Ethereum is currently trading above $2,100 at the start of the new month, but one analyst believes the asset’s next major directional move is based on a single price level: one that, if broken, would invalidate years of macro analysis and cause a price collapse to as low as $900. The Count That Has Held For A Year According to an analyst known as The Penguin, Ethereum’s current price behavior fits into a broader Elliott Wave structure that has been developing for years. The analysis defines Ethereum’s entire price history since 2016 as a developing macro sequence: a completed Cycle Wave 1 that topped out, followed by an extended Wave 2 correction playing out as a flat. According to the analyst, this structure is time-consuming, choppy, and designed to frustrate. Related Reading: Analyst Shares A Good Way To Know When Ethereum Has Hit A Bottom Since Ethereum’s 2021 peak, the Ethereum price has largely moved sideways and downward while repeatedly teasing recoveries that faded. The most notable example of this recovery was in August 2025, when Ethereum moved to new all-time highs. However, this has eventually ended up with a reversal that saw Ethereum fall back below $2,000 again. The chart labels the flat trading sequence in detail, mapping out W, X, A, and B legs that form the larger Wave 2 structure. The current price action is positioned within the final leg of the B structure, and the next outlook is an upward move to C from here. The $1,382 Line That Changes Everything As shown in the chart above, the Ethereum price has spent the period since its 2021 peak trading beneath a well-defined horizontal resistance zone between $4,500 and $4,900, with multiple rallies failing to break through this ceiling. The lows, on the other hand, have been less uniform, with lows forming in a more irregular pattern instead of a clean horizontal base. Related Reading: Brace For Impact: Ethereum Price Is Now Forming A Counter-Trend Correction However, one level stands out in this structure, which is the $1,382 low recorded in April 2025. Based on the context of this analysis, this point is labelled as Wave X and serves as the lower timeframe invalidation level. This is the important price level that will determine whether the price structure continues to fall below the four-digit mark. As long as Ethereum remains above it, the Wave 2 scenario will be valid, and the Ethereum price can still transition into a new impulsive cycle to the upside. The price target in this case is a push to as high as $8,400. A breakdown below $1,382, however, would invalidate the entire wave count. ETH would need to shed about a third of its value to reach that level, but given Q1 2026’s 29% decline and February 6 low at $1,743, it is not out of reach under persistent selling pressure. If that invalidation level fails, the analyst’s projection points to a downside break below $900, with Fibonacci extensions on the chart pointing to lows between $800 and $500. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
The Litecoin price has seen its fair share of volatility and corrections over the past few weeks. Despite the downtrend, a crypto analyst has forecasted that LTC could be laying the groundwork for another explosive rally. He has shared a detailed technical analysis and price chart explaining why he believes Litecoin could eventually flip into a bullish position. Litecoin may be positioning itself for another powerful rally, as its market structure remains broadly intact. According to a recent analysis from market expert The Penguin (@ThePenguinXBT), LTC’s structure continues to point toward much higher price levels, with recent volatility and declines doing little to change the overall macro outlook. Litecoin Price Gets Ready For Explosive Rally Sharing a 4-hour price chart, The Penguin gave a detailed breakdown of why he believes Litecoin is preparing for another price surge. He explained that LTC has now swept the October 10 wick, a key technical move that could signal the end of downside liquidity grabs. At the same time, the chart shows a completed five-wave move lower into what appears to be the final leg of Litecoin’s correction. Related Reading: Why The Litecoin Price Could Stage A 33% Rally To $110 The Penguin noted that LTC’s price had earlier stabilized within a clear horizontal range, then briefly dipped below it and quickly reclaimed that level. This rebound took place near the lower support zone around $70, where a sharp sell-off was met with strong buying pressure. As a result, price action formed a rounded recovery from the recent low, which the analyst identified as Litecoin’s final corrective wave. According to The Penguin, the internal structure of Litecoin’s recent move suggests two things: the final correction has been completed, or there might be one last marginal low for LTC. Either way, he emphasized that the broader setup remains strongly bullish. The Penguin has projected that once Litecoin begins its next impulsive move, it could become difficult for the price to be pushed back into previous trading ranges. From the rounded recovery line, the chart points toward a potential move to $82. The analyst has also highlighted an upper blue resistance line above $86 as an additional upside target. If the chart setup plays out as expected, Litecoin could see its price skyrocket by more than 17% from current levels around $70. Analyst Sets Ambitious $1,600 Price Target For LTC In a more recent analysis, The Penguin shared a new chart suggesting that Litecoin could be gearing up for a dramatic price rally. The chart highlights a key descending triangle pattern, traditionally known as a bearish continuation signal, especially when it forms after a downtrend. Related Reading: Litecoin 2M Bollinger Band Width Hits New Lows, CMT-Certified Analyst Reveals What It Means According to the analyst, Litecoin is attempting to break out of a multi-year descending triangle on its weekly chart, signaling the potential end of its consolidation and the start of a new bullish phase. Once this happens, The Penguin predicts that the cryptocurrency could embark on a sharp vertical rally toward $1,600. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Renowned Bitcoin advocate and El Salvador presidential advisor Max Keiser has once again reiterated his ultra-bullish outlook for BTC in 2025, doubling down on predictions that highlight the cryptocurrency’s role as a hedge against inflation and macroeconomic instability. As the traditional financial systems face increasing pressure, Keiser maintains that BTC’s fixed supply and expanding market infrastructure position it for significant upside in the year ahead. How Macro Debt And Inflation Risks Strengthen Bitcoin’s Case According to a recent post from Crypto Miners on X, Bitcoin advocate Max Keiser has once again reiterated his long-standing BTC thesis from 2025. Keiser points to total US debt surpassing $36 trillion and annual interest expenses approaching $1 trillion, claiming that this environment could push BTC beyond $2 million as capital seeks protection from fiat debasement. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bottom Forecast: Top Expert Predicts $40,000 Target Next Year, Here’s The Analysis The argument remains consistent with Keiser’s long-standing BTC maximalist stance, which links rising sovereign US debt expansion and currency dilution to upward pressure on a fixed supply asset. Replies are split, and supporters point to a 21 million supply against the unlimited debt. Thus, critics remain unconvinced, noting that BTC continues to trade below the $100,000 level despite similar high-conviction predictions made throughout 2025. Market commentator The Penguin updated that Bitcoin’s lower timeframe (LTF) structure is still looking a bit less impulsive, but nothing meaningful has changed in the count. Instead, BTC remains comfortable treating the current formation as a leading diagonal for wave 1, with recent LTF fluctuations resembling short-term noise rather than a decisive shift in trend. The Penguin pointed out that by setting Elliott Wave analysis aside and focusing on standard technical analysis, BTC continues to respect a well-defined range. This behavior is seen as consistent with the fact that Sunday trading and volume are light. From a trading perspective, the analyst’s focus is on longs and monitoring a possible shallow deviation toward the 0.886 retracement level marked on the chart. On the bullish side, the confirmation would be acceptance back above the $90,500 level, which would invalidate the bearish idea. Overall, the directional bias remains the same as the low-vol LTF chop is ahead of the yearly open. The Penguin added that the broader structure still looks solid and should hold up, while also noting signs of relative strength in assets such as XPL. Why Momentum Will Decide The Next Major Move Bitcoin high-timeframe (HTF) price action and momentum are currently navigating a structural pattern that mirrors a historical turning point. Crypto investor and trader known as Titan of Crypto has highlighted that BTC is showing a sequence similar to Q2 2021 and Q1 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Recent Dips Reveal Market Structure Issue Not Coming From Selling Pressure While the structure price behavior remains comparable on the HTF charts, momentum indicators are showing signs of weakening. As a result, the next trend will depend on whether momentum can re-accelerate or confirm trend exhaustion. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com