Solana is attempting to stabilize after recent downside pressure, with the $85 level emerging as a key support zone. Price action is beginning to show early signs of base formation as bulls try to defend this area and slow the broader decline. While the short-term structure hints at a possible recovery attempt, a stronger shift in momentum will likely require a decisive push toward higher resistance levels. Solana Shows Early Signs Of Stabilization Near Key Zone In a recent technical brief, MakroVision Research highlighted that Solana is beginning to display early signs of stabilization following its recent period of weakness. While the broader market structure remains under pressure, current price behavior suggests selling momentum may be slowing, allowing the market to attempt a short-term recovery phase. Related Reading: Top Analyst Suggests Solana May Surpass XRP In Market Value: Here’s Why And When According to the analysis, Solana is presently consolidating just above the $85 level, a price zone that carries significant short-term importance. At the same time, the chart is forming a slightly rising structure characterized by gradually higher lows. As this pattern develops, the price is once again approaching the upper boundary of the formation, suggesting that market participants are testing whether enough momentum exists to push the price higher. Despite these constructive short-term developments, the broader trend remains bearish. Solana is still trading clearly below the descending red trendline, which continues to confirm the prevailing downtrend. $100 Trendline Break Could Signal Bullish Shift The analyst further stressed that a clear breakout above the descending red trendline around the $100 level would represent the first meaningful bullish signal for Solana in the current market structure. This suggests that buyers are beginning to regain control, potentially opening the door for a stronger recovery and a shift in short-term momentum. Related Reading: Solana’s Next Major Support Levels Sit At $50, $22, And $10: Analyst On the other hand, the outlook remains cautious as long as the price continues to trade below that key trendline resistance. If Solana approaches the $100 area but faces another strong rejection, it would reinforce the idea that the broader downtrend remains firmly intact. In the near term, Solana appears to be stabilizing after its recent decline and is attempting to build a potential base structure. The emergence of gradually rising lows suggests that buyers are starting to defend current levels, which could provide a foundation for a possible upward move if momentum improves. For the bullish scenario to gain traction, holding the $85 support level remains crucial. As long as this zone continues to act as a floor, the market retains the possibility of pushing higher. A sustained reclaim of the $100 level would be the real turning point to improving the overall technical outlook, while repeated rejections would confirm the existing downtrend. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana (SOL), currently the seventh-largest cryptocurrency by market cap—trailing behind Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), USDT, Binance Coin (BNB), XRP, and USDC—may be on the path of surpassing its closest competitor, XRP. This potential shift is largely attributable to the intensifying infrastructure race between the two projects, as highlighted by market analyst Alex Carchidi from The Motley Fool in a Tuesday report. The Race For Tokenization Capital While XRP holds a larger market cap of approximately $87 billion compared to Solana’s $50 billion at the time of writing, both assets are vying to become the backbone for the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs), such as stocks and commodities converted for trading on blockchains. Carchidi notes that Solana’s strengths lie in its speed and cost-effectiveness, making it particularly suited for managing tokenized assets that require rapid movement at scale—like stocks, bonds, and commodity contracts. The Solana platform currently has around $272 million in tokenized stocks circulating within its ecosystem, marking a 14% increase over the 30-day period that ended on March 5. Related Reading: What’s Fueling Hyperliquid’s Surge? HYPE Outperforms Top 100 Cryptos In Latest Rally Predictions suggest the total market value of tokenized stocks could climb to over $38 billion by 2035, up from about $1 billion today, indicating a substantial growth area ripe for competition. The argument for Solana’s potential to overtake XRP hinges on its aspiration to become the central hub for trading equities, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and institutional funds around the clock—all at minimal costs. Carchidi asserts that Solana doesn’t necessarily need to capture 100% of the tokenized assets market to see significant price appreciation. Its current market cap is already so close to that of XRP’s that even a modest gain at XRP’s expense could tip the scales in Solana’s favor. Carchidi acknowledges that Solana may indeed flip XRP. However, the path for SOL to surpass XRP is not without challenges. XRP’s Edge Against Solana At present, the XRP Ledger (XRPL) holds approximately $453 million in tokenized assets specifically available for trading, rather than just for record keeping. The stablecoin base on XRPL is currently around $432 million. A substantial portion of XRP’s tradeable tokenized assets comprises US Treasury bills and government bonds valued at about $294 million. On the surface, this setup may not seem to threaten Solana’s growth trajectory. Yet, the analyst contends that XRP has its own advantages. Known for its speed and low transaction costs, XRP also benefits from a robust compliance infrastructure that is integrated into its blockchain. Related Reading: BitMine Acquires 60,000 ETH; Chair Discusses Outlook For Ethereum And Crypto Prices This allows financial institutions looking to tokenize assets—such as bonds, stocks, or securities—to avoid the time-consuming process of developing a compliance framework from scratch. As a result, XRP may attract more capital inflows related to tokenization over the next few years. Despite these challenges, the analyst believes that Solana would eventually outperform XRP in terms of valuation, possibly in 2030 and beyond, owing to its plans for a larger ecosystem. At the time of writing, Solana was trading at roughly $88.48, up 2.7% in the previous 24 hours. XRP, on the other hand, has surpassed SOL’s growth over the same period, with gains approaching 5% and the token trading at $1.43. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Solana has spent weeks compressing inside a tightening range, with price action forming a structure that suggests a breakout is brewing. As volatility contracts, pressure continues to build within the pattern. A decisive move above $88.60 could serve as the trigger bulls have been waiting for, potentially unleashing a sharp, impulsive rally as stored momentum is released. Volatility Squeeze On Solana — Triangle About To Resolve Solana has been trading within a tight sideways range for the past three weeks, gradually forming what appears to be a triangle pattern on the chart. Related Reading: Crypto Trader Predicts Solana 50% Price Crash To $30 If This Level Breaks According to More Crypto Online, a decisive break above the Sunday high at $88.60 would serve as the first clear indication that bulls are stepping back in with strength. Such a move would suggest that the triangle formation is nearing completion and could mark the beginning of a sustained upside breakout. Triangle patterns are particularly important because they often precede aggressive expansions. As price continues to coil within the structure, volatility contracts, and pressure build. This compression phase stores energy, increasing the probability that the eventual breakout will be forceful rather than gradual. Once price clears a key boundary, the release of that built-up momentum can trigger a sharp and impulsive move. 200 SMA And Range Hold Key To $85 Reclaim In a recent Solana analysis, Umair Crypto emphasized that the key level to watch is BTC’s pair 200 SMA and range structure. A sustained hold above these levels would open the door for an $85 reclaim. However, failure to maintain that strength would likely keep SOL trapped in the broader $77–$90 consolidation range, a scenario that has now persisted for 24 days, with no structural change since the initial call. Related Reading: Solana Reclaims $80 Amid Friday Market Bounce – Analysts Set Next Targets Structurally, the two pairs are telling different stories. On the USDT chart, SOL continues to print lower highs, signaling weakness. Meanwhile, the BTC pair is showing relative strength, forming higher highs and suggesting a more constructive trend. This divergence creates a pivotal moment where resolution could tilt either bullish or bearish, depending on which structure ultimately confirms. At present, the BTC pair has pushed above its range and reclaimed the 4H 200 SMA. However, Umair Crypto cautions that this setup has failed before, causing the price to slip back below the 200 SMA and re-entering the range, invalidating the breakout. For a true breakout scenario to activate, the BTC pair must hold above both the range and the 200 SMA with a clean retest. If that happens, strength could transfer to the USDT pair, making the $85 point of control a key reclaim target. If not, further rotation within the $77–$90 range remains the most likely outcome. In short: no confirmed hold, no confirmed breakout, BTC pair confirms, USDT executes. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana (SOL) could be facing one of its most critical technical tests in recent months, with crypto trader Jussy warning that a breakdown at a key level could trigger a collapse toward prices not seen since previous bear market cycles. With the cryptocurrency trading above this level and forming two bearish patterns across multiple timeframes, the analyst has set two major crash targets for SOL. However, only one of these patterns could lead to a staggering 50% decline to $30 once the price breaks. Solana Bear Flag Pattern Signals Crash To $30 On Tuesday, February 24, Jussy took to X, warning crypto investors and traders that Solana could be heading toward a dramatic price collapse. The analyst notes that the leading smart contract token is currently at a critical support level of $76.57 on the price chart that could define its next bearish move. Related Reading: Wondering What’s Going On With Solana? Projects Are Taking Massive Hit As Price Plunges Looking at the daily chart, Jussy has identified a Bear Flag formation that has been developing since early February 2026. The pattern shows price consolidating within a descending channel after a steep sell-off from above $112, underscoring Solana’s continued downtrend over the past months. Should the $76.57 support level give way, the analyst projects a measured move from the Bear Flag pattern to $37.88, representing a potential decline of more than 50% from current levels. Jussy also said in his analysis that Solana is on a path to $30, suggesting the altcoin could fall even further to that level. Notably, the analyst’s bearish forecast arrives amid Solana’s recent price struggles, as broader market volatility and shifting investor sentiment weigh heavily on the sector. With the crypto bear market already in full swing, SOL has been trading sideways, mirroring the weak performance across major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin. CoinMarketCap’s data also shows that Solana’s price has fallen by more than 38% since the start of the year. While it was trending downward just last week, the altcoin has since staged a slight recovery from the $76 level, highlighted in Jussy’s chart analysis. As of writing, SOL is trading above $86, up more than 13% from the critical support level. Should upward momentum persist, it could signal a potential deviation from the analyst’s bearish $30 forecast. Triple Top Pattern Signals Lesser Decline To $60 For his second bearish forecast, Jussy highlighted that Solana has formed a Triple Top pattern on its four-hour chart. This pattern is characterized by three successive failed attempts to push higher, with each one printing at a lower peak than the last. The structure, visible across the January and February price action, suggests buyers have been steadily losing momentum after each recovery attempt. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana Prices Are Still Crashing Hard If the $76.57 support level breaks, Jussy sees a measured move from the Triple Top pattern down to $61.73 as Solana’s next target. A drop to this level would represent a roughly 19% crash from the support area. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana’s (SOL) latest price decline is unfolding against a broader period of weakness across the digital asset market, with traders increasingly shifting toward risk-off positioning. Related Reading: Ready For A 443% Dogecoin Move? The Meme Coin Just Touched A Historically Explosive Level After weeks of steady losses, SOL has slipped below key technical levels, raising questions about whether current support can hold or if another leg lower is approaching. Market data shows declining trader confidence, rising short positioning, and weakening on-chain profitability. According to data tracked on CoinMarketCap, Solana recently traded in the high-$70 range after failing to maintain momentum above $95 earlier in the year. The move extends a six-week losing streak and places the asset near critical support zones that analysts say will likely determine the next directional move. SOL's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview Derivatives Markets Signal Growing Downside Risk Open interest in Solana futures fell roughly 2% to about $5.09 billion, even as trading volume surged sharply. This combination often indicates liquidations rather than fresh buying activity. Also, funding rates have turned negative, and the long-to-short ratio has dropped below 1, suggesting more traders are positioning for further dips. Short bias has also appeared among larger accounts despite retail traders maintaining leveraged long exposure on exchanges such as Binance and OKX. Analysts warn that this imbalance could increase the risk of additional volatility if support levels fail. Technically, Solana remains below major moving averages, while momentum indicators continue trending downward. RSI readings near oversold territory reflect sustained selling pressure rather than confirmed reversal signals. On-Chain Data Shows Weakening Holder Confidence On-chain metrics support the cautious outlook. Figures from Glassnode indicate that only about 20% of Solana addresses are currently in profit, the lowest level since late 2023. During previous market downturns, similar readings appeared closer to capitulation phases, suggesting downside risk may not yet be exhausted. Long-term holder accumulation, which strengthened earlier in the year, has slowed notably as the price dropped below $100. Analysts interpret this as declining conviction among investors who previously absorbed supply during pullbacks. Key Levels Traders Are Watching Chart data shows immediate support clustered between $75 and $67. A decisive break below this region could expose lower targets near $62 or even $60 if selling accelerates. On the upside, recovery attempts face resistance around $82–$83, where a bearish trend line has formed. Related Reading: Political Meme Coins Implode: TRUMP Down 92%, MELANIA Nearly Wiped Out Solana’s outlook hinges on whether buyers can defend the February lows. Without a sustained reclaim of higher resistance zones, market structure suggests the broader downtrend remains intact as crypto market uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart on Tradingview
The crypto analyst who warned Solana (SOL) traders to sell near the cycle top at $250 is back with a new outlook after the market validated his earlier call. Crypto Patel says the decline in SOL’s price following his $200-$250 exit zone has now created the conditions for a new long-term opportunity, but only if another key level gives way. His latest chart frames Solana’s price action as a repeatable cycle of euphoric expansion and sharp correction before the next major rally. Crypto Patel Shares New Solana Price Prediction In a recent post on X, Crypto Patel reminded community members that when Solana was trading near its peak between $250 and $200, most investors were projecting a run to $1,000. Instead, the price reversed from a high around $295 and collapsed to near $67, marking a massive 77% drawdown from the top. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana Prices Are Still Crashing Hard Now, the analyst is presenting a new outlook, warning of a potentially similar decline in Solana’s price this cycle. He notes that Solana is now testing the $85 level, which corresponds to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement on the chart. The zone has acted as a temporary support; however, it remains structurally weak given the broader trend of lower highs since the peak. The analyst suggests that if Solana fails to break $85, its price could slide into the $50- $30 range, extending its decline over the past two years. He has labeled this area as a strong Fair Value Gap (FVG) accumulation zone based on historical demand and volume behavior. The accompanying chart also maps prior expansion phases in which Solana surged by thousands of percent after long consolidation periods. In the 2021 bull cycle, price rallied by more 24,234.55% and then declined by 97.01% the following year. Crypto Patel’s current projection places Solana in a similar expansion and corrective phase. The cryptocurrency has already experienced its expansion stage in 2024, when its price jumped by more than 3,699% to a peak of around $295. Now the analyst predicts an upcoming correction, where price is expected to decline by a whopping 89.44% in mid 2026. Long-Term Targets Remain Intact Despite Correction Despite the bearish short-term outlook, Crypto Patel has not abandoned his long-range bullish projections for SOL. He maintains that once the corrective phase is complete, Solana could still target the $500– $1,000 range. His chart projects a sharp upward surge toward the $1,000 level by 2027, representing a massive 3,103% surge. Related Reading: XRP, Solana Secure Inflows As Institutions Move $1 Billion Out Of Bitcoin And Ethereum Going further, the analyst also shared his bullish price projection for Solana by late 2029. He expects that once the price hits $1,000, SOL could rally strongly and steadily toward $10,000. He has marked $9,270 as the next long-term target, reflecting a rally of approximately 27,660%. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
While digital asset funds recorded significant capital outflows for a fourth consecutive week, Solana (SOL) has become one of the few assets still attracting fresh investment. Related Reading: After Extreme Pessimism, Crypto Market Conditions Begin To Stabilize: Analysts Similarly, the SOL price action shows the token locked in a tight consolidation range around $85, leaving traders watching closely for a decisive move. Recent data also shows Solana ETFs pulled in roughly $31 million in weekly inflows, even as broader crypto investment products lost $173 million. SOL's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview Solana ETF Inflows Stand Out Amid Broader Market Withdrawals According to flow reports, crypto funds have faced sustained selling pressure, with the United States leading withdrawals while Europe and Canada recorded inflows. Despite the broader risk-off environment, Solana attracted new capital alongside a small group of alternative assets. The inflows suggest continued institutional interest through regulated investment vehicles, which typically require spot exposure or derivatives hedging tied to the underlying asset. Analysts note that such flows can provide steady demand, even when short-term market sentiment remains uncertain. However, ETF demand has not yet translated into a clear price recovery. Solana continues trading within a compressed range between roughly $77 and $90, signaling indecision among market participants. SOL Price Holds Key Support as $92 Remains Critical Resistance Technically, the SOL price has entered a consolidation phase after failing to maintain momentum above $90. The token is currently trading above the $85 region, supported by buyers defending the $82 level. Short-term charts show a rising channel forming, with resistance near $88 and a major barrier at $92. Analysts widely view a confirmed breakout above $92 as necessary to trigger a stronger rally, with potential upside targets around $95 and $102. On the downside, failure to hold support could expose lower levels near $76.50 or even $72. Some technical models also point to a bearish flag, suggesting a possible 25% decline to the mid-$60s if selling pressure accelerates. Momentum indicators present mixed signals. Oversold readings across several oscillators indicate selling exhaustion may be developing, yet trend-strength indicators still confirm that a broader downtrend remains intact. Network Growth and Long-Term Outlook Keep Bulls Interested Despite price weakness, on-chain developments continue to draw attention. Total value locked on the network has reached new highs, and institutional experimentation with the blockchain has expanded, signaling ongoing ecosystem activity. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator Drops To Deepest Level Since FTX Bottom Longer-term projections remain divided. Some analysts see evidence of reaccumulation patterns that could support a recovery if key resistance levels are reclaimed, while others warn macro conditions and declining risk appetite may limit upside in the near term. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview
Solana is tightly compressed inside a defined range after sweeping liquidity on both sides. With volatility fading and pressure building, the current structure suggests a major breakout move could be approaching. $77–$90 Range Remains Firmly Intact Solana remains locked inside a well-defined $77–$90 range, with the broader outlook suggesting that any major resolution is more likely to unfold to the downside toward $57. According to Umair Crypto, the price has been consolidating within this band for the past 11 days, with liquidity already swept on both ends. That behavior signals a balanced market environment rather than a trending one. Related Reading: Solana Funding Rates Hit 17-Day Negative Streak — What This Means For Price Currently, Solana is trading below the range’s point of control (POC), which introduces slight short-term bearish pressure. However, from a structural standpoint, the market remains in choppy consolidation. A short-term move toward $81–$82 remains possible for another rotation higher, and even a marginal push toward $93 could occur if the highs are taken again. Still, unless $90 is decisively reclaimed and flipped into support with strong volume, such moves would likely qualify as deviations rather than sustainable breakouts. For now, the primary expectation is continued consolidation before a larger expansion phase begins. If the range ultimately resolves to the downside, $57 stands out as the broader target. Until a clear structural shift occurs, this remains a range-trading environment, not trend-trading. Solana Wyckoff Reaccumulation Unfolding After Brutal Downtrend Trader Tardigrade recently shared a detailed outlook suggesting that Solana is undergoing a classic Wyckoff Reaccumulation pattern after its prolonged and exhausting grind lower. Following months of distribution-like price action and volatility, the current structure appears to be transitioning into a base-building phase that could eventually support a larger cycle advance if key levels continue to hold. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Trades Heavy Below $90 As Breakdown Risk Grows According to the breakdown, Phase A began with a Selling Climax (SC) near $110 in August 2024, followed by an Automatic Rally (AR) toward approximately $264. Phase B then unfolded through multiple Secondary Tests (STs), alongside a notable Upthrust After (UA) fakeout near $295. Phase C appears to have completed with a Spring formation around the $68 level in early 2026 — a sharp wick rejection that likely swept liquidity before reversing. The market is now potentially entering Phase D, which would require Solana to firmly hold above $95 for a confirmed Sign of Strength (SOS) rally. If this structure continues to play out as outlined, projected upside targets include a Last Point of Support (LPS) near $150, a Backup (BU/LPS) zone around $250, and eventually a broader markup phase that could extend toward $350–$500 or higher. However, the bullish thesis remains conditional; SOL must continue to defend the Spring low and demonstrate constructive volume behavior to validate the larger cycle advance. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana’s (SOL) recent price action has put traders on alert once again. After sliding to multi-month lows near the lower-$80 range, SOL staged a sharp rebound of more than 6% in a short period, briefly easing fears of an immediate breakdown. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could See New Drop To $60,000 Despite Bounce – Here’s The Level To Defend However, the recovery has done little to settle the broader debate. Analysts now see Solana caught between fragile support and overhead resistance, with the $98–$108 zone emerging as a key upside test if momentum can hold. Despite the bounce, market conditions remain cautious. SOL is still trading well below former support levels that have flipped into resistance, and several technical and on-chain indicators suggest the market has not yet found a clear directional bias. SOL's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview Support Holds, but SOL Trend Remains Weak Solana is currently consolidating around the $83–$87 area, a zone many analysts view as critical short-term support. Multiple reports highlight that SOL has lost its prior monthly support between $98 and $100, confirming the broader downtrend remains intact. Price structure continues to show lower highs and lower lows, and SOL is trading below key moving averages, reinforcing bearish control. At the same time, oversold signals are beginning to appear. The Relative Strength Index on higher timeframes has dipped into levels that historically coincided with stabilization phases. Some analysts also point to the Money Flow Index nearing extreme readings, suggesting selling pressure may be losing intensity, even if buyers have yet to step in decisively. If the $85 area fails, downside targets cluster around $78–$80, with deeper support cited near $70. These levels align with historical demand zones observed during previous drawdowns. Solana ETF Outflows and On-Chain Signals Add Pressure On-chain data has added another layer of complexity. More than 1 million SOL reportedly left centralized exchanges over a 72-hour period, a move analysts interpret as stress-driven repositioning rather than clear accumulation. In parallel, Solana-linked ETFs recorded roughly $11.9 million in net outflows, the second-largest on record. Historically, large ETF outflows have sometimes appeared near capitulation phases, but they also limit near-term upside by reducing institutional participation. Long-term holder data further shows accumulation slowing, removing a source of price support that has cushioned past declines. Why $98–$108 Matters for Bulls Looking ahead, analysts agree that any meaningful recovery must reclaim the $98–$108 region. This zone represents both former support and a psychological barrier near $100. February forecasts from several market trackers suggest SOL could trade within this range if it stabilizes above current levels. Related Reading: Bernstein Calls Bitcoin Crash A ‘Crisis Of Confidence,’ Maintains $150,000 Target A sustained move above $108 could open the door to a broader trend reassessment, while repeated rejection would reinforce the prevailing bearish structure. Solana remains in a wait-and-see phase, with traders closely watching whether support holds, or whether another leg lower comes before a durable base is formed. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart on Tradingview
Solana has suffered a sharp sell-off that’s left its chart looking fragile, with price sliding straight into a key demand zone. Despite the drop, big money remains notably cautious, signaling that institutions may be waiting for clearer direction before stepping in. Solana’s Sharp Breakdown Leaves the Weekly Chart on Edge AltCoin Việt Nam noted that Solana has already suffered a sharp sell-off, a move that is clearly reflected on the weekly chart. Price dropped aggressively from the higher range and is now trading around the $90–93 zone. The bounce so far appears weak, and volume is not signaling strong participation from large buyers stepping in to defend the move. Related Reading: Solana Accumulation Narrative Strengthens With Big Institutions, A Rally Imminent? What stood out most in the update was the behavior of institutional players. Despite the lower prices, institutional ETFs have shown little interest in accumulating SOL in this zone. This contrasts sharply with earlier phases, when they were buying aggressively at much higher levels. Addressing questions from the community about whether institutions “knew” the crash was coming, AltCoin Việt Nam explained that this is not necessarily the case. Instead, institutional behavior simply differs from that of retail traders. Their decisions are driven more by trend structure, liquidity conditions, and capital flows than by attempts to predict exact price bottoms. Firstly, ETFs typically do not dollar-cost average in the same way retail investors do. When momentum is strong and inflows are active, they are willing to buy at higher prices to maintain exposure. However, once the trend breaks and volatility rises, waiting for clarity becomes more important than trying to catch the bottom. For institutions, entering at the right time with renewed momentum matters far more than buying at the lowest possible price. Finally, AltCoin Việt Nam highlighted that ETF accumulation is also dependent on capital inflows. Without fresh money entering the funds, there is little incentive or ability for them to add positions, even at discounted prices. For retail participants, the approach may differ. Short-term traders should not expect immediate institutional support, as large players currently have no urgency to step in. Step-Down Decline Brings SOL Into Key Demand Zone According to an update by BitGuru, Solana has been moving lower in a series of step-down declines, reflecting sustained bearish pressure. Price has now reached a key demand zone between $90 and $95, an area where buyers have previously stepped in to defend the market. Related Reading: Solana To Retest November Lows After $144 Rejection, But Analysts Remain Bullish BitGurun noted that selling pressure appears to be easing as SOL trades within this range, suggesting that the market is attempting to form a short-term base. If this demand zone continues to hold, BitGuru believes a relief move toward prior structural levels becomes increasingly likely. Such a move would represent a technical rebound rather than a full trend reversal. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Standard Chartered has lowered its end-2026 price target for Solana to $250, down from $310, while leaving its longer-dated trajectory intact. The bank’s roadmap still points to $2,000 by 2030 as the bank argues the chain’s activity mix is rotating away from memecoin-led trading toward stablecoin-based micropayments. The revised forecast comes as the bank’s digital assets research team frames the current drawdown as a period when “performance differentiation” across crypto should become more visible, rather than a tape where everything trades as a single risk bucket. Why Standard Chartered Lowers The 2026 Solana Target, Boosts Long View Behind the 2026 haircut is a more skeptical view on how quickly Solana can convert its cost and throughput advantages into sustained, fee-generating economic activity beyond speculative bursts. In Standard Chartered’s telling, Solana is in the middle of a narrative transition that is strategically attractive but not instantaneous in market terms. Related Reading: Solana Returns To A Critical Demand Zone — Trend Reload Or Breakdown Risk? Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s head of global digital assets research, anchored the shift in decentralized exchange (DEX) flow composition. “When we initiated coverage of Solana in May 2025, we observed that activity on the network was largely concentrated in memecoin trading on DEXs.” “Composition of DEX flows has shifted from memecoin trading toward SOL–stablecoin pairs.” That rotation, Kendrick argued, accelerated over 2025 as capital moved away from meme-focused activity which he said peaked in mid-January around the launch of the Trump token and toward tokenized dollars. The implication is that Solana’s DEX activity is beginning to resemble a payments-adjacent rail more than a single-cycle casino, even if overall volumes have cooled. Standard Chartered also flagged Solana’s ultra-low transaction costs as a key enabler for “micropayment” use cases, including AI-driven payments, where even modest fee overhead can break unit economics. One of the more striking metrics in the report is stablecoin turnover: Kendrick said stablecoin velocity on Solana is already two to three times higher than on Ethereum, suggesting Solana may be carving out a distinct role for high-frequency, low-value transfers. Related Reading: Solana Could Reach $1,600+ Within Five Years, Bitwise CIO Says The bank tied that possibility to “internet-native” payment protocols such as Coinbase-backed x402, while cautioning that the repositioning will take time to translate into market leadership. That slower timeline is part of why Standard Chartered expects Solana to lag Ethereum in the 2026–2027 window, even as the bank becomes more constructive on Solana’s longer-run upside if micropayment demand compounds. Despite trimming the 2026 target, Standard Chartered’s longer-term schedule remains aggressive: $400 in 2027, $700 in 2028, $1,200 in 2029, and $2,000 by end-2030, according to reporting by The Block. The bank’s framework implies that Solana’s “micropayments” phase is expected to matter more as the cycle matures, with Kendrick also projecting Solana to outperform Bitcoin over 2027–2030. At press time, SOL traded at $96.93. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Solana has pulled back into a key demand zone, a level that could determine whether its strong trend continues or falters. How price reacts here will be crucial, as a hold may signal a trend reload, while a breakdown could push SOL into broader market chop. Solana Returns To A Critical Weekly Demand Zone Giving an update on the weekly timeframe, Cyril-DeFi explained that Solana has been one of the standout performers this cycle. Still, price has now returned to a critical demand zone that could determine its next major move. According to Cyril, this area has historically acted as a pivot point where momentum either re-ignites or fades. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Keeps $100 Alive, Recovery Push Faces First Test This is the type of zone where strong trends tend to reload if buyers successfully defend it. However, a failure to hold would suggest that the prior strength is losing traction, increasing the risk that the trend structure begins to deteriorate. From Cyril’s perspective, a firm hold at current levels would position Solana to lead the next altcoin impulse, reinforcing its relative strength against the broader market. On the other hand, losing this demand zone would likely see SOL slip into extended consolidation, moving in line with the wider market chop rather than outperforming it. Cyril-DeFi concluded by stressing that he is closely observing how the price behaves around this area instead of trying to predict outcomes in advance. The Only High-Conviction Long Setup On The Table According to a recent Solana post shared by Ardi, only one long setup stands out as technically sound under current conditions. With the market still under pressure, waiting for confirmation seems safer than attempting to anticipate a bottom, as premature entries tend to get punished in weak structures. Related Reading: Solana Pauses After 20% Drop — This Key Level Could Decide What’s Next Ardi highlighted the $119 level as a key pivot for Solana. A successful reclaim of this zone, ideally through a spring or brief fakeout below resistance, could signal that demand is returning. If that occurs, price could surge higher toward the top of the range on a macro lower high rally rather than a full bullish reversal. From a risk-to-reward standpoint, this reclaim scenario remains the most attractive option available. It provides a clear technical trigger, defined invalidation, and a logical upside target, allowing traders to participate without overexposing themselves in an uncertain environment. He also outlined an alternative strategy involving the 200-week simple moving average around the $100 mark, an area that previously acted as macro support in April 2025. Still, Ardi cautioned that in a broader downtrend, odds are often against traders until a major level is reclaimed, making a decisive move back above $119 crucial before confidence can truly return. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
The Solana price has entered the new month under pressure after losing a level that had acted as a psychological anchor for much of the past year. The token’s drop below $100 shifted market attention from recovery narratives to damage control. Related Reading: Crypto Hacks Explode: $370 Million Stolen In January Alone: Researchers Traders are now closely watching whether upcoming support levels can halt a decline that has accelerated amid overall weakness in the crypto market. Although network activity and institutional interest continue to draw attention, short-term price movements have clearly shifted into a bearish trend. SOL's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview Solana Price Breaks $100 as Selling Pressure Builds Before bouncing back to the current $102 level, the Solana price dipped to around $98, marking its lowest point in nearly ten months and extending losses to nearly 20% over the past week and approximately 25% over the last month. Trading activity has thinned as prices fell, with spot volume and derivatives participation both declining. Data from CoinGlass shows falling open interest, suggesting long positions are being unwound rather than a surge in aggressive short selling. The move has not occurred in isolation. A wave of market-wide liquidations over the weekend, combined with thin liquidity, amplified downside moves across major cryptocurrencies. Macroeconomic concerns have also weighed on sentiment after renewed expectations of tighter U.S. monetary policy following President Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, a choice viewed as hawkish by markets. Technical Outlook Points to Lower Support Levels From a technical perspective, Solana’s structure has weakened. The break below $100 confirmed a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, with the Solana price hovering well beneath its declining short-term moving averages. Bollinger Bands are widening, and Solana price action remains near the lower band, suggesting downward momentum remains dominant rather than stabilizing. Momentum indicators underline the pressure. The daily relative strength index is hovering near 25, placing SOL deep in oversold territory. While this increases the probability of short-term bounces, it does not, on its own, signal a trend reversal. On the downside, traders are watching the $95 area closely, followed by a broader $92–90 zone. Below that, $85 and $80 stand out as larger historical support levels. Some on-chain and pattern analyses suggest that if selling accelerates, thinner support could expose deeper zones later in the year. Fundamentals Remain Active Despite Weak Price Action Despite the bearish price forecast, Solana’s underlying network metrics remain comparatively strong. January transaction counts rose sharply, and recent data shows continued growth in on-chain activity and stablecoin usage. Institutional interest has been mixed but not absent, with earlier January inflows offset by more recent Solana ETF outflows. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? CMT Reveals What Traders Need To See Now Currently, the technical picture dominates. Solana would need to reclaim $110 and hold above key moving averages to ease bearish pressure. Until that happens, rallies are likely to be viewed as corrective moves within a broader downtrend, leaving the next support levels as the market’s immediate test. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview
Matt Hougan, the chief investment officer at Bitwise Asset Management, said he thinks Solana could plausibly become a trillion-dollar asset within five years—an outcome that would roughly translate into a ~$1,600 SOL price on a simple market-cap-per-token basis, depending on circulating supply. Hougan made the remarks on the Jan. 29 episode of When Shift Happens, framing his Solana view through what he called a “two ways to win” setup: growth in the addressable market (stablecoins and tokenized assets), plus an increasing share captured by Solana versus competing networks. Why Solana Could Hit $1,600+ Within 5 Years Hougan argued that the “infrastructure market” for stablecoins and tokenization is expanding quickly enough that large, liquid L1s should be valued less like niche crypto experiments and more like enabling rails for traditional finance. “The US Secretary of Treasury expects the stablecoin market to 12x over the next four years,” he said, adding that Larry Fink has described a future where “every asset, every fund, ETF, stock, bond, real estate will be tokenized.” From there, his Solana thesis leaned heavily on relative positioning. Ethereum remains the incumbent in stablecoins and tokenization, Hougan said, but Solana is “a legit competitor with an interesting technological differentiation,” and crucially “it’s extraordinarily easy to use and the community has a ship first attitude.” Related Reading: Solana Scores Major Institutional Adoption As WisdomTree Goes On-Chain That usability point, in his view, is underpriced by investors who focus on benchmark-style comparisons. “I think ease of use is a killer app that’s underrated by investors,” Hougan said. “Investors like to talk about throughput and they like to talk… TPS… who cares about this? …For an end user who’s trading, who’s on-ramping, ease of use is the killer app. And Solana is just easy to use, just dead easy to use.” Hougan also acknowledged a common investor blind spot: token supply dynamics can separate price action from market cap growth. He noted that Solana’s market value can rise meaningfully even if the token price revisits prior highs, and suggested staking yield partially offsets dilution, citing “roughly like 7% a year.” Another thread in the discussion was how regulation shaped institutional behavior. Hougan said Solana’s footprint in stablecoins and tokenization was constrained during the prior US regulatory environment, arguing that institutions “couldn’t build on Solana” if they believed it sat “outside of the regulatory perimeter.” With that cloud lifting, he said, mandates are starting to broaden. He also described why the ETF wrapper matters more for a smaller asset. “You put a little bit of inflows into an ETF package and they’re chasing a relatively small supply of Solana,” Hougan said. “It’s one of the best setups for an asset that I’ve ever seen because you have this small constrained size, you have significant institutional demand, you have stablecoins and tokenization… you put all that together and it seems like a winner.” Still, he avoided hard price targets and instead stayed in market-cap terms. “In 5 years I think it could be a trillion dollar asset. I think that’s relatively easy to imagine,” he said. “It’s hard to give a precise target because it depends on the pace of growth on stablecoins and tokenization. It depends on whether Congress passes the Clarity Act. It depends on the sort of crypto market cycles.” E156: @Matt_Hougan from @BitwiseInvest – $6.5M Bitcoin and the strongest Solana setup ever? This might be the most bullish yet rational episode we’ve done on the future of crypto: why debasement, institutional flows & tokenization are just getting started. Timestamps: 0:00… pic.twitter.com/WMqvKL7pCj — MR SHIFT ???? (@KevinWSHPod) January 29, 2026 On simple market-cap math, a $1 trillion Solana valuation implies a four-figure token price depending on supply. The relationship is straightforward: token price equals market cap divided by supply. Using Solana’s circulating supply of roughly 566 million SOL, a $1 trillion market cap works out to about $1,766 per SOL ($1,000,000,000,000 ÷ 566,000,000). Related Reading: Solana Pauses After 20% Drop — This Key Level Could Decide What’s Next If you instead use a fully diluted-style denominator closer to 619 million SOL, the same $1 trillion market cap implies roughly $1,615 per SOL ($1,000,000,000,000 ÷ 619,000,000). In other words, Hougan’s “trillion-dollar asset” framing maps to something like the mid-$1,000s per token on today’s supply assumptions, with the exact number moving as supply changes. Notably, Hougan’s Solana call sat alongside a broader macro narrative he returned to repeatedly: monetary debasement pushing investors toward scarce and non-sovereign stores of value. On Bitcoin, he argued the “two ways to win” are the store-of-value market expanding and Bitcoin taking share from gold, an arc he said could drive multi-million-dollar BTC over decades if the last 10–15 years of adoption trends persist. For Solana, the equivalent is less about being “digital gold” and more about becoming a primary venue for stablecoin flows and tokenized securities. If those rails scale and if Solana continues gaining share as a high-velocity, institution-friendly network, Hougan’s trillion-dollar scenario implies the market is still pricing the opportunity too conservatively. At press time, SOL traded at $115.40. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Solana is rapidly positioning itself as a core hub for tokenized finance following WisdomTree’s deployment of fund infrastructure on the blockchain. The move reflects growing confidence among traditional asset managers in SOL’s ability to support large-scale, regulated financial products with the speed and cost efficiency required by modern capital markets. How Traditional Asset Managers Expand On-Chain Operations WisdomTree’s deployment of $159 billion in fund infrastructure on Solana marks a turning point for how regulated money moves. A research and news site, Genfinity, revealed on X that regulated money market funds are now settling natively on SOL, which means institutional cash flow assets no longer require traditional banking rails. One of the clearest signals is the Government money market digital fund, which already holds around $730 million in on-chain assets. Direct minting eliminates synthetic exposure with real Treasury-backed settlement. This allows retail investors to access institutional-grade financial products with blockchain speed and low costs. The multi-chain deployment is proof that financial institutions prioritize performance over narrative. Currently, SOL is processing the same regulated funds that previously required correspondent banks and a 3-day settlement. The gap between on-chain infrastructure and traditional finance products has just collapsed. An industry-leading commentary on the global capital markets, The Kobeissi Letter, reported that Coinbase has announced it is integrating with Jupiter Exchange directly into its on-chain trading stack. With this move, millions of Solana-based tokens can now be traded on Coinbase for the first time, all through Jupiter on-chain liquidity. Instead of relying on the slow manual process of listing assets on a centralized order book, Coinbase is currently using on-chain infrastructure to provide instant access to Solana-native markets. Under the new integration, users can deploy existing Coinbase balances and payment methods to trade tokens from a self-custodial wallet. “Even the centralized exchanges are moving on-chain,” The Kobeissi Letter noted. Why Liquidity Grabs Often Precede Reversals According to Larskooistra, the local context on Solana is fairly conducive to building a structure. The Price has already completed a Model 2 accumulation schematic, and grabbed all buy-side liquidity while taking the range high and broke market structure back to bearish, creating a supply in the process. Related Reading: Solana Structure Suggests One Final Test Before Bulls Can Step In From a higher-timeframe perspective, this gives a bearish context on BTC whenever accumulation models complete themselves and break the market structure, and then turn back to bearish afterwards, which shows a full reversal towards the lows. Larskooistra expects the equal lows acting as the next liquidity target to be taken out, and is looking for distribution schematics on the current move up. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana has taken a breather after a sharp 20% sell-off, with the price now stabilizing at a technically significant zone. As volatility cools and consolidation sets in, the market is watching closely to see whether this level acts as a launchpad for a recovery or opens the door to further downside. The next move from here could define SOL’s short-term direction. VAH Rejection Sends SOL Back Into Range Market expert Umair Crypto explained that Solana’s rejection at the Value Area High (VAH) near $141 set the tone for the recent move. After briefly extending to $148, SOL once again failed to flip the psychological $150 level into support, and ultimately triggered a sharp downside reaction, resulting in a nearly 20% decline toward the $117 area. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Recovery Reaches A Level That Changes Everything Following the sell-off, price rotated back into the same two-month consolidation range, suggesting that the move lower was more of a range continuation than the start of a new trend. SOL is now retesting the Value Area Low flip zone around $128, a level that has repeatedly acted as a short-term pivot between buyers and sellers. If $128 holds and buyers manage to defend this zone, the analyst sees room for a bounce toward $132. Further acceptance above that level could open a path toward the range Point of Control near $138. However, even a move into that region would still reflect range-bound conditions rather than a confirmed bullish breakout. Umair Crypto stressed that SOL remains stuck inside a broad $30 range, offering little directional edge in the middle. An acceptance below $120 would shift the bias firmly bearish. On the other hand, a strong reclaim above $150 would flip the market structure bullish. Until either scenario plays out, the higher-probability outcome continues to lean toward lower prices within the range. SOL Enters A Compression Phase Above Key Support According to a recent market update from BitGuru, Solana has experienced a significant pullback and is now entering a phase of consolidation just above a critical support zone. This type of price compression is a classic technical indicator that the market is preparing for a sharp reaction move. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Recovery At Risk With Bears Guarding Resistance As volatility narrows and the trading range tightens, the build-up of market energy typically precedes a breakout. The path forward remains binary based on Solana’s interaction with its immediate boundaries. A clean reclaim of the nearby resistance level would signal a return of buyer confidence and a potential shift in momentum. Conversely, a failure to defend this established base would keep significant downside risk active, potentially leading to a deeper correction if the support zone is breached. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
As the crypto market faces uncertainty and continues in a consolidation phase, market expert Sam Daodu has issued a report examining the potential for XRP, Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL) to emerge as frontrunners if a new altcoin season arises in 2026. XRP, ETH, And SOL Price Forecasts Daodu began his analysis by pointing out that Bitcoin’s (BTC) dominance is currently hovering around 59%, alongside an Altcoin Season Index reading of 55. These indicators suggest that 2026 could herald a substantial rotation towards altcoins, mirroring significant shifts experienced during cycles in 2016-2017 and 2020-2021. The expert outlines several bullish scenarios for each. For XRP, he envisions a potential surge past the $6-$8 range if exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows maintain a monthly average exceeding $400 million and RippleNet continues to expand its influence in global banking. Related Reading: ‘I’m Very Bullish’: Ripple CEO Forecasts Record Performance For Crypto In 2026 ETH, on the other hand, could see itself climbing toward $12,000-$18,000 if Layer 2 (L2) adoption unlocks broader usage and ETF inflows rebound. Daodu highlights that active addresses are at cycle highs, indicating organic demand that may translate to higher prices once institutional sentiment shifts positively. For SOL, the outlook is similarly optimistic. Solana might rocket to the range of $500-$800 if its transaction finality of 150 milliseconds and low fees attract a new wave of applications. Additionally, the rise in ETF filings could lead to significant capital inflows. Potential Risks Ahead In more stable scenarios, Daodu suggests that XRP might consolidate between $2.50-$3.50 if institutional adoption progresses steadily without dramatic catalysts. He also speculates that Ethereum could trade within the range of $5,000-$9,000, benefiting from consistent demand driven by staking yields and decentralized finance (DeFi) growth. Meanwhile, Solana might trend between $200-$350, assuming that developer growth and retail adoption continue at their current pace without major breakthroughs. However, Daodu cautions that XRP could fall below $1.50 if demand for ETFs wanes or if regulatory uncertainties arise. Similarly, ETH could fall below $2,500 if scalability issues arise or if regulatory challenges become more pronounced. SOL could drop below $100 if outages persist or if it faces increased competition from other Layer 1 platforms. What AI Models Anticipate AI predictions provide additional insight into the expected performance of these altcoins. For XRP, forecasts vary significantly, with ChatGPT estimating a range of $0.80-$3.00, while Grok presents a more bullish outlook with a target of $1.50-$6.00. Related Reading: Crypto Boom Ahead? Pantera Capital Pinpoints Major Catalysts For 2026 Success Ethereum’s AI predictions show a range of $3,000-$9,000 from ChatGPT, while Gemini anticipates a high of $7,000-$18,000 through increased tokenization. Lastly, Solana’s predictions range from $120-$350 from ChatGPT to a more optimistic $300-$800 from Gemini, depending on the growth of consumer applications. XRP was trading at $1.93 at the time of writing, down 2% in the previous 24 hours. ETH traded at roughly $2,952, while SOL traded at $128, both experiencing comparable declines during the same time period. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Solana Mobile has rolled out its long-awaited SKR token airdrop for Seeker smartphone users and select developers, adding a fresh ecosystem catalyst as SOL trades near a critical technical support zone. Related Reading: What the Triple-Tap At $1.80 Means For The XRP Price The launch comes at a time when Solana’s price is hovering around $120–$130, an area analysts see as decisive for the token’s medium-term direction. SKR debuted at around $0.006 and climbed above $0.01 within hours of launch, pushing its market capitalization past $70 million. More than 100,000 users are eligible to claim the airdrop through the Seeker phone’s built-in wallet over a 90-day window. Any unclaimed tokens will be returned to the general distribution pool. SOL's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview Solana SKR Airdrop Targets Users and Developers Solana Mobile allocated 30% of SKR’s fixed 10 billion token supply to airdrops and early unlocks. Nearly 2 billion SKR are being distributed to Seeker phone owners and developers who deployed “quality apps” in the Solana dApp Store during Season 1. The company said the token underpins governance, incentives, and economic activity within the Solana Mobile ecosystem. SKR can be staked directly from the Seed Vault wallet, with inflation events occurring every 48 hours. The annual inflation rate starts at 10% and declines by 25% each year until it stabilizes at 2%. The airdrop coincides with the start of Seeker’s Season 2 campaign, which introduces a refreshed app catalog, rewards programs, and a focus on sectors such as DeFi, gaming, payments, trading, and decentralized physical infrastructure (DePIN). Community reaction has been mixed. Some users reported receiving several thousand dollars’ worth of SKR, while others reported allocations closer to $50–$100. Some users expressed disappointment, citing delays in phone delivery and additional shipping costs. SOL Price Near Key Support While SKR draws attention to Solana’s mobile strategy, the SOL token itself is facing a technical test. After breaking below $136, SOL has slipped into the $120–$127 zone, where an ascending trendline from the 2023 lows meets historical horizontal support. This area has previously acted as both resistance and support, making it a closely watched “flip zone” for traders. A sustained hold above $120 could open the door to a recovery toward the $135–$150 range. A breakdown, however, may expose downside targets near $110 or even $100. Related Reading: Trove’s New Token Craters 95%, Sparking Investor Revolt Short-term indicators show some stabilization. SOL recently bounced from around $124 to near $128, supported by renewed ETF inflows of roughly $3.08 million and spot market accumulation of about $9.31 million. These flows suggest buyers are stepping in at current levels. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart on Tradingview
Delphi Digital is betting that Solana’s next major upgrade cycle will reposition the network as an “exchange grade” environment capable of supporting onchain order books that can realistically contend with centralized venues on latency, liquidity depth, and market structure. In a Jan. 20 post on X titled “2026 is the Year of Solana”, the research firm argued Solana’s 2026 roadmap is its “most aggressive upgrade cycle” yet, one that “overhaul[s] everything from consensus to infrastructure to become the decentralized Nasdaq.” Why Delphi Digital Calls 2026 “The Year Of Solana” Delphi framed the roadmap less as a grab bag of performance enhancements and more as a capital-markets push: “Solana’s roadmap is about transforming it into an exchange grade environment where a native onchain CLOB can viably compete with CEX latency, liquidity depth, and fairness. Here are all the upgrades making this possible.” In that view, shaving milliseconds matters only insofar as it produces predictable, enforceable execution outcomes for applications like high-frequency trading and central limit order books. The centerpiece, Delphi wrote, is Alpenglow, a consensus redesign it called “the most significant protocol level change in Solana’s history.” The firm said Alpenglow introduces a new architecture built around Votor and Rotor, with Votor changing how validators reach agreement. Rather than “chaining multiple voting rounds together,” validators would aggregate votes offchain and “commit to finality in one or two rounds,” producing “theoretical finality in the 100-150 millisecond range, down from the original 12.8 seconds.” Related Reading: Solana At Risk Of Breakdown After Key Rejection – Is $100 Next? Delphi emphasized Votor’s parallel finalization paths as a resilience feature, not just a speed play. If a block gets “overwhelming support (80%+ stake)” it finalizes immediately; if support is between 60% and 80%, a second round triggers, and finality follows if that also clears 60%. The goal, Delphi argued, is to preserve finality even with unresponsive segments of the network. Alpenglow also introduces what Delphi called a “20+20” resilience model: safety holds as long as no more than 20% of stake is malicious, while liveness persists even if another 20% is offline, “tolerat[ing] up to 40% of the network being either malicious or inactive while still maintaining finality.” Under this design, Proof of History is “effectively deprecated,” replaced by deterministic slot scheduling and local timers. Delphi said the upgrade is expected to roll out in early to mid 2026. Delphi also pointed to Firedancer, Jump’s C++ validator client, as a structural upgrade aimed at reducing a long-standing operational risk. Solana has historically relied on a single client, now known as Agave, and Delphi described that “monoculture” as a central weakness because client-level faults can cascade into broader network halts. Firedancer’s objective, Delphi said, is a deterministic, high-throughput engine that can process “millions of TPS with minimal latency variance.” Ahead of full readiness, Delphi highlighted “Frankendancer,” a transitional build that combines Firedancer’s networking and block production modules with Agave’s runtime and consensus components, as a bridge to “substantially” increased client diversity. On infrastructure, Delphi spotlighted DoubleZero as a private fiber overlay for validators, likening its transmission profile to traditional exchange connectivity: “the same infrastructure traditional exchanges like Nasdaq and CME rely on for microsecond level transmission.” The argument is that as validator sets expand, propagation variance becomes the enemy of tight finality windows. By routing messages along “optimal paths” and supporting multicast delivery, Delphi said DoubleZero can narrow latency gaps across validators—an enabler for both Votor’s quorum formation and Rotor’s propagation design. Related Reading: SOL Price Faces Key Support Amid Solana’s Rapid Network Expansion Delphi also framed Solana’s block-building roadmap as a market-structure project. It described Jito’s BAM (Block Assembly Marketplace) as separating ordering from execution via a marketplace and privacy layer, with transactions ingested into TEEs so “neither validators nor builders can see raw transaction content before ordering takes effect,” reducing pre-execution behavior like frontrunning. Harmonic, meanwhile, targets builder competition by introducing an open aggregation layer so validators can accept proposals from “multiple competing builders in real time,” with Delphi summarizing: “Think of Harmonic as a meta-market and BAM as a micro-market.” Raiku rounds out the thesis by adding deterministic latency and programmable execution guarantees adjacent to Solana’s validator set, using Ahead-of-Time (AOT) transactions for pre-committed workflows and Just-in-Time (JIT) transactions for real-time needs—without modifying L1 consensus. Delphi ultimately tied the technical roadmap to market demand: Solana’s spot trading gravity, the consolidation of onchain perps toward a handful of venues, and the need to reach performance parity with centralized platforms. It cited expectations for “new Solana native perps like Bulk Trade coming early next year,” and pointed to products like xStocks bringing “onchain equities directly to Solana,” arguing that liquidity and attention are consolidating toward a chain with faster settlement, better UX, and denser capital. At press time, SOL traded at $127. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Solana is testing investor confidence as the SOL price slips back toward key support levels, even as the network continues to expand across multiple fronts. After briefly pushing above $147 earlier this week, the token failed to hold its gains and is now trading below $145. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Slips Back to Support, Setting Up a High-Tension Test The pullback comes at a time when Solana is seeing rising institutional interest, growing real-world asset adoption, and new user-focused initiatives, creating a contrast between short-term price pressure and longer-term ecosystem growth. SOL's price moving sideways on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview SOL Price Tests Critical Support Zone SOL has entered a short-term correction after failing to clear the $150 resistance area. The price dropped below the $146 and $145 levels, moving under the 100-hour simple moving average. On the downside, technical analysts are watching the $141–$140 zone, where a bullish trend line and Fibonacci support converge. If the SOL price breaks below $140, the next support sits near $132, with further downside risk toward $124. On the upside, resistance remains near $146 and $148. A confirmed move above $148 could open the door to a retest of $155 and potentially $162. Momentum indicators reflect cautious sentiment. The hourly RSI remains below 50, and the MACD continues to show bearish pressure. Despite a healthy trading volume of around $5 billion in 24 hours, SOL is still down roughly one-third from its price a year ago and well below its previous peak near $293. Regulatory Developments and Solana ETF Inflows Beyond price action, regulatory news in the U.S. may influence Solana’s medium-term outlook. The draft bill known as the “Clarity Act,” released by the Senate Banking Committee, proposes reclassifying certain cryptocurrencies with exchange-traded products as “non-incidental” assets starting in 2026. This would ease some SEC disclosure requirements for assets like SOL. If passed, the proposal could place Solana in a similar regulatory category to Bitcoin and Ethereum, potentially improving institutional access. Early signs of interest have already appeared. On January 15, U.S. spot Solana ETFs recorded $23.57 million in net inflows, the highest in four weeks. However, ETF assets still represent only about 1.5% of SOL’s market capitalization, limiting their immediate impact on price. Network Growth Outpaces Price Momentum While the SOL price struggles, Solana’s network continues to expand. In 2025, the blockchain processed $1.6 trillion in trading volume, accounting for roughly 12% of the crypto market. Its DeFi ecosystem remains anchored by platforms like Jupiter, Raydium, Orca, and Kamino, with TVL holding steady near $11.5 billion. A major milestone came as Solana’s real-world asset (RWA) ecosystem reached a record valuation of $1.15 billion, driven by tokenized U.S. Treasuries, equities, and institutional funds. This signals growing use of Solana as a settlement layer for traditional assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Tailwind: Cathie Wood Sees ‘Reaganomics On Steroids’ Ahead User engagement initiatives are also expanding. Solana’s Seeker phone is rolling out a large SKR token airdrop to over 100,000 users, while Interactive Brokers has enabled 24/7 USDC deposits via the Solana network, improving access for global traders. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview
Solana’s price action is sending a clear message: the correction may not be finished yet. While buyers continue to show up at key levels, the broader structure still points to the possibility of one final downside test before a sustainable move higher can take shape. Wave IV Still Unfinished As C-Wave Pressure Persists Crypto analyst More Crypto Online, in a recent update, explained that Solana’s chart structure still points to the possibility of another downside move before the ongoing correction is fully completed. Within the orange scenario, price action continues to align with a C-wave decline in a broader wave IV correction, keeping the corrective outlook valid as long as the structure remains non-impulsive. Related Reading: Solana Accumulation Narrative Strengthens With Big Institutions, A Rally Imminent? Even when viewed through the alternative white scenario, the current pullback can still be classified as an A-wave, which leaves room for another low before a B-wave recovery begins or before a potential fifth wave to the upside develops. In both interpretations, the analyst noted that the correction may not yet be finished. From a short-term perspective, the chart suggests that Solana could drift lower into the $81 to $90 region. Currently, there are no clear structural signals indicating an immediate bullish continuation, as the absence of impulsive upside movement keeps downside scenarios firmly in play. However, if prices were to turn higher from current levels without setting a new low, the broader structure since January 2025 would start to resemble a triangular consolidation rather than a completed wave IV. This alternative setup would imply extended sideways movement instead of a rapid trend resumption. Until stronger upside momentum appears, the focus remains on the risk of one more corrective low. Controlled Reaction At The 50% Fibonacci Signals Solana Buyer Strength AltCoin Việt Nam stated that Solana’s current price action is showing a strong and reassuring reaction around the 50% Fibonacci level. Instead of breaking down aggressively, the price has been rebounding in a controlled manner, suggesting that buyers are still maintaining influence. From a wave-structure perspective, wave IV does not appear to be rushing toward completion, leaving room for wave C to extend further if the market continues to move in line with the broader rhythm. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Holds Support Post-Gains, Testing Bull Conviction Adding to the bullish bias is the ongoing ETF narrative surrounding Solana. Spot SOL inflows are not arriving in a FOMO-driven manner, but rather through steady accumulation across several sessions. This type of capital flow often reflects longer-term positioning rather than short-term speculation, which explains why the price tends to rebound quickly whenever it revisits key support zones. That said, the outlook is not without invalidation. A sustained move below the 50% Fibonacci level would signal that the current structure has broken down. However, the analyst views the recent pauses as temporary breathers within a broader upward structure, rather than the beginning of a meaningful downtrend. Featured image from Pxfuel, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana is undergoing a major shift as big institutional players are increasingly positioning in the network. What was once viewed primarily as a high-performance Layer-1 driven by retail and developer enthusiasm is now attracting serious capital allocations from professional funds, asset managers, and institutional allocators. This trend bolsters the SOL accumulation thesis as an emerging institutional liquidity and infrastructure story. Why Big Capital Begins Positioning Into Solana In an X post, Rex reported that the latest wave of institutional interest in Solana confirms what analyst Solana Sensei pointed out, that big firms are actively accumulating SOL right now. Forward Industry alone is holding close to $1 billion worth of SOL, while firms like Defidevcorp and others are sitting on hundreds of millions. Related Reading: Solana’s Network Performance Reaches Historic Peaks As Transaction Activity Climbs Rex views this move as just the start, and SOL stands out when it comes to real-world asset (RWA) tokenization. Its insane transaction speed, combined with dirt-cheap fees and real scalability, finally makes moving real assets on-chain viable and sustainable. These projects choosing SOL isn’t accidental; they know where the future is heading. The expert also reflects on the journey. SOL has been addressed as fast but too centralized. Currently, the same institutions that once stayed on the sidelines are quietly stacking billions in SOL, while the real run hasn’t even started yet. SOL is positioning itself to reach levels that may look unimaginable in the next few years. “Supper proud to be part of this,” Rex noted. While the crowd stayed focused on the 2025 volatility, an analyst known as Senior highlighted that Solana entered 2026 by finally delivering on its biggest technical promise. The Firedancer validator client officially went live on mainnet as of January 2026, pushing the network’s finality to 150 milliseconds and finally ending years of beta resilience and performance concerns. At the same time, Western Union officially integrated the SOL network. Meanwhile, the Spot SOL ETF surpassed $1 billion in total net assets this week, indicating that the infrastructure has also reached true institutional-grade standards. In the past, the moment SOL transitions from a retail playground to a permanent global financial rail, becoming unshakeable will feel obvious. On-Chain Activity Reflects Real Usage Growth The Solana metrics are growing. Investor and founder of the Inner Circle, Lark Davis, has revealed that the SOL application revenue surged to $2.39 billion, a 46% year-over-year increase and a new all-time high in 2025. SOL network revenue also reached $1.48 billion, representing a 48 times increase over the past two years. Meanwhile, daily active wallets have climbed to 3.2 million, showing that SOL growth is improving. Related Reading: Why Has The Solana Price Been In A Steady Downtrend Since January? On January 6th, nearly $900 million in stablecoin supply entered the SOL ecosystem in a single day. Currently, SOL leads all chains in both 24-hour and 30-day DEX volumes, and has emerged as the top blockchain by market capitalization for tokenized stocks. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana (SOL), one of the foremost blockchains in the cryptocurrency sector, recently released its annual review for 2025, showcasing major growth across several key metrics, including daily active wallets and decentralized exchange (DEX) volume. Seven Solana Apps Break $100 Million Revenue Barrier According to the report issued on social media platform X (previously Twitter) applications built on Solana generated $2.39 billion in revenue, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 46% and marking a new all-time high (ATH). Seven standout applications in particular, including Pumpfun, each surpassed the $100 million revenue threshold in 2025. Additionally, the variety of smaller applications—those earning under $100 million—collectively produced over $500 million in revenue. Related Reading: XRP Surges Towards $2.20: Leading Monday Gains And Driving Crypto ETF Inflows The network’s performance indicators are equally impressive. Solana achieved a revenue of $1.4 billion, demonstrating a 48-fold increase over the past two years. Non-vote transactions reached a new ATH of 33 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 28%. Furthermore, the network averaged 1,054 non-vote transactions per second (TPS) while unique active wallets averaged 3.2 million daily, marking a 50% increase year-on-year. In terms of wallet growth, Solana saw 725 million new wallets. Bitcoin Trading Volume Skyrockets To $33 Billion In terms of asset management, Solana’s stablecoin supply ended the year at $14.8 billion, more than doubling year-on-year. The blockchain facilitated a colossal $11.7 trillion in stablecoin transfers, marking a sevenfold increase over two years. Notably, equities made their debut on Solana in 2025, achieving a supply of $1 billion and trading volume of $651 million. Bitcoin trading volume grew fivefold compared to the previous year, reaching $33 billion and solidifying a new ATH. The total Bitcoin supply also doubled to $770 million. Staked SOL also saw an increase, with 421 million tokens staked, representing an 8% growth and another ATH. Additionally, the introduction of Solana ETFs attracted net inflows of $1.02 billion. SOL-Stablecoin Volume Soars To $782 Billion In the realm of decentralized exchanges, the total DEX volume reached $1.5 trillion, reflecting a 57% year-over-year growth and another all-time high for the network’s annual review. The trading volume for SOL-stablecoins set a record at $782 billion, more than doubling year-over-year. Twelve DEX platforms managed to process over $10 billion in volume, with Raydium leading the way at $347 billion. Furthermore, the artificial intelligence (AI) agent volume reached a new all-time high of $31 billion, along with tokenized asset volume rising to $598 million and project token volume increasing to $86 billion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reaches $93,000 Amid Renewed Optimism: What To Keep An Eye On This Week In the sectors of memecoins and launchpads, memecoin volume totaled $482 billion, although this represented a slight decline of 10% year-on-year. Launchpads had a successful year as well, with six platforms generating over $1 billion in volume and launchpad revenue doubling year-on-year to $762 million. Trading platforms contributed significantly to Solana’s ecosystem, earning $940 million, a 44% increase compared to the prior year. Moreover, the trading volume processed by these platforms reached $108 billion, up 66% year-on-year. https://www.tradingview.com/x/dPrTZvZ9/ At the time of writing, SOL is trading at $138.50, having recovered by 10% over the past seven days. However, it is still trading 50% below its all-time high of $293, which was reached during last year’s rally. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Solana is treading a fine line as price presses against a key technical barrier with momentum visibly fading. Repeated rejections suggest buyers are struggling to force a breakout, yet downside follow-through remains limited for now. With volume thinning and structure unchanged, the next reaction around this level could determine whether SOL’s price trajectory. Structure Stalls As $127 Continues To Cap Upside Speaking in a recent Solana update, crypto analyst Umair Crypto highlighted that the asset’s structural situation remains unchanged from previous discussions. The core issue is that the chart continues to lack the necessary momentum to flip the $127 level into support. Repeated attempts to breach this price point have been cleanly rejected, forcing the price to turn downward and search for the next established area of support. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Loses Momentum—Could Sellers Take Control Again? Given this persistent failure, the analyst believes a brief sweep below the key $120 level looks increasingly likely before buyers attempt another serious push higher. Umair Crypto emphasized that the most crucial aspect of this potential dip will be the market’s reaction and volume response, particularly around key areas like the volume profile and the Change of Behavior (COB) zone. A weak reaction at these lower levels would signal continuation lower, while a strong acceptance and high volume response could set up the next major rotation back toward the $127 resistance. In the meantime, while the immediate risk is to the downside for a liquidity sweep, the $127 level remains the absolute line in the sand that decides the medium-term direction. Until Solana can secure a sustained reclaim of this barrier, the momentum will remain structurally tentative. Solana Presses Channel Resistance As Market Waits Bitcoinsensus pointed out that Solana is now trading right at a critical breakout area, placing the market in a clear wait-and-see mode. Price is pressing against the descending channel resistance, a level that has repeatedly capped upside attempts in recent sessions. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Cools Off After Rally While Market Eyes a Resistance Break Despite hovering near the upper trendline, no confirmed breakout has occurred yet. The structure suggests growing pressure, but price alone has not been enough to validate a bullish shift. As long as SOL remains trapped beneath this resistance, the setup stays neutral rather than decisively bullish. One key missing ingredient is volume. Buying pressure remains relatively light, signaling hesitation from bulls and a lack of conviction behind the current push higher. Without a noticeable increase in volume, any move above resistance risks turning into another false breakout. A clean break above the channel, paired with strong volume expansion, would change the outlook, acting as a bullish ignition for the next leg higher. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana’s price action this year has followed a clear but uncomfortable pattern. After pushing to a new all-time high around the $296 region in January, the rally quickly lost momentum and transitioned into a steady decline that has persisted for months. Many traders have attributed this weakness to a risk-off sentiment across crypto, but a deeper on-chain breakdown shared by crypto analyst Ardi on X suggests the story began well before the January peak and has more to do with who was buying and who was quietly exiting. Distribution Was Already Underway Before The January Peak Solana has been on a clear downtrend since September, when it reached a lower high of around $247 compared to its January 19 all-time high of $293. One of the most important insights from Ardi’s analysis is that Solana’s January all-time high did not mark the start of distribution but rather the culmination of it. Related Reading: Why Has The Solana Price Been Crashing Since October? This Major SOL Player Is Selling The chart attached to his post shows that selling volume was already increasing months earlier, well ahead of October, meaning that large holders were positioning for exits long before price reached its final peak. From that perspective, the January high looks less like the beginning of a new expansion phase and more like the last push of a rally. After that point, price action began forming lower highs, and each rebound attempt lacked the strength needed to reclaim the all-time high. Interestingly, Solana failed to reach a new all-time high, even as other large market cap cryptos like Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and BNB pushed to new all-time highs during the year. Another interesting feature of the data is the widening gap between retail behavior and that of larger players. Cumulative delta metrics on the chart show that retail-sized wallets have been consistently active throughout the year and are increasing their activity even as Solana’s price moved lower. On the other hand, mid-sized and institutional wallets tell a very different story. Their activity has been trending downward for months, starting from the January peak and extending up until the time of writing. Is Solana’s Price Becoming Dependent On Memecoin Activity? Ardi’s analysis also raises a broader question about what is currently driving demand for Solana. Outside of retail activity on Solana itself, one of the few consistent sources of activity has been the memecoin sector. Successes and booms of meme coins like Cat in a Dogs World (MEW), Peanut the Squirrel (PNUT), and Fartcoin (FARTCOIN), which gained traction in the second half of 2024, contributed to Solana’s push to all-time highs during those periods. Related Reading: Will Solana Flip Ethereum? Revenue Numbers Show Disturbing Trend Those meme coin successes culminated with the launch of the Official Trump ($TRUMP) token in January 2025 on Solana, which experienced eye-watering gains shortly after its launch. This, in turn, contributed to Solana’s all-time high in January. However, since then, the TRUMP token and other Solana-based meme coins have been trending downwards in recent months and no longer command the same level of attention or trading intensity they had this time last year. That has led to the view that Solana’s price is increasingly sensitive to the success of memecoins in its ecosystem. At the time of writing, Solana is trading at $121.50, down by about 58.6% from its January all-time high of $293. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
The story of Solana has shifted from a meteoric rise to a high-stakes battle for relevance. After reaching a historic all-time high in November 2024, the network has struggled to reclaim its former momentum. This loss of momentum reflects technical exhaustion and a market recalibration after an aggressive run-up. Thus, SOL has entered a new phase as investors assess whether fresh demand can emerge or if the network needs a new catalyst to reassert leadership. How Solana Momentum Fades After The November Peak Crypto trader Ardi has revealed on X that market interest has noticeably thinned ever since Solana set its $296 all-time high in November 2024. On-chain data has shown that buying pressure has been dominated almost by the retail-sized wallets, particularly those making purchases between $0 and $1,000. Related Reading: Solana Faces Critical Test Near $100 as Macro Pressure and Network Upgrades Collide Ardi argues that while many observers point to micro conditions to explain the stalled price action, the tape reveals that the distribution has begun before the peak. The selling volume had already been accelerating for months before October 10, signaling that major players were planning their exits long before the drawdown. The data also confirms a massive divergence between demographics. Meanwhile, the mid-sized wallets involving $0 to $100,000, and the institutional-sized wallets involving $100,000 to $10 million in volume have been in a steady downtrend for roughly 13 months. Over the same period, retail wallets have shown a consistent uptrend, and are clearly convinced that SOL is still trading at a deep discount price. This imbalance leads to the ultimate question: Is Solana’s value now intrinsically tied to memecoins? The correlation between SOL’s demand and the memecoin actively on the network has been near-perfect, which means that without the frenzy of the meme sector, most bids would largely be disinterested. What Comes After Memes Will Decide Solana’s Future An investor and trader, Jas pointed out that 2025 has definitely been a reset for Solana, but it isn’t over for the altcoin. SOL active monthly traders have fallen from roughly 30 million to under 1 million, a staggering 97% drop in network activity. The speculative engine was the memecoin boom that fueled its rise and also exposed its biggest vulnerability. Related Reading: Solana at a Breaking Point: Fading Memecoin Hype and Alameda Unlocks Test the $140 Support Zone Furthermore, SOL is down nearly 58% from its yearly high. SOL’s network revenue dropped fivefold year-over-year from $2.5 billion in 2024 to $500 million in 2025. The contrast with Ethereum is hard to ignore, and ETH generated $1.4 billion in revenue this year and outperformed SOL by 56% year-to-date. “SOL’s future may depend less on memes and more on what follows them,” Jas noted. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Solana (SOL) has entered the final stretch of 2025 under sustained pressure, caught between a weakening price structure and signs of steady institutional interest. Related Reading: Dogecoin: Why This One Price Level Is Drawing All the Attention Following a sharp 39% decline in the fourth quarter, SOL is struggling to regain momentum, trading in the low-$120 range as traders focus on whether key support levels can be sustained. The contrast between falling network activity and continued inflows into investment products has left the market divided on what comes next. While ETF-linked demand suggests confidence in Solana’s longer-term relevance, near-term price action remains fragile. With liquidity thinning toward year-end and broader crypto sentiment still cautious, SOL’s ability to defend lower support zones may shape how the market opens 2026. SOL's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview Solana Network Slowdown and Bearish Technical Signals One of the main pressures on SOL has been a sharp drop in on-chain activity. The number of active users on the network decreased from approximately 30 million in late 2024 to under one million in Q4 2025, resulting in a decline in fee revenue and weakening demand for the token. This slowdown has coincided with a broader market pullback, as the total crypto market capitalization slipped toward $2.9 trillion and investors withdrew nearly $1 billion from digital asset investment products in a single week. Technically, momentum indicators remain tilted to the downside. SOL has posted a negative MACD reading and an RSI below neutral levels, while repeated failures to reclaim the $126–$130 zone have triggered long liquidations. Analysts warn that a loss of the $120 area could expose SOL to a deeper move toward $110, a level increasingly cited as a critical downside marker. ETF Inflows Highlight Institutional Divergence Despite weak price action, Solana-linked exchange-traded products have continued to attract capital. Recent data show more than $69 million in net inflows, setting SOL apart from Bitcoin and Ethereum products, which have seen net outflows. This divergence suggests some institutional investors are accumulating at lower prices, even as short-term traders remain defensive. Market watchers note that this gap between fund flows and spot price reflects differing time horizons. Institutions appear to be focused on Solana’s role as infrastructure for payments, tokenization, and high-throughput applications, while the spot market remains constrained by technical resistance and declining retail activity. Cross-chain Developments and Key SOL Levels Ahead Adding to the narrative, recent comments from Charles Hoskinson and Anatoly Yakovenko have reignited discussion around interoperability, with both founders signaling openness to a future cross-chain bridge between Solana and Cardano. While still early and informal, such developments spotlight ongoing efforts to expand liquidity and utility across ecosystems. Traders currently remain focused on price levels rather than long-term vision. Holding above $120 could stabilize sentiment, but a clear break below it would likely shift attention firmly to the $110 support zone. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Index Crashes To Low 17 As Bitcoin Price Struggles, What This Means Until SOL reclaims resistance near $130 with conviction, price pressure is likely to persist despite the steady drumbeat of institutional inflows. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview
The Solana price has shown encouraging signs of recovery, climbing 6% on Friday to approach the $126 mark. This uptick follows a concerning dip below the crucial $120 level, which had sparked fears of a potential downtrend that could drag the cryptocurrency down toward the $100 threshold. Solana Price Gains Ground Chris MacDonald, an analyst at The Motley Fool, recently highlighted two key factors contributing to Solana’s resurgence. One significant catalyst is a proactive initiative by the Solana Foundation. Bitcoinist reported earlier this week that the organization is currently assessing whether its network can withstand potential threats from quantum computing technologies. Related Reading: Bitwise’s 2026 Crypto Forecast: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana Poised For New Record Highs In collaboration with Project Eleven, a security firm specializing in post-quantum cryptography, the Solana team has launched a quantum-resistant testnet following a comprehensive threat assessment. The second notable factor driving the Solana price uptick is the announcement from health and wellness company Mangoceuticals, which revealed plans to allocate $100 million toward acquiring and holding SOL. Despite the positive momentum, experts caution that Solana’s price is currently following a “clean corrective structure.” Moving Averages Signal Downtrend From a technical analysis perspective, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is situated around $143, significantly higher than the current trading range, while the 200-day SMA looms even further at approximately $170, suggesting a prevailing downtrend rather than a healthy consolidation phase. In the short term, the 20-day exponential moving average has also rolled over near $133 and has consistently rejected previous attempts at a bounce. Analysts note that until the Solana price can close above the low-$130s for an extended period, any rebounds will likely be seen merely as counter-trend movements. Immediate support lies just below current trading levels at the $125 mark, followed by critical levels in the $121–$120 range, and another demand zone around $110. A more significant downturn could push the price into the high $90s, with projections indicating a potential dip to around $80 if liquidations accelerate further, as NewsBTC reported on Thursday. Related Reading: Crypto Payments Firm MoonPay Set For $5 Billion Valuation With NYSE Owner’s Backing The market has already registered an eight-month low near $116.9. A decisive close beneath that level could likely drag the Solana price toward the psychologically significant $100 mark. On the upside, the Solana price could encounter initial resistance clustered in the $133–$138 range, with stronger resistance observed in higher levels between $144 and $147 that could prevent any new recoveries in the short-term. To facilitate further price recovery, the Solana price will need to clear that second group of resistance levels on a daily close, ideally supported by increased trading volume, to pave the way toward prices between $160 and $165. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci said he still sees a path to Solana reaching $2,500 over a five-to-ten-year horizon, arguing that tokenization plus clearer US regulation could turn Solana into a core financial “rail system.” Scaramucci made the remarks in an interview with SolanaFloor filmed during last week’s Solana Breakpoint conference and released on Dec. 18. Why Solana Is Still Poised For $2,500 Scaramucci framed the $2,500 thesis as a long-duration bet that won’t play out cleanly. “It’s not going to come without… volatility,” he said, pointing to what he called a messy US regulatory year and sticky inflation as headwinds that “probably slowed down our trajectory.” “If you had asked me at the beginning of the year” whether Washington would pass stablecoin legislation and “the market structure, the CLARITY bill,” he said he would have expected both. “That did not happen.” Still, he argued “the timing is still right,” with the caveat that price will likely remain jumpy until those macro and regulatory variables resolve. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Support Shattered, Potential $100 Test Looms, Says Analyst To explain the patience required, Scaramucci leaned on a tech-investing analogy, recalling Amazon’s drawdowns by 90% before mass adoption. The lesson, in his words: stay with “great technology” through uncertain stretches because durable infrastructure eventually gets adopted. Asked what surprised him most this cycle, Scaramucci singled out the Trump and Melania memecoins. He described their Solana launch as “a compliment to Solana” because it was selected for “ability to handle large scale large volume transactions with great certainty and finality.” But he also argued the episode backfired on policy. “I think those coins slowed down the regulatory process in the US,” he said, suggesting that the optics of a US president entering the memecoin business created a political “foil” that opponents could use to resist crypto bills. “I think we would have gotten everything that we wanted this year had the president sort of stayed out of the meme coin business,” he added, calling it “short-term regulatory” damage. He also claimed the memecoin surge “sucked out all the liquidity from a lot of the altcoins,” which he said “hurt the industry,” even as it showcased Solana’s throughput. Tokenization Is The Endgame Scaramucci’s core argument was simple: tokenization is coming, and Solana is positioned to host a meaningful share of it. He said Paul Atkins, whom he described as a longtime personal friend, delivered what Scaramucci considers an underappreciated prediction: “In 5 years all of our assets are going to be tokenized.” Scaramucci then pushed his own conclusion: “What’s going to be the number one rail system to tokenize on? It’s going to be Solana.” He argued superior systems tend to win through adoption, not ideology. “If you have something that works better than something else, it gets adopted,” he said, comparing Solana’s trajectory to the internet’s jump from dial-up to today’s high-bandwidth reality. He also flagged operational progress on the network. “I don’t want to jinx us,” he said, but suggested Solana had gone “two years now without any” downtime. Related Reading: Solana Value Proposition Extends Beyond Tech Into Economic Infrastructure SolanaFloor challenged Scaramucci on why SkyBridge tokenized a $300 million fund on another chain. Scaramucci said it was “a very small fund,” and that a larger fund “will likely get tokenized on Solana.” He also rejected maximalism: “I don’t believe in chain monogamy,” he said. His view is that “three or four chains” will win, naming Solana and Avalanche. He argued Avalanche can be attractive for certain compliance-driven deployments, while Solana is where “stocks and bonds are going to be tokenized” and where “the larger funds are going to be tokenized.” Scaramucci also disclosed his personal positioning: “My largest personal position even greater than Bitcoin is my position in Solana and I have it all staked,” he said, adding he owns Avalanche and Bitcoin and holds a “very small position” in Ethereum. Scaramucci tied the next leg of the cycle to US policy and liquidity. If the US passes market-structure rules next year, he said, prices should respond. If inflation cools and the Fed can cut more aggressively under a new chair, he argued that would add liquidity and reinforce a “positive flywheel.” At press time, SOL traded at $125. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Solana (SOL) is currently one of the poorest performers among the top ten largest cryptocurrencies in the market, experiencing a sharp 13% decline over the past week. Bearish Patterns Emerge For Solana This downturn comes as the cryptocurrency has broken below the critical support level of $120, which had acted as a pivotal floor since the start of the month and previously prevented further drops. The situation appears even more dire for investors with bullish sentiments, as recent data from CoinGecko indicates that Solana has retraced nearly 60% from its all-time high of $293, reached back in January of this year. Year-to-date, the token has experienced a significant loss of 40%, which raises additional concerns among top analysts about its near-term stability. Related Reading: Optimism Grows In Crypto Market Structure Bill After Wednesday’s Senate Banking Meeting Experts are cautioning that unless conditions change, the Solana price may soon retest the $100 mark—an area not seen since April. Should this scenario materialize, it would imply an additional drop of approximately 15.9%. Some analysts, like market commentator EddieTradezz, have pointed to a bearish “head and shoulders” pattern formed in SOL’s daily chart, suggesting that Solana is on the brink of a substantial decline. He notes that it is now breaking through strong long-term resistance, with April’s lows around $95 potentially being a more realistic target than $100. Adding to the bearish sentiment, fellow expert ColdBloodShill has indicated that Solana may be heading toward a price point of $80, which would result in a drastic additional drop of 32%. However, as EddieTradezz mentioned, the possibility for recovery would largely depend on market-wide conditions and investor sentiment. Institutional Interest Grows As SOL ETFs See Major Inflows Despite the prevailing bearish indicators, there has been a noteworthy development on the institutional front. Recently approved Solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US have seen impressive uptake, amassing $63.9 million in net inflows over the past week. This suggests that institutions are beginning to accumulate Solana, potentially viewing it as a long-term investment opportunity. However, this positive news has been overshadowed by heavy selling pressure in spot markets. Related Reading: Bitwise’s 2026 Crypto Forecast: Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Solana Poised For New Record Highs Increased volatility has led to a rise in liquidations for leveraged positions, dampening Solana’s price reaction to the overall positive developments in institutional interest. Ultimately, Solana’s future remains uncertain. While institutional interest may offer some hope, the immediate outlook is clouded by increased selling pressure and the inability to regain capital in the broader market, which has recently dropped below the $2.90 trillion mark in total market capitalization. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com