Ethereum is testing resistance just below $2,400, caught between renewed buying interest and the lingering uncertainty that has defined the market for months. The price action looks tentative from the outside — but a CryptoQuant report is pointing to something happening beneath the surface that the chart alone does not capture. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Are Choosing To Hold At $74K: Changing The Supply Picture According to the report, the 14-day moving average of Ethereum’s Taker Buy Sell Ratio on Binance has surged to 1.036, its highest reading since April 2021. That means buyers on Binance are not just present — they are outpacing sellers at a rate the market has not seen in over four years. What makes that figure genuinely striking is the context in which it is occurring. Ethereum has fallen from a peak of $4,700 in October 2025 to its current level near $2,300, a decline of more than 50%. That is not a minor pullback. That is a half-price correction. Yet in the middle of that correction, aggressive buying pressure on Binance has quietly reached a multi-year high. When price falls sharply while buying intensity rises to historic levels, it creates a divergence that markets rarely ignore for long. The sellers are in control of the price right now. The question the data raises is whether they are running out of room to stay that way. When Price Falls and Buyers Get More Aggressive, Something Is Usually Changing The divergence the CryptoQuant report highlights is one of the more compelling setups in recent Ethereum data. A Taker Buy Sell Ratio above 1 means that market buy orders are actively outpacing market sell orders — buyers are not waiting for sellers to come to them, they are hitting the ask. The fact that this aggression is reaching a four-year high while prices continue to decline is the contradiction that demands attention. In most market conditions, aggressive buyers slow down when a correction deepens. Here, the opposite is happening. As Ethereum has moved further from its October peak, the buying intensity on Binance has increased rather than retreated. That kind of behavior does not typically come from retail participants reacting to price. It looks more like large entities deliberately absorbing available sell-side supply at a discount — what analysts often describe as smart money using weakness as a buying opportunity rather than a reason to step back. The significance of that dynamic is straightforward. Sellers can only sell what they have. If aggressive buyers continue absorbing that supply at the current pace, the pool of willing sellers gradually shrinks. When it shrinks enough, the price pressure that has defined Ethereum’s correction loses its fuel — and the setup for a reversal becomes structural rather than speculative. That point has not been reached yet. But the data suggests the distance to it is narrowing. Related Reading: XRP Whale Flows Hit 2021 Levels: Is History Repeating? Ethereum Tests $2,400 Resistance as Short-Term Momentum Improves Ethereum is approaching a critical resistance zone near $2,400 after recovering steadily from its February capitulation low around $1,800. The chart shows a clear shift in short-term structure: price has transitioned from a sequence of lower highs and lower lows into a pattern of higher lows, indicating that buyers are gradually regaining control. The recent move is supported by the 50-day moving average (blue), which has turned upward and is now acting as dynamic support. This is typically an early signal of momentum recovery. However, the broader trend remains unresolved. ETH is still trading below both the 100-day (green) and 200-day (red) moving averages, which continue to slope downward, reinforcing the presence of overhead resistance. Related Reading: Ethereum Just Saw Its Strongest Institutional Demand Signal Since October: Find Out If It Lasts The $2,300–$2,400 region is technically significant. It previously acted as support before the February breakdown and is now being retested as resistance. A clean break and consolidation above this range would mark a structural shift and likely open the path toward the $2,700–$2,900 region. Volume remains relatively muted compared to the February spike, suggesting the recovery is controlled rather than driven by aggressive inflows. This implies accumulation rather than speculation. Failure to break above resistance would likely extend consolidation between $2,000 and $2,400, delaying confirmation of a broader trend reversal. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has struggled to advance above major hurdles during the recent recovery, with price action failing to break through the $76,000 resistance level. The market signals also show that several major cryptocurrencies—Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), Solana (SOL), and XRP—managed to track Bitcoin’s rebound. Even with that follow-through, they have likewise not fully cleared their own higher resistance levels. Still, some analysts believe a cluster of supportive factors is starting to line up in a way that could lift both BTC and the broader crypto market to levels not seen since the beginning of the year. ‘Perfect Time’ For Bitcoin In a social media post on X (previously Twitter), market analyst Ash Crypto claimed that Bitcoin’s bullish setup could hardly be better at this point, and attributed that view to six catalysts he believes could push prices higher. Among them, Ash pointed to the S&P 500 reaching a new all-time high, alongside expectations that the Russell 2000 and the Nasdaq could also set new highs soon. Related Reading: Bitcoin Policy Institute Maps Out Strategy For US Stablecoin Supremacy Across 5 Policy Areas He also cited US economic data, highlighting that the ISM PMI has been above 52 for three straight months. In addition, Ash also referenced geopolitical headlines, arguing that peace talks involving the US, Iran, Israel, and Lebanon could reduce uncertainty and support risk appetite. On the crypto-specific side, Ash emphasized institutional and ecosystem demand. He noted that Michael Saylor’s Strategy (previously MicroStrategy) and spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are buying billions of BTC each week, framing it as an ongoing source of accumulation. Finally, he suggested that the pace of development is accelerating in response to the “quantum threat,” which he sees as an additional long-term tailwind. Why Altcoin Upside Is Possible Putting those pieces together, Ash concluded that conditions are “the perfect time” for Bitcoin to push toward the $85,000–$90,000 range, and that the move would likely be supportive for altcoins as well. Related Reading: What Presidio Bitcoin Found About Quantum Computing: Threat Timeline And Next Steps If the catalysts he highlighted continue to gain traction—starting from equity strength and macro stability, alongside institutional BTC demand—then both Bitcoin’s ascent and an altcoin resurgence could become increasingly plausible. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows the small Ethereum hands have sold into the latest price surge, a sign that retail traders don’t believe that the rally will last. Ethereum Retail Supply Has Seen A Notable Decline Recently According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the retail-sized Ethereum investors have been reducing their supply recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Supply Distribution,” which tells us about the amount of the cryptocurrency that’s being held by a particular wallet cohort. Related Reading: Ethereum MACD Flashes Golden Cross—Price Surged 74%+ Last 3 Times Addresses are divided into these groups based on the number of tokens that they are carrying in their balance. The 1 to 10 coins cohort, for example, includes all investors owning between 1 and 10 ETH. In the context of the current topic, the group of interest is the one pertaining to a range of 0 to 0.01 ETH. The upper limit of the range is a relatively small one, so it provides a representation of the retail hands present on the Ethereum network. Below is a chart that shows the trend in the ETH Supply Distribution for the 0 to 0.01 coins group over the past year. As displayed in the graph, the small Ethereum holders participated in accumulation between April and December 2025. In this window, they collectively added 6,195 ETH to their holdings, representing a jump of 4.1%. Most of the buying came alongside an uptrend in the price, but retail traders still continued to accumulate even after the bearish shift in the last quarter of 2025. This trend flipped in January, however, indicating that the lack of a bullish return started causing an exodus from the 0 to 0.01 cohort. For most of 2026, the selloff from retail investors has been a gradual one, but as is apparent from the chart, a sharp plunge in the cohort’s Supply Distribution has occurred alongside the recent price recovery. In just the past two days, members of the group have parted with 1,791 ETH. Given this trend, it would appear that the retail traders don’t believe this bullish momentum will last, so they are using it for taking their profits. If history is anything to go by, though, this development may not entirely be a negative one for Ethereum. Often, digital asset markets tend to move in the direction that goes contrary to the crowd opinion. “The crowd believes this +17% pump since March 29th is a bull trap, which strengthens the likelihood of this bullish momentum continuing,” explained Santiment. Related Reading: USDT, USDC Activity Drops To Lowest Level Of 2026 On Ethereum It now remains to be seen whether the 0 to 0.01 ETH cohort will see its profit-taking spree continue in the coming days and if the Ethereum rally will be able to march on. ETH Price Ethereum has recovered back to the $2,340 mark following its surge over the last couple of days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a fresh increase and remained stable above $2,320. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears $2,380. Ethereum started a steady increase above the $2,300 zone. The price is trading above $2,320 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a contracting triangle forming with resistance at $2,380 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it stays above the $2,400 zone. Ethereum Price Aims Fresh Increase Ethereum price managed to stay above the $2,220 support and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained pace for a move above $2,250 and $2,300. The last swing high was formed at $2,417 before there was a downside correction. The price dipped below the $2,350 level. There was a move below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,180 swing low to the $2,417 high. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,320 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,300, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,365 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,380 level. There is also a contracting triangle forming with resistance at $2,380 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The next major resistance is near the $2,400 level. A clear move above the $2,400 resistance might send the price toward the $2,440 resistance. An upside break above the $2,440 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,500 resistance zone or even $2,550 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,380 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,330 level. The first major support sits near the $2,295 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,180 swing low to the $2,417 high. A clear move below the $2,295 support might push the price toward the $2,265 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,230 region. The main support could be $2,200. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,295 Major Resistance Level – $2,380
