What to Know: Polymarket bettors assign a 72% probability to Bitcoin dropping to $65,000, signaling short-term bearish sentiment. Capital is rotating from spot assets into infrastructure plays, specifically Bitcoin Layer 2 solutions that solve scalability issues. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) has raised over $31.2M by offering the first SVM-integrated L2, bringing Solana speeds to Bitcoin. Whale activity confirms institutional interest, with significant wallet accumulation despite broader market uncertainty. Prediction markets are flashing warning signs for Bitcoin bulls in the short term. Data from Polymarket currently assigns a 72% probability that the leading cryptocurrency will retest the $65Ksupport level before its next major leg up. That sentiment shift mirrors a broader caution in the spot market, where traders are hedging against macroeconomic headwinds and stalling ETF flows. The high conviction on the bearish side, evident in the sheer volume of ‘Yes’ shares traded, suggests liquidity providers are positioning for a flush of over-leveraged longs. But look past the spot price action, and you’ll see a divergence. While retail traders fret over short-term charts, sophisticated capital is rotating into the infrastructure being built on top of the network. The most telling signal? Pre-market activity surrounding Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), a project tackling the network’s scalability bottleneck. As Bitcoin stagnates, smart money appears to be chasing the alpha offered by technical evolution rather than simple accumulation. This split, bearish on price, bullish on utility, highlights a maturing market structure. Investors aren’t just buying ‘digital gold’ anymore; they’re funding the rails that could make that gold programmable. The surge in liquidity toward Layer 2 solutions indicates that while the market braces for a $65k retest, the long-term thesis remains focused on fixing Bitcoin’s transactional friction. $HYPER is available here. Bitcoin Hyper Integrates SVM to Deliver Solana Speeds on the Bitcoin Network The narrative driving capital away from choppy spot markets and into infrastructure is simple: Bitcoin needs to scale. For years, the network has struggled with the ‘trilemma’, prioritizing security and decentralization at the cost of speed. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) attempts to break this deadlock by integrating the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) directly as a Layer 2 execution environment. This architecture allows the network to process transactions with the sub-second finality typical of Solana, while anchoring the state to Bitcoin’s immutable ledger. Why does this matter? Because it effectively creates a high-performance engine for the world’s most secure asset. By using a decentralized canonical bridge, Bitcoin Hyper enables users to move $BTC into a high-speed environment for DeFi, gaming, and complex smart contracts, sectors previously dominated by Ethereum and Solana. The project’s modular approach (separating settlement on Bitcoin L1 from execution on SVM L2) mirrors successful scaling roadmaps seen elsewhere, but applies them to the largest pool of liquidity in crypto. For developers, the integration of Rust-based smart contracts via the SVM opens the door to porting existing Solana dApps to a Bitcoin-native environment. This reduces migration friction and theoretically unlocks trillions of dollars in dormant $BTC capital. The market’s interest isn’t just theoretical, either; it represents a bet that Bitcoin’s future lies in becoming a programmable currency, not just a static store of value. $HYPER is available here. Presale Capitalization Crosses $31.2M While prediction markets bear down on Bitcoin’s spot price, on-chain metrics for Bitcoin Hyper tell a different story. According to official presale data, the project has successfully raised over $31.2M, a figure that stands out given the broader market cooling. Tokens are currently priced at $0.0136751, a valuation early backers seem willing to support considering the lack of SVM-compatible competitors in the Bitcoin Layer 2 sector. One notable whale pump, worth $500K leads the way, but the majority of the support comes from regular Joes taking FOMO to the next level. This specific whale activity often acts as a leading indicator for retail interest, as larger players tend to position themselves before major roadmap milestones or exchange listings. The timing is notable, these inflows are happening right as the broader market fears a drop to $65k, suggesting a hedging strategy: using infrastructure presales to offset potential volatility in major assets. Beyond the raw capital injection, the project’s staking incentives are driving supply lock-up. Bitcoin Hyper offers immediate staking for presale participants with a competitive APY, designed to encourage holding through a 7-day vesting period post-TGE. This aligns with the behavior of these whales, who appear to be positioning for yield rather than a quick flip. As the presale continues to absorb liquidity, the divergence between Bitcoin’s choppy price action and the demand for its Layer 2 infrastructure is becoming the defining trend of this cycle. Get your $HYPER today. The content provided in this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, including presales and derivatives, carry significant risk. Always perform your own due diligence before investing.
House Democrats probe $500 million UAE investment in Trump-linked WLFI, highlighting questions over dealings with the country's national security adviser.
BlackRock's significant crypto transfer highlights ongoing market volatility and could influence investor sentiment amid declining prices.
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Shares of the company fell 5% in pre-market trading.
Bitcoin fell below $70,000 on Tuesday, erasing all gains since its 2021 peak and leaving the asset down nearly 30% year-over-year.
SBI Holdings CEO Yoshitaka Kitao shared Ripple’s XRP Community Day 2026 announcement on X today, drawing attention to what’s shaping up to be a major event for the XRP ecosystem. The global virtual event is scheduled for February 11-12 and will feature Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, President Monica Long, and a lineup of speakers from …
Vitalik Buterin called copy-paste EVM chains a ‘dead end,’ calling for differentiated, deeply connected designs.
PlanB, the pseudonymous analyst behind the stock-to-flow model, says bitcoin’s drawdown has left markets staring at four plausible bear-market paths, ranging from a classic 80% drawdown to the possibility that the lows are already in. In a post on X and a follow-up video dated Feb. 4, PlanB framed the debate around where bitcoin typically finds bear-market bottoms relative to long-term trend metrics, while also arguing that the previous rally’s lack of momentum could translate into a shallower reset this time. Bitcoin closed January at $78,000, he said, marking a roughly 40% decline from the cycle’s all-time high at $126,000. On his chart, the 200-week moving average closed at $58,000 and realized price at $55,000, with the January RSI ending at 49, a level he treats as a regime shift. “RSI here, 49. RSI, as you know, is an index between 0 and 100. And everything above 50 is an uptrend. Everything below 50 is downtrend,” PlanB said. “So 49 is below 50, it’s downtrend. It’s a bear market… similar to 2014–15, 2018–19 and 2022–23.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Unrealized Losses Reach 22% – Still No Capitulation Phase 4 Bitcoin Bear Market Scenarios From there, he outlined four scenarios for how the drawdown could evolve. The first is the historical “worst case” that still sits in traders’ mental models: an 80% drop from the top. With an ATH of $126,000, PlanB said that would imply a move to roughly $25,000 — “somewhere here between these two lines” on his chart, even if he acknowledged it would “look really really odd.” The second scenario is more conventional by his own backtests: a bottom around the 200-week moving average and realized price, which he pegged in the $50,000–$60,000 level. PlanB pointed to prior cycles where price eventually “drop[s] to the moving average realized price levels,” highlighting 2022 and 2015 as examples where the RSI trough coincided with those long-term anchors. The third scenario is shallower still: a retrace that stops just above the prior cycle’s all-time high, around $69,000–$70,000. PlanB’s reasoning is that the preceding bull phase looked muted in his indicators, which could compress the magnitude of the bear. “So what I think is… because the bull market was very weak… it didn’t have the red dots, the high RSI peaks,” he said. “Because of that, the bear market could be very shallow. And that would mean, for example, going back to the level or just be above the level of the… previous all-time high, which was 69,000.” Related Reading: ‘Sell Gold, Buy Bitcoin’: Cathie Wood Makes The Rotation Call The fourth scenario is the one traders always want on their screens: that the market already printed its low. PlanB wrote that “yesterday’s $72.9k was the bottom,” and reiterated in the video that “maybe the $72.800 that we saw a couple days ago was already the bottom.” Notably, the BTC price already dropped to $70,140 on Wednesday, invalidating this scenario. IMO there are 4 bitcoin bear market scenarios: 1) -80% from ATH $126k => $25k 2) down to 200w MA / realized price => $50k-60k 3) down to just above previous ATH => $70k 4) yesterday’s $72.9k was the bottom I discuss these scenario’s in my new video: ???? https://t.co/mXSxJK9LLx — PlanB (@100trillionUSD) February 4, 2026 PlanB also revisited his stock-to-flow framework, saying it remains at $500,000 as a value signal derived from scarcity while stressing it is not built to call turning points. “Stock to flow says nothing about tops and bottoms,” he said, adding that it speaks to “the four-year average” and periodic “phase transition every four or five years.” That caveat set up his final point: the cycle template may be shifting. PlanB noted that in his four-year-cycle view, the peak historically lands in the first or second year after a halving, but “it didn’t happen after 2024 halving.” In his telling, that leaves room for an upside phase later in the cycle, even as his nearer-term framework keeps the focus on whether bitcoin gravitates toward realized price and the 200-week average, holds the prior ATH zone, or validates a higher low in the low-$70,000s. At press time, BTC traded at $ Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Your day-ahead look for Feb. 5, 2026
Bitcoin briefly dropped below the $70,000 mark for the first time since November 2024 and is now trading at $70,131, down 5.34% in the past 24 hours. Ethereum also faced heavy selling pressure, sliding to $2,095 after a sharp 6.96% daily decline. Market volatility triggered massive liquidations, with CoinGlass data showing $951 million wiped out …
Dogecoin price slid sharply nearly 7% intraday and dipped below the key $0.10 support zone amid broader market weakness. The decline comes despite renewed “moon mission” chatter linked to Elon Musk’s recent social media interaction, showing that the meme coin’s traditional narrative drivers may be losing momentum in the current macro environment. While DOGE did …
Les ETF Bitcoin traversent actuellement une phase délicate qui commence à faire douter une partie du marché. Après plusieurs semaines marquées par des sorties massives de capitaux, une question revient avec insistance : assiste-t-on aux prémices d’un nouveau crash ou à une simple respiration du cycle haussier ? Fuite massive des ETF Bitcoin Depuis la fin du mois de janvier, les ETF Bitcoin enregistrent des sorties nettes d’une ampleur rarement observée depuis leur lancement. En l’espace de quelques séances, plusieurs centaines de millions de dollars ont quitté ces produits, alimentant un sentiment de méfiance croissant chez les investisseurs institutionnels. Le mouvement s’est accompagné d’une nette pression vendeuse sur le prix du BTC, retombé brutalement sous des niveaux psychologiques clés. À première vue, le signal est préoccupant. Les ETF étaient jusqu’ici perçus comme le moteur principal de la demande institutionnelle, et leur retournement brutal a surpris même les acteurs les plus prudents. Pour certains, ces sorties reflètent une prise de bénéfices logique après une année exceptionnelle. Pour d’autres, elles traduisent un désengagement plus profond face à un environnement macroéconomique devenu moins favorable au risque. Il serait pourtant réducteur de n’y voir qu’un signal de panique généralisée. Les flux ETF sont par nature volatils et réagissent rapidement aux mouvements de prix. Une partie des capitaux sortants correspond probablement à des arbitrages de court terme ou à des réallocations vers d’autres classes d’actifs jugées temporairement plus attractives. D’ailleurs, quelques journées de flux positifs ont montré que certains investisseurs commencent déjà à se repositionner. Un autre élément souvent négligé concerne la structure du marché. Les ETF ne représentent qu’une fraction de l’offre détenue. Une part importante du Bitcoin reste verrouillée par des détenteurs long terme peu sensibles aux fluctuations à court terme. Tant que ces acteurs ne capitulent pas, parler d’effondrement structurel semble prématuré. Quelle cible de prix pour le bottom du BTC ? La correction actuelle a replacé le débat sur la table : jusqu’où le Bitcoin peut-il descendre avant de trouver un véritable point bas ? Après avoir marqué un sommet historique fin 2025, le BTC a déjà perdu une part significative de sa valeur, ce qui alimente naturellement les scénarios les plus pessimistes. Sur le plan technique, plusieurs zones attirent l’attention. Une première région de soutien se situe entre 70 000 $ et 75 000 $, correspondant à d’anciens niveaux d’accumulation. Si cette zone venait à céder durablement, le marché pourrait chercher de la liquidité plus bas, autour des 60 000 $. Ce niveau n’aurait rien d’anormal dans un cycle haussier de grande ampleur, même s’il serait psychologiquement difficile à encaisser. Pour autant, envisager un retour brutal vers des niveaux beaucoup plus bas me semble excessif à ce stade. Les indicateurs de long terme montrent que le Bitcoin reste largement au-dessus de ses supports structurels, et la pression vendeuse semble davantage liée à des ajustements de position qu’à une perte de confiance profonde dans l’actif. Mon scénario privilégié reste celui d’une phase de consolidation étendue. Un marché hésitant, parfois nerveux, mais globalement contenu dans une large fourchette. Une zone comprise entre 65 000 $ et 80 000 $ apparaît aujourd’hui comme un équilibre plausible, tant que le contexte macroéconomique ne se détériore pas brutalement. En résumé, les sorties des ETF constituent un signal à surveiller, mais pas nécessairement une alerte rouge. Le marché digère, réévalue et ajuste. Comme souvent avec le Bitcoin, le bruit est fort, mais la structure de fond reste, pour l’instant, étonnamment solide.
Crypto markets extended losses amid heavy derivatives liquidations and macro headwinds, with traders bracing for further downside if bitcoin breaks key support.
Cardone's unwavering Bitcoin strategy amid price volatility highlights a growing trend of institutional confidence in cryptocurrency's long-term value.
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New legislation requires all stablecoins to be fully backed by reserve assets and introduces penalties for issuing unbacked stablecoins.
Bitcoin price continued to face heavy selling pressure this week, trading near the $71,000 level and showing signs of further downside as broader market uncertainty builds. Market observers warn that a break below the $70,000 psychological support could open the door to a deeper correction into the $60,000 range or lower. Bitcoin Bear Market Duration …
A leveraged Ethereum position built by Jack Yi's Trend Research continues to unwind under pressure. The position, assembled through Aave's lending protocol and reported to have reached roughly $958 million in borrowed stablecoins at its peak, has been shrinking through repeated defensive sales as Ethereum's price declines. On Feb. 4, Trend deposited another 10,000 ETH […]
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The ‘Big Short’ investor compared the current slide with a one-time past cycle breakdown that saw BTC lose nearly half its value before stabilizing.
"Extreme fear" grips crypto and metals while U.S. equities show resilience ahead of key earnings.
The global market crash has hit the crypto market hard, wiping out $184 billion in value and pushing the total market cap down to $2.43 trillion. Bitcoin is now trading around $71,470, just $2,000 above its key 2021 all-time high of $69,000. Meanwhile, traders fear that if Bitcoin breaks its 15-year pattern, the market could …
Recent volatility reviews, new surveillance systems and a landmark court ruling show how South Korea is enforcing stricter oversight of crypto markets.
Vitalik Buterin sold almost 3,000 ETH worth $6.6 million through a series of swaps days after saying withdrawals from his holdings were coming.
As Solana (SOL) trades at multi-year lows, some analysts have lowered their end-of-year targets. Meanwhile, other market watchers have warned that the altcoin risks another 50% correction after a bearish formation was recently confirmed. Related Reading: BNB Chain Metrics Show Strong Performance As BNB Price Retests ‘Do Or Die’ Level Solana Confirms Head And Shoulders Pattern On Wednesday, Solana retraced nearly 10% in the daily timeframe, reaching a two-year low of $90. The cryptocurrency had been trading between $120 and $250 in the monthly chart since February 2024, retesting and bouncing from its macro support multiple times. The altcoin lost this crucial area over the weekend, closing January at around $105. After failing to maintain this level, SOL started the month attempting to hold the $100 psychological barrier and reclaim the $105 resistance as support. Nonetheless, the latest market movement, which also dragged Bitcoin (BTC) toward multi-year lows, pushed Solana below its bull market lows from last year. Amid this performance, market observer Alex Clay affirmed that SOL has “started to look bad.” The analyst affirmed that the altcoin’s chart shows a confirmed bearish formation after the recent price action, noting that it has also lost an important support zone. Per the chart, the cryptocurrency displays a macro Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern in the weekly timeframe, which has been forming since early 2024. The left shoulder developed during the Q1-Q2 2024 run, while the head formed during its late 2024 and early 2025 rally, which led to its All-Time High (ATH) of $293. This performance placed the neckline of the bearish formation around the $105 area. Notably, the pattern’s right shoulder began to develop after the Q3 2025 rally and was confirmed during the latest market crash. Now, the cryptocurrency has fallen below the neckline and could confirm it as resistance if the price closes the week under $105. Clay warned that the pattern’s first target sits around the $42 mark, which would represent a 55% correction from the current levels. SOL’s Chart Tell ‘Grim’ Story Other market watchers also expressed their concerns about SOL’s future performance, suggesting that a correction toward new lows is likely. Sjuul from AltCryptoGems noted that the Solana chart gives “a truly panic-inducing feeling” with “a vast no man’s land!” below it. Similarly, Crypto Tony asserted that after breaking the $100 low “with conviction,” the next major support for the altcoin sits around $50. To him, a correction toward this area is “obvious” as Bitcoin has “yet to find a bottom.” Altcoin Sherpa cautioned that SOL has also lost the 200-Week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is “a last stand area before $75 or lower.” He pointed out that the cryptocurrency tends to have strong price reactions due to “the gambling chain,” but noted that means corrections are usually stronger. Related Reading: Crypto Market Crash ‘Worse Than Expected’ But Bottom Might Be Near, Says Tom Lee Moreover, a major financial institution has recently lowered its end-of-year target for Solana. As reported by NewsBTC, Standard Chartered trimmed its near-term forecast from $310 to $250, mentioning the time required for the network’s next major use case to scale. Despite its short-term trim, the bank raised its longer-term targets, forecasting SOL at $2,000 by 2030 as it stops being “a one-trick pony” and evolves “from memecoins to micropayments.” As of this writing, Solana is trading at $93.28, a 27.9% decline on the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
The CFTC has scrapped a 2024 proposal to ban political prediction market contracts just as states double down on oversight.
Bitcoin is now approximately 20% below its estimated average production cost, historically a feature of a bear market.
Bitcoin’s latest drawdown is forcing a critical stress test on the “treasury company” trade. Over the past months, the model appeared simple, requiring companies to sell stock or low-cost convertible notes, buy Bitcoin, and rely on rising prices and a persistent equity premium to cover the remainder. However, with Bitcoin sliding towards $70,000, which is […]
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Ethereum’s co-founder says the ecosystem has grown too comfortable shipping lookalike networks, arguing that scaling alone is no longer a compelling reason to exist.
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has taken aim at the current state of Layer 2 projects in a follow-up post that has the crypto community talking. According to Buterin, most L2s are recycling the same tired formula and adding nothing new to Ethereum. He compared the standard L2 approach to “forking Compound,” calling it “something we’ve …
What to Know: Tether’s record-breaking $187B market cap indicates massive liquidity waiting to deploy into risk assets. Market cycles historically see capital rotate from stablecoins to high-beta tokens, benefiting projects with strong narratives. Maxi Doge ($MAXI) targets this risk-on sentiment with a unique “leverage culture” utility and trading competitions. Smart money is rotating into early-stage utility, with over $526k already raised for the new L3 protocol. The stablecoin landscape has officially entered uncharted territory. Tether (USDt) has surged past a $187B market capitalization in the fourth quarter of 2025. This isn’t just a vanity metric for the issuer; it represents a historic accumulation of ‘dry powder’ sitting on the sidelines, waiting for deployment. Frankly, the scale of this liquidity buildup is unprecedented. Analysts have long tracked stablecoin issuance as a volatility indicator. When USDt printing accelerates, asset prices usually follow. However, the sheer velocity of this expansion, outpacing even the most bullish Q3 projections, suggests a fundamental shift in market structure. We aren’t just seeing capital preservation anymore. We’re seeing institutional liquidity entering the ecosystem to position for a rotation into high-beta assets. The implication is straightforward yet critical: this liquidity can’t sit idle forever. History suggests that once Bitcoin and major altcoins absorb the initial capital flow, risk appetite moves further out on the curve. This is the ‘wealth effect’ in action: profits from majors rotate into speculative assets with higher upside potential. Current market sentiment indicates that retail traders are already front-running this rotation. While headlines focus on Tether’s reserves, on-chain data reveals a scramble for assets that capture the “leverage culture” of this cycle. Traders aren’t looking for savings accounts; they want volatility and narrative dominance. This search for high-octane returns has directed significant volume toward emerging projects like Maxi Doge ($MAXI), which positions itself as the premier vehicle for this aggressive trading sentiment. Buy your $MAXI here. Maxi Doge Capitalizes on High-Leverage Trading Narratives As liquidity rotates from stablecoins into speculative markets, Maxi Doge ($MAXI) has emerged as a focal point for traders seeking to maximize risk-reward ratios. Unlike traditional memecoins that rely on passive ‘community vibes,’ Maxi Doge engineered its brand around the ‘1000x leverage’ mentality. It targets a specific psychographic: the retail trader who views the market as a gym where financial gains are the only metric that matters. The project’s central thesis addresses a common friction point: retail traders lack the capital depth of whales but possess higher conviction. To bridge this gap, Maxi Doge integrates holder-only trading competitions directly into its ecosystem. These contests gamify the trading experience, incentivizing active participation rather than passive holding. It creates a feedback loop where token utility is tied directly to market activity. Plus, the ‘Maxi Fund’ treasury introduces a layer of strategic sustainability often missing in the sector. By allocating resources for liquidity provision and potential integrations with futures platforms, the project moves beyond simple meme mechanics. It’s building an ecosystem that mirrors the intensity of professional trading desks, wrapped in the viral “gym-bro” aesthetic that dominates crypto Twitter. The narrative is clear: in a bull market fueled by billions in fresh USDt liquidity, weakness isn’t an option. Explore the $MAXI presale now. Smart Money Accumulation and Presale Metrics Signal Strength Narrative drives attention, but on-chain data provides the confirmation institutional watchers look for. The flow of capital into Maxi Doge has accelerated in tandem with the broader market’s liquidity expansion. According to the official presale page, the project has successfully raised over $4.5M , a figure that validates the market’s appetite for this specific brand of utility-focused memecoin. The pricing structure also reflects a calculated entry point. With tokens currently priced at $0.0002802, the valuation allows for significant upside discovery compared to legacy meme assets that have already saturated their market caps. However, the most compelling signal comes from wallet analysis. Large-scale accumulation during a presale is typically a strong indicator of long-term conviction, it suggests well-capitalized players are positioning themselves before the token hits public trading desks. Beyond the buy pressure, the protocol’s staking mechanics offer an incentive for supply discipline. The smart contract governs a dynamic APY system, distributing daily rewards from a 5% staking allocation pool. This encourages holders to lock assets, reducing circulating supply just as the broader market liquidity from Tether’s expansion begins to seek new homes. For traders analyzing flow dynamics, the combination of whale accumulation and supply-constricting staking creates a potentially explosive setup. Visit the $MAXI presale page. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile; invest only what you can afford to lose.
Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading close to $72,000, despite a recovery from $70,034, while Ethereum hovers around $2,100, struggling to reclaim key short-term resistance. Broader market sentiment stays cautious as derivative positioning turns defensive and spot demand remains muted, keeping upside moves across majors limited. Despite this risk-off backdrop, select altcoins are beginning to diverge …