Bitcoin price analysis saw conditions slowly "building" to support a breakout as BTC emerged as the strongest macro performer since the Iran conflict began.
Stronger dollar, rising Treasury yields, and tech equities treading water contrast with bitcoin’s resilience amid geopolitical tensions.
Sweden is investigating a reported leak tied to CGI Sverige after hackers claimed they exposed source code from the country’s e-government platform.
U.S Treasury sanctioned DPRK IT facilitators linked to crypto laundering networks that generated nearly $800 million for Pyongyang in 2024.
BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has expanded its digital assets offering and debuted its staked Ethereum (ETH) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) on Nasdaq. Amid the news, the King of Altcoins is attempting to break out of its local range to challenge its bearish outlook. Related Reading: BNB Chain Dominates 40% Of Global Stablecoin Transactions With Small-Value Transfers BlackRock Debuts Staked Ethereum ETF On Thursday, BlackRock introduced the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHB) on Nasdaq to “provide investors with exposure to spot ether while potentially generating income by staking a portion of its ether holdings.” The ETH-based fund expands the asset management giant’s digital asset suite, which includes the largest Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) of their kind, the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) and the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHA). As reported by NewsBTC, BlackRock submitted an S-1 form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for its ETHB fund in December. The registration statement revealed that the fund sought to stake 70% to 90% of its Ethereum holdings and distribute staking rewards to stakeholders at least quarterly. The fund is set to share 82% of staking rewards with investors, while the remaining 18% will be split among the trust, custodians, and its staking service providers. BlackRock chose Coinbase Custody Trust as the custodian for the Trust’s ETH holdings, while Anchorage Digital Bank will serve as an available alternative custodian for the Trust’s ether holdings. Meanwhile, the Bank of New York Mellon is the Trust’s cash holdings custodian and administrator, according to the fund’s prospectus. In the official statement, Jessica Tan, Head of Americas for Global Product Solutions at BlackRock, affirmed that “Investors are increasingly allocating to digital assets as part of their strategic portfolio construction, and ETHB provides access to income and exposure to the asset in a convenient, transparent way.” “We continue to innovate to meet client demand and expand access, while providing the transparency and risk management clients expect from BlackRock,” she continued. ETH Price Holds Amid Breakdown Fears Following the news, ETH’s price broke above the $2,090 level to reach a one-week high of $2,095 before retracing. Analyst Ted Pillows noted that despite market volatility, the cryptocurrency has held the $2,000 psychological barrier throughout the past three days. “The macro uncertainty is still there, but Ethereum’s overall strength is good,” he said, adding that the King of Altcoins needs to reclaim the crucial $2,150 area for a rally. He forecasted that Ethereum could see a “10%-15% quick rally” once this level is reclaimed. Meanwhile, Rekt Capital underscored a critical level on ETH’s weekly and monthly charts. As previously reported, ETH is currently testing its multi-year uptrend, a structural support that has held since mid-2022. Last month, Ethereum marginally closed below its multi-year support, opening the possibility for this level to become resistance on March’s monthly close. On the weekly timeframe, ETH has recorded four consecutive closes below the trendline, suggesting the market is likely beginning to treat this key level as resistance instead of support. “Structurally, this behaviour resembles the early stage of a breakdown process, where price initially loses support, rallies back into it and begins treating the level as resistance,” the analyst explained, but emphasized that the breakdown is not confirmed yet. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Rockets as Oil Touches $100: Arthur Hayes Reveals Why Therefore, Ethereum could invalidate the bearish scenario if the price closes the week above the multi-year uptrend and successfully tests it as support. “A successful reclaim could then open the door toward the green resistance region above, which has historically acted as a major pivot in Ethereum’s broader trend,” he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
MetaComp’s Pre-A+ funding round, backed by Alibaba and Spark Venture, brings the total capital raised to $35 million, with aims to expand its StableX Network globally.
US and China's yield crossover amid whale buying suggest Bitcoin may be close to a price bottom, setting up for a move toward six figures in the coming months.
The Singapore-based company provides services that bridge traditional fiat payment rails and stablecoin settlement infrastructure.
Vitalik Buterin said he is no longer closely aligned with the Future of Life Institute after its strategy shifted following his 2021 SHIB donation.
Following the AI breakthrough, the Bittensor (TAO) price has recorded strong market momentum. The token has climbed around 30% this month, with trading activity also rising significantly. Social engagement metrics tracking the project’s online discussions have also increased sharply, reflecting renewed interest in AI-focused crypto assets. Despite the recent rally, TAO still trades well below …
Alibaba, China’s biggest e-commerce company, has spearheaded a $35 million funding round for Singapore-based MetaComp, a platform blending stablecoin and fiat payment solutions with tokenized wealth management services. MetaComp focuses on hybrid offerings that integrate digital assets with traditional finance and holds key Singapore crypto licenses, including Capital Markets Services (CMS) and Recognized Market Operator …
HKMA Chief Executive Eddie Yue said last month that the regulator had received 36 applications under the new framework.
On-chain analytics firm Santiment has highlighted how the average Bitcoin returns of the buyers from the past year are looking similar to late 2022. 365-Day Bitcoin MVRV Ratio Has Plunged Recently In a new post on X, Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio. This on-chain indicator measures the ratio between the market cap of the asset and its Realized Cap. The Realized Cap here refers to a capitalization model that calculates the total value of the cryptocurrency by assuming that the ‘real’ value of each token in circulation is equal to the price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain. In short, this metric represents the sum of the capital stored in the asset by all investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Score Surges To 30, Exits ‘Extra Bearish’ Zone Since the market cap is the amount held by investors in the present, its comparison with the Realized Cap in the MVRV Ratio tells us about the profit-loss status of the overall network. When the value of the metric is greater than 1, it means the investors are in a state of net unrealized loss. On the other hand, it being under the mark suggests the dominance of losses. In the context of the current topic, the MVRV Ratio of the entire market isn’t of interest, but rather that of two specific investor cohorts: 30-day and 365-day buyers. The MVRV Ratios of these groups naturally tell us about the average returns for coins purchased over the past month and past year, respectively. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the 30-day and 365-day MVRV Ratios for Bitcoin over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the 30-day Bitcoin MVRV Ratio is currently sitting at the +2.8% mark, suggesting short-term buyers are in a state of slight profit. This could raise the chances of a profit-taking selloff occurring, but perhaps not by much as these returns aren’t significant enough to fall inside what the analytics firm defines as the “Danger Zone.” The picture is a bit different when it comes to the profitability of the 1-year investors. From the chart, it’s visible that the MVRV Ratio has plunged to the -26.6% mark for this group, which is well past the boundary for the “Opportunity Zone.” Interestingly, the last time that the indicator fell to such a low level was at the end of the 2022 Bitcoin bear market. “When the 365-day MVRV was severely negative following the FTX collapse, $BTC proceeded to rise +67% in the following 3 months,” noted Santiment. Related Reading: XRP Bollinger Bands Are Squeezing—Volatility Incoming? That said, while the current value is similar to back then, the structure itself more resembles that of mid-2022, since the metric has only recently plummeted to these levels, while in late 2022, it was on the way back up. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $70,500, down nearly 1% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Despite trading more than 40% below its all-time high, with $70,000 serving as a short-term support level, Bitcoin (BTC) may be poised for a repeat pattern that could lead to a 54% increase following this year’s US midterm elections. New research from cryptocurrency exchange Binance suggests that, historically, the aftermath of midterm elections has been positive for both the Bitcoin price and the S&P 500. Will Bitcoin Follow Historical Patterns? The research shows that since 1939, the S&P 500 has reported no negative returns in the 12 months following midterm elections, averaging gains of 19%. In the same periods, Bitcoin has experienced an average rally of 54% across all three previously recorded midterm years. Binance’s analysis further reveals that midterm election years often lead to political volatility, resulting in average peak-to-trough drawdowns of about 16% for the S&P 500—marking them as the weakest years in the four-year presidential cycle. Related Reading: Ripple Launches $750 Million Share Buyback, Boosting Valuation To $50 Billion Tracking Bitcoin from 2014 onward, the research indicates that the market’s leading cryptocurrency has mirrored these market dynamics, with an average decline of 56% during midterm years. The research emphasizes what they call “The Post-Election Opportunity,” as once election results are settled and uncertainties are cleared, markets historically tend to rally significantly. The exchange asserts that the year following midterm elections has been shown to be particularly strong for market returns, thus setting the stage for potential Bitcoin gains as well. If Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory, it could make a strong case for a rebound. However, potentially not toward new record highs. The cryptocurrency has fallen by an average of 70% from its previous all-time highs during previous bear market cycles. With Bitcoin’s bull market peak at $126,000, a potential decline to $37,800 could precede a 54% surge pointed by Binance, potentially returning its price to nearly $58,000. However, some analysts are pointing out that the market bottom may already have been reached. Is The End Of The Bear Market Near? NewsBTC reported Wednesday that CryptoQuant analysts suggest that Bitcoin might be in the final stages of its bear market, especially after it dropped to $59,900 on February 6. Related Reading: White House Crypto Advisor Denounces Attempts To Sabotage CLARITY Act’s Goals Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating between $65,000 and $70,000, eyeing the key resistance level at $73,000. This phase may indicate a final accumulation stage of the bear cycle, which is often succeeded by substantial recoveries, albeit not in a straight path. With this pattern in mind, if Bitcoin maintains its current trading levels, the post-midterm elections in the US could propel the cryptocurrency back toward $107,000 for the first time since November 2025. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Singapore-based fintech company MetaComp has secured $35 million in new funding in just three months. The investment round was led by Alibaba, along with support from Spark Venture and several institutional investors. The funding raise reflects growing interest in Web2.5 financial infrastructure, a model that combines traditional finance with digital assets. MetaComp Targets Hybrid Stablecoin …
Bitcoin has once again acted as a leading indicator for risk assets, plunging sharply before the ongoing global stock market swoon.
Flagship cryptocurrency Bitcoin today climbed close to $72,000, extending its recent rally as investors reacted to regulatory developments in the United States and easing concerns about rising oil prices. Ethereum, XRP, and Solana all joined the rally, jumping over 3 to 5%. Overall, the crypto market cap increased about 3% to roughly $2.43 trillion. While …
Bloomberg Analyst James Seyffart noted that ETHB had a 'very solid' first day, where it launched with over $100 million in assets.
Ethereum and TAO price rally is drawing fresh attention across the crypto market as both assets post strong gains in the latest trading session. Ethereum is gradually pushing higher toward a key resistance zone near $2300 and Bittensor’s TAO token has already confirmed a breakout, surging more than 14% and outperforming most major altcoins. The …
Binance’s futures-to-spot ratio has jumped to a 1.5-year high, its highest level since mid-2023. But why? What The Binance Data Says About The Market New data from CryptoQuant analyst Maartuun shows that Binance’s derivative volume is dwarfing spot trading, as the futures/spot ratio has risen to around 5.1. This means that for every $1 traded on spot, about $5 are traded on futures. Most “price discovery” and liquidity is happening in the derivatives order books, not in simple buy‑and‑hold spot markets. Binance-Futures/Spot Volume Ratio. Source: CryptoQuant When the ratio is high, it usually signals that short‑term, leveraged speculation and hedging dominate over straightforward accumulation. Price tends to react more violently to liquidations, funding swings and positioning than to organic spot demand. A rising Binance futures/spot ratio tells us that the market is being run by traders who want speed, leverage and hedging, not by quiet spot accumulators, so volatility and event‑risk matter more than usual right now. Related Reading: Binance Strikes Back: Why It Is Taking The Wall Street Journal To Court Historically, spikes to 1.5‑year highs have coincided with periods where Bitcoin was at or near important macro levels and the market was “trading the narrative” via derivatives, either amplifying rallies or turning corrections into sharp squeezes. As stated on the article posted on May 22 last year, “this pattern often reflects short-term sentiment and positioning rather than long-term conviction”. Therefore, we shouldn’t necessarily read this as pure “euphoria”: it can just as well be hedging and defensive positioning as it is outright speculation. Derivative Market Leader: Exchange Perpetual Futures Trading Volume. Source: CryptoQuant What The Data Says About The World The latest leg of Middle East conflict (U.S.‑Israel vs Iran, risk around Hormuz and oil flows) has injected a clear “geopolitical risk premium” into global markets. Bitcoin and crypto have been hit in these shocks with fast, deep wicks. BTC dropped to around 63k on the February strike headlines before snapping back above 70k, showing markets, following human’s fears and own volatility, react violently but then re‑normalize once the worst headlines pass and the sentiments calm down. Spot Market Leader: Exchange Spot Trading Volume. Source: CryptoQuant Binance research notes that, right now, markets are stuck between multiple unresolved themes. AI‑driven margin pressure, fragile private credit, and now high geopolitical risk, all while inflation and U.S. macro data keep the Fed “higher for longer” narrative alive. That mix (energy risk, sticky inflation, potential for tighter financial conditions) makes long‑horizon risk‑on trades less attractive, so investors lean into instruments they can size up or down quickly, like Binance futures, rather than parking capital in spot. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Holds Near $70K As Markets Brace For Key Event In a calmer, low‑vol world, spot demand tends to dominate. However, in a world of wars, oil scares and uncertain central banks, derivatives on Binance take over as traders seek speed, leverage and hedging. BTC’s price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview Cover image from Perplexity, BTCUSDT chart from Tradingview
Pi Network is making headlines as its price approaches the $0.30 level, ahead of its much-awaited listing on Kraken and growing anticipation for Pi Day on March 14. While excitement in the community continues to build, one crypto analyst has pushed back against one of the most widely circulated price predictions tied to the project. …
The new ETHB fund launched with over $100 million in assets and traded more than $15 million on day one, offering investors exposure to ethereum plus staking rewards.
Chairman Selig has issued a staff advisory amid a formal rulemaking process, as states and Congress close in.
Mobile money is everywhere in Ghana. And now, crypto wants in on that infrastructure too. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crosses 20 Million Coins Mined — And Only 1 In 20 Remains Foreign Players Circle As Local Framework Takes Shape Blockchain.com, one of the older names in the industry, announced this week it had moved into the Ghanaian market with a sharp focus on tying crypto payments to the country’s mobile money ecosystem. The move came just days after Ghana’s Securities and Exchange Commission published a list of 11 virtual asset companies cleared to operate inside a new regulatory sandbox — the country’s first structured attempt to bring order to a fast-growing crypto market. The 11 companies admitted to the program are Africoin, Blu Penguin, Goldbod, Hanypay, Hyro Exchange, HSB Global, KoinKoin, Whitebits, Vaulta, XChain, and Bsystem. They will operate under the Virtual Asset Service Providers Act, a law Ghana passed in December that gave the SEC authority over digital asset activity in the country. Ghana’s SEC just gave crypto builders the green light ???????? The regulatory sandbox under Act 1154 is MASSIVE. 12 months to build, test and get licensed. No more operating in the shadows. For the youth this isn’t just policy. It’s the financial system that finally sees you.… https://t.co/gOftGciEo1 — Kwabena Kesse, CPA, CRISC (@LKKesse) March 11, 2026 A Controlled Environment With A Clock Running The sandbox runs for 12 months. But companies that get their products ready for the market and meet every regulatory requirement could walk away with a full license in as little as six months, according to the SEC. That is a tight window. Participants must also comply with anti-money laundering rules and counter-terrorism financing standards — requirements the SEC made clear are not optional. Consumer protection is built into the program’s design, and officials said the lessons gathered during the pilot will directly shape how Ghana regulates crypto going forward. The VASP law requires anyone operating in the digital asset space to obtain a license or register with either the Bank of Ghana or the SEC. No registration, no operation. Ghana Joins A Region Already Deep Into Crypto Ghana is not coming late to this. The country already ranks among the top five crypto markets in Sub-Saharan Africa, alongside Nigeria, South Africa, Ethiopia, and Kenya. The entire region saw crypto inflows climb over 50% year-on-year, reaching more than $200 billion between July 2024 and June 2025, data from blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis shows. Nigeria led that surge with over $90 billion received in that period. Related Reading: Cardano’s DeFi Boom: TVL Spikes 23% In Less Than 2 Weeks Most transactions across the region fall under $1,000 — a pattern that reflects everyday use rather than large institutional moves. Stablecoins have become a primary tool for cross-border payments and a hedge against local currency swings. Ghana’s sandbox launch signals that the government is no longer watching from the sidelines. With foreign companies arriving and local platforms now operating under official oversight, the country is building a framework it clearly intends to keep. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Miners who treat their Bitcoin holdings as a working asset rather than a passive reserve “will carry a structural edge into the next halving,” says Wintermute.
The Bitcoin Policy Institute wants to ensure “US regulators get Bitcoin’s treatment right” when the Federal Reserve issues proposals to implement the Basel framework.
Solana started a fresh increase above the $88 zone. SOL price is now consolidating near $90 and might aim for more gains above the $92 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $85 and $88 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $88 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance at $87 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $92 resistance zone. Solana Price Regains Traction Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $85 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $88 level to enter a short-term positive zone. There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance at $87 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The price even smashed the $90 resistance. A high was formed at $91.12, and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $85.09 swing low to the $91.12 high. Solana is now trading above $88 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near $91.20. The next major resistance is near the $92 level. The main resistance could be $95. A successful close above the $95 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $100. Any more gains might send the price toward the $102 level. Downside Correction In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $91.20 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $88 zone. The first major support is near the $87.40 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $85.09 swing low to the $91.12 high. A break below the $87.40 level might send the price toward the $85 support zone. If there is a close below the $85 support, the price could decline toward the $78 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $88.00 and $87.40 Major Resistance Levels – $91.20 and $95.00.
The fresh capital from Kraken’s parent company, ARK Invest, and Bitmine has backed Eightco’s new bets on OpenAI and MrBeast.
Weiss Crypto is making a two-sided case on Hyperliquid’s HYPE token: bullish on the protocol’s fee-driven tokenomics, but clear that investors should not mistake momentum for the absence of risk. In a series of posts over the past days, the research outlet argued that HYPE’s buyback-and-burn structure remains a core strength even as token unlocks, competition and regulation stay firmly on the table. Hyperliquid Faces 3 Key Risks And The Bullish Case The cautionary note was direct. “But there are some HYPE risks investors should take into consideration,” Weiss Crypto wrote on Wednesday, before naming three areas to watch. The first is supply expansion from contributor unlocks. “April will see the release of 9.92 million HYPE tokens, relatively modest compared with the platform’s trading activity.” Even framed as modest, the point was clear: fresh supply still matters, especially for a token whose bullish narrative depends heavily on shrinking circulation. Weiss also pointed to market structure risk. “Right now, Hyperliquid has the clear first-mover advantage. But that doesn’t mean a powerful disruptor can’t emerge.” That gets at a familiar tension in crypto trading infrastructure. Early dominance can look durable, particularly when liquidity, activity and attention reinforce each other, but it can also invite direct attacks from better-capitalized or more aggressive rivals. Related Reading: Arthur Hayes Predicts Hyperliquid’s HYPE Is Headed To $150 By August 2026 The third risk is regulatory. “US residents will likely stay geoblocked on the official front-end — and sector growth subdued — until regulation clears.” In other words, Weiss sees the addressable market as constrained for now, not because the product lacks traction, but because access and broader sector expansion remain tied to unresolved policy conditions. That warning landed alongside a much more constructive argument about HYPE itself. In a separate post built around an infographic, Weiss called the token design “Tokenomics done right.” The graphic described what it labeled “The powerful feedback loop,” a flywheel in which rising platform activity leads to more trading, more protocol fees, more token buybacks, and less circulating supply. The centerpiece of that thesis is fee deployment. According to the infographic, “97% of trading fees used to buy HYPE tokens.” From Weiss’s framing, that mechanism is what turns platform usage into direct token support. As activity grows, “buyback accelerates,” “circulating supply declines,” and the token’s “appreciation potential” increases alongside the possibility of drawing in still more activity.Weiss also highlighted the scale of the mechanism with a headline figure: “During 2025 alone, the protocol burned roughly $1 billion worth of HYPE tokens.” That number sits at the center of the bullish case. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Looks Like Solana At $20 Last Cycle, Daniel Cheung Says Another Weiss post tried to show that demand in action during a market stress event. “On Sunday, as tensions escalated in the Middle East, Hyperliquid hit a major milestone. It processed $1B+ in oil-related trading volume. Why? Because traditional oil markets were closed for the weekend. Decentralized markets never sleep.” Weiss paired that post with Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan’s earlier observation that when President Donald Trump announced an attack on Iran at 2:30 am Sunday, US, European and Asian markets were closed, while “HYPE was open.” Taken together, the message from Weiss is not complicated, but it is nuanced. The outlet sees Hyperliquid as a live example of crypto infrastructure capturing flows when legacy markets are unavailable, and it views HYPE’s fee-and-burn design as unusually strong. At the same time, it is signaling that even a token backed by an active buyback loop is still exposed to unlock calendars, rival platforms and the slower-moving reality of US regulation. At press time, HYPE traded at $37.87. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bybit previously declined to list the mobile crypto mining platform, with CEO Ben Zhou citing warnings from Chinese police that the project is a scam.