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#bitcoin #btc #bitcoin analysis #bitcoin news #btcusdt #bitcoin gold #bitcoin vs gold

Bitcoin is once again attempting to reclaim the $90,000 level, but price action remains capped below this key psychological threshold. Despite several short-lived relief rallies, momentum has failed to follow through, reinforcing growing concerns that the broader market structure is weakening. As volatility persists and upside attempts stall, an increasing number of analysts are beginning to openly discuss the possibility that Bitcoin may be transitioning into a bear market phase. Sentiment across derivatives and spot markets has turned noticeably more cautious, with risk appetite continuing to fade. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Lags Network Utility: A Valuation Reset Is Underway In this context, a recent report by Darkfost draws attention to a familiar but controversial narrative: capital rotation from gold into Bitcoin. With gold setting a new all-time high above $4,420 per ounce, the idea that investors may soon shift capital toward Bitcoin is resurfacing across the market. Historically, this narrative has gained traction during periods when traditional safe-haven assets outperform, fueling speculation that Bitcoin could follow as an alternative store of value. However, Darkfost cautions that this assumption is far from well-grounded. While the rotation thesis has been widely repeated throughout this cycle, empirical evidence linking gold outperformance directly to sustained Bitcoin inflows remains weak. Rather than signaling an imminent bullish turn, the current setup suggests that Bitcoin remains vulnerable, caught between macro-driven narratives and deteriorating internal market structure. Testing the Gold-to-Bitcoin Rotation Thesis Darkfost emphasizes that the popular narrative of capital rotating from gold into Bitcoin lacks direct, verifiable evidence. To address this, he constructed a comparative framework to identify periods where such rotations may have occurred. He did this without assuming a causal relationship. The core issue, as he notes, is that on-chain and market data cannot conclusively prove that capital exiting gold is the same capital entering Bitcoin. To approximate potential rotation phases, Darkfost applied a simple but disciplined signal structure. A positive signal appears when Bitcoin is trading above its 180-day moving average while gold is trading below its own 180-day moving average. In theory, this configuration suggests relative strength shifting toward Bitcoin. Conversely, a negative signal is triggered when both Bitcoin and gold trade below their respective 180-day moving averages. Indicating a broad risk-off environment rather than a rotation. This methodology allows historical comparison across cycles, highlighting moments where relative performance diverged. However, the results challenge the simplicity of the narrative. As shown on the chart, these signals do not produce consistent or reliable outcomes. In several instances, supposed rotation periods failed to generate sustained upside for Bitcoin. At other times, Bitcoin rallied independently of gold’s trend. The takeaway is clear: capital rotation between gold and Bitcoin is not an absolute or mechanical process. Market behavior appears far more nuanced. Driven by broader macro conditions, liquidity dynamics, and investor positioning rather than a straightforward asset-to-asset rotation. Related Reading: Ethereum Traders Chase Upside With Historic Leverage – Breakout Fuel Or Fragile Setup? Price Struggles Below Key Moving Averages Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize after a sharp corrective phase, but the chart highlights that price action remains structurally fragile. BTC is currently trading just below the $90,000 level, an area that has flipped from support into near-term resistance following the recent breakdown. While the latest bounce shows short-term buying interest, it has not yet altered the broader bearish structure that formed after the October highs. From a trend perspective, Bitcoin is now trading below the 50-3D moving average (blue), which has started to slope downward, signaling weakening momentum. The failure to reclaim this level suggests that recent upside moves are corrective rather than impulsive. Related Reading: Legendary Bitcoin OG Deepens Ethereum Bet Despite Losses Exceeding $70 Million Below the current price, the 100-3D moving average (green) sits near the $85,000–$86,000 zone and has acted as interim support during the rebound. A sustained loss of this area would likely expose BTC to a deeper retracement toward the 200-3D moving average (red), currently rising near the low $80,000 region. The sell-off was accompanied by elevated volume. While the rebound has occurred on comparatively lighter participation, pointing to a lack of conviction from buyers. Structurally, Bitcoin is consolidating in a lower range. With lower highs and compressed volatility suggesting a pause rather than a trend reversal. For bulls, reclaiming and holding above $90,000 and the declining 50-3D moving average is critical to invalidate the bearish bias. Until then, price action favors range-bound trading with downside risk still present. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Federal Reserve policy and crypto-friendly regulation could be setting the market up for a bullish 2026, but there are still a handful of hurdles investors should be aware of.

#dogecoin #doge #meme coin #doge price #doge news #dogecoin news #dogecoin price #dogeusd #dogeusdt #crypto tony #fibonacci retracement levels #cantonese cat

Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading above a price level that could determine whether its recent decline turns into a base or extends into deeper weakness. A crypto analyst has identified a critical support level at $0.128, which could change Dogecoin’s bullish outlook if it continues to hold above it. According to the analysis, holding above this key level could create the ideal conditions for investors seeking long positions.    Analyst Identifies $0.128 As Critical Support For Dogecoin The Dogecoin price is above a make-or-break zone that could define its next significant price move and signal how investors position themselves in the long term. Market expert Crypto Tony has shared an updated outlook on Dogecoin, focusing on the importance of reclaiming the key support zone around $0.128 before considering long positions.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Open Interest Crashes To April Levels, Here’s What Happened Last Time Notably, Crypto Tony has stated that a long setup could become more favorable and appealing if DOGE’s price can hold steadily above the $0.128 level. The support zone also emerges as Dogecoin’s price action shows early signs of stabilization after a sustained downside pressure. For the past few months, the meme coin has been in a decline, mirroring the broader market downturn and sustained risk-off sentiment.  The analyst’s chart shows Dogecoin recently selling off sharply before finding temporary stability slightly above $0.128 a few days ago. The meme coin’s price is also trading below the highlighted horizontal line on the chart, which aligns closely with the support area. Visual projections on the chart further suggest a period of sideways movement between $0.128 and $0.130, followed by a potential breakout to the upside. Crypto Tony pinpoints a bullish target near $0.135, representing a more than 2.2% surge from Dogecoin’s price of $.0132, as of writing.  Dogecoin Weekly Chart Signals Extended Correction Before Price Explosion Pseudonymous crypto analyst Cantonese Cat has also delivered a weekly analysis of Dogecoin, highlighting a prolonged corrective phase in its market structure. According to him, DOGE has already endured roughly 13 months of bearish price action, which aligns with a potential Wave 2 correction. The analyst stated that this downturn stage would precede an explosive Wave 3, which could see the meme coin’s price jump to new highs. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Squeeze Maps Out Two Possible Scenarios From Here Cantonese Cat revealed in his analysis that his Dogecoin bullish setup may feel unlikely to many traders at the moment. This is especially true given that Dogecoin has been trending downwards for most of the year, failing to break out of its bearish position. Despite this, the analyst notes that the skepticism is precisely why the scenario remains plausible.  The analyst’s chart shows that Dogecoin’s first wave has already completed, followed by a declining Wave 2. Price action is also interacting with multiple Fibonacci retracement levels while respecting a long-term downward trendline. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Luckey-backed Erebor raised $350 million at a $4.35 billion valuation as OCC and FDIC approvals signal momentum for crypto- and AI-focused banking.

The Council of the European Union endorsed the launch of the European Central Bank’s digital euro in both an online and a privacy-focused offline version.

#technology #adoption #web3 #featured

Solana Mobile has ended software update and security patch support for its Saga smartphone. The company warned that compatibility with new software or services “cannot be guaranteed,” and that Saga-specific customer support is now limited to general inquiries, according to Solana Mobile’s help-center notice. Solana Mobile said the change “does not affect Seeker devices,” which […]
The post Solana Mobile ended Saga security patches, exposing owners to a critical wallet risk you can’t ignore appeared first on CryptoSlate.

#news #bitcoin #crypto regulations #crypto news

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has praised El Salvador for its continued economic growth. The IMF has been working closely with President Nayib Bukele in facilitating the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program, which was approved earlier this year for $1.4 billion. IMF Praises El Salvador for its Economic Growth According to the IMF, El Salvador’s …

The transaction highlights growing pressure on crypto treasury companies to prioritize debt reduction as token prices remain volatile.

#ethereum #eth #ethusdt #ethereum news #ethereum analysis #ethereum market #ethereum binance

Ethereum is attempting to reclaim the $3,000 level after showing pockets of bullish strength over the weekend. Buyers briefly managed to push the price higher, but momentum has struggled to build, and ETH remains vulnerable below a key psychological threshold. As volatility compresses, market conviction appears fragile. Many analysts are increasingly calling for lower prices, arguing that recent rebounds lack the follow-through required to shift the broader structure back into a sustained uptrend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Lags Network Utility: A Valuation Reset Is Underway On-chain data helps explain this hesitation. According to a recent CryptoQuant report, Ethereum’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator remains in positive territory, with the latest reading hovering around 0.22. This suggests that the average ETH holder is still sitting on unrealized gains, but those profits are relatively modest. Historically, this zone is associated with a “belief” or cautious optimism phase, rather than euphoria. In other words, the market is neither in panic nor in an overheated state. This positioning places Ethereum at an inflection point. Investors are no longer capitulating, but they are also not aggressively chasing upside. With profits still on the table and sentiment mixed, ETH’s next move will likely depend on whether buyers can regain confidence and absorb lingering sell pressure. Until then, the market remains caught between hope and hesitation. Exchange Outflows Signal Strategic Repositioning According to the Arab Chain report, combining Ethereum’s NUPL data with exchange netflow metrics on Binance provides a clearer picture of current market dynamics. Recent data shows that Ethereum exchange netflows have consistently leaned toward net outflows, with frequent negative readings indicating that more ETH is being withdrawn from Binance than deposited. This behavior is typically associated with reduced immediate selling pressure, particularly when it occurs alongside a stable, positive NUPL reading. What makes this setup notable is the absence of a sharp increase in NUPL despite these outflows. In past cycles, strong withdrawals during periods of rising unrealized profits often coincided with aggressive profit-taking and euphoric sentiment. That pattern is not present today. Instead, the data suggests that holders are choosing to retain exposure rather than exit positions. ETH appears to be moving off exchanges for purposes such as long-term storage, staking, or participation within the broader Ethereum ecosystem, rather than for imminent liquidation. This divergence between sustained exchange outflows and restrained NUPL levels points to a structurally healthier market environment. Profits exist, but they are not excessive, and selling pressure on Binance remains limited. As a result, the probability of abrupt, sell-driven corrections is reduced. The medium-term outlook becomes more dependent on structural and fundamental developments, rather than short-term speculative behavior or emotional market swings. Related Reading: Ethereum Traders Chase Upside With Historic Leverage – Breakout Fuel Or Fragile Setup? Ethereum Consolidates Near a Critical Inflection Zone Ethereum’s weekly chart shows price attempting to stabilize around the $3,000–$3,100 region after a volatile multi-month decline from the 2025 highs near $4,800. This area has emerged as a key technical pivot, aligning closely with the rising 200-week moving average, which historically acts as a long-term trend gauge. ETH is currently trading just above this level, suggesting that bulls are defending structural support, but without strong momentum confirmation. The 50-week and 100-week moving averages are beginning to flatten and converge near current price, reflecting a broader transition from a strong uptrend into a consolidation phase. This compression often precedes a larger directional move. Notably, Ethereum has reclaimed the 100-week average but remains capped below the 50-week average, highlighting the ongoing struggle to re-establish a sustained bullish structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Elevated Downside Risk: Loss Selling Takes Hold As STH SOPR Falls Below 1 Volume has moderated compared to the distribution phase seen during the sell-off, indicating reduced forced selling rather than aggressive accumulation. This supports the view that the market is digesting prior gains rather than entering a new impulsive trend. From a structural perspective, holding above the $2,900–$3,000 zone keeps the long-term uptrend intact. However, failure to reclaim the $3,300–$3,500 resistance range would leave ETH vulnerable to extended consolidation. For now, price action suggests balance, not resolution. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Two bills and one resolution proposed by state lawmaker Wendy Rogers could allow Arizona voters to change the state's taxation laws applied to digital assets and blockchain.

#markets #equities #strategy #companies #equity movers #public equities #analyst reports

TD Cowen said the added cash strengthens Strategy’s ability to operate through a “prolonged crypto winter” by improving liquidity.

#dogecoin #doge #doge price #doge news #dogecoin news #dogecoin price

Dogecoin is doing that thing again, not pumping, not capitulating, just sitting there on the weekly like it’s waiting for a cue. And if you’re the type who still believes memes have market structure like in 2017 and 2021, one chart making the rounds on X says this is exactly what the pre-run “calm” has looked like before. Crypto analyst Cryptollica (@Cryptollica) posted a weekly DOGE chart marking four major structural points across the coin’s history, arguing the current stretch maps onto prior accumulation phases. “We are looking at a textbook fractal setup,” Cryptollica wrote. “The chart highlights four distinct structural points (1, 2, 3, 4). We are currently at Point 4, and the structure is rhyming perfectly with the pre-bull run accumulation phases of the past.” Will History Repeat For Dogecoin? The pitch is basically: zoom out, stop staring at intraday noise, and look at the cycle cadence. In his framing, Zones 1 and 2 were the “boredom phases,” the stretches where volatility dried up, price rounded out a base, and the market slowly rotated from weak hands to more patient holders. Zone 2, he says, was the launchpad that ultimately led into the 2021 face-melter. Related Reading: Dogecoin Holds The Floor, But Momentum Says Otherwise — A Critical Standoff Unfolds “Zones 1 & 2: These were the ‘boredom phases’ where volatility died, and smart money accumulated,” he wrote. “Zone 2 specifically was the launchpad for the massive 2021 parabolic run. Zone 4 (Current Price Action): We are seeing the exact same rounding bottom formation.” That “rounding bottom” bit matters, because it’s not the dramatic reversal traders love to screenshot. It’s the opposite. It’s price stabilizing, forming a heavy base, refusing to break down — and doing it slowly enough that most people stop paying attention. Which, again, is kind of the point. Then there’s the RSI argument, and it’s the cleaner one. Cryptollica highlighted a weekly RSI floor around the low-30s area, suggesting DOGE has repeatedly found major cycle bottoms when momentum reset to that band. “Look at the RSI indicator at the bottom. The red line (~32 level) acts as a historical floor,” he wrote. “Every single time the weekly RSI touched or hovered near this baseline (Points 1, 2, and 3), it marked a macro bottom. Now: The RSI has reset back to this critical support level.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Breakdown Ahead? Analyst Flags 2022-Style Signal That’s the “sellers are exhausted” claim — not because a candle says so today, but because the longer-term momentum gauge has already done the full trip down to where DOGE previously stopped bleeding out and started building again. And he’s not being subtle about what comes next, at least in the cleanest version of the fractal. “This isn’t just random noise; it’s a cyclical reset,” Cryptollica wrote. “The chart suggests we are in the ‘Golden Pocket’ for accumulation. If the fractal plays out like it did in 2020 (Zone 2), the current price action is simply the calm before the storm.” To be clear, fractals aren’t guarantees. DOGE isn’t trading in a vacuum, and the macro/liquidity backdrop can absolutely mess with tidy historical comparisons. But if history repeats for DOGE, the best days could be ahead. At press time, Dogecoin traded at $0.13294. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The company sold about 4.5 million common shares last week, lifting its cash reserves to $2.19 billion while pausing Bitcoin purchases.

#markets #news #options #market wrap #bitcoin news

Crypto continues to lose ground ahead of this week's record options expiration, while defensive positioning and thinning liquidity suggest caution into 2026.

#ecosystem

Hyperliquid lists LIT, the native token of rival DEX Lighter, for pre-market trading as competition among perpetuals exchanges heats up.
The post Hyperliquid lists rival Lighter’s LIT token for pre-market trading appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#gaming

New research suggests complex cognitive challenges, from StarCraft II to musical training, can slow neural aging by years.

#ecosystem

Kalshi launches a new prediction market research division, offering data access and revealing 40% higher forecast accuracy over Wall Street.
The post Kalshi launches research arm as debut study shows 40% outperformance over Wall Street appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#bitcoin #trading #analysis #market #tradfi #bitwise #featured #macro

Bitcoin’s 2025 was billed as the year of the “supercycle,” powered by record institutional access and a friendlier policy backdrop out of Washington. However, it is ending very differently. Into December, the world’s largest digital asset is not pricing in a new paradigm so much as grinding through a performance problem. The rally has faded, […]
The post Bitcoin on-chain data just confirmed a “demand vacuum” that threatens to drag prices down to this uncomfortable range appeared first on CryptoSlate.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news

Bitcoin’s price action in recent days has been characterized by tight consolidation and fading momentum. After recovering from a dip toward the $85,000 area last week, Bitcoin has spent most of the time trading between roughly $87,500 and $89,000, struggling to build a sustained move in either direction. This ongoing indecision has led to technical commentary from a crypto analyst known as DrBullZeus, who noted that Bitcoin is currently trapped inside a clearly defined range and may need a decisive breakout before the next directional move becomes clear. Bitcoin Continues To Respect A Well-Defined Range According to the analysis, Bitcoin is still trading inside a clearly established range, repeatedly bouncing between the same support and resistance zones. These zones are highlighted in the 1-hour candlestick timeframe chart below, which shows the Bitcoin price oscillating between a lower support area around the mid-$87,000 region and an upper resistance band just below $90,000.  Related Reading: Crypto Founder Reveals What Will Drive Bitcoin Price To $200,000 In 2026 Multiple daily candlesticks have tested both zones without producing sustained follow-through, and this strengthens the idea that neither bulls nor bears currently have full control. Short-term breakouts have quickly stalled, and pullbacks have failed to develop into deeper corrections. This type of price behavior suggests equilibrium, where buyers step in near support, and sellers defend resistance to keep the price volatility contained.  Important Levels That Could Define The Next Major Move According to the technical analysis, Bitcoin’s next direction depends on how the price reacts around two clearly defined levels. The resistance zone just below $90,000 is the main hurdle on the upside. Related Reading: Don’t Expect A Fast Bitcoin Move – Here’s How Long The Last Leg Could Take A clean break and sustained hold above this area would mean that buyers are finally gaining control and allow for a push to the $92,000 level highlighted on the chart. Recent attempts to move higher have stalled at this zone, which is why a decisive breakout would likely attract fresh momentum and shift short-term sentiment from range trading to bullish. On the downside, support in the $87,000 range is still acting as a buffer against deeper losses. As long as this level holds, the range structure between support and resistance will stay intact. However, a clear loss of this support would change the short-term sentiment from range trading to bearish very quickly. This, in turn, will expose Bitcoin to a move back toward the $85,000 area, where price previously found strong demand in early December. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $89,690, up by 1.1% in the past 24 hours. The latest price action has been shaped by a rebound from an intraday low near $87,655, a level that closely aligns with the support zone highlighted in the technical analysis and reinforces its importance in the current market structure. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#markets

Crypto users were the recipients of billions in "free money" token airdrops during 2025. Here's a look at the biggest.

#ai

QVAC launches Genesis II, expanding the worlds largest synthetic AI dataset to 148B tokens and 19 domains for better reasoning in AI.
The post Tether-backed QVAC unveils Genesis II, boosting world’s largest synthetic AI education dataset appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#bitcoin

Bitcoins $85K level shows strong support, with 976K BTC bought there, making it a key demand zone according to on-chain cost-basis data.
The post Bitcoin cost-basis heatmap shows $85K as strong support zone appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#venture capital #deals #series c and beyond

The bank aims to service technology companies working with virtual currencies, artificial intelligence, defense, and manufacturing.

Following Michael Selig's confirmation, White House official David Sacks said the SEC and CFTC were set to offer "clear regulatory guidelines" for digital assets.

#bitcoin #crypto #michael saylor #btc #btcusd #strategy #orange dots #green dots

Michael Saylor’s brief post on X that showed “green dots” ahead of orange dots has stirred fresh talk in markets. According to traders who track his public messages, the pattern is being read as a possible hint that more Bitcoin buying could be on the way. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s $126K Sprint May Be Over — Fidelity Predicts 2026 Slide Bitcoin is trading just below a heavy resistance band around $90,000, a level where selling pressure has built up and where traders and market desks are closely watching for either a breakout or another rejection. Market Reaction And Signals Prices moved on the rumor alone. Short-term traders bought into the idea that a large buyer may be shifting action back toward accumulation. Based on reports, some market participants compared the signal to earlier Saylor posts that preceded corporate purchases. Green Dots ₿eget Orange Dots. pic.twitter.com/aLdvPe4YuG — Michael Saylor (@saylor) December 21, 2025 No official company filing or treasury update has been released to confirm any new acquisition. The message was posted without any accompanying press release, and that lack of confirmation kept some desks cautious. Institutional Demand And On-Chain Clues Reports have disclosed that institutional flows still matter to Bitcoin’s price path. Large spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasuries are part of the backdrop that traders cite when interpreting a high-profile hint from a corporate figure. On-chain metrics, where available, are being scanned for coin movements into custody accounts. One key piece of evidence that would change market conviction is a clear transfer into an exchange or ETF custody wallet, followed by a public disclosure; absent that, the green-dot post remains a market signal more than a proof point. What Traders Are Watching Liquidity sits near $90,000. Many orders cluster around that level, and that makes it a psychological and technical barrier. If a big buyer steps in under the wall, sellers may be cleared and price could push higher. If selling stays firm, BTC could stall and move sideways for several sessions. Traders are also watching order books, funding rates, and ETF balances for shifts. Volume spikes paired with visible custody inflows would be a stronger signal than a social post alone. Related Reading: Banks Could Favor A Higher XRP Price, Finance Expert Says History And Context Michael Saylor is a visible buyer historically, and his public comments have affected sentiment before. Reports linking his posts to later buys have circulated in market media, and traders use that history to give the current message weight. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

#news #crypto news

Newly confirmed Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Michael Selig said on Monday that Congress is close to passing long-awaited legislation to set rules for U.S. cryptocurrency markets, a move that could soon reach President Donald Trump’s desk. Speaking after his confirmation as the CFTC’s 16th chairman, Selig said lawmakers were “poised” to advance a digital …

#defi

Aster DEX buyback program enters Stage 5 on Dec 23, directing up to 80% of daily fees to $ASTER, enhancing token value and reserves.
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#markets #news #market wrap #gold #bitcoin news

Bitcoin for the moment was unable to hold the $90,000 level reached prior to the U.S. market open.

#markets #bnb #technical analysis #ai market insights

An FT report alleged Binance failed to stop suspicious transactions, despite agreeing to pay $4.3 billion to settle a U.S. criminal case in 2023.

#ethereum

ETHZilla sold 24,291 ETH for about $74.5M to fund redemption of senior secured notes, leaving roughly 69,800 ETH on the balance sheet.
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