As Solana (SOL) taps the $225 barrier, Bitwise’s CIO forecasted that a bullish Q4 rally might be brewing for the altcoin if it follows Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum’s (ETH) recipe. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breakdown Averted? Analyst Says This Level Will Determine BTC’s Fate Solana To Follow BTC, ETH’s Recipe? On Tuesday, Matt Hougan, CIO at Bitwise, affirmed in a new memo to clients that the recipe for strong returns has been clear over the past 18 months: “Take one part ETP inflows, add strong corporate treasury purchases, and voilà—you get big returns.” Hougan explained that BTC followed this recipe since January 2024, while ETH discovered the same formula in April 2025. “It’s no surprise that the recipe works. It’s classic supply and demand,” he stated, adding that “all the ingredients are there for an epic end-of-year run for Solana.” As the CIO highlighted, multiple issuers, including Bitwise, Grayscale, and VanEck, have filed to launch spot SOL exchange-traded products (ETPs), which are expected to be approved at the start of Q4. As reported by NewsBTC, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced last month that it had pushed back its decision on Bitwise, 21Shares, VanEck, Grayscale, and Canary Capital’s spot SOL exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for two months, pushing it to October 16, 2025, “meaning we may have multiple issuers pushing spot Solana ETPs in Q4.” Meanwhile, three major firms, Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital, recently secured $1.65 billion in cash and stablecoins to launch a publicly traded SOL-focused treasury company, Forward Industries, to purchase SOL, stake it, and generate excess return. Hougan also noted that Forward Industries named Kyle Samani, who has been among the cryptocurrency’s most consistent promoters, as chairman. To Bitwise’s CIO, if Samani can “carry the Solana message” like Michael Saylor and Tom Lee have done with Bitcoin and Ethereum, it will help drive investor demand. SOL’s Secret Ingredient Hougan pointed out that the existence of ETPs and treasury companies does not guarantee demand, adding that there must be fundamental reasons for investors’ interest in those vehicles. “Solana is an Ethereum competitor,” he asserted, “it’s a programmable blockchain designed to host stablecoins, tokenized assets, and decentralized finance applications, among other things.” The blockchain recently approved a major technical upgrade that will make it one of the fastest networks in the world. Additionally, it is also third in stablecoin liquidity among programmable blockchains and fourth in tokenized assets, recording rapid growth in this sector. Nonetheless, he argued that there’s a key difference between SOL and the two leading cryptocurrencies. While Bitcoin’s market capitalization sits around $2.2 trillion, and Ethereum’s is near the $530 billion mark, Solana’s market capitalization is around $120.8 billion, 1/20th the size of BTC and less than 1/4th the size of ETH. “Scaled for the size of the blockchain, a relatively small amount of flows into Solana could significantly impact prices,” Hougan explained. Related Reading: Worldcoin Jumps 42% Following Eightco’s Announcement Of First WLD Treasury Strategy He detailed that Forward Industries’ $1.6 billion purchase of SOL shares would be the equivalent of $33 billion in BTC purchases, noting that this could be slightly offset by Solana’s higher annual inflation rate of 4.3%, versus Bitcoin’s 0.8% and Ethereum’s 0.5%. “The setup is still attractive,” he concluded, suggesting that investors keep their eyes on Solana in the coming months. As of this writing, Solana is trading at $222, a 5.1% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Amid the recent market pullback, Solana (SOL) is attempting to reclaim a crucial area to continue with its bullish rally. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency will likely break out to new highs if a key support level is held. Related Reading: Cardano (ADA) Remains Green Despite Market Pullback – Is It Ready For A 70% Run? Solana Back Below $200 Earlier this week, the market soared under the lead of the two largest cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin (BTC) hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $124,000, and Ethereum (ETH) hit a multi-year high of $4,788 in the early hours of Thursday. Nonetheless, higher-than-expected macroeconomic signals and the US’s decision not to purchase BTC for its Strategic Reserve sent the market into a nosedive, with most tokens bleeding throughout the day. Solana, which had just climbed to an eight-month high of $209, saw a 10% drop from the highs, retesting the recently reclaimed $190 support level. Price continues to dip after the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced it had pushed back its decision on multiple Spot SOL exchange-traded funds (ETFs). “The Commission finds that it is appropriate to designate a longer period within which to issue an order approving or disapproving the proposed rule change so that it has sufficient time to consider the proposed rule change, and the issues raised therein,” the regulatory agency stated. The SEC delayed the final deadline for the decision on Bitwise, 21Shares, VanEck, Grayscale, and Canary Capital Solana ETFs for two months, pushing it to October 16, 2025. Despite the delay, ETF expert James Seyffart suggested that the SEC’s decision is not a bad sign, adding that he expects standard spot SOL ETFs to be approved by mid-October “at the latest.” The altcoin dropped to the $188 area before bouncing. After the brief market recovery, SOL continued to retest the $180-$190 area, hovering between the $184-$186 support zone throughout Friday afternoon. Last Dip Before New Highs? Analyst Ali Martinez offered a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency, affirming that Solana might be offering “a final buy-the-dip chance” before a potential 100% rally from current levels. The analyst pointed to a six-month ascending triangle pattern on the altcoin’s chart, which targets the $360 area once it breaks out of the formation. Notably, SOL has retested the pattern’s resistance twice since the July breakout, with its latest rejection occurring on Thursday. Amid the recent performance, Martinez also noted that wallets holding over 10,000 SOL tokens hit a new ATH this week, with 5,224 wallets holding around $2 million worth of Solana each. Related Reading: Ethereum Eyes ‘Final Boss’ Level, But Analyst Says Weekly Close Is Key For Price Discovery Run Meanwhile, Sjuul from AltCryptoGems asserted that the cryptocurrency is “trading in a perfect uptrend, already tested the resistance at $200 three times,” highlighting SOL’s four-month ascending channel. To the market watcher, Solana will likely break out and move to ATH levels soon if it holds above the $180 level, which has been a crucial support and resistance area for the altcoin this cycle. As of this writing, SOL is trading at $184.9, a 4.7% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s price is holding firm despite growing chatter about the end of its market dominance. However, analysts are turning their attention not to Bitcoin’s price but to its waning market share as signs that altcoins may finally be ready to take center stage in what could become a full-blown altcoin season. A post on X has highlighted a specific breakdown structure in BTC dominance, which is linked to nine factors indicating that the altcoin season has begun. Technical Factors Showing Fall Of Bitcoin Dominance According to the analyst, Bitcoin dominance reached a peak of exactly 66% on June 27, 2025, a date he calls significant for its esoteric code 434 and its occurrence on a new moon. From a technical perspective, the 66% mark coincided precisely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, a region many traders consider a reversal zone. More importantly, several warning signals are flashing for Bitcoin traders. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Not Remotely Close, Bitcoin Dominance Still Too High: Market Expert Says The analyst’s post on the social media platform X features a few price charts to emphasize how the Bitcoin dominance might be fading, alongside nine factors. From a purely technical lens, the dominance chart looks increasingly exhausted. The first factor is the most recent highest monthly RSI in the history of the Bitcoin dominance chart. This event has created an overbought condition, and the next outlook is a possible crash of the RSI. The MACD, in fact, has already crossed into bearish territory. Furthermore, the histogram has turned negative, and the faster line has moved below the slower one, which is a classic signal of an impending downtrend. Another interesting factor is that Bitcoin dominance has now broken a key diagonal support line that held firm through much of 2024 and 2025, which is another possible structural breakdown. Fundamental Factors Show Strong Rotation Into Altcoin Pairs While the technical picture is deteriorating, the fundamentals are also stacking in favor of altcoins very quickly. The first fundamental factor is the importance of upcoming altcoin spot ETFs, which have the possibility to redirect institutional flows from Bitcoin into Ethereum, XRP, and others. Related Reading: Time To Forget Altcoin Season? Bitcoin Dominance At This Level Is This Only Hope ETFs such as the Spot XRP, Dogecoin, and Solana ETFs could rapidly increase inflows into the rest of the crypto market, similar to how Spot Bitcoin ETFs caused massive inflows into Bitcoin. The analyst also highlighted the likelihood of upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, which would tilt market conditions in favor of altcoins over Bitcoin. Momentum has also begun to shift in some trading pairs, particularly XRP/BTC and ETH/BTC, both of which are showing reversal signs from critical levels. The XRP/BTC chart displays repeated failed attempts to break above 0.0000215 BTC, a horizontal resistance that has now been tested five times on the daily candlestick timeframe chart. At the time of writing, the XRP/BTC pair has returned to this level yet again, and based on this pattern, any clean breakout here could confirm a decisive rotation into XRP. Likewise, Ethereum has begun to recover from long-term oversold conditions when measured against Bitcoin. The rounded bottom pattern forming on the ETH/BTC weekly chart shows a reversal from undervaluation, which in past cycles has caused substantial gains for Ethereum relative to BTC. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana is in red for now, but the coin is one of the top performers. In the last year of trading, SOL, the native currency of the Solana ecosystem, rose by over 15X, quickly moving up the crypto ranking to fifth, flipping XRP, Cardano, and even top meme coins like Dogecoin. GSOL Trading At A […]