Cloudflare data shows a near-total blackout as demonstrations calling for regime change spread and authorities tighten control.
Cardano (ADA) may be nearing the end of a multi-month corrective phase that closely resembles its 2020 setup, according to a new technical analysis video posted Wednesday by crypto analyst Quantum Ascend. The analyst argues that a similar “lower trendline reset” preceded ADA’s prior breakout cycle, and that several weekly indicators are now starting to turn. Cardano’s 2020 Fractal Is Back In a Jan. 7 video shared on X, Quantum Ascend said he is looking at ADA’s weekly chart through a macro, multi-leg corrective framework. “On a macro count for ADA, you’re looking at an A, B, C, D, and right now waiting on an E,” he said, framing the current market structure as the late stage of a broader consolidation rather than a fresh downtrend. That “E” leg matters in their model because it effectively marks the final phase of a wedge-like compression. Quantum Ascend pointed to an upper trendline, Fibonacci levels, and prior work published in a mid-December video to justify upside targets once the structure completes. “Essentially you have upper trendline, you have some Fib stuff in play, I have a conservative of five bucks, primary up there at $10,” he said. “And then after that, I think it gets ugly for crypto for a little while, so still a believer that alt season is ahead of us.” Related Reading: Is Cardano Entering a New Phase? Technical Strength, ETF Watch, and Ecosystem Direction Align The core of the argument, however, wasn’t the targets themselves, it was the claimed resemblance to an earlier Cardano correction. Quantum Ascend overlaid a historical “fractal” to highlight comparable price behavior: a move up to a similar level, a pullback, another push into resistance, and then a wick that tagged roughly the same area on the overlay. “This correction right here that I just took this from, look at how similar it is to that correction that we just had,” he said. “Obviously it’s not perfect, but if you tried to get it close from a price structure standpoint… look where that wick on 10.10 went, exactly right there.” In the analyst’s telling, that prior pattern was the market’s way of forcing ADA down to establish a lower trendline before the next expansion. “So this is the same exact move that Cardano had to come down to set the lower trendline,” he said. “So right now setting the lower trendline, before it went on a blast off.” He then referenced the scale of Cardano’s last major run as a reminder of what altcoin cycles have historically looked like when momentum turns. “And how far did it end up running? Well, it ended up going 170X from that point in time, from a penny all the way up to $3,” Quantum Ascend said, using that move as context for why double-digit targets don’t automatically fall into the “impossible” bucket during late-cycle expansions. Related Reading: Cardano Founder Addresses ADA Dump Rumors, Is He Behind The 80% Price Crash? The more immediate claim is that the upside implied by a $10 target is not unprecedented in percentage terms compared with prior alt cycles. “When you’re looking at how far that $10 mark is from where we’re at right now, I mean 22X, right? 25X,” he said. “What was this alt season back here? This alt season was just 2021… That was a 21X… So it’s not unreasonable to be looking for 24X there. And then even on the conservative side, more of a 12X.” On indicators, Quantum Ascend highlighted early signs of a weekly momentum shift rather than a confirmed breakout. “You have a completed ABC. This thing’s ready to turn back around,” he said, adding that broader market conditions looked supportive of a bounce. The analyst also pointed to the weekly RSI beginning to lift after an extended period near lows. “Look at the RSI here on the weekly, finally starting to curl up off the floor. We’ve been down on the floor since October 27th that week, finally getting a little juice.” The analyst described negative momentum as “been decreasing,” and referenced an “ABC” structure on MACD as another piece of the same turning narrative. “A lot of these major moves happen when the weekly RSI goes from low to high,” Quantum Ascend said, arguing that higher timeframes can be slower but more reliable when they finally rotate. Quantum Ascend closed by saying he remains constructive on the project even without a current position. “I am a big believer in this project. I don’t hold any right now. It’s just the way that my portfolio has worked out,” he said. “But I do believe that there’s going to be some massive upside coming to Cardano.” At press time, ADA traded at $0.3925. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Trump was responding to a reporter who also asked about pardon requests for other high-profile figures, including Sean “Diddy” Combs.
Prediction markets see low odds of a clear Supreme Court ruling on tariffs, a setup that has previously triggered short-term volatility in bitcoin, which then stabilized.
Bank of America has upgraded Coinbase's rating on reversing short interest and tax-loss harvesting, while the exchange is broadening its vision to put the financial system onchain.
New York lawmakers will soon review a bill that seeks to ban certain sports and political event contracts in the state, among others.
