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Ethereum is attempting to reclaim the $2,200 level as market participants react to recent moves by US President Donald Trump in the Middle East, developments that have introduced renewed volatility across global risk assets. The reaction reflects a broader sensitivity to geopolitical uncertainty, with crypto markets showing mixed signals as traders reassess risk exposure. Related Reading: Bitmine Locks 68% of Ethereum Holdings As Staking Position Surpasses $6.75B Despite the attempted recovery, the underlying data suggest that demand remains uneven. According to CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain, the Coinbase Premium Index for Ethereum has registered a reading of approximately -0.0149, a clearly negative value. This indicates that ETH is trading at a higher price on Binance compared to Coinbase, pointing to relatively weaker demand from US-based investors. This divergence is significant. Coinbase is often used as a proxy for institutional and US market activity, while Binance reflects broader global participation. A negative premium suggests that buying pressure is currently stronger outside the US, while domestic demand remains subdued. In this context, Ethereum’s attempt to reclaim $2,200 faces structural headwinds. While global liquidity appears active, the lack of strong US participation raises questions about the sustainability of the current move, particularly in a market still influenced by macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Coinbase Premium Signals Weak US Support for Ethereum Arab Chain further explains that the shift of the Coinbase Premium Index into negative territory typically reflects either rising selling pressure or a decline in buying appetite among US investors. In contrast, liquidity on Binance appears more active, suggesting that global participants are currently driving price action while US demand lags behind. Although Ethereum has attempted a rebound following recent declines, the persistence of the index at around -0.0149 indicates that this move lacks strong support from Coinbase. In practical terms, the recovery is not being confirmed by US-based flows, which are often associated with institutional activity and deeper liquidity. The index’s position below zero serves as a cautionary signal, particularly while the divergence between Binance and Coinbase persists. Sustained negative readings reveal an imbalanced market structure where selective participation drives rallies instead of broad-based demand. However, this signal is dynamic. If the index begins to recover toward zero or turns positive, it would suggest a return of US buying pressure, restoring balance between platforms. Such a shift would likely reinforce upward momentum and provide stronger confirmation for a sustained Ethereum recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Return to Profitability as Historical Bottom Signal Reappears Ethereum Faces Resistance as Recovery Attempts Stall Below Key Averages Ethereum is currently trading around the $2,150–$2,200 range, attempting to stabilize after a sharp breakdown that occurred in early February. The chart shows a clear shift in structure, with ETH losing its previous higher-low formation and entering a sustained downtrend characterized by lower highs and persistent selling pressure. The recent bounce from sub-$1,900 levels reflects short-term demand, but price action remains constrained below key moving averages. ETH is still trading under the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both of which are sloping downward, signaling that momentum remains bearish in the medium term. More importantly, the 200-day moving average sits significantly higher, reinforcing the broader trend weakness and acting as a distant resistance level. Related Reading: Binance Leads XRP Whale Exodus As 530M Tokens Exit In Single-Day Surge Volume dynamics also support this view. The largest spike in activity occurred during the February selloff, suggesting capitulation rather than accumulation. Since then, recovery attempts have been accompanied by relatively lower volume, indicating a lack of strong conviction from buyers. Structurally, Ethereum appears to be consolidating within a narrow range after the decline. Unless ETH can reclaim the $2,300–$2,400 region and break above key moving averages, the current price action is more consistent with a bearish continuation or range-bound consolidation rather than the start of a sustained recovery. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Ethereum is flashing early warning signs as momentum begins to shift beneath the surface. The RSI trendline break on the USDT pair suggests weakening strength, while the ETH/BTC pair now sits on the edge of following suit. With a familiar breakdown pattern taking shape, the risk of a double confirmation is rising, one that could open the door to a sharper move lower. RSI Breakdown Signals Early Weakness On Ethereum/USDT According to a recent Ethereum analysis from Umair Crypto, the USDT pair has already seen its RSI trendline break, signaling an initial shift in momentum. The ETH/BTC pair is expected to follow suit shortly, making a new lower low a matter of when, not if. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Inflows Signal Shift: Whales Reduce Selling Pressure This pattern mirrors a sequence recently observed with Solana. In that instance, the USDT pair’s RSI trendline fractured first while the BTC pair initially appeared to maintain its strength. Ethereum is now replicating this exact behavior, setting the stage for a similar recursive breakdown. While the ETH/BTC pair is currently holding its levels, the analysis suggests this resilience is temporary. However, once the BTC pair loses its footing, the lack of support across both denominations will likely trigger a sharp move to the downside. This alignment represents the most volatile and high-risk version of a market breakdown for Ethereum. Resilience Under Pressure, But At What Cost? The analyst went on to emphasize that both Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown notable strength throughout the intensity of the broader macro battle. That resilience is undeniable, but it hasn’t come without a cost. Rather than forming a solid base, the market has effectively been running on borrowed time, and the fatigue now visible on the charts suggests that the cost of that strength is beginning to surface. From this point, a move toward a lower low should not come as a surprise. Related Reading: Ethereum Rising Wedge Warning: Breakdown Could Send Price Toward $1,500 A major catalyst is adding to the current tension. Over $2.1 billion in BTC and ETH options is set to expire today, alongside Wall Street’s massive $5.7 trillion Triple Witching event. While such large expiries don’t directly trigger market direction, they tend to magnify existing momentum. In this case, the underlying structure already points to the downside, meaning any move could be accelerated under these conditions. The breakdown sequence is also becoming increasingly clear. The USDT pair was the first to show weakness, losing its key structure and signaling the initial shift in momentum.  Now, attention turns to confirmation from the ETH/BTC pair. When this alignment occurs, it typically leads to a more decisive and aggressive move lower as bearish pressure takes full control. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum is holding above the $2,000 level as selling pressure begins to build again, placing the market in a fragile position after recent recovery attempts. While price has managed to remain above this key psychological threshold, momentum is weakening, with sellers increasingly active on short-term rallies. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Inflows Signal Shift: Whales Reduce Selling Pressure At the same time, structural developments beneath the surface suggest a more complex dynamic. A recent surge in Ethereum staking activity at Bitmine, a Fundstrat-backed institutional platform focused on large-scale ETH accumulation and yield strategies, is drawing attention. Just two days ago, Bitmine staked an additional 94,670 ETH, worth approximately $204 million, bringing its total staked holdings above 3 million ETH. This is significant for several reasons. First, staking effectively removes ETH from the circulating supply, tightening liquidity in the spot market. Second, it reflects a long-term conviction strategy, as staked assets are typically locked and aligned with yield generation rather than short-term trading. In the current environment, where selling pressure is increasing, this type of institutional behavior provides a counterbalance. While price action remains uncertain, large-scale staking by entities like Bitmine suggests that some participants are positioning for longer-term upside, even as short-term volatility persists. Bitmine Locks Majority of ETH Holdings as Staking Strategy Deepens Data from CryptoQuant further highlights the scale and intent behind Bitmine’s Ethereum strategy. The platform now holds approximately 3,135,185 ETH staked, representing around $6.75 billion, with 68.22% of its total holdings locked in staking contracts. This level of commitment is notable, as it signals a deliberate shift toward long-term yield generation rather than short-term liquidity management. From a structural perspective, this concentration of staked ETH has direct implications for market dynamics. By locking a significant portion of its holdings, Bitmine is effectively removing supply from the liquid market, contributing to tighter circulating availability. In periods of stable or rising demand, this type of supply constraint can amplify price movements, particularly if broader participation increases. However, the signal is nuanced. While large-scale staking reflects institutional conviction, it also reduces flexibility. Locked positions cannot be quickly redeployed in response to market changes, which suggests confidence in Ethereum’s medium- to long-term outlook. In the current context, where selling pressure is gradually increasing, this behavior stands in contrast to more reactive market participants. It reinforces the idea that while short-term sentiment remains cautious, strategic capital continues to position for structural upside, potentially shaping the next phase of Ethereum’s market cycle. Related Reading: Binance Leads XRP Whale Exodus As 530M Tokens Exit In Single-Day Surge Ethereum Trades in Compression Range as Macro Downtrend Persists Ethereum is currently trading around the $2,000–$2,100 range, consolidating after a sharp decline from the $3,500 region earlier in the cycle. The chart shows a clear loss of bullish structure, with ETH failing to sustain higher highs and instead forming a sequence of lower highs since late 2025. From a higher timeframe perspective, the trend remains structurally bearish. Price remains below the 50-period and 100-period moving averages as the 200-period moving average slopes downward overhead. This alignment reinforces the idea that broader momentum is still negative, with rallies likely to face resistance in the $2,800–$3,200 range. Related Reading: Solana Structure Fractures: Accumulation In Spot Clashes With Derivatives Selling Pressure The recent price action reflects compression rather than expansion. After the February sell-off, ETH has entered a sideways range, with relatively tight price movement compared to prior volatility. This type of consolidation often indicates a temporary balance between buyers and sellers, but within a broader downtrend, it typically resolves in the direction of the prevailing trend unless strong demand emerges. Volume patterns show elevated activity during the initial decline, followed by reduced participation during consolidation, suggesting a lack of aggressive accumulation. In the near term, holding the $2,000 level is critical, while a breakout above $2,300 would be required to challenge the current bearish structure. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

The Ethereum treasury firm led by Thomas Lee now has increased its buying pace for three consecutive weeks even as unrealized losses mount.

Ethereum is holding above the $2,000 level as selling pressure begins to build again, placing the market at a critical inflection point after a short-lived recovery. While ETH has managed to stabilize above this psychological threshold, recent price action suggests that momentum remains fragile, with sellers gradually regaining control following the latest push higher. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Inflows Signal Shift: Whales Reduce Selling Pressure Despite this renewed pressure, underlying on-chain data is signaling an important structural development. According to a CryptoQuant report, whales holding over 100,000 ETH have now returned to a profitable state. This shift is significant, as large holders typically operate with longer investment horizons and tend to influence broader market trends through their positioning. Historically, the transition of major whale cohorts from loss to profit has often coincided with the early stages of new market cycles. These phases tend to mark the end of capitulation periods, where large investors accumulate at lower levels before gradually moving into profit as the price recovers. While whale profitability reflects improving cost basis conditions, it can also introduce potential distribution risk if large holders choose to realize gains. In this context, Ethereum’s ability to maintain support above $2,000 will likely determine whether the market stabilizes or faces renewed downside pressure. Whale Profitability as a Structural Inflection Signal Historical data shows that the loss zones for large Ethereum whales have consistently aligned with broader market bottoms. These phases typically reflect periods of capitulation, where price compresses below the aggregate cost basis of major holders, forcing weaker participants out while stronger hands accumulate. In previous cycles, such conditions have marked the final stages of downside pressure rather than the beginning of prolonged declines. More importantly, the transition from loss to profitability among these large wallets has repeatedly coincided with the early stages of sustained uptrends. Once whales regain a profitable position, market structure tends to shift. Selling pressure from distressed holders diminishes, while confidence among long-term participants begins to rebuild. This creates a more favorable environment for price expansion, particularly if supported by improving liquidity conditions. The current setup appears to be approaching a similar configuration. With whales holding over 100,000 ETH now back in profit, the market may be entering another transitional phase. However, the signal is not self-sufficient. A confirmed uptrend typically requires follow-through in the form of spot demand, capital inflows, and reduced sell-side pressure. In this context, another potential starting point for an uptrend may be forming, but confirmation remains essential. Related Reading: Binance Leads XRP Whale Exodus As 530M Tokens Exit In Single-Day Surge Ethereum Consolidates As Downtrend Remains Intact Ethereum is currently trading near the $2,000–$2,050 range, consolidating after a sharp decline that began in early February. The chart shows a clear breakdown from the $3,000 region, followed by an accelerated sell-off that briefly pushed the price below $1,900 before a modest recovery attempt. From a structural standpoint, ETH remains in a well-defined downtrend. Price continues to trade below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, all of which are trending downward. This alignment confirms that broader market momentum is still bearish, with rallies likely to encounter resistance at these dynamic levels. Related Reading: Solana Structure Fractures: Accumulation In Spot Clashes With Derivatives Selling Pressure The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive. Price briefly reclaimed the short-term moving average but failed to sustain momentum, indicating weak follow-through from buyers. Additionally, volume patterns show that the most significant spikes occurred during the sell-off phase, suggesting capitulation-driven activity rather than strong accumulation. In the near term, the $2,000 level acts as a key support zone, while the $2,200–$2,300 range represents immediate resistance. A decisive reclaim of this area would be required to shift the short-term structure. Until then, ETH remains vulnerable to further downside, with the risk of revisiting recent lows if selling pressure intensifies. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Ethereum may be nearing a major inflection point, according to market analyst Ali Martinez (@alicharts on X), who argues that a confluence of technical structure and on-chain valuation data is beginning to tilt the setup back in bulls’ favor. In a post on X, Martinez said Ethereum is showing signs of a “major structural shift,” pointing to a multi-year ascending triangle on the weekly chart, a recent test of support near $1,800, and a historically significant drop in the MVRV ratio. Taken together, the message was clear: the recent weakness may have looked less like a breakdown and more like a reset inside a larger bullish structure. Ethereum’s Path To $10,000? Martinez framed the chart setup as the backbone of the thesis. “From a technical standpoint, ETH continues to trade within a well-defined ascending triangle on the weekly chart,” he wrote. “The recent move toward $1,800 served as a critical reaction point, aligning with the rising trendline of this multi-year structure.” In other words, the analyst is not treating the bounce as an isolated event. The relevance comes from where it happened: directly at a level he views as structurally important in the context of a long-duration pattern. Related Reading: Ethereum Investor Druckenmiller Predicts Stablecoin-Led Payment Systems That technical argument was paired with an on-chain signal Martinez described as even more consequential. He said Ethereum’s MVRV ratio recently fell below 0.8, a threshold he characterized as a rare valuation reset. “Historically, this is a ‘Generational Buy’ zone. We saw similar resets before the major bull rallies of the past,” he wrote. “The fact that this on-chain reset happened exactly as price tested the triangle’s support adds massive weight to the bullish thesis.” The logic of the call rests on that overlap. A chart support test on its own can invite skepticism, especially after prolonged weakness. But Martinez’ argument is that Ethereum is not only holding a key structural zone; it is doing so while on-chain data suggests the asset has entered an area associated with deep undervaluation in previous cycles. That does not guarantee a trend reversal, but it does sharpen the significance of the current range. Related Reading: Tom Lee Says Ethereum Looks Ready To Exit Crypto Winter He also pointed to a momentum shift on lower timeframes. According to Martinez, the daily Supertrend indicator has now turned green for the first time since May of last year, suggesting the long stretch of consolidation may be giving way to a new directional move. In his telling, the market is moving out of a “sideways grind” and beginning to rebuild upward momentum. From there, Martinez laid out the price levels that could define whether the thesis holds. He identified $2,356 as the first major level Ethereum needs to reclaim, followed by $2,647 and $3,639 as mid-term breakout targets. Beyond that, he marked $4,632 and $5,624 as longer-term expansion zones. The larger prize, however, sits further out. “A sustained move above $2,356 would be our first confirmation that ETH is moving out of ‘accumulation’ and into a true bull market expansion,” he wrote. “If it can clear the previous all-time high region near $4,900, the door opens for a move toward $10,000, as it will signal a breakout of the ascending triangle.” For now, the thesis remains conditional rather than complete. Martinez described the $2,000 to $1,800 range as a “prime accumulation zone,” while adding that the bull market is not “guaranteed” yet. That caveat matters. His case for a durable bottom depends on Ethereum holding the $1,800 floor and then reclaiming higher resistance levels in sequence. If that happens, the current setup could be remembered as an early-stage reaccumulation phase rather than just another bounce inside a broader range. At press time, ETH traded at $2,054. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

While upgrades have improved efficiency and lowered costs, the ecosystem faces deeper structural questions around fragmentation, security, and purpose, even as it continues prioritizing base-layer scaling.

