XRP price action on lower timeframes, specifically under the 4-hour mark, remains notably uncertain, with erratic fluctuations and a lack of clear directional bias. However, a deeper analysis reveals that the broader structure on the 4-hour chart is offering more constructive insights. Despite the choppy short-term moves, the 4-hour timeframe maintains a bullish formation, suggesting that underlying momentum may be building. The Bigger Picture For XRP A key insight shared by market analyst Andrew Griffiths suggests that a decisive move toward the bullish order block between 2.3907 and 2.3277, coupled with strong bearish momentum, could indicate the early signs of a structural breakdown. Related Reading: XRP Price Eyes Breakout: Can It Shatter Resistance and Reignite the Rally? In his recent post on X, Griffiths emphasized that this price zone has historically acted as a significant area of demand, where buyers typically step in to defend support. However, if sellers dominate this region and the price fails to hold, it could signal a shift in market dynamics, potentially invalidating the current bullish setup. Despite this technical vulnerability, the overall crypto market sentiment continues to lean bullish. Bitcoin’s dominance remains firm, while the TOTAL2 chart, which reflects the performance of altcoins excluding Bitcoin, maintains a bullish market structure. These broader trends support the idea that current weakness may be a temporary shakeout rather than the start of a deeper reversal. As such, price action around the order block is key, as it could serve as a turning point in the days ahead. Trade Setup: Waiting for Confirmation at Key Levels Andrew Griffiths outlined a strategic trading approach centered around the 4-hour bullish order block between 2.3907 and 2.3277. According to Griffiths, a price test of this zone, if accompanied by weak bearish momentum, could present a favorable buying opportunity. Related Reading: Analyst Says These Factors Will Drive XRP Price To $1,000, But What Does Market Cap Say? This aligns with his personal trading methodology, which focuses on identifying high-probability entries where price reacts to key levels with signs of exhaustion from the opposing side. For traders looking to capitalize on potential long setups, this zone may serve as an ideal area for entry, provided certain conditions align. Signs such as decreasing sell volume, long lower wicks (indicating rejection), or bullish candlestick formations within or just above the zone may act as confirmation of weakening bearish pressure. Griffiths also emphasizes the importance of waiting for a clear reaction, rather than preemptively entering a position, to reduce the risk of a deeper breakdown. A well-placed stop-loss just below the lower boundary of the order block (2.3277) could offer a favorable risk-reward ratio, especially if the broader trend resumes to the upside. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao has suggested that the highly anticipated Altseason isn’t here yet as most altcoins continue bleeding, while some market watchers consider the worst might be over soon. Related Reading: ‘All Options On The Table’: Bitcoin Must Hold This Level Ahead Of Trump’s Crypto Summit CZ Says There’s No Altseason Yet On Friday, Changpeng Zhao, also known as CZ, responded to an X user asking when the Altseason will happen. The Binance founder pointed out the price tracking and market data website CoinMarketCap (CMC), which recently added an “Altcoin Season Index.” CZ highlighted that “of the top 100 altcoins,” very few have outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) in the past three months, suggesting that the Altseason won’t happen yet. As the website states, the CMC Altcoin Season Index page “provides real-time insights into whether the cryptocurrency market is currently in Altcoin Season,” based on the performance of the top 100 altcoins against the flagship crypto over the past 90 days. Under this metric, an Altseason is in if 75% of the top 100 altcoins outperform BTC during the established period. To CZ, “This is a tough ranking system,” as he considers that 50 would be a good score for Altcoins. The CMC index page shows a score of 14/100, with only 14 altcoins outperforming BTC since early December. Some of the tokens in this list include Monero (XRM), Hyperliquid (HYPE), Pi (PI), Mantra (OM), Berachain (BERA), and the official Trump memecoin (TRUMP). Leading cryptocurrencies of 2024, like SUI and Solana (SOL), show 37% to 41% price decreases in the past 90 days. Meanwhile, memecoin sensations like dogwifhat (WIF), PEPE, FLOKI, and BONK have bled between 70% and 80% during this period. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe also noted that altcoins have had an overall negative performance on higher timeframes despite some recent price rallies. “Massive green day on some Altcoins, they are up 2%! Then, you zoom out, and you zoom out, and you zoom out,” he asserted. Altcoins Bottom Could Be Near Altcoin Sherpa stated that altcoins were in “about the same or worse” positions during the Summer 2024 retrace, pointing out that “things were also pretty bleak overall and then we saw some strong bounces in August.” However, he noted that, unlike last year, the market doesn’t have a “Trump Pump coming.” Recently, some of the top cryptocurrencies saw a significant price increase after US President Donald Trump announced a strategic reserve that would include SOL, XRP, Cardano (ADA), Ethereum (ETH), and BTC. Nonetheless, after the March 6 executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a “Digital Asset Stockpile,” the White House AI and Crypto Czar, David Sacks, clarified that the previously named altcoins were used as references for the most valuable tokens in the market. Sherpa considers that the market’s bottom is close, but “we still also probably have the chop period to get through” before any substantial recovery. On the contrary, some industry figures have also commented on altcoins’ overall performance this cycle, suggesting that the Altseason already started but will be different from previous cycles. Related Reading: Stellar (XLM) Price Setting Up For Rally To $1.60 – Here Are The Levels To Watch Recently, CryptoQuant’s founder and CEO, Ki Young Ju, stated that the Altseason had begun. He affirmed there will not be a direct Bitcoin-to-altcoins rotation this cycle, as BTC dominance isn’t the key metric that defines it. To the CEO, trading volume is the metric that defines it this time. Ju also pointed out that this will be a very selective and challenging altseason, with only a few altcoins with strong narratives expected to thrive. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
As the cycle progresses, many investors are awaiting the long-anticipated Altseason, with opinions split on whether it will happen. Several market watchers have affirmed that Altcoins (Alts) are getting ready for an explosive breakout, but others, including CryptoQuant’s CEO, have suggested a different outlook. Related Reading: Nansen’s Bitcoin On-Chain Analytics Reveal 42% Increase In BTC Transactions Few Cryptocurrencies To ‘Survive’ The Altseason On Friday, Ki Young Ju, CryptoQuant’s founder and CEO, affirmed that the Altseason has begun. In an X thread, Ju suggested that there will not be a direct Bitcoin-to-alt rotation this cycle, noting that “stablecoin holders are favoring” Altcoins. According to Ju, Bitcoin is no longer a quote cryptocurrency, adding that Bitcoin (BTC) Dominance doesn’t define the altseason anymore. In a December post, he explained that “Altcoins used to move together based on their correlation with BTC,” however, this pattern has now broken. Instead, he stated that trading volume is the metric that defines it, with Altcoins currently having 2.7x the volume of Bitcoin. Ju also considers this to be a very selective and challenging altseason, with only a few Altcoins with strong user cases and narratives expected to thrive. He added that, despite good market sentiment, there isn’t fresh liquidity, which “feels like a PvP fight over a fixed pie.” As a result, Altcoin battles “are getting fiercer,” and only a few are pumping this altseason and attracting new liquidity. Altcoin markets are currently a zero-sum PvP game. While Bitcoin has doubled its market cap, the alt market cap is still below its previous ATH, rotating among themselves without fresh capital inflows. Only a few Alts with strong use cases and narratives will survive. Altcoins Ready For Next Leg Up Trader Crypto Yoddha suggested that Altcoins are “ready for round 2” after its recent performance. According to the post, the crypto market, excluding BTC and ETH, is following 2020-2021’s playbook. During the last cycle, Altcoins experienced two legs towards its cycle top and all-time high (ATH) of $1.13 trillion. In the “first round,” they broke out from its accumulation period, seeing a small re-accumulation phase before surging to the previous top. After reclaiming this resistance level, Altcoins started “round two,” achieving various new highs before hitting a new cycle top. Yoddha pointed out that the market is finishing the first round, as it tested last cycle’s top during the post-election pump. Analyst Rekt Capital affirmed that the crypto market cap, excluding the top 10 tokens, “has completed the second part of its Double Bottom formation.” He explained that Altcoins had been consolidating between the $250 billion to $280 billion range since the February 3 correction. Related Reading: Ethereum To Move Sideways For 2-3 Months? Analyst Says Longer ETH Consolidation Is Needed Per the post, Alts must close above $280 billion and retest this level as support to confirm a breakout from its three-week resistance and attempt to reclaim the $300 billion mark. Similarly, analyst Carl Runefelt stated that Altcoins have a parabolic move after breaking out of its two-month descending channel. Alts saw a 120% climb after breaking out of a 2024 multi-month descending channel. Altcoins must reclaim the $300 billion resistance to break from this pattern. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
After a red Monday, the crypto market seems to be moving toward a green end of the week, registering an 18.54% increase from this week’s lows. Altcoins have broken out of a bullish formation, fueling investors’ optimism about the upcoming Altseason. Related Reading: XRP Hits Seven-Year High After 16% Surge, Is A New ATH Around The Corner? Altcoins Final Shakeout ‘Completed’ On Friday, the crypto market recovered from its recent correction, with Bitcoin (BTC) reclaiming the $100,000 mark after days of hovering below this resistance level. Similarly, The King of Altcoins, Ethereum (ETH), reclaimed the $3,400 range after dipping below a key support level earlier this week. Other leading altcoins like Solana and XRP have also gained bullish momentum, with the former reclaiming crucial levels and the latter nearing its all-time high (ATH). Notably, the total crypto market capitalization, excluding BTC and ETH, surged 4% in the last 24 hours, hitting its highest point since the December retraces. Altcoins broke out on a three-year downtrend during the November-December rally, surging to $1.1 trillion, its highest market cap since 2021. However, the sector struggled to record significant gains after the end-of-year corrections, dropping around 25% from the post-election highs. Despite the performance, several crypto analysts predicted that Alts would see a bullish start to the year. On Monday, Altcoins fell to its lowest price range in weeks, dipping to a $900 billion market cap, but is now retesting last month’s highs. Amid the current performance, Titan of Crypto suggests that the “final shakeout seems completed.” The analyst previously asserted that the “grand finale” was around the corner, signaling that alts were about to explode. Alts Following Q1 2024 Performance? Recently, the analyst pointed out that a golden cross is “imminent” in the Altcoins chart. According to the post, “It’s only a matter of time before FOMO kicks in,” as 2021’s golden cross, which occurred at the start of that year, kickstarted a massive Altseason. Titan of Crypto added that early 2025 “could echo the explosive Altcoins rally of early 2021,” noting that the crypto market’s performance seemed to resemble its performance from four years ago. Meanwhile, crypto investor Miky Bull noted that Altcoins seems to be repeating its Q1 2024 playbook, which could lead to a “rally déjà vu.” Per the chart, the sector broke out of a multi-month trendline at the end of 2023 before a brief correction period and retest of the new levels. Then, Altcoins exploded at the beginning of Q1 2024, rallying until March, which is “the cogent reason that this Altseason might run till March.” Related Reading: Chainlink ‘Ready To Breakout’: Analyst Eyes $50 Target Amid Whale Accumulation The investor asserted that Altcoins market cap “has just completed its retest Expansion phase in full force loading,” as the crypto market capitalization, excluding the top ten tokens, had broken out of a 42-day accumulation period, which meant that “alts rally will follow.” Similarly, analyst Jelle highlighted that Alts had formed a bullish pennant “right below all-time high resistance,” which could lead to a massive rally once it broke. After the recent surge, Altcoins have broken out of the bullish formation, leaving “price discovery just inches away.” Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com