XRP is facing one of its most challenging moments in recent months as selling pressure accelerates and the broader crypto market slips into a risk-off environment. Bitcoin’s collapse below key psychological levels has dragged altcoins with it, and XRP has not been spared. Analysts are increasingly warning that the market may be entering a bear phase, pointing to tightening liquidity conditions, rising global economic uncertainty, and a sharp decline in investor appetite for risk assets. Related Reading: Ethereum Approaches Historical Accumulation Level – Just 8% Away From LTH Cost Basis What makes XRP’s situation more fragile is the growing number of holders sitting on unrealized losses. On-chain data reveals that many late buyers — particularly those who entered after the ETF announcement and during the previous rally — are now underwater as the price continues to slide. This top-heavy market structure is creating pressure on holders, amplifying sell-side momentum as fear spreads. The macro backdrop is adding fuel to the fire. With global markets adjusting to rate volatility, geopolitical tensions, and tightening dollar liquidity, capital is flowing out of speculative assets. XRP’s price is now caught at a crossroads: either it stabilizes at key support zones and absorbs the panic selling, or a deeper correction unfolds. XRP Supply in Profit Signals Structural Fragility According to new data from Glassnode, XRP’s market structure is weakening significantly as the latest sell-off unfolds. The share of XRP supply currently in profit has fallen to 58.5%, marking its lowest reading since November 2024, when XRP traded at just $0.53. Despite today’s far higher price — around $2.15, nearly four times last year’s level — an alarming 41.5% of the circulating supply remains at a loss. That represents roughly 26.5 billion XRP sitting underwater. This divergence highlights a critical issue: the market has become top-heavy, dominated by investors who entered late into the rally and bought at elevated price levels. These holders are now feeling acute pressure as prices retrace. Making the XRP supply distribution more fragile and increasing the probability of panic-driven selling. Historically, such setups often lead to accelerated downside movement unless strong demand steps in. The fact that so much supply is in the red even at current elevated prices suggests that speculative flows, rather than long-term conviction, fueled the previous surge. As these late buyers face losses, sell pressure can intensify, feeding into a vicious cycle of liquidation. Related Reading: $14B In Stablecoins Minted Since October Crash: Liquidity Returning To Crypto XRP Price Analysis: Testing Critical Support Levels XRP continues to struggle as selling pressure intensifies, with the chart showing a clear downtrend forming since early October. The price is now trading around $2.18, hovering just above a key horizontal support zone that has been tested multiple times throughout the year. Each bounce from this region has grown weaker, suggesting diminishing buyer strength and rising vulnerability to a deeper breakdown. The moving averages reinforce this weakening structure. XRP is trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day MAs, with all three beginning to curl downward. A classic sign of trend deterioration. The failed attempt to reclaim the 50-day MA in early November marked a significant shift, as sellers quickly regained control and pushed the price lower. Volume spikes during downswings further confirm that distribution is ongoing. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Expands Position By 36,437 ETH – Bringing Total To $1.34B Additionally, the lower highs forming since the September peak signal that bulls are losing momentum. Each rally attempt is being sold into faster, and the wick rejections near the $2.50–$2.60 region highlight strong overhead resistance. If XRP loses the current support band, the next liquidity pocket sits near $1.70–$1.80, where buyers previously defended aggressively. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows Dogecoin and XRP have recently been seeing the sharpest decreases in Supply in Profit out of the major cryptocurrencies. Dogecoin & XRP Have Seen A Notable Drop In Profitability During Last 30 Days In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the latest trend in the Supply in Profit for the major assets in the cryptocurrency sector. Related Reading: Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Approaches Neutral As BTC Recovers To $85,000 The “Supply in Profit” here is an indicator that keeps track of the percentage of the total circulating supply of a given digital asset that’s being held at some net unrealized profit. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each coin on the network to see what price it was last moved at. If this previous transfer value of any token was less than the current spot price, then that particular coin is assumed to be sitting on a profit right now. The Supply in Profit adds up all coins of this type and determines what part of the supply that they make up for. An alternate indicator known as the Supply in Loss takes into account for the supply of the opposite type. The value of the Supply in Loss can also simply be calculated by subtracting the Supply in Profit from 100, as the total supply must add up to a 100%. Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) of the Supply in Profit for eight cryptocurrencies over the last few months: As is visible in the above graph, Toncoin (TON) and BNB (BNB) have seen the Supply in Profit go through a significant increase recently. Over the last 30 days, TON has seen an additional 23.8% of the supply get into the green, taking the total to a whopping 94.1%. Similarly, BNB has seen a rise of 17.4%, putting the metric at 86.3%. On the other end of the spectrum are Dogecoin (DOGE), XRP (XRP), and Solana (SOL), with each registering a notable decrease in the indicator. Below is a chart that filters out the other assets to focus on the curves for these coins. With the decrease, XRP has seen another 5.2% of its supply fall into a loss to take the total Supply in Profit to 81.5%. Dogecoin has seen an almost double digit decrease in the metric, but a majority of its coins are still above water as the indicator sits at 53.6%. Solana hasn’t been so lucky, however, as despite a decline of just 4.4%, only 35.2% of the the cryptocurrency’s supply is currently holding a gain. From one perspective, though, this development may not actually be so bad for SOL. Generally, profit-sellers are what impede bullish moves, but when there aren’t many investors left in gain anymore, the price tends to bottom out. Related Reading: Dogecoin Breaking These Levels Could Be The Catalyst For Next Bull Run, Analyst With Solana and even Dogecoin sitting on a relatively low level of profit supply, it’s possible that their prices could be near a rebound. DOGE Price At the time of writing, Dogecoin is floating around $0.173, down more than 11% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com