Bitcoin flipped a small but notable technical switch this week when the Coinbase premium moved back above zero, ending a run of negative readings that began after heavy selling on February 6. Related Reading: XRP Fell Nearly 70% — Could History Repeat With An 835% Surge? Coinbase Premium Flips Above Zero According to market data published on February 23, 2026, Bitcoin was trading around $66,150 on Binance futures at one point, showing a brief hourly uptick of 0.40%. Yet other spot indexes told a different slice of the story: CoinMarketCap listed BTC near $65,070 and flagged a roughly 3% drop for the day. Those gaps are normal: futures, spot feeds, and aggregate trackers can diverge. What matters here is the premium’s direction — it had been negative for much of February and then crossed into positive territory. Coinbase Bitcoin Premium has flipped positive for the first time since the Feb 6th bottom. It looks like institutions are done with selling for now. pic.twitter.com/rUYgxO2Fo8 — Ted (@TedPillows) February 23, 2026 Why Traders Care About The Premium Coinbase is widely used by big US buyers, so a positive premium is read by many traders as a hint that domestic spot demand is outpacing offshore pressure. But a flip above zero is only a starting signal. The size of the spread, how long it holds, and whether exchange inflows back up the move are the things that turn a signal into a trend. Small, short-lived flips can be caused by temporary liquidity differences or quick arbitrage trades. Larger, sustained spreads are the ones that tend to matter to portfolio managers. Geopolitics And Market Mood Market watchers are also pointing to broader factors. Rising tensions between the US and Iran, along with talk about tariff adjustments linked to US President Donald Trump, have driven investors toward safer assets in recent sessions. That mood has at times pushed BTC below important technical cushions near $65,000, and some sessions saw brief dips under $64,000 before a few calm windows allowed minor rebounds. When fear spikes, crypto often feels it first. Derivatives, Volume, And Technical Levels Futures activity on Binance and other platforms stayed busy, even if volume didn’t show the sort of surge that precedes big breakouts. Reports put daily trading volume near $45.71 billion while market cap sat close to $1.30 trillion. Funding rates, open interest, and exchange inflows are being monitored closely; each can either confirm or undercut the message from the Coinbase premium. A rising open interest that aligns with a growing premium would be more persuasive than a lone spread tick. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buying Spree Nears Century Mark, Saylor Hints Encouraging Signs A Coinbase premium turning positive offers a hopeful signal after weeks below zero, but it doesn’t confirm a sustained rally. Investors will be tracking how large the spread is, whether Coinbase sees significant inflows, and if funding rates and open interest support the move. Traders are likely to wait through the next sessions for clear signs before considering the market stabilized. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s recent wobble has traders on edge, but the picture is not all one-way. Reports note heavy losses for late buyers, and on-chain figures show real money changing hands as positions are forced closed. Markets moved fast; the mood did too. Related Reading: XRP Flashes Rare On-Chain Signal That Once Preceded 114% Gains Fear And Greed Plunges To Single Digits According to CoinGlass, more than 144,839 traders were liquidated in the last 24 hours, with total liquidations of over $508 million and about 92% tied to long bets. Reports from Alternative.me put the Crypto Fear and Greed Index at 5 out of 100 — a reading that has turned up only three times since 2018. That level screams panic. Yet panic often clears out the most fragile holders and leaves room for steadier hands to step in. Realized Losses And Capitulation Signals Based on reports from Glassnode, recent investors are still booking losses at a high rate — the seven-day moving average for net realized losses was close to $500 million per day. That kind of selling pressure looks brutal on a chart. At the same time, selling at scale can mark an end to a sharp phase of decline, because it reduces the number of people left to sell when prices fall further. Bitcoin Price Action In the middle of all this, price moves matter. Bitcoin rose to roughly $68,600 on Saturday, but it slid back and touched the mid-$64,000s after a wave of exits. Traders are watching a range that formed after the early-February drop to about $60,000. The coin remains roughly 48% below an October high of $126,000 and about 5.5% under the 2021 peak near $69,000. News tied to US-Iran tension and general risk-off trading pushed some traders toward safer assets, which added fuel to the pullback. Sharpe Ratio Hits Unusual Low Analyst Michaël van de Poppe shared a chart showing Bitcoin’s Sharpe Ratio at -38.4. That metric measures returns relative to risk; a number this low is rare. This is a phenomenal chart. It shows the Sharpe Ratio for #Bitcoin in the short term. The key takeaway: the Sharpe Ratio has dropped to -38.38, which historically has marked “Low Risk” accumulation zones. The red circles highlight every time the Sharpe Ratio dipped to similar… pic.twitter.com/Nwp7SkfVP4 — Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) February 21, 2026 Historically, extreme negative readings have sometimes lined up with moments when buying risk felt lower, because potential downside had been squeezed out by big selloffs. That does not guarantee a rebound, but it changes how investors view the trade-off between reward and risk. Related Reading: Political Meme Coins Implode: TRUMP Down 92%, MELANIA Nearly Wiped Out Where This Could Lead Some technical watchers warn that more tests of support could happen if uncertainty continues. Others point to the combination of heavy liquidations, deep fear readings, and large realized losses as signals that a base might be forming. Pasts on-chain figures show that panic and steep losses often precede quieter periods where buyers return slowly. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
A modest claim. A bold number. Both are on the table for Bitcoin this week as a debate over how to read short-term streaks in price gains grows louder. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Bleeds $1 Trillion, Saylor Signals Strongest Crypto Conviction Yet Crypto analyst Timothy Peterson has pointed out that half of the last 24 months showed positive returns. Based on reports, he then gave a nearly 90% chance that Bitcoin would be higher in 10 months. That leap from a simple count to a firm probability is the headline grabber. It should be met with careful questions about how the odds were calculated and what assumptions were built into the model. Counting Positive Months Peterson based his view on a review of monthly performance data. Figures compiled by CoinGlass show that Bitcoin closed six months of 2025 in positive territory, while the remaining six finished lower. According to the data, 50% of the past 24 months ended with gains. Peterson said he tracks this rolling two-year window to spot potential turning points in price trends. 50% of the past 24 months have been positive. This implies a 88% chance that Bitcoin will be higher 10 months from now. The average return is exp(60%)-1 = 82% => $122,000. Data goes back to 2011. https://t.co/k4IjTisuTH pic.twitter.com/ZxfTyequjt — Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) February 21, 2026 Market Odds And Betting An exchange of bets shows a very different view. Polymarket currently prices December as only a 17% shot at being the best month of 2026, with November a hair higher. Those numbers answer a different question from Peterson’s: they reflect market bets on which month will outperform others, not whether the price will simply be higher at a future date. Betting markets can be blunt tools, but they do pack the collective view of many traders into a single number. Bitcoin Price Action Price has not been calm. Bitcoin traded in a roughly $67,000–$68,000 band this week as geopolitical tension in the Middle East tightened. Safe-haven assets like gold and oil jumped on news flows, and Bitcoin felt the squeeze as some buyers stepped back. At the same time, live tickers showed the token about 20% below its level at the start of the year, a reminder that headline percentages hide wide intraday swings. Analysts Are Split Voices from the trading desk are divided. Michael van de Poppe suggested near-term green candles could be coming, urging traders to watch for a lift. On the other hand, Peter Brandt has argued a deeper low may not arrive until late 2026. Both views rest on different sets of signals — one on momentum and chart structure, the other on longer cycle patterns and risk of macro shocks. Sentiment Still Down Meanwhile, flow data from spot ETF purchases, derivatives positioning, and on-chain liquidity figures would add weight to any forecast. Related Reading: XRP Tipped As Central Bank Bridge Asset — Bigger Than Bitcoin? Peterson’s forecast comes as crypto market sentiment continues to decline, with reports noting that discussion and activity around Bitcoin predictions have slowed. Traders appear cautious, weighing past trends against current uncertainty in the market. Featured image from Vecteezy, chart from TradingView
Reports note that Bitcoin holders realized large losses as prices slid, and the headline number is hard to ignore. According to on-chain tracker CryptoQuant, about $4.5 billion in net losses was recorded on January 23. Related Reading: Bitcoin Influencers Get Spotlight In X’s New ‘Starterpacks’ That number reflects moved coins sold at prices lower than when they were bought. It is a big transfer of paper pain into real losses. Realized Losses Spike While the dollar figure grabs attention, the meaning is what matters. Many who bought late in the run higher are choosing to sell rather than hold through more decline. That behavior shows frustration. Reports say the Net Realized Profit and Loss metric tallies this by comparing sell prices to purchase prices, and a negative reading this large signals a wave of capitulation. Some larger, long-term holders have been quieter. Their activity appears muted while smaller and mid-term participants make the day-to-day moves. According to analyst posts on CryptoQuant, this mix — quiet big holders and active smaller sellers — is common during corrective stretches. It does not automatically mean the market is broken; it means sentiment has shifted toward caution. $4.5 Billion in Realized Loss on Bitcoin “Highest amount of realized losses in three years. The last time this occurred in Bitcoin, the price was trading at $28,000 after a brief correction period that lasted about a year.” – By @gaah_im pic.twitter.com/OJ7bbL3RSC — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 26, 2026 Bitcoin Price Action Midway through the week, Bitcoin traded around the mid-$80,000s, well below the $90,000 mark that some investors had eyed as a key level. Market chatter shows traders watching macro cues like the US Federal Reserve and inflation data for guidance. Volatility has not disappeared; it has simply become more tied to broader economic signals than to isolated crypto headlines. Whale addresses appeared to step in at times, helping to hold local price floors. But many traders remain cautious. Reports note that geopolitical headlines can cause quick swings, yet the current movement looks more like slow digestion of profit and repositioning than explosive panic selling. Activity on spot exchanges and ETF flows has been variable, reflecting the mixed mood across the market. Related Reading: XRP Showing Strength, Analyst Points To $4 Potential Capitulation Has Come Before Similar loss spikes were seen in March 2023, when realized losses reached close to $6 billion, and in November 2022, when losses hit roughly $4.3 billion. These events were followed by consolidation and then eventual recovery. Based on reports from analytics firms and market observers, spikes in realized losses can mark the late stages of selling pressure, after which the market sometimes finds a base. Featured image from Pexel, chart from TradingView
Whale-sized Bitcoin holders are piling up more coins even as prices wobble. According to blockchain tracker Santiment, wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC added 104,340 BTC in recent weeks. Related Reading: Gold Becomes The Whale Safe Haven As Bitcoin Takes A Back Seat Reports note that total supply held by these large wallets hit 7.17 million BTC, the highest level since September 15, 2025. Mid-sized holders joined in too, adding roughly $3.21 billion worth of Bitcoin between January 10 and January 19. Small retail wallets moved the other way, offloading about 132 BTC, worth around $11.66 million. Whales Push Their Stakes Higher The numbers point to patient buying by big players. Large transfers of $1 million or more have climbed to a two-month high, which suggests heavy participants are active on the network again. According to Santiment, this kind of flow is often tied to institutions and wealthy investors moving coins between custody, exchanges, and private wallets. Some of those moves are driven by strategic choices; some are meant to secure holdings. Either way, a growing pile in whale hands changes where supply sits. Smaller holders are stepping back, while the so-called smart money increases exposure. Reports say mid-sized wallets — those holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC — were net buyers in the same stretch. ???? Large Bitcoin whales are accumulating at an encouraging pace, wallets with at least 1K $BTC have collectively accumulated 104,340 more coins (a +1.5% rise). Additionally, the amount of $1M+ daily transfers is back up to 2-month high levels. ???? Chart: https://t.co/CJOfiOBbWU pic.twitter.com/4loxDFtUdb — Santiment (@santimentfeed) January 25, 2026 Price Action And Market Signals Bitcoin’s price has not matched the upbeat on-chain action. Trading was around $87,730 at one point, with intraday swings between $86,500 and $87,500. The alpha crypto asset was down about 0.5% over 24 hours and roughly 5.4% over the prior week. Volumes have ticked up, though, which makes the case that some investors are stepping in at these levels. The picture is mixed: on-chain accumulation suggests a base is being formed, but macro headlines keep the market on edge. On-Chain Strength Versus Headlines A growing stash by big holders can support a future rally if external stress eases. Yet prices move on more than Bitcoin flows. Large transfers and rising accumulation mean demand exists under the surface, but that demand has yet to fully push the market higher. Macro Risks And Market Jitters Geopolitical worries are casting a long shadow. Reports say US President Donald Trump has moved warships toward areas of tension, and prediction markets show a significant chance that the US could strike Iran by June. Trade friction with Canada over recent auto rules has raised fresh political noise, and Polymarket shows the probability of a US government shutdown above 70%. These are real risks that can lift oil, rattle markets, and sap appetite for risk assets. Related Reading: Money Keeps Leaving: Bitcoin ETFs Shed $1.72 Billion In Just 5 Sessions Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Gold shone brightly today, racing to a new high while crypto took the back seat, and the gap between the two assets opened wide. Related Reading: Money Keeps Leaving: Bitcoin ETFs Shed $1.72 Billion In Just 5 Sessions On Monday, the precious metal moved past the $5,000 mark, registering a price point market sentinels had not witnessed before. Bitcoin, by contrast, failed to keep pace and traded well below its recent highs. Gold Hits Record Levels Safe-haven demand pushed gold sharply higher. Prices were up above $5k an ounce and inked roughly $5,110 at the peak. Silver, for its part, did not go unnoticed, jumping to fresh peaks near $107/ounce. Source: Gold Price Traders pointed to simmering geopolitical friction and talk of tougher trade moves led by US President Donald Trump as fuel for the rally. A weaker greenback made metals more attractive to customers overseas, and central bank buying provided steady backing. Liquidity in some corners were thin as investors rushed to shift cash into things that feel stable when risk elevates. Bitcoin Falls Behind Market numbers show Bitcoin hovering in the mid-$80,000s range, retreating from peaks seen late last year. Reports note the alpha crypto is roughly 30% below the highest level it hit reached in October 2025, leaving some holders quite jittery. Volatility was another factor. Where bullion is being sought for safety, Bitcoin is viewed more as a growth or speculative play, and that difference in investor application becomes clear when markets tighten. Some funds slashed their crypto exposure, signaling a short reroute away from high-risk gambits. Why Investors Are Shifting Analysts and traders described a simple choice: shelter or swing for gains. When headlines push worry, money flows into assets that are widely trusted across markets and governments. Metals fit that ticket. Based on market chatter, fears of a US government funding clash and fresh tariff announcements stacked pressure on stocks and added a sense of urgency to safe-haven acquisition. Options and futures trading hinted at a more cautious perpective, with volatility indexes rising and bond yields behaving in ways that made the yellow metal look more appealing by comparison. Related Reading: XRP Charts Flash Familiar Signal As Analyst Calls For $11, Then $70 What Traders Are Watching Market watchers said eyes will be glued on a few key metrics: The dollar’s path, moves by major central banks, and any sign that US politics escalates could keep metals elevated. For Bitcoin, network activity, large wallet flows, and regulatory headlines will likely set the tone. Some traders expect swings both ways. Others caution that when risk appetite is back, crypto may bounce hard, but that outcome is not a sure thing and will be dependent on a string of policy and macro moves. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin tumbled sharply this week and erased the gains it had made in 2026. Reports from CoinGlass show that over the past 24 hours, 167,513 traders were forced out of their positions, with total liquidations reaching $857 million, with most of those losses coming from long bets. The price slid below the key $88,000 area on major exchanges as traders were forced out of leveraged positions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Senses Risk As Trump Balks At Europe With Major Tariffs Liquidations And Quick Drop According to CoinGlass and market trackers, the liquidations were concentrated in long positions, which amplified the fall and made the move faster than a simple sell-off would have been. Crypto market value fell by hundreds of millions over the same short span. Markets Turned Risk-Averse As Tariff Threats Spread Reports note that renewed tariff threats from US President Donald Trump toward some European countries set off a fresh “Sell America” trade, which pushed investors away from US assets and toward safer bets. Stocks fell and the dollar weakened. At the same time, traders were watching big moves in Japan’s bond market, where yields jumped sharply, increasing pressure on global liquidity. Those bond moves are important because they can force carry trades to unwind, pulling money out of risk assets — including crypto. A Tug Between Liquidity And Safe Havens The sell-off did not happen for only one reason. Reports point to a mix of political shocks, bond-market stress, and a wave of forced liquidations as the main drivers. As cash flowed into safe havens, gold surged to fresh highs while crypto lost ground. Many investors treated Bitcoin like a risky asset in this episode, selling it to cover losses or margin calls elsewhere. Different trackers gave slightly different figures on total market losses and exact liquidations over 24 and 48 hours. That is normal when markets move fast and data is pulled from different exchanges and windows. Still, the broad picture was clear: a fast, leveraged unwind sent prices lower and erased the year’s gains for Bitcoin. Related Reading: Trove’s New Token Craters 95%, Sparking Investor Revolt Markets Will Watch Liquidity And Diplomacy Looking ahead, investors will likely watch three things closely: moves in global bond markets, any escalation or de-escalation around the tariff threats tied to Greenland, and whether forced selling slows. If liquidity conditions calm, risk assets can recover more easily. If they keep tightening, the pressure on crypto and stocks could persist. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
According to market reports, US President Donald Trump announced a punitive tariff plan aimed at several European allies. The move sent a clear warning to traders and policy makers alike. Stocks and crypto fell as investors shifted to assets they see as safer. Gold climbed, and some currencies strengthened as a reaction to the risk. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Fired Up As Saylor Teases ‘Bigger Orange’ After Huge Buy Markets Feel The Shift Trading floors showed quick reactions. Bitcoin slipped by about 3% and traded in the low-$90,000 range for a time, while equity futures weakened. Safe havens were bought up. Precious metals recorded gains. Based on reports from market outlets, liquidations hit crypto platforms hard, with roughly $750 million to $875 million of leveraged long positions closed out in the first wave of selling. That added extra downward pressure on prices and raised volatility for hours after the announcement. Tariff Timetable And Targets Trump said an extra 10% tariff would start on February 1st, 2026 for goods from eight countries that opposed his Greenland stance, with the level set to rise to 25% by June if talks do not move forward. The affected nations include Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland and the UK. Governments in Europe reacted with firm language and warned of counters. Officials in Brussels hinted at possible measures that could hurt US exporters if tensions deepen. Trade policy is now back in the spotlight and crossing multiple political lines. We don’t always agree with the US government and in this case we certainly don’t. These tariffs will hurt us. If Greenland is vulnerable to malign influences, then have another look at Diego Garcia. https://t.co/z0r0IUlD6I — Nigel Farage MP (@Nigel_Farage) January 17, 2026 How This Played Out In Crypto Crypto traders saw the headlines and reacted quickly. Positions that had been built with margin were trimmed or forced closed. Some funds favored reducing exposure to volatile tokens, while others bought the dip on the theory that shocks like this are temporary. Over short stretches, Bitcoin behaved more like a risk asset, moving with stocks rather than acting as an independent store of value. Over longer stretches, some analysts argue that policy shocks which raise inflationary expectations could boost demand for scarce assets, though that view depends on many economic moves that may follow. Related Reading: What’s Driving The $1.42 Billion Comeback In Spot Bitcoin ETFs? What Traders Are Doing Reports say market makers tightened spreads and liquidity pools thinned during the worst of the volatility. Large orders were matched more slowly and price swings widened. Some institutional desks paused trading for a few moments to reassess risk models, while retail traders watched charts and reacted to alerts. A few hedge desks took the chance to rebalance toward commodity exposure. Others focused on scenario planning, mapping out how retaliatory tariffs or sanctions might affect specific sectors. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin will likely consolidate under $110,000 after another de-leveraging event spurred the recent drop below $100,000, analysts say.
In a breakthrough for global markets, President Donald Trump has secured a far-reaching deal for US-China trade. The agreement with Chinese President Xi Jinping de-escalates tensions between the world’s two largest economies. According to the official White House fact sheet, the agreement includes China’s commitment to suspend new export controls on rare earths and critical […]
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Bitcoin has revisited $110,000 after the Fed’s hawkish cut and a U.S.–China tariff thaw lifted sentiment, even as spot ETFs saw sharp outflows.
Bitcoin and Ethereum rose after US President Donald Trump confirmed a meeting with China’s leader during the APEC summit on October 31. Based on reports, Bitcoin climbed nearly 4% while Ethereum gained about 5% and traded around $4,030. The whole market added roughly $100 billion in value in a short window, according to market watchers. Related Reading: $3M In Stolen XRP Tracked — But Victim May Never See It Again: Investigator Insider Whale Bets And Mixed Positions Reports have disclosed that an insider whale opened $255 million in long positions across Bitcoin and Ethereum. At the same time, the same trader put on a $76 million short on Bitcoin with 10x leverage. The moves look like a bet on swings in price rather than a single directional stake. Observers note the trader has a history of large, well-timed trades, including a prior $730 million short that paid off. There is no clear public ID for this whale, and the motives are being examined by analysts. Insider Bitcoin whale is back. He just opened a $76,195,977 $BTC short position with 10x leverage. Does he know something? pic.twitter.com/K4ldvQE1TN — Ted (@TedPillows) October 19, 2025 Political Shift Sends Prices Higher Based on reports, comments by US President Donald Trump helped calm markets. He reportedly said “it will all be fine” when speaking about China’s economy, and the tone toward Beijing softened after a week where he had announced a 100% tariff on Chinese goods. That tariff claim had sparked a big sell-off across traditional and crypto markets just days earlier. Market players reacted quickly to the latest signals of a thaw, viewing the upcoming meeting as a chance for reduced tension. ????BREAKING AN INSIDER WITH A 100% WIN RATE JUST OPENED $BTC AND $ETH LONGS WORTH $255 MILLION HE DEFINITELY KNOWS SOMETHING ???? pic.twitter.com/hwAkXPzBwW — Wimar.X (@DefiWimar) October 19, 2025 On-Chain Activity And Institutional Moves According to on-chain data and exchange records, large-scale activity continued across spot markets. BitMine was reported to have picked up about $1.5 billion worth of Ether, a move that market participants say shows faith in Ethereum’s long-term outlook. Meanwhile, El Salvador quietly added eight BTC to its reserves, bringing its total holdings to 6,355.18 BTC. Exchange Flows Show Withdrawals Based on exchange records, major centralized platforms recorded a net outflow of roughly 21,000 BTC over the past week. Coinbase Pro and Binance were named among those with the biggest withdrawals, showing about 15,000 BTC and 12,000 BTC moved off exchanges, respectively. Traders interpret such flows in different ways: some see accumulation into private wallets, others see funds repositioned by large traders. Related Reading: Biggest Shiba Inu Burn In Months — And It Came From A Coinbase Account The Implications Of This Moving Forward Reports indicate that the market is reacting to both political signals and positions being adjusted by big hands. If the rhetoric between the US and China continues to show friendly signals, prices may push higher and retest monthly highs. But the presence of a sizeable short position alongside large long positions suggests that volatility will stay. Presently, data points are being watched closely and traders are establishing balances between advancing positions and hedging. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is once again caught in the crossfire of a high-stakes geopolitical standoff. This time, the knock-on effects are being felt across every corner of the crypto market. The script is familiar: The return of U.S.–China trade tensions has triggered a sharp correction in Bitcoin, echoing a pattern seen earlier this year. When escalating tariffs […]
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There may be no crying in the casino. But on days like these, you’d be forgiven for shedding a tear. With $9.4 billion liquidated in a single day in the crypto market, the flash crash comes just in time to punch the late-coming retail crowd in the face. In a single 24-hour span, crypto traders […]
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According to economist Timothy Peterson, Bitcoin’s recent slide could be a short-lived wobble if October’s history repeats itself. He pointed out that drops larger than 5% in October are rare — they have occurred just four times in the past 10 years — and when they happened, Bitcoin often bounced back quickly. Related Reading: XRP Fear Index Spikes To 6-Month High, And That Could Spark Its Next Breakout Historical October Bounces Reports show the four October setbacks came in 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2021. In the week after each fall, recoveries ranged from modest to sharp: gains of 16% in 2017, 4% in 2018, and a big 21% in 2019, while 2021 was the lone outlier when prices slipped another 3%. Based on those past moves, Peterson suggested a rebound of up to 21% over seven days is possible after a large October drop. CoinGlass and market outlets have long flagged October as one of Bitcoin’s strongest months historically. Drops of more than 5% in October are exceedingly rare. This has happened only 4 times in the past 10 years. Oct 24 2017 Oct 11 2018 Oct 23 2019 Oct 21 2021 What happened next? 7 days later bitcoin was 2017: up 16% 2018: up 4% 2019: up 21% 2021: down -3% pic.twitter.com/mbFs19RbwL — Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) October 10, 2025 Markets moved fast this week after a tariff shock. United States President Donald Trump’s announcement of steep tariffs on China coincided with a sudden sell-off that briefly pushed Bitcoin down to about $102,000. Prices then staged a partial recovery to roughly $112,100. Traders noted the pullback came soon after Bitcoin hit fresh highs earlier in the week, above $126,000. Short-Term Upside Scenarios If Bitcoin were to mirror its strongest October rebound — the 21% surge seen in 2019 — a move from the low near $102,000 would place the token just under its recent peak, around $124,000, within days. That math is straightforward and is being quoted by analysts running many simulations. Some say there’s even a range of odds that the month could finish well above current levels. Other market voices pushed different views. Proponents argued that the current dip is a reset during an overall uptrend; some called it the bottom of the current cycle. Others warned that policy shocks or tariff escalations could keep selling pressure in place for longer. Social metrics and sentiment gauges moved sharply during the sell-off, and certain altcoins saw deeper losses amid the flight to safety. Related Reading: Bitcoin Who? XRP Leads Coinbase Search Charts, Beating The Giants Possible Triggers For A Rebound Meanwhile, traders are watching a few clear triggers. Headlines that dial down trade tensions between the US and China would likely calm markets. Any sign the US Federal Reserve will quicken interest rate cuts could also lift risk assets, including crypto. History suggests panic sell-offs often end before a strong recovery begins, but nothing is guaranteed. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
The United States is sitting atop a fiscal precipice. With the total U.S. debt surpassing $37.43 trillion as of September 2025, the nation faces a historic reality. Nearly one-quarter of every tax dollar it collects is consumed by servicing the interest payments on its debt burden. The relentless march of U.S. debt According to monthly […]
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A tentative calm settled over global markets on Monday as Washington and Beijing agreed to push their tariff truce out by another 90 days. The news was a welcome relief, at least in the crypto front, as Bitcoin traders set their sights on the next target: $120,000 Related Reading: Bitcoin’s New Clock: How Wall Street Killed The Old Cycle, According To Expert Talks resume in Stockholm, with both sides saying they won’t slap on new duties during that window. It’s a relief for companies reeling from duties on more than $700 billion in goods since 2018. Third Round Talks Underway According to reports, negotiators will build on meetings in Geneva and London. They plan to tackle old fights over tech rules, digital services and forced transfers of know‑how. Business leaders have already paused major moves, waiting to see if the break holds. A fresh round of face‑to‑face diplomacy seems meant to avoid sudden shocks to farms, factories and supply chains. Early signals from Beijing suggest a willingness to talk, even as economic growth slows at home. In the last trade round, tariffs jumped to highs of 25% on key items like semiconductors and soybeans. Now both sides seem to be testing whether a temporary stop can become a stepping stone to deeper fixes. China Raises Fentanyl Tariff Issue A new wrinkle in the discussions involves fentanyl‑related chemicals. Based on reports, China wants US President Donald Trump’s administration to lift duties on certain precursors used in opioid production. Beijing argues that those taxes are making it harder to track illegal shipments, even as overdose deaths surge in the US. American officials have blamed Chinese suppliers for feeding a crisis that kills tens of thousands each year. In retaliation, Washington hit chemical imports with extra levies. Now China is pushing for a shift toward sharing lab data and law‑enforcement tips instead of sticking with punitive charges. Washington faces a tricky choice. Domestic pressure is intense, with voters demanding tough action on both drugs and trade ahead of a high‑stakes election. Bitcoin Up As Businesses And Markets On Edge Markets reacted quietly at first. Stocks held near flat lines, while traders eyed the pause as a temporary balm. Cryptocurrencies, however, showed more drama. Bitcoin jumped to $119,380—up 2% over 24 hours—even though daily volumes fell by 8.7% to $50 billion. Related Reading: Asia’s Bitcoin Giant Metaplanet Adds 780 BTC In Massive Crypto Bet At current levels, Bitcoin sits just 2.88% below its July 13 peak of $123,102. Network data also hit a record hashrate of 932 EH/s, with difficulty at 127.62 trillion. Analysts caution against reading too much into a single headline. Low volume can fuel sharp swings, and crypto markets often move on a mix of factors from ETF flows to miner activity. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView
Altcoins surged as June’s softer‑than‑expected core CPI, hefty ETF inflows and talk of a dovish Fed rotation fueled risk appetite, an analyst said.
Bitcoin’s price shook off last week’s dip and climbed sharply on Tuesday morning in Asia, topping $110,000 briefly before settling around $109,450. Traders rushed back in after the asset dipped close to $100,000, feeding a sharp rebound that leaves Bitcoin just 2.8% shy of its record high. A blend of forced liquidations, surging derivatives volume, easing US–China trade tensions and steady on-chain withdrawals is driving the move. Related Reading: Elon Musk ‘Will Do Anything’ To Make XRP King, Tech Mogul Says Heavy Liquidations Shift The Balance According to Coinglass, nearly $203 million in Bitcoin positions were wiped out over the past 24 hours. Of that, $195 million were against shorts. When so many short bets unwind at once, it forces buyers to cover positions, which can send prices spiking. Yet history shows these “short squeezes” can reverse quickly when traders take profits. Based on reports, Bitcoin’s derivatives volume more than doubled, climbing over 110% to $110 billion. Open interest then followed suit, expanding 7.3% to almost $77 billion. These kinds of inflows indicate that new money is accumulating. Both open interest and volume rising tends to indicate enthusiasm—and a willingness to carry through positions with swings. Trade Diplomacy Lifts Risk Assets Talks resumed in London on June 9 between the US and China over tariffs and export rules. Even a hint of progress tends to boost appetite for riskier assets, and Bitcoin isn’t immune. Headlines of smoother trade ties lifted equities earlier this week—and crypto traders moved in tandem. If negotiations hit a snag, though, Bitcoin could slide with global markets. On-Chain Data Shows Steady Accumulation CryptoQuant’s numbers reveal that centralized exchanges have shed 550,000 BTC since July 2024, falling from 1.55 million to about 1.01 million today. As coins leave exchanges, float tightens. At the same time, the Coinbase Premium indicator rose, with US buyers paying more than overseas investors. Santiment also reports renewed accumulation among wallets holding 10–100 BTC. This pattern hints at long-term holding rather than quick trades. Related Reading: Ignore The Trump–Musk Noise: Bitcoin’s Backbone Stays Solid Correlation And Caution Remain When you consider the rally, Bitcoin still dances on the tunes of equity price swings. Futures have mixed bets between bulls and bears, showing portrait-wise signs that certainly not everybody is convinced this run is going to hold. High volatility would tend to wash out weak hands at the slightest hint of trouble, any reversal of risk sentiment, or a sudden macro shock would cost the rally dearly. Optimism is building as analysts talk of fresh all-time highs. Some even eye $150,000 by the end of the year if US debt levels climb further. But sustaining a rally of that magnitude will require more than forced liquidations. Traders will watch derivatives flows, on-chain reserves and trade headlines for signs of real, lasting demand before pushing prices much higher. Featured image from Imagen, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin approached the $100,000 threshold on Wednesday after teasing a big international trade deal by US President Donald Trump. The agreement, as reported by The New York Times, will be with the United Kingdom and is to be formally announced at the White House on Thursday. Related Reading: XRP At $2.20? Analyst Insists It’s Not Too Late To Get In The cryptocurrency was at $99,200 as of publication, having risen from $97,100 when Trump initially posted about the deal on his Truth Social page. The post, published on May 7, stated that a “big trade deal” with a “highly respected” nation would be announced on May 8. Sources familiar with the situation indicated to The New York Times that the deal is with the UK. Speculation Linked To Bitcoin’s Rise Some Bitcoin observers think the trade deal has helped drive prices higher. FOMO21 co-founder Neil Jacobs wrote on X that Trump’s message was probably the main reason Bitcoin began rising. ????BITCOIN PUMPING, WHY??? TRUMP: BIG NEWS CONFERENCE TOMORROW 10AM EST IN OVAL, MAJOR TRADE DEAL WITH A BIG & HIGHLY RESPECTED COUNTRY pic.twitter.com/QjHM95kXrE — Neil Jacobs (@NeilJacobs) May 8, 2025 Bitcoin reached its latest high of $109,000 on January 20. That was only hours after Trump was inaugurated for his second term. Now, traders are holding their breath to see if this new wave of optimism will propel the coin to new highs. Market Sentiment Turns Greedy The mood in the crypto market has changed. According to statistics from the Crypto & Fear Index, the sentiment is now “Greed” with a reading of 65. That indicates that most investors are optimistic and ready to take higher risks. Source: Alernative.me Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s recent 3% increase has caused approximately $96 million worth of short positions to be liquidated, as reported by CoinGlass. Short liquidations occur when bettors against Bitcoin are compelled to close their wagers because of price increases. Rates Remain Flat As Trump Resists Trump’s tweet saw print just a few hours after the US Federal Reserve chose to maintain interest rates as they were. The prevailing rate range is between 4.25% and 4.50%. Trump had been pushing the Fed to reduce rates, but the central bank made no move. As the Fed held firm, Bitcoin continued rising. That might be an indicator that investors are giving more credibility to trade reports and international politics than central bank policy—at least in the meantime. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mining Giant Abandons Full-Hold Strategy, Unloads $40M In Crypto BTC Action Tracks Tariff Tensions All the way back on February 1, Bitcoin topped $100,000 following Trump’s statement of new import tariffs on nations such as China, Canada, and Mexico. That was the last time that BTC was above six figures. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s trajectory is still uncertain. But as political news gets hotter, investors are keeping close tabs of the news—and paying attention to the chart. Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView
What are reciprocal tariffs? Reciprocal tariffs might sound like textbook trade jargon, but the idea is pretty straightforward: If one country slaps tariffs on your goods, you hit back with the same. Think of it as a tit-for-tat strategy in global trade — a way for governments to say, “If you’re charging our exporters 20%, we’re doing the same to yours.”The roots of this concept go back to the 1930s, when the US passed the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act. The goal back then was to break down trade barriers through mutual deals, not trade wars. But fast forward to today, and the term is making a comeback — this time with a bit more edge.For example, in early 2025, in an effort to address what it perceived as unfair trade practices and a significant trade deficit, the US government, under President Donald Trump, imposed a series of escalating tariffs on Chinese imports. These tariffs began with a 10% baseline and, through successive increases, reached a staggering 145% on a wide range of Chinese goods.China responded in kind, implementing its own set of reciprocal tariffs. Initially, Beijing imposed a 34% tariff on all US imports, which was later increased to 84% and eventually to 125%, targeting various American products, including agricultural goods and machinery.So, what does this have to do with crypto? You’ll get there — but first, let’s dig into how these tariffs actually work. How do reciprocal tariffs work? While the US has recently adopted a formula based on trade imbalances to determine its tariff rates, other countries, like China, often respond with their own set of tariffs, which may not follow the same calculation method.How the US calculates its tariffsIn 2025, the US implemented a tariff strategy that calculates rates based on the trade deficit with a particular country. The formula used is:Tariff rate (%) = (US trade deficit with country / US imports from country) × 100 / 2Example:US imports from China: $438.9 billionUS exports to China: $147 billionTrade deficit: $291.9 billionDeficit ratio: ($291.9 billion ÷ $438.9 billion) × 100 ≈ 66.5%Tariff rate: 66.5% ÷ 2 ≈ 33.25%This approach led to the US imposing a 34% tariff on Chinese imports in April 2025. Also, these new tariffs don’t replace old ones — they’re added on top. So, if a product already had a 20% tariff and now gets hit with a 34% reciprocal tariff, importers are suddenly paying 54%. That kind of jump can make foreign goods a lot more expensive, fast.How China respondsWhen the US imposes tariffs, China often retaliates by targeting sectors that are politically and economically significant to the United States, particularly those that could influence key voter bases.Targeted sectors:Agriculture: China has frequently targeted US agricultural products, such as soybeans, pork and beef. For instance, in 2018, China imposed a 25% tariff on US soybeans, significantly impacting farmers in states like Iowa, where soybean farming is a major industry.Aerospace: In 2025, China suspended imports of Boeing aircraft and halted purchases of aircraft parts from US companies, affecting the US aerospace sector.Phased implementationChina often implements tariffs in phases, allowing for strategic adjustments and negotiations:In early 2025, following US tariff increases, China initially imposed a 34% tariff on all US goods. This was later increased to 84% and eventually to 125% in response to escalating US tariffs.China also imposed additional tariffs of 10%-15% on various US agricultural products, including corn, soybeans and wheat, as part of its retaliatory measures.While the US uses a specific formula to calculate its tariffs, China’s approach is more about strategic retaliation, aiming to create economic and political pressure rather than directly matching tariff rates.Did you know? Policymakers sometimes choose a slightly higher number to send a stronger political message — especially if they want to appear tough on trade or take a hard line against a specific country. A flat “34%” sounds more decisive and deliberate than “33.25%.” Economic implications of reciprocal tariffs Reciprocal tariffs ripple through the global economy in very real ways. When the US and China start trading blows with import taxes, everyone else feels the aftershocks, too.Global trade slows downIn early 2025, the World Trade Organization had some stark news: Global trade, which was supposed to grow by around 3%, is now barely moving at all — closer to 0.2%. The WTO pointed directly to the US’s aggressive tariff strategy and the domino effect it’s having on other economies. As countries respond with their own barriers, goods just... stop moving. Fewer exports, fewer imports and a whole lot of uncertainty.Developing countries get squeezedSmaller economies — like Cambodia, Laos and others that rely on exporting cheap goods to big markets like the US — are getting hit especially hard. When tariffs go up, American buyers pull back. That means fewer factory orders, lost jobs and shrinking income in places that can’t easily absorb the shock.Prices go up at homeMeanwhile, consumers in the US are starting to notice the pinch, too. Tariffs on Chinese goods have made everything from electronics to basic household items more expensive. Even American companies that depend on imported parts are paying more — and passing those costs down the line. Inflation is already high, and this just adds fuel to the fire.Did you know? The International Monetary Fund projected that the trade war could reduce global GDP growth from 3.3% in 2024 to 2.8% in 2025. Reciprocal tariffs’ impact on crypto When governments start slapping tariffs on each other, it sends a signal that things are unstable — and financial markets hate uncertainty. Stocks, bonds and, yes, crypto all react when global trade flows get disrupted.Market volatilityWhen the US announced a 50% tariff on Chinese imports in early April 2025, the crypto markets reacted swiftly. Bitcoin’s (BTC) price dropped to $74,500, and Ether (ETH) saw a decline of over 20%. This sharp downturn highlighted how sensitive cryptocurrencies are to macroeconomic shifts and investor sentiment.However, the situation began to stabilize after President Trump paused most tariffs for 90 days. By April 22, Bitcoin had rebounded above $92,000, reflecting the crypto market’s responsiveness to policy changes.Mining operationsUS Bitcoin miners are facing increased operational costs due to tariffs on imported mining equipment. With tariffs as high as 36% on essential hardware from countries such as China and Taiwan, miners are now grappling with higher capital expenditures.This is especially hard on smaller operations. Larger firms might be able to absorb the extra costs or renegotiate supplier deals — but smaller or mid-sized miners? They’re the ones getting squeezed. As margins shrink, some may be forced to shut down or relocate to tariff-free jurisdictions.Did you know? US Bitcoin miners faced a 22%-36% increase in equipment costs in early 2025 due to tariffs on Chinese-made mining hardware, leading some to consider relocating operations overseas.Investment trendsEconomic uncertainty often drives investors to look for safe havens — and crypto, increasingly, fits that bill. When traditional markets become volatile due to things like global tariff escalations, many investors turn to Bitcoin and other digital assets as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation or geopolitical risk.There’s also been a noticeable uptick in institutional interest. With governments engaging in trade battles and inflating the costs of doing business across borders, crypto is starting to look like a more stable long-term play. In Q1 2025, for example, a number of hedge funds and sovereign wealth vehicles began allocating to digital assets in response to these global macro pressures.The establishment of a US strategic crypto reserve — reportedly holding both BTC and ETH — is a clear signal that crypto is no longer a fringe asset in the eyes of traditional finance or policymakers. Strategic considerations for crypto stakeholders For anyone in crypto — whether you’re building the infrastructure, mining the coins or managing investor portfolios — these policy shifts are very real and very relevant.Diversify If you’re a miner or a hardware-dependent startup relying on one supplier or country for equipment? That’s a liability. Tariffs can spike overnight, slashing your margins and forcing expensive workarounds.Diversifying your supply chain — whether through sourcing from neutral countries or investing in domestic alternatives — can soften the blow. Understand the regulatory landscapeCrypto companies can’t afford to be blind to policy anymore. Tariffs, trade barriers, sanctions — these are market-moving forces. If you deal with mining, cross-border payments or even just hardware shipments, you need to stay plugged into both local and international trade developments.This is where having legal and trade experts on your side becomes less of a luxury and more of a survival tool.Rethink the narrativeThere’s a unique opportunity here to reposition crypto. When traditional economic systems are being shaken by trade wars and retaliatory tariffs, the idea of a decentralized, borderless financial alternative starts to resonate on a whole new level.Crypto has long pitched itself as a hedge against inflation and a tool for financial freedom. In the context of rising global protectionism and economic fragmentation, those messages carry more weight than ever. Smart projects and investors will lean into this narrative, growing from the rain as opposed to simply weathering the storm.
The Bitcoin price spiked to $87,400 on April 21, its highest level since March 29. The intraday rally added more than $3,000 to the asset in less than 24 hours, erasing a substantial portion of April’s drawdown. While the single‑day appreciation of about 4% is not unprecedented for the notoriously volatile asset, the backdrop that accompanied Monday’s advance has market participants treating the move with extra significance. Why Is Bitcoin Up Today? The most immediate macro‑economic thread was the sell‑off in the US dollar after National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett told reporters on Friday that US President Donald Trump intends to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The dollar index (DXY) slipped to 98.182 on Monday, while capital rotated simultaneously into traditional safe‑haven gold. Spot gold climbed to a new high at $3,385 per ounce, extending its 2025 gain to 28%. In contrast, S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures traded about 0.5% lower. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Largest Holders Are Stacking Again — What It Means For The Market Observers seized on the divergence between Bitcoin and risk‑asset benchmarks. Financial author Mel Mattison wrote on X that he is “seeing more evidence tonight of BTC breaking its strong risk‑on/QQQ correlation,” recalling his January thesis that “this is the year BTC breaks that correlation and starts trading more in sympathy with gold.” Apollo founder Thomas Fahrer reached a similar conclusion: “Bitcoin is pumping while stock futures are trading down. It’s almost like the market is treating it like it’s an alternative financial system or something.” The Kobeissi Letter described the alignment between the two hard‑asset narratives as notable because “Gold has hit its 55th all‑time high in 12 months and Bitcoin is officially joining the run, now above $87,000.” In a follow‑up post, the macro newsletter argued that both assets are “telling us that a weaker US Dollar and more uncertainty are on the way,” crediting part of gold’s strength to President Trump’s publication of a “non‑tariff cheating” list from Sunday that targets currency manipulation, export subsidies and other forms of perceived economic aggression. Related Reading: Crypto Gurus Predict Bitcoin Boom ‘In Days’—But Expert Urges Caution The renewal of trade‑policy anxiety capped a three‑day Easter weekend that had failed, in the words of Kobeissi, to deliver “the trade deals the market priced‑in last week.” Trump’s ninety‑day “reciprocal tariff” pause still has seventy‑nine days remaining, and market sentiment appears increasingly sceptical that a sweeping accord will materialise in that window. Nonetheless, FOX Business correspondent Charles Gasparino reported on Sunday that a Wall Street executive “with ties to the Trump White House” believes Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is “close to announcing a significant trade deal, likely to be with Japan,” while cautioning that negotiations remain fluid. Bitcoin Price Breaks Out Against the macro backdrop, chart technicians pointed to an important structural break on the daily Bitcoin chart. Trader Scott Melker observed that the spot rate is now “breaking through descending resistance from the all‑time high” and must clear $88,804 to invalidate the series of lower highs and lower lows. The account @ChartingGuy highlighted $94,000—the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the entire drawdown—as the “minimum target on this rally,” adding that market behaviour at that level will determine whether the current impulse proves a mere relief bounce or the beginning of a more sustained advance. Meanwhile, crypto analyst IncomeSharks warned: “Nice to see the downtrend breakout but the timing is important. Sunday is not a day to celebrate a low volume pump while stock markets are closed. If you want to see a bullish moves lets see stocks open red tomorrow and keep this candle green. Then we can have fun.” At press time, BTC traded at $87,509. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In the latest round of the Trump tariff saga that has economists around the world on the edge of their seats, the U.S. released updated guidelines on Friday exempting specific technology devices, such as laptops, smartphones, and machines needed to make semiconductors, from reciprocal tariffs imposed by the U.S. The new tariff guidelines exclude a […]
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As China reacts to the latest round of Trump’s tariffs on Friday, announcing a 125% tariff on all American goods, vice president of the Beijing-based Center for China and Globalization, Victor Zhikai Gao, commented: “We don’t care! China has been here for 5,000 years. Most of the time, there was no U.S., and we survived.” […]
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XRP prices dipped below $2 for the first time since December 2024 on Monday, even after a number of positive developments for the cryptocurrency. The decline is surprising to many investors who had hoped recent good news would send its value higher. Market analyst Vincent Van Code attributes this underperformance to underlying economic issues and not with XRP itself. Related Reading: XRP Dump? Not So Fast—Software Engineer Says Panic Selling Makes No Sense Trump Tariffs Are Blamed For Crypto Market Decline Van Code attributes the recent decline in cryptocurrencies to the tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump on other nations. The tariff situation is just a power play to utilize economic pressure to get better negotiating terms, said Van Code. He expects these trade tensions to be short-term and perhaps pave the way for the market to rebound in the near future. Current #XRP prices are not aligned with recent @Ripple market announcenets, SEC case conclusion news, XRP US stockpile. Do you think this is becuase XRP is not performing well? I DONT! This is a global market downturn. Impacts across multiple markets, multiple countries, and… — Vincent Van Code (@vincent_vancode) April 9, 2025 XRP Fundamentals Strong Even after falling to $1.64 on April 7, XRP has shown a rebound by increasing to $1.82—a 10% increase. Van Code pointed out that Ripple and XRP’s fundamental strengths have not changed. They’re a hundred times better than a year ago when the SEC lawsuit was at its peak, he said. The SEC-Ripple case resolution, potential inclusion in US digital asset reserves, and Ripple’s Hidden Road acquisition were all considered positive developments for the cryptocurrency. Investment Strategy During Market Uncertainty Van Code described his approach to today’s market condition, showing he buys such assets like XRP when sentiment is low but fundamentals remain in place. He looks at weekly charts for larger decisions and uses hourly charts for intraday action. The market commentator termed XRP the “Fight Club” of cryptos because of its ability to withstand market action and stress. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Next Big Move? Open Interest Says ‘Get Ready’ Future Growth Drivers For XRP Going forward, Van Code identified three key drivers to XRP adoption: regulation, corporate usage, and solid partnerships. He warned investors to avoid being influenced by short-term price fluctuations due to outside influences such as the tariff scenario. The analyst said that he would only be jittery if XRP was the sole cryptocurrency that is dropping in value. He also stated that the current decline is part of a larger market trend and not particular to XRP. The cryptocurrency market still responds to economic policy as investors look for indications that the tariff issue is resolved. Most XRP supporters are optimistic that as soon as these external pressures are gone, the price will more accurately reflect the good news surrounding Ripple and its currency. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin prices fell below $75,000 on Monday, April 7, the lowest since mid-March as investors reacted to US-China trade relations tensions escalating. The digital currency shed about 6% in 24 hours, CoinMarketCap data revealed, as part of a broader sell-off across both crypto and traditional markets. Related Reading: Ethereum Slips Below Triangle—Is A $1,600 Crash Next? US-China Trade War Triggers Market Panic The sharp decline comes after US President Donald Trump’s recent imposition of tariff hikes and countermeasures by Beijing. The trade tensions sent shockwaves through world markets, with Wall Street suffering its worst fall since the COVID-19 pandemic. On Friday, April 4, the S&P 500 dropped 6%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 5.5%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 5.8%. Market commentator Charles Gasparino cautioned on Twitter that “Monday is shaping up to be the ultimate pain day,” and that investors should prepare for further selling pressure as markets open this week. That forecast seems to be coming to fruition as Bitcoin is trading between $74,000 and $75,000, far lower than last week’s levels. Breaking: One major market analyst just told me “Monday is shaping up to be the ultimate pain day.” Another: “Some really nice buys out there particularly in financials.” As they say disagreement makes a market! Story developing — Charles Gasparino (@CGasparino) April 6, 2025 Ethereum And Altcoins Hit Harder Than Bitcoin As Bitcoin lost heavily, other cryptocurrencies plunged even deeper. Ethereum, which is the second-largest cryptocurrency, by market cap, lost 13% – more than double the percentage drop of Bitcoin. Other well-known altcoins fell hard as well, with SOL and DOGE losing more than 10% in one day. ADA went down by 10.40%, while XRP and BNB lost 7% and 6%, respectively. The worldwide cryptocurrency market capitalization is currently at $2.62 trillion as the majority of top coins fail to find support. Even with the price decline, Bitcoin’s 24-hour trading volume jumped to $26 billion – an 80% rise over the past 24 hours – indicating strong levels of market activity during the sell-off. Investors Turn To Government Crypto Reserves For Potential Relief There is a possible silver lining in market chaos. According to Edul Patel, CEO and co-founder at Mudrex, US government agencies will disclose their crypto assets today. “A huge confirmation could lead to a relief rally,” Patel said. Related Reading: XRP Will Explode—And This Korean Expert Says He’ll Be ‘Laughing’ At Critics Market sentiment remains weak with the Fear and Greed Index inching towards what experts term “Extreme Fear.” This indicator implies that panicked selling has been controlling recent market trends instead of sound investment choice. According to market observers’ reports, Bitcoin now has a crucial technical test. “Bitcoin must retake the $80,000 level or it will retest its prior all-time high around $74,000,” Patel further added. This prior all-time high, previously hailed as a milestone, is now a possible support level that traders wish will stop further price declines. Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has maintained its price above $80,000 despite a massive sell-off in US stocks last week, sparking debate about its changing relationship with traditional risk assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Safe, Saylor Says, While Trump Waves The Tariff Sword Bitcoin Holds Ground While Stocks Tumble The US stock market lost $2.85 trillion on April 3, followed by another staggering drop of $3.25 trillion by the end of Friday’s trading session. According to market analysts, this represents the worst two-day market decline in five years. The sell-off came in response to US President Donald Trump’s tariff increases, which sent investors rushing to pull their money out of stocks. But while stocks fell, Bitcoin took a different path. The cryptocurrency remained stable, even seeing price increases during this period. As of the latest trading data, BTC is priced at $83,205, showing a 1.3% increase over the past week. Crypto Market Welcomes $5.4 Billion In Fresh Money In what some market watchers call a surprising turn, cryptocurrency markets received about $5.4 billion in new investments on Friday alone. This happened at the exact time investors were pulling billions from stocks, suggesting a possible shift in how people view the top crypto during uncertain times. Even gold, which had recently hit a record high of $3,167 on April 3, dropped sharply to around $3,000 during Friday’s market troubles. Based on reports, Bitcoin’s price stability while both stocks and gold fell has caught the attention of many financial experts. Market Experts Express Surprise At Crypto’s Performance Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart highlighted Bitcoin’s unexpected strength in an X post on April 4. He wrote that he was “genuinely shocked” by Bitcoin’s ability to remain above $80,000 while other assets fell. Genuinely shocked a bit by Bitcoin’s resilience. Would not have guessed it would hold above $80k in this type of broader market selloff of risk assets… Hell — even Gold is down? pic.twitter.com/SKRkZF8hCb — James Seyffart (@JSeyff) April 4, 2025 Adam Back, co-founder of Blockstream, suggested this might signal that Bitcoin is finally breaking its pattern of following stock market movements. He proposed that market makers might be taking advantage of limited cash in the system to adjust Bitcoin’s typical correlation with stocks. #bitcoin decoupling finally. was thinking the coupling was fake. maybe market makers using bitcoin market shortage of fiat liquidity to auto-correlate bitcoin, noticeable on US market open. — Adam Back (@adam3us) April 4, 2025 Companies Continue To Buy Bitcoin Despite Market Fears According to the report, Bitcoin’s price stability might be linked to ongoing purchases by major companies. Strategy has returned to buying Bitcoin weekly after a brief pause, now in its third consecutive week of acquisitions. Related Reading: XRP Breakout Alert! Could This Surge Send The Altcoin To $3? Game retailer GameStop made headlines recently when it disclosed Bitcoin as its primary treasury asset. The company is seeking to raise $1.3 billion to acquire more Bitcoin, a Bloomberg analyst said. These institutional purchasing trends might be generating sufficient demand to sustain Bitcoin prices despite pressure on conventional markets. Ongoing institutional demand indicates increasing confidence in Bitcoin as a store of value amidst market uncertainty. Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView
Solana’s price has fallen to $116, marking a 12% decrease over the past week amid growing concerns about large investors selling their holdings. According to reports, several major cryptocurrency holders, known as “whales,” unstaked and moved approximately $46 million worth of SOL tokens to exchanges, fueling the downward trend. Related Reading: XRP Breakout Alert! Could This Surge Send The Altcoin To $3? Four Major Wallets Lead Selling Wave According to cryptocurrency monitor Lookonchain, four wallet addresses accounted for the massive exchange of funds. The largest seller, ‘HUJBzd,’ transferred $30 million worth of SOL to exchanges. Three other wallets also did the same, with ‘BnwZvG’ selling $9.47 million, ‘8rWuQ5’ transferring $3.53 million, and ‘2UhUo1’ transferring $3 million worth of tokens. These mass transfers usually presage bearish sentiment in the market since they add selling pressure to exchanges. The recent price movement bears this trend out, with SOL falling by more than 3% within the past 24 hours alone. Many whales unstaked and dumped $SOL today! HUJBzd dumped 258,646 $SOL($30.3M). BnwZvG dumped 80,000 $SOL($9.47M). 8rWuQ5 dumped 30,000 $SOL($3.53M). 2UhUo1 dumped 25,501 $SOL($3M). Address:https://t.co/mCaB45W6pVhttps://t.co/wjhEwyZgFHhttps://t.co/Waqe4cxvbP… pic.twitter.com/kc1Q5GEKIX — Lookonchain (@lookonchain) April 4, 2025 Market Uncertainty Tied To Tariff Announcements The wider cryptocurrency market has been buffeted by economic policy shifts. Reports indicate that Bitcoin price fluctuations have been influenced by the announcement by US President Donald Trump of reciprocal tariffs. This uncertainty in the economy has spread to the altcoin market, with Solana being one of the cryptocurrencies under pressure. Based on recent data, the price of Bitcoin might still move according to stock market trends in reaction to these fresh tariffs. Analysts have cautioned that the entire cryptocurrency market might witness short-term volatility as Bitcoin emulates stock market trends. Some Analysts Remain Optimistic Despite Declines Though the present figures indicate a declining trend, not everyone in the market is pessimistic. Cryptocurrency expert Brandon Hong recently expressed an opposing view on social media platform X and wrote: “SOL is about to have its biggest breakout ever.” Hong’s forecast is focused on Solana possibly breaking out of its 400-day trading range. The analyst encouraged investors to “Buy now or regret later,” providing a rare optimistic view amidst the overall market uncertainty. Related Reading: XRP’s Rise To Rarity: Only 1% May Afford It, Expert Says Traders Keep An Eye On SOL This divergence in market opinion reflects the volatile nature of cryptocurrency investments in times of economic transition. Traders remain closely monitoring Solana as it navigates these tough market conditions. The 30-day performance for Solana investors is even worse, with figures indicating an 15% drop in the past month. This longer decline fits with wider market trends among the cryptocurrencies that have also been depreciating over the recent era of economic instability. While markets adapt to possible policy shifts and big holders keep shifting their assets, SOL price actions are still a major reflection of investor sentiment within the cryptocurrency market. Whether the token follows the bearish direction implied by whale action or breaks out as some analysts anticipate is to be seen within the next few weeks. Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) enjoyed a brief sigh of relief yesterday as the US delayed its proposed 25% trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada by a month. However, the US proceeded with its 10% tariffs on China, prompting retaliatory measures from Beijing. The escalation has pushed BTC back below the critical $100,000 price level. Bitcoin Suffers Amid Trade Wars After a volatile 24 hours filled with uncertainty surrounding US trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada, BTC experienced a short-lived relief rally to $102,000. This came after US President Donald Trump announced a 30-day delay in imposing tariffs on the two North American nations. Related Reading: Bitcoin Indicator Shows Market Far From Overheating – Details However, today’s implementation of US tariffs on China triggered a sharp downturn, causing BTC to break below the $100,000 level. In response, China’s Ministry of Finance announced new countermeasures. Starting February 10, China will impose an additional 15% tariff on coal and liquefied natural gas, along with a 10% tariff on agricultural equipment, crude oil, and certain vehicles. Additionally, Beijing has accused the US of violating World Trade Organization (WTO) regulations with its one-sided tariff policies. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce also stated that it would tighten export controls on key raw materials, including molybdenum, indium, bismuth, tellurium, and tungsten, citing national security concerns. With trade tensions escalating between the US and China, analysts predict heightened volatility in the crypto market in the coming days. Well-known crypto strategist Michael van de Poppe shared his outlook: Bitcoin bounced back swiftly and is currently acting within the range. I assume we’ll see new ATHs in February and it’s quite normal to correct after such a strong bounce. Volatility through the roof, but, as long as Bitcoin remains above $93K, a new ATH is likely. Meanwhile, crypto trader and investor Phoenix suggested that BTC could establish a new trading range amid the ongoing trade war. However, history suggests that heightened tariffs could spell trouble for cryptocurrencies. Web3 enthusiast merts.eth pointed out in an X post that BTC plummeted 65% in 2018 when Trump first initiated a trade war with China. The effects were not limited to digital assets, as the S&P 500 also dropped 12% in the weeks following the implementation of tariffs. More Downside For BTC? As Bitcoin struggles to hold the $100,000 price level, concerns are mounting about another potential breakdown in price. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently pointed out that if BTC fails to hold the $97,190 support level, there could be more pain for the top digital asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Must Hold Above $97K To Sustain Momentum – Metrics The analyst made another observation about how BTC is currently trading in a bearish flag pattern. At press time, BTC trades at $99,961, up 1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and TradingView.com
After momentarily sliding below important support levels, Ethereum (ETH) is once again on the climb. After a significant change in market mood, the second-largest digital asset by market capitalization passed $2,900. Related Reading: Crypto Traders Wrecked As Trump’s Tariffs Spark $2 Billion Liquidation Interestingly, Eric Trump, the son of US President Donald Trump, weighed in on the situation, remarking that it is a strategic opportunity to acquire ETH. Tariff Pause Sparks Market Rebound Concerns over possible tariffs on Canada and Mexico rattled the crypto market earlier this week. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum fell significantly; Ethereum dropped momentarily to around $2,360. Still, the temporary suspension of the tariffs by Trump offered a breather, which raised investor confidence in risk assets including cryptocurrency. In the wake of the announcement, Ethereum experienced a robust recovery, with a nearly 20% increase. Traders interpreted this as an invitation to re-enter the market, and ETH promptly reclaimed the $2,900 mark. In my opinion, it’s a great time to add $ETH. — Eric Trump (@EricTrump) February 3, 2025 Eric Trump’s Crypto Endorsement Raises Eyebrows Eric Trump posted his optimistic view on Ethereum on social media. He first said, “In my opinion, it’s a great time to add $ETH. You can thank me later.” Although the subsequent section of his remarks was deleted, crypto investors saw resonance in his endorsement of Ethereum’s future development. The Trump family has been progressively involved in the digital asset sector, particularly through their World Liberty Financial platform. This most recent statement serves to emphasize their involvement and potential long-term dedication to blockchain technology. World Liberty Financial’s Significant Ethereum Transaction World Liberty Financial recently made a substantial move in the crypto space, which has served to further fuel speculation. The firm transferred over $300 million in assets to Coinbase’s custody platform, according to blockchain analytics firm Spot On Chain. Furthermore, they acquired an additional 1,826 ETH for approximately $5 million and converted nearly 20,000 Lido Staked Ether (stETH) into ETH. World Liberty Financial (@worldlibertyfi) moved $307.41M in 8 assets to #CoinbasePrime 6 hours ago—as part of treasury management and business operations. Shortly after, the project unstaked 19,423 $stETH to $ETH and further spent 5M $USDC to buy 1,826 $ETH at $2,738.… https://t.co/Rp9NAFUs5N pic.twitter.com/5bfIvJma7U — Spot On Chain (@spotonchain) February 4, 2025 These transactions indicate that the company is making preparations for the introduction of its “Earn and Borrow” lending protocol. Although the protocol is still in the process of being developed, the substantial transfers suggest that the platform could soon play a significant role in decentralized finance (DeFi). Related Reading: Analyst Calls For XRP To Hit $70—Too Bold Or Realistic? Ethereum’s Prospects Still Remain Positive As institutional interest is rising and the price of the top altcoin has recaptured higher levels, Ether remains a central focus in the crypto market. Macroeconomic changes, strategic investments, and political influence taken together provide an interesting dynamic for ETH’s future course. Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView