The Bitcoin price has soared to historic highs this year, but not everyone believes the rally will last. A new warning from a crypto analyst suggests that the world’s largest cryptocurrency could be on the verge of a dramatic price crash, with the possibility of erasing nearly all of its gains and tumbling back to levels not seen in years. Why A 90% Bitcoin Price Crash Could Be Ahead In a recent interview on the David Lin Report, a financial news channel on YouTube, Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone issued a stark warning for Bitcoin holders. After years of accurately calling key price levels, including the surge to $100,000, McGlone now predicts that BTC could wipe out more than 90% of its gains, potentially falling back to $10,000 in this market cycle. Related Reading: Pundit Calls Bitcoin Price Crash Below $93,000, Reveals Bear Targets From Here The Bloomberg strategist explained that Bitcoin’s climb to six figures on December 6 marked a major psychological threshold. According to him, that milestone was less a sign of long-term strength and more a signal that the market had overheated. He described the surge as a textbook example of “selling when there’s yelling,” meaning that investors often get caught up in the euphoria at the top. Since Bitcoin crossed $100,000 on December 6, McGlone noted that gold has appreciated roughly 30%, while BTC has added only about 8%. Stock market benchmarks such as the S&P 500 have also posted modest returns in the same period, leaving digital assets struggling to show dominance. McGlone highlighted the growing connection between Bitcoin and broader equity markets, noting that its 48-month correlation with the S&P 500 now stands at 0.6. He suggested that this pattern underscores Bitcoin’s transformation into a risk-on asset, moving in tandem with stock market performance rather than acting as an independent store of value. Adding to his bearish stance, the Bloomberg strategist pointed out that volatility signals are shifting. In August, the Volatility Index (VIX) hit its lowest level of the year at around 14.2, while Bitcoin simultaneously reached new highs. By the end of the same month, volatility spiked again, suggesting that market sentiment may be changing. For McGlone, these signals indicate that investors should prepare for a potential correction phase, with gold likely to continue outperforming BTC and other speculative assets. Analyst Says Bitcoin To $1 Million Is Unlikely During the interview, Lin questioned whether Bitcoin could ever climb to $1 million, pointing to the same logic that took the asset naturally from $10,000 to $100,000. McGlone dismissed the idea, stressing that today’s market environment is fundamentally different and does not support such an outcome. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Price Bottom In? Here’s What Social Sentiment Says The Bloomberg strategist explained that when Bitcoin was trading near $10,000, market sentiment was profoundly negative, which created the ideal conditions for a long-term rally. By contrast, at a price above $100,000, the current market is crowded with long positions, making it harder for BTC to sustain upward momentum. In his view, the sheer weight of speculative exposure has left Bitcoin vulnerable to a potential retracement rather than setting the stage for exponential growth. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin slipped on Friday after a brief run higher, and some market watchers say the move could force a policymaker response. Based on reports, Bitcoin was trading at about $113,240, down 3.4%, on August 22, 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Next Stop For 2025? $175,000, According To SOL Strategies Boss Crypto Analyst Flags Inflation Risk According to Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone, the simultaneous rise in equities, Treasury yields, gold and Bitcoin looks unstable and could push inflation higher if it continues. He warned that stronger risk-asset gains might nudge the Federal Reserve toward tighter policy, not easing, which would be the opposite of calls from US President Donald Trump to loosen policy this year. Reports have noted that Bitcoin fell from a local high of $120,050 to roughly $112,990, a decline of about 6% since last Friday, and that the crypto lost just over $1,000 in a few hours during the move. A Lot May Be Riding on Bitcoin/Gold Going Up – The simultaneous rise in equities, Treasury bond yields, Bitcoin and gold appears unsustainable, and at a minimum due for some volatility post-summer doldrums. A scenario my graphic highlights is that if risk assets keep rising,… pic.twitter.com/7xCLbw7DXy — Mike McGlone (@mikemcglone11) August 22, 2025 Price Action And Market Moves Markets reacted quickly. Some traders booked profits after the spike, and others trimmed positions ahead of key Fed commentary at Jackson Hole. The pullback was not extreme by historical standards, but it shows how quickly sentiment can change. Markets have been watching Treasury yields and Powell’s comments closely, since those signals help decide whether risk assets will keep drawing fresh money. What The Numbers Mean For Investors Based on reports, the recent fall understates how much volatility persists in crypto. A 6% move in a few days is normal for Bitcoin’s history, yet it still matters for big holders and funds that move money in and out quickly. Some support levels around $112,000 were being watched by crypto tacticians, while traders said downside protection would likely be tested if yields continue higher. Related Reading: Panic Or Profit? Analyst Says XRP Below $3 Is A ‘Massive Blessing’ Analysts’ Price Targets Analysts are split on where Bitcoin goes from here. Bernstein strategists, for example, have floated a scenario where Bitcoin could climb as high as $200,000 within months if certain on-chain flows and institutional demand persist. Other market players see a more modest path, with some guessing at a peak near $140,000 to $150,000 as the most realistic upside in the near term. At the same time, veteran voices like McGlone warn that downside scenarios remain possible if the Fed tightens. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
Bloomberg Intelligence’s chief commodity strategist, Mike McGlone, has issued a stark caution to Dogecoin holders and the broader crypto community by drawing comparisons to historical instances of market excess. In a series of recent posts published on X , McGlone invoked the years 1929 and 1999—the notorious eras of the stock market crash and the dot-com bubble—to underscore the risks of speculative “silliness” in digital assets. Dogecoin Mirrors 1929-Style Risk He singled out Dogecoin in particular, emphasizing its vulnerability to a potential market reversion, while also pointing to gold as a beneficiary if risk appetite continues to deteriorate. “Dogecoin, 1929, 1999 Risk-Asset Silliness and Gold – The ratio of gold ounces equal to Bitcoin trading almost tick-for-tick with Dogecoin may show the risks of reversion in highly speculative digital assets, with deflationary implications underpinning the metal,” he wrote. Related Reading: Analyst Says Dogecoin Could Skyrocket 16% Any Moment The chart below shows how closely the meme-inspired cryptocurrency’s market cap has mirrored the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio. The tracking of these two metrics suggests that whenever the relative value of Bitcoin to gold experiences a shift, Dogecoin’s trajectory pivoted sharply, exposing it to the same market forces that have historically challenged highly speculative assets. McGlone’s broader thesis does not end with Dogecoin. In another post, he turned attention to the notion of gold reaching $4,000 per ounce, linking such a possibility to dynamics in the bond market and to potential declines across risk-on sectors, including cryptocurrencies. “What Gets Gold to $4,000? 2% T-Bonds? Melting Cryptos May Guide – A path toward $4,000 an ounce for #gold could require something that’s typically a matter of time: reversion in silly-expensive risk assets, notably cryptocurrencies,” he stated. He underscored that if the US stock market were to remain under pressure, bond yields might eventually be pulled lower by the comparatively meager 2% or lower yields seen in China and Japan. Such a scenario, in McGlone’s view, adds tailwinds for gold because a shift from relatively high-yielding Treasuries to lower-yielding government bonds abroad could drive investors toward alternative havens. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Dogecoin And Altcoins’ Next Surge – Here’s The Timeline The chart shared by McGlone reinforces his analysis of decelerating demand for risk assets. One visual, titled “Elevated US Stocks, Bond Yields vs. China, Japan,” displays the persistent divergence between US Treasury yields, which hover around the 4.19% mark, and the comparatively subdued rates of Chinese and Japanese government bonds, situated closer to 2% and 1.51% respectively. The graphic also portrays the S&P 500’s market cap-to-GDP ratio, which remains historically high despite recent volatility. McGlone’s conclusion is that continued pressure on equity markets, combined with global bond rates that sit well below US yields, could accelerate a rotation into gold if investors perceive a downturn in “expensive” asset classes, including risk assets like Dogecoin. A third post addressed the broader altcoin market, with McGlone pointing to Ethereum as a leading indicator of whether the overall trend has turned bearish for digital assets. “Has the Trend Turned Down? Ethereum May Guide – Ether, the No. 2 cryptocurrency, is breaking down, with deflationary implications and gold underpinnings,” he noted. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.16663. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Mike McGlone, Senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, has made a rather pessimistic prediction for Bitcoin, emphasizing that the cryptocurrency’s potential rise to $150,00 was a long shot. The strategist has revealed factors that could make Bitcoin’s projected surge to $150,000 difficult, highlighting both macroeconomic trends and Bitcoin’s performance in 2024. Bitcoin Surge To $150,000 Unlikely In a recent interview with Scott Melker, the host of “The Wolf Of All Streets,” podcast, McGlone discussed Bitcoin’s price fundamentals and its possible rise to $150,000 in the 2024 bull cycle. Related Reading: Crypto Whale Spends $10.4 Million On PEPE, Do They Know Something You Don’t? Comparing Bitcoin with the stock market index, the S&P 500, the Bloomberg strategist disclosed that the cryptocurrency was currently showing “divergent weakness,” highlighting that Bitcoin’s performance against the S&P 500 in 2021 was greater compared to 2024. He also revealed that Bitcoin was displaying a similar weak performance to Gold, emphasizing current market conditions and the risk of short-term deflation in the financial market. The combination of these factors pushes McGlone to believe that Bitcoin’s short-term projected rise to $150,000 was unlikely. While the Bloomberg strategist made his foreboding prediction despite Bitcoin’s overperformance at the beginning of the year, McGlone still remains optimistic about the cryptocurrency’s price and fundamental value in the long term. Co-founder and CEO of CoinRoutes, Dave Weisberger, who was also in the podcast with McGlone, made a more optimistic prediction for Bitcoin. Basing his analysis on historical trends and patterns as far back as 2015, Weisberger forecasted that Bitcoin could rise to $200,000 this cycle. His forecast is also acknowledged by reformed hedge fund manager, James Lavish, who revealed in the podcast that Spot Bitcoin ETFs could become a potential driver for Bitcoin’s continuous growth. This is attributed to the massive impact Bitcoin ETFs had on the cryptocurrency’s price following its launch on January 11, 2024. After Spot Bitcoin ETFs were successfully released into the market, the price of Bitcoin skyrocketed to new all-time highs above $73,000. At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency is trading at $63,778, marking a 0.89% increase over the past seven days, according to CoinMarketCap. BTC Crash Presents Perfect Opportunity According to Lavish, if Bitcoin crashes down to the $30,000 to $40,000 range, it would present a “tremendous opportunity” for investors to acquire substantial value in a long-term asset that will essentially hold its value and continue to appreciate in the future. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Cardano Bloodbath Far From Over, Sets Bottom Price For ADA The reformed hedge fund manager revealed that Bitcoin’s short-term volatility and market unpredictability could produce long-term capture of value. This suggests that by strategically navigating through the price fluctuations of Bitcoin, investors could potentially capitalize on its volatility to accumulate wealth over time, which in turn could favorably impact the price of the cryptocurrency. BTC bears and bulls continue tug of war | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from ETF Stream, chart from Tradingview.com
The bank made the forecast based on its expectation that spot Bitcoin ETFs could attract inflows of $50-100 billion in 2024.