Bitcoin's rebound is running straight into one of the few events it can't price in advance. After climbing back toward $80,000 on the back of renewed institutional buying and a nine-day ETF inflow streak, BTC pulled back to around $76,500 on Tuesday before recovering early Wednesday to around $77,800 as the Federal Reserve began its […]
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Trump's rhetoric influences prediction markets, highlighting the volatility and uncertainty in U.S.-Iran relations and potential military actions.
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The QNT price keeps loosing its footing and not in a subtle way. Slipping below the $70 level, a zone that acted like a psychological safety net for weeks, the structure has quietly flipped from “maybe stable” to “probably not.” And, that changes everything. QNT $70 Support Collapse Shifts Market Structure Bearish For most of …
“We want to be the default for 'money at rest' within the onchain space,” WisdomTree Head of Digital Assets Will Peck said.
MoonPay's acquisition of Sodot signals a strategic shift towards institutional crypto services, potentially accelerating mainstream adoption.
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XRP’s on-chain profile is flashing a conflicted market structure, with valuation metrics showing holders underwater while derivatives positioning remains heavily skewed to the long side. A granular on-chain report from Alphractal’s AI assistant suggests the asset is caught between retail accumulation, whale distribution and fragile leverage conditions. The report places XRP’s spot price at $1.3944 against a realized price of $1.4881, meaning the token trades at a 6.29% discount to its aggregate cost basis. Its MVRV ratio stands at 0.9613, below the 1.0 threshold often used to indicate that the average holder is sitting on unrealized losses. NUPL, meanwhile, is negative at -4.03%, classified in the report as “Fear.” That valuation backdrop is not, on its own, a clean bullish signal. The report describes the setup as one where XRP has entered unrealized loss territory without reaching deep historical distress. “XRP trades at a -6.29% discount to its aggregate cost basis ($1.3944 vs $1.4881), placing the network in aggregate unrealized loss territory. The MVRV sub-1.0 reading (0.9613) confirms the average holder is underwater, while NUPL at -4.03% signals capitulation-grade sentiment without full-blown distress.” Related Reading: XRP’s Recovery Is Real, But The Risk Appetite Behind It Is Still Broken – Analyst The tension becomes clearer in network activity. Active addresses rose 25.61% over seven days to 50,259, yet transaction count fell 21.39% over the same period to 2.05 million. Adjusted on-chain volume reached $28.64 billion, equal to 33.29% of market cap turnover, according to the report. That combination points less to broad-based transactional acceleration and more to larger-value movement across fewer transactions. Alphractal’s interpretation is that the network is seeing a form of activity divergence. Wallet participation is rising, but transaction frequency is falling. The report argues this “suggests larger, value-consolidating transactions rather than high-frequency small transfers,” with wallets reactivating to move larger balances rather than producing a simple surge in everyday usage. XRP Long Squeeze Risk Grows Exchange data adds another layer. XRP exchange reserves stand at 3.65 billion tokens, worth about $5.03 billion, representing 5.91% of circulating supply. Reserves are down 0.49% over seven days, while the 365-day delta growth rate is deeply negative at -114.31%. The report frames this as evidence of structural supply tightening, with long-term holder accumulation pressure exceeding new demand inflows. Related Reading: XRP Leads Altcoin Debate As Crypto Flashes Mixed Signals Yet the derivatives market shows a more vulnerable picture. Open interest sits at $1.49 billion, equivalent to 1.73% of XRP’s market capitalization. The long/short ratio is 2.4002, indicating a 2.40:1 long bias, while 24-hour liquidations totaled $3.8 million. Of that, $3.64 million came from long positions and just $162,150 from shorts, meaning long liquidations made up roughly 95.7% of the total. That skew matters because the report also identifies a negative Whale vs Retail Delta of -0.8378. In the report’s reading, retail participants are accumulating while larger entities are distributing. At the same time, top trader sentiment remains bullish at 2.0987, suggesting more sophisticated derivatives participants have not abandoned the long side despite the spot distribution signal. This creates the core fragility in XRP’s current setup. “Derivatives show aggressive long leverage with a 2.40:1 long/short ratio, yet the Whale vs Retail Delta at -0.84 reveals retail accumulation while large entities distribute. This structural conflict, retail buying spot, whales selling, with retail also leveraged long, creates fragility. The liquidation skew (95.7% long liquidations vs 4.3% short) confirms recent long squeezes.” Alphractal’s conclusion is cautious rather than decisively bearish. The combination of MVRV below 1.0 and negative NUPL can indicate value emerging after holder capitulation, but the report argues that whale distribution and crowded long positioning complicate that reading. At press time, XRP traded at $1.39. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
After research showed a small minority moves prices, new data suggests an even smaller group captures roughly half of all gains
The bank said DeFi’s $300 million-plus rescue effort and structural upgrades reinforce its long-term $2 trillion real-world asset thesis.
Rising tensions in Bint Jbeil undermine ceasefire prospects, impacting market confidence and highlighting geopolitical instability risks.
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Bitcoin is heading into the Federal Reserve decision today with a stretched rally and weakening momentum, conditions that have historically triggered sharp post-FOMC sell-offs. After climbing more than 20% through April and reclaiming the $75,000–$79,000 range, BTC price action is now stalling just below key resistance near $80,000. This setup has played out repeatedly over …
The Bitcoin price is struggling to maintain its bullish trend after a couple of bearish pullbacks. The rejection from $79,000 pushed the levels to $75,600, but the bull somehow bought the levels back to $77,700. On the other hand, the volume remains consistent during the decline and the current recovery, raising concerns about the sustainability …
The Czech National Bank's Bitcoin reserve move could influence EU central banks, challenging traditional asset strategies and ECB policies.
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Increased USDC minting on Solana highlights stablecoin demand amid geopolitical tensions, potentially impacting market dynamics and liquidity.
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According to Arkham, Bhutan is continuing its Bitcoin sell-off, recently moving another 100 BTC worth $7.83 million from its holding wallets. Since the start of 2026, the country has sold nearly $206.98 million in Bitcoin and now holds only $263 million worth of BTC. This matters because Bhutan was known for state-backed Bitcoin mining and …
Iran's crackdown highlights regime's grip, with low odds of imminent change despite international scrutiny and market skepticism.
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Bitcoin's stability amid geopolitical tensions highlights market resilience, but future shifts could impact its trading dynamics significantly.
The post Bitcoin holds steady at $75K-$76K amid Middle East tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
What you need to know for April 29, 2026
The rial's decline may heighten economic instability, potentially influencing political dynamics and escalating oil market volatility.
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Robinhood's long-term growth potential remains promising despite short-term setbacks, driven by diversification and strategic investments in AI.
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Geopolitical tensions may drive investors to Bitcoin as a hedge, impacting its volatility and reflecting broader economic uncertainties.
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The drastic drop in UAE oil stocks highlights the vulnerability of global oil supply chains and potential for increased market volatility.
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The indictment of Comey could intensify political tensions and impact public trust in federal institutions, influencing future governance dynamics.
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Ripple has partnered with OKX to expand its U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin RLUSD, making it available across more than 280 spot pairs and over 300 trading routes on the exchange. The listing also allows traders to use RLUSD as margin collateral for perpetual futures, putting it in direct competition with major stablecoins like USDT and USDC. …
Belo, which has over 3 million users across Latin America, offers a digital wallet that lets users hold and transfer local currencies alongside digital dollars.
Hezbollah's stance heightens regional tension, potentially impacting Israeli political stability and market confidence in ceasefire durability.
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Bullish has expanded its partnership with Ripple to offer institutional users of Ripple Prime direct access to Bullish’s regulated Bitcoin options market, the second-largest by open interest for crypto-settled BTC options. This allows clients to trade options using stablecoins like RLUSD without extra KYC through existing sub-accounts. It matters because institutional demand for crypto derivatives …
The ceasefire extension highlights the fragility of peace efforts amid ongoing tensions, with potential for further escalation without disarmament.
The post Trump extends Israel-Lebanon ceasefire as Hezbollah launches rockets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin could fall to around $30,000 before the year is out — at least according to one widely followed chart analyst. That bleak projection, drawn from a pattern tied to US midterm election years, is adding fresh weight to a growing skepticism about whether Bitcoin can reach $250,000 in 2026. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run Brewing: ATH In Sight By Late 2026: Analyst Pattern Tied To Election Years Raises Red Flags Analyst Merlijn The Trader pointed to a recurring tendency for Bitcoin to sell off sharply in May of midterm election years. In 2014, Bitcoin dropped 60%. In 2018, it fell 65%. In 2022, the decline hit 66%. Each of those drops started around May. If 2026 follows the same script, Bitcoin — currently trading near $77,000 — could lose more than 60% of its value, landing somewhere close to $30,000. THREE WORDS. THREE CYCLES. ZERO EXCEPTIONS. Sell. In. May. But only in mid-term election years. 2014: -61%. 2018: -65%. 2022: -66%. 2026: mid-term year. -60.73% is pointing to $30K. May is approaching. The chart doesn’t lie. The calendar doesn’t either. pic.twitter.com/qUshNbIHPN — Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) April 27, 2026 Capital Group analysts have noted that midterm elections tend to increase market uncertainty, as campaign activity picks up in the spring and investors pull back from riskier assets. That environment, they say, historically pushes people toward caution. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is already trading roughly 40% below its October 2025 record high of approximately $126,000. Despite that slide, high-profile bulls like billionaire Tim Draper and Fundstrat’s Tom Lee have not walked back their $250,000 year-end target — a price that would require the cryptocurrency to more than triple from where it sits today. Bitcoiners Those of you predicting $250,000 in 2026 need to stop with the mushrooms This is called a channel $BTC While it does not preclude further price gains, it is NOT a bullish bottoming pattern The Factor Report reports on classical chart analysis https://t.co/6nRit1xsVp pic.twitter.com/ApMM46KFla — The Factor Report (@PeterLBrandt) April 27, 2026 Peter Brandt Tells Bulls To Put Down The Mushrooms Veteran futures trader Peter Brandt has been blunter than most. Reacting to the $250,000 predictions, Brandt posted on social media: “Those of you predicting $250,000 in 2026 need to stop with the mushrooms.” He pointed to what he described as a bear flag channel forming on Bitcoin’s daily chart — not a bottoming pattern, he stressed, but a continuation of the existing downtrend. Based on the setup, BTC tested resistance near $79,500 before showing signs of pulling back. A move down to the flag’s lower boundary, around $69,000, is possible in May if selling pressure returns. A more severe breakdown below that line, Brandt warned, could push Bitcoin under $50,000. Halving Cycle Data Suggests The Peak May Already Be In The halving cycle history makes the bear case harder to dismiss. Bitcoin’s price peaks have historically arrived 12 to 18 months after each halving event. After the 2012 halving, the peak came in 12 months. After 2016, it arrived in 17. After 2020, it took 18 months. Related Reading: Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Could Be Near As White House Signals Major Update The most recent halving happened in April 2024. Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $126,000 in October 2025 — right at the 17 to 18-month mark. Now, more than 24 months past that halving, the price sits around $77,000 and is still declining. That timeline, analysts say, lines up closely with prior cycle peaks, suggesting the top for this cycle may already be behind us. Not everyone is ready to call it a bear market, though. Analysts at Bernstein have pointed to a potential recovery toward the $100,000 to $150,000 range, a more measured view that neither chases the $250,000 target nor surrenders to the most bearish projections. Featured image from MetaAI, chart from TradingView
OKX customers can now use RLUSD 'to trade and collateralize positions across both spot and derivatives markets.'
South Korea's Hana Financial, POSCO International and Upbit operator Dunamu have moved their blockchain remittance system into live trade transactions.