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After enduring weeks of capitulation, sustained price declines, and overall market weakness last year, XRP is showing signs of a recovery. The cryptocurrency has rebounded above the $2.2 level after beginning the new year at a low of above $1.90. According to a crypto expert, XRP’s long-term outlook remains significantly bullish. He compares XRP’s projected trajectory to gold’s price movement, predicting a similar historic all-time high rally. XRP Tracks Gold’s Historic Run Market analyst ‘Steph is Crypto’ has stated that XRP is showing a rare chart setup that closely mirrors gold’s macro move between 2023 and 2025. In his analysis shared on X, the crypto expert explained that after a prolonged corrective phase, XRP has completed a clean Wave 4 structure, formed a Falling Wedge, and is now breaking out in a way that reflects early trend expansion behavior.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Parabola: What’s Different Between The Last Bull Cycle And This One? The analyst shared a parallel chart that illustrated gold’s price action over the years on one side and XRP’s movement and future trajectory on the other. Over the two-day timeframe, XRP has completed an impulsive Wave 1-3, followed by a downward-sloping corrective channel that slopes into Wave 4, ending with a compression typical of a Falling Wedge. Steph is Crypto directly compares this formation and price movement to gold, which went through an almost identical structure earlier between 2022 and 2023. Following this corrective pattern, gold broke out decisively, entering a strong expansion phase that carried the price to new ATHs over the past months. The breakout also led to a sustained rally with minimal pullbacks and consolidation for almost two years.  Based on gold’s explosive historic performance, Steph is Crypto has projected that XRP could replicate a similar trajectory in 2026. The XRP chart shows price stabilizing above the Falling Wedge breakout area near the mid-$2 range. From there, the projected path suggests a rapid expansion phase that mirrors gold’s post-breakout trajectory.  If XRP replicates this historic run, it implies a new all-time high cycle, with the price potentially skyrocketing toward $37 before the end of 2026 or the beginning of 2027. The visual projection line on the chart shows that XRP could also experience a similar steady price expansion phase with minimal pullbacks along the way.  Analyst Says XRP Could Outperform Bitcoin Soon Crypto analyst Matt Hughes has shared a new analysis of the XRP/BTC chart, pointing to a potential shift in long-term price performance. He believes that XRP is gearing up to outperform Bitcoin this year, based on a rate technical signal that just emerged on the trading pair’s chart.  Related Reading: Popular Crypto Founder Dumps Millions In Ethereum, Here’s What He’s Buying According to Hughes, an incredibly bullish setup that has not appeared in years is developing on the XRP/BTC chart. He stated that price is about to break above the monthly Ichimoku Cloud for the first time since 2018, when XRP exploded to its current ATH of $3.84. Notably, a successful move above this cloud would signal a deep structural change in the cryptocurrency’s trend, potentially leading to significant relative gains this year.    Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

The XRP price exploded from $0.5 in 2024 to over $3 in 2025. In the span of a few months, the cryptocurrency, which had been suppressed, made history and was only a few percentage points away from revisiting its all-time high. According to a crypto analyst, XRP may soon replicate its legendary 2017 rally, potentially reaching a new all-time high in the next three months.  XRP To See Parabolic Rally In Three Months Market expert @Cryptobilbuwoo0 has shared a bullish outlook on XRP, pointing to a familiar price structure that closely mirrors the 2017 market cycle. According to the analyst, XRP began its powerful breakout near $3.60 in 2017, then skyrocketed to its ATH around $3.84 in 2018. Related Reading: Standard Chartered Analysts Predict 330% XRP Price Surge After This Happens He pointed out that in 2017, once the price broke above the dotted support line, which represented a long rising diagonal trend on the chart, XRP reached its $3.6 target within a week. Notably, this move delivered gains of approximately 1,184.86%. Based on the rally’s speed and intensity, the analyst suggests that XRP could be poised for another sharp surge, claiming that investors’ lives could change dramatically over the next 2 to 3 months. Notably, @Cryptobilbuwoo0’s chart analysis shows that XRP is already breaking out from a clearly defined base, having held above the same rising diagonal support line from 2017. At the same time, the breakout occurs as price reclaims the 52-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a level that previously marked the beginning of strong upside expansion for XRP.  Fibonacci Extensions on the chart further highlight the 1.618 level as a key upside target, in line with the 2017 cycle peak structure. The chart also marks TP1 and TP2 zones, where the price paused briefly in 2017 before continuing higher. These shallow pullbacks were quickly bought, signaling strong trend control in the previous cycle.  Current projections suggest a strong and sustained upward momentum following XRP’s breakout above the dotted support line. For its first target, price is expected to rally toward TP1 at $23.2, representing a massive 1,183.38% increase. Beyond this level, XRP is projected to continue its rally toward TP2 around $136.3, signaling a potentially historic upside. Remarkably, @Cryptobilbuwoo0’s chart suggests that all of these parabolic moves could unfold before the end of 2026. Momentum Indicators Support Bullish XRP Forecast XRP is currently trading above $2.2, up more than 21% in the past week. Given the cryptocurrency’s historically slow price movements, @Cryptobilbuwoo0’s forecast of a rise to $23.2 and then $136.3 has been met with skepticism within the crypto community.  Related Reading: XRP Sees 80% Spike In Major Metric, Why This Matters For Price Appreciation However, the analyst points to momentum indicators at the bottom of the price chart that support his bullish outlook. He showed that in 2017, XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) hit oversold levels just before the price surged dramatically. A similar pattern is appearing in the current market, reinforcing his belief that the next 2 to 3 months could be parabolic. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP has jumped roughly 25% off its recent lows (at one point), and Cryptoinsightuk co-founder Will Taylor says the move has reopened the debate over whether XRP is starting a larger impulse that could ultimately point toward the $8–$12 zone or whether it’s a short-term squeeze that needs to cool first. Taylor said he’s “up in the air” on the immediate next step, even as he remains long. His hesitation is rooted in a simple conflict: the lower timeframes look stretched, but XRP has a track record of accelerating after momentum spikes rather than immediately mean-reverting. What The XRP Charts Tell Us On the hourly, Taylor noted XRP’s RSI has repeatedly hit overbought territory and “we’ve crossed bearish on the hour,” a short-term warning that often precedes pullbacks or sideways digestion. On the four-hour, he described RSI as “about as high as I’ve pretty much ever seen it,” and tried to contextualize what happened the last few times XRP got similarly overheated. In one prior episode, he said XRP pulled back briefly, then continued higher by “a further like 36%.” In another, he described a rally sequence where price consolidated and then ran again, adding “another 129%” into the next leg. Related Reading: Same XRP Setup That Led To Over 1,000% Increase In 2017 Is Playing Out Again That’s the core of his dilemma: overbought conditions can be a sell signal in many markets, but Taylor argues XRP’s strongest phases often begin with RSI entering overbought, not ending there. “When XRP’s daily RSI gets overbought, XRP rips in price a lot of the time,” he said, pushing back on the reflex to fade strength. On the daily chart, he highlighted what he sees as a constructive technical shift. XRP has closed above a short-term range that previously capped price for multiple days, and printed its “highest daily close in XRP since the 13th of November.” Taylor emphasized how quickly XRP cleared that ceiling this time: after multiple failed attempts in the prior weeks, “we break straight through.” XRP Price Targets From there, Taylor laid out the upside logic using historical RSI analogs. He said three previous daily overbought signals during the current cycle coincided with major extensions, citing moves of roughly 414% in one instance and 36% and 49% in others. He framed this as pattern recognition rather than prediction: “this is complete fact,” he said, referring to the historical relationship between daily RSI overbought and subsequent upside but he still translated those rough percentages into possible zones. A smaller continuation on the order of ~39% would, in his words, take XRP to around $3.13. A larger extension could revisit all-time highs near $3.66. The most aggressive interpretation, aligned with his broader wave thesis, would move XRP “up towards our goals of like $8 to $12 for this wave.” Related Reading: Only 1 Week Left As XRP RSI Breakout Sets Up $10 Path, Analyst Predicts Structurally, Taylor said the market is at a point where multiple Elliott Wave counts can be argued. He sketched competing interpretations: XRP may be working through an ABC-type move off the lows, may be approaching a fifth wave higher, or could still be in an extended third wave within a larger five-wave advance. “My honest answer is right now I don’t know,” he said. Even without committing to a wave count, Taylor said the “impulsive” character of the rally stands out. He pointed to “the length of these candles supported by volume” across exchanges, arguing the move looks different from earlier, more corrective price action. For him, the practical test is near-term continuation: he wants to see “some more really aggressive candles” over the next day or two to support the idea that XRP is leading a broader leg rather than squeezing and stalling. Liquidity is the other piece he’s watching. Taylor said XRP has “on the hourly taken most of our upside liquidity,” while flagging downside liquidity zones around $1.70 down to $1.66. He said in established trends he would “expect a continuation to the upside,” but those downside pools, combined with stretched RSI and nearby resistance on XRP’s relative pairs, keep him from treating the current level as a clean new entry. Taylor said these mixed signals are why he has considered reducing leverage on his XRP long, noting he is “90% spot.” His bottom line was simple: XRP has delivered “a fantastic aggressive move,” but the next few sessions matter. 29 minutes of $XRP TA. pic.twitter.com/aJ4yiC7Sdr — Cryptoinsightuk (@Cryptoinsightuk) January 6, 2026 If XRP keeps printing strong daily candles and the relative pairs start closing above resistance, his $8–$12 zone framing remains a live bull-case roadmap. If not, the same overbought signals and nearby liquidity pockets increase the odds that XRP first resets through consolidation or a retracement before any larger leg can develop. At press time, XRP traded at $2.25. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has regained momentum after reclaiming the $2.20 level and extending its move toward the $2.41 mark, marking one of its strongest advances in recent months. The recovery comes after a prolonged period of selling pressure and uncertainty, and it has reignited bullish expectations among a segment of investors who now believe XRP could challenge or even surpass its all-time high later this year. While skepticism remains across the broader market, price action suggests that XRP is no longer purely defensive. Related Reading: Venezuela, Geopolitical Risk, And Bitcoin: What On-Chain Data Really Shows According to a recent CryptoQuant report, early January brought visible improvement across the crypto sector, with Bitcoin pushing toward $93,000 and XRP moving decisively above $2.30. That synchronized strength helped shift sentiment, as XRP broke out of its prior consolidation range and began showing signs of renewed trend formation. Significantly, the move has not been driven by price alone. On-chain data points to a deeper structural change within the XRP ecosystem. Activity on the XRP Ledger has accelerated sharply, with network growth reaching levels not seen during the previous consolidation phase. This expansion suggests that rising prices are being supported by genuine usage and participation rather than short-term speculation. XRPL Liquidity Surge Signals Structural Shift Behind Breakout The CryptoQuant report indicates a decisive change in XRP’s market structure, driven not only by price appreciation but also by deep shifts in liquidity and participation. One of the most striking developments is the explosion in liquidity on the XRPL decentralized exchange, which has climbed to roughly $173 billion. Rather than thinning out during periods of weakness, liquidity has expanded sharply, suggesting that large players are actively positioning rather than exiting. This behavior is typically associated with preparation for heightened volatility or a more durable trend change. The timing of this expansion is also important. Since mid-December, liquidity spikes have become both more frequent and larger in size, a pattern that aligns with the entry of more sophisticated market makers. This effectively transforms the trading environment, making it easier for whales and institutional participants to deploy size without causing disruptive price swings. In practical terms, XRP is becoming a more efficient market for large-scale capital. Crucially, this liquidity is not idle. Transaction activity on the XRPL DEX has surged, indicating that deeper order books are supporting real usage rather than passive positioning. At the same time, market behavior has shifted toward buyer dominance. Aggressive buying has taken control, while bearish pressure has faded, allowing the price to break out of its prior compression. Forced short covering further reinforced that move and helped propel XRP through key resistance near $2.30. Together, these dynamics suggest that structural improvements, not just speculative momentum, underpin XRP’s recent strength. Related Reading: Memecoin Strength Returns After Historic Market Decline: A Setup For A Comeback? XRP Faces Heavy Overhead Resistance XRP’s daily chart shows a notable shift in short-term momentum after a prolonged period of downside pressure. Price has surged from the December lows near the $1.85–$1.90 zone and is now trading around $2.35, marking a sharp recovery that has caught sellers off guard. Following months of lower highs and lower lows, analysts view this rebound as an early trend reversal attempt instead of a confirmed bullish continuation The breakout above the short-term moving average (blue line) is a constructive development. This level had previously acted as dynamic resistance throughout November and December, consistently rejecting upside attempts. Reclaiming it signals improving momentum and a potential shift in market structure. However, XRP is now approaching a dense resistance cluster between $2.45 and $2.65, where both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages converge. Historically, this zone has attracted strong selling pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Data Shows Aggressive Sellers In Control As BTC Consolidates Below $90K While the recent rally shows increased participation compared to late December, it remains well below the levels seen during prior impulsive advances. This suggests that although buyers are regaining control, conviction is still developing. A period of consolidation above $2.20 would help solidify this move. If XRP can hold above the $2.30–$2.35 area, the probability of a broader recovery toward $2.70 increases. Failure to do so would likely result in a pullback, keeping XRP range-bound and vulnerable to renewed selling pressure. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP has surged past recent resistance with impressive momentum, signaling strength in the current rally. However, the real challenge now lies at the $2.41 cost-basis zone, a key area where a significant amount of XRP was previously accumulated. How price reacts here will likely dictate whether bulls can maintain control and push toward higher targets, or if selling pressure creates a temporary pause or pullback. XRP Approaches A Critical Cost-Basis Resistance At $2.41 According to a recent update from Steph Is Crypto, XRP is now at a pivotal crossroads, with price action increasingly centered around the $2.41 level. This zone stands out as a major cost-basis wall where several technical and on-chain signals align, making it a decisive area in determining whether the current rally can extend or begin to stall. Related Reading: XRP Enters A Make-or-Break Zone As This Long-Term Support Cracks The cost-basis distribution heatmap highlights the $2.41 region as a dense supply cluster. Cost basis represents the price levels at which tokens were previously acquired. When the price returns to these areas, they often attract heightened trading activity.  On-chain data shows that between $2.39 and $2.41, roughly 1.56 billion XRP were accumulated. Many holders who bought in this range may look to exit positions to break even as the price revisits the zone, introducing selling pressure and reinforcing the area as resistance. This dynamic is also reflected in the XRP price chart, which shows repeated hesitation and multiple rejections around the same level. The alignment between on-chain supply data and technical price action suggests that $2.41 is an important level that XRP must overcome decisively to unlock the next leg higher. Wave 3 Breaks Out Above The 2.618 Extension With Strong Momentum Tara revealed that XRP’s Wave 3 has delivered a powerful breakout, pushing beyond the 2.618 Fibonacci extension and clearing the macro resistance at $2.30. This move was accompanied by a strong RSI reading, signaling strength behind the advance. Related Reading: XRP Price May Be Bearish Below $2, But On-Chain Data Tells A Different Story With Wave 3 extending higher, Tara identified $2.49 as the next key upside target, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension of the fifth wave. Despite the strength of the move, Tara advised preparing for a short-term pullback. A brief retracement could allow the RSI to cool off, creating healthier conditions for the next leg higher and potentially setting up a clearer divergence on a renewed push. As long as XRP remains above the macro 0.236 Fibonacci level, the broader bullish structure stays intact. Tara is closely monitoring lower-timeframe support zones, marked in green, while continuing to track the move as a developing Wave 1/3 impulse. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP has shown a notable uptick in price action in the past 48 hours as XRP’s price pushed higher from below $2 at the beginning of the year, but it now finds itself trading near the $2.40 region.  Interestingly, this recent push is more than just a bounce, especially as a longer-term chart structure shows comparisons with XRP’s behavior ahead of its 2017 breakout. How The 2017 Structure Unfolded Before The Surge Technical analysis of XRP’s current price action on the weekly candlestick timeframe chart shows that the cryptocurrency is currently tracing out a similar price action to what it went through back in 2017 on the 3-day chart.  In that earlier period, price action unfolded through a well-defined five-wave sequence, characterized by alternating phases of decline and recovery. Waves one, three, and five each pushed the price lower with corrective pressure, while waves two and four produced temporary rebounds that relieved selling pressure but failed to establish a lasting trend reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Parabola: What’s Different Between The Last Bull Cycle And This One? The final stage of that sequence was particularly important. During the fifth wave, XRP’s decline slowed and compressed into a falling wedge formation. XRP’s price slipped below the $0.005 level and eventually stabilized around $0.00485, where downside follow-through became increasingly limited.  From here, the downside pressure gradually weakened, volatility contracted, and selling momentum faded. When XRP finally broke out of that compression, it quickly reclaimed the $0.008 zone and broke through $0.02, resulting in the start of a rally that ultimately delivered gains well in excess of 1,000%. XRP Price Chart. Source: @Steph_iscrypto According to Steph’s analysis, XRP’s recent price action is following a remarkably similar rhythm. After topping out around $3.40 in mid-2025, the cryptocurrency entered a corrective phase that pushed the price steadily lower to create a falling wedge structure.  That decline found support at $1.74, where selling pressure slowed and price action stopped making aggressive new lows. Now, it seems XRP is breaking out of the falling wedge and back to solidifying its price action above $2. XRP Price Action In Focus Now that XRP is back to trading above $2 and above the falling wedge, the next course of action is to look at how the price behaves from here. Of course, the most bullish course of action is for XRP to repeat a 1,000% rally, which would place it at a price target around $22.  Related Reading: Popular Crypto Founder Dumps Millions In Ethereum, Here’s What He’s Buying In terms of how this plays out, there are resistance levels to watch out for. The $2.30 area is an early test, followed by $2.50 and $2.80, which are prior consolidation levels where XRP slowed down during its push to all-time highs in 2025.  After that, the $3.10 price level and the previous 2018 high at $3.40 are the major resistances that would need to be reclaimed. On the downside, sustained weakness below $1.90, and especially a move back toward $1.74, would challenge the idea that the corrective phase has fully played out. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP surged 12% to reach $2.42 on January 6, marking its highest price since mid-November 2025, before hovering around the current $2.35 mark. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Shiba Inu Price Jumped Over 13% The jump coincided with a strong influx of capital into XRP-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs), technical breakout patterns, and a sharp reduction in short positions. These aspects combined to drive one of the most notable rallies in the crypto market’s early 2026 recovery phase. XRP's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview XRP ETF Inflows and Institutional Interest Fuel Gains Spot XRP ETFs recorded $48 million in net inflows on January 5 and 6, marking the largest daily inflows since their launch in November 2024. Over the past eight weeks, these ETFs have experienced a consistent inflow of approximately $1.23 billion, reflecting a growing institutional appetite for XRP exposure. The increased buying pressure from these funds is helping absorb selling pressure and reduce the available supply on exchanges. Vincent Liu, Chief Investment Officer at Kronos Research, noted that ETF inflows combined with XRP breaking key resistance levels on strong volume have heightened traders’ risk appetite. This institutional interest is supported by regulatory clarity following 2025’s Ripple’s settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which removed a major obstacle to adoption. Technical Breakout and Short Squeeze Accelerate Price Movement Technical analysts point to a breakout from a falling wedge pattern, with XRP maintaining levels above its 50-day moving average, a positive indicator for momentum traders. During the price surge, over $250 million in short positions were liquidated within a single hour, adding fuel to the rally by forcing short sellers to cover their bets. Renowned trader John Bollinger, inventor of the Bollinger Bands, commented that XRP is following a similar bullish pattern to Bitcoin and Ethereum but with slightly weaker momentum. Nonetheless, he suggested that XRP’s price could track Bitcoin’s upward trend, with analysts projecting a potential target near $3.50 if current support levels hold. Broader Market Context and Future Outlook XRP’s rally comes amid a broader crypto market recovery, with Bitcoin and Ethereum rising 7.4% and 9.3% respectively over the past week. On-chain data indicate a decline in XRP balances on centralized exchanges, suggesting reduced selling pressure. Institutional backing continues to grow, with PwC recently endorsing Ripple as a core player in blockchain-based financial services. Major banks such as Standard Chartered have projected XRP prices as high as $8 by the end of 2026, based on Ripple’s increasing integration in cross-border payments and settlement solutions. Related Reading: John Bollinger: Bitcoin BB Squeeze Breakout Targets $107,000 As market sentiment improves and regulatory uncertainties ease, XRP appears positioned to benefit from both technical momentum and growing institutional demand. Traders will be watching closely to see if XRP can sustain gains above key resistance zones around $2.30 and potentially push toward higher price targets. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart on Tradingview

Japan’s integration of XRP into regulated capital flow infrastructure marks a decisive shift in how digital assets are being positioned within modern finance. The move suggests that XRP is transitioning from a cross-border payments tool into a component of regulated capital flow infrastructure. It also reframes XRP as a settlement layer increasingly aligned with institutional standards, compliance frameworks, and real-world financial throughput. Why This Integration Marks A Structural Inflection Point For XRP The Japanese are embedding XRP and crypto into core capital flows. Crypto analyst Xfinancebull revealed that when the Japanese finance minister openly supports crypto integration within stock exchanges, it’s not just policy. Rather, it is a regulatory green light for integration into core capital markets.  Related Reading: XRP Advances As A Recognized Digital Asset In Regulated Markets — Here’s How Furthermore, this move will open the door to a $7 trillion value in equity rails and provide the altcoin a direct path to be regulated into Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs), broker access, and structured products. With SBI corridors and RLUSD already live, this has become a demand engine, not a theory.  XRP has been integrated into Japan’s financial system for years, backed by real-world infrastructure and regulated clarity. The alignment between rails and regulation is rare, but now the capital can meet the infrastructure. According to an analyst known as UnknowDLT, not enough has been said about GTreasury. Currently, Ripple is partnering with JPMorgan. This partnership is an infrastructure-level connection that has placed Ripple technology to directly access the corporate payment rails used by JPMorgan and other large banks. By integrating Ripple’s stack at this layer, it will allow XRP to be used as a settlement asset or a backend liquidity layer, without the end user explicitly using the altcoin. When inserted behind the scenes, the altcoin can reduce prefunding, optimize liquidity, and act as a neutral bridge asset between currencies and systems. How Demand Steps In At Key Structural Level For XRP Crypto trader known as ZiP on X has highlighted that the support zone at the end of November has now been clearly defended, and the market responded with two strong bullish candles on the weekly chart. This is the first clear sign that demand has stepped in exactly where it should be on the higher timeframe. Related Reading: Analyst Updates XRP Price Prediction: Why $16 Is Still On The Table Currently, the XRP price is approaching a key decision area around $2.30, a zone that stands out as the area where supply may become active and attempt to show or stop the move higher. The reaction from this zone will show the market’s next move. However, if demand manages to break through the $2.30 level and hold the price above it on a weekly closing basis, it would signal acceptance, as the next significant resistance sits around $3.20. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

A prominent crypto commentator known as Mason Versluis has issued a notable warning for XRP investors, pointing out that parts of the discussion around XRP to lofty price targets as high as $10,000 have drifted far away from reality and risk misleading investors. Pundit Pushes Back Against $10,000 XRP Predictions Bullish price predictions around XRP have been arriving at an unusually fast pace in recent months, especially as spot exchange-traded funds and institutional participation are now a major part of investor conversations.  Related Reading: The Great XRP Exodus: Here’s How Much Is Left On Crypto Exchanges Social media platforms are now filled with increasingly high targets, ranging from triple-digit valuations to extreme calls for four-figure and even five-figure prices at $10,000. Just a few years ago, you would not have believed such XRP price predictions would be as rampant as this. In a recent video clip circulating across the crypto community, Mason Versluis delivered an unusually blunt assessment of the $10,000 predictions for the altcoin. He dismissed the figure outright, noting that such price targets should not even be part of current conversations.  According to Versluis, anyone aggressively promoting those numbers is doing investors a disservice and misleading them. His argument is based on the fact that XRP has yet to demonstrate the ability to break above far lower price levels, making five-digit projections detached from present conditions.  A closer look at XRP’s circulating supply explains why the $10,000 prediction raises doubts. XRP currently has a circulating supply of about 66 billion tokens with a market cap of $141.9 billion. Therefore, calculations based on the current circulating supply would imply a market cap of roughly $660 trillion if the altcoin reaches $10,000, which is far greater than the current top 100 assets by market cap combined.  To put this in context, gold currently has a market cap of about $31 trillion. The most realistic way that the token might reach $10,000 is for the circulating supply to decrease significantly. Bullish Bias Exists, But Built Around Progression According to Versias, XRP reaching $10,000 is not outright impossible. However, the world has only seen roughly 2% of the changes that would be required for XRP to approach a $10,000 valuation.  Related Reading: Here’s How Much The XRP Price Will Be If It Overtakes Ethereum In Market Cap XRP has not even reached $10, let alone maintained it. In order for any outstanding price levels to become a reality, XRP would first need to break above double digits $10, and hold above. From here, discussions about $50, $100, or higher only become meaningful after XRP proves strength at each preceding level. Despite the criticism, Versluis made it clear that his outlook on XRP is not bearish. He acknowledged that his stance has grown increasingly optimistic due to developments such as ETF momentum, DeFi activity, and institutional engagement surrounding XRP and the XRP ledger, continuing to improve. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is compressing on the weekly chart into a clearly defined post-breakout range, and analyst Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto)argues the next directional clue will come from the RSI, with a breakout “sometime in Q1” that he expects to coincide with higher prices and a push toward $10. Maelius’ chart is a 1W XRP/USD view (Bitstamp) with a 50-week EMA overlaid. The market’s most recent regime shift is clear: a sharp vertical expansion carried XRP from a long base into a higher trading band, followed by a multi-week consolidation inside a shaded range. Is XRP Set To Explode Within 1 Week? That range is anchored by two levels the chart emphasizes. The upper boundary aligns with the prior spike high near $3.33 (the 2018 peak), while the lower boundary sits just above $1.60. At the time of the screenshot, XRP is around $2.124 on the weekly close, placing price just below the 50-week EMA, the most immediate, high-visibility pivot in Maelius’ framing. The Elliott labeling casts the current chop as a corrective wave 4 after the impulsive advance. The message is less “trend is broken” and more “trend is pausing.” Maelius added that his “conservative count assumes there is only 1W left,” implying a relatively tight window for the market to resolve the consolidation and transition into wave 5 if momentum confirms. Related Reading: XRP Is Setting Up For Its ‘Next Explosive Move,’ Analysts Say: Here’s The Target The broader layout of the chart also invites a comparison to 2017: XRP’s first major run off a base, a long mid-cycle breather, and then a second, sharper leg into the ultimate high. In the comparison within the chart, XRP rallied roughly 7,400% in about three months in early 2017, consolidated from May through December, then surged again by roughly 1,500%. Today’s sequencing is presented as similar in shape, if not necessarily in magnitude: a strong first leg from roughly November 2024 through January 2025 (roughly +500%), followed by a year-long consolidation into January 2026. In that read, the next major leg higher could be approaching, potentially shallower than the first, with wave 5 serving as the “second push” analogue. Related Reading: Analyst Updates XRP Price Prediction: Why $16 Is Still On The Table The lower panel is a weekly RSI with a descending trendline capping recent peaks. That red down-sloping line is Maelius’ timing trigger: “RSI breaks out sometime in Q1. Price goes higher.” The implication is straightforward. In his framework, momentum needs to break its own compression before price can sustain the next expansion phase. Crucially, the chart also carries a higher-degree label that places the current wave 4 within a larger wave III, rather than portraying the next wave 5 as a terminal, cycle-ending move. That aligns with his response when asked whether $10 would be a quarterly “max”: “Sometime in Q1 we should get a breakout, not necessarily a top. Next wave should be towards 10$.” If the thesis is working, XRP would be expected to reclaim the 50-week EMA and reassert acceptance back toward the range highs near $3.33, with the RSI trendline break acting as the confirmation event Maelius is watching. If it fails, continued rejection at the EMA and a breakdown through the range floor above $1.60 would keep the wave-4 corrective phase in play and delay the wave-5 path he’s mapped. At press time, XRP traded at $2.37. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

In 2025, XRP emerged as the best-performing token among the top ten largest cryptocurrencies, outpacing gains from Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). As the first week of 2026 unfolds, XRP has continued this upward trend, recording a 17% surge over the past week that has propelled its price back above the key $2.20 threshold. Strong ETF Demand Pushes XRP Forward One of the prominent factors contributing to this surge is the strong performance of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which became a standout in the market by attracting $483 million over the past weeks. In contrast, Bitcoin ETFs experienced a significant outflow of $1.09 billion, while Ethereum products faced a loss of $564 million.  XRP funds not only achieved $483 million in inflows during December but also maintained a steady influx for 30 consecutive trading days. This streak finally ended on December 26 with the first day of zero inflows.  Overall, since their launch in November, total inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds have amassed to $1.3 billion, marking the fastest adoption rate for any altcoin ETF to date. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reaches $93,000 Amid Renewed Optimism: What To Keep An Eye On This Week Looking ahead, reports suggest that the ETF landscape could be pivotal in shaping bullish scenarios for XRP. A potential filing by BlackRock for an XRP ETF could serve as a significant credibility boost, attracting conservative institutional investors to the space.  BlackRock’s own $40 billion Bitcoin ETF exemplifies the capacity to mobilize capital effectively through its Aladdin platform connections. Additionally, the scaling of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin into banking and remittance services could generate ongoing demand for XRP as a critical bridge asset. There are also signs that the Federal Reserve could implement several rate cuts in 2026, which would lower the opportunity cost of investing in risk assets.  Under such conditions, it is alleged that the XRP price might break through its all-time high of $3.84, potentially escalating toward the $4.00 to $5.00 range by year-end. On The Cusp Of Major Gains? When it comes to price action, market analyst Dark Defender, active on the social media platform X (previously Twitter), recently highlighted XRP’s price action by providing a three-month time frame update.  The analyst noted that a newly initiated green candle in January exhibits a bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI). According to Dark Defender, surpassing the $2.22 level is crucial for XRP. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price On The Brink Of A 9,000% Rally To $10? What Historical Performance Shows He further suggested that XRP could be on the brink of a significant surge, similar to silver, and pointed to ambitious targets such as $6 and even as high as $20 in the future.  Achieving $6 would represent a notable 171% increase from current trading prices, while reaching the $20 mark would indicate a staggering 800% rise. While trading at $2.21 at the time of writing, the token is still facing $2.22 as the next major short-term resistance level, and is also trading at 40% below its all-time high. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Analysts said traders expect XRP to see wider adoption in the coming year and seek to expand their crypto exposure beyond bitcoin and ether.

XRP’s price has remained restrained despite steady activity around the asset, and recent commentary helps explain the disconnect. According to Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, the explanation lies beyond Ripple’s escrow releases or retail behavior, pointing instead to structural factors influencing how XRP supply reaches the market. How XRP Investors Are Selling Without Spooking The Market Claver explained in a recent post on X that large XRP sales are primarily happening through institutional channels such as over-the-counter (OTC) trades and dark pools that keep activity out of public view, rather than on public exchanges. He specifically pointed to platforms such as FalconX and Kraken’s dark pool infrastructure. These venues are designed for institutions, hedge funds, and early investors who want to move large positions without advertising their intentions on open order books. Related Reading: Popular Crypto Founder Dumps Millions In Ethereum, Here’s What He’s Buying This matters because public exchanges are highly sensitive to large sell orders. When big sales appear on an exchange, they often cause rapid price declines as other traders react. OTC desks operate differently. They match buyers and sellers privately, allowing XRP to change hands without immediate impact on visible market prices. As a result, significant amounts of XRP can be sold while the chart appears relatively stable. For early investors who accumulated XRP at much lower prices years ago, this approach is highly efficient. It allows them to gradually exit or rebalance positions while protecting execution quality. For the broader market, however, it creates a disconnect. Demand may exist, but as long as a steady supply is being released through private channels, upward price momentum remains limited. This explains why XRP can struggle to break higher even in periods of positive sentiment or strong network-related narratives. ETF Demand Is Quietly Draining The Same Liquidity Pool An important extension of Claver’s point came not from a comment beneath his original post. A reader asked for a “best estimate” on when OTC desks might run out of supply. He responded that supply is shrinking every day, with ETFs actively depleting available liquidity. Related Reading: Can Dogecoin Price Reach $1 In 2026? Analysts Reveal What To Expect This exchange is critical for understanding the bigger picture. ETFs do not typically buy XRP on public exchanges in a way that distorts price. Instead, they source liquidity through OTC desks, the same channels early investors are using to sell. This means ETFs are steadily absorbing XRP that would otherwise remain available for quiet distribution. Over time, this dynamic changes market structure. As ETFs and other institutional products continue to draw down OTC inventories, early investors will have fewer opportunities to sell large positions without touching public markets. When that happens, selling activity becomes more visible, and price discovery shifts back onto exchanges. Until OTC supply tightens meaningfully, XRP’s price may remain capped despite ongoing demand. The key takeaway is straightforward: current price suppression is not a lack of interest in XRP, but a consequence of how and where early investors are choosing to sell. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

A crypto analyst who previously predicted that the XRP price could rise toward $16 has now updated his outlook to a higher target. According to the revised projection, XRP is preparing to rally above $18, a level that would represent a staggering 369% surge from its current all-time high of about $3.84 Updated XRP Price Forecast Eyes Breakout Above $16 Crypto market analyst ChartNerd has updated his XRP price outlook from a previous analysis, reinforcing his bullish stance while outlining two potential market scenarios. He described the structure in his chart analysis as a Staircase to Valhalla, implying that XRP could move through distinct phases toward a higher valuation above $18, rather than experiencing a single explosive surge.  Related Reading: Pi Cycle Top Put XRP Price At $300, But Is This Feasible? In his post on X, the expert stated that XRP is reacting positively from a key Vertical Accumulation Support zone that has acted as a defense barrier for roughly 13 months around $1.99. He emphasized that this area successfully held price and is now serving as the base layer for a potential continuation higher.  According to the analyst’s chart, Scenario 1, which shows XRP already moving above the Vertical Accumulation Support area, remains the more bullish outcome and currently has the advantage. However, he cautions that confirmation will only come if XRP can break above the Vertical Accumulation Resistance zone between $3.1 and $3.7. If this happens, a stronger price rally can be validated.  Notably, ChartNerd outlines a final “Markup” phase with a bullish target of $18-$22 for XRP. This projection reflects a steep expansion zone shown on the chart following a successful breakout from the Vertical Accumulation Resistance and a subsequent consolidation period. ChartNerd also outlines a second scenario, which presents a more bearish path for XRP. In this case, the cryptocurrency could dip below $1.5 from its current price above $2 before attempting to approach the vertical accumulation resistance again. In the near term, he agreed that XRP is currently at support and suggested that a break above $2.20 could open the door to further upside.  Analyst Says 2026 Will Be A Landmark Year For XRP In a recent post, ChartNerd shared a chart highlighting a historical structure that closely mirrors XRP’s price behavior in 2016. During that period, XRP was quietly building momentum that eventually fueled its bullish surge in January 2018.  Related Reading: XRP Price Mirrors 2017 Sideways Accumulation Trend – Here’s What Happened Last Time ChartNerd has suggested that if history repeats itself, 2026 could become a landmark year for XRP, potentially setting new records and marking a major milestone for the cryptocurrency. The analyst described the 2026 pattern as an uncannily similar formation, featuring the same Double Top formation and wick drop seen in the 2016 structure. Additionally, both timelines experienced a Stochastic Relative Strength Index (SRSI) reset, reinforcing the expert’s thesis that XRP could replicate its 2016 bullish trend in 2026. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

On Monday, Bitcoin successfully reclaimed the $93,000 mark, spurred by a wave of renewed optimism that has also revitalized altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH), XRP, and Solana (SOL), all of which are experiencing recoveries not seen in nearly a month.  According to data from CoinGecko, Bitcoin has recorded a weekly surge of 7%, while Ethereum and Solana have outperformed the leading cryptocurrency with increases of nearly 9% during the same period. Notably, XRP has taken the lead, boasting a significant 15% uptrend. Large Holders Drive Bitcoin Surge A key driver behind this recent surge, especially for Bitcoin, can be attributed to large holders, or “whales,” who have acquired approximately 270,000 BTC in the last 30 days, amounting to roughly $23 billion.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Price On The Brink Of A 9,000% Rally To $10? What Historical Performance Shows Market analyst NoLimit highlighted this crucial development in a recent social media post, noting its significance: this accumulation represents 1.3% of Bitcoin’s total supply and marks the largest net buy from this group in 13 years. However, NoLimit asserts that this doesn’t imply that Bitcoin will see an immediate surge in its value. It indicates that long-term investors are aggressively positioning themselves even while the broader market sentiment remains mixed. Will BTC Establish A Macro Lower High? In the short term, though, market analyst Rekt Capital warns that despite Bitcoin hovering just above $93,400, it has closed its 12-month candle below the $93,500 mark. This suggests that the $93,500 level is likely to act as resistance moving forward.  Historical patterns across four-year cycles indicate that such resistances can hinder price movement for an extended period, often resisting for up to three years before being breached in the next Halving year. Related Reading: Venezuela, Geopolitical Risk, And Bitcoin: What On-Chain Data Really Shows Should Bitcoin indeed be in the early stages of a bear market, this could imply that prices might surpass the $93,500 resistance in the coming months only to establish a macro lower high before continuing their downward trajectory.  According to Rekt Capital, the sustainable breakout above this resistance is more likely to occur in the next halving year in 2028. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is approaching a decision point across the monthly and daily charts, with renowned crypto analysts The Great Mattsby (Matt Hughes) and Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) framing the current structure as a volatility-compression setup that could resolve higher if key high-timeframe supports continue to hold. XRP Price Poised For ‘Explosive Move’ Mattsby’s core claim is that XRP has defended its long-term trend support and is now coiling for expansion. “XRP had a perfect bounce off the 20-month MA, while the upper and lower bands continue to contract—setting up for its next explosive move higher,” he wrote, adding: “It’s crazy how many people are bearish right at major high-time-frame support.” On the monthly chart, XRP is shown trading around $2.08629, sitting above the Bollinger basis near 1.89623, with the upper band labeled at $3.57705 and the lower band at $0.21541. The visual takeaway is the squeeze: the band envelope has tightened materially compared with prior periods, a condition Mattsby ties to “explosive” directional follow-through when it resolves. Related Reading: Jake Claver Doubles Down On $100 XRP Target After 2025 Miss The other important input on that panel is the 20-month moving average, which Mattsby highlights as the pivot. His October framing leans on historical rhyme: “XRP is repeating what it did back in 2017. Consolidate sideways for months until it touched the 20month MA. After that, it shot up to finish off the cycle.” In his view, the touch-and-hold dynamic is already in place this cycle, even if it’s “taking a little longer.” With the October 10 liquidation event, XRP pierced the 20-month moving average and has since consolidated above it. If that read holds, the most explicit upside reference on-chart is the monthly Bollinger upper band around $3.57705, a level that would represent a return to the top of the current volatility envelope rather than an open-ended projection. Wyckoff-Style Re-Accumulation Points To $8 Charting Guy’s daily chart overlays a Wyckoff-style roadmap and labels the sequence as a re-accumulation that transitions into markup. The yellow projection assumes XRP is still working through overhead supply, with the ~$2.08 area (marked by the blue horizontal line and aligned with the current print) acting as the immediate gatekeeper. In that framing, $2.08 is not a comfort-zone support level yet; it is a level XRP needs to reclaim decisively and then stay above on retests for the bullish sequence to keep validating. Related Reading: XRP Faces Strong Social Discontent—Is A 50% Bullish Reversal Just Around The Corner? A second constraint on the chart is the descending channel, the “creek” structure that defined the current downtrend. Charting Guy expects that XRP will rally towards the upper trendline resistance, followed by a controlled pullback labeled “test,” where price checks whether demand is real and whether sellers can still force acceptance back into the old range. If that test holds (another short-lived dip below $2.08 is fine), the roadmap then looks for an “LPS” (last point of support): a higher low that signals supply is being absorbed. Only after that does the yellow path call for “JATC” (jump across the creek), the clean breakout through the channel, followed by “SOS” (sign of strength) into the next major horizontal ceiling around ~$3.40. From there, the schematic expects another pause and “LPS” beneath that ~$3.40 zone, before the final markup leg accelerates into the ~$8 region. In short, the chart’s bullish outcome is conditional on sequential level-flips: first $2.08, then the channel, then ~$3.40 and finally $8. Until now, XRP is “following perfectly” the path, as the analyst noted via X. At press time, XRP traded at $2.13. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

As 2026 begins, XRP is starting the year on a bearish note, with investor sentiment plummeting to levels of extreme fear. Despite these challenging conditions, analysts are suggesting that this negativity may set the stage for a significant bullish reversal, drawing parallels to historical trends. Institutional Buyers Remain Active Reports indicate that periods of extreme sentiment have often preceded XRP rallies with impressive gains, at times exceeding 1,000%. Data from Santiment indicates that bearish mentions of XRP are now running 20-30% higher than the subdued averages seen in November.  This deepening negativity, coupled with XRP stabilizing between $1.8 and $1.9 mark, highlights “a classic market divergence”: sentiment continues to worsen while prices consolidate, suggesting that emotional capitulation is occurring faster than any fundamental deterioration. Related Reading: Is The Dogecoin Bottom In? 3 Analysts Break Down the Charts Beneath this wave of retail fear, however, institutional behavior paints a more positive picture. Spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded inflows of approximately $424 million in December alone, making them the best-performing crypto ETF product.  This contrast between extreme retail sentiment—currently at an extreme fear level of 24—and substantial institutional accumulation, which stands at around $1.3 billion over the past 50 days, often precedes market reversals more reliably than sentiment readings alone indicate. 70-75% Chance Of Bullish Reversal For XRP, the current setup combines extreme fear readings with a social sentiment significantly above baseline levels, alongside price consolidation, creating a historical pattern that has led to substantial rallies multiple times since 2020.  For instance, back in the 2020-2021 cycle, XRP dropped to $0.17 amid the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit, followed by a 1,053% increase to $1.96 over just four months.  Today’s scenario mirrors this past occurrence. With institutional accumulation diverging sharply from retail capitulation, historical data suggests that this combination yields a 70-75% chance of a bullish reversal within the next two to eight weeks. Current trading conditions for XRP sit at approximately $1.90, with the Fear & Greed Index at 24. This setup creates three potential scenarios. Three Potential Price Scenarios For XRP In the most favorable bullish scenario, the Trump administration could announce clear pro-crypto regulatory policies in the first quarter of the year, BlackRock might file an XRP ETF application, or the adoption of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin could rapidly scale above $2-3 billion.  Historically, when the Fear & Greed Index climbs from 24 into neutral territory (between 50 and 60), XRP often rallies between 30-50%, setting targets between $2.44 and $2.82. If bullish momentum continues into mild greed (70+), XRP could reach the $3.00-$3.20 range. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s $150K Target Looks Unlikely As Polymarket Odds Sink To 23% In a more neutral scenario, sentiment may gradually normalize without dramatic catalysts, with ETF inflows continuing to average between $200-300 million monthly. As RLUSD organically grows through existing partnerships, fears could naturally subside over a span of six to eight weeks.  As the Fear & Greed Index rises from 24 to the 45-55 range, XRP has typically appreciated between 15-25%, targeting between $2.16 and $2.35. If the support at $1.85 holds through January, and trading volume expands above $1.98, the price could extend toward $2.40-$2.50. In a bearish outcome, sentiment could linger in extreme fear (below 30) for over eight weeks without relief. A decisive break below $1.85 on substantial volume would see XRP testing support levels around $1.65-$1.70.  The altcoin has surged by over 6% in the past 24 hours towards $1.98 amid a broader recovery in the crypto market. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Jake Claver, a renowned XRP promoter and CEO of Digital Ascension Group, is again leaning into a familiar XRP thesis: behind-the-scenes institutional adoption, NDAs, and “domino” catalysts, only days after analyst Zach Rector publicly criticized Claver’s failed “$100 XRP by end of 2025” prediction as misleading. $100 XRP Only Delayed, Says Claver In a post on Jan.1, Claver responded: “Timelines always get extended,” and added: “I should know this by now from all that we’ve built in the past 3 years, working with partners and regulators. I’m sure Ripple and many others have felt and still feel the same way after 13.5 years. The Domino Theory still stands, Real world events will play out, and XRP will become the backbone of markets in the future.” In a series of posts spanning Dec. 27 through Jan. 1, Claver argued that “real world events will play out, and XRP will become the backbone of markets in the future.” A Jan. 1 post focused on Ripple’s non-disclosure agreements, which Claver described as a signal that large counterparties are already preparing to build with XRP. Related Reading: Expert Says XRP ‘Haters’ Miss The Bigger Picture: Here’s What It Is “Ripple signing over 1,700 non-disclosure agreements probably isn’t random,” he wrote. “These most likely cover talks with major players—governments, global banks, payment networks, big universities, and Fortune 500 firms—all laying the groundwork to use XRP. The pieces for mass adoption have been falling into place behind the scenes for quite a while.” Earlier posts pressed the same point with higher conviction. On Dec. 28, Claver claimed: “Major institutions are stacking up XRP behind the scenes while keeping the public in the dark. The current price is merely a shadow of what’s coming. When XRP transforms into the foundation of international finance, today’s hesitation will become tomorrow’s regret. In my opinion, nothing in crypto space offers this level of certainty and potential for massive returns.” Related Reading: XRP At Risk Of A Drop To $0.80? Analyst Makes The Case On Dec. 31, he described XRP “as built to upgrade the existing financial system,” while adding that “blockchain isn’t just for storing value, it can power a faster, more open financial system. For that, you need high-performance infrastructure like XRP.” As reported on Bitcoinist yesterday, Rector’s criticism has been less about making bold forecasts than about the way they are delivered. Rector argued there was “no plausible scenario” for a roughly 5,000% move in the time window implied by the $100 call, and that the messaging leaned on suggestions of privileged insight rather than probabilistic framing. Rector’s allegations also extended beyond price talk into claims about XRP-focused funds associated with Claver’s orbit. “Jake and his scheme, his business has grown so big they’ve taken in so much XRP from our community,” Rector said. “There’s a massive discrepancy from what he’s saying publicly and what investors are telling me privately.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.89. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is facing a critical turning point as key long-term support gives way for the first time in over 400 days. After consolidating near $2, the recent break below the 200-day moving average signals mounting pressure, putting the cryptocurrency in a high-stakes zone where the next move could define its near-term trajectory. Price Stalls Below The $2 Wall As Volatility Compresses In an X post, Umair Crypto noted that XRP has faced heavy resistance near the psychological $2 level, forcing the price into a tight consolidation range between $1.85 and $1.88. Such conditions often precede a sharp move, suggesting XRP may be nearing a decisive breakout or breakdown phase. Related Reading: Expert Says XRP ‘Haters’ Miss The Bigger Picture: Here’s What It Is On the daily timeframe, XRP still displays signs of resilience despite the overhead pressure. Buyers have so far managed to defend nearby support zones, preventing a clean breakdown in structure. This defensive price action keeps the broader bullish scenario alive, especially if momentum improves and XRP reclaims higher levels with stronger volume confirmation. However, a wider view from the 3-day chart introduces caution. The current support region aligns closely with the 200-day simple moving average. XRP’s latest close below this moving average marks the first time in more than 400 days, highlighting a notable technical shift that could weigh on sentiment if not quickly reversed. This development places XRP at a critical inflection point. The chart shows a relatively thin historical structure following the explosive November 2024 rally that lifted the price from $0.50 to $3. With fewer well-defined demand zones beneath, any acceleration in selling pressure could lead to faster downside moves. Umair Crypto identified interim support levels around $1.45, $1.10, and $0.69 as potential downside targets if a confirmed breakdown unfolds. Attention remains firmly on the coming sessions, particularly as Ripple’s recent $1 billion token unlock introduces additional supply, adding another layer of pressure to an already sensitive market setup. XRP Former Ceiling Turns Into A Structural Floor According to a monthly XRP update shared by crypto analyst Chad, the asset is currently holding above a key level that previously acted as resistance and has now flipped into support. This shift suggests that buyers are still defending the structure, keeping the broader setup constructive despite recent price action hesitation. Related Reading: XRP Price Slides Under Support, Bearish Continuation Signals Emerge A clear double-top formation can be spotted on the chart. However, Chad notes that it does not have to fully play out as long as XRP continues to hold above the 0.786 logarithmic Fibonacci level. Overall, XRP appears to be in a consolidation phase rather than a decisive move. Price action is currently contained within the 0.786 to 0.886 log Fibonacci range, signaling a period of balance as the market awaits a clearer directional catalyst. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

The XRP price has been put back in the spotlight as a crypto analyst has forecasted an even more ambitious target than the widely circulated $100 projections currently gaining traction in the market. According to the analyst, XRP has just reached a critical trendline that could trigger a surge toward a Pi Cycle Top. He has shared a detailed chart outlining a roadmap for this bullish price outlook.  Analyst Shares Bold $300 XRP Price Prediction A crypto analyst known on X as @Cryptobilbuwoo0 has released a fresh update on XRP, examining its long-term cycle behaviour in 2026. He predicts that the XRP price could surge dramatically, potentially rising from its current low below $2 to as high as $300.  Related Reading: Here’s Why The XRP Price Will Shine In The New Year Backing his bold forecast, the analyst noted that XRP recently touched a major green support line on its chart and is now showing early signs of a bullish reversal. He explained that this interaction with support has raised the question of whether the price action is repositioning for a new Pi Cycle Top, a signal typically associated with extreme market peaks.  Notably, the chart shared alongside the analysis shows XRP price data stretching from 2014 into future projections beyond 2026. Price action is contained within a rising channel defined by white parallel trendlines, with the green line marking the lower boundary of the long-term support. Previously, whenever XRP reached this green support line, a breakout phase followed shortly. These breakouts often triggered explosive rallies that climbed through the rising channel and peaked near Pi Cycle top markers placed at earlier highs.  On the right side of the chart, the crypto expert has highlighted several price targets, including $20, $100, $300, and $1000. The $300 level is near the top of the rising channel, indicating where a future Pi Cycle top could form if XRP follows its historical path. The momentum indicator at the bottom of the chart also shows upward oscillations, with the analyst’s projections for XRP extending deep into 2026 and beyond.  Why A $300 XRP Price Might Not Be Feasible While the possibility of XRP reaching $300 is supported by @Cryptobilbuwoo0’s technical analysis, the cryptocurrency is currently trading at $1.83–more than 99% below the projected target. For XRP to achieve such an explosive surge, favorable market conditions would need to align, including stronger investment sentiment and sustained buying pressure.  Related Reading: Pundit Shares Why XRP Will Become Expensive And A $1,000 Price Tag Is Possible At present, however, XRP’s price structure appears weak. Its value has been declining and consolidating at lower levels for several months, while overall market sentiment has turned negative. This is reflected in XRP’s Fear and Greed Index, which currently indicates more fear than confidence among investors.  Even analysts like Nick, a known crypto crusader and researcher, have stated that XRP is unlikely to reach $100 by the end of 2026. Based on his assessment, a $300 price projection appears even less attainable. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

In a development that could accelerate the evolution of cross-border financial infrastructure, JPMorgan’s GTreasury initiative on the XRP Ledger signals a potential turning point for global payments. JPMorgan’s move challenges long-standing assumptions about the role of banks in digital asset settlement and the increasing legitimacy of the XRP Ledger as a foundation for real-world transaction flows. What JP Morgan has done with GTreasury using the XRP Ledger will change payments forever. Crypto analyst Xfinancebull has revealed on X that when JPMorgan moves, it’s never for show. This was a direct integration into Ripple’s stack, allowing the Ledger to transition from Crypto Rails into the real-world plumbing for global banking. What This Means For XRP And The Broader Digital Asset Market This isn’t about transaction volume; it’s about signal, and the GTreasury system migrates only when the infrastructure is proven safe, fast, and scalable. Ripple didn’t chase relevance; it built infrastructure before the banks arrived. This integration reframes the altcoin to become a foundational layer, not a speculative asset reacting to market sentiment. Related Reading: How XRP’s Utility Will Drive Price Appreciation In The New Year The fundamentals of the XRP Ledger continue to grow massively without noise. An analyst known as Vet highlighted that while other ecosystems are struggling to fix their consensus and unique native approach for a multi-currency ledger, XRPL remains the best-in-class. The network continues to attract high-quality validators and deeply technical community members more than ever before. Education and accessibility have also reached a level where Tap has been well-designed for individuals with the apps and the XRPL.org site. On the protocol side, security has been taken to the next level with formal specifications and formal verification, which is bleeding-edge technology in crypto already used in military and aerospace systems. The payment engine is already specified, and the compliance features with DID, Credentials, and upcoming permissioned domains/DEX functionality are enabling Ripple payments to operate directly on XRPL DEX infrastructure. In addition, Evernorth $1 billion involvement in XRP is aimed at generating yield. Meanwhile, XRP ETFs continue to grow, with issuers reporting high long-term conviction among their investors in the altcoin. Even a quantum-proof encrypted XRPL test net already exists. This is a grind that involves patience, but the trajectory is upward, which has been up.  How The XRPL Fits Institutional Portfolio Architecture According to the XRP Update on X (formerly Twitter), Franklin Templeton, a $1.53 trillion global asset manager, has publicly identified the XRP Ledger and XRP as a foundational building block for digital asset portfolios. Related Reading: $1.6 Trillion Asset Manager Goes Deep Into XRP, Shares Reason Behind The Move This move reinforces the altcoin’s role in institutional-grade infrastructure, making it highly scalable, liquid, and built for real-world financial use cases. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum and XRP are two of the largest cryptocurrencies, and their market capitalization is one of the clearest ways to compare their values. Ethereum is firmly entrenched as the second-largest cryptocurrency, while XRP is following closely behind, although it was recently overtaken by BNB in market cap rankings.  This disparity naturally leads to a valuation exercise that many investors revisit during periods of interest: how much would each XRP token be worth if its market cap matched Ethereum’s, both at current levels and at Ethereum’s all-time high? XRP With Ethereum’s Current Market Capitalization At the time of comparison, Ethereum is trading around $3,035, having increased by about 1.9% in the past 24 hours. This gives it a market capitalization of roughly $366 billion. XRP, on the other hand, is trading at $1.88, holds a market cap of about $113.8 billion.  Related Reading: Here’s The XRP Fractal That Says Price Is Headed To $27 Using MarketCapOf’s circulating-supply-based calculation, XRP would trade at approximately $6.04 if its total valuation matched Ethereum’s current market cap. This represents a 3.21x increase from XRP’s present price level. In relative terms, XRP is shown to be valued at roughly 0.31x of Ethereum’s market capitalization. The comparison is purely mathematical and does not factor in changes to supply. It only shows how much additional capital would be required for XRP to stand on equal footing with Ethereum as things stand today. XRP’s Valuation If It Reaches Ethereum’s All-Time High The picture changes further when Ethereum’s all-time high valuation is used as the benchmark. Ethereum’s peak market cap, which was recorded during its all-time high price of $4,946 in August, is around $583.8 billion. If XRP were to command that same valuation, MarketCapOf estimates that each XRP unit would be priced at about $9.64. This implies a 5.13x increase from XRP’s current price. Related Reading: XRP Stochastic RSI Just Touched 0.0 For The Second Time In History Under this scenario, XRP is valued at roughly 0.20x of Ethereum’s all-time high market capitalization. An investor holding 1,000 XRP today would see that position valued at about $1,880 at current prices, around $6,040 if XRP matched Ethereum’s present market cap, and $9,640 if it reached Ethereum’s peak valuation. The numbers show the scale of the gap that still exists between the two assets, even as XRP is now starting to attract institutional attention. That institutional angle has become increasingly relevant following the launch of Spot XRP exchange-traded funds, which have begun pulling in fresh capital from both professional and traditional investors. Interestingly, the valuation levels implied by the MarketCapOf comparison are conservative when placed next to XRP price projections circulating among crypto analysts. Matching Ethereum’s current or peak market capitalization places XRP in the $6 to $9.64 range. These figures are notably lower than some of the double-digit and triple-digit targets above $100 proposed by a few crypto analysts. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

The idea of the XRP price reaching a four-figure valuation continues to circulate across crypto market discussions, but analysts argue that such expectations are misaligned with realistic timelines. While long-term upside is not dismissed outright, a renowned crypto trader says 2026 is not the inflection window for a $1,000 XRP price, emphasizing patience, structural market maturation, and a longer investment horizon. XRP Price’s Near-Term Expectations Reset The debate around XRP’s long-term valuation has resurfaced following renewed community discussion sparked by a widely circulated price forecast highlighted by Uphold. This forecast suggested that the XRP price could eventually reach $1,000 in 2030. The projection prompted analysts and traders to reframe expectations around timing rather than destination. While some acknowledged the long-term possibility, commentary emphasized that 2026 lacks the structural conditions required to support such a valuation, shifting the focus toward patience and extended adoption cycles. Related Reading: Popular Crypto Founder Dumps Millions In Ethereum, Here’s What He’s Buying A prominent market commentator known as Pharaoh reinforced this position by explicitly ruling out 2025 and 2026 as viable timeframes for such a move. His stance aligns with the view that XRP’s growth trajectory should be evaluated through a long-term lens rather than short-term price spikes. According to this perspective, price discovery at that scale would require sustained institutional integration, deeper utility-driven demand, and time for macro and regulatory clarity to translate into capital inflows. The message to investors is straightforward: suppress short-term noise and avoid anchoring expectations to arbitrary calendar years. Diverging Views Expose The Limits Of Short-Term Price Optimism In a separate post, Pharaoh, reflecting a traditional finance perspective, cautioned holders against short-term, click-driven hype, aligning with Don Kwok’s assessment that rapid gains are unrealistic. That caution is reinforced by XRP’s recent trajectory. Despite recovering from its 2024 drawdown and maintaining relative stability through late 2025, price action has remained range-bound compared to the scale required for exponential upside. Even with the launch and early inflows of XRP-focused exchange-traded products, the impact on spot price has been incremental rather than transformative. Institutional activity, strategic partnerships, and ongoing ecosystem development have improved XRP’s structural positioning, yet none have produced the liquidity surge or demand shock necessary to justify rapid escalation toward triple- or quadruple-digit levels. Related Reading: Can Dogecoin Price Reach $1 In 2026? Analysts Reveal What To Expect This disconnect highlights a key constraint: adoption and institutional validation do not automatically translate into immediate price repricing. Capital rotation into XRP-linked products has so far been measured, and partnership announcements have tended to reinforce long-term utility narratives rather than trigger speculative inflows. As a result, expectations of an accelerated move to $1,000 overlook how slowly large-scale capital typically enters and reshapes mature digital asset markets. These perspectives converge on a single conclusion. While opinions differ on XRP’s ultimate ceiling, there is broad agreement that the asset’s current growth path favors gradual appreciation over explosive near-term gains. The debate, therefore, is not about destination, but about discipline—aligning projections with market mechanics, capital behavior, and realistic timelines rather than headline-driven hype. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

A major institutional player in global finance has made its position on XRP clear, placing the cryptocurrency at the center of its digital asset strategy. Franklin Templeton, an asset management firm handling over $1.6 trillion worth of assets, used a recent post on the social media platform X to explain why it is going deep into XRP as an asset, while also drawing attention to its Spot exchange-traded product, XRPZ. This interesting comment is part of a growing institutional confidence in XRP and the XRP Ledger. Franklin Templeton’s Strategic Entry With A Spot XRP ETF Franklin Templeton’s arrival in the XRP ETF space is one of the most significant endorsements of the token from a legacy financial institution. The firm launched the Franklin XRP Trust, trading under ticker XRPZ on the NYSE Arca in late November, offering investors regulated exposure to the digital asset without the operational complexity of holding the token directly.  Related Reading: Can Dogecoin Price Reach $1 In 2026? Analysts Reveal What To Expect The fund is structured as a grantor trust that holds XRP and calculates its net asset value daily based on established reference rates, with custody provided by Coinbase Custody Trust Company and administration by BNY Mellon.  Recent comments from leading voices at the fund manager reveal that the decision to launch a Spot XRP ETF is due to their strong belief in XRP and the XRP Ledger. Roger Bayston, Head of Digital Assets at Franklin Templeton, highlighted the XRP Ledger’s designed capability for real-time, low-cost settlement and efficient cross-border payments.  Furthermore, he noted that the altcoin’s market capitalization and role in global value transfer make it an important component worth regulated exposure for investors with a broad portfolio. The firm’s broader digital asset suite already includes Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, and XRP was the latest to join this year. Franklin Templeton traces its roots back to 1947 and has built a reputation of trillions in equity, fixed income, and multi-asset investments in markets all around the world. Its move into crypto ETFs, now encompassing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP exposure, is part of many established asset managers now actively engaging in the crypto industry. Performance And Market Reception Of XRPZ Since Launch Several issuers received clearance for Spot XRP ETFs in 2025, making it possible for institutions and everyday investors to gain exposure to the cryptocurrencies through regulated means. Since their debut in November, the Spot ETFs, including XRPZ, have attracted meaningful capital flows. Related Reading: What Happens If The Bitcoin Price Closes 2025 In The Red? Analyst Answers Collectively, these products have drawn more than $1.16 billion in net inflows, maintaining consecutive days of inflows that stand in contrast to recent days of outflows in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ itself has grown its holdings past 100 million XRP, with a cumulative inflow of about $242 million at the time of writing.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Talk of XRP reaching $100 began gaining momentum this cycle, following the resolution of the legal battle involving Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Interestingly, the attention in recent months has been toward XRP’s role in global finance and how this might have an effect on its price action.  That trend has led to different interpretations of how the XRP price can trade at $100 in the near future. A notable interpretation was recently articulated by analysts at Bayberry Capital, who proposed on the social media platform X that $100 should be seen as a liquidity event number, not a price target tied to timing. Why XRP At $100 Is A Liquidity Event Bayberry Capital’s outlook on XRP price shooting up to $100 is based on how markets reprice assets once their function becomes essential. According to the private digital asset investment firm, infrastructure assets do not typically rise in smooth, incremental moves. They tend to be re-rated when the market recognizes that their utility has changed from optional to necessary. Related Reading: XRP Price To Rally 690% To $15 In Unexpected ‘Measured Move’ Most digital assets rely on attention and continuous inflows of new buyers. However, XRP was designed differently as a liquidity instrument built to move value efficiently across systems. When demand is dictated by settlement and transactional use, price dynamics change. In that setting, value can be pulled upward by usage itself, not just by sentiment.  A liquidity event is a moment when an asset’s ability to be converted, transferred, or absorbed by the market changes materially and permanently. From this perspective, $100 is a natural price level for XRP to be at that point. Another element of the view by Bayberry Capital is the absence of a deadline for this to happen. The liquidity event where the XRP price is priced at $100 is not defined by a specific year. Instead, it depends on direction. If global finance keeps moving toward faster settlement and digital liquidity rails, assets built for that purpose will undoubtedly be repriced accordingly. How This View Connects To Other $100 XRP Predictions Bayberry Capital’s commentary exists alongside a broader set of long-term views that started after XRP’s legal clarity, its push to new all-time highs in mid-2025, and the different partnerships and acquisitions made by Ripple to increase the utility of XRP.  Related Reading: XRP Sees 80% Spike In Major Metric, Why This Matters For Price Appreciation Since then, several analysts and commentators have discussed scenarios where XRP could eventually trade at $100, with the proposed factors often tied to use in global settlement and institutional demand. Figures such as Zach Rector, crypto commentator 24hrscrypto, world’s highest IQ claimant Young Hoon Kim, and BarriC have all been linked to $100 XRP price scenarios over the coming years. These views are always debated by critics, particularly on market cap considerations, but they share a common assumption that XRP would need to function as a global payments infrastructure in order for this to happen. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com

A cryptocurrency analyst has explained how XRP could be at risk of a drop toward $0.80 based on the data of some on-chain indicators. XRP Has Seen Bearish Developments In On-Chain Data In a new thread on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about why XRP may be at risk of seeing a decline to the $0.80 level. “First, network activity has cooled sharply,” noted Martinez. There are many ways to gauge network activity, but the analyst has used the Active Addresses on-chain indicator. Related Reading: Bitcoin Coinbase Premium At Rare Discount As US Demand Weakens This metric keeps track of the total number of addresses that are taking part in some kind of transaction activity on the blockchain every day. A chart shared by the analyst earlier showed a drawdown in this metric for XRP. Generally, a decline in the metric is a sign of a drop in interest around the asset. “Daily active addresses have fallen to roughly 38,500, pointing to fading participation and interest,” said Martinez. Another on-chain indicator has also shown a development recently: the supply held by the whales. Whales refer to the big-money investors of the market who carry significant amounts in their wallets. As the below chart shows, these investors participated in selling of about 40 million tokens recently. Due to the massive size of their holdings, whales are considered to be influential entities on the network, so their behavior could be relevant for the cryptocurrency. As these massive hands have been selling on the XRP blockchain recently, it’s possible that the coin could feel a bearish effect. If nothing else, the trend reflects that the asset’s key investors are showing weaker confidence. Finally, the analyst has shared a chart for the cryptocurrency’s UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD). This indicator basically tells us about the amount of supply that investors last purchased at the various price levels that the coin has visited in its history. From the chart, it’s visible that a notable amount of supply has its cost basis at the $1.77 level, which isn’t too far below the current XRP spot price. It’s possible that if the asset retests this level, these investors who purchased there could show some kind of reaction. When the market mood is bullish, this reaction tends to be dominated by buying. Given the current sentiment in the digital asset sector, however, the support may not be sufficient. “If selling pressure continues, XRP risks losing the $1.77 support,” explained Martinez. “A breakdown there opens the door to the next major support zone near $0.80.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Optimism Returns To End 2025—What Usually Follows? This support zone near $0.80 is currently the largest demand zone beyond the $1.77 level. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $1.86, unchanged from one week ago. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

