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XRP is trading around $1.40 after the market recorded modest upside following a volatile week that saw sharp intraday swings across several major cryptocurrencies. While price action has stabilized in the short term, on-chain data suggests that underlying market participation may be entering a quieter phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Fall To 2019 Levels As ETFs And Corporate Treasuries Accumulate According to a CryptoQuant analyst, activity across centralized exchanges has dropped significantly in recent weeks. Data tracking XRP deposits and withdrawals across major trading platforms shows that transaction counts have fallen to the lowest levels recorded since the metric began tracking exchange behavior. The indicator, known as the Multi Exchanges Daily Depositing and Withdrawing Transactions Delta, monitors the net number of XRP transfer transactions across 15 major cryptocurrency exchanges. Unlike traditional flow metrics that measure the volume of coins moving on and off exchanges, this dataset focuses on the number of transactions themselves. This distinction provides insight into user behavior rather than capital size. In practical terms, the metric reveals how many participants actively interact with exchanges by sending or withdrawing XRP. The recent decline, therefore, suggests a slowdown in user-driven exchange activity. Such periods often emerge when markets transition between phases, as traders step back from short-term speculation while waiting for clearer price direction. XRP Exchange Activity Signals Market Cooling Phase The report also explains how the deposit and withdrawal transaction metrics should be interpreted within a broader market context. Unlike volume-based indicators, this dataset focuses on the number of transactions occurring across exchanges, which helps reveal shifts in investor behavior rather than simply measuring capital flows. When the metric rises sharply, it typically indicates that more users are sending XRP to exchanges than withdrawing it. In market terms, that behavior often precedes increased selling pressure, as traders move coins to trading platforms in preparation for potential liquidation. The opposite dynamic emerges when the metric declines. Lower readings generally suggest that investors withdraw XRP from exchanges into private wallets. This behavior often aligns with accumulation phases, when participants move assets off trading platforms and reduce their intention to sell in the short term. Related Reading: Altcoins Approach Historic Stress Levels as 38% of Tokens Near All-Time Lows Recent data shows a pronounced decline in the number of XRP deposit and withdrawal transactions. In practical terms, fewer investors currently interact with exchanges using XRP, creating an unusually quiet market environment. The broader context also matters. XRP has fallen more than 60% from its previous highs, a move that appears to have significantly reduced retail participation. The last major spike in exchange deposits occurred in January 2025 when XRP approached the $3 level. Binance remains the primary exchange driving transaction activity. XRP Struggles to Reclaim Key Resistance as Downtrend Persists XRP continues to trade near the $1.40 level after a prolonged correction that has defined its price structure since late 2025. The daily chart shows the asset attempting to stabilize following a sharp sell-off that pushed prices from above $2.30 down toward the $1.20–$1.30 range earlier this year. The broader technical structure remains bearish. XRP has consistently traded below its major moving averages, including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day trends, all of which now slope downward. This alignment typically reflects sustained selling pressure and a lack of strong bullish momentum. Related Reading: Post-Crash Purge: XRP’s 60% Valuation Reset Meets a Record Low in Exchange Liquidity Recent price action suggests that the $1.30–$1.35 zone is currently acting as short-term support. Buyers stepped in after the February capitulation wick that briefly pushed XRP near the $1.20 area, triggering a rebound that brought the asset back toward the $1.40 region. However, upside attempts remain limited. The declining 50-day moving average near $1.60 now represents the first meaningful resistance level. A recovery above that zone would signal improving momentum and could allow XRP to test the $1.80–$2.00 range. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin has experienced a modest recovery after several weeks of persistent selling pressure, allowing the asset to stabilize as broader market sentiment begins to improve. While volatility remains elevated across the crypto market, XRP has recently shown signs of short-term relief, with price action attempting to consolidate after an extended period of downside movement. The shift comes as analysts begin to examine on-chain data for clues about how supply dynamics within exchanges may be evolving. Related Reading: The $73,000 Test: Crowded Shorts And Negative Funding Fueled Bitcoin’s 15% Recovery According to CryptoQuant data, exchange reserve metrics can provide valuable insight into market behavior by tracking how assets move between private wallets and trading platforms. These flows often reveal subtle changes in investor positioning, liquidity conditions, and potential shifts in supply available for trading. The report highlights the XRP Binance Exchange Daily Flow as a critical indicator. This metric tracks billions of dollars in XRP reserves to reveal how the asset moves across the exchange. Unlike simple token balance metrics that only count the number of coins stored on the platform, this indicator also incorporates the market price of XRP. As a result, the reserve value reflects two interacting components: the number of XRP tokens held on Binance and the prevailing market price of the asset, providing a more complete view of liquidity dynamics. Binance Reserve Decline Points To Changing Supply Dynamics The report further explains that exchange reserve data can act as a proxy for available market liquidity. When large amounts of a cryptocurrency remain on trading platforms, those balances represent potential sell-side supply. Conversely, declining reserves often suggest that investors are withdrawing assets from exchanges, reducing the amount immediately available for sale. CryptoQuant’s analysis highlights a notable shift in Binance’s XRP reserves. The total dollar value of XRP held on the exchange has fallen sharply, reaching approximately $3.9 billion by March 6. This represents a significant contraction compared with previous peaks observed during the cycle. Looking back at historical periods provides useful context. The highest levels of XRP reserves on Binance occurred in January and July 2025, when the total value of reserves exceeded $10 billion. During that period, a large quantity of XRP remained on the exchange, indicating abundant liquidity and significant potential selling pressure. Following those peaks, the market entered a prolonged decline, with XRP eventually dropping more than 60% and trading below $1.35. From a structural perspective, the current reduction in reserves may alter supply dynamics. When XRP leaves exchanges, the immediately tradable supply decreases. If market demand remains stable while exchange balances shrink, the reduced availability of tokens can gradually ease selling pressure and create conditions that support price stabilization or recovery. Related Reading: The $1.35 Floor: How Extreme Negative Funding Is Priming XRP For A High-Velocity Trend Reversal XRP Consolidates After Sharp Correction The chart shows XRP trading near $1.40 following a steep correction that pushed the asset significantly below its previous cycle highs. After peaking above $3.40 during the mid-2025 rally, XRP entered a prolonged downtrend characterized by a sequence of lower highs and sustained selling pressure. Technically, the asset recently broke below its 100-day moving average and remains well under the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating that the broader trend is still tilted to the downside. The sharp drop in early 2026 forced XRP briefly below the $1.20 region before buyers stepped in, triggering a short-term rebound and allowing the price to stabilize in the $1.30–$1.45 range. Related Reading: Manufacturing The Bitcoin Reserve: Inside The Trump Family’s 11,000-Miner Expansion At American Bitcoin This zone is now acting as a temporary consolidation area as the market attempts to absorb the heavy selling pressure that defined the previous weeks. However, the inability to reclaim the $1.50 level highlights that bullish momentum remains limited in the short term. From a structural perspective, XRP must reclaim the descending moving averages to signal a stronger recovery. The first major resistance sits near the $1.90–$2.00 region, where the 200-day moving average is currently trending. On the downside, the $1.25–$1.30 zone remains the closest support. Losing that level could reopen the path toward the recent lows near $1.20 if selling pressure intensifies again. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP recorded a sharp rebound of roughly 5% as the broader crypto market experienced a brief wave of relief following weeks of persistent volatility. The move comes after a difficult February for digital assets, a period defined by escalating geopolitical tensions and a macroeconomic environment that has continued to deteriorate. Despite these pressures, several large-cap altcoins have demonstrated relative resilience, with XRP among the assets managing to stabilize near key technical levels. Related Reading: The Quiet Accumulation: 13,500 Bitcoin Leaving Binance Signals A Strategic Whale Pivot at $66,000 According to analysis shared by top analyst Darkfost, derivatives data reveal a particularly notable shift in market positioning. Funding rates for XRP on Binance have recently moved into deeply negative territory while the asset traded within a range between $1.35 and $1.50. Negative funding rates typically indicate that short positions dominate the derivatives market, meaning traders betting on further downside are paying a premium to maintain those positions. This dynamic highlights the extent of bearish sentiment currently surrounding the asset. Even after XRP has already undergone a significant correction of approximately 60% from previous highs, a large portion of derivatives traders continue to position on the short side. Extreme Negative Funding Rates Could Signal Short-Term Rebound Darkfost explains that this type of market configuration often functions as a contrarian signal within derivatives-driven environments. When market consensus becomes excessively aligned in a single direction, historical patterns show that price action frequently moves against the majority’s expectations. In the case of XRP, the deeply negative funding rates observed on Binance suggest that a large share of traders is currently positioned on the short side of the market. When this imbalance grows too pronounced, it can create the conditions for a short squeeze or a corrective rally, as traders betting on further downside are forced to close positions if the price begins to move upward. Historical data support this interpretation. Previous periods where XRP funding rates reached similarly extreme negative levels have often been followed by short-term rebounds. These moves tend to occur when the market becomes overcrowded with bearish positioning, leaving the price vulnerable to sharp upward adjustments once selling pressure begins to fade. While extreme funding conditions can indicate a temporary imbalance in positioning, they do not necessarily guarantee the beginning of a sustained bullish trend. Instead, this setup may represent a constructive signal for investors seeking potential entry zones or opportunities to gradually build exposure as market conditions stabilize. Related Reading: The $11,000 Deficit: Why the Record $8.9B Bitcoin ETF Drawdown Is Paralyzing Wall Street’s BTC Appetite XRP Trades Near Key Support After Prolonged Downtrend The chart shows XRP trading near $1.43 after an extended correction that has significantly altered its broader market structure. Since peaking above the $3.50 region in mid-2025, the asset has entered a clear downtrend characterized by lower highs and persistent selling pressure. This structural shift became more evident as XRP lost the support of its key moving averages, which now act as overhead resistance. Price is currently trading well below the 50-period and 100-period moving averages, while the 200-period average sits even higher near the $2 zone. This configuration reflects a market where bullish momentum has largely faded, with buyers struggling to reclaim higher levels. Each rebound attempt over recent months has failed to break through resistance, reinforcing the prevailing bearish structure. Related Reading: The Quiet Accumulation: 13,500 Bitcoin Leaving Binance Signals A Strategic Whale Pivot at $66,000 However, the chart also highlights the emergence of a consolidation phase between approximately $1.30 and $1.50. This range developed after a sharp capitulation move in early 2026, when XRP briefly dipped close to the $1.20 area before stabilizing. For XRP to shift toward a more constructive structure, the price would likely need to reclaim the $1.60–$1.80 region and break above its short-term moving averages. Otherwise, the current range could continue acting as a base while the market searches for direction. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP has remained under sustained pressure since July 2025, losing more than 60% of its value from its all-time high and establishing a persistent downtrend. What initially appeared to be a corrective phase gradually evolved into structural weakness, as lower highs and fading momentum signaled deteriorating conviction across the market. Recent macro developments have only intensified that fragility. Related Reading: The Distribution Trap: Why Bitcoin’s Reserve Growth Proves Sellers Still Hold The Tape According to analyst Darkfost, the broader crypto environment has been heavily influenced by escalating geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran. The situation deteriorated further over the weekend, when the first military strikes were launched shortly after traditional financial markets had closed. This timing proved significant. With equities offline, crypto became the primary venue for immediate risk repricing, amplifying volatility and uncertainty. XRP’s on-chain data reflects this instability. Inflows to Binance have surged sharply, with more than 472 million XRP — approximately $652 million — transferred to the exchange over the past week alone. This marks the largest inflow period recorded in February. Exchange Inflows Signal Defensive Positioning Risk The magnitude of recent XRP inflows to Binance suggests a clear behavioral shift among holders. Large-scale transfers to exchanges rarely occur without intent. While not every deposit translates into immediate selling, positioning tokens on a liquid venue increases optionality. In periods of heightened uncertainty, that optionality often leans defensive. When hundreds of millions of XRP move onto exchanges within a compressed timeframe, it changes the short-term supply equation. Even if only a fraction of those tokens are sold, the visible expansion of available liquidity can pressure bids and weaken market depth. In thin environments, such flows can amplify volatility disproportionately. However, context matters. Exchange inflows during geopolitical stress may reflect precautionary liquidity management rather than coordinated distribution. Investors sometimes consolidate holdings on centralized platforms to hedge, rotate, or react quickly — not necessarily to exit outright. The critical variable is persistence. If inflows remain elevated and are followed by rising exchange balances and negative netflow stabilization, the probability of broader distribution increases. Conversely, if inflows fade and reserves stabilize, the move may prove transitory. At this stage, XRP sits at a behavioral inflection point. Monitoring exchange balances and subsequent netflow trends will clarify whether this marks structural distribution or short-lived panic repositioning. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Market Order Imbalance Hits Record Negatives: $1,850 Is Now The Line In The Sand XRP Struggles Below Key Moving Averages XRP’s 3-day chart reflects a clear structural deterioration following its mid-2025 peak. After topping near the $3.30–$3.50 region, the price entered a persistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a transition from expansion to distribution. The most recent breakdown accelerated once XRP lost the 100-day and 50-day moving averages, both of which have now rolled over and are acting as dynamic resistance. Currently trading near $1.35, XRP sits well below the 200-day moving average (red), which is positioned around the $1.90–$2.00 zone. This level previously acted as support during earlier consolidation phases but has now flipped into overhead supply. The inability to reclaim that region suggests sellers remain in control of the broader trend. Related Reading: Engine Stalled: How The $8 Billion ‘October Shock’ Left Bitcoin’s Spot Market In A Liquidity Trap Volume spikes during sharp downside candles, particularly in late February, point to liquidation-driven moves rather than orderly retracements. Although price is attempting to stabilize above the $1.30 area, the structure resembles a relief consolidation within a bearish regime rather than a confirmed base. For momentum to shift meaningfully, XRP would need to reclaim the 200-day moving average and establish higher highs on sustained volume. Until then, rallies are likely to encounter supply, and the broader technical bias remains defensive. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP continues to struggle near the $1.33 level as persistent selling pressure weighs on sentiment across the broader crypto market. Momentum has weakened notably in recent sessions, with buyers showing limited conviction while Bitcoin remains range-bound and liquidity conditions stay tight. This lack of directional clarity has kept altcoins under pressure, and XRP has not been immune to the broader defensive posture currently shaping digital asset markets. Related Reading: The Saylor Discount: Why Bitcoin Trading Below Strategy’s Realized Price is a Gift for Late-Cycle Allocators Recent analysis from a CryptoQuant contributor provides additional context on the derivatives side. According to the data, the Estimated Leverage Ratio — a metric tracking speculative positioning in futures markets — has declined sharply following a previous spike and now sits near 0.16. Both the 30-day and 50-day simple moving averages of this indicator are trending downward, signaling a sustained reduction in leveraged exposure. This shift suggests that the market is no longer heavily overpositioned. Speculative traders appear to have been largely flushed out during recent volatility, reducing the likelihood of cascading forced liquidations. With neither excessively long nor short positioning dominating derivatives markets, conditions have become comparatively calmer. While this does not guarantee an immediate recovery, the normalization of leverage could help moderate selling pressure and allow price action to stabilize if broader market sentiment improves. Leverage Reset Signals Cooling Speculation In XRP Market The report further emphasizes that Binance plays a critical role in interpreting XRP market dynamics because it remains the dominant liquidity hub for derivatives trading, both in terms of volume and open interest. Much of the aggressive long and short positioning that drives short-term price movements in XRP tends to originate there. As a result, shifts in leverage on Binance often reflect global risk appetite in real time rather than isolated exchange-specific behavior. While leverage changes on smaller venues may remain localized, significant moves on Binance can trigger broader liquidation chains and momentum breaks across the market. In this context, the current low leverage environment carries particular significance. The 0.16 leverage floor confirms a total speculative flush rather than a mere capital rotation. Interestingly, the simultaneous decline in leverage alongside weakening price action may not necessarily be bearish. Elevated leverage during a downtrend typically increases the risk of cascading liquidations, whereas the current environment indicates a cleaner positioning landscape. Low leverage conditions often create a more stable foundation for institutional participation, as large players generally prefer entering markets with reduced volatility and balanced positioning. Still, without a clear pickup in spot demand, XRP may continue drifting in a controlled, slightly downward range as the market gradually resets expectations. Related Reading: The $45 Million Crypto Hammer: Whale Inflow To Binance Threatens To Shatter XRP’s Recovery XRP Price Holds Weak Structure As Downtrend Persists XRP continues to trade under sustained pressure, with the chart showing a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the late-2025 peak near the $3.50 region. The latest price action around $1.33 reflects a prolonged corrective phase rather than a short-term pullback, with momentum remaining weak and recovery attempts repeatedly fading. Technically, XRP is trading below the 50-, 100-, and 200-period moving averages on this timeframe, all of which are sloping downward. This alignment typically signals persistent bearish structure and suggests trend continuation unless price can reclaim these levels decisively. The 200-period average near the $2 zone now represents a major overhead resistance band. Volume patterns also show declining participation compared with the rally phase, indicating reduced speculative enthusiasm. Occasional spikes appear during sharp selloffs, which often reflect reactive liquidation rather than fresh accumulation. Related Reading: The Great Bitcoin Handover: $8.2 Billion BTC Swamps Binance As Retail Momentum Fades Structurally, the $1.20–$1.30 region appears to be the nearest support cluster based on recent price stabilization. A breakdown below that zone could expose lower liquidity pockets, potentially accelerating downside volatility. Conversely, sustained acceptance back above roughly $1.60 would be required to neutralize immediate bearish momentum. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is struggling to hold the $1.40 level as persistent selling pressure continues to weigh on market sentiment. Price action remains fragile, reflecting broader uncertainty across the crypto sector. Bitcoin continues to trade within a range, offering limited directional clarity in the short term. This lack of decisive momentum is filtering through the market, leaving altcoins — including XRP — particularly vulnerable to underperformance in the absence of a strong macro trend. Related Reading: XRP’s Brutal Supply Compression Signals A Repeat Of The 2024 Expansion Recent market activity has also drawn attention to exchange flows. Binance absorbed a massive inflow this week, cementing its status as the premier venue for high-volume transactions. On-chain data shows that more than 31 million XRP were transferred to the exchange in a single day yesterday, a movement that naturally raises questions about potential short-term supply dynamics. Large inflows to exchanges can sometimes precede selling activity, although they do not guarantee immediate distribution. They may also reflect repositioning, hedging, or internal liquidity management. Still, in a market already facing cautious sentiment, such flows tend to reinforce short-term uncertainty around XRP’s price stability. Large Holder Inflows Raise Short-Term Sell Pressure Concerns On-chain breakdowns show that the recent inflows were largely driven by larger holder cohorts, reinforcing the view that this was not retail-led activity. Addresses holding less than 1,000 XRP accounted for just 6,543 tokens, while the 1,000–10,000 bracket contributed 73,630 XRP. In contrast, the bulk of the movement originated from higher tiers: 10,000–100,000 holders transferred 2,938,809 XRP, the 100,000–1 million cohort moved 14,236,825 XRP, and wallets holding more than 1 million XRP sent 14,494,865 tokens to Binance. This distribution highlights that the overwhelming share of the 31 million XRP inflow came from large participants. At current price levels, the aggregate transfer represents nearly $45 million in potential sell-side liquidity. While exchange inflows do not automatically translate into immediate liquidation, they do increase the amount of readily tradable supply on the order books. In a market already facing muted momentum and broader uncertainty, such a concentration of large-holder deposits warrants close monitoring. If these flows evolve into sustained distribution, XRP could face renewed downward pressure. Under those conditions, the asset may struggle to stage a meaningful recovery from its ongoing corrective phase in the near term. Related Reading: The Great Bitcoin Handover: $8.2 Billion BTC Swamps Binance As Retail Momentum Fades XRP Tests Structural Support As Downtrend Persists XRP continues to trade under sustained technical pressure, with the 3-day chart confirming a broader corrective structure that began after the 2025 peak above $3.50. Since that high, price action has formed a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, signaling weakening bullish momentum rather than consolidation. The most recent decline toward the $1.30–$1.40 region places XRP at a critical support zone that previously acted as a launchpad during earlier expansion phases. Technically, XRP is trading below the shorter- and medium-term moving averages, both of which are now sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance. The longer-term average remains upward sloping but has flattened noticeably, reflecting fading macro momentum. Until price reclaims the $1.80–$2.00 range with strong volume, upside attempts are likely to face supply pressure near these moving averages. Related Reading: Ethereum Breaks the Final Whale Floor In A 2018-Style Capitulation: What To Expect Volume has moderated compared with the impulsive rally phase, suggesting reduced speculative participation. However, recent spikes during sharp selloffs indicate active distribution rather than passive drift. If the $1.30 support region fails decisively, a deeper retracement toward the $1.10–$1.20 zone becomes plausible. Conversely, stabilization above current levels could open the door to a short-term relief bounce, though broader structure remains fragile. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP has struggled to generate sustained demand in recent weeks as broader crypto market conditions remain fragile and selling pressure continues to dominate sentiment. Price action has reflected a lack of strong buying conviction, with several analysts warning that further downside cannot be ruled out if liquidity conditions fail to improve. While volatility has moderated compared with earlier corrective phases, momentum remains weak, leaving traders cautious about the near-term outlook. Related Reading: The Altcoin Exodus: Trading Volumes Halve As Capital Flees To Bitcoin $65,000 Fortress A recent CryptoQuant report highlights exchange reserve dynamics as a key framework for understanding current investor behavior. Monitoring the amount of XRP held on trading platforms can offer insight into whether market participants are preparing to sell or accumulate. Typically, a sharp rise in exchange reserves suggests investors are transferring assets onto exchanges, often signaling readiness to liquidate positions. Such movements can increase immediate market supply and contribute to short-term selling pressure. Conversely, declining reserves on exchanges tend to indicate withdrawals into private custody or long-term storage solutions. This behavior usually reflects stronger conviction among holders and reduced willingness to sell at prevailing price levels. As a result, reserve trends can help contextualize whether XRP’s current weakness stems from distribution activity or a broader repositioning phase within the market. XRP Exchange Outflows Signal Emerging Accumulation Trend The analysis indicates that this pattern is currently visible in XRP’s supply ratio on Binance, a metric that measures the share of the asset’s total circulating supply held on a specific exchange. Over the past ten days, the ratio has declined from 0.027 to 0.025, signaling a measurable reduction in XRP balances on the platform. In absolute terms, this translates to roughly 200 million XRP withdrawn from Binance during that period. Although exchange-level movements can sometimes reflect internal reallocations, major platforms such as Binance publicly disclose custody addresses, allowing analysts to differentiate operational reshuffling from user-driven withdrawals with reasonable precision. In this context, the scale and direction of the change point more convincingly point toward organic outflows rather than technical adjustments. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Leverage Reset Clears The Path For A Healthy Rebound – Analyst Such a decline in exchange-held supply often reflects a shift in investor positioning. XRP has corrected by approximately 40% since the start of the year, a magnitude that can attract longer-term participants seeking discounted entry points. When investors withdraw assets from exchanges, they typically reduce immediate sell-side liquidity and signal a preference for private custody over active trading. Taken together, the data suggest that a segment of market participants may be accumulating XRP at current levels, positioning for potential recovery rather than preparing for near-term distribution. XRP Price Struggles Below Key Moving Averages XRP remains under sustained pressure, with the weekly chart showing a clear downtrend following the rejection near the $3.30–$3.50 zone seen in mid-2025. Since that peak, price structure has shifted toward a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, typically associated with weakening momentum rather than consolidation. The latest candles suggest XRP is attempting to stabilize near the $1.40 region, but conviction remains limited. Technically, XRP is trading below the major moving averages visible on the chart, which now act as dynamic resistance. The shorter-term average has already rolled over, while the longer-term trend line continues to slope upward more slowly, reflecting the lagging nature of macro support. Sustained trading below these levels generally signals cautious sentiment and limited upside follow-through unless a decisive reclaim occurs. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Supply Moving To Strong Hands? Whale Data Suggest Structural Shift Volume patterns also indicate reduced participation compared with the impulsive rally phase. This decline often reflects fading speculative interest, although it can also precede a base-building period if selling pressure exhausts. From a structural perspective, the $1.30–$1.40 zone appears to function as immediate support, while the $1.80–$2.00 range likely represents the first significant resistance band. Until XRP reclaims higher levels with strong volume, the broader trend remains fragile and biased toward continued consolidation or downside risk. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto market researcher Dom (@traderview2) says he’s identified what looks like a persistent, algorithmic XRP seller on South Korea’s Upbit: one that, by his estimates, has offloaded roughly 3.3 billion XRP into the XRP/KRW order book over the past 10 months. If the analysis holds, it reframes Upbit’s XRP flow as a venue-specific phenomenon rather than a simple reflection of global risk-on/risk-off sentiment. XRP/KRW Saw $5 Billion in Net Selling Dom analyzed “82 million trades on Upbit XRP/KRW” and mapped their net imbalance over time. His headline conclusion: “A $5 billion one directional selling pipeline running 24/7 for almost a year.” Dom said the work began after an intense intraday stretch that forced a closer look at the tape. “It started with yesterday’s price action. -57M XRP in CVD over 17 hours. It looked insane,” he wrote. “So I ran forensic queries – bot fingerprinting, iceberg detection, wash trade checks. The selling was real. Algorithmic. 