Ethereum is trading around the $2,150 level as volatility persists across the broader cryptocurrency market, reflecting a phase of uncertainty following recent price swings. While the asset has managed to stabilize near current levels, momentum remains fragile, with traders closely monitoring whether demand can sustain a recovery or if further downside pressure will emerge. Related Reading: Ethereum Enters High-Leverage Regime As Binance Exposure Crosses 75% Beyond price action, on-chain data is offering a more precise view of market structure. According to CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain, the Ethereum Exchange Inflow (Top10) metric on Binance provides valuable insight into whale behavior by tracking transfers from the largest wallets to the exchange. The latest data shows that Ethereum was trading near $2,137, maintaining relative stability compared to prior periods of heightened volatility. However, inflows from the top 10 wallets reached approximately 135,573 ETH, a level that remains significantly below previous peaks that exceeded one million ETH. This decline is notable. It suggests a reduction in large-scale transfer activity, indicating that whales are currently less active in moving assets to exchanges. In this context, the data points to a more cautious stance among large investors, potentially reflecting lower selling pressure but also a lack of aggressive repositioning in the current market environment. Whale Inflows Trend Lower as Selling Pressure Moderates The report further refines this view by examining the structure of whale inflows through moving averages, which provide a clearer temporal context for current activity. The EMA (7) stands at approximately 140,265 ETH, while the EMA (14) is slightly higher at 140,853 ETH. Expanding the horizon, the EMA (30) rises to around 151,694 ETH, followed by the EMA (50) at 158,203 ETH, and the EMA (100) at approximately 159,307 ETH. This upward gradient across longer-term averages is structurally meaningful. It indicates that historical inflows were significantly higher, confirming a persistent decline in whale deposit activity over time. In practical terms, large holders were transferring more ETH to exchanges in prior phases, while current behavior reflects a more restrained approach. Importantly, the latest inflow level—around 135,000 ETH—sits below most of these averages. This positioning suggests that immediate selling pressure is relatively subdued, as fewer large-scale deposits are reaching exchanges compared to previous periods. Such conditions are typically associated with reduced distribution intensity. However, the convergence between the short-term averages, particularly EMA 7 and EMA 14, points to near-term stabilization in flows. At the same time, elevated EMA 50 and EMA 100 levels indicate that the market is still normalizing after earlier waves of heavy selling, rather than entering a fully neutral phase. Related Reading: Solana Structure Fractures: Accumulation In Spot Clashes With Derivatives Selling Pressure Ethereum Struggles Below Key Moving Averages as Recovery Attempts Stall Ethereum is currently trading around the $2,150 level, attempting to stabilize after a sharp decline that accelerated in early February. The chart shows a clear breakdown from the $3,000–$3,300 range, followed by a cascade lower that briefly pushed the price below the $2,000 mark before buyers stepped in. From a structural perspective, ETH remains in a downtrend across multiple timeframes. Price is still trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, all of which are sloping downward. This alignment confirms that broader market momentum remains bearish, with rallies likely facing resistance at these dynamic levels. Related Reading: XRP Liquidations Accelerate After $1.50 Breakout: Short Squeeze Unfolds The recent bounce from sub-$2,000 levels suggests short-term relief, but the recovery lacks strong continuation. The rejection near the short-term moving average indicates that buyers are not yet strong enough to reclaim higher levels decisively. Volume analysis supports this view, with the largest spikes occurring during the sell-off phase, pointing to capitulation rather than accumulation. In the near term, the $2,100–$2,200 range acts as a pivot zone. A sustained move above this area could open the door for a test of $2,400. However, failure to hold current levels would likely expose ETH to another retest of the recent lows, keeping downside risks elevated. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Ethereum investor Stanley Druckenmiller has added his voice to the growing conversation around the future of digital finance, predicting that stablecoins could become the dominant force in global payment systems within the next few years. The veteran investor’s outlook reflects a broader shift among institutions and market participants toward viewing blockchain-based money as a critical financial infrastructure. Why Stablecoins Could Replace Traditional Payment Rails Stanley Druckenmiller, a prominent investor with exposure to Ethereum, is increasingly aligning his investment positioning with his outlook on the future of payments; one dominated by stablecoins and blockchain infrastructure. According to the Etherealize post on X, the veteran investor has publicly stated that stablecoins could power the entire payment system within the next 10 to 15 years. He further pointed to the clear advantages of blockchain-based money, such as greater efficiency, faster settlement, and significantly lower costs. Related Reading: Ethereum Remains The Top Network For Tokenized Assets As Adoption Grows This view is reflected in his exposure of the ETH ecosystem, in which Druckenmiller is listed among key backers of BitMine (BMNR), an Ethereum-focused treasury firm chaired by Tom Lee, which reportedly holds over $10 billion in ETH. Other notable supporters include ARK Invest and Bill Miller. Druckenmiller’s aligns with his recent bullish comments on stablecoins and blockchain payments. He frames blockchain and the use of stablecoins as highly practical tools for investors to invest their crypto and tokens, as they can significantly improve financial productivity. Ethereum As A Neutral Settlement Layer For Institutions The recent Cari announcement has reignited a critical debate around the future of institutional blockchain infrastructure, with much of the discussion focusing on architecture. Analyst Alex argued that the real issue lies in the business model of proprietary systems versus open standards. Related Reading: Ethereum Futures Volume Outruns Spot 6-to-1 As Macro Stress Weighs On Crypto The Government of propriety networks like Canton or Tempo will be controlled by a small group with disproportionate voting weight. They will be permissionless, but participants have to submit a Google form with opaque admission criteria to join. It’s unclear who decides this, but over time, the most influential participants will set the terms of access and pricing. From a bank’s perspective, this structure is familiar because it mirrors the early dynamics of legacy systems like SWIFT and Visa, locking in structural advantages while late joiners absorb the cost.  As Alex noted, everyone wants to build the next SWIFT-killer, but nobody wants to join someone else’s SWIFT-Killer; a typical comment from banks. This is where Ethereum stands out as the only neutral settlement layer where that dynamic can’t take hold, because no single entity can capture it.  The ETH network is the only place where every participant can permanently trust that no future coalition will rewrite the rules against them. From a game-theoretical standpoint, Alex concluded that ETH represents the only sustainable equilibrium as a global settlement layer for institutional finance that works long-term. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Tom Lee used a Hong Kong conference stage to argue that Ethereum may be close to a cyclical turn, pointing to historical market analogs and on-chain cost-basis data that, in his view, suggest the selloff has reached exhaustion. Speaking at the 3rd Futu Expo 2026 in Hong Kong on March 13–14, Lee said Bitmine advisor Tom DeMark had identified a striking resemblance between Ethereum’s recent price action and two major S&P 500 declines: the 1987 crash and the 2011 selloff. Lee described the setup as unusually tight. Is The Ethereum Bottom In? “Tom DeMark, he’s a legendary market timer, and he’s provided an analysis to us that says Ethereum, in the last few months, especially since October, is really mirroring what happened to the S&P 500 in 2011 and what happened to the S&P 500 in 1987,” Lee said. “If you were involved in US markets, both times marked major declines in the S&P. Well, according to him, there’s a 93% correlation to what Ethereum’s doing today to what the S&P did in 1987.” Related Reading: Ethereum Enters High-Leverage Regime As Binance Exposure Crosses 75% That comparison is doing a lot of work in Lee’s argument. If the 1987 analog holds, he said, Ethereum would have already bottomed on March 7. If the 2011 comparison is the better fit, the market is bottoming now. In either case, Lee’s conclusion was the same: “So using his analysis, we think we’re at the bottom or exiting the crypto winter now.” He did not leave the case resting on chart symmetry alone. Lee also pointed to Ethereum’s realized price, the on-chain metric that estimates the average acquisition cost of coins based on their last movement on the blockchain. In his telling, that figure now sits at $2,241 for ETH, giving investors a way to judge how deeply underwater the average holder has become. Lee said the pattern at prior lows is revealing. In 2022, Ethereum fell to a 39% discount to realized price. In 2025, the discount reached 21% before ETH turned higher. “Currently, we’re at 22%,” he said, adding that the market is now sitting in roughly the same zone where last year’s reversal began. “So we’re at the level where in 2025, Ethereum started to turn higher.” Related Reading: Bitwise Found What’s Really Driving Ethereum Price, And It’s Not Fundamentals In other words, Lee’s thesis is that Ethereum does not need a pristine macro backdrop or a fresh narrative cycle to stabilize; it only needs to revisit the kind of holder pain that has historically marked exhaustion. By his measure, that threshold is already here. TOM LEE: THE ETHEREUM BOTTOM IS IN ‼️ Bitmine x TOM DEMARK mapped ETH against past S&P 500 crash recoveries. The structure now closely matches 1987 and 2011, both major cycle bottoms. ???? 