If 2024 was the year crypto reentered the mainstream through TV tickers and glossy ETF commercials, then 2025 was the year the market learned to live with that attention. It absorbed it, metabolized it, and let it shape how liquidity moved day to day. Some stories were loud and obvious. Spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in […]
The post Bitcoin price charts lied to you last year, while these eight on-chain signals quietly predicted every single move in 2025 appeared first on CryptoSlate.
According to onchain data from CryptoQuant, claims that big holders are massively reaccumulating Bitcoin are exaggerated. The numbers that many share on social media can be distorted by exchange moves, not fresh buying. That distortion matters because large transfers tied to exchanges can look like one entity is piling in, when the action is often internal bookkeeping. Related Reading: Crypto Exchange Korbit Fined $1.90 Million By South Korean Regulators Whale Wallet Totals Can Be Misleading Exchange firms often merge funds from many small accounts into fewer large wallets for operational or compliance reasons. When that happens, onchain trackers may count those consolidated addresses as “whales,” inflating the apparent number of very large holders. According to Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, once those exchange-related shifts are removed from the data, the balance held by true large holders is still falling. Balances in addresses holding between 100 to 1,000 BTC have dropped, a trend that lines up with outflows from spot ETFs. No, whales are not buying enormous amount of Bitcoin. Most Bitcoin whale data out there has been “affected” by exchanges consolidating a lot of their holdings into fewer addresses with larger balances, this is why whales seem to have accumulated a lot of coins recently. We… pic.twitter.com/dk9XqqckIX — Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) January 2, 2026 Long-Term Holders Turning Buyer Reports have disclosed that another group has shifted its behavior. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck, says long-term holders have been net accumulators over the past 30 days after what was their biggest selling spree since 2019. That change could reduce one major source of selling pressure. It does not guarantee a rally, but it does mean at least one key cohort stopped adding to the sell side. Markets react to who is buying and who is selling, and this move by long-term holders softens the case that a single group is driving prices lower. Price Action Shows Mixed Signals Bitcoin has been hovering around the $90,000 area during thin holiday trading. At the time of reporting, the price was about $89,750 Saturday, with 24-hour volume near $52 billion. The token sits roughly 2.8% below a recent day high of $90,250 and carries a market capitalization of about $1.75 trillion based on a circulating supply close to 20 million BTC. Trading has seen sharp moves up and down, but volume has been weak, which means moves lack the support needed for a clear breakout or breakdown. Market Moves Hinge On ETF Flows Since US spot Bitcoin ETFs became active in early 2024, the ownership picture has changed. ETFs now hold a large share of on- and off-chain demand, which can shift where Bitcoin is stored and how flows appear on onchain charts. Reports suggest that ETF outflows have helped drive lower balances in the 100–1,000 BTC band, while at the same time some long-term holders are quietly buying. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Grows As Altcoins Post Another Losing Year: Analyst What This Means For Investors Taken together, the evidence points to consolidation more than a new bull run or a major crash. Claims of a massive whale reaccumulation wave were overblown because they did not account for exchange consolidation. Yet the story is not one-sided. Long-term holders have shown buying interest, even as large non-exchange addresses continue to shed some holdings. Future price direction will likely depend on whether ETF flows return in size and whether trading volume picks up enough to confirm any move. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
The XRP community has always been highly active and protective of its ecosystem. That became clear again after a recent controversy involving a self-proclaimed “world’s highest IQ holder” and a crypto token launch that claimed to support XRP. What began as bold claims and attention-grabbing posts quickly turned into skepticism, backlash, and public warnings from …
A crypto analyst has predicted that the Ethereum price could balloon to $3,500 soon, potentially breaking free of the bearish pressure that has suppressed its momentum for much of 2025. Although ETH is currently trading more than 37.5% below its all-time highs, the analyst has outlined technical indicators and market structure signals suggesting $3,500 is a realistic short-term target for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Crypto ETFs Defy The Pullback With $32 Billion In Fresh Investor Cash Ethereum Price Setup Points To $3,500 Rebound Crypto market analyst Tryrex has delivered a fresh outlook on the Ethereum price, pointing to conditions that could support a strong upside move to $3,500 in the coming months. In his post on X, the expert suggested that ETH may be approaching the end of its prolonged corrective phase and may be preparing for a decisive bounce. Tryrex highlighted the possibility of a strong rebound developing in the first quarter of 2026, driven by Ethereum’s current hold of a critical liquidity zone between $2,800 and $3,000. He explained that while Bitcoin (BTC) bottomed out in 2025 and entered a range-bound period right after, Ethereum showed relative strength by firmly defending the liquidity region. Based on the analyst’s weekly TradingView chart, this price area also represents a weekly demand zone that has absorbed repeated selling pressure. The fact that the price continues to hold this area indicates that market participants are buying ETH rather than distributing it. Volume behavior at the bottom of the chart also suggests that selling pressure has been weakening compared to earlier phases of Ethereum’s downtrend. Tryrex expects an impulsive move to emerge as Ethereum continues to react to the $2,800 to $3,000 liquidity range. If momentum builds as anticipated, ETH could break out of its current structure and push toward higher resistance levels, with a move above $3,500 seen as an increasingly likely near-term target. With its price currently sitting above $3,000, this would represent a more than 13% increase. The analyst has also revealed that his bullish forecast for ETH reflects broader conditions across the altcoin market. He highlighted that many major altcoins appear to be bottoming out after extended downtrends, increasing the possibility of coordinated upside moves if market sentiment and volatility improve. Ethereum Shows Early Moves In 2026 The market is just three days into 2026, and although major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Dogecoin closed 2025 in the red, Ethereum appears to be showing early signs of recovery. Initially, the ETH started the year in a similar downtrend, but over the past 24 hours, its price has increased by approximately 2.5%. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Grows As Altcoins Post Another Losing Year: Analyst CoinMarketCap data shows that from January 1 to date, Ethereum has declined by more than 9.5%. However, its trading volume in the last 24 hours has increased by over 100%, signaling strong trader interest despite the recent price dips. In addition, whales have been steadily accumulating ETH, taking advantage of lower prices to increase their positions. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Crenshaw cast a dissenting voice against spot Bitcoin ETF approvals in January 2024, and consistently expressed her crypto-skeptical views.
XRP exchange-traded funds are becoming one of the most important factors shaping the token’s future price. In less than two months, XRP ETFs have already attracted more than $1 billion in inflows. This demand has locked up around 746 million XRP, equal to just over 1% of the circulating supply. Since launch, there has been …
The company continued to diversify into the AI and high-performance computing sectors in 2025, with major deals and credit expansions.
Bitcoin ended 2025 with a realized daily volatility of 2.24%, the lowest annual reading in the asset's recorded history. K33 Research's volatility chart stretches back to 2012, when Bitcoin saw daily moves of 7.58%, and shows steady compression through each cycle: 3.34% in 2022, 2.80% in 2024, and now 2.24% in 2025. Yet, the narrative […]
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Industry insiders expect deal momentum to continue into 2026, driven by consolidation, targeted acquisitions, and a still-open IPO window.
Ethereum saw a surge in institutional adoption and progress on scaling in 2025, while Solana was stress-testing the network and hardening its infrastructure.
The price of Bitcoin seems to be positioning for a renewed bullish phase following its positive start to the new year. The premier cryptocurrency closed 2025 with a range-bound price performance, recording no significant movement in the past month of December. However, beneath this early price strength, recent on-chain evaluation reveals that Bitcoin may be at a critical point, where positive price action contrasts with underlying market dynamics. Negative Ratios Don’t Mean Price Bottoms: Alphractal CEO Alphractal CEO Joao Wedson recently took to X to explain what a negative Sharpe Ratio could mean for the Bitcoin price. For context, the Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio is a metric that measures how efficiently Bitcoin’s returns compensate investors for the level of volatility (risk) taken over a given period. Related Reading: Bitcoin Data Shows Aggressive Sellers In Control As BTC Consolidates Below $90K Readings above 1 from this metric signal a healthy market, where investors are getting rewards for their stakes. On the other hand, values under 0 typically indicate that the market is in a high-risk, low-return state. Simply put, Bitcoin’s investors, in this scenario, are not being efficiently rewarded for their contributed capital. As observed in the chart above, the ratio recently slipped below the 0 threshold. Seeing as this is occurring while price regains previous levels, it becomes clear that there is an inefficiency between risk allocation and returns. Wedson further shared, based on historical data, that Bitcoin typically displays its best performance when its Sharpe Ratio is well above zero, particularly at levels 1 and above. This positive signal is usually proof of a consistent state of balance between risk and reward. In contrast, negative readings often correlate with prolonged consolidation periods, choppy price movements, or even cycle transitions, providing context to long-term investors on current market dynamics. Historically, these periods have appeared during cooling phases, or before sentiment resets, rather than precisely at market bottoms. By extension, this means that while downside risk may not be high, upside efficiency remains limited until market conditions see relevant improvement. Ultimately, Wedson concluded that the current level of the Sharpe Ratio calls for cautious optimism, especially as the low doesn’t necessarily mean the bottom is in. Bitcoin Price 2026 Outlook After closing 2025 in the red, the question has been swirling around how the Bitcoin price would perform in the new year. While various verdicts have filtered across the crypto community, weighted sentiment suggests that the market leader would continue its struggles in 2026. The lack of apparent demand growth shows that BTC might have already entered a bear market, with the bottom not due until the last quarter of 2026. In essence, the premier cryptocurrency might see an extended period of correction over the next few months. As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at approximately $89,886, reflecting a 1.4% price jump over the past day. Related Reading: XRP Faces Strong Social Discontent—Is A 50% Bullish Reversal Just Around The Corner? Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Since the start of the month, the crypto markets have been up with a significant margin. Ahead of Bitcoin and Ethereum, the XRP price surprised with a double-digit rise and flipped BNB to become the 4th largest crypto. On the other hand, the memecoins like DOGE & PEPE are also gaining strength. Amid the brewing …
The U.S. overnight launched a military strike against Venezuela, capturing President Nicolas Maduro and his wife and extracting them from the country.
