Ethereum is holding above the $2,000 level as selling pressure begins to build again, placing the market at a critical inflection point after a short-lived recovery. While ETH has managed to stabilize above this psychological threshold, recent price action suggests that momentum remains fragile, with sellers gradually regaining control following the latest push higher. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Inflows Signal Shift: Whales Reduce Selling Pressure Despite this renewed pressure, underlying on-chain data is signaling an important structural development. According to a CryptoQuant report, whales holding over 100,000 ETH have now returned to a profitable state. This shift is significant, as large holders typically operate with longer investment horizons and tend to influence broader market trends through their positioning. Historically, the transition of major whale cohorts from loss to profit has often coincided with the early stages of new market cycles. These phases tend to mark the end of capitulation periods, where large investors accumulate at lower levels before gradually moving into profit as the price recovers. While whale profitability reflects improving cost basis conditions, it can also introduce potential distribution risk if large holders choose to realize gains. In this context, Ethereum’s ability to maintain support above $2,000 will likely determine whether the market stabilizes or faces renewed downside pressure. Whale Profitability as a Structural Inflection Signal Historical data shows that the loss zones for large Ethereum whales have consistently aligned with broader market bottoms. These phases typically reflect periods of capitulation, where price compresses below the aggregate cost basis of major holders, forcing weaker participants out while stronger hands accumulate. In previous cycles, such conditions have marked the final stages of downside pressure rather than the beginning of prolonged declines. More importantly, the transition from loss to profitability among these large wallets has repeatedly coincided with the early stages of sustained uptrends. Once whales regain a profitable position, market structure tends to shift. Selling pressure from distressed holders diminishes, while confidence among long-term participants begins to rebuild. This creates a more favorable environment for price expansion, particularly if supported by improving liquidity conditions. The current setup appears to be approaching a similar configuration. With whales holding over 100,000 ETH now back in profit, the market may be entering another transitional phase. However, the signal is not self-sufficient. A confirmed uptrend typically requires follow-through in the form of spot demand, capital inflows, and reduced sell-side pressure. In this context, another potential starting point for an uptrend may be forming, but confirmation remains essential. Related Reading: Binance Leads XRP Whale Exodus As 530M Tokens Exit In Single-Day Surge Ethereum Consolidates As Downtrend Remains Intact Ethereum is currently trading near the $2,000–$2,050 range, consolidating after a sharp decline that began in early February. The chart shows a clear breakdown from the $3,000 region, followed by an accelerated sell-off that briefly pushed the price below $1,900 before a modest recovery attempt. From a structural standpoint, ETH remains in a well-defined downtrend. Price continues to trade below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, all of which are trending downward. This alignment confirms that broader market momentum is still bearish, with rallies likely to encounter resistance at these dynamic levels. Related Reading: Solana Structure Fractures: Accumulation In Spot Clashes With Derivatives Selling Pressure The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive. Price briefly reclaimed the short-term moving average but failed to sustain momentum, indicating weak follow-through from buyers. Additionally, volume patterns show that the most significant spikes occurred during the sell-off phase, suggesting capitulation-driven activity rather than strong accumulation. In the near term, the $2,000 level acts as a key support zone, while the $2,200–$2,300 range represents immediate resistance. A decisive reclaim of this area would be required to shift the short-term structure. Until then, ETH remains vulnerable to further downside, with the risk of revisiting recent lows if selling pressure intensifies. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum may be nearing a major inflection point, according to market analyst Ali Martinez (@alicharts on X), who argues that a confluence of technical structure and on-chain valuation data is beginning to tilt the setup back in bulls’ favor. In a post on X, Martinez said Ethereum is showing signs of a “major structural shift,” pointing to a multi-year ascending triangle on the weekly chart, a recent test of support near $1,800, and a historically significant drop in the MVRV ratio. Taken together, the message was clear: the recent weakness may have looked less like a breakdown and more like a reset inside a larger bullish structure. Ethereum’s Path To $10,000? Martinez framed the chart setup as the backbone of the thesis. “From a technical standpoint, ETH continues to trade within a well-defined ascending triangle on the weekly chart,” he wrote. “The recent move toward $1,800 served as a critical reaction point, aligning with the rising trendline of this multi-year structure.” In other words, the analyst is not treating the bounce as an isolated event. The relevance comes from where it happened: directly at a level he views as structurally important in the context of a long-duration pattern. Related Reading: Ethereum Investor Druckenmiller Predicts Stablecoin-Led Payment Systems That technical argument was paired with an on-chain signal Martinez described as even more consequential. He said Ethereum’s MVRV ratio recently fell below 0.8, a threshold he characterized as a rare valuation reset. “Historically, this is a ‘Generational Buy’ zone. We saw similar resets before the major bull rallies of the past,” he wrote. “The fact that this on-chain reset happened exactly as price tested the triangle’s support adds massive weight to the bullish thesis.” The logic of the call rests on that overlap. A chart support test on its own can invite skepticism, especially after prolonged weakness. But Martinez’ argument is that Ethereum is not only holding a key structural zone; it is doing so while on-chain data suggests the asset has entered an area associated with deep undervaluation in previous cycles. That does not guarantee a trend reversal, but it does sharpen the significance of the current range. Related Reading: Tom Lee Says Ethereum Looks Ready To Exit Crypto Winter He also pointed to a momentum shift on lower timeframes. According to Martinez, the daily Supertrend indicator has now turned green for the first time since May of last year, suggesting the long stretch of consolidation may be giving way to a new directional move. In his telling, the market is moving out of a “sideways grind” and beginning to rebuild upward momentum. From there, Martinez laid out the price levels that could define whether the thesis holds. He identified $2,356 as the first major level Ethereum needs to reclaim, followed by $2,647 and $3,639 as mid-term breakout targets. Beyond that, he marked $4,632 and $5,624 as longer-term expansion zones. The larger prize, however, sits further out. “A sustained move above $2,356 would be our first confirmation that ETH is moving out of ‘accumulation’ and into a true bull market expansion,” he wrote. “If it can clear the previous all-time high region near $4,900, the door opens for a move toward $10,000, as it will signal a breakout of the ascending triangle.” For now, the thesis remains conditional rather than complete. Martinez described the $2,000 to $1,800 range as a “prime accumulation zone,” while adding that the bull market is not “guaranteed” yet. That caveat matters. His case for a durable bottom depends on Ethereum holding the $1,800 floor and then reclaiming higher resistance levels in sequence. If that happens, the current setup could be remembered as an early-stage reaccumulation phase rather than just another bounce inside a broader range. At press time, ETH traded at $2,054. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a sharp decline below the $2,220 zone. ETH is now consolidating above $2,020 and might aim for a recovery wave if it climbs above $2,110. Ethereum started a sharp decline below the $2,200 zone. The price is trading below $2,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There are two bearish trend lines forming with resistance at $2,120 and $2,165 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $2,165 resistance. Ethereum Price Turns Red Ethereum price failed to stay above $2,220 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $2,150 and $2,120 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even spiked below $2,050. A low was formed at $2,025, and the price is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,385 swing high to the $2,025 low. There are also two bearish trend lines forming with resistance at $2,120 and $2,165 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,100 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,025, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,080 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,120 level or the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. The next major resistance is near the $2,165 level and the second trend line. A clear move above the $2,165 resistance might send the price toward the $2,200 resistance or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,385 swing high to the $2,025 low. An upside break above the $2,200 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,250 resistance zone or even $2,300 in the near term. More Losses In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,120 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,040 level. The first major support sits near the $2,025 zone. A clear move below the $2,025 support might push the price toward the $2,000 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,965 region. The main support could be $1,880. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,025 Major Resistance Level – $2,120
Ethereum is trading around the $2,150 level as volatility persists across the broader cryptocurrency market, reflecting a phase of uncertainty following recent price swings. While the asset has managed to stabilize near current levels, momentum remains fragile, with traders closely monitoring whether demand can sustain a recovery or if further downside pressure will emerge. Related Reading: Ethereum Enters High-Leverage Regime As Binance Exposure Crosses 75% Beyond price action, on-chain data is offering a more precise view of market structure. According to CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain, the Ethereum Exchange Inflow (Top10) metric on Binance provides valuable insight into whale behavior by tracking transfers from the largest wallets to the exchange. The latest data shows that Ethereum was trading near $2,137, maintaining relative stability compared to prior periods of heightened volatility. However, inflows from the top 10 wallets reached approximately 135,573 ETH, a level that remains significantly below previous peaks that exceeded one million ETH. This decline is notable. It suggests a reduction in large-scale transfer activity, indicating that whales are currently less active in moving assets to exchanges. In this context, the data points to a more cautious stance among large investors, potentially reflecting lower selling pressure but also a lack of aggressive repositioning in the current market environment. Whale Inflows Trend Lower as Selling Pressure Moderates The report further refines this view by examining the structure of whale inflows through moving averages, which provide a clearer temporal context for current activity. The EMA (7) stands at approximately 140,265 ETH, while the EMA (14) is slightly higher at 140,853 ETH. Expanding the horizon, the EMA (30) rises to around 151,694 ETH, followed by the EMA (50) at 158,203 ETH, and the EMA (100) at approximately 159,307 ETH. This upward gradient across longer-term averages is structurally meaningful. It indicates that historical inflows were significantly higher, confirming a persistent decline in whale deposit activity over time. In practical terms, large holders were transferring more ETH to exchanges in prior phases, while current behavior reflects a more restrained approach. Importantly, the latest inflow level—around 135,000 ETH—sits below most of these averages. This positioning suggests that immediate selling pressure is relatively subdued, as fewer large-scale deposits are reaching exchanges compared to previous periods. Such conditions are typically associated with reduced distribution intensity. However, the convergence between the short-term averages, particularly EMA 7 and EMA 14, points to near-term stabilization in flows. At the same time, elevated EMA 50 and EMA 100 levels indicate that the market is still normalizing after earlier waves of heavy selling, rather than entering a fully neutral phase. Related Reading: Solana Structure Fractures: Accumulation In Spot Clashes With Derivatives Selling Pressure Ethereum Struggles Below Key Moving Averages as Recovery Attempts Stall Ethereum is currently trading around the $2,150 level, attempting to stabilize after a sharp decline that accelerated in early February. The chart shows a clear breakdown from the $3,000–$3,300 range, followed by a cascade lower that briefly pushed the price below the $2,000 mark before buyers stepped in. From a structural perspective, ETH remains in a downtrend across multiple timeframes. Price is still trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, all of which are sloping downward. This alignment confirms that broader market momentum remains bearish, with rallies likely facing resistance at these dynamic levels. Related Reading: XRP Liquidations Accelerate After $1.50 Breakout: Short Squeeze Unfolds The recent bounce from sub-$2,000 levels suggests short-term relief, but the recovery lacks strong continuation. The rejection near the short-term moving average indicates that buyers are not yet strong enough to reclaim higher levels decisively. Volume analysis supports this view, with the largest spikes occurring during the sell-off phase, pointing to capitulation rather than accumulation. In the near term, the $2,100–$2,200 range acts as a pivot zone. A sustained move above this area could open the door for a test of $2,400. However, failure to hold current levels would likely expose ETH to another retest of the recent lows, keeping downside risks elevated. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum investor Stanley Druckenmiller has added his voice to the growing conversation around the future of digital finance, predicting that stablecoins could become the dominant force in global payment systems within the next few years. The veteran investor’s outlook reflects a broader shift among institutions and market participants toward viewing blockchain-based money as a critical financial infrastructure. Why Stablecoins Could Replace Traditional Payment Rails Stanley Druckenmiller, a prominent investor with exposure to Ethereum, is increasingly aligning his investment positioning with his outlook on the future of payments; one dominated by stablecoins and blockchain infrastructure. According to the Etherealize post on X, the veteran investor has publicly stated that stablecoins could power the entire payment system within the next 10 to 15 years. He further pointed to the clear advantages of blockchain-based money, such as greater efficiency, faster settlement, and significantly lower costs. Related Reading: Ethereum Remains The Top Network For Tokenized Assets As Adoption Grows This view is reflected in his exposure of the ETH ecosystem, in which Druckenmiller is listed among key backers of BitMine (BMNR), an Ethereum-focused treasury firm chaired by Tom Lee, which reportedly holds over $10 billion in ETH. Other notable supporters include ARK Invest and Bill Miller. Druckenmiller’s aligns with his recent bullish comments on stablecoins and blockchain payments. He frames blockchain and the use of stablecoins as highly practical tools for investors to invest their crypto and tokens, as they can significantly improve financial productivity. Ethereum As A Neutral Settlement Layer For Institutions The recent Cari announcement has reignited a critical debate around the future of institutional blockchain infrastructure, with much of the discussion focusing on architecture. Analyst Alex argued that the real issue lies in the business model of proprietary systems versus open standards. Related Reading: Ethereum Futures Volume Outruns Spot 6-to-1 As Macro Stress Weighs On Crypto The Government of propriety networks like Canton or Tempo will be controlled by a small group with disproportionate voting weight. They will be permissionless, but participants have to submit a Google form with opaque admission criteria to join. It’s unclear who decides this, but over time, the most influential participants will set the terms of access and pricing. From a bank’s perspective, this structure is familiar because it mirrors the early dynamics of legacy systems like SWIFT and Visa, locking in structural advantages while late joiners absorb the cost. As Alex noted, everyone wants to build the next SWIFT-killer, but nobody wants to join someone else’s SWIFT-Killer; a typical comment from banks. This is where Ethereum stands out as the only neutral settlement layer where that dynamic can’t take hold, because no single entity can capture it. The ETH network is the only place where every participant can permanently trust that no future coalition will rewrite the rules against them. From a game-theoretical standpoint, Alex concluded that ETH represents the only sustainable equilibrium as a global settlement layer for institutional finance that works long-term. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Tom Lee used a Hong Kong conference stage to argue that Ethereum may be close to a cyclical turn, pointing to historical market analogs and on-chain cost-basis data that, in his view, suggest the selloff has reached exhaustion. Speaking at the 3rd Futu Expo 2026 in Hong Kong on March 13–14, Lee said Bitmine advisor Tom DeMark had identified a striking resemblance between Ethereum’s recent price action and two major S&P 500 declines: the 1987 crash and the 2011 selloff. Lee described the setup as unusually tight. Is The Ethereum Bottom In? “Tom DeMark, he’s a legendary market timer, and he’s provided an analysis to us that says Ethereum, in the last few months, especially since October, is really mirroring what happened to the S&P 500 in 2011 and what happened to the S&P 500 in 1987,” Lee said. “If you were involved in US markets, both times marked major declines in the S&P. Well, according to him, there’s a 93% correlation to what Ethereum’s doing today to what the S&P did in 1987.” Related Reading: Ethereum Enters High-Leverage Regime As Binance Exposure Crosses 75% That comparison is doing a lot of work in Lee’s argument. If the 1987 analog holds, he said, Ethereum would have already bottomed on March 7. If the 2011 comparison is the better fit, the market is bottoming now. In either case, Lee’s conclusion was the same: “So using his analysis, we think we’re at the bottom or exiting the crypto winter now.” He did not leave the case resting on chart symmetry alone. Lee also pointed to Ethereum’s realized price, the on-chain metric that estimates the average acquisition cost of coins based on their last movement on the blockchain. In his telling, that figure now sits at $2,241 for ETH, giving investors a way to judge how deeply underwater the average holder has become. Lee said the pattern at prior lows is revealing. In 2022, Ethereum fell to a 39% discount to realized price. In 2025, the discount reached 21% before ETH turned higher. “Currently, we’re at 22%,” he said, adding that the market is now sitting in roughly the same zone where last year’s reversal began. “So we’re at the level where in 2025, Ethereum started to turn higher.” Related Reading: Bitwise Found What’s Really Driving Ethereum Price, And It’s Not Fundamentals In other words, Lee’s thesis is that Ethereum does not need a pristine macro backdrop or a fresh narrative cycle to stabilize; it only needs to revisit the kind of holder pain that has historically marked exhaustion. By his measure, that threshold is already here. TOM LEE: THE ETHEREUM BOTTOM IS IN ‼️ Bitmine x TOM DEMARK mapped ETH against past S&P 500 crash recoveries. The structure now closely matches 1987 and 2011, both major cycle bottoms. ???? 93% correlation to 1987 ???? Match to 2011 bottom ???? Realized price: $2,241 ???? ETH ~22%… pic.twitter.com/62TZscjChe — BMNR Bullz (@BMNRBullz) March 19, 2026 He also tried to zoom out from the immediate drawdown and re-anchor ETH in a longer time horizon. “Before you lose any hope, keep in mind that over the last 10 years, Ethereum has outperformed every other asset class over the past decade,” Lee said. “In the last 10 years, Ethereum’s return is 49,000%. That means almost 490 times your money.” Lee contrasted that with Bitcoin’s 11,000% gain over the same span and even with Nvidia, which he called “the single best stock in the US,” saying it had returned 65 times investors’ money. At press time, ETH traded at $2,147. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum, being the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has often drawn a lot of attention as the next in line to replicate Bitcoin’s success. But despite Bitcoin rallying to new all-time highs, Ethereum has stayed below $5,000, unable to hit this major target. This has not deterred investors, however, with analysts still predicting that the Ethereum price will eventually beat the $5,000 mark and rally toward 5-figures in the end. Why Ethereum Price Could Cross $5,000 Following the initial decline from the $4,900 high that was registered back in 2025, the Ethereum price was stuck in an accumulation range. This continued as the price decline deepened and Ethereum fell more than 50% from its all-time highs. However, with the recent turn in the tide, it seems that the digital asset is now emerging out of this accumulation trend. Crypto analyst Javon Marks points this out in an analysis shared on the X (formerly Twitter) platform, showing how this could play out for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Analyst Says Ignore The Noise, Dogecoin Is Still In The Game, And This Is Why Presently, the Ethereum price looks to be marking its support above $2,000, and this has set the stage for a bounce-off rally. According to the crypto analyst, this current trend suggests that Ethereum is actually breaking out of the accumulation trend. This, in turn, sets this digital asset on a course toward breaking $4,900. The story doesn’t end there because Marks highlights that the implications of the Ethereum price breaking above $4,900 are very bearish. In the case of a break above this major resistance, then the crypto analyst sees the ETH price eventually rallying to $8,500. Bull patterns that hold in $ETH hints at a push towards the $4,900 levels again and that may only be part of prices exiting a huge accumulation phase. Prices reach those levels and the next we’re looking at is above $8,500. (Ethereum) https://t.co/Ik7znLXZQb — JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) March 17, 2026 Metrics Are Itching For A Surge Besides the price, there has also been a major increase in the Ethereum open interest. Data from the Coinglass website shows a jump from around $25 billion last week to over $32 billion this week. It also coincides with the price increase, suggesting that investors may be coming back to the table. Related Reading: Top Meme Coins That Could Still Surge Despite Dogecoin, Shiba Inu Dominance Also, the daily trading volume is also on the rise, reaching over $89 billion earlier in the week. Following the correction, the daily volume has fallen, but remains above $50 billion, which also indicates a lot of interest coming back into the market. If this trend continues, then the ETH price could continue to surge, but with major resistance lying at $3,000, it remains to be seen if bears will give up totally. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Despite the crypto market’s renewed weakness on Thursday, a new AI-driven market model produced by Sam Daodu for 24/7 Wall St. projects higher year-end prices for Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, and Ethereum (ETH). AI Model Sees Bitcoin Rising 42% In 2026 Daodu’s analysis, which used ChatGPT as the modeling engine, places Bitcoin at the top of the trio, forecasting a roughly 42% gain from current levels and a year-end target near $105,000. Related Reading: Sen. Lummis Predicts Crypto Market Structure Markup In April, Senate Passage By Year-End The AI model identified institutional demand and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as the primary catalysts for its Bitcoin prediction. The model also identified BTC’s tightened supply as a potential catalyst. The latest Halving reduced daily issuance from 900 BTC to 450 BTC, cutting the annual inflation rate to 0.83%. This week, combined with ETF buying and large holders, institutional purchases outpaced miner issuance, creating a demand-supply imbalance that the model cited as a main reason for ranking Bitcoin first. XRP To Hit $2 By Year-End XRP ranked second in the AI’s predictions, with an expected return of approximately 32% and a year-end price near $2.00. ChatGPT noted the regulatory clarity provided by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which classified the altcoin as a commodity. This classification is expected to reduce a major barrier to institutional participation. The AI model also interpreted XRP’s most recent price breakout above the key $1.5 level as bullish, noting that sustained gains can move holders toward break-even positions and reduce selling pressure. However, the model highlighted a critical limitation: regulatory clarity has not yet translated into meaningful institutional demand for XRP, as ETF flows experienced $28 million in net outflows last week. In short, substantial institutional buying will be required for XRP to reach its predicted price point by the end of the year. ChatGPT Forecasts Modest ETH Rally Ethereum ranked third, with a comparatively modest forecast of about 20% upside to roughly $2,800 by year-end. ChatGPT argued that, despite Ethereum’s developer ecosystem and extensive infrastructure, the token faces the weakest near-term demand picture among the three major assets. A key reason is migration of activity to layer-2 (L2) networks—Base, Arbitrum (ARB), and Optimism (OP) now handle a large share of user transactions because of lower fees. Related Reading: XRP Price Projections Soar To $15-$30 On CLARITY Act Prospects And Bank Adoption That shift has reportedly compressed fee revenue on Ethereum’s base layer; weekly fees recently averaged about $2.3 million compared with peak weekly fees near $30 million. With fees now close to zero, burning has effectively stalled, and ETH’s supply is growing slightly rather than contracting. ChatGPT concluded that, until fee revenue rebounds or institutional flows reverse, Ethereum’s price will have to prove itself on other fundamentals. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $70,600, marking a 1% loss within the last 24 hours. XRP has seen a similar decline of 0.9%, but it is still holding onto gains of 6% recorded over the past week while trading at around $1.45 per token. Surprisingly, Ethereum has outperformed Bitcoin during this period as well, with gains of 4.2%. However, over the past 24 hours, the market’s leading altcoin has retraced 2.3%, reaching approximately $2,148, according to CoinGecko data. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum has slipped into a valuation range that some on-chain analysts associate with major long-term bottoms, after ETH fell below its realized price for the first time in two years. Via X, renowned crypto analyst Ali Martinez argued on Thursday the setup now resembles prior cycle lows. Ethereum Drops Into MVRV Buy Zone In a post on X, the analyst wrote: “Ethereum has entered a generational ‘Buy Zone.’ The MVRV Ratio, which measures the gap between market price and average investor cost basis, has just dropped into the 0.8 – 1.0 range. Historically, this ‘fair value’ reset has been the precursor to massive structural bull rallies.” That framing rests on a familiar on-chain logic. When MVRV falls toward or below 1.0, spot price is converging with, or moving under, the aggregate on-chain cost basis of holders. In practical terms, the market is no longer pricing Ethereum at the rich premium seen during euphoric phases. Instead, it is testing a zone where prior cycles have exhausted sellers and attracted longer-duration buyers. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Above $2,300 As Open Interest Expansion Reinforces Uptrend Stability Martinez paired that argument with a chart showing previous rebounds from the same region. The historical moves cited from this “Buy Zone” were substantial: roughly 150%, 5,390%, 130%, 280% and 250%. The implication was explicit. “On-chain data suggests Ethereum is approaching a long-term bottom. For those with a 12-24 month horizon, the accumulation window is officially open!” Glassnode posted a similar signal last week, though in more restrained terms. “ETH has dropped below its realized price for the first time in 2 years – signaling that the average investor is now holding an unrealized loss,” the firm wrote on March 11. It added two key metrics alongside the chart: Realized Price at $2,058.04 and MVRV: 0.93 (7% unrealized loss). Related Reading: Bitwise Found What’s Really Driving Ethereum Price, And It’s Not Fundamentals Those numbers sharpen the broader thesis. A realized price of $2,058.04 against a market price of $1,917.86 means Ethereum was trading below the average on-chain acquisition cost tracked by Glassnode’s model. An MVRV of 0.93 suggests the typical holder, in aggregate, is down about 7% on paper. That does not guarantee a bottom, but it does indicate a phase where speculative excess has already been largely unwound. In overheated markets, MVRV expands as price runs well above the network’s realized cost basis, often reflecting crowded profits and rising distribution risk. In contrast, sub-1.0 readings tend to appear when conviction is weak, sentiment is damaged, and marginal sellers have already absorbed a large part of the decline. That is why analysts often treat the zone as strategically important even if price action remains volatile in the short term. At press time, ETH rebounded above realized price again and traded at $2,139. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a sharp decline from the $2,385 zone. ETH is now consolidating above $2,100 and might aim for a recovery wave if it climbs above $2,200. Ethereum started a sharp decline below the $2,320 zone. The price is trading below $2,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at $2,160 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears the $2,200 zone. Ethereum Price Takes Hit Ethereum price failed to stay above $2,320 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $2,250 and $2,200 to enter a short-term bearish zone. There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at $2,160 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The pair even spiked below $2,120. A low was formed at $2,100, and the price is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $2,385 swing high to the $2,100 low. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,200 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,100, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,165 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,200 level and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. The next major resistance is near the $2,240 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $2,385 swing high to the $2,100 low. A clear move above the $2,240 resistance might send the price toward the $2,275 resistance. An upside break above the $2,275 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,320 resistance zone or even $2,385 in the near term. More Losses In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,200 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,120 level. The first major support sits near the $2,100 zone. A clear move below the $2,100 support might push the price toward the $2,060 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,020 region. The main support could be $2,000. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,120 Major Resistance Level – $2,200
Ethereum is trading above the $2,150 level after pulling back from recent highs near $2,380 reached earlier this week, reflecting a cooling phase following a short-term surge in bullish momentum. The retrace suggests that while buyers were able to push prices higher, follow-through demand remains limited as the market digests recent gains. Related Reading: XRP Liquidations Accelerate After $1.50 Breakout: Short Squeeze Unfolds Beneath the surface, derivatives data is revealing a more consequential shift in market structure. According to a CryptoQuant analysis, Ethereum leverage on Binance has not only recovered from the October 10 market-wide deleveraging event, but has now expanded to new highs. Notably, Binance stands out as the only major exchange where leverage metrics have fully surpassed previous levels, signaling a concentrated buildup of risk. This development carries important implications. The rapid re-expansion of leverage suggests that traders are once again increasing exposure through derivatives, reinforcing Binance’s role as the primary venue for ETH positioning. More importantly, it indicates that price discovery is increasingly being driven by leveraged activity rather than spot demand. In this context, Ethereum’s current structure reflects a market where momentum is still present, but increasingly dependent on derivatives-driven flows rather than organic accumulation. Leverage Dominates Ethereum’s Market Structure The analysis highlights a critical shift in Ethereum’s derivatives landscape. The Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR)—which measures open interest relative to exchange reserves—shows that over 75% of ETH exposure on Binance is now leveraged. At the same time, Binance holds approximately 3% of the total ETH supply, around 3.4 million ETH, underscoring the exchange’s central role in price formation. What stands out is the speed of this leverage expansion. Rapid gains and minimal consolidation suggest that derivatives activity, not sustained spot demand, drove much of Ethereum’s recent upside. This creates a structurally different market environment. Leverage-driven markets tend to behave asymmetrically. While they can extend trends aggressively in the short term, they also become increasingly fragile as positioning builds. Crowded trades emerge, where even minor catalysts—whether macro, technical, or liquidity-driven—can trigger liquidation cascades and sharp reversals. In this context, the signal is unambiguous: leverage is leading the move, not confirming it. While this dynamic can support continuation in the near term, it also elevates the probability of sudden volatility spikes. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Above $2,300 As Open Interest Expansion Reinforces Uptrend Stability Ethereum Struggles to Reclaim Structure After Breakdown Ethereum’s daily chart shows a fragile recovery attempt following a decisive breakdown below key support levels, with price currently hovering around the $2,150–$2,200 region. The sharp decline in early February marked a clear loss of structure, as ETH fell below its 200-day moving average, confirming a shift from bullish to corrective conditions. Since that breakdown, price has been attempting to stabilize, forming a short-term base between $1,900 and $2,200. The recent bounce toward $2,300 indicates some return of demand, but the move lacks strong continuation, suggesting that buyers are still cautious. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Step In: $33M ETH Withdrawn From Exchanges In Hours Technically, Ethereum remains below all major moving averages, which are now sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance. The rejection near the short-term averages reinforces the idea that the market is still in a bearish or transitional phase, rather than a confirmed recovery. Volume patterns add further context. The initial selloff was accompanied by a significant spike in volume, indicative of forced liquidations, while the subsequent recovery has occurred on relatively lower participation—pointing to limited conviction behind the bounce. For Ethereum to regain momentum, a sustained reclaim of the $2,300–$2,500 zone is required. Until then, price action remains vulnerable to further downside pressure. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
A recent rebound in the Ethereum price has brought renewed focus to an analyst who accurately identified its local bottom. With price now recovering sharply from that region, the same market watcher has outlined the next key levels that could determine Ethereum’s direction in the coming weeks. Ethereum Price Breakdown To Reversal Confirms Analyst’s Call Ethereum’s earlier decline unfolded through a series of failed bullish structures, gradually weakening confidence in the uptrend. The first sign of trouble emerged when a bullish flag pattern broke down near the $3,700 level, cutting short expectations of continuation. This was followed by a more decisive shift as an ascending triangle failed, leading to a breakdown below the $3,000 support zone. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin Price Could Stage A Stronger Rally Than Previous Bull Markets As the Ethereum price moved lower into the $2,000–$1,850 range, the analyst highlighted $1,800 as a critical level to watch. According to him, holding that level would likely trigger a recovery toward $2,650, while losing it could expose a deeper move toward $1,300, identified as a stronger accumulation zone. Price action ultimately respected the bullish scenario. Ethereum stabilized within the $1,800–$1,900 range, where buying pressure emerged and formed a base. From there, the market began to recover, delivering a gain of roughly 28% from the entry zone identified by the analyst. Building on that accuracy, Ethereum reclaimed previously resistant levels. The analyst noted a bearish flag near $2,150 that eventually broke, signaling a short-term momentum shift. A move above $2,300 further strengthened the recovery, showing buyers were regaining control. The market’s trajectory ultimately confirmed the analyst’s call, proving his forecast precise and reliable. Ethereum Builds On Accurate Call With FVG Target And $3,000 Test Ahead Attention has now shifted to a target identified by the analyst as the next likely area of interest: the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $2,474 and $2,734. The analyst highlights this zone as a potential point where Ethereum may revisit before making a more decisive move. According to him, a push above the upper boundary—particularly past $2,634—would increase the likelihood of a test toward $3,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin And US Election Cycles: An Age-Long Romance That Says $400,000 Is Possible That level is expected to act as a key decision point. While the recovery has been strong, overhead resistance remains, including prior support zones that have turned into resistance and a descending trendline visible on the chart. These factors suggest that any move into $3,000 will be closely contested. At the same time, the analyst maintains that holding above $1,750 is essential to preserving the current uptrend. A break below that level could weaken the structure and reintroduce downside risk. By closely tracking price action, the analyst outlines what to expect next: a clear progression from breakdown to accumulation, now moving toward a potential expansion phase as Ethereum approaches its next major test. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst CrypFlow has revealed that the signal that started the last 2 altcoin seasons has returned. The analyst pointed to bullish indicators of the ‘Others’ chart against Bitcoin, which signal that capital may be flowing to lower-capped tokens. Signal Points To Another Altcoin Season as Capital Flows From Bitcoin In an X post, CrypFlow stated that the signal that started the last two altcoin seasons is forming again. He explained that every major altcoin expansion has started the same way, with the others/Bitcoin chart breaking out of a falling wedge, and that then the Squeeze Momentum turns green. Related Reading: Expert Says There Will Be No Altcoin Season In 2026, Here’s Why The analyst remarked that when these two indicators align, altcoins start to massively outperform Bitcoin, as seen during the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons. However, he noted that this cycle was different as the Squeeze Momentum stayed red for years after the 2021 bull cycle peak. CrypFlow noted that this meant a prolonged Bitcoin dominance, with no real altcoin season happening since the last one in 2021. That could change soon, though, as the others/BTC chart has broken out of another multi-year falling wedge and momentum is rising again. The analyst added that if the Squeeze Momentum flips green, the same conditions that triggered previous altcoin seasons could return. CrypFlow also mentioned that when that happens, the biggest moves usually start when nobody expects them. Blockchain Center data shows that it is not yet altcoin season, with the index currently at 49. The altcoin season index needs to hit 75 to be classified as an altcoin season, with 75% of the top 50 coins by market cap outperforming Bitcoin during that period. Bitcoin continues to lead the way at the moment, with altcoins mirroring its price action. Notably, BTC’s dominance is currently at 58%, a level it has maintained since the start of the year. Crypto analyst Javon Marks also echoed CrypFlow’s sentiment, noting that similarities and macro trends in altcoin setups continue to point to altcoin season being in its early stages. Another Sign That Points To An Altcoin Season In an X post, crypto analyst CW revealed that Ethereum is forming an 8-year-long convergence and will break through it during this bull market. The analyst declared that this altcoin season will be at the level of the 2017 cycle, not the 2021 cycle. “Investors do not remember how strong the 2017 altcoin season. The 2026 Alt Season will be stronger than 2021,” he added. Related Reading: The 8-Year Ethereum Convergence That Says An Altcoin Season Stronger Than 2021 Is Coming Amid predictions of an imminent altcoin season, market expert Benjamin Cowen has suggested that the focus should be on Bitcoin. In an X post, he said that over time, everything in the cryptoverse eventually bleeds back to Bitcoin. He added that after people have engineered all sorts of different things, but that after a cycle or two, it all just bleeds “back to the king.” Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto asset products saw about $1.06 billion in net inflows last week, extending a three-week positive streak despite ongoing geopolitical stress and mixed macro data. Related Reading: Crypto Lobby Loses Key Illinois Race Yet Keeps $221M Firepower For Midterms Inside The Crypto Report New on-chain data from Banana Gun show about $19,200 in bot fees over the week of March 9–15, with ETH capturing roughly 50.5% and BSC around 36%, while Solana activity cooled sharply. Because Banana Gun is a multi-chain trading bot and DeFi execution layer used by active traders to route orders across Ethereum, Binace Chain, Solana and Base, its on-chain order flow effectively mirrors the ETF-driven rotation back into majors and “quality” chains whenever uncertainty spikes. After prior outflow periods and coincides with bitcoin holding up better than equities and gold during recent turbulence, bitcoin captured roughly 75% of those net inflows (around $793 million) as investors treated it as a relative safe haven, while Ethereum and Solana also logged smaller but positive flows. Weekly crypto asset flows. Source: Banana Gun Ethereum reclaimed about 50% dominance in one major on-chain trading venue’s fee mix, reflecting a clear rotation back into majors as speculative alt activity cooled. This rotation mirrors broader market flows, where BTC and ETH are again the primary liquidity magnets. Ethereum has seen meaningful inflows (around $315 million), helped by new staking-focused ETF products that are pulling flows closer to neutral year-to-date. Three straight weeks of inflows totaling roughly $2.2 billion signal renewed commitment from larger holders and ETF-driven capital, even as spot prices remain volatile. Retail Inflow In Comparison On the exchange side, on‑chain analytics from CryptoQuant show that retail inflows to Binance hit roughly $131.8 million in a single hour on March 11, the highest spike since January 2026. These sharp, clustered inflows from smaller wallets typically reflect funds being moved onto the exchange for active trading, often around key price inflection points. Binance Retail to Exchange Flow. Source: CryptoQuant While institutions keep buying exposure through ETFs, the $131.8 million retail inflow cluster into BSC underlines that shorter‑term traders are also stepping back in, either to chase momentum or lock in profits. Every notable retail inflow cluster in Q1 has appeared around sharp BTC moves, framing this as a classic liquidity and volatility signal rather than random noise. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stuck At $74K As US Fed Sets the Stage For Explosive Move Main Takeaway For Traders Taken together, ETF inflows, retail capital rushing into Binance, and on‑chain execution flows through tools such as Banana Gun all point to the same pattern: liquidity rotating back into BTC and ETH as traders position around volatility, not away from it. The fact that retail is still willing to send over $130 million to a single exchange in an hour, at the same time as institutional ETF flows remain firmly positive, suggests that crypto is entering a new phase of risk‑taking rather than a late‑cycle exhaustion spike. The signal mix is clear: persistent ETF inflows, ETH regaining on‑chain execution dominance, and aggressive retail inflow clusters to BSC are creating pockets of high liquidity where advanced routing tools and execution bots such as Banana Gun can help capture short‑term moves while majors remain the core of the trade. ETH’s trades around $2k on the daily chart. Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview Cover image from Banana Gun, ETHUSDT chart from Tradingview
Ethereum has surged 24% in just over a week, breaking above a key resistance with strong volume and signaling renewed bullish momentum. With a bullish structure still intact, attention now shifts to whether ETH can sustain the move toward the $4,956 target or pause for a brief pullback first. Ethereum Rallies 24% Into Resistance — Is A Pullback To $2,150 Next? Following a swift 24% rally over the past 8 days, ETH has hit a major resistance level and is showing signs of rejection. According to Max Trades, this vertical move has occurred without any meaningful retracements, making a cooling-off period highly likely. A pullback at this stage is considered a healthy part of the market cycle to reset momentum. Related Reading: The End Of Ethereum’s Downtrend? Key Indicator Flashes First Bullish Signal Since September A primary target for a potential long entry is the $2,150 level, which previously acted as range-high resistance. The setup is further bolstered by technical confluence, as this price point aligns closely with a key Fibonacci retracement level and sits above the weekly open. Currently, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are positioned below the spot price, providing a dynamic cushion. This suggests that the broader trend is still intact despite the immediate need for a price correction. Risk management is defined by a clear invalidation point below the $2,080 support level, which coincides with the Fibonacci Golden Pocket, a critical area for buyers to defend. ETH Breaks Key Resistance With Volume — $4,956 Target Now In Play? In an update, Kamile Uray noted that Ethereum has broken above the pink resistance level on the chart with strong volume; a move that stands out compared to Bitcoin, which has yet to deliver a similar high-conviction breakout. The surge in volume adds credibility to the move, suggesting that bullish momentum is gaining traction. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Struggles Near Highs — Reversal Risk Rising From a lower timeframe perspective, a sustained 4-hour close above the $2,475 level would serve as the first confirmation that the upward trend has room to continue. Holding above this zone could reinforce the breakout structure and signal that buyers remain in control in the short term. The broader outlook remains bullish as long as Ethereum continues to defend the $1,916 bottom on the 4-hour timeframe. Maintaining this level keeps the market structure supportive of further upside within the current trend. Uray also highlighted that the Libra formation is still in play, with an upside target near $4,956. However, the $3,445 level stands out as a key resistance on the way up, where a rejection could trigger a temporary pullback before continuation. On the downside, the formation would be invalidated if price drops below the $1,388 level, marking it as the critical stop point for the bullish scenario. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum’s price has spent much of the past cycle lagging its own institutional and on-chain progress, and Bitwise says the reason is straightforward: ETH is still trading primarily as a Bitcoin proxy, not as a fundamentally valued network. In a new factor-model analysis, the asset manager found BTC has been the dominant force behind weekly ETH returns since 2018, with macro conditions, network activity and ETP flows playing secondary roles. That finding matters because it cuts against one of the more persistent narratives around Ethereum. Regulatory clarity has improved, institutional access has broadened, and Ethereum still underpins a large share of stablecoin and tokenized-asset activity. Yet ETH remains about 62% below its all-time high, a disconnect Bitwise set out to explain with a model based on 406 weekly observations going back to May 2018. The answer, at least statistically, is that Bitcoin overwhelms almost everything else. Bitwise said ETH “moves nearly 1:1 with BTC on a weekly basis,” with a coefficient of roughly 0.99. BTC alone explains around 65% of Ethereum’s return variance, making it the clear core driver of price direction. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Step In: $33M ETH Withdrawn From Exchanges In Hours The firm’s broader conclusion is blunt. “Adoption fundamentals, such as active addresses, clearly have less impact on Ethereum’s price than many assume,” the report said. “Extending this further, revenue generation appears even less relevant, as it was removed from the GETS model as ‘noise rather than signal.’ Combining both of these conclusions supports the idea that since the start of the model in 2018, Ethereum has been priced more like a network-driven commodity than a business with durable cash flows.” Other Factors Impacting Ethereum Price That framing runs through the rest of the report. Financial conditions, measured through the Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index, emerged as the second most important explanatory variable. Bitwise assigned the factor a coefficient of about 0.05, with mean explanatory power of 11.3%, though that climbed to roughly 40% at peak periods. Network activity, proxied by active addresses, had a smaller coefficient near 0.03 and average explanatory power of 6%, rising to 30% in stronger phases. ETF flows showed a different pattern. Their coefficient was only around 0.01, but Bitwise said they were “highly significant,” explaining about 10% of ETH variance on average and up to 40% at peak. In other words, flows matter consistently, but not with the same force as BTC-led market beta. That distinction becomes clearer in different market regimes. Between June and August 2025, Bitwise said Ethereum behaved like a levered Bitcoin trade, with its BTC coefficient rising to between 1.5 and 1.6 as BTC approached fresh highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Futures Volume Outruns Spot 6-to-1 As Macro Stress Weighs On Crypto During the post-FTX stress period in the second half of 2022, the dynamic became even harsher: “Every factor except BTC carried a negative coefficient as returns were explained up to 90% by BTC. In moments like these, cash liquidity is what matters. Not fundamentals, flows or macro. As such, ETH was essentially anchored to BTC.” There have been exceptions. Bitwise identified May 2021 as the period of lowest BTC sensitivity, when Bitcoin had already peaked but Ethereum kept rallying as active addresses surged during the NFT boom. Still, those idiosyncratic windows appear episodic rather than structural. The report also undercuts the case that a richer multi-factor framework materially improves short-term forecasting. While the model explains historical returns reasonably well, Bitwise said its out-of-sample performance failed to beat a much simpler AR(1)+BTC model. Most of the predictive value came from Bitcoin exposure and price persistence, while additional factors added only limited forecasting power. That leaves Ethereum in what Bitwise called a “paradoxical position”: a network with deepening institutional relevance, dominant stablecoin and tokenization market share, and an increasingly focused roadmap, but a price still driven mostly by external beta. At press time, ETH traded at $2,305. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum is showing renewed strength as the market tests key resistance levels following a prolonged period of downward pressure and consolidation. The recent price action suggests that buyers are gradually regaining control, with ETH attempting to build momentum as traders evaluate whether the current move can evolve into a broader recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Step In: $33M ETH Withdrawn From Exchanges In Hours While spot price action reflects improving sentiment, derivatives data points to deeper structural changes taking place beneath the surface. According to CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain, the ETH Open Interest 30-day change indicator reveals a clear shift in how traders are positioning across major platforms. The data highlights a divergence in open interest flows, suggesting that liquidity is not leaving the market but rather being redistributed. On Binance, open interest has increased by approximately 11,400 ETH, indicating continued inflows of capital despite recent volatility. At the same time, Bybit recorded a substantial rise of around 2.51 million ETH, reinforcing the view that traders are actively re-engaging with the derivatives market. This pattern suggests that participants are selectively rebuilding exposure rather than exiting positions entirely. For analysts, such behavior often reflects a transitional phase, where confidence begins to return, and liquidity concentrates on key platforms, potentially setting the stage for stronger directional moves. Open Interest Divergence Reflects Market Repositioning CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain notes that not all platforms are seeing the same level of activity, highlighting a clear divergence across the Ethereum derivatives landscape. While Binance and Bybit have recorded strong inflows, Bitfinex, Kraken, and Gate.io have shown weaker performance, with either limited growth or outright declines in open interest. According to the data, Bitfinex saw a decrease of approximately 35,700 ETH, while Kraken recorded a drop of around 4,300 ETH. Gate.io, meanwhile, showed relatively muted activity compared to other major exchanges. These figures suggest that some segments of the market remain cautious, with traders reducing exposure or avoiding aggressive positioning in the current environment. From a structural perspective, this divergence points to a market in transition rather than one in decline. While some participants are closing positions to manage risk, others are selectively increasing exposure on platforms where liquidity and opportunity appear more favorable. This type of redistribution often precedes stronger directional moves, as capital consolidates in specific venues and trading strategies evolve. Importantly, the overall trend in open interest remains supportive. Sustained or rising open interest indicates that liquidity continues to flow into the derivatives market, reinforcing the stability of Ethereum’s uptrend and suggesting that traders are increasingly confident in maintaining their positions as momentum builds. Related Reading: XRP Liquidity Builds on Binance – What The 2.78B Reserve Spike Means Ethereum Faces Key Resistance After Rebound From Capitulation Lows The Ethereum daily chart shows the asset attempting to extend its recovery after the sharp capitulation event that occurred in early February. ETH is currently trading around $2,330, having rebounded from lows near the $1,800 level, where a significant spike in volume signaled aggressive buyer absorption. Following that low, Ethereum established a base between $1,900 and $2,100, forming a consolidation range before breaking higher. The recent move has allowed ETH to reclaim the short-term moving average, which had acted as persistent resistance during the downtrend. This shift suggests that short-term momentum is now favoring buyers, at least in the near term. Related Reading: XRP Supply Tightens On Binance As Scarcity Index Signals Limited Liquidity However, the broader structure remains mixed. Price is still trading below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, both of which continue to slope downward. This indicates that the recovery is still developing within a larger corrective framework rather than confirming a full trend reversal. The $2,300–$2,400 region now stands as a critical resistance zone. This level aligns with previous support that broke during the February selloff, making it a likely area of supply. If Ethereum can sustain acceptance above this range, the next upside targets could emerge near $2,700 and $3,000. Otherwise, rejection here may lead to renewed consolidation below resistance. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Despite a recent resurgence in prices, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, are not expected to achieve new all-time highs this year, according to analysts at Citigroup. The company significantly revised its forecasts for both cryptocurrencies on Tuesday, reflecting concerns about the slow pace of legislative progress in the United States, which limits the potential for regulatory catalysts that could drive increased demand from institutional investors and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Targets Revised Downward In their latest update, Citigroup lowered its 12-month price target for Bitcoin from $143,000 to $112,000, while Ethereum’s forecast was reduced from $4,304 to $3,175. This suggests that, based on current trade prices, Bitcoin is predicted to increase by nearly 50% in the remaining months of the year from $74,360. Ethereum, on the other hand, would see a nearly 62% increase in price from its present level of $2,314 per token over the course of the year. Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns To Full Bull Mode: Key Indicators Signal Bottom And Major Relief Rally Citi strategist Alex Saunders emphasized that while regulatory catalysts are essential for fostering greater adoption and inflows into the market, the opportunity for significant US legislative action this year is diminishing. The report further highlights that, under a recessionary economic climate, Bitcoin could see its price dip to as low as $58,000, while Ethereum might fall to around $1,198. Conversely, in a bullish scenario driven by heightened demand from end investors, Bitcoin’s price could reach $165,000, with Ethereum potentially climbing to $4,488. Tight Timeline For Crypto Legislation Progress The upcoming mid-term elections in November further complicate the legislative landscape for crypto-focused regulation. Should Democrats gain additional seats in Congress, the chances of passing the crypto market structure bill (CLARITY Act) could diminish. For the bill to advance, support from 7 Senate Democrats is required. Citigroup analysts suggest that Bitcoin is likely to trade within a range while awaiting developments in the legislative arena, with $70,000 acting as a significant price point as the US election approaches. Related Reading: Circle (CRLC) Boosted By USDC Demand: New Analyst Projections Suggest Rally To $136 Earlier on Tuesday, Bitcoinist reported that Alex Thorn from the research team at Galaxy Digital pointed out that time is of the essence. He cautioned that if progress is not made this month, the likelihood of passing the CLARITY Act this year will become “extremely low.” While negotiations in Washington D.C focus on resolving the stablecoin rewards issue, Thorn highlighted that additional challenges could emerge. These challenges may include discussions regarding decentralized finance (DeFi), investor protections, and broader ethical considerations in the digital asset sector. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a major increase above the $2,350 zone. ETH is now showing positive signs and might aim for more gains above $2,380. Ethereum started a steady upward move above the $2,320 zone. The price is trading above $2,320 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a contracting triangle forming with resistance at $2,340 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears the $2,380 zone. Ethereum Price Aims Fresh Gains Ethereum price extended its upward move after it cleared the $2,250 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to clear the $2,320 resistance zone. The bulls pushed the price above $2,350 and $2,365. A high was formed at $2,385, and the price recently started a minor downside correction. There was a drop below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $2,062 swing low to the $2,385 high. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a contracting triangle forming with resistance at $2,340 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. If the bulls remain in action above $2,300, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,340 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,365 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,380 level. A clear move above the $2,380 resistance might send the price toward the $2,420 resistance. An upside break above the $2,420 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,500 resistance zone or even $2,550 in the near term. Downside Break In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,380 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,315 level. The first major support sits near the $2,260 zone. A clear move below the $2,260 support might push the price toward the $2,225 support or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $2,062 swing low to the $2,385 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,185 region. The main support could be $2,150. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,260 Major Resistance Level – $2,380
A crypto analyst has identified an eight-year convergence pattern on the Ethereum (ETH)-Bitcoin (BTC) trading pair chart, suggesting it could signal the long-awaited onset of an altcoin season. Although rumors of an altcoin season have circulated in the crypto space since before 2025, such a phase has yet to materialize, underscoring the persistent volatility in alternative cryptocurrencies throughout this bull market. Despite this prolonged delay, the analyst argues that the new convergence structure could become a catalyst that fuels an altcoin season even more powerful than the one observed in 2021. Ethereum Chart Structure Signals Powerful Altcoin Season Crypto analyst CW has presented a new technical analysis suggesting a major altcoin season in this cycle. Supported by a multi-year chart structure, the analysis centers on the ETH/BTC trading pair and outlines a unique convergence pattern that has been developing since mid-2017. Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Are Struggling Again, And Here’s What’s Behind It In his post on X, CW predicts that this convergence pattern could break during the current bull market cycle. The structure is visible on the weekly chart as a large descending triangle or wedge that started when ETH/BTC reached a peak around 0.16. Since that high, the pair has been compressing between a descending resistance line and a flat horizontal support level near the 0.020 zone. Price action in the chart shows that ETH/BTC hit this peak during the 2021 bull market but failed to break the upper descending trendline of the converging pattern. Following this, the pair dropped back sharply and has continued to trend lower, now pressing into the very tip of the convergence pattern near the 0.029 level. This suggests that ETH/BTC is approaching its final stage near the apex of the descending triangle pattern. The narrowing distance between the resistance and the support suggests the market could be at a critical juncture. CW suggests that a breakout from this point could end the trading pair’s eight-year compression within the convergence pattern. If this happens, it could signal a major shift in strength from BTC to ETH, and finally to the broader altcoin market, marking the potential onset of an altcoin season in 2026. 2026 Altcoin Season To Surpass 2021 Boom CW emphasized in his post that the altcoin season he anticipates in this bull cycle could exceed the strength of the 2021 cycle, mirroring the explosive scale of the 2017 cycle. He argued that many investors underestimate how powerful the 2017 bull run was, noting that it delivered wider, more aggressive gains across the altcoin market than the more selective rally in 2021. Related Reading: Is The Altcoin Market Dead? Why These Cryptocurrencies Have Failed To Move In a previous analysis, CW shared a separate chart from CryptoQuant, adding further weight to his outlook for a 2026 altcoin season. The chart, which tracks the CEX volume ratio of non-BTC assets versus Bitcoin, excluding stablecoins, compares the current market setup to the 2021 altcoin season. In both periods, altcoin trading activity on centralized exchanges was consistently higher than Bitcoin’s volume. However, CW notes that this activity has been running for much longer in 2026 than in 2021. He believes this sustained volume, coupled with a potential breakout from ETH/BTC’s current convergence pattern, strengthens the case of a powerful altcoin season in 2026. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum has reclaimed the $2,300 level as renewed buying activity begins to emerge across the market following months of persistent downward pressure. The recovery marks an important shift in short-term sentiment, with traders increasingly pointing to strengthening momentum as buyers attempt to regain control after a prolonged corrective phase. Related Reading: XRP Supply Tightens On Binance As Scarcity Index Signals Limited Liquidity The recent move higher suggests that the market may be entering a transitional period, where accumulation replaces the aggressive selling that characterized much of the previous months. Ethereum, which often acts as a high-beta asset within the cryptocurrency ecosystem, tends to react strongly when risk appetite begins to return. The reclaim of the $2,300 threshold is therefore being closely monitored as a potential pivot point that could determine whether the current rebound evolves into a broader recovery. At the same time, on-chain data indicates that large investors are actively accumulating Ethereum. Recent blockchain analytics reveal multiple whale-sized transactions, with significant amounts of ETH being withdrawn from major exchanges and moved into private wallets. Such activity is often interpreted as a sign of strategic accumulation, as large holders typically move assets off exchanges when preparing for longer-term positioning rather than short-term selling. For many analysts, the return of whale demand may represent an early signal that confidence is gradually returning to the Ethereum market. Whale Accumulation Signals Growing Institutional Interest Recent on-chain data highlighted by Lookonchain suggests that large investors are actively accumulating Ethereum as the market begins to recover. According to the blockchain analytics platform, whale address 0x7143 withdrew 10,000 ETH, worth approximately $23.28 million, from Bitget roughly 30 minutes ago. This transaction moves a significant amount of Ethereum from the exchange into a private wallet. In addition to this transfer, Lookonchain also reported that a newly created wallet identified as 0x672D withdrew 4,300 ETH, valued at around $10.02 million, from OKX approximately eight hours earlier. The creation of a fresh wallet followed by a large withdrawal often draws attention from analysts, as this behavior can signal new capital entering the market or an investor establishing a long-term position. Large exchange withdrawals signal a bullish trend by reducing the immediate supply available for sale in the spot market. When whales move assets into private wallets, it often reflects a preference for custody and accumulation rather than short-term trading activity. Combined with Ethereum’s recent attempt to stabilize above key technical levels, these transactions suggest that large market participants may be positioning ahead of a potential continuation of the current recovery phase. Related Reading: Ethereum Futures Volume Outruns Spot 6-to-1 As Macro Stress Weighs On Crypto Ethereum Tests Critical Resistance After Sharp Recovery The weekly Ethereum chart shows the asset attempting to regain strength after a severe correction earlier in 2026. ETH is currently trading near $2,310, following a strong rebound from the February lows, when the price briefly dropped toward the $1,600 region before buyers stepped in aggressively. That sharp selloff triggered a clear capitulation event, visible in the large volume spike accompanying the decline. Since then, Ethereum has formed a short-term recovery structure, climbing back above $2,000 and gradually approaching the $2,300–$2,400 zone, which now acts as a major technical resistance level. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Loads Up $152M In ETH In Three Days — How Much More Will He Buy? From a structural perspective, ETH remains in a medium-term consolidation phase. Price is still trading below the longer-term 200-week moving average, which currently sits above the market and continues to slope downward. This indicates that while short-term momentum has improved, the broader trend has not yet fully transitioned back to bullish territory. At the same time, Ethereum has reclaimed the shorter-term moving averages, suggesting that buying pressure is returning after months of distribution and market weakness. If buyers manage to sustain price above the $2,300 region, the next resistance areas could emerge near $2,700 and $3,100, where previous consolidation zones and moving averages converge. Failure to hold this level, however, could lead to renewed consolidation between $2,000 and $2,300 as the market continues searching for direction. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
As the crypto market bounces, a key indicator has flashed a key bullish signal on the Ethereum (ETH) daily chart, suggesting the end of its six-month downtrend could be near. However, some analysts have warned investors of a possible bull trap and a subsequent reversal to new lows. Related Reading: WLFI Holders Face New 6-Month Lockup Rule To Gain Voting Power Ethereum Eyes Trend Reversal Ethereum kicked off the week by breaking above $2,200 for the first time in weeks, reaching a one-month high of $2,320 on Monday morning. The cryptocurrency has been trading between $1,825 and $2,150 since the early February crash, failing to break out of this range despite multiple attempts. Over the past week, the King of Altcoins has bounced 20% from last Sunday’s lows, printing seven consecutive green candles in the daily timeframe. Amid this performance, ETH has weekly closed above the $2,000-$2,150 area, setting the stage for a potential retest of the one-month resistance as support. Market observer MacroCRG affirmed that ETH is currently the strongest out of the big three: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. Notably, it has rallied over 9.7% and 14.5% in the weekly and daily timeframes, recording the strongest performance among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. In addition, it has moved above the 50-day Moving Average (MA) for the first time in 56 days and is back into the 12H Ichimoku Cloud for the first time in 55 days. Analyst Ali Martinez shared that another key indicator used to identify the current market trend had flashed its first bullish signal in six months, which “just signaled the end of the downtrend.” According to the X post, the SuperTrend indicator has flipped from Sell to Buy for the first time since September, highlighting the cryptocurrency’s price breakout and institutional demand. As he noted, in the last two instances in which the SuperTrend showed a Buy signal, Ethereum rallied 52% and 174%, with the latest move leading to its August all-time high (ATH) of $4,946. “We’ve survived the grind from September to March,” the analyst asserted. “The next key levels to watch are $2,400 and $2,600.” Breakout Or Bull Tap? Market watcher Ted Pillows also underscored ETH’s recent performance, asserting that now that $2,150 was reclaimed, “there’s not much resistance for Ethereum until the $2,400 zone.” However, he warned that the bullish momentum may be short-lived, suggesting a bull trap could be unfolding and a reversal toward its potential market bottom could follow the ongoing price move. “IMO, ETH could tap the $2,400 zone, as I have been saying for days, before a reversal to new lows,” the X post reads. Related Reading: XRP Gearing Up For 1,300% Rally? Analyst Sets Bold $48 Target For Next Bull Run The analyst explained that Ethereum has been trading sideways, consolidating between two key liquidity clusters: one around $2,200-$2,600 and another around $1,400-$1,700. He suggested that both liquidity clusters will be taken out in the near future. “First, Ethereum could rally towards the $2,400 level to wipe out late shorts. Then, ETH will start its reversal and hit new lows,” he cautioned. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a major increase above the $2,250 zone. ETH is now showing positive signs and might aim for more gains above $2,400. Ethereum started a steady upward move above the $2,250 zone. The price is trading above $2,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,120 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it clears the $2,400 zone. Ethereum Price Rallies Over 10% Ethereum price extended its upward move after it cleared the $2,150 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to clear the $2,200 resistance zone. The bulls pushed the price above $2,320 and $2,350. A high was formed at $2,385, and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $2,062 swing low to the $2,385 high. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,320 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,120 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. If the bulls remain in action above $2,320, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,365 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,380 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,400 level. A clear move above the $2,400 resistance might send the price toward the $2,450 resistance. An upside break above the $2,450 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,500 resistance zone or even $2,550 in the near term. Downside Correction In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,400 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,320 level. The first major support sits near the $2,220 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $2,062 swing low to the $2,385 high. A clear move below the $2,220 support might push the price toward the $2,150 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,100 region. The main support could be $2,050. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,320 Major Resistance Level – $2,400
Ethereum has reclaimed the $2,200 level as the broader cryptocurrency market shows signs of short-term strength following several weeks of volatility and uncertain momentum. The move higher suggests that buyers are attempting to regain control after a prolonged corrective phase, even as macroeconomic conditions continue to weigh on risk assets. Related Reading: $61.9M Ethereum Buy Sparks Speculation – Mystery Whale Turns $1M Profit Overnight However, a recent CryptoQuant report highlights that the broader environment remains fragile. According to the analysis, escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran have contributed to a sharp surge in global oil prices. Rising energy costs are adding new pressure to an already sensitive macroeconomic landscape. Recent US inflation data underscores this challenge. Core CPI came in at 2.5% year-over-year, while the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, core PCE, registered 3.1% year-over-year, suggesting that inflationary pressures remain persistent. Higher oil prices could complicate the outlook further. If energy costs continue rising, inflation data for the coming months—particularly March and April—may reflect additional upward pressure. As a result, many institutional investors have begun rotating away from risk assets. The shift has coincided with a strengthening US dollar and rising long-term bond yields, both of which typically reduce liquidity available for speculative markets. Within the crypto sector, altcoins appear particularly vulnerable, with Ethereum often acting as the primary barometer of broader altcoin sentiment. Futures Dominance Signals Weakness in Ethereum’s Spot Market A recent CryptoQuant analysis by Darkfost highlights notable structural shifts in Ethereum’s market activity, particularly within the derivatives sector. According to the report, ETH open interest on Binance has declined significantly since January, falling by roughly 400,000 ETH, which represents nearly $4 billion in futures positions leaving the market. Such a reduction typically reflects a cooling of speculative leverage as traders close positions or reduce exposure following periods of volatility. However, the report notes that the derivatives market continues to dominate Ethereum’s trading activity despite the drop in open interest. One of the most striking signals appears in the spot-to-futures volume ratio on Binance, which has now fallen to its lowest level since 2023, near the end of the previous bear market cycle. Currently, futures trading volume on the platform exceeds spot trading volume by more than six times. This imbalance suggests that Ethereum’s spot market remains relatively weak, with fewer participants actively purchasing the asset outright. Instead, trading activity appears concentrated in leveraged derivatives markets. Darkfost also points to a potential factor influencing market caution. Continued sales from major ecosystem entities—such as the Ethereum Foundation or even wallets associated with Vitalik Buterin—may be contributing to investor hesitation and limiting stronger spot demand in the current environment. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Loads Up $152M In ETH In Three Days — How Much More Will He Buy? Ethereum Approaches Key Resistance After Short-Term Breakout The 4-hour chart shows Ethereum gaining momentum after a period of prolonged consolidation that dominated price action throughout February and early March. During that phase, ETH repeatedly tested the $1,900–$2,050 range, forming a broad accumulation structure as volatility gradually declined. In recent sessions, however, buyers have regained control of the short-term trend. Ethereum has now broken above the cluster of moving averages that previously acted as dynamic resistance, including the short-term and mid-term trend indicators visible on the chart. This shift suggests improving bullish momentum and a potential transition from consolidation to recovery. Related Reading: XRP Reserves On Binance Drop To Lowest Level Since April 2025 – A $3.7B Drain Price is currently trading around the $2,260 area, which represents the next immediate resistance zone. This level previously acted as a supply region during earlier rebounds, meaning sellers may attempt to defend it again. Volume has also increased during the latest upward move, indicating stronger market participation compared to earlier attempts to push higher. Rising volume during breakouts often signals stronger conviction among buyers. From a structural perspective, the market now faces a critical test. If Ethereum manages to hold above the $2,100–$2,150 support zone, the bullish momentum could extend toward the $2,300–$2,400 region. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) trades in the highs $73,000, outperforming both equities and gold in late‑quarter trading. A Late-Quarter Bitcoin Plot Twist Tensions around Iran and the Middle East are intensifying, yet BTC is rallying. According to a QCP Market Colour from today, we might be bracing for “a late-quarter plot twist” as not only BTC broke through key resistance and rose above the $74,000 area on Monday morning, but Ethereum (ETH) is following along, trading around $2.7k at the present moment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes Mid-$80,000s As Peter Brandt Flags ‘Horn’ Pattern The Comeback Of The “Digital Gold”? The “digital gold” and “geopolitical hedge” narratives that had had been questioned earlier in the year seem to be making a strong comeback. The market insight from QCP suggests that the reason for this is that, as tensions around Iran do nothing but continue to rise, the on-chain users have embarked on a search for cross-border liquidity and capital mobility. This need explains that stablecoin liquidity is also surging. Last week, USDC supply set a fresh all‑time high above $81 billion, lifting overall stablecoin float and signaling fresh dollar liquidity coming on‑chain. On the derivatives side, QCP flags bitcoin’s spot price closing in on a big month‑end call strike, with about 8,000 contracts targeting higher prices. A decisive move above $75,000 dollars could spark a gamma‑driven buying rush, but $74.500 dollars is the first key barrier, with a pocket of short positions waiting to be liquidated just above that level. Key spot levels to watch this week are $70,000–$71,000 as major support and $75,000 as the line that would confirm a more sustained bullish trend if broken with volume. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Rockets Above $2,200 as Bulls Tighten Market Control Michael Saylor is betting on a similar bitcoin rebound as the one we saw back in the first phase of the Russia‑Ukraine conflict in 2022, only now without the same kind of systemic blow‑ups, in the light of Trump’s Clarity Act. Strategy, Saylor’s Bitcoin-maximalist corporation, has just announced that it acquired $1.57 billion worth of BTC. They now hodl around 761,068 BTC. Strategy has acquired 22,337 BTC for ~$1.57 billion at ~$70,194 per bitcoin. As of 3/15/2026, we hodl 761,068 $BTC acquired for ~$57.61 billion at ~$75,696 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC https://t.co/6hv6PjzOKQ — Michael Saylor (@saylor) March 16, 2026 What This Means For Traders As BTC increasingly trades again like “digital safe haven” beta, sensitive to war and macro headlines but supported by structural ETF and corporate demand, the trade‑off is clear: dips into the $70k–71k support zone may attract buyers, while a daily close above $75,000 could open the door to a momentum‑driven extension toward $80k. However, failure at resistance risks a sharp long‑liquidation could flush bitcoin back into the high‑$60ks. BTC’s price trends to the highs $73k on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Cover image from Perplexity, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview
The Bitcoin and Ethereum prices continue to struggle, with BTC dropping to as low as $70,000 over the weekend. This comes as tensions between the U.S. and Iran continue to escalate, with no sign of a ceasefire happening anytime soon. Bitcoin and Ethereum Prices Struggle as Iran War Drags On Bitcoin and Ethereum prices remain under pressure as the war in Iran enters its third week. Tensions escalated over the weekend with attacks on the U.S. embassy in Iraq, according to a Fortune report. The U.S. embassy had indicated that these attacks were carried out by Iran-aligned terrorist militia groups. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash Far From Over? Analyst Shares How Painful Bear Markets Can Get Notably, the attacks on the U.S. embassy came amid America’s airstrikes on Iran’s Kharg Island, a key oil terminal for the country. The Bitcoin and Ethereum prices notably fell following the U.S. strikes on the Island. The strikes sparked concerns that it could further drive oil prices higher, which is bearish for BTC and ETH. Brent crude oil futures have already risen to as high as $106 today, according to TradingView data, in response to U.S. strikes on Kharg Island. Oil prices could also continue to rise as the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil chokepoint, remains effectively closed. About 20% of the global oil supply passes through the Strait, which is why its closure could spark a massive supply shock and lead to new highs. Market analyst XWIN Research warned that Bitcoin could face significant outflows if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, which would put pressure on not just BTC but the Ethereum price and other crypto assets. In an interview on ABC’s ‘This Week,’ U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright warned that there are no guarantees that oil prices would fall in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are also facing pressure, with the Fed unlikely to cut interest rates at this week’s FOMC meeting. There are also concerns that the FOMC could further delay in cutting rates due to the rising oil prices, which threaten to drive inflation higher. Peter Brandt Predicts That A Rally May Be On The Cards Veteran trader Peter Brandt has suggested that Bitcoin could see a relief rally even amid the U.S.-Iran war. In an X post, he shared an accompanying chart showing BTC could reach as high as $88,000. BTC and the Ethereum prices may already be seeing this relief rally, with these crypto assets up over 3% and 7%, respectively, today. Related Reading: Ethereum Topples Bitcoin By 3x In Major Metric, But Can Price Still Reclaim $5,000? Crypto analyst Julio Moreno had earlier warned that the crypto market is still in a bear market despite any potential relief rallies for the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. Expert Benjamin Cowen echoed a similar sentiment, noting that BTC often spends more time going up than down. He added that when the flagship crypto goes down, it goes down very quickly, sets a low, and then trends up for a week before going lower. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum price started a major increase above the $2,150 zone. ETH is now showing positive signs and might aim for more gains above $2,250. Ethereum started a steady upward move above the $2,150 zone. The price is trading above $2,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,100 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $2,250 zone. Ethereum Price Rallies Over 8% Ethereum price extended its recovery wave after it cleared the $2,050 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to clear the $2,120 resistance zone. The bulls pushed the price above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,209 swing high to the $2,062 low. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,100 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Finally, the price cleared the $2,200 resistance zone. It tested the 1.236 Fib extension level of the downward move from the $2,209 swing high to the $2,062 low at $2,245. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,180 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,150, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,245 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,250 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,280 level. A clear move above the $2,280 resistance might send the price toward the $2,320 resistance. An upside break above the $2,320 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,365 resistance zone or even $2,380 in the near term. Downside Correction In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,250 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,200 level. The first major support sits near the $2,180 zone. A clear move below the $2,180 support might push the price toward the $2,150 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,100 region. The main support could be $2,050. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,150 Major Resistance Level – $2,250
According to the latest on-chain data, Ethereum appears to be entering a state of undervaluation, with the potential of rebounding to new highs. However, the question is — is it really time to buy ETH? ETH Could Drop Another 40% Before Bear Cycle Ends In a new Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci shared that Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is starting to become relatively cheap. The relevant on-chain indicator in this observation is the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, an indicator that compares a coin’s market cap and its realized cap. Related Reading: Strategy’s Bitcoin Bet Now $3.35 Billion In The Red As Saylor Tells Investors To Wait Typically, the MVRV ratio offers insight into how the value the investors (of Ethereum, in this case) hold (the market cap) measures against the value they put in (the realized cap). When the value of this ratio is greater than one, it means that more investors are in profit at the moment. On the flip side, a lower-than-one ratio suggests that holders are currently underwater. Typically, high MVRV values are considered cycle top signals, while a low ratio indicates that the cryptocurrency has either reached or is close to a bottom. According to Kesmeci, the Ethereum MVRV is currently at 0.9, meaning that ETH might be getting undervalued. However, Kesmeci mentioned that while Ethereum is indeed cheap, there is still a chance the altcoin gets cheaper from its current price point. To explain this point, the analyst highlighted the Realized Price Bands metric, noting that the ETH price has often gravitated toward the green band (the Realized Price lower band) in bear cycles. According to data from CryptoQuant, the green band currently sits at around $1,152, suggesting a potential further downturn of over 40% from the current price point. Kesmeci added: So yes, MVRV at 0.9 confirms ETH is getting cheaper. But the chart also clearly shows that MVRV has a habit of pushing down to 0.5 and below during full bear cycles. The Realized Price Bands confirm the same picture. Ethereum can dive into much colder waters from here. In summary, the Ethereum price is at risk of further downside from its current price point, despite being nearly 60% down from the current cycle high. Prediction Market Bets On Ether Losing No. 2 Crypto Spot According to an ongoing prediction market on Polymarket, Ethereum is being projected to lose its position as the second-largest cryptocurrency. The odds of the altcoin getting flipped rose to as high as 57% on the prediction market platform on Saturday. As of this writing, the Ether token is valued at around $2,090, with a market capitalization of over $253.1 billion. According to CoinGecko, the closest cryptocurrency (excluding stablecoins) to ETH is BNB, with a market capitalization of over $89 billion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Fails To Break $74,000 Resistance: Analyst Predicts ‘Structural Bottom’ Yet to Form Featured image by DALL-E, chart from TradingView
The Ethereum Foundation has completed a direct sale of 5,000 ETH to BitMine Immersion Technologies, the publicly traded treasury firm chaired by Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, in an over-the-counter transaction valued at $10.2 million. The transaction comes at a time when large investors appear increasingly comfortable accumulating Ethereum during the current price range, with on-chain data showing several large wallets quietly building major ETH positions in recent days. Related Reading: DOJ, Europol Freeze $3.5M In Crypto After Dismantling Global Proxy Fraud Network BitMine Continues Ethereum Buying Strategy According to a recent announcement, the Ethereum Foundation sold 5,000 ETH worth roughly $10.2 million directly to BitMine Immersion Technologies, a publicly traded crypto treasury company chaired by Fundstrat’s Tom Lee. The sale cleared at an average price of $2,042.96 per ETH, and according to the Ethereum Foundation, the proceeds are earmarked to support the Foundation’s operations, including protocol research and development, ecosystem grants, and community funding. The Foundation confirmed that the on-chain transaction would originate from an EF Safe multisig wallet and is part of its ongoing treasury management activities. Interestingly, this is not the first time the Ethereum Foundation is selling to a corporate Ethereum holding company. Back in July 2025, the Foundation sold 10,000 ETH to SharpLink Gaming at an average price of $2,572, a deal worth $25.7 million. Ethereum is currently down by almost 60% from its 2025 all-time high of $4,946. However, BitMine has maintained its buying program and is taking advantage of the low prices in anticipation of a rally. BitMine’s purchase from the Ethereum Foundation fits into a much bigger accumulation campaign that began when the company adopted an Ethereum treasury strategy in mid-2025. Since pivoting away from its previous focus on Bitcoin mining, BitMine has quickly built one of the largest institutional ETH reserves in the world. Recent disclosures show the company now holds more than 4.53 million ETH, representing about 3.7% of Ethereum’s total circulating supply. Ethereum Whales Step In To Accumulate At Current Prices Large institutional treasuries are not the only entities accumulating Ethereum. On-chain data shows that several individual whales have also been building significant positions over the past few days. Data shared by the on-chain analytics tracker EyeOnChain shows that a wallet identified as ‘0x8E34’ has been steadily withdrawing Ethereum from exchanges since March 11. The whale recently added 6,413 ETH worth about $13.83 million, bringing its total accumulation to 80,157.67 ETH in just four days. Interestingly, the position is already showing an unrealized profit above $980,000. Related Reading: $100K Bitcoin? Prediction Market Odds Climb To 40% Another large buyer was identified by the on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain. According to the data, a wallet labeled 0x743d recently spent 3.79 million USDT to acquire 1,827 ETH. Over the past four days, this same whale has reportedly spent $24.79 million to purchase 11,985 ETH, with an average entry price of about $2,068 per ETH. Featured image from Yellow.com, chart from TradingView
Ethereum is tightening below a critical $2,149 resistance level, building pressure as bulls and bears jockey for control. A decisive breakout above this zone could trigger strong momentum, potentially sending the price toward the next major resistance near $2,750. A Test Of The Key $2,149 Resistance Ethereum is currently testing the $2,149 resistance level. According to insights from Bitcoin Meraklısı, this threshold represents a significant pivot point for the asset’s near-term trajectory. A successful breach and consolidation above this mark would likely act as a catalyst, providing the necessary technical clearance for the price to gain substantial upward momentum. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Pushes Higher as Bulls Fuel Market Optimism While an intermediate resistance zone exists around the $2,380 level, it is not currently viewed as a formidable barrier. Instead, it is expected to serve as a temporary pause or a minor consolidation point rather than a definitive reversal zone. The primary objective for bulls following a sustained breakout is situated near the $2,750 mark. This area represents the first zone of heavy supply and historical resistance that could challenge the prevailing trend. Reaching this level would mark a significant recovery phase, aligning with the broader bullish expectations outlined in recent technical assessments. For those seeking deeper structural clarity, a comprehensive Elliott Wave analysis is considered. This framework provides the underlying wave counts that support the current price targets, with hopes that the market structure produces a favorable outcome. Ethereum Hits First Micro Support Zone In a recent update, More Crypto Online noted that Ethereum has moved into its first micro support zone, mirroring a similar development to Bitcoin. While the presence of support is encouraging, the pullback has been sharper than expected and does not resemble a typical wave 2 correction, leaving the overall market structure somewhat uncertain. Related Reading: Ethereum Rising Wedge Warning: Breakdown Could Send Price Toward $1,500 This sharp retracement raises questions about the sustainability of the current bullish trend. Unlike a normal corrective wave, which tends to be shallower and orderly, Ethereum’s move suggests that selling pressure is stronger than usual, and buyers are testing their conviction at this level. In this context, the market still has the potential to extend lower toward the $1,820 region. Such a scenario would indicate a deeper retracement is underway, challenging both short-term and intermediate support zones. The first signal that this bearish scenario could gain credibility would be a sustained break below the red support line highlighted on the chart. A decisive close below this level would represent the initial structural break and could pave the way for further downside, altering the current outlook for Ethereum in the near term. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com