The TON price has reclaimed the $3 mark with an over 20% spurt on Saturday, March 15. This price spike was triggered by the news of a French court approving the departure of Telegram founder Pavel Durov from France. Telegram Founder Reportedly Cleared To Leave France According to a report on Saturday, Durov was granted permission by a French court to depart the country, where he faces several charges of enabling organized crime. One of AFP’s sources said that the Telegram founder had been authorized to leave France for “several weeks.” Durov’s legal troubles began on August 24, 2024, after he was detained at the Le Bourget airport in Paris. A few days later, France’s Prosecutor’s Office brought several charges against the Telegram founder centered around running a messaging platform that allegedly enabled illegal activities. Related Reading: Stablecoins Supply Up By $20 Billion – The Key To Bitcoin’s Next Move? On August 28, Durov was released on a $6 million bail, albeit with restrictions on his movement and travels. The French prosecutors demanded that the Telegram founder remain in the country until the conclusion of their investigation. While the current condition of Durov’s case remains unclear, a source close to the case stated the Telegram founder was allowed to leave France temporarily after the investigating judge approved his request to modify the conditions of his supervision. “A third source said Durov had departed for Dubai,” AFP reported. Durov’s arrest led to an uproar within the crypto community at the time, as experts assessed the implications of such a move on the future of technology and encryption. Moreover, it marked another incident in the worrying trend of holding founders and developers accountable for the use of their platforms. It is worth mentioning that, as of press time, there has been no official word from Telegram and Durov confirming the report. TON Price Up 20% Following the report of Durov’s departure from France, TON (native cryptocurrency of The Open Network) reacted with a more than 20% price spike. As with the general crypto market, the altcoin has struggled to build any momentum in the past few months. After reaching the local high of $6 in early December, the TON price has since been on a steady decline. On Tuesday, March 11, the cryptocurrency dropped beneath the $2.5 mark for the first time in over a year. As of this writing, the TON price stands at around $3.4, reflecting an almost 18% surge in the past 24 hours. According to CoinGecko, the token’s performance has improved to a positive 17% gain in the past seven days. Related Reading: Ethereum Consolidates Since ‘The Big Dump’ – Local Trend Reversal Or Continuation? Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
The price of Toncoin, a token associated with the Telegram network, jumped 20% on the news that Durov's passport was returned to him.
Toncoin (TON) continues to face a challenging market environment, struggling to reverse its recent downward trajectory. Trading below the $4 mark, the asset’s price performance over the past weeks has remained largely in the red. Amid these conditions, CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost has shed light on some underlying trends, highlighting that long-term investors are still seeing positive returns despite the overall bearish climate. Related Reading: Key Metrics Indicate Toncoin Accumulation Continues Despite Price Struggle Evaluating TON’s Long-Term Viability and Market Stability According to Darkfost in the post uploaded on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, long-term holders—those who have maintained their positions for over a year—are currently enjoying a 69% profit, even as short-term investors face losses. This dynamic raises questions about TON’s potential as a long-term investment, prompting a closer look at the project’s ecosystem and liquidity. A key metric in this regard is the total value locked (TVL) on the network. Despite market-wide downturns affecting numerous altcoins, data shared by Darkfost revealed that TON’s TVL remains steady at $300 million, maintaining a level of stability since the start of 2024. This resilience in liquidity and locked value suggests a level of sustained confidence in the platform’s fundamentals. Is $TON made for the long term ? Today, the only investor category still in profit on TON is the long-term investors. ➡️ Currently, investors who have held their positions for over one year are still enjoying a 69% profit, whereas short-term investors are incurring losses. To… pic.twitter.com/59cQ5diEMy — Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) February 24, 2025 Toncoin: Ecosystem Activity and the Role of Workchains Beyond price and profitability, another important indicator of TON’s long-term potential lies in its blockchain activity. Darkfost notes that examining the masterchain and workchain can provide valuable insights into the project’s adoption. The TON workchain, a flexible blockchain layer designed for executing smart contracts and handling user transactions, has demonstrated consistent activity throughout the year. Related Reading: Analyst Says Toncoin (TON) May Be Primed for Major Recovery—Here’s Why Notably, the “Hamster Kombat” phenomenon earlier in 2024 caused a noticeable uptick in network usage, highlighting the workchain’s capacity to support various applications and drive engagement. Meanwhile, the masterchain serves as the network’s backbone. By storing global configuration data, validator states, and hashes from all workchains, the masterchain ensures that the entire ecosystem runs smoothly. According to Darkfost, the ongoing growth of the masterchain highlights TON’s structural stability and increasing adoption. These factors collectively point to an ecosystem that has not only maintained but also expanded its operational scope amid broader market challenges. The analyst wrote: In conclusion, the TON ecosystem has developed impressively throughout 2024, maintaining robust activity and a solid TVL despite a general decline in crypto market interest. TON appears to have established itself in the crypto ecosystem for the long term. Featured image created with DALL-E Chart from TradingView
The developers of Telegram game Farm Frens admitted to a number of issues with the token launch and airdrop on Ethereum layer-2 Base.
After a steady decline, Toncoin (TON) has seen a slight price increase over the past day, rising by 1.7% to $3.85. This movement comes amidst ongoing discussions about its longer-term performance and accumulation trends. According to an analysis by CryptoQuant analyst Shiven Moodley, there are indications that TON holders are positioning for a potential rebound. Moodley’s observations, which are detailed in a recent post on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, suggest that the asset may be entering an accumulation phase despite its recent downward trajectory. Related Reading: Analyst Says Toncoin (TON) May Be Primed for Major Recovery—Here’s Why Toncoin Shows Signs of Accumulation Moodley points to several metrics as evidence. The 180-day Sharpe Ratio, a measure of risk-adjusted returns, signals a period of accumulation. This is further supported by stable TVL (Total Value Locked) in lending protocols and a noticeable reduction in speculative trading activity. Notably, the asset’s volatility has declined since the price spikes in December 2024 and February 2025. If this trend persists, it could imply that selling pressure is diminishing, potentially paving the way for a future rebound. Key on-chain indicators also paint a picture of potential opportunity. The Normalized Risk Metric (NRM), which evaluates TON’s valuation relative to historical moving averages, highlights accumulation at a price level of $3.82. Additionally, record lows in the Long-Term NRM suggest that longer-term holders are increasingly accumulating TON at these levels. Historically, similar setups have preceded market recoveries, giving investors a reason to believe that a medium-term price reversal may be on the horizon. Moodley wrote: It remains to be seen whether TON’s price action can stage a full recovery. However, long-term accumulation traders are best positioned to benefit from macro policy changes that could shift sentiment in the broader crypto market. The conditions could align for a potential rebound with selling pressure fading and risk metrics signalling a low-risk environment. On-Chain Metrics Hint at Long-Term Opportunity Another metric Moodley pointed out is the Risk Exposure Ratio—which tracks leveraged positions within TON’s DeFi ecosystem—it has recently reached a new high, exceeding 0.24 in early 2025. This suggests a growing influence of leveraged activity. However, if the ratio begins to decline, it could indicate a stabilization in market conditions, potentially leading to more stable price movements. Furthermore, the Probability of Spend metric shows that coins older than 400 days are unlikely to move, indicating strong conviction among long-term holders. This trend has historically correlated with phases of accumulation and recovery. As Moodley notes, short- to medium-term holders appear to be exiting their positions, likely contributing to the recent price weakness. Meanwhile, long-term holders remain consistent, suggesting a belief in the asset’s long-term potential. Related Reading: Toncoin (TON) Investors Sitting On 54% Profit Despite Price Plunge If selling pressure continues to ease and risk metrics improve, TON could be setting the stage for a more favorable market environment. In this scenario, long-term investors may be well-positioned to benefit from potential macroeconomic shifts that could ultimately boost Toncoin’s value. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
On-chain data shows the Toncoin investors are holding a significant amount of unrealized profit even after the recent bearish action in the asset’s price. Toncoin Is Still Trading A Notable Distance Above Its Realized Price In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the latest trend in a few indicators related to Toncoin. The first metric of relevance is the “Realized Price,” which tells us, in short, the cost basis of the average investor on the TON network. When the spot price of the cryptocurrency is trading above this indicator, it means the holders as a whole can be assumed to be carrying a net amount of unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the metric implies the dominance of loss in the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Volume Close To Growing Again: Bullish Sign? Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm, that shows the trend in the Toncoin Realized Price over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Toncoin price has been above the Realized Price for a while now, which means the investors on the whole have been enjoying gains. This arrangement hasn’t changed even after the drawdown that the coin has witnessed recently. Historically, the Realized Price has acted as a support level for the asset. The reason behind this is the fact that investors can be likely to react to dips to their cost basis by buying more, if the mood in the market is bullish. At present, the metric has a value of $2.43, which is significantly under the spot price. Based on the historical pattern, Glassnode notes that the level “remains a crucial level for potential buying pressure.” The next indicator shared by the analytics firm is the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio. This metric keeps track of the ratio between the spot price and Realized Price of Toncoin. From the chart, it’s apparent that the ratio has gone down recently and has reached a value of around 1.54. “This means that, on average, investors are sitting at ~54% unrealized profit,” explains Glassnode. Related Reading: XRP Targeting $15 If This Pattern Holds, Analyst Says While the overall market has been able to withstand the recent downturn, it doesn’t mean that there has been no panic loss selling at all for Toncoin. As the below chart for the Realized Loss shows, the buyers who got in during the top ended up realizing a massive amount of loss in the price plunge. TON Price At the time of writing, Toncoin is trading around $3.77, up almost 3% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
Toncoin (TON) has faced a prolonged downturn, struggling to regain upward momentum after a tough week. Although it recently recorded a slight daily gain, the asset remains trapped in bearish territory, trading below the $4 mark. Despite this challenging price performance, analysts suggest that Toncoin may be nearing a significant accumulation phase. Related Reading: New Data Suggests Toncoin (TON) Might Be Undervalued—Here’s What It Means Key Metrics Indicate Potential Recovery Amid these market conditions, a CryptoQuant contributor, Crazzyblockk, recently shared a detailed outlook on TON. In a post titled “TON Enters Key Buy Zone – A Prime Opportunity,” the analyst outlined key findings from the Ton Price Models. These models indicate that Toncoin has reached the 0.6x 250-day moving average bottom zone—historically considered a strong accumulation level. Crazzyblockk notes that this data-driven model suggests TON is undervalued, presenting a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors. Notably, the Ton Price Models leverage historical data to identify oversold conditions and potential entry points. According to Crazzyblockk, assets trading near 0.6x–0.8x of their 250-day moving average often signal strong buy conditions. Historically, these levels have served as ideal accumulation zones before major market upturns. The analyst emphasized that TON’s current price position aligns with previous setups that have led to significant price recoveries, making it a promising target for data-driven investment strategies. Toncoin Price Performance And Outlook Meanwhile, Toncoin’s price on the higher time frame has continued to demonstrate a bearish move. In the past two weeks alone, this metric has fallen by a double-digit of 23.4% and roughly a 54.3% decrease away from its all-time high of $8.25 registered in June 2024. However zooming in, TON has shown resilience recording a slight increase of 2.8% in the past day. This uptick although little has been able to push TON’s price above $3.8 nearing the $4 mark. Interestingly, while TON’s price has risen today, its daily trading volume is notably lower compared to last Friday, when the asset was trading at a similar price level. Last Friday, TON’s trading volume exceeded $214 million. However, as of today, it has decreased to $161.2 million. One possible explanation for this drop in trading volume could be a shift in investor behavior, with some market participants holding their positions rather than actively trading, potentially in anticipation of continued price appreciation. Speaking of price appreciation, a renowned crypto analyst known as Ali on X has recently shared an interesting analysis on Toncoin using the TD Sequential indicator. Related Reading: Is Toncoin Set for a Comeback? Key Market Signals Point to a Possible Rebound This indicator is a tool that helps identify potential trend reversals and exhaustion points in price movements. It works by counting a series of consecutive price bars that close higher (in an uptrend) or lower (in a downtrend) than previous bars, forming a sequential count. Once the count reaches a certain number—often 9 or 13—the indicator suggests that the prevailing trend may be losing momentum and could reverse or pause. According to Ali, TON is on the verge of a rebound based on this tool. #Toncoin $TON is showing signs of a potential rebound as the TD Sequential indicator flashes a buy signal on the weekly chart! pic.twitter.com/nRtabmxjxQ — Ali (@ali_charts) February 14, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Toncoin (TON), which once saw significant hype leading to consistent new highs, has struggled to regain upward momentum. After a series of steady declines in the past week, the asset’s price has now slipped below the $4 mark, leaving investors concerned about its near-term potential. This prolonged downtrend has caused speculation about whether TON might be approaching a crucial turning point that could result in a major reversal in price. Related Reading: Is Toncoin Set for a Comeback? Key Market Signals Point to a Possible Rebound TON’s NMR Hits Rock Bottom: A Golden Opportunity for Investors? Amid the bearish trend, Joao Wedson, a contributor on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake Platform, recently highlighted some intriguing insights. In a recent post, titled “TON Reaches NMR Lows: A Signal for Medium- to Long-Term Accumulation,” Wedson explained that the Normalized Metric Risk (NMR) for TON has hit its lowest levels yet. This indicator assesses the asset’s valuation by comparing its current price against weighted moving averages, including 50-day and 374-day averages. By factoring in logarithmic differences and time-weighted adjustments, the NMR offers a deeper perspective on TON’s market standing. Wedson’s analysis suggests that TON’s current low valuation phase could present a potential opportunity for investors. According to his findings, the NMR’s historic low levels indicate that the token might be undervalued. TON Reaches NMR Lows: A Signal for Medium to Long-Term Accumulation “This indicator, which evaluates the relationship between the current price and weighted moving averages… reveals that the TON token is in a historically low valuation phase.” – By @joao_wedson pic.twitter.com/P8ckhnSFck — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 11, 2025 For those who adopt a medium- to long-term investment horizon, this may be an opportune moment to begin accumulating TON, with the expectation that its price will appreciate over time. However, it’s worth noting that such a strategy is not without risks. While historically low valuation metrics may hint at future growth, the broader market conditions and TON’s overall adoption will play critical roles in determining whether this approach pays off. Toncoin Price Performance And Outlook Meanwhile, Toncoin is currently trading at $3.78—this market price marks not only a 1.1% decline for Toncoin in the past 24 hours but also adds to the prolonged bearish trend in TON in recent weeks marking a 22.5% drop in TON price over the past two weeks. Notably, so far, TON has fallen roughly 54% from its all-time high of $8.25 registered in January last year. Interestingly, despite this bearishness, another CryptoQuant analyst known as Darkfost has highlighted a bullish indicator for TON. Related Reading: Toncoin Stabilizes Above $5: Is Now The Time To Buy TON? According to Darkfost, TON’s risk appetite has soared, “signaling an influx of liquidity into the TON ecosystem.” ???? Risk Appetite Soars Among $TON Speculators ???? We are currently witnessing a historic high in risky investments, such as derivatives, options, and lending, on TonCoin. This suggests that speculative investors have increased their risk exposure to TON following the recent… pic.twitter.com/HCQ1va4VOV — Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) February 11, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
TapSwap will launch its TAPS token on BNB Chain rather than The Open Network, following a TON exclusivity pact with the messaging platform.
While the broader cryptocurrency market appears to be gradually recovering, Toncoin (TON) has yet to join the upward trend. Over the past week, TON has faced significant challenges, seeing its price dip by 5.4%. Amid this price performance, a CryptoQuant analyst has highlighted signs of a potential reversal, especially as recent data sheds light on underlying market dynamics that could impact the coin’s near-term trajectory. Related Reading: Is Toncoin Price Gearing For A Rebound At $5? This On-Chain Metric Suggests So Toncoin Open Interest and Potential Reversal Signals The CryptoQuant analyst Joao Wedson has provided an intriguing perspective. In a recent post titled “TON: Signs of a Reversal?” Wedson highlighted a pattern within the open interest data that could hint at a price rebound. This analysis comes at a critical time, with market participants seeking any indicators that TON might stabilize and regain lost ground. Wedson’s analysis centers around the weekly variation in Toncoin’s open interest—a measure of the total number of outstanding derivatives contracts on the asset. According to the data, the open interest delta has shown a consistent increase whenever TON experiences volatility spikes. Historically, these patterns have been observed ahead of significant price surges, raising the possibility that a similar recovery could be on the horizon. TON: Signs of a Reversal? “We’ve observed a pattern where the Open Interest Delta increases with each volatility spike—a behavior that previously preceded a sharp price surge.” – By @joao_wedson Full analysis ????https://t.co/FC8q4QYIp6 pic.twitter.com/5luN5VojDn — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 29, 2025 TON Market Performance In recent weeks, TON’s price action has been noticeably less bullish. Even as the broader cryptocurrency market experiences gradual gains, TON has struggled to recover, consistently declining and now down roughly 11% over the past two weeks. This divergence from the broader market’s upward momentum may suggest that TON is facing its own bearish pressures, whether driven by chart patterns or on-chain factors. Related Reading: Toncoin Gears Up For A Fresh Rally With Bullish Momentum Building For instance, Renowned crypto analyst Ali recently highlighted that TON has faced significant transfers to exchanges signaling increasing sell-offs. Over 240,000 #Toncoin $TON have been transferred to exchanges in the past week, potentially signaling increased selling pressure as shown by on-chain data from @santimentfeed! pic.twitter.com/FF9BBEMJzL — Ali (@ali_charts) January 29, 2025 Although TON is trading at $4.84 as of now, up 0.4% on the day, this small increase has not been enough to lift the asset out of its current correction. The continued decline in TON’s price has not only reduced its market capitalization but also significantly diminished its daily trading volume. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Farm Frens will still launch its token on Base, but the developers said that Telegram's exclusive embrace of TON has caused issues.
The cryptocurrency market was in a somewhat uncertain phase over the past week following the inauguration of Donald Trump as President of the United States. This uncertainty is demonstrated by the diverse performance of various assets in the market. The Toncoin price, for instance, experienced an almost 9% price decline in the last seven days, giving emphasis to the bearish half of the market. According to the latest on-chain data, the cryptocurrency might be preparing for a price rebound after its recent struggles. Is It Time To Buy Toncoin? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, an analyst with the pseudonym Maartunn shared their latest on-chain observations and how it could offer into TON’s price trajectory. The relevant metric here is the Normalized Risk metric (NRM), which evaluates the price risk of an asset compared to its historical price data. Related Reading: XRP Consolidates Near Key Levels: The Implications Of A Breakout This on-chain indicator can be used to determine whether a cryptocurrency (Toncoin, in this case) is in a favorable or unfavorable risk position. Typically, the value for the Normalized Risk metric ranges from 0 to 1, with values closer to 0 signaling lower risk while values closer to 1 signaling higher risk. As observed in the highlighted chart, the Normalized Risk’s value is currently closer to zero, implying that the TON price is approaching the low-risk territory. Historically, low values of this metric have been correlated with local price bottoms for Toncoin. For example, the price of TON slumped to around $5.3 before climbing to $6.8 in August 2024 while the Normalized Risk metric was well beneath 0.1 at the time. Similarly — about a month later, the altcoin’s price jumped to $5.9 after sliding down to $4.6 while the Normalized Risk indicator was around 0.1. Nevertheless, Maartunn noted that it may take some time for this indicator to “fully bottom out and reach its lowest risk level.” Nevertheless, recent on-chain data suggests that the Normalized Risk metric is nearing a key turning point, implying a strong rebound might be on the cards for the TON price. TON Price Overview As of this writing, the price of Toncoin stands at around $5.08, reflecting a mere 0.7% increase in the past 24 hours. This sluggish single-day action underscores the uncertainty in the market — and to be frank, Toncoin’s struggles over the past few weeks. Related Reading: Solana Compresses Near Previous ATH – Gearing Up For The Next Leg Higher? The TON price has been unimpressive on broader timeframes, failing to successfully break above the $6 mark in the past month. According to data from CoinGecko, the altcoin’s value has declined by nearly 15% in the past month. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Toncoin is showing promising signs of recovery, with bullish momentum gradually building as renewed buying interest suggests a shift in market sentiment. After a period of consolidation, the cryptocurrency is gaining traction, fueling optimism for a fresh rally. The steady increase in trading activity and improving technical indicators highlight the bulls’ intent to challenge critical resistance levels, which could set the stage for a stronger upward trajectory. However, the path to recovery faces potential obstacles, including resistance barriers and profit-taking by short-term traders, limiting the rally’s momentum. Thus, sustaining the current bullish trend will be key in determining whether Toncoin can reclaim higher ground and achieve a more robust recovery. The coming sessions will be pivotal as traders closely monitor price action, volume trends, and support zones to assess the rally‘s strength in the long term. Technical Indicators Align For A Move-Up Currently, Toncoin’s capability for a rally is gaining momentum as technical indicators align, pointing to a move upwards. After failing to break below the $5 mark successfully, the cryptocurrency is now showing signs of an uptrend. Related Reading: Toncoin Stabilizes Above $5: Is Now The Time To Buy TON? Buying pressure is beginning to outweigh selling activity as indicated by the Composite Trend Oscillator’s recent shift away from oversold conditions. As the signal line and the RSI line of the indicator approach neutral territory, TON may be gearing up for a strong surge as traders regain confidence in its upside potential. Furthermore, Toncoin is attempting to move above its key support levels, signaling possible bullish momentum. The 4-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) turning upward shows that the price is gaining traction in the short term. This shift is important, particularly because the SMA acts as a trend-following indicator, confirming that the market may be entering a phase of sustained positive movement. If Toncoin continues to hold above key support levels and the SMA remains positive, especially succeeding in testing and breaking through nearby resistance zones, it might lead to further gains. Toncoin Road To Recovery: Overcoming Resistance Zones TON is steadily making its way toward recovery, focusing on overcoming key resistance zones that have previously capped its price progress. If the cryptocurrency maintains its rally and breaks through the $6 resistance, it may trigger a more powerful rally, attracting additional traders and driving the price toward the $7.2 mark. However, should Toncoin fail to sustain its rally, it could face a retracement toward lower support levels, possibly revisiting areas like $5. Related Reading: Toncoin Price Recovery Continues — Is The Dwindling Staking TVL Ratio Bullish? This downward move is capable of dampening bullish sentiment, which might lead to a consolidation period or further downside. Therefore, as the altcoin navigates these challenging levels, its ability to break through and uphold positive momentum will be crucial in determining the next phase of its price action. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Toncoin (TON) has shown signs of recovery, trading above $5.5 after experiencing price declines in recent weeks. This rebound has not only boosted TON’s market capitalization by some millions but also brought investors to ponder on Toncoin’s potential for a sustained rally. Particularly, as the TON market stabilizes so far, questions about investor sentiment and market risk are coming to the forefront. Related Reading: Toncoin Could See A 65% Surge In The Next 43 Days—Here’s Why Is Now The Time To Buy TON A CryptoQuant Quicktake Platform contributor Darkfost recently analyzed Toncoin’s market behavior, focusing on the annualized realized volatility over a one-week period. This metric as shared by the analyst has dropped below the 0.25 threshold, offering insights into the prevailing investor sentiment and perceived market risk. While low volatility is often associated with reduced risk, it may also indicate waning market interest or growing investor caution. Notably, the decline in realized volatility is a significant development, as periods of low volatility have historically been followed by market reversals. Darkfost emphasized that reduced volatility often signals diminished investor interest, which can present both opportunities and challenges for traders. On the one hand, such periods may highlight reduced market risks, offering potential entry points for long-term investors. On the other hand, they require careful analysis, as low volatility alone cannot guarantee future price movements. Darkfost suggested that monitoring these low-volatility periods closely, alongside other indicators, is essential for making informed decisions. Additional evaluation of broader trends and corroborating signals is necessary to identify whether these zones represent genuine buying opportunities. Toncoin Market Performance And Outlook In recent weeks, TON’s price has shown little movement in either a bullish or bearish direction. Despite the broader crypto market experiencing a recent downturn, TON has managed to hold steady above the $5 mark, avoiding any significant drops below this level. Related Reading: Toncoin Signals Accumulation Phase as Open Interest Hits Nine-Month Low – What’s Next? Even as the broader crypto market now begins to recover, TON has struggled to break past the $5 threshold, indicating that it may be encountering resistance at this price point. At the time of writing, TON is trading at $5.22, reflecting a modest 0.5% increase over the past day. Interestingly, despite this encountered resistance above $5, TON appears to still be seeing significant movement behind the scenes. Just yesterday, the network registered over 100% in large transaction volume reaching nearly $8.5 billion Toncoin $TON surged 104% in large transaction volume over the past 24 hours, reaching $8.13 billion, driven by significant whale activity and $127 million in market-wide shorts liquidations. Currently trading at $5.39, TON’s spike aligns with a broader crypto market recovery… pic.twitter.com/7uLTLhz3h6 — ᵇᵉᵃᵗ (@beatbroker) January 15, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The Open Network (TON) Foundation, closely associated with Telegram, is setting its sights on an ambitious expansion in the United States. This strategic move comes amid expectations of a more favorable regulatory environment under the incoming administration led by Donald Trump. TON Foundation Appoints Manny Stotz As New President The foundation announced the appointment of […]
Bitcoin’s bounce above $94,000 suggests that the bulls remain buyers on dips, increasing the possibility of a retest of $100,000.
The cryptocurrency market has shown heightened activity in early 2025, with Toncoin (TON) emerging as one of the spotlighted assets following an analysis shared by a CryptoQuant analyst, Burak Kesmeci. According to recent data, the 90-day percent return metric for TON indicates the early stages of an uptrend, raising expectations of a sustained rally in the coming weeks. This trend has been observed historically, with similar metrics signaling substantial gains in past bull cycles. Related Reading: Toncoin Price Recovery Continues — Is The Dwindling Staking TVL Ratio Bullish? Historical Data Suggests Strong Price Potential Kesmeci disclosed that historical analysis reveals that TON has previously demonstrated notable performance following reversals in the 90-day percent return metric. For example, in August 2023, TON rose from $1.72, delivering a 65% gain over 70 days. Similarly, in February 2024, the asset surged by 258% in just 43 days after a similar metric reversal. The most recent example, recorded in November 2024, saw TON climb 32% within 11 days. These instances suggest that when the 90-day percent return metric crosses into positive territory, it often serves as a precursor to significant upward price movement. The current trend, which began just seven days ago, has sparked optimism among investors who are considering short-term accumulation strategies. Kesmeci reveals that if historical trends persist, TON could experience a median gain of 65% over the next 43 days. The analyst wrote: Currently, we observe that the “90-day percent return” metric for TON has entered a bull trend for the fourth time. It has been only 7 days since this reversal. Based on previous data: Expected duration: 43 days (median value) Potential percentage return: 65% (median value) These insights suggest that TON is likely to continue its upward trend in the short term. However, it is worth noting that market conditions and external factors, such as overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency sector, could influence the trajectory of this trend. Toncoin Market Performance Since the year began, Toncoin has been unable to make a significant movement towards the upside. Instead, the altcoin has continued to face consistent decline. Over the past two weeks, TON has now plunged by a double-digit performance of nearly 12%. This has brought the asset’s price to currently trade below $6 as of today marking a 7.5% decline in the past 24 hours. Interestingly, despite the consistent decline from TON in recent weeks, the asset’s daily trading volume has seen an opposite trend. Related Reading: Toncoin Consolidates: Could A Breakout Push TON Higher? Particularly, in the past 7 days, TON’s daily trading volume has moved from $200 million last Wednesday to now sitting at roughly 344 million as of today. Given the current trend in TON’s price, it is worth noting that this increase in TON’s trading volume might be from the continuous selling pressure in the TON market. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price looks on track to reclaim the $100,000 level. Are altcoins set to follow?
Bitcoin is holding above $90,000, signaling the possibility of a move back toward $100,000 in the next few days.
The Toncoin price recovery has been one of the few bright spots in the cryptocurrency market over the past week. The climate of the broad market has been sluggish in the festive period, with the two largest assets Bitcoin and Ethereum struggling to make a mark. With the Toncoin price now approaching the $6 mark, it appears that the altcoin is now fully in its recovery phase. According to a pseudonymous analyst, a recent on-chain phenomenon suggests that the price rally for TON is only just beginning. What Happened Last Time TON Staking TVL Ratio Was At A Low Level? In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, an analyst with the pseudonym Joaowedson discussed the dynamics between the staking TVL ratio and Toncoin price. According to the analyst, there is a correlation between the amount locked on TON and price movements. Related Reading: Historical Data Shows What To Expect From Ethereum Price In Q1 2025 – It’s Very Bullish The Quicktake analyst highlighted a trend whereby investors withdraw their assets in order to explore trading opportunities whenever there is a price increase. This phenomenon has also been observed in the TON ecosystem, with the TVL metric dropping in recent weeks. Joaowedson noted that the staking TVL ratio has reached new lows, coinciding with what appears to be a bottom for the price of Toncoin. Ultimately, this suggests that the odds of an increase in the Toncoin price are higher. While the idea of reduced interest in staking leading to price growth seems counterintuitive, it can be justified by the increase in liquidity available for trading. The Quicktake analyst explained: When investors withdraw funds from staking, they often transfer them to exchanges for quick trades. This movement increases demand for the token, driving prices higher. From a historical perspective, a similar situation occurred in March 2024 when the staking TVL ratio shrunk significantly as the TON price soared to new highs. “Interestingly, as interest in staking diminished, funds started migrating to centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX) like Ston.FI and Dedust, boosting the TVL in those categories,” Joaowedson added. With investors more willing to make their assets available for trading, there is a higher likelihood of price increases due to growing demand. If this holds true, the Toncoin price could return to around its recent highs. Toncoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the Toncoin price stands at around $5.78, reflecting a 0.5% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the value of TON is up by more than 6% on the weekly timeframe. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Enters Correction Phase On Its Path To Explode Above $110,000 Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s repeated failure to cross above $100,000 increases the risk of a drop under $90,000.
Bitcoin’s recovery shows solid buying at lower levels, increasing the possibility of a break above $100,000 in the short term.
Toncoin (TON) appears to have now entered a notable phase in its market cycle, presenting potential opportunities for investors. A recent analysis by CryptoQuant analyst Joao Wedson highlights that TON has moved into a favorable risk zone for accumulation, as indicated by the Normalized Risk Metric (NMR). This metric evaluates an asset’s price risk relative to historical data, providing a clearer picture of whether the current price levels are suitable for investment or if caution is warranted. Related Reading: Toncoin Consolidates: Could A Breakout Push TON Higher? Toncoin Current Market Outlook The NMR uses moving averages such as the 50-day and 374-day simple moving averages (SMA) along with logarithmic differences in price data to determine risk exposure. A normalized score ranging between 0 and 1 indicates the level of risk, with values closer to zero suggesting a lower chance of price decline. According to Wedson, TON’s current placement in the green zone signals reduced risk, making it an appealing opportunity for investors seeking long-term exposure to the asset. The analysis further suggests that while the medium and long-term risk profiles appear favorable, there remains a possibility for TON’s price to revisit historically significant support zones, often referred to as the “blue zone” on price heatmaps. Historically, these levels have served as price floors and accumulation points for investors expecting future price appreciation. Open Interest Decline and Market Volatility Trends Another CryptoQuant analyst, Maartunn, has added further context to Toncoin’s current market stance. According to his observations, TON’s Open Interest (OI) in the futures market has decreased to $141 million, marking the lowest level observed in the past nine months. Open Interest refers to the total value of outstanding futures contracts and is a key indicator of market sentiment and participation. A decline in Open Interest generally signals reduced market activity and lower volatility. While this trend is specific to TON, it reflects a broader pattern across the cryptocurrency market as the year comes to a close. Historically, periods of low Open Interest are often followed by significant price movements, either upward or downward, once liquidity returns to the market. Related Reading: Toncoin’s 90-Day Returns Turn Positive: Is A Massive Rally On The Horizon? Lower Open Interest combined with Toncoin’s favorable risk metrics may suggest a period of price stability and reduced volatility. Risk-Adjusted Returns and Drawdowns: A Look at Unrealized Profits in TON “The Open Interest and Funding Rates chart complements this narrative by highlighting steady open interest levels, which demonstrate sustained participation in the TON ecosystem.” – By @ShivenMoodley More… pic.twitter.com/DIpNabROij — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) December 24, 2024 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Prominent altcoin Toncoin (TON) was not left out of the widespread crypto decline in the last week. According to data from CoinMarketCap, the price of Toncoin dipped by 14.71% over the past seven days falling from a consolidation range between $6.2-$6.5. However, this market downturn does not deter market experts’ bullishness on TON especially with the altseason yet to go into full effect. Related Reading: Toncoin’s 90-Day Returns Turn Positive: Is A Massive Rally On The Horizon? Toncoin To Gain At Least 280% In Altseason, Analyst Says In a recent X post, popular crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci revealed multiple price targets for Toncoin in the current altcoin bull run/altseason, a period where altcoins generally outperform Bitcoin in price appreciation indicated by a decline in Bitcoin’s market dominance. Firstly, the analyst notes that Toncoin’s 365-day moving average currently at $5.14 has historically represented a region where price activity significantly slows down. Notably, Toncoin has only experienced a prolonged price dip below this level in a bear market. However, with the crypto market in a bull cycle, Kesmeci postulates that a one-year SMA could represent the potential local bottom for TON. Therefore, using this price point with multiple levels of standard deviation (σ), the analyst predicts possible price targets of Toncoin that are statistically compared to historical data. From the chart below, Toncoin is expected to hit an initial price of $8.74 as the altseason takes off based on the price level revealed by the one-year SMA + 2σ. This indicates a potential 60.6% gain on the altcoin’s current market price. Thereafter, a higher price band of one-year SMA + 6σ indicates a price target of $15.93. The final price goal for Toncoin by Burak Kesmeci is based on the one-year SMA + 8σ and set at $19.53. Going by this prediction, the crypto analyst states that Toncoin could have gained by 280% in the first phase of the altseason. However, investors should note that price targets are likely to change with moving prices as the projection is based on the simple moving average. Related Reading: Altcoins Set For $627 Billion Inflow As Altseason Prepares For Takeoff What Now For Toncoin? Following the crypto market decline this week, Toncoin found a local price bottom at $4.71 and is currently undergoing a modest price recovery as it hovers around the $5.40 price zone. In attaining any of Kesmeci’s price predictions, the altcoin will need to break past a minor resistance at the $6.5 price region and also overcome a major price opposition at $7.0. In other developments, Toncoin’s daily trading volume has grown by 3.61% attaining a value of $619.19 million. With a market cap of $13.91 billion, the digital asset remains the ninth-largest cryptocurrency in the market. Featured image from Yellow Card Academy, chart from Tradingvew
A solid recovery in Bitcoin price is a hint that bulls have not given up on BTC and altcoins as they continue to buy dips below key support levels.
Toncoin has entered a period of consolidation, with its price moving within a narrow range of $6.2 and $6.5 as the market weighs its next move. As the cryptocurrency stabilizes, will Toncoin break to the upside, setting the stage for a fresh rally, or will it falter and dip lower, testing crucial support levels? This consolidation phase is more than just a pause in price action; it represents a pivotal moment that could determine TON’s next major move. A breakout to the upside could signal renewed positive sentiment, attracting more buyers and fueling a strong upward trend. On the other hand, a breakdown could shift the market sentiment to bearish, with the price heading lower to retest key support zones. In this article, we will explore both scenarios in detail, analyzing the key levels to watch and what a breakout in either direction could mean for Toncoin’s future trajectory. Toncoin Current Range: Understanding The Consolidation Phase As Toncoin consolidates, current price action suggests the potential for a breakout to the upside. The price has shown signs of bullish momentum within the consolidation range, with gradual upward movements indicating increasing buying interest. Related Reading: Toncoin’s 90-Day Returns Turn Positive: Is A Massive Rally On The Horizon? Furthermore, this upward pressure within the range is often a precursor to a breakout, as market participants accumulate positions, anticipating a rise above resistance levels. If this momentum continues to build, it could signal that Toncoin is preparing for a strong move on the upside once the price breaks free from its current consolidation zone. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently trending above the 50% threshold, indicating that Toncoin is in positive territory and buying pressure is starting to outpace selling activity, which is often a sign of bullish momentum. When the RSI remains above the 50% mark, it suggests that the asset is more likely to experience upward movement as it reflects an increasing number of buyers compared to sellers. Typically, this level is often seen as a key indicator for possible future gains, showing that market sentiment is leaning toward optimism. As the RSI trends higher, the likelihood of a breakout to the upside increases, reinforcing the optimistic outlook for Toncoin. What Happens After A Breakout? Possible Price Targets And Next Steps After a breakout, TON’s direction will hinge on whether the move is upward or downward. If the price breaks higher, it could target the $7.2 resistance level, which could act as an initial hurdle. Breaking above this level successfully would indicate strong bullish momentum, potentially triggering upward movement. In this scenario, the next key resistance level to watch would be $8.3. A move past this point could set Toncoin on a path for additional gains, as it would signal that the bulls are in control and the price may continue to climb toward new highs. Related Reading: Toncoin Price Explodes With 17% Rally — Can TON Sustain The Momentum? On the other hand, if the breakout is to the downside, the price will likely test the $6 support level. A breach of this level could lead to more declines, with subsequent support zones becoming crucial. Conclusively, increased volatility is common, so traders should watch for confirmation signals after a breakout, such as volume and momentum indicators, to gauge the sustainability of the move. The broader market sentiment also plays a significant role in determining the direction and strength of the breakout. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s rally above $100,000 has improved sentiment, triggering a strong recovery in several altcoins.
Bitcoin price trades above $100,000 again, proving that every minor dip is being purchased.
Bitcoin may consolidate in the near term while select altcoins continue to outperform.
Toncoin price performance has been one of the brightest spots in the cryptocurrency market in a week that has been rather slow for the large-cap assets. While Bitcoin has struggled to achieve its dream of a $100,000 valuation, tokens like Toncoin (TON), Stellar (XLM), and XRP have continued to soar with double-digit returns. Specifically, TON seems to be finally coming to life after a somewhat sluggish start to the month of November. However, the question that would probably be lingering on several investors’ minds is — how long can the Toncoin price sustain this bullish momentum? Is TON Price Going To Continue Upward Trend? In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, an analyst with the pseudonym Darkfost shared an exciting analysis for the price of Toncoin over the next few weeks. According to the pundit, on-chain signals are currently bullish for the altcoin’s price. Related Reading: XRP Price Prediction: Analyst Says History Is Repeating Itself, Here’s How The relevant metric here is the “90-day percent return,” which measures the percentage change in the price of an asset over the last 90 days. It typically tracks the performance of the cryptocurrency within that period while providing insight into its short-term trend and momentum. According to data from CryptoQuant, the TON 90-day percent return recently turned positive following the upward movement of the Toncoin price. From a historical standpoint, when this metric flips to positive, the price action that follows is usually with significant momentum. Ultimately, this shift in the 90-day percent return suggests that investors’ confidence is increasing and are more willing to hold their assets. This is usually in anticipation of higher prices, as investors are expecting the bullish trend to continue. According to the Quicktake analyst, another on-chain signal that supports the bullish prognosis is the percentage change in open interest. Data from CryptoQuant shows that the on-chain metric has also flipped to positive, suggesting a continuation of the current bullish trend. Toncoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of Toncoin stands at around $6.526, reflecting no significant change in the past day. The altcoin is still up by almost 18% on the weekly timeframe, according to CoinGecko data. This recent bullish run pushed the price of TON back above $6.5 for the first time since late August. Following the token’s fall to around $4.5 in September, the price has been moving mostly sideways before climbing the latest high this month. Related Reading: Dogecoin TD Sell Signal Goes Off, But Here’s Why Parabolic Bull Run Can Still Continue Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView