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XRP may need as many as five macro cycles to push beyond $100, according to a chart shared by analyst TARA, known on X as @PrecisionTrade3, who outlined a long-range roadmap that places the token’s first nine-figure milestone far beyond the current market structure. In the post, TARA said the projection was built around price targets rather than a calendar. “Keep in mind that I measured for price only, NOT time. I used only the textbook/conservative targets and as the cycles develop, each of these targets will be adjusted with the actuals,” the analyst wrote. “This is how many MACRO cycles it could take before XRP breaks $100. Many waves, many corrections, many years.” The Projected Path Above $100 For XRP The chart (12-month XRP/USDT Binance pair) maps out a staircase of cycle tops beginning with a completed Cycle 1 target at $3.65. From there, the model points to roughly $8.68 for Cycle 2, about $22.50 for Cycle 3, nearly $59 for Cycle 4, and around $153 for Cycle 5. On that framework, XRP does not clear $100 until the fifth major leg higher. Related Reading: This XRP Level Is ‘Where Everything Changes,’ Analyst Says That immediately pushed the conversation toward timing. One commenter asked whether failing to reach $8 yet means the market is still in Cycle 2 and could therefore need “20 years plus” to reach triple digits. TARA did not commit to a precise window but suggested the path could still be lengthy at the present pace. “Yea maybe 10 years at the current rate… hard to tell… and of course SO many factors can accelerate these cycles. Price targets would remain though- it would just move through the cycle much faster.” The thread also made clear that the analyst is not calling for a straight-line move higher. When asked whether XRP could go directly from the $8.68 area to the $22.50 region, TARA said a correction would still be required, adding that a conservative retracement back toward roughly $3.65 should be expected. In a follow-up, the analyst said “2 major corrections should be expected otw to $22,” reinforcing the idea that the projected path is sequential and structurally messy, not parabolic. Related Reading: XRP Gearing Up For 1,300% Rally? Analyst Sets Bold $48 Target For Next Bull Run That longer-term map sits alongside a much more cautious near-term view. In an earlier March 9 post, TARA said XRP was still stuck between two levels already being tracked, with the .618 at $1.47 acting as resistance and the .5 level at $1.33 serving as support that needed to break lower to complete the rest of the fifth wave. The analyst said the “plan has not changed,” and that the .786 support at $0.87 was still expected before XRP “takes off for Wave 3.” That bearish intermediate setup remained intact in later replies. Asked whether XRP could still drop to $0.87 before printing new all-time highs, TARA answered yes, while noting one condition that could briefly extend the upside first. “Watching this closely now bc its trying to break above $1.47,” the analyst wrote. “If it does, and depending on BTC targeting $75.4k-$79k, it could push XRP as high as the $1.88 level and then still back down to $.87.” The same reply thread put the next major resistance at $1.88 on Binance, which TARA said roughly equates to $2.02 on Coinbase because of exchange-level pricing discrepancies. On momentum, the analyst added that Bitcoin looked set to test $75,400 soon, but said XRP’s RSI was not “breaking out,” a sign, in that reading, that the move still looked corrective rather than the start of a new trend. At press time, XRP traded at $1.50. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has climbed back above the $1.40 mark this week, a level that previously acted as resistance, but analysts warn that the rally does not eliminate the risk of a deeper pullback.  The cryptocurrency’s most critical support zone at $1.30 remains under pressure, and broader market forces—particularly Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action—could determine what happens next. XRP Locked Between $1.30 Support And $1.50 Resistance In a recent report, analyst Sam Daodu described $1.30 as the most heavily tested support level for XRP so far in 2026. Since February, the token has repeatedly slipped into the low $1.30 range, only to find buyers stepping in before a decisive breakdown could occur.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Tops $73,000, Expert Explains Why The Rally Isn’t Over Yet According to Daodu, a key reason XRP has continued to defend this area is that it is slightly lower, around $1.27. On-chain cost basis data indicates that roughly 443 million XRP were accumulated at that price level.  As the market approaches this entry point, many of these holders have added to their positions, creating buying pressure that has consistently pushed the price back above $1.30.  For now, Daodu sees XRP trading within a clearly defined range, with $1.30 acting as the floor and $1.50 serving as resistance. The analyst said a meaningful shift in trend would require a breakout beyond one of those levels, and the direction of that move will likely depend on external catalysts. Bitcoin And Middle East Tensions As Key Threats Bitcoin stands out as the most significant variable. XRP and BTC are currently moving in close alignment, with a reported correlation of 0.84. Historically, XRP has tended to magnify Bitcoin’s price swings by roughly 1.8 times.  In practical terms, that means a 10% decline in Bitcoin could translate into an 18% drop for XRP. Daodu cautions that if Bitcoin were to fall below $60,000 again, XRP would likely follow, regardless of the token’s individual fundamentals or technical structure. Geopolitical factors are also contributing to market fragility. Rising tensions in the Middle East have already sparked risk-off sentiment across the crypto market in early March.  Should the situation worsen, Daodu said investors could reduce exposure to more speculative assets first, placing additional pressure on altcoins such as XRP. BTC As The Key To Break $1.50? On the upside, a sustained breakout above $1.50 would likely require more than just stability in Bitcoin. Historically, altcoins gain momentum when Bitcoin advances decisively, drawing fresh capital into the broader market.  Daodu posits that XRP is no exception; a strong upward move in BTC could provide the tailwind needed for the altcoin to attempt surpass higher resistance levels. Related Reading: Crypto Treasury Inflows Slide To October 2024 Levels—What Happened? Between $1.58 and $1.60 lies a substantial supply zone. Approximately 2 billion XRP were purchased at those levels, leaving many holders underwater for months.  As the price approaches that range, investors seeking to exit at breakeven could generate heavy selling pressure, the analyst reported. Clearing $1.50 would signal renewed strength, but absorbing supply closer to $1.60 may prove to be the more difficult challenge. At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $1.41, marking a 3% loss over the previous 24 hours.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

The XRP price returned to a technical level that, historically, has defined some of its most explosive rallies. After enduring a sharp 62% correction that culminated in a drop toward $1.10 on February 6, the token is once again testing its long-term ascending support trendline. Amid this, the broader crypto market has shown signs of recovery this week, offering some relief. On Wednesday, the XRP price rebounded roughly 6%, while Bitcoin (BTC) climbed back above the critical $70,000 level, restoring a measure of optimism across risk assets despite ongoing global tensions. Historic XRP Price Support  In a Wednesday report, market analyst Sam Daodu pointed out that the XRP price is sitting on the same rising trendline that has historically preceded dramatic upside moves — including a 630% rally in 2024 and an extraordinary surge of more than 60,000% in 2017.  Related Reading: CFTC Chair Says Crypto Perps Approval Is Close — Why This Is Huge For Hyperliquid? What makes this retest different, Daodu noted, is that it is happening for the first time with a fully established spot XRP Exchange-traded fund (ETF) infrastructure behind it. Since their launch in November 2025, US spot XRP exchange-traded funds have attracted $1.24 billion in cumulative inflows over four consecutive positive months. Approximately 797 million XRP are now held in ETF custody.  At the same time, institutional wallets accumulated an additional 170 million XRP during the most recent price dip. Ripple also re-locked 700 million XRP into escrow on March 1, maintaining its standard release cycle and limiting new supply from entering the market. March seasonality adds another layer to the setup. Over the past 12 years, XRP has delivered an average return of 18% in March, making it statistically the strongest month of the first quarter.  $4 Target Emerges From a technical standpoint, the $1.27 level represents the first area of support to monitor. It aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and has served as a bear market floor throughout the correction.  Below that, the $1.10–$1.11 zone marks the precise location of the long-term ascending trendline that held in February. A decisive break beneath $1.10 would represent the first failure of this channel since 2015 and could expose the XRP price to a deeper pullback toward $0.85–$1.00. Related Reading: MARA Revises Bitcoin Treasury Strategy, Opens Door To Selling $3.5 Billion In BTC On the upside, $1.47 stands as the nearest Fibonacci resistance, followed closely by the $1.50 neckline of the double bottom. A sustained close above $1.50 would confirm the pattern and project a move toward $1.68–$1.70. Beyond that range, on-chain data shows roughly 1.85 billion XRP accumulated between $1.76 and $1.80, a zone where holders may look to exit at breakeven, potentially creating substantial resistance.  The most significant supply cluster lies between $2.40 and $2.60; a weekly close above that band would invalidate the broader descending structure and signal a more decisive trend reversal. Combining historical March strength, capitulation signals, and structural supply constraints, Daodu suggests the XRP price could potentially reach a range between $2.50 and $4.00 by late 2026. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

Digital Ascension Group CEO Jake Claver is still arguing that XRP could reach both three-digit and four-digit price territory before 2030, even if the US Digital Asset Market Clarity Act is not yet in place. In his latest YouTube comments, Claver framed that outcome not as a simple market cycle call, but as a function of utility, liquidity, and a potential supply shock tied to institutional adoption. Could the Clarity Act Be The Trigger For $1,000 XRP? His central point is that XRP would need to reach a much higher price before it could be used at the scale he envisions for back-end settlement across tokenized markets. “I really think three and four digits are both possible prior to the Clarity Act,” Claver said. “I think that three digits is much more likely prior to the Clarity Act and four digits could absolutely come after the Clarity Act. And the reason for that is it really can’t start being used for back-end settlement till it’s at least three digits at scale.” That logic sits at the heart of his thesis. Claver is not describing price appreciation as a side effect of utility arriving later. He is arguing the reverse: that XRP must first reach what he called a kind of critical mass in price and liquidity before large-scale settlement usage can begin. In his telling, a low-priced asset would not have the bandwidth required to handle settlement flows tied to markets such as equities, foreign exchange, commodities, or tokenized real-world assets. Related Reading: Pundit Explains How XRP Becomes A Global Reserve Asset He also argued that XRP is positioned unusually well for that transition. Claver said banks can already hold crypto to settle transactions, citing what he described as authority from the OCC, and added that XRP is “already a commodity” in the US in his view. He pointed to XRP’s listing on Bitnomial against USD and its treatment there alongside Bitcoin and Ether as part of that reasoning. From there, the argument becomes more aggressive. Claver said a crisis moment could trigger the kind of supply shock needed to force XRP materially higher. “I think it’s in a unique position to be used in a crisis moment and we’ll have a supply shock that pushes it to at least three digits,” he said. “But four digits could happen before the Clarity Act, but I think I don’t have a certainty on that. It could be that four digits does not happen until after the Clarity Act is passed.” In a separate video, Claver addressed whether XRP could still appreciate meaningfully by 2030 even if his broader “domino theory” for adoption never fully plays out. His answer was yes, but with limits. Without simultaneous demand from exchanges, institutions, markets, and potentially retail, he said the “big exponential move” would be hard to achieve, even if ETFs continue to consume available supply in OTC venues and dark pools. Related Reading: US-Iran War Sparks Crypto Fear, But XRP Stands Out He rejected the idea of a fixed repricing or peg, arguing that XRP would need a dynamic price that can keep rising as network volume expands. “It needs to be dynamic and fluid,” Claver said. “If it is fixed or stagnant like it would be if it was pegged, it doesn’t provide the same bandwidth over the long term.” He tied that to a much broader forecast, saying he believes 80% of global value will be tokenized by the end of 2030 and that XRP will settle that back-end activity. To illustrate the “critical mass” concept, Claver compared XRP to ETF adoption thresholds. He said an ETF may need to reach $100 million before certain institutions can participate meaningfully, because of position limits and minimum allocation sizes. XRP, he argued, faces a similar hurdle: without enough liquidity first, meaningful institutional use does not begin; without that use, the extreme price targets many holders discuss do not materialize. The result is a thesis that rises or falls on one key assumption: that markets will need XRP to be expensive before they can use it at scale. If that demand shock arrives, Claver sees room for a rapid repricing. If it does not, he suggested, the four-digit scenario remains out of reach. At press time, XRP traded at $1.4067. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Jake Claver is again laying out the conditions he says must line up for XRP to reach triple digits, framing the bet not as a chart call but as a sequencing problem tied to institutional tokenization, on-chain liquidity, and regulated market plumbing. In a “Memes and Markets” interview on Feb. 16 with Ben Leavitt and Keith D, Claver defended his so-called “Domino Theory”. Claver told the hosts he didn’t enter crypto until 2020, built a broader portfolio first, then consolidated into XRP after the 2022 drawdown because he viewed it as the “for sure thing.” The hosts pushed on his habit of speaking in absolutes, with Leavitt describing it as “the scariest thing” given how widely his clips circulate. Claver didn’t retreat from the posture. “I will put my nuts on the line and make statements,” he said, adding that his attorneys have advised him to refrain from doing so going forward. “I’m not going to back down. I have a very strong belief in this. And I’ve had enough validation from the right people that lead me to believe that this is the outcome that will take place.” Related Reading: Historic Trend That Led XRP To A Sharp 40% Trend Has Just Reappeared From there, the conversation moved into what Claver sees as the social base of the XRP trade. He argued that XRP attracts a “consistent type of person,” describing holders as disproportionately “faith-based,” generally older, and oriented toward family wealth and philanthropy rather than maximalist anti-bank narratives. Why XRP Could Reach $100 In his telling, that demographic preference is inseparable from the asset’s positioning. “They don’t think the banks are going to go away. They’re not going to be disintermediated,” Claver said. “They don’t think that this is going to be a free DeFi ecosystem, free for all where people can participate without compliance and oversight. And so XRP being the banker’s coin, right? Like that’s appealing to them.” Claver’s core mechanism is less about a single catalyst and more about preconditions. He pointed to timelines he says were aired by large financial institutions around tokenizing asset classes “in the next two years, by the end of 2028,” arguing that tokenization doesn’t matter without the ability to transact at scale. “It really doesn’t provide additional value today because there’s not enough liquidity in those ecosystems for people to transact like there is on the stock market or other markets,” he said. In his model, custody, identity, and liquidity are gating items; once those are in place, stablecoins could be issued on XRPL with XRP used as an intermediary asset, enabling marketplaces for tokenized stocks, private markets, and real estate to function “in a regulated environment.” Related Reading: XRP Outlook Slashed: Standard Chartered Lowers Forecast From $8 To $2 He also offered a cultural feedback loop: a long-running belief in “very high price” outcomes encourages holders to sit tight, reducing the tradable float. In Claver’s view, that scarcity (100 billion token supply) dynamic can amplify price pressure if demand arrives alongside institutional rails. “The more that gets taken off the market, the scarcer the supply is that’s openly traded and the higher the price will get pushed,” he said, arguing that many won’t sell “until they see the significantly higher prices that many people are hoping for.” The interview didn’t avoid the blowback from Claver’s missed New Year’s call. He said his conviction was partly tied to NDAs and partly to a public bet whose purpose, he claimed, was to ensure retail participants weren’t permanently stripped of XRP in side wagers. “Some people like to grind hard for the amount of XRP that they have,” he said. “And for them to just lose that to somebody else on a bet on Twitter, I didn’t feel good about. So all of those people have been returned their XRP.” Pressed on the risk that followers made “very poor financial decisions” around his timeline, Claver leaned on disclaimers and a wealth-management argument: big gains can be destabilizing without tax planning, estate structure, and stewardship. He noted that his advisory firm’s regulated advisors “would tell me I am being reckless and irresponsible with how I have made my allocation,” positioning his own posture as personal choice rather than template. At press time, XRP traded at $1.47. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has entered what Korean Certified Elliott Wave Analyst XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) calls a “washout” phase inside a broader Elliott Wave corrective structure, a zone he argues can set the stage for a renewed macro advance, with eventual cycle targets stretching into the $20–$30 region. In a Feb. 3 video breakdown, XForceGlobal said the recent pullback does not change his larger framework, but rather pushes XRP deeper into what he described as the “alternative” macro scenario: an expanded flat correction where a prior push to new highs becomes a “fake out” before a final leg lower attempts to flush late buyers. “Nothing new here, we’ve been talking about this for quite some time where we have 2 extreme points of interest,” he said. “The B Wave here creating a fake out point at the all time high, and then the current C Wave that we are also in that creates a fake out point below the market structure of this previous low here, that Wave A.” XRP May Needs A Final Dump Before $30 The core of his argument rests on a measured target for Wave C derived from the pivot points of Waves A and B, specifically the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, which he framed less as a mystical level and more as a behavioral marker where corrections turn emotional. In his telling, Wave A is the initial counter-trend move, Wave B is the “overconfidence phase,” and Wave C becomes the forced exit: stop losses, broken conviction, and liquidation pressure. Related Reading: Where’s XRP Price Headed As Exchange Reserves Plunge To 1.7 Billion? “Basically, it’s a trap and kind of a liquidation structure where Wave A is the first counter trend of the larger trend that we were expecting,” XForceGlobal said. “And then the B Wave is the overconfidence phase and then the C Wave becomes the reality check where everyone who bought the B Wave at the top is now wrong and exiting at the local bottoms because of their stop losses or they just lose confidence in the overall structure of the XRP.” He argued that because Wave C is driven by “emotion and not balance,” it tends to resolve as a five-wave decline rather than a three-wave correction, often terminating around the 161.8% extension as selling pressure exhausts. The key, he said, is not that the asset becomes “cheap,” but that sellers run out of ammunition and divergences begin to appear. “The markets will not reverse there because prices are really cheap,” he said. “It reverses because the sellers are exhausted at those levels and usually you’ll see sellers being really exhausted. You’ll start to see some bullish divergences occurring.” From a levels perspective, XForceGlobal described a volatile “free for all” zone where bulls and bears battle for a base, pointing to a range he labeled between roughly $1.50 down toward $1.08–$1.09. He suggested that, if the expanded flat thesis holds, that area could evolve into a buy zone, but only after the five-wave move down completes and a reversal sequence provides confirmation. Related Reading: XRP Market Structure “Very Similar” To April 2022, Glassnode Says Macro context remains central to his conviction. XForceGlobal pointed to XRP breaking out of a prior multi-year triangle and then rallying roughly 500% as evidence of an objective five-wave advance, followed by corrective structures consistent with an expanded flat setup: a non-impulsive pullback, a B-wave push to an extreme, then a new downside extreme below prior market structure. $XRP One of the most important #XRP videos to date! A complete 10-minute breakdown covering targets and invalidation levels. More importantly, I cover how to properly manage expectations in the midst of chaos using the macro structure, and why the overall trend remains bullish. pic.twitter.com/E2g9ga52N9 — XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) February 3, 2026 If XRP does complete the corrective leg and transitions into what he frames as a new impulsive cycle, with the classic wave three, wave four, wave five sequence, his roadmap opens higher targets over time. “We got a wave three in the making here, a wave four, and then a wave five that’s pending that could bring us up into that $20 to $25, $30 region that we’re looking for at a later stage,” he said. He also flagged $6 as a major level where he expects profit-taking and a reassessment, framing it as part of a broader risk-management approach rather than a single-shot price call. At press time, XRP traded at $1.5887. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

21Shares has outlined a three-scenario price outlook for XRP in 2026, arguing that the token is moving from a litigation-defined trade to one increasingly priced on ETF-driven demand and measurable on-ledger adoption. In a Jan. 23 research note, 21Shares’ Matt Mena frames 2026 as a “defining turning point” in which XRP’s valuation becomes “anchored in institutional fundamentals” after the August 2025 settlement that ended the SEC case overhang. The firm says that resolution removed a structural constraint that had limited XRP’s upside “regardless of underlying utility,” allowing the market to reprice to a new all-time high of $3.66 and then consolidate with the former $2.00 ceiling acting as support. XRP Price Predictions For 2026 21Shares describes the post-settlement regime as a tougher environment for the asset: less narrative optionality, more accountability. With the legal cloud cleared, the note argues XRP “can no longer rely on courtroom hype or regulatory uncertainty to drive its valuation or excuse underperformance,” introducing a “sell the news” risk if usage fails to scale and the market re-rates the asset on realized adoption rather than legal relief. Related Reading: XRP’s ‘Golden Ticket’ Might Not Be What You Think, Expert Says The firm’s view is that clarity expands the addressable buyer base and product surface area in the US “US-based institutions. Regulated funds and ETP issuers. Banks and payment companies.” In 21Shares’ telling, those channels were previously constrained by compliance risk, and their re-entry sets up a new phase of price discovery. The second pillar is flows. 21Shares says US spot XRP ETFs have “fundamentally rewritten” XRP’s demand profile, reaching more than $1.3 billion in assets under management in their first month and logging a 55-day streak of consecutive inflows. The note leans heavily on a supply-demand argument, pairing ETF absorption with what it characterizes as unusually sticky retail positioning. “Exchange reserves are at a seven-year low of 1.7 billion XRP. Institutional ETF demand is colliding with a community that refuses to sell.” That collision, the firm argues, is the “primary engine” for a potentially non-linear repricing, while also warning that reflexivity cuts both ways if inflows slow. To ground the reflexivity case, 21Shares points to the first year of US Bitcoin spot ETFs as a template, citing nearly $38 billion in net inflows and a price move from roughly $40,000 to $100,000 inside 12 months. The distinction, in its view, is liquidity overhead: XRP launched its ETF era at a much smaller market cap than Bitcoin did at its debut, implying a larger marginal impact per dollar of net buying, provided those early capture rates persist through 2026. Related Reading: XRP Could Enter New Growth Phase After Clarity Act Decision — Here’s How The third pillar is utility, with 21Shares positioning XRPL as “financial plumbing” for tokenization and stablecoin settlement. The note highlights RLUSD’s growth to more than 37,000 holders and a market cap increase of over 1,800% from $72 million to $1.38 billion in under a year, alongside XRPL DeFi TVL expanding nearly 100x over two years to above $100 million. It also points to the Multi-Purpose Tokens standard as a mechanism for institutions to issue RWAs with embedded metadata and compliance rules. Still, 21Shares flags execution risk: progress is “evolutionary, not explosive,” and XRPL trails rivals on developer and user engagement, with competition for RWA flows cited from Canton, Solana, and other ecosystems. 21Shares’ modeled peak ranges for 2026 put a base case at $2.45 (50% probability), a bull case at $2.69 (30%), and a bear case at $1.60 (implied -16%), with key swing factors being sustained ETF inflows, meaningful tokenization volumes, and RLUSD maintaining institutional traction. At press time, XRP traded at $1.8792. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

A new artificial intelligence (AI)–driven outlook for XRP is drawing attention after market analyst Sam Daodu shared projections generated by Claude AI, outlining how the cryptocurrency could perform through the rest of 2026.  The forecast presents three distinct price paths for XRP, each shaped by how key factors such as exchange-traded fund (ETF) demand, regulatory clarity, and network activity evolve. Together, the scenarios provide a broad yet structured view of where the fifth-largest cryptocurrency could be headed. Potential 215% Rally Ahead For XRP According to Daodu, Claude AI uses a baseline XRP price of roughly $2.15 and builds its projections around whether market catalysts strengthen or weaken. The model suggests that ETF inflows, exchange balance trends, and growth on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) will be the primary signals determining whether XRP breaks higher, trades sideways, or slips lower by the end of 2026. Related Reading: Global Liquidity Says Bitcoin Is Extremely Undervalued – Here’s The ‘Real’ Figure In the most optimistic scenario, Claude AI predicts XRP would rise to between $4 and $6, representing a potential 215% increase from its current trading price of $1.90. This bullish outcome depends on ETF inflows accelerating beyond $5 billion while exchange balances continue to decline, indicating reduced sell-side pressure.  Under this scenario, institutional accumulation would increase spot market demand, while clearer regulatory conditions would help improve overall market sentiment.  Claude’s model suggests that once XRP decisively moves above the $3.20 resistance level, tightening liquidity across major trading platforms could magnify even modest buying activity.  By late 2026, long-term holders limiting supply could further thin market depth, allowing prices to rise more quickly. However, this outcome would require unexpected positive catalysts and currently sits above what most AI models are forecasting. Base Case Prediction The base case presents a more measured outlook, with XRP trading between $2.00 and $3.00. In this scenario, ETF inflows remain steady but unspectacular, while adoption grows gradually rather than explosively.  The model suggests XRP would likely maintain support above $2.00, helped by manageable escrow token releases and incremental improvements to the XRPL that support ongoing transaction growth.  Price swings would likely remain contained, with accumulation happening quietly instead of through sharp rallies. By the end of 2026, XRP could settle near the midpoint of this range, reflecting balanced participation from both retail traders and institutional investors.  Bearish Outlook Envisions $1.50 – $1.80 On the downside, Claude AI outlines a bearish scenario in which XRP drifts toward the $1.50 to $1.80 range. This outcome would likely unfold if ETF demand weakens and broader macroeconomic pressures intensify.  A sustained drop below the $2.00 level could then lead to extended consolidation around the $1.60 support zone. While network activity on the XRPL might continue, momentum in price action would fade as market participants wait for clearer catalysts.  Related Reading: Gold Hits Record $5K While Bitcoin Struggles To Keep Pace Ultimately, Claude AI’s forecast points to relative stability around $2.15 in the near term for the cryptocurrency, at least through January, with larger price movements dependent on ETF market inflows exceeding the $5 billion mark.  Daodu further pointed out that Claude’s outlook sits between ChatGPT’s more cautious stance and Grok’s comparatively optimistic projections, offering what he describes as a realistic middle ground rather than an extreme outcome. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Jake Claver, a renowned XRP promoter and CEO of Digital Ascension Group, is again leaning into a familiar XRP thesis: behind-the-scenes institutional adoption, NDAs, and “domino” catalysts, only days after analyst Zach Rector publicly criticized Claver’s failed “$100 XRP by end of 2025” prediction as misleading. $100 XRP Only Delayed, Says Claver In a post on Jan.1, Claver responded: “Timelines always get extended,” and added: “I should know this by now from all that we’ve built in the past 3 years, working with partners and regulators. I’m sure Ripple and many others have felt and still feel the same way after 13.5 years. The Domino Theory still stands, Real world events will play out, and XRP will become the backbone of markets in the future.” In a series of posts spanning Dec. 27 through Jan. 1, Claver argued that “real world events will play out, and XRP will become the backbone of markets in the future.” A Jan. 1 post focused on Ripple’s non-disclosure agreements, which Claver described as a signal that large counterparties are already preparing to build with XRP. Related Reading: Expert Says XRP ‘Haters’ Miss The Bigger Picture: Here’s What It Is “Ripple signing over 1,700 non-disclosure agreements probably isn’t random,” he wrote. “These most likely cover talks with major players—governments, global banks, payment networks, big universities, and Fortune 500 firms—all laying the groundwork to use XRP. The pieces for mass adoption have been falling into place behind the scenes for quite a while.” Earlier posts pressed the same point with higher conviction. On Dec. 28, Claver claimed: “Major institutions are stacking up XRP behind the scenes while keeping the public in the dark. The current price is merely a shadow of what’s coming. When XRP transforms into the foundation of international finance, today’s hesitation will become tomorrow’s regret. In my opinion, nothing in crypto space offers this level of certainty and potential for massive returns.” Related Reading: XRP At Risk Of A Drop To $0.80? Analyst Makes The Case On Dec. 31, he described XRP “as built to upgrade the existing financial system,” while adding that “blockchain isn’t just for storing value, it can power a faster, more open financial system. For that, you need high-performance infrastructure like XRP.” As reported on Bitcoinist yesterday, Rector’s criticism has been less about making bold forecasts than about the way they are delivered. Rector argued there was “no plausible scenario” for a roughly 5,000% move in the time window implied by the $100 call, and that the messaging leaned on suggestions of privileged insight rather than probabilistic framing. Rector’s allegations also extended beyond price talk into claims about XRP-focused funds associated with Claver’s orbit. “Jake and his scheme, his business has grown so big they’ve taken in so much XRP from our community,” Rector said. “There’s a massive discrepancy from what he’s saying publicly and what investors are telling me privately.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.89. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP, currently the fifth-largest cryptocurrency in the market, has mirrored the overall performance of digital assets over the past months, experiencing a significant retracement of nearly 50% from its all-time high of $3.65 earlier this year.  Amid this volatility, a new artificial intelligence (AI) simulation model has produced price forecasts for the altcoin, offering investors a more detailed outlook for the coming year. XRP Price Predictions Market analyst Sam Daodu recently shared insights from a Monte Carlo simulation that explored XRP’s price trajectory in which 10,000 paths were generated to capture a comprehensive range of potential outcomes.  The results offer statistical data such as mean, median, and percentiles, illustrating a probability distribution rather than relying on a single forecast. Daodu reported that the simulation results reveal a spectrum of outcomes for XRP. The mean price across all 10,000 paths stands at approximately $2.78, indicating that, on average, the price is higher than its current levels.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Weekly Fractal Hints At A Bigger Move Brewing In contrast, the median price is $1.88, suggesting that half of the estimated outcomes fall below the $2 mark. This disparity between the mean and median highlights the skew in the distribution, where a few high projections inflate the average, while the median reflects where most scenarios likely land. To identify a more probable pricing range, Daodu considered the 25th and 75th percentiles, which represent the central 50% of outcomes. According to the simulation, 25% of scenarios estimate XRP’s price below $1.04, while 75% indicate a price below $3.40.  Notably, about 60% of scenarios position XRP’s price between $1.04 and $3.40 by the end of 2026, with an expected median hovering around $1.88. 10% Chance Of Dropping Below $0.59  The analysis also highlights the upper tail of the distribution, where the best-case outcomes sit. The 90th percentile indicates a price of about $5.90, meaning that roughly 10% of scenarios project end-of-year prices above this threshold.  The expert asserts that achieving new all-time highs near $6 would require several positive developments, including sustained institutional inflows through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) of over $50 million daily throughout 2026, increased actual usage of XRP for cross-border payments by banks, and persistent regulatory clarity without major setbacks.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Remains Stuck Inside This Range, But A Breakout Could Follow On the other hand, the simulation doesn’t shy away from discussing downside risks. The lower 10% of outcomes reveal a potential drop below $0.59, suggesting a worrying 10% probability that XRP could lose more than 70% of its current value by 2026.  Factors contributing to this bearish outlook could include regulatory setbacks, such as tougher restrictions on cryptocurrency custody or complications arising from recent settlements with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Additionally, Daodu believes that decreased investor confidence in the altcoin resulting from unmet expectations related to XRP’s utility adoption could further depress prices.  According to CoinGecko data, XRP is trading within the range expected to last till next year at $1.90, with a 2% drop in the 24-hour period. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Young Hoon Kim — a social-media personality who describes himself on X as the “IQ 276” holder — said XRP could rise to $100 over the next five years, offering a fresh bullish target that drew a mix of enthusiasm and criticism across Crypto Twitter. Kim Doubles Down On XRP “Based on my personal view, XRP could potentially reach $100 over the next 5 years. (NFA/DYOR),” the superbrain posted via X on Dec. 14. The post showed roughly 133,300 views. Based on my personal view, #XRP could potentially reach $100 over the next 5 years. (NFA/DYOR) — YoungHoon Kim, IQ 276 (@yhbryankimiq) December 14, 2025 Notably, Kim didn’t stop at the five-year call, either. In an earlier post on Saturday, he said: “In my view, XRP has a strong possibility of reaching a new ATH by the end of this year.” Related Reading: XRP Mildly Undervalued On MVRV: What About Bitcoin, Ethereum? Neither post included a detailed methodology or valuation framework. The reaction, accordingly, centered less on the specific target and more on the absence of supporting analysis — and on Kim’s public persona, which has become part of the conversation around his market calls. Software engineer Vincent Van Code responded by asking for the underlying math in a joking tone: “Ok mr brain, please share with us your calculations. I too agree, I have calcs I shared using my 20 IQ brain.” JD (@jaydee_757), a chart analyst popular in the XRP community, framed the post as momentum-driven: “Sounds like this boy bought the hype lol!” Gordon (@GordonGekko) added: “The smartest man in the world says XRP could hit $100 by 2030. Do you think this is a possible target?” Larger trading and chart-focused accounts were more direct. Ali Martinez (@alicharts) wrote, “You can have the highest IQ and still be dumb AF,” while IncomeSharks asked, “Has one prediction you’ve said come true?” Both comments were posted in response to Kim’s XRP-related statements circulating over the weekend. Related Reading: XRP Whale Activity Spikes At The Bottom – A Classic Pre-Rally Signal The posts are a continuation of a narrative that gained traction at the end of last week. As reported on Dec. 12, Kim’s first ever XRP related post on X — “I buy #XRP from now on” — came after a period of frequent Bitcoin-related posting. Notably, Kim not only posted about XRP but also World Liberty Financial, the decentralized finance (DeFi) platform backed by the Trump family, over the weekend. On Sunday, Kim posted via X: “I personally buy WLFI every day, because I believe it is significantly undervalued based on my own assessment.” Again, there was no explanation or technical analysis. Just a provocant claim. Already on October 24, Kim claimed that WLFI is more valuable than Bitcoin. “As the World’s Highest IQ Record Holder (by World Memory Championships & Official World Record®), I predict WLFI will soon reach a market cap of $5B. WLFI is the only crypto more valuable than Bitcoin,” he wrote. Meanwhile, his Bitcoin price prediction for 2026 is not less sensational. “My analysis suggests that Bitcoin reaching 300K in early 2026 is a logical scenario,” he wrote on Dec. 11. At press time, XRP traded at $1.99. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Technical analyst ALLINCRYPTO has reiterated a high-beta roadmap for XRP, arguing that chart structure and pattern symmetry could propel the token to roughly $19.20 within the next six months—while specifying a precise model target of $19.27. XRP Explosion Ahead? In a September 21 video address, he framed the move as a classic continuation sequence following a run at all-time highs and a corrective “falling wedge” that has now been retraced. “I think something like this is what you’re going to see once again… this actually could take you to that $19.27 mark,” he said, adding that his “price prediction remains the same.” The crux of the thesis is historical rhyme and pattern logic. “Just like 2017, we ran into an all-time high… and essentially, we are pulling back in and around it,” the analyst said, describing the pullback as a falling wedge—a structure he classifies as continuation when it appears in an uptrend. “The falling wedge has been completed. You have run or retraced the entire wedge… Since we engulfed that and made a target, we have now been pulling back once more, again, in the form of a falling wedge.” In his view, this sets up an “engulfment of the entire pullback… and then leads to continuation.” Related Reading: Next XRP ‘Monster Leg’ Will Start No Earlier Than 2026: Analyst He also points to a potential cup-and-handle spanning the current cycle, cautioning that its measured-move objective would sit “significantly higher than $19.27,” but that his public focus is the nearer six-month path. “It’s a reliable pattern. It’s really a story of trend continuation,” he said, emphasizing that when assets “break into new all-time highs, typically they continue and will actually reach that target.” The timeline he outlines runs roughly through late March 2026. The $19.27 waypoint is not new for ALLINCRYPTO. He has repeatedly telegraphed that objective across social channels in recent weeks, tying it to a multi-leg advance after consolidation at prior highs. “XRP’s chart [is] setting up for a next leg, which, over time, may be set to reach a price target of $19.27,” he wrote in one post amplifying the thesis to his followers. In earlier messaging, he framed the scenario as “price discovery” into the $19s if resistance continues to resolve. ???? ???? A look at $XRP‘s recent movements and where we could expect to see the token going, closer towards our long-term price target of $19.20 pic.twitter.com/wEEM4CFPLs — ALLINCRYPTO (@RealAllinCrypto) September 21, 2025 At publication time on September 22, XRP trades near $2.80, implying that the analyst’s six-month objective would require on the order of a 6–7x advance from the current spot. The pair’s short-term context remains choppy after a multi-week range at the round-number handle. Related Reading: Pundit Predicts XRP Price Crash Below $3, Here’s Why Pattern mechanics are central to the call. In classical terms, a falling-wedge retrace that completes to its origin and then resolves upward often precedes trend continuation, while a cup-and-handle breakout seeks to clear prior highs on expanding participation. The analyst’s near-dated map therefore hinges on two confirmations: maintaining the recent uptrend structure after the wedge retrace and securing a decisive breakout “once again” through resistance to re-enter price discovery. “We have spoken about how potentially this could be a major cup and handle,” he said. “We haven’t given you the price prediction on the back end of that… [but] I actually think that XRP… stands a pretty good chance of getting to the original price prediction that we gave of $19.27.” Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Jake Clover, CEO of Digital Ascension Group and a long-time XRP advocate, used a new video published on September 3 to deliver an unambiguous message to traders waiting for one last capitulation: he doesn’t think a 90% collapse is coming back. “I would love it too. I don’t think it’s going to happen,” Clover said, arguing that the market already gave skeptics ample time to buy during prolonged sub-$1 ranges. “When it was 50 cents, nobody wanted to buy it… You had three years to buy it at 50 cents or 30 cents or 40 cents or whatever it was. It ain’t coming back.” Will XRP Never Crash By 90% Again? Clover roots that conviction not in a single catalyst but in what he describes as a structural change to XRP’s market microstructure. He repeatedly cites the role of spot exchange-traded products – Bloomberg’s James Seyffart puts SEC approval in 2025 odds at 95% – and the execution algorithms used by institutional liquidity providers as a persistent source of demand that alters the asset’s downside dynamics. “It’s going to be sustained here because of the ETFs, because of the TWAP and VWAP and them entering the market. They’re not letting it come back down,” he said, referring to time- and volume-weighted execution that systematically slices large orders into the market over extended intervals. Related Reading: XRP Millionaires Dump After Major Accumulation Trend, Will It Be A Red September? He frames the current tape as a test the asset has already passed. “If it was going to [crash], there’s a bunch of stuff that rolled up and then it’s back down 90% since it went up. XRP hadn’t done that,” Clover noted, contrasting XRP’s behavior with other, sharper retracements elsewhere in crypto. In his reading, support has repeatedly asserted itself on the cross with Bitcoin as well. “It’s back on the line here where there’s been support on the Bitcoin and XRP chart. I think it’s up from here, especially if Bitcoin keeps going up,” he said, tying XRP’s path to the broader beta of the cycle. Clover also connects his outlook to a suite of prospective macro and market-structure tailwinds. He points to what he calls a “reverse carry trade,” the prospect of “adoption for the backend settlement of the stock market,” and the influence of ETF flows as scenario drivers that could render near-term entry prices largely irrelevant over a longer horizon. In one of the video’s most pointed passages, he underscores that view with a blunt thought experiment on future price levels: “You’re not going to care if you bought it at $2.30 or you bought it at $2.40 or you bought it at $2 when it’s a hundred dollars or $200 or $500.” Related Reading: XRP Will Lead The Next Upswing, Says Analyst — Here’s The Case The operational takeaway he offers to investors is procedural rather than tactical. Clover is explicit that market timing is a losing game for nearly everyone and that disciplined accumulation outperforms attempts to catch exact bottoms. “Dollar cost averaging is going to be your best bet 99.9% of the time,” he said. “Trying to time the market, you’re not going to do it. It’s like 1% of traders that ever timed the market well. And those that dollar cost average in, you’re going to win. Like you can’t, you can’t lose doing that. You’re going to get highs and lows, but your average is going to be pretty fair.” Risk management, in his account, is non-negotiable. He warns explicitly against taking on debt or leverage that compromises basic obligations in order to chase upside. “Don’t leverage yourself or over leverage yourself to the point where you can’t make your bills or can’t pay other stuff,” Clover said, adding that small, regular allocations made only from surplus cash are the appropriate way to express conviction while surviving the volatility that remains endemic to the asset class. If that thesis holds, the implication for strategy—again in Clover’s own words—is to stop waiting for the ghost of an old regime. “I know everybody wants the most they can get on stuff,” he said, “but dollar cost averaging is going to be your best bet… When you have some extra liquidity, buy a little bit.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.87. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Gert van Lagen says the macro structure of XRP has finally done the one thing it needed to do: break the neckline of a seven-year base and hold it. “XRP [2W] – Ripple is ready to rip. The 7-year double bottom has broken out at ❌ The neckline was successfully retested at ???? ATH cleared — first target near ~$34, at 2.00 fib. extension of double bottom. → Compare with 2014–2017 setup,” the analyst wrote. His chart is drawn on a logarithmic scale with two-week candles, framing the move as a multi-cycle reversal rather than a short-term pop. Could XRP Really Hit $34? The geometry is clear on the chart. A broad W-shaped base stretching from the 2018–2024 bear market carved twin lows in the sub-$0.20–$0.30 region, then returned to a horizontal neckline that sits just above the $2 handle. Van Lagen marks an initial breakout attempt with a red cross just over that barrier, followed by a decisive surge and a pullback that tags support around the $2 area, annotated with a blue dot. On a log chart, that textbook breakout-retest sequence is the confirmation step technicians typically look for before projecting targets. Price at the time of the snapshot is labeled $3.19 on the right axis, meaning XRP is trading above the neckline but still below the 2018 all-time high at $3.40. That placement matters because the prior macro cap now acts as support; staying north of roughly $2.00 keeps the double-bottom thesis intact. The measured arrow drawn from the neckline replicates the height of the base on a multiplicative (log) basis, which is why the upside extension leaps into the mid-double digits rather than adding only a few dollars. Related Reading: BlackRock Addresses Burning XRP ETF Question: Is A Filing Coming Or Not? Van Lagen’s first objective is derived explicitly from Fibonacci proportions. He sets the 2.00 extension of the double-bottom as the initial target, landing “near ~$34.” On his scale the projected path peaks above the $27 and $20 grid lines and briefly tags the mid-$30s before mean-reverting, consistent with how log-scale extensions translate when a long consolidation unwinds quickly. The left side of the graphic provides the historical rhyme he wants readers to notice. Between 2014 and 2017, XRP built a smaller double-bottom within a shaded accumulation zone, broke its neckline, retested it, and then accelerated vertically. Van Lagen marks that sequence with the same red cross at breakout and blue dot at the retest, plus a vertical measuring arrow to illustrate how the earlier base resolved. The current pattern, shaded across 2018–2025, repeats that choreography at a far larger scale. His sketch includes a time-and-price roadmap using twelve forward candles—two-week bars—implying a five- to six-month arc for the entire move if it were to echo the prior cycle. The first projected bar vaults XRP above $11. After three candles, the blue path tops out above $36, roughly six weeks into the run. Related Reading: XRP Price Could Explode To $3.8 Amid Trend Continuation The fourth candle traces a deep retracement back toward the $11 region, followed by a sharp recovery above $30 on the fifth. The next three candles stabilize around the $30 area before the path draws another slide to ~$11 and the onset of a cooling phase. The sequence is illustrative rather than prescriptive, but it visually anchors the extension math to possible market behavior. Whether XRP can follow the steep path sketched in blue is a separate question from whether the double-bottom has technically activated. Van Lagen’s chart answers the second with a yes: the breakout and retest sequence is complete. The first answer—delivery toward the ~$34 Fib extension—will be determined by how the next several two-week candles will look like. At press time, XRP traded at $3.14. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP may be entering its most explosive phase in years, according to crypto analyst CryptoInsightUK, who on July 31 released a sweeping technical breakdown that suggests the token’s breakout from a six-year consolidation range could soon send prices to $15—and potentially beyond. “This is just the start,” he said, arguing that the recent monthly close confirms structural strength that has been building quietly over the last two market cycles. XRP Flashes Bullish Signal—Next Stop: $15? In a video analysis posted to YouTube, the analyst highlighted XRP’s rare technical alignment on the monthly chart, pointing to its sustained break above the 2018 all-time high and an upcoming potential for new highs. His base case targets a move to between $8.70 and $15 in the short-to-medium term, based on historical measured moves and momentum structure. “If we just did a measured move like the last move, it could take us as far out as $15,” he said. “I don’t think that’s unreasonable.” Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP Price Is Now In Wave 4 — What To Expect Supporting the bullish case is a technical signal many market watchers have overlooked: a return of XRP’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) to the overbought zone, historically a precursor to parabolic rallies. In the 2017 cycle, a similar RSI pattern preceded a move of over 700%, and even a “conservative” repeat could lift XRP to well above $10, he explained. “If we make a higher high on the monthly RSI here, to me that doesn’t indicate the move is over,” he said, emphasizing that momentum indicators remain firmly in bullish territory. He also drew attention to XRP’s relative strength versus Bitcoin, calling its position on the XRP/BTC chart “such a crucial place.” After bouncing from key support levels, XRP/BTC is closing the month significantly higher than nearly all months in recent years. “We’re going to be closing above everything apart from the last couple of months,” he observed. “It’s strong. It’s showing strength.” Looking at XRP dominance—a measure of XRP’s market cap share relative to the rest of crypto—CryptoInsightUK noted the token is holding the midpoint of a range formed on top of what he calls the “sign of strength” phase. “We’ve created this range on top of Wyckoff accumulation… Things are looking good there too,” he said. He further analyzed XRP futures premiums, noting that the negative premium since July 24 resembles the setup before XRP’s last major rally from $0.50 to $2.60. “We actually went red for a bit and that was when we found our lows,” he said. “Then as we broke out of this zone, we went back to being green… and that coincided with the start of the rally.” Related Reading: XRP Blows Cold: Price Crash To $2.15 Still Possible If Buyers Falter The chart structure, momentum indicators, and liquidity maps all point to a scenario where XRP could move sharply higher with relatively minor catalysts. The analyst emphasized that this does not necessarily mean a straight line up, but rather an aggressive trend formation after years of accumulation. “If you actually take a zoomed out perspective on the XRP chart, $15 doesn’t look ridiculous,” he said. “Yes, this is logarithmic, but it really doesn’t.” He also warned against dismissing high-end projections like $27 or even $50 out of hand, referencing past patterns in both price and RSI. “I’m not suggesting we do that in a month,” he said, “but I don’t think we should rule it out either.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.92. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Renowned market expert with X username CasiTrades has shared an interestingly bullish insight on the XRP market. Notably, this price forecast comes following a broader crypto market correction in the past week, during which XRP has registered a 6.74% price decline. XRP Bulls Eye Return To ATH After $3 Retest In an X post on July 25, CasiTrades shows that XRP is on the brink of a major price surge based on the indications of the Elliot Wave Theory – a technical framework that proposes that price movements occur in five repetitive waves. Amidst the price decline in the last week, XRP failed to hold above the critical $3.21 price level, forcing a retrace to retest the major $3.00 support zone, resulting in a slight price bounce. Despite this bearish event, the analyst notes encouragingly that the altcoin did not form a new price low, suggesting the larger bullish structure remains intact. Related Reading: XRP To $10? Basketball Legend’s Poll Puts Crypto On Center Court CasiTrades explains that XRP’s latest retracement reached a deep 0.854 Fibonacci level, a classic reversal zone for second waves in a bullish five-wave structure. This deep pullback, combined with the strong bounce off $3.00, signifies the potential bottom of Wave 2. If bulls can hold the price above this support, this sets the stage for the beginning of Wave 3, the strongest and most explosive leg in the Elliott Wave Theory.   For context, the Elliot wave theory begins with an initial price rise, i.e, Wave 1, followed by Wave 2, a pullback that doesn’t breach the starting point. Wave 3 is usually the strongest and longest, driven by increased participation and bullish momentum. Meanwhile, Wave 4 brings another correction, often less severe than Wave 2, before Wave 5 pushes prices to a final high. For Wave 3 to commence in the present market, CasiTrades states the next price target lies at the $3.21 region, which represents a crucial resistance. If XRP produces a sustained breakout above this price barrier, it validates the proposed bullish scenario. In this case, the analyst identifies an immediate price target of $3.82, which aligns with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of the prior move. Interestingly, this price zone also represents XRP’s all-time high on certain markets. This confluence strengthens confidence in the bullish scenario,  especially considering that if the Elliott Wave structure plays out fully, a Wave 5 rally could propel the altcoin into uncharted price territory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes Bounce off This Support Level In Reversal Campaign For $121,000 XRP Price Overview At the time of writing, XRP is valued at $3.20 following a price rebound of 5.52% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview  

XRP has spent the better part of the last seven years digging itself out of the crater left by the 2018 peak, yet technician Tony “The Bull” Severino, CMT, now sees the possibility of a violent climax that would rival—even mirror—the last euphoric leg of the 2017 cycle. Posting to X, the analyst asked followers to contemplate “the final move in XRP — projected as high as ~$13 — happened within 40 days” and supplied the weekly‑scale TradingView chart. $13 XRP Only 40 Days Away? The study is an Elliott Wave construction that labels the 2017 blow‑off high as the terminus of Primary wave ③ and the subsequent, nearly seven‑year trading range as a textbook fourth‑wave contracting triangle. Price action from 2018 through late‑2024 traces the familiar A–B–C–D–E sequence, with each swing bounded by ever‑converging black trend‑lines that compress toward a late‑2024 apex. Related Reading: XRP Countdown Begins—Analyst Predicts Explosive Run To $11 Severino’s annotation calls particular attention to symmetry: the distance between the 2017 high and the 2018 low measures $2.55, or 1,903.50 % from the sub wave‑four pivot, and it unfolded in six weekly candles (42 days) on volume of 2.7 billion XRP. With the triangle now resolved to the upside, the analyst counts the initial thrust as wave (1) of the terminal Primary ⑤ and flags a minor pennant developing as wave (4) of the impulse’s lesser degree. A red vertical projection equal to the 2017 percentage ascent—+1,903.39 %—is transposed from the post‑triangle base at approximately $0.64 (implicit in the $12 height of the arrow) and terminates at $12.73496, a level Severino marks in crimson across the right axis. The time analogue remains striking: a dashed line, 42 days to the right of the present bar, brackets what would be week six of the prospective surge, accompanied by a placeholder volume note of 113.7 million XRP. Related Reading: XRP Becomes Top 3 Crypto After ProShares ETF Approval, Can It Flip ETH? Should the fractal relationship hold—as the inset schematic of a “4th Wave Triangle” and “Regular Triangle Breakout Projection” implies—XRP would have to accelerate by roughly 250 % each week for the next six weeks to satisfy the vertical and temporal targets simultaneously, a pace identical to the parabolic advance that culminated in January 2018. Severino’s follow‑up comment hints that any such spectacle would not obviate a subsequent bear cycle; instead, it would complete the five‑wave motive structure and usher in the larger‑degree correction that per Elliott doctrine follows every full impulse. For adherents, the practical question is not philosophical admiration of chart symmetry but whether their positioning and risk framework can withstand the volatility inherent in a move that, if realised, would add nearly $9 per coin in little more than a month. At press time, XRP traded at $3.49 Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is inching toward what could be its most consequential technical inflection in more than a year, according to the June 3 video analysis from the YouTube channel More Crypto Online (MCO). Employing classical Elliott-wave mapping, the analyst argues that XRP has been building a five-wave advance ever since the market reset in July 2023 and is now attempting to ignite the terminal “fifth” wave—a rally that, if it unfolds under euphoric conditions, could extend as far as $9. How The Roadmap Is Built For XRP “We might be in a process of upside reversal… It’s like a now-or-never moment,” the commentator told viewers, stressing that breakouts are usually obvious only after large portions of the move are already spent. In Elliott wave terminology the market is said to be preparing for a smaller-degree third wave inside the larger fifth, “normally the most aggressive one,” he noted, pointing to the explosive impulse that followed a similar set-up last year. Related Reading: Analyst: XRP Is Coiled For A Short Squeeze Rally On MCO’s primary chart the July 2023 trough serves as the wave-four low of an even larger advance. From there, a series of lower-degree one-two formations appears to have carried XRP into wave three and, more recently, into a sideways, three-legged correction that completed in April. “We have a wave 1, a wave 2, a wave 3, the wave 4, and maybe this is now the fifth wave that’s unfolding,” he explained, adding that wave four’s depth and duration were textbook for a counter-trend pause. To translate wave counts into price objectives the analyst measured waves 1 through 3 and projected the classic 61.8 percent Fibonacci extension from the bottom of wave 4. That calculation yields $6.20 as a “straightforward” fifth-wave target. The same measurement’s 78.6 percent extension sits at roughly $9.00, a level the commentator said “sometimes materialises in a very euphoric fifth wave.” Before any discussion of $5-plus prices becomes actionable, XRP must clear a cluster of near-term hurdles. The analyst identifies the $2.30–$2.40 range as the first structural ceiling; it coincides with a descending trend-line that has capped every rally since March and with the 100-day exponential moving average. Related Reading: XRP Could Hit $50 If Ripple Gets Bank License, Claims Crypto Pundit The shorter-time-frame wave count shows why this band matters. From the 7 April swing low the market printed a clear five-wave micro-structure, implying that a fresh up-trend may already be underway. Yet, as the analyst cautioned, “We still have to clear all these previous swing highs… We’ve got resistance in this area around $2.30, structurally $2.40.” A decisive break above that shelf would validate a sub-wave (iii) target around $3.30–$3.50, the January swing-high zone the video calls “the next level.” Bearish Scenario For XRP Every Elliott-wave blueprint comes with an invalidation level. In the MCO model the entire fifth-wave scenario survives only if price holds above the April nadir—the start of wave 1 in the current one-two set-up. At the micro level the bulls must also defend what the video labels “the $1.99 support area.” A deeper retracement to $1.60 (the “red dotted line”) could be tolerated inside an extended wave 2, but any sustained trade beneath that mark would probably mean wave 4 is still developing, pushing back the timetable for a breakout. “As long as we’re holding above the April low, this pathway higher remains valid and plausible,” the analyst reiterated. Conversely, a failure there would force a re-evaluation of the entire count. Although the headline $9 print grabs attention, the analyst is clear that such an extension presupposes an extreme sentiment shift. Historically XRP’s rallies have often stalled near the 61.8 percent projection, and the channel’s host reminds viewers that “market sentiment” ultimately decides whether the 78.6 percent extension is reachable. For now the focus is squarely on securing an impulsive close above $2.40 and then on challenging the mid-$3 region. Only once that campaign succeeds will the discussion move seriously toward $5.65, $6.20 and, in a parabolic climax, the high-single-digit zone. At press time, XRP traded at $2.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Vincent Van Code, a software engineer and long-time XRP advocate, ignited fresh debate across the crypto community by outlining what he believes to be the transformative implications of Ripple’s bid for a US banking charter and a Federal Reserve master account. The developments, which Ripple confirmed 2 July, would position the company at the epicenter of both crypto innovation and traditional financial infrastructure. According to Van Code, the impact of such regulatory approvals would go far beyond Ripple’s current operations. “With Ripple announcing they are seeking a banking charter as well as a Fed master account, this means they will be the very first crypto bank,” he posted via X. He detailed that the move could allow Ripple to hold reserves directly with the Federal Reserve, bypassing commercial banks, and operate as a full-service financial institution offering both fiat and crypto products. This would include the ability to provide FDIC-insured deposit accounts—potentially even for certain crypto assets—up to the $250,000 limit, and lend against crypto collateral such as XRP. “That’s going to be nuts. And XRP is flying it all together,” he wrote, calling the possible integration of insured crypto banking and core cross-border remittances a paradigm shift. “2025 to 2026 will be marked in history as the era which the 100 year banking cartel began to crumble.” Related Reading: Analyst: XRP Is Coiled For A Short Squeeze Rally A master account would allow Ripple to interact directly with the Fed’s payment rails, including Fedwire and FedNow, giving it full access to the US financial system as a settlement counterparty. Combined with its push into stablecoins through RLUSD and its remittance infrastructure RippleNet, such a regulatory leap could fully embed Ripple into both domestic and international payment flows. Impact On XRP Price In a follow-up post, Van Code did something he says he rarely does: offer a specific XRP price prediction. “I usually don’t predict XRP price but often get asked, so here it is FINALLY,” he wrote. “My opinion is $30–$50. And this is no shill, I don’t expect anyone to agree with me. I am not prophet or time traveller. But my investment in XRP is based on this opinion.” While he didn’t commit to a timeframe, he emphasized that such targets are not arbitrary, but grounded in a set of unfolding macro and market catalysts. Related Reading: Wave 3 Ignites As XRP Breaks Structure—Analyst Says ‘Fireworks Ahead’ Among those catalysts, Van Code cited potential XRP spot ETF approval and an estimated $20–$50 billion in institutional capital inflows. He also pointed to a potential master account approval coupled with RippleNet capturing 20–30% of the $1 trillion cross-border payments market, and global adoption of XRP as a bridge asset for central bank digital currency (CBDC) corridors in over 50 countries. Van Code further noted the rising use case for Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD, arguing that demand for a Fed-backed digital dollar would reinforce XRP’s utility as a bridge currency. He also floated the idea that XRP could be used in Saudi oil settlements, citing Ripple’s confirmed 2024 collaboration with the Saudi central bank as a possible foundation for that evolution. His posts have struck a chord in the XRP community. “People weighed in on XRP price… Lots of interesting opinions. But common across all is everyone expecting price to at least 5x. This is a great sign,” he said. The idea that XRP could rise to $30–$50 implies a market cap in the trillions, something skeptics will call out as unrealistic. But for XRP holders, especially those who see Ripple’s regulatory path as a backdoor to institutional legitimacy, the confluence of a Fed master account, bank charter, ETF inflows, and global adoption isn’t merely theoretical. It’s a roadmap. At press time, XRP traded at $2.27. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The XRP price experienced a significant decline on Thursday following new developments in the ongoing legal dispute between Ripple Labs and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).  Judge Analisa Torres’ decision to deny the joint motion from Ripple and the SEC for an indicative ruling halted the XRP price recovery as it aimed to breach the nearest resistance level at $2.23. Key Issues Unresolved For Ripple Despite the SEC dropping its appeal, which indicated that the primary legal conflict between the two parties may be reaching a conclusion, Judge Torres’ ruling highlighted that several procedural matters still require resolution, including necessary court approvals.  In her judgment, she made it clear that private agreements cannot supersede public court decisions, stating, “The parties do not have the authority to agree not to be bound by a court’s final judgment… They have not come close to doing so here.” Related Reading: XRP Gears Up For Major Move — Chart Signals Are Clear In response to the ruling, Ripple’s Chief Legal Officer, Stuart Alderoty, took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to convey that the situation is now back in Ripple’s hands.  The executive pointed out that the court has given them two options: either to dismiss their appeal regarding the historic institutional sales or to continue with the appeal.  Regardless of the path chosen, Alderoty emphasized that XRP’s legal status as a non-security remains intact, reassuring stakeholders that it is business as usual. Expert Reactions To Torres’ Decision Legal expert Fred Rispoli also weighed in on the implications of the injunction, stating that it would not impact XRP in secondary markets or affect potential exchange-traded fund (ETF) filings awaiting approval by the SEC.  He noted that the injunction is merely a court document and emphasized the low likelihood of Judge Torres calling Ripple and the SEC back into court unless the SEC believes Ripple is violating the terms of the injunction.  Rispoli further questioned whether the SEC has the authority to grant Ripple the necessary exemptions to alleviate any restrictions imposed by the injunction, suggesting that such actions fall within the SEC’s executive powers. Ripple has asserted that it has adjusted its operations to align with the court’s findings, particularly regarding its past sales to institutional investors.  Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Top In? Bitcoin MVRV-Score Has The Answer Alderoty’s use of the term “historic institutional sales” in his recent statement indicates a shift in how both parties might approach future transactions, signaling a potential settlement that would allow XRP sales to institutions in a manner acceptable to the SEC. XRP Price Could Reach $5 Despite this temporary setback, market analysts remain optimistic about XRP’s future. Crypto analyst CryptoBullet recently noted that XRP’s two-week price chart resembles patterns seen in 2017, including a significant accumulation phase and a potential breakout.  With this historical context in mind, the expert predicts a final surge in the XRP price, forecasting new all-time high targets between $4.50 and $5.40 for the cryptocurrency. As of press time, the XRP price has retreated to the $2.08 mark, which is a key support level for bulls anticipating further recovery of the token. In the last 24 hours, XRP has dropped 4.4%, and 10% in the last month. According to CoinGecko data, the XRP price remains 38% below its record high of $3.40. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

In a post late Wednesday, independent technician CasiTrades—followed by 20,000 accounts on the platform—warned that “the market is officially out of time” and that XRP’s multi-month coil has compressed to the tipping point. Why XRP ‘Is Out Of Time’ “After months of tightening, the XRP consolidation has finally reached its apex and something big is coming next,” she wrote. “There are only two paths from here: either the explosive breakout we’ve been waiting for begins now, or we see one final sharp drop to support that ignites the breakout we’ve all been preparing for.” CasiTrades’ roadmap turns on a single price: $2.25. XRP has probed that level repeatedly since the first week of June but has yet to close above it. “Price continues to struggle with the $2.25 level, a level I’ve talked about continuously,” she noted, arguing that every failed attempt increases the probability of a stop-hunt toward $2.01, $1.90, even $1.55. Those levels, she stressed, are “momentum zones… areas where the market grabs the liquidity it needs to build momentum for wave 3.” Related Reading: XRP To End 7-Month Consolidation After 700% Surge – Is A Major Move On his daily chart the Relative-Strength Index has been tracing a shallow upward channel while price has moved sideways, a structure the analyst calls a “guide for the end of this squeeze.” The confluence—a volatility funnel on price and a steady grind higher on momentum—mirrors the pattern that preceded XRP’s October 2023 breakout. Beyond geometry, timing is central to CasiTrades’ argument. “It’s mid-week, Wednesday—this is when sentiment tends to flip,” she wrote, invoking a playbook familiar to short-term traders: a fake-out in the back half of the week that reverses by Friday’s close, leaving late-entrants stranded. The setup, she said, is no longer purely technical. “This is not just technicals lining up, it’s the whole picture aligning. Sentiment, structure, timing, even global headlines.” Related Reading: XRP Addresses Holding 1M Coins Reach 12-Year High As Experts Predict Move Above $4 By mid-morning in Europe, XRP was quoted at $2.16, roughly three percent below the resistance that defines CasiTrades’ fork-in-the-road. Seven-day realised volatility has fallen to its lowest reading since February, underlining the sense of a market biding its time. Whether the catalyst comes from a decisive hourly close above $2.25 or from a liquidity sweep into the $1.90s, the analyst’s central claim is unchanged: the consolidation’s lifespan has effectively expired. As she signed off, CasiTrades offered a final exhortation—short, sharp, and consistent with the urgency of his chart: “Do not miss what’s next.” Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

An extended technical review aired Tuesday on Sistine Research’s YouTube channel has placed XRP at the top of the current market hierarchy and mapped a price trajectory that—if historical analogues and present chart structure hold—could lift the token as high as $73 in a late-cycle blow-off. Speaking during the firm’s regular live-stream, analyst Forrest began by ranking assets that have rallied since the US election on 5 November 2024. “XRP is the number-one performing coin since the election, the strongest coin on my watch-list,” he said, displaying a four-hour relative-performance chart that compared crypto majors, select altcoins, metals and equities. The next-best performers—HBAR and XLM—were described as “beta” plays that historically accelerate only after XRP begins to trend. Can XRP Reach $73 This Cycle? Forrest’s thesis hinges on what he called a “seven-year flag and breakout” visible on XRP’s monthly time frame. The pattern comprises the long consolidation that followed the 2017 bull market and a second, five-month bull flag carved out this year. “Why would I not own a chart that looks like this?” he asked, noting the rarity of multi-cycle structures that break decisively to the upside without retracing the move. In his view, the next critical trigger sits above $3.00–3.30, where XRP’s prior all-time high was set in January 2018. Once breached, the analyst argues, momentum traders who “feel like they’ve missed it” will encounter a higher-time-frame market that is in fact just warming up: “Above three dollars I get even more bullish. The higher this goes, the more bullish it becomes—up to a point, of course.” Related Reading: XRP Eyes $2.50 Decision Zone As Macro Wave Structure Takes Shape Forrest offered a ladder of profit-taking zones: $7–10 — initial resistance where early longs may start trimming. $17–37 — an intermediate band calibrated from Fibonacci extensions and prior percentage moves. $73 — the “absolute” target, projected by measuring the full height of the 2017 breakout and extending it from the current flag’s pivot. He acknowledged that the $73 figure “sounds crazy” with XRP trading near $2.28 at the time of the stream but argued that similarly outsized moves materialised in past crypto supercycles. During the 2017 run, XRP advanced roughly 1,400% from its breakout flag; applying a comparable ratio to today’s structure yields Forrest’s upper bound. While the tone remained unambiguously bullish, the analyst did outline scenarios that would invalidate the thesis. A decisive breakdown below the present trading range—he cited the $1.80–1.90 area—could force a “round-trip” to the mid-$1 zone and delay the upward resolution. For now, however, he sees range-bound price action as constructive: “As long as we’re holding range, I’m not entertaining the deep retrace.” Related Reading: XRP Price: Analyst Says Expect Biblical Move Before Historic Crash – Here Are The Targets Forrest also distinguished between holding spot XRP—“a no-brainer”—and employing leverage, reminding viewers that structural targets are measured in months and that leveraged positions may not survive interim volatility. Sistine Research’s macro overlay remains resolutely pro-risk through the summer. The firm’s proprietary “Bitcoin Blueprint” identified the 7 June–21 June window as a historically bullish pocket. That seasonal tailwind, combined with the technical setup, underpins Forrest’s conviction that XRP will continue to outperform not only rival tokens but also traditional safe-haven assets such as gold and silver, which the firm nonetheless holds as portfolio hedges. Whether XRP can emulate its 2017 trajectory will depend on broader liquidity conditions, regulatory milestones in the ongoing SEC litigation, and the extent to which institutional flows diversify beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. Yet the Sistine Research desk is positioned as though the heavy lifting is already under way: “It’s slowed down a little recently, but I expect this overall trend to continue.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.32. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Popular crypto analyst with X username CasiTrades has shared an interesting technical analysis on the XRP market that postulates a potential short-term price gain. Notably, XRP prices have dipped by over 7% in the past week amidst a general crypto price correction. However, CasiTrades predicts there may be a window for quick price relief provided a specific support level remains valid. Related Reading: Ethereum Pulls Back To 20DMA After $2,700 Rejection: Testing Strength At Key Support Scalp Setup Tips XRP For $2.25 Price Target  In an X post on May 30, CasiTrades outlines a XRP trade set up that presents a potentially lucrative short-term trading opportunity. Notably, the analyst explains that XRP decline to its 0.118 Fibonacci retracement level at $2.196 has pushed into a familiar price region for short-term scalp trades. Based on CasiTrades’ analysis, the perfect entry zone for many investors lied at $2.20, with a price target of $2.253 at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level acting as the take-profit zone.   The analyst explains that this is scalp setup that operates on the high chance of securing quick price relief. Therefore, a price surge to $2.253 is not indicative of impending price reversal.  However, in the presence of strong bullish momentum, XRP is well-poised to move beyond $2.253 with potential targets set at $2.333, $2.395 and $2.456.  Notably, CasiTrades has identified the stop-loss for this trade set-up at $2.13. The analyst explains that market bulls must prevent a decisive price fall below this level as it would neutralize the validity of the entire scalp trade setup. In such a negative scenario, the altcoin is likely to experience further price decline with the next major support set around $1.77. Related Reading: Uniswap Rally Loading—Here’s Why The Next Move Could Be Explosive XRP Price Overview At press time, XRP trades at $2.14 following a significant 4.86% decline in the past one day and 3.01% in the past thirty days. Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume has increased by 57.32% suggesting a surge in selling pressure in relation to the ongoing price crash.  Based on its daily trading chart, XRP lies below its 200-day moving average indicating there is strong potential for the altcoin to maintain a downward trajectory and invalidate CasiTrades’ scalp relief projection. Meanwhile, the token’s Relative Strength Index currently stands at 36.47 and is headed for the oversold region which could potentially trigger a price rebound to around $2.30. With a market cap of $125.04 billion, XRP continues to rank as the fourth-largest cryptocurrency.  Interestingly, market analyst with X username Crypto V backs the altcoin’s bullish  potential projecting a market cap of $790 billion before 2025 runs out. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview

As Bitcoin extends its parabolic climb past $110,000, a closely followed crypto analyst is sounding the alarm for what could be XRP’s most explosive breakout in years. 470% XRP Rally Reloaded? In a market breakdown published on May 22, Cryptoinsightuk (@Cryptoinsightuk)—who has been tracking inverse correlations between the dollar index (DXY) and Bitcoin—told followers that XRP is approaching a critical moment in its historical pattern. Drawing on technical signals and liquidity metrics, the analyst argued that XRP could replicate its late 2020-style breakout, which saw a 470% rally in just 28 days. “Bitcoin is at all-time highs,” he said at the start of the video. “Now we need to lock in because where things could get really exciting is what’s next.” His focus quickly shifted to XRP, which he believes is tracing a setup eerily similar to a period that preceded its 5x surge. The analyst highlighted a “substantial break of the range” on XRP’s chart that historically has marked the start of altseason. “This is the area where XRP outperformed the market,” he noted, referring to a 28-day span starting November 5 during which XRP surged from $0.50 to over $2.70. Related Reading: XRP Price To See 64,000% Rally To $1,700? Analysts Reveal End Of Year Predictions He pointed out that XRP’s historical outperformance came immediately after Bitcoin made a clean break above resistance, and critically, during a sharp decline in Bitcoin dominance—a metric that tracks Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap. “This was the drop that saw XRP move up from 50 cents to $2.70, and then continue to $3.30,” he said. “Now we’re watching for signs of that again.” According to the analysis, XRP’s bullish potential hinges on a few key technical signals aligning. First, he noted a possible bullish divergence forming on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) of the XRP/ETH and XRP/BTC pairs, which could suggest that bearish momentum is fading even as price pulls back. “It’s essentially showing that even though price is going lower, momentum is not there to the downside,” he explained. Related Reading: Massive XRP Selling Pressure Is Stalling Price Action, Analyst Warns The analyst also emphasized the importance of daily closes above certain resistance levels, particularly $2.43 and $2.60, to confirm the start of a renewed uptrend. “That would be a nice daily close… and then we’re targeting $2.60. If we break above that, we’re confirming a new higher high, higher low structure,” he said, adding that the next major resistance lies between $3.40 and $3.00—beyond which, price discovery could begin. Altcoin Season Incoming Beyond XRP, he warned that broader market dynamics also support a shift into altcoins. “What we’ve seen is more and more people trying to short local tops. That takes us higher,” he explained. He cited rising short positions above current price levels as evidence of “pain liquidity”—a squeeze dynamic that could force price action sharply upward. While the rally has begun with Bitcoin, he believes altcoins are poised to follow, with Ethereum already showing signs of rotation. “We want Bitcoin dominance to kind of hold while price moves up,” he said, “and then for liquidity to rotate into altcoins.” Still, Cryptoinsightuk urged caution. “It’s a day to be excited, not a day to rush into trades,” he said. “This is why I’ve been screaming all year to buy the dip,” he added, “whether in XRP, ENA or whatever you want. The setup is here.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.445. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

In his latest video, the market commentator known as CryptoInsightUK laid out a multi-step argument for why XRP could “very realistically go to $10 plus this cycle — and potentially into the $20-to-$30 range.” The analyst combined macro-asset rotation, historical dominance patterns and a series of back-of-envelope calculations to contend that most investors are still underestimating the token’s upside. Why $10 Per XRP Is The Start The crypto pundit began with a brief look at Bitcoin liquidity, predicting that a build-up of short positions could generate “a very likely squeeze up to $103,000” before any near-term correction. But he quickly pivoted to the long-form case for altcoins — and XRP in particular — arguing that the broader environment of currency debasement has already lifted traditional hedges such as gold and equities well beyond their 2017 levels. “Gold was at $1,200 an ounce and is now at $3,200 […] the S&P was at 233 and is now at 566,” he said, emphasising that both assets “trend in the same direction, at least against the dollar.” Related Reading: Crypto Pundit Debunks $100,000 XRP ‘Dark Pool’ Theory That inflation in nominal asset values, he suggested, sets the stage for a capital rotation into crypto. “17% of twenty-two trillion,” he calculated — a hypothetical pullback in the gold market — “could easily add on to the crypto market cap […] and that would push Bitcoin up to $180,000 to 220,000.” The linchpin of his XRP thesis is the historical relationship between Bitcoin’s share of total crypto capitalisation (“Bitcoin dominance”) and XRP price performance. Displaying overlaid charts, he noted that in 2017 a 47% fall in dominance coincided with an “11x” rise in XRP, and that in 2021 a 46% fall aligned with a 600 percent gain despite the overhang of the Ripple vs. US Securities and Exchange Commission lawsuit. “XRP is one of the major gainers when Bitcoin dominance is falling,” he asserted, adding that a fresh 40% draw-down — merely a return to the lower boundary of the long-term range — would, on past ratios, imply an XRP move to roughly $16. A deeper slide toward 25% dominance would, by the same arithmetic, yield “that $36-to-$37 target.” Related Reading: XRP Poised For Final Flush Before Breakout, Predicts Crypto Analyst He repeatedly cautioned that his figures were illustrative rather than “definitively correct”, yet, he pushed back against objections that such price projections would require an impossibly large market capitalisation. Citing the tripling of gold’s market value since 2017 and a surge in US sovereign debt to $36 trillion, he argued that absolute numbers should not deter analysis: “Market cap shouldn’t stop you from making what a lot of people are calling outrageous claims to price.” CryptoInsightUK framed this stance as technical rather than narrative driven. His overlay of XRP dominance on Bitcoin dominance highlighted what he called a “very correlated inversely” pattern in which XRP rallies compress into short, explosive windows once Bitcoin’s share begins to ebb. “XRP does its moves really quickly,” he warned, urging viewers not to let “emotional bias” or dislike of the asset blind them to historical precedent. At press time, XRP traded at $2.13. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP opened the new month perched against a chart inflection that popular trader CasiTrades (@CasiTrades) describes as “one of the most important structural levels” for the token this cycle. In a post on X dated May 1, the analyst argued that the $2.25 zone—a former breakout pivot—has turned into the battleground on which the next decisive move will be forged. XRP Price Faces Crucial Back-Test “May begins with a critical back-test — XRP’s next move could [come] sooner than many realize!” CasiTrades wrote, framing the current pullback as a textbook retest of broken support turned resistance. According to the technician, failure to sustain bids above $2.25 last week triggered the formation of a three-wave corrective sequence. Sub-wave B appears to have ended with Wednesday’s brief return to $2.25, leaving what CasiTrades calls “a likely C-wave move toward $2.00” as the scenario to monitor. The analyst allows for a deeper intraday liquidity sweep, noting that “if that final leg plays out with momentum, there’s a strong chance we wick down to $1.90,” a price level that has not been visited since XRP’s breakout earlier this quarter. The $1.90 area coincides with both the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement of the entire advance off the correction lows and the 0.618 retracement of the most recent leg—two retracement depths that many technicians treat as high-probability reaction zones. Related Reading: XRP Price Suppressed By ‘Dark Pools,’ Crypto Pundit Claims Short-term momentum gauges are hinting that the corrective phase may be running out of steam. “On the lower time-frames, RSI is flashing exhaustion, which suggests this dip may be short-lived,” the post continues. CasiTrades therefore views the prospective flush as “the final touch of support before XRP flips $2.25 and it’s off to the races,” reiterating upside targets at $2.68, $3.00 and “beyond once we break out cleanly.” For now the bigger picture “remains unchanged,” the analyst concludes. “All signs point to one final flush before structure is ready to launch higher… Excited to see how May begins! Watching closely — not with hype, but pure technicals!” Related Reading: XRP Price Macro Channel Breakout That Puts Targets At $17-$55 Market participants will be watching the $2.00–$1.90 belt for evidence that buyers are indeed defending the midpoint of the recent rally. A convincing reclaim of $2.25, on the other hand, would validate CasiTrades’ thesis that only a “critical back-test” stood between XRP and the next leg toward multi-year highs. At press time, XRP traded at $2.21 and XRP is slowly grinding upwards from the crucial $2.00 support zone (red). Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Chart technician “Charting Guy” told his audience that XRP’s current four-hour structure suggests a measured climb toward a cycle peak near $8—yet nothing higher. Displaying a BITSTAMP four-hour chart overlaid with multi-sigma deviation bands, he wrote that XRP is “over this standard deviation and we likely move up quickly to the next one at the $3 area, then one around $4.20 and the last one at the top around $8… coincidently my main target this cycle.” No Double Digits For XRP This Cycle The analyst’s tone turned caustic when addressing hopeful forecasts for double- or triple-digit prices. “To all the people saying $8 isn’t high enough,” he said, “please throw your brain in the dryer after it got washed by all these influencer moonboys.” He argued that a move from last cycle’s capitulation low near $0.28 to $8 already implies a 2,757% advance. “Imagine not taking at least some profit lol,” he added, warning that fixation on outlier targets had trapped retail investors in every prior top. Charting Guy conceded that valuations beyond three digits are theoretically possible “if they completely achieve their goal,” referencing Ripple’s long-term ambitions in cross-border settlement and CBDC plumbing, yet he insisted that such a scenario is “absurd” for the current market phase. “It’ll likely take a few decades for all that to play out,” he wrote. “Influencer moonboys who know nothing have been saying these things for 10 YEARS and look at the chart. It’s at $2.23 right now.” Related Reading: XRP Price Pullback To $2 According To Plan For Historic Breakout To $10, Analyst Says His broader technical read remains constructive. In a slew of follow-ups he highlighted that XRP is “holding monthly Tenkan and Kijun perfectly,” “fighting between Kijun and Tenkan on weekly Ichimoku Cloud,” and has “held weekly EMA Ribbon perfectly” as well as the weekly Supertrend. Those confluences keep the medium-term structure intact, he implies, even if short-term volatility remains. On the daily timeframe he cautioned that XRP “broke out of channel, might come back to retest,” a move that—by his chart—could drag price briefly below $1.90 before the anticipated climb resumes. For Charting Guy, the disciplined approach is to respect those levels rather than chase grandiose numbers. “That lack of understanding will make these people miss bull-cycle tops and ride it down −50 to −90 percent every cycle when they can trade a big chunk of their bag each cycle and quit their 9-5 sooner,” he said. “I just try my best to be realistic and help people based on actual data in the charts, not some fairy tale a YouTuber told me.” Related Reading: XRP Will Print A New All-Time High If This Happens: Analyst While his $8 ceiling may disappoint the most fervent XRP believers, the target—if hit—would still mark the highest price in the token’s history and a near-thirty-fold return from the bear-market lows. For now, traders watching the four-hour deviation bands will be looking first for confirmation of a push through $3, then $4.20, as the analyst’s path to eight dollars begins to unfold. At press time, XRP traded at $2.33. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Trading-desk watchers received a fresh dose of long-term optimism for X on Tuesday after crypto analytics boutique Sistine Research published a multi-year XRP/US Dollar chart pointing to an eventual advance into the $33 to $50 region. The chart they circulated on X shows that the 2,500-day symmetrical triangle dating back to the January 2018 top actually resolved to the upside in mid-November 2024, when a single, outsized green candle catapulted XRP north. In barely nine trading weeks the token rallied as much as 470%, tagging $3.40 on January 16 before momentum cooled. Long-Term Target Set At $33–$50 By Sistine Research Since mid-January the market has been digesting those gains inside a clearly defined, red-boxed band bounded by $3.40 above and $1.96 below (which is the May 2021 high). That range is not arbitrarily drawn: on Sistine’s chart it is the analogue of the 2017 congestion zone that developed immediately after the earlier, 1,169-day triangle was resolved. In that historical example XRP needed six weeks of sideways churn before reigniting; the next impulse carried price almost vertically into its January 2018 peak. The firm argues that the same fractal is now playing out on a grander scale. The smaller triangle required 1,169 days of compression and unleashed a 322-day advance to the cycle high. The current structure ran for roughly 2,500 days, and the green ‘675 days’ annotation on the chart applies the identical compression/expansion ratio (≈ 0.275) to project the likely duration of the forthcoming trend leg. Counting forward 675 days from the November 2024 breakout pins a provisional climax in early September 2027. Related Reading: Analyst Says “The Clock Is Ticking” For XRP — Here’s Why Price objectives stay unchanged. The conservative target zone, shaded pale green between $33 and $50, is derived from measuring the vertical depth of the triangle and applying the same percentage over-run that occurred in 2017. Sistine notes that if the pattern is treated as the handle portion of an extensive cup-and-handle formation, harmonic extension levels cluster between $77 and $100, though those numbers are treated as tail-risk possibilities rather than the base case. “If you’re willing to measure as a cup and handle, targets could be as high as $77 to $100. […] The last symmetric triangle from 2017 over performed measured targets by quite a lot. This one is a much larger pattern,” the firm states. Related Reading: XRP Wyckoff Pattern Maps Bullish Run To $3.70 This Summer Technically, the structure remains intact as long as weekly closes hold above the triangle’s former down-trend line—now rising support near $0.80—and above the horizontal pivot at $1.96. A decisive push through $3.40 would, in Sistine’s view, confirm the range-break and open the door to a second vertical acceleration. Failure, conversely, would postpone rather than cancel the timeline, because the breakout pivot lies well beneath current trade and has not yet been retested even once. With the chart arguing that time, rather than additional pattern-building, is now the dominant variable, Sistine’s thesis boils down to a simple equation: maintain the mid-November breakout, allow the 675-day clock to run, and history implies an exponential melt-up culminating around the end of the third quarter of 2027. At press time, XRP traded at $2.22. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is still in consolidation mode after hitting a new seven-year high in January 2025. This consolidation has seen the price drop slowly, but steadily, losing around 40% of its value since then. Currently, bulls seem to have created support for the altcoin at $2, as this level continues to hold even through crashes. Thus, it has created the expectation that the bottom could be close for the XRP price, and this could serve as a bounce-off point. XRP Price Consolidation Could Be Over Soon Taking to X (formerly Twitter), crypto analyst Dark Defender revealed that the consolidation that the XRP Price has been stuck in for months now is coming to an end. The analyst used the monthly chart for the analysis, calling out an end and a bottom for the XRP price. According to him, this is actually the “Final Consolidation” for XRP, suggesting that this is where a breakout would start from. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Eyes Next Critical Level At $0.18, Is A Break Above $0.25 Possible? With the consolidation expected to come to an end soon, the crypto analyst highlights what could be next for the altcoin using the 5-Wave analysis. Now, in total, these five waves are still very bullish for the price and could end up marking a new all-time high. For the first wave, Dark Defender calls it the Impulsive Wave 1, which is expected to begin the uptrend. This first wave is expected to push the price back to $3 before the second wave starts, and this second wave is bearish. The second wave would trigger a crash from $3 back toward $2.2, providing the setup for the third wave. Once the third wave begins, this is where the crypto analyst expects the XRP price to hit a new all-time high. The target for Wave 3 puts the XRP price as high as $5, clearing the 2017 all-time high of $3.8. Next in line is the fourth wave, which is another bearish wave. This wave will cause at least a 30% crash, according to the chart shared by the crypto analyst, taking it back toward the $3 territory once again. However, just like the second bearish wave, the fourth bearish wave is expected to set up the price for a final and more explosive Wave 5. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To Break $125,000 But Sell Everything In October, Analyst Warns Once the fifth wave is in action, a brand-new all-time high is expected to happen, with the price rising over 100% from the bottom of the fourth wave. The target for this, as shown in the chart, is over $6. As for the crypto analyst, the major targets highlighted during this wave action are $3.75 and $58.85. Then, for major supports and resistances, supports are $1.88 and $1.63, while resistances lie at $2.22 and $2.30. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

In a newly published chart analysis, crypto analyst Egrag (@egragcrypto) posits that XRP may be on the cusp of a significant price breakout reminiscent of its previous cycle peaks. The data, which spans from late 2013 through 2025, highlights multiple instances in which XRP went through a protracted bear market before staging an explosive rally. Two particular examples stand out in Egrag’s assessment: the 2017 surge in which XRP rose over 2,700% from its pre-rally price levels, and the 2021 run-up that saw the asset climb by more than 1,000%. Egrag Predicts XRP Surge To $19–$45 The chart reveals a consistent framework that relies on the interplay between the 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 33-week Simple Moving Average (MA). These moving averages are shown crossing during bearish cycles and then eventually curving upward, implying the formation of a bottom. Related Reading: 62.8% Of XRP Realized Cap Held By New Investors: Sign Of Fragility? Historically, XRP’s final bullish legs—often culminating in “blow-off tops”—began once the price retook the 21 EMA and the 33 MA, with the 777-day (and in one instance, 770-day) window before those bullish crosses recurring as a noteworthy time cycle. “Men lie, women lie, but charts don’t,” says Egrag. “I’m not improvising here; I’m relying on historical data to present future predictions. Will it rhyme exactly? No, because if it were that easy, everyone would be a multimillionaire!” According to the chart, XRP has already mirrored some of the patterns seen in 2017 and 2021, a parallel that leads Egrag to posit two potential price targets if the token completes another blow-off top scenario. While he acknowledges various complicating factors, the analyst believes XRP could rally as much as 2,700%—taking the asset to approximately $45—or, in a more moderate iteration, 1,050% to just below $20. “Now, here’s my measured move: if #XRP mimics either of these cycles, we could see price movements of 2,700% or 1,050%, putting XRP around $45 or $19!” he notes, referencing the previous explosive expansions. Egrag cites past cycles to support these targets, pointing to how XRP found support at the 21 EMA in 2017 just before launching into its last blow-off phase. In 2021, the coin rallied once it decisively broke above both the 21 EMA and 33 MA. Related Reading: XRP Primed for a Comeback as Key Technical Signal Hints at Explosive Move To underscore the method behind using both indicators, Egrag adds that “market makers use the same moving averages to see where support and resistance are and act against us. So I am using different moving averages—one is fast (exponential) and one is simple—to understand price action better.” He emphasizes these signals are lagging indicators but can still confirm whether market sentiment is shifting from bearish to bullish. Notably, Egrag’s personal long-standing target for XRP has been $27. He underlines that nothing is guaranteed, especially in a market characterized by what he calls “human reactions and behaviors.” Quoting a line from the film Margin Call, he explains, “You cannot control it, stop it, or slow it, or even slightly alter it…you have to just react. Make a lot of money if you get it right, or you’ll be left by the side of the road if you get it wrong.” Yet he notes that it is wise to strategize selling—or “DCA (Dollar-Sell-Average)—if circumstances call for it, to mitigate risk. At press time, XRP traded at $2.00. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com