Bitcoin recently surged above $90,000 and marked an intraday high close to $91,000, which triggered the entire crypto market. With this, the second-largest crypto, Ethereum, also marked highs at around $3,148. However, the price slipped below $3100 as the BTC price lost the gained resistance at $90,000. With this, the question arises whether the bullish …
Traders are watching if XRP can maintain above $2.00, with $1.96 as a critical support level to avoid a return to previous trading ranges.
Bitcoin hit a three-week high, but derivatives and spot ETF flows show traders remained cautious, signalling limited confidence in further upside for now.
Crypto analyst BALO has predicted that the Dogecoin price could still rally to new all-time highs (ATHs) despite its decline last year. He revealed what level DOGE needs to reclaim to trigger this massive breakout that could lead to new highs. Dogecoin Price Eyes Rally To ATH With Reclaim Of This Level In an X post, BALO stated that a reclaim of $0.13 could trigger a massive breakout for the Dogecoin price and could lead to a new all-time high (ATH) for the top meme coin. His statement came just before DOGE reclaimed this level, rallying double digits in the last 24 hours. Related Reading: Dogecoin Long-Term Bullish Structure Still In Play And Will Cross $10 The Dogecoin price rallied alongside other meme coins, with PEPE leading the way with a daily gain of as much as 35%. With DOGE now back above $0.13, a new all-time high could be on the cards, as BALO predicted. His accompanying chart showed that the meme coin could reach a yearly high of around $0.44 this year, then rally to a new ATH of $0.74 in 2027. Crypto analyst Neo offered a more bullish outlook for the Dogecoin price, suggesting it could rally to as high as $35. In an X post, the analyst highlighted an ascending trendline for DOGE, with the middle of the trendline placing the meme coin at $4, and the target at the top of the trendline at $35. Neo alluded to DOGE’s historical performance, noting that in 2021, the Dogecoin price surged from the lower limit to the upper limit in one go. The analyst further remarked that there is the potential for that to happen again this time. His accompanying suggested that this parabolic rally could happen before this year ends. Why A Rally To $0.75 Is Possible Crypto analyst Bitcoinsensus raised the possibility of a Dogecoin price rally to $0.75 and explained why DOGE could rally 450% to this resistance level. The analyst noted that each previous accumulation phase has led to a strong upswing in price. As such, Bitcoinsensus said that this might indicate what could happen next for the meme coin, with a potential rally to a new ATH. Related Reading: 7-Period Fractal Trend Says Dogecoin Price Is Headed To $10 Meanwhile, crypto analyst Kevin Capital indicated that the Dogecoin price may be reentering a bullish trend after climbing back above the $0.138 level. He further remarked that the next thing needed is a weekly close above this level, and then DOGE could be “back in business.” The analyst had previously stated a reclaim of this level would be a huge positive, with his accompanying chart suggesting that this could put a potential rally to $0.4 on the cards. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.14, up over 11% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Wallet drainer phishing losses dropped sharply in 2025, but security researchers warn activity still rises with market rallies and new attack vectors continue to emerge.
Crypto has spent years on the edge of institutional adoption. According to former Acting CFTC Chair Caroline D. Pham, that waiting period is almost over. Speaking from the New York Stock Exchange on Taking Stock, Pham said 2026 will mark the moment when crypto, tokenization, and blockchain move from testing to full-scale institutional use. “Increased …
Table of contents1. Executive SummaryKey Themes of 2025Market State vs Previous CyclesKey structural differences observed in 2025:Crypto’s Role in the Global Financial System2. Macro & Regulatory LandscapeGlobal Macro Environment and LiquidityKey Regulatory Developments by RegionUnited StatesEuropean UnionAsia (Japan, Singapore, India, South Korea)Middle East & AfricaPolicy Outlook for 2026 and Beyond3. Global Crypto Market OverviewTotal Market …
Memecoins are back in focus as the crypto markets begin to thrive soon after the start of the year. Over the last 24 hours, the memecoin market added more than $8 billion in value, with several popular tokens, like PEPE and DOGE, posting double-digit gains. This shows that market confidence is improving and traders are …
The Bitcoin price and crypto market might have lagged behind the global financial market in terms of performance following the Christmas holiday. The story was a little different for the digital asset market after the New Year’s holiday, with altcoins specifically enjoying the bulk of the rally. On Friday, January 2nd, the premier cryptocurrency jumped to above the psychological $90,000 level. However, the latest on-chain data suggests that there is no need for investors to be excited about the recent Bitcoin price action. Bitcoin Price Needs To Cross The STH Average Cost At $99,000 In a January 2nd post on the X platform, crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci revealed that the recent price jump for Bitcoin does not say a lot about the current market structure. The on-chain data pundit’s evaluation is based on the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price, which currently lies around the $99,000 level. Related Reading: Bitcoin Data Shows Aggressive Sellers In Control As BTC Consolidates Below $90K For context, the Short-Term Holder Realized Price is an on-chain metric that tracks the average price where Bitcoin short-term investors (holding for less than 115 days) acquired their coins. Being the average cost basis of the most reactive group of investors, the STH Realized Price often functions as a dynamic support and resistance level. While the price of BTC slipped beneath the Short-Term Holder Realized Price four times in the past year, it has been below this critical threshold since September 2025. According to Kesmeci, the Bitcoin price needs to close above this STH Realized Price at $99,000 before bull run conversations can resume. Kesmeci wrote on X: No bull market without the short-term investor with a broken heart being made happy. This statement reiterates the importance of short-term investors in market dynamics. For instance, in this case, breaking the Short-Term Holder Realized Price would suggest the return of demand and confidence among the most reactive investor cohort. Data Converges Between $99,000 And $102,000 Furthermore, Kesmeci pointed out that additional on-chain data reinforces the critical importance of the $99,000 region to the Bitcoin price trajectory. The crypto analyst said that significant data is converging in the $99,000 – $102,000 range, and until this region is surpassed, the price of BTC might continue to struggle. In an earlier post on the X platform, Kesmeci had revealed that the price of BTC needs to close above $101,000 for the long-term trend to turn positive. This explains why the analyst later concluded that the $99,000 – $102,000 bracket is pivotal to Bitcoin’s health. As of this writing, the Bitcoin price stands at around $90,110, reflecting a roughly 2% jump in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: XRP Faces Strong Social Discontent—Is A 50% Bullish Reversal Just Around The Corner? Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
After the longest shutdown in history, a 43-day stoppage that ended in November 2025, markets and lawmakers are now watching closely as a new funding deadline approaches. As 2026 begins, fears of another shutdown, which were mounting, are easing, with prediction markets now showing a 26% chance of a U.S. government shutdown in January. Funding …
SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw officially left the agency on January 2. Her departure leaves the Securities and Exchange Commission with an all-Republican panel for the first time in years. Eleanor Terrett confirmed on X that Crenshaw’s exit creates an all-GOP lineup as 2026 begins. SEC Chair Paul Atkins, along with Commissioners Hester Peirce and Mark …
Bitcoin halted a breakout to new 2026 highs near $91,000 as BTC price action dealt with "geopolitical tension" while TradFi markets were closed.
The long-anticipated U.S. CLARITY Act may be moving more slowly than the crypto industry would like, but insiders say momentum is still firmly intact. Coinbase’s Head of Institutional Strategy, John D’Agostino, recently pushed back against concerns of stagnation, stressing that the bill’s pace reflects its importance. Designed as a foundational market-structure framework, CLARITY is meant …
Aave Labs founder Stani Kulechov has committed to sharing off-protocol revenue with AAVE token holders. The move comes after a governance vote rejected a proposal to transfer brand assets and IP to the DAO. AAVE jumped over 10% on January 2 following the announcement. The failed vote brought existing tensions to the surface. Some delegates …
The bulls seem to have reinforced since the start of 2026 as traders have turned optimistic about the upcoming price action. Bitcoin spiked above $90,000, and despite a small pullback, it continues to hover close to the range. Meanwhile, Ethereum sustains above $3000 while the XRP price displayed a huge upside move and flipped BNB …
The stability of major cryptocurrencies amid geopolitical tensions suggests resilience and potential decoupling from traditional market reactions.
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XRP spot ETFs have crossed $1 billion in assets under management, with about $1.14 billion spread across five issuers. Net inflows since Nov. 14 sit near $423.27 million. On the same CoinGlass dashboard, XRP itself sits around $1.88, with a market cap of $114.11 billion and about $382.14 million of 24-hour spot volume. If your […]
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