A prominent XRP commentator is pushing back on a familiar critique of Ripple’s business model, arguing that skeptics have the causality backwards when they claim the company sells XRP merely to amass traditional assets. In a post on X on Wednesday, CryptoInsightUK founder Will Taylor said the “haters” are “so close to being right,” but miss what he framed as the single step that changes the entire equation. What ‘Haters’ Get Wrong About XRP Taylor’s central claim is that Ripple’s token sales are not designed to swap out a volatile crypto asset for safer, conventional holdings. Instead, he described the sales as a means of funding infrastructure and integrations that ultimately increase the token’s long-term utility and value. “Haters say Ripple sell XRP so they can buy real-world companies and assets, because that’s how Ripple ‘makes money’,” Taylor wrote. “In my opinion, that completely misunderstands the business model and more importantly, the direction of causality. Yes, Ripple monetises some XRP. But not to replace XRP with traditional assets.” In Taylor’s telling, the misunderstanding starts with treating XRP like operating cash rather than a strategic, asymmetric asset. He argued that a large holder of an asset with outsized upside potential would not logically liquidate it simply to “stack normal companies,” especially if that asset could become worth more than the firm’s balance sheet at scale. Related Reading: XRP Becomes Most Bought Digital Asset, Bitcoin And Ethereum Bleed $500 Million “If you hold roughly 40% of an asset that, at scale, could be worth more than your entire balance sheet, you don’t treat it like operating cash,” he wrote. “You don’t say: ‘Let’s sell the most asymmetric asset we own just to stack normal companies.’ That would be insane.” From there, Taylor reframed Ripple’s acquisitions, integrations, and buildout efforts not as a pivot away from XRP but as “multipliers” that increase the odds XRP becomes a viable global settlement instrument. Traditional assets, he argued, are inputs to expand distribution, compliance, and liquidity: conditions that would make a bridge asset more useful at institutional scale. “When Ripple acquires or integrates with firms like Hidden Road, stablecoin infrastructure, or tokenised treasury rails, those assets are not the end goal,” Taylor wrote. “They are multipliers. Those companies are not replacing XRP. They are building the pipes that require XRP to function efficiently.” Related Reading: XRP Still Has A Path To $28 This Cycle, Analyst Says Taylor positioned this as a flywheel: XRP sits at the “strategic core” on the balance sheet, Ripple builds a full stack around payments and liquidity, institutions adopt because the rails are complete, and the token becomes a neutral settlement layer whose demand compounds over time. Under that framework, he said, short-term monetization is better understood as capital deployment in service of a long-term network effect rather than straightforward dilution. “That’s not dilution. That’s capital deployment,” Taylor wrote, adding that if Ripple simply wanted to be “a profitable TradFi-style company,” it would not “obsess over neutral settlement,” keep XRP “architecturally central,” or push it into “regulated institutional rails.” The distinction matters because it changes how observers interpret Ripple’s incentives. In Taylor’s model, the objective is not to sell the token in order to accumulate off-chain assets; it is to use off-chain assets—licenses, liquidity venues, compliance infrastructure, and institutional integrations—to increase XRP’s necessity as a settlement tool. “The endgame is not: ‘Sell XRP to buy assets,’” he wrote. “The endgame is: ‘Use assets to make XRP unavoidable.’” At press time, XRP traded at $1.8773. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Standard Chartered analysts have predicted that the XRP price could surge by around 330%. They also outlined catalysts that could spark this price surge, which would lead to a new all-time high (ATH) for the Ripple-linked token.  Standard Chartered Predicts XRP Price Surge To $8 Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, Geoff Hendrick, has predicted that the XRP price could surge to $8 by the end of 2026, which represents an increase of around 330%. This would also mark a new all-time high for the token, with its current ATH at around $3.84. The analyst expects the token to record such growth, as it now has legal clarity following the settlement of the Ripple-SEC lawsuit.  Related Reading: This Double Bottom Formation Could Send XRP Soaring To $2.5 Kendrick also expects the XRP price to surge to $8 on the back of regulatory clarity for the U.S. crypto industry and institutional adoption of the token through the XRP ETFs. The Standard Chartered analyst noted how the improving regulatory environment has made it easier for institutions to gain exposure to the token. Meanwhile, Ripple has been able to grow its payment system, which involves XRP, thanks to the regulatory-friendly environment. These XRP ETFs are notably seeing significant demand, which is bullish for the XRP price as it eyes a rally to $8 next year. SoSoValue data shows that these ETFs have yet to record a daily net outflow since the first spot fund launched last month. The XRP ETFs currently boast a net asset of $1.27 billion, which reprersents 1.12% of the token’s market cap.  Crypto pundit Unknow noted that these ETFs are absorbing the supply fast, which is why he predicts that a supply shock could happen by early 2026, sending the XRP price higher. The pundit also declared that next year is the inflection point where the altcoin shifts from speculation to global liquidity infrastructure.  XRP Is Preparing For a Breakout In an X post, crypto analyst TARA stated that the XRP price is approaching the critical $1.88 level and is in a very tight range, signaling a breakout is coming soon. The analyst noted that XRP needs to hold support at $1.87, even as Bitcoin approaches $88,000. She added that if the altcoin bounces from here and tests $1.88 again, it could break above that resistance and then hold it as support, which TARA noted would be a very bullish sign.  In another X post, she revealed that XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) was trying to break to the upside. TARA further remarked that if today’s close is bullish, with a close above $1.88, it could fuel the next wave to $2.30 for the XRP price. A positive for XRP is that Glassnode data shows that XRP on exchanges has dropped to a seven-year low of 1.6 billion tokens, down from 3.76 billion in October.  Related Reading: XRP Hasn’t Entered A Bear Market Yet; Analyst Shares Why At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.86, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP has recorded a notable surge in one of its most closely watched derivative indicators, which brings attention to how traders are positioning around the asset. Data shows that open interest tied to XRP derivatives jumped by about 80% within a very short four-hour window in the recent trading day, pointing to a sudden influx of leveraged activity.  Moves of this magnitude rarely happen in isolation and often point to growing tension beneath the surface of price action, especially when they occur without a clean breakout on the chart. A Four-Hour Reversal After Days Of Weak Participation The spike in open interest shows a rapid increase in the number of outstanding XRP futures and perpetual contracts. When open interest rises this quickly, it usually means traders are aggressively opening new positions, often using leverage. Related Reading: XRP Stochastic RSI Just Touched 0.0 For The Second Time In History The speed of the move is what separates this spike from routine fluctuations. Prior to the surge, XRP open interest had been trending lower, showing reduced trader engagement and a cooling derivatives environment.  However, this change was quickly reversed when open interest increased by over 80% in just a four-hour timeframe, culminating in the total number of outstanding contracts standing around 1.74 billion XRP at the time of writing. In terms of price, this translates to about $3.26 billion in exposure being held open across XRP futures markets, according to data from CoinGlass. Why This Setup Matters For XRP Price Appreciation XRP’s price action has been slow in recent days, with the cryptocurrency currently trading at $1.87. Price action has started to respond positively in the short term, though only modestly so far. XRP is up about 0.3% over the past 24 hours, a move that looks small on the surface. Related Reading: Can XRP Price Reach $10,000? Expert Says It’s Different Math, Different League However, when open interest expands this quickly and price begins to edge higher at the same time, it means that traders are leaning bullish and testing the upside, even if spot buyers have not yet committed in size. The lack of a strong breakout at this stage shows that the market is still probing for direction, but the balance has begun to tilt away from complete stagnation. The broader price action adds more context after zooming out slightly. XRP has gained roughly 0.8% over the past seven days, indicating a slow grind higher rather than a sudden impulse move. If price continues to inch higher and manages to clear nearby resistance levels, the elevated open interest could amplify upside moves as short sellers are forced to exit.  On the other hand, if XRP’s price action stalls or falls back despite the recent 0.3% daily and 0.8% weekly gains, then the growing leverage on one side increases the risk of a bigger pullback. In that sense, even these small percentage gains matter. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is once again trading in a zone that closely mirrors the conditions seen before its last historic breakout, drawing fresh attention from market watchers. Key momentum indicators suggest selling pressure is fading, while long-term holders appear to be quietly absorbing supply. Although price action remains cautious for now, the setup is sparking discussions about whether XRP is positioning itself for another major move once market confidence returns. A Rare Momentum Reset On The Higher Timeframe In a significant technical development on XRP’s high-timeframe charts, Steph is Crypto has highlighted that the Stochastic RSI on the 3-week interval has plummeted to a value of 0.00. This level represents a state of total compression for the oscillator, signaling a momentum shift that is rare in the asset’s trading history. Related Reading: XRP Price Trims Upside, Slow Decline Signals Seller Dominance The rarity of this signal cannot be overstated, as it has occurred only once before at the absolute depths of the 2022 bear market. Historically, when the indicator reaches zero, it serves as a definitive marker that the prevailing selling pressure has reached a point of total exhaustion. From a structural perspective, it indicates that the energy behind the downward trend has completely dried up. It is important to note that this does not guarantee an immediate recovery. When this technical phenomenon surfaced in previous cycles, it preceded a prolonged accumulation phase.  During that period, the price stabilized as smart money began to build positions, creating a foundation for the next major impulsive move toward the upside. Seeing this signal reappear now suggests that XRP’s downside risk is structurally limited at current valuations. It points to a market environment where long-term holders are actively absorbing the available supply, transitioning from a distribution phase to a period of strategic positioning. A Familiar Market Rhythm Is Emerging on XRP’s Long-Term Chart Altcoin Pioneers, in a recent update, highlighted a striking fractal pattern forming on XRP’s chart, suggesting that history may be repeating with remarkable accuracy. A 3-day chart comparison reveals strong similarities between the 2016–2017 market cycle and the current structure, both shaped by a prolonged ABC corrective phase before a major breakout. Related Reading: XRP Exchange Inflows Spike To End 2025: Will Price Decline Deepen? In the earlier cycle, XRP spent months completing its correction before launching into an explosive rally. The 2024 structure mirrors the past ABC pattern, while the ongoing 2025–2026 correction is aligning closely with the final C-wave down to the $1.87 region, though on a slightly shorter timeline. If this fractal continues to play out, Altcoin Pioneers believe XRP could be nearing the end of a painful shakeout phase, setting the stage for the next powerful upside leg. XRP has followed this script before, and those who held through the last cycle understand what’s coming next. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com