Solana failed to settle above $140 and nosedived. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $135 and might struggle to start a recovery wave. SOL price started a fresh decline below $136 and $135 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $128 or $125. Solana Price Dips Further Solana price failed to remain stable above $140 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $138 and $135 support levels. The price gained bearish momentum below $132. A low was formed at $124, and the price is now consolidating losses. The price recovered a few points and climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $124 low. Solana is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $134 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $124 low. The next major resistance is near the $136 level. The main resistance could be $138. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. A successful close above the $138 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $144. Any more gains might send the price toward the $150 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $133 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $129 zone. The first major support is near the $125 level. A break below the $125 level might send the price toward the $120 support zone. If there is a close below the $120 support, the price could decline toward the $112 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $129 and $125. Major Resistance Levels – $133 and $138.
A year after reaching its all-time high (ATH), Solana (SOL) is trading 54.3% below its $293 2025 milestone, attempting to hold a crucial zone as support. Some analysts warned that the altcoin could risk a deeper correction if the price fails to recover the recently lost ground. Related Reading: Ethereum’s 4-Hour Chart Says A Big Dump Is Coming, Here’s The Target Solana Breaks Below Key Support On Sunday, Solana recorded an 8% pullback and hit a two-week low of $130. Since losing the $200 phycological barrier in late October, the cryptocurrency has struggled to hold bullish momentum, hovering between the $115-$145 levels over the past three months. The start-of-the-year rally saw SOL break out of its multi-month downtrend, reclaim the upper zone of its local range, and briefly breach above the key $145 resistance last week. However, Sunday’s market pullback has sent Solana back below key areas. Amid this performance, market observer BitGuru affirmed in an X analysis that the cryptocurrency “just swept liquidity into a strong demand zone after a clean structure breakdown.” He explained that the price is attempting to rebound from its local support area, which could trigger a “sharp relief move toward previous highs” if the price can hold the current levels. Meanwhile, analyst Man of Bitcoin noted that the altcoin’s price broke below its two-week ascending trendline, which had been supporting its 17% surge from its yearly opening. Moreover, it also dropped below the $136 mark, where the price had consistently bounced after the recent breakout. The market observer pointed out that Solana’s short-term support sits between the $129-$136 area, adding that a breach and sustained breakdown from this area would spell trouble for the cryptocurrency. According to the chart, if selling pressure persists and Solana fails to reclaim the recently lost ground, the price could see a scenario where it retraces deeper and potentially falls up to 25% to challenge the $100 area. Analysts Warn Of Head And Shoulder Pattern Other market watchers highlighted a macro pattern on Solana’s chart, suggesting that a breakdown to new lows could be coming. Notably, the altcoin displays a two-year Head and Shoulders formation in the weekly timeframe. According to the chart, this bearish pattern has been forming since 2024, with the left shoulder developing during the Q1-Q2 2024 rally and the neckline sitting around the $120 area. Meanwhile, the pattern’s head formed during its late 2024 and early 2025 bullish run, which led to its ATH of $293 a year ago. Lastly, the right shoulder developed after the Q3 2025 rally and Q4 correction. Based on this performance, trader Slashology affirmed that Solana is “really looking bad here,” warning that investors should “prepare for the worst” as the price trades near the pattern’s neckline. He forecasted that a breakdown from this key level could lead to a 35%-40% “bloodbath” toward the $75-$80 levels. On the contrary, market observer Crypto Curb suggested a different outcome could be possible. Related Reading: XRP To Repeat Its 2017 Playbook? Analyst Forecasts 1,250% Expansion In an X post, he compared SOL’s recent performance to the S&P 500 (SPX) price action between 2009 and 2011. Per the post, SPX displayed the same pattern as Solana, but ultimately invalidated the pattern after bouncing from the neckline and breaking above the right shoulder’s peak, eventually reaching new highs. To the analyst, the altcoin could display a similar performance if it rebounds from the current levels and starts to climb higher. As of this writing, Solana is trading at $134, a 5.6% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Solana failed to settle above $145 and nosedived. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $135 and might decline further below $130. SOL price started a fresh decline below $138 and $135 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $132 or $130. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price failed to remain stable above $142 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $140 and $138 support levels. The price gained bearish momentum below $135. A low was formed at $130, and the price is now consolidating losses. The price recovered a few points and climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $130 low. Solana is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $135 level. The next major resistance is near the $136 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $130 low. The main resistance could be $140. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. A successful close above the $140 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $144. Any more gains might send the price toward the $150 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $136 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $132 zone. The first major support is near the $130 level. A break below the $130 level might send the price toward the $122 support zone. If there is a close below the $122 support, the price could decline toward the $115 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $132 and $130. Major Resistance Levels – $136 and $140.
Solana failed to stay above $146 and corrected gains. SOL price is now trading below $145 and might find bids near the $140 zone. SOL price started a downside correction below $145 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $145 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $141 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $140 zone. Solana Price Starts Downside Correction Solana price failed to surpass $150 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL dipped below $146 and $145 to enter a short-term bearish zone. There was a move below the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $138 swing low to the $149 high. However, the bulls are active above $140. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $141 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. Solana is now trading below $145 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $144 level. The next major resistance is near the $146 level. The main resistance could be $148. A successful close above the $148 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $155. Any more gains might send the price toward the $162 level. More Losses In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $146 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $141 zone and the trend line. The first major support is near the $140 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $138 swing low to the $149 high. A break below the $140 level might send the price toward the $132 support zone. If there is a close below the $132 support, the price could decline toward the $124 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $141 and $140. Major Resistance Levels – $146 and $148.
Solana started a fresh increase above the $142 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $142 and might aim for more gains above the $150 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $142 and $145 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $142 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $150 resistance zone. Solana Price Starts Fresh Surge Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $135 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $140 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $142 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above $145. A high was formed at $148, and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $138 swing low to the $148 high. Solana is now trading above $142 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near $148. The next major resistance is near the $150 level. The main resistance could be $155. A successful close above the $155 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $162. Any more gains might send the price toward the $170 level. Downside Correction In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $148 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $144 zone. The first major support is near the $143 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $138 swing low to the $148 high. A break below the $143 level might send the price toward the $140 support zone and the trend line. If there is a close below the $140 support, the price could decline toward the $135 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $144 and $140. Major Resistance Levels – $148 and $150.
On-chain data shows the Network Growth indicator has continued to fall for Solana recently, a sign that adoption of the asset has remained weak. Solana Network Growth Has Been Declining According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, SOL’s recent price recovery has come despite a drop in the Network Growth. This metric measures the weekly total number of addresses that are coming online on the blockchain for the first time. A wallet comes “online” on the network when it participates in some kind of transfer activity. Thus, the wallets that the Network Growth is counting are the ones that are making their first transaction on the network. Related Reading: Bitcoin Risks Drop To $69,000 If Pennant Support Breaks, Analyst Warns When the value of the Network Growth is high, it means that a large number of addresses are being created on the blockchain. Such a trend can be a sign that an influx of users is occurring. On the other hand, the indicator being low suggests that there isn’t much new address generation taking place on the network, which can be a potential indication that the chain isn’t attracting fresh investors. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Solana Network Growth over the last couple of years: As displayed in the above graph, the Solana Network Growth has witnessed a drawdown recently, despite the fact that the SOL price has made some recovery since its December low. This suggests that the bullish price action has been unable to bring fresh attention to the cryptocurrency. Historically, rallies have generally needed the incoming of new investors to be sustainable, as it’s the increased trading activity that provides them with the fuel to go on. In the chart, Santiment has highlighted the case of a rally where this requirement wasn’t met. The Network Growth was initially at a significant level, but as this price surge from 2025 played out, the metric’s value plummeted. This could be a potential factor behind the rally eventually running out of momentum. In late 2024, the opposite conditions were present, as the Network Growth shot up alongside the Solana bull run, implying adoption backed the price appreciation. Considering these past cases, it’s possible that the indicator might have to reverse its trajectory if SOL’s recovery has to last. The latest downward move in the Network Growth is also not the only development SOL is dealing with right now. From the graph, it’s visible that the indicator has gone through a long-term downtrend since its high in November 2024. Related Reading: $460M Crypto Longs Squeezed As Bitcoin Slips Below $90,000 Back then, the metric had a value of 30.2 million, but today, the figure has dropped to just 7.3 million. It now remains to be seen whether the long decline in the adoption of Solana will continue or if a turnaround will appear. SOL Price Solana recovered back to $144 on Sunday, but the coin has retraced to open the week as its price is back at $139. Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
Solana’s price action is sending a clear message: the correction may not be finished yet. While buyers continue to show up at key levels, the broader structure still points to the possibility of one final downside test before a sustainable move higher can take shape. Wave IV Still Unfinished As C-Wave Pressure Persists Crypto analyst More Crypto Online, in a recent update, explained that Solana’s chart structure still points to the possibility of another downside move before the ongoing correction is fully completed. Within the orange scenario, price action continues to align with a C-wave decline in a broader wave IV correction, keeping the corrective outlook valid as long as the structure remains non-impulsive. Related Reading: Solana Accumulation Narrative Strengthens With Big Institutions, A Rally Imminent? Even when viewed through the alternative white scenario, the current pullback can still be classified as an A-wave, which leaves room for another low before a B-wave recovery begins or before a potential fifth wave to the upside develops. In both interpretations, the analyst noted that the correction may not yet be finished. From a short-term perspective, the chart suggests that Solana could drift lower into the $81 to $90 region. Currently, there are no clear structural signals indicating an immediate bullish continuation, as the absence of impulsive upside movement keeps downside scenarios firmly in play. However, if prices were to turn higher from current levels without setting a new low, the broader structure since January 2025 would start to resemble a triangular consolidation rather than a completed wave IV. This alternative setup would imply extended sideways movement instead of a rapid trend resumption. Until stronger upside momentum appears, the focus remains on the risk of one more corrective low. Controlled Reaction At The 50% Fibonacci Signals Solana Buyer Strength AltCoin Việt Nam stated that Solana’s current price action is showing a strong and reassuring reaction around the 50% Fibonacci level. Instead of breaking down aggressively, the price has been rebounding in a controlled manner, suggesting that buyers are still maintaining influence. From a wave-structure perspective, wave IV does not appear to be rushing toward completion, leaving room for wave C to extend further if the market continues to move in line with the broader rhythm. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Holds Support Post-Gains, Testing Bull Conviction Adding to the bullish bias is the ongoing ETF narrative surrounding Solana. Spot SOL inflows are not arriving in a FOMO-driven manner, but rather through steady accumulation across several sessions. This type of capital flow often reflects longer-term positioning rather than short-term speculation, which explains why the price tends to rebound quickly whenever it revisits key support zones. That said, the outlook is not without invalidation. A sustained move below the 50% Fibonacci level would signal that the current structure has broken down. However, the analyst views the recent pauses as temporary breathers within a broader upward structure, rather than the beginning of a meaningful downtrend. Featured image from Pxfuel, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana started a fresh increase above the $140 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $140 and might aim for more gains above the $145 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $140 and $142 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $140 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $145 resistance zone. Solana Price Outperforms Bitcoin Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $132 zone, outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $138 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $140 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above $142. A high was formed at $144, and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $135 swing low to the $144 high. Solana is now trading above $142 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near $144. The next major resistance is near the $145 level. The main resistance could be $150. A successful close above the $150 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $162. Any more gains might send the price toward the $170 level. Downside Correction In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $145 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $142 zone. The first major support is near the $140 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $135 swing low to the $144 high. A break below the $140 level might send the price toward the $138 support zone and the trend line. If there is a close below the $138 support, the price could decline toward the $132 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $140 and $138. Major Resistance Levels – $145 and $150.
As Solana (SOL) fails to reclaim a major resistance area, a market watcher suggested that the cryptocurrency is poised to retest the November lows. However, other analysts predicted that the altcoin consolidation period may end soon. Related Reading: Dogecoin Prepares For Major Recovery As Bullish Momentum Builds – Here’s The Target Solana Rejected From Key Area On Friday, Solana faced a nearly 4% correction after trying to reclaim a crucial resistance zone for the second time this week. The cryptocurrency has been trading between the $120-$145 price range since the early November correction, hitting its local lows three weeks ago. Amid the crypto market’s star-of-the-year rally, SOL jumped over 13% from its yearly opening, breaking out of a three-month downtrend and hitting a one-month high of $143.4 earlier this week. After being rejected from the upper boundary on Tuesday, the altcoin is now attempting to build a base below the $140 level, where the cryptocurrency has faced strong resistance over the past three months. Despite the surge, Market observer Crypto Batman predicted that SOL could retrace toward the November lows as a bullish reversal pattern appears to be forming on its one-day timeframe. In an X post, the analyst noted that the altcoin has been rejected by the strong resistance area, asserting that a local top has formed. As a result, the cryptocurrency’s next support area is around the $128-$130 area, where its unfilled bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) is located. Crypto Batman also pointed out that Solana has been potentially forming an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern since the Q4 corrections. According to the chart, the cryptocurrency formed the patterns left shoulder and head during the November and December pullbacks, with the neckline around the $145 area. Moreover, the recent rejection could signal that the right shoulder has begun forming, which would see the price drop to its late November lows before retesting the pattern’s neckline again and potentially breaking out if the formation is confirmed. Is SOL Waking Up? Market watcher King Arthur shared a bullish outlook for Solana, affirming that the altcoin “is finally waking up.” He affirmed that “We’ve been watching that long downward slide for a while now, and it’s so good to see SOL finally breaking free from that falling channel. This is a huge first step, but let’s stay sharp.” As he explained, breaking above the $143 level is crucial for Solana’s momentum, as it would open the door for a reclaim of the $152 level, lost during the November 13 breakdown. “If we manage that, I’d say the uptrend is officially back on track with my eyes set on $171.55,” he asserted. However, he warned that a drop below the $133 area would suggest that the price is not ready for bullish continuation. Related Reading: XRP Named The ‘New Cryptocurrency Darling’ After Strong Start Of The Year Meanwhile, analyst Crypto Jelle pointed out that Solana has been unable to challenge the $200 psychological barrier, chopping below this level over the past few months. He suggested that its recent performance is starting to resemble BNB’s price action. “Kinda starting to feel like BNB. Sideways for what feels like forever – and then, sudden expansion again. (…) Waiting for the same outcome,” he concluded. As of this writing, Solana is trading at $134.9, a 2.3% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Solana is undergoing a major shift as big institutional players are increasingly positioning in the network. What was once viewed primarily as a high-performance Layer-1 driven by retail and developer enthusiasm is now attracting serious capital allocations from professional funds, asset managers, and institutional allocators. This trend bolsters the SOL accumulation thesis as an emerging institutional liquidity and infrastructure story. Why Big Capital Begins Positioning Into Solana In an X post, Rex reported that the latest wave of institutional interest in Solana confirms what analyst Solana Sensei pointed out, that big firms are actively accumulating SOL right now. Forward Industry alone is holding close to $1 billion worth of SOL, while firms like Defidevcorp and others are sitting on hundreds of millions. Related Reading: Solana’s Network Performance Reaches Historic Peaks As Transaction Activity Climbs Rex views this move as just the start, and SOL stands out when it comes to real-world asset (RWA) tokenization. Its insane transaction speed, combined with dirt-cheap fees and real scalability, finally makes moving real assets on-chain viable and sustainable. These projects choosing SOL isn’t accidental; they know where the future is heading. The expert also reflects on the journey. SOL has been addressed as fast but too centralized. Currently, the same institutions that once stayed on the sidelines are quietly stacking billions in SOL, while the real run hasn’t even started yet. SOL is positioning itself to reach levels that may look unimaginable in the next few years. “Supper proud to be part of this,” Rex noted. While the crowd stayed focused on the 2025 volatility, an analyst known as Senior highlighted that Solana entered 2026 by finally delivering on its biggest technical promise. The Firedancer validator client officially went live on mainnet as of January 2026, pushing the network’s finality to 150 milliseconds and finally ending years of beta resilience and performance concerns. At the same time, Western Union officially integrated the SOL network. Meanwhile, the Spot SOL ETF surpassed $1 billion in total net assets this week, indicating that the infrastructure has also reached true institutional-grade standards. In the past, the moment SOL transitions from a retail playground to a permanent global financial rail, becoming unshakeable will feel obvious. On-Chain Activity Reflects Real Usage Growth The Solana metrics are growing. Investor and founder of the Inner Circle, Lark Davis, has revealed that the SOL application revenue surged to $2.39 billion, a 46% year-over-year increase and a new all-time high in 2025. SOL network revenue also reached $1.48 billion, representing a 48 times increase over the past two years. Meanwhile, daily active wallets have climbed to 3.2 million, showing that SOL growth is improving. Related Reading: Why Has The Solana Price Been In A Steady Downtrend Since January? On January 6th, nearly $900 million in stablecoin supply entered the SOL ecosystem in a single day. Currently, SOL leads all chains in both 24-hour and 30-day DEX volumes, and has emerged as the top blockchain by market capitalization for tokenized stocks. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana started a fresh increase above the $136 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $138 and might aim for more gains above the $142 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $136 and $138 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $138 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $137 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $142 resistance zone. Solana Price Regains Traction Solana price corrected gains from the $144 zone but remained stable above the $130 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL formed a low near $132 and started a fresh upward move. The price climbed above the $135 level to enter a short-term positive zone. It surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $132 low. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $137 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. Solana is now trading above $138 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near $140 and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $132 low. The next major resistance is near the $142 level. The main resistance could be $145. A successful close above the $145 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $150. Any more gains might send the price toward the $155 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $140 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $138 zone. The first major support is near the $135 level. A break below the $135 level might send the price toward the $132 support zone. If there is a close below the $132 support, the price could decline toward the $124 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $138 and $135. Major Resistance Levels – $140 and $142.
Solana (SOL), one of the foremost blockchains in the cryptocurrency sector, recently released its annual review for 2025, showcasing major growth across several key metrics, including daily active wallets and decentralized exchange (DEX) volume. Seven Solana Apps Break $100 Million Revenue Barrier According to the report issued on social media platform X (previously Twitter) applications built on Solana generated $2.39 billion in revenue, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 46% and marking a new all-time high (ATH). Seven standout applications in particular, including Pumpfun, each surpassed the $100 million revenue threshold in 2025. Additionally, the variety of smaller applications—those earning under $100 million—collectively produced over $500 million in revenue. Related Reading: XRP Surges Towards $2.20: Leading Monday Gains And Driving Crypto ETF Inflows The network’s performance indicators are equally impressive. Solana achieved a revenue of $1.4 billion, demonstrating a 48-fold increase over the past two years. Non-vote transactions reached a new ATH of 33 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 28%. Furthermore, the network averaged 1,054 non-vote transactions per second (TPS) while unique active wallets averaged 3.2 million daily, marking a 50% increase year-on-year. In terms of wallet growth, Solana saw 725 million new wallets. Bitcoin Trading Volume Skyrockets To $33 Billion In terms of asset management, Solana’s stablecoin supply ended the year at $14.8 billion, more than doubling year-on-year. The blockchain facilitated a colossal $11.7 trillion in stablecoin transfers, marking a sevenfold increase over two years. Notably, equities made their debut on Solana in 2025, achieving a supply of $1 billion and trading volume of $651 million. Bitcoin trading volume grew fivefold compared to the previous year, reaching $33 billion and solidifying a new ATH. The total Bitcoin supply also doubled to $770 million. Staked SOL also saw an increase, with 421 million tokens staked, representing an 8% growth and another ATH. Additionally, the introduction of Solana ETFs attracted net inflows of $1.02 billion. SOL-Stablecoin Volume Soars To $782 Billion In the realm of decentralized exchanges, the total DEX volume reached $1.5 trillion, reflecting a 57% year-over-year growth and another all-time high for the network’s annual review. The trading volume for SOL-stablecoins set a record at $782 billion, more than doubling year-over-year. Twelve DEX platforms managed to process over $10 billion in volume, with Raydium leading the way at $347 billion. Furthermore, the artificial intelligence (AI) agent volume reached a new all-time high of $31 billion, along with tokenized asset volume rising to $598 million and project token volume increasing to $86 billion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reaches $93,000 Amid Renewed Optimism: What To Keep An Eye On This Week In the sectors of memecoins and launchpads, memecoin volume totaled $482 billion, although this represented a slight decline of 10% year-on-year. Launchpads had a successful year as well, with six platforms generating over $1 billion in volume and launchpad revenue doubling year-on-year to $762 million. Trading platforms contributed significantly to Solana’s ecosystem, earning $940 million, a 44% increase compared to the prior year. Moreover, the trading volume processed by these platforms reached $108 billion, up 66% year-on-year. https://www.tradingview.com/x/dPrTZvZ9/ At the time of writing, SOL is trading at $138.50, having recovered by 10% over the past seven days. However, it is still trading 50% below its all-time high of $293, which was reached during last year’s rally. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Solana started a fresh increase above the $135 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $135 and might aim for more gains above the $140 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $135 and $138 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a contracting triangle forming with support at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $140 resistance zone. Solana Price Eyes Another Increase Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $130 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $135 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $140 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above $142. Recently, there were a couple of swing moves and the price dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $136 swing low to the $141 high. Solana is now trading above $138 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a contracting triangle forming with support at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near $140. The next major resistance is near the $142 level. The main resistance could be $145. A successful close above the $145 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $150. Any more gains might send the price toward the $155 level. Downside Break In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $142 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $138 zone, the trend line, and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $136 swing low to the $141 high. The first major support is near the $136 level. A break below the $136 level might send the price toward the $130 support zone. If there is a close below the $130 support, the price could decline toward the $120 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $138 and $136. Major Resistance Levels – $140 and $142.
Solana started a fresh increase above the $130 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $132 and might aim for more gains above the $138 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $130 and $132 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $132 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $135 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $140 resistance zone. Solana Price Gains Momentum Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $125 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $130 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $132 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above $135. The price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $123 swing low to the $138 high. Solana is now trading above $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $135 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near $138. The next major resistance is near the $140 level. The main resistance could be $145. A successful close above the $145 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $150. Any more gains might send the price toward the $155 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $185 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $134 zone and the trend line. The first major support is near the $130 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $123 swing low to the $138 high. A break below the $130 level might send the price toward the $128 support zone. If there is a close below the $128 support, the price could decline toward the $120 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $135 and $130. Major Resistance Levels – $138 and $140.
Solana (SOL) is retesting a make-or-break area that could set the stage for a major move at the start of next year. Some analysts have suggested that altcoin’s chart signals a bearish performance for the coming months. Related Reading: Here’s Why Bitcoin Advocate Max Keiser Restates Bullish Outlook For 2025 Solana Faces Another Rejection From Key Resistance After hitting a three-week high of $130 on Sunday, Solana started the week with a 6.1% correction to the $122 area. The cryptocurrency recently breached below its macro support around the $120 zone, hitting an eight-month low of $116 in mid-December. Since then, the altcoin has been trading between the $120-$126 mark, attempting to break out of the local resistance multiple times but ultimately being rejected after each retest. SOL’s price surged around 5.6% toward during Sunday’s broader market bounce, trying to build a base below the crucial resistance level before plunging after the early Monday correction. Amid this performance, market observer Crypto Jobs pointed out that Solana had broken out of a six-week falling wedge, which could target the $144-$146 area if momentum holds and price confirms a retest of the breakout. However, the star-of-week pullback has momentarily sent SOL below the pattern’s upper boundary. Analyst Man of Bitcoin also highlighted that the cryptocurrency had broken above a one-month downtrend line, which suggested an initial move toward the $129-$130 area. The analyst explained that “holding above the broken trendline is key to maintaining upside momentum,” but noted that as long as the price remains below $146, a scenario where price is headed for one more low, around the $100-105 horizontal support, remains likely. Following the Monday rejection, he affirmed that “it could be that wave-4 is already complete. A decisive break below the trendline would confirm this further.” SOL’s Higher Timeframe Chart Shows Troubling Signs Market watcher Elite Crypto affirmed that Solana “doesn’t look very strong” on the higher timeframe, pointing to a multi-year bearish pattern potentially forming on SOL’s chart. According to X analysis, the cryptocurrency has been developing a Head and Shoulder pattern since early 2024, with the neckline sitting around the $105 area in the weekly timeframe. The char shows that left shoulder formed during the Q1 2024 rally, while the head and right shoulder formed during its rally to its latest all-time high (ATH) in Q1 and Q3 2025 breakouts, respectively. “If $SOL loses the $105 support then the price could move down to the $75–$51 range and this phase may last until mid 2026,” the investor detailed, adding that “after this period, the overall trend for SOL can turn bullish and set up a better move ahead.” Similarly, Henry from Lord of Alts suggested that Solana has formed a double top formation with the neckline around the current levels instead of a Head and Shoulders pattern. Related Reading: Bitcoin Nears Red Yearly Close: Galaxy Digital Explains The Setup Per the analyst, “We put in a clean double top, rolled over, and now price is going back toward a zone that’s acted as real support before.” If the altcoin fails to hold the current support, its price could retrace toward the $60 mark, the chart shows. Moreover, he added that SOL’s price could also risk a drop to the $35 area in the coming months as there’s “a big gap below that market hasn’t dealt with yet.” Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Solana is treading a fine line as price presses against a key technical barrier with momentum visibly fading. Repeated rejections suggest buyers are struggling to force a breakout, yet downside follow-through remains limited for now. With volume thinning and structure unchanged, the next reaction around this level could determine whether SOL’s price trajectory. Structure Stalls As $127 Continues To Cap Upside Speaking in a recent Solana update, crypto analyst Umair Crypto highlighted that the asset’s structural situation remains unchanged from previous discussions. The core issue is that the chart continues to lack the necessary momentum to flip the $127 level into support. Repeated attempts to breach this price point have been cleanly rejected, forcing the price to turn downward and search for the next established area of support. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Loses Momentum—Could Sellers Take Control Again? Given this persistent failure, the analyst believes a brief sweep below the key $120 level looks increasingly likely before buyers attempt another serious push higher. Umair Crypto emphasized that the most crucial aspect of this potential dip will be the market’s reaction and volume response, particularly around key areas like the volume profile and the Change of Behavior (COB) zone. A weak reaction at these lower levels would signal continuation lower, while a strong acceptance and high volume response could set up the next major rotation back toward the $127 resistance. In the meantime, while the immediate risk is to the downside for a liquidity sweep, the $127 level remains the absolute line in the sand that decides the medium-term direction. Until Solana can secure a sustained reclaim of this barrier, the momentum will remain structurally tentative. Solana Presses Channel Resistance As Market Waits Bitcoinsensus pointed out that Solana is now trading right at a critical breakout area, placing the market in a clear wait-and-see mode. Price is pressing against the descending channel resistance, a level that has repeatedly capped upside attempts in recent sessions. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Cools Off After Rally While Market Eyes a Resistance Break Despite hovering near the upper trendline, no confirmed breakout has occurred yet. The structure suggests growing pressure, but price alone has not been enough to validate a bullish shift. As long as SOL remains trapped beneath this resistance, the setup stays neutral rather than decisively bullish. One key missing ingredient is volume. Buying pressure remains relatively light, signaling hesitation from bulls and a lack of conviction behind the current push higher. Without a noticeable increase in volume, any move above resistance risks turning into another false breakout. A clean break above the channel, paired with strong volume expansion, would change the outlook, acting as a bullish ignition for the next leg higher. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana’s price action this year has followed a clear but uncomfortable pattern. After pushing to a new all-time high around the $296 region in January, the rally quickly lost momentum and transitioned into a steady decline that has persisted for months. Many traders have attributed this weakness to a risk-off sentiment across crypto, but a deeper on-chain breakdown shared by crypto analyst Ardi on X suggests the story began well before the January peak and has more to do with who was buying and who was quietly exiting. Distribution Was Already Underway Before The January Peak Solana has been on a clear downtrend since September, when it reached a lower high of around $247 compared to its January 19 all-time high of $293. One of the most important insights from Ardi’s analysis is that Solana’s January all-time high did not mark the start of distribution but rather the culmination of it. Related Reading: Why Has The Solana Price Been Crashing Since October? This Major SOL Player Is Selling The chart attached to his post shows that selling volume was already increasing months earlier, well ahead of October, meaning that large holders were positioning for exits long before price reached its final peak. From that perspective, the January high looks less like the beginning of a new expansion phase and more like the last push of a rally. After that point, price action began forming lower highs, and each rebound attempt lacked the strength needed to reclaim the all-time high. Interestingly, Solana failed to reach a new all-time high, even as other large market cap cryptos like Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and BNB pushed to new all-time highs during the year. Another interesting feature of the data is the widening gap between retail behavior and that of larger players. Cumulative delta metrics on the chart show that retail-sized wallets have been consistently active throughout the year and are increasing their activity even as Solana’s price moved lower. On the other hand, mid-sized and institutional wallets tell a very different story. Their activity has been trending downward for months, starting from the January peak and extending up until the time of writing. Is Solana’s Price Becoming Dependent On Memecoin Activity? Ardi’s analysis also raises a broader question about what is currently driving demand for Solana. Outside of retail activity on Solana itself, one of the few consistent sources of activity has been the memecoin sector. Successes and booms of meme coins like Cat in a Dogs World (MEW), Peanut the Squirrel (PNUT), and Fartcoin (FARTCOIN), which gained traction in the second half of 2024, contributed to Solana’s push to all-time highs during those periods. Related Reading: Will Solana Flip Ethereum? Revenue Numbers Show Disturbing Trend Those meme coin successes culminated with the launch of the Official Trump ($TRUMP) token in January 2025 on Solana, which experienced eye-watering gains shortly after its launch. This, in turn, contributed to Solana’s all-time high in January. However, since then, the TRUMP token and other Solana-based meme coins have been trending downwards in recent months and no longer command the same level of attention or trading intensity they had this time last year. That has led to the view that Solana’s price is increasingly sensitive to the success of memecoins in its ecosystem. At the time of writing, Solana is trading at $121.50, down by about 58.6% from its January all-time high of $293. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana failed to stay above $126 and corrected gains. SOL price is now trading below $125 and might find bids near the $120 zone. SOL price started a downside correction below $125 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $124 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $120 zone. Solana Price Starts Downside Correction Solana price failed to surpass $130 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL dipped below $126 and $125 to enter a short-term bearish zone. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $117 swing low to the $127 high. However, the bulls are active near $122. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $124 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. Solana is now trading below $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $125 level and the trend line. The next major resistance is near the $128 level. The main resistance could be $130. A successful close above the $130 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $135. Any more gains might send the price toward the $142 level. More Losses In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $125 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $122 zone. The first major support is near the $120 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $117 swing low to the $127 high. A break below the $120 level might send the price toward the $112 support zone. If there is a close below the $112 support, the price could decline toward the $105 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $122 and $120. Major Resistance Levels – $125 and $128.
The story of Solana has shifted from a meteoric rise to a high-stakes battle for relevance. After reaching a historic all-time high in November 2024, the network has struggled to reclaim its former momentum. This loss of momentum reflects technical exhaustion and a market recalibration after an aggressive run-up. Thus, SOL has entered a new phase as investors assess whether fresh demand can emerge or if the network needs a new catalyst to reassert leadership. How Solana Momentum Fades After The November Peak Crypto trader Ardi has revealed on X that market interest has noticeably thinned ever since Solana set its $296 all-time high in November 2024. On-chain data has shown that buying pressure has been dominated almost by the retail-sized wallets, particularly those making purchases between $0 and $1,000. Related Reading: Solana Faces Critical Test Near $100 as Macro Pressure and Network Upgrades Collide Ardi argues that while many observers point to micro conditions to explain the stalled price action, the tape reveals that the distribution has begun before the peak. The selling volume had already been accelerating for months before October 10, signaling that major players were planning their exits long before the drawdown. The data also confirms a massive divergence between demographics. Meanwhile, the mid-sized wallets involving $0 to $100,000, and the institutional-sized wallets involving $100,000 to $10 million in volume have been in a steady downtrend for roughly 13 months. Over the same period, retail wallets have shown a consistent uptrend, and are clearly convinced that SOL is still trading at a deep discount price. This imbalance leads to the ultimate question: Is Solana’s value now intrinsically tied to memecoins? The correlation between SOL’s demand and the memecoin actively on the network has been near-perfect, which means that without the frenzy of the meme sector, most bids would largely be disinterested. What Comes After Memes Will Decide Solana’s Future An investor and trader, Jas pointed out that 2025 has definitely been a reset for Solana, but it isn’t over for the altcoin. SOL active monthly traders have fallen from roughly 30 million to under 1 million, a staggering 97% drop in network activity. The speculative engine was the memecoin boom that fueled its rise and also exposed its biggest vulnerability. Related Reading: Solana at a Breaking Point: Fading Memecoin Hype and Alameda Unlocks Test the $140 Support Zone Furthermore, SOL is down nearly 58% from its yearly high. SOL’s network revenue dropped fivefold year-over-year from $2.5 billion in 2024 to $500 million in 2025. The contrast with Ethereum is hard to ignore, and ETH generated $1.4 billion in revenue this year and outperformed SOL by 56% year-to-date. “SOL’s future may depend less on memes and more on what follows them,” Jas noted. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana started a recovery wave above the $120 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $128 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $122 and $124 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $127 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $128 and $130. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $117, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $120 level. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $134 swing high to the $117 low. The bulls even pushed the price above $125. However, the bears remained active near $127. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $127 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. Solana is now trading above $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $127 level, and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $134 swing high to the $117 low. The next major resistance is near the $130 level. The main resistance could be $135. A successful close above the $135 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $144. Any more gains might send the price toward the $150 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $130 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $125 zone. The first major support is near the $122 level. A break below the $122 level might send the price toward the $117 support zone. If there is a close below the $117 support, the price could decline toward the $108 zone in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $125 and $122. Major Resistance Levels – $128 and $130.
The Solana price has shown encouraging signs of recovery, climbing 6% on Friday to approach the $126 mark. This uptick follows a concerning dip below the crucial $120 level, which had sparked fears of a potential downtrend that could drag the cryptocurrency down toward the $100 threshold. Solana Price Gains Ground Chris MacDonald, an analyst at The Motley Fool, recently highlighted two key factors contributing to Solana’s resurgence. One significant catalyst is a proactive initiative by the Solana Foundation. Bitcoinist reported earlier this week that the organization is currently assessing whether its network can withstand potential threats from quantum computing technologies. Related Reading: Bitwise’s 2026 Crypto Forecast: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana Poised For New Record Highs In collaboration with Project Eleven, a security firm specializing in post-quantum cryptography, the Solana team has launched a quantum-resistant testnet following a comprehensive threat assessment. The second notable factor driving the Solana price uptick is the announcement from health and wellness company Mangoceuticals, which revealed plans to allocate $100 million toward acquiring and holding SOL. Despite the positive momentum, experts caution that Solana’s price is currently following a “clean corrective structure.” Moving Averages Signal Downtrend From a technical analysis perspective, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is situated around $143, significantly higher than the current trading range, while the 200-day SMA looms even further at approximately $170, suggesting a prevailing downtrend rather than a healthy consolidation phase. In the short term, the 20-day exponential moving average has also rolled over near $133 and has consistently rejected previous attempts at a bounce. Analysts note that until the Solana price can close above the low-$130s for an extended period, any rebounds will likely be seen merely as counter-trend movements. Immediate support lies just below current trading levels at the $125 mark, followed by critical levels in the $121–$120 range, and another demand zone around $110. A more significant downturn could push the price into the high $90s, with projections indicating a potential dip to around $80 if liquidations accelerate further, as NewsBTC reported on Thursday. Related Reading: Crypto Payments Firm MoonPay Set For $5 Billion Valuation With NYSE Owner’s Backing The market has already registered an eight-month low near $116.9. A decisive close beneath that level could likely drag the Solana price toward the psychologically significant $100 mark. On the upside, the Solana price could encounter initial resistance clustered in the $133–$138 range, with stronger resistance observed in higher levels between $144 and $147 that could prevent any new recoveries in the short-term. To facilitate further price recovery, the Solana price will need to clear that second group of resistance levels on a daily close, ideally supported by increased trading volume, to pave the way toward prices between $160 and $165. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
After reaching a new multi-month low, Solana (SOL) is attempting to hold a key high-timeframe level as support ahead of week’s end. Some analysts have suggested that the altcoin is poised to bounce, but others warned that a potential rally could be short-lived. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mirrors Q1 2025 Playbook, Is It Headed To $70,000 Before Year’s End? Solana To Tag Higher Levels Soon On Friday, Solana recovered from the latest drop and surged 7.7% toward the $125 area. The cryptocurrency fell nearly 9% on Thursday afternoon amid a broader market correction, sending its price to an eight-month low of $116. Amid the pullback, SOL’s price breached below a crucial high timeframe level, the around $120 mark, for the first time since April before recovering. Analyst Crypto Batman noted the altcoin “is not only at its major support level, the same one that has held price for the past 2 years.” In addition, the cryptocurrency is also forming a bullish divergence on the 3-day timeframe, “exactly like what we saw before the major bottom” at the start of Q2, the market observer added. To him, this suggests that Solana could bottom soon and see the start of a recovery rally to the macro range highs. However, another market observer affirmed that even if a retest of the higher levels is likely, “context matters here.” Analyst Crypto Scient highlighted that SOL’s price is currently at the range lows of its multi-year range, recording the first retest of this area after being rejected from the range highs. “One could argue SOL has been distributive for nearly two years now. That’s fair,” he explained, “[but] range lows rarely break on the first attempt.” Moreover, Scient pointed out that there’s significant liquidity left between the $175–$190 levels that “should get tagged at some point, even within a broader bearish environment.” As a result, the analyst considers that a “move higher to clean liquidity before any deeper downside would make far more sense.” December Close To Define SOL’s Fate? Analyst Rekt Capital affirmed that the $123 horizontal support remains the “defining level” that Solana must hold to prevent a major breakdown to multi-year lows. He detailed rebounds from this support have historically produced “outsized upside expansions,” with 140% and 100% moves. However, each rebound from this level has been progressively weaker over time, with the most recent bounce only managing to rally 15%. This signals a “sharp deceleration in upside responsiveness at this level,” which is important to consider as the compression in rebound magnitude could affect SOL’s monthly close. According to the analysis, a monthly close above the macro support would keep Solana positioned for a weaker rally, but a close below $123 would substantially change the structure. The second case would suggest that distribution has already started and confirm “how much this support has weakened since the last meaningful rebound that produced a near 2x move earlier this year.” Related Reading: Did Crypto Investors Stop Believing In The Four-Year Cycle? Analyst Weighs In Moreover, it would begin to mirror SOL’s performance in early 2022, when a similar price action preceded “macro relief moves during the opening phase of the Bear Market, including the decisive breakdown that occurred at the turn of that year.” Ultimately, the analyst warned that it remains to be seen whether the altcoin can close December above this crucial level and rebound, or if a breakdown “accelerates distribution sooner rather than later.” As of this writing, Solana is trading at $126, a 3.4% decline in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Solana (SOL) is currently one of the poorest performers among the top ten largest cryptocurrencies in the market, experiencing a sharp 13% decline over the past week. Bearish Patterns Emerge For Solana This downturn comes as the cryptocurrency has broken below the critical support level of $120, which had acted as a pivotal floor since the start of the month and previously prevented further drops. The situation appears even more dire for investors with bullish sentiments, as recent data from CoinGecko indicates that Solana has retraced nearly 60% from its all-time high of $293, reached back in January of this year. Year-to-date, the token has experienced a significant loss of 40%, which raises additional concerns among top analysts about its near-term stability. Related Reading: Optimism Grows In Crypto Market Structure Bill After Wednesday’s Senate Banking Meeting Experts are cautioning that unless conditions change, the Solana price may soon retest the $100 mark—an area not seen since April. Should this scenario materialize, it would imply an additional drop of approximately 15.9%. Some analysts, like market commentator EddieTradezz, have pointed to a bearish “head and shoulders” pattern formed in SOL’s daily chart, suggesting that Solana is on the brink of a substantial decline. He notes that it is now breaking through strong long-term resistance, with April’s lows around $95 potentially being a more realistic target than $100. Adding to the bearish sentiment, fellow expert ColdBloodShill has indicated that Solana may be heading toward a price point of $80, which would result in a drastic additional drop of 32%. However, as EddieTradezz mentioned, the possibility for recovery would largely depend on market-wide conditions and investor sentiment. Institutional Interest Grows As SOL ETFs See Major Inflows Despite the prevailing bearish indicators, there has been a noteworthy development on the institutional front. Recently approved Solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US have seen impressive uptake, amassing $63.9 million in net inflows over the past week. This suggests that institutions are beginning to accumulate Solana, potentially viewing it as a long-term investment opportunity. However, this positive news has been overshadowed by heavy selling pressure in spot markets. Related Reading: Bitwise’s 2026 Crypto Forecast: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana Poised For New Record Highs Increased volatility has led to a rise in liquidations for leveraged positions, dampening Solana’s price reaction to the overall positive developments in institutional interest. Ultimately, Solana’s future remains uncertain. While institutional interest may offer some hope, the immediate outlook is clouded by increased selling pressure and the inability to regain capital in the broader market, which has recently dropped below the $2.90 trillion mark in total market capitalization. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
In the evolving landscape of blockchain technology, Solana has rapidly emerged as a platform not merely defined by its technical capabilities but by its broader implications for economic infrastructure. By enabling the class of decentralized applications, SOL is positioning itself as a high-performance blockchain and a foundational layer for the next-generation economic activity. Why Infrastructure That Enables Continuous Markets In an X post, crypto analyst Vibhu mentioned that Solana is no longer just a piece of financial technology, but a fully functioning economy. What exists on SOL today has gone beyond transactions and smart contracts. Related Reading: Solana Gains Institutional Momentum as New On-Chain Bond Deal and XRP Integration Build Hype According to the expert, there are dollars and native currencies, real-world assets, metals and rare minerals, energy market, information markets, manufacturing primitives, and global trade rails all operating in real-time on-chain. SOL also has politics, governance processes, divided factions, and ongoing debates about the leading network’s future. At this point, we are witnessing the birth of a country that lives entirely on the internet. Measured through economic output, SOL would rank around the 157th largest country in the world by GDP (Gross Domestic Product), comparable in size to nations such as Eswatini or Fiji. However, SOL is globally integrated by default, and from a forex and asset-flow perspective, it punches above its weight, integrating with the largest banks and financial institutions across the globe. Furthermore, SOL has withstood sustained network attacks from nation-state actors, defending itself with systems engineers instead of armies. Economically, SOL is already engaged in trade with countries like Bhutan, ranked 164, the Isle of Man, ranked 154, and even Kazakhstan, which ranks 49 in global economic standings. “Solana is a digital country, and I am proud to be a citizen,” Vibhu noted. Why Real-Time On-Chain UX Finally Works On Solana Solana continues to see key updates and integration that tend to bolster the network capabilities. Co-founder of TeamElevenX1 and Ambassador at Solflare, Kristofer_Sol, has highlighted that MagicBlock is quietly doing some of the most important work in the Solana ecosystem, pushing real-time SOL closer to true production scale. Related Reading: Solana Faces Critical Test Near $100 as Macro Pressure and Network Upgrades Collide At the center of this shift is the deep integration of compressed accounts into the Light Protocol inside Ephemeral Rollups, reducing rent costs by up to 200 times, while still functioning like a normal account for developers. The compression demo is already live, and real applications are actively using it today. Others like Rush Trade deliver faster trades, and Pixels achieve smooth, real-time pixel updates. Kristofer_Sol stated that this is what a scalable on-chain user experience actually looks like. With low-cost reduction and speed improvements happening without forcing developers to rewrite everything, MagicBlock is quietly removing the friction that has held back games, social apps, and consumer products on SOL. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana failed to settle above $132 and nosedived. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $130 and might decline further below $120. SOL price started a fresh decline below $130 and $128 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $128 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $131 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $122 or $120. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price failed to remain stable above $132 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $130 and $128 support levels. The price gained bearish momentum below $126. A low was formed at $121, and the price is now consolidating losses. The price recovered a few points and tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $134 swing high to the $121 low. Solana is now trading below $128 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $125 level. The next major resistance is near the $128 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $134 swing high to the $121 low. The main resistance could be $130. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $131 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. A successful close above the $132 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $140. Any more gains might send the price toward the $145 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $128 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $122 zone. The first major support is near the $120 level. A break below the $120 level might send the price toward the $112 support zone. If there is a close below the $112 support, the price could decline toward the $105 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $122 and $120. Major Resistance Levels – $128 and $131.
Solana started a recovery wave above the $126 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $132 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $126 and $128 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $130 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $132 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $130 and $132. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $124, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $126 level. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $136 swing high to the $124 low. The bulls even pushed the price above $130. However, the bears remained active near $130. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $132 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair Solana is now trading below $130 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $130 level, the 100-hourly simple moving average, and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $136 swing high to the $124 low. The next major resistance is near the $132 level. The main resistance could be $135. A successful close above the $135 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $144. Any more gains might send the price toward the $150 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $132 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $126 zone. The first major support is near the $124 level. A break below the $124 level might send the price toward the $116 support zone. If there is a close below the $116 support, the price could decline toward the $108 zone in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $126 and $124. Major Resistance Levels – $130 and $132.
Solana (SOL) has emerged as the most popular blockchain ecosystem of 2025, securing its crown for the second consecutive year despite a significant decrease in chain-specific global interest compared to the previous year. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bearish Signals Are ‘Hard To Ignore’: Analyst Warns Of Drop To April Lows Solana Takes The Popularity Crown On Monday, Solana was named the leading blockchain ecosystem by popularity in 2025 by crypto data aggregator CoinGecko. The study examined interest in blockchain ecosystems based on CoinGecko’s non-botted global web traffic from January 1 to December 14, 2025, only including ecosystems with actively listed coins and a non-zero percentage share of traffic. As a result, a total of 62 blockchain ecosystems were included in the study. Out of the 62 blockchain ecosystems studied, the 20 most popular represented a majority of 95.60% of global interest in chain-specific narratives. According to the report, the Solana ecosystem captured 26.79% of the global interest in chain-specific narratives this year, retaining its title as the most popular blockchain ecosystem for a second consecutive year. The Base ecosystem followed in second place, accounting for 13.94% of global investor interest in chain-specific narratives this year, led by constructive developments and partnerships. However, its mindshare experienced a 2.9% decrease from the 16.81% recorded in 2024. Similar to Solana and Base, the Ethereum ecosystem also retained its position from the 2024 list, ranking as the third most popular ecosystem with 13.43% of global interest. Meanwhile, Sui and BNB Chain moved up in the list, ranking 4th and 5th after more than doubling their mindshare in 2025. Per the study, the Sui ecosystem recorded the largest mindshare growth, with a 6.9% year-over-year (YoY) increase to reach 11.77% of the total global interest in chain-specific narratives. The BNB Chain ecosystem saw a 4.9% surge YoY to capture 9.05% in mindshare, fueled by the launch of Binance Alpha in May, which increased BNB Chain’s on-chain trading volumes, the report noted. Notably, XRP Ledger, Bittensor & Hyperliquid lead new entrants into the top rankings, securing a spot in the top 10 this year. SOL Memecoins Out Of Leading Narratives Despite leading the popularity rankings, CoinGecko highlighted that the Solana ecosystem’s mindshare had significantly decreased from the 38.79% it had dominated in 2024. According to the study, the ecosystem dropped by 12% this year, reflecting the blockchain’s “struggles to expand beyond its close association with meme coin speculation, as well as Solana’s range-bound price despite wider institutional adoption marked by the US ETFs launch.” This resulted in the Solana ecosystem dropping out of the top leading narratives list this year. In a Friday analysis, CoinGecko reported that memecoin emerged as the most popular crypto narrative in 2025 with a combined 25.02% of global investor interest across the main meme coin category and 35 meme coin trends. This represented a 5.65% decline from the 30.67% market share that the memecoin narrative held in 2024, suggesting that “the mania for purely speculative crypto may be subsiding.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Could Stage A 600% Rally In 2026 If This Multi-Year Support Holds The Solana ecosystem lost its spot in the top five most popular crypto narratives, where it had ranked for the previous two years, after being overtaken by AI agents and the Made in USA narratives. Meanwhile, the Solana memecoin sector also dropped out of the top five narratives after a 3.08% decline in global investor interest from 2024. Nonetheless, “it remains to be seen whether the Solana narrative will be able to ride on new catalysts next year, as momentum from its comeback story runs out,” CoinGecko added. As of this writing, SOL is trading at $126, a 2.61% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Solana has slipped into a crucial demand zone between $118 and $138, a region where buyers must prove they’re still in the game. Early reactions are emerging, but momentum remains weak, raising the big question: Is SOL preparing for one more leg down, or could a surprise bottom quietly be forming beneath the surface? Solana Slides Into A Critical Support Zone Crypto analyst More Crypto Online, in an update shared on X, revealed that SOL has recently dropped into a major support band. This crucial zone stretches from $118 up to roughly $138.30. The analyst emphasizes that this is the exact region where the market must definitively prove that robust demand is still present to prevent further structural decline. Related Reading: Solana Price Faces Critical Test Near $140 While Analysts Track KOL Indicators and Liquidity Shifts While examining the smallest timeframes, the analyst noted that there are indeed early attempts at a reaction developing within this broad support band. However, the expert warns that these reactions currently lack conviction and do not yet display the sustained buying strength necessary to signal a durable reversal. More Crypto Online includes a more bullish possibility, which he labels the “white scenario,” where the broader B-wave correction could finish at any point within this current support region. If successfully confirmed, it would effectively establish a definitive low and open the door for Solana to rechallenge its previous cycle highs by initiating a powerful C-wave rally. However, the core problem preventing a definitive bullish call is that the recovery observed from the recent swing low has not exhibited the characteristics of an impulsive advance. As long as that remains the case, the analyst concludes that a deeper dip is the more realistic path, cautioning traders to prepare for a potential test of levels below the current support range. A–B–C Correction Still In Play For Solana According to More Crypto Online, Solana’s price action continues to mirror the broader structure seen on Bitcoin. The ongoing decline can still be viewed as an A–B–C corrective pattern within the orange scenario, with the final C wave unfolding as a five-legged move. If this interpretation holds, the last leg of the correction still has room to extend further, potentially reaching the $81 to $90 zone. Related Reading: Reversal Loading? Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana Build Powerful High-Time-Frame Structures The analyst noted that the current upswing resembles an internal wave 4 rally. Under this outlook, the market could still produce one more low, completing the final leg of the corrective wave before a more reliable reversal structure begins to form. Solana now sits at a key decision point, but the Elliott Wave framework indicates that bearish pressure may not be fully exhausted. Until the structure confirms a shift with impulsive upward movement, the chart still allows for another push lower before a durable trend change can develop. Featured image from Pxfuel, chart from Tradingview.com
On-chain data shows the Solana Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has dipped into the loss-taking zone recently, a sign that SOL liquidity has thinned. Solana Liquidity Back At Levels Associated With Bear Markets According to data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, Solana liquidity has recently contracted to levels that are typically witnessed in a bear market. There are many ways “liquidity” of a cryptocurrency can be assessed, but here, Glassnode has used the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio. Related Reading: Bitcoin In An Opportunity Zone? Hash Ribbons Flash New Buy Signal This indicator measures, as its name already implies, the ratio between the amount of profit and loss that the SOL investors as a whole are realizing through their transactions. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each coin being sold on the network to see what price it was last moved at. If the previous transaction price was less than the latest selling price for any token, then the indicator considers its sale to have realized a net gain. Similarly, the metric adds transactions to the loss-taking category in the opposite case. The exact amount of profit or loss realized in any transfer is naturally equal to the difference between the latest price and last selling value. The indicator adds up this value for both categories and determines the ratio. Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the 30-day moving average (MA) of the Solana Realized Profit/Loss over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Solana Realized Profit/Loss witnessed a sharp spike during the price rally in September. This suggests that profit taking saw an explosion. The indicator maintained at high levels for a while, but following the price peak in October, its value went downhill fast. In November, the Realized Profit/Loss breached below the 1 mark as SOL plummeted. A value less than 1 on the metric implies loss realization is outpacing profit taking. Since this breakdown, the indicator has only gone lower inside the loss-taking region, a sign investor capitulation has only been becoming more dominant. Glassnode has noted that the trend signals “liquidity has contracted back to levels typically seen in deep bear markets.” During the 2022 bear market, Solana remained in these conditions for a few months before its price found a bottom. Related Reading: Bitcoin Speculation Muted: Glassnode Analyst Calls Perps A ‘Ghost Town’ It now remains to be seen whether the low liquidity will also persist for the cryptocurrency this time, or if the fall into the loss region is only a temporary one for the indicator. SOL Price Solana surged to $144 on Tuesday, but the coin has seen a fall back to $138. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
The Solana network has seen its validator count crash by more than 68% over the past three years, falling from thousands of active nodes to just around 800. The massive decline in validators has sparked discussions about whether this could become a threat to the blockchain network or a natural pruning of inactive nodes to increase efficiency. Solana loses 68% Of Its Validators In 3 Years A new report from Criptonocias reveals that Solana has experienced a dramatic decline in the number of its validators, active and non-active, since March 2023. This decrease has raised concerns across the crypto community about the network’s overall health and security. Related Reading: Why Has The Solana Price Been Crashing Since October? This Major SOL Player Is Selling Over the last three years, the Solana network has steadily lost validators, going from 2,500 to 2,100 in November 2022 and now hovering around 800. This decline means the blockchain has lost a total of 1,700 validators. Although this considerable decrease should trigger warning alerts, it could be a result of ledger pruning, which involves removing inactive or redundant nodes to streamline a network and improve its performance without compromising security. Notably, validators are crucial for the operation of a blockchain network, as they run nodes, confirm transactions, and help maintain the integrity of the system. Each validator adds to the diversity of the network and reduces the risk of any single entity gaining excessive control. According to the report, some voices in the Solana ecosystem see the reduction of validators in a positive light. They argue that losing “Sybil validators,” which are nodes pretending to be multiple independent operators but are actually controlled by a single party, can be beneficial. Based on this perspective, having a smaller number of reliable and active validators is healthier than maintaining thousands of nodes that do not contribute meaningfully to the blockchain network. Criptonocias revealed that teams such as Layer 33, which develops infrastructure node tools and provides network services for Solana, point out that many of the validators leaving the blockchain are not Sybils but legitimate node operators. This suggests that the drop in numbers does not automatically equate to improved network quality despite widespread talks about ledge pruning. Notably, the potential impact on the Solana network, whether negative or positive, depends on the independence of the remaining validators and the distribution of power among them. An updated report of the validator count reveals that it has dropped again from 800 to 795. Solana Faces Liquidity Crunch As Profitability Declines Amidst its decline in validators, the Solana network is showing signs of strain as liquidity dries up and profitability declines. On-chain data from Glassnode highlights a troubling trend in the network’s trading activity, with the 30-day average realized profit-to-loss ratio remaining below 1 since mid-November. Related Reading: Solana Welcomes Bearish December, But Pundit Shares Possible Move To $170 This level is typically associated with bear market conditions and points to a growing imbalance between gains and losses among traders. A ratio below 1 also indicates that traders are realizing losses more frequently than profits, underscoring the cryptocurrency’s weakening market sentiment. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com