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#prediction markets

Araghchi's diplomatic visit suggests a strategic shift towards negotiation, potentially stabilizing regional tensions and oil markets.
The post Iran foreign minister visits Islamabad amid regime-change speculation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The DeFi United initiative highlights the fragility of decentralized finance, potentially deterring institutional investment and affecting market stability.
The post AAVE forms DeFi United to tackle $292M KelpDAO exploit impact appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#xrp #xrp price #xrp news #xrp on-chain data #xrp on-chain analysis

XRP is showing signs of on-chain stabilization despite trading below the average holder cost basis, according to data by Alphractal. The data points to a market still under pressure, but one where network activity, exchange supply and leverage conditions do not resemble a panic-driven breakdown. Alphractal’s asset overview places XRP’s spot price at $1.4343, below its realized price of $1.4862. That gap matters because realized price reflects the average on-chain acquisition cost across circulating XRP. With spot price below that level, the average holder is sitting on an unrealized loss. XRP On-Chain Data Points To Stabilization The firm’s AI analysis framed the setup through XRP’s MVRV ratio, which stands at 0.9613. “An MVRV below 1.0 means the market is valuing XRP below aggregate cost basis,” the analysis stated. “Historically, this zone reflects late bear-phase or deep consolidation conditions, not euphoric pricing.” That conclusion is reinforced by XRP’s NUPL reading, which sits at -0.0402 and places the asset in a “Fear” state. Net unrealized profit/loss slightly below zero suggests the network is marginally underwater, a zone where weaker holders may exit but longer-term accumulation often begins to appear. Alphractal described it as “a psychologically fragile zone,” but not yet a capitulation regime. Related Reading: 4-Figure XRP: How High Will The Price Be If Ripple Captures 50% Of SWIFT? The supply picture is also notable. XRP’s market capitalization stands at $88.33 billion, ranking it fourth among crypto assets in the dataset, with 61.57 billion XRP in circulating supply. Exchange reserves amount to 3.68 billion XRP, or $5.27 billion, equal to roughly 6% of circulating supply. For a top-five asset, that is structurally low. It suggests that a large share of XRP remains outside immediate trading venues, reducing available sell-side liquidity. Exchange reserves did rise 2.3% over seven days, indicating some short-term liquidity returning to exchanges, but Alphractal said the move is “not enough to suggest distribution dominance.” The strongest part of the report is network usage. Active addresses reached 48,946, rising 17.7% over one day and 40.8% over seven days. Daily transaction count stood at 2.81 million, while adjusted transaction value reached $29.58 billion per day. “XRP is showing a strong rebound in address activity, while transaction count and value are both rising weekly,” the analysis said. “This divergence — rising participation without aggressive price appreciation — typically reflects organic network usage rather than speculative churn.” Valuation and network-efficiency metrics also point to a market that is under pressure but not structurally broken. Alphractal described XRP’s NVT ratio as elevated but stabilizing, token velocity as moderate and VANV as neutral. In the firm’s reading, valuation relative to transferred value is not overheated, while velocity has not collapsed. Related Reading: XRP ETFs Post Longest Back-To-Back Gains Of 2026—Key Numbers Inside Derivatives positioning appears similarly contained. XRP open interest stands at $1.49 billion, equal to 1.69% of market cap. The long/short ratio is 2.34, while top trader sentiment is 2.05. Although positioning is tilted long, 24-hour liquidations are only $870,000, suggesting price action is not currently being driven by a broad leverage flush. Whale activity is less constructive. The whale-versus-retail delta is -0.81, indicating retail participation is exceeding whale aggression. Alphractal interpreted this as a sign that whales are not accumulating aggressively, though the data also does not point to heavy distribution. That supports the broader picture of range-bound accumulation rather than a decisive trend shift. The main constraint remains capital inflow. Alphractal’s Delta Growth Rate on a 365-day moving-average basis stands at -111.7, which the analysis said confirms weak new capital inflows over the past year. XRP, in this reading, is still being supported more by existing holders than fresh demand. The overall picture is therefore not one of full bullish confirmation. It is more specific: XRP is trading below cost basis, sentiment remains fearful and growth metrics are weak, but exchange supply is tight, leverage is controlled and network activity is recovering. At press time, XRP traded at $1.43. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

#price analysis #altcoins

Terra Classic price is moving higher, with LUNC token clearing resistance and holding above its consolidation range for the first time in months. While previous attempts failed to sustain, the current move is showing early signs of acceptance, with price maintaining strength above the breakout zone.  Meanwhile, rising participation is beginning to support the shift. …

#ethereum #markets #exclusive #tokens #token projects #l2s #mainnet launch #crypto ecosystems #layer 2s and scaling

Fluent launched its Ethereum Layer 2 mainnet alongside its BLEND token and a native stablecoin with $50 million in day-one liquidity.

#ethereum #markets #bitcoin #infrastructure #tech #tokens #google #startups #starknet #hardware #token projects #crypto infrastructure #companies #crypto ecosystems #layer 1s #layer 2s and scaling

Independent researcher Giancarlo Lelli derived a 15-bit elliptic curve key on a publicly accessible quantum computer, Project Eleven said.

#prediction markets

China's crypto crackdown may dampen global market confidence, but traders view it as regulatory noise, maintaining stable Bitcoin predictions.
The post China tightens crypto crackdown with new marketing rules appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The deployment signals potential escalation in regional military readiness, impacting diplomatic efforts and market perceptions of stability.
The post US refueling aircraft stationed at Israel’s Ben Gurion amid Iran tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Hezbollah's skepticism highlights the fragile nature of ceasefires, potentially impacting regional stability and future diplomatic efforts.
The post Hezbollah calls Israel-Lebanon ceasefire “meaningless” amid ongoing tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Increased US pressure on Iran could destabilize the region, impacting global oil markets and heightening geopolitical tensions.
The post US tightens grip on Iran with new sanctions, naval blockade at Hormuz appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Gulf states' dollar liquidity needs highlight financial vulnerabilities and potential shifts in global currency reliance amid oil trade disruptions.
The post Gulf countries seek US dollar liquidity amid Iran conflict disrupting oil flows appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The crackdown on Chinese firms may strain US-China tech relations, impacting diplomatic engagements and future tech policy negotiations.
The post Trump administration targets Chinese firms exploiting US AI models appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Intel's earnings boost positions it as a stronger competitor, potentially narrowing the market cap gap with NVIDIA if growth persists.
The post Intel stock surges 25% pre-market on strong Q1 earnings, Foundry growth appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

PIMCO's investment highlights potential volatility in oil markets, influenced by geopolitical tensions and uncertain supply dynamics.
The post PIMCO invests $10B in Middle East amid US-Israel-Iran tensions, oil market eyes $90 appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#bitcoin

Metaplanet's bond issuance for Bitcoin accumulation could influence corporate treasury strategies and impact Bitcoin's market dynamics.
The post Metaplanet issues $50 million in bonds to fund fresh Bitcoin accumulation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The potential resumption of US-Iran talks could reshape diplomatic dynamics, but skepticism about US concessions remains high.
The post Pakistan may announce US-Iran negotiations resumption: sources appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Increased Bitcoin ETF inflows amid geopolitical tensions highlight its role as a hedge, potentially influencing future market dynamics.
The post Spot Bitcoin ETFs see $2B inflows in 8 days amid geopolitical tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The waiver extension mitigates immediate oil price spikes but underscores ongoing geopolitical risks and market volatility concerns.
The post White House extends Jones Act waiver to ease oil supply amid Iran conflict appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets #stablecoins #funds #companies #crypto ecosystems #finance firms #investment firms #morgan-stanley #genius-act

Morgan Stanley launched a government money market fund for stablecoin issuers to hold reserves in line with GENIUS Act requirements.

#prediction markets

The panda diplomacy signals potential diplomatic thawing, impacting geopolitical tensions and market speculation on US-China relations.
The post China sends pandas to US amid speculation on Trump’s potential visit appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Easing marijuana restrictions could signal a shift in federal drug policy, impacting markets, law enforcement, and social justice reform.
The post US government to ease marijuana restrictions, rescheduling by year-end possible appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#trading #crime #market #community #featured #rumors

Federal prosecutors have charged Gannon Ken Van Dyke, an active-duty U.S. Army soldier who the indictment says has served as a U.S. Army Special Forces master sergeant, with allegedly using classified information about a military operation to make more than $400,000 in prediction-market profits. After months of online discourse around suspected insider trading on Polymarket and Kalshi, […]
The post Trump “not happy” with prediction markets – says world is a “casino” as Special Forces soldier arrested for insider trading on Polymarket appeared first on CryptoSlate.

#latest news

Wisconsin’s lawsuit against Kalshi, Robinhood, Coinbase, Polymarket and Crypto.com deepens the battle between state gambling enforcers and federal regulators over sports prediction markets.

#prediction markets

Increased military tensions could destabilize the region further, complicating diplomatic efforts and impacting global geopolitical dynamics.
The post Israel ready to resume military action against Iran, peace deal unlikely appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#crypto news #short news

After one of 2026’s largest DeFi exploits, Kelp DAO is working with Aave and ecosystem partners to recover losses tied to rsETH. The attack, which involved minting unbacked tokens through a compromised cross-chain setup, created a major deficit across lending platforms. From the initial 163,200 ETH shortfall, around 43,000 ETH has been recovered and 30,700 …

#prediction markets

Rising oil prices due to Middle East tensions could lead to economic instability, affecting global markets and consumer costs significantly.
The post Oil prices climb amid Middle East tensions, potential supply disruptions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#market analysis

Spot XRP ETFs record net inflows for nine consecutive days, absorbing sell pressure and potentially supporting XRP price recovery over time.

#markets

Bitcoin price action has one more week to go until it potentially achieves its biggest month's gains since late 2024.

#prediction markets

The limited rate cut forecast highlights persistent inflation risks, impacting market strategies and economic stability amid geopolitical tensions.
The post Economists see only one Fed rate cut in 2026 amid Iran conflict inflation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#news

This week, Bitcoin jumped 4%, rising from $76,351 to $79,447. But CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Aleman says the move was not driven by real buyers. Instead, the push came from the futures market, forcing short sellers out of their positions in a $1.19 billion short squeeze.Thus, Carmelo Aleman says the rally looks strong but is fragile …