The geopolitical tension could destabilize regional markets, heighten military conflicts, and complicate diplomatic resolutions.
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Bitcoin’s rebound from the February 6 low at $60,000 is showing early signs of structural improvement, but the move still looks more like a bear market rally than a confirmed breakout, according to CryptoQuant analyst Maartun. In an April 20 video, the analyst argued that while long-term holders are accumulating and strategic capital is entering the market, persistent selling from short-term holders and whales is still capping upside. Maartun framed the current setup as a question of market character rather than raw price performance. Bitcoin is trading around $75,000, roughly 24% above what he described as the bear market low, but he said that alone does not settle whether the market is turning higher in a durable way. “The real question isn’t how far the price has moved. It’s what kind of move this actually is,” he said. “Is this the start of a new trend or just another rally that gets sold into? And that distinction matters because misreading this phase is exactly how capital gets misallocated.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Pain Reaches Critical Threshold — Impact On Price Bitcoin On-Chain Data Still Flashes Caution His core argument is that the foundation beneath the market has improved even if price has not yet confirmed it. Over the last 30 days, long-term holder supply has increased by about 354,000 BTC, a shift he described as “structural accumulation.” In Maartun’s reading, that signals coins are being absorbed and removed from active circulation by participants less sensitive to short-term volatility. “That’s not a small number. That’s structural accumulation,” he said. “Coins are being absorbed and taken out of active circulation. Long-term holders aren’t reacting to short-term volatility. So when their supply increases, it usually means the market is quietly building a stronger base.” That constructive backdrop, however, is only one side of the picture. Maartun said a large part of the recent price push appears to have come from a more tactical mix of strategic buying and speculative positioning. He highlighted a rapid capital raise by Strategy, which he said brought in about $2.66 billion in 48 hours, including $1.16 billion on April 13 and another $1.56 billion on April 14. He argued that such an aggressive capital injection would normally be expected to produce a stronger market response. When that does not happen, the implication is that substantial supply is meeting demand. On that front, Maartun pointed to two seller cohorts. The first is short-term holders, who have moved roughly 60,000 BTC to exchanges. Crucially, he said this is happening while SOPR remains below 1, meaning those holders are exiting at a loss rather than selling from a position of strength. “We’ve seen roughly 60,000 BTC move to exchanges from this group,” he said. “And importantly, this is happening while SOPR is below one, which means they’re selling at a loss. They bought higher and now they’re exiting into strength. That’s classic behavior in a bear market environment.” He did not present that flow as wholly bearish. Instead, he described it as part of a broader rotation in which weaker hands sell into bids provided by stronger buyers. Still, he said it is a feature more commonly associated with bear market rallies than with clean trend continuation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Turns Red: Bearish Signal? The second source of supply is whales. According to Maartun, wallets holding more than 100 BTC have been increasing exchange inflows, suggesting that distribution is picking up again at current levels. That matters because it creates a market where improving long-term structure coexists with active near-term selling pressure. Price action, in his view, reflects that tension. Bitcoin remains below the short-term holder realized price, which he placed around $83,000. Maartun described that level as a key pivot: in bull markets, price tends to hold above it, while in weaker phases it often acts as resistance. For now, Bitcoin is still trading underneath it, and he said the market has yet to produce a clean breakout through major overhead levels. The result is what Maartun called a “fairly balanced but not yet bullish picture.” Long-term holders are accumulating, strategic demand has appeared, and weaker participants are being flushed out. But short-term holders are still selling at a loss, whales are distributing into strength, and price has not reclaimed a key structural threshold. That leaves the market in a conditional state. If demand can continue absorbing supply and push Bitcoin back above the short-term holder realized price, the improving backdrop could begin to translate into a more durable uptrend. Until then, Maartun’s conclusion is more restrained: the internal structure is getting better, but the rally has not yet earned the benefit of the doubt. At press time, BTC traded at $75,088. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Griff Green, a member of Arbitrum’s security council, said the group acted with input from law enforcement and “did not make this decision lightly."
US Senator Thom Tillis said members of the crypto and banking industries still need more time to be heard.
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) purchased another $256 million worth of Bitcoin on April 21, continuing its aggressive accumulation strategy. The move follows recent buys of 3,672 BTC and 3,899 BTC earlier in the week. With total holdings now valued at over $61 billion at around $76,000 per Bitcoin, IBIT remains the largest spot Bitcoin …
The layer-2 network's security council moved 30,766 ETH to a frozen intermediary wallet, accessible only via further governance action.
Iran's indecision and US criticism of Trump's tactics heighten geopolitical tensions, impacting market stability and diplomatic prospects.
The post Iran hesitates on Pakistan talks, US-Iran peace deal remains uncertain appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Geopolitical tensions may prolong inflation, challenging ECB's monetary policy flexibility and complicating future economic stability.
The post Middle East crisis poses inflation risk, complicates ECB rate cut outlook appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The diplomatic engagement in Islamabad suggests a potential shift in regional alliances, impacting future US-Iran relations and market dynamics.
The post Tehran sends negotiators to Islamabad amid peace deal talks with US appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Trump's ultimatum heightens geopolitical tensions, potentially leading to military escalation and impacting global markets and diplomacy.