61% of trades fired within 10ms. Single bot running 17 hours straight with one 33 second pause.” Related Reading: Analyst Reveals What XRP Price Will Move Toward In Bid For $4 Instead of treating that -57 million XRP cumulative volume delta as an outlier, Dom said he zoomed out and found it matched a longer-running pattern. “-57M isn’t an anomaly,” he wrote. “Upbit XRP/KRW has been net negative every single month for 10 months,” listing several months with large net selling: “Apr: -165M,” “Jul: -197M,” “Oct: -382M,” and “Jan: -370M.” In total, he put the figure at “3.3 BILLION XRP in net selling. ~$5B.” He also argued the flow is unusually consistent. “Only 1 week out of 46 was positive. One,” Dom wrote, adding that there is “no weekday/weekend distinction” and “no time of day where buying outweighs selling in aggregate.” That persistence is part of why he framed it as something closer to execution infrastructure than discretionary trading. “This isn’t a trader,” he wrote. “It’s infrastructure.” A key part of the thread is the cross-venue comparison. Dom said Binance’s XRP/USDT market showed materially less sell pressure during the same windows—“2-5x less sell pressure on the same coin,” he wrote, pointing to a June period where “Binance was net positive while Upbit bled -218M.” He also flagged a weak relationship between the two venues’ hour-by-hour flow, claiming “the hourly correlation between the two venues is only 0.37,” which would imply Upbit’s net selling is being driven by local factors rather than simply mirroring global positioning. XRP Traded Cheaper In Korea For Months Dom’s pricing observations added another layer. He said that from April through September, Upbit XRP traded “3-6% BELOW Binance,” calling it a “reverse Kimchi discount.” In his view, that detail matters because it suggests the seller was willing to accept consistently worse execution than what was available elsewhere. “The sellers were accepting 6% worse fills than available on global markets, for many months,” Dom wrote. “They don’t care about the price. They need KRW, are mandated to use Upbit, and/or are Korean holders taking profit…” Related Reading: XRP Vs Gold Hits Historic Zone As Sentiment Capitulates: Analyst He then pointed to what he described as a structural break around Oct. 10. “Korean retail went insane. Premium flipped from -0.07% to +2.4% in a single day. Trades 5x’d to 832K,” Dom wrote, adding that the premium “has only briefly gone negative since.” The seller, in his telling, did not back off—if anything, the pace increased. “And the sellers? They doubled their daily rate. From -6.3M/day to -11.2M/day.” Dom tried to connect that behavior to market regimes by “bucket[ing] every day by what XRP did on Binance globally,” reporting that Upbit flow skews heavily negative on down days and especially on crash days. He summarized the dynamic as feedback between a systematic seller and retail behavior: “On moon days, Korean retail becomes a NET BUYER. They’re accumulating,” he wrote. “On crash days, sell intensity is 8x heavier. The systematic seller + retail panic amplify each other. Korean retail buys every rip. The pipeline sells into all of it.” To support the “machine versus retail” framing, Dom contrasted order-size fingerprints on both sides of the tape. He claimed the sell side repeatedly used round-number clips—“10, 50, 100, 500, 1000 XRP”—with “57-60% of all trades fire within 10ms,” while the buy side showed a large fraction of “tiny fractional sizes,” such as “2.535, 3.679, 2.681 XRP,” which he argued is consistent with KRW-denominated retail tickets like buying a fixed won amount of XRP. “One side looks like retail,” he wrote. “The other looks like a machine.” The scale claim is also central to why the thread traveled. Dom said “3.3 billion XRP” represents “5.4% of XRP’s entire circulating supply,” moved through “a single trading pair, on a single exchange, in 10 months.” He emphasized he’s working from trade-level datasets: “This analysis used tick trade data I collected from Upbit and Binance,” he wrote, citing “82M Upbit trades + 444M Binance trades.” Dom stopped short of naming a specific entity behind the selling, instead posing a question he framed as the next investigative step: who can sustain “300-400M per month for a year straight,” seemingly “doesn’t care about 6% discounts,” and “needs KRW specifically or is in some walled garden and can only use Upbit?” At press time, XRP traded at $1.45. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP continues to face persistent selling pressure, with price action showing limited momentum as broader crypto market conditions remain fragile. The token has struggled to establish a clear recovery trend, reflecting cautious investor sentiment and subdued speculative activity. While volatility has eased compared with previous sharp moves, the lack of strong buying conviction suggests the market remains in a consolidation phase rather than a confirmed rebound. Related Reading: Bitcoin BCMI Drops Toward Bear Market Territory: How Close Is BTC To A Real Buy Zone? A recent CryptoQuant report provides additional insight through analysis of XRP trading volume on Binance using a 30-day Z-Score framework. According to the data, XRP is currently trading near $1.37, with daily trading volume around 173 million XRP. The Z-Score hovering close to zero indicates that trading activity is broadly aligned with its recent historical average, without significant spikes or contractions. This equilibrium in volume typically reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, often emerging after periods of heightened volatility. Rather than signaling immediate bullish or bearish dominance, such conditions tend to accompany market stabilization or repositioning phases. In practical terms, the data suggest traders are reassessing exposure while awaiting clearer directional signals. Until a decisive increase in volume or sentiment emerges, XRP’s price dynamics may remain slow, with consolidation continuing to define the near-term market environment. XRP Volume Equilibrium Suggests Consolidation Before Next Major Move Historical comparisons in the CryptoQuant report suggest that XRP’s volume Z-Score has frequently acted as a leading indicator for major price movements. Periods marked by sharp spikes in the metric have often preceded significant directional moves, both upward and downward, as sudden increases in trading activity typically reflect shifts in market conviction. Conversely, when the Z-Score stabilizes near zero, the market tends to enter a consolidation phase in which buying and selling pressures remain broadly balanced before a new trend eventually develops. The current reading fits this latter pattern. With the Z-Score hovering close to neutral levels, XRP appears to be in a holding phase rather than building momentum for an immediate breakout. This environment generally corresponds with reduced volatility, slower price development, and cautious positioning among market participants. However, such equilibrium phases rarely persist indefinitely. A decisive increase in trading volume could quickly alter the landscape. A sustained move in the Z-Score above +2 would likely signal strengthening participation and potential bullish momentum, while a sharp drop below that threshold could indicate renewed defensive positioning and the risk of further corrective pressure. For now, volume behavior suggests preparation rather than resolution, with the next significant move likely dependent on whether participation expands or contracts. Related Reading: Ethereum Endures Historic Liquidation Week: Largest Sustained Liquidation Phase Since 2021 XRP Price Tests Key Support As Downtrend Structure Persists XRP continues to trade under sustained selling pressure, with the chart showing a clear deterioration in structure since late 2025. After failing to hold above the $2.00–$2.20 region, price action accelerated lower, pushing XRP toward the $1.30–$1.40 area, which now represents the nearest visible support zone. The recent decline appears sharp rather than gradual, suggesting reactive selling rather than orderly repositioning. From a trend perspective, XRP is trading below its major moving averages, which are now sloping downward. This alignment typically reflects a bearish medium-term structure, where rallies tend to encounter resistance rather than trigger sustained upside continuation. The inability to reclaim these averages reinforces the idea that momentum currently favors sellers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Losses Hit Luna Crash Levels — But Price Context Points To A Different Market Phase Volume dynamics also deserve attention. The latest drop was accompanied by elevated activity compared with preceding consolidation phases, indicating active participation in the selloff rather than thin liquidity moves. Historically, such spikes can precede either capitulation lows or continued downside, making confirmation essential. Technically, a sustained recovery above the $1.80–$2.00 region would be needed to stabilize sentiment. Until then, the broader structure suggests caution, with consolidation or further downside remaining plausible scenarios while market confidence rebuilds. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto Insight UK director Will Taylor argued in a new video that XRP is “trading different” this cycle and said he sees a credible path for it to challenge Ethereum’s long-held No. 2 position, with an outside chance of even pressuring bitcoin if the right mix of narrative and market structure lands. The “XRP Curveball” Theory Taylor anchored his thesis to a comment he highlighted from Mark Yusko, a well-known bitcoin-focused investor, who warned of a potential “curveball” tied to XRP and a future where policymakers clamp down on private stablecoins. Yusko, in Taylor’s telling, speculated that a “CBDC version” could emerge where authorities effectively steer users away from assets like USDT and USDC, a framing Taylor said resonated with what parts of the XRP community have anticipated for years. Mark Yusko says he’s watching for a potential policy curveball, including a future CBDC framework that could restrict private stablecoins like USDT and USDC, while noting $XRP activity may be happening more behind the scenes. ???? https://t.co/ba4aqu2dLN pic.twitter.com/bpWBw7lGX2 — Xaif Crypto????????|???????? (@Xaif_Crypto) February 9, 2026 “Now, what have I been saying about XRP this cycle? I’ve said that it looks different,” Taylor told viewers. “I’ve said that I think it will challenge ETH for spot number two. And I also think that there’s a potential that it challenges Bitcoin for the number one spot this cycle. And I know that a lot of people don’t agree… but that’s actually what I think.” Related Reading: Glassnode: XRP Is Back In Its 2021-2022 Playbook As SOPR Drops Sub 1 Taylor was careful to frame the idea as a non-base-case scenario while emphasizing why he believes XRP is uniquely positioned if US policy and institutional incentives shift in its favor. He pointed to Ripple’s US footprint, its endurance through regulatory “trials and tribulations,” and what he characterized as proximity to political power in Washington. In his view, those factors could matter if the next phase of crypto adoption is shaped as much by compliance architecture as by ideology. He also cited comments from Ray Dalio, referenced via an interview Taylor said aired “yesterday,” where Dalio discussed a future of reduced transactional privacy and the risk of being “shut off” if politically disfavored, a scenario Taylor linked to broader CBDC discourse. Taylor emphasized that his point was not whether such an outcome is desirable, but that traders should position for what they think is most likely to happen, not what they want to happen. “If I could change the way that I thought the world was going to be, I would put my capital somewhere else and I’d make the world a different place,” Taylor said. “But I’m not born in a world that I get to choose what happens in the future. But I am born into a world where I get to see what I think is going to happen and place my bets accordingly. It’s just like trading. You don’t trade or place an investment on something you want to happen. You place it on something that you think is going to happen.” XRP Vs. ETH Vs. BTC On the market-structure side, Taylor focused on bitcoin dominance, arguing it is “really, really tight” on Bollinger Bands, a condition he reads as a volatility setup. He revisited a historical example where an 11% bitcoin pullback preceded what he described as a 490% XRP surge, and argued that, historically, drops in bitcoin dominance have tended to coincide with sharp XRP outperformance. Taylor’s core claim is that the compression in dominance has persisted for roughly six months and is now at levels he compared to an earlier era, “before ETH and ICOs”, when dominance dynamics looked structurally different. He allowed for the opposite outcome, where dominance squeezes higher and bitcoin “sucks the liquidity in,” but said he increasingly favors a downside dominance break that would mechanically strengthen the case for altcoin beta, with XRP as a candidate beneficiary if narrative catalysts arrive alongside the move. Related Reading: XRP Price To $1 Or $10? Analyst Warns Investors Of Possible Crash Taylor also leaned on Binance volume comparisons across three-day candles, arguing XRP’s recovery volume looked more aggressive than the preceding selloff, while he said sellers appeared more dominant in ETH and BTC over the same framing. He tied that relative read to XRP cross charts versus ETH and BTC, describing repeated attempts at range resistance and suggesting a “positive price action” trigger could accelerate XRP’s relative breakout. He flagged near-term calendar items, including yesterday’s Clarity Act meeting and the XRP Community Day today, while cautioning against assuming a reflexive pump. Still, Taylor’s broader point was about positioning into a regime shift he believes could arrive quickly, pointing to visible liquidity concentrated above spot levels on his charts, extending from roughly $1.50 up toward $4.30, with comparatively less liquidity stacked below. “I think people are going to be shocked when we start to reverse and we reverse quickly,” Taylor said, arguing that a fast upside move could force traders out of short-term positioning. He then mapped his most bullish path: bitcoin returning to new highs – he floated 150K and “180-ishk plus” as targets – while bitcoin dominance “nukes,” setting up what he called “crazy price action” for XRP if it captures share of that dominance unwind. At press time, XRP traded at $1.3594. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has slipped below the $1.90 level as selling pressure continues to weigh on the market, reinforcing a cautious tone across recent price action. Attempts at short-term stabilization have so far lacked follow-through, and momentum remains fragile as traders respond to weakening structure rather than clear directional signals. The move below $1.90 places XRP back into a zone where downside risk is being reassessed, particularly in the absence of strong demand on rebounds. Related Reading: Ethereum Leverage Remains At Record High: What Happens Next? A recent report from CryptoQuant provides context for this behavior, pointing to a market stuck in what it describes as a state of cautious equilibrium. According to Binance data, XRP is currently trading around $1.89, while the 200-day moving average sits near $2.54. This leaves price roughly 25% below its long-term trend reference, a gap that clearly signals ongoing structural weakness rather than a confirmed recovery. Historically, sustained bullish phases tend to develop only after price reclaims and holds above the 200-day average. XRP’s continued distance from that level suggests the market is still operating within a corrective range, where rallies are more likely to be sold than extended. While short-term recovery attempts are visible, they remain limited in scope and conviction. Risk-Adjusted Metrics Point to Consolidation The report explains that XRP’s current price action is best understood through a risk-adjusted lens rather than raw price movement. From this perspective, the 30-day Sharpe Ratio sits at just 0.034, a level close to zero. This indicates that over the past month, returns have provided minimal compensation for the risk assumed, a hallmark of markets lacking clear directional conviction. These conditions typically signal a consolidation phase, where volatility compresses, and traders become more selective, making price increasingly sensitive to shifts in liquidity rather than momentum. At the same time, the Sharpe Z-Score has turned positive at approximately 0.70, suggesting a relative improvement in return quality compared with XRP’s recent historical average. However, this reading remains well below the threshold generally associated with statistically significant trend formation. In practical terms, this implies that while selling pressure has eased from prior extremes, the market has not yet transitioned into a regime of strong risk-adjusted performance. Short-term dynamics reinforce this cautious view. The 7-day Sharpe Momentum stands near 0.03, reflecting weak but positive momentum. Although this keeps the indicator marginally above zero, the low magnitude points to gradual base-building rather than impulsive buying. Taken together, these metrics describe a market in balance—no longer under aggressive pressure, but still lacking the conviction and return profile typically seen at the start of sustained uptrends. Related Reading: OKX Launches Crypto Payment Card Across the European Economic Area XRP Remains Below Key Moving Averages XRP price action continues to reflect a market stuck in a corrective and defensive phase. On the daily chart, XRP is trading near $1.87–$1.90, failing to hold recent rebound attempts and remaining firmly below all major moving averages. The 50-day moving average (blue) is trending downward and acting as dynamic resistance, while the 100-day (green) and 200-day (red) averages remain well above price, reinforcing the broader bearish structure. With XRP trading roughly 25% below the 200-day MA, the long-term trend has not yet reset into a bullish regime. Related Reading: XRP Derivatives Reset: Open Interest Drops Nearly 60% From July Peak Structurally, the chart shows a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the October breakdown, confirming sustained selling pressure. The sharp vertical drop in early October marked a decisive trend shift, after which the price has consolidated in a descending range rather than forming a reversal base. Recent attempts to reclaim the $2.10–$2.20 failed quickly. Suggesting weak follow-through from buyers. Selling spikes during downside moves remains more pronounced than buying volume during rebounds, pointing to defensive positioning rather than accumulation. As long as XRP holds below the 50-day and fails to reclaim the $2.20–$2.30 zone, price behavior is more consistent with distribution and consolidation, not trend recovery. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is trading below the $2.00 mark as the market drifts into a phase defined by apathy and uncertainty, with participation thinning and conviction on both sides fading. After a powerful rally earlier in the cycle, price action has cooled significantly, and recent attempts to regain momentum have failed to attract sustained follow-through. The current environment reflects a market that is no longer driven by aggressive speculation but instead is weighed down by caution and a lack of clear directional catalysts. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Below $87K As Political Risk Spikes – Liquidations Reveal The Real Driver Top analyst Darkfost explains that the shift began in the derivatives market. After XRP open interest on Binance surged to a new all-time high of $1.76 billion on July 17, positioning became increasingly crowded. As price stalled and volatility picked up, that leverage started to unwind. The result was a sharp contraction in open interest, which unfolded alongside a major price correction. XRP fell from $3.55 to $1.83, a drawdown of nearly 50%, highlighting how tightly price and leverage were linked during the distribution phase. Declining moving averages compress the price, signaling persistent downside pressure and weak momentum. Most recently, Binance XRP open interest dropped below $500 million, a level that has persisted since the exceptional liquidation event on October 10. This sustained compression signals a market that has largely flushed excess leverage, but has yet to see renewed speculative interest—leaving XRP stuck below $2 and searching for a new equilibrium. Deleveraging Resets Market Structure After Liquidity Flush Overall, XRP open interest has fallen by nearly 60%, signaling a significant destruction of liquidity in the derivatives market, particularly following the October 10 (10/10) liquidation event. This contraction reflects a broad unwinding of leveraged positions rather than a sudden collapse in spot demand. As positions were forced out or closed voluntarily, the derivatives layer thinned substantially, leaving the market far less crowded than during the mid-2025 peak. It is also important to recognize the mechanical effect of price on open interest. As XRP’s price dropped, the notional value of outstanding futures contracts fell alongside it, naturally amplifying the contraction in OI. In other words, part of the drop reflects lower prices reducing leverage in dollar terms, not just traders exiting positions. Still, the scale of the decline points to a genuine reset in speculative activity. Stepping back, these deleveraging phases play a critical role in restoring healthier market conditions. They flush out excess leverage, reduce forced-selling risk, and shift control away from overextended short-term traders. Historically, such phases become visible when XRP open interest on Binance falls below its semi-annual average, as is the case now. Past cycles show that once leverage is rebuilt gradually—and participation returns without excessive crowding—price action often stabilizes first and recovers later. While this does not guarantee an immediate rally, the current cleanup phase reduces downside fragility and lays the groundwork for a more sustainable move if demand re-emerges. Related Reading: US Institutions Step Back From Ethereum: Coinbase Premium Flashes Caution XRP Price Action Details XRP is trading just below the $2.00 psychological level, hovering around $1.89. This is a zone that has repeatedly acted as short-term support over recent months. Declining moving averages compress the price, signaling persistent downside pressure and weak momentum. The 50-period moving average (blue) continues to slope downward and now acts as dynamic resistance near the $2.30–$2.40 region. Above it, the 100-period moving average (green) reinforces this resistance cluster, confirming that medium-term trend control remains with sellers. More importantly, XRP is now leaning on the 200-period moving average (red), which has flattened and is acting as a critical structural support around the $1.85–$1.90 range. Historically, sustained trading near the 200 MA often marks transition zones between continuation and broader trend failure. A clean break below this level would expose risk toward prior demand zones near $1.60–$1.70. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stuck In Bear Mode For 83 Days: Trend Pulse Confirms Structural Weakness Volume remains muted, suggesting market apathy rather than panic selling. This aligns with the broader derivatives deleveraging we’ve already observed, suggesting that the market has largely flushed out speculative pressure. For any meaningful recovery, XRP must reclaim the 50 MA and hold above $2.00. Until then, price action points to consolidation under resistance. The direction hinges on whether long-term support continues to hold or finally gives way. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is testing demand below the $2 mark as the crypto market struggles to find stability amid rising uncertainty. After weeks of choppy price action and failed recovery attempts, traders are watching whether buyers can defend this zone or if another wave of selling pressure will push XRP into a deeper pullback. The broader market environment remains fragile, and risk appetite has weakened, keeping volatility elevated across major altcoins. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Power Shift: New Whales Now Control The Market XRP is currently trading around 47% below its last all-time high from July 2025, highlighting how far the price has retraced since peak bullish momentum. However, this move is not necessarily abnormal. After an exceptional rally of more than 600% since November 2024, the market has naturally shifted into a phase of distribution and correction, as early buyers take profits and late entrants are forced to de-risk. This type of cooldown is often needed to reset positioning and rebuild a healthier structure for the next trend. The current range suggests XRP is transitioning into a more balanced market where demand and supply are attempting to re-align. If buyers continue to step in near key support levels, the correction could evolve into a longer consolidation phase. Negative Funding Rates Hint At A Potential XRP Reversal Darkfost argues that what stands out in the current XRP setup is the timing of the bearish consensus. Instead of forming near the top, bearish positioning intensified only after XRP had already suffered a drawdown of more than 50%. Suggesting traders may be leaning short late in the correction cycle. On Binance, funding rates have remained mostly negative since December, reflecting a market dominated by leveraged short exposure rather than confident dip-buying. Historically, markets tend to punish late consensus. While a buildup of shorts can add near-term selling pressure and keep price capped during weak conditions, it also creates latent buying pressure through forced covering. If XRP starts to reclaim key levels, short liquidations and rapid position unwinds can accelerate upside moves. Turning bearish positioning into fuel for a rebound. Darkfost notes that this pattern has already appeared twice since 2024. During the August–September 2024 period, and again throughout the April 2025 correction, funding rates flipped negative for a sustained stretch before price stabilized and pushed higher. In both cases, the reversal was accompanied by improving sentiment and a return of funding rates toward neutral and then positive territory. With funding still tilted bearish and positioning crowded to one side, the current context suggests XRP may be approaching another inflection point. If demand re-enters the market, the imbalance in shorts could support a sharp recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum Supply Tightens On Binance As Reserves Hit Lowest Level Since 2016 XRP Consolidates Below $2 As Bears Lose Momentum XRP’s 3-day chart shows the downside momentum has clearly slowed from the attempt to stabilize the price after an extended corrective phase. XRP currently trades near $1.94, holding above a local support zone that formed after the sharp sell-off in Q4 2025. While sellers remain active, the downside momentum has clearly slowed compared to the aggressive breakdown that pushed the market from the $2.60–$2.80 region into the current demand area. From a trend perspective, XRP is still capped by declining moving averages. The shorter-term curve is sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance near the $2.10–$2.30 range. Each rebound attempt has struggled to reclaim these levels. Reinforcing that the market remains in a broader downtrend despite the recent bounce. Related Reading: Binance Order Flow Suggests Ethereum Is In Correction Mode: Demand Still Missing However, the current price structure suggests sellers are losing control, as the market has stopped printing lower lows and is shifting into a tight consolidation range. If XRP reclaims $2, it could open the door for a stronger recovery move toward the $2.30–$2.50 zone. On the downside, losing the $1.85 floor would likely trigger renewed selling pressure and extend the correction. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP lost the $2 level after the broader crypto market suffered sharp declines on Monday, dragging price action back into a fragile zone. While the move rattled traders, Binance derivatives data suggests the sell-off has not triggered an extreme leverage unwind yet. Instead, the market appears to be entering a transitional phase where risk is rising, but speculative behavior remains relatively controlled. Related Reading: Trade War Headlines Trigger $800M In Liquidations Overnight: Longs Get Wiped Out Across Crypto Markets Open interest metrics show a delicate balance between positioning and price weakness. Total XRP open interest on Binance climbed to roughly $566.48 million, pushing above the 30-day average near $528.84 million. This spread implies that fresh positions are still being added despite the downturn, but the pace looks measured rather than euphoric. In other words, traders are stepping in cautiously, not flooding the market with aggressive leverage. The 30-day rolling Z-Score framework helps contextualize this shift. With open interest expanding while volatility stays contained, XRP may be building the conditions for a larger move ahead. For now, however, price remains vulnerable, and the next direction will likely depend on whether liquidity returns or fear deepens. Open Interest Volatility Rises as XRP Builds Toward a Bigger Move Arab Chain’s CryptoQuant read shows the most important shift isn’t the headline open interest figure, but the instability underneath it. The 30-day standard deviation of XRP open interest (oi_std30) has climbed to roughly $65.7 million, marking its highest level since November. That matters because it signals open interest is starting to swing more aggressively around its average, a pattern that often shows up before price leaves a tight range and enters expansion mode. At the same time, the leverage signal still looks contained. The Z-Score holds near 0.57, signaling an elevated but not extreme level. In practical terms, positioning is growing, but it doesn’t look like the market is overheating or entering the kind of reckless leverage phase that typically leads to instant liquidation cascades. That combination—rising volatility in positioning while the Z-Score remains moderate—suggests momentum is building without a clear directional commitment yet. This puts XRP in a “risk-on, but cautious” environment. Traders are adding exposure, volatility is creeping higher, and the setup is becoming more reactive. From here, oi_std30 becomes a key metric to track alongside price structure, because whichever way price breaks, the market is increasingly positioned for a larger move. Related Reading: XRP Longs Get Wiped: Binance Leads $5M Liquidation Wave XRP Slides Back Toward $1.90 as Bears Keep Control XRP remains under heavy pressure, with the chart showing price slipping back toward the $1.90 zone after failing to hold the $2 level. The market is printing a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming that the broader trend is still bearish despite several short-lived rebounds over recent weeks. Each time XRP attempts to recover, sellers quickly step in and cap momentum before it can reclaim key resistance levels. The latest move highlights this weakness. XRP briefly pushed higher in early January but immediately rolled over, showing that demand is still too soft to sustain a breakout. The $2.00 region has now flipped into overhead resistance, and price will likely need a strong bullish catalyst to break back above it with conviction. Related Reading: Monero Triggers Retail Alert That Preceded ZEC And DASH Drops As Privacy Coin Hype Returns From a structure perspective, the current support area sits around $1.85–$1.90, which has acted as a short-term floor during the recent consolidation. If this zone fails, XRP could quickly revisit lower liquidity pockets, extending the downtrend. Volume also reflects uncertainty. Activity remains erratic despite occasional, isolated spikes. This suggests the market is still reacting to fear-driven flows rather than steady accumulation. Price stalls in a fragile consolidation phase. And bulls need to reclaim above $2 to shift the short-term narrative back in their favor. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is attempting to reclaim the $2 mark after a sharp breakdown that briefly dragged the price toward the $1.85 level. While bulls are trying to stabilize the move, the broader market remains under pressure as macroeconomic uncertainty rises and analysts continue to warn that crypto could be entering a deeper bear market phase. In this environment, volatility is being amplified by leverage, and XRP’s derivatives market has become a clear battleground. Related Reading: Monero Triggers Retail Alert That Preceded ZEC And DASH Drops As Privacy Coin Hype Returns A CryptoQuant report highlights how January 18 delivered one of the most painful sessions for leveraged XRP traders this month. Data from the XRP Exchange Liquidation Metrics shows a major wave of forced liquidations hitting long positions across major exchanges, signaling that many traders were positioned too aggressively into the downside move. Unlike trading volume or open interest, liquidation data reflects positions being closed involuntarily, meaning traders were wiped out rather than choosing to exit. Total long liquidations reportedly exceeded $5 million on the day, marking a standout liquidation cluster for January. Binance played a dominant role in the flush, accounting for roughly $1.05 million in long liquidations, reinforcing its position as a key venue driving XRP’s short-term volatility. Macro Headlines Triggered the XRP Leverage Flush The CryptoQuant report suggests that XRP’s liquidation spike on January 18 was not purely technical, but part of a broader macro-driven risk-off move that hit the entire crypto market at once. Instead of a slow bleed, the sell-off looked like a synchronized shock, where traders across multiple assets were forced to reduce exposure as uncertainty surged in global markets. According to the report, the trigger came from geopolitical and trade-war rhetoric. Financial Times reported that European capitals may respond to US pressure over Greenland by considering tariffs worth up to €93 billion ($107.7B), or even restricting US companies’ access to the EU market. Even without immediate policy action, the headline alone was enough to revive fears of renewed transatlantic escalation. Related Reading: XRP Whale Inflows To Binance Hit Their Lowest Level Since 2021: Accumulation Behavior? Markets typically treat these events as liquidity threats. When tariffs and retaliation enter the narrative, traders begin pricing in slower growth, tighter financial conditions, and more volatility. Crypto, still behaving as a high-beta risk asset, tends to react fast. Bitcoin’s drop from above $95,000 to below $93,000 added fuel to the fire, reinforcing downside momentum across altcoins. In XRP, that pressure quickly turned into forced selling, as leveraged longs were liquidated into a falling market rather than exiting voluntarily. XRP Struggles Below $2 After Sharp Rejection XRP is attempting to stabilize after a violent downswing that pulled the price back into the $1.85–$2.00 zone. The daily chart shows a clear rejection from the recent rebound high near $2.40, followed by an aggressive selloff that erased most of the breakout attempt. XRP is now trading around $1.97, hovering just below the psychological $2 level. Which has turned into a short-term momentum pivot. From a market structure perspective, the trend remains pressured. Price continues to trade under the major moving averages, with the faster average rolling over and acting as dynamic resistance. The mid-term curve is also sloping downward, reinforcing the idea that rallies are still being sold rather than held. This aligns with a broader pattern of lower highs since the October peak. Suggesting that the market is still in a corrective phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Score Hits Level Seen Only 7 Times In 6 Years – A Rare Historical Signal The wick structure and repeated failed pushes toward the $2.20–$2.40 region show sellers defending that supply zone aggressively. At the same time, buyers are taking action near $1.85, forming a visible demand floor that has held through recent volatility. For bulls, reclaiming $2.10–$2.20 is the first step toward recovery. Otherwise, another breakdown toward $1.85 remains a valid risk.

While XRP retests a crucial support area, some analysts have suggested that the altcoin is preparing for a massive expansion in the coming months, as a potential trend reversal begins to form and its 2017 formula repeats. Related Reading: CME Group To Launch Cardano, Chainlink, Stellar Futures Amid Crypto Lineup Expansion – Details XRP Gears Up For Massive Expansion On Friday, XRP reached a 12-day low, falling to the $2.02 area before bouncing. Notably, the cryptocurrency has been trading within the $2.05-$2.35 area for nearly two weeks, moving between the mid and lower zones of this price range for most of this period. Amid its recent performance, Sjuul from AltCryptoGems noted that the altcoin “is starting to look better, especially after that bullish market structure break with a fresh higher high.” The analyst highlighted that the cryptocurrency has been consistently trending lower since August, exclusively printing lower lows and lower highs. However, it has broken out of this structure and recorded a higher high for the first time in months after the start-of-the-year rally, setting the stage for a potential reversal. “Now, we have to maintain this bullish structure at any cost and form a higher low on the next dip,” Sjuul warned. Meanwhile, market observer ChartNerd pointed to a striking similarity between XRP’s 2017 playbook and its current performance. In an X post, the analyst affirmed that the altcoin is repeating its 2016-2017 formula, which led to a massive rally toward its previous all-time high (ATH). At the time, XRP saw a textbook multi-year symmetrical triangle formation breakout, followed by a multi-month ABC consolidation before its 1,500% mark-up. This time, the cryptocurrency has repeated a similar symmetrical triangle pattern breakout, and it is currently in Wave C of its ABC consolidation period. To the analyst, a deeper Wave C retracement is possible if the multi-month $1.80 support is lost. Nonetheless, he added that “cycle formula repetition signals XRP is gearing up for expansion towards $8/$13/$27,” which would be a 300%-1,250% increase from the current levels. Q1 Close To Define XRP’s Future Despite his bullish forecast, ChartNerd also shared an important warning for the next two months. According to the analyst, “XRP has just over 2 months to invalidate this 3M bearish Heikin-Ashi candle formation,” or it will risk a massive correction. In a video analysis, he explained that, in the past, whenever the altcoin saw massive rallies followed by a red bearish candle on the three-month timeframe, it would “normally indicate the start of a downtrend or a macro consolidation period.” In 2014, XRP saw a bearish candle print in the three-month timeframe after a remarkable pump, which was followed by a correction and consolidation “for quite a couple of years,” he explained. “The same happened again in 2018. We had this massive rally for XRP, and as soon as we printed a three-month bearish candle in the Heikin-Ashi Candle formation, (…) we entered into the bear market,” ChartNerd continued. Related Reading: Analyst Says It’s Time For Ethereum’s ‘Big Test’ – Is ETH Season Loading? Similarly, the cryptocurrency repeated the same performance in 2021. Now, XRP is starting to form a red candle in this timeframe and has approximately 2 months and 16 days to close the quarter on a positive note. “We have until March before this candle closes. (…) So, what we don’t want to see is this full-bodied three-month Heikin-Ashi Candle, because if we see it, this is where we are likely to see a deeper correction for the next six to nine and even 12 months,” the analyst concluded. As of this writing, XRP is trading at $2.05, a 1.7% decline in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

XRP is attempting to stabilize above the $2 level after enduring several days of sustained selling pressure, as the broader market searches for direction. While price action has cooled from recent highs, the latest data suggests that activity around XRP remains balanced rather than distressed. According to metrics shared by Arab Chain via CryptoQuant, trading behavior shows no signs of panic or speculative excess despite the recent pullback. Related Reading: CVDD Model Signals Bitcoin Is Not Yet Deeply Undervalued: Drawdown Lags Historical Cycles Data sourced from Binance indicates that XRP’s 30-day Z-Score for trading volume is currently around 0.44. This reading places current volume slightly above its 30-day average, but still well within a historically normal range. Importantly, Z-Score values above +2 are typically associated with aggressive inflows and speculative surges, while deeply negative readings tend to signal market apathy or liquidity drying up. XRP’s current position in the positive-neutral zone suggests neither scenario is playing out. This context matters. Rather than reflecting capitulation or renewed hype, the data points to a market that is digesting prior moves. As XRP holds above $2, the absence of abnormal volume spikes implies that recent selling pressure may be easing, setting the stage for consolidation or a more deliberate next move once conviction returns. XRP Volume Z-Score Signals Market Equilibrium The report explains that this behavior suggests XRP’s recent price action was not fueled by a speculative frenzy, but instead reflected relatively balanced trading between buyers and sellers. Despite XRP managing to hold above the $2 level, the absence of an elevated volume Z-Score indicates that the market is not experiencing excessive excitement. Rather, conditions point to a phase of consolidation or potential accumulation following the volatility seen in previous weeks. This type of Z-Score reading commonly appears during periods of anticipation, when participants wait for a clearer directional catalyst. In such environments, price can remain range-bound as liquidity stays stable and neither side gains decisive control. If XRP’s price begins to move higher while the Z-Score rises above the 1.5–2.0 range, it would suggest fresh capital entering the market and could mark the beginning of a stronger, momentum-driven advance. That combination would provide clearer confirmation of renewed demand. On the other hand, if trading volume contracts further and the Z-Score remains near zero or slips into negative territory, it would imply fading interest. Under those conditions, XRP could face renewed downside pressure or extend its sideways consolidation as liquidity thins. The current Z-Score does not deliver a clear buy or sell signal. Instead, the data highlights a stable market environment. Any meaningful move now requires volume confirmation to establish its robustness. Related Reading: Ethereum Long-Term Cost Basis Holds Firm: Structural Floor Forms Near $2.8K XRP Price Struggles to Reclaim Key Moving Averages XRP is currently trading near the $2.05 level after a prolonged period of selling pressure, as shown on the daily chart. The recent rebound from sub-$1.90 levels suggests that buyers are attempting to defend the psychological $2.00 zone, which has acted as an important pivot throughout this cycle. However, price action remains structurally weak, with XRP still trading below its major moving averages. The chart shows XRP firmly below the 200-day moving average (red line) near the $2.55–$2.60 area, a level that now represents a critical medium-term resistance. The 100-day and 50-day moving averages (green and blue lines) are also sloping downward, reinforcing the bearish trend that began after the failed breakout above $3.50 in late 2025. Each attempt to recover has been capped by these dynamic resistance levels, signaling persistent distribution rather than aggressive accumulation. Related Reading: Bearish Signal Emerges For Ethereum As US Spot Demand Fades From a market structure perspective, XRP continues to print lower highs and lower lows, despite the short-term bounce. Volume has remained relatively muted during the recent recovery, suggesting limited conviction behind the move. This supports the idea that the rebound is corrective rather than the start of a new impulsive trend. For bullish momentum to regain credibility, XRP must reclaim and hold above the $2.30–$2.40 region, followed by a break above the 200-day moving average. Until then, the prevailing structure favors consolidation or further downside risk. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Following a remarkable performance in the first trading days of the year, CNBC anchors have named XRP the breakout trade of 2026, arguing that it has been the silent outperformer during the recent crypto market volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A Crossroads: $93,500 Reclaim Holds The Key For Next Move XRP Becomes The Hottest Trade Of The Year CNBC’s Brian Sullivan highlighted XRP’s strong start to the year, calling the cryptocurrency the “new cryptocurrency darling” of 2026 and placing it ahead of the market’s leading assets. During the Power Lunch segment, the network’s anchor affirmed that “the hottest crypto trade of the year is not Bitcoin, it is not Ether, it is XRP,” arguing that there’s “big money behind this trade.” In his initial remarks, he pointed out the altcoin’s remarkable seven-day rally toward the recent highs. XRP has seen a notable performance since the start of the year, climbing over 30% from its yearly opening to its two-month high of $2.41 on Tuesday morning. Amid this recent performance, the altcoin recently flipped BNB again to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, a place it had lost during the December market volatility. Moreover, it has outperformed most of the largest cryptocurrencies in the weekly timeframe, including BTC’s and ETH’s 4.3% and 6.2% respective rallies. CNBC’s MacKenzie Sigalos weighed in on XRP’s performance on various segments, affirming that “XRP has been the quiet outperformer for months now.” She addressed whether XRP is taking its place as “the next cool thing to know about” or whether it has a different and more relevant use case that sets it apart from the leading cryptocurrencies, emphasizing its role in cross-border payments as one of its key appeals. What’s Driving The Rally? Sigalos cited three main reasons for the strong star-of-the-year performance. First, she stated that “the regulatory overhang has finally cleared as Ripple has fully wrapped up its SEC fight as of August 2nd.” Second, she asserted that people consider the cryptocurrency “a less crowded trade than Bitcoin or Ether,” which “proved out to be true” just in the first trading days of January. For the third reason, she pointed out that “the flows have held up even during the Q4 dip,” arguing that investors continued to add to XRP-based funds, while the largest crypto ETFs’ flows fell with the price. Well, it’s actually been interesting is that during the doldrums of Q4, you actually saw a lot of people piling into those XRP ETFs, which is the exact opposite of what happens with the spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs, where people really move in tandem with the price of the coin. But it was the fact that it is a way to have a higher percentage jump. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Q1 Outlook: Analyst Shares Historical Setup As Price Nears Key Resistance Notably, XRP funds had a remarkable performance since their launch in Q4 2025. The investment products, which first debuted in November, have recorded cumulative net inflows of $1.25 billion, according to data from SoSoValue. The ETF category has not recorded a single day of negative net flows in nearly two months, with consistent inflows since going live. During the first three trading days of the year, XRP funds have seen a total inflow of $78.81 million. As of this writing, XRP is trading at $2.19, a 20% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

XRP is trading above the $2.20 level after several days of relief-driven price action, offering bulls a temporary pause following months of sustained selling pressure. The rebound has eased short-term stress, but conviction remains fragile. Analysts are increasingly divided on what comes next. Some warn that the broader market structure still points toward a prolonged bearish phase, while others argue that XRP may be in the early stages of a recovery if key levels continue to hold. Related Reading: XRP Shows “Coiled Spring” Setup As Network Liquidity Hits Record Levels As the market waits for clearer direction, new derivatives data adds another layer to the outlook. A recent CryptoQuant analysis highlights intense turbulence in XRP’s futures market, where leverage positioning was aggressively reset in a short period of time. The data shows a rare sequence in which short positions were flushed out first, followed shortly after by liquidations on the long side. This type of two-sided liquidation event typically signals heightened uncertainty, with traders on both ends misaligned with short-term price movements. Rather than confirming a clean trend, the liquidation pattern suggests that XRP is transitioning into a more balanced but volatile phase. Excess leverage has been cleared, which can reduce immediate downside risk, but it also reflects hesitation among participants to commit strongly in either direction. Binance Futures Data Explains XRP’s Choppy Price Action XRP’s recent price behavior becomes clearer when viewed through the lens of Binance Futures activity. According to a CryptoQuant analysis, the market experienced a rapid sequence of liquidation events that reshaped short-term dynamics and explained why momentum faded after the initial rally. On January 5, XRP saw a sharp short squeeze, with total short liquidations exceeding $4.4 million. Binance accounted for the vast majority of that figure, confirming that short positioning was heavily concentrated on its derivatives platform. This forced buying helped propel the price higher and fueled the move toward the $2.40 area. However, the rally proved unstable. By January 6, price action reversed modestly, and the market began targeting the opposite side of the book. A wave of long liquidations followed, totaling roughly $4 million, including about $1 million on Binance. Shortly after, an additional liquidation spike of around $1.5 million hit long positions, signaling that late buyers who chased the breakout were being flushed out. Liquidation heatmaps on lower timeframes reinforce this sequence. Price action first cleared short-side liquidity before rotating lower to pressure newly opened long positions. With the short squeeze largely exhausted, XRP now appears to be testing long holder conviction. Binance continues to dominate XRP derivatives activity, and these two-sided liquidation events often precede sharp reversals. In the near term, price is likely to remain volatile as the market recalibrates positioning. Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters Accumulation Regime: Market Supported By Seller Exhaustion, Not Buying Surge XRP Price Faces Key Resistance After Relief Bounce XRP’s 3-day chart shows a market attempting to stabilize after a prolonged corrective phase, but still facing clear structural resistance. Price has rebounded sharply from the late-2025 lows near the $1.80–$1.90 region, a level that acted as a demand zone aligned with the long-term red moving average. This bounce suggests downside momentum has weakened, at least temporarily, as sellers struggled to push price below that support. However, the recovery is running into friction around the $2.25–$2.30 area. This zone coincides with the declining blue and green moving averages, which previously acted as dynamic support during the uptrend and are now functioning as resistance. The rejection near these levels highlights that XRP remains in a broader corrective structure rather than a confirmed trend reversal. Related Reading: Venezuela, Geopolitical Risk, And Bitcoin: What On-Chain Data Really Shows While the rebound was impulsive, volume has not expanded meaningfully compared to earlier distribution phases. Short covering and liquidation flows drive the move more than strong spot accumulation. Structurally, the sequence of lower highs from the mid-2025 peak remains intact. XRP must hold above $2.20 and reclaim the $2.40–$2.60 region to shift momentum decisively. Failure to do so increases the risk of another consolidation or a retest of lower support. In short, XRP is showing relief strength, but confirmation is still missing. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP has regained momentum after reclaiming the $2.20 level and extending its move toward the $2.41 mark, marking one of its strongest advances in recent months. The recovery comes after a prolonged period of selling pressure and uncertainty, and it has reignited bullish expectations among a segment of investors who now believe XRP could challenge or even surpass its all-time high later this year. While skepticism remains across the broader market, price action suggests that XRP is no longer purely defensive. Related Reading: Venezuela, Geopolitical Risk, And Bitcoin: What On-Chain Data Really Shows According to a recent CryptoQuant report, early January brought visible improvement across the crypto sector, with Bitcoin pushing toward $93,000 and XRP moving decisively above $2.30. That synchronized strength helped shift sentiment, as XRP broke out of its prior consolidation range and began showing signs of renewed trend formation. Significantly, the move has not been driven by price alone. On-chain data points to a deeper structural change within the XRP ecosystem. Activity on the XRP Ledger has accelerated sharply, with network growth reaching levels not seen during the previous consolidation phase. This expansion suggests that rising prices are being supported by genuine usage and participation rather than short-term speculation. XRPL Liquidity Surge Signals Structural Shift Behind Breakout The CryptoQuant report indicates a decisive change in XRP’s market structure, driven not only by price appreciation but also by deep shifts in liquidity and participation. One of the most striking developments is the explosion in liquidity on the XRPL decentralized exchange, which has climbed to roughly $173 billion. Rather than thinning out during periods of weakness, liquidity has expanded sharply, suggesting that large players are actively positioning rather than exiting. This behavior is typically associated with preparation for heightened volatility or a more durable trend change. The timing of this expansion is also important. Since mid-December, liquidity spikes have become both more frequent and larger in size, a pattern that aligns with the entry of more sophisticated market makers. This effectively transforms the trading environment, making it easier for whales and institutional participants to deploy size without causing disruptive price swings. In practical terms, XRP is becoming a more efficient market for large-scale capital. Crucially, this liquidity is not idle. Transaction activity on the XRPL DEX has surged, indicating that deeper order books are supporting real usage rather than passive positioning. At the same time, market behavior has shifted toward buyer dominance. Aggressive buying has taken control, while bearish pressure has faded, allowing the price to break out of its prior compression. Forced short covering further reinforced that move and helped propel XRP through key resistance near $2.30. Together, these dynamics suggest that structural improvements, not just speculative momentum, underpin XRP’s recent strength. Related Reading: Memecoin Strength Returns After Historic Market Decline: A Setup For A Comeback? XRP Faces Heavy Overhead Resistance XRP’s daily chart shows a notable shift in short-term momentum after a prolonged period of downside pressure. Price has surged from the December lows near the $1.85–$1.90 zone and is now trading around $2.35, marking a sharp recovery that has caught sellers off guard. Following months of lower highs and lower lows, analysts view this rebound as an early trend reversal attempt instead of a confirmed bullish continuation The breakout above the short-term moving average (blue line) is a constructive development. This level had previously acted as dynamic resistance throughout November and December, consistently rejecting upside attempts. Reclaiming it signals improving momentum and a potential shift in market structure. However, XRP is now approaching a dense resistance cluster between $2.45 and $2.65, where both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages converge. Historically, this zone has attracted strong selling pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Data Shows Aggressive Sellers In Control As BTC Consolidates Below $90K While the recent rally shows increased participation compared to late December, it remains well below the levels seen during prior impulsive advances. This suggests that although buyers are regaining control, conviction is still developing. A period of consolidation above $2.20 would help solidify this move. If XRP can hold above the $2.30–$2.35 area, the probability of a broader recovery toward $2.70 increases. Failure to do so would likely result in a pullback, keeping XRP range-bound and vulnerable to renewed selling pressure. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is struggling to regain bullish momentum as persistent selling pressure continues to dominate market conditions. Price action remains weak, and recent attempts at recovery have failed to attract meaningful demand. With bulls largely absent, sentiment across the XRP market has turned defensive, and an increasing number of analysts are warning that the token could face further downside in the coming weeks if current conditions persist. Related Reading: Chainlink Shows Strong Accumulation Signal: LINK Exchange Liquidity Dries Up Despite the bearish tone reflected in price, on-chain data reveals an important structural shift. Data from Binance shows that XRP reserves on the exchange have declined to approximately 2.64 billion XRP, marking their lowest level since 2024. This drop indicates that a significant amount of XRP has been withdrawn from the platform, reducing the supply readily available for immediate sale. In on-chain analysis, falling exchange reserves are typically interpreted as a sign that holders are moving assets into self-custody rather than positioning to sell aggressively. The divergence between weakening price action and declining exchange reserves adds complexity to the outlook. While the market remains under clear pressure and momentum continues to fade, the absence of rising reserves suggests that the recent price decline has not been driven by large-scale exchange selling. Instead, the data points toward weak demand rather than an influx of sell orders. Falling Exchange Reserves Suggest Selling Pressure Is Easing A recent CryptoQuant report highlights a sharp decline in XRP reserves on Binance, pointing to a continued outflow of coins from the exchange. This reduction means fewer tokens are readily available for immediate sale, a dynamic that on-chain analysts typically associate with easing sell-side pressure. Instead of positioning to exit, investors appear to be moving XRP into private wallets, signaling a preference for holding or using assets outside of active trading venues. Arab Chain adds important context to this development. XRP’s price has fallen to around $1.80 after failing to sustain levels above $3, a zone that previously defined the bullish peak of the move. Crucially, this price decline has not been accompanied by an increase in exchange reserves. Related Reading: XRP Selling Pressure Returns: Investors Shift From Holding to Distribution In past market cycles, sharp bearish reversals were often driven by rising reserves, as large inflows to exchanges reflected aggressive selling. That pattern is notably absent this time. The current setup suggests that XRP’s weakness is more a function of fading demand than heavy distribution. Sellers do not appear to be flooding exchanges, even as price trends lower. This distinction matters for assessing downside risk. With XRP reserves now at their lowest level since 2024, the market may be building a more supportive base. If buying momentum returns, reduced exchange supply will amplify price reactions, triggering faster and more pronounced moves than periods of high reserves. XRP Tests Long-Term Support As Bearish Structure Persists XRP price continues to trade in a clearly weakened structure, with the chart highlighting a prolonged corrective phase following the sharp rejection from the $3.60–$3.70 highs. After peaking in late summer, XRP entered a steady downtrend marked by lower highs and persistent selling pressure, eventually breaking below the $2.00 psychological level. This breakdown shifted market structure decisively in favor of bears and accelerated the move toward the current $1.85–$1.90 zone. From a technical perspective, XRP is trading below its 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both of which have rolled over and are now acting as dynamic resistance. The 200-day moving average, currently rising near the $1.75–$1.80 region, has become the most critical level to monitor. Related Reading: Why $100,000 Is Bitcoin’s Most Important Resistance Level Price is hovering just above this long-term support, suggesting that selling pressure is slowing but not yet fully exhausted. At the same time, declining volume during recent sessions points to reduced participation rather than clear accumulation. As long as XRP fails to reclaim the $2.10–$2.20 range, downside risks remain elevated. A decisive breakdown below the 200-day moving average would likely open the door to a deeper correction toward the $1.60 area. On the upside, bulls would need a strong reclaim of $2.00 followed by acceptance above short-term moving averages to signal a meaningful trend reversal. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is trading below critical technical levels after losing the $2 mark, a breakdown that has shifted market sentiment decisively toward fear. Bulls are struggling to find reliable support as price action weakens, and recent attempts at stabilization have failed to attract sustained demand. The loss of this psychological and structural level has left XRP vulnerable, with traders increasingly positioning defensively amid broader uncertainty across the altcoin market. Related Reading: Why $100,000 Is Bitcoin’s Most Important Resistance Level According to analysis shared by Darkfost, selling pressure on XRP has intensified materially over recent weeks. The data shows that the current move is not a minor pullback, but part of a deeper corrective phase. XRP has declined by roughly 50% from its cycle peak near $3.66, falling toward the $1.85 region. This magnitude of decline reflects a clear shift in market behavior, as earlier optimism has given way to risk reduction and capital preservation. Darkfost’s assessment suggests that the increase in selling is driven by a combination of profit-taking from older positions and capitulation from more recent buyers who entered at higher levels. As the price moves further away from prior highs, confidence has deteriorated, reinforcing the downside momentum. Exchange Inflows Highlight Rising Sell-Side Pressure Darkfost further explains that the recent surge in selling pressure becomes especially clear when examining XRP inflows to exchanges, with Binance standing out as the primary focal point. As the exchange that concentrates the largest share of XRP trading volume, Binance often serves as an early indicator of shifting market intent. Rising inflows to exchanges are commonly interpreted as a signal that holders are preparing to sell, particularly when the increase is sudden and sustained. After several weeks of relatively calm conditions, characterized by stable and moderate inflows, this pattern changed sharply around December 15. Since then, XRP transfers to Binance have accelerated, with daily inflows consistently ranging between 35 million XRP and a pronounced spike of roughly 116 million XRP recorded on December 19. This marks a clear break from the prior holding-oriented behavior observed through much of October and November. The shift in inflow dynamics suggests a change in investor psychology. Longer-term holders appear to be taking profits after XRP’s strong run earlier in the cycle, while more recent entrants are increasingly capitulating and selling at a loss as the price continues to slide. This combination amplifies downside pressure and reinforces the current corrective trend. As long as elevated exchange inflows persist, conditions for accumulation remain unfavorable. Without a meaningful slowdown in deposits, XRP is likely to struggle to form a durable base, increasing the risk that the correction extends further in both time and depth. Related Reading: Trust Wallet Exploit Drains $7M: Hundreds Of Users Affected XRP Price Action Details: Testing Demand XRP continues to trade under clear technical pressure, with price hovering near the $1.87–$1.90 zone after a prolonged downtrend on the daily chart. The structure shows a decisive loss of bullish control following the rejection from the $3.00–$3.50 region earlier in the year. Since that peak, XRP has consistently printed lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish market structure that remains intact. From a trend perspective, the price is trading below all major moving averages. The short-term moving average has turned sharply lower and now acts as immediate dynamic resistance, while the medium- and long-term averages are also sloping downward, reinforcing the broader bearish bias. Each recent attempt at a relief bounce has failed below these averages, suggesting that sellers continue to dominate rallies. Related Reading: Bitcoin and Ethereum Coinbase Inflows Collapse While Binance Retains Relative Activity – Details The $1.80–$1.85 region is now a critical support area. This zone has absorbed several tests in recent weeks, indicating short-term demand, but the lack of a strong rebound highlights weak buying conviction. A clean break below this level would expose XRP to a deeper retracement toward the $1.50 region, where historical demand previously emerged. Unless XRP can reclaim the $2.10–$2.20 range and hold above it, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, with risks skewed toward further consolidation or continuation of the correction. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

