The probability of a US government shutdown has climbed to levels not seen in years, with prediction market Kalshi pricing a 73% chance that lawmakers fail to pass a funding bill before the Oct. 1 fiscal deadline. The sharp increase reflects weeks of gridlock in Congress and President Donald Trump’s decision to cancel budget negotiations […]
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Your look at what's coming in the week starting Sept. 29
Charles Edwards, founder and CEO of Capriole Investments, has issued his starkest warning yet on quantum computing, arguing that Bitcoin must migrate to post-quantum signatures on an accelerated timeline or face existential risk later this decade. “We need to upgrade Bitcoin to be Quantum proof next year. 2026. Otherwise we are fucked,” Edwards wrote on X early Monday, escalating a series of posts in which he contends “Q-Day is this decade.” Could Bitcoin Crash To $0? Edwards’ thesis hinges on the rapid compression of resource estimates required to run Shor’s algorithm against Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve digital signatures (ECDSA/Schnorr on secp256k1). Pushing back at skeptics who “handwave Quantum as being 20+ years away,” he argued that only “~2,000 logical qubits” may be sufficient to break ECC-256 within a practical time window, placing a credible attack in “2–6 years.” In a separate exchange he framed the stakes bluntly: “Do you want $1M Bitcoin in 5 years, or $0?” Related Reading: Bitcoin To $200K? Galaxy Digital CEO Reveals The ‘Biggest Bull Catalyst’ Edwards’ timeline closely tracks a fresh line of research and industry messaging from Pierre-Luc Dallaire-Démers, founder of Pauli Group, a startup focused on quantum-resistant money. In an August research preprint and public thread, Dallaire-Démers and co-authors introduced graded ECDLP challenges on Bitcoin’s curve and, after translating logical circuits to physical costs across several error-corrected architectures, placed “cryptanalytically relevant” ECC-256 attacks in a “roughly 2027–2033” window—emphasizing wide error bars and sensitivity to hardware assumptions. Pauli Group summarized the upshot plainly: “The first attack on 256-bit ECC will plausibly happen between 2027–2033.” The firm also provocatively stated via X: “PQC BTC will go to $1M+ by 2030. ECC BTC won’t.” The core risk vector is well-established: once a Bitcoin address reveals its public key on-chain—by spending from it or by using legacy formats that expose the key outright—a sufficiently powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could, in principle, derive the private key quickly enough to steal funds. Security researchers and industry teams note that coins in already-exposed keys are the first in line, while coins still sitting behind hashed (unrevealed) public keys are safer until they move. Several analyses estimate that a non-trivial share of outstanding BTC resides in exposed-key outputs, including early “pay-to-pubkey” era coins often associated with Satoshi. Edwards leaned into that tail risk, claiming “Satoshi’s coins will be market dumped” absent a migration. Related Reading: Bitcoin On The Brink: Analyst Warns This Key Level Must Hold Not everyone agrees on the clock speed. Some conservative estimates still point to millions of error-corrected qubits for practical, fast ECDSA breaks, and standards bodies have published transition guidance that implicitly assumes a longer runway. In late 2024, material circulated in the NIST/PQ ecosystem sketched migrations away from vulnerable algorithms by roughly 2035—a horizon many security engineers view as realistic for broad IT systems, even if niche breakthroughs arrive sooner. The spread between the “thousands” versus “millions” of logical qubits camps reflects fast-evolving algorithmic optimizations, differing error-correction models, and varied assumptions about gate speeds and code distances. Notably, Edwards is taking the message to TOKEN2049 this week, where he is slated to present “DOUBLE THREAT: Quantum & the Treasury Bubble” on Wednesday, October 1 at 10:45 a.m. local time—positioning quantum compromise and a growing “Bitcoin Treasury Bubble” as the two dominant downside risks for BTC over the next cycle. At press time, BTC traded at $112,150. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto-as-a-Service taps the exchange's backend for bespoke spot and futures trading, liquidity, and settlement features.
The liquidation of short positions underscores the inherent risks and volatility in crypto trading, potentially deterring bearish market strategies.
The post Bitcoin and Ethereum shorts liquidated worth $226M in 24 hours appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Following last week's big swoon, crypto markets returned to tracking gains in stocks and gold.
A recent debate on Twitter sparked a discussion about the role of newer networks like XRP in the crypto space and how they compare to Bitcoin. While Bitcoin remains the most well-known digital asset, networks like the XRP Ledger aim to address some of its limitations. Two prominent voices, David Marcus, CEO of Lightspark, and …
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has slipped to its lowest level since March, raising fresh concerns over investor confidence even as Bitcoin and Ethereum attempt a recovery. Data shared by CryptoQuant analyst JA Maarturn on Sept. 29 showed sentiment falling from a neutral 40 in August to an extreme fear level of 28. The index […]
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The SEC's shift to generic listing standards for crypto ETFs could streamline market entry, fostering innovation and regulatory efficiency.
The post SEC requests withdrawal of 19b-4s for LTC, XRP, SOL, ADA, DOGE ETFs appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin hit $114,000 at Monday’s Wall Street open, but a CME gap made traders cautious, instead expecting a BTC price correction to $110,000.
The hire marks a push to scale Algorand’s tech stack and deepen the company's U.S. presence.
The purchase brings DL's mining fleet to 5,195 machines, with a hashrate of 2.1 exahashes per second (EH/s).
Stablecoins, the fastest-growing part of digital finance and crypto, will only fully succeed if regulators match their borderless design with cross-border collaboration, argues Patrick Hansen, the Senior Director of Strategy & Policy at Circle.
Ethereum rebounded to $4,200 ahead of the weekly open as traders positioned for a price recovery in October, based on onchain and technical data.
We usually don’t see many thousands of percent gains from utility tokens; that’s more of a meme coin phenomenon. However, over the past month, the perpetual futures exchange Aster has seen its native token, $ASTER, make astounding gains of over 2,100%. Aster burst onto the scene with bold ambitions, establishing itself as a strong competitor to established players like Hyperliquid. At the same time, the protocol promised a privacy-focused approach and extremely high leverage, drawing the interest of traders and investors alike. As Aster grows, it should set the stage for projects like Best Wallet Token ($BEST), providing even new investors a convenient way to unlock crypto’s many investment opportunities. What Is Aster? Aster is a decentralized exchange (DEX) designed for perpetual futures trading—derivatives contracts that do not have expiration dates. Unlike standard futures, perpetuals allow traders to speculate on price movements (long or short) indefinitely. Aster supports extremely high leverage of up to 1,001x, which is greater than most of its rivals. Leverage trades carry greater risks but open the possibility of greater rewards for experienced traders. In short, leverage provides more trade exposure with less capital, but at a higher risk. Though Aster also offers spot trading, its main draw is derivatives. The project is backed by YZi Labs and has links to Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao. Aster is built to be multi-chain, supporting BNB Chain, Solana, Ethereum, and Arbitrum. But technical factors alone don’t explain why Aster has made such progress; that comes down to something simpler. Aster vs. Hyperliquid: How They Stack Up Within days of launch, Aster made waves by exceeding Hyperliquid in daily revenue on several occasions, although its weekly trading volume still lags behind. The recent 24-hour trading volume of $ASTER to $HYPE was $924M compared to $671M. Hyperliquid, which focuses on perpetuals, already has an established user base and infrastructure. Aster remains unproven, even after a strong first month. Aster’s multichain design allows participants to trade across their preferred chains without forced routing or bridging costs. Hyperliquid runs its own blockchain as its foundation. Aster has also suggested moving to its own layer-1 chain in the future. This would free it from relying on BNB Chain and enable custom improvements. One of the main differentiators is order privacy. Aster offers Hidden Orders, allowing users to make private trades. Hyperliquid’s fully transparent model often reveals large ‘whale’ moves, which may discourage some big traders who prefer to stay stealthy. Although still in the early stages, Aster could lead a new wave of DeFi trading apps. One key to broader adoption? Powerful, simple Web3 wallets. Best Wallet Token ($BEST) – Wallet, Token, and Card in Powerful Web3 Ecosystem Best Wallet provides a simple, clean interface for a web3 wallet that’s ready for all the tokens, dApps, and protocol integrations you can throw its way. Best Wallet is non-custodial, so your tokens stay with you; there’s no third-party control. The Best Wallet Token ($BEST) introduces a native utility token, providing lower transaction fees and higher staking rewards. There’s also access to the best crypto presales in an upcoming tokens section, where investors can research and purchase tokens from within the app even before they launch. Investors can create up to 5 individual wallets within Best Wallet. Create one for Bitcoin, one for EVM tokens, and more, using Best Wallet to navigate the growing world of DeFi protocols and integrated dApps. Learn how to buy Best Wallet token and see why the presale has already raised over $16.1M. Check out Best Wallet token at the presale page. Aster’s arrival shakes up the decentralized derivatives space. And with continued growth, Aster might not just challenge Hyperliquid – it might redefine how future DEXs operate. That would create even more demand for wallets like Best Wallet and tokens like $BEST. As always, do your own research. This isn’t financial advice. Authored by Aaron Walker for NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/aster-vs-hyperliquid-in-dex-war-best-wallet-token-is-better-for-beginners
Polkadot community members are showing strong early support for a proposal to launch pUSD, a native algorithmic stablecoin fully backed by DOT tokens.
Sui Foundation's security initiative could set new web3 security benchmarks, enhancing trust and stability in the rapidly growing blockchain space.
The post Sui Foundation launches multi-year security expansion program appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The phrase “Uptober” has gained popularity in the crypto market, as October has historically delivered gains in the past. For the XRP price, however, the picture looks very different. A closer look at its history shows a mix of big wins and painful losses, making October far less predictable. Removing the extreme years shows that the data points to flat or negative results, which means investors counting on an explosive rally may end up disappointed. Although the last quarter of the year has brought substantial gains in some cases, the overall record remains inconsistent, suggesting that “Uptober” may be more of a myth than a promise for XRP holders. Historical Data Challenges The “Uptober” Hype For XRP Price Every October, the crypto community hopes that coins will rise, and while Bitcoin sometimes lives up to this expectation, XRP’s history tells a different story. Data from CryptoRank shows that XRP has experienced some notable fluctuations in October over the last decade. In 2013, the token soared by more than 94%. In 2014, it jumped 130%. In 2020, it even delivered an explosive rally of nearly 179% in just one month. Related Reading: Pundit Says Bitcoin Is Still In A Bull Market Despite Price Crash; Here’s Why But these massive rallies are rare. In many other years, the results were disappointing. For example, the XRP price suffered double-digit losses in October of 2018 and 2021. In other years, gains were delivered only in tiny amounts, far below what traders had hoped for. Stripping away the highs and lows makes the overall trend clear. The median October return for XRP is actually a slight loss of 1.79%, and the average return is even worse at -4.58%. This data suggests that October is far more likely to bring disappointment than explosive growth for XRP holders. While the idea of “Uptober” may sound exciting, the history of XRP shows its performance in October is scattered, unpredictable, and often hostile. Q4 Patterns Show Risk Of Relying On Seasonal Myths Some traders argue that even if October is not always a great month, the XRP price usually performs well in the final quarter of the year. Indeed, the last quarter has sometimes delivered big rallies, and the average Q4 return for XRP is nearly 88%. But these results are heavily skewed by a few extraordinary years. When the numbers are balanced, the median return for Q4 is actually a loss of 4.32%. Related Reading: XRP Holders Could Lose Millions Of Dollars In 10 Days, Here’s Why The negative median Q4 return shows that the perception of Q4 strength is not as reliable as many believe. The standout rallies do not represent the typical outcome. Instead, most years end up modest or even negative. The pattern points to risk, not certainty, for those who assume every Q4 will bring green candles. Past data proves that while extraordinary runs are possible, they are rare, and the more common result is far less exciting. XRP could still surprise to the upside, but history warns against treating October as a guaranteed month of gains. Believing the hype without considering the risks may leave investors unprepared for disappointment. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The return of Institutional Custodies and spot BTC/ETH ETFs are propelling Digital Asset Treasuries, while HTX is fortifying fiat ramps.
XRP is poised for its best quarterly close ever, mirroring the chart setup from 2017 before the price surged 37,800% to all-time highs.
Bitcoin trades into a policy deadline as prediction markets price a U.S. government shutdown. Polymarket contracts showed odds peaking between 72% and 82% for a lapse in funding in 2025, up from roughly 35% earlier in the month, reflecting rapid adjustments in crowd forecasts as negotiations narrowed. Crypto pricing tracked the shift in macro risk, […]
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Bitcoin is up 71% over the past year, but investors still feel frustrated with the recent performance of the world’s largest cryptocurrency. That’s because Bitcoin is down nearly 10% from its all-time high of $124,000 last month, currently trading around $112,000. Overall, Bitcoin remains one of the best-performing assets in history. However, lately, it seems to be stuck in a slump. Is this a bug in Bitcoin’s code? At least one analyst, Jordi Visser, believes the pullbacks are actually part of steady growth and warns that more pullbacks could become common even as Bitcoin continues to rise. This brings us to Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), which could be one of the next crypto to explode given the bullish context bubbling up. The Nvidia Parallel Visser compares Nvidia, the semiconductor giant whose stock skyrocketed during the AI boom. Less than three years after ChatGPT’s rise, Nvidia’s stock surged by over 1,000%. Yet during that ascent, it weathered five corrections of 20% or more before reclaiming higher highs. The comparison makes sense, according to Visser, because Bitcoin isn’t just a digital currency or a speculative investment – it’s becoming part of the larger AI and tech conversation. As AI transforms traditional industries and replaces old business models, investors may start to view $BTC as both a hedge against disruption and the native digital store of value for the next wave of innovation. Visser has written about this before, highlighting how AI and crypto innovation aren’t simply a progression of technology, but a fundamental reworking of core institutions, such as banking (through crypto) and production itself (through AI). In that telling, capital might flow into Bitcoin alongside AI-favored equities, tying its trajectory to momentum in the tech sector. Possible Pathways Forward Visser’s outlook doesn’t preclude further upside; his prediction about Bitcoin’s connection with AI actually adds weight to Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. Still, Visser warns that deep pullbacks may punctuate the rally. On the technical side, EMAs still paint a bullish picture, despite recent narrowing. A similar narrowing of the EMA bands occurred before the surge in $BTC’s price in July, building up to August’s ATH. Stablecoins, Bitcoin, DeFi – crypto’s many use cases increasingly point to a continued crypto revolution. Corrections aside, Bitcoin could be set for continued long-term growth as blockchain and AI tech feed on each other. That makes projects like Bitcoin Hyper, with a problem-solving Bitcoin Layer 2, even more critical. Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) – Faster, Cheaper Bitcoin Transactions for Ecosystem Growth Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) tackles some of Bitcoin’s biggest limitations head-on. Bitcoin processes an average of 7 transactions per second; by leveraging the Solana Virtual Machine, Hyper processes several thousand. Bitcoin suffers from congestion and low throughput, but Hyper relies on Solana’s greater scalability. With the SVM and a Bitcoin Canonical Bridge, all the tools and features that investors typically find on Solana are now open to Bitcoin. That means meme coins, DeFi, native staking – the whole works. Bitcoin Hyper actually provides a hybrid architecture, utilizing a bridge to the SVM for wrapped Bitcoin, while reserving final transaction settlement for Layer 1. You can learn how to buy $HYPER with our guide. Given the broader market and some traders’ frustration with Bitcoin’s performance, it’s not surprising that $HYPER is attracting significant presale investment as investors learn more about what Hyper is. The presale has already surpassed $18.8M, with tokens priced at just $0.012995. Don’t overlook Bitcoin Hyper’s potential – read more at the official website. Jordi Visser offers a bullish Bitcoin picture, at least for the long term. Corrections won’t derail an ongoing bull run – they’re likely vital components of it. Suppose Bitcoin follows the pattern of Nvidia and undergoes multiple steep pullbacks en route to higher highs. In that case, it won’t necessarily herald a collapse, but could actually indicate just how far Bitcoin Hyper—and Bitcoin itself—could go. Authored by Aaron Walker for NewsBTC – https://www.newsbtc.com/news/expect-sharp-corrections-before-bitcoin-reclaims-new-highs-lessons-from-nvidia
The broker maintained its buy rating on the stock and raised its price objective to $16 from $12.
Aster CEO Leonard said the team is weighing how to balance benefits for existing holders and upcoming airdrop recipients.
BitMine's crypto and cash holdings have crossed the $11.6 billion mark, and the company owns more than 2% of Ethereum's circulating supply.
Americans demand financial privacy as surveillance systems fail to protect data while eroding dignity. DeFi technology offers data control solutions that traditional banking systems cannot.
G7 nations are introducing stablecoin rules, from Japan’s pioneering framework to the US GENIUS Act and Europe’s MiCA, reshaping the future of digital money.
Bitcoin and Ether ETPs suffered heavy outflows last week while Solana stood out with $291 million in inflows, likely driven by anticipation of US ETF launches.
Solana (SOL) price has been one of the most talked-about altcoins of 2025, but the past week has seen its price spiral downward, rattling both retail and institutional investors. Adding fuel to bearish sentiment, weekly token launches on the Solana network have dropped to their lowest levels since October 2024. Source: Solscan With network activity …
The world’s largest crypto exchange, Binance, has announced that it will list Swarm Network’s token, TRUTH, on its Binance Alpha and Binance Futures platforms. This marks a significant milestone for Swarm Network as it celebrates its first listing on a platform. Binance to List Swarm Network’s TRUTH On October 1, 2025, Binance will open trading …