Bitcoin has increasingly moved in sync with the software and technology sector, and is reshaping its role in global finance. Rather than behaving like a traditional store of value or independent asset class, BTC has shown price patterns closely tied to technology-driven markets, particularly growth-oriented software companies and digital innovation stocks. This growing connection reflects BTC’s deep roots in technology and its dependence on market conditions that typically influence high-growth sectors and innovation cycles. How Market Liquidity Connects Bitcoin To Software Stocks According to crypto analyst Kevin, Bitcoin has been more tied to the software sector than any other market in recent years. The software underperformance has been caused by massive disruption from Artificial Intelligence (AI) technology, and BTC has also experienced similar underperformance due to AI technology disruption throughout 2025 and the broader market cycle. Related Reading: Thinking Of Buying The Bitcoin Dip? Here’s What This Metric Says However, as BTC is no longer the hottest new tech in the block and a tighter for longer monetary policy is in place, it’s the perfect combo to explain crypto underperformance overall. The key question now is whether BTC can overcome this hurdle in the future. Kevin believes that BTC can overcome this hurdle, but it has to overcome real fundamental narrative challenges for the first time. The current daily chart structure for Bitcoin has been interpreted as a strong bullish setup. Market commentator known as Super฿ro on X has highlighted that it is always better for BTC to flush out the lower liquidity levels first, leaving the overhead liquidity intact, which will later serve as fuel for a potential short squeeze. Thus, BTC had the opportunity to move higher and take out the short positions, but instead left them untouched. Currently, BTC has flushed out almost all the leveraged longs below, which is a setup but not a guarantee. Technically, this pattern could also be viewed as a bear pennant breakdown, with a potential downside target below $50,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator Drops To Deepest Level Since FTX Bottom Super฿ro is convinced that this move will prove too ambitious for the bears, as it would push the price into a major multi-year support zone. However, if BTC successfully holds its recent lows on a closing basis, the outlook could shift decisively bullish and open the door to a sharp recovery into the $70,000 range and potentially higher. BTC Flow From Spot To Futures Markets Explained The Bitcoin Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) is approaching a golden cross with the 90-day moving average (90MA) line. A crypto investor and data analyst known as CW pointed out that the IFP indicator is based on BTC flowing from the spot market into the futures market. However, if this trend accelerates further, it could form a golden cross above the 90MA, then signal a bullish rally. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin may look quiet and unexciting right now, but history suggests that could be the point. Similar fractal setups in the past have shown that prolonged accumulation phases often precede explosive moves, rewarding patience rather than impulse. If the pattern holds, DOGE’s current calm could simply be the setup before the next major chase begins. A Familiar Fractal Emerges At A Critical Inflection Point According to a latest Dogecoin update by Cryptollica, the broader macro structure is beginning to mirror a familiar historical four-point fractal structure, with price action now sitting at Point 4. This phase closely resembles past pre-bull-run accumulation periods, where extended consolidation laid the groundwork for explosive upside moves. Related Reading: Dogecoin Holds The Floor, But Momentum Says Otherwise — A Critical Standoff Unfolds The first key element of the setup is the rounded bottom formation. Zones 1 and 2 represented long stretches of low volatility and market boredom, and where accumulation took place quietly. Notably, Zone 2 acted as the launchpad for Dogecoin’s powerful 2021 rally. In the current Zone 4, price behavior is once again stabilizing into a rounded base, suggesting a similar accumulation process is underway. Furthermore, the weekly RSI shows a recurring support zone around the 32 level, marked by a red baseline on the chart. Historically, each time RSI dropped to or hovered near the baseline of Points 1, 2, and 3, it marked a macro bottom. At present, RSI has returned to this same critical support area. This reset implies that selling pressure is fading while momentum conditions are aligning for a potential shift back in favor of buyers. Taken together, this setup points to a cyclical reset rather than random market noise. With a bullish rounding bottom in place and RSI sitting at a historical buy zone, the structure suggests Dogecoin may be entering a prime accumulation phase. If the fractal unfolds as it did in past cycles, the current calm could precede a strong impulsive move. $0.138: The Line That Separates Recovery From Stagnation In a more recent update, crypto analyst Kevin explained that a successful reclaim of the $0.138 level on the 3-day to weekly timeframes would mark a major shift for Dogecoin. Such a move would place price back above the macro 0.382 Fibonacci level as well as the 200-week simple moving average. Related Reading: Dogecoin Could Stage A 600% Rally In 2026 If This Multi-Year Support Holds This development would be a strong bullish signal, but it is unlikely to happen in isolation. The setup would most likely align with Bitcoin reclaiming the crucial $88,000–$91,000 zone, a range that needs to be recovered to support broader market strength and risk-on momentum. Until those conditions are met, Dogecoin continues to chop within what is considered a long-term dollar-cost-averaging zone, suggesting consolidation persists while the market waits for a decisive macro trigger. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
A new technical analysis is suggesting that Dogecoin’s current rally may still have room to grow. According to crypto analyst Kevin, the historical risk levels that usually mark cycle tops are currently nowhere near flashing red for Dogecoin. Chart analysis of Dogecoin’s historical risk levels shows that the meme coin is still sitting in what looks like a mid-cycle phase, and the kind of overheated price action that preceeds exhaustion has not yet appeared. Dogecoin Historical Risk Levels Point To More Upside Kevin’s latest post on the social media platform X showcased Dogecoin’s historical risk levels in a color-coded chart between 0 and 1, with 0 being the lowest risk and 1 being the highest risk. The chart, which covers many cycles going as far back as 2014, shows moments when risk was at extreme levels and prices were near exhaustion. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts What Dogecoin Investors Should Expect Price-Wise This Month Periods of high market exhaustions are classified in warm colors, with red being the highest. For instance, Dogecoin’s all-time high in 2021 was classified by a red risk level. On the other hand, those of low market activity are classified in cool colors, with deep blue being the lowest level of activity. The current reading of 0.52 is far from those red danger zones, which have historically aligned with blow-off tops. Instead, Dogecoin is currently in what Kevin describes as a mid-cycle state. That assessment aligns with the latest price action, which shows Dogecoin now holding above $0.25 after last week’s consolidation between $0.22 and $0.23. Dogecoin’s Biggest Move Still Ahead? With the latest Dogecoin risk level sitting at around 0.52, this suggests that Dogecoin has not yet entered the type of frenzy that often defines the final phase of a cycle. Therefore, it means that the king of meme coin still has a lot of rally to play out, and there’s the possibility of charting a path to a new all-time high if crypto market conditions provide the right backdrop. We have not had that type of price action yet this cycle. Related Reading: Analyst Forecasts Dogecoin Price To See Face-Melting Rally: The Bullish Pattern That Suggests New Highs Kevin’s latest update builds on observations he made earlier in August, where he noted the importance of monthly Stoch RSI crosses during bull market environments. Whenever Dogecoin registered such crosses outside of bear markets, the result was a massive upside rally. At that time, the Stoch RSI was climbing from the 13 level, and this is associated with weak momentum turning into strength. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.2554, meaning it is up by about 12.5% in the past 24 hours. Given the current setup and the possibility of a Spot Dogecoin ETF hitting the US market soon, it is reasonable to expect that Dogecoin could climb much higher before it enters the overheated territory. In this case, hitting the $1 price level is not out of the question. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin is beginning to regain momentum after a sharp drop in the early hours of January 3, a move that liquidated many traders who had been betting on continued upside. This decline wasn’t just another pullback, as it marked the most significant Dogecoin price drop in six months. As noted by technical analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA), Dogecoin has just completed its second major correction in this ongoing bull cycle. Notably, the next move is a push towards $1 for Dogecoin. However, whether this recovery gains traction will largely depend on Bitcoin’s next move, as broader market sentiment continues to shape Dogecoin’s trajectory. Dogecoin Completes Second Major Correction, Echoing Past Bull Cycles As noted by crypto analyst Kevin, Dogecoin’s recent drop was its second major pullback this cycle. Furthermore, the recent pullback closely resembles corrections seen in the previous cycle before Dogecoin eventually shot up to reach its all-time high. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price To Breakout To $1.4? Analyst Reveals Critical Levels To Watch For A Pump Or Crash The recent drop saw Dogecoin reach a bottom of $0.2237 yesterday after a 32% fall from $0.329 just 24 hours earlier. Interestingly, this drop meant Dogecoin had corrected by about 58% from its $0.49 in December 2024. As pointed out by the analyst, this looks much like a similar playout in early 2021, when Dogecoin retraced by about 56.8% on its upward move. Both instances were the second major pullback in their respective cycles, and if the pattern holds like the first cycle, the latest dip may have set the stage for the next leg higher for Dogecoin to finally break above $1. Will DOGE Rally To $1 Soon? Bitcoin’s Influence Is Key Dogecoin’s road to $1 is still intact, but the timing of the next surge depends on a few factors and breaks above multiple resistance levels. One of the most notable factors is Bitcoin’s dominance in the crypto market. Related Reading: Machine Learning Algorithm Predicts Dogecoin Price From January To December 2025 As Kevin pointed out, Dogecoin’s ability to resume its uptrend hinges largely on Bitcoin’s performance. The broader crypto market often follows Bitcoin’s lead, and if it maintains bullish momentum, the meme coin could soon follow suit. On the other hand, a fall or continued consolidation of the Bitcoin price could lead to a similar move for Dogecoin, as highlighted by Bitcoin’s break below $93,000 yesterday. At the time of writing, DOGE is trading at $0.2593 and is starting to push steadily upwards after bouncing off at $0.223. The key area for bulls to reclaim is $0.33, which has acted as strong resistance since January. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, potentially setting up Dogecoin for a steady climb toward $0.4 and then $0.5. Bitcoin also needs to register a notable break above $100,000. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Although Bitcoin price action is still holding above the $100,000 price level, the past 24 hours have been highlighted by a 2.5% decline. According to liquidation data from Coinglass, this decline has seen $65.47 million worth of positions liquidated, with the majority ($54.10 million) being long positions. Crypto analyst Kevin (Kev_Capital_TA) noted a significant range between $96,000 and $111,000, calling it the most pivotal zone on Bitcoin’s liquidation heatmap. This zone could determine the market’s next trajectory after months of back and forth movement trading between this range. Bitcoin’s Liquidity Heatmap Highlights Key Levels According to Kevin’s analysis, which he posted on social media platform X, large liquidity blocks dominate the range between $96,000 and $111,000, which has created an important zone for Bitcoin traders to keep an eye on. Related Reading: This Analyst Correctly Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash To $99,000, Here’s What’s Supposed To Happen Next Liquidity heatmaps visualize areas where buy and sell orders accumulate, often serving as potential reversal or breakout points. The presence of significant liquidity in this range suggests that the market could experience heightened volatility once Bitcoin approaches these levels, and inexperienced investors could be caught up in the price action. The liquidity blocks within this range are highlighted in green in the Bitcoin price chart below. These green zones are high-activity zones that act as a magnet for price action. Notably, the largest liquidity cluster lies near $109,700, slightly above Bitcoin’s current all-time high of $108,786, achieved just three days ago. This proximity to this all-time high means that Bitcoin could undergo another strong price action once it reaches this level. There are many market participants with buy and sell orders here around $109,700. Bitcoin Needs To Break Above its Prolonged Sideways Trading Kevin also pointed out Bitcoin’s extended period of sideways trading, which has tested the patience of many investors. He noted that Bitcoin traded sideways for eight months at the end of 2024, followed by a brief surge in price, only to return to another three-month period of low volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin Upper Band Moves Above $105,400 – Where Price Is Headed Next Since then, however, the strong bullish momentum has yet to repeat itself. Although long-term holders may still be in profit, short-term traders are feeling the most strain from the lack of any substantial upward price action. The first step in repeating bullish momentum would be to break above the upper end of the liquidation zone at $110,000. If Bitcoin breaches this range, it could trigger a significant rally or sell-off depending on the prevailing sentiment and trading activity within the zone. However, the lack of liquidity beyond these levels also poses risks, especially below the lower end of the zone. The thinner orders means there isn’t enough hold up liquidity to reject a price breakdown. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $102,200, down by 2.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
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