The crypto market’s fear gauge hit 15 — deep inside “Extreme Fear” territory — yet the biggest Bitcoin holders quietly moved in the opposite direction. Related Reading: Strategy’s Bitcoin Bet Now $3.35 Billion In The Red As Saylor Tells Investors To Wait Whale Wallets Grow Their Share Of Total Bitcoin Supply According to crypto analytics platform Santiment, wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC increased their collective share of total supply to 68% last week, up from 68% seven days prior. Whales were not buying blindly. Santiment disclosed the accumulation happened as Bitcoin held steady around $71,000 — a price level that large holders appear to have treated as an entry point worth acting on. While that shift may look small on paper, Santiment flagged it as a meaningful directional change after weeks of selling pressure. Bitcoin was trading around $71,470 at the time of the report, up about 6% over the prior week. Source: Santiment The timing stands out. Just over a week earlier, whale behavior told a very different story. Reports indicate that in the two days leading up to March 6, large wallet holders had offloaded 65% of the Bitcoin they accumulated between February 23 and March 3 — a mass exit that coincided with Bitcoin briefly touching $74,000 before pulling back. A Bottom Signal That Depends On What Retail Does Next Santiment says the renewed accumulation by large holders is encouraging, but the picture isn’t complete yet. What analysts are watching now is whether everyday investors — those with smaller wallets — start trimming their holdings. Data shows that historically, Bitcoin has tended to hit its floor not when big money walks away, but when ordinary buyers give up and sell. “Markets rarely reward the majority consensus immediately,” Santiment said in its weekly report. If retail participation stays elevated or keeps climbing, analysts say that could signal more downside ahead rather than a recovery. That caution is reinforced by on-chain analyst Willy Woo, who recently said Bitcoin remains “solidly in the middle of its bear market” when viewed through a long-range liquidity lens — a read that cuts against any near-term optimism. Related Reading: Bitcoin Climbs Back To $73,000 As Short Squeeze Wipes Out $246M In Futures Bets ETF Inflows Offer A Counterpoint To Bearish Sentiment Not everything in the market is pointing down. US spot Bitcoin ETFs posted their first five-day inflow streak of 2026, pulling in roughly $767 million across the week. That kind of sustained institutional interest is harder to dismiss, and it adds a layer of complexity to what is otherwise a cloudy short-term outlook. Whether whale accumulation marks the start of a sustained recovery or just a brief pause in a longer slide will likely depend on how retail investors behave in the days ahead. Santiment says it wants to see small wallet holdings decline while large wallet positions continue rising — the classic pattern of coins moving from uncertain hands into more committed ones. For now, that shift has started. Whether it holds is another question. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView
Spot Bitcoin ETFs listed in the US recorded their steepest single-day outflow in nearly three weeks on Friday, with $349 million pulled from all 11 products combined, according to data from Farside. Related Reading: Stablecoin Market Breaks Records — USDC Controls 70% Of $1.8 Trillion Volume The withdrawals came as Bitcoin slid back toward $68,000 after briefly touching $74,000 earlier in the week — a run-up that, based on on-chain data, appears to have been the trigger for a significant wave of selling by large holders. Big Holders Bought Low, Then Sold Fast Crypto analytics platform Santiment tracked the behavior of wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 Bitcoin — a group commonly referred to as whales — and found they had been building positions aggressively between Feb. 23 and March 3, when prices were stuck in the $62,900 to $69,600 range. Once Bitcoin crossed $74,000 on Wednesday, those same wallets began offloading. By Friday, roughly 66% of what they had accumulated over that 10-day window had been sold back into the market. Smaller investors moved in the opposite direction. Wallets holding less than 0.01 Bitcoin — the retail end of the market — have been adding to their positions as prices fell. According to Santiment, that kind of divergence between large and small holders has historically pointed to more downside ahead. “When retail buys while whales sell, it typically signals that the correction is not yet over,” the platform said in a Friday report. Fear Gauge Drops To Its Lowest Reading In Weeks Bitcoin’s slide pushed the Crypto Fear & Greed Index down six points to a score of 12 on Saturday, placing it deep in “Extreme Fear” territory. The index measures market sentiment across a range of factors including volatility, trading volume, and social media activity. Some analysts said that Bitcoin could still face another drop if buyers fail to defend the current price zone. A loss of support around the $67,000–$68,000 range may trigger a move back toward recent lows to gather liquidity before any potential rebound. An Economist’s Case For A $60K Floor Not everyone sees a breakdown coming. Economist Timothy Peterson pointed to the Bitcoin Price to Metcalfe Value chart — a model that measures Bitcoin’s price against the estimated value of its network based on user activity — and said the $60,000 level has held as a bottom in every prior cycle. “About 99.5% chance it stays above $60k,” Peterson wrote on X. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Brief Rally Isn’t The End Of The Bear Market, Analysts Say Bitcoin had already tested that level once this cycle, falling to $60,000 on Feb. 6 during a broader pullback from an all-time high of $126,000 set in October. Since then, it has managed a partial recovery, though Friday’s ETF outflows and the continued whale selling suggest the market has not yet found stable footing. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView
Analysts warn the bitcoin market is vulnerable to a deeper flush amid ETF outflows, miner selling and macro shocks.
A fresh whale on the XRP ledger moved a large chunk of tokens in a very short time, and traders are split on what it means. According to on-chain records, a newly activated address received two equal transfers that together totaled $120 million XRP. The transfers came through an intermediary wallet that shuffled the coins across multiple quick moves. Related Reading: Crypto Funds Bleed $1.80 Billion As Metals Rally Heats Up Whale Activity And The Flow Of Funds Reports say the incoming batches were two transfers of $60 million XRP each. The intermediary took each batch and pushed them onward to a holding address within the hour. That receiving account now shows a balance of $185 million XRP after adding a leftover $35 million it already held. Exchange tags are absent. No known custodial label appears next to these addresses. That makes the trail harder to read. Why The Moves Could Be Routine Large holders move funds for many reasons. Custodians tidy up wallets. Exchanges consolidate holdings. Firms rotate funds locked in cold storage for operational reasons. Those are common explanations. Active traders watched the price around the same time. Reports note XRP had slid to the low $1.70 range, breaking below the $1.80 support and slipping about 10% since Jan. 29. Signals Traders Want To See If this were a quiet buy-the-dip, market signs would usually show up. Price stabilization or an uptick might follow. Spot volume could climb. Net outflows from exchange wallets might be visible. None of those clear, matching clues appeared right away. Instead, the funds sat put. That raises the chance this was internal reshuffling rather than aggressive accumulation. Related Reading: Ethereum Boost: Vitalik Buterin Sets Aside $45M In ETH For Privacy And Open Tech What The Intermediary Pattern Suggests Routing through a central wallet is common. Some teams prefer to funnel receipts into a single address for accounting or security checks before dispersing them. The pace of transfers can look dramatic on a block explorer. But drama does not equate to new money entering the market. Without evidence that the source funds came from outside exchanges, or that they were purchased on the open market, the move should be treated as ambiguous. Reports have disclosed similar on-chain activity in past months that later turned out to be either coordinated buying or routine housekeeping. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Whale-sized Bitcoin holders are piling up more coins even as prices wobble. According to blockchain tracker Santiment, wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC added 104,340 BTC in recent weeks. Related Reading: Gold Becomes The Whale Safe Haven As Bitcoin Takes A Back Seat Reports note that total supply held by these large wallets hit 7.17 million BTC, the highest level since September 15, 2025. Mid-sized holders joined in too, adding roughly $3.21 billion worth of Bitcoin between January 10 and January 19. Small retail wallets moved the other way, offloading about 132 BTC, worth around $11.66 million. Whales Push Their Stakes Higher The numbers point to patient buying by big players. Large transfers of $1 million or more have climbed to a two-month high, which suggests heavy participants are active on the network again. According to Santiment, this kind of flow is often tied to institutions and wealthy investors moving coins between custody, exchanges, and private wallets. Some of those moves are driven by strategic choices; some are meant to secure holdings. Either way, a growing pile in whale hands changes where supply sits. Smaller holders are stepping back, while the so-called smart money increases exposure. Reports say mid-sized wallets — those holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC — were net buyers in the same stretch. ???? Large Bitcoin whales are accumulating at an encouraging pace, wallets with at least 1K $BTC have collectively accumulated 104,340 more coins (a +1.5% rise). Additionally, the amount of $1M+ daily transfers is back up to 