A crypto analyst has highlighted how the last three golden crosses in the Ethereum MACD led into significant price rallies. This signal has now appeared again. Ethereum MACD Has Just Seen A Potential Golden Cross In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared a technical analysis (TA) signal forming in the 1-week price of Ethereum. The signal in question is related to the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD), a technical indicator that’s generally used for identifying buying and selling points for an asset. Related Reading: USDT, USDC Activity Drops To Lowest Level Of 2026 On Ethereum It involves two trendlines. The first, called the MACD line, tracks the difference between the 12-period and 26-period exponential moving averages (MAs) for the asset’s price. Meanwhile, the other level, known as the signal line, is the 9-period EMA of the MACD line. Interactions between the two trendlines of the MACD indicator may provide hints about where the asset could be headed next; a surge from the MACD line above the signal line can be a sign that a bullish market shift may be occurring. On the other hand, the reverse crossover can be a bearish signal. Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the trend in the MACD for the weekly price of Ethereum over the last couple of years: In the graph, the histogram tracks the distance between the indicator’s trendlines. Earlier, this histogram was in the negative territory, indicating that the Ethereum MACD line was trading under the signal line. Recently, however, the metric has just turned into the positive zone, implying a bullish crossover may be forming. The analyst has highlighted in the chart what happened the last few times that the MACD formed this type of crossover for the cryptocurrency’s weekly price. “The last three times the MACD printed a golden cross on Ethereum $ETH, the price surged 130%, 74%, and 98%,” explained Martinez. It now remains to be seen whether the signal in the indicator will hold for Ethereum this time, and if a rally anywhere close to the level of the last few ones will follow. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Ramp Up Accumulation: Holdings Hit 2-Month High In some other news, ETH’s latest surge has meant that its price has reclaimed a key cost basis level, as on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has pointed out in an X post. As displayed in the above graph, Ethereum has surged above the cost basis of the buyers from 1 to 3 months ago, but it still remains below the acquisition level of the 3 to 6 months old investors. “So far, this structure is consistent with a bear market relief rally, comparable to the bounces observed in Q3-Q4 2022, rather than a structural trend reversal,” noted Glassnode. ETH Price Ethereum closed in on the $2,400 level on Tuesday, but its price has since retraced to $2,320. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum has already shown the way. While Bitcoin climbed roughly 5% in a single day, Ether moved more than 8% — outpacing it by a factor of nearly 1.4. That gap, according to one analyst, is a preview of what the broader crypto market could do if Bitcoin keeps climbing through the rest of April. Related Reading: ‘Extremely Good News’ – XRP DeFi Momentum Builds As SEC Softens Position On Interfaces A Specific Price Level Is Drawing Attention Michael Van de Poppe, founder of MN Fund and a widely followed market analyst, says Bitcoin has a clear path to the $80,000–$85,000 range before the month closes out. He made the call on X this week, pointing to a recovering global market as the main force behind the expected move. Bitcoin was trading around $74,500 at the time of his post, up more than 5% in 24 hours, with trading volume jumping over 90% over the same period. #Bitcoin aims to attack the highs and is consolidating around $75K. If it blasts through $75K with volume, we’ll be in for $80-85K this month, as that’s where the higher timeframe resistances are. Yesterday I’ve made an analysis with several scenarios that I’m looking for.… pic.twitter.com/zq47n6NhXk — Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) April 14, 2026 The $85,000 target would mark a return to price levels Bitcoin last visited in late January, when it slipped from around $89,000 down to $84,600. Getting back there would represent a gain of nearly 14% from where it stood when Van de Poppe made his call. One level matters more than the rest right now: $75,000. According to Van de Poppe, breaking through that resistance with strong volume behind it sets the stage for the run to $80,000–$85,000 — where heavier selling pressure from longer-term chart history tends to sit. Bitcoin had already pushed past $75,000 by the time the analysis circulated. Downside Support Gives The Bull Case A Floor Van de Poppe also outlined what could keep the bullish scenario alive even if prices pull back. Based on his analysis, as long as Bitcoin holds above $72,000, there is better than a 70% chance it trades above $80,000 before April ends. That support zone acts as a line in the sand. A drop below it would likely change the picture. Related Reading: Dollar’s Shrinking Value Adds Fuel To XRP Bull Case: Finance Expert The backdrop helping Bitcoin here is broader than crypto. Global markets have been stabilizing after weeks of pressure tied to geopolitical tensions, and Bitcoin has moved in step with that recovery. Altcoins Could Amplify The Move Van de Poppe’s bigger claim may be the one about altcoins. He sees them moving at two to three times Bitcoin’s rate — meaning if Bitcoin gains 10%, altcoins could rise 20% to 30% or more. Reports indicate that this pattern tends to follow a predictable path. Capital flows into Bitcoin first, then into large-cap coins, and eventually rotates into smaller altcoins. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
The US-Iran war continues to affect Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices, with volatility at high levels. However, risk-on sentiment also appears to be returning, with open interest rising as BTC rises to a new multi-month high. How The US-Iran War Affects The Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin Prices In an X post, crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted that the US-Iran war continues to drive market volatility. He further remarked that there won’t be a path forward where the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices will do well if this continues to be the consensus. However, he added that the U.S. economy is “sufficiently weak” and that the Fed has no choice but to start printing money again, which is a positive for these risk assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Playing Out The Same Cycle Again On A Bigger Scale Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices have so far held up amid the US-Iran war, with BTC rallying to a multi-month high of $76,000 yesterday. This comes as market participants continue to price in an imminent end to the war despite the fragile two-week ceasefire. US President Donald Trump recently mentioned that another round of peace talks could happen within the next two days, which has also sparked bullish sentiments. Interestingly, risk-on sentiment has increased amid the US-Iran war, which is also contributing to the rally for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices. On-chain analytics platform Santiment noted that BTC and ETH’s rally to their highest levels since the start of February comes with increased optimism, as margin and leveraged positions are being created rapidly. Santiment revealed that Bitcoin’s open interest has surged 59% over seven weeks, while Ethereum’s has climbed 45% over the same period. The platform noted that this reflects growing trader conviction but also introduces higher risk as crowded leveraged trades can quickly unwind. They added that when open interest climbs alongside prices, markets often become more volatile, with sudden squeezes in either direction more likely. Analyst Warns That BTC Has Yet To Form A Bottom Crypto analyst Colin has warned that a bear market bottom has unlikely formed despite the rebound in the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices amid the US-Iran war. He noted that the $60,000 February bottom for BTC was only four months into a typical 12-month cycle, which is why he believes that the $60,000 price level isn’t the bear market bottom. Related Reading: Ethereum Is About To Go ‘Parabolic’ – Analyst Signals Golden Triangle Formation The analyst acknowledged that the bear market could be shorter this time around, but not by 2/3 of the normal bear cycle. He also noted that Bitcoin’s drop so far from its October 2025 peak is only 53%, compared to the 77% crashes recorded in prior cycles. In line with this, Colin said, “The $60k bottom is *statistically unlikely* to be the bottom.” Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum’s derivatives market on Binance is flashing a setup that could leave short sellers exposed if the recent move higher continues. According to analysis shared on X by CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, positioning has become increasingly one-sided even as ETH has rebounded sharply from its February low, creating the conditions for further short squeezes. Ethereum Bears Crowd In On Binance The core of the argument is a mismatch between price action and trader conviction. Darkfost said that since February, around 350,000 ETH has been added to open interest on Binance, which now represents roughly 37% of total market share. At current prices, that amounts to more than $1 billion flowing into Binance’s ETH derivatives complex. Related Reading: A Historic Ethereum Signal Just Fired – Discover What Happens Next What stands out is not just the size of that increase, but the direction of positioning behind it. “What is paradoxical is that despite the recent price increase (+35% since the February low), the majority of investors appear to be positioning for a correction by shorting the market,” Darkfost wrote. “This can be observed through ETH funding rates on Binance, which have reached levels not seen since the previous bear market.” That matters because funding rates offer a read on which side of the perpetual futures market is leaning more aggressively. Darkfost said Binance funding has remained mostly negative since late January, suggesting traders have continued to pay to hold short exposure rather than chase the rebound. In other words, the move higher has not fully reset bearish conviction. Related Reading: Ethereum Profit-Loss Indicator Is Hovering Just Below Neutral – The Market Waits for A Catalyst The post argues that this skepticism has now reached a level that is unusual even by recent standards. “Observing such negative levels, with funding rates dropping below -0.01%, is relatively rare and indicates a significant buildup of short positions while investors remain in disbelief,” Darkfost wrote. “When this level of consensus forms, it is not uncommon for the market to move against the majority, triggering liquidations of the most aggressive positions and leading to short squeeze events, like the one observed yesterday.” That squeeze dynamic has already started to show up in the liquidation data. Darkfost noted that more than $3 million in short positions were liquidated twice within a single hour on Binance, a sign that even modest upside extensions are capable of forcing leveraged bears out of the market. In crowded setups, those forced exits can become self-reinforcing, as liquidations add incremental buy pressure and push price into the next pocket of vulnerable positions. The broader implication is not necessarily that Ethereum is entering a straight-line rally, but that the derivatives structure has tilted in a way that can amplify upside if sentiment remains slow to adjust. Darkfost framed the recent rally as the “early phase of the uptrend,” arguing that months of short accumulation could continue to provide fuel if traders remain positioned for reversal rather than continuation. There is, however, one important shift underway. Funding rates are now beginning to turn positive again, with Darkfost citing a reading around +0.01%, though the day’s data was not yet complete. If that change holds, the market structure would begin to look different: less driven by disbelief-fueled squeezes, and more by traders starting to align with the move. For now, the message from Binance’s ETH derivatives market is fairly clear. Shorts have piled in aggressively, but the more crowded that trade becomes, the more fragile it is if Ethereum keeps grinding higher. At press time, ETH traded at $2,318. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
On-chain data shows the Ethereum versions of USDT and USDC, the two largest stablecoins, have seen their active addresses fall to the lowest level of 2026. USDC & USDT Active Addresses Have Fallen On The Ethereum Network In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Daily Active Addresses for the Ethereum versions of USDT and USDC. This indicator measures the daily total number of addresses participating in some kind of transaction activity on the network. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Ramp Up Accumulation: Holdings Hit 2-Month High When the value of this metric goes up, it means more addresses are coming online on the blockchain every day. Such a trend implies user interest in the cryptocurrency is rising. On the other hand, the indicator observing a decline suggests holders of the asset are reducing their transaction activity as fewer of them are making moves on the network. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in this metric for USDT and USDC on the Ethereum blockchain over the last few months: As displayed in the above graph, both the top two stablecoins have seen a drawdown in the Daily Active Addresses, suggesting activity related to them has declined. More specifically, the metric has dropped to 202,300 for USDT and 109,300 for USDC. Both these values are the lowest that they have been since December. Stablecoins occupy a different spot in the sector than volatile assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum; investors use them when they want to stash their capital away from the volatility associated with the other cryptocurrencies. Because of this reason, stablecoins are often considered to represent the “dry powder” sitting on the sidelines in the digital asset sector. Whenever these tokens are on the move, it means investors are either stashing away capital or injecting it into the volatile side. Given that the Daily Active Addresses has plunged for the Ethereum blockchain version of USDT and USDC recently, it would appear that there isn’t much demand for stablecoin-related swaps right now. Interestingly, this trend has come alongside a recovery surge in Ethereum and other assets. As such, it’s possible that the volatility could soon ignite fresh activity in the space. As Santiment explained: With Bitcoin making good momentum today and pushing toward $75K, expect for traders’ buying power to pick up a bit as they look to take more chances. More volatility means more ‘dry powder’ being moved. Related Reading: Huge XRP Bull Market Ahead? Analyst Flags ‘Ultimate’ Buy Zone In related news, USDT has seen its market cap reverse course recently, as CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has highlighted in an X post. The trend in the 60-day market cap change for USDT | Source: @JA_Maartun on X From the chart, it’s apparent that the 60-day change in the USDT market cap was negative earlier, but it’s just now starting to make its way back into the positive territory. ETH Price At the time of writing, Ethereum is floating around $2,300, up 10% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price started a fresh surge and traded above $2,365. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears $2,400. Ethereum started a steady increase above the $2,220 zone. The price is trading above $2,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a rising channel with support at $2,385 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it stays above the $2,300 zone. Ethereum Price Fails To Clear $2,400 Ethereum price managed to stay above the $2,200 support and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained pace for a move above $2,220 and $2,280. The bulls pumped the price above the $2,365 resistance. A high was formed at $2,417, and the price is now correcting gains. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,180 swing low to the $2,416 high. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,300, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,360 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,380 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,400 level. A clear move above the $2,400 resistance might send the price toward the $2,480 resistance. An upside break above the $2,480 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,550 resistance zone or even $2,620 in the near term. More Downside In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,400 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,320 level. The first major support sits near the $2,300 zone. A clear move below the $2,300 support might push the price toward the $2,270 support and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,180 swing low to the $2,416 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,220 region. The main support could be $2,180. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,270 Major Resistance Level – $2,400
Morgan Stanley’s freshly launched Bitcoin exchange-traded fund pulled in nearly $62 million within its first week of trading — a debut that landed in the middle of the strongest week for crypto investment products in three months. Related Reading: TRUMP Buying Frenzy Builds Ahead Of Mar-A-Lago Power Event Macro Shifts Fuel The Comeback That broader rebound was driven by more than one firm’s market entry. Crypto funds globally attracted $1.1 billion in net inflows for the week ending April 11, according to asset manager CoinShares. The turnaround came after five straight weeks of outflows that drained roughly $4 billion from the market and left investor sentiment battered heading into April. CoinShares head of research James Butterfill pointed to two specific triggers: early ceasefire signals out of Iran and a softer-than-expected US inflation reading. Both helped ease nerves that had kept institutional money on the sidelines. US investors led the charge. Based on CoinShares data, American buyers accounted for $1.06 billion — about 95% of total global flows for the week. US spot Bitcoin ETFs absorbed the largest share, pulling in $833 million, per data from Farside Investors. Bitcoin And Ethereum Both Draw Fresh Money Bitcoin funds worldwide attracted $871 million. Ethereum, which had recorded outflows for three consecutive weeks before this, saw $196.5 million flow back in. Weekly trading volumes climbed 13% to $21 billion, though that number still sits well below the year-to-date average of $31 billion, reports indicate. The positioning among big investors told an interesting story. At the same time institutions were buying into Bitcoin and Ethereum, short-Bitcoin products — funds that profit when Bitcoin’s price falls — recorded $20 million in inflows. That was the highest single-week total for those products since November 2024. Money was moving in, but some of it was being used as a safety net. XRP funds, which had briefly outpaced Bitcoin the previous week with nearly $120 million in inflows, cooled significantly. Reports show XRP investment products brought in a little over $19 million during the same period. Morgan Stanley Moves Deeper Into Crypto Beyond the weekly numbers, Morgan Stanley’s expanding footprint in the space drew attention. The bank has already filed for Ethereum and Solana ETFs following its Bitcoin fund launch. Related Reading: Dollar’s Shrinking Value Adds Fuel To XRP Bull Case: Finance Expert According to reports, Morgan Stanley executive Amy Oldenburg said the firm also plans to roll out crypto services including a tokenized money market fund and tax-harvesting options for clients. Year-to-date, Bitcoin ETF inflows have reached just under $2 billion — about 82% of all crypto ETP inflows recorded in 2026. Ethereum remains in the red for the year, sitting at $130 million in cumulative outflows despite last week’s recovery. Total assets under management across crypto investment products climbed back to levels not seen since early February. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Ethereum is trading just below $2,400. The market is seeing relief. And over the past 48 hours, US institutional investors briefly paid the highest premium for Ethereum they have paid since October — before pulling back almost as quickly as they arrived. Related Reading: Ethereum Profit-Loss Indicator Is Hovering Just Below Neutral – The Market Waits for A Catalyst An Arab Chain report tracking the Coinbase Premium Index for Ethereum has identified a two-day institutional demand signal that reframes the current recovery as something more than a broad market bounce. The index — which measures the price difference between Ethereum on Coinbase and Ethereum on Binance — reached approximately 0.055 over the past two days, its highest reading since October 2025. When Coinbase trades above Binance, it means US institutional investors are bidding more aggressively for ETH than the global market. