After hitting a weekend high of $116,689 on September 15, Bitcoin (BTC) fell slightly, trading just above $114,000 at the time of writing. However, fresh data from Binance crypto exchange indicates that the Bitcoin Scarcity Index recently witnessed its first spike since June 2025. Bitcoin Scarcity Index Spikes, Will BTC Rally? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index witnessed its first spike yesterday since June 2025. The analyst referred to the latest exchange data from Binance to confirm the spike in Bitcoin Scarcity Index. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Shift Strategy: Accumulation Over Selling Signals Stronger Bull Cycle For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index measures how limited the available supply of Bitcoin is on exchanges relative to immediate buying demand. A spike in the index usually indicates strong accumulation by large investors or institutions, signaling potential price pressure to the upside. In their analysis, Arab Chain remarked that the latest spike in the Bitcoin Scarcity Index means that either a large amount of BTC was withdrawn from Binance, or the volume of sell orders fell significantly on the exchange. As a result, the available supply of BTC on Binance suddenly became scarce. Notably, such movements are usually associated with the entry of large investors – such as whales or sharks – who hold substantial quantities of BTC. Arab Chain added: The index jumps when immediate buying power exceeds available supply, as if buyers are racing to acquire Bitcoin on the market This type of spike is often linked to positive news or sudden capital inflows. The same pattern occurred last June and persisted for several days, after which Bitcoin climbed to around $124,000. BTC may confirm the beginning of a strong accumulation phase and the continuation of the uptrend if the Bitcoin Scarcity Index remains positive for several consecutive days. However, if the index rises rapidly – followed by an equally quick descent – it may suggest speculative activity or order liquidations. Such a phase is often followed by a period of calm or a price correction. In recent months, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index has reached new all-time highs (ATH). The chart below shows the metric reaching as high as +6, before quickly falling toward neutral and even negative territory. Is BTC Losing Momentum? Arab Chain concluded by saying that the contrast between BTC’s high price, and the index’s quick move back to or below zero suggest that some strong buying momentum has started to decline. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $112,000 Support As Binance Whale Activity Cools Off – What’s Ahead? That said, some positive signs persist. For example, the flagship cryptocurrency recently broke above the mid-term holder breakeven, hinting that a fresh rally to the upside may be on the horizon. From a technical perspective, BTC recently flashed the Golden Cross, a rare bullish signal that has crypto pundits forecasting a potential price appreciation of 100%. At press time, BTC trades at $114,601, down 0.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
According to recent data from CryptoQuant, Ethereum (ETH) reserves on centralized cryptocurrency exchanges have dropped to a nine-year low. Experts suggest that this dwindling ETH supply could indicate an impending ‘supply shock,’ potentially fuelling a significant rally in the cryptocurrency. Ethereum Reserves At 9-Year Low Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, continues to trade within the mid-$2,000 range, sitting at $2,721 at the time of writing. Unlike Bitcoin (BTC), ETH has had a relatively quiet 2024, struggling to break past its all-time high (ATH) of $4,878, recorded in November 2021. Related Reading: Ethereum Appears ‘Bottomed Out,’ Analyst Predicts A Rally Is Near This lackluster price action has contributed to waning investor confidence in ETH. However, the digital asset recently managed to defend the critical $2,380-$2,460 demand zone, rekindling bullish hopes for a potential breakout above the stubborn $3,000 resistance level. More notably, ETH reserves on centralized exchanges continue to plummet, which could lead to a supply shock – a scenario where demand for the asset surpasses its liquid supply. If this materializes, ETH may experience rapid price appreciation. For the uninitiated, a supply shock in the crypto industry occurs when the demand for the underlying digital asset exceeds its liquid supply. As a result, the underlying asset – ETH, in this case – may experience sharp price appreciation in a short time. As of today, ETH reserves on centralized crypto exchanges have fallen to 18.95 million, a level last seen in July 2016. Notably, ETH was trading at $14 at the time. Recent analysis from seasoned crypto analyst Crypto Buddha suggests that ETH may be on the verge of a major price move. The analyst highlights how ETH has broken through a diagonal resistance level, signalling a potential bullish breakout. Furthermore, Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting similar price behavior. A successful BTC breakout could spark a broader crypto market rally, driving significant gains across various digital assets. Crypto Buddha noted: Bitcoin‘s price action is following a similar pattern with a triangular convergence, raising the question of whether it can break through successfully like Ethereum. Since the low of $91,000, Bitcoin has been consolidating for 10 days. The market is at a crucial juncture, and it’s time to pick a direction. Will ETH Investors Finally Have Their Time? Unlike competitors such as Solana (SOL), SUI, and XRP, which have all seen significant price appreciation over the past year, ETH has struggled to capitalize on bullish momentum. Bearish sentiment surrounding ETH has been on unprecedented levels. Related Reading: Ethereum Positioned For A ‘Major Move Upward’ In 2025, Analyst Forecasts However, analysts are confident that ETH may soon surprise the market. Recent analysis by Titan of Crypto emphasizes that ETH may soon enter its ‘most hated rally,’ leading to major price appreciation. That said, concerns about the Ethereum Foundation selling copious amounts of ETH continue to haunt the holders. At press time, ETH trades at $2,721, down 4.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com