2-month high levels. ???? Chart: https://t.co/CJOfiOBbWU pic.twitter.com/4loxDFtUdb — Santiment (@santimentfeed) January 25, 2026 Price Action And Market Signals Bitcoin’s price has not matched the upbeat on-chain action. Trading was around $87,730 at one point, with intraday swings between $86,500 and $87,500. The alpha crypto asset was down about 0.5% over 24 hours and roughly 5.4% over the prior week. Volumes have ticked up, though, which makes the case that some investors are stepping in at these levels. The picture is mixed: on-chain accumulation suggests a base is being formed, but macro headlines keep the market on edge. On-Chain Strength Versus Headlines A growing stash by big holders can support a future rally if external stress eases. Yet prices move on more than Bitcoin flows. Large transfers and rising accumulation mean demand exists under the surface, but that demand has yet to fully push the market higher. Macro Risks And Market Jitters Geopolitical worries are casting a long shadow. Reports say US President Donald Trump has moved warships toward areas of tension, and prediction markets show a significant chance that the US could strike Iran by June. Trade friction with Canada over recent auto rules has raised fresh political noise, and Polymarket shows the probability of a US government shutdown above 70%. These are real risks that can lift oil, rattle markets, and sap appetite for risk assets. Related Reading: Money Keeps Leaving: Bitcoin ETFs Shed $1.72 Billion In Just 5 Sessions Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
According to on-chain trackers, a big wave of old Bitcoin has started moving after long dormancy. Coins that sat untouched for more than two years have been transferred in numbers larger than what was seen during past peaks in 2017 and 2021. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Sharp Reversal Leaves Over $800 Million Liquidated In 1 Day CryptoQuant analyst Kripto Mevsimi said on-chain data shows that 2024 and 2025 marked the largest release of long-held Bitcoin supply ever recorded. He tracks “revived supply,” or coins that stayed dormant for more than two years before being moved. That kind of movement usually means deep-pocketed holders are changing their plans, not small traders chasing a quick gain. A Shift Without A Party Reports say this release of long-held supply arrived with little fanfare. There was no mass retail mania. Prices did not spike in a frenzy. Instead, the transfers came during a stretch when the market has been under steady pressure from broader financial stress. Some of those older coins were likely sold for profit. Some may have been moved for other reasons — custody upgrades, private trades, or to back financial products. On-chain signals show the coins moved, but they do not write the reasons on the blockchain. Long-Term Holders Change Course Based on reports from analysts tracking these flows, the pattern suggests a changing of the guard. Early adopters who held through multiple cycles and pointed to scarcity and self-control have been trimming positions. New buyers are appearing who watch price swings and macro headlines. Institutions, fresh large accounts, and price-driven traders are now shaping much of the market’s short-term activity. Global Risk Pressures Risk Assets Reports have linked recent weakness in Bitcoin to rising global risk. Research ties part of the pullback to tariff moves by US President Donald Trump, which have pushed investors away from risky assets. Tariffs can dent corporate profits, stir up inflation uncertainty, and change how the market views future rates — all of which hits sentiment. When big markets wobble, crypto often follows. That pressure helps explain why long-held coins moved without the usual hype. New Buyers Step Forward According To on-chain and price data, institutions and new “whales” are stepping into the gaps left by sellers. Bitcoin has been trading near the high $80k range, with recent figures around $89,140 as markets test demand. The old holders may have taken gains, but the market did not collapse. That shows there is still appetite, even if it is different from the past. Related Reading: Bitcoin Influencers Get Spotlight In X’s New ‘Starterpacks’ This cycle feels different because selling came without euphoria, and buying looks more tactical. That does not mean the story is over. The market might be shifting toward price-sensitive participants and outside financial forces. Or the recent calm could be a pause before fresh buying. Either way, these on-chain moves matter. They change where the coins sit, and that changes how future price swings may play out. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
According to TradingView data, big holders on Bitfinex have been trimming long positions after a late-December peak of 73,000 BTC. The move follows a broader drop in whale holdings of roughly 220,000 BTC during 2025, a change that has analysts and traders parsing what comes next. Related Reading: Crypto Market Watches As Clarity Act Enters Senate Debate Next Week: US Senator Price action has been steady. Bitcoin has been moving inside a tight range around $88,000 to $92,000 while the market seeks direction. Whale Moves And Historical Patterns Based on reports, some traders see this as a classic unwind pattern that precedes price gains. In early 2025, a similar fall in long positions coincided with Bitcoin slipping under $74k then staging a sharp rebound. That past recovery climbed to about $112k in 43 days after positions were flushed. MartyParty, a commentator on X, pointed to that episode when noting Bitfinex whales were “aggressively closing $BTC longs,” a behavior that has in the past been followed by big swings. Bitfinex whales are aggressively closing $BTC longs, a signal that historically precedes massive volatility. Last time this “unwind” happened in early 2025, Bitcoin was stalling at $74k. This precedes the Wyckoff Spring. See charts below. The flush cleared leverage and ignited… pic.twitter.com/2qfmH2eliJ — MartyParty (@martypartymusic) January 10, 2026 Market Breadth And Investor Mix Reports have disclosed that on-chain tracker CryptoQuant finds overall whale holdings fell by over 200,000 BTC across the year, while smaller investors have increased exposure. This shift is being read by some as a sign that ownership is broadening. If more participants hold coins, price moves can be supported by a wider base of buyers. That does not guarantee higher prices, but it does change the way risk spreads through the market. Price Range And Resistance Levels Traders are watching a near-term ceiling around $94,000 that has capped several rallies. Bitcoin currently sits near $91.5k. A sustained break above that $94,000 level with volume would be a stronger confirmation for bulls. On the flip side, a failure to move higher could see the range widen to the downside, especially if funding costs rise or if liquidations pick up. Fractal Targets And Caution Some analysts are using past patterns to project targets. Based on reports, one scenario maps a repeat of the spring-and-rally sequence, aiming at $135k or more if history repeats closely enough. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Next Peak Might Ignite ADA’s Rally, Says Cardano Creator That view depends on similar market conditions lining up, which is not certain. Whales are not a single, unified actor; different groups can close positions for different reasons, and some trades are used as hedges rather than bets on price direction. Volume, funding rates, and net positioning on major derivatives platforms will matter. A clean breakout above $94,000 with rising spot demand would support the bullish case. Conversely, rising selling pressure at that level could keep Bitcoin confined to the $88,000–$92,000 band until a new catalyst appears. The current action looks like a setup in progress — one that could lead to sharp moves once traders decide on direction. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin moved higher on renewed buying from large holders while smaller wallets were seen booking gains, a pattern that on-chain watchers view as supportive for further upside. Related Reading: Bitcoin Wealth Isn’t About Hype—It’s About Time And Stacking, Expert Says Whale Accumulation And Retail Profit-Taking According to Santiment, wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC — described as whales and sharks — have added 56,227 BTC since mid-December. At the same time, wallets with less than 0.01 BTC have been taking profits, suggesting some retail traders expect a bull trap or a fool’s rally. This split — heavy accumulation by large holders while small accounts sell — raises the odds of market cap growth across crypto. Supply Redistribution And Market Structure Market observers say supply is shifting in a way that helps price action. Analyst James Check pointed out that the top-heavy supply share has fallen from 67% to 47%, a large move in a short span. ???? Crypto markets typically follow the path of key whale & shark stakeholders, and move the opposite direction of small retail wallets. In our chart below: ???? Whales dumping, Retail accumulating (VERY BEARISH) ???? Whales dumping, Retail unpredictable (BEARISH) ???? Whales & Retail… pic.twitter.com/yoC0H1keBT — Santiment (@santimentfeed) January 5, 2026 That shift, paired with a drop in profit-taking and signs of a short-squeeze in futures, has supported higher prices even as overall leverage stayed low. Bitcoin has been mostly rangebound between roughly $87,000 and $94,000 for about six weeks, but it briefly reached a seven-week high of $94,800 on Coinbase during late trading on Monday. Options And Key Levels Traders watching option interest see heavy call activity around the $100,000 strike for January expiry. Data shows Bitcoin as being in a bullish consolidation phase, with immediate resistance seen at $95,000 to $100,000 and support placed near $88,000 to $90,000. A clean break above the upper zone could push prices higher, while a breach below the lower zone might invite deeper selling pressure. Geopolitical Shock And Trading Volume Following the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro by US forces, Bitcoin moved to multi-week highs and traded above key levels near $93,000 on Monday, based on reports. Analysts tied the move partly to geopolitical uncertainty pushing some investors toward alternative assets. Speculation about Venezuela’s alleged large BTC holdings — reportedly hundreds of thousands of coins — also added to market chatter and trade activity. Overall, the event coincided with higher volatility and volume, reflecting broad market reactions to global tension rather than serving as a direct driver of Bitcoin’s fundamental value. Related Reading: A Maduro Bet, A Market Alarm: US Lawmaker Targets Trading Abuses What This Means For Traders The current mix of big-wallet buying and retail profit-taking gives the market a tilted bias. If accumulation by whales continues, the chance of an upward breakout rises. Yet the retail sell-off warns that short-term reversals remain possible. The $95,000 to $100,000 range appears to be a key area for a potential breakout, while support around $88,000 to $90,000 could influence sentiment if prices fall below it. Reports and on-chain data suggest momentum leans toward further gains, though the market may remain volatile as traders respond to both technical levels and geopolitical developments. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Large crypto holders moved about $2.4 billion in Bitcoin and Ether to Binance in the past week, a flow split almost evenly between the two tokens. According to CryptoOnchain, the size of individual deposits has jumped — average transfers onto the exchange rose from around eight to 10 Bitcoin to highs near 22 to 26 Bitcoin. Related Reading: $18 Million Ethereum Loss Sends Whale Running To Gold At the same time, withdrawals have shrunk, with the Exchange Outflow Mean reported between 5.5 and 8.3 Bitcoin. That change in behavior signals a shift away from taking coins into long-term storage and toward holding tradable balances on-platform. Rising Deposit Sizes And Flat Stablecoin Flows Based on reports, the move onto Binance did not arrive with fresh buying power. Stablecoin net flows were essentially flat, showing an inflow of $42 million for the week, a figure that analysts say mostly reflected token transfers between Ethereum and Tron rather than new capital entering crypto. CryptoOnchain said that such large transfers to exchanges can mean preparation for selling or the use of assets as collateral in derivatives markets. In plain terms: more supply is ready to hit the market, while obvious signs of new demand are missing. Market Action Tested By Geopolitics Bitcoin traded around $92,620 after earlier hitting a 24-hour peak of $93,180, and it was reported to have climbed to a three-week high of $93,340 in early Asian trading. The price moves came as political tension rose following the US military’s action on Venezuela that resulted in the capture of its president, Nicolas Maduro. Meanwhile, gold climbed above $4,400 an ounce, and silver jumped as much as 4.8%. According to FalconX, the recent Bitcoin uptick was driven in part by crypto-focused firms and by limited selling from miners and big holders. Selling Pressure Versus Thin Demand Analysts are watching the mismatch. Large deposits and a fall in the average size of withdrawals suggest that major holders are less willing to lock up Bitcoin in cold storage. Reports say accumulation has stalled since October. That combination creates a scenario where price rallies are more likely to be met by selling from holders who have quietly moved assets onto exchanges. Related Reading: A Maduro Bet, A Market Alarm: US Lawmaker Targets Trading Abuses Outlook: Cautious, Not Catastrophic Based on these signals, the risk of downward pressure has risen but a major crash is not guaranteed. Price strength right now appears tied to headlines and cross-market moves as much as to fresh crypto demand. Traders and investors will be watching whether stablecoin inflows pick up or whether whales actually press sell. US President Donald Trump’s previously cited pro-crypto stance was not enough to reverse the accumulation lull by year-end, and until buyers return in force, gains may be limited and short lived. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
According to onchain data from CryptoQuant, claims that big holders are massively reaccumulating Bitcoin are exaggerated. The numbers that many share on social media can be distorted by exchange moves, not fresh buying. That distortion matters because large transfers tied to exchanges can look like one entity is piling in, when the action is often internal bookkeeping. Related Reading: Crypto Exchange Korbit Fined $1.90 Million By South Korean Regulators Whale Wallet Totals Can Be Misleading Exchange firms often merge funds from many small accounts into fewer large wallets for operational or compliance reasons. When that happens, onchain trackers may count those consolidated addresses as “whales,” inflating the apparent number of very large holders. According to Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, once those exchange-related shifts are removed from the data, the balance held by true large holders is still falling. Balances in addresses holding between 100 to 1,000 BTC have dropped, a trend that lines up with outflows from spot ETFs. No, whales are not buying enormous amount of Bitcoin. Most Bitcoin whale data out there has been “affected” by exchanges consolidating a lot of their holdings into fewer addresses with larger balances, this is why whales seem to have accumulated a lot of coins recently. We… pic.twitter.com/dk9XqqckIX — Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) January 2, 2026 Long-Term Holders Turning Buyer Reports have disclosed that another group has shifted its behavior. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck, says long-term holders have been net accumulators over the past 30 days after what was their biggest selling spree since 2019. That change could reduce one major source of selling pressure. It does not guarantee a rally, but it does mean at least one key cohort stopped adding to the sell side. Markets react to who is buying and who is selling, and this move by long-term holders softens the case that a single group is driving prices lower. Price Action Shows Mixed Signals Bitcoin has been hovering around the $90,000 area during thin holiday trading. At the time of reporting, the price was about $89,750 Saturday, with 24-hour volume near $52 billion. The token sits roughly 2.8% below a recent day high of $90,250 and carries a market capitalization of about $1.75 trillion based on a circulating supply close to 20 million BTC. Trading has seen sharp moves up and down, but volume has been weak, which means moves lack the support needed for a clear breakout or breakdown. Market Moves Hinge On ETF Flows Since US spot Bitcoin ETFs became active in early 2024, the ownership picture has changed. ETFs now hold a large share of on- and off-chain demand, which can shift where Bitcoin is stored and how flows appear on onchain charts. Reports suggest that ETF outflows have helped drive lower balances in the 100–1,000 BTC band, while at the same time some long-term holders are quietly buying. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Grows As Altcoins Post Another Losing Year: Analyst What This Means For Investors Taken together, the evidence points to consolidation more than a new bull run or a major crash. Claims of a massive whale reaccumulation wave were overblown because they did not account for exchange consolidation. Yet the story is not one-sided. Long-term holders have shown buying interest, even as large non-exchange addresses continue to shed some holdings. Future price direction will likely depend on whether ETF flows return in size and whether trading volume picks up enough to confirm any move. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
According to onchain data, Bitcoin may be moving into a different phase of market participation rather than simply hitting a classic cycle top or bottom. Related Reading: Bitcoin Feels The Weight Of Quantum Risk Concerns, Industry Leaders Warn New, large entrants are paying higher prices and holding on, and that change is reshaping where the network’s cost base sits. This is not just a short blip; the pattern has several clear data points behind it. New Whales Rewrite The Network Cost Base According to CryptoQuant figures, addresses classified as new whales now account for almost 50% of Bitcoin’s realized cap. Before 2025, that share rarely rose above 22%. Realized cap tracks the value of BTC at the price each coin last moved, so this shift shows where capital entered the system, not just who currently holds the most coins. Reports say the realized cap share from new whales continued to climb even during pullbacks, which suggests the network’s aggregate cost basis is being re-anchored at higher levels. Short-Term Demand Surges As Larger Players Buy Dips Short-term holder supply expanded by roughly 100,000 BTC over a 30-day span, reaching an all-time high, according to analysts. That jump in STH supply points to intense demand at the near-term level. Based on exchange flows, about 37% of BTC sent to Binance came from whale-size wallets, defined in the data set as holdings between 1,000–10,000 BTC. Reports from Hyblock show the cumulative volume delta for whale wallets — those in the $100,000–$10 million range — posted a positive $135 million delta this week. In contrast, retail wallets ($0–$10,000) and mid-size traders ($10,000–$100,000) logged negative deltas of $84 million and $172 million, respectively. In short: larger players absorbed selling pressure while smaller holders reduced their exposure. Related Reading: XRP ETFs Grow Past $60M As Price Struggles To Respond Derivatives Point To Short-Term Risk Price action was sharp. Bitcoin rose to $88,000 from $85,100 in about five hours after the Bank of Japan raised rates, a move that many investors had tracked as a potential macro trigger. Open interest climbed faster than the price, and funding rates turned positive, which indicates fresh margin-driven long positions were being added rather than a simple cover of shorts. That kind of flows pattern raises the chance of volatile reversals if sentiment shifts, even when spot demand looks healthy. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
A statistical mirage briefly convinced the crypto market this week that mid-sized whales had purchased roughly $5 billion of Bitcoin. During the past week, social media feeds filled with charts showing that roughly 54,000 Bitcoins are flooding into “shark” wallets, which are addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 coins. As a result, many industry players […]
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According to exchange data, inflows to trading venues topped 9,000 Bitcoin on Nov. 21 as prices slid to $80,600 on Coinbase — the weakest showing in seven months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces More Downside After Recent Crash, Data Shows Reports show that about 45% of those deposits came in chunks of 100 BTC or more, and on one day large transfers reached 7,000 BTC. The average deposit size in November rose to 1.23 BTC, the largest monthly figure in a year. Those numbers point to more than casual rebalancing; they point to coins being moved where they can be sold. Binance Stablecoins Hit Record According to market coverage, Binance’s stablecoin holdings climbed to a record $51 billion. At the same time, BTC and Ether inflows to exchanges swelled to roughly $40 billion this week, with Binance and Coinbase leading the move. Traders often park funds in dollar-pegged tokens when they want to wait on the sidelines. That build-up means cash is available, but it is sitting idle until sellers either step back or buyers turn up again. Bitcoin exchange inflows are rising as the price drops to ~87K, a seven-month low. Large deposits (100+ BTC) now make up 45% of all inflows, hitting 7K BTC on Nov 21. Large holders are increasingly sending BTC to exchanges, reinforcing the current downtrend. pic.twitter.com/UpN4rAL0FH — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) November 26, 2025 Analysts Eye Further Pullback Some market watchers warn the recent recovery could be only a pause, flagging remaining margin positions and suggested a test of lower levels. They said a wick into the $70k–$80k zone would be one way to clear out the last pockets of exposure. 10x Research put resistance levels at $92,000 and $101,000 as the key ranges to watch during any rebound. For context, Bitcoin had clawed back above $90,000 and was trading slightly higher at the time of reporting, but it remains down about 28% from the all-time high north of $126,000 reached in October. Short-Term Bounce, Not A Full Recovery Meanwhile, market moves in stocks and crypto have shown mixed signals. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were pushing gains as investors bet on a US Fed rate cut, and that helped risk assets. Yet reports from strategists show the usual close link between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq has weakened, with Bitcoin’s decline steeper in recent weeks. Ether and many altcoins also faced higher exchange inflows, and several tokens returned to bear-market lows as selling pressure widened. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Reenters ETH Market, Fires Off A $44-M Long What This Means Next Liquidity is present but it is parked in stablecoins, and big holders are still moving assets toward exchanges. A meaningful rally will likely need either heavy buying demand or a clear catalyst that draws those stablecoins back into risk assets. For now, the market sits in a waiting mode: a short rally could continue, but a deeper dip remains possible as positions get cleared and sellers complete their rotations. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin suffered a sudden and deep drop in November, losing nearly a quarter of its value and wiping out over $1 trillion across the crypto market. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Sudden Volatility Jump Signals Options Could Be Calling The Shots—Analyst Whales Trim Positions Before Crash According to on-chain data from CryptoQuant, large holders played a central role. Wallets holding between 1,000–10,000 BTC pared back their stakes in the weeks leading up to the fall. Those big sellers took profits after the October rally, and in many cases selling was steady rather than panicked. When large players step back like that, market depth can vanish quickly. A quick overview of Bitcoin’s price decline shows prices slid from record highs above $126,000 in October to roughly $81,000 at the lowest point, before a partial bounce to $87k was recorded. Traders and funds were caught off guard by the speed of the move. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $87,086, up 1.5% in the last 24 hours. Retail Selling Added To Pressure Based on reports, small wallets also leaned toward safety. Holders under 10 BTC and groups up to 1,000 BTC reduced positions, removing another layer of potential buyers. Has Bitcoin Found Its Bottom? Cohorts Tell the Whole Story “BTC may have formed a local bottom, supported by a strong rebound and accumulation from: 100–1k BTC holders. >10k BTC holders. However, the crucial 1k–10k BTC cohort is still distributing, preventing a full… pic.twitter.com/dGU4CBD1Bw — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) November 25, 2025 Buying interest from casual investors was weaker than expected. Mid-sized holders — those with 10–100 and 100–1,000 BTC — did buy during the correction, and their activity helped slow the slide. Still, their buying power was not enough to match the large outflows. Futures Liquidations Intensified The Drop Reports show that futures market dynamics turned a correction into a crash. Over a 13-day stretch, long positions were forcefully closed out. That cascade removed bids and created a chain reaction of selling that pushed Bitcoin from around $105K down to $81K. Liquidations were heavy, and the selling pressure was compounded as each forced sale fed into the next. A Tentative Rebound Shows Life After the lows were hit, Bitcoin climbed back to about $87,500. This rebound has been taken by some as a sign that a local bottom might be forming. According to CryptoQuant, however, the recovery cannot be considered secure while the 1,000–10,000 BTC group keeps reducing holdings. The market’s health was being tested by who chose to sell and who chose to buy. Bottom Status Hinges On Whale Activity Market watchers say a true reversal needs selling from large wallets to stop. If those whales pause, mid-sized buyers might build a firmer floor and confidence could return. If selling continues, lower levels may be explored once again. The coming sessions will be watched closely by traders who want to see whether large holders change course or keep cashing out. Related Reading: Bitcoin Creator Somehow Becomes ‘Poor’ By Losing $41 Billion Without Saying A Word For now, the situation is simple and tense at the same time: prices have recovered slightly, but the structural weakness that allowed a 25% fall was exposed. Bitcoin could face further losses after its recent crash, if CryptoQuant’s data is anything to go by. Large holders have been taking profits, while retail investors have also been selling, leaving fewer buyers to support the market. Analysts say the next move will depend on whether these big holders continue selling or if mid-sized buyers step in to stabilize prices. Featured image from Vecteezy, chart from TradingView
According to Versan Aljarrah, founder of Black Swan Capitalist, fear has crept back into the XRP market as the token trades under pressure. Prices slipped below the $2 mark and recently hit about $1.83 before a small rebound. Volatility has been sharp, and many traders are being pushed into quick exits. Related Reading: Bitcoin Creator Somehow Becomes ‘Poor’ By Losing $41 Billion Without Saying A Word Volatility Tests Investors Based on reports, XRP’s slide accelerated after a broad market crash in early October tied to tariff tensions between the US and China. That turmoil forced billions of dollars of liquidations across exchanges. Different platforms briefly showed very different lows — Kraken recorded $1.40 while Binance charts on TradingView showed a flash low at $0.76. Fear is back, and it always hits those who don’t understand what it means to hold XRP. Most won’t survive the engineered volatility ahead. The system shakes out the weak long before real valuation even begins. — Black Swan Capitalist (@VersanAljarrah) November 23, 2025 Those swings left behind gaps in liquidity, including a zone around $1.98 to $1.99 that traders are watching closely. Price action has been messy but not one-directional. XRP was trading around $2.22, up about 1.8% in the last 24 hours, and in another snapshot it was reported changing hands close to $2.24 amid a rebound. Over the most recent 72 hours, the token posted a rally of more than 18%, showing how fast sentiment can flip. According to Aljarrah, fear has returned, and “it always hits those who don’t understand what it means to hold XRP.” The analyst pointed out that a good number of people will fall before they could even make it and “survive the engineered volatility ahead.” The system, he said, “shakes out the weak” long before actual market valuation takes its course. History And Psychology At Work Analysts and market observers point to XRP’s stop-and-go history as part of the problem. In 2017, the coin lingered for months before surging roughly 70,000% and then dropping by as much as 95% at certain stretches. In 2024, it traded quietly for much of the year before jumping over 600% near year end. That pattern makes holding the token psychologically hard for many. People sell too soon, often right before big moves. Support levels are being watched closely. Reports list key buffers at $1.95, $1.75, and $1.60. On the upside, some analysts are projecting a rebound to $4 by 2026, with longer-range targets of $13 and $27. Those are forecasts, not promises, and they assume steady market conditions and continued interest. While $XRP jumped 17% in the last 72 hours, whales used the move to lock in profits, selling more than 180 million tokens. pic.twitter.com/t9aKQqTwQN — Ali (@ali_charts) November 25, 2025 Whales Take Profit Amid Rally And ETF Flows Meanwhile, analyst Ali Martinez said larger holders have been taking profits during the rebound. Whales holding between 1 million and 10 million XRP reportedly sold over 180 million tokens, trimming their balances to about 4.74 billion XRP. That kind of selling can add pressure even while the price is trying to recover. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Sudden Volatility Jump Signals Options Could Be Calling The Shots—Analyst Institutional flows appear to be a counterweight. Based on reports, the Franklin Templeton and Grayscale XRP ETFs launched in the US yesterday and drew combined positive flows of $130 million on their first day. Net inflows into US XRP ETFs on Monday were placed at $164 million, a figure that helped absorb some of the selling and supported a more than 7% gain over 24 hours in some trading windows. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has tumbled more than 30% from its all-time high of $126k and is trading around $85,500 after briefly falling to $82K, according to market reports. Traders warn that recent moves by long-term holders are changing how the market reacts to stress. Liquidity has thinned, and that makes price swings larger than usual. Related Reading: Dogecoin Goes Wall Street: Grayscale Confirms Nov. 24 ETF Launch Schiff Issues A Stark Warning According to gold investor Peter Schiff, Bitcoin is “finally having its IPO moment.” He said that when veteran holders turn into sellers, supply at the top of the market rises and future selloffs can become deeper. “This much Bitcoin moving from strong to weak hands not only increases the float, but also means future selloffs will be bigger,” Schiff said on Saturday. His view has been repeated by bearish voices for years, but this time the comment lands against clear on-chain moves and big ETF outflows. Traders note that when confident, long-term holders prune positions near local peaks; when many do it at once, price action often becomes more violent. Some argue that after all these years Bitcoin is finally having its IPO moment now that there’s enough liquidity for the OGs to cash out. I agree, but this much Bitcoin moving from strong to weak hands not only increases the float, but also means future selloffs will be bigger. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) November 22, 2025 Whale Moves And Major Sales Based on reports, whales and early wallets moved over 400,000 BTC in October, activity linked with large selling pressure. One early investor, Owen Gunden, reportedly liquidated his entire 11,000 BTC stake across October and November. High-profile retail figures also sold: Robert Kiyosaki announced a sale worth roughly $2.25 million, saying he bought when BTC was about $6,000 and sold near $90,000, and that he plans to redeploy proceeds into income businesses. Analysts at Bitfinex point to two key drivers of the recent drop: long-term holder sales and leveraged liquidations in derivatives markets. When margin positions unwind, prices can cascade lower before the market finds support. ETF Flows And Retail Sentiment According to Bloomberg and fund filings, investors pulled nearly $1 billion from Bitcoin ETFs in a single session, the second-largest daily outflow among the group of 12 funds. BlackRock’s IBIT led with $355 million, while Grayscale’s GBTC and Fidelity’s FBTC each saw about $200 million leave. Over the past month, ETF products have recorded roughly $4 billion in net outflows. Citi Research figures cited by market watchers place every $1 billion withdrawn at roughly a 3.4% negative swing in Bitcoin’s price. Still, there was a counter-move: reports show ETFs posted $238 million of inflows yesterday, underlining how flows can reverse quickly. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Dumps Bitcoin At $90K After Predicting A $250K Moonshot – Here’s Why Schiff’s warning shows that Bitcoin can still be shaken when big holders sell. Even with some institutions buying, moving coins from long-term owners to casual investors could make future price drops bigger and faster. People watching the market will likely pay close attention to what these veteran holders do, because their actions could decide how steep the next crash might be. Featured image from Born Free Foundation, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin fell below $90,000 this week for the first time in seven months, and big transfers have surged. Related Reading: XRP Supply Shock Ahead? ETFs Could Consume It All, Analyst Predicts According to Santiment, more than 102,000 transactions above $100,000 and roughly 29,000 transactions above $1 million were recorded over the recent stretch — a level that could make this the most active whale week of 2025. Whale Counts Climb As Small Holders Fall Back Based on Glassnode figures, the number of addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC rose to 1,384 from 1,354 about three weeks earlier, a 2.2% rise and the highest count in four months. At the same time, wallets with one BTC or less slipped to about 977,420 from 980,577 late in October, showing smaller holders are thinning out. Those two trends together have some market watchers reading a shift from panic selling toward larger buyers taking positions. ???? Bitcoin’s whales have gotten more and more active as prices have dumped over the past six weeks. So far this week, we have seen: ???? Over 102.9K Whale Transactions exceeding $100K ???? Over 29K Whale Transactions exceeding $1M ???? This week has a good chance of ending up as the… pic.twitter.com/oHsnMfEjgP — Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 19, 2025 Traders And Analysts See Two Things At Once Some traders argue the big transfers are plain buying. Others say the pattern looks like forced selling by leveraged accounts, followed by accumulation as the market finds a new base. One on-chain observer flagged repeated, time-bound selling that could be tied to liquidation events, a pattern that might end once available supply dries up or liquidations stop. Market Sentiment Has Turned Very Negative Sentiment gauges show fear is strong. Reports put the Crypto Fear & Greed Index near 11, a reading inside the “extreme fear” zone, and on-chain short-term holder measures have weakened, with the STH Realized Profit-Loss Ratio dipping below levels often seen around local lows. Taken together, those readings suggest many recent buyers are underwater and that capitulation has been intense. If large transfers recorded by Santiment were mostly outbound from exchanges, that would look like accumulation into cold storage or OTC custody and could reduce sell pressure. If those moves were inbound to exchange wallets, the same flows could point to distribution. Right now, the data show a mixture: big holders are increasing their counts while weaker hands exit, which can support a stabilizing bottom, but it also leaves room for short-term swings if another forced seller appears. Related Reading: With 42% Of XRP Holders Underwater, Analysts Say The Altcoin Could Crash Even Further Several market participants described the move as a “washout” that clears short-term froth. Others noted that news events — from major earnings to macro headlines — have amplified twitch trading and sudden swings, which can trigger both big transfers and sudden price drops. A handful of asset managers say they are seeing buying at discounted prices while retail participation cools. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin slid below the $92,000 mark on Wednesday, trading at $91,500 at press time after a one-day drop of 5% that left the token down 17% in the last 30 days. Related Reading: With 42% Of XRP Holders Underwater, Analysts Say The Altcoin Could Crash Even Further Market players were rattled after a stretch of heavy swings that began with a peak early in October. According to market trackers, price pressure has pushed sentiment into deep fear as investors reassess risk. Winklevoss Sees Opportunity According to posts on X by Cameron Winklevoss, prices under $90,000 may not last long. “This is the last time you’ll ever be able to buy bitcoin below $90k!” he said. Cameron and his brother Tyler have long compared Bitcoin to modern gold and have suggested it could one day reach $1 million, a view that frames the current pullback as a buy window rather than a lasting setback. Some industry leaders echoed that view, calling the fall a chance for long-term buyers to accumulate. This is the last time you’ll ever be able to buy bitcoin below $90k! — Cameron Winklevoss (@cameron) November 18, 2025 October Shock Still Echoes Bitcoin’s recent slide followed a new high of $126,200 on October 6, 2025, and heavy liquidations four days later that erased close to $20 billion in leveraged positions. Analysts tracking market cycles say this pullback fits a common pattern after the April 2024 halving, with major peaks often arriving 400–600 days afterward. Reports from The Kobeissi Letter suggest much of the current weakness looks like a routine unwinding of margin positions rather than a collapse in underlying demand. Whales Are Accumulating According to Glassnode, wallets holding 1,000 BTC rose from 1,354 on October 27 to 1,384 on November 17, an increase of 2.5%. At the same time, smaller holders moved away; addresses with less than one BTC dropped from 980,577 to 977,420 in the same period. Markus Thielen of 10X Research said large holders have been buying while absorbing selling pressure. Some of the buying activity has been quietly taking place, and it is being watched closely by analysts. Related Reading: Kiyosaki Stands His Ground—No Selling, More Bitcoin Buys Ahead Fear And Market Flows Figures show that the Crypto Fear & Greed Index plunged to readings as low as 15, levels not seen since mid-2022. CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartun flagged the extreme fear reading, while other industry voices pointed to ETF outflows and geopolitical tensions as added stressors. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan described the current price as a “generational opportunity,” a phrase that sits alongside warnings about possible further downside. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Rising whale activity hints at strategic positioning during bitcoin’s downturn.