The founder of CryptoQuant doesn’t think Bitcoin will see a major crash of more than 50% like past bear markets and instead sees sideways action ahead. Bitcoin Has Seen A Slowdown In Realized Cap Recently In a new post on X, CrypotQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju has talked about how capital inflows into Bitcoin have dried up recently. The on-chain indicator that Young Ju has cited is the “Realized Cap,” which measures the cryptocurrency’s total value by assuming that the value of each token in circulation is equal to the last time that it changed hands. In short, what the Realized Cap signifies is the total amount of capital that the investors of the asset as a whole have put into the network. Changes in the metric, therefore, signify the exit or entry of capital relative to BTC. As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Realized Cap enjoyed sharp growth between late 2023 and late 2025, indicating that the coin was receiving continuous injections of capital. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bounce A Bull Trap? Analyst Sees 2022-Style Bear Flag Recently, however, the uptrend in the indicator has seemingly broken, with its value facing a small net decline. In the past, bull markets have coincided with an upward trajectory in the Realized Cap, with a transition to weak inflows or net outflows leading into bearish phases. Considering that the metric’s trend is now hinting at the latter type of market conditions, it’s possible that a bearish transition might be occurring for the cryptocurrency. That said, the analyst has pointed out that the latest cycle isn’t the same as the ones from before. “Liquidity channels are more diverse now, so timing inflows is pointless,” noted Young Ju. “Institutions holding long-term killed the old whale-retail sell cycle.” Examples of demand channels that didn’t exist before include treasury companies like Strategy and investment vehicles like the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). “I don’t think we’ll see a -50%+ crash from ATH like past bear markets,” said the CryptoQuant founder. “Just boring sideways for the next few months.” It now remains to be seen what trajectory Bitcoin will end up following. In some other news, on-chain demand as gauged by the Realized Cap isn’t the only one that has declined recently. As CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has highlighted in an X post, demand from retail investors has also been missing. In the chart, the metric shown is the 30-day percentage change in the volume associated with the retail investors, the smallest of hands on the network. This indicator has been negative lately, implying that the volume of transactions valued at less $10,000 has been declining on a monthly timeframe. Related Reading: Solana ETF Volume Explodes: Anomaly Or New Normal? This hasn’t changed even after the recent recovery surge in Bitcoin. “The crowd hasn’t returned—yet,” noted Maartunn. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $89,900, up 2% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
The founder of ARK Invest said crypto was 'part of the reason [Trump] won the presidency,' and could be a politically salient midterm topic.
Bitcoin is struggling to maintain the $90,000 level after a sharp rejection from the $94,000 resistance zone, keeping market sentiment sharply divided. While some analysts argue that BTC is entering a deeper corrective phase, others believe the pullback is a necessary reset before a renewed upside attempt. The current price action reflects this uncertainty, with volatility rising as buyers and sellers battle for short-term control. Related Reading: Bitcoin Tests Key Resistance While $4.7B In Sell-Side Liquidity Builds According to an analysis shared by Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s short-term risk structure remains fragile. His short-term risk chart places BTC below the Short-Term Holder (STH) Cost Basis, currently estimated near $100,200. Price is also trading beneath all major moving averages, including the 128-day, 200-day, and 365-day SMAs, reinforcing the view that the broader structure is still bearish. At current levels around $91,000, Bitcoin sits in a moderate risk zone, positioned between the STH Cost Basis and the -15% downside boundary. This positioning suggests that recent rebounds should be treated cautiously. Until BTC reclaims the STH Cost Basis, upside moves are more likely to represent technical bounces within a downward trend rather than a confirmed reversal. Conversely, a breakdown below the moderate risk boundary would signal rising downside risk and could accelerate selling pressure. As a result, the $90K–$100K range remains a critical battleground for Bitcoin’s next directional move. STH Losses Continue To Cap Bitcoin’s Upside Adler’s analysis also highlights a second critical framework: the chart tracking Bitcoin’s all-time highs alongside euphoria zones and the Short-Term Holder Market Value to Realized Value (STH MVRV) indicator. This metric measures the ratio between Bitcoin’s current market price and the average realized price of coins held by short-term investors, offering a direct view into the profitability—and behavior—of this highly reactive cohort. At present, STH MVRV sits near 0.92, well below its historical mean of roughly 1.09 and decisively under the neutral level of 1.0. In practical terms, this implies that the average short-term holder is holding an unrealized loss of about 8%. Historically, periods where STH MVRV remains below 1.0 have tended to coincide with either capitulation phases or extended consolidation ranges, rather than sustained bullish expansions. The last clear euphoria zone on this chart appeared during the all-time high update in October 2025, underscoring how far current conditions are from a speculative extreme. As long as STH MVRV remains below breakeven, short-term holders are incentivized to sell into rallies as the price approaches their cost basis. This behavior creates persistent overhead supply and reinforces structural resistance near the STH Cost Basis, close to the $100,000 level. Consequently, reclaiming that zone is not just a psychological milestone but a necessary condition for any meaningful regime shift back to a bullish market structure. Related Reading: XRP Sees Back-to-Back Liquidation Waves: Binance Absorbs Majority Of Liquidations Bitcoin Price Recovery Lacks Confirmation Bitcoin’s price action on the daily chart reflects a market still trapped in a fragile recovery attempt after a sharp rejection from higher levels. Following the failed breakout above the $94,000–$95,000 area, BTC experienced a decisive sell-off that pushed the price back toward the $85,000 zone, where buyers stepped in aggressively. This reaction marked a short-term bottom, but the subsequent rebound has so far lacked structural strength. At present, Bitcoin is trading near the $90,000–$91,000 region, a former support that has now turned into a key pivot. Price remains below the 200-day and 365-day moving averages, both of which are sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance. The 128-day moving average has also capped recent upside attempts, reinforcing the idea that the broader trend remains corrective rather than impulsively bullish. Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters Accumulation Regime: Market Supported By Seller Exhaustion, Not Buying Surge From a structure standpoint, the chart shows a sequence of lower highs since the October peak, suggesting that sellers continue to control the macro trend. Volume expanded notably during the November–December sell-off, while the current bounce is unfolding on comparatively lighter participation. This divergence implies that the move higher may be more short-covering driven than supported by strong spot demand. Unless Bitcoin can reclaim and hold above the $94,000–$95,000 resistance zone with increasing volume, the risk of another rejection remains elevated. Failure to do so could reopen the path toward the $85,000 support, where the market would once again be forced to prove its underlying strength. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
The recent crypto market correction was driven mainly by investor de-risking following MSCI’s Oct. announcement, JPMorgan said.
Crypto analyst Bird has indicated that the XRP price may be on course to record its greatest rally ever. The analyst alluded to the falling Bitcoin dominance as the reason why the altcoin could surge soon enough, noting how this development has preceded previous XRP rallies. Analyst Predicts Huge XRP Price Rally On The Horizon In an X post, Bird predicted that the XRP price is set to record its strongest rally yet based on the breakdown in Bitcoin’s dominance. This came as he noted that BTC.D dropped hard the last three times when XRP went truly parabolic, in 2018, 2021, and 2024. The 2018 run was when XRP rallied to its previous all-time high (ATH). Related Reading: Why XRP Is About To Experience A Legendary Next 3 Months Bird stated that after that first XRP price ATH between 2018 and 2021, the Bitcoin dominance began to trend back up. The BTC.D then backtested the trend and rebuilt strength before eventually rolling over. Once that rollover occurred, XRP went parabolic again in 2021. A similar scenario is said to have played out in 2024, as Bitcoin’s dominance dropped sharply through the trendline, briefly breaking down and triggering the surge. The analyst noted that the move in 2024 didn’t fully commit as Bitcoin’s dominance recovered and the breakdown failed. However, the attempt was enough to send the XRP price flying, reaching all-time highs. Bird reiterated that XRP is sensitive to a breakdown in Bitcoin’s dominance, even temporarily. Now, a similar move could be playing out again, which could send the XRP price to new highs. Bird stated that between 2023 and 2025, the Bitcoin dominance has trended up once more, broke down through the trend, backtested it from underneath, and is now chopping and rolling over. The analyst added that this is the same historical area where XRP has gone parabolic before, but that this time the setup is even bigger. The Altcoin Could Rally To Double Digits The analyst again alluded to the 2024 run. He stated that if a brief uncommitted breakdown in Bitcoin’s dominance was enough to send the XRP price surging, then a confirmed breakdown would be exponentially stronger. In line with this, Bird remarked that the next move is the one that sends XRP into double digits and beyond. Related Reading: Analyst Updates XRP Price Prediction: Why $16 Is Still On The Table Bird stated that the key difference is what comes next, as this next move isn’t just a fake-out or a shallow drop. Instead, it is the one where the Bitcoin dominance finally loses the trend for good and breaks down hard toward the lower boundary, around the 44 to 40% region. He added that when that happens officially, the XRP price doesn’t just run but enters true price discovery. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.14, down almost 5% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
The president told the New York Times he won't pardon ex-FTX CEO SBF, nor will he be granting help to Sean Combs or Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro.
The era of the hooded hacker hoarding Bitcoin in a dark web wallet is over. In 2025, the center of gravity in the illicit cryptocurrency economy shifted decisively away from the volatility of the original cryptocurrency and toward a dense, dollar-linked shadow system. According to new Chainalysis data shared with CryptoSlate, stablecoins accounted for 84% […]
The post Stablecoins just replaced Bitcoin for crime on the dark web – and the reason why is a $154 billion nightmare appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Divisions within the CFTC have given the green light for crypto-focused exchange Bitnomial to offer event contracts.
