Post the Spot Ethereum ETFs launch, the ETH price has continued to struggle unexpectedly, proving that the launch of the Spot ETFs were a ‘sell the news’ event. So far, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has lost around 10% of its value since the Spot Ethereum ETFs trading began on Tuesday, July 23, and could see further decline from here, according to an analysis from Matrixport. Spot Ethereum ETFs Triggers Selling Following the launch of the Spot Ethereum ETFs, there was a lot of excitement in the market, especially around the fact that investors could now gain exposure to ETH without having to directly buy the underlying token. However, this excitement has been short-lived as days after the launch, the ETH price continues to struggle. Related Reading: End Of The Road? Shiba Inu’s Shibarium Sees Massive 80.3% Crash In Active Accounts In a report released on Thursday, Markus Thielen, Head of Research at Matrixport, outlined a number of reasons why the ETH price was declining. As Thielen explains, while the inflows crossed $100 million on the first day, the Grayscale Ethereum fund had been suffering outflows. Just like with the Spot Bitcoin ETFs launch, the Grayscale ETH fund, which holds around $9 billion in ETH, began recording outflows. This is due to the fact that Grayscale’s management fees remain high with competitors offering fees as low as 0.19%. On the first day alone, $481 million flowed out of the fund, and $326 million followed the next day. In addition to this, the Mt. Gox distributions began around the time of the Spot Ethereum ETFs launch, so this even also put extra selling pressure on the crypto market. Just as the Bitcoin price did with the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, the ETH price has responded negatively to these outflows, leading to a price decline below $4,200. Will The ETH Price Recover From Here? Outflows from the Grayscale ETH fund since the launch of the Spot Ethereum ETFs have been one of the major factors driving the ETH price decline. However, it is not the only bearish development that has emerged for the cryptocurrency. Thielen points out that the ETH price may have reached the top, using the daily stochastics indicator as a guide. Now, when the value of this indicator is low, it often means a buying opportunity and the price is hitting a low. Meanwhile, the value being high suggests that the ETH price may have hit its top. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Headed For $260,000 But This Must Happen First According to the report, the ETH price had hit a score of 92% in the days leading up to the Spot Ethereum ETFs launch. Usually, a score above 90% is bearish for the price as it means the cryptocurrency is currently in overbought territory. Subsequently, the value of the stochastic indicator is expected to decline as investors offload their holdings. So far, there have been a 5% decline from 92% to 87%, suggesting that there is still a long way to go before the ETH price stops bleeding. “Considering the recent rally and the potential overhang from Mt. Gox, the US earnings season, and the weak seasonals for August and September, it might make sense to press the Ethereum short a bit longer,” Markus Thielen said in closing. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
With the Spot Ethereum ETFs expected to begin trading on Tuesday, July 23, expectations for the ETH price have shot up drastically. Numerous analysts and market experts have come forward to predict that it would be a great development for the ETH price, pushing it to new all-time highs. However, one analyst has warned investors […]
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) has confirmed the launch date for Spot Ethereum ETFs, revealing when five Spot ETH ETFs will commence trading in the crypto market. CBOE Finalizes Launch Date For Spot Ethereum ETFs On July 19, the CBOE released a new issue notification on its official website concerning the launch of Spot Ethereum ETFs trading. According to the notification, five Spot ETH ETFs will begin trading on the Chicago Board Options Exchange on July 23, 2024, pending regulatory effectiveness. Previously, analysts, including Bloomberg Senior ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, had predicted that Spot ETH ETFs could start trading on July 2. However, Balchunas has since revised his forecast, suggesting in another X (formerly Twitter) post that ETH ETFs would likely launch on July 18. Related Reading: Crypto Market Rebounds From Lows, But Why Are Cardano Holders Suffering Losses? Amid the fluctuating timelines for Spot Ethereum’s debut, the CBOE’s confirmation carries significant weight, aligning with the summer launch date projected by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The adjustment to a July 23 launch date is partly due to delays from several Spot Ethereum ETF issuers, who have needed to amend and resubmit their S-1 registration forms to the SEC for review and approval. The five Spot ETH ETFs set to begin trading on July 23 include Fidelity Ethereum ETF Fund (FETH), Ark 21Shares Core Ethereum ETF (CETH), Franklin Ethereum ETF (EZET), VanEck Ethereum ETF (ETHV), and Invesco Galaxy Ethereum ETF (QETH). The launch of these Spot Ethereum ETFs represents a significant milestone in the crypto market, providing investors the opportunity to gain exposure to ETH without the significant risks of volatility often associated with cryptocurrencies. Furthermore, the introduction of Spot Ethereum ETFs is set to bring greater diversification in the crypto market, offering investors a new trading option beyond Spot Bitcoin ETFs. While CBOE’s confirmation of Spot Ethereum ETFs launch is a promising