On Apr. 22, Bitcoin price registered an intraday high of $79,485 as broader risk assets bounced on relief from a ceasefire. On-chain data frames Bitcoin's (BTC) approach to $80,000 as a behavioral tripwire, a ceiling built from the breakeven psychology of recent buyers. Glassnode says BTC has reclaimed the True Market Mean at $78,100, a […]
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Solana's PropAMM surpassing centralized exchanges signals a shift towards decentralized trading, potentially increasing market volatility.
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Bitcoin dips after testing $80,000 as oil surges and traders stay bearish, even though a breakout hints the rally could accelerate on short squeezes.
Institutional demand driving Binance's trading volume surge highlights growing market stability, yet macroeconomic factors may limit Bitcoin's rise.
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Crypto trade groups and dozens of digital asset firms urged the Senate Banking Committee to hold a markup on market structure legislation.
Key priorities include defining clear SEC and CFTC oversight roles, protecting non-custodial developers, simplifying disclosure rules, and avoiding a patchwork of state laws.
Honeywell's sale and SpaceX's market projection highlight strategic shifts, impacting industrial focus and potential IPO valuations.
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The establishment of a military zone in Lebanon could destabilize the ceasefire, impacting regional security and market confidence.
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Graham's hint at expanding the U.S. blockade on Iran could hinder diplomatic efforts, increasing geopolitical tensions and market volatility.
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The deadlock risks escalating tensions, potentially destabilizing the region and affecting U.S. aid and Gulf investments in Lebanon.
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Pantera Capital is urging London-listed Satsuma Technology to liquidate its remaining bitcoin holdings and return cash to shareholders.
Extended mine clearance in the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt global shipping and trade, impacting oil prices and economic stability.
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Iran's toll system in the Strait of Hormuz complicates diplomatic resolutions, increasing geopolitical tensions and economic control.
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China's cautious monetary policy may prioritize stability over growth, potentially increasing downside risks for future GDP projections.
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SoFi's XRP trading launch highlights the need for regulatory clarity to drive significant market shifts and investor confidence.
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The Senate's decision may escalate US-Iran tensions, reducing chances for diplomatic resolutions and increasing market volatility.
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Bitcoin, the pioneer cryptocurrency, jumped roughly 6% over the past week, pushing straight into the key $79K resistance zone. Meanwhile, well-known crypto trader Michael van de Poppe says that as long as the $75,000 support holds, Bitcoin could still move higher toward $85,000–$88,000 in the next one to two weeks. Why $79K Is Such a …
Bitcoin Magazine Pro lead analyst Matt Crosby says traders relying on Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle may be leaning on a framework that no longer fits the market. In his latest analysis, Crosby argued that structural shifts in supply, institutional demand and macro liquidity now matter more than the old halving-driven playbook. Bitcoin’s Old Cycle Playbook Is Breaking Down Crosby’s core claim is straightforward: Bitcoin may already be trading in a different regime. Pointing to the fact that more than 20 million BTC are now in circulation, he said over 95% of the total eventual supply has already been issued, reducing the relative shock value of each new halving. Historically, halvings cut Bitcoin’s inflation rate in half and helped shape a familiar pattern of post-halving rallies, then drawdowns and recovery into the next cycle. Crosby said that pattern may now be losing force. “Many people are looking towards the previous cycles as a potential for what Bitcoin will do this time,” he said. “We can’t bottom out anytime soon. We need to wait until at least a year has passed from that peak, because that’s what we’ve always done.” Crosby pushed back on that logic, adding that he has “concrete evidence” for why the old cycle should no longer be treated as the base case. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Rebuild As Futures Metric Hits 4-Month High Much of that evidence, in his view, comes from demand. Crosby highlighted the scale of accumulation now coming from large treasury buyers and spot Bitcoin ETFs, saying Strategy alone has been acquiring more than 1,000 BTC per day, or roughly two to three times Bitcoin’s daily inflation rate. He also pointed to a recent day in which spot ETFs bought nearly $750 million worth of Bitcoin. That kind of persistent demand, he argued, is materially different from the market structure seen in earlier cycles. Rather than anchoring on calendar-based cycle models or seasonality, Crosby said investors should watch liquidity and broader macro conditions. He cited a 96.26% long-term correlation between the S&P 500 and global M2 liquidity, along with a 93% correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P over 15 years on a monthly basis. Bitcoin itself, he said, shows an 85% correlation to global liquidity, reinforcing the idea that liquidity expansion and contraction remain the dominant force behind major moves. Crosby also challenged the usefulness of election-cycle seasonality. While Bitcoin’s midterm years have sometimes posted strong average returns, he noted that median returns are negative and that the sample size remains thin. Gold and equities, by contrast, do not show the same kind of clean political-cycle pattern. For Crosby, that makes seasonality a weak foundation for market calls. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Score Index Turns Neutral For First Time This Bear Market He also argued that Bitcoin looks different when measured against gold rather than the US dollar. On that basis, he said, Bitcoin may have topped in late 2024 and already spent more than a year in a relative bear phase, potentially bottoming around February 2026. That, he suggested, is another sign the classic four-year cycle has already begun to break down. The more actionable signals, Crosby said, are coming from on-chain and macro indicators. He pointed to Coin Days Destroyed and Value Days Destroyed as tools that have historically flagged major tops and attractive accumulation zones, and said Bitcoin has recently re-entered an area that previously aligned with undervaluation. At the same time, he noted that US consumer sentiment in April 2026 fell to 47.6%, which he described as the lowest reading on record, while manufacturing expectations and liquidity conditions have started to improve. “At some point, it’s inevitable this four-year cycle is going to break,” Crosby said. “We are seeing fresh liquidity entering the system. We are seeing the S&P 500 rally. We are seeing more positivity in manufacturing outlooks, and we are seeing incredible negativity, not just in Bitcoin, but in sentiment across equity markets as well.” His conclusion was not that risk has disappeared. It was that the market may no longer reward waiting for an “arbitrary date on a calendar.” If Crosby is right, the next big Bitcoin move will be shaped less by inherited cycle lore and more by the harder forces of liquidity, positioning and sustained institutional demand. At press time, BTC traded at $78,144. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The San Francisco-based firm is raising for its seventh early-stage fund and second growth fund, which are expected to be completed in the next five to six months.
The closure heightens geopolitical tensions, disrupts global oil supply, and diminishes prospects for US-Iran diplomatic engagement.
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The blockade's impact on oil prices could strain global economic policies, influencing inflation and geopolitical strategies significantly.
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Iran's hardline stance may hinder diplomatic progress, impacting regional stability and increasing geopolitical tensions with the US.
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The US-mediated talks could stabilize regional tensions, but any ceasefire breakdown risks escalating conflict and market volatility.
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The lack of urgency in negotiations may prolong tensions, reducing the likelihood of a timely resolution and impacting regional stability.
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Hezbollah's conditional ceasefire commitment could stabilize regional tensions, fostering potential diplomatic progress if Israel complies.
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Rising tensions in Hormuz could hinder diplomatic efforts, impacting global markets and increasing geopolitical instability.
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The Digital Asset Market Structure CLARITY Act is hitting a key moment, with Senate talks now slipping into May due to delays around stablecoin rules. Most issues are close to being sorted, but timing is becoming the real problem. According to the reports, with a tight calendar and a possible July vote window, the bill …
The incident exacerbates US-Iran tensions, reducing chances for diplomatic breakthroughs and impacting global oil and nuclear negotiations.
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The Iran conflict accelerates Europe's shift to solar, impacting global commodity markets and highlighting vulnerabilities in energy supply chains.
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Increased geopolitical tensions may impact global oil markets, but current trading suggests limited immediate effect on oil prices.
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