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The Ethereum price has jumped back above $2,100 despite broader market volatility, driven by aggressive whale accumulation and tightening supply. However, recent updates reveal that whales are now selling their ETH, likely taking profit after prices recovered slightly. The key question now is whether this increased selling pressure could trigger a decline in Ethereum, potentially pushing its price back below $2,000 once again. ETH Faces Heavy Selling From Whales After recording massive accumulations just last week, crypto whales are now back to selling ETH. A new report released on X by on-chain researcher ‘The DataNerd’ revealed that a 2-year-dormant Ethereum whale recently deposited a staggering 15,000 ETH, valued at approximately $30.97 million, to the crypto exchange Coinbase.   Based on the size and timing of the transfer, flagged by Arkham Intelligence, the dormant whale may be looking to sell or trade their ETH. Interestingly, the DataNerd disclosed that the whale was an early participant in Ethereum’s initial coin offering (ICO), meaning they bought ETH when the cryptocurrency first launched at an extremely low price.  Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Are Making Money Again, But Will They Hold Or Sell? The post also mentioned that the whale used a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy to buy 17,400 ETH at an average price of about $11.6 per coin on Poloniex. Despite moving some ETH to Coinbase, the whale still holds 14,800 ETH in their wallet, worth roughly $30.5 million, showing they haven’t sold most of their holdings yet.  Another recent large-scale ETH sell-off was identified by blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain on X. According to the report, an “EthereumOG” with the wallet address 0xa2F6 sold 15,002 ETH on March 23, worth approximately $30.97 million. The data showed that the whale had previously received 172,700 ETH for $12.83 per coin a decade ago, valued at $2.2 million at the time. However, based on Ethereum’s price during the transaction, the whale’s holdings have gained by more than 16,082%, reaching a whopping $356 million.  How This Selling Pressure Affects The Ethereum Price The recent spikes in whale selling activity could have broader implications for Ethereum’s price. When large ICO whales move their holdings to a crypto exchange, it often signals that they may be preparing to sell. Such large-scale ETH deposits can create significant selling pressure on the market, as other traders closely watching the whale movements may react by selling or adjusting their positions.  Related Reading: The 8-Year Ethereum Convergence That Says An Altcoin Season Stronger Than 2021 Is Coming This can trigger a chain reaction, putting short-term downward pressure on Ethereum’s price. The effect is even stronger when the whales involved are bigger and older, significantly increasing price volatility. With ETH trading around $2,100, persistent whale sell-offs could push its price lower, possibly sending it below $2,000. Its price has already fallen by more than 5%over the past seven days, according to CMC data, highlighting its underlying bearish momentum. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum whales are now back in profit as the ETH price continues to climb, defying the broader market downtrend. Data from the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant indicate that these whales are investors with wallets holding over 100,000 ETH. The sudden move into profitability raises the question of whether these large-scale investors will hold their positions or sell immediately, as key historical chart patterns signal a potential price surge for ETH in the coming months.   Ethereum whales are reportedly back in the green after sitting on a pile of paper losses following ETH’s persistent price decline this year. According to CryptoQuant, this is the first time that whales holding over 100,000 ETH have become profitable since early February 2026.  Ethereum Whales Move Back Into Profit Zone While a shift into the profit zone is typically viewed as a bullish signal, it also highlights the potential for large-scale investors to sell and take profit. Market analysts CryptoTice and CW have also spotlighted this recent movement on X, offering insights into its broader significance.  Related Reading: Ethereum Price Won’t Crash To $1,500 Until This Happens First, Analyst Reveals In his analysis, CW pointed out that areas where large whales previously incurred losses are often seen as market bottoms. He explained that when these whales return to profitability, the moment they do so can mark the start of a major uptrend. Given ETH whales’ latest move into profitability, CW suggests the current market could be at the beginning of a bullish reversal. Sharing a different yet equally bullish perspective, Crypto Tice highlighted a recurring historical pattern in which whales returning to profitability triggered significant price rallies for ETH. He emphasized that wallets holding above 100,000 ETH don’t flip back into profit by accident. According to him, every single time this has happened, ETH has recorded a 25% increase within three months, a 50% rally in six months, and a staggering 300% gain within the year.  CryptoTice noted that these large-scale whale addresses have survived every market cycle, experiencing both bull runs and bear market crashes. He stated that they were the ones that accumulated at the bottom while everyone else sold due to panic as broader volatility and negative sentiment spread.  Based on his analysis, if Ethereum perfectly follows the same historical pattern, it could see its price skyrocket from its current price of above $2,150 to roughly $2,687 in three months, approximately $3,335 in six months, and about $8,600 within the year.  Analyst Identifies New Sell Wall For ETH Whales In a more recent analysis, CW shared a potential sell wall for Ethereum whales looking to take profits. In his ETH chart, he marked $2,350 as the next sell wall, representing a roughly 9.3% increase from current levels.  Related Reading: Ethereum Price Is Headed For $8,500 If This Happens At the same time, the analyst noted that Ethereum whales are still on a strong buying spree. He stated that these large-scale investors have continued to accumulate ETH even during sideways movement, matching the scale of the net buying seen among Bitcoin whales.  Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum is flashing early warning signs as momentum begins to shift beneath the surface. The RSI trendline break on the USDT pair suggests weakening strength, while the ETH/BTC pair now sits on the edge of following suit. With a familiar breakdown pattern taking shape, the risk of a double confirmation is rising, one that could open the door to a sharper move lower. RSI Breakdown Signals Early Weakness On Ethereum/USDT According to a recent Ethereum analysis from Umair Crypto, the USDT pair has already seen its RSI trendline break, signaling an initial shift in momentum. The ETH/BTC pair is expected to follow suit shortly, making a new lower low a matter of when, not if. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Inflows Signal Shift: Whales Reduce Selling Pressure This pattern mirrors a sequence recently observed with Solana. In that instance, the USDT pair’s RSI trendline fractured first while the BTC pair initially appeared to maintain its strength. Ethereum is now replicating this exact behavior, setting the stage for a similar recursive breakdown. While the ETH/BTC pair is currently holding its levels, the analysis suggests this resilience is temporary. However, once the BTC pair loses its footing, the lack of support across both denominations will likely trigger a sharp move to the downside. This alignment represents the most volatile and high-risk version of a market breakdown for Ethereum. Resilience Under Pressure, But At What Cost? The analyst went on to emphasize that both Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown notable strength throughout the intensity of the broader macro battle. That resilience is undeniable, but it hasn’t come without a cost. Rather than forming a solid base, the market has effectively been running on borrowed time, and the fatigue now visible on the charts suggests that the cost of that strength is beginning to surface. From this point, a move toward a lower low should not come as a surprise. Related Reading: Ethereum Rising Wedge Warning: Breakdown Could Send Price Toward $1,500 A major catalyst is adding to the current tension. Over $2.1 billion in BTC and ETH options is set to expire today, alongside Wall Street’s massive $5.7 trillion Triple Witching event. While such large expiries don’t directly trigger market direction, they tend to magnify existing momentum. In this case, the underlying structure already points to the downside, meaning any move could be accelerated under these conditions. The breakdown sequence is also becoming increasingly clear. The USDT pair was the first to show weakness, losing its key structure and signaling the initial shift in momentum.  Now, attention turns to confirmation from the ETH/BTC pair. When this alignment occurs, it typically leads to a more decisive and aggressive move lower as bearish pressure takes full control. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum may be nearing a major inflection point, according to market analyst Ali Martinez (@alicharts on X), who argues that a confluence of technical structure and on-chain valuation data is beginning to tilt the setup back in bulls’ favor. In a post on X, Martinez said Ethereum is showing signs of a “major structural shift,” pointing to a multi-year ascending triangle on the weekly chart, a recent test of support near $1,800, and a historically significant drop in the MVRV ratio. Taken together, the message was clear: the recent weakness may have looked less like a breakdown and more like a reset inside a larger bullish structure. Ethereum’s Path To $10,000? Martinez framed the chart setup as the backbone of the thesis. “From a technical standpoint, ETH continues to trade within a well-defined ascending triangle on the weekly chart,” he wrote. “The recent move toward $1,800 served as a critical reaction point, aligning with the rising trendline of this multi-year structure.” In other words, the analyst is not treating the bounce as an isolated event. The relevance comes from where it happened: directly at a level he views as structurally important in the context of a long-duration pattern. Related Reading: Ethereum Investor Druckenmiller Predicts Stablecoin-Led Payment Systems That technical argument was paired with an on-chain signal Martinez described as even more consequential. He said Ethereum’s MVRV ratio recently fell below 0.8, a threshold he characterized as a rare valuation reset. “Historically, this is a ‘Generational Buy’ zone. We saw similar resets before the major bull rallies of the past,” he wrote. “The fact that this on-chain reset happened exactly as price tested the triangle’s support adds massive weight to the bullish thesis.” The logic of the call rests on that overlap. A chart support test on its own can invite skepticism, especially after prolonged weakness. But Martinez’ argument is that Ethereum is not only holding a key structural zone; it is doing so while on-chain data suggests the asset has entered an area associated with deep undervaluation in previous cycles. That does not guarantee a trend reversal, but it does sharpen the significance of the current range. Related Reading: Tom Lee Says Ethereum Looks Ready To Exit Crypto Winter He also pointed to a momentum shift on lower timeframes. According to Martinez, the daily Supertrend indicator has now turned green for the first time since May of last year, suggesting the long stretch of consolidation may be giving way to a new directional move. In his telling, the market is moving out of a “sideways grind” and beginning to rebuild upward momentum. From there, Martinez laid out the price levels that could define whether the thesis holds. He identified $2,356 as the first major level Ethereum needs to reclaim, followed by $2,647 and $3,639 as mid-term breakout targets. Beyond that, he marked $4,632 and $5,624 as longer-term expansion zones. The larger prize, however, sits further out. “A sustained move above $2,356 would be our first confirmation that ETH is moving out of ‘accumulation’ and into a true bull market expansion,” he wrote. “If it can clear the previous all-time high region near $4,900, the door opens for a move toward $10,000, as it will signal a breakout of the ascending triangle.” For now, the thesis remains conditional rather than complete. Martinez described the $2,000 to $1,800 range as a “prime accumulation zone,” while adding that the bull market is not “guaranteed” yet. That caveat matters. His case for a durable bottom depends on Ethereum holding the $1,800 floor and then reclaiming higher resistance levels in sequence. If that happens, the current setup could be remembered as an early-stage reaccumulation phase rather than just another bounce inside a broader range. At press time, ETH traded at $2,054. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum investor Stanley Druckenmiller has added his voice to the growing conversation around the future of digital finance, predicting that stablecoins could become the dominant force in global payment systems within the next few years. The veteran investor’s outlook reflects a broader shift among institutions and market participants toward viewing blockchain-based money as a critical financial infrastructure. Why Stablecoins Could Replace Traditional Payment Rails Stanley Druckenmiller, a prominent investor with exposure to Ethereum, is increasingly aligning his investment positioning with his outlook on the future of payments; one dominated by stablecoins and blockchain infrastructure. According to the Etherealize post on X, the veteran investor has publicly stated that stablecoins could power the entire payment system within the next 10 to 15 years. He further pointed to the clear advantages of blockchain-based money, such as greater efficiency, faster settlement, and significantly lower costs. Related Reading: Ethereum Remains The Top Network For Tokenized Assets As Adoption Grows This view is reflected in his exposure of the ETH ecosystem, in which Druckenmiller is listed among key backers of BitMine (BMNR), an Ethereum-focused treasury firm chaired by Tom Lee, which reportedly holds over $10 billion in ETH. Other notable supporters include ARK Invest and Bill Miller. Druckenmiller’s aligns with his recent bullish comments on stablecoins and blockchain payments. He frames blockchain and the use of stablecoins as highly practical tools for investors to invest their crypto and tokens, as they can significantly improve financial productivity. Ethereum As A Neutral Settlement Layer For Institutions The recent Cari announcement has reignited a critical debate around the future of institutional blockchain infrastructure, with much of the discussion focusing on architecture. Analyst Alex argued that the real issue lies in the business model of proprietary systems versus open standards. Related Reading: Ethereum Futures Volume Outruns Spot 6-to-1 As Macro Stress Weighs On Crypto The Government of propriety networks like Canton or Tempo will be controlled by a small group with disproportionate voting weight. They will be permissionless, but participants have to submit a Google form with opaque admission criteria to join. It’s unclear who decides this, but over time, the most influential participants will set the terms of access and pricing. From a bank’s perspective, this structure is familiar because it mirrors the early dynamics of legacy systems like SWIFT and Visa, locking in structural advantages while late joiners absorb the cost.  As Alex noted, everyone wants to build the next SWIFT-killer, but nobody wants to join someone else’s SWIFT-Killer; a typical comment from banks. This is where Ethereum stands out as the only neutral settlement layer where that dynamic can’t take hold, because no single entity can capture it.  The ETH network is the only place where every participant can permanently trust that no future coalition will rewrite the rules against them. From a game-theoretical standpoint, Alex concluded that ETH represents the only sustainable equilibrium as a global settlement layer for institutional finance that works long-term. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Tom Lee used a Hong Kong conference stage to argue that Ethereum may be close to a cyclical turn, pointing to historical market analogs and on-chain cost-basis data that, in his view, suggest the selloff has reached exhaustion. Speaking at the 3rd Futu Expo 2026 in Hong Kong on March 13–14, Lee said Bitmine advisor Tom DeMark had identified a striking resemblance between Ethereum’s recent price action and two major S&P 500 declines: the 1987 crash and the 2011 selloff. Lee described the setup as unusually tight. Is The Ethereum Bottom In? “Tom DeMark, he’s a legendary market timer, and he’s provided an analysis to us that says Ethereum, in the last few months, especially since October, is really mirroring what happened to the S&P 500 in 2011 and what happened to the S&P 500 in 1987,” Lee said. “If you were involved in US markets, both times marked major declines in the S&P. Well, according to him, there’s a 93% correlation to what Ethereum’s doing today to what the S&P did in 1987.” Related Reading: Ethereum Enters High-Leverage Regime As Binance Exposure Crosses 75% That comparison is doing a lot of work in Lee’s argument. If the 1987 analog holds, he said, Ethereum would have already bottomed on March 7. If the 2011 comparison is the better fit, the market is bottoming now. In either case, Lee’s conclusion was the same: “So using his analysis, we think we’re at the bottom or exiting the crypto winter now.” He did not leave the case resting on chart symmetry alone. Lee also pointed to Ethereum’s realized price, the on-chain metric that estimates the average acquisition cost of coins based on their last movement on the blockchain. In his telling, that figure now sits at $2,241 for ETH, giving investors a way to judge how deeply underwater the average holder has become. Lee said the pattern at prior lows is revealing. In 2022, Ethereum fell to a 39% discount to realized price. In 2025, the discount reached 21% before ETH turned higher. “Currently, we’re at 22%,” he said, adding that the market is now sitting in roughly the same zone where last year’s reversal began. “So we’re at the level where in 2025, Ethereum started to turn higher.” Related Reading: Bitwise Found What’s Really Driving Ethereum Price, And It’s Not Fundamentals In other words, Lee’s thesis is that Ethereum does not need a pristine macro backdrop or a fresh narrative cycle to stabilize; it only needs to revisit the kind of holder pain that has historically marked exhaustion. By his measure, that threshold is already here. TOM LEE: THE ETHEREUM BOTTOM IS IN ‼️ Bitmine x TOM DEMARK mapped ETH against past S&P 500 crash recoveries. The structure now closely matches 1987 and 2011, both major cycle bottoms. ???? 93% correlation to 1987 ???? Match to 2011 bottom ???? Realized price: $2,241 ???? ETH ~22%… pic.twitter.com/62TZscjChe — BMNR Bullz (@BMNRBullz) March 19, 2026 He also tried to zoom out from the immediate drawdown and re-anchor ETH in a longer time horizon. “Before you lose any hope, keep in mind that over the last 10 years, Ethereum has outperformed every other asset class over the past decade,” Lee said. “In the last 10 years, Ethereum’s return is 49,000%. That means almost 490 times your money.” Lee contrasted that with Bitcoin’s 11,000% gain over the same span and even with Nvidia, which he called “the single best stock in the US,” saying it had returned 65 times investors’ money. At press time, ETH traded at $2,147. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum, being the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has often drawn a lot of attention as the next in line to replicate Bitcoin’s success. But despite Bitcoin rallying to new all-time highs, Ethereum has stayed below $5,000, unable to hit this major target. This has not deterred investors, however, with analysts still predicting that the Ethereum price will eventually beat the $5,000 mark and rally toward 5-figures in the end. Why Ethereum Price Could Cross $5,000 Following the initial decline from the $4,900 high that was registered back in 2025, the Ethereum price was stuck in an accumulation range. This continued as the price decline deepened and Ethereum fell more than 50% from its all-time highs. However, with the recent turn in the tide, it seems that the digital asset is now emerging out of this accumulation trend. Crypto analyst Javon Marks points this out in an analysis shared on the X (formerly Twitter) platform, showing how this could play out for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Analyst Says Ignore The Noise, Dogecoin Is Still In The Game, And This Is Why Presently, the Ethereum price looks to be marking its support above $2,000, and this has set the stage for a bounce-off rally. According to the crypto analyst, this current trend suggests that Ethereum is actually breaking out of the accumulation trend. This, in turn, sets this digital asset on a course toward breaking $4,900. The story doesn’t end there because Marks highlights that the implications of the Ethereum price breaking above $4,900 are very bearish. In the case of a break above this major resistance, then the crypto analyst sees the ETH price eventually rallying to $8,500. Bull patterns that hold in $ETH hints at a push towards the $4,900 levels again and that may only be part of prices exiting a huge accumulation phase. Prices reach those levels and the next we’re looking at is above $8,500. (Ethereum) https://t.co/Ik7znLXZQb — JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) March 17, 2026 Metrics Are Itching For A Surge Besides the price, there has also been a major increase in the Ethereum open interest. Data from the Coinglass website shows a jump from around $25 billion last week to over $32 billion this week. It also coincides with the price increase, suggesting that investors may be coming back to the table. Related Reading: Top Meme Coins That Could Still Surge Despite Dogecoin, Shiba Inu Dominance Also, the daily trading volume is also on the rise, reaching over $89 billion earlier in the week. Following the correction, the daily volume has fallen, but remains above $50 billion, which also indicates a lot of interest coming back into the market. If this trend continues, then the ETH price could continue to surge, but with major resistance lying at $3,000, it remains to be seen if bears will give up totally. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum has slipped into a valuation range that some on-chain analysts associate with major long-term bottoms, after ETH fell below its realized price for the first time in two years. Via X, renowned crypto analyst Ali Martinez argued on Thursday the setup now resembles prior cycle lows. Ethereum Drops Into MVRV Buy Zone In a post on X, the analyst wrote: “Ethereum has entered a generational ‘Buy Zone.’ The MVRV Ratio, which measures the gap between market price and average investor cost basis, has just dropped into the 0.8 – 1.0 range. Historically, this ‘fair value’ reset has been the precursor to massive structural bull rallies.” That framing rests on a familiar on-chain logic. When MVRV falls toward or below 1.0, spot price is converging with, or moving under, the aggregate on-chain cost basis of holders. In practical terms, the market is no longer pricing Ethereum at the rich premium seen during euphoric phases. Instead, it is testing a zone where prior cycles have exhausted sellers and attracted longer-duration buyers. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Above $2,300 As Open Interest Expansion Reinforces Uptrend Stability Martinez paired that argument with a chart showing previous rebounds from the same region. The historical moves cited from this “Buy Zone” were substantial: roughly 150%, 5,390%, 130%, 280% and 250%. The implication was explicit. “On-chain data suggests Ethereum is approaching a long-term bottom. For those with a 12-24 month horizon, the accumulation window is officially open!” Glassnode posted a similar signal last week, though in more restrained terms. “ETH has dropped below its realized price for the first time in 2 years – signaling that the average investor is now holding an unrealized loss,” the firm wrote on March 11. It added two key metrics alongside the chart: Realized Price at $2,058.04 and MVRV: 0.93 (7% unrealized loss). Related Reading: Bitwise Found What’s Really Driving Ethereum Price, And It’s Not Fundamentals Those numbers sharpen the broader thesis. A realized price of $2,058.04 against a market price of $1,917.86 means Ethereum was trading below the average on-chain acquisition cost tracked by Glassnode’s model. An MVRV of 0.93 suggests the typical holder, in aggregate, is down about 7% on paper. That does not guarantee a bottom, but it does indicate a phase where speculative excess has already been largely unwound. In overheated markets, MVRV expands as price runs well above the network’s realized cost basis, often reflecting crowded profits and rising distribution risk. In contrast, sub-1.0 readings tend to appear when conviction is weak, sentiment is damaged, and marginal sellers have already absorbed a large part of the decline. That is why analysts often treat the zone as strategically important even if price action remains volatile in the short term. At press time, ETH rebounded above realized price again and traded at $2,139. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

A recent rebound in the Ethereum price has brought renewed focus to an analyst who accurately identified its local bottom. With price now recovering sharply from that region, the same market watcher has outlined the next key levels that could determine Ethereum’s direction in the coming weeks. Ethereum Price Breakdown To Reversal Confirms Analyst’s Call Ethereum’s earlier decline unfolded through a series of failed bullish structures, gradually weakening confidence in the uptrend. The first sign of trouble emerged when a bullish flag pattern broke down near the $3,700 level, cutting short expectations of continuation. This was followed by a more decisive shift as an ascending triangle failed, leading to a breakdown below the $3,000 support zone. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin Price Could Stage A Stronger Rally Than Previous Bull Markets As the Ethereum price moved lower into the $2,000–$1,850 range, the analyst highlighted $1,800 as a critical level to watch. According to him, holding that level would likely trigger a recovery toward $2,650, while losing it could expose a deeper move toward $1,300, identified as a stronger accumulation zone. Price action ultimately respected the bullish scenario. Ethereum stabilized within the $1,800–$1,900 range, where buying pressure emerged and formed a base. From there, the market began to recover, delivering a gain of roughly 28% from the entry zone identified by the analyst.  Building on that accuracy, Ethereum reclaimed previously resistant levels. The analyst noted a bearish flag near $2,150 that eventually broke, signaling a short-term momentum shift. A move above $2,300 further strengthened the recovery, showing buyers were regaining control. The market’s trajectory ultimately confirmed the analyst’s call, proving his forecast precise and reliable. Ethereum Builds On Accurate Call With FVG Target And $3,000 Test Ahead Attention has now shifted to a target identified by the analyst as the next likely area of interest: the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $2,474 and $2,734. The analyst highlights this zone as a potential point where Ethereum may revisit before making a more decisive move. According to him, a push above the upper boundary—particularly past $2,634—would increase the likelihood of a test toward $3,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin And US Election Cycles: An Age-Long Romance That Says $400,000 Is Possible That level is expected to act as a key decision point. While the recovery has been strong, overhead resistance remains, including prior support zones that have turned into resistance and a descending trendline visible on the chart. These factors suggest that any move into $3,000 will be closely contested. At the same time, the analyst maintains that holding above $1,750 is essential to preserving the current uptrend. A break below that level could weaken the structure and reintroduce downside risk. By closely tracking price action, the analyst outlines what to expect next: a clear progression from breakdown to accumulation, now moving toward a potential expansion phase as Ethereum approaches its next major test. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum has surged 24% in just over a week, breaking above a key resistance with strong volume and signaling renewed bullish momentum. With a bullish structure still intact, attention now shifts to whether ETH can sustain the move toward the $4,956 target or pause for a brief pullback first. Ethereum Rallies 24% Into Resistance — Is A Pullback To $2,150 Next? Following a swift 24% rally over the past 8 days, ETH has hit a major resistance level and is showing signs of rejection. According to Max Trades, this vertical move has occurred without any meaningful retracements, making a cooling-off period highly likely. A pullback at this stage is considered a healthy part of the market cycle to reset momentum. Related Reading: The End Of Ethereum’s Downtrend? Key Indicator Flashes First Bullish Signal Since September A primary target for a potential long entry is the $2,150 level, which previously acted as range-high resistance. The setup is further bolstered by technical confluence, as this price point aligns closely with a key Fibonacci retracement level and sits above the weekly open. Currently, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are positioned below the spot price, providing a dynamic cushion. This suggests that the broader trend is still intact despite the immediate need for a price correction. Risk management is defined by a clear invalidation point below the $2,080 support level, which coincides with the Fibonacci Golden Pocket, a critical area for buyers to defend.  ETH Breaks Key Resistance With Volume — $4,956 Target Now In Play? In an update, Kamile Uray noted that Ethereum has broken above the pink resistance level on the chart with strong volume; a move that stands out compared to Bitcoin, which has yet to deliver a similar high-conviction breakout. The surge in volume adds credibility to the move, suggesting that bullish momentum is gaining traction. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Struggles Near Highs — Reversal Risk Rising From a lower timeframe perspective, a sustained 4-hour close above the $2,475 level would serve as the first confirmation that the upward trend has room to continue. Holding above this zone could reinforce the breakout structure and signal that buyers remain in control in the short term. The broader outlook remains bullish as long as Ethereum continues to defend the $1,916 bottom on the 4-hour timeframe. Maintaining this level keeps the market structure supportive of further upside within the current trend. Uray also highlighted that the Libra formation is still in play, with an upside target near $4,956. However, the $3,445 level stands out as a key resistance on the way up, where a rejection could trigger a temporary pullback before continuation. On the downside, the formation would be invalidated if price drops below the $1,388 level, marking it as the critical stop point for the bullish scenario. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum’s price has spent much of the past cycle lagging its own institutional and on-chain progress, and Bitwise says the reason is straightforward: ETH is still trading primarily as a Bitcoin proxy, not as a fundamentally valued network. In a new factor-model analysis, the asset manager found BTC has been the dominant force behind weekly ETH returns since 2018, with macro conditions, network activity and ETP flows playing secondary roles. That finding matters because it cuts against one of the more persistent narratives around Ethereum. Regulatory clarity has improved, institutional access has broadened, and Ethereum still underpins a large share of stablecoin and tokenized-asset activity. Yet ETH remains about 62% below its all-time high, a disconnect Bitwise set out to explain with a model based on 406 weekly observations going back to May 2018. The answer, at least statistically, is that Bitcoin overwhelms almost everything else. Bitwise said ETH “moves nearly 1:1 with BTC on a weekly basis,” with a coefficient of roughly 0.99. BTC alone explains around 65% of Ethereum’s return variance, making it the clear core driver of price direction. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Step In: $33M ETH Withdrawn From Exchanges In Hours The firm’s broader conclusion is blunt. “Adoption fundamentals, such as active addresses, clearly have less impact on Ethereum’s price than many assume,” the report said. “Extending this further, revenue generation appears even less relevant, as it was removed from the GETS model as ‘noise rather than signal.’ Combining both of these conclusions supports the idea that since the start of the model in 2018, Ethereum has been priced more like a network-driven commodity than a business with durable cash flows.” Other Factors Impacting Ethereum Price That framing runs through the rest of the report. Financial conditions, measured through the Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index, emerged as the second most important explanatory variable. Bitwise assigned the factor a coefficient of about 0.05, with mean explanatory power of 11.3%, though that climbed to roughly 40% at peak periods. Network activity, proxied by active addresses, had a smaller coefficient near 0.03 and average explanatory power of 6%, rising to 30% in stronger phases. ETF flows showed a different pattern. Their coefficient was only around 0.01, but Bitwise said they were “highly significant,” explaining about 10% of ETH variance on average and up to 40% at peak. In other words, flows matter consistently, but not with the same force as BTC-led market beta. That distinction becomes clearer in different market regimes. Between June and August 2025, Bitwise said Ethereum behaved like a levered Bitcoin trade, with its BTC coefficient rising to between 1.5 and 1.6 as BTC approached fresh highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Futures Volume Outruns Spot 6-to-1 As Macro Stress Weighs On Crypto During the post-FTX stress period in the second half of 2022, the dynamic became even harsher: “Every factor except BTC carried a negative coefficient as returns were explained up to 90% by BTC. In moments like these, cash liquidity is what matters. Not fundamentals, flows or macro. As such, ETH was essentially anchored to BTC.” There have been exceptions. Bitwise identified May 2021 as the period of lowest BTC sensitivity, when Bitcoin had already peaked but Ethereum kept rallying as active addresses surged during the NFT boom. Still, those idiosyncratic windows appear episodic rather than structural. The report also undercuts the case that a richer multi-factor framework materially improves short-term forecasting. While the model explains historical returns reasonably well, Bitwise said its out-of-sample performance failed to beat a much simpler AR(1)+BTC model. Most of the predictive value came from Bitcoin exposure and price persistence, while additional factors added only limited forecasting power. That leaves Ethereum in what Bitwise called a “paradoxical position”: a network with deepening institutional relevance, dominant stablecoin and tokenization market share, and an increasingly focused roadmap, but a price still driven mostly by external beta. At press time, ETH traded at $2,305. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

A crypto analyst has identified an eight-year convergence pattern on the Ethereum (ETH)-Bitcoin (BTC) trading pair chart, suggesting it could signal the long-awaited onset of an altcoin season. Although rumors of an altcoin season have circulated in the crypto space since before 2025, such a phase has yet to materialize, underscoring the persistent volatility in alternative cryptocurrencies throughout this bull market. Despite this prolonged delay, the analyst argues that the new convergence structure could become a catalyst that fuels an altcoin season even more powerful than the one observed in 2021.   Ethereum Chart Structure Signals Powerful Altcoin Season Crypto analyst CW has presented a new technical analysis suggesting a major altcoin season in this cycle. Supported by a multi-year chart structure, the analysis centers on the ETH/BTC trading pair and outlines a unique convergence pattern that has been developing since mid-2017.  Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Are Struggling Again, And Here’s What’s Behind It In his post on X, CW predicts that this convergence pattern could break during the current bull market cycle. The structure is visible on the weekly chart as a large descending triangle or wedge that started when ETH/BTC reached a peak around 0.16. Since that high, the pair has been compressing between a descending resistance line and a flat horizontal support level near the 0.020 zone.  Price action in the chart shows that ETH/BTC hit this peak during the 2021 bull market but failed to break the upper descending trendline of the converging pattern. Following this, the pair dropped back sharply and has continued to trend lower, now pressing into the very tip of the convergence pattern near the 0.029 level.  This suggests that ETH/BTC is approaching its final stage near the apex of the descending triangle pattern. The narrowing distance between the resistance and the support suggests the market could be at a critical juncture. CW suggests that a breakout from this point could end the trading pair’s eight-year compression within the convergence pattern. If this happens, it could signal a major shift in strength from BTC to ETH, and finally to the broader altcoin market, marking the potential onset of an altcoin season in 2026.   2026 Altcoin Season To Surpass 2021 Boom CW emphasized in his post that the altcoin season he anticipates in this bull cycle could exceed the strength of the 2021 cycle, mirroring the explosive scale of the 2017 cycle. He argued that many investors underestimate how powerful the 2017 bull run was, noting that it delivered wider, more aggressive gains across the altcoin market than the more selective rally in 2021.  Related Reading: Is The Altcoin Market Dead? Why These Cryptocurrencies Have Failed To Move In a previous analysis, CW shared a separate chart from CryptoQuant, adding further weight to his outlook for a 2026 altcoin season. The chart, which tracks the CEX volume ratio of non-BTC assets versus Bitcoin, excluding stablecoins, compares the current market setup to the 2021 altcoin season.  In both periods, altcoin trading activity on centralized exchanges was consistently higher than Bitcoin’s volume. However, CW notes that this activity has been running for much longer in 2026 than in 2021. He believes this sustained volume, coupled with a potential breakout from ETH/BTC’s current convergence pattern, strengthens the case of a powerful altcoin season in 2026. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum is tightening below a critical $2,149 resistance level, building pressure as bulls and bears jockey for control. A decisive breakout above this zone could trigger strong momentum, potentially sending the price toward the next major resistance near $2,750. A Test Of The Key $2,149 Resistance Ethereum is currently testing the $2,149 resistance level. According to insights from Bitcoin Meraklısı, this threshold represents a significant pivot point for the asset’s near-term trajectory. A successful breach and consolidation above this mark would likely act as a catalyst, providing the necessary technical clearance for the price to gain substantial upward momentum. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Pushes Higher as Bulls Fuel Market Optimism While an intermediate resistance zone exists around the $2,380 level, it is not currently viewed as a formidable barrier. Instead, it is expected to serve as a temporary pause or a minor consolidation point rather than a definitive reversal zone. The primary objective for bulls following a sustained breakout is situated near the $2,750 mark. This area represents the first zone of heavy supply and historical resistance that could challenge the prevailing trend. Reaching this level would mark a significant recovery phase, aligning with the broader bullish expectations outlined in recent technical assessments. For those seeking deeper structural clarity, a comprehensive Elliott Wave analysis is considered. This framework provides the underlying wave counts that support the current price targets, with hopes that the market structure produces a favorable outcome. Ethereum Hits First Micro Support Zone In a recent update, More Crypto Online noted that Ethereum has moved into its first micro support zone, mirroring a similar development to Bitcoin. While the presence of support is encouraging, the pullback has been sharper than expected and does not resemble a typical wave 2 correction, leaving the overall market structure somewhat uncertain. Related Reading: Ethereum Rising Wedge Warning: Breakdown Could Send Price Toward $1,500 This sharp retracement raises questions about the sustainability of the current bullish trend. Unlike a normal corrective wave, which tends to be shallower and orderly, Ethereum’s move suggests that selling pressure is stronger than usual, and buyers are testing their conviction at this level. In this context, the market still has the potential to extend lower toward the $1,820 region. Such a scenario would indicate a deeper retracement is underway, challenging both short-term and intermediate support zones.  The first signal that this bearish scenario could gain credibility would be a sustained break below the red support line highlighted on the chart. A decisive close below this level would represent the initial structural break and could pave the way for further downside, altering the current outlook for Ethereum in the near term. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

The institutional access to Ethereum continues to expand as traditional finance deepens its involvement in digital asset markets. A new development drawing attention is the launch of BlackRock’s ETHB, which introduces another potential channel for capital to flow into the ETH ecosystem. This product provides investors with regulated exposure to ETH through familiar market infrastructure. BlackRock has opened a new potential inflow channel for Ethereum with the launch of its staked ETH Trust, ETHB, which has begun trading. Analyst Milk Road has revealed on X that this ETHB is not just another ETH ETF, but one that actually pays investors while holding it. The development follows the rapid growth of BlackRock’s earlier crypto funds. The firm’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF has grown to roughly $55 billion in assets, while its first ETH ETF product, iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA), reached about $6.5 billion in assets shortly after launch. Both funds are ranked among the fastest-growing ETF launches in history, and ETHB is attempting to achieve what neither product couldn’t by combining ETH price exposure with staking rewards, which is the closest thing crypto has to a dividend. How The New Product Provides Exposure To Ethereum Staking For many investors, direct staking can be complicated, and participating typically requires 32 ETH, a technical setup, and acceptance of certain lock-up risks. ETHB aims to simplify that process by packaging staking within a regulated investment product that can be purchased through a standard brokerage account. The fund also introduces a relatively low management fee set at 0.12% on the first $2.5 billion in assets. Related Reading: Ethereum Staking Reaches Historic Levels, Price Hovers Near $2K Milk Road explains that if this move is successful, ETH could increasingly be treated as a yield-generating digital asset within a 401(k).  Retirement accounts and pension funds can now gain access to staking rewards without directly interacting with wallets. For many, ETH is a technology bet and a narrative that takes a real hit, but it is now an income-generating digital asset. Thus, the first wave of spot ETH ETFs launched without staking functionality was rejected by the regulators. Now, they’ve accepted it because the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) effectively says that staking rewards are not securities, at least when wrapped inside a BlockRock product. Related Reading: Ethereum Breakout Alert: Corrective Channel Flip Sparks Impulsive Wave With BlackRock already managing tens of billions of dollars in BTC and ETH, ETHB presents a third channel for investor flow. Milk Road believes that if the product follows the same trajectory, it could become a significant new driver of institutional demand for ETH. Ethereum Sees Another Wave Of Aggressive Long Position Accumulation An analyst known as CW highlighted that Ethereum has continued to experience strong net buying pressure in long positions, following a surge that first appeared the previous day. The buying pattern closely mirrors the wave that occurred earlier, where large-scale purchases were executed within a short timeframe. Currently, the market appears to be taking a brief pause after the surge in long positions. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum continues to struggle to surmount the resistance that has mounted at $3,000, with bears maintaining a firm grip on the price. Nevertheless, bullish sentiment surrounding the Ethereum price has not been completely eroded. This suggests that investors still expect the price to recover from the current decline. Crypto analyst Master Ananda shares a more bullish view for the cryptocurrency, predicting that 5-figures remain in the future. Ethereum Price To Push Above $10,0000 In the analysis, Master Ananda explains that the Ethereum story is far from over. The crypto analyst pointed out the appearance of Trend-Based Fibonacci extension numbers on the Ethereum price chart. These suggest that the Ethereum price is getting ready for another major rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin At The Bottom? The 23-Month Cycle That Has Never Failed Following this trend, the analyst believes that the digital asset’s price will hit 5-figures. However, despite $10,000 looking more elusive with each passing day, Master Ananda says it doesn’t look like the all-time high target for Ethereum. Instead, $10,000 is only a “mid-portion” target, meaning that he expects the price to rise higher. In contrast to the expected $10,000 target that Ethereum has been predicted to hit, the crypto analyst sees the price rising as high as $20,000 at this time. Such a recovery would mean an over 900% increase in price for Ethereum, and likely trigger an altcoin season, as has been the case in the past. Looking at the chart, there are some major resistance levels where the bears could put up a fight. The first is around $4,900, where the current all-time high sits. Then, moving further along comes the $10,690 resistance. This is a natural resistance as $10,000 is expected to be a major psychological level. Related Reading: Cardano Red Month Is Far From Over: Analyst Predicts Crash To This Target On the tail-end of this massive rally is the budding resistance that could send the Ethereum price crashing back downward at $20,000. This is expected to be the peak before the cryptocurrency moves into another bear market again. As for the timeframe for when this could happen, the crypto analyst explains that investors will not have to wait long for this to happen. “We don’t have to wait four years for this event to take place. It is all starting now… Ethereum is headed for a target of $20,000,” the post reads. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s rally back to the mid-$73,000 region did not last long as the leading cryptocurrency’s price action reversed as the week came to a close and fell back around $67,000 after momentarily regaining momentum last week, pulling Ethereum down with it till the ETH price also lost the $2,000 price level.  However, the pullback of these leading cryptocurrencies is the product of a few forces colliding at once: a war nobody fully priced in and institutions quietly heading for the exits. Here is what happened. Spot Bitcoin ETFs: From Boosting Rally To Draining Liquidity One of the clearest reasons for Bitcoin’s reversal is that the same ETF complex that helped lift the price early in the week suddenly turned into a source of pressure. SoSoValue data show that US-based Spot Bitcoin ETFs posted strong inflows at the start of the week, including about $458.19 million on March 2, $225.15 million on March 3, and $461.77 million on March 4.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Pattern Memory Predicts The Bottom, And It’s Below $40,000 That stretch helped Bitcoin climb as high as roughly $74,051 intraday on March 4, but the tone changed quickly after that. By March 5, spot Bitcoin ETFs had flipped to a net outflow of about $227.83 million, and on March 6, the outflow worsened to roughly $348.83 million, showing that institutional demand softened just as Bitcoin was testing resistance near the mid-$70,000s. Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Source: SoSoValue Unsurprisingly, Ethereum also saw its own exchange-traded funds flows deteriorate in tandem with Bitcoin. SoSoValue’s data show US Spot Ethereum ETFs started the week on firmer footing, with $38.69 million in net inflows on March 2, led by BlackRock’s ETHA at about $26.51 million. However, by the second half of the week, that demand had faded massively.  Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded about $90.94 million in net outflows on March 5 and another $82.85 million in net outflows on March 6, with Fidelity’s FETH alone accounting for roughly $67.57 million of the March 6 withdrawal. Spot Ethereum ETFs. Source: SoSoValue Profit-Taking And Global Risk Aversion The final piece is the macro backdrop. The bounce to $73,000 to $74,000 invited short-term traders to lock in gains, especially after Bitcoin ran into a clear resistance band and failed to push through decisively. On-chain data shows that more than 27,000 BTC in profit were sent to exchanges by short-term holders within 24 hours. Related Reading: XRP Price At $100 Is ‘Inevitable’, Analyst Explains Why This Is However, investors are not dealing with only crypto-related concerns. Financial markets are still pricing in the conflicts in the Middle East. Iran responded to US-Israel attacks by not only firing retaliatory strikes but also effectively closing the Strait of Hormuz, a passage for roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil supply. That closure is what truly rattled markets. Once Bitcoin lost altitude, Ethereum followed with even more force. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $67,500. Ethereum, on the other hand, is trading at $1,975. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum is showing early signs of a rising wedge formation, a pattern often associated with potential reversals. With key support under pressure, a breakdown from this structure could push the price lower, putting the $1,500 level firmly in focus as the next major target. A Rejection At Key High-Timeframe Support Luca, in a recent update, highlighted that Ethereum’s price has been rejected at the lost high-timeframe support range he referenced in previous PAT updates. This level also aligns with the 2D Bull Market Support Band at $2,180, making it a critical zone for assessing market direction. The rejection suggests that buyers are struggling to reclaim key support, keeping the market under pressure. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Support Intact, but Market Signals Waning Bullish Momentum Examining the mid-term picture, Luca noted that since early February, Ethereum has been forming a rising wedge pattern. Rising wedges are often considered cautionary signals because they can precede corrective moves, indicating that the current upward attempts may lack the strength needed to sustain a rally. Until there is clear evidence of a durable breakout above both the lost high-timeframe support range and the 2D Bull Market Support Band, Luca advises that traders should remain hedged and avoid overly aggressive positions. This strategy helps limit exposure while waiting for a more definitive market trend to emerge. For the time being, Luca plans to remain hedged to mitigate mid-term downside risk.  The most probable scenario, according to his analysis, is continued consolidation within the lost high-timeframe range. If bearish pressure persists, Ethereum may continue the high-timeframe downtrend observed over the past few weeks. The next key high-timeframe support to monitor aligns with the early April 2025 lows near $1,500.  Ethereum Shows Potential For End-Of-Week Trades Ethereum could present some interesting end-of-week trading opportunities. Lennaert Snyder revealed that price action around key levels may offer both short-term and mid-term setups for active traders. Related Reading: The $2,000 Fault Line: Why Ethereum’s Record Volatility Signals An Imminent Explosion According to the analyst, Ethereum is currently holding at the $2,036 low, which indicates a correlation with the Smart Money Theory (SMT) and Bitcoin. This alignment suggests that price movements in ETH may follow broader market trends seen in BTC, providing potential clues for trading decisions. Snyder plans to enter shorts if Ethereum sweeps and rejects the buy-side liquidity above $2,099, using a bearish MSB as his trigger. Conversely, if price breaks above $2,099, he’ll target longs toward $2,163, relying on SMT with BTC and previously captured sell-side liquidity. He also cautioned traders to be mindful of today’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) release, which can create volatility across crypto markets. Sudden market reactions could impact ETH’s price action, making careful risk management essential around the news event. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview.com

Culper Research disclosed a short position in ether and ETH-linked securities on Thursday, arguing that Ethereum’s post-upgrade economics have deteriorated enough to put sustained downside pressure on the token. The firm pointed directly at Ethereum’s December 2025 Fusaka upgrade, and at Vitalik Buterin’s recent sales, as evidence that “ETH is going lower.” “NEW: We are short Ether ETH, and ETH-linked securities, incl. BMNR,” Culper wrote on X. “We think ETH tokenomics are impaired following the December 2025 Fusaka upgrade. Vitalik knows it and is selling, while ETH’s most ardent bull, Tom Lee, is throwing good money after bad.” Why Culper Is Shorting Ethereum Culper’s core claim is that Fusaka’s L1 scaling changes altered Ethereum’s demand-fee dynamic more dramatically than expected. The firm pointed to a gas limit increase “45 to 60M” that it said was intended to scale Ethereum’s base layer, alongside estimates that “Vitalik and PTG” believed fees would drop 10% to 30%. Culper contends the realized outcome was far more severe: “In reality, gas fees fell ~90%,” it wrote, adding that Ethereum’s leadership and validators “miscalculated L1 demand elasticity by 3-9x based on outdated math (pre-EIP-1559 and pre-L2s).” Related Reading: Ethereum Price Corrects Gains, Drifts Toward Key Support Zone That fee compression matters, Culper argues, because it ripples into validator economics and staking incentives. “Further, the gas-limit increase killed $ETH validators, who are now seeing 40-50% lower tips per gas,” Culper wrote, claiming that lower yields reduce demand for staking and “high-value activity,” undermining the institutional adoption narrative. “The flywheel is now running in reverse.” The thread frames Tom Lee and BMNR as a prominent counterweight in the ETH bull camp, then attempts to dismantle his post-upgrade read-through. Culper said Lee has defended ether by claiming: “ETH is not in a death spiral because utility is going up.” According to Culper, Lee cited spikes in active addresses and transaction counts after Fusaka as evidence of “strengthening fundamentals” and institutional adoption. Culper’s rebuttal is blunt and largely definitional: “By Lee’s own logic, if ETH activity does NOT reflect increased utility and strengthening fundamentals, then $ETH would be in a death spiral,” it wrote. “Our research says this is exactly what’s happening.” Related Reading: Scaling Ethereum For Mainstream: Robinhood’s Head Of Crypto Lays Out The Vision To explain the activity surge, Culper said its analysis of on-chain data from January 2025 through February 2026 suggests much of the growth was not organic usage, but a wave of low-value address poisoning and wallet dusting enabled by cheaper blockspace. “Post-Fusaka: 95% of growth in new wallets is explained by newly-created ‘dusting’ wallets,” Culper wrote, adding that poisoning attacks have “more than 3x’ed,” that poisoning explains “>50% of $ETH transaction growth,” and that it now constitutes “22.5% of all ETH transactions.” Culper said it validated the phenomenon firsthand, claiming it set up two new wallets, transferred between them, and was targeted by poisoning attacks “within 5 minutes,” while asserting that poisoning losses are “already pacing >8x higher than pre-Fusaka.” Vitalik Is Selling The firm also tried to tie its tokenomics thesis to Buterin’s recent sales activity, portraying it as informed selling rather than routine treasury management. “This is why, we think, Vitalik is selling ETH hand over fist. On January 30, Vitalik pre-announced he’d sell 16,384 ETH to fund the Foundation’s ‘austerity period.’ Since then, he’s sold over 19,300 ETH and counting,” Culper wrote. “He knows what Tom Lee doesn’t: ETH tokenomics are broken.” Culper closed by broadening the bear case into a competition story, claiming ether is losing share to Solana and to Ethereum’s own L2s, and likening ETH’s current position to incumbents that led early eras before being displaced. At press time, ETH traded at $2,080. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

As demand for digital assets continues to accelerate, scaling solutions have become one of the most important challenges facing Ethereum. In a recent discussion, Robinhood’s Head of Crypto outlined the company’s ambitious strategy to tackle this problem by building its own ETH Layer-2 network to serve mainstream users. Rather than merely participating in the broader ecosystem, Robinhood aims to solve core usability barriers that have hindered mass adoption. Why Ethereum Needs To Scale For Mass Adoption Robinhood’s head of crypto explains why they’re building an Ethereum layer-2. According to a video that was reported on X by Etherealize, Robinhood stated that many companies are launching their own layer-1 blockchain to gain full control over their ecosystems. Meanwhile, Robinhood is excited about the idea of building a stack, but creating the security of a real, proper, decentralized chain is extremely difficult, and only ETH can offer that for free. Related Reading: Ethereum Boost: Vitalik Buterin Sets Aside $45M In ETH For Privacy And Open Tech In contrast, many newer layer-1 chains may appear as decentralized alternatives, but they often lack meaningful validator distribution or long-term security guarantees. Without deep decentralization, some of these chains risk becoming little more than a fancy database, slower than the actual database, and there’s no meaningful value in that. Robinhood explains that ETH can offer security by default, and the second major factor that the company considered in choosing to build a layer-2 on top of ETH was liquidity, which is on every EVM-compatible chain, and was also an important decision factor for the company. However, if the long-term goal is to bring traditional assets such as stocks on-chain, it will require liquidity, and this won’t be possible if it’s in a closed loop or closed chain that no individual can assess. For the company, these two elements were the main focus, which is why they decided to build on ETH. ETH’s Role In The Sanctuary-Tech Movement Ethereum Daily revealed on X that Vitalik Buterin emphasized that ETH should not be reduced to a speculative finance tool or technology fad. Instead, it should be part of a foundational layer within a broader sanctuary-technology infrastructure ecosystem designed to provide an open-source, censorship-resistant way for individuals to store value, coordinate, and communicate safely without relying on centralized gatekeepers. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Support Intact, but Market Signals Waning Bullish Momentum The idea goes beyond simple transactions. This includes building persistent digital spaces, programmable money, multigeniture wallets for collective asset security, and government contracts that allow communities to make decisions transparently and autonomously. When these components are integrated across all layers from user wallets to hardware, they form resilient digital islands capable of operating independently of any single authority. By limiting concentrated control and distributing power through code, ETH can help create systems that enable users to retain custody, privacy, and security in a chaotic geopolitical environment. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum is showing signs of a major breakout after flipping a corrective price channel. This shift suggests the start of an impulsive wave, signaling potential strong upside momentum. Traders should watch for confirmation above key levels as the path for the next leg up begins to take shape. Wave 3 In Motion: Preparing For A Strong Upside Move Charting an expected path for Ethereum on the 4-hour timeframe, Elliott Waves Academy has revealed a significant opportunity to ride a new bullish wave. The price appears to be preparing for a powerful upward surge following a successful breach of its corrective price channel. Related Reading: From Breakdown To Bottoming? Ethereum Tests Key High-Timeframe Support The technical structure indicates that Ethereum is likely forming Wave 3 of (3), with current projections showing the asset reaching a minimum 161.8% extension. However, the internal momentum suggests the potential for the move to extend further, signaling that a major impulsive rally is now officially underway. From a strategic standpoint, any temporary bearish corrections would be viewed as high-probability opportunities for long re-entries. These minor pullbacks serve to reset local indicators while the primary trend remains firmly higher. Traders are currently eyeing the $2,624.14 level as a primary target, with the possibility of a move toward the 261.8% extension if the positive momentum remains sustained. To validate and maintain this bullish scenario, it is critical to see a confirmed breakout and sustained trading above the previous price channel. Staying above this structural boundary will reinforce the upward outlook and provide the necessary support for the next leg of the rally.  Ethereum Sweeps Range High: Buyers Step In According to Lennaert Snyder, Ethereum recently reached its all-time high and liquidity, setting the stage for a notable bounce after testing the extremes of its current range. This move reflects a strong recovery following aggressive price action and shows that buyers are actively defending key levels. Related Reading: Here’s Why Ethereum Slipped Below $2,000 – Details For traders looking at local setups, caution is advised. Given the recent massive displacement, it’s best to wait for clearer directional signals before entering positions, ensuring trades align with confirmed momentum rather than chasing volatility. That said, the liquidity captured during this sweep opens up opportunities for hedge strategies. For example, a short position on the opposite side could help mitigate risk while waiting for the market to stabilize. Specific levels, such as the 50% wick fill around $2,110, may present interesting shorting opportunities after a bearish MSB forms. Additionally, similar to Bitcoin, Ethereum left a significant Fair Value Gap (FVG) during the aggressive leg higher, with the 50% level of this gap near ~$1,970. Should the price retest this FVG, it could provide a favorable setup for long entries following a reversal, highlighting potential areas for strategic accumulation. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

A shift in Ethereum’s derivatives flow on Binance is starting to hint at a possible change in market structure, even as ETH itself remains in a corrective phase. According to CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, the Taker Buy Sell Ratio is no longer flashing the same persistent sell-side aggression that dominated as the asset pushed toward a new all-time high. Darkfost argues that the indicator offers a useful read on who is pressing harder in the futures market. “This indicator is effective for assessing directional dominance between market buy and sell orders executed on futures contracts. A ratio above 1 indicates buyer dominance, while a ratio below 1 suggests that selling aggressiveness is prevailing within transactional flows.” Ethereum Shows Fresh Bullish Shift That distinction mattered during Ethereum’s run toward record levels. In that period, Darkfost said, selling pressure in the futures market intensified at the same time, keeping the ratio consistently below its equilibrium level of 1. On Binance, the monthly Taker Buy Sell Ratio fell to 0.95, while the weekly average dropped even further to 0.92, pointing to a market where aggressive sellers were controlling the flow. Related Reading: Ethereum DeFi Warning: Vitalik Flags Oracles As A Hidden Time Bomb The backdrop is significant because derivatives now sit at the center of crypto price formation. Darkfost noted that the derivatives market accounts for nearly $65 billion in volume and plays a leading role in price discovery, making order-flow analysis increasingly important for reading the market beneath headline price action. In that context, a ratio stuck below 1 was more than a minor technical detail; it suggested that upside conditions were being undermined by persistent futures-led selling pressure. What makes the current setup more interesting is that the flow data has begun to improve before any obvious reversal in Ethereum’s spot chart. “On Binance, the weekly ratio has been hovering around the neutral threshold for the past two weeks. This shift is particularly notable as it diverges from ETH price action, which remains in a corrective phase. Daily spikes above 1.12 have even been recorded, reflecting episodes of aggressive market buying.” Related Reading: The $2,000 Fault Line: Why Ethereum’s Record Volatility Signals An Imminent Explosion That divergence is the core of the thesis. While ETH has yet to fully reflect it in price, the behavior of takers in the futures market is no longer uniformly defensive. The monthly average has also started to recover, climbing back to around 0.99. That still falls just short of clear buyer dominance, but it marks a meaningful improvement from the earlier stretch of sub-1 readings. Darkfost stops well short of calling a confirmed reversal. “Although this configuration still requires confirmation, it constitutes a constructive signal. A sustained move above 1 would mark a transition toward buyer dominance, potentially supporting a more favorable market dynamic for ETH in the short to medium term.” For now, the signal is less about declaring the correction over than about identifying a change in pressure. If the ratio can hold near neutral and then push decisively above 1, it would suggest that the market driving price discovery is beginning to lean back toward buyers. At press time, ETH traded at $2,028. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Ethereum Foundation is taking a decisive step to strengthen decentralized finance (DeFi) on ETH and launching a new initiative. This move signals a renewed strategic focus on scaling DeFi adoption, improving protocol security, and fostering sustainable growth across lending, trading, and on-chain financial services. Why Boosting Developer Support And Ecosystem Funding In a key development, the Ethereum Foundation is launching a renewed and more ambitious protocol to strengthen DeFi within the ETH ecosystem. Ethereum Daily has revealed on X that the initiative is being framed as a Defipunk approach, which is centered on building financial infrastructure that is truly permissionless, private, secure, and fully open-source. The goal is to enable anyone, anywhere, to save, borrow, hedge risk, or make payments without relying on big companies like banks or large corporations. Related Reading: Why Ethereum’s Endgame Requires Rebuilding The Base Layer Rather than focusing solely on incremental upgrades to existing applications, like improved stablecoins, the Foundation’s vision reportedly targets deeper structural innovation. The key areas include developing more secure price oracles, enhancing privacy loans to reduce unfair liquidations, and integrating artificial intelligence (AI) to strengthen system security. With a newly formed DeFi team leading the effort, the foundation is inviting developers who share its vision to help build a financial system that will give users full control and expand accessibility, not just speculators. How Inflow And Outflow Trends Reveal Strategic Positioning Even as ETH price action has been brutally down from $4,900 to below $2,000, Ethereum spot ETF flows are quietly signaling a shift behind the surface. The head of research at Lisk, analyst Leon Waidmann, stated that the ETF flow dynamics have shown that after a period of heavy outflow around mid-2025, the intensity of selling pressure has been gradually fading. Related Reading: Ethereum Caught Between Weak Bounce And High-Timeframe Risk – What’s Next? Meanwhile, the massive inflow waves that were seen in late 2024 and early 2025 have subsided, and the peak panic selling that followed has largely dissipated. The recent ETF flow bars are significantly smaller in both directions compared to the prior volatile period, and sellers are running out of steam. Waidmann noted that this shift is significant because, despite one of the sharpest ETH drawdowns in recent memory, the institutional exodus appears to be exhausting. While the weak hand that wanted out has largely exited, this means there’s no bottom. However, there’s still a slight outflow bias in recent weeks, indicating that there’s no confirmed accumulation signal yet. Waidmann emphasized that the intensity of the selling pressure is clearly fading, which is the first step that must happen before any trend reversal. In his view, participants should pay attention to when the selling dries up before sentiment recovers, because that’s usually where the next move will start to build. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

After losing key structure and breaking below major support, Ethereum is now approaching a critical high-timeframe demand zone. This level has historically acted as a foundation for reversals, making it a pivotal area to watch. The question now is whether the breakdown extends, or if this test marks the beginning of a broader bottoming process. High-Timeframe Support Lost After Repeated Rejections In a recent Ethereum analysis, crypto analyst Luca outlined why the breakdown below the high-timeframe support range marked in purple significantly shifted the market structure. After losing that level and facing repeated rejections, the probability tilted toward continued downside. The failure to recover that zone signaled weakening bullish momentum and opened the door for the price to seek liquidity lower. Related Reading: Ethereum Caught Between Weak Bounce And High-Timeframe Risk – What’s Next? The most logical downside target sits at the high-timeframe support range marked in green, which aligns with the early-April 2025 bottoming formation. This is a technically significant area because it is where buyers previously stepped in aggressively and where they may be incentivized to do so again. He emphasized that the risk-reward profile becomes far more favorable if Ethereum trades into that green support region. A move into that area would likely create better positioning opportunities for swing longs, prompting him to gradually scale out of hedge positions and rotate capital back into spot holdings in anticipation of a potential upside reversal. Until then, Luca remains patient, avoiding new entries or adjustments to his spot exposure unless price tests the high-timeframe green support zone, or Ethereum breaks back above the 1D Bull Market Support Band. That band, currently sitting around $2,000, is serving as resistance when tested. As long as Ethereum remains below that $2,000 band and hasn’t yet tapped into the stronger high-timeframe green support, Luca believes the path remains to the downside on lower timeframes. In his view, further weakness or consolidation is more likely in the near to mid-term before a sustainable bullish reversal structure can properly form. Ethereum Capitulation Complete At $1,800 Ethereum has already gone through its capitulation phase, with price flushing into the $1,800 zone in what appeared to be an emotional sell-off. That sharp move likely marked peak fear, forcing weaker hands out of the market and clearing excessive leverage built up during the prior structure. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Holds Key 5-Year Demand Area Amid Heavy Whale Transfers As Cyril-DeFi noted, price action is stabilizing and moving sideways, and the intensity of selling pressure has noticeably slowed. Volatility is compressing, and the aggressive downside momentum that defined the drop is no longer present. Although this phase feels dull and uneventful, it’s often how sustainable bases are formed. Holding the $1,800 region is therefore significant; it suggests that panic has subsided and that Ethereum may be transitioning from distribution into early-stage accumulation. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin is urging the Ethereum ecosystem to treat oracle design and decentralization as a priority security problem, warning that key parts of DeFi’s stack still hide uncomfortable fragilities behind the industry’s recent growth. In a post outlining how the Ethereum Foundation is thinking about DeFi, Buterin framed decentralized finance as “a central part of the value that Ethereum provides” and argued that its next phase must pair renewed innovation with a harder line on security and centralization risks. “Defi is a central part of the value that Ethereum provides. Financial empowerment is a central part of what it means to have agency and freedom in our current world. Finance is far from the only thing that Ethereum is good for, but it is an important thing,” Buterin wrote, positioning DeFi not as a side quest, but as one of Ethereum’s flagship deliverables. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Legal Status Gains Clarity After SEC Leadership Signal Ethereum Foundation’s DeFi Crackdown: No Centralized Shortcuts Buterin’s thesis has two edges. The first is aspirational: DeFi should return to the early-era willingness to invent new primitives rather than iterating on the same product shapes. He pointed to AMMs as an example of the kind of paradigm shift he wants developers to chase again, arguing that teams should “dig a layer deeper” than surface-level improvements like “make a better stablecoin” and instead attack the underlying financial problems: risk management and hedging future expenses with new mechanisms. The second edge is a filter. Buterin said the Ethereum Foundation is not looking to support “onchain finance” or “defi” indiscriminately, but to push toward a narrower vision: “permissionless, open-source, private, security-first global finance that maximizes people’s control over their own assets, minimizes centralized chokepoints and trusted third parties, and democratizes risk management and wealth building … as well as payments.” A key standard in that vision is operational resilience. Buterin said the ecosystem should prefer protocols that “pass the walkaway test”: systems that keep functioning even if the founding team disappears overnight or worse, “becomes hostile / compromised without warning.” It’s a stark yardstick in a sector where governance keys, upgrade mechanisms, and offchain dependencies often concentrate power long after a protocol looks “decentralized” in marketing. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Holds Key 5-Year Demand Area Amid Heavy Whale Transfers Where the alarm bell rings loudest is oracles: the bridge between onchain logic and offchain reality. In a list of priority areas, Buterin singled out “oracle security and decentralization,” adding a blunt aside: “there’s A LOT of skeletons in the closet here, we as an ecosystem really need to point a big eye of sauron at it for a while.” The line is telling: it implies risks that are known, tolerated, or under-discussed, despite oracles sitting on the critical path for lending, stablecoins, derivatives, and liquidations. Buterin framed DeFi as a “complex toolchain” that mixes onchain components with user-side and other offchain pieces — wallets, local agents, and more. His roadmap-like list reflects that breadth: classic security work such as audits, standards, and wallet-side safeguards; newer approaches like “AI-assisted formal verification” and “user-side agents as safeguards”; privacy for both payments and more complex positions, including the question of what a “maximally privacy-preserving CDP” would look like; and renewed emphasis on open source licensing and forkability. The closing message is permissive but not passive. Ethereum will always allow people to deploy “insecure protocols” or systems that embed “ultimately unneeded centralized trust in the name of convenience,” Buterin wrote, as well as what he called “dopamine-maximizing gambleslop.” But he signaled the Foundation’s intent to actively collaborate with builders aligned around minimizing intermediaries and maximizing user agency, with the aim of making that version of DeFi not just Ethereum’s best option, but “a globally compelling way to manage funds” for anyone who values those properties. At press time, ETH traded at $1,912. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The regulatory outlook for Ethereum is gaining renewed attention following signals from Paul Atkins, who has reportedly informally characterized the digital asset as a non-security digital commodity. This development marks a potentially significant shift in how US regulators view ETH’s legal status, offering greater clarity for investors, institutions, and the broader cryptocurrency industry.  What A Non-Security Label Means For Ethereum The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Paul Atkins has already informally described Ethereum as a non-security digital commodity. An investor and commentator, Paul Barron, has revealed on X that this new fast-track proposal for tokenized securities is positioning ETH not just merely as a coin, but as the foundational settlement layer for the world’s new on-chain financial system. Related Reading: $91M Ethereum Buy: Bitmine Immersion Bets Big On ETH Even As Market Volatility Persists This shift suggests that ETH could play a central role in tokenizing traditional financial instruments, including bonds and real-world assets (RWAs). However, if regulatory innovation exemptions materialize, the market could see a surge in tokenized securities and real-world asset projects moving to the ETH mainnet. Ethereum was once the get-rich-quick asset that turned early holders into millionaires overnight. A full-time stock investor and founder of the TD Indicator StockTrader Max pointed out that ETH has evolved into a long-term value investment with lower, steadier growth that rewards patience and conviction rather than hype and timing. StockTrader Max argues that investors who own ETH and expect immediate profits over weeks or months may find the current market environment disappointing, because ETH is an asset that should be held in many portfolios with a time horizon of years, not just months. From a technical perspective, Max highlights that the accumulation zone has continued to grow. Meanwhile, if ETH breaks out of this 5-year accumulation zone, the price will surge, and participants will wish they accumulated from this current level below the 200-week moving average (200 WMA).  Understanding Ethereum’s Civilizational Role In Digital Finance Investors should stop focusing on what Vitalik Buterin sells or says. According to blockchain author and investor William Mougayar, Ethereum is infrastructure and civilizational, and its trajectory does not hinge on any single individual portfolio activity or commentary. Related Reading: How Ethereum Could Become The Default Network For AI Development, Vitalik Explains While Vitalik plays a meaningful role in shaping discourse and influencing ideas, he does not control the destiny of applications. While systemic value originates at the protocol layers where Vitalik and the Ethereum Foundation (EF) have the most pull, the monetization and new forms of value tend to emerge higher in the stack. However, conflating base-layer infrastructure with application cycles or institutional timing, and if one individual trades can shake conviction, then the investor has fundamentally misunderstood the permissionless nature of the stack. ETH should be evaluated on its architectural inevitability, not on daily narratives. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

A recent technical breakdown shared by crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade added a notable outlook to the discussion of how fast Ethereum can enter into a bull run or if there’s more consolidation ahead. In his post on X, he compared Ethereum against the US Dollar Index and then consulted Perplexity AI for a data-backed explanation of the relationship. The result was a match of DXY peaks and Ethereum bottoms, pointing to a recurring inverse pattern that may now be coming back into play. Ethereum’s Volatility Tied To The Dollar Index The technical analysis from Trader Tardigrade focuses on the inverse relationship between Ethereum and the US Dollar Index (DXY). Ethereum’s monthly candlestick price chart shows that the price structure is layered against DXY movements, with four major phases where peaks in the dollar coincided with Ethereum cycle bottoms and the reverse dynamic played out as well. Related Reading: Dogecoin’s Third Time Breakout Could Send Price On 2,000% Rally To $2 A quick look at the chart shows that downtrends in the DXY have, more often than not, coincided with uptrends in the Ethereum price. According to explanations by Perplexity AI, ETH has one of the clearest inverse relationships to DXY in the crypto market, in some cases even more pronounced than Bitcoin.  Whenever the dollar is strengthening, capital rotates to perceived safe assets, and risk assets such as Ethereum face selling pressure. On the other hand, when DXY weakens, liquidity conditions ease, and this encourages inflows into cryptocurrencies like Ethereum. According to the analyst, DXY has now broken down from long-term support and looks ready for further declines. The DXY is currently at 97.8 and weakening. That could spark a major rally in crypto in the coming weeks, especially ETH. Chart Image From X. Source: @TATrader_Alan On X AI Breakdown: How Much Of ETH’s Moves Does DXY Explain? In the AI-backed explanation, Perplexity pointed out that the inverse correlation between ETH and DXY can account for roughly 40% to 60% of Ethereum’s volatility, particularly during periods of changes in monetary policy. That figure is always more significant during rate hikes and news events, although there are lags  of days to months depending on the catalyst. Related Reading: Mapping Out XRP’s Path To $1,200: Analyst Shares Insights The historical table referenced in the analysis linked specific DXY highs to ETH turning points. For example, during the March 2020 dollar spike, Ethereum bottomed before staging a multi-month rally as the DXY continued to fall to 89.  Another alignment was observed in 2022 when the dollar topped at a multi-year high during a broader risk-asset capitulation phase. This, in turn, led to Ethereum creating a bear market low. If the current DXY breakdown extends, then it could begin to favor inflows into Ethereum again.  The green projection arcs on the chart suggest that a sustained dollar decline may open the door to another expansion phase in ETH, where the price expands above $10,000. In order for Ethereum to rise above $3,000 again, there would need to be confirmation of sustained dollar weakness with improving on-chain and derivatives metrics. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Despite the Ethereum price looking to be leveling out below $2,000, the slowdown in the crash has done nothing to allay fears that more decline is coming. In fact, analysts believe that this stop is only temporary and that the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap will make another major drop soon. This is due to past performance, where the Ethereum price has often staged a major reset before eventually making a possible bottom. The Scenario That Says Ethereum Price Is Headed For $600 Calls for Ethereum reaching $10,000-$15,000 were echoed loudly in the last year, when the market was still in the throes of the bull market. However, those hopes have since been dashed, with even $5,000 now looking like a pipe dream. Nevertheless, analysts like Alexhiz on the TradingView website believe that the dream is not completely gone, although the path toward this target may be quite rocky. Related Reading: Don’t Fall For The Bitcoin Trap: Analyst Explains Why Recovery To $76,000 Is Not A Good Thing In a recent post, the crypto analyst explains that it is likely that Ethereum will make a major macro correction. If this is correct, then it means that the support that the altcoin seems to have established above $1,900 is fragile at most and could end up breaking soon. The bearish scenario that Alex points to is another 60% price drop, which would eventually push the Ethereum price down toward $600. While such a price point may be disastrous in the short-term, the analyst believes that it is needed for the 5-figure scenario to play out. Why A Crash Is Good If the Ethereum price were to crash as low as $600, the crypto analyst believes this would mean a complete liquidity reset and a full market capitulation. Such a scenario would allow for strong long-term accumulation, with stronger hands taking control of the price. Related Reading: This Analyst Predicted Solana Sell-Off At $250, And Is Back With A New Prediction What would follow the accumulation phase would be an expansion phase, where the price could rise rapidly. The analyst also added: “Looking further ahead (2028–2029), in a renewed bullish cycle, ETH could target the $10,000–15,000 range based on historical cycle behavior and liquidity growth.” Given this, such a scenario would take years to play out, as there could be a long, drawn-out accumulation trend, as seen in the previous cycle. Growth could also be highly dependent on the Bitcoin price performance, being the market leader for over a decade. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum shows signs of strength, but the bullish picture only emerges on an inverted chart. On the standard view, the downtrend remains intact until key resistance is reclaimed, making the current optimism conditional. Inverted Structure Reinforces Ethereum Bearish HTF Outlook Presenting an inverted chart in a recent update, Mizer explained that he has been short on Ethereum for several days, outlining what he believes could unfold on the higher time frame (HTF). Mizer clarified that this doesn’t necessarily plan to hold the full position to his projected targets, as he prefers focusing on lower time frame (LTF) opportunities given the difficulty of forecasting HTF moves in the current macro environment. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Bounce Still Lacks Conviction — Downside Risk Remains According to Mizer, Ethereum’s HTF structure remains clear: a distribution phase followed by consistent breakdowns since the $5,000 peak. A parabolic curve formed off that top is a key indicator of this pattern, noting that the price has respected it for months. Until that parabola is decisively broken and price holds above it, the broader downtrend remains intact. Zooming into the current price action, Mizer highlighted a strong impulse move into this zone marked by a purple line. This area represents a significant support/resistance flip on the inverted chart: previously resistance, it was broken and now functions as support. Mizer is now closely watching the small blue box on the right side of the chart, which represents the current consolidation following the impulse.  Two Scenarios From Consolidation The analyst further explained that from the current consolidation zone, there are two primary scenarios unfolding: either continuation after a shallow pullback, or a brief fake breakdown followed by a swift reclaim before the next leg higher on the inverted chart, which would translate to further downside for ETH itself. Related Reading: Ethereum Faces High-Stakes Moment at $2,200 as Whale Longs Clash With Bearish Flow Data He described the purple path on his chart as his “ideal” bullish scenario on the inverted structure, essentially tracking price as it continues to respect the long-standing parabolic curve. As long as that parabola remains intact, the broader bearish trajectory remains his base case. Regarding targets, he divided expectations into short- and long-term objectives. The immediate target sits around $1,700, which he views as the first logical area to take profits and monitor for a potential reaction strong enough to challenge or even break the parabolic resistance. The final target lies near $1,400, representing the larger extension if momentum fully plays out. However, he emphasized that the setup would be invalidated if ETH loses the key flip zone and begins accepting below it on the inverted chart, a move that would break the parabola and potentially signal a broader trend reversal. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

The long-term vision for Ethereum is increasingly shifting beyond incremental upgrades toward a more fundamental transformation of its core architecture. As the network continues to scale and support a growing ecosystem of decentralized applications, developers and researchers are exploring whether achieving ETH’s ultimate goals of global scalability, security, and decentralization requires rebuilding elements of its base layer rather than simply refining existing systems. Rebuilding Core Infrastructure For Long-Term Growth Ethereum’s evolution has moved beyond incremental upgrades; it is entering a phase of structural reconstruction. The head of research at EigenCloud, Soubhik Deb, mentioned on X that the initiative often referred to as Lean Consensus, formerly known as née Beamchain, signals the beginning of ETH’s endgame. Related Reading: Ethereum Foundation Maps 2026 Protocol Priorities as Major Upgrades Near It is reducing accumulated technical debt, pushing toward fast finality, and designing the protocol with post-quantum future resilience in mind. At the heart of this transformation is Lean Consensus, being one of the most ambitious protocol workstreams for the network and the crypto infrastructure overall. In Soubhik Deb’s discussions with Drakefjustin, the focus was to understand what Lean ETH practically is in terms of real-time proving and increased Layer 1 throughput, and what it unlocks for the rollups. Other protocols are being introduced to bolster the network’s ecosystem, including scaling.  Analyst Ladislaus offered insight into the relationship between FOCIL and Ethereum’s scaling roadmap, particularly in the medium-term via L1 zkEVMs. Presently, it seems clear that the ETH community is demanding higher L1 throughput to meet global demand. However, the truth about trade-offs today is that censorship resistance and fast inclusion rely heavily on validator altruism, more concretely, on the willingness of validators choosing to build blocks locally and thereby forego more valuable blocks from third-party builders. At the current scale, the tax on altruism is still acceptable and manageable, but reliance is brittle and suboptimal. What makes it even more problematic is that as throughput increases, it becomes progressively more expensive. The good news is that FOCIL will make inclusion a protocol-level guarantee. Instead of treating censorship resistance as a market probability, it becomes an enforced rule of the system. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Builds Tension Below Resistance, Breakout Risk Rising However, with the decision to schedule FOCIL for protocol inclusion, the project is well-positioned to reduce critical social-layer dependency. At the same time, paving the way for a massive increase in L1 throughput. Ethereum Liquidation Clusters Build On Both Sides Of Price Ethereum’s current liquidation heatmap reflects a market stretched on both sides. According to Ted, ETH longs and shorts are aggressive, which means all this aggressiveness will be taken out.  If geopolitical tensions such as a potential US–Iran escalation intensify, downside pressure could spark long liquidations, followed by a reversal that squeezes shorts. However, positive developments like peace talks could ignite an upside breakout, wiping out shorts before the price potentially retraces to target late longs. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum’s technical structure has weakened further after slipping decisively below the $2,100 level, reinforcing short-term bearish pressure. However, while the breakdown raises the risk of a deeper downside, a repeating fractal pattern on the higher timeframe offers a potential glimmer of hope, suggesting that a larger breakout could still emerge if history rhymes. Key $2.3K–$2.1K Support Zone Lost According to Crypto Candy, Ethereum has decisively lost its key daily support zone between $2,300 and $2,100, closing firmly below it and confirming a structural breakdown. This area had previously acted as a strong demand region, repeatedly absorbing selling pressure. Its failure marks an important technical shift, suggesting that the broader market structure has weakened. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Stalls Under Resistance With Breakout Hopes Delayed With the breakdown confirmed, the former support zone has now flipped into a significant resistance area. ETH has already attempted to reclaim the $2,100–$2,300 range but has failed to regain acceptance above it. This rejection reinforces the idea that sellers are defending the level aggressively, keeping short-term momentum tilted to the downside. If bearish momentum continues to build, the next major support region to watch sits between $1,700 and $1,500. A move into this range would align with typical continuation behavior following a failed reclaim of broken support. For now, the bias remains bearish as long as Ethereum trades below the $2,300–$2,100 zone. Only a strong reclaim followed by sustained consolidation above that range would invalidate the downside scenario.  Ethereum Fractal Structure Mirrors Pre-Rally Setup Providing a weekly Ethereum update, Trader Tardigrade pointed to a compelling fractal comparison that suggests a familiar structure may be unfolding. The expert’s analysis highlights the formation of a rectangular consolidation box, a setup that closely resembles the price behavior seen before Ethereum’s explosive rally in late 2025. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Leverage Reset Clears The Path For A Healthy Rebound – Analyst During that previous cycle, ETH spent weeks compressing within a clearly defined horizontal range, building energy before eventually breaking out with strong momentum. The current chart shows a nearly identical box pattern forming, positioned similarly within the broader ascending channel. The symmetry between the two structures strengthens the case that this may not be random consolidation, but rather a repeat of a larger cyclical pattern. If the fractal continues to play out as it did before, a decisive breakout above the current range could trigger a powerful upside expansion. Just as in 2025, the longer the price compresses within the box, the more aggressive the eventual move could become. A confirmed break and sustained acceptance above the range would be the key signal that Ethereum is transitioning from accumulation to markup once again. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com