93% correlation to 1987 ???? Match to 2011 bottom ???? Realized price: $2,241 ???? ETH ~22%… pic.twitter.com/62TZscjChe — BMNR Bullz (@BMNRBullz) March 19, 2026 He also tried to zoom out from the immediate drawdown and re-anchor ETH in a longer time horizon. “Before you lose any hope, keep in mind that over the last 10 years, Ethereum has outperformed every other asset class over the past decade,” Lee said. “In the last 10 years, Ethereum’s return is 49,000%. That means almost 490 times your money.” Lee contrasted that with Bitcoin’s 11,000% gain over the same span and even with Nvidia, which he called “the single best stock in the US,” saying it had returned 65 times investors’ money. At press time, ETH traded at $2,147. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum, being the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has often drawn a lot of attention as the next in line to replicate Bitcoin’s success. But despite Bitcoin rallying to new all-time highs, Ethereum has stayed below $5,000, unable to hit this major target. This has not deterred investors, however, with analysts still predicting that the Ethereum price will eventually beat the $5,000 mark and rally toward 5-figures in the end. Why Ethereum Price Could Cross $5,000 Following the initial decline from the $4,900 high that was registered back in 2025, the Ethereum price was stuck in an accumulation range. This continued as the price decline deepened and Ethereum fell more than 50% from its all-time highs. However, with the recent turn in the tide, it seems that the digital asset is now emerging out of this accumulation trend. Crypto analyst Javon Marks points this out in an analysis shared on the X (formerly Twitter) platform, showing how this could play out for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Analyst Says Ignore The Noise, Dogecoin Is Still In The Game, And This Is Why Presently, the Ethereum price looks to be marking its support above $2,000, and this has set the stage for a bounce-off rally. According to the crypto analyst, this current trend suggests that Ethereum is actually breaking out of the accumulation trend. This, in turn, sets this digital asset on a course toward breaking $4,900. The story doesn’t end there because Marks highlights that the implications of the Ethereum price breaking above $4,900 are very bearish. In the case of a break above this major resistance, then the crypto analyst sees the ETH price eventually rallying to $8,500. Bull patterns that hold in $ETH hints at a push towards the $4,900 levels again and that may only be part of prices exiting a huge accumulation phase. Prices reach those levels and the next we’re looking at is above $8,500. (Ethereum) https://t.co/Ik7znLXZQb — JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) March 17, 2026 Metrics Are Itching For A Surge Besides the price, there has also been a major increase in the Ethereum open interest. Data from the Coinglass website shows a jump from around $25 billion last week to over $32 billion this week. It also coincides with the price increase, suggesting that investors may be coming back to the table. Related Reading: Top Meme Coins That Could Still Surge Despite Dogecoin, Shiba Inu Dominance Also, the daily trading volume is also on the rise, reaching over $89 billion earlier in the week. Following the correction, the daily volume has fallen, but remains above $50 billion, which also indicates a lot of interest coming back into the market. If this trend continues, then the ETH price could continue to surge, but with major resistance lying at $3,000, it remains to be seen if bears will give up totally. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Oil prices slipped as major economies announced joint efforts to stabilize energy markets.

Ethereum has slipped into a valuation range that some on-chain analysts associate with major long-term bottoms, after ETH fell below its realized price for the first time in two years. Via X, renowned crypto analyst Ali Martinez argued on Thursday the setup now resembles prior cycle lows. Ethereum Drops Into MVRV Buy Zone In a post on X, the analyst wrote: “Ethereum has entered a generational ‘Buy Zone.’ The MVRV Ratio, which measures the gap between market price and average investor cost basis, has just dropped into the 0.8 – 1.0 range. Historically, this ‘fair value’ reset has been the precursor to massive structural bull rallies.” That framing rests on a familiar on-chain logic. When MVRV falls toward or below 1.0, spot price is converging with, or moving under, the aggregate on-chain cost basis of holders. In practical terms, the market is no longer pricing Ethereum at the rich premium seen during euphoric phases. Instead, it is testing a zone where prior cycles have exhausted sellers and attracted longer-duration buyers. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Above $2,300 As Open Interest Expansion Reinforces Uptrend Stability Martinez paired that argument with a chart showing previous rebounds from the same region. The historical moves cited from this “Buy Zone” were substantial: roughly 150%, 5,390%, 130%, 280% and 250%. The implication was explicit. “On-chain data suggests Ethereum is approaching a long-term bottom. For those with a 12-24 month horizon, the accumulation window is officially open!” Glassnode posted a similar signal last week, though in more restrained terms. “ETH has dropped below its realized price for the first time in 2 years – signaling that the average investor is now holding an unrealized loss,” the firm wrote on March 11. It added two key metrics alongside the chart: Realized Price at $2,058.04 and MVRV: 0.93 (7% unrealized loss). Related Reading: Bitwise Found What’s Really Driving Ethereum Price, And It’s Not Fundamentals Those numbers sharpen the broader thesis. A realized price of $2,058.04 against a market price of $1,917.86 means Ethereum was trading below the average on-chain acquisition cost tracked by Glassnode’s model. An MVRV of 0.93 suggests the typical holder, in aggregate, is down about 7% on paper. That does not guarantee a bottom, but it does indicate a phase where speculative excess has already been largely unwound. In overheated markets, MVRV expands as price runs well above the network’s realized cost basis, often reflecting crowded profits and rising distribution risk. In contrast, sub-1.0 readings tend to appear when conviction is weak, sentiment is damaged, and marginal sellers have already absorbed a large part of the decline. That is why analysts often treat the zone as strategically important even if price action remains volatile in the short term. At press time, ETH rebounded above realized price again and traded at $2,139. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum is trading above the $2,150 level after pulling back from recent highs near $2,380 reached earlier this week, reflecting a cooling phase following a short-term surge in bullish momentum. The retrace suggests that while buyers were able to push prices higher, follow-through demand remains limited as the market digests recent gains. Related Reading: XRP Liquidations Accelerate After $1.50 Breakout: Short Squeeze Unfolds Beneath the surface, derivatives data is revealing a more consequential shift in market structure. According to a CryptoQuant analysis, Ethereum leverage on Binance has not only recovered from the October 10 market-wide deleveraging event, but has now expanded to new highs. Notably, Binance stands out as the only major exchange where leverage metrics have fully surpassed previous levels, signaling a concentrated buildup of risk. This development carries important implications. The rapid re-expansion of leverage suggests that traders are once again increasing exposure through derivatives, reinforcing Binance’s role as the primary venue for ETH positioning. More importantly, it indicates that price discovery is increasingly being driven by leveraged activity rather than spot demand. In this context, Ethereum’s current structure reflects a market where momentum is still present, but increasingly dependent on derivatives-driven flows rather than organic accumulation. Leverage Dominates Ethereum’s Market Structure The analysis highlights a critical shift in Ethereum’s derivatives landscape. The Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR)—which measures open interest relative to exchange reserves—shows that over 75% of ETH exposure on Binance is now leveraged. At the same time, Binance holds approximately 3% of the total ETH supply, around 3.4 million ETH, underscoring the exchange’s central role in price formation. What stands out is the speed of this leverage expansion. Rapid gains and minimal consolidation suggest that derivatives activity, not sustained spot demand, drove much of Ethereum’s recent upside. This creates a structurally different market environment. Leverage-driven markets tend to behave asymmetrically. While they can extend trends aggressively in the short term, they also become increasingly fragile as positioning builds. Crowded trades emerge, where even minor catalysts—whether macro, technical, or liquidity-driven—can trigger liquidation cascades and sharp reversals. In this context, the signal is unambiguous: leverage is leading the move, not confirming it. While this dynamic can support continuation in the near term, it also elevates the probability of sudden volatility spikes. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Above $2,300 As Open Interest Expansion Reinforces Uptrend Stability Ethereum Struggles to Reclaim Structure After Breakdown Ethereum’s daily chart shows a fragile recovery attempt following a decisive breakdown below key support levels, with price currently hovering around the $2,150–$2,200 region. The sharp decline in early February marked a clear loss of structure, as ETH fell below its 200-day moving average, confirming a shift from bullish to corrective conditions. Since that breakdown, price has been attempting to stabilize, forming a short-term base between $1,900 and $2,200. The recent bounce toward $2,300 indicates some return of demand, but the move lacks strong continuation, suggesting that buyers are still cautious. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Step In: $33M ETH Withdrawn From Exchanges In Hours Technically, Ethereum remains below all major moving averages, which are now sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance. The rejection near the short-term averages reinforces the idea that the market is still in a bearish or transitional phase, rather than a confirmed recovery. Volume patterns add further context. The initial selloff was accompanied by a significant spike in volume, indicative of forced liquidations, while the subsequent recovery has occurred on relatively lower participation—pointing to limited conviction behind the bounce. For Ethereum to regain momentum, a sustained reclaim of the $2,300–$2,500 zone is required. Until then, price action remains vulnerable to further downside pressure. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

A recent rebound in the Ethereum price has brought renewed focus to an analyst who accurately identified its local bottom. With price now recovering sharply from that region, the same market watcher has outlined the next key levels that could determine Ethereum’s direction in the coming weeks. Ethereum Price Breakdown To Reversal Confirms Analyst’s Call Ethereum’s earlier decline unfolded through a series of failed bullish structures, gradually weakening confidence in the uptrend. The first sign of trouble emerged when a bullish flag pattern broke down near the $3,700 level, cutting short expectations of continuation. This was followed by a more decisive shift as an ascending triangle failed, leading to a breakdown below the $3,000 support zone. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin Price Could Stage A Stronger Rally Than Previous Bull Markets As the Ethereum price moved lower into the $2,000–$1,850 range, the analyst highlighted $1,800 as a critical level to watch. According to him, holding that level would likely trigger a recovery toward $2,650, while losing it could expose a deeper move toward $1,300, identified as a stronger accumulation zone. Price action ultimately respected the bullish scenario. Ethereum stabilized within the $1,800–$1,900 range, where buying pressure emerged and formed a base. From there, the market began to recover, delivering a gain of roughly 28% from the entry zone identified by the analyst.  Building on that accuracy, Ethereum reclaimed previously resistant levels. The analyst noted a bearish flag near $2,150 that eventually broke, signaling a short-term momentum shift. A move above $2,300 further strengthened the recovery, showing buyers were regaining control. The market’s trajectory ultimately confirmed the analyst’s call, proving his forecast precise and reliable. Ethereum Builds On Accurate Call With FVG Target And $3,000 Test Ahead Attention has now shifted to a target identified by the analyst as the next likely area of interest: the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $2,474 and $2,734. The analyst highlights this zone as a potential point where Ethereum may revisit before making a more decisive move. According to him, a push above the upper boundary—particularly past $2,634—would increase the likelihood of a test toward $3,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin And US Election Cycles: An Age-Long Romance That Says $400,000 Is Possible That level is expected to act as a key decision point. While the recovery has been strong, overhead resistance remains, including prior support zones that have turned into resistance and a descending trendline visible on the chart. These factors suggest that any move into $3,000 will be closely contested. At the same time, the analyst maintains that holding above $1,750 is essential to preserving the current uptrend. A break below that level could weaken the structure and reintroduce downside risk. By closely tracking price action, the analyst outlines what to expect next: a clear progression from breakdown to accumulation, now moving toward a potential expansion phase as Ethereum approaches its next major test. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum has surged 24% in just over a week, breaking above a key resistance with strong volume and signaling renewed bullish momentum. With a bullish structure still intact, attention now shifts to whether ETH can sustain the move toward the $4,956 target or pause for a brief pullback first. Ethereum Rallies 24% Into Resistance — Is A Pullback To $2,150 Next? Following a swift 24% rally over the past 8 days, ETH has hit a major resistance level and is showing signs of rejection. According to Max Trades, this vertical move has occurred without any meaningful retracements, making a cooling-off period highly likely. A pullback at this stage is considered a healthy part of the market cycle to reset momentum. Related Reading: The End Of Ethereum’s Downtrend? Key Indicator Flashes First Bullish Signal Since September A primary target for a potential long entry is the $2,150 level, which previously acted as range-high resistance. The setup is further bolstered by technical confluence, as this price point aligns closely with a key Fibonacci retracement level and sits above the weekly open. Currently, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are positioned below the spot price, providing a dynamic cushion. This suggests that the broader trend is still intact despite the immediate need for a price correction. Risk management is defined by a clear invalidation point below the $2,080 support level, which coincides with the Fibonacci Golden Pocket, a critical area for buyers to defend.  ETH Breaks Key Resistance With Volume — $4,956 Target Now In Play? In an update, Kamile Uray noted that Ethereum has broken above the pink resistance level on the chart with strong volume; a move that stands out compared to Bitcoin, which has yet to deliver a similar high-conviction breakout. The surge in volume adds credibility to the move, suggesting that bullish momentum is gaining traction. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Struggles Near Highs — Reversal Risk Rising From a lower timeframe perspective, a sustained 4-hour close above the $2,475 level would serve as the first confirmation that the upward trend has room to continue. Holding above this zone could reinforce the breakout structure and signal that buyers remain in control in the short term. The broader outlook remains bullish as long as Ethereum continues to defend the $1,916 bottom on the 4-hour timeframe. Maintaining this level keeps the market structure supportive of further upside within the current trend. Uray also highlighted that the Libra formation is still in play, with an upside target near $4,956. However, the $3,445 level stands out as a key resistance on the way up, where a rejection could trigger a temporary pullback before continuation. On the downside, the formation would be invalidated if price drops below the $1,388 level, marking it as the critical stop point for the bullish scenario. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum’s price has spent much of the past cycle lagging its own institutional and on-chain progress, and Bitwise says the reason is straightforward: ETH is still trading primarily as a Bitcoin proxy, not as a fundamentally valued network. In a new factor-model analysis, the asset manager found BTC has been the dominant force behind weekly ETH returns since 2018, with macro conditions, network activity and ETP flows playing secondary roles. That finding matters because it cuts against one of the more persistent narratives around Ethereum. Regulatory clarity has improved, institutional access has broadened, and Ethereum still underpins a large share of stablecoin and tokenized-asset activity. Yet ETH remains about 62% below its all-time high, a disconnect Bitwise set out to explain with a model based on 406 weekly observations going back to May 2018. The answer, at least statistically, is that Bitcoin overwhelms almost everything else. Bitwise said ETH “moves nearly 1:1 with BTC on a weekly basis,” with a coefficient of roughly 0.99. BTC alone explains around 65% of Ethereum’s return variance, making it the clear core driver of price direction. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Step In: $33M ETH Withdrawn From Exchanges In Hours The firm’s broader conclusion is blunt. “Adoption fundamentals, such as active addresses, clearly have less impact on Ethereum’s price than many assume,” the report said. “Extending this further, revenue generation appears even less relevant, as it was removed from the GETS model as ‘noise rather than signal.’ Combining both of these conclusions supports the idea that since the start of the model in 2018, Ethereum has been priced more like a network-driven commodity than a business with durable cash flows.” Other Factors Impacting Ethereum Price That framing runs through the rest of the report. Financial conditions, measured through the Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index, emerged as the second most important explanatory variable. Bitwise assigned the factor a coefficient of about 0.05, with mean explanatory power of 11.3%, though that climbed to roughly 40% at peak periods. Network activity, proxied by active addresses, had a smaller coefficient near 0.03 and average explanatory power of 6%, rising to 30% in stronger phases. ETF flows showed a different pattern. Their coefficient was only around 0.01, but Bitwise said they were “highly significant,” explaining about 10% of ETH variance on average and up to 40% at peak. In other words, flows matter consistently, but not with the same force as BTC-led market beta. That distinction becomes clearer in different market regimes. Between June and August 2025, Bitwise said Ethereum behaved like a levered Bitcoin trade, with its BTC coefficient rising to between 1.5 and 1.6 as BTC approached fresh highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Futures Volume Outruns Spot 6-to-1 As Macro Stress Weighs On Crypto During the post-FTX stress period in the second half of 2022, the dynamic became even harsher: “Every factor except BTC carried a negative coefficient as returns were explained up to 90% by BTC. In moments like these, cash liquidity is what matters. Not fundamentals, flows or macro. As such, ETH was essentially anchored to BTC.” There have been exceptions. Bitwise identified May 2021 as the period of lowest BTC sensitivity, when Bitcoin had already peaked but Ethereum kept rallying as active addresses surged during the NFT boom. Still, those idiosyncratic windows appear episodic rather than structural. The report also undercuts the case that a richer multi-factor framework materially improves short-term forecasting. While the model explains historical returns reasonably well, Bitwise said its out-of-sample performance failed to beat a much simpler AR(1)+BTC model. Most of the predictive value came from Bitcoin exposure and price persistence, while additional factors added only limited forecasting power. That leaves Ethereum in what Bitwise called a “paradoxical position”: a network with deepening institutional relevance, dominant stablecoin and tokenization market share, and an increasingly focused roadmap, but a price still driven mostly by external beta. At press time, ETH traded at $2,305. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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Ethereum is showing renewed strength as the market tests key resistance levels following a prolonged period of downward pressure and consolidation. The recent price action suggests that buyers are gradually regaining control, with ETH attempting to build momentum as traders evaluate whether the current move can evolve into a broader recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Step In: $33M ETH Withdrawn From Exchanges In Hours While spot price action reflects improving sentiment, derivatives data points to deeper structural changes taking place beneath the surface. According to CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain, the ETH Open Interest 30-day change indicator reveals a clear shift in how traders are positioning across major platforms. The data highlights a divergence in open interest flows, suggesting that liquidity is not leaving the market but rather being redistributed. On Binance, open interest has increased by approximately 11,400 ETH, indicating continued inflows of capital despite recent volatility. At the same time, Bybit recorded a substantial rise of around 2.51 million ETH, reinforcing the view that traders are actively re-engaging with the derivatives market. This pattern suggests that participants are selectively rebuilding exposure rather than exiting positions entirely. For analysts, such behavior often reflects a transitional phase, where confidence begins to return, and liquidity concentrates on key platforms, potentially setting the stage for stronger directional moves. Open Interest Divergence Reflects Market Repositioning CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain notes that not all platforms are seeing the same level of activity, highlighting a clear divergence across the Ethereum derivatives landscape. While Binance and Bybit have recorded strong inflows, Bitfinex, Kraken, and Gate.io have shown weaker performance, with either limited growth or outright declines in open interest. According to the data, Bitfinex saw a decrease of approximately 35,700 ETH, while Kraken recorded a drop of around 4,300 ETH. Gate.io, meanwhile, showed relatively muted activity compared to other major exchanges. These figures suggest that some segments of the market remain cautious, with traders reducing exposure or avoiding aggressive positioning in the current environment. From a structural perspective, this divergence points to a market in transition rather than one in decline. While some participants are closing positions to manage risk, others are selectively increasing exposure on platforms where liquidity and opportunity appear more favorable. This type of redistribution often precedes stronger directional moves, as capital consolidates in specific venues and trading strategies evolve. Importantly, the overall trend in open interest remains supportive. Sustained or rising open interest indicates that liquidity continues to flow into the derivatives market, reinforcing the stability of Ethereum’s uptrend and suggesting that traders are increasingly confident in maintaining their positions as momentum builds. Related Reading: XRP Liquidity Builds on Binance – What The 2.78B Reserve Spike Means Ethereum Faces Key Resistance After Rebound From Capitulation Lows The Ethereum daily chart shows the asset attempting to extend its recovery after the sharp capitulation event that occurred in early February. ETH is currently trading around $2,330, having rebounded from lows near the $1,800 level, where a significant spike in volume signaled aggressive buyer absorption. Following that low, Ethereum established a base between $1,900 and $2,100, forming a consolidation range before breaking higher. The recent move has allowed ETH to reclaim the short-term moving average, which had acted as persistent resistance during the downtrend. This shift suggests that short-term momentum is now favoring buyers, at least in the near term. Related Reading: XRP Supply Tightens On Binance As Scarcity Index Signals Limited Liquidity However, the broader structure remains mixed. Price is still trading below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, both of which continue to slope downward. This indicates that the recovery is still developing within a larger corrective framework rather than confirming a full trend reversal. The $2,300–$2,400 region now stands as a critical resistance zone. This level aligns with previous support that broke during the February selloff, making it a likely area of supply. If Ethereum can sustain acceptance above this range, the next upside targets could emerge near $2,700 and $3,000. Otherwise, rejection here may lead to renewed consolidation below resistance. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Despite a recent resurgence in prices, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, are not expected to achieve new all-time highs this year, according to analysts at Citigroup.  The company significantly revised its forecasts for both cryptocurrencies on Tuesday, reflecting concerns about the slow pace of legislative progress in the United States, which limits the potential for regulatory catalysts that could drive increased demand from institutional investors and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Targets Revised Downward In their latest update, Citigroup lowered its 12-month price target for Bitcoin from $143,000 to $112,000, while Ethereum’s forecast was reduced from $4,304 to $3,175.  This suggests that, based on current trade prices, Bitcoin is predicted to increase by nearly 50% in the remaining months of the year from $74,360. Ethereum, on the other hand, would see a nearly 62% increase in price from its present level of $2,314 per token over the course of the year.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns To Full Bull Mode: Key Indicators Signal Bottom And Major Relief Rally Citi strategist Alex Saunders emphasized that while regulatory catalysts are essential for fostering greater adoption and inflows into the market, the opportunity for significant US legislative action this year is diminishing. The report further highlights that, under a recessionary economic climate, Bitcoin could see its price dip to as low as $58,000, while Ethereum might fall to around $1,198.  Conversely, in a bullish scenario driven by heightened demand from end investors, Bitcoin’s price could reach $165,000, with Ethereum potentially climbing to $4,488. Tight Timeline For Crypto Legislation Progress The upcoming mid-term elections in November further complicate the legislative landscape for crypto-focused regulation. Should Democrats gain additional seats in Congress, the chances of passing the crypto market structure bill (CLARITY Act) could diminish. For the bill to advance, support from 7 Senate Democrats is required.  Citigroup analysts suggest that Bitcoin is likely to trade within a range while awaiting developments in the legislative arena, with $70,000 acting as a significant price point as the US election approaches. Related Reading: Circle (CRLC) Boosted By USDC Demand: New Analyst Projections Suggest Rally To $136 Earlier on Tuesday, Bitcoinist reported that Alex Thorn from the research team at Galaxy Digital pointed out that time is of the essence. He cautioned that if progress is not made this month, the likelihood of passing the CLARITY Act this year will become “extremely low.” While negotiations in Washington D.C focus on resolving the stablecoin rewards issue, Thorn highlighted that additional challenges could emerge. These challenges may include discussions regarding decentralized finance (DeFi), investor protections, and broader ethical considerations in the digital asset sector.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

A crypto analyst has identified an eight-year convergence pattern on the Ethereum (ETH)-Bitcoin (BTC) trading pair chart, suggesting it could signal the long-awaited onset of an altcoin season. Although rumors of an altcoin season have circulated in the crypto space since before 2025, such a phase has yet to materialize, underscoring the persistent volatility in alternative cryptocurrencies throughout this bull market. Despite this prolonged delay, the analyst argues that the new convergence structure could become a catalyst that fuels an altcoin season even more powerful than the one observed in 2021.   Ethereum Chart Structure Signals Powerful Altcoin Season Crypto analyst CW has presented a new technical analysis suggesting a major altcoin season in this cycle. Supported by a multi-year chart structure, the analysis centers on the ETH/BTC trading pair and outlines a unique convergence pattern that has been developing since mid-2017.  Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Are Struggling Again, And Here’s What’s Behind It In his post on X, CW predicts that this convergence pattern could break during the current bull market cycle. The structure is visible on the weekly chart as a large descending triangle or wedge that started when ETH/BTC reached a peak around 0.16. Since that high, the pair has been compressing between a descending resistance line and a flat horizontal support level near the 0.020 zone.  Price action in the chart shows that ETH/BTC hit this peak during the 2021 bull market but failed to break the upper descending trendline of the converging pattern. Following this, the pair dropped back sharply and has continued to trend lower, now pressing into the very tip of the convergence pattern near the 0.029 level.  This suggests that ETH/BTC is approaching its final stage near the apex of the descending triangle pattern. The narrowing distance between the resistance and the support suggests the market could be at a critical juncture. CW suggests that a breakout from this point could end the trading pair’s eight-year compression within the convergence pattern. If this happens, it could signal a major shift in strength from BTC to ETH, and finally to the broader altcoin market, marking the potential onset of an altcoin season in 2026.   2026 Altcoin Season To Surpass 2021 Boom CW emphasized in his post that the altcoin season he anticipates in this bull cycle could exceed the strength of the 2021 cycle, mirroring the explosive scale of the 2017 cycle. He argued that many investors underestimate how powerful the 2017 bull run was, noting that it delivered wider, more aggressive gains across the altcoin market than the more selective rally in 2021.  Related Reading: Is The Altcoin Market Dead? Why These Cryptocurrencies Have Failed To Move In a previous analysis, CW shared a separate chart from CryptoQuant, adding further weight to his outlook for a 2026 altcoin season. The chart, which tracks the CEX volume ratio of non-BTC assets versus Bitcoin, excluding stablecoins, compares the current market setup to the 2021 altcoin season.  In both periods, altcoin trading activity on centralized exchanges was consistently higher than Bitcoin’s volume. However, CW notes that this activity has been running for much longer in 2026 than in 2021. He believes this sustained volume, coupled with a potential breakout from ETH/BTC’s current convergence pattern, strengthens the case of a powerful altcoin season in 2026. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum has reclaimed the $2,300 level as renewed buying activity begins to emerge across the market following months of persistent downward pressure. The recovery marks an important shift in short-term sentiment, with traders increasingly pointing to strengthening momentum as buyers attempt to regain control after a prolonged corrective phase. Related Reading: XRP Supply Tightens On Binance As Scarcity Index Signals Limited Liquidity The recent move higher suggests that the market may be entering a transitional period, where accumulation replaces the aggressive selling that characterized much of the previous months. Ethereum, which often acts as a high-beta asset within the cryptocurrency ecosystem, tends to react strongly when risk appetite begins to return. The reclaim of the $2,300 threshold is therefore being closely monitored as a potential pivot point that could determine whether the current rebound evolves into a broader recovery. At the same time, on-chain data indicates that large investors are actively accumulating Ethereum. Recent blockchain analytics reveal multiple whale-sized transactions, with significant amounts of ETH being withdrawn from major exchanges and moved into private wallets. Such activity is often interpreted as a sign of strategic accumulation, as large holders typically move assets off exchanges when preparing for longer-term positioning rather than short-term selling. For many analysts, the return of whale demand may represent an early signal that confidence is gradually returning to the Ethereum market. Whale Accumulation Signals Growing Institutional Interest Recent on-chain data highlighted by Lookonchain suggests that large investors are actively accumulating Ethereum as the market begins to recover. According to the blockchain analytics platform, whale address 0x7143 withdrew 10,000 ETH, worth approximately $23.28 million, from Bitget roughly 30 minutes ago. This transaction moves a significant amount of Ethereum from the exchange into a private wallet. In addition to this transfer, Lookonchain also reported that a newly created wallet identified as 0x672D withdrew 4,300 ETH, valued at around $10.02 million, from OKX approximately eight hours earlier. The creation of a fresh wallet followed by a large withdrawal often draws attention from analysts, as this behavior can signal new capital entering the market or an investor establishing a long-term position. Large exchange withdrawals signal a bullish trend by reducing the immediate supply available for sale in the spot market. When whales move assets into private wallets, it often reflects a preference for custody and accumulation rather than short-term trading activity. Combined with Ethereum’s recent attempt to stabilize above key technical levels, these transactions suggest that large market participants may be positioning ahead of a potential continuation of the current recovery phase. Related Reading: Ethereum Futures Volume Outruns Spot 6-to-1 As Macro Stress Weighs On Crypto Ethereum Tests Critical Resistance After Sharp Recovery The weekly Ethereum chart shows the asset attempting to regain strength after a severe correction earlier in 2026. ETH is currently trading near $2,310, following a strong rebound from the February lows, when the price briefly dropped toward the $1,600 region before buyers stepped in aggressively. That sharp selloff triggered a clear capitulation event, visible in the large volume spike accompanying the decline. Since then, Ethereum has formed a short-term recovery structure, climbing back above $2,000 and gradually approaching the $2,300–$2,400 zone, which now acts as a major technical resistance level. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Loads Up $152M In ETH In Three Days — How Much More Will He Buy? From a structural perspective, ETH remains in a medium-term consolidation phase. Price is still trading below the longer-term 200-week moving average, which currently sits above the market and continues to slope downward. This indicates that while short-term momentum has improved, the broader trend has not yet fully transitioned back to bullish territory. At the same time, Ethereum has reclaimed the shorter-term moving averages, suggesting that buying pressure is returning after months of distribution and market weakness. If buyers manage to sustain price above the $2,300 region, the next resistance areas could emerge near $2,700 and $3,100, where previous consolidation zones and moving averages converge. Failure to hold this level, however, could lead to renewed consolidation between $2,000 and $2,300 as the market continues searching for direction. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin's move, led by unwinding of shorts, has lifted the broader crypto market, with the CoinDesk 20 Index up 5%.

Ethereum has reclaimed the $2,200 level as the broader cryptocurrency market shows signs of short-term strength following several weeks of volatility and uncertain momentum. The move higher suggests that buyers are attempting to regain control after a prolonged corrective phase, even as macroeconomic conditions continue to weigh on risk assets. Related Reading: $61.9M Ethereum Buy Sparks Speculation – Mystery Whale Turns $1M Profit Overnight However, a recent CryptoQuant report highlights that the broader environment remains fragile. According to the analysis, escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran have contributed to a sharp surge in global oil prices. Rising energy costs are adding new pressure to an already sensitive macroeconomic landscape. Recent US inflation data underscores this challenge. Core CPI came in at 2.5% year-over-year, while the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, core PCE, registered 3.1% year-over-year, suggesting that inflationary pressures remain persistent. Higher oil prices could complicate the outlook further. If energy costs continue rising, inflation data for the coming months—particularly March and April—may reflect additional upward pressure. As a result, many institutional investors have begun rotating away from risk assets. The shift has coincided with a strengthening US dollar and rising long-term bond yields, both of which typically reduce liquidity available for speculative markets. Within the crypto sector, altcoins appear particularly vulnerable, with Ethereum often acting as the primary barometer of broader altcoin sentiment. Futures Dominance Signals Weakness in Ethereum’s Spot Market A recent CryptoQuant analysis by Darkfost highlights notable structural shifts in Ethereum’s market activity, particularly within the derivatives sector. According to the report, ETH open interest on Binance has declined significantly since January, falling by roughly 400,000 ETH, which represents nearly $4 billion in futures positions leaving the market. Such a reduction typically reflects a cooling of speculative leverage as traders close positions or reduce exposure following periods of volatility. However, the report notes that the derivatives market continues to dominate Ethereum’s trading activity despite the drop in open interest. One of the most striking signals appears in the spot-to-futures volume ratio on Binance, which has now fallen to its lowest level since 2023, near the end of the previous bear market cycle. Currently, futures trading volume on the platform exceeds spot trading volume by more than six times. This imbalance suggests that Ethereum’s spot market remains relatively weak, with fewer participants actively purchasing the asset outright. Instead, trading activity appears concentrated in leveraged derivatives markets. Darkfost also points to a potential factor influencing market caution. Continued sales from major ecosystem entities—such as the Ethereum Foundation or even wallets associated with Vitalik Buterin—may be contributing to investor hesitation and limiting stronger spot demand in the current environment. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Loads Up $152M In ETH In Three Days — How Much More Will He Buy? Ethereum Approaches Key Resistance After Short-Term Breakout The 4-hour chart shows Ethereum gaining momentum after a period of prolonged consolidation that dominated price action throughout February and early March. During that phase, ETH repeatedly tested the $1,900–$2,050 range, forming a broad accumulation structure as volatility gradually declined. In recent sessions, however, buyers have regained control of the short-term trend. Ethereum has now broken above the cluster of moving averages that previously acted as dynamic resistance, including the short-term and mid-term trend indicators visible on the chart. This shift suggests improving bullish momentum and a potential transition from consolidation to recovery. Related Reading: XRP Reserves On Binance Drop To Lowest Level Since April 2025 – A $3.7B Drain Price is currently trading around the $2,260 area, which represents the next immediate resistance zone. This level previously acted as a supply region during earlier rebounds, meaning sellers may attempt to defend it again. Volume has also increased during the latest upward move, indicating stronger market participation compared to earlier attempts to push higher. Rising volume during breakouts often signals stronger conviction among buyers. From a structural perspective, the market now faces a critical test. If Ethereum manages to hold above the $2,100–$2,150 support zone, the bullish momentum could extend toward the $2,300–$2,400 region. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Fresh ETF inflows, digital asset treasury buying and a shift away from bitcoin to altcoins are helping lift the second-largest cryptocurrency.

The document quickly sparked debate across the Ethereum community, with supporters saying it reinforces the network’s core principles. Critics, however, argue the mandate signals the foundation intends to take a backseat just as institutional interest in blockchain is accelerating.

The ether treasury firm now holds nearly 4.6 million ETH, while maintaining a $1.2 billion cash position despite ramping up acquisitions.

According to the latest on-chain data, Ethereum appears to be entering a state of undervaluation, with the potential of rebounding to new highs. However, the question is — is it really time to buy ETH? ETH Could Drop Another 40% Before Bear Cycle Ends In a new Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci shared that Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is starting to become relatively cheap. The relevant on-chain indicator in this observation is the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, an indicator that compares a coin’s market cap and its realized cap. Related Reading: Strategy’s Bitcoin Bet Now $3.35 Billion In The Red As Saylor Tells Investors To Wait Typically, the MVRV ratio offers insight into how the value the investors (of Ethereum, in this case) hold (the market cap) measures against the value they put in (the realized cap). When the value of this ratio is greater than one, it means that more investors are in profit at the moment. On the flip side, a lower-than-one ratio suggests that holders are currently underwater. Typically, high MVRV values are considered cycle top signals, while a low ratio indicates that the cryptocurrency has either reached or is close to a bottom. According to Kesmeci, the Ethereum MVRV is currently at 0.9, meaning that ETH might be getting undervalued. However, Kesmeci mentioned that while Ethereum is indeed cheap, there is still a chance the altcoin gets cheaper from its current price point. To explain this point, the analyst highlighted the Realized Price Bands metric, noting that the ETH price has often gravitated toward the green band (the Realized Price lower band) in bear cycles. According to data from CryptoQuant, the green band currently sits at around $1,152, suggesting a potential further downturn of over 40% from the current price point. Kesmeci added: So yes, MVRV at 0.9 confirms ETH is getting cheaper. But the chart also clearly shows that MVRV has a habit of pushing down to 0.5 and below during full bear cycles. The Realized Price Bands confirm the same picture. Ethereum can dive into much colder waters from here. In summary, the Ethereum price is at risk of further downside from its current price point, despite being nearly 60% down from the current cycle high. Prediction Market Bets On Ether Losing No. 2 Crypto Spot According to an ongoing prediction market on Polymarket, Ethereum is being projected to lose its position as the second-largest cryptocurrency. The odds of the altcoin getting flipped rose to as high as 57% on the prediction market platform on Saturday. As of this writing, the Ether token is valued at around $2,090, with a market capitalization of over $253.1 billion. According to CoinGecko, the closest cryptocurrency (excluding stablecoins) to ETH is BNB, with a market capitalization of over $89 billion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Fails To Break $74,000 Resistance: Analyst Predicts ‘Structural Bottom’ Yet to Form Featured image by DALL-E, chart from TradingView

Ethereum is tightening below a critical $2,149 resistance level, building pressure as bulls and bears jockey for control. A decisive breakout above this zone could trigger strong momentum, potentially sending the price toward the next major resistance near $2,750. A Test Of The Key $2,149 Resistance Ethereum is currently testing the $2,149 resistance level. According to insights from Bitcoin Meraklısı, this threshold represents a significant pivot point for the asset’s near-term trajectory. A successful breach and consolidation above this mark would likely act as a catalyst, providing the necessary technical clearance for the price to gain substantial upward momentum. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Pushes Higher as Bulls Fuel Market Optimism While an intermediate resistance zone exists around the $2,380 level, it is not currently viewed as a formidable barrier. Instead, it is expected to serve as a temporary pause or a minor consolidation point rather than a definitive reversal zone. The primary objective for bulls following a sustained breakout is situated near the $2,750 mark. This area represents the first zone of heavy supply and historical resistance that could challenge the prevailing trend. Reaching this level would mark a significant recovery phase, aligning with the broader bullish expectations outlined in recent technical assessments. For those seeking deeper structural clarity, a comprehensive Elliott Wave analysis is considered. This framework provides the underlying wave counts that support the current price targets, with hopes that the market structure produces a favorable outcome. Ethereum Hits First Micro Support Zone In a recent update, More Crypto Online noted that Ethereum has moved into its first micro support zone, mirroring a similar development to Bitcoin. While the presence of support is encouraging, the pullback has been sharper than expected and does not resemble a typical wave 2 correction, leaving the overall market structure somewhat uncertain. Related Reading: Ethereum Rising Wedge Warning: Breakdown Could Send Price Toward $1,500 This sharp retracement raises questions about the sustainability of the current bullish trend. Unlike a normal corrective wave, which tends to be shallower and orderly, Ethereum’s move suggests that selling pressure is stronger than usual, and buyers are testing their conviction at this level. In this context, the market still has the potential to extend lower toward the $1,820 region. Such a scenario would indicate a deeper retracement is underway, challenging both short-term and intermediate support zones.  The first signal that this bearish scenario could gain credibility would be a sustained break below the red support line highlighted on the chart. A decisive close below this level would represent the initial structural break and could pave the way for further downside, altering the current outlook for Ethereum in the near term. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

The funds will support the EF's core operations, including protocol R&D and ecosystem grants, as part of a treasury strategy to balance ETH and fiat-like assets.