development for the crypto market, the real focus will be on the performance and demand of these ETFs, as their success could set a precedent for more crypto ETF filings in the future. Will ETH ETFs Match Bitcoin ETFs Demand Post Launch? The performance of Ethereum Spot ETFs has been a hot topic in the crypto space, as analysts constantly analyze whether the demand for ETH ETFs could potentially match or even surpass that of Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Related Reading: Can Burns Send The Shiba Inu And LUNC Price To $0.01? Expert Chimes In Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Bitwise, predicts that Ethereum Spot ETFs will be a resounding success, gathering about $15 billion in new assets within the first 18 months in the market. The Bitwise CIO also stated that the demand for ETH ETFs will surge significantly, potentially propelling the price of ETH to a $5,000 all time high. In contrast, Samson Mow, the CEO of JAN3, a Bitcoin technology company, believes that Spot Ethereum ETFs will not be as bullish as Spot Bitcoin ETFs. He further added that Ether ETFs will massively underperform Bitcoin ETFs in the market. While there are differing opinions regarding the success of Spot Ethereum ETFs, it remains uncertain just how well these investment products will perform following its launch. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
In a recent interview, US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Commissioner Hester Peirce reopened the discussion of adding staking features to Ethereum ETFs (exchange-traded funds) after their upcoming launch, possibly on July 23. Initially, ETF issuers such as VanEck and Fidelity had sought approval to wager the underlying Ethereum held in their products. However, it […]
Ethereum (ETH) is up in the last 24 hours. This is thanks to a recent development suggesting that the Spot Ethereum ETFs are set to launch anytime soon. These funds are expected to positively impact ETH’s price, with the second-largest crypto token poised to reach new highs. Why ETH Is Up Today Ethereum experienced a price surge following Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas’ revelation that the Spot Ethereum ETFs could begin trading by July 23. Balchunas mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has gotten back to the fund issuers and asked them to submit their final S-1 filings by July 22. Related Reading: Analyst Says Solana Price Could Rise 450% To $840 – Here Are The Drivers The SEC also asked them to request effectiveness on July 22 so they can launch on July 23. Therefore, the Spot Ethereum ETFs should launch by next week, provided there are no “unforeseeable” last-minute issues, as noted by Balchunas. The launch of the Spot Ethereum ETFs is undoubtedly bullish for ETH, giving the amount of new money set to flow into its ecosystem through these funds. Crypto research firm K33 predicted that these Spot Ethereum ETFs could attract as much as $4.8 billion in their first five months of trading. In line with this, crypto analysts predict that Ethereum could record massive gains thanks to these inflows. Crypto analyst Linda recently predicted that the crypto token could rise to as high as $4,000 soon enough. Other analysts, like Altcoin Sherpa, have also predicted that ETH will hit $4,000 soon. Meanwhile, crypto analyst and trader Tyler Durden has provided a more bullish prediction for ETH, stating that the crypto token will rise to $10,000 “just the way the chips have fallen.” The crypto analyst alluded to the Spot Ethereum ETFs as what will spark such a parabolic move for Ethereum. He claimed that institutional investors had put so much effort into ensuring that the Spot Ethereum ETFs were approved and that they would ensure that they made money from these funds while pumping ETH’s price. What The Spot Ethereum ETFs Mean For Altcoins The Spot Ethereum ETFs launch is also expected to spark massive moves for other altcoins and is likely to kickstart the altcoin season. Crypto analyst Crypto Rover advised market participants to prepare accordingly, boldly asserting that altcoin season will start once the Spot Ethereum ETFs begin trading. Related Reading: JPMorgan Says Crypto Liquidations Will End And Bitcoin Bull Market Will Begin, Here’s When From a technical perspective, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto mentioned that altcoins are ready to make major moves to the upside as Bitcoin’s dominance drops. Crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto also stated that the macro short-term correction for altcoins is about to end, meaning that the Spot Ethereum ETFs could be the catalyst that sparks a bullish reversal. At the time of writing, ETH is trading at around $3,300, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
As the highly anticipated launch of the first spot Ethereum ETFs in the United States nears, experts are predicting a significant price appreciation for the second-largest cryptocurrency in the market. Ethereum ETFs On The Horizon According to a recent Reuters report, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could approve Ethereum ETFs as soon as July 4, as discussions between asset managers and regulators enter the final stages. Industry executives and other participants who requested anonymity due to the confidential nature of the talks revealed that the process of amending the offering documents has progressed to resolving only “minor” issues, and approval is “probably not more than a week or two away.