Ethereum is demonstrating notable relative strength after reclaiming the $3,150 level and attempting to push higher, offering a refreshing shift in sentiment following weeks of intense selling pressure, fear, and market-wide uncertainty. As the broader crypto landscape begins to stabilize, ETH stands out as one of the assets showing early signs of recovery, drawing renewed attention from traders and long-term investors alike. Related Reading: Tron Hits $80.2B Stablecoin Milestone After Tether Mints 1B USDT On The Network A key factor supporting this shift is the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) reading for Ethereum on Binance, which is currently sitting around 0.22 while price trades near $3,100. This level reflects a delicate equilibrium between fear and optimism, indicating that a significant portion of ETH holders remain in moderate profit. Importantly, NUPL has not yet moved into the “greed” zone typically seen in the late stages of a bullish cycle, suggesting that the market is far from overheated. Instead, Ethereum appears to be transitioning into a more neutral, constructive phase where investors are cautiously optimistic but not excessively euphoric. This balance often forms the foundation for a healthier recovery, especially after a deep correction. If momentum continues building and NUPL remains stable or trends higher, ETH could be positioning itself for a stronger upside move in the coming weeks. NUPL Signals a Transitional Market Phase Arab Chain notes that Ethereum’s NUPL index experienced a significant rise between June and August, reaching levels far higher than today and reflecting strong profitability across the network during mid-2025. At that time, investor sentiment leaned toward optimism, supported by rising prices and improving macro conditions. However, as Ethereum’s price began to decline steadily from October onward, unrealized profits started to shrink. This pushed NUPL down toward more neutral territory, signaling a shift in sentiment from elevated optimism to a more grounded, cautious outlook. Crucially, NUPL has not fallen into negative territory, meaning the average ETH holder has not transitioned into unrealized losses. This is an important sign of underlying market strength. When investors remain in profit, they tend to be less motivated to sell aggressively at lower prices, reducing the risk of panic-driven capitulation and helping stabilize price action during corrections. Taken together, these signals indicate that Ethereum is currently in a transitional phase. The market is neither euphoric nor fearful—rather, it is waiting for a decisive catalyst to define the next trend. As long as NUPL stays above 0.20, Ethereum retains a meaningful level of investor confidence, increasing the likelihood of a rebound if liquidity strengthens or positive fundamental developments emerge. Related Reading: Bitmine Buys Another 18,345 Ethereum ($54.94M) In Fresh Accumulation Push – Details ETH Rebounds Strongly on the Weekly Chart Ethereum’s weekly chart shows a powerful rebound as price surges back above the $3,150–$3,200 region, reclaiming a critical support band that had turned into resistance during the November sell-off. The long lower wick from last week’s candle confirms strong buy-side interest around the $2,700–$2,800 zone, an area that has historically acted as a major demand region during multi-month corrections. ETH has now reclaimed the 100-week SMA, a key trend indicator currently positioned near $2,900, signaling renewed structural stability. The 200-week SMA, sitting comfortably lower, continues to reinforce the long-term uptrend. However, the 50-week SMA, which has flattened and now looms around the $3,350–$3,400 level, represents the next significant resistance level. ETH will need a decisive weekly close above this moving average to confirm a true shift back into bullish momentum. Related Reading: Ethereum Open Interest Cut In Half As $6.4B In Positions Vanish: Market Reset Accelerates Volume on the rebound is notably stronger than in previous consolidation phases, suggesting increased participation and growing confidence among market participants. However, ETH is not yet in the clear. The series of lower highs since the September peak forms a descending structure that must be broken for a sustained uptrend to resume. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
The Ethereum price has roared on with a strong performance over this weekend, reclaiming the $4,200 level for the first time since 2021. According to data from CoinGecko, the “king of altcoins” has now increased in value by more than 25% on the weekly timeframe. Considering its strong momentum, the general expectation is that the Ethereum price will continue to climb over the next few days. However, the latest price analysis shows that the altcoin might currently be trapped within a resistance range. Why ETH Price Could Be Heading Next For $4,800 In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, CryptoOnchain revealed that the Ethereum price might be eyeing a breakout above a key psychological and technical resistance. According to the pundit’s technical analyst, the altcoin would need a sustained breach above this region if it is to retest its all-time-high price. Related Reading: Bitcoin Season Or Altcoin Season? Shiba Inu Exec Outlines What’s Happening Expanding on this technical hypothesis, CryptoOnchain shared that the Ethereum price is within the green zone between $4,000 and $4,400 (from the chart above), which represents a multi-year resistance range with significant historical selling pressure. Nevertheless, the analyst noted that the Moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator has flipped positive, signaling the continuation of bullish momentum. From an on-chain perspective, CryptoOnchain highlighted that the Ethereum price could be at risk of selling pressure, as the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) indicator is nearing its upper historical ranges. The other on-chain metrics, however, suggest the investors are not in profit-taking or euphoria mode—despite the widespread profitability in the market. Notably, the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric—which tracks the overall profit and loss status of crypto investors—is in a high, positive region. While the metric signals that the ETH investors are broadly in profit, it also clarifies that the Ethereum price is not yet overheated. CryptoOnchain concluded that a strong break above the $4,400 level could open the door for a run to $4,800 for the Ethereum price in the short term. The on-chain analyst added that the Ethereum market has yet to reach an overheated state, which suggests room for further upside movements in the medium term. Ethereum Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of ETH sits at around $4,270, reflecting an almost 6% increase in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Moves Into $12 Trillion Sector: Why BTC In 401Ks Is A Big Deal Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView