Massive exchange deposits signal bearish sentiment as Uniswap's native token breaks critical support levels amid heightened market volatility.
Meme token faces significant downward pressure amid shifting economic conditions despite positive developments in US-China trade relations.
Bitcoin and MSTR both flashed a bullish signal, indicating a potential major uptrend.
Solana started a fresh increase above the $175 zone. SOL price is now correcting gains and might find bids near the $172 support zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $160 and $165 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading near $175 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term declining channel or a bullish flag forming with support at $172 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $180 resistance zone. Solana Price Corrects Gains Solana price formed a base above the $155 support and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL gained pace for a move above the $160 and $165 resistance levels. However, the bears were active below the $185 resistance zone. A high was formed at $184.75 and the price corrected some gains. The price dipped below $180 and $178. The price dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $166 swing low to the $185 high. However, the bulls are active above the $172 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $166 swing low to the $185 high. Solana is now trading near $175 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a short-term declining channel or a bullish flag forming with support at $172 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $178 level. The next major resistance is near the $180 level. The main resistance could be $185. A successful close above the $185 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $192. Any more gains might send the price toward the $200 level. Downside Correction in SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $180 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $172 zone. The first major support is near the $170 level. A break below the $170 level might send the price toward the $162 zone. If there is a close below the $162 support, the price could decline toward the $150 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $172 and $170. Major Resistance Levels – $180 and $185.
Cardano's integration with Brave browser exposes it to 86 million potential new users amid institutional accumulation.
A positive flip in the indicator has preceded every major rally since 2020.
Institutional investors appear to be flocking to SOL as DeFi metrics show remarkable growth, creating a strong technical foundation for further gains.
Bullish momentum continues as TRON achieves significant milestone in the stablecoin ecosystem while benefiting from easing global trade tensions.
Several on-chain metrics are pointing toward waning momentum as bitcoin attempts to reach its January record just above $109,000.
AI-assisted technical analysis data suggests prices could reach $2.85 in just over two weeks.
Strong volume patterns and technical breakouts suggest BNB could target $750 as global economic tensions reshape crypto markets.
TRON's native token shows resilience despite late-hour selling pressure as global economic factors create market uncertainty.
The cryptocurrency had been trading in a narrow range since February, with resistance above $40 and support near $25.
Solana started a fresh increase above the $162 zone. SOL price is now consolidating near $175 and might extend gains above the $180 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $155 and $162 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $165 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term rising channel forming with support at $172 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $176 resistance zone. Solana Price Consolidates Gains Solana price formed a base above the $150 support and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL gained pace for a move above the $155 and $162 resistance levels. However, the bears were active below the $180 resistance zone. A high was formed at $180.10 and the price corrected some gains. The price dipped below $175 and $172. A low was formed at $169.53 and the price is now attempting another increase. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $180 swing high to the $170 low. Solana is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a short-term rising channel forming with support at $172 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $176 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $180 swing high to the $170 low. The next major resistance is near the $180 level. The main resistance could be $185. A successful close above the $185 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $192. Any more gains might send the price toward the $200 level. Downside Correction in SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $176 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $172 zone. The first major support is near the $170 level. A break below the $170 level might send the price toward the $162 zone. If there is a close below the $162 support, the price could decline toward the $150 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $172 and $170. Major Resistance Levels – $176 and $180.
Top altcoins are mimicking BTC's late April bullish breakout that set the stage for a rally to $100,000.
According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by on-chain analyst BorisVest, Ethereum (ETH) appears to be stuck in a state of limbo. While retail investors are increasingly sending ETH to exchanges such as Binance – typically a sign of selling pressure – large investors are steadily withdrawing ETH from these platforms, indicating accumulation and long-term confidence. Ethereum Stuck In A Tug-Of-War As ETH inches closer to the $2,000 mark for the first time since March 27, market sentiment appears to be shifting. Optimism is building around the potential for a trend reversal, but on-chain data continues to deliver mixed signals regarding Ethereum’s short- to medium-term direction. Related Reading: Ethereum Holders Stay Committed Despite Unrealized Losses – Signs Of An Incoming Rally? In his analysis, BorisVest highlighted that Ethereum metrics from Binance are sending ‘mixed signals.’ While short-term indicators reveal underlying weakness and investor indecision, longer-term metrics point to resilience and strength. Notably, mean exchange inflows have increased significantly since late 2024, suggesting growing sell pressure from retail traders. This pattern resembles the behavior seen during 2022–2023, when a surge in ETH deposits to exchanges preceded a steep price decline. Similarly, mean exchange outflows have also been rising steadily since October 2023. However, these outflows are largely linked to whale wallets – addresses holding large amounts of ETH – implying that high-net-worth individuals are accumulating rather than selling. This divergence highlights a classic tug-of-war between retail fear and institutional confidence. The analyst also pointed to funding rate trends. He noted that during ETH’s rally to $4,000 in early 2025, funding rates became overly positive as bullish sentiment took hold. This over-leveraged long positioning resulted in a sharp correction, driving ETH’s price down to $1,400 by April. At present, funding rates are hovering in neutral territory, indicating a lack of clear leverage bias. BorisVest noted that if short interest rises and funding rates fall below zero, a short squeeze could ensue – potentially driving prices higher. However, no such setup has formed yet. Meanwhile, the taker buy/sell ratio, which tracks aggressive market orders, showed heavy selling pressure in late 2024 and early 2025 – right before Ethereum’s steep decline. This ratio is now stabilizing, suggesting that sellers may be exhausted and buyers are gradually regaining strength. Change Of Fortunes For ETH? Although ETH is down 34.3% over the past year, several technical and on-chain indicators point toward a potential bullish trend reversal for the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap. Related Reading: Ethereum Capitulation Nearing Its End? Key On-Chain Metric Reveals Insights For instance, Ethereum recently flashed a golden cross on the daily chart, a bullish indicator that typically leads to major upward moves. Further, there are signs that the cryptocurrency may have already bottomed out for this market cycle. That said, uncertainty remains. Recently, machine learning algorithm CoinCodex predicted that ETH may witness another crash that may push its price down to $1,500. At press time, ETH trades at $1,966, up 7.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
ETH, BCH and top memecoins are flashing bullish chart patterns.
Key bearish indicators recently trapped bears on the wrong side of the market in a pattern observed in August-September 2024.
Solana started a fresh decline from the $155 zone. SOL price is now consolidating near $145 and might extend losses below the $142 support. SOL price started a fresh decline below the $150 and $148 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $150 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term rising channel or a continuation pattern forming with support at $144 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $148 resistance zone. Solana Price Consolidates Gains Solana price formed a base above the $142 support and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL gained pace for a move above the $145 and $150 resistance levels. However, the bears were active below the $155 resistance zone. A high was formed at $153.90 and the price started a fresh decline. The price dipped below $150 and $148. A low was formed at $142.64 and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $153.90 swing high to the $142.64 low. Solana is now trading below $150 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a short-term rising channel or a continuation pattern forming with support at $144 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $147 level. The next major resistance is near the $150 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $153.90 swing high to the $142.64 low. The main resistance could be $155. A successful close above the $155 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $165. Any more gains might send the price toward the $180 level. More Losses in SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $150 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $145 zone. The first major support is near the $142 level. A break below the $142 level might send the price toward the $135 zone. If there is a close below the $135 support, the price could decline toward the $122 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $145 and $142. Major Resistance Levels – $147 and $150.
Institutional investors accumulate despite volatility, with 109 new SHIB millionaire wallets emerging in April.
XRP is nearing a 'death cross,' a bearish indicator, as its price falls below the 50-day moving average.
Bitcoin (BTC) has surged 14.6% over the past two weeks, rising from approximately $84,500 on April 18 to the mid-$90,000 range at the time of writing. With this upward momentum, the leading cryptocurrency appears to be setting its sights on a new all-time high (ATH), as several technical and momentum indicators hint at a growing bullish trend. Bitcoin Monthly Stochastic RSI Turning Bullish In a recent post on X, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto shared a BTC monthly chart indicating that the Stochastic Relative Strength Index (RSI) is on the verge of a bullish crossover. For the uninitiated, a Stochastic RSI bullish crossover signals growing upward momentum and is often interpreted as a potential buy signal or the start of a potential rally. Titan of Crypto added that if confirmed, the bullish crossover may initiate BTC’s next leg up. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashing Pre-Rally Signals Seen Before Major 2024 Breakouts, Analyst Says As an example, the analyst referred to BTC’s price action on the monthly chart from back in Q3 2021. At the time, a similar bullish crossover in the Stochastic RSI preceded a 56.9% surge in Bitcoin’s price. However, Bitcoin must hold above crucial support levels to maintain this bullish structure. In a separate X post, renowned analyst Ali Martinez noted that BTC could re-test the $95,700 support zone before advancing toward the $100,000 milestone. On the resistance side, Martinez emphasized that $97,530 remains a “key level to watch.” A successful breakout beyond this threshold could pave the way for BTC to revisit or surpass its previous ATH. As it stands, Bitcoin is trading roughly 10% below its record high. Analysts Predict BTC’s Next Move Crypto analyst Rekt Capital also weighed in on BTC’s potential trajectory. In an X post published yesterday, he suggested that once BTC decisively breaks through the $97,000 to $99,000 zone, it could face rejection near $104,500. Following that, holding the $97,000–$99,000 range as support would be critical for BTC to launch toward new highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Momentum Yet To Recover From Deep Negative Zone, Analyst Says Similarly, analyst Ted noted that BTC is currently trading in a Wyckoff accumulation phase. The analyst added that BTC’s slide below $76,000 in early April was likely the bottom for this market cycle. He added: Looking at the Wyckoff accumulation pattern, it seems like the $96K-$99K level could act as a resistance. I think BTC could consolidate here for a few days, before eventually breaking to the upside. Despite bullish momentum, some concerns remain. Analysts caution that Bitcoin is unlikely to face a true supply shock in the immediate future, which could temper upside potential. At press time, BTC trades at $97,142, up 0.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from X and TradingView.com
Solana started a fresh increase from the $140 support zone. SOL price is now consolidating and might climb further above the $154 resistance zone. SOL price started a fresh increase above the $142 and $145 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $150 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $149 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $154 resistance zone. Solana Price Consolidates Gains Solana price formed a base above the $140 support and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL gained pace for a move above the $142 and $145 resistance levels. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $149 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The pair even spiked above the $150 resistance zone. A high was formed at $153.90 and the price is now consolidating gains. The price dipped below $152 and tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $140 swing low to the $154 high. Solana is now trading above $150 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $152 level. The next major resistance is near the $154 level. The main resistance could be $158. A successful close above the $158 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $165. Any more gains might send the price toward the $180 level. Downside Correction in SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $154 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $150 zone. The first major support is near the $147 level. A break below the $147 level might send the price toward the $145 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $140 swing low to the $154 high. If there is a close below the $145 support, the price could decline toward the $140 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $147 and $145. Major Resistance Levels – $154 and $158.
Bullish reversal pattern forms as LTC reclaims critical $86 level amid increasing institutional interest.
Despite broader market uncertainty, SOL demonstrates remarkable resilience by climbing from April lows to establish new support levels above $150.
Despite Bitcoin (BTC) gaining notable traction over the past week – rising from approximately $85,000 on April 21 to nearly $95,000 today – the top cryptocurrency’s Demand Momentum remains significantly subdued, signalling caution among investors. Bitcoin Demand Momentum Continues To Be In Negative Zone According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by analyst Crazzyblockk, Bitcoin’s 30-day Demand Momentum is still firmly in negative territory. Currently, the 30-day Demand Momentum stands at around -483,860 BTC, while the 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the same metric is hovering near -310,700 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Clear This Critical Cost Basis Level For Continued Upside, Analyst Says To clarify, the 30-day Demand Momentum is calculated by subtracting the 30-day Long-Term Holder (LTH) Supply from the 30-day Short-Term Holder (STH) Supply. This metric effectively measures the net shift in active demand for BTC. A rise in short-term holder supply relative to long-term holders implies that market participants are increasingly opting to speculate rather than hold Bitcoin for the long haul. Trading in the negative zone suggests waning demand from short-term investors. This could be attributed to profit-taking – especially after BTC’s recent 10% rally over the past seven days – or lingering market uncertainty amid global economic concerns, including renewed trade tariff tensions. Furthermore, the market is experiencing a dynamic where long-term holders are absorbing fewer BTC than what short-term holders are distributing. According to Crazzyblockk, such behavior is commonly observed during late-cycle distribution phases or macro-level consolidation periods. It is worth noting that Bitcoin has previously experienced similar deep negative divergences in Demand Momentum, specifically during mid-2021 and the second quarter of 2022. In both instances, these divergences were followed by sharp price pullbacks. On an optimistic note, the ensuing market recovery on both the instances coincided with market bottoms. They also marked the resumption of sustainable bullish momentum in the following months. If Bitcoin can reverse this negative demand trend and push the metric back into positive territory, it could signal a strong resurgence in investor conviction. A return to the “green zone” would likely mark a renewed uptrend, potentially pushing BTC to a new all-time high (ATH) in the near term. Positive Signs Emerging For BTC While Demand Momentum remains weak, other market signals suggest that Bitcoin could be nearing a trend reversal. For example, Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand – a separate on-chain metric – has recently shown a sharp rebound, hinting at a possible return of buying pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surpasses Realized Price Of Recent Buyers — Rally Incoming Or Double Top? Additionally, BTC exchange reserves continue to decline rapidly. According to recent data, Bitcoin just recorded its highest exchange withdrawal volume in two years. This ongoing depletion of exchange-held BTC could lead to a supply squeeze, further supporting bullish price action. Technical indicators also point toward the possibility of BTC testing its current ATH of $108,786. At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $94,773, up 0.3% over the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Solana started a fresh increase from the $142 support zone. SOL price is now consolidating and might climb further above the $155 resistance zone. SOL price started a fresh increase above the $140 and $142 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $145 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $152 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $155 resistance zone. Solana Price Consolidates Gains Solana price formed a base above the $135 support and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL gained pace for a move above the $140 and $142 resistance levels. The pair even spiked toward the $155 resistance zone. A high was formed at $153.30 before there was a pullback. The price dipped below $150. A low was formed at $145 and the price started a consolidation phase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from $153.30 swing high to the $145.54 low. Solana is now trading below $152 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $152 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $149.50 level. The next major resistance is near the $150 level. The main resistance could be $152 and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from $153.30 swing high to the $145.54 low. A successful close above the $152 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $155. Any more gains might send the price toward the $165 level. Downside Correction in SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $150 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $147 zone. The first major support is near the $145 level. A break below the $145 level might send the price toward the $138 zone. If there is a close below the $138 support, the price could decline toward the $132 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $147 and $145. Major Resistance Levels – $150 and $155.
Polygon is gaining renewed attention in the crypto market following a bullish breakout from a broadening wedge pattern, an encouraging technical formation that often precedes strong upward moves. After weeks of consolidation and choppy price action, POL has decisively moved above the pattern’s resistance line, breathing life back into its short-term outlook. The current momentum suggests that bulls may have their eyes set on the next key target at $0.31. With improving sentiment and technical indicators flashing bullish signals, POL appears poised to extend its recovery if buyers can sustain the pressure. From Consolidation To Acceleration: Polygon Phase Shifts In a recent tweet, Whales_Crypto_Trading highlighted a significant technical move on POL’s chart. Polygon is currently breaking above the upper boundary of a broadening wedge on the daily timeframe, which is usually a bullish signal that points to rising volatility and potential trend reversal. This pattern, widely watched by technical traders, suggests that POL may be gearing up for a sustained upside push. Related Reading: Nearly All POL Holders At A Loss—What Does It Mean For The Market? The analyst further noted that if momentum continues to build, POL could see a notable move toward the $0.52 mark. This level represents a midterm projection based on the size of the breakout from the wedge formation. A 2x gain from current levels would attract bullish attention and position POL back in line with previous consolidation zones. With the breakout accompanied by improving sentiment and growing volume, Polygon appears to be setting the stage for a stronger rally. Presently, speculations are whether bulls can maintain the price above the breakout level and continue defending short-term support. If that happens, POL’s next chapter could be defined by renewed momentum and wider investor interest. Measured Moves And Extended Targets While $0.31 stands as the immediate upside target following the breakout, the broadening wedge pattern hints that the Polygon rally may not stop there. Breakouts from such structures often extend beyond initial resistance zones, especially when supported by strong volume and positive momentum indicators. Related Reading: Polygon Q4 Digest: Agglayer Testnet Launch Drives 30% Spike In POL Market Cap If bullish pressure remains steady, the next areas to watch would be near $0.44 and $0.52, both of which align with previous reaction points and Fibonacci extensions. These levels could act as zones where short-term traders might take profits, but they also offer opportunities for the trend to build new higher highs. Despite the upward momentum surrounding POL’s breakout, risks still linger beneath the surface. One major concern is the possibility of a false breakout if the price fails to hold above the $0.31 mark, attracting strong selling pressure and trapping late buyers. This would invalidate the breakout and may trigger a swift pullback toward lower support levels. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana started a fresh increase from the $132 support zone. SOL price is now consolidating and might climb further above the $155 resistance zone. SOL price started a fresh increase above the $135 and $150 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $150 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $150 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $155 resistance zone. Solana Price Gains Over 10% Solana price formed a base above the $132 support and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL gained pace for a move above the $135 and $145 resistance levels. The pair even spiked toward the $150 resistance zone. A high was formed at $154.55 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $145 swing low to the $155 high. Solana is now trading above $150 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $150 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $145 swing low to the $155 high. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $154 level. The next major resistance is near the $155 level. The main resistance could be $162. A successful close above the $162 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $175. Any more gains might send the price toward the $180 level. Pullback in SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $155 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $150 zone. The first major support is near the $145 level. A break below the $145 level might send the price toward the $138 zone. If there is a close below the $138 support, the price could decline toward the $132 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $150 and $145. Major Resistance Levels – $155 and $162.
Recent positive price action has propelled Bitcoin (BTC) above the short-term holders’ realized price of $91,000. This development has prompted some crypto analysts to question whether BTC’s newfound strength is sustainable – or merely a bull trap ahead of a major pullback. Is Bitcoin About To Rally Or Will It Double Top? US President Donald Trump’s recent statement that tariffs on China will be “substantially” lower than the proposed 145% provided a boost to risk-on assets. Both equity and crypto markets responded positively, with BTC up 5.6% over the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Ahead? Analysts Say These Key Indicators Look Bullish Bitcoin is currently trading in the low $90,000s for the first time since March, renewing hopes for an extended rally that could push it past the $100,000 mark. However, CryptoQuant contributor Avocado_onchain urges caution. In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the on-chain analyst provided insights into the behavior of the 1–3 month holder cohort. This group typically enters the market during bullish phases and tends to hold their BTC through price corrections. The analyst shared the following chart, illustrating how these short-term participants often transition into the 3–6 month holding category – highlighted with a yellow arrow – during extended drawdowns. Conversely, during strong rallies – highlighted with a green arrow – this group tends to take profits by selling to new market entrants. As the market nears the final stages of a rally – highlighted with a red circle – this cohort usually grows significantly in size. When a drawdown begins, these short-term holders often exit the market as prices approach their realized cost basis. Avocado_onchain also shared another chart showing how the peaks of previous BTC halving cycles have consistently surpassed the average realized price of 1–3 month holders. Further, the analyst warned that the current market cycle may mirror the double top formation witnessed in 2021. They added: When Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $109,000 in January 2025, it significantly exceeded this realized price level, suggesting that may have been the first top of a potential double top formation. Hence, rather than chasing the rally, it may be wiser for current holders to adopt a more cautious approach. Macro Headwinds Could Derail BTC Momentum The analyst further cautioned that limited market liquidity and macroeconomic factors – such as US-China tariff tensions – could weigh heavily on risk-on assets like BTC. That said, market sentiment can shift rapidly, and the entry of fresh liquidity could reignite a full-scale bull market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Following Gold’s Footsteps? Analyst Sets Mid-Term Target At $155,000 Meanwhile, crypto analyst Xanrox recently warned that BTC’s breakout from a falling wedge pattern may be a whale-driven trap designed to lure retail investors before another leg down. At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $93,754, up 5.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com