Crypto analyst Bobby A has published a four-panel roadmap that ties together Bitcoin dominance, US small-caps, XRP’s monthly price structure, and XRP’s total market capitalization. The overlapping signals, he argues, identify a well-defined take-profit band for XRP between roughly $8.43 and $13.58. “Four charts to rule them all,” he wrote, adding that the market is “clearly positioning itself for higher prices.” Four Charts Signal XRP $8.43–$13.58 Peak On the XRP/USD monthly chart, Bobby plots a multi-month consolidation which is built above “Base Camp 1” and, more recently, above “Base Camp 2.” The structure sits on top of a series of higher lows marked on the chart, with the consolidation developing after price reclaimed long-term moving-average clusters and the upper Bollinger band expanded. The Fibonacci extension grid anchored to the prior cycle shows 1.618 at approximately $5.26, 2.618 at about $8.43, 3.618 near $11.66, and 4.236 at roughly $13.58. Bobby labels the $8.43–$13.58 span as the “Take Profit Zone,” aligning it with the 2.618–4.236 extensions that capped previous euphoric runs on the same timeframe. Beneath the candles, the monthly momentum suite is turning higher: the RSI sits in a positive regime “preparing to initiate one final move toward overbought territory,” while stochastic and MACD lines have curled up from mid-range, consistent with trend continuation rather than exhaustion. Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Incoming As Axelar And Flare Target 8 Billion Tokens That price-based roadmap is cross-checked against XRP’s total market capitalization on the weekly timeframe. Here, Bobby highlights “price acceptance above the 2018 peak surrounded by skepticism and uncertainty” and annotates “over 300 days consolidating above 2018 highs.” The Fibonacci projection on market cap places the 1.618 extension near ~$210.7 billion, with a boxed “Take Profit Zone” parked just below the ultimate extension band and an overhead dashed guide around ~$13.00 that visually rhymes with the 4.236 price extension on the USD chart. The message of this pane is less about day-to-day candles and more about location: a lengthy basing and re-accumulation phase above a historic ceiling, which converts that ceiling into support and sets up measured-move targets. Macro risk appetite is addressed in the third panel via the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) on the monthly chart. “IWM 1M is firing on all cylinders, and new ATHs are inbound regardless of any short-term noise,” Bobby writes. The chart shows a strong bullish candle reclaiming the 0.786–0.886 retracement area and pressing back into the prior range top around $244–$252. Upside Fibonacci targets are mapped at 1.272 ~$267.1, 1.414 ~$278.9, and 1.618 ~$296.8. The RSI, stochastic oscillator, and MACD on this timeframe are all pointed higher, with Bobby calling the breakout candle “very telling,” the kind of multi-indicator alignment he says “occurs only a few times per decade.” The implication is that a risk-on tone in US small-caps historically pairs well with liquidity rotating into higher-beta crypto segments. Related Reading: Analyst Highlights 2 Scenarios That Sends XRP Price To $9.6 And $33 The final piece is Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) on the weekly chart. Bobby’s retracement panel measures the advance from ~38.9% to ~66.1% share and now shows BTC.D slipping beneath the 23.6% line (~59.7%) and hovering near the 38.2% (~55.5%). Notably, the BTC.D slipped below an ascending channel. Based on that, he draws a downward arrow toward the 50% level (~52.3%) and then into the 61.8% retracement (~49.1%), with a target rectangle in the mid-to-low-40s bracketed by the 78.6% (~45.9%) and 88.6% (~43.2%) levels. “BTC.D will inevitably initiate a move toward the mid to low 40% zone,” he writes. A decline in dominance of that magnitude typically coincides with capital rotating from Bitcoin into large-cap altcoins—precisely the regime in which XRP has historically captured outsized relative performance. At press time, XRP traded at $2.84. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
An XRP/BTC long-term chart shared by pseudonymous market technician Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) points to a delayed—but potentially explosive—upswing for XRP versus Bitcoin, with the analyst arguing that “the next monster leg up” cannot begin before early 2026 if key Ichimoku conditions are to be satisfied on the highest time frames. Posting a two-month (2M) XRP/BTC chart with Ichimoku overlays and date markers for September/October, November/December and January/February, Dr Cat framed the setup around the position of the Chikou Span (CS) relative to price candles and the Tenkan-sen. “Based on the 2M chart I expect the next monster leg up to start no earlier than 2026,” he wrote. “Because the logical time for CS to get free above the candles is Jan/Feb 2026 on an open basis and March 2026 on a close basis, respectively.” XRP/BTC Breakout Window Opens Only In 2026 In Ichimoku methodology, the CS—price shifted back 26 periods—clearing above historical candles and the Tenkan-sen (conversion line) is used to confirm the transition from equilibrium to trending conditions. That threshold, in Dr Cat’s view, hinges on XRP/BTC defending roughly 2,442 sats (0.00002442 BTC). “As you see, the price needs to hold 2442 so that CS is both above the candles and Tenkan Sen,” he said. Related Reading: Facts Vs. Hype: Analyst Examines XRP Supply Shock Theory Should that condition be met, the analyst sees the market “logically” targeting the next major resistance band first around ~7,000 sats, with an extended 2026 objective in a 7,000–12,000 sats corridor on the highest time frames. “If that happens, solely looking at the 2M timeframe the logical thing is to attack the next resistance at ~7K,” he wrote, before adding: “Otherwise on highest timeframes everything still looks excellent and points to 7K–12K in 2026, until further notice.” The roadmap is not without nearer-term risks. Dr Cat flagged a developing signal on the weekly Ichimoku cloud: “One more thing to keep an eye on till then: the weekly chart. Which, if doesn’t renew the yearly high by November/December will get a bearish kumo twist. Which still may not be the end of the world but still deserves attention. So one more evaluation is needed at late 2025 I guess.” A bearish kumo twist—when Senkou Span A crosses below Senkou Span B—can foreshadow a medium-term loss of momentum or a period of consolidation before trend resumption. The discussion quickly turned to the real-world impact of the satoshi-denominated targets. When asked what ~7,000 sats might mean in dollar terms, the analyst cautioned that the conversion floats with Bitcoin’s price but offered a rough yardstick for today’s market. “In current BTC prices are roughly $7.8,” he replied. The figure is illustrative rather than predictive: XRP’s USD price at any future XRP/BTC level will depend on BTC’s own USD value at that time. The posted chart—which annotates the likely windows for CS clearance as “Jan/Feb open CS free” and “March close” following interim checkpoints in September/October and November/December—underscores the time-based nature of the call. On multi-month Ichimoku settings, the lagging span has to “work off” past price structure before a clean upside trend confirmation is possible; forcing the move earlier would, in this framework, risk a rejection back into the cloud or beneath the Tenkan-sen. Contextually, XRP/BTC has been basing in a broad range since early 2024 after a multi-year downtrend from the 2021 peak, with intermittent upside probes failing to reclaim the more consequential resistances that sit thousands of sats higher. The 2,442-sats area Dr Cat highlights aligns with the need to keep the lagging span above both contemporaneous price and the conversion line, a condition that tends to reduce whipsaws on very high time frames. Related Reading: Analyst Sounds Major XRP Warning: Last Chance To Get In As Accumulation Balloons Whether the market ultimately delivers the 7,000–12,000 sats advance in 2026 will, by this read, depend on two things: XRP/BTC’s ability to hold above the ~2,442-sats pivot as the calendar turns through early 2026, and the weekly chart avoiding or quickly invalidating a bearish kumo twist if new yearly highs are not set before November/December. “If that happens… the logical thing is to attack the next resistance at ~7K,” Dr Cat concludes, while stressing that the weekly cloud still “deserves attention.” As with any Ichimoku-driven thesis, the emphasis is on alignment across time frames and the interaction of price with the system’s five lines—Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, Senkou Spans A and B (the “kumo” cloud), and the Chikou Span. Dr Cat’s thread leans on the lagging span mechanics to explain why an earlier “monster leg” is statistically less likely, and why the second half of 2025 will be a critical checkpoint before any 2026 trend attempt. For now, the takeaway is a timeline rather than an imminent trigger: the analyst’s base case defers any outsized XRP outperformance versus Bitcoin until after the CS clears historical overhead in early 2026, with interim monitoring of the weekly cloud into year-end. As he summed up, “On highest timeframes everything still looks excellent… until further notice.” At press time, XRP traded at $3.119. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a new market breakdown published today, crypto analyst CryptoInsightUK argues that XRP has reached a “liquidity flashpoint” that could accelerate price discovery toward the mid-$4 range once key resistance is reclaimed. He anchors the call to a cluster of liquidity sitting above the $3.40 area and an improving relative-strength backdrop versus Bitcoin, Ethereum and even gold, while cautioning that the US CPI print due tomorrow could inject short-term volatility in either direction. Be aware that tomorrow there is CPI news coming from the US and it probably, most likely at this point in the market, brings with it some sort of volatility,” he said, adding that while the move “could be to the upside,” there is still “liquidity sitting below us” that could be swept before continuation. The analyst frames the recent grind higher as constructive but “choppy,” with a pattern of slightly higher lows that would invalidate quickly if one of those pivots is lost. $4.20–$4.50 Is The Target Zone As XRP Liquidity Builds XRP remains his top altcoin setup. “XRP is the base case of something that I think is looking pretty strong right now,” he said. The pair has “formed a nice bottoming pattern” and broken out, but is now “fighting against these previous swing highs.” In his view, the immediate task is a sequence of closes through successive resistance shelves—including the zone just under $3.40—after which the path to the former peak opens. “As soon as we start to get that level broken then… we could argue that all-time highs [are] back on the table,” he said, noting that from the recent local bottom XRP is “up 11%,” and that another ~10% burst through resistance “probably comes pretty quickly.” Related Reading: XRP Set to Lead Altcoin Boom With Explosive $9.69 Target, Says Analyst On higher time frames, he highlights a stacked band of resting interest overhead. “On the daily [for XRP, there is] significant liquidity above us and over the last 2–3 days more has been building in here. When we start to break that $3.40 level… this is the all-time high and we probably resume this march back towards $4.20, $4.30 and then realistically $4.50 is where all this liquidity is sitting right now.” While he characterizes that as the base case, he keeps risk balanced: “It’s not time to get 100% definite [that we’re] going to the upside… We could argue that [liquidity below] could be taken before we go higher especially if Bitcoin and ETH come down.” The cross-asset context matters for his XRP view. He sees Bitcoin at an inflection defined by structural waypoints—“a break above the $111,003 and then… $114,300… and then… above this high here about $117k”—with the daily map still showing “significant liquidity above.” Ethereum, he says, has a “dense” pocket of bids just below, but has been “losing strength against other alts,” creating a window in which ETH might wick lower to clean up liquidity while alts with stronger relative momentum hold up better. That relative momentum is where he places XRP. On XRP/ETH, he notes a sequence of “lows, highs, higher lows and higher highs,” arguing the pair is “back in an uptrend.” He draws attention to the four-hour RSI repeatedly tagging overbought during prior upside phases: “When we start to hit this four hour overbought area… momentum looks like it is pushing back to the upside… it has led to quite significant price action.” He flags 0.000071 on XRP/ETH as a confirmation pivot that would “give us more confirmation back to the upside.” A similar story appears on XRP/BTC, where he wants to see “a real good green day” to break the downtrend after a “bullish cross on the daily RSI.” Related Reading: XRP RSI Remains Bullish As Support Levels Hold, Price Eyes Break Above $3.6 He extends the relative framework beyond crypto. On XRP/gold, the analyst says the weekly structure “actually bounced pretty well off the 702 Fibonacci retracement,” with a clean back-test of prior range highs and “bullish cross” momentum. Projecting from current consolidation, he cites a potential 4.236 extension that, mechanically, implies substantial outperformance: “For a 4.236 extension from where we are now it would be about a 700% outperformance from gold… so if we just say five to six hundred percent that would be bloody nice for XRP.” He is careful to note that gold could also move, which would affect the nominal translation. Despite the urgency of the title levels, he repeatedly frames the next 24–48 hours as path-dependent. Bitcoin dominance sits at a decision point in his model; a breakdown from its “ascending wedge” would, in his view, validate the altcoin-outperformance regime he has been anticipating. “It could get very exciting very soon,” he said. “Or we could just have a few more days of chop.” Still, the directional bias is clear: “I think that I’ve said that XRP I think is leading the market. I still believe that.” His bottom line for XRP is conditional but pointed: reclaim and hold above ~$3.40, convert that resistance into support, and the liquidity magnets at ~$4.20–$4.50 come into play quickly. Fail the near-term tests, especially into a volatile macro print, and a final dip to harvest downside liquidity remains on the table before any renewed advance. At press time, XRP traded at $2.96. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In the latest “The Weekly Insight,” analyst @CryptoinsightUK places XRP at the center of the next market advance—mapping a five-wave structure that targets Wave 3 ≈ $6.50, Wave 4 holding > $5, and Wave 5 ≈ $9.69. The call is anchored in XRP’s relative strength and a broader macro setup that he describes bluntly: “I’m bullish. I’m bullish. I’m bullish.” Near term, he concedes Bitcoin can still “dip in the short term and reclaim some of the liquidity sitting below us,” but he argues that any shakeout precedes an aggressive upswing that should favor leaders like XRP. The author’s relative-strength case is explicit: “XRP has been leading the way this cycle,” adding it “is about to begin its next major leg higher.” He contrasts structures: “If you overlay the Ethereum chart on top of XRP’s, the difference is striking… XRP… held strong around all-time highs… has pushed above both its previous all-time high and the $2.70 swing high, and is now consolidating above them. Related Reading: XRP To Surpass Bitcoin? Pundit Reveals What Will Drive The Takeover Meanwhile, Ethereum is still struggling to reclaim and hold its all-time high.” He continues: “This relative strength is important… it could continue to outperform the largest altcoin in the market,” with spot ETF speculation for XRP “possibly coming in September or October” and potential policy tailwinds adding fuel. What Needs To Happen For XRP To Hit $9.69? Zooming out, the newsletter situates XRP within a risk-on macro backdrop that could lift Bitcoin and TOTAL/Total2 and, by extension, turbo-charge altcoin leadership. Equities breadth is the opening bid: the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 are, he writes, “on the edge of or already in expansion,” with monthly RSI in overbought historically preceding “at least a few months, and often a prolonged period, of strong bull market activity.” He calls it a “clear signal, a green light for risk on.” On cross-asset signals, @CryptoinsightUK underscores the directional tie between Bitcoin and gold, despite gold’s “risk-off” label. Chinese gold demand and Western currency debasement, in his view, strengthen Bitcoin’s long-term case. Historically, gold bottoms have led Bitcoin bottoms by an average ~126 days across four instances; applied to the latest sequence, he sketches a probabilistic Bitcoin bottom window around September 15, 2025. The liquidity map remains pivotal. On higher timeframes, he sees “extremely dense” liquidity above Bitcoin, arguing that once the current range resolves, “the move will likely be sharp and aggressive,” with a roadmap that “quickly” carries BTC toward $144,000 and beyond. For alt breadth, he points to Total2. By his analog, today’s structure rhymes with an “orange circle” precursor from last cycle; from that point to the peak, alts rallied about 350% (technically ~366%). A repeat implies ~$7.73 trillion for Total2—an environment in which “XRP will be one of the clear leaders in the next leg of this market cycle,” provided Bitcoin prints new highs and Total2 breaks out. Related Reading: XRP Will Never Crash 90% Again, Says Digital Ascension CEO The companion “Charts of the Week” (by @thecryptomann1) sharpen the market’s near-term complexion and how it may channel into XRP. Stablecoin exchange reserves (ETH- and Tron-based) sit at all-time highs—~$66 billion (≈ $53B USDT, $13B USDC), a cache of “dry powder” that could chase upside on a breakout or cushion a final dip toward ~$105,000 on BTC before reversing. A caution flag: the 30-day change in aggregate whale holdings has “dropped off a cliff” recently—“alarming,” he notes, and not to be ignored even if it doesn’t spell disaster. Meanwhile, NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) has been sliding as the market “takes back” profits from the past ten months; a revisit of the “yellow zone” (
In a video analysis published today, crypto market commentator CryptoInsightUK argues that XRP is poised to front-run the next leg higher across crypto assets, citing a clear structural divergence in liquidity profiles versus Bitcoin and Ethereum on lower-timeframe charts and confirming signals on the XRP/BTC cross. Why XRP Could Outperform BTC And ETH The core of his case is a comparative liquidity mapping across BTC, ETH, and XRP. On Bitcoin, he notes that downside pools around “about 106K” have been a persistent magnet on intraday timeframes, but the daily heatmap still shows heavier clusters above spot. “Now we’re down at these levels, it’s more likely than not that we do continue to take this liquidity here for Bitcoin,” he says. The analyst adds that on the daily timeframe “to the upside there could be a push into this liquidity about $126K–$128K and then we’re starting to see orange liquidity now at $141,000.” He frames any reversal as fast and reflexive: “When we get this move back to the upside… it’s going to be pretty aggressive and people are going to be caught on the wrong side of the trade.” Related Reading: XRP Price Gets $20 Target: The 2 Scenarios That Could Play Out From Here Ethereum’s setup, by contrast, is described as tactically softer after already tapping significant overhead liquidity during its prior pop. On his hourly mapping, the denser pools sit below recent lows, implying a non-trivial risk of mean reversion. “We actually have come back to this sort of area as well and we can see this more dense liquidity again below us sitting at around $4,050ish… the dense liquidity sits about $4,000 to $4,450,” he explains, characterizing ETH as “a bit hands off” for now—while also flagging that today’s US market closure for a public holiday can distort intraday reads. The crux of the bullish divergence is on XRP. On the hourly basis, he shows that XRP has already swept and “taken the red liquidity below,” leaving the “main liquidity… above,” a configuration he views as conducive to an upside reversal if bid momentum emerges. “Is XRP front-running here? Is it going to front-run altcoins?” he asks, pointing to the token’s different placement on the liquidity map relative to BTC and ETH. Extending the lens to relative performance, he highlights the XRP/BTC pair on the four-hour chart, where a prior resistance box has been flipped to support and momentum has repeatedly wicked into oversold territory with constructive reactions. Related Reading: XRP And Dogecoin On The Edge Of ‘Full Port’ Breakout, Says Raoul Pal “When we’re at this level, we want to flip this resistance into support. Currently, we are holding that support,” he says, adding that while such oversold prints do not perfectly call bottoms, “more often than not, they have had a decent reaction, especially when we’re in an area of support like this.” On higher timeframes, he reiterates that XRP’s heavier liquidity sits overhead—interpreting that as dry powder for continuation if spot can reclaim momentum—while BTC still has an attractive path to vacuum upper pools once immediate downside pockets are cleaned. Ethereum, having already consumed much of its near-term upside liquidity, could underperform tactically until its lower clusters are tested or rebalanced. The analyst ties the mosaic together with a cycle view that remains incomplete: “That’s one of the reasons I really don’t think the top is in yet for crypto.” He stresses that the work is descriptive, not prescriptive. “This doesn’t mean that this is my opinion specifically. I’m just showing you charts here,” he says, before reiterating the cycle-long thesis: “I’ve said for the whole cycle, I think XRP is leading.” The coming weeks, he adds, should clarify whether the structural divergence he outlines translates into XRP leadership on the tape as broader market euphoria returns and sidelined traders chase. At press time, XRP traded at $2.77. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The daily XRP chart has turned into a clean Elliott Wave case study, according to crypto technician “Charting Guy,” who argues the latest rebound was corrective rather than impulsive and likely precedes a deeper C-wave pullback toward August’s lows. In a post on X, he wrote: “August bounce from $2.72 to $3.38 was a 3 wave corrective move up unlike $OTHERS 5 wave impulsive move up, so I believe it was a B wave & we will likely revisit the August lows in the coming days/weeks for our C wave to end the correction that started late July.” XRP Correction Isn’t Over Yet The annotated chart (XRP/USD) plots a developing five-wave sequence with waves 1 and 2 completed in May and June, a vertical wave 3 peak into mid-July, and an unfolding A-B-C that would finalize wave 4. The A leg knifed off the wave-3 high, a B-wave recovery carried to $3.40, and the projected C leg descends into a Fibonacci cluster that coincides with the August trough. At the time of the snapshot, XRP was quoted around $3.02881 on the daily close, sitting between the 0.786 and 0.888 retracement rails. Fibonacci scaffolding dominates the chart and defines the key levels the analyst is trading against. The retracement and extension ladder is printed as follows: 0 at $1.61184, 0.136 at $1.78405, 0.236 at $1.92231, 0.382 at $2.14363, 0.5 at $2.34100, 0.618 at $2.55653, 0.702 at $2.72195, 0.786 at $2.87293, 0.888 at $3.1273, and 1.000 at $3.4000. Related Reading: XRP Takes On Live TV: Analyst Predicts Surge To $13 If This Happens Above the prior high, the upside extensions that map the prospective wave-5 run are marked at 1.272 ($4.16533), 1.414 ($4.63105) and 1.618 ($5.39272). The B-wave stall unfolded beneath the $3.1273–$3.4000 resistance band (0.888–1.000), reinforcing that region as the ceiling the market must clear to confirm a finished correction. Conversely, the proposed C-wave termination zone is anchored by the 0.786–0.702–0.618 stack at $2.87293 / $2.72195 / $2.55653, with the August pivot specifically highlighted at ~$2.72. A downward-sloping magenta trendline from the wave-3 apex bisects the A-B-C, and the projected path drives price into a labeled “4” before turning sharply higher into a new advance. Related Reading: Market Expert Reveals Why XRP Price At $1,000 Is Not A Possibility The terminal “5” marker is placed almost exactly at the 1.414 extension near $4.63105—consistent with the author’s own wording that this represents a conservative target zone—while the 1.618 print at $5.39272 frames an obvious stretch objective if momentum over-delivers. Addressing community questions about his previous higher target of $8, the analyst replied, “is there anywhere in the post that says no more $8 target?” and, when asked about an extended move in November, he answered “maybe. Maybe.” On positioning, he cautioned that “dips are never guaranteed even if they seem likely,” adding: “hodl imo… use trading options or futures or a trading spot bag to make their short term gains.” The immediate read is unambiguous: unless XRP can reclaim and hold above $3.1273 and then $3.4000, Charting Guy’s roadmap favors a retest of the August floor near $2.72195 to complete wave 4. Only after such a flush—or a decisive invalidation via resistance break—does his schematic open the door to the next impulsive leg targeting $4.16533 to $4.63105, with $5.39272 reserved for an extended fifth in late-September or early-October. At press time, XRP traded at $2.96. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradigView.com
Crypto market analyst Ali Martinez is warning that XRP’s latest pullback could extend, citing a cluster of bearish signals across price, on-chain, and behavioral metrics. Why XRP Could Face A Deeper Correction In an X thread posted early Wednesday, Martinez opened with: “XRP may be headed for a deeper correction. Here’s why!” and pointed to a Tom DeMark Sequential sell signal on the three-day chart “right at the local top,” which he said “trigger[ed] the ongoing pullback.” His remarks follow a weekend note flagging $2.40 as the “next key support level to watch” after that three-day TD sell signal. Martinez expanded on market structure, arguing that while the $3.00 area has intermittently acted as support, historical accumulation patterns make $2.80 a temporary buffer, with “real support” beginning below $2.48—a zone he has mapped using on-chain positioning. Related Reading: XRP Price May Be ‘Controlled’ By This Market, Says Analyst He reiterated on Aug. 3 that “past accumulation behavior points to $2.80 as a temporary buffer for XRP, but real support begins below $2.48,” adding that the most consequential level on his dashboard remains $2.40. Independent coverage of his analysis echoed those thresholds, framing $2.80 as a light cushion with heavier demand pockets sub-$2.50. Flow data has added to the bearish case in the near term. Martinez said whales have offloaded over 720 million XRP, intensifying sell-side pressure in recent sessions; earlier, on Aug. 2, he specified that “whales have sold over 710 million $XRP in the past 24 hours!” That spike in large-holder distribution has been picked up by multiple market trackers and recaps over the past few days. He also flagged the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) signal turning sharply negative. “The MVRV ratio just flashed a death cross,” Martinez wrote, calling it “another sign that a steeper correction could be underway.” The post underscores the crossover as a warning of rising downside risk if short-term holders’ cost basis begins to overhang market value. While “death cross” language is more commonly associated with moving-average pairs, Martinez uses the term here to describe a momentum break in MVRV curves. Related Reading: XRP MVRV Flashes Death Cross: More Decline Ahead? The TD Sequential—a Tom DeMark-designed exhaustion model often used to anticipate trend reversals—has been central to Martinez’s view since late July, when he tracked a three-day “sell” print near the top of the latest rally leg. He has since framed the path of least resistance as lower unless the market can establish sustained closes back above the high-volume node near $3.00–$3.20, while on-chain profiles continue to privilege $2.48–$2.40 as the area of “real” demand. As he put it on Aug. 3: “The next key support level to watch is $2.40!” For now, Martinez’s roadmap rests on three pillars: an exhaustion sell on the 3-day TD Sequential, large-holder distribution in the hundreds of millions of XRP, and a bearish MVRV crossover, all of which he argues raise the probability of a deeper corrective leg toward the high-$2s and, if momentum deteriorates, the mid-$2s. Whether bulls can defend the shallower buffers near $2.80 may determine if XRP’s decline remains a garden-variety pullback or morphs into a larger reset toward his $2.40 magnet. At press time, XRP traded at $2.93. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP may be entering its most explosive phase in years, according to crypto analyst CryptoInsightUK, who on July 31 released a sweeping technical breakdown that suggests the token’s breakout from a six-year consolidation range could soon send prices to $15—and potentially beyond. “This is just the start,” he said, arguing that the recent monthly close confirms structural strength that has been building quietly over the last two market cycles. XRP Flashes Bullish Signal—Next Stop: $15? In a video analysis posted to YouTube, the analyst highlighted XRP’s rare technical alignment on the monthly chart, pointing to its sustained break above the 2018 all-time high and an upcoming potential for new highs. His base case targets a move to between $8.70 and $15 in the short-to-medium term, based on historical measured moves and momentum structure. “If we just did a measured move like the last move, it could take us as far out as $15,” he said. “I don’t think that’s unreasonable.” Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP Price Is Now In Wave 4 — What To Expect Supporting the bullish case is a technical signal many market watchers have overlooked: a return of XRP’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) to the overbought zone, historically a precursor to parabolic rallies. In the 2017 cycle, a similar RSI pattern preceded a move of over 700%, and even a “conservative” repeat could lift XRP to well above $10, he explained. “If we make a higher high on the monthly RSI here, to me that doesn’t indicate the move is over,” he said, emphasizing that momentum indicators remain firmly in bullish territory. He also drew attention to XRP’s relative strength versus Bitcoin, calling its position on the XRP/BTC chart “such a crucial place.” After bouncing from key support levels, XRP/BTC is closing the month significantly higher than nearly all months in recent years. “We’re going to be closing above everything apart from the last couple of months,” he observed. “It’s strong. It’s showing strength.” Looking at XRP dominance—a measure of XRP’s market cap share relative to the rest of crypto—CryptoInsightUK noted the token is holding the midpoint of a range formed on top of what he calls the “sign of strength” phase. “We’ve created this range on top of Wyckoff accumulation… Things are looking good there too,” he said. He further analyzed XRP futures premiums, noting that the negative premium since July 24 resembles the setup before XRP’s last major rally from $0.50 to $2.60. “We actually went red for a bit and that was when we found our lows,” he said. “Then as we broke out of this zone, we went back to being green… and that coincided with the start of the rally.” Related Reading: XRP Blows Cold: Price Crash To $2.15 Still Possible If Buyers Falter The chart structure, momentum indicators, and liquidity maps all point to a scenario where XRP could move sharply higher with relatively minor catalysts. The analyst emphasized that this does not necessarily mean a straight line up, but rather an aggressive trend formation after years of accumulation. “If you actually take a zoomed out perspective on the XRP chart, $15 doesn’t look ridiculous,” he said. “Yes, this is logarithmic, but it really doesn’t.” He also warned against dismissing high-end projections like $27 or even $50 out of hand, referencing past patterns in both price and RSI. “I’m not suggesting we do that in a month,” he said, “but I don’t think we should rule it out either.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.92. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
CryptoInsightUK believes the long-awaited altcoin season has finally begun—and that XRP could be its headline act. In a 13-minute market update posted on July 21, the British analyst argued that last week’s dramatic collapse in Bitcoin dominance “erased 19 weeks of Bitcoin strength in a single candle,” a move he called the first clear signal of a sustained rotation into altcoins. “Volume tells the story,” he said, pointing to the outsized red bar that accompanied the dominance drop. The pattern, he noted, mirrors the December 2020 setup that preceded the last explosive altcoin cycle. If dominance continues to unwind at a comparable speed, it could slip to the 39 percent zone within seven weeks—giving altcoins room to outperform. XRP Could Rally 500% Against Bitcoin That macro backdrop matters because, in the same breath, XRP just printed the highest weekly close in its history. CryptoInsightUK highlighted an “accumulation-then-breakout” structure on the XRP/USD chart that resembles Bitcoin-dominance’s own staircase lower. “It’s continuation, in my opinion,” he said, adding that XRP’s breach of its 2017-2018 all-time-high band could usher in a series of higher highs. Related Reading: XRP Targets $6–$10 If Bitcoin Hits $144,000, Analyst Predicts Liquidity data bolsters the thesis. Heat-maps from TradingDifferent show “significant liquidity to the upside… all the way now up to about $4.26,” the analyst said. He expects XRP to attack that magnet “probably within this week” and believes a run to $4.50 is “imminent” if Bitcoin breaks its nearby resistance shelf. The bolder call, however, is denominated in satoshis. With XRP/BTC perched just below its last meaningful resistance, CryptoInsightUK sees scope for a rally of “at least another 200 percent—potentially up to 500 percent—against Bitcoin” once the pair clears the level. Such a move, he argued, would propel XRP’s market-share to the 14–20 percent range, up from roughly 2 percent today, and would likely coincide with Bitcoin itself pushing toward the $135,000–$150,000 corridor. “Things are going to get exciting pretty quick,” he warned, urging followers to prepare profit-taking plans in advance. Related Reading: The XRP Euphoria Phase: Why August–October 2025 Could Be Explosive Though the video focused on XRP, the analyst revealed he recently took full profits on his sizeable Ethena (ENA) position after a 100 percent gain in two weeks, citing over-exposure and extreme daily RSI readings. The sale, he said, lifted his cash buffer from 2 percent to about 5 percent, giving him “the opportunity to hold my XRP bag for longer”. CryptoInsightUK acknowledged that timing any cycle top is notoriously difficult. “No one nails the cycle,” he conceded, promising to disclose his own exit strategy in real-time once price action justifies it. For traders who do not “live the charts,” he recommended a disciplined take-profit plan rather than aiming for absolute peaks. For now, the spotlight stays on two charts: Bitcoin dominance and XRP/BTC. A decisive breakdown in the former and a clean breakout in the latter would, in the analyst’s words, “ignite altseason” and validate the 500 percent upside scenario. Whether that firework display begins this week or takes a little longer, he insisted, “there’s no reason we couldn’t do something like this”—and sketched a near-vertical path higher. At press time, XRP traded at $3.46. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has spent the better part of the last seven years digging itself out of the crater left by the 2018 peak, yet technician Tony “The Bull” Severino, CMT, now sees the possibility of a violent climax that would rival—even mirror—the last euphoric leg of the 2017 cycle. Posting to X, the analyst asked followers to contemplate “the final move in XRP — projected as high as ~$13 — happened within 40 days” and supplied the weekly‑scale TradingView chart. $13 XRP Only 40 Days Away? The study is an Elliott Wave construction that labels the 2017 blow‑off high as the terminus of Primary wave ③ and the subsequent, nearly seven‑year trading range as a textbook fourth‑wave contracting triangle. Price action from 2018 through late‑2024 traces the familiar A–B–C–D–E sequence, with each swing bounded by ever‑converging black trend‑lines that compress toward a late‑2024 apex. Related Reading: XRP Countdown Begins—Analyst Predicts Explosive Run To $11 Severino’s annotation calls particular attention to symmetry: the distance between the 2017 high and the 2018 low measures $2.55, or 1,903.50 % from the sub wave‑four pivot, and it unfolded in six weekly candles (42 days) on volume of 2.7 billion XRP. With the triangle now resolved to the upside, the analyst counts the initial thrust as wave (1) of the terminal Primary ⑤ and flags a minor pennant developing as wave (4) of the impulse’s lesser degree. A red vertical projection equal to the 2017 percentage ascent—+1,903.39 %—is transposed from the post‑triangle base at approximately $0.64 (implicit in the $12 height of the arrow) and terminates at $12.73496, a level Severino marks in crimson across the right axis. The time analogue remains striking: a dashed line, 42 days to the right of the present bar, brackets what would be week six of the prospective surge, accompanied by a placeholder volume note of 113.7 million XRP. Related Reading: XRP Becomes Top 3 Crypto After ProShares ETF Approval, Can It Flip ETH? Should the fractal relationship hold—as the inset schematic of a “4th Wave Triangle” and “Regular Triangle Breakout Projection” implies—XRP would have to accelerate by roughly 250 % each week for the next six weeks to satisfy the vertical and temporal targets simultaneously, a pace identical to the parabolic advance that culminated in January 2018. Severino’s follow‑up comment hints that any such spectacle would not obviate a subsequent bear cycle; instead, it would complete the five‑wave motive structure and usher in the larger‑degree correction that per Elliott doctrine follows every full impulse. For adherents, the practical question is not philosophical admiration of chart symmetry but whether their positioning and risk framework can withstand the volatility inherent in a move that, if realised, would add nearly $9 per coin in little more than a month. At press time, XRP traded at $3.49 Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In his June 14 video analysis, the market commentator CryptoInsightUK argued that XRP is on the verge of a “parabolic expansion” reminiscent of its performance in late 2017, contending that a price of $11 per token is attainable this cycle once Bitcoin finishes its latest impulse leg. The analyst built his case on a blend of historical fractals, liquidity-mapping, and derivatives-market data, concluding that “people are under-estimating where XRP is going to go this cycle.” Is $11 XRP Inevitable? CryptoInsightUK opened the session by noting that Bitcoin had just logged the highest weekly close in its history and that the total crypto-asset market capitalisation had set a record: “We got the highest ever close for total market cap as well now, and I’m looking to see this expansionary period.” With Bitcoin pushing into a “deep area of liquidity” on the daily chart but not yet reaching the next concentration of sell-side orders, he believes the set-up mirrors the early-November 2024 breakout that preceded a six-day, 31 percent surge. “Bitcoin’s done most of its move in the six days following the breakout,” he recalled, overlaying that sequence on today’s structure to infer that a similar window could open imminently. Related Reading: XRP Flashes Signal That Last Time Preceded A 464% Rally, Analyst Says For XRP, the key inflection lies a few cents above the psychological $3 mark. On the 15-minute chart, he observed that “XRP is starting to build some strong liquidity above us… up to about 3.10,” describing that overhead cluster as potential fuel for a decisive push. Although the token briefly touched $3.03 in intraday trading, repeated attempts have stalled just below resistance. The analyst juxtaposed this behaviour with the way XRP lagged Bitcoin during the 2024 breakout: the coin “stalls out a little bit” while Bitcoin rips, then “really catches up,” moving from roughly $0.70 to $2.70 in nineteen days, before extending to $3.30. Translating that fractal forward, he warned: “It’s not going to be exactly the same, but if it’s six to ten days [for Bitcoin]… what happens next? Altcoins take over.” He bolstered the thesis with derivatives metrics. During the last XRP rally, a flip from negative to positive contract premium coincided with a sharp rise in open interest. That pattern is repeating: “Premium actually went green… on an increase in open interest and that is happening again now.” Funding rates remain subdued, implying that shorts still constitute a meaningful share of outstanding positions; as price pressure builds, those shorts could be “squeezed to the downside,” providing what he called “really aggressive price action to the upside… pretty soon probably for XRP.” In his base case, an explosive move would coincide with Bitcoin reaching roughly $125,000, at which point capital rotation would funnel into XRP and other large-capitalisation altcoins. Related Reading: Pundit Reveals The Two Things That Will Drive XRP Price To All-Time Highs On higher-time-frame charts, the weekly close in the XRP/BTC pair reclaimed levels not seen since early March and printed what the analyst dubbed a “lovely green weekly candle,” propelling the pair through the resistance band tracked by trader CredibleCrypto’s so-called “Gandalf line.” XRP dominance, he argued, has completed a Wyckoff-style accumulation: the “sign of strength” and “last point of support” suggest a new up-leg is underway. Technical momentum is corroborated by a bullish cross forming in the XRP/ETH ratio on the weekly relative-strength index. The analyst conceded that timing remains uncertain and that elevated contract premiums can foreshadow long-side liquidation cascades, yet he maintained that the interplay between resurgent spot buying, rising open interest, and building liquidity clouds above $3 creates a self-reinforcing backdrop for a squeeze higher. “That is what I expect will come at some point,” he said, framing a breach of the all-time high as a trigger for acceleration toward his $11 objective. At press time, XRP traded at $2.8671. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a new video released June 9, crypto analyst CryptoInsightUK issued a extremely bullish XRP update, citing a convergence of technical signals that he believes could set the stage for a powerful upward move. Drawing parallels to previous market cycles, the analyst points to the reappearance of a signal that once preceded a 464% rally in XRP, and says this may mark the beginning of a similar explosive breakout. XRP Breakout Confirmed? Yesterday, XRP recorded its highest 4-hour close since May 23, breaking out of a prolonged range. The token has entered what he called a “dense area of liquidity,” an important technical zone that has historically preceded impulsive price action. In a notable divergence from typical market dynamics, XRP is leading Bitcoin, rather than following it. “XRP is currently leading Bitcoin on this move,” he said. “Something I’ve been calling for a while is for XRP to lead alts and lead a potential alt season.” CryptoInsightUK sees further confirmation in Bitcoin’s setup. BTC is still consolidating but pushing above the $111,000 liquidity zone. A move into that zone, he said, would “give us confluence that the price action XRP’s displaying is not a fakeout.” Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP’s Rise To $1,000 Will Happen A Lot Sooner Than Anticipated Structurally, XRP’s trend remains intact. Despite recent pullbacks, the token has maintained its higher-low formation, a signal of technical strength. More importantly, XRP/BTC is beginning to show momentum reversal. “We’ve just had the highest 4-hour close since the 24th of May. This is showing the momentum to the downside is waning.” He highlights a specific line on the XRP/BTC chart referenced by fellow analyst Credible Crypto as the “Gandalf line”—a level that has acted as a pivot point for years. XRP has now closed above it on the 4-hour chart. “We’ve wicked into it, bounced off it. We lose it, we get pushed down hard. We break it, we normally really go for it.” Zooming out, he points to the weekly RSI (Relative Strength Index) on XRP’s price chart. If the current weekly candle closes above the RSI’s simple moving average, it would be the first time since XRP’s breakout off the lows—an event that previously triggered a 464% move to $2.70. “If we get the bullish cross close… 464% from this [level] would take us to $13.05,” he explained. “I think we’re going to about $12 on this push.” Related Reading: Analyst Predicts 50% “Moonshot” For XRP Price If This Line Breaks Moreover, the analyst anticipates a 325% move in XRP/BTC based on historical ratios and a potential surge in XRP dominance toward 14%, with an even more aggressive Elliott Wave count pointing to a possible move to 20% dominance. “We’ve completed a Wyckoff accumulation. We’re in the sign of strength phase. Last point support… we’re going into phase E,” he said, referencing classical technical accumulation structures. Still, despite the bullish setup, the analyst made clear he plans to de-risk between $8 and $13, emphasizing capital preservation after a potential 20x move from 50 cents. “The risk-to-reward on the downside is just too large at that point,” he noted. “Even if it goes significantly higher… anyone who’s done a 20x on something should be taking some money off the table.” He concluded the analysis with cautious optimism: “Don’t start counting your Lambos yet, but also probably start scrolling the magazine.” For now, all eyes are on XRP’s price action and Bitcoin’s staying power above $111,000. If both confirm, as he put it: “It’s game on.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.44. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP’s market dominance may be on the verge of a historic breakout, with analyst Cryptoinsightuk (@Cryptoinsightuk) suggesting the token could command as much as 30% of the entire crypto market cap in this cycle—representing a fivefold surge from current levels. 30% XRP Dominance? The bold projection stems from an emerging bullish structure on the XRP dominance chart, reinforced by a key technical signal: the three-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken its multi-year downtrend for the first time since XRP’s last local highs. This shift, visible on the attached chart, signals a significant change in market dynamics, potentially marking the beginning of a new accumulation-driven expansion. The analyst argues that XRP dominance has completed a textbook Wyckoff accumulation pattern. “We’ve pretty much completed a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, and I would argue we’re nearing the end of Phase D and about to enter Phase E,” they noted. According to the Wyckoff method, Phase E represents the breakout phase, where assets typically enter strong markup periods after prolonged accumulation. Related Reading: Pundit Predicts XRP Price Will Surge 35,000% When These Two Things Happen This interpretation is supported by a side-by-side comparison of the theoretical Wyckoff schematic overlaid directly on XRP dominance price action. The analyst specifically points to the recent “Last Point of Support” (LPS) as confirmation that XRP is transitioning toward breakout territory, having already completed the “Spring” phase—a final shakeout that traps late sellers before a sustained rally. “If that’s correct, we should see significant upside in XRP dominance,” the analyst continued, adding that the signal is particularly meaningful when viewed on the three-day timeframe, which filters out short-term noise and emphasizes broader cyclical trends. In terms of concrete targets, the analyst acknowledges that consensus among market participants remains modest, with many expecting a peak in XRP dominance around 14%. However, CryptoInsightUK argues this is a gross underestimation of potential upside in the event that XRP reclaims narrative leadership in the crypto space. Related Reading: XRP Could Hit $9 In Euphoric Fifth Wave, Elliott Wave Analyst Predicts “I believe we could push as high as 20%. There’s even a possibility we reach broader capital inflows accompanying a Bitcoin breakout to new all-time highs. Many are calling for a top around 14% dominance, but I believe we could push as high as 20%,” the analyst wrote. “There’s even a possibility we reach 30%, though I’m personally targeting the 20% zone, which would represent a 5x increase in dominance from current levels.” XRP’s current market dominance sits below 6%, making the analyst’s 20–30% target not just ambitious but transformative. It would mark the first time since the early XRP rally days in 2017 that XRP commanded such a share of the crypto market. The broader context driving this thesis is the possibility of a liquidity-driven crypto cycle, catalyzed by Bitcoin achieving new highs and investor capital rotating into alternative assets. “If this coincides with Bitcoin breaking out to new all-time highs and broader capital flowing into the market, I believe we could witness a major price expansion for XRP—one that few are currently expecting,” the analyst added. At press time, XRP traded at $2.28. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is inching toward what could be its most consequential technical inflection in more than a year, according to the June 3 video analysis from the YouTube channel More Crypto Online (MCO). Employing classical Elliott-wave mapping, the analyst argues that XRP has been building a five-wave advance ever since the market reset in July 2023 and is now attempting to ignite the terminal “fifth” wave—a rally that, if it unfolds under euphoric conditions, could extend as far as $9. How The Roadmap Is Built For XRP “We might be in a process of upside reversal… It’s like a now-or-never moment,” the commentator told viewers, stressing that breakouts are usually obvious only after large portions of the move are already spent. In Elliott wave terminology the market is said to be preparing for a smaller-degree third wave inside the larger fifth, “normally the most aggressive one,” he noted, pointing to the explosive impulse that followed a similar set-up last year. Related Reading: Analyst: XRP Is Coiled For A Short Squeeze Rally On MCO’s primary chart the July 2023 trough serves as the wave-four low of an even larger advance. From there, a series of lower-degree one-two formations appears to have carried XRP into wave three and, more recently, into a sideways, three-legged correction that completed in April. “We have a wave 1, a wave 2, a wave 3, the wave 4, and maybe this is now the fifth wave that’s unfolding,” he explained, adding that wave four’s depth and duration were textbook for a counter-trend pause. To translate wave counts into price objectives the analyst measured waves 1 through 3 and projected the classic 61.8 percent Fibonacci extension from the bottom of wave 4. That calculation yields $6.20 as a “straightforward” fifth-wave target. The same measurement’s 78.6 percent extension sits at roughly $9.00, a level the commentator said “sometimes materialises in a very euphoric fifth wave.” Before any discussion of $5-plus prices becomes actionable, XRP must clear a cluster of near-term hurdles. The analyst identifies the $2.30–$2.40 range as the first structural ceiling; it coincides with a descending trend-line that has capped every rally since March and with the 100-day exponential moving average. Related Reading: XRP Could Hit $50 If Ripple Gets Bank License, Claims Crypto Pundit The shorter-time-frame wave count shows why this band matters. From the 7 April swing low the market printed a clear five-wave micro-structure, implying that a fresh up-trend may already be underway. Yet, as the analyst cautioned, “We still have to clear all these previous swing highs… We’ve got resistance in this area around $2.30, structurally $2.40.” A decisive break above that shelf would validate a sub-wave (iii) target around $3.30–$3.50, the January swing-high zone the video calls “the next level.” Bearish Scenario For XRP Every Elliott-wave blueprint comes with an invalidation level. In the MCO model the entire fifth-wave scenario survives only if price holds above the April nadir—the start of wave 1 in the current one-two set-up. At the micro level the bulls must also defend what the video labels “the $1.99 support area.” A deeper retracement to $1.60 (the “red dotted line”) could be tolerated inside an extended wave 2, but any sustained trade beneath that mark would probably mean wave 4 is still developing, pushing back the timetable for a breakout. “As long as we’re holding above the April low, this pathway higher remains valid and plausible,” the analyst reiterated. Conversely, a failure there would force a re-evaluation of the entire count. Although the headline $9 print grabs attention, the analyst is clear that such an extension presupposes an extreme sentiment shift. Historically XRP’s rallies have often stalled near the 61.8 percent projection, and the channel’s host reminds viewers that “market sentiment” ultimately decides whether the 78.6 percent extension is reachable. For now the focus is squarely on securing an impulsive close above $2.40 and then on challenging the mid-$3 region. Only once that campaign succeeds will the discussion move seriously toward $5.65, $6.20 and, in a parabolic climax, the high-single-digit zone. At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
A growing number of technical signals suggest that XRP may be on the verge of a short squeeze, according to prominent crypto analyst CryptoInsightUK. In a post on X, the analyst highlighted key on-chain and derivatives data, painting a picture of dense liquidity stacked above current price levels, rising open interest, and a structure that resembles previous pre-squeeze conditions. XRP Short Squeeze Incoming? “Liquidity on the hourly is interesting,” CryptoInsightUK wrote, emphasizing what he described as “SUPER dense liquidity above us,” adding that in his view, “it’s inevitable this gets taken, probably sooner rather than later.” Accompanying images shared by the analyst indicate that the lower liquidity cluster sits around $1.90, while the upper zone—where a potential short squeeze could be triggered—concentrates around $2.40. The implication is clear: shorts are vulnerable to a cascade of forced liquidations if price begins to accelerate upward. The analysis drew on data from @velo_xyz, showing that open interest has been steadily climbing since an unexplained spike on June 24. Notably, during this time, premium remained heavily negative, and funding rates oscillated between positive and negative. “This suggests to me there have been a net addition of short positions to the Open Interest for $XRP,” the analyst wrote, implying that a crowded short trade could now be structurally exposed. Related Reading: Wave 3 Ignites As XRP Breaks Structure—Analyst Says ‘Fireworks Ahead’ Layering this with TradingDiff’s liquidity heatmap, CryptoInsightUK inferred that “we are at some point looking for a short squeeze here for XRP.” While the timing remains uncertain, the combination of rising open interest, negative premium, and dense liquidity above suggests growing asymmetry in risk for short sellers. Still, the analyst added a critical note of caution. “Both ETH and XRP on the daily do have some liquidity below us,” he said, acknowledging the possibility of a fakeout or liquidity sweep downward before any aggressive upside movement. “As you guys know, it is possible to leave some liquidity behind as some people win their trades. BUT, we cannot count this out.” Related Reading: Analyst Reveals Rational Behind XRP Price Reaching $9.5 And $37.5 A final observation focused on Ethereum’s changing liquidity landscape, which may have broader implications for the market as a whole. “Something has changed on ETH,” CryptoInsightUK wrote. “If we look to the liquidity above us we can see the Red has turned Yellow.” He interpreted this shift as a possible signal that shorts are being closed, or that new longs are building below the current price, thereby visually reducing the intensity of liquidity above. Whether XRP can reach the $2.40 liquidity pocket remains to be seen, but the fuse may already be lit. At press time, XRP traded at $2.18. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has slipped the leash that has restrained it since the mid-January peak at $3.40, with the latest weekly candle closing a fraction above the descending trend-line that has defined the upper boundary of its six month trendline. At press time the token is quoting $2.22 on major spot venues, having tagged an intraday high of $2.31 a few hours after the weekly open. XRP Flashes Triple Breakout The technical alignment behind today’s move is unusually tight. The price itself has edged through trend-line resistance traced from the 16 January swing high, but the same behaviour is evident beneath the surface. On the momentum pane the weekly relative-strength index, muted since late March, has poked above its own falling resistance line at 54, ending a sequence of lower RSI highs that mirrored each failed rally in price. A similar story is unfolding on the WaveTrend Oscillator: the fast and slow signal lines have curled upward and printed a tentative positive cross just below the zero-line. Taken together, the trifecta—price above pennant roof, RSI above trend-line, WTO signals turning—constitutes what technicians refer to as confluence: three independent tools broadcasting the same directional bias on the same timeframe. The only missing ingredient is conviction in volume. Seasoned chart-watchers will want to see that metric expand in the coming sessions to validate the move. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals Rational Behind XRP Price Reaching $9.5 And $37.5 Independent analyst Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto), who posted the chart that first drew the community’s attention, summed up the state of play in a single line: “XRP teasing us with a breakout! Asking for volume to follow!” The plea is well-placed. Trendline resolutions that lack a parallel surge in activity are prone to fail-back tests; a decisive influx of bids is required to flip the freshly conquered trend-line into reliable support. Support for the bullish case is also visible on slower-moving gauges. The 50-week exponential moving average now rises through $1.84, its steepest positive slope in more than two years, and the current candle sits comfortably above that long-term trend proxy. Related Reading: Wave 3 Ignites As XRP Breaks Structure—Analyst Says ‘Fireworks Ahead’ Should the breakout hold and attract the liquidity Maelius is watching for, classical chart theory projects an initial objective near the midpoint of January’s supply shelf around $3.00. A weekly close back beneath the trend-line, by contrast, would neutralise the pattern and expose the high-volume node at the demand zone near $2.0 and the $1.84 price tag if bears regain momentum. For now the market is balanced on the knife-edge between promise and proof. Price, RSI and WTO have all stepped over their respective fault lines; only the tape itself remains to confirm that traders are prepared to follow through. Whether this triple breakout marks the beginning of XRP’s next leg higher—or merely another feint within a larger consolidation—will be determined in the sessions ahead. At press time, XRP traded at $2.21. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Hours after Ripple Labs said it would abandon its long-running appeal in its securities case with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, watched market technician CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) on X argued that XRP’s price structure has already completed its corrective phase and is “now wave 3 in motion.” The pseudonymous trader described how Friday’s slide to $2.07 had “tagged” three separate Fibonacci confluence markers—the 0.618 retracement of the March-to-May rally, a 1:1 equality projection for wave C of the prior correction, and a 0.618 extension of sub-wave 5. “The market snapped upward from that exact price,” she observed, before adding: “$2.07 tagged. $2.25 loading. XRP breakout in progress!” XRP Enters Wave 3 By midday in Europe on Monday XRP was changing hands at $2.19, roughly 4% above Friday’s close and 8.5% higher than a week ago. That recovery has carried the token to the edge of the next “major test” cited by CasiTrades: the long-monitored $2.25 zone, which she notes coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement measured from XRP’s 2021 swing high. In classical Elliott Wave analysis, a decisive breach and subsequent retest of that level would validate the start of a powerful third wave, the phase in which momentum typically accelerates and sentiment flips decisively bullish. Related Reading: XRP Down 3% After SEC Settlement Stalls, But Social Media Turns Bullish CasiTrades outlined two near-term paths: either a brief thrust to $2.30 followed by a healthy back-test of $2.25, or a more explosive extension toward $2.45–2.69 before any significant pull-back. “From here, I’m watching two key scenarios short-term: 1) A move into $2.30, then a pullback to backtest $2.25 as support. This would be ideal and healthy. 2) Or, price pushes harder through to ~$2.45, closer toward $2.69 resistance. Has a small pullback, before touching $2.69 with resistance. In this plan, a backtest of $2.25 later would be expected,” Casi writes via X. In either scenario, she argues, the structural message is the same: “Flipping that level opens the door for the next full breakout… once these local resistances are out of the way → fireworks.” The technical argument lands at a moment when a key fundamental overhang appears to be fading. On June 27 Ripple chief executive Brad Garlinghouse announced that the company will withdraw the cross-appeal it filed last year contesting parts of Judge Analisa Torres’s split decision on XRP sales. “We’re closing this chapter once and for all,” Garlinghouse wrote on X, adding that the SEC “was also expected to drop its appeal.” The move came one day after Torres rejected a joint request from both parties to shrink Ripple’s civil penalty to $50 million and dissolve her permanent injunction. Related Reading: XRP Bulls On Alert—’This Trendline Is Everything,’ Says Analyst That backdrop helps explain why the Fibonacci “golden-ratio” bounce at $2.07 drew such an emphatic response. But for now, the market’s focal point is whether XRP can turn the $2.25 shelf from resistance into support. If it does, the next cluster of historical supply sits between $2.60 and $2.70—the area that capped rallies in December 2021 and March 2022. A break beyond that zone would leave little chart resistance before psychological milestones at $3.00 and the all-time closing high near $3.40 set in January 2018. Even so, technicians caution that Elliott Wave targets remain probabilistic, not predictive certainties, and that any new macro-regulatory twist could reset the calculus. Friday’s ruling also left Ripple’s injunction intact, meaning the company must still navigate a compliance regime that did not exist when the lawsuit began in 2020. Whether those realities temper the exuberance around wave 3 remains to be seen. In CasiTrades’ words, however, timing is everything: “This is exactly why we rely on TA. The charts help us spot setups before the news hits. News hits harder after price has positioned.” For a market that has waited more than four years to see its signature legal saga reach closure, traders appear ready to test that maxim on the road to $2.25—and beyond. At press time, XRP traded at $2.19. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP spent the past forty-eight hours coiling into a textbook inflection zone, and the 15-minute chart published by independent analyst Casi makes it hard to miss where the battle lines now stand. Price is hovering at $2.18, clinging to a steeply rising trendline that has underpinned every impulsive thrust since the local swing low near the 0.618 retracement at $1.9824 on 23 June. That trendline intersects a horizontal shelf of former resistance-turned-support at the 1.618 extension measured from the same base move, labelled on the chart at $2.186. The confluence forms the geometric “apex of consolidation” Casi has been highlighting on X. XRP Price At Breaking Point “This trendline is everything right now,” Casi wrote. “We just got a clean reaction off it. This correction already reached the .382 retracement at $2.145, which also happens to be the apex of consolidation… that’s the most critical level on the chart, short-term.” The most recent corrective pullback already tagged the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the advance, exactly at $2.145, before bulls forced a reaction. As long as candles continue to close above that retracement—effectively the floor of the micro-range—Casi argues that the underlying market structure remains constructive. A decisive break beneath $2.145, by contrast, would represent both a loss of the diagonal trendline and a surrender of the consolidation base, signalling short-term weakness and, in his words, “opening the door to a deeper flush.” Related Reading: XRP Pullback Nearly Complete—Next Stop: $8 To $12, Says Analyst Overhead, XRP must still reckon with layered resistance. The first ceiling sits at $2.20, but the level called out as “the next big test” is the thicker pink band at $2.25. That mark capped price repeatedly during yesterday’s U.S. session and coincides with a prior 1.272 extension of the late-May corrective leg. “If we can flip that level, we’ll likely open the path toward the $2.69 retrace test,” Casi noted, “and from there, the breakout potential increases dramatically!” If price can reclaim $2.25 on expanding volume and then retest it as support, the chart leaves an unobstructed lane toward the 2.618 extension at $2.296—effectively $2.30—and, by projection, the $2.69 Fibonacci target that would complete the measured-move roadmap Casi is tracking. Related Reading: XRP To $30 Beyond 2026? Analyst Reveals Key BTC Ratio To Watch Momentum, however, is not yet offering a clean green light. The lower pane shows a 14-period RSI capped by its own descending trendline that has compressed every rally since 24 June. With the oscillator printing 46.24 (signal) versus 43.59 (base line) at the time of the screenshot, the gauge is climbing but still mid-range. A marginal higher high in price paired with a lower high in RSI would etch a textbook bearish divergence—an outcome Casi told one follower he is “expecting to set up” if XRP pierces $2.25 before consolidating anew. “I think this next high will form a bearish div,” he added. “The RSI is telling me it’s about to set that up.” In short, the token is balanced on a knife-edge: the bull case hinges on the integrity of the $2.145–$2.186 support complex and a breakout through $2.25, while the bear case rests on trendline failure and an RSI divergence confirming upside exhaustion. With liquidity thinning into the weekend, the resolution of this narrow consolidation could shape the next wave—whether that proves to be the ignition of a larger third impulse or the start of a deeper corrective detour. As Casi put it, “This is the kind of price action you want to see if XRP is serious about continuing this new trend to the upside.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.19. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The cryptocurrency market’s sharp retracement may be approaching its denouement, according to prominent trader and YouTuber CryptoInsightUK, who told his followers on 23 June that XRP is “really flipping close” to completing the final leg of a corrective structure that began in early April. Final Trap Or Final Chance For XRP? In his latest video analysis, the analyst sketched a scenario in which Bitcoin grinds lower toward the $92,000–$95,000 liquidity pocket “to sweep the last standing bids,” dragging major altcoins with it. “We’ve had the extra bit of flush down that we were talking about and looking for,” he said, noting that Bitcoin already wicked to $98,200 but has yet to produce the higher-low/higher-high sequence or the bullish RSI divergence that stamped the April capitulation bottom. “I think we’re close to a bottom. I don’t quite think we’re there.” Related Reading: XRP To $30 Beyond 2026? Analyst Reveals Key BTC Ratio To Watch XRP, he argues, is tracing the same pattern at a different scale. The 4-hour chart shows a conspicuous liquidity shelf at $1.89 and a deeper block stretching to $1.73. “In a world where Bitcoin does get the flush to ninety,” he observed, “could we come and take that? Yes. … Maybe $1.85, potentially on a wick.” Although he concedes a tail-risk dip toward $1.60–$1.55, that move is “not my base case.” What makes the area compelling, in CryptoInsightUK’s view, is the clustering of spot demand on each successive stab lower. He highlighted the “big red bar” of sell-side volume that marked last week’s sweep and the immediate spike in spot bids, calling it evidence of “real accumulation rather than derivative games.” Funding rates across major venues have turned modestly positive, confirming that “people are going long,” a dynamic that could yet trigger one more liquidity vacuum as over-leveraged latecomers are forced out. Related Reading: XRP Price At Risk Of 20% Crash To $1.55 If This Level Fails To Hold Springboard For $11 XRP? Technically, the trader is watching for a textbook bullish divergence: price carves a marginally lower low while the 4-hour RSI prints a higher one, mirroring the set-up that preceded April’s 140% rally. The fixed-range volume profile on Bitcoin—where the point of control sits near $97,000—offers confluence, suggesting the broader market is attempting to base on a major support shelf before rotation into altcoins. If that pattern holds, CryptoInsightUK believes XRP is positioned for a “drastic” expansionary phase that would lift the token first to the oft-cited $8 target and then, in an over-extension, to “realistically $11 to $12.” From an idealised $1.85 entry the projection implies an upside of roughly 475%. “I put my neck on the line,” he said. “Everyone’s thinking eight. I think we over-extend that a little bit.” The analyst’s conviction rests in part on his read of Bitcoin dominance, now hovering in what he calls the “reversal box.” A final push to the upper edge could spark the long-awaited altseason, he argued, with XRP—as a large-cap, high-beta play—capturing disproportionate flows once Bitcoin volatility subsides. At press time, XRP traded at $2.1781. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The market technician known on X as Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) has published a post that condenses years of his XRP/BTC work into one number—2,041 satoshis—and a set of time-stamped price targets that reach as high as $30 per XRP once Bitcoin hits $270,000. In the post, the analyst begins with a sharp rebuke of critics who, in his words, “pretend to be idiots just to troll” before pivoting to a rigorously structured roadmap. He breaks price action into five nested horizons—intraday, daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly—and assigns each its own decision-making role. XRP Moon Scenario: $30 Target Needs One Final Signal The crux of the argument is that monthly price candles must be read in isolation from what he calls the “noise” of the lower frames if traders want to understand where serious accumulation or distribution is taking place. “Bullish target: ~$4–4.5 (3.5 K sats on 120–130 K BTC). Very bullish target: ~$18–30 (7 K–12 K sats / 270 K BTC).” Those levels are not merely numeric goals; they are the by-product of a ratio he views as structural. A monthly close below 2,041 satoshis would, paradoxically, increase his confidence in the “very bullish” path—but only “very long term (2026+),” because such a breakdown would probably trigger what he calls a flush toward 1,800, 1,500 or even 700 sats first. Conversely, a defense of that shelf preserves a less spectacular—but cleaner—advance toward 3,500 sats (~$4–4.50 at current six-figure Bitcoin prices) and keeps alive the 7,000-to-12,000-satoshi objective for the extended cycle top. Related Reading: XRP Daily New Addresses Plunge 80% In 2025 — Bearish On-Chain Metrics Raise Alarm The thread’s most practical value may lie in its explanation of why no immediate weekly up-trend should be expected even in the “most bullish” scenario. Dr Cat points to classic Ichimoku conditions—Chikou Span under price, a downward-angled Kijun-sen and a bearish Tenkan/Kijun cross—arguing that history shows it can take “~26 weeks at least” for those signals to unwind. Any rally toward 2,700 sats in the next couple of months would therefore be viewed as a Kijun retest ripe for rejection rather than the start of a sustained breakout. The analyst also clarifies a point that has caused confusion among casual readers: his $270,000 Bitcoin estimate is a macro-cycle cap, not a near-term forecast. He explicitly states that he expects the current market cycle to “extend to 2026 and beyond,” which is why the loftiest XRP numbers sit at the far right of his timeline. Everything, he insists, flows from the ratio between the two assets, not from dollar-denominated targets considered in isolation. Related Reading: ‘Out of Time’: XRP Consolidation Hits Final Moment, Analyst Alerts Context comes in the form of a brief exchange with a skeptic posting under the handle “Woo tard of Wall St”, who mocked the notion of a $7 XRP at 270,000 BTC. Dr Cat’s reply—delivered without diluting his language—underscores how strongly he views the time-horizon mismatch between traders who obsess over daily candles and those who plot quarterly swings. Technicians may quibble with the assumption that one static ratio can govern a three-year outlook, but the post offers a coherent, internally consistent playbook: watch the monthly close against 2,041 sats. Hold it, and the roadmap favors an eventual attack on 3,500 sats and, later, 7,000-plus. Lose it, and the pair probably capitulates before any “monster move” can emerge in the second half of the decade. Either outcome, Dr Cat argues, will resolve whether the XRP narrative of under-performance finally gives way to what would be its most spectacular out-performance against Bitcoin since 2017. For market participants seeking a single data point to anchor their risk management, 2,041 satoshis now functions as that fulcrum. Until the monthly candle prints, every tick above or below the line will feed the debate over whether XRP is coiling for a generational breakout—or simply rehearsing another round of disappointment. At press time, XRP traded at $2.01. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
CryptoInsightUK’s latest market briefing arrives with the sound of literal hammer blows next door, an accidental soundtrack to the pounding he expects traders to take before the next rally. In a thirteen–minute walkthrough of XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum liquidity maps, the British analyst argues that the market is staging what he calls “a deliberate trap” designed to flush out weak hands, harvest stop-loss orders and maximise upside leverage for larger players—leaving retail participants “screaming, ‘Yay, we’re going to the upside,’ … only to find out they’ve been played.” The Trap Is Set, Warns XRP Trader He begins with XRP’s five-month down-channel that started at the New-Year peak, noting that price continues to hug the underside of a descending trend line. “We’re stuck below that trend line basically looking to see if this liquidity is going to get taken below us. My obvious opinion is that it is,” he says, underscoring the conviction that a sweep of resting bids below remains the path of least resistance. The flush, he contends, would “make our journey to the upside much better and much easier to navigate,” because it would reset funding, scare out late longs and reload the order book for what he still calls the next “parabolic expansion probably up towards the $8 to $12 region.” Related Reading: ‘Out of Time’: XRP Consolidation Hits Final Moment, Analyst Alerts The trap, however, may not be a straightforward vertical collapse. Charts, he reminds viewers, “love doing something like” an initial breakout that rallies 15-20%, convinces traders the bear-phase is finished, and then abruptly reverses into the deep liquidity pocket below. “That’s exactly how higher-highs-and-higher-lows type situations are supposed to get you frustrated,” he says, openly conceding that the pattern looks engineered. The phrase he never uses—manipulation—hovers unspoken over the analysis, but his rhetoric leaves little doubt: “This is how they test everybody.” Bitcoin, in his narrative, may serve as the decoy that sets the trap. The benchmark asset has already slipped out of its own wedge-like consolidation and, he observes, “does like to do this sort of thing” by staging premature upside breaks. He sketches a possible march toward $115,000 that would “delay the inevitable” and then give way to a liquidity hunt of its own. Even so, his mid-cycle price band for Bitcoin remains $150,000 to $220,000. That upside, he argues, justifies dollar-cost-averaging into altcoins even while keeping “a tiny bit of dry powder” in reserve for the washout he expects. Related Reading: XRP 5-Wave Count Shows When The Price Will Hit All-Time Highs Above $5 A more elaborate scenario involves a temporary dominance surge in Bitcoin to the 66 to 74% range. As Bitcoin siphons capital, alts such as XRP would “bleed out,” take the downside liquidity target, and only then reverse as cash rotates back into their order books. He illustrates the dance on twin TradingView panels—Bitcoin on the left, XRP on the right—before concluding that the rotational setup is “not highly likely” because it requires several macro-scale dominoes to fall in sequence. Still, he refuses to dismiss it, pointing to the strategic reserve bill in Washington as the sort of narrative catalyst that could spark a temporary Bitcoin-only rally and demoralise alt-holders. Macro-risk flickers through the commentary—wars that could “shove us down” in the near term—but he treats geopolitical stress as a catalyst for final capitulation rather than a thesis-killer. “The upside is so large it almost can’t be ignored,” he insists, framing the present chop as a high-volatility pause before a structural up-leg. Whether that leg begins only after a full flush or emerges from yet another fake-out remains uncertain, but the analyst’s message is unmistakable: traders who chase breakouts without accounting for hidden hands risk being liquidated first, spectators to the parabola they hoped to ride. For now he is content to wait “for the market to do its worst trick,” believing that the final shakeout will announce itself through a sudden, depth-piercing wick. “You’re being played,” he warns. The admonition is stark: if the playbook unfolds as expected, the pain will be quick. “If we get these levels, that’s where I’m putting the last bit of my dry powder in[…]. It’s $1.80-ish, $1.90 maybe.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.16. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP bulls appear to be facing one last test of conviction before the market’s next explosive phase, according to CryptoInsightUK’s video analysis released on 16 June. The British analyst argues that the token is sculpting an inverse head-and-shoulders formation whose right shoulder “still needs to form around the high-$1.80s” before any sustained rally can commence. How Low Must XRP Go? In the broadcast, he emphasised that “dense liquidity is below us,” pointing to a confluence of resting bids and stop-loss clusters between roughly $1.92 and $1.80. “I still think it comes down to make the right shoulder which is around 1.88,” he said, adding that a swift wash-out into that pocket would “flush the lows, tap in there and send it.” At present, XRP is changing hands near $2.24, up about 3% over the past 24 hours, which implies a prospective drawdown of roughly 20% if the market fulfills his downside scenario. From the analyst’s vantage point, such a retreat is less a cause for alarm than a prerequisite for the next major leg higher: “If we come down first, we’ve done the downside part. Otherwise I’m still going to be worried about going down even if we come up to $2.42 or higher.” Related Reading: What Are The Implications For XRP If Ripple Captures 14% Of SWIFT’s Volume? He linked the bearish short-term bias to structural forces beyond the XRP Ledger’s ecosystem. Bitcoin dominance, he noted, has crept toward a historical inflection zone that previously triggered alt-seasons: “Anywhere in this box could be the start of alt-season… That would probably coincide with Bitcoin dropping to between $100,000 and $93,000.” A dominance spike fed by a late-cycle Bitcoin dip, he argued, would typically inflict outsized percentage losses on major altcoins—including XRP—before liquidity rotates back into them. Within XRP’s own order book, CryptoInsightUK highlighted a “liquidity vacuum” created by May’s capitulation candle. Although the token has since retraced most of that single-session collapse, he described the rebound as “choppy corrective price action,” lacking the conviction and volume that accompanied earlier impulse waves. The right-shoulder flush, in his view, would neutralise residual leverage, particularly among traders who re-loaded longs too aggressively during the $2.15–$2.40 bounce. How High Can XRP Explode? The inverse head-and-shoulders thesis also features prominently on his long-range chart, stretching back to mid-May. The analyst first published the pattern on X, showing a left shoulder near $2.42, a head at $1.47, and a neckline just above $2.50. Completing a symmetrical right shoulder near $1.88 would, by classical pattern-measuring rules, project an upside target above $3.50—a level not visited since late-2021’s cycle top. Related Reading: Still Sleeping On XRP? Analyst Says $8 Breakout Is ‘Just Waiting’ Liquidity dynamics across the broader market reinforce his caution. Open interest in perpetual swaps for Ether, he observed, remains “as high as it’s ever been,” suggesting that any sudden drop in majors could spark a forced-liquidation cascade across altcoin pairs. “These people will be flushed out,” he warned, calling attention to negative-funding episodes that hint at an overcrowded short base waiting to be squeezed—once the final downside pocket has been filled. Despite the near-term jitters, CryptoInsightUK reiterated a resolutely bullish macro stance. “The next stage I’m most certain about is that we’re going to go significantly higher for crypto,” he told viewers. Drawing parallels with gold’s record weekly close, he argued that an undercurrent of global risk aversion is quietly supporting non-sovereign stores of value, positioning both Bitcoin and XRP for accelerated appreciation once the technical reset concludes. For long-term holders, his advice was unequivocal: avoid wholesale portfolio shifts and instead treat any sub-$2.00 wick as a final accumulation window. “Dollar-cost averaging from here is a good thing to do,” he said, revealing that 97% of his own capital remains in spot positions, with only a single-digit percentage reserved for surgical bids in the $1.80–$1.92 zone. Whether XRP respects that script will become clear in the days ahead. Should the market indeed sweep into the high-$1.80s and rebound with the aggressive thrust the analyst expects, the right shoulder will be complete—and the runway clear—for the long-awaited take-off. At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a livestream on June 15, crypto analyst Cantonese Cat delivered a firm verdict on XRP’s prolonged consolidation: don’t be fooled by the sideways drift. Despite trading in a tight range for over half a year, the chart veteran argued XRP is building energy for a powerful move, one that could take it as high as $6 to $8 once it breaks out of its multi-month technical cage. XRP To $8? “This thing has been going sideways for seven months,” he said. “But the entire time, it’s just hugging this GAN line.” He referred to a long-standing monthly Gann arc structure that XRP has been grinding against since late 2024. In his interpretation, the repeated tests of that arc—combined with price holding above key support zones—signal strength rather than weakness. “It’s just waiting for its thing,” he added, implying that the eventual move could be sharp and sudden. Related Reading: XRP Price Still On Track For $1.5T Market Cap And 27% Crypto Market Dominance Cantonese Cat highlighted that the current price action is sitting just beneath the next major Gann resistance level, which aligns closely with a Fibonacci extension target between $6 and $8. That arc, he believes, will be the trigger. “I think the next level is going to end up breaking up to the GAN arc up above,” he said, adding that a clean breach of this level could mark the start of XRP’s long-awaited parabolic run. He also pulled up the monthly Ichimoku Cloud, pointing out that XRP had already broken above it—a significant bullish milestone in Ichimoku analysis. “Initially it had a rejection of the Ichimoku cloud,” he explained, “and now we have a true breakout.” Most importantly, XRP has held the Tenkan and Kijun without falling back into the cloud. “This is basically a look of bullishness,” he noted, citing the textbook structure of a confirmed trend reversal. The broader structure, according to his analysis, is a classic breakout setup: a horizontal level was cleared, back-tested, and is now serving as support. “You’re basically breaking above a horizontal level here and back testing it. And so far, you’re holding it pretty convincingly.” To reinforce his thesis, he pointed to Fibonacci retracements—specifically, XRP’s behavior around the 0.86 level, which the asset has been flirting with. “If you’re able to convincingly break above 0.86 here,” he said, “then all-time high stuff could happen.” Asked by viewers why the market isn’t moving yet, he dismissed the apparent stagnation as noise. “It’s just going sideways, guys,” he said. “It’s just waiting for its thing.” In his view, the lack of momentum is not a sign of weakness, but rather a signal that XRP is compressing in a low-volatility zone—a typical prelude to a high-volatility expansion. “Whenever it decides to get done with this shenanigans,” he added, “it’s probably going to go up.” Despite XRP’s muted performance while other assets like Bitcoin and Solana have captured headlines, Cantonese Cat made clear that he sees no structural damage on the chart. Quite the opposite: he views the persistent adherence to long-term support levels, especially on the monthly timeframe, as an indication that XRP is simply coiling beneath resistance. Related Reading: XRP Has A 70% Shot To Beat Bitcoin, Says Analyst In a cycle increasingly defined by breakout-driven flows and rotational capital, he framed XRP’s dormancy not as a failure, but as a delayed opportunity. “Still holding the Tenkan and Kijun just fine,” he said. “This is what bullish looks like.” The analyst didn’t offer a date, but was blunt about the price levels to watch. If XRP clears the monthly Gann arc and maintains strength above the 0.86 Fibonacci zone, the $6–$8 range comes into play—levels that would not only exceed previous all-time highs, but also flip sentiment from apathy to euphoria in a matter of weeks. Until then, he warned, XRP’s breakout might not announce itself loudly. But when it comes, few will be positioned. “Still sleeping on XRP?” he asked. “You might want to wake up soon.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.20 Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has slipped above the descending trendline that had repelled every rally since February, yet derivatives positioning suggests the apparent breakout may still end with a shake-out, according to independent market technician CasiTrades. The four-hour Binance chart shows the token gravitating around $2.32, fractionally north of the wedge’s upper boundary, but only a heartbeat away from surrendering that gain if leverage forces unwind. XRP Crash Imminent? Casi frames the set-up in Elliott-wave terms, maintaining that the January–June advance completed a wave (1) at roughly $2.70 and then corrected to $2.02 at the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, thereby sketching wave (2) against the wedge’s base. The technician argues that the new thrust above resistance could mark the birth of wave (3), although funding dynamics cloud that bullish reading. “We’re just days away from the apex of XRP’s macro consolidation and price is hovering above support, while funding quietly climbs,” she wrote on X. “That’s a dangerous combo.” Eight-hour funding rates have already reached 0.01 percent. Casi insists that if they expand to 0.02 percent without a decisive price march, algorithms will hunt the liquidity pooling beneath 2.25 dollars. “As of this morning, funding rates are ticking up to 0.01 %/8h without any meaningful breakout attempt,” she explained. Related Reading: XRP Price Forms Flag Pattern Above Accumulation Zone That Points To $5 Target “If we start to reach 0.02 % or higher with no move, it signals a high probability of a liquidity sweep to the downside.” The technician warns that such a flush would drag XRP through the reclaimed breakout level and expose $2.01, $1.90 dollars and potentially $1.55. “That puts 2.01, 1.90 and even 1.55 in play if 2.25 fails,” she cautioned, adding that the capitulation itself “would likely generate the exact momentum needed for a powerful wave 3 breakout.” The momentum backdrop remains ambivalent. The fourteen-period RSI on the same chart hovers near 62.5 yet registers lower peaks while price edges upward, hinting at a bearish divergence that often accompanies volatility spikes. Still, the break above the black trendline cannot be ignored: if sellers fail to reclaim that line swiftly, Casi’s projection of wave (3) targets $3.77 via the classic 1.618 external Fibonacci extension, with a still larger-degree objective above $4.40 dollars later this summer. Related Reading: XRP Eyes $2.50 Decision Zone As Macro Wave Structure Takes Shape Casi summarises the juncture bluntly: “Volatility is nearly inevitable. Whether it’s one last dip or a significant breakout, the next move is likely to define the rest of the summer.” Traders therefore face a binary path. Either rising funding catalyses a liquidity sweep toward $1.55 dollars before catapulting XRP higher, or the token consolidates above $2.25 and turns the nascent breakout into a springboard toward $2.69 dollars, the barrier near $3.04 and, eventually, the 3.77-dollar wave (3) objective. At press time, XRP traded at $2.25. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP changed hands at roughly $2.30 in early European trading on Tuesday, extending a two-day bounce that has pulled the token back toward the upper half of the seven-month range that has confined it between about $2.00 and $2.80 since December. Analyst Quantum Ascend argues that this compression phase is now approaching a technical fulcrum that will determine whether the next move is an impulsive wave-three surge or one final wave-two washout. XRP Tightens Into Decision Zone In a video posted on 9 June, the trader noted that “we’ve been in this range… since early December… between like $2.80 and $2.00 just bouncing the whole time,” before zooming out to show what he calls the only Elliott-wave count that “makes sense”: a completed five-wave advance from last year’s lows followed by a five-wave corrective pull-back. “Right now we’re looking at a one-two-three-four-five on the way down… that’s the macro two… and now we’re waiting on three-four-five,” he said, adding that XRP still represents about 12.5% of his portfolio despite his tactical rotation into “alts with more gas left.” Quantum Ascend’s Fibonacci mapping reveals that the token has already retraced slightly more than 50% of its preceding leg higher—a textbook depth for a second-wave correction—and that the sell-off bottomed in the price region that coincided with the fourth wave of the prior move. “Makes sense, perfect spot for us to bounce,” he told viewers after plotting the swing low against the 0.5 Fib level. Related Reading: XRP Bull Trap Incoming? Analyst Sees $2.40 Fakeout Before Painful Crash Whether that bounce blossoms into a sustained breakout, he stressed, ultimately hinges on the market leader: “I think Bitcoin’s gonna make the decision for us,” he said, pointing out that XRP’s fate remains tightly coupled to any directional conviction in BTC. Bitcoin’s own advance toward key retracement resistance could, in his view, drag major altcoins—including XRP—into their respective inflection zones. The analyst now fixes on the 0.618–0.786 Fib band, which corresponds to $2.42–$2.52, as the “decision zone.” “There’s gonna be an area that we gotta be careful of… statistically it’s the area we’re most probable to roll over… between $2.42 and $2.52,” he warned, outlining the risk that XRP forms an A-B-C zig-zag and revisits lower supports before the larger impulsive leg begins. A rejection there would map onto the classical script of a complex second wave that fakes out early longs one final time before relinquishing control to bulls. Related Reading: XRP Price Remains Bullish Above $2, This Falling Channel Says $3.8 Is Coming Macro currents may soon add fuel. XRP’s next potential volatility catalyst is the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s 17 June deadline on Franklin Templeton’s spot-XRP exchange-traded fund proposal—a ruling some desks see as the token’s analogue to January’s Bitcoin ETF moment. While ETF speculation has helped price reclaim higher ground this month, XRP remains almost a dollar below its January all-time high of $3.40, leaving the $2.42–$2.52 pocket as the most technically significant hurdle in the short term. For now, traders will watch whether the current advance can print a daily close inside—or better, above—that corridor. A clean break would validate Quantum Ascend’s wave-three thesis and open the charts to measured moves targeting the mid-$3s. Failure, by contrast, risks a final capitulation toward the lower-$2 region before the larger bull structure can re-assert itself. Whatever the outcome, the analyst remains sanguine: “Whether it rolls over here one more time and we have to be patient or it just goes—that’s okay, because either way the end result is going to be the same.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.28. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Pseudonymous analyst CryptoInsightUK has warned that the next major move for XRP could be a trap. In a video published on June 8, the analyst outlined a scenario where XRP surges toward $2.30–$2.40 in the short term—only to reverse violently into a sharp liquidity flush before any sustainable breakout occurs. XRP Bull Trap Looming? “I think XRP goes to sub-$2.0. I really do,” he said, adding: “It could come and sweep the highs here… could come up to like what, $2.30, and then push us down. That would be more pain for everyone, ‘cause everyone’s going to think we’re going to the upside.” The setup he describes is based on market structure and liquidity dynamics, particularly the buildup of resting orders beneath XRP’s current range. “This here is a concern, a real concern for me,” he said, referring to the growing pool of liquidity below current prices. According to his internal models, such liquidity zones are statistically touched “80% of the time.” Related Reading: XRP Must Crash First—Then Comes The $10 Rally, Says Analyst “Someone’s trying to trick someone here,” he warned. “I’m cautious.” Despite his near-total XRP allocation—he states he’s “95%+, probably more like 98%” positioned in XRP—CryptoInsightUK emphasized that he’s not rooting for a correction. “I don’t want it to come down,” he said. “I’m just showing you what I see.” The analyst proposed multiple structural paths: one in which XRP immediately breaks out, and another where it briefly rallies to sweep local highs before flushing downward to form a bullish divergence. “We’re in a range right now,” he said. “Do we come up, sweep the highs, then take the lows and go?” He elaborated on the bullish divergence pattern he is watching, where price forms a lower low while the RSI (Relative Strength Index) prints a higher low—a setup he uses to identify bottoming structures. “That’s what I would like to see,” he explained. Broader Macro Conditions Still Supportive Despite the bearish tactical setup, the video struck an upbeat macro tone. Will cited four near-term catalysts: the Genius Act on stablecoin oversight, the imminent filing deadline in the SEC’s remedies phase against Ripple, the July decision window for a spot-XRP ETF proposal, and a renewed expectation of accommodative fiscal policy sparked by last week’s televised Trump-Musk dialogue. “What this really tells us is there’s going to be money printing,” he argued. “Assets all over are going to explode to the upside and, for the other specific reasons, XRP probably does even better.” Turning to Bitcoin, the analyst observed an ongoing decline in trading volume, suggesting indecision or exhaustion. “There’s been no volume. There’s been nothing,” he said of recent BTC price action. Related Reading: XRP Wave Structure Predicts Wild Fluctuations On Its Way To $4 ATH He highlighted a CME futures gap around $92,000–$93,000 and added that fixed range volume analysis points to a possible pullback zone at $96,000–$97,000. “It’s probably coming imminently, maybe this week,” he said of a potential correction, projecting a scenario where BTC dips into this range before resuming its upward trajectory. “Does this mean we squeeze to the upside or come down and take this low and put in that bullish divergence structure?” he asked, noting a similar divergence setup at $75,000 earlier this year. XRP Spot Activity Raises Red Flags In the final hour before the video, XRP had “squeezed up with some volume,” but the analyst urged caution. While open interest had risen sharply, funding remained green—suggesting net long positioning—and aggregate premium had turned red. “This indicates to me that even though there are still some shorts coming in, more longs than shorts have entered,” he said. He warned that this imbalance could cause a sharp move lower if the market fails to hold current levels. “If we do now come down and lose this low, expect a more aggressive, faster move to the downside,” he said, pointing to the risk of liquidating leveraged positions. XRP’s relative performance against ETH and BTC also came under review. While it had begun testing resistance zones, neither the XRP/ETH nor the XRP/BTC charts had decisively broken out. “We could still be in this range chopping about,” he cautioned. “Could lose strength until we start to see some confirmations to the upside.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto Insight UK has doubled down on a forecast that XRP must endure one last, violent shakeout before launching toward a long-awaited $10 milestone. In his latest video, the British analyst warned that “the most dense liquidity I’ve seen in a long time for XRP” still sits uncollected beneath current spot prices. Until that pool is swept, he argues, the market will not unlock the upside move he ultimately expects to carry the token into double-digit territory. XRP Needs One Last Flush “XRP didn’t come down as low as we wanted,” he told viewers. “It did hit the first key area of liquidity, but it didn’t take it all. That makes me think we’ve got continued downside.” In his own trading plan, the analyst has resting bids at roughly $2.01 and $1.95—a zone he believes will be tested once leveraged longs capitulate. Only after that “final flush,” he contends, can a rally toward $10 begin in earnest. The call comes amid broader cross-asset strength that has so far failed to translate into a sustained altcoin breakout. Silver is challenging decade-old highs near $36 an ounce, uranium contracts are pressing their recent peaks, and the Nasdaq Composite remains within sight of its all-time high. Yet despite what he calls “a broad-based commodities rally,” the analyst maintains that crypto still needs one more washout to clear residual excess. Related Reading: What Happens To The XRP Price If The 2017 Fractal Plays Out Again? Macro-political drama, he suggests, is only accelerating that process. He cited the public clash between Elon Musk and US president Donald Trump—sparked by Trump’s proposal for a four-trillion-dollar spending bill and Musk’s claim that Trump’s name appears in sealed Epstein files—as a narrative that briefly rattled risk markets. “If it brings the price to where I want it to go, fantastic,” he said dryly. “That’s all we’re looking at here.” On Ethereum he sees a similar dynamic. Open interest in ETH futures remains at all-time highs, a sign in his view that institutions are accumulating spot while shorting derivatives to hedge—a trade that could unwind violently should ETH pierce the $2,800 level. “When we get this squeeze to the upside,” he predicted, “we’ll see a fast move back toward all-time highs for ETH, probably toward $4,500 before you know it.” Related Reading: The Worst Case For XRP This Cycle? Just A Giga Rally To $19, Says Analyst Bitcoin, for its part, has already waded into the analyst’s preferred liquidity zone just above $100,000. Whether the flagship asset needs another dip, he said, is less important than what happens to its dominance. A brief surge in bitcoin market share toward 65.5% would, in his model, coincide with an XRP capitulation and set the stage for “crazy season,” his shorthand for a full-blown altcoin cycle. The hinge is XRP liquidity. Viewers were shown heat-map snapshots highlighting concentrated stop-loss orders beneath the May swing low. “People came long here after they thought, ‘Oh, the bottom’s in.’ That’s added to this liquidity below us,” he said. Until that layer is removed, he remains “80% sure” that price will probe lower—even though his own portfolio is almost entirely in spot XRP. “I’m on the side of wanting it to go,” he acknowledged. “If it goes up now, I’m happy. But I’d be highly surprised if we don’t get that push down.” Still, his end-point is unequivocally bullish. Once the liquidity has been harvested, he foresees a textbook bullish divergence on the daily relative-strength index—“lower low on price, higher low on RSI”—that would ignite what he calls the “next big push.” In that scenario, XRP would not merely revisit its 2021 peak near $3.80; it would overshoot to the analyst’s long-standing $10 target. “Let it send,” he concluded. At press time, XRP traded at $2.17. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP’s weekly structure has seldom looked as compressed as it does in the chart published this morning by independent analyst Maelius. The view pulls data from the BITSTAMP feed and applies a 50-period exponential moving average (EMA) in blue, currently tracking at roughly $1.78. This XRP Chart Screams 2017 Price is perched above that dynamic support zone at $2.25, adding 3.33% so far in the present weekly candle, and has spent the past four months knitting out what the analyst calls a “giga bull flag.” The flag is defined by a sequence of progressively lower weekly highs that stop just short of the $3.40 line and higher swing-lows that bottom near $1.61, creating a converging wedge whose lower edge and the rising EMA50 now coincide. Maelius overlays the 2017 XRP advance—scaled to the current log axis—to illustrate why the pattern matters. In the previous cycle the token erupted vertically once the flag was resolved, blasting from sub-dollar prices to a peak above $3.00 in a matter of weeks. Related Reading: XRP Sell-Off Rumors Swirl After Expert Questions Ripple’s War Chest The black schematic sketched on the right-hand margin recreates that move and projects it forward: once consolidation ends, the fractal implies a breakout first through the $4 shelf and ultimately into the double-digit territory. The label “XRP 2017” is pinned to the $19 mark, the level where the composite trace tops out on this overlay. Momentum data beneath the chart reinforce the comparison. The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) printed two pronounced peaks in the 2017 run, separated by a flat plateau; Maelius has marked those crests “1” and “2” on both the historical section and the current range. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says XRP Community Should Pay Attention To June 4-6, Here’s Why The first modern-cycle surge sent RSI briefly into the high-80s earlier this year and has since cooled back toward the mid-40s, a zone the analyst shades “FLAT.” An arrow then extends toward the mid-90s, signalling that Maelius expects at least one more momentum pulse before the structure is exhausted. From a purely technical perspective the most immediate levels to watch are the upper flag boundary near $2.50 and the EMA-anchored support around $1.80. A weekly close above the former would complete the flag and open the way to the $4.40 and $6.00 horizontals visible on the price scale, while a decisive break below $1.80 would invalidate the pattern and leave the market leaning on the $1.30 cluster where the EMA turned higher last year. Crucially, the analyst frames his outlook in risk-aware terms: even the “worst-case” scenario he sketches still includes one final impulse wave. “Worst case is there is only 1 impulse left. Bearish, right?!” he writes. As always, traders will be looking for confirmation from volume and broader market sentiment before treating the fractal as more than an instructive historical rhyme, but the chart makes clear that a single weekly candle settling above the $2.50 handle could be all it takes to remind participants of how quickly XRP has moved in the past. At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALLE, chart from TradingView.com
The daily XRP chart has slipped back into a state of suspended animation just when bulls needed decisive follow-through, according to the Ichimoku-centric assessment shared by crypto strategist Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX). “I would be surprised to see $3, let alone ATH in June,” the analyst wrote after posting the chart, lamenting that “the window of opportunity was missed” for both the dollar and Bitcoin pairs. XRP Bulls Miss Their Shot The chart Dr Cat circulated shows XRP-USD grinding along the lower edge of the kumo around $2.14 after a failed attempt to reclaim the flat Kijun-sen that has flattened near $2.35. Price action pierced the cloud top in early May on robust volume, but follow-through stalled and the token has now printed two consecutive closes back inside the cloud. The Tenkan-sen has curled beneath the Kijun-sen, signalling waning short-term momentum, while the Chikou span (lagging line) is trapped in overlapping candles—classic signs of neutrality rather than outright weakness, yet miles away from the bullish alignment required for an explosive trend. Dr Cat argues that Ichimoku bull markets do not emerge spontaneously; they “take a lot of time and effort,” typically at least one full 26-period rotation, to rebuild after a failed attack. “If the window of opportunity is missed and these conditions are not utilized, it’s not a good sign,” he cautioned, adding that the most optimistic scenario now implies “at least 1 standard 26-candles cycle to retry.” On a daily chart that translates to roughly a month, leaving any breakout attempt realistically postponed to July or August and, if momentum continues to lag, potentially November. Related Reading: XRP Multi-Timeframe Breakdown: Here’s What Comes Next Lower-timeframe data paint a harsher picture. The analyst points to “consistent selling pressure on lower medium timeframes without any sign of strength,” noting that XRP/BTC has sunk to the 2041-satoshi monthly support and is failing to bounce. The 2041 level—the exact value where the cloud thins dramatically later in the year—has become the fulcrum for Dr Cat’s broader thesis: if it holds through summer, the token could launch a thinner-cloud break in November when “the XRPBTC kumo is very thin and easy to break.” The medium-term stakes are clear on the weekly template, where Dr Cat says “there is nothing bullish.” The weekly kumo is widening in front of price, while the Tenkan-Kijun bear cross remains unresolved. Because trend-following traders typically want to see candle bodies and the Chikou span clear both the cloud and historical price structure, the current setup offers few immediate catalysts. Even so, the monthly view retains a more constructive look on the USD pair—a reminder that secular strength is not altogether lost, merely dormant. In the near term, the analyst sees a real danger of cascading toward $1.89, a price zone that coincides with the flat bottom of April’s cloud twist and a visible shelf of historical volume accumulation. Should that level give way, the chart offers scant support until the $1.70 region where the March spike tail began. Related Reading: XRP Set To Explode—But Only After This Plunge, Analyst Says Despite the downbeat tone Dr Cat stops short of declaring a bear market. “The good news is that 3D is still NOT ready to trend bearish at all on the USD pair,” he wrote, underscoring that closing prices have not yet delivered a decisive shift below the three-day Kijun-sen. If the token can hold cloud support into July, another push toward the upper cloud boundary near $2.40 could materialise. Only a clean break above that level, accompanied by a bullish Tenkan-Kijun cross and a Chikou span that punches above historical price, would force a reassessment of the $3 ceiling before year-end. For now, however, the roadmap remains one of patience. “All in all, my most bullish case expectation for June is neutral price action below ATH,” Dr Cat reiterated, positioning November—when the cloud on the XRP/BTC pair narrows to its thinnest width in years—as the next credible launch window. Until then, traders eyeing a resurgence must watch that 2041-satoshi floor and be prepared for several more weeks of sideways drift—or a sudden downside probe toward $1.89—before the larger trend declares its verdict. At press time, XRP traded at $2.17. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP may be on the verge of a major upside breakout—but only after what crypto analyst Quantum Ascent describes as a necessary and temporary correction. In a new video analysis published on May 28, the seasoned trader warned that a drop toward the $2.13 level appears increasingly likely, but emphasized that such a move fits within a larger bullish Elliott Wave structure and would not invalidate the macro setup. XRP Set To Plunge Before Exploding Higher? “I said $2.71 was on deck—and we hit $2.66,” Quantum Ascent recalled, referencing a prediction made earlier in May. “I was five cents off. But now, it looks like we’re in a bit of a correction. I’m a little thrown off by the wave count here.” The confusion, he explained, stems from the structure of what appears to be a completed five-wave move. While the third wave in an Elliott Wave pattern is typically the longest, the analyst noted inconsistencies in the current formation that warrant a deeper technical review. Still, the overall structure—particularly on the weekly chart—remains intact. “You can see one-two-three-four-five on the weekly,” he said. “That’s printing a macro one-two. And the third wave should get us going here out of this area.” Related Reading: XRP Bull Flag Targets $18: Analyst Sees 70% Chance Of Breakout Zooming into the 12-hour and daily timeframes, Quantum Ascent pointed to an ABC corrective pattern now likely unfolding, with the C wave projected to equal the A wave in length. According to his measurement, this points to a downside target of $2.12–$2.13, which aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the previous impulse wave and also coincides with the fourth wave of the prior move—often a zone of strong support. “For me, that looks really good as a spot for us to kind of chill out. Maybe consolidate sideways a little bit,” he said. “But I do expect the next move to be up.” He was adamant that a breakdown below $2.13 would not constitute a structural failure: “I find it really hard to think XRP’s gonna go below $2 here on this move. It could technically—and still nothing would be broken. We’re still just looking for a one-two, and the two could come down here if it wanted.” Related Reading: XRP To $12: Analyst Reveals What Could Trigger The Breakout Quantum Ascent also highlighted XRP’s comparative strength relative to the broader crypto market, noting that it had recently set a higher high earlier than most altcoins. “Structurally on the larger time frame, XRP is holding up a lot stronger than the rest of the market.” The analyst, who disclosed that he originally bought XRP around $0.50 and sold a large portion above $3, said he remains long-term bullish and continues to hold XRP as a core part of his portfolio. “This thing has been good to me,” he said. “Again, I see a drop down temporarily—but it’s just that. It’s temporary.” For now, all eyes remain on the $2.13 level. If XRP holds that zone and confirms support, Quantum Ascent believes a new bullish wave 4 could soon begin—one that takes the token above the $2.80 mark. At press time, XRP traded at $2.29. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com