XRP is testing a critical long-term demand zone below the $1.90 level as market conditions continue to deteriorate across the altcoin sector. After failing to sustain upside momentum, price action has turned increasingly fragile, with bulls struggling to defend key support levels. The structure now reflects growing weakness, reinforcing concerns that the broader market may be transitioning into a bearish phase that leaves altcoins exposed to deeper drawdowns. Related Reading: Bitcoin and Ethereum Coinbase Inflows Collapse While Binance Retains Relative Activity – Details Despite the softening price action, on-chain data is sending a more nuanced signal. A recent CryptoQuant report by CryptoOnchain highlights a sharp decline in XRP exchange reserves on Binance, even as price has continued to correct. Historically, falling exchange balances suggest that fewer tokens are being held on platforms where they can be readily sold, often pointing to reduced sell-side pressure rather than aggressive distribution. This divergence between price behavior and on-chain supply dynamics is particularly notable at current levels. While XRP’s chart suggests that buyers are losing control in the short term, the contraction in exchange reserves raises questions about how much selling pressure remains if price continues to slide. In past market cycles, similar conditions have preceded periods of stabilization or relief rallies, especially when broader sentiment becomes excessively pessimistic. As XRP hovers below $1.90, the coming sessions will be decisive. Whether shrinking exchange supply can offset weakening technicals will determine if XRP finds a base or extends its decline alongside the wider altcoin market. Exchange Reserves Hit Multi-Month Low as XRP Tests Key Demand Zone On-chain data is highlighting a notable shift in XRP’s supply dynamics at a critical moment for price action. According to the XRP Ledger Exchange Reserve chart, XRP balances held on Binance have dropped sharply to around 2.66 billion XRP. This represents the lowest exchange balance recorded since July 2024, signaling a meaningful contraction in the amount of XRP readily available for sale on the market. Historically, such declines in exchange reserves are interpreted as a constructive signal. They indicate that investors and larger holders are moving tokens off exchanges into self-custody, reducing immediate sell-side liquidity. When the supply available for trading shrinks, even modest demand can have a disproportionate impact on price, creating the conditions for a potential supply-driven move. This on-chain development is unfolding as XRP trades at a technically sensitive level. Price is currently testing the major demand zone between $1.80 and $1.90, an area that has previously acted as a foundation for broader bullish structure. Momentum indicators add context, with the RSI sitting in the lower range, suggesting bearish pressure is fading, though a confirmed reversal has yet to materialize. The alignment of declining exchange supply and strong technical support strengthens the case for a potential stabilization or rebound. If buyers successfully defend the $1.80 level, reduced liquid supply could fuel a sharp recovery. However, a decisive breakdown below this zone would undermine the bullish on-chain thesis and reopen downside risk. Related Reading: Gold & Silver Break Out While Bitcoin Chops: Why Capital Is Flowing Into Precious Metals XRP Tests Long-Term Demand as Weekly Structure Weakens XRP is trading near the $1.87 level on the weekly chart, extending a prolonged corrective move that has eroded much of the bullish momentum built earlier in the cycle. After topping above the $3.40–$3.60 region, price has consistently printed lower highs and lower lows, confirming a clear shift toward a bearish medium- to long-term structure. The latest weekly candles show sustained selling pressure with limited downside wicks, suggesting weak dip-buying interest at current levels. From a trend perspective, XRP has lost its key weekly moving averages. Price is now firmly below the faster weekly average, which has rolled over and turned into resistance around the $2.40–$2.60 zone. The longer-term moving averages remain well below the current price, indicating that while the macro uptrend from prior years is technically intact, momentum has deteriorated sharply. Related Reading: The Gold-to-Bitcoin Rotation Narrative Gains Strength: A Data-Driven Review The $1.80–$1.90 area stands out as a critical demand zone. This region has acted as structural support in the past and now represents the last meaningful level bulls must defend to avoid a deeper breakdown. A sustained weekly close below $1.80 would significantly weaken the broader structure and expose XRP to a move toward the $1.50 area or lower. Selling activity increased during the breakdown from $2.50, while recent weeks have shown declining volume, pointing to exhaustion rather than accumulation. For XRP to regain strength, price would need to reclaim the $2.20–$2.40 region and establish acceptance above former support-turned-resistance. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

As the crypto market recovers from the latest pullback, XRP is attempting to climb up from its recent lows. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency must defend its current levels or risk a 50% drop to levels not seen since 2024. Related Reading: Solana Leads As Most Popular Blockchain Ecosystem For Second Consecutive Year – Report XRP At Make-Or-Break Level Amid the start-of-week market correction, XRP recorded a 6% drop toward its lowest level in weeks. The price lost $2.00 support on Monday morning and continued to lose key levels despite uninterrupted institutional interest. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $2.00-$2.25 price range over the past month, only losing its lower boundary during the late November pullback. Monday’s correction sent the altcoin below the range’s lower support again, hitting a multi-week low of $1.88 before bouncing around an area that has been crucial for the past year. Notably, XRP has bounced from the $1.85-$1.90 support zone after every major correction since the November 2024 breakout, climbing back above the $2.00 level each time. However, some market observers have suggested that the price risks a significant correction if it is unable to hold the current levels. Ali Martinez pointed out that the cryptocurrency has fallen below its one-year price range, between the $1.92-$3.27 levels, which could lead to a 50% drop below this area. To the analyst, XRP’s price must secure a daily close above $1.92 to prevent a drop to the $1.00 support, which has not been seen in over a year. Similarly, Cheds Trading affirmed that XRP is “flirting with a high time frame breakdown.” Per the chart, the altcoin appears to be forming a high-timeframe rounding top or double top pattern with a higher high. The analyst noted that in the case of the latter, the M formation would be confirmed if the $1.88 level, where the pattern’s neckline is situated, is lost. This could lead to a “measured move to roughly [the] MA 200 area/$1.00 range.” Price Ready For 2026 Markup Phase? Despite the warnings, other market watchers shared a positive outlook for XRP in the coming months. Trader Niels affirmed that the leading altcoin is “looking good” at the current levels. According to the post, the cryptocurrency is “sweeping the $1.8 support zone again” while showing a bullish divergence on the daily timeframe, which suggests that the price could soon move to higher levels. To the trader, once XRP breaks above $2.20 resistance, it could surge 27%-37% towards the $2.80-$3.00 area “within a month.” Meanwhile, analyst ChartNerd highlighted that XRP appears to be repeating its 2023-2024 price action, which led to its massive breakout in November 2024. The chart shows that the altcoin accumulated for a year and a half, bouncing between the range’s lower and upper boundaries before its markup phase in late Q4 2024. Related Reading: XRP Hasn’t Entered A Bear Market Yet; Analyst Shares Why Following this expansion period, the cryptocurrency is showing a similar accumulation range, leading the analyst to suggest that XRP may continue consolidating within its current range before another markup phase occurs. “Regardless of scenarios, or how ugly/beautiful it gets, a massive markup phase similar to November 2024 is likely between now and late 2026,” he stated. As of this writing, XRP is trading at $1.92, a 1.65% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

XRP has slipped below the $2 level, a psychologically important threshold, as broader market conditions continue to deteriorate and selling pressure weighs on risk assets. While Bitcoin dominates liquidity and investor attention, altcoins are struggling to attract sustained demand, and XRP is increasingly reflecting this imbalance. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin’s Quiet Price Action May Be ‘Dangerous’ – IFP Signals Rising Structural Risk According to a CryptoQuant report by Darkfost, the weakness in XRP is not an isolated event but part of a broader contraction across the altcoin market. Whether on spot markets or in derivatives, trading activity has been shrinking significantly over recent months. Liquidity is gradually drying up, signaling a clear retreat from speculative positioning as investors reduce exposure to higher-risk assets. This trend is especially visible in XRP’s derivatives data. The Taker Buy Volume on Binance, which tracks aggressive buy orders in futures markets, has collapsed to its lowest levels of the year. After peaking above $5.8 billion in July, this metric has fallen to roughly $250 million, representing a sharp 95.7% decline. Such a dramatic contraction highlights the near-total evaporation of buying pressure and underscores the lack of conviction among traders. XRP Liquidity Compression Signals Downside Risk According to Darkfost, the broader market context is a major factor amplifying XRP’s current weakness. Liquidations have been accumulating across crypto markets, confidence remains fragile, and many participants are still psychologically impacted by the October 10 event. This lingering stress has reduced risk tolerance, particularly among short-term traders who typically provide liquidity during corrective phases. Beyond sentiment, altcoins are facing a clear structural headwind. Bitcoin continues to absorb the majority of available capital, both in spot and derivatives markets. As BTC dominance remains elevated, liquidity that would normally rotate into altcoins during recoveries is instead staying concentrated in Bitcoin. This leaves very limited room for a sustained rebound across the broader altcoin market, including XRP. Related Reading: Market Stress Continues As Bitcoin STH SOPR Dips Below 1– When Will The Pain End? Within this environment, the sharp collapse in XRP’s Taker Buy Volume is not surprising. The signal becomes even more relevant given that it is unfolding on Binance, which still accounts for the largest share of global XRP trading activity. A sustained drop in aggressive buying on the dominant exchange highlights the depth of demand erosion. At the same time, the Taker Buy Sell Ratio has remained negative for most of the period, confirming that sellers continue to dominate XRP’s derivatives market. Historically, such severe volume compression can precede volatility expansions. However, in the current setup, the lack of meaningful buying pressure and persistent bearish positioning suggests downside risks remain elevated. Even ETF-related optimism has failed to offset these structural weaknesses. XRP Price Struggles Below Key Moving Averages XRP price action on the 3-day chart reflects a clear loss of bullish structure and growing downside pressure. After peaking above the $3.40–$3.60 zone earlier in the year, XRP has formed a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a medium-term downtrend. The recent breakdown below the psychological $2.00 level is particularly significant, as this zone previously acted as both support and consolidation. From a technical perspective, XRP is now trading below its 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both of which have started to slope downward. This alignment reinforces bearish momentum and suggests that rallies are being sold rather than accumulated. The 200-day moving average, currently near the $1.70–$1.80 area, represents the next major structural support. A sustained move toward this level would not be surprising if selling pressure persists. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Refuse to Sell: Historic Signal Emerges As Binance CDD Drops To 2017 Levels Volume dynamics further confirm weakness. Since the August high, volume has steadily declined, indicating fading participation and weak dip-buying interest. The sharp volatility spike in October was followed by distribution rather than continuation, often a sign of a local market top. As long as XRP remains below $2.00 and fails to reclaim the declining moving averages, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. For any meaningful trend reversal, XRP would need to regain $2.30–$2.50 with expanding volume, signaling renewed demand rather than short-term relief rallies. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has been under clear pressure in recent sessions, sliding toward its lowest price of the year as the broader crypto market continues to absorb heavy selling. Sentiment remains fragile, and many traders have shifted into defensive positioning while awaiting clearer macro signals. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Refuse to Sell: Historic Signal Emerges As Binance CDD Drops To 2017 Levels According to a new report from CryptoQuant, however, the underlying picture is more complex than the price chart suggests. Despite the short-term decline, XRP whales are becoming increasingly active, showing no hesitation in trading and accumulating even as retail participation weakens. This divergence between whale behavior and market sentiment is noteworthy. Historically, XRP’s most significant recoveries have begun during phases of deep pessimism, when large holders quietly build exposure rather than chase rallies. The latest data confirms this pattern: while price approaches yearly lows, whale-driven transaction volume has risen, signaling that high-value wallets are repositioning rather than exiting. Whale Accumulation and CVD Shift Signal a Potential XRP Bottom The CryptoQuant report highlights that the recent surge in whale activity follows a pattern often observed during market bottoming phases. Large holders rarely accumulate aggressively during strong uptrends; instead, they tend to build positions quietly during periods of weakness, when sentiment is poor, and prices are depressed. Their willingness to buy in the current environment—while XRP trades near yearly lows—suggests strategic positioning rather than speculative momentum chasing. This behavior is typically interpreted as a pre-rally signal. When whales accumulate into weakness, it indicates confidence that current prices offer value and that the downside may be limited. Historically, such phases have preceded meaningful upside moves in XRP, as whale accumulation often absorbs available sell pressure and stabilizes market structure. Supporting this view, the report also points to a notable shift in the XRP Spot Taker CVD, which has turned taker-buy dominant. This means that aggressive buyers are now driving more of the executed volume, reflecting strengthening demand in real time. A taker-buy dominant CVD often emerges before sustained rallies, as it highlights increasing willingness among market participants to buy at the ask rather than wait for dips. Together, rising whale accumulation and a bullish CVD trend paint an increasingly constructive backdrop for XRP’s medium-term outlook. Related Reading: This Whale Isn’t Stopping: $392M Ethereum Long And A Tight Liquidation Price Revealed Price Analysis: Testing Yearly Lows as Structure Weakens XRP continues to trade near its yearly lows, with the chart showing a clear deterioration in trend structure. Price remains pinned below all major moving averages—the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—indicating that bullish momentum has not yet returned. The persistent rejection at the 50-day moving average throughout November and December highlights the strength of overhead resistance and the absence of sustained buying pressure from the broader market. The $2.00 region, now acting as a key horizontal support, has been tested multiple times over the past month. Each retest shows reduced volatility, suggesting that sellers are no longer driving aggressive breakdown attempts. But demand remains too weak to generate a meaningful rebound. A decisive loss of this level could open the door toward the $1.80–$1.90 support zone. XRP previously consolidated during the early stages of the 2025 rally. Related Reading: Why Ethereum’s Rally Isn’t Overheated – And Where Demand Must Grow Next Volume also confirms the broader downtrend. Selling spikes stand out noticeably, whereas buy-side volume remains muted. This imbalance reinforces the prevailing bearish structure, even as whale accumulation begins to appear on-chain. For XRP to shift out of this downtrend, bulls must reclaim the 50-day moving average and produce higher lows. Until then, the chart signals continued caution. Whale activity must begin translating into visible spot demand, or the risk skews to the downside. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

XRP has reclaimed the $2.10 level after a strong rebound across the broader crypto market, signaling renewed confidence following several days of fear, volatility, and sharp pullbacks. Analysts now see the potential for a sustained recovery as momentum returns and buyers show signs of stepping back in. The reclaim of this key level comes at a crucial moment, with traders closely watching whether XRP can build enough strength to challenge higher resistances in the coming sessions. Related Reading: Bitmine Buys Another 18,345 Ethereum ($54.94M) In Fresh Accumulation Push – Details Adding to the renewed optimism, a new report from CryptoOnchain on CryptoQuant highlights a major spike in XRP Ledger Velocity, marking one of the strongest on-chain signals of 2025. On December 2, the Velocity metric surged to 0.0324, its highest value of the year. Velocity measures how frequently XRP moves across the network, serving as a direct indicator of economic activity, liquidity, and transactional demand. Such a dramatic rise in Velocity shows that XRP is circulating rapidly among users rather than sitting dormant in wallets. It reflects increased participation from traders, active holders, and possibly even whales, pointing toward heightened engagement on the network. Network Activity Surges as Velocity Signals Peak 2025 Engagement According to the CryptoOnchain report, the latest spike in XRP Ledger Velocity indicates a dramatic shift in how XRP is being used across the network. Instead of sitting idle in cold wallets or being held for long-term storage, XRP is rapidly changing hands among market participants. This level of circulation suggests that traders, active users, and possibly whales are driving significantly higher transaction volume than usual. CryptoOnchain explains that such a strong jump in Velocity typically signals high liquidity and deep participation across the ecosystem. When coins move this quickly, it means the asset is being used in real economic activity—whether for trading, transfers, arbitrage, or strategic repositioning by large holders. This type of behavior often aligns with periods of heightened volatility, increased speculation, or structural shifts in market sentiment. Regardless of whether price trends upward or downward, the data confirms that the XRP Ledger is entering one of its most active phases of 2025. User engagement has reached a yearly peak, with more participants interacting with the network and more coins circulating than at any point this year. Such elevated activity often precedes or accompanies major market movements, reinforcing the idea that XRP is transitioning into a more dynamic and liquid phase as the recovery unfolds. Related Reading: Tron Hits $80.2B Stablecoin Milestone After Tether Mints 1B USDT On The Network XRP Faces Heavy Resistance in a Weakening Daily Structure XRP’s daily chart shows an attempted rebound toward the $2.15–$2.20 range, but the broader structure remains pressured by a persistent downtrend. After the sharp sell-off in late October and November—which pushed XRP below the $2.00 level for the first time in months—the asset is now trying to stabilize. The recent bounce reflects short-term buying interest, yet the price still trades below all major moving averages, signaling that bulls have not fully regained control. The 50-day SMA is currently sloping downward near $2.35, acting as immediate resistance. The 100-day SMA around $2.55 and the 200-day SMA near $2.60 form a stacked barrier above price, confirming a structurally bearish setup. For XRP to build meaningful upside momentum, it must reclaim at least the 50-day SMA and flip it into support—something it has failed to do since late September. Related Reading: Bitcoin Liquidation Dominance Hits Multi-Year High: The Real Cause Behind BTC’s Breakdown Support remains stable around $2.00–$2.05, where buyers have defended the level repeatedly with long lower wicks. A breakdown below this area could expose XRP to deeper losses toward $1.80. Meanwhile, volume remains muted, suggesting the rebound lacks strong conviction. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is under intense selling pressure as the broader crypto market enters a decisive stage marked by fear, uncertainty, and a rapid shift in investor sentiment. With Bitcoin struggling to recover and altcoins posting steep losses, many analysts are warning that XRP could face a continued decline in the coming days. Investors are bracing for more volatility as liquidity thins and market confidence weakens. Related Reading: Major Bitcoin LTH Sell-Off Signals Cycle Exhaustion as Supply Drops to 13.6M BTC Yet, despite the bearish narrative, the XRP ecosystem has shown unusual levels of activity—particularly on the institutional front. The arrival of the first US spot XRP ETFs has reshaped its market profile. Canary Capital was the first to launch on November 13, soon followed by Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, and Grayscale. In a matter of days, XRP transitioned from a conventional crypto asset to one accessible through regulated institutional vehicles, potentially shifting its long-term demand dynamics. This new backdrop makes one ongoing trend on Binance even more striking. Since October, XRP reserves on the exchange have been falling sharply. Current data shows reserves have dropped to roughly 2.7 billion XRP, one of the lowest levels ever recorded on the platform. Such consistent outflows signal rising demand for self-custody—an important metric as XRP navigates this critical market phase. XRP Exchange Outflows Signal Strengthening Long-Term Demand According to a new CryptoQuant report by analyst Darkfost, XRP is experiencing one of its most notable exchange outflow trends in years. Since October 6, roughly 300 million XRP have left Binance alone—a figure far too large and too consistent to dismiss as simple internal reshuffling. While a small portion of these transfers may be operational movements by the exchange, the broader pattern is unmistakable: investors are steadily withdrawing XRP from trading platforms. This behavior is typically interpreted as a bullish long-term signal. Day after day, the decline in exchange reserves continues, suggesting that buyers are choosing to move their XRP into private wallets rather than leaving them on exchanges for trading or short-term speculation. Historically, large-scale withdrawals reflect strong conviction, as holders position themselves for longer-term appreciation rather than immediate selling. The supply dynamics created by this trend are significant. With fewer tokens available on exchanges, liquidity tightens. When combined with the rising institutional interest brought by newly launched U.S. spot ETFs, this creates the potential foundation for a powerful shift in momentum. If exchange reserves continue dropping at the current pace, XRP could enter a more structured phase of accumulation—one driven not by hype, but by growing confidence from both retail and institutional participants. Related Reading: Ethereum ICO Whale Sells 20,000 ETH ($58M), Raising Questions Over Market Timing XRP Attempts to Stabilize but Remains Under Strong Selling Pressure XRP’s recent price action on the 3D chart shows an asset trying to stabilize, yet still struggling against a clearly bearish backdrop. After weeks of decline, XRP found temporary support near the $2 psychological zone, where buyers briefly stepped in to prevent a deeper breakdown. This area aligns closely with the 200-day moving average (red line), which has acted as a final line of defense during multiple market cycles. Despite the small rebound, XRP continues to trade well below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both of which are now sloping downward and reinforcing the broader bearish trend. The inability to reclaim the $2.40–$2.50 zone — an important previous support turned resistance — suggests that sellers still dominate the market structure. Volume also remains muted compared to earlier phases of the cycle, indicating that strong conviction buying has not yet returned. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short Squeeze Flushes Out Late Longers as Funding Turns Negative: Classic Capitulation Signal The wick-down capitulation move seen earlier in the month reflects aggressive liquidation, followed by a rapid recovery. While this type of price action can sometimes precede short-term relief rallies, the overall pattern still leans bearish unless XRP can break above key moving averages. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is under heavy selling pressure as the broader crypto market struggles with uncertainty, risk aversion, and fading bullish momentum. Fear continues to spread across investors, and liquidity conditions are tightening, putting additional weight on assets that previously demonstrated strength. Related Reading: Bitmine Scoops Up Another 28,625 Ethereum ($82.1M) as Market Bleeds – Details One of the clearest signs of stress now comes from Binance data — the largest trading platform by volume — showing that XRP Open Interest has dropped to its lowest level since November 2024. This decline highlights a significant shift in trader positioning, signaling that speculative appetite is drying up and leverage is being unwound across the market. According to the latest derivatives metrics, XRP is entering a critical phase marked by weakening sentiment and a steady loss of momentum. The sharp contraction in Open Interest reflects reduced participation from both long and short traders, suggesting that the market currently lacks conviction to support a sustained directional move. This shift comes at a time when XRP had previously been attempting to stabilize above key psychological levels, but continued selling pressure has prevented a clean rebound. XRP Derivatives Show Liquidity Drain and Bearish Control A CryptoQuant report from Arab Chain reveals a sharp deterioration in XRP derivatives conditions, highlighting growing stress across the market. Open Interest on Binance has fallen dramatically from record highs above $1.7 billion to nearly $504 million, and briefly down to $473 million. This steep contraction reflects a major outflow of liquidity from both long and short positions, signaling that traders no longer have the conviction needed to sustain a clear directional trend. The decline in OI aligns closely with XRP’s price drop to $2, after trading above the $2.5–$3 range in recent weeks. This correlation suggests that traders are not reopening positions after being flushed out, leaving the market driven by short-term flows rather than sustained accumulation. Funding rates reinforce this weakness. Over the past two months, funding has frequently turned negative, showing that short sellers are willing to pay to maintain their positions. Negative funding typically indicates that selling pressure outweighs buying demand, increasing the probability of continued downside unless fresh liquidity enters the market. Taken together — collapsing Open Interest, persistent negative funding, and declining price action — the data paints a picture of deep fragility. There are no visible signs of meaningful accumulation from whales or institutions, and without a reversal in derivatives behavior, XRP remains firmly under seller control. Related Reading: 63K Bitcoin Exits Long-Term Wallets: A Surge of Speculative Short-Term Buying XRP Price Shows Weak Rebound After Breakdown XRP continues to struggle under heavy market pressure, and the chart reflects a clear loss of bullish structure. After failing to hold above the $2.50–$2.70 range, price broke down sharply and recently tagged lows near $1.90 before attempting a modest rebound. The rejection from the 50-day and 100-day moving averages shows that sellers remain firmly in control, with both moving averages now sloping downward — a sign of sustained bearish momentum. Additionally, XRP remains below the 200-day moving average, reinforcing the broader downside bias and signaling that the market has not yet regained long-term support. Related Reading: Anti-CZ Whale Loses Big: $61M in Profit Wiped Out As Ethereum and XRP Longs Collapse Volume spikes during selloffs highlight capitulation-driven moves rather than accumulation, while the weaker volume on recent green candles suggests limited conviction behind the bounce. Each recovery attempt has been met with resistance, forming lower highs and lower lows — a classic bearish continuation pattern. To shift sentiment, XRP would need to reclaim the $2.40 level and consolidate above it; otherwise, the risk of retesting $1.90 or even falling toward $1.70 remains elevated. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

XRP is facing one of its most challenging moments in recent months as selling pressure accelerates and the broader crypto market slips into a risk-off environment. Bitcoin’s collapse below key psychological levels has dragged altcoins with it, and XRP has not been spared. Analysts are increasingly warning that the market may be entering a bear phase, pointing to tightening liquidity conditions, rising global economic uncertainty, and a sharp decline in investor appetite for risk assets. Related Reading: Ethereum Approaches Historical Accumulation Level – Just 8% Away From LTH Cost Basis What makes XRP’s situation more fragile is the growing number of holders sitting on unrealized losses. On-chain data reveals that many late buyers — particularly those who entered after the ETF announcement and during the previous rally — are now underwater as the price continues to slide. This top-heavy market structure is creating pressure on holders, amplifying sell-side momentum as fear spreads. The macro backdrop is adding fuel to the fire. With global markets adjusting to rate volatility, geopolitical tensions, and tightening dollar liquidity, capital is flowing out of speculative assets. XRP’s price is now caught at a crossroads: either it stabilizes at key support zones and absorbs the panic selling, or a deeper correction unfolds. XRP Supply in Profit Signals Structural Fragility According to new data from Glassnode, XRP’s market structure is weakening significantly as the latest sell-off unfolds. The share of XRP supply currently in profit has fallen to 58.5%, marking its lowest reading since November 2024, when XRP traded at just $0.53. Despite today’s far higher price — around $2.15, nearly four times last year’s level — an alarming 41.5% of the circulating supply remains at a loss. That represents roughly 26.5 billion XRP sitting underwater. This divergence highlights a critical issue: the market has become top-heavy, dominated by investors who entered late into the rally and bought at elevated price levels. These holders are now feeling acute pressure as prices retrace. Making the XRP supply distribution more fragile and increasing the probability of panic-driven selling. Historically, such setups often lead to accelerated downside movement unless strong demand steps in. The fact that so much supply is in the red even at current elevated prices suggests that speculative flows, rather than long-term conviction, fueled the previous surge. As these late buyers face losses, sell pressure can intensify, feeding into a vicious cycle of liquidation. Related Reading: $14B In Stablecoins Minted Since October Crash: Liquidity Returning To Crypto XRP Price Analysis: Testing Critical Support Levels XRP continues to struggle as selling pressure intensifies, with the chart showing a clear downtrend forming since early October. The price is now trading around $2.18, hovering just above a key horizontal support zone that has been tested multiple times throughout the year. Each bounce from this region has grown weaker, suggesting diminishing buyer strength and rising vulnerability to a deeper breakdown. The moving averages reinforce this weakening structure. XRP is trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day MAs, with all three beginning to curl downward. A classic sign of trend deterioration. The failed attempt to reclaim the 50-day MA in early November marked a significant shift, as sellers quickly regained control and pushed the price lower. Volume spikes during downswings further confirm that distribution is ongoing. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Expands Position By 36,437 ETH – Bringing Total To $1.34B Additionally, the lower highs forming since the September peak signal that bulls are losing momentum. Each rally attempt is being sold into faster, and the wick rejections near the $2.50–$2.60 region highlight strong overhead resistance. If XRP loses the current support band, the next liquidity pocket sits near $1.70–$1.80, where buyers previously defended aggressively. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com