woo also flagged something that doesn’t show up in Bitcoin’s price chart. Both spot and futures market liquidity are deteriorating at the same time. That combination, he said, has never historically produced a real Bitcoin rally. Until one or both of those conditions improve, any upward movement is likely to be temporary. Why Did Bitcoin Drop In The First Place? Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan had a straightforward answer to that question. Forget the theories about market manipulation or fears over quantum computing breaking crypto encryption. According to Hougan, the explanation is simple — people who owned Bitcoin sold it. Some followed the four-year market cycle. Others cashed out to fund investments in AI companies. Some had no particular reason beyond wanting out. “They are mostly done selling, and we are in the process of bottoming,” he wrote on X. The conspiracy theories are wild. First it was Binance and then it was Wintermute and then it was an unknown offshore macro hedge fund and then it was paper bitcoin and. today it is Jane Street and next week it will be someone else. The real reason bitcoin is down is that a… — Matt Hougan (@Matt_Hougan) February 26, 2026 Spring Will Come New all-time highs will come, he added. “This is a classic crypto winter, and there will be a classic crypto spring.” Related Reading: Aave Crosses $1 Trillion In Loans — No Bank Required For now, Woo’s analysis offers the most grounded take on where things stand. The selling has slowed. The market is catching its breath. But with liquidity still weak and no clear catalyst on the horizon, Bitcoin’s path forward looks less like a comeback and more like a long, quiet wait — one that, by his own estimate, won’t end until the final months of 2026 at the earliest. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin bulls were battling to flip three resistance levels back into support by the end of the week, but history shows they may need to wait another month.
Hedera (HBAR) has moved back into the spotlight after reports revealed that a senior U.S. Department of Transportation official filed a patent outlining a nationwide road-use charging system built on distributed ledger technology. What stands out is the patent’s explicit support for Hashgraph-style systems, directly aligning with Hedera’s architecture. For investors tracking real-world blockchain adoption, …
Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) reported a $1.7 billion net loss in Q4 2025, down from a $528 million profit last year, mainly due to a $1.5 billion write-down on its Bitcoin after BTC fell about 30%. Revenue dropped 6% to $202.3 million, and adjusted EBITDA was negative $1.49 billion. By year-end, MARA held 53,822 BTC, with about 28% loaned or …
A fresh round of debate around XRP is picking pace after comments from Ripple’s technology leadership hinted that public adoption numbers may only tell part of the story. In a recent video breakdown, crypto commentator Ripple Bull Winkle opened up about remarks from David Schwartz, Chief Technology Officer at Ripple, and his successor Luke. The …
Search interest in “Bitcoin zero” has surged in the United States, hitting record levels in February as Bitcoin slid toward $60,000 after peaking in October. Data shows global search interest actually topped out months earlier, suggesting the most recent wave of panic is concentrated largely among U.S. investors. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was …
Mixed fourth quarter results highlight divergence between AI expansion plays and margin pressure.
Minnesota lawmakers considered bill to ban crypto kiosks after testimony detailed $80,000 elder fraud case and overseas transfers.
Terra Classic (LUNC), which collapsed in May 2022 after its stablecoin UST lost its dollar peg, is back in the spotlight. This comes after Terraform Labs filed a lawsuit against Jane Street, claiming the firm used insider information to profit and may have accelerated the fall of TerraUSD (UST). Now, Terra supporters are asking a …
LUNC's price jump follows a lawsuit filed Monday by Terraform Labs’ bankruptcy administrator, boosted by spot-buying and a short squeeze.
A shift in Ethereum’s derivatives flow on Binance is starting to hint at a possible change in market structure, even as ETH itself remains in a corrective phase. According to CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, the Taker Buy Sell Ratio is no longer flashing the same persistent sell-side aggression that dominated as the asset pushed toward a new all-time high. Darkfost argues that the indicator offers a useful read on who is pressing harder in the futures market. “This indicator is effective for assessing directional dominance between market buy and sell orders executed on futures contracts. A ratio above 1 indicates buyer dominance, while a ratio below 1 suggests that selling aggressiveness is prevailing within transactional flows.” Ethereum Shows Fresh Bullish Shift That distinction mattered during Ethereum’s run toward record levels. In that period, Darkfost said, selling pressure in the futures market intensified at the same time, keeping the ratio consistently below its equilibrium level of 1. On Binance, the monthly Taker Buy Sell Ratio fell to 0.95, while the weekly average dropped even further to 0.92, pointing to a market where aggressive sellers were controlling the flow. Related Reading: Ethereum DeFi Warning: Vitalik Flags Oracles As A Hidden Time Bomb The backdrop is significant because derivatives now sit at the center of crypto price formation. Darkfost noted that the derivatives market accounts for nearly $65 billion in volume and plays a leading role in price discovery, making order-flow analysis increasingly important for reading the market beneath headline price action. In that context, a ratio stuck below 1 was more than a minor technical detail; it suggested that upside conditions were being undermined by persistent futures-led selling pressure. What makes the current setup more interesting is that the flow data has begun to improve before any obvious reversal in Ethereum’s spot chart. “On Binance, the weekly ratio has been hovering around the neutral threshold for the past two weeks. This shift is particularly notable as it diverges from ETH price action, which remains in a corrective phase. Daily spikes above 1.12 have even been recorded, reflecting episodes of aggressive market buying.” Related Reading: The $2,000 Fault Line: Why Ethereum’s Record Volatility Signals An Imminent Explosion That divergence is the core of the thesis. While ETH has yet to fully reflect it in price, the behavior of takers in the futures market is no longer uniformly defensive. The monthly average has also started to recover, climbing back to around 0.99. That still falls just short of clear buyer dominance, but it marks a meaningful improvement from the earlier stretch of sub-1 readings. Darkfost stops well short of calling a confirmed reversal. “Although this configuration still requires confirmation, it constitutes a constructive signal. A sustained move above 1 would mark a transition toward buyer dominance, potentially supporting a more favorable market dynamic for ETH in the short to medium term.” For now, the signal is less about declaring the correction over than about identifying a change in pressure. If the ratio can hold near neutral and then push decisively above 1, it would suggest that the market driving price discovery is beginning to lean back toward buyers. At press time, ETH traded at $2,028. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bernstein analysts said Figure delivered "solid" fourth-quarter results, backing their outperform rating and $72 price target.