Market expert Umair Crypto has released an updated technical analysis on the Solana price from last week. In his new report, the analyst highlighted that Solana’s market structure still remains decisively bearish, especially after its recent crash to two-year lows. Despite the downtrend, Umair Crypto believes that Solana could still build enough momentum to reach higher levels. He has shared multiple bullish and a few bearish targets for the cryptocurrency, depending on its next price movements. Solana Price Faces Sharp Downtrend Amid Key Support Losses In his recent X post, Umair shared a chart analysis, predicting that the Solana price could recover and potentially climb back above $150. He provided detailed insights into the cryptocurrency’s recent downtrend and highlighted what a potential recovery might look like if the price breaks through key resistance levels. Related Reading: Polygon Hits $3.50 Billion In Payments As Crypto Activity Expands According to Umair, Solana’s price action turned sharply bearish after breaking key support levels and crashing below $80 earlier this week. The analyst noted that SOL lost the $100 Point Of Control (POC) from the January 2024 range. As a result, the price quickly dropped toward the next POC zone between $67 and $73. This decline represented a clean move downward of about 27%, highlighting how fragile higher price levels have become amid broader market weakness. Following the price drop, Umair reported that Solana staged a modest 12% bounce from the lower zone. This movement confirmed the area as a volume-heavy region capable of temporarily attracting buyers. Despite this, the chart still signals caution, as Solana is already pulling back while trading volume continues to increase. The analyst emphasized that the combination of rising volume and price declines typically indicates a downside conviction rather than a V-shape recovery setup. Consequently, it suggests that SOL’s decline could continue, making a quick price reversal unlikely. Path To Recovery And Higher Price Targets While the broader technical picture supports a bearish outlook for Solana, Umair Crypto still believes the cryptocurrency can stage a recovery to new highs, albeit slowly. He marked the former point of control near $100.93 as a key level to watch, noting that it now acts as a resistance. According to the analyst, the best-case scenario for Solana would be to build a base within its current range, flip its daily bullish structure, and use that structure as support for any future price recoveries. Without this, any sustained trend reversal is unlikely. Related Reading: Bitcoin Edges Past Gold In Appeal, JPMorgan Says If SOL breaks above the $100.93 level, Umair Crypto predicts the next price targets would be $120.59, $128.43, $138.77, and $150.36. In his original analysis, the analyst shared an even higher target, forecasting a surge to between $200 and $210 if Solana can maintain momentum above $150.36. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Solana (SOL) is drawing selective investor interest even as the wider crypto market remains under pressure. While sharp price declines across major tokens have weighed on sentiment, recent fund flow data and on-chain activity suggest that capital is not exiting the ecosystem entirely. Related Reading: 5 Red Months In A Row: What’s Going On With Bitcoin And The Crypto Market? Instead, market participants appear to be separating near-term price weakness from longer-term network usage, creating a mixed but notable picture for SOL as it trades around $79. SOL's price records losses on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview Solana ETF Inflows Stand Out Against Broader Outflows On February 5, U.S. spot crypto ETFs recorded uneven capital movements. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw net outflows of about $434 million, while Ethereum funds posted roughly $80.8 million in outflows. In contrast, Solana spot ETFs recorded net inflows of $2.82 million, according to data compiled by SoSoValue. Although modest in absolute terms, the inflows stood out against the broader trend of risk reduction. The data suggests that some institutional and professional investors are maintaining or adding limited exposure to Solana-linked products despite ongoing volatility in digital asset markets. Network activity offered a similar contrast. Solana processed more than $31 billion in decentralized exchange (DEX) spot volume over the past week, indicating sustained user engagement even as prices declined. This divergence between price action and activity has been a recurring theme during recent market stress. Price Pressure and Bearish Market Structure Despite ETF inflows, SOL price action remains weak. The token has fallen more than 30% over the past week, briefly trading in the $67–$68 range before rebounding to $80. Technical indicators continue to reflect bearish momentum. Futures data shows declining participation, with Solana’s open interest falling to around $5 billion, its lowest level since mid-April 2025. Funding rates have also turned negative, while the long-to-short ratio remains below one, signaling that more traders are positioned for further downside. On the charts, SOL remains in a clear downtrend. The break below key psychological levels near $100 and $85 accelerated selling pressure. Analysts now point to $82 and $76 as near-term support levels, with $60 still cited as a downside risk if selling intensifies. Institutional Interest Persists Despite Volatility Away from price charts, institutional developments continue to support Solana’s longer-term narrative. Recent announcements include corporate treasury initiatives using the Solana blockchain and partnerships in Asia focused on tokenizing traditional securities. These moves highlight ongoing experimentation with Solana’s infrastructure despite unfavorable market conditions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Edges Past Gold In Appeal, JPMorgan Says Currently, SOL sits at the intersection of weak short-term momentum and pockets of institutional and network strength. The $2.82 million ETF inflow does not reverse the broader downtrend, but it underscores that interest in Solana has not disappeared, even as markets remain under stress. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart on Tradingview
Solana has suffered a sharp sell-off that’s left its chart looking fragile, with price sliding straight into a key demand zone. Despite the drop, big money remains notably cautious, signaling that institutions may be waiting for clearer direction before stepping in. Solana’s Sharp Breakdown Leaves the Weekly Chart on Edge AltCoin Việt Nam noted that Solana has already suffered a sharp sell-off, a move that is clearly reflected on the weekly chart. Price dropped aggressively from the higher range and is now trading around the $90–93 zone. The bounce so far appears weak, and volume is not signaling strong participation from large buyers stepping in to defend the move. Related Reading: Solana Accumulation Narrative Strengthens With Big Institutions, A Rally Imminent? What stood out most in the update was the behavior of institutional players. Despite the lower prices, institutional ETFs have shown little interest in accumulating SOL in this zone. This contrasts sharply with earlier phases, when they were buying aggressively at much higher levels. Addressing questions from the community about whether institutions “knew” the crash was coming, AltCoin Việt Nam explained that this is not necessarily the case. Instead, institutional behavior simply differs from that of retail traders. Their decisions are driven more by trend structure, liquidity conditions, and capital flows than by attempts to predict exact price bottoms. Firstly, ETFs typically do not dollar-cost average in the same way retail investors do. When momentum is strong and inflows are active, they are willing to buy at higher prices to maintain exposure. However, once the trend breaks and volatility rises, waiting for clarity becomes more important than trying to catch the bottom. For institutions, entering at the right time with renewed momentum matters far more than buying at the lowest possible price. Finally, AltCoin Việt Nam highlighted that ETF accumulation is also dependent on capital inflows. Without fresh money entering the funds, there is little incentive or ability for them to add positions, even at discounted prices. For retail participants, the approach may differ. Short-term traders should not expect immediate institutional support, as large players currently have no urgency to step in. Step-Down Decline Brings SOL Into Key Demand Zone According to an update by BitGuru, Solana has been moving lower in a series of step-down declines, reflecting sustained bearish pressure. Price has now reached a key demand zone between $90 and $95, an area where buyers have previously stepped in to defend the market. Related Reading: Solana To Retest November Lows After $144 Rejection, But Analysts Remain Bullish BitGurun noted that selling pressure appears to be easing as SOL trades within this range, suggesting that the market is attempting to form a short-term base. If this demand zone continues to hold, BitGuru believes a relief move toward prior structural levels becomes increasingly likely. Such a move would represent a technical rebound rather than a full trend reversal. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana’s market looks like a tightly wound spring right now. Prices have been slipping while futures activity is picking up, and that gap is what traders are watching most closely. Related Reading: Russia’s Biggest Exchange To Launch XRP Indices And Futures It’s a setup that can keep losses rolling — or flip fast if a wave of short covering hits. Either way, the scene is driven more by bets than by steady buying. Derivatives Betting Intensifies According to reports, more futures contracts for SOL are being opened even as the price moves lower. That means fresh bets are being placed, not just old ones being closed. Funding rates for perpetual contracts have moved into negative territory. When funding is negative, those backing short positions are paying those on the long side. It’s a clear sign of bearish leaning in the derivatives market. Leverage A Big Part Of The Story Reports say many of these positions are sized up with leverage. Traders are piling on with borrowed exposure. That raises the odds of violent swings because margin calls can trigger cascades. A squeeze can happen quickly. If a piece of positive news appears or a large buyer steps in, those who are short may be forced to buy back, and that buying itself can push the price up fast. Price is going down. Open Interest is going up. Funding is going down.$SOL is getting heavily shorted here. pic.twitter.com/YuYAy9lzZ0 — Ted (@TedPillows) February 4, 2026 Price Action Shows Weakness Across short-term charts — intraday and daily — SOL has been under pressure. Spot trading volume remains light, which makes every trade count more. Some traders are trimming risk because volatility in larger coins has spooked the market. In plain terms: fewer hands are willing to hold SOL at these levels, and that lack of real buying support keeps the downside pathway open. Volatility Could Swing Either Way This environment is speculative. High open interest plus negative funding is a bearish combo, but it also loads the market with risk. Covered shorts can unwind in a hurry. Liquidity gaps are where big moves start. The same factors that drive downward momentum can, under different circumstances, accelerate a rebound. Related Reading: Crypto Could Bounce Soon As Fundamentals Firm Up, Tom Lee Says Based on reports, the clearest signals to follow are changes in open interest, shifts in funding rates, and sudden spikes in spot volume or order book depth. Also watch news flow closely; a single announcement can change sentiment overnight. Risk management matters here. Size positions so that forced liquidations are avoidable. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
As Solana (SOL) trades at multi-year lows, some analysts have lowered their end-of-year targets. Meanwhile, other market watchers have warned that the altcoin risks another 50% correction after a bearish formation was recently confirmed. Related Reading: BNB Chain Metrics Show Strong Performance As BNB Price Retests ‘Do Or Die’ Level Solana Confirms Head And Shoulders Pattern On Wednesday, Solana retraced nearly 10% in the daily timeframe, reaching a two-year low of $90. The cryptocurrency had been trading between $120 and $250 in the monthly chart since February 2024, retesting and bouncing from its macro support multiple times. The altcoin lost this crucial area over the weekend, closing January at around $105. After failing to maintain this level, SOL started the month attempting to hold the $100 psychological barrier and reclaim the $105 resistance as support. Nonetheless, the latest market movement, which also dragged Bitcoin (BTC) toward multi-year lows, pushed Solana below its bull market lows from last year. Amid this performance, market observer Alex Clay affirmed that SOL has “started to look bad.” The analyst affirmed that the altcoin’s chart shows a confirmed bearish formation after the recent price action, noting that it has also lost an important support zone. Per the chart, the cryptocurrency displays a macro Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern in the weekly timeframe, which has been forming since early 2024. The left shoulder developed during the Q1-Q2 2024 run, while the head formed during its late 2024 and early 2025 rally, which led to its All-Time High (ATH) of $293. This performance placed the neckline of the bearish formation around the $105 area. Notably, the pattern’s right shoulder began to develop after the Q3 2025 rally and was confirmed during the latest market crash. Now, the cryptocurrency has fallen below the neckline and could confirm it as resistance if the price closes the week under $105. Clay warned that the pattern’s first target sits around the $42 mark, which would represent a 55% correction from the current levels. SOL’s Chart Tell ‘Grim’ Story Other market watchers also expressed their concerns about SOL’s future performance, suggesting that a correction toward new lows is likely. Sjuul from AltCryptoGems noted that the Solana chart gives “a truly panic-inducing feeling” with “a vast no man’s land!” below it. Similarly, Crypto Tony asserted that after breaking the $100 low “with conviction,” the next major support for the altcoin sits around $50. To him, a correction toward this area is “obvious” as Bitcoin has “yet to find a bottom.” Altcoin Sherpa cautioned that SOL has also lost the 200-Week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is “a last stand area before $75 or lower.” He pointed out that the cryptocurrency tends to have strong price reactions due to “the gambling chain,” but noted that means corrections are usually stronger. Related Reading: Crypto Market Crash ‘Worse Than Expected’ But Bottom Might Be Near, Says Tom Lee Moreover, a major financial institution has recently lowered its end-of-year target for Solana. As reported by NewsBTC, Standard Chartered trimmed its near-term forecast from $310 to $250, mentioning the time required for the network’s next major use case to scale. Despite its short-term trim, the bank raised its longer-term targets, forecasting SOL at $2,000 by 2030 as it stops being “a one-trick pony” and evolves “from memecoins to micropayments.” As of this writing, Solana is trading at $93.28, a 27.9% decline on the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Russia’s Moscow Exchange (MOEX) is moving to broaden which digital assets it tracks and trades. Reports say the exchange plans to roll out new indices and futures tied to XRP, Solana, and Tron this year. That will give traders ways to follow price moves without owning the coins directly. Related Reading: Crypto Could Bounce Soon As Fundamentals Firm Up, Tom Lee Says New Crypto Indices Planned According to local coverage, Maria Silkina, who runs the derivative products group at the exchange, outlined the expansion on a recent radio broadcast. MOEX already lists benchmarks for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Now the exchange is preparing indices that mirror three more of the bigger, actively traded tokens, and it intends to offer futures contracts based on those indices. Trading interest in these coins has been high elsewhere. Here, such contracts will be cash-settled and follow the Bank of Russia’s rules. Settlements will happen monthly under the current regime. Perpetual Contracts And Options Under Review Reports note the exchange is also thinking about perpetual futures and options for Bitcoin and Ethereum down the line. Perpetuals do not expire. They use funding rates to stay close to the spot market and allow positions to be held for as long as a trader wishes. That differs from the monthly settled contracts MOEX already uses. Some of the new ideas remain under study and will be launched step by step. The approach looks designed to keep the products inside a tightly regulated frame while allowing more sophisticated trading strategies. Russia Pushes Toward Broader Access In 2025 the exchange added a set of crypto-linked futures, and it listed indices connected to Bitcoin and Ether alongside other structured products tied to overseas ETFs. Reports say that trend continued with some big Russian financial firms offering crypto-tied investment options. Sberbank has already rolled out a product that links to Bitcoin’s price. Market access is slowly widening, but access is still likely to be limited to qualified investors at first. That said, more instruments usually bring more liquidity and more ways to manage risk. Related Reading: Trump Says He Was Unaware Of Abu Dhabi Royal’s $500 Million WLFI Investment What This Means For Traders For investors, the shift offers both opportunity and restraint. Cash settlement removes the need for custody of the underlying token, which can reduce some operational hassles. At the same time, the Bank of Russia’s standards mean the products will be boxed in by clearing and reporting requirements. If adopted, these additions could help price discovery for XRP, Solana, and Tron inside Russia and might attract institutional flows that have been sitting on the sidelines. Featured image from The Moscow Times, chart from TradingView
Solana failed to settle above $102 and extended losses. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $95 and might struggle to start a recovery wave. SOL price started a fresh decline below $100 and $95 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $100 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $98 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $90 or $85. Solana Price Dips Further Solana price failed to remain stable above $105 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $100 and $95 support levels. The price gained bearish momentum below $92. A low was formed at $89, and the price is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $106 swing high to the $89 low. Solana is now trading below $95 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $93 level. The next major resistance is near the $97 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $106 swing high to the $89 low. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $98 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The main resistance could be $102. A successful close above the $102 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $106. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112 level. More Losses In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $98 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $90 zone. The first major support is near the $85 level. A break below the $85 level might send the price toward the $82 support zone. If there is a close below the $82 support, the price could decline toward the $74 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $90 and $85. Major Resistance Levels – $98 and $102.
Kyle Samani pledged to continue making personal investments in the crypto sector as he pursues other tech interests.
Standard Chartered has lowered its end-2026 price target for Solana to $250, down from $310, while leaving its longer-dated trajectory intact. The bank’s roadmap still points to $2,000 by 2030 as the bank argues the chain’s activity mix is rotating away from memecoin-led trading toward stablecoin-based micropayments. The revised forecast comes as the bank’s digital assets research team frames the current drawdown as a period when “performance differentiation” across crypto should become more visible, rather than a tape where everything trades as a single risk bucket. Why Standard Chartered Lowers The 2026 Solana Target, Boosts Long View Behind the 2026 haircut is a more skeptical view on how quickly Solana can convert its cost and throughput advantages into sustained, fee-generating economic activity beyond speculative bursts. In Standard Chartered’s telling, Solana is in the middle of a narrative transition that is strategically attractive but not instantaneous in market terms. Related Reading: Solana Returns To A Critical Demand Zone — Trend Reload Or Breakdown Risk? Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s head of global digital assets research, anchored the shift in decentralized exchange (DEX) flow composition. “When we initiated coverage of Solana in May 2025, we observed that activity on the network was largely concentrated in memecoin trading on DEXs.” “Composition of DEX flows has shifted from memecoin trading toward SOL–stablecoin pairs.” That rotation, Kendrick argued, accelerated over 2025 as capital moved away from meme-focused activity which he said peaked in mid-January around the launch of the Trump token and toward tokenized dollars. The implication is that Solana’s DEX activity is beginning to resemble a payments-adjacent rail more than a single-cycle casino, even if overall volumes have cooled. Standard Chartered also flagged Solana’s ultra-low transaction costs as a key enabler for “micropayment” use cases, including AI-driven payments, where even modest fee overhead can break unit economics. One of the more striking metrics in the report is stablecoin turnover: Kendrick said stablecoin velocity on Solana is already two to three times higher than on Ethereum, suggesting Solana may be carving out a distinct role for high-frequency, low-value transfers. Related Reading: Solana Could Reach $1,600+ Within Five Years, Bitwise CIO Says The bank tied that possibility to “internet-native” payment protocols such as Coinbase-backed x402, while cautioning that the repositioning will take time to translate into market leadership. That slower timeline is part of why Standard Chartered expects Solana to lag Ethereum in the 2026–2027 window, even as the bank becomes more constructive on Solana’s longer-run upside if micropayment demand compounds. Despite trimming the 2026 target, Standard Chartered’s longer-term schedule remains aggressive: $400 in 2027, $700 in 2028, $1,200 in 2029, and $2,000 by end-2030, according to reporting by The Block. The bank’s framework implies that Solana’s “micropayments” phase is expected to matter more as the cycle matures, with Kendrick also projecting Solana to outperform Bitcoin over 2027–2030. At press time, SOL traded at $96.93. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Solana has pulled back into a key demand zone, a level that could determine whether its strong trend continues or falters. How price reacts here will be crucial, as a hold may signal a trend reload, while a breakdown could push SOL into broader market chop. Solana Returns To A Critical Weekly Demand Zone Giving an update on the weekly timeframe, Cyril-DeFi explained that Solana has been one of the standout performers this cycle. Still, price has now returned to a critical demand zone that could determine its next major move. According to Cyril, this area has historically acted as a pivot point where momentum either re-ignites or fades. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Keeps $100 Alive, Recovery Push Faces First Test This is the type of zone where strong trends tend to reload if buyers successfully defend it. However, a failure to hold would suggest that the prior strength is losing traction, increasing the risk that the trend structure begins to deteriorate. From Cyril’s perspective, a firm hold at current levels would position Solana to lead the next altcoin impulse, reinforcing its relative strength against the broader market. On the other hand, losing this demand zone would likely see SOL slip into extended consolidation, moving in line with the wider market chop rather than outperforming it. Cyril-DeFi concluded by stressing that he is closely observing how the price behaves around this area instead of trying to predict outcomes in advance. The Only High-Conviction Long Setup On The Table According to a recent Solana post shared by Ardi, only one long setup stands out as technically sound under current conditions. With the market still under pressure, waiting for confirmation seems safer than attempting to anticipate a bottom, as premature entries tend to get punished in weak structures. Related Reading: Solana Pauses After 20% Drop — This Key Level Could Decide What’s Next Ardi highlighted the $119 level as a key pivot for Solana. A successful reclaim of this zone, ideally through a spring or brief fakeout below resistance, could signal that demand is returning. If that occurs, price could surge higher toward the top of the range on a macro lower high rally rather than a full bullish reversal. From a risk-to-reward standpoint, this reclaim scenario remains the most attractive option available. It provides a clear technical trigger, defined invalidation, and a logical upside target, allowing traders to participate without overexposing themselves in an uncertain environment. He also outlined an alternative strategy involving the 200-week simple moving average around the $100 mark, an area that previously acted as macro support in April 2025. Still, Ardi cautioned that in a broader downtrend, odds are often against traders until a major level is reclaimed, making a decisive move back above $119 crucial before confidence can truly return. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Standard Chartered sees Solana evolving “from memecoins to micropayments", with forecasts of SOL to $2,000 by 2030.
NX8 is the first product rolled out under Nansen’s Joint Venture Protocol, an initiative to support onchain infrastructure development.
Hougan said institutional ETF and digital asset treasury flows masked the severity of losses across much of the crypto market last year.
Solana failed to settle above $112 and extended losses. SOL price is now recovering above $102 but faces many hurdles near $108 and $110. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $100 and $102 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $110 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $108 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $108 and $110. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $95, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $100 level. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $119 swing high to the $95.81 low. However, the bears are active below $110. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $108 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. Solana is now trading below $105 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $108 level, the trend line, and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $119 swing high to the $95.81 low. The next major resistance is near the $110 level. The main resistance could be $115. A successful close above the $115 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $122. Any more gains might send the price toward the $125 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $108 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $101 zone. The first major support is near the $95 level. A break below the $95 level might send the price toward the $88 support zone. If there is a close below the $88 support, the price could decline toward the $80 zone in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $101 and $95. Major Resistance Levels – $108 and $115.
The Solana price has entered the new month under pressure after losing a level that had acted as a psychological anchor for much of the past year. The token’s drop below $100 shifted market attention from recovery narratives to damage control. Related Reading: Crypto Hacks Explode: $370 Million Stolen In January Alone: Researchers Traders are now closely watching whether upcoming support levels can halt a decline that has accelerated amid overall weakness in the crypto market. Although network activity and institutional interest continue to draw attention, short-term price movements have clearly shifted into a bearish trend. SOL's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview Solana Price Breaks $100 as Selling Pressure Builds Before bouncing back to the current $102 level, the Solana price dipped to around $98, marking its lowest point in nearly ten months and extending losses to nearly 20% over the past week and approximately 25% over the last month. Trading activity has thinned as prices fell, with spot volume and derivatives participation both declining. Data from CoinGlass shows falling open interest, suggesting long positions are being unwound rather than a surge in aggressive short selling. The move has not occurred in isolation. A wave of market-wide liquidations over the weekend, combined with thin liquidity, amplified downside moves across major cryptocurrencies. Macroeconomic concerns have also weighed on sentiment after renewed expectations of tighter U.S. monetary policy following President Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, a choice viewed as hawkish by markets. Technical Outlook Points to Lower Support Levels From a technical perspective, Solana’s structure has weakened. The break below $100 confirmed a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, with the Solana price hovering well beneath its declining short-term moving averages. Bollinger Bands are widening, and Solana price action remains near the lower band, suggesting downward momentum remains dominant rather than stabilizing. Momentum indicators underline the pressure. The daily relative strength index is hovering near 25, placing SOL deep in oversold territory. While this increases the probability of short-term bounces, it does not, on its own, signal a trend reversal. On the downside, traders are watching the $95 area closely, followed by a broader $92–90 zone. Below that, $85 and $80 stand out as larger historical support levels. Some on-chain and pattern analyses suggest that if selling accelerates, thinner support could expose deeper zones later in the year. Fundamentals Remain Active Despite Weak Price Action Despite the bearish price forecast, Solana’s underlying network metrics remain comparatively strong. January transaction counts rose sharply, and recent data shows continued growth in on-chain activity and stablecoin usage. Institutional interest has been mixed but not absent, with earlier January inflows offset by more recent Solana ETF outflows. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? CMT Reveals What Traders Need To See Now Currently, the technical picture dominates. Solana would need to reclaim $110 and hold above key moving averages to ease bearish pressure. Until that happens, rallies are likely to be viewed as corrective moves within a broader downtrend, leaving the next support levels as the market’s immediate test. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
Arcium has launched its Mainnet Alpha on Solana, taking its encrypted computation network live as Umbra debuts a shielded finance layer.
SUI is back under pressure after sliding into a key Fibonacci support zone, raising fresh concerns about whether the recent pullback is only a pause or the start of a deeper downside move. With bearish momentum still in play and no clear reversal signal yet, the market is now at a critical decision point that could shape SUI’s next major move. Fibonacci Support Comes Into Focus Crypto analyst More Crypto Online, in a recent update, revealed that SUI has now reached its next Fibonacci-based support levels, bringing key downside zones into focus. The 61.8% retracement sits near $1.20, while a broader support region extends between $0.91 and $1.70. These areas are defined using different analytical methods, with the orange zone representing retracement-based support and the blue zone derived from a measured comparison between the initial A-wave decline bottoming in April last year and the current C-wave. Related Reading: SUI At The Smart Money Zone: Big Moves Brewing Above $2 From a structural perspective, SUI continues to display relative weakness when compared to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, all of which remain above their April 2025 lows. SUI has already broken below that level, reinforcing the view that downside pressure remains dominant. According to the analysis, the breakdown aligns with either a fifth wave to the downside unfolding within circle wave C, or with price moving through circle wave 3 of a larger bearish sequence. At this stage, no technical signs confirm that a local bottom has formed. Both the yellow and white scenarios outlined in the analysis continue to allow for further downside. As long as price action fails to show clear reversal signals, additional weakness cannot be ruled out. White Scenario: SUI Third Wave Down Remains In Play The analyst further highlighted that under the white scenario, the market is considered to be in a third wave to the downside within a broader bearish structure. In this case, circle wave 3 is expected to reach at least the $0.915 level and could extend even lower. The more directly price continues to decline, the greater the likelihood that this bearish interpretation remains in play. Related Reading: SUI Reclaims Smart Money Zone, While Weekly Structure Signals Big Move Ahead In contrast, the yellow scenario still leaves room for a future recovery. This outlook allows for a rally that could lead to new highs as part of a broader C-wave advance. However, for this bullish case to gain credibility, the market would need to deliver a clear five-wave move to the upside. Without such confirmation, any upward movement is more likely to develop as a corrective wave 4 within the white scenario rather than the start of a new impulsive rally. In that context, rebounds would be expected to face resistance, with the standard resistance zone currently defined between $1.81 and $2.55. Featured image from YouTube, chart from Tradingview.com
Through a built-in 'Prediction' feature, Jupiter users can now access Polymarket contracts without leaving the app.
Matt Hougan, the chief investment officer at Bitwise Asset Management, said he thinks Solana could plausibly become a trillion-dollar asset within five years—an outcome that would roughly translate into a ~$1,600 SOL price on a simple market-cap-per-token basis, depending on circulating supply. Hougan made the remarks on the Jan. 29 episode of When Shift Happens, framing his Solana view through what he called a “two ways to win” setup: growth in the addressable market (stablecoins and tokenized assets), plus an increasing share captured by Solana versus competing networks. Why Solana Could Hit $1,600+ Within 5 Years Hougan argued that the “infrastructure market” for stablecoins and tokenization is expanding quickly enough that large, liquid L1s should be valued less like niche crypto experiments and more like enabling rails for traditional finance. “The US Secretary of Treasury expects the stablecoin market to 12x over the next four years,” he said, adding that Larry Fink has described a future where “every asset, every fund, ETF, stock, bond, real estate will be tokenized.” From there, his Solana thesis leaned heavily on relative positioning. Ethereum remains the incumbent in stablecoins and tokenization, Hougan said, but Solana is “a legit competitor with an interesting technological differentiation,” and crucially “it’s extraordinarily easy to use and the community has a ship first attitude.” Related Reading: Solana Scores Major Institutional Adoption As WisdomTree Goes On-Chain That usability point, in his view, is underpriced by investors who focus on benchmark-style comparisons. “I think ease of use is a killer app that’s underrated by investors,” Hougan said. “Investors like to talk about throughput and they like to talk… TPS… who cares about this? …For an end user who’s trading, who’s on-ramping, ease of use is the killer app. And Solana is just easy to use, just dead easy to use.” Hougan also acknowledged a common investor blind spot: token supply dynamics can separate price action from market cap growth. He noted that Solana’s market value can rise meaningfully even if the token price revisits prior highs, and suggested staking yield partially offsets dilution, citing “roughly like 7% a year.” Another thread in the discussion was how regulation shaped institutional behavior. Hougan said Solana’s footprint in stablecoins and tokenization was constrained during the prior US regulatory environment, arguing that institutions “couldn’t build on Solana” if they believed it sat “outside of the regulatory perimeter.” With that cloud lifting, he said, mandates are starting to broaden. He also described why the ETF wrapper matters more for a smaller asset. “You put a little bit of inflows into an ETF package and they’re chasing a relatively small supply of Solana,” Hougan said. “It’s one of the best setups for an asset that I’ve ever seen because you have this small constrained size, you have significant institutional demand, you have stablecoins and tokenization… you put all that together and it seems like a winner.” Still, he avoided hard price targets and instead stayed in market-cap terms. “In 5 years I think it could be a trillion dollar asset. I think that’s relatively easy to imagine,” he said. “It’s hard to give a precise target because it depends on the pace of growth on stablecoins and tokenization. It depends on whether Congress passes the Clarity Act. It depends on the sort of crypto market cycles.” E156: @Matt_Hougan from @BitwiseInvest – $6.5M Bitcoin and the strongest Solana setup ever? This might be the most bullish yet rational episode we’ve done on the future of crypto: why debasement, institutional flows & tokenization are just getting started. Timestamps: 0:00… pic.twitter.com/WMqvKL7pCj — MR SHIFT ???? (@KevinWSHPod) January 29, 2026 On simple market-cap math, a $1 trillion Solana valuation implies a four-figure token price depending on supply. The relationship is straightforward: token price equals market cap divided by supply. Using Solana’s circulating supply of roughly 566 million SOL, a $1 trillion market cap works out to about $1,766 per SOL ($1,000,000,000,000 ÷ 566,000,000). Related Reading: Solana Pauses After 20% Drop — This Key Level Could Decide What’s Next If you instead use a fully diluted-style denominator closer to 619 million SOL, the same $1 trillion market cap implies roughly $1,615 per SOL ($1,000,000,000,000 ÷ 619,000,000). In other words, Hougan’s “trillion-dollar asset” framing maps to something like the mid-$1,000s per token on today’s supply assumptions, with the exact number moving as supply changes. Notably, Hougan’s Solana call sat alongside a broader macro narrative he returned to repeatedly: monetary debasement pushing investors toward scarce and non-sovereign stores of value. On Bitcoin, he argued the “two ways to win” are the store-of-value market expanding and Bitcoin taking share from gold, an arc he said could drive multi-million-dollar BTC over decades if the last 10–15 years of adoption trends persist. For Solana, the equivalent is less about being “digital gold” and more about becoming a primary venue for stablecoin flows and tokenized securities. If those rails scale and if Solana continues gaining share as a high-velocity, institution-friendly network, Hougan’s trillion-dollar scenario implies the market is still pricing the opportunity too conservatively. At press time, SOL traded at $115.40. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Solana failed to settle above $125 and extended losses. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $120 and might struggle to start a recovery wave. SOL price started a fresh decline below $120 and $115 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $120 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $116 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $112 or $105. Solana Price Dips Again Solana price failed to remain stable above $125 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $125 and $122 support levels. The price gained bearish momentum below $120. A low was formed at $112, and the price is now consolidating losses. The price recovered a few points and climbed toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $128 swing high to the $112 low. Solana is now trading below $120 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $116 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $116 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The next major resistance is near the $120 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $128 swing high to the $112 low. The main resistance could be $122. A successful close above the $122 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $125. Any more gains might send the price toward the $132 level. Another Drop In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $116 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $114 zone. The first major support is near the $112 level. A break below the $112 level might send the price toward the $105 support zone. If there is a close below the $105 support, the price could decline toward the $102 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $112 and $105. Major Resistance Levels – $116 and $120.
Solana is rapidly positioning itself as a core hub for tokenized finance following WisdomTree’s deployment of fund infrastructure on the blockchain. The move reflects growing confidence among traditional asset managers in SOL’s ability to support large-scale, regulated financial products with the speed and cost efficiency required by modern capital markets. How Traditional Asset Managers Expand On-Chain Operations WisdomTree’s deployment of $159 billion in fund infrastructure on Solana marks a turning point for how regulated money moves. A research and news site, Genfinity, revealed on X that regulated money market funds are now settling natively on SOL, which means institutional cash flow assets no longer require traditional banking rails. One of the clearest signals is the Government money market digital fund, which already holds around $730 million in on-chain assets. Direct minting eliminates synthetic exposure with real Treasury-backed settlement. This allows retail investors to access institutional-grade financial products with blockchain speed and low costs. The multi-chain deployment is proof that financial institutions prioritize performance over narrative. Currently, SOL is processing the same regulated funds that previously required correspondent banks and a 3-day settlement. The gap between on-chain infrastructure and traditional finance products has just collapsed. An industry-leading commentary on the global capital markets, The Kobeissi Letter, reported that Coinbase has announced it is integrating with Jupiter Exchange directly into its on-chain trading stack. With this move, millions of Solana-based tokens can now be traded on Coinbase for the first time, all through Jupiter on-chain liquidity. Instead of relying on the slow manual process of listing assets on a centralized order book, Coinbase is currently using on-chain infrastructure to provide instant access to Solana-native markets. Under the new integration, users can deploy existing Coinbase balances and payment methods to trade tokens from a self-custodial wallet. “Even the centralized exchanges are moving on-chain,” The Kobeissi Letter noted. Why Liquidity Grabs Often Precede Reversals According to Larskooistra, the local context on Solana is fairly conducive to building a structure. The Price has already completed a Model 2 accumulation schematic, and grabbed all buy-side liquidity while taking the range high and broke market structure back to bearish, creating a supply in the process. Related Reading: Solana Structure Suggests One Final Test Before Bulls Can Step In From a higher-timeframe perspective, this gives a bearish context on BTC whenever accumulation models complete themselves and break the market structure, and then turn back to bearish afterwards, which shows a full reversal towards the lows. Larskooistra expects the equal lows acting as the next liquidity target to be taken out, and is looking for distribution schematics on the current move up. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana has taken a breather after a sharp 20% sell-off, with the price now stabilizing at a technically significant zone. As volatility cools and consolidation sets in, the market is watching closely to see whether this level acts as a launchpad for a recovery or opens the door to further downside. The next move from here could define SOL’s short-term direction. VAH Rejection Sends SOL Back Into Range Market expert Umair Crypto explained that Solana’s rejection at the Value Area High (VAH) near $141 set the tone for the recent move. After briefly extending to $148, SOL once again failed to flip the psychological $150 level into support, and ultimately triggered a sharp downside reaction, resulting in a nearly 20% decline toward the $117 area. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Recovery Reaches A Level That Changes Everything Following the sell-off, price rotated back into the same two-month consolidation range, suggesting that the move lower was more of a range continuation than the start of a new trend. SOL is now retesting the Value Area Low flip zone around $128, a level that has repeatedly acted as a short-term pivot between buyers and sellers. If $128 holds and buyers manage to defend this zone, the analyst sees room for a bounce toward $132. Further acceptance above that level could open a path toward the range Point of Control near $138. However, even a move into that region would still reflect range-bound conditions rather than a confirmed bullish breakout. Umair Crypto stressed that SOL remains stuck inside a broad $30 range, offering little directional edge in the middle. An acceptance below $120 would shift the bias firmly bearish. On the other hand, a strong reclaim above $150 would flip the market structure bullish. Until either scenario plays out, the higher-probability outcome continues to lean toward lower prices within the range. SOL Enters A Compression Phase Above Key Support According to a recent market update from BitGuru, Solana has experienced a significant pullback and is now entering a phase of consolidation just above a critical support zone. This type of price compression is a classic technical indicator that the market is preparing for a sharp reaction move. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Recovery At Risk With Bears Guarding Resistance As volatility narrows and the trading range tightens, the build-up of market energy typically precedes a breakout. The path forward remains binary based on Solana’s interaction with its immediate boundaries. A clean reclaim of the nearby resistance level would signal a return of buyer confidence and a potential shift in momentum. Conversely, a failure to defend this established base would keep significant downside risk active, potentially leading to a deeper correction if the support zone is breached. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Despite Solana's validator contraction, non-vote transactions have remained relatively stable at around 100 million per day.
WisdomTree is extending the full suite of its tokenized funds onto Solana, one of its largest non-EVM chain deployments to date.
The company plans to deploy the fresh capital toward yield vaults, onchain trading expansion, and growth across Latin America and Europe.
Solana started a recovery wave above the $125 zone. SOL price is now consolidating and faces hurdles near the $128 zone. SOL price started a decent recovery wave above $122 and $125 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $124 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it clears $128 and $130. Solana Price Faces Resistance Solana price remained stable and started a decent recovery wave from $118, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL was able to climb above the $122 level. There was a move above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $132 swing high to the $117 low. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $124 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The bulls even pushed the price above $125. However, the bears remained active near $128. Solana is now trading above $125 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $128 level, and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $132 swing high to the $117 low. The next major resistance is near the $130 level. The main resistance could be $135. A successful close above the $135 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $142. Any more gains might send the price toward the $145 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $128 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $124.50 zone. The first major support is near the $122 level. A break below the $122 level might send the price toward the $117 support zone. If there is a close below the $117 support, the price could decline toward the $105 zone in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $125 and $122. Major Resistance Levels – $128 and $130.
Zora's content coin mechanism enables near-zero-cost token deployment, allowing creators to mint tokens with minimal friction.
Prediction markets on the BNB Chain have seen massive growth over the past months, with the leading platforms within the ecosystem reaching remarkable levels and their cumulative trading volume hitting a new milestone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price At Risk Of 50% Correction As BTC’s 2022 Bearish Playbook Repeats BNB Chain Sees Prediction Markets Explosion On Monday, BNB Chain announced that prediction markets in the ecosystem reached a new milestone, surpassing the $20.91 billion mark in cumulative trading volume over the weekend. Notably, the BNB Chain has expanded its presence over the past few months, diversifying with key players such as Opinion Labs, Probable, Myriad Markets, Predict.Fun, and XO Markets. Prediction markets are one of the most popular ways to forecast events and manage risk at scale, the BNB Chain explained in a blog post, becoming “powerful tools for smarter decisions in finance, governance, and beyond.” “From elections and sports to AI milestones and macroeconomic shifts, prediction markets transform scattered knowledge into actionable signals. Platforms like Polymarket, which saw over $2B in volume in October 2024, prove that decentralized markets can even outperform centralized forecasters,” they added. According to Dune data, prediction markets within the ecosystem have seen a significant surge since Q4, increasing nearly 89% just in the past month. The data also shows that BNB Chain has taken the lead in weekly trading volume by chain, surpassing off-chain prediction markets, Polygon, Solana, and Base since the start of 2026. Moreover, DeFiLlama data indicate that three platforms in the BNB ecosystem are currently among the top 5 prediction markets, only behind Kalshi and Polymarket, signaling increasing adoption. Opinion Labs ranks third in the list, with its 7-day and 30-day trading volumes reaching $725.56 million and $3.35 billion, respectively. Meanwhile, its open interest exceeded $144 million as of late January. Probable has seen $558 million in volume over the past 7 days and $1.05 billion in the last 30 days. The platform has also reached a $1.4 billion in notional volume and over 17,000 users just a month after its launch. ETF Push And Price Recovery The recent milestone comes as major institutional players share interest in the BNB token. Last week, Grayscale filed an S-1 form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch a spot Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) based on the cryptocurrency. If approved, the Grayscale BNB Trust (GBNB) will “reflect the value of BNB held by the Trust, including BNB earned as Staking Consideration” and offer investors exposure to the token without having to hold it directly. As of this writing, BNB’s price has recovered from Sunday’s correction and is attempting to turn a key area back into support. Market observer Rose Premium Signals highlighted that the cryptocurrency bounced from the strong $860 demand zone after the sharp corrective move. Related Reading: Bitcoin Confirms Bearish Structure After $98,000 Rejection — Here’s The Next Potential Target Moreover, it held the key Fibonacci retracement area, “which increases the probability of a bullish reaction.” If the altcoin successfully reclaims the $900 area as support, the analyst suggested that a retest of the $937 and $980 targets could follow. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Gold's breakout above $5,000 and Clarity Act uncertainty are putting crypto's next market move to the test, Matt Hougan said.