Market analyst Aletheia released a report on Wednesday, taking a close look at the first six days of trading for Hyperliquid ETFs launched by 21Shares and Bitwise. The analysis focuses on how early inflows are stacking up across major crypto assets and what those moves may signal for demand going forward. First Six Days Under The Microscope In market-cap-adjusted terms, Aletheia found that the Hyperliquid ETFs generated more flows than Bitcoin (BTC) on three of the first six trading days. The same comparison also showed strength versus Ethereum (ETH): Hyperliquid’s ETF products logged higher inflows than Ethereum on five out of six days. Related Reading: Bitwise Bullish on Hyperliquid: HYPE Labeled ‘Undervalued’ As It Rallies 20% The Solana (SOL) spot exchange-traded fund sector produced a different picture. According to the report, Solana posted higher market-cap-adjusted flows than Hyperliquid on four of the first six trading days. On Tuesday, however, Hyperliquid spot ETFs recorded materially stronger inflows than any of their peers. The analyst emphasized that it’s still too early to say whether this spike is the start of a sustained trend, or whether it reflects a short-term burst of demand that may normalize over the coming days. Hyperliquid Near Bull-Run Highs Beyond the raw inflow numbers, the report reveals another layer: the Hyperliquid spot ETFs are competing with the Assistance Fund — the platform’s economic structure for token buybacks — in terms of market buying pressure. In the first six trading days, the ETFs bought 2.5 times as much HYPE as the Assistance Fund bought and burned. The “burning” element is important context, since it differs from a straightforward accumulation mechanism. Still, when the discussion is framed around buying pressure and market impact, Aletheia argues that the ETFs are clearly adding to the fuel. Related Reading: Solana ETF Falls Behind As XRP Collects More Cash—Here’s The Catalyst Driving The Split The combination of ETF-driven activity and increasing token demand has moved Hyperliquid close to current price peaks of $59 reached during last year’s bull run. Data from CoinGecko shows the altcoin trading at $51.88 when writing is up 33% over the past week alone. At this level, the token is only 12% below its current record, leaving room—at least in relative terms—for a potential “discovery” phase if the ETF-related inflows continue to build. Featured image created with OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
On Thursday, the Hyperliquid Research Collective (HRC) released the first-quarter (Q1) blockchain report on Hyperliquid (HYPE). The report highlights strong progress in several core areas, as well as weaker performance in others. The document also points to a broader narrative for the platform, arguing that Q1 brought Hyperliquid closer to its “House of All Finance” vision—even as wider market conditions made the quarter tough by historical standards. Hyperliquid Records 70% Outperformance Vs Bitcoin According to the report, Hyperliquid generated $215 million in gross revenue during Q1. That figure was paired with a buyback of 4.9 million HYPE tokens, underscoring the firm’s emphasis on token value support. Despite the declines seen in some operational metrics, the HYPE token delivered standout results, climbing 444% across the quarter. The report says this allowed HYPE to outperform Bitcoin (BTC) by 70% over the same period. Related Reading: VanEck Forecast: Bitcoin Could Climb To $1,000,000 By 2031, Research Head Says At the same time, not every measure moved higher. The report notes that holder revenue fell 33%, perpetual (perp) volume dropped 15%, and average open interest compressed 23%. The report attributes these changes to the environment the market was in, describing Q1 as the worst quarter for the market since 2018. In that context, Bitcoin fell 26%, and total crypto market capitalization recorded outflows of more than $900 billion, which the report frames as a major drag on activity and income. The Hyperliquid report also breaks down how the quarter unfolded. Hyperliquid’s quarter low was $1.16 billion in January, marking a 20% decline compared with the end of 2025. It says that February and March helped stabilize the picture, with March emerging as the strongest month for locked liquidity. Specifically, total value locked (TVL) rose from $1.4 billion to a peak of $1.8 billion, before settling by quarter-end at $1.69 billion. “House Of All Finance’ Gains Traction Activity on the Hyperliquid side remained an important bright spot. The report shows HIP-3 deployer volume grew sharply—from nearly $25 billion in January to $68 billion in March—and finished the quarter at 33% of daily perp volume. Looking at broader DEX activity, Hyperliquid reported that total HyperEVM DEX volume declined 40% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ), landing at $9.2 billion compared with $15 billion recorded during the fourth quarter of last year. Beyond the numbers, the Q1 Hyperliquid report emphasizes that this quarter felt different in terms of the company’s strategic positioning. HRC says Q1 was the moment when Hyperliquid’s “House of All Finance” thesis became “undeniable.” Related Reading: Bitcoin At $82K, But Metrics Don’t Smile: Network Activity Down, Spot Demand Negative—What’s Next? The Hyperliquid Research Collective report ties that claim to developments that landed around the same time, including a benchmark update: S&P Dow Jones Indices, through an officially licensed benchmark, signed with Tradexyz, identifying the Hyperliquid HIP-3 deployer dominance as a key part of the ecosystem. The report also points to institutional and investment momentum, noting that Grayscale, VanEck, and Bitwise submitted filings for HYPE exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The report further highlights expanding institutional support, including the addition of Ripple Prime support to Hyperliquid for institutional clients. At the time of writing, Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, was trading at $42, having recorded losses of 1.7% over the previous 24 hours. Nevertheless, it is one of the best performers of the second quarter so far, having gained 17% over the past thirty days. Featured image created with OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Decentralized exchange (DEX) Hyperliquid (HYPE) is experiencing a notable surge in its key metrics, positioning itself as a preferred trading platform amid rising tensions in Iran. This increased activity has propelled HYPE to outperform the market’s leading cryptocurrencies, boasting a major 23% gain over the past week. However, market analyst Ali Martinez has indicated that HYPE investors may soon encounter a new buying opportunity. New Sell Signal For Hyperliquid The analyst highlighted that on March 8, the TD Sequential had signaled a buying opportunity for HYPE, which was subsequently confirmed as the token experienced a price increase of 28.23%, rising from approximately $30 to a high near $38.53. However, as of March 13, the same indicator is now flashing a sell signal, prompting Martinez to caution that increasing selling pressure could lead to a short-term retracement to around $34. Related Reading: Hyperliquid (HYPE) Under The Lens: These 3 Metrics Point To Severe Undervaluation Currently trading at $36.37, this would represent a decline of approximately 6.5%, in addition to a recent 2.5% pullback observed over the last 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data. For Martinez, this potential pullback may serve as a strategic buying opportunity before the expected upward momentum resumes. Ambitious Projections For HYPE Adding to the altcoin’s bullish outlook, research firm DCo released a new valuation framework for HYPE. They modeled four scenarios based on the potential market capture of the $1.74 trillion daily Total Addressable Market (TAM) that Hyperliquid could attain through its HIP-3 protocol. Utilizing a three-year discounted cash flow (DCF) framework, each scenario assumes a gradual capture rate: 20% in Year 1 (2026), 50% in Year 2 (2027), and 100% by Year 3 (2028), reflecting the gradual process of building market share. In a bear case scenario, where Hyperliquid captures just 0.01% of the market, HIP-3 could generate $32 million in annual fees at full ramp-up based on the conversion-adjusted TAM. When combined with baseline revenue projected at $1.35 billion and considering the terminal value from Year 3 total revenue, the DCF results in an estimated enterprise value of approximately $18 billion, which could result in HYPE reaching a new record of $60 per token. Under the base case of 0.10% market capture, Year 3 revenue from HIP-3 would climb to roughly $322 million, resulting in a total revenue of about $1.7 billion and an enterprise value nearing $22 billion. This would imply a token price around $72. $190 In Most Optimistic Case In the bullish scenario, with a 0.50% capture, the Year 3 HIP-3 fees would reach $1.6 billion, contributing to a total revenue of $3.0 billion. This would yield an enterprise value of $38 billion, corresponding to an implied price of about $124, representing a fully diluted valuation of around $124 billion. The most optimistic case, positioned at a 1.00% capture, projects total Year 3 revenue of $4.6 billion, with an enterprise value of $59 billion and HYPE potentially valued at $190. Related Reading: Bitcoin Historically Surges 54% On Average Post-US Midterm Elections, Binance DCo’s analysis reveals that, even at a default 20% discount and 20x multiple, the current price of $37 is considerably lower than the bear case valuation of $60. This suggests that the market has not fully appreciated the potential contributions from HIP-3 and is undervaluing the inherent value of Hyperliquid’s crypto exchange business. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Hyperliquid (HYPE) has experienced a major 21% price increase over the past week, sharply contrasting with many of the largest cryptocurrencies, which have been trading in negative territory. Despite this positive momentum, a new report suggests that HYPE may still be undervalued compared to its potential. Hyperliquid Reaches Record-Breaking Levels According to a Thursday post from Hyperliquid Daily on the social media platform X (previously Twitter), several factors underscore why HYPE remains undervalued at its current price. First, the trading volume for Hyperliquid has reached unprecedented levels. The asset’s 24-hour perpetual volume stands at $6.48 billion, with open interest recorded at $6.41 billion. Related Reading: Ripple Launches $750 Million Share Buyback, Boosting Valuation To $50 Billion Notably, trading in crude oil perpetuals has surged from approximately $21 million to $1.39 billion daily since tensions between Iran and Israel began, making it the second most traded asset, surpassing even Ethereum (ETH). Additionally, the cumulative protocol revenue has crossed the $1.039 billion mark, with an annualized run-rate of around $664 million based on a 30-day revenue of $54.4 million. 99% of all fees are directed towards buybacks and burns of HYPE through the Assistance Fund. The report claimed that with this data recorded over the past month, Hyperliquid is evolving from its role as a leading on-chain derivatives platform to a more expansive decentralized finance (DeFi) Layer-1 (L1) solution. Hyperliquid has also seen recent trading in real-world assets (RWA) reach new heights. Over the past two weeks, RWA trading has consistently broken records, exceeding $1.3 billion in open interest and achieving over $1.4 billion in weekend volume. The Hyperliquid team wrote on X: When traditional markets are closed, Hyperliquid is the premier venue for 24/7 price discovery on oil, metals, indices, and other essential assets. This is an important step towards housing all of finance. HYPE’s Technical Outlook On the technical side, market analyst TraderJB has commented on HYPE’s performance, noting that its price action is cleaner and more favorable compared to approximately 95% of other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), which have exhibited a more erratic behavior after failing to surpass its nearest resistance wall at $74,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters ‘Most Frustrating Phase,’ CryptoQuant Says: A Look At What’s To Come Looking ahead, TraderJB predicts that the current price movement from $25 to its present trading level of $36.90 resembles an inverted zigzag formation nearing its supply limit. For Hyperliquid’s native token to maintain the upward momentum witnessed since the end of last month, the analyst said it will need to produce additional upward waves while ensuring that the price does not fall below $20.80, as this could suggest a reversal in trend. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com