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Battling Bearish Headwinds: Is The Sell-Off Over? According to Morningstar Direct data, the launch of Bitcoin-based ETFs in the US in January was a major success, drawing around $8 billion in assets. By late June, these nine new products had nearly $38 billion in assets, although the holdings of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust – which converted its $27 billion BTC trust into an ETF simultaneously – dipped to $17.8 billion. However, experts believe the launch of the new spot Ethereum ETFs may not be as impressive as the Bitcoin ETF debut. James Butterfill, head of research at Coinshares, noted that “Ethereum is not the same size in terms of market cap, nor does it have the same volumes” as BTC. Given the differences in market size and nature of the two cryptocurrencies, Bryan Armour, an ETF analyst at Morningstar, believes inflows may be much more muted when the Ethereum ETFs launch. “With Bitcoin, there had been pent-up demand for a decade, and investor interest was off the charts,” Armour said. “This just isn’t going to command the same excitement.” However, not everyone shares the same cautious outlook. ETH Eyes Potential Rally Toward $7,500 Quinn Thompson, the founder and CIO of Lekker Capital, has recently stated that the market is in the middle of “one of the most obvious and attractive crypto buying opportunities of recent memory.” Thompson further claimed that it was “cool” to be bullish in the past, but now, it appears that “Twitter has become a contest to see who can have the most negative ETH ETF take.” Thompson further noted: Personally, I think ETH will reach $7,000 and BTC will make its first attempt at $100,000 by the election in November. The Glassnode co-founders also shared a bullish price analysis for Ether, stating that if investors look at Ether’s history, similar patterns are developing as in the early stages of the 2021 bull market. They believe the current structure gives a target of around $7,500 as a final high for Ether, mirroring the Fibonacci extension seen in 2021 and implying a strong rally in Ether “soon!” Related Reading: Dogecoin Profitability Rises To 75% As Shiba Inu Plunges To 52% While caution remains regarding the possibility of further price declines, experts argue that such a scenario would require a new exogenous event to occur. Overall, market sentiment is leaning towards Ethereum reaching $7,000 and Bitcoin’s first attempt at $100,000. At the time of writing, ETH was trading at $3,460, up more than 3% over the past 24 hours as the broader market recovers from the corrections seen over the weekend and into the beginning of the week. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan recently discussed the inflows the US Spot Ethereum ETFs could attract. Specifically, he stated how much could flow into these funds in their first 18 months of trading. Spot Ethereum ETFs To Record $15 Billion In First 18 Months Of Trading Hougan mentioned in a note to investors that the Spot Ethereum ETFs could record $15 billion in net inflows in their first 18 months of trading. He elaborated on how he arrived at these figures to show that it wasn’t just a guess. First, Hougan highlighted the market capitalizations of Bitcoin and Ethereum and stated that he expects investors to allocate to their respective exchange-traded products (ETPs) in proportion to their market caps. Related Reading: Spot Bitcoin ETFs See 7 Consecutive Days Of Outflows, Here’s What Happened Last Time Hougan noted that US investors have, so far, invested $56 billion in Spot Bitcoin ETPs and expects that figure to reach $100 billion or more by the end of 2025, when these funds should have matured further and be approved on platforms like Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch. Using this as a reference, Bitwise’s CIO stated that the Spot Ethereum ETFs would need to attract $35 billion in assets to stay on par with the Bitcoin ETFs, which he believes could take about 18 months to happen. Hougan also highlighted that the Spot Ethereum ETFs will already have $10 billion in assets upon launch, thanks to the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE), which will convert to an ETF on launch day. Therefore, Hougan noted that the Spot Ethereum ETFs are now left with $25 billion in inflows to reach parity with the amount of inflows the Spot Bitcoin ETFs are expected to reach by 2025 year-end. Hougan then highlighted data from the international ETP markets to show that investors may be allocating to Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs roughly in line with their market caps. Using The International Markets As A Point Of Reference According to Hougan, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs in Europe hold €4,601 and €1,305 in assets under management (AuM), which translates to 78% and 22% of the aggregate available funds in both markets. Similarly, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs in Canada have $4,942 CAD (77%) and $1,475 CAD (23%) respectively. Related Reading: Crypto Research Firm Says Bitcoin Crash Below $60,000 May Not Be The End, Here’s Why Working with Ethereum’s ETP market share in Canada, Hougan estimated that the US Spot Ethereum ETFs could also get 22% of the US market. Based on this, Hougan lowered the estimate of net inflows for the Spot Ethereum ETFs from $25 billion to $18 billion, excluding Grayscale’s assets. Hougan eventually lowered the estimated net inflows to $15 billion by factoring in the fact that a significant portion of the flows into the US Spot Bitcoin ETFs are related to carry trades. He removed $10 billion of carry trade-related AuM from the Bitcoin market, lowering his estimates for Bitcoin from $100 billion to $90 billion and for the Spot Ethereum ETFs from $18 billion to $15 billion. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com