The global crypto market pulled back to about $3.23 trillion on Monday, down close to a percent from recent levels, and signs of weakness were visible across most top tokens. Related Reading: From Dotcom To Crypto: Veteran Analyst Says The Bull Run Isn’t Over According to market trackers, investor mood is chilled — the Fear and Greed Index sits at 18, labeled extreme fear — and the average Relative Strength Index for major coins hovers near 41, a reading that leans toward oversold conditions. Bitcoin was trading around $95,400 while Ethereum hovered near $3,155, with many large-cap assets showing only small daily moves. Tom Lee Issues Long-Term Take According to Tom Lee, BitMine chairman and an early Bitcoin bull at Fundstrat, the current pullback does not wipe out the potential for much larger gains down the road. Lee noted that Bitcoin rose roughly 100x from his first recommendation back in 2017, when the price was near $1,000, and he suggested Ethereum may be at the start of a similar long-term run. BitMine Chairman Tom Lee suggested that the recent crypto market weakness may be due to one or more market makers having a “hole” in their balance sheets, with “sharks” circling to trigger liquidations and push BTC lower. He emphasized that this is short-term pain and does not… — Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) November 16, 2025 He cautioned that investors who benefited from past rallies had to endure extreme drops — some as deep as 75% — and said present volatility could be the market “discounting a massive future.” Short-Term Signals Point To Oversold Conditions Market technicians and on-chain analysts are pointing to clear short-term stress. The Fear and Greed Index at 18 is one headline figure. Average RSI readings near 41 imply more selling than buying momentum right now. To me, the weakness in crypto has the all the signs – of a market maker (or two) with a major “hole” in their balance sheet Sharks circling to trigger a liquidation / dumping of prices $BTC Is this pain short-term? Yes Does this change the $ETH supercycle of Wall Street… pic.twitter.com/0jfkXYnfv9 — Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FSInsight.com (@fundstrat) November 15, 2025 Based on reports from CryptoQuant, Ether trading around $3,150 sits roughly $200 above the mean cost basis held by long-term accumulators — a level that could act as support if those holders remain patient. Bitcoin, by comparison, has pulled back about 20% from its recent peak, while Ethereum has fallen more than 30% from its high. Bitcoin is a volatile asset. We first recommended Bitcoin to Fundstrat clients in 2017 (1%-2% allocation) – Bitcoin 2017 ~$1,000 Since then (past 8.5 years), $BTC: – 6 declines > -50% – 3 declines > – 75% 2025, Bitcoin 100x from our first recommendation TAKEAWAY: To have… pic.twitter.com/xtIRGLdnWM — Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FSInsight.com (@fundstrat) November 16, 2025 Ether Holder Levels Close To Historic Peaks Ethereum’s path this year diverged from Bitcoin for a while: ETH topped out at $4,940 in August, while Bitcoin pushed to a peak above $126,000 in October. That gap left Ether lagging for months even as Bitcoin made fresh highs. Now, with ETH nearer to where long-term holders bought in, some analysts see a potential floor forming. Reports have disclosed that these accumulators have been “patiently stacking,” and their cost positions matter for near-term price action. Altcoins Show Little Momentum Smaller large-cap coins are holding weaker ground. XRP was trading near $2.20, BNB around $932 and Solana close to $138, with most of last week’s gains fading. Other popular tokens — Tron, Dogecoin, Cardano, Chainlink, Hyperliquid and Zcash — are under light selling pressure and low net movement, suggesting market-wide caution rather than a single-asset sell-off. Related Reading: Trump Drops 500% Tariff Shockwave, Crypto Trembles — Bitcoin Breakdown Ahead? Bigger Players, Liquidations And The Outlook Lee added that he expects signs of recovery and stability within six to eight weeks. He advised against using borrowed funds now, warning that forced sell-offs can accelerate losses. According to his remarks, aggressive positions designed to trigger liquidations by large firms can amplify price swings. He cautioned that some of the sharper moves may be tied to stress among big market makers. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin dropped to $96,000 on heavy selling Friday, and falling risk appetite, leaving traders and analysts parsing whether this is normal profit-taking or a larger turning point for the market. Related Reading: XRP Earns Academic Praise: University Study Calls It ‘Gold In Your Hands’ According to on-chain and market reports, the drop wiped out more than $700 million in long positions and left November down by more than 10%. Whale Transfers Draw Focus Reports have disclosed that a wallet tied to trader Owen Gunden moved 2,400 Bitcoin — about $237 million — onto the Kraken exchange, a transfer tracked by blockchain watcher Arkham. Based on analysis by Glassnode, long-term holders’ average daily spending rose from over 12,000 BTC per day in early July to roughly 26,000 BTC per day as of this week. OWEN GUNDEN JUST SOLD ANOTHER $290M BTC Owen Gunden just moved all of the remaining BTC out of his accounts. He deposited over HALF of his holdings directly into Kraken, depositing a total of $290.7M of BTC into Kraken. He now has only $250M of Bitcoin remaining. pic.twitter.com/ZUB3aToAgH — Arkham (@arkham) November 13, 2025 That pattern, Glassnode analysts say, looks like orderly distribution by older holders rather than a sudden mass exit. It is being framed as late-cycle profit-taking: regular, steady, and spread out. According to Santiment, Bitcoin has fallen below $100K for the second time this month, triggering a burst of fear and worried posts from retail traders. ???? Bitcoin has dumped below $100K for the second time this month. Predictably, this has caused a wave of FUD and concerned social media posts from retail traders. As shown below: ????: Significant bullish/greedy bias (usually when markets are getting too much FOMO, prices will go… pic.twitter.com/rowUv3xIMd — Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 13, 2025 No Meltdown: Late-Cycle Signals And On-Chain Readings Vincent Liu, CIO at Kronos Research, disclosed that structured selling and steady rotation of gains often show up in late-cycle phases. He cautioned that this phase doesn’t automatically signal a final peak, provided there are still buyers ready to take in the extra supply. Being in a late cycle doesn’t mean the market has hit a ceiling, he pointed out. It just shows momentum has eased, and bigger forces like macro trends and liquidity are now in control, he said. “Rate-cut doubts and recent market weakness have slowed the climb, not ended it,” Liu said. In other words, there’s no meltdown or anything like it. On-chain indicators are being watched closely; Bitcoin’s net unrealized profit ratio stood near 0.476, a level some traders interpret as hinting at short-term lows forming. That reading is only one of several signals, Liu added, and must be tracked alongside liquidity and macro conditions. A closer look at the monthly average spending by long-term holders reveals a clear trend: outflows have climbed from roughly 12.5k BTC/day in early July to 26.5k BTC/day today (30D-SMA). This steady rise reflects increasing distribution pressure from older investor cohorts — a… pic.twitter.com/wECe58CV66 — glassnode (@glassnode) November 13, 2025 Market Pain Came From Stocks And Rates The cryptocurrency sell-off came as crypto-related stocks plunged. Broader markets were weak as well, with the Nasdaq down 2% and the S&P 500 off 1.3%. Cipher Mining fell 14%, Riot Platforms and Hut 8 dropped 13%, while MARA Holdings and Bitmine Immersion slid over 10%. Coinbase and Strategy were down about 7%. Based on reports, large institutional flows have pressured prices. Firms including BlackRock, Binance and Wintermute reportedly sold more than $1 billion in Bitcoin, a wave of selling that produced a quick 5% drop inside minutes. Meanwhile, social sentiment turned sharply negative, and the Crypto Fear & Greed Index hit 15, reflecting “extreme fear” among traders. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin-focused ETFs recorded their largest single-day outflow since August, pulling a combined $558 million from the market as prices hovered near $102,000. Data from SoSoValue shows the move pushed some big funds into the red for the day and sent fresh signals that traders are rebalancing after recent gains. Related Reading: Get Ready — The End Of November Will Be Massive For XRP, CEO Says Fidelity And Ark Lead Outflows Fidelity’s FBTC saw the biggest withdrawal at $256 million. Ark Invest And 21Shares’ ARKB followed with $144 million in redemptions, a record relative to that fund’s size. BlackRock’s IBIT also recorded $131 million of outflows, marking the seventh day of net withdrawals in eight trading sessions. At the same time, reports show JPMorgan boosted its stake in BlackRock’s ETF by 64%, bringing its holding to 5.28 million shares valued at $343 million as of September 30. The bank also held $68 million in call options and $133 million in put positions on the same date. Market Participants Trim Positions While Some Add Based on reports, the big daily outflow looks less like a crash and more like position shifting. Some managers appear to be taking profits. Others are quietly adding exposure, which helps explain why prices held roughly steady despite the redemptions. Traders watching ETF flows say the moves reflect growing macro uncertainty rather than a complete loss of faith in Bitcoin. Whale Selling And Long-Term Holders Cashing Out On-chain trackers show that long-dormant wallets are moving large amounts. Sales in the $100 million to $500 million range have been logged from addresses that had been still for years. K33 Research flagged that 319,000 BTC that had been held for six to 12 months moved into profit-taking. The firm also reported that “mega whales” sold roughly $45 billion worth of Bitcoin in the past month. Analysts describe this as a major, organized exit by early holders. Price Holds Inside Key Range As Moving Averages Cap Gains Bitcoin has been trading in a tight band. Reports place a demand block between $100K–$102K and a resistance cluster near $114K. The 100-day and 200-day moving averages are above current prices and acted as overhead resistance. A recent rejection around the 100-day MA near $110K led to a quick retest of the roughly $101K support, which some traders interpret as a liquidity sweep. Related Reading: XRP’s Price Doesn’t Match Its Growing Real-World Use, Study Finds Price Stabilization Could Signal Absorption What stands out for chart watchers is stabilization at a high-volume node where past corrections have found a base. There is an extended series of equal lows, marked on some charts as support levels, suggesting liquidity below $100K may have been cleared. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Analysts flagged early signs of market stability as whales accumulated nearly 30,000 BTC and ETF inflows turned positive.