The post Trump warns Iran of severe consequences for rejecting nuclear talks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin traded at $75,733 on Tuesday morning, up 1.5% over 24 hours, as Iran signaled it will send a team to Pakistan talks and Brent crude slipped ahead of the Wednesday ceasefire deadline.
Ripple has laid out a four-phase plan to make the XRP Ledger quantum-resistant by 2028.
Institutional dominance in Bitcoin ownership could stabilize prices but may limit retail influence and increase market centralization.
The post ETFs, treasuries hold 12% of Bitcoin, shifting ownership from retail appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Hungary's stance may intensify Netanyahu's diplomatic isolation, potentially influencing his political stability and international relations.
The post Hungary PM-elect says Netanyahu faces arrest if he visits due to ICC warrant appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The prolonged blockade could exacerbate global oil trade disruptions, impacting shipping routes and economic stability worldwide.
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The ongoing conflict and lack of diplomatic progress suggest prolonged instability, impacting regional security and global economic conditions.
The post Russian advances, Ukrainian counterattacks dim Ukraine ceasefire hopes by June 2026 appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Ternus' leadership will shape Apple's AI strategy and supply chain, impacting market dynamics amid regulatory and geopolitical challenges.
The post Apple names John Ternus as CEO, ending speculation on Polymarket appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The incident underscores the fragility of regional stability, highlighting the potential for diplomatic efforts to prevent further escalation.
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Ice Open Network has confirmed a security breach involving its identity database, shaking user confidence while highlighting growing risks tied to third-party service providers in crypto. The April 15 breach came from four former partners tied to a third-party service provider, who leaked user data like emails and 2FA phone numbers after accessing an external …
The scandal could destabilize Labour's leadership, impacting Starmer's political future and potentially triggering a party crisis.
The post Starmer under pressure as Mandelson’s Epstein ties revealed appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The invocation may prolong military operations, impacting energy markets and increasing the likelihood of further strategic oil reserve drawdowns.
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SpaceX's potential IPO could significantly impact market dynamics, investor strategies, and the broader space industry landscape.
The post SpaceX targets late June IPO at $1.7T valuation amid analyst briefings appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index climbed above 29 on Monday for the first time since January 29, pulling out of “extreme fear” and settling into plain “fear.” It is a small move on a scale, but in crypto markets, it signals a shift in mood that money tends to follow. Related Reading: XRP A Strong Buy Before 2027 Despite 27% Drop In 2026: Finance Advisory Firm Funds Flow Back In Crypto investment products drew $1.4 billion in fresh inflows last week, according to data from CoinShares — the second-largest weekly figure recorded since January. The gain built on the prior week’s $1.1 billion, stretching the inflow run to three straight weeks and $2.7 billion combined. Total assets under management across crypto exchange-traded products rose close to $155 billion, the highest mark since early February. Just weeks earlier, in March, that figure had fallen as low as $128 billion. CoinShares head of research James Butterfill pointed to a recovering appetite for risk, tied largely to ongoing US-Iran ceasefire talks. Bitcoin’s price added to the mood, briefly pushing toward $78,000 on Friday before pulling back. Bitcoin And Ether Lead, Altcoins Get Left Behind Bitcoin products captured the bulk of the action. Data shows inflows into Bitcoin ETPs reached $1.12 billion for the week, pushing year-to-date totals to $3 billion, with assets under management sitting at $123 billion. US spot Bitcoin ETFs alone accounted for roughly $1 billion of that weekly total. Ether had its strongest week since January, pulling in $328 million. That was enough to flip Ether ETPs into positive territory for the year, with year-to-date inflows now sitting at $197 million. Not everything moved in the same direction. XRP products bled $56 million in outflows, the largest among altcoins. Solana recorded smaller but still negative flows of $2.3 million. Short-Bitcoin products took in just $1.4 million, suggesting only a thin slice of investors are still betting against the market. Inflation Data Gets Brushed Aside Geographically, the US drove most of the action — $1.5 billion in inflows. Germany came in second at $28 million. Switzerland ran the other way, posting $138 million in outflows. Related Reading: Strategy Raises $1.76B War Chest As Saylor Signals Bigger Bitcoin Buy March CPI came in at 3.3% year over year, with core inflation at 2.6%. Based on reports from CoinShares, markets largely looked past the headline number, treating core inflation as contained and supply-driven rather than broad-based. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
The push for a rightwing alliance highlights the fragmentation and strategic challenges facing the French right, impacting 2027 election dynamics.
The post Le Pen’s niece pushes for rightwing alliance as 2027 election looms appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Progress in US-Iran talks could ease geopolitical tensions, impacting global markets and diplomatic relations, but uncertainty remains high.
The post White House signals progress in US-Iran talks amid heightened tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Crypto software developers are concerned about whether they could be held criminally liable for publishing their software, following high-profile convictions last year.
China's industrial slowdown, marked by reduced lead output, signals potential long-term economic challenges and impacts global markets.
The post China’s lead output drops 11.4% in March, pressures GDP growth forecasts appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Coinbase’s x402 AI payments protocol has launched Agentic.market, a platform where AI agents can discover and use AI-friendly services.
The proposed AI dividend would be funded by taxes on AI use and equity stakes in AI companies, paying US citizens if automation meaningfully displaces workers.
Market skepticism highlights the fragile nature of US-Iran relations, with potential military escalation impacting global stability.
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