As Ethereum (ETH) attempts to reclaim its January 2025 price range, the cryptocurrency has been holding a recently recovered level, leading some analysts to suggest another 10% surge before new highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes New Highs As Price Retests $109,000, But Analyst Warns Of Potential Pullback Ethereum Breakout Eyes $3,100 Ethereum has reclaimed the key $2,800 barrier for the first time since February, nearing the $2,900 level on Wednesday morning. The King of Altcoins had been trading between the $2,475-$2,680 range since its May breakout, unable to turn the range’s upper boundary into support. During last week’s retracement, ETH dropped to the $2,400 support before bouncing over the weekend. The crypto market’s recovery saw Ethereum surge toward the key resistance, finally breaking past it at the start of the week and hitting a three-month high of $2,879 today. Following this performance, Analyst Carl Runefelt from The Moon Show noted that the cryptocurrency had broken out of an ascending triangle formation and now targets the $3,100 resistance. The analyst previously highlighted ETH’s triangle pattern, which began forming at the start of last month’s recovery rally. During that period, the price compressed between the support and resistance lines, with the latter situated around the $2,700 mark. He forecasted a 15% surge toward the $3,100 level if the altcoin reclaimed the crucial resistance level. Based on this, Ethereum could climb another 10.7% if it holds its current range. Runefelt also pointed out another bullish formation in ETH’s trading pair against Bitcoin (BTC). According to the ETH/BTC chart, Ethereum also formed a bullish pennant pattern during the May rally. Amid this week’s recovery, the cryptocurrency has broken out of the formation’s upper boundary, eyeing a 30% surge toward the 0.03300 mark. ETH To Repeat History? Market Watcher Kaleo highlighted the resemblance between ETH’s performance between 2020 and 2025. According to the analyst, there are “a lot of similarities on the chart to where we are now vs. where we were in 2020.” As he explained, in the Spring of 2020, Ethereum experienced a major sell-off, fueled by the COVID-19 crash, which sent its price below a key higher timeframe (HFT) support. However, once the ascending trendline was reclaimed as support, ETH was “up only for the next 20 months.” Kaleo detailed the recent sell-off, caused by the Trump Tariffs scare, sent the altcoin below its multi-year ascending support trendline, adding that “ETH is currently on the verge of reclaiming that line.” Related Reading: Solana Triangle Formation Breakout Targets Rally To $164 – Is A Recovery Around The Corner? The analyst suggested that if history repeats, investors could see “another great ETH bull run and accompanying alt season.” Meanwhile, analyst DonAlt affirmed that ETH’s chart looks “pretty good” amid its HTF range reclaim. To him, a new all-time high (ATH) is likely if the $3,800 resistance is reclaimed, while the rally’s invalidation level is a close below the $2,200 mark. As of this writing, ETH trades at $2,803, a 6.7% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
After falling from its Macro Range, Aptos (APT) has faced rejection from key levels. Amid its 15% monthly decline, some analysts suggest that APT’s party won’t continue until the $5 resistance is reclaimed. Related Reading: Is The Storm Over For Ethereum? Analyst Says ‘Face-Melting’ Rally Comes Next Aptos Trades In ‘No Man’s Land’ Over the past two weeks, Aptos has seen its price drop to its lowest levels in two years, falling below the $4 mark for the first time. The cryptocurrency has been trading within the $5.45-$17 price range since 2023, maintaining the Macro Range lows until the March corrections. Notably, APT had tested this key level twice before, but closed below its Macro Range for the first time last month. Analyst Rekt Capital noted that the cryptocurrency has historically developed bases around these levels “in the form of downside wicks for three-month periods,” seemingly forming one for the third time with its current downtrend. Amid the early April recovery, the analyst noted that Aptos was forming a lower timeframe bullish divergence as its Relative Strength Index (RSI) was forming Higher Lows despite the downside deviation. Nonetheless, he warned about “the dangers of a higher timeframe bearish retest for APT.” Since then, Aptos has “followed through on that bearish retest and rejected from the previous Macro Range Low, treating it as resistance.” After the rejection, APT’s price retraced 26% to the $3.9 support, where it “found some liquidity” and bounced to the $4.2-$4.5 range. “However, still, the confirmation for a trend reversal isn’t there just yet,” he explained, adding that Aptos must reclaim the Macro Range Lows or it would risk further bleeding. APT needs to reclaim the $5.44 Range Low level as support to confirm that it is ready to resynchronise with its prior range and try to position itself to challenge for higher prices. Without that confirmation, the risk is a little bit too steep because APT is in the middle of no man’s land. Until then, “it will be important to watch out for signs of mounting strength in the meantime,” the analyst added. APT Party Halted? Similarly, analyst Sjuul from AltCryptoGems considers that there will be “no party on APT” until it reclaims the $5 resistance, which it has been unable to recover for the past two weeks. “As long as we stay below the $5 level, unfortunately, it’s just a bearish retest,” he asserted. Meanwhile, another market watcher pointed out that APT has been moving within a falling wedge pattern for the past five months, with a breakout “imminent.” However, the analyst affirmed that this week’s performance could determine whether the pattern will break out, as it needs to reclaim the $5 resistance and surge above $5.4. Related Reading: On The Brink: Ethereum Challenges Descending Channel, Targets $3,000 Price Rekt Capital noted that Aptos has revisited the 35 Relative Strength Index (RSI) during its recent performance, “which has historically been a key region in facilitating basing periods from which price would reverse to the upside over time.” With APT at this level, the RSI would need to break its multi-week RSI Downtrend to “confirm a sign of emerging strength in price, building out a bottoming-out area here. Until then, it is a waiting game for the most part.” As of this writing, APT trades at $4.5, a 1% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum (ETH) continues to hold a crucial support level after recovering from last week’s correction. Its recent bounce from historical demand zones has led some analysts to suggest that the altcoin is gearing up for a breakout. Related Reading: Forget XRP At $3, Analyst Reveals How High Price Will Be In A Few Months Ethereum Holds Key Support Ethereum has reclaimed the key $1,600 level after dropping below the $1,400 support for the first time since 2023. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization recently fell to a two-year low during last week’s correction, fueled by US President Donald Trump’s trade tariff war. ETH touched $1,385 last Wednesday, retesting the 2018 all-time high (ATH) levels before recovering. Amid Trump’s 90-day tariff pause announcement, Ethereum jumped over 10% from $1,480 to $1,600, briefly nearing the $1,700 resistance. However, its price retraced to the $1,400-$1,500 support zone on Thursday amid the market’s volatility. Over the weekend, the King of Altcoins recovered, hovering between the $1,580-$1,680 price range for the past four days. Ethereum has reclaimed the $1,600 support in the past 24 hours, fueling a bullish sentiment among some market watchers. Analyst Ted Pillows noted that ETH might be getting closer to a breakout from its short-term downtrend line. According to him, investors could expect the cryptocurrency to hold the $1,550-$1,600 level now that global markets are gaining some strength. He considers holding this range could propel Ethereum’s price toward the one-month downtrend line. A breakout and confirmation of this resistance, at around $1,670, could set the base for a 20% jump toward the $2,000 resistance level. Is ETH Out Of The Woods? Merlijn The Trader suggested that ETH is gearing up for a breakout. The market watcher pointed out the cryptocurrency’s two-month descending channel, which could be “history” if volume surges. The analyst considers that as Ethereum nears the channel’s upper boundary, “all we need now is volume” for a surge above the $1,690 mark, adding that a breakout from this level would target $2,700. He also underscored that ETH’s double top formation was completed after “smashing” the $1,432 target, signaling that it “survived the storm.” Notably, the cryptocurrency confirmed this pattern, which developed within its $2,196-$3,904 Macro Range, following its March close below the $2,100 support. After recovering from the recent lows, “Now comes the face-melting rally no one expects. $4,000 is only the beginning.” Meanwhile, Rekt Capital highlighted that Ethereum’s Dominance has almost equaled old All-Time Lows. He explained that since June 2023, ETH’s Dominance has dropped from 20% to 8%, historically a reverse area for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Ethereum Rally May Unleash Massive Gains For 3 Altcoins “Generally, Ethereum Dominance needs to hold this green area for a chance at reversal Increasing ETH Dominance would be highly beneficial for Altcoin valuations over time,” he noted Monday. When the ETH Dominance hit the $7.5%-8.25% range, it reversed “to become more market-dominant,” which could signal a reversal for the King of Altcoins. As of this writing, ETH trades at $1,609, a 1% decrease in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
As Bitcoin (BTC) recovers from its five-month low, the cryptocurrency attempts to reclaim the $84,000 resistance. Some market watchers suggest that more volatility could be around the counter, as the price is compressing between two key levels. Related Reading: Ethereum ‘Set For Potential Rally’ After 10% Surge – Can ETH Recover $1,800? Bitcoin Retests 4-Month Downtrend Line Over the past week, Bitcoin has been trading between the $74,000-$84,000 price range following the recent tariff war-related volatility. After hitting a one-week high of $84,720, the flagship crypto hit a five-month low of $74,773, driven by this week’s market correction. Amid this performance, the cryptocurrency risked a 13.7% drop to the $69,000 support, as it generally needs a daily close above the $78,500 level for a potential short-term rebound. However, BTC’s price has surged 13.5% since Monday’s lows and attempted to reclaim the $84,000 resistance. The market recovery was fueled by US President Donald Trump’s 90-day pause on the trade tariffs for over 75 nations, which saw the crypto market and stock prices jump 6%-10% in an hour this Wednesday. Nonetheless, the tariffs-driven rally slowed Thursday, with Bitcoin retracing nearly 5% to the $79,000 support. Analyst Alex Clay asserted that despite the bullish rally, BTC’s price needed to reclaim the broken $80,000 support and break through the descending 4-month resistance as its short-term structure continued looking bearish. During BTC’s 7% surge in the past 24 hours, the analyst highlighted the key support zone held, invalidating his bearish scenario. However, a breakout and reclaim confirmation of the $84,000 remained crucial for BTC’s price. BTC Preparing For More Volatility? Analyst Rekt Capital pointed out that Bitcoin successfully retested the $78,500 support, but its price was rejected from the 4-month downtrend resistance. Therefore, the flagship crypto’s price is now compressing between these two levels, which usually “precedes volatility.” The analyst also noted that BTC is “developing yet another Higher Low on the RSI while forming Lower Lows on the price.” During this cycle, the cryptocurrency has formed multiple bullish RSI divergences in the daily chart, each preceding a reversal to the levels. Bitcoin’s Daily RSI equaled 2022 Bear Market RSI levels (RSI=23.93) when price crashed into the high $70,000s. The only lower Daily RSI in this cycle was back in August 2023 (RSI=18.28). Throughout this cycle, each visit into sub-25 RSI resulted in a trend reversal to the upside over time. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Needs 15% Bounce After Multi-Year Support Retest, Recovery Ahead? Meanwhile, crypto analyst Ali Martinez suggested that BTC could see a retrace back to the $74,000 support zone. He observed that Bitcoin’s movements within its weekly range display a W-shape to the upper boundary, and its price action seemed to be forming an M-shape after Thursday’s retrace and Friday’s jump, which eyes the range’s lower boundary. On the contrary, the analyst also highlighted Bitcoin’s Friday performance, affirming that it “is slicing through key resistance at $82,360.” Notably, BTC’s price then jumped toward the $84,000 barrier, hitting a daily high of $84,220 before retracing to the $83,500 mark. According to Martinez, “A sustained breakout could open the door to $91,500.” As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $83,640, a 1% decline in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
US spot bitcoin ETFs saw $150 million exit the products on Thursday, as investors pulled back from risk assets amid ongoing tariff tensions.
Ethereum (ETH) has recovered 10% in the past 24 hours, driven by the US administration’s 90-day pause on the trade tariffs for over 75 nations. The second-largest crypto by market capitalization now targets the $1,800 resistance as the next key level to reclaim for a rally continuation. Related Reading: Bitcoin (BTC) Jumps To $82,000 As Trump Announces 90-Day Pause On Tariffs Except China Ethereum Jumps To $1,600 Ethereum’s price hit a 2-year low of $1,385 during this week’s correction, fueling a bearish sentiment among many investors. The cryptocurrency lost the lower zone of its $2,100-$3,900 macro range on March 9 and has retraced around 16% in the past month. Since then, Ethereum eyed a retest of historical demand zones, dropping below the $1,640 area to hit this week’s lows. As a result, many analysts have noted that ETH’s bleeding might not be over, and a retest of the $1,000-1,200 price range is likely if the king of altcoins doesn’t reclaim key levels. Amid its recent performance, ETH dropped below its realized price by accumulating address of $2,000, which some market watchers consider a potential bottom sign. According to research and analytics platform Crypto Rank, the last time Ethereum fell below this level was in March 2020, when the price dropped from $283 to $109 before significantly recovering in the coming months. Notably, US President Donald Trump’s 90-day pause on tariffs for multiple nations, except China, saw the crypto market and stock prices soar, with Ethereum recovering 10% in an hour. Is A Breakout In The Horizon? Analyst Titan of Crypto noted that Ethereum could be on the verge of a comeback based on the ETH/BTC trading pair. In the ETH/BTC chart, the “RSI is showing a familiar pattern. One that previously signaled a potential shift in momentum.” Notably, the multi-year chart shows that the pair tested the trendline three times before momentum shifted and the ETH price surged toward its 2021 ATH. Similarly, the pair has tested the trendline thrice since 2022, suggesting the cryptocurrency might be headed for a comeback. Analyst Crypto Bullet considers a weekly close above $1,550, a key historical support level, necessary for ETH’s bullish momentum. Meanwhile, pseudonym trader Lluciano affirmed that Ethereum “is showing signs of a breakout after holding strong at key support.” Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Needs 15% Bounce After Multi-Year Support Retest, Recovery Ahead? Yesterday, ETH, which was retesting the 2018 all-time high (ATH) levels, jumped from $1,480 to $1,600, briefly nearing the $1,700 resistance before stabilizing between the $1,580-$1,640 price range. He pointed out that “the market could be ready for a bullish reversal” as the cryptocurrency has formed a falling wedge pattern. Per the post, if ETH breaks above the pattern’s upper trendline, at around the $1,840 mark, ETH could see “significant gains” and rally toward higher levels. As of this writing, Ethereum trades at $1,566, an 11% decline in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Crypto and stock prices have surged in the past hour after US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause for tariffs on multiple nations, except China. Bitcoin (BTC), the flagship crypto, now eyes the $83,000 barrier after jumping 6.1% following the news. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Next Big Move? Open Interest Says ‘Get Ready’ Trump Authorizes 90-Day Pause On Tariffs In a Truth Social post, President Trump announced he was raising China tariffs to 125% “effect immediately” due to a “lack of respect” shown to the World’s markets. This move follows China’s recently announced reciprocal 84% tariff rate on US goods, starting April 10. “Based on the lack of respect that China has shown to the World’s Markets, I am hereby raising the Tariff charged to China by the United States of America to 125%, effective immediately. At some point, hopefully in the near future, China will realize that the days of ripping off the U.S.A., and other Countries, is no longer sustainable or acceptable,” Trump explained. In the Wednesday post, the US President also revealed he had authorized a “90 days PAUSE” for other countries, as 75 nations reached out to multiple US Representatives, including the Departments of Commerce, Treasury, and the US Trade Representative, to “negotiate a solution to the subjects being discussed relative to Trade, Trade Barriers, Tariffs, Currency Manipulation, and Non-Monetary Tariffs.” Additionally, he authorized an immediate substantially lowered Reciprocal Tariff of 10% during the 90-day pause. In a second post, the President stated, “This is a great time to buy.” Following the news, stock prices surged, with the S&P 500 (SPX) surging around 6% since the announcement. Meanwhile, the crypto market saw its total market capitalization jump around 5%, with assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), XRP, and Solana (SOL) increasing 6%-12% in an hour. Bitcoin Price Surges To $82,000 The flagship crypto climbed from the $76,000-$77,000 range to the $82,000, momentarily reclaiming this level for the first time since Sunday. Its 6% surge has sparked optimism among investors, who saw Bitcoin fall to a five-month low over the weekend. BTC dropped nearly 10% between Sunday and Monday, fueled by the ongoing tariff war. Amid the correction, Bitcoin hit the $74,000 support zone for the first time since November. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Needs 15% Bounce After Multi-Year Support Retest, Recovery Ahead? On Monday, BTC also saw a brief recovery of the $80,000 barrier after major media outlets reported the White House was considering a 90-day pause on tariffs. However, the cryptocurrency erased most gains after the news turned fake. According to online reports, today’s surge triggered $75,000,000 worth of Bitcoin shorts being liquidated in the past 60 minutes. As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $82,444, a 4.1% decline in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Amid the market correction, Solana (SOL) has reclaimed the $100 mark after dropping below this crucial support for the first time in over a year. However, some analysts consider a 15% bounce toward a key historical support is necessary to target higher levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Headed To $69,000? Analyst Says BTC’s Short-Term Future Hangs On These Levels Is Solana Bull Run Over? Solana hit a 14-month low on Monday after falling 20% in 24 hours, momentarily trading around the $95 mark for the first time since February 2024. After the correction, SOL bounced around 18% to $112 before retracing toward the $100-$110 price range. Fueled by the market’s memecoin frenzy, the altcoin was one of the leading cryptocurrencies last year, hitting an all-time high (ATH) of $270 on January 19. Since then, the cryptocurrency has dropped over 63% from the start-of-year highs. During the Q1 retraces, Solana retested the $120 support zone several times, bouncing from the range, which served as a crucial level during the 2021 and 2024 rallies. However, several analysts pointed out that the support weakened with each retest, and losing that level could see Solana fall under the $100 mark and risk a 50% drop to the $60 support zone. After dropping below the key barrier, trader Crypto Bullet highlighted that SOL’s recent price action broke below August 5 lows, which signals that the cryptocurrency’s bull market could be over. According to the trader, Solana had a “clear 5-wave impulse to the upside that ended in January with TRUMP coin blow-off top,” which suggests a corrective a, b, c zigzag will follow. Based on this, the trader expects “a good mid-term bounce to ~$200 (Lower High)” for wave b and a drop to the $30-$40 price range for wave c. SOL Needs 15% Jump Analyst Ted Pillows considers that Solana could see a massive rally after the correction. He explained that SOL bounced from its multi-year ascending support trendline, a key rebound point in Q3 2023. The last time Solana retested this trendline, it rallied 1,000% toward the $270 mark. If the cryptocurrency holds this level, the analyst considers that SOL could bounce to its ATH in the coming months. Meanwhile, several analysts noted that recovering the $120 support zone is crucial after the recent price action, as this level could determine the altcoin’s next move again. Related Reading: XRP Breaks Out Of Head-And-Shoulders Pattern — Eyes Move Toward $1.30 Sjuul from AltCryptoGems highlighted that SOL needs to “give a clear bounce and reclaim the $120 level” now that “liquidity is taken.” He asserted that failing to recover this key range would suggest that another drop could be ahead. Similarly, Ali Martinez pointed out that Solana’s TD Sequential flashes a buy signal on the weekly chart. Per the post, SOL “needs to stay above $95 and break $121 to set the stage for a rally toward $147.” As of this writing, Solana trades at $105, a 1% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
The market volatility, fueled by the ongoing tariff war, saw Bitcoin (BTC) trade below the $75,000 mark for the first time since November. Despite recovering from the dip, the flagship crypto risks more short-term volatility if it doesn’t reclaim key support levels soon. Related Reading: XRP Confirms Head And Shoulders Breakdown: How Low Can It Go? Bitcoin Hits 5-Month Lows Bitcoin ended the week with a price drop below the $80,000 support zone, closing Sunday below the $78,500 mark. In the early hours of Monday, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization continued bleeding toward the $74,500 support zone before bouncing. Amid the 9.1% correction, Bitcoin registered its lowest trading price in five months, touching November 6 levels. Market watcher Daan Crypto Trades noted that BTC has been trading below its Bull Market Support Band for the past few weeks, attempting to get back above this level but ultimately facing rejection. According to the trader, “This is a good metric to gauge high timeframe market momentum. So far this cycle, price has traded below it shortly a few times (2023 & 2024) but never traded away from it for much more than ~20%,” suggesting that bull would like to reclaim this region. Analyst Rekt Capital noted that BTC’s current correction is “very close to equaling the retracement depth of the Post-Halving pullback of almost -33%.” The ongoing retrace has seen Bitcoin drop 31% since January’s all-time high (ATH) of $108,786. However, he considers that Bitcoin could bleed into the $70,000 support before hitting the correction’s bottom. “Whenever Bitcoin’s Daily RSI crashed into the sub-28 RSI levels – that wouldn’t necessarily mark out the price bottom. In fact, historically, the actual price bottom would be -0.32% to -8.44% lower than the price when the RSI first bottomed,” he explained, adding that Bitcoin is forming its second low, 2-79% below the first low. If it follows the same pattern and drops 8.44% below the first low, investors could see Bitcoin’s price bottom at around $69,000-$70,000. Another 10% Correction Ahead? Moreover, Rekt Capital outlined the key levels to reclaim after BTC’s weekly close below the $80,650 support. The analyst noted that Bitcoin already has “upside wicked into this level to tag it as potential new resistance” this week. As a result, it must recover last week’s close level if BTC wants to challenge 2025’s Weekly Downtrend, and it also needs to hold Sunday’s daily close level of $78,500. Bitcoin failed to Daily Close above the Downtrend. In fact, price continued to form new Lower Highs in its already extended series of Lower Highs. On the latest rejection, BTC landed into the ~$78,500 lows. Continue to hold this level as support, and BTC has a chance at challenging the $82,500 level in the short term. The analyst detailed that Bitcoin generally needs to close above the $78,500 level to “build a base here for a potential short-term rebound.” On the contrary, a daily close below this level would see BTC positioned for a bearish retest after closing below it for two consecutive days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Goes Beast Mode—Mining Power Tops 1 Zetahash In First-Ever Surge He concluded that “turning this level into a confirmed resistance would send price into additional downside continuation,” which targets the pre-halving highs price range between $69,000 and $72,000. As of this writing, BTC trades at $79,200, a 1% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
The Bitcoin price plunged by 7.2%—from $88,526 to $82,150—within the span of four hours following the reciprocal tariff announcement by US President Donald Trump on Wednesday. The precipitous drop aligns with a broader market rout set off by what has been described as one of the largest tariff packages in modern US history. Bitcoin Crashes After Trump’s Tariff Bombshell On Wednesday afternoon, markets were jolted by a sweeping set of “reciprocal tariffs” that President Trump claimed would be levied on 185 countries “all at once.” The news sent ripples across global finance, with the S&P 500 futures market reportedly shedding $2 trillion of market capitalization in under 15 minutes. According to The Kobeissi Letter (via X): “Reciprocal tariffs are officially HERE: President Trump just announced tariffs on 185 countries AT ONCE, one of the largest tariffs in US history. S&P 500 futures erased -$2 TRILLION of market cap in under 15 minutes. ” Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Fate Hinges on This Critical ‘Dead Cross’ Signal — What’s Next for BTC? The initial press coverage noted a 10% baseline tariff. However, as Trump spoke, the scheme’s complexity and scope became more apparent. He clarified that tariffs would be “reciprocal” but set to half of whatever rate another country currently imposes on US goods—a figure well beyond the 10% baseline in many cases. China, for instance, reportedly applies 67% tariffs on certain imports from the United States, suggesting a 34% tariff reciprocally aimed at Chinese imports. Meanwhile, the European Union could face a 20% tariff. “This is VASTLY different than a 10% tariff across the board,” The Kobeissi Letter pointed out, adding that these significantly higher rates created massive volatility. At one point in Trump’s announcement, the S&P 500 futures reversed from being up 2% to dropping 4%—an abrupt 6-percentage-point swing in under 20 minutes. By the time the “Make America Wealthy Again Event” concluded, the markets had sustained those losses, with Nasdaq 100 futures indicating a potential 500-point decline from prior levels. Bitcoin, which was up 8.9% since Monday morning, instantly experienced the same turmoil, shedding 7.2% of its value. Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, remarked via X: “I hope Bitcoiners learn that Trump’s tariffs are a net negative for Bitcoin and the US economy.” Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bull Run Over? Watch This Key Price He further elaborated: “Trump has introduced too much uncertainty to the world economy with his tariffs. There’s a high enough chance of recession if the tariffs last long enough. This of course has hit Bitcoin and crypto prices in spite of a positive regulatory environment and [the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve].” Economic Projections While the precise long-term effects remain unclear, several prominent institutions have already issued forecasts. JPMorgan analysts warn: “On a static basis, today’s announcement would raise just under $400 billion in revenue, or about 1.3% of GDP, which would be the largest tax increase since the Revenue Act of 1968. We estimate that today’s announced measures could boost PCE prices by 1–1.5% this year… This impact alone could take the economy perilously close to slipping into recession. And this is before accounting for the additional hits to gross exports and to investment spending.” Simultaneously, The Kobeissi Letter noted that the average US tariff rate—once the new set of duties is enforced—could exceed levels not seen since World War II. They cautioned that the White House’s targeted tariff revenue of $600 billion per year may be optimistic, suggesting only half that amount might materialize based on current data. Additional exemptions—such as copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and lumber—amplified the confusion, indicating that the tariffs will vary widely by sector and country of origin. UBS, as quoted by The Kobeissi Letter, also raised the alarm about inflation: “BREAKING: UBS says a permanent implementation of President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs would result in inflation rising to 5%. This would be a result of prices rising to ‘adjust to the higher costs of imports.’ We are on the verge of 5% inflation and negative GDP growth.” Although President Trump hinted at forthcoming “largest tax cuts in American history,” markets did not bounce back on that news. He specified that Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security benefits would be spared from cuts, but investors and analysts appeared more focused on the immediate shock from the tariff package. At press time, BTC recovered to $83,207. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The crypto market is on high alert ahead of April 2, a date some analysts are calling “the biggest event of the year by an order of magnitude.” Macro economist Alex Krüger (@krugermacro), warns that President Donald Trump’s upcoming announcement of new reciprocal tariffs could deliver a seismic jolt to global markets — including crypto. Why April 2 Is Massive For Crypto In a post shared on X, Krüger describes the looming announcement, which the president has dubbed “Liberation Day,” as “10x more important than any FOMC” meeting: “April 2nd is similar to election night. It is the biggest event of the year by an order of magnitude. 10x more important than any FOMC, which is a lot. And anything can happen.” According to Krüger, Trump might choose one of several paths: “Trump could go soft, in which case markets would rally fast and furiously. Or could go half-way, adding uncertainty on timelines, in which case markets would take out the stops of all longs and shorts. Or go all out, in which case markets could easily crash another 10% to 15%, fast.“ Related Reading: Crypto Sleuth Claims Mysterious $20M ‘Hyperliquid Whale’ Is Tied To Illicit Activity Krüger also suggests that “the US economy is still strong, but will highly likely slow down due to tariffs regardless of the path Trump chooses.” Nevertheless, he notes that many economists have already factored in a sharp year-end slowdown. He stresses that April 2 could mark the peak of market anxiety, aligning with the arrival of US Tax Day just two weeks later. “Either way, you all want to be prepared and ready to act on ‘Liberation Day.’ It will be big.” Trump’s “Liberation Day” announcement will reportedly focus on “reciprocal tariffs” targeting specific countries or blocs deemed to maintain unfair trade barriers. Although this strategy appears “more targeted than the barrage he has occasionally threatened,” officials familiar with the matter believe it could still prove far-reaching. President Trump has repeatedly signaled that these tariffs would be significant. Citing trade disparities with nations such as the European Union, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Canada, India, and China, he asserts the US has been treated unfairly for too long. In remarks from the Oval Office, he declared: “April 2nd is going to be liberation day for America. We’ve been ripped off by every country in the world, friend and foe.” Worst Case Scenario Aides and allies suggest that while some countries may be excluded, Trump is looking for immediate impact. Tariff rates could take effect right away, adding to market fears of spiraling retaliation. In this case, Krüger says: “In worst case scenario sh*t would hit the fan then tariffs would start coming off as Trump negotiates hard in the following month, in which case peak negativity would hit around week 2 of April, which would coincide with US Tax Day.” Related Reading: Trump’s Crypto Czar David Sacks Unloads $200M In Digital Asset Holdings Senior officials, including National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, have indicated that the administration is focusing on a “dirty 15” group of countries where tariff and non-tariff barriers are allegedly most egregious. Hassett recently remarked, “It’s not everybody that cheats us on trade, it’s just a few countries, and those countries are going to be seeing some tariffs.” For the crypto market, global macroeconomic events have increasingly played a pivotal role in price action in recent weeks. The April 2 “Liberation Day” announcement arrives at a time when digital asset traders already face headwinds from monetary policy shifts and a slowing global economy. Krüger believes that if the tariffs come in softer than expected, “markets would rally fast and furiously.” On the other hand, a maximalist tariff approach could deliver a significant shock, potentially denting cryptocurrencies. At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $2.81 trillion. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com
US President Trump’s outspoken acceptance of near-term economic hardship has placed risk assets—including Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market—under mounting pressure. According to a thread by The Kobeissi Letter on X, President Trump’s strategy revolves around tolerating significant “short term pain” in order to drive down inflation and facilitate the refinancing of over $9 trillion in US debt. Will Crypto Survive Trump’s ‘Short-Term Pain’ Strategy? The impact on cryptocurrencies has been immediate and pronounced. While US equities have shed an estimated $5 trillion in market value this year, digital assets have also suffered steep losses. Since President Trump’s inauguration on January 21, Bitcoin (BTC) has declined by approximately -23%, Ethereum (ETH) has tumbled by roughly -43% and the broader crypto market has experienced even more dramatic price drops. Related Reading: Crypto Bull Run Isn’t Over—It’s Just Changing, Says Analyst Although high volatility is nothing new in crypto, the synchronized downturn suggests that crypto assets are not immune to macroeconomic forces. The Kobeissi Letter adds, “Based on our research, President Trump made this conclusion BEFORE inauguration. However, he began formally articulating it on March 6th. Below is the headline that destroyed investor confidence in 2025. President Trump is no longer the ‘stock market’s President’ (for now).” The Kobeissi Letter points to March 9 as the date President Trump further confirmed his stance by noting that America is in a “period of transition” and that it will “take a little time,” implying a willingness to tolerate near-term market turbulence. During this period, Commerce Secretary Lutnick’s statement on March 6—“Stock market not driving outcomes for this admin”—was followed by Treasury Secretary Bessent’s remark, “Not concerned about a little volatility.” Although The Kobeissi Letter’s analysis notes that the administration’s viewpoint solidified before inauguration, it cites President Trump’s urgent focus on the year 2025, when $9.2 trillion in US debt will either mature or need to be refinanced. The thread states, “First, as we have previously noted, the US is facing a massive refinancing task. In 2025, $9.2 TRILLION of US debt will either mature or need to be refinanced. The quickest way to LOWER rates ahead of this colossal refinancing would be a recession.” Related Reading: Economic Turmoil: Crypto Market Loses 25% Of Value As Recession Worries Mount Beyond debt concerns, The Kobeissi Letter also highlights the administration’s drive to reduce oil prices and the US trade deficit as part of the same economic calculation. Since President Trump took office, oil has fallen by over 20%. “Furthermore, a clearly defined part of President Trump’s strategy has been to LOWER oil prices. Oil prices are down 20%+ since Trump took office. This morning, Citigroup said oil prices falling to $53 would lower inflation to 2%. What would lower oil prices? A recession.” Meanwhile, the administration’s extensive use of tariffs, which The Kobeissi Letter describes as “levying tariffs on almost ALL US trade partners,” is chipping away at GDP growth estimates, further hinting that a deliberate slowdown is in motion. The Kobeissi Letter also notes, “On top of this, DOGE and Trump are attempting to cut TONS of government jobs. These are the same jobs that have accounted for much of the recent job ‘growth’ in the US. Government jobs have risen by 2 million over the last 4.5 years. Cutting these jobs will spur a recession.” DOGE leader Elon Musk appears resigned to short-term declines. Even after Tesla (TSLA) recorded its seventh-largest historical drop on March 10, Musk posted that “It will be fine long-term.” For crypto traders and investors, the “short term pain” scenario by Trump is currently dictating the price action. The question, the analysts from The Kobeissi Letter posit, is whether this will lead to a more favorable economic landscape in the long run. “Is the ‘short term pain’ worth the ‘long term gain’ in President Trump’s economic strategy?”. At press time, the BTC price remained under heavy downward pressure and traded at $82,000. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
Amid the market corrections, Ethereum (ETH) has retested a key multi-year support level, suggesting that a bounce to $4,000 could be near. However, some market watchers noted that ETH has tapped an “interesting level” against Bitcoin, which could signal the time to celebrate is not here yet. Related Reading: Analyst Says Prepare For Ethereum Price To Hit $17,000, Here’s Why Ethereum Holds Key Support Level Over a week ago, the crypto market saw its biggest retrace in months, sending Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies to monthly lows. Ethereum dropped to $2,120, hitting its lowest price range since the early August correction. Since then, ETH has moved within the $2,600-$2,830 price range, struggling to turn the range’s upper level into support for the past week. Yesterday’s market pullback, seemingly fueled by Donald Trump’s latest tariffs on steel and aluminum, saw Ethereum drop below the $2,600 support, a key resistance level before the Q3 2024 breakout. On Monday, the King of Altcoin reclaimed the recently lost support, trading above the $2,650 mark throughout the morning. Some market watchers noted that ETH remains in its “bounce or die” multi-year support. Ethereum has been in an uptrend support since 2022, retesting this trendline four times before. Each retest has been followed by a rebound to a key horizontal level in the following weeks. ETH faced resistance at the $1,900-$2,200 zone during the 2022 retests of the ascending trendline before breaking out. Meanwhile, the 2023 and 2024 rebounds saw ETH bounce from the uptrend support to face resistance at the $4,000-$4,100 levels. Market observer and investor Ted Pillows noted that Ethereum held its uptrend support since May 2023 after the recent retest, which could indicate that a rebound is near. If the pattern repeats, the cryptocurrency could break past the $4,100 resistance level and aim for new highs soon. ETH Price Action Resembles 2020-2021 Rally Ted also pointed out that ETH’s recent “capitulation candle” looked like March 2020’s. He explained that Ethereum recorded a major dump that led investors to believe the altcoin’s rally was over. However, the cryptocurrency bounced back, resulting in a “long-term structure breakout for Ethereum.” According to analyst Crypto Jelle, ETH currently trades in a multi-year ascending triangle, and the recent performance suggests that the next move “will be the real deal.” He noted that Ethereum’s next attempt would be the fourth retest of the $4,000 mark this cycle, which could “be the charm” as the resistance level weakens. A breakout and reclaim of this key resistance would potentially lead to a retest of the $4,878 all-time high (ATH). Related Reading: SUI Defies The Odds: Another Comeback From $2.8 Sparks Bullish Run Daan Crypto Trades highlighted that the ETH/BTC trading pair moved back to its 2016-2020 levels when it hovered between 0.023-0.036. The range’s upper zone served as a key resistance throughout these years, propelling ETH to ATH and local highs against BTC once turned into support. The trader considers that ETH/BTC could sit within this level “for quite a while” and that “the time to get excited again is when this retakes 0.036 at the very minimum.” As of this writing, Ethereum trades at $2,659, a 1.2% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) enjoyed a brief sigh of relief yesterday as the US delayed its proposed 25% trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada by a month. However, the US proceeded with its 10% tariffs on China, prompting retaliatory measures from Beijing. The escalation has pushed BTC back below the critical $100,000 price level. Bitcoin Suffers Amid Trade Wars After a volatile 24 hours filled with uncertainty surrounding US trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada, BTC experienced a short-lived relief rally to $102,000. This came after US President Donald Trump announced a 30-day delay in imposing tariffs on the two North American nations. Related Reading: Bitcoin Indicator Shows Market Far From Overheating – Details However, today’s implementation of US tariffs on China triggered a sharp downturn, causing BTC to break below the $100,000 level. In response, China’s Ministry of Finance announced new countermeasures. Starting February 10, China will impose an additional 15% tariff on coal and liquefied natural gas, along with a 10% tariff on agricultural equipment, crude oil, and certain vehicles. Additionally, Beijing has accused the US of violating World Trade Organization (WTO) regulations with its one-sided tariff policies. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce also stated that it would tighten export controls on key raw materials, including molybdenum, indium, bismuth, tellurium, and tungsten, citing national security concerns. With trade tensions escalating between the US and China, analysts predict heightened volatility in the crypto market in the coming days. Well-known crypto strategist Michael van de Poppe shared his outlook: Bitcoin bounced back swiftly and is currently acting within the range. I assume we’ll see new ATHs in February and it’s quite normal to correct after such a strong bounce. Volatility through the roof, but, as long as Bitcoin remains above $93K, a new ATH is likely. Meanwhile, crypto trader and investor Phoenix suggested that BTC could establish a new trading range amid the ongoing trade war. However, history suggests that heightened tariffs could spell trouble for cryptocurrencies. Web3 enthusiast merts.eth pointed out in an X post that BTC plummeted 65% in 2018 when Trump first initiated a trade war with China. The effects were not limited to digital assets, as the S&P 500 also dropped 12% in the weeks following the implementation of tariffs. More Downside For BTC? As Bitcoin struggles to hold the $100,000 price level, concerns are mounting about another potential breakdown in price. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently pointed out that if BTC fails to hold the $97,190 support level, there could be more pain for the top digital asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Must Hold Above $97K To Sustain Momentum – Metrics The analyst made another observation about how BTC is currently trading in a bearish flag pattern. At press time, BTC trades at $99,961, up 1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and TradingView.com