The offering expands Nexo’s structured lending products to Bitcoin and Ether holders amid a broader recovery in crypto-backed lending.
Boston Dynamics said manufacturing on its humanoid Atlas robots will begin immediately, with all 2026 deployments already reserved.
The bank also pointed to infrastructure revenue, including Base and derivatives, as emerging buffers against trading volatility.
The no-action letter comes amid growing acceptance by US regulators of prediction-style markets and event contracts during an election year.
Grayscale registered a Delaware trust for a proposed BNB ETF as the token lags broader crypto market gains.
The post Grayscale registers BNB ETF in Delaware appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
U.S. derivatives platform and clearinghouse is focusing on prediction contracts targeted at digital assets movements and economic indicators.
The US president reportedly said he had no intention of pardoning the former FTX CEO, and defended his family’s connections to the crypto industry.
Dogecoin’s price action has a habit of compressing quietly before going on a massive rally, and the late-2024 rally is one of the clearest examples of that behavior. After spending weeks grinding sideways around $0.10, the meme coin transitioned into a parabolic phase that carried the price to about $0.45 in a matter of two to three months. Now, how high would the Dogecoin price go if it were to repeat that same parabolic structure? How Dogecoin’s Late-2024 Parabolic Run Played Out The 2024 rally began from a base that had formed just above $0.10, right where Dogecoin spent a long time absorbing sell pressure. Once buyers regained control, Dogecoin cleared intermediate resistance around $0.15 and $0.20 with minimal pullbacks, then entered a vertical phase that pushed it through $0.30 and to $0.45. Related Reading: Dogecoin 50% Crash: Q4 Set To End In Red As All Supports Fail The key takeaway from that period is not just the magnitude of the move, but its speed, as Dogecoin delivered a roughly 4.5x increase in a very short time window of less than four weeks. That move unfolded rapidly, with little warning, and was characterized by expanding volume, strong bullish candles on the 4-hour candlestick timeframe, and momentum indicators pressing into overheated territory. As shown in the chart below, this period was characterized by high RSI readings that pushed into the 70 to 80 range. Applying The Same Parabolic Structure Parabolic rallies often catch many investors off guard. Particularly, one of the defining features of Dogecoin’s strongest rallies is that they rarely announce themselves clearly. Since Dogecoin has performed like that before, then it is not out of proportion to expect similar performance, especially considering that it is now back to trading close to the lows that it rebounded from in late 2024. Related Reading: Can Dogecoin Price Reach $1 In 2026? Analysts Reveal What To Expect If Dogecoin were to produce a similar percentage expansion from a higher base, the arithmetic would also be straightforward. Using $0.15 as a reference level, a move equivalent to the late-2024 rally would project the price to around $0.60 to $0.67. That scenario assumes the same kind of rally seen previously, where the consolidation finally gives way to a parabolic rally, not a gradual grind higher. In practical terms, a trader holding 1,000 DOGE at $0.15 would have a position valued near $150 at entry, while a move to anywhere between $0.60 and $0.67 would lift that same holding into the $600 to $675 range. These figures do not come with any suggested timeline. Instead, they serve to show how Dogecoin’s past parabolic moves would translate if the same price behavior were applied to current levels. Even under that framework, the projected move is below Dogecoin’s existing all-time high of $0.76. At the same time, separate outlooks are already pointing to a push beyond that peak, with one notable prediction expecting a move to $0.80 very soon. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
President Donald Trump told The New York Times that he has no plans to pardon former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried.
The Zcash Foundation has defended the Zcash (ZEC) network as independent from any third party. The Zcash Foundation responded to claims that the core team had dropped out amid onchain data showing notable cash out from the team. “No single contributor, team, or organization controls Zcash. In fact, Zcash was deliberately designed for resilience,” the …
Trump said he does not plan to pardon Sam Bankman-Fried, Sean Combs, or others after being asked about clemency requests by the NYT.
The post Trump says Sam Bankman-Fried will not receive a pardon appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin bulls are making a run on $91,000 as start-of-the-year trading volumes highlight the market’s expectation of a positive Q1.
Researchers built autonomous robots the size of salt grains—with onboard computers, sensors, and motors that think and swim independently for months.
The TRU price fell to $0.0000000029 from $0.16 after the protocol reported a security incident and crypto sleuths tracked stolen Ether.
The platform offers a private, non-custodial venue for regulated institutions to trade cryptocurrencies and stablecoins.
A New York assemblyman reintroduced a bill that would restrict prediction markets, barring bets on individual sports matches, war, and more.