Meta's job cuts highlight ongoing tech sector cost reductions, while geopolitical shifts may stabilize oil markets, affecting global economies.
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Iran's announcement impacts oil markets, but skepticism about full traffic normalization persists, affecting future price forecasts.
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The breach highlights potential enforcement challenges, impacting market confidence in imminent policy changes and affecting trading dynamics.
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Moscow's aggressive tactics reduce diplomatic avenues, complicating peace efforts and increasing geopolitical instability in the region.
The post Moscow’s Soviet-style tactics dim Russia-Ukraine ceasefire prospects appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Iran's move could destabilize regional security, impacting global oil markets and necessitating urgent diplomatic interventions.
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Bitcoin’s long-term holder cohort is still expanding, but a key profitability gauge has slipped back below neutral, creating a more cautious read on market structure even as older supply continues to move out of circulation. In an April 17 market note, on-chain analyst Axel Adler Jr. said Bitcoin’s LTH Realized Supply climbed from 5.26 million BTC in January to 8.32 million BTC as of April 16, an increase of 3.06 million BTC in three months. At the same time, LTH SOPR, measured on a seven-day moving average, fell to 0.979 and has now remained below 1.0 for five straight days. Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Data Turns Cautious “The long-term holder cohort continues to expand,” he wrote. “This combination matters: the volume of coins in the LTH cohort is growing, but part of the spent old coins is already exiting at a loss.” In other words, more coins are aging into long-term holder status, but some of the coins that are being spent by that cohort are no longer being sold profitably. The supply side of the equation still looks structurally constructive. Adler said the Bitcoin LTH Realized Supply chart shows “a sharp increase in the volume of coins in the LTH cohort,” rising from 4.16 million BTC to 8.32 million BTC over the past year. He argued that the trend signals “an expansion of long-term holding and a compression of liquid supply,” while also noting that part of the increase reflects existing coins simply maturing into the 155-day threshold rather than fresh purchases alone. Related Reading: This Indicator Used To Predict Bitcoin Bottoms Is Flashing Below $50,000 A rising LTH Realized Supply series does not automatically imply new demand, but it does point to more supply becoming inactive for longer periods. Adler contrasted the current setup with the 2022 bear market, when LTH Realized Supply reached 15.31 million BTC in November before beginning to decline as older coins were spent. For now, he said, the current profile is more consistent with consolidation near $75,000 than with a broad distribution event. The warning sign is coming from holder behavior at the point of sale. Adler described repeated dips in LTH SOPR below 1.0 since February, a sign that long-term holders who are spending coins have periodically been doing so at a loss. The latest reading, 0.979, follows a deeper episode in late March and early April, when the indicator dropped to 0.798 and stayed below 1.0 for seven consecutive days before briefly recovering between April 5 and April 11. Adler stopped short of calling that capitulation. “The current picture is a series of recurring shallow dips below 1.0 with quick recoveries, not a prolonged capitulation,” he wrote. “The key question now is whether the current series will hold above the March lows (0.798) or SOPR will break below them. A repeat move deeper, combined with a simultaneous reversal of Realized Supply downward, is the real red flag for a regime change.” Related Reading: 9 Reasons Why The Bitcoin Bottom May Already Be In: Expert That framing is important because it sets clear conditions for what would turn the current signal from local stress into something more serious. As long as SOPR remains in what Adler described as a shallow-loss zone and rebounds quickly, the implication is short-term pressure rather than a full bearish reset. In the note’s FAQ section, he said such brief dislocations have historically functioned as entry points rather than confirmation of a broader downside impulse. The bearish case, by Adler’s own definition, requires two things to happen together: LTH SOPR staying meaningfully below 1.0 and deepening, while LTH Realized Supply rolls over. That would suggest not just loss realization by old hands, but a broader shift from cohort expansion into active distribution. For now, Adler’s conclusion lands in the middle. The backdrop remains structurally positive because long-term holder supply is still rising, but the fresh loss-selling signal means the market is no longer cleanly constructive. The next move in SOPR, especially relative to the March low, may determine whether this is just another local stress episode or the start of a more meaningful shift in Bitcoin’s holder regime. At press time, BTC traded at $77,880. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Trump's dissatisfaction may amplify geopolitical tensions, potentially destabilizing Netanyahu's leadership amid domestic and international pressures.
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The Antalya Quartet's support for Pakistan's mediation highlights the complexities and challenges in achieving US-Iran diplomatic progress.
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Trump's decision strains US-Europe ties, highlighting a shift from traditional alliances and increasing geopolitical uncertainty.
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Quantum computing threatens Bitcoin's cryptographic security, posing a critical challenge to its foundational integrity.
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Institutional investments may bolster crypto markets, but increased sell-offs could challenge Bitcoin's stability amid fluctuating sentiment.
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Bitcoin's stability amid inflation and geopolitical tensions suggests resilience, but potential policy shifts could impact future crypto liquidity.
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The ceasefire's stability boosts market confidence, but any renewed conflict could significantly impact traders and regional peace prospects.
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Iran's firm stance may be strategic posturing, impacting diplomatic dynamics and market speculation on potential sanction relief outcomes.
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The advisory highlights geopolitical tensions, impacting market perceptions and strategic military decisions in a critical global trade route.
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Iran's stance complicates diplomatic efforts, increasing geopolitical tensions and market volatility, with skepticism about near-term resolutions.
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Zelenskyy's warning could heighten regional tensions, impacting diplomatic efforts and market perceptions of a near-term ceasefire.
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The continued blockade heightens geopolitical tensions, impacting global oil markets and increasing uncertainty in diplomatic relations.
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Increased maritime tensions near Hormuz could disrupt global oil supply chains, impacting energy markets and geopolitical stability.
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Xi's diplomatic shift towards Taiwan may stabilize regional tensions, reducing immediate conflict risks and fostering economic collaboration.
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Most of the integrations are aimed at fighting deepfakes as the rise of AI-generated content makes it increasingly difficult to distinguish humans from AI.
Trump's negotiation strategy could significantly impact global oil markets and nuclear non-proliferation efforts, influencing geopolitical stability.
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Iran's new transit approval requirement may signal a shift towards diplomatic engagement, potentially easing regional tensions.
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Trump's diplomatic shift reduces war odds, boosting peace deal prospects and influencing market dynamics with potential economic impacts.
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The U.S. intervention may temporarily stabilize the region, but the exclusion of Hezbollah raises questions about long-term peace prospects.
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Rising whale accumulation and falling exchange reserves suggest potential for significant Bitcoin price increases, impacting market dynamics.
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The reopening under Iranian control may heighten geopolitical tensions, affecting global oil markets and regional security dynamics.
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The uncertainty surrounding the blockade lift impacts market confidence and US-Iran relations, highlighting geopolitical tensions.
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Trump's criticism of NATO at a TPUSA event highlights potential shifts in US foreign policy sentiment, affecting market perceptions and alliances.
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Anthropic's strategic positioning and government engagement could enhance its competitive edge in AI cybersecurity, impacting market dynamics.
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