Dogecoin moved past the $0.20 mark as crypto markets showed a mild rebound. According to market feeds, DOGE traded around $0.20261 at one check, and later reached $0.21 after a small uptick. Bitcoin was holding above $114,000 and Ethereum hovered above $4,200, giving the rally some broader support. Related Reading: XRP: The Catalyst For ‘Humanity’s Greatest Shift’ By 2030 —Analyst Dogecoin Whale Purchases Spark Buying According to reports, large holders bought more than 327 million DOGE in the last 24 hours. That wave of big trades coincided with trading volume that rose about 10% above weekly averages. The latest move signals stronger than usual activity. The purchases were picked up by on-chain trackers and have been pointed to as a likely reason for the recent price movement. Technical Setup Points To A Tight Range Based on reports from chart watchers, Dogecoin is trading inside a symmetrical triangle — a pattern that usually means price is being squeezed and could break out in either direction. BREAKING: ???? WHALES PURCHASED OVER 327 MILLION $DOGE IN THE LAST 24HRS pic.twitter.com/rEM6TeLUJk — CEO (@Investments_CEO) October 27, 2025 The Relative Strength Index stood at 58, which suggests the coin is neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD line is above its signal line, and the histogram shows modest upward momentum, though analysts caution it is not yet a strong surge. Key Levels To Watch Traders say a clear move above $0.22 would be the first sign that the bulls are in charge. On the upside, some market watchers list $0.25 as the next meaningful barrier, and a run toward $0.26+ has been floated as a possible target if momentum builds. On the flip side, a drop below $0.18 could open the door to further losses and bring the consolidation phase back into focus. Market Sentiment Remains Mixed Reports have disclosed that DOGE advanced 1.35% to $0.21 during the session, marking its first close above the $0.2026 resistance level since August. Still, a number of indicators suggest the move is tentative. Volume gains and whale interest are positive signs, but analysts are waiting for confirmation from price action and higher volume on a breakout. What Could Go Wrong There are risks. The triangle pattern can break to the downside as easily as it can break up, and the current momentum readings are moderate rather than strong. If selling pressure mounts or if large wallets begin to shift coins back to exchanges, gains could be reversed quickly. Also, wider market swings in Bitcoin or Ethereum would likely pull DOGE along. Related Reading: $10K Is Coming: Arthur Hayes’ Zcash ‘Vibe Check’ Sparks 30% Moonshot Watch The $0.22 Line In short, DOGE is showing early signs of life, but a decisive outcome is not yet clear. Traders should watch $0.22 closely; a clean break with above-average volume would increase the odds of a move toward $0.25 and beyond. If that level does not hold, the market may settle back into the $0.18–$0.22 range for a while longer. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Dogecoin saw a sharp jump in trading activity on Tuesday, but prices did not follow immediately. Volume over the last 24 hours rose by 60%, pushing total traded value above $2 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. Related Reading: $10K Is Coming: Arthur Hayes’ Zcash ‘Vibe Check’ Sparks 30% Moonshot Yet the token traded near $0.21 at the time of the report, down about 0.18% in the day and down 12% so far this month. Trading Volume Surges According to CoinMarketCap data, the sudden spike in volume shows many more hands moving DOGE than usual. Reports have disclosed that this wave of trades coincides with renewed interest among retail buyers and larger holders. Data shows that October has historically been a strong month for Dogecoin, with modest gains of 30% to a more impressive 101% from 2021 up to 2024. Those past returns help explain why some traders expect a positive close this month. Whales Move, Exchanges See Flow Reports have disclosed several large transfers tied to the surge. One report described a dormant whale with a 36 DOGE seed reactivating and making a transfer valued at $26.8 million to Binance. Another dormant wallet reportedly moved 15.115 million DOGE, valued at about $2.95 million, out of the same exchange. These movements drew attention because big transfers can change where liquidity sits and how quickly prices move when buying or selling picks up. Another dormant wallet reportedly moved 15 million DOGE, valued at about nearly $3 million, out of Binance. These movements drew attention because big transfers can change where liquidity sits and how quickly prices move when buying or selling picks up. Macro Drivers And Market Sentiment The volume surge came as major cryptocurrencies showed strength. Reports have disclosed Bitcoin moving higher toward $115,000 while Ethereum traded near $4,200. That broader rally can lift smaller tokens as traders rotate capital across markets. Still, metrics are mixed: one recent forecast predicted DOGE could rise by 13% to $0.22 by November 27, 2025, while technical indicators flagged the current sentiment as Bearish and the Fear & Greed Index sat at 50. Outlook And Risks Ahead The picture is straightforward and messy at the same time. Higher volume suggests interest; price action says caution. Whale transfers can both fuel rallies and add selling pressure, depending on intent. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buzz: Michael Saylor Drops ‘Orange Dot Day’ Hint Traders watching the symmetrical triangle will likely wait for a clear break up or down before making bigger bets. Those looking at seasonal trends may find hope in October’s past strength, but historical gains do not guarantee future returns. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Reports have disclosed a 400% rise in stablecoin transfers on Ethereum over the last 30 days, pushing total transfer volume to $581 billion and more than 12.5 million transfers, according to Token Terminal. Related Reading: 16,000 Ancient Bitcoins Just Moved—And It’s Costing Whales Billions The stablecoin market cap on Ethereum now tops $163 billion. At the same time, Ethereum has fallen about 4.50% in the past week, and briefly tested support near $3,738, which some traders called a buying opportunity. Whales Step In With Large Buys On-chain trackers show heavy buying from large holders. A newly created wallet, 0x86Ed, spent $32 million to pick up 8,491 ETH in roughly three hours, based on Arkham Intelligence records. Another high-profile account monitored by LookOnChain moved 284K USDC into Hyperliquid after recent liquidations, apparently to maintain long exposure to ETH. Reports say October’s stablecoin transaction volume on Ethereum passed $1.91 trillion for the second time on record, a sign that big flows are still moving through the network. USDT usage on Ethereum is at an all-time high, with key metrics up ~400% from Sep ’23 lows. Monthly transfer volume in September was $580.9 billion & transfer count 12.5 million. At a ~$500 billion valuation, @Tether_to is the most valuable business building on @ethereum. pic.twitter.com/Z83e68NO8C — Token Terminal ???? (@tokenterminal) October 13, 2025 Institutions Are Increasing Exposure CryptoQuant and exchange data point to a rise in institutional interest. CME futures open interest for ETH has climbed, suggesting larger players are setting positions ahead of a potential price move. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee was cited saying ETH could head toward $5,000 if the ETH/BTC ratio clears the 0.087 resistance. Matt Sheffield, CIO at Sharplink Gaming, told analysts that past liquidations did not stop real use and that the scale of payments on legacy systems — SWIFT processes about $150T a year — shows how much room exists for stablecoins to grow on Ethereum. Big money is flowing into #Ethereum institutional interest is clearly rising fast…. The surge in CME futures open interest signals that smart money is gearing up for a major $ETH move ahead… pic.twitter.com/8oUfApDeoP — BitGuru ???? (@bitgu_ru) October 23, 2025 Technical Setups Show Clear Levels To Watch Technical analysis experts have noted a confluence of indicators near today’s prices. Currently, ETH is trading near $3887, just above the significant Fibonacci retracement of 0.618 at $3781. The 0.786 retracement is near $3,640 with the level of formal invalidation set at $3443. Some technicians have pointed to a triple bottom trading pattern around $3600, as well as the potential for a new accumulation reading from a Wycoff re-accumulation pattern which could lead to higher targets (notably $5125 at the 1.618 extension. Related Reading: ‘Unthinkable Scenario’ Required For Bitcoin To Hit $250K, CEO Says Balance Between Flow And Risk In sum, with heavy stablecoin flow, whale buying, and increasing interest in futures, this has created a basis for bullish calls into the $5000 range. That said, chart patterns fail, on-chain movements may not lead to changes in price, and traders who remain cognizant of the ETH/BTC ratio, the invalidation line at $3443, and whether large transactions are transferring or being used for longer-term custody, may get more clarity in the coming sessions. Featured image from Motion Island, chart from TradingView
A cluster of long-idle Bitcoin moved back into circulation Wednesday, raising fresh questions about selling pressure as prices slide from recent highs. Related Reading: All It Took Was A Tweet: FLOKI Jumps 27% After Musk Mentions It Sleeping Coins Stir After Years According to CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartun, exactly 15,965 BTC that had been idle for about three years were shifted earlier in the day. The coins moved while Bitcoin traded below $110,000, and at roughly $108,000 a coin the batch is worth about $1.724 billion. CryptoQuant’s on-chain records show these addresses had little to no activity since late 2022 and early 2023, and the funds were sent to undisclosed destinations. Market watchers flagged the timing. Old coins waking up during a pullback can signal profit-taking, or simply internal reshuffles between private accounts and trading venues. Reports have disclosed that such moves sometimes reflect tax planning, exchange custody changes, or large holders adjusting positions — but the exact motive here is not public. 15,965 BTC aged 2–3 years just moved on-chain ⏱️ This cohort has been dormant since late 2022–2023—until now. pic.twitter.com/vw2z0fjHvv — Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) October 22, 2025 New Whales Underwater Data from market trackers point to pressure on newer large holders who bought near recent highs. Those so-called new whales carry an average cost of $113,000 per BTC, leaving many positions underwater while prices trade below that level. The unrealized losses tied to these wallets are approaching $7 billion, according to the same datasets. At the same time, accumulation by other big wallets continues. Analysts reported that about 26,500 BTC have flowed into accumulation addresses in recent days, a sign that some large players are adding quietly during the dip. This mix of selling and buying creates a tug-of-war in price action. Short-term dynamics are fragile. Support around $107,000–$108,000 is one level traders are watching closely. If that zone holds, a bounce is possible; if it fails, further downside toward $100,000 could follow. Price Targets Spark Debate The big movements have intensified debate over how high Bitcoin might go next. According to public comments, the CEO of Galaxy Digital said reaching $250,000 by year-end would require “a heck of a lot of crazy stuff.” Other market figures keep more bullish targets in play: Fundstrat’s Tom Lee and BitMEX’s Arthur Hayes have each voiced conviction in $200,000–$250,000 outcomes, pointing to potential policy moves and inflows as drivers. Institutional numbers are part of the backdrop. Galaxy Digital reported a record quarter with $29 billion in revenue, a figure that supporters cite as evidence of growing institutional involvement in the market. That growth is part of why some investors remain confident even as short-term charts wobble. Related Reading: Tether CEO Claims USDT Reached 500 Million Users Worldwide Open Interest Falls, Risk Eases Meanwhile, on-chain analytics provider Glassnode shows open interest has dropped by about 30%, reducing some of the excess speculative pressure that can amplify moves. Lower open interest often cools violent swings and makes price trends easier to read, at least until fresh catalysts arrive. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Some of Bitcoin’s biggest holders, popularly known as whales, are quietly moving billions of dollars’ worth of coins into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). On Oct. 21, Bloomberg reported that these whales executed roughly $3 billion in in-kind transfers through BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). Instead of selling, they handed their Bitcoin to the ETF in […]
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XRP is under renewed selling pressure after data showed big holders are moving large sums out of the market. Related Reading: A 5% Bitcoin Drop In October? History Shows That’s Rare According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, on average whales have been net moving about $50 million per day away from XRP holdings. That flow has coincided with renewed price weakness and sharper swings than seen in recent weeks. Price Slips After Early October Rally After pushing above $3.00 on October 3, XRP slid back sharply. Reports show the token fell below $2.50 roughly a week later. Since that dip the highest print has been $2.83, while XRP is trading near $2.40 at the time of reporting. Price action has been mixed over different horizons — XRP is down about 20% over the last seven days but remains in the green on the 14-day chart. JUST IN: $XRP whales are offloading ???? Whale Flow (30DMA): -$50M/day. Sell pressure persists. pic.twitter.com/Hcnys9vCCV — Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) October 10, 2025 Whale Flows Turned Negative After Accumulation According to on-chain data shared by Maartunn, whale flow measured on a 30-day moving average swung from positive to negative across the past year. During 2022 and into early 2023, large transfers suggested accumulation, a period that tracked with relative price calm. Mid-2023 through the first three quarters of 2024 showed a clear negative trend in whale flow, and that pattern returned in force after a later surge in inflows. Reports have disclosed that the most extreme negative reading on the chart appeared during a price spike in mid-January, when XRP reached as high as $3.4 on January 16, 2025, and large holders took profits. Accumulation On Dips, Profit-Taking On Rallies The on-chain picture is not uniform. There was a brief window of accumulation in April when XRP slid toward the $2 support level. That buying continued into late June as the token recovered above $2. Following that recovery, selling pressure resumed as holders locked in gains. The current 30DMA reading sits near negative $50 million per day, a sustained net outflow that signals distribution by some big accounts. Related Reading: XRP Fear Index Spikes To 6-Month High, And That Could Spark Its Next Breakout If we close over $3.1150 by Sunday, it’ll be the most bullish $XRP weekly candle in history. — Patrick L Riley (@Acquired_Savant) October 10, 2025 Market Reaction And Possible Paths What this means for price is not set in stone. Continued heavy selling into thin bids could push XRP lower toward nearby supports around $2.20 to $2.50. On the other hand, if buyers step in and absorb the outflows, XRP could trade sideways with sharp intraday swings. Based on reports, veteran investor Patrick L. Riley added a conditional bullish note: a weekly close at $3.11 would produce a very strong weekly candle and could attract fresh demand. That scenario would require meaningful buying to overcome current selling by large holders. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
A long-silent Bitcoin wallet woke up this week and emptied roughly 400 BTC into several new addresses. According to blockchain trackers, the address sent its coins in multiple transactions, mostly split into batches of 15 BTC. The total value moved is roughly $44 million, based on current prices. Related Reading: Eric Trump Steps Into Market Talk, Says ‘Buy The Dips’ Wallet Linked To Early Mining Reports have disclosed that the coins trace back to mining activity from nearly 15 years ago. Lookonchain tied the funds to the early days of Bitcoin, and records show the wallet last moved coins in 2013, when Bitcoin traded near $135 per unit. That price then compared with today’s level — around $111,763 per BTC — means the holding rose by about 830 times in value since it went quiet. A dormant wallet woke up after 12 years, moving 400.08 $BTC($44.29M) to multiple new wallets 3 hours ago. The 400.08 $BTC was received from miners 15 years ago.https://t.co/aem7WhbkOu pic.twitter.com/3m4XSBNXFO — Lookonchain (@lookonchain) September 29, 2025 Arkham Intelligence spotted the distribution pattern, noting the repeated 15 BTC transfers that drained the address. Even with full visibility of every transaction on the blockchain, the owner’s identity remains unknown. The pattern — chopping large sums into smaller, repeated amounts — is a common way wallets move coins without dumping everything on a single exchange at once. Part Of A Wave Of Old Addresses Becoming Active This activation comes amid a string of moves from so-called Satoshi-era wallets. Based on reports, institutional and private holdings tied to early investors have been on the move lately. In July, Galaxy Digital sold more than 80,000 BTC linked to an estate, a sale that markets valued at close to $10 billion. Another dormant address holding 444 BTC became active in September 2025 and moved approximately $50 million. Recently, one of the big holders is said to have cycled more than $5 billion of Bitcoin into Ethereum, locking up close to $4 billion worth of ETH afterward. Market Signals Remain Mixed October has traditionally been a good month for Bitcoin, with previous rallies of 40–45% in certain years, but the current signs indicate less conviction. Holder retention level has dropped to 80%, and on-chain derivatives flows and whale outflows suggest weaker demand. Bitcoin was trading near $114,000 at one point today, with a one-day gain of 2.05% reported, but analysts are watching risk levels closely. A continued selloff could push price toward $107,000; renewed buying pressure could take it back up toward $119,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buyers Step Back After Failed Push Beyond $115,000: Data What This Means Going Forward Movements from Satoshi-era addresses carry symbolic weight, because they come from the group that held Bitcoin when it was still experimental and very cheap. Whether this 400 BTC transfer will spark wider selling or simply mark a reallocation remains to be seen. For now, the market has a clear record of the move, but the reason behind it — estate settlement, profit-taking, or internal reshuffling — is unknown. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView