A new technical analysis is suggesting that Dogecoin’s current rally may still have room to grow. According to crypto analyst Kevin, the historical risk levels that usually mark cycle tops are currently nowhere near flashing red for Dogecoin. Chart analysis of Dogecoin’s historical risk levels shows that the meme coin is still sitting in what looks like a mid-cycle phase, and the kind of overheated price action that preceeds exhaustion has not yet appeared. Dogecoin Historical Risk Levels Point To More Upside Kevin’s latest post on the social media platform X showcased Dogecoin’s historical risk levels in a color-coded chart between 0 and 1, with 0 being the lowest risk and 1 being the highest risk. The chart, which covers many cycles going as far back as 2014, shows moments when risk was at extreme levels and prices were near exhaustion. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts What Dogecoin Investors Should Expect Price-Wise This Month Periods of high market exhaustions are classified in warm colors, with red being the highest. For instance, Dogecoin’s all-time high in 2021 was classified by a red risk level. On the other hand, those of low market activity are classified in cool colors, with deep blue being the lowest level of activity. The current reading of 0.52 is far from those red danger zones, which have historically aligned with blow-off tops. Instead, Dogecoin is currently in what Kevin describes as a mid-cycle state. That assessment aligns with the latest price action, which shows Dogecoin now holding above $0.25 after last week’s consolidation between $0.22 and $0.23. Dogecoin’s Biggest Move Still Ahead? With the latest Dogecoin risk level sitting at around 0.52, this suggests that Dogecoin has not yet entered the type of frenzy that often defines the final phase of a cycle. Therefore, it means that the king of meme coin still has a lot of rally to play out, and there’s the possibility of charting a path to a new all-time high if crypto market conditions provide the right backdrop. We have not had that type of price action yet this cycle. Related Reading: Analyst Forecasts Dogecoin Price To See Face-Melting Rally: The Bullish Pattern That Suggests New Highs Kevin’s latest update builds on observations he made earlier in August, where he noted the importance of monthly Stoch RSI crosses during bull market environments. Whenever Dogecoin registered such crosses outside of bear markets, the result was a massive upside rally. At that time, the Stoch RSI was climbing from the 13 level, and this is associated with weak momentum turning into strength. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.2554, meaning it is up by about 12.5% in the past 24 hours. Given the current setup and the possibility of a Spot Dogecoin ETF hitting the US market soon, it is reasonable to expect that Dogecoin could climb much higher before it enters the overheated territory. In this case, hitting the $1 price level is not out of the question. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst DOGECAPITAL has predicted that the Dogecoin price could rally above $10. He revealed that the foremost meme coin needs to have a decisive break above a particular level for it to record this parabolic run to the upside. Dogecoin Price Eyes Rally To $10 Based On Cycle 3 Expectations In an X post, DOGECAPITAL indicated that the Dogecoin price could rally to $10 based on historical cycle patterns. He noted that in Cycle 3, which is the current cycle, DOGE has already crossed critical price levels and is now approaching the $0.30 range again. The analyst claimed that if the pattern continues, a decisive break above this level could ignite the next parabolic run. Related Reading: Can Dogecoin And Shiba Inu Prices Recover? What To Expect In September This prediction came as DOGECAPITAL revealed that the Dogecoin price monthly chart reveals a recurring pattern in its price action across each major cycle. He further noted that in every cycle, bullish momentum tends to ignite as the DOGE price nears the intersection of the green and red lines. The analyst added that a parabolic rally typically follows once the price breaks above the yellow line. DOGECAPITAL noted that, in Cycle 1, the Dogecoin price surged 9,221% almost immediately after crossing the green/red line intersection. Meanwhile, in Cycle 2, a similar setup led to a more parabolic rally of over 24,617% for the meme coin after the same crossover. Now, in Cycle 3, DOGE has crossed the green and red lines and is now looking to break above the yellow line for a parabolic rally beyond $10. DOGECAPITAL stated that historically, each bull run has outperformed the last. He alluded to factors such as growing adoption, less inflation, rising institutional interest, and ongoing technological advancements as what could spark a greater rally in this cycle than the previous ones. A Rally To A New ATH Is Imminent In an X post, crypto analyst Kevin Capital suggested that a Dogecoin rally to a new all-time high (ATH) is imminent. He noted that DOGE monthly Stoch RSI crosses during bear markets and bull markets have produced very predictable price action in the past. The analyst added that if the macro continues to align the way it is currently, then it will remain predictable, hinting at a rally to the upside. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Risks Crash Below $0.1, But Can Bulls Facilitate This 800% Rally To $1.82 First? Kevin Capital noted that the stars need to align not just from a technical analysis perspective, but also in relation to monetary policy expectations and macroeconomic data. From a fundamentals perspective, it is also worth mentioning that the first spot Dogecoin ETF could launch this week after Rex-Osprey teased about the launch last week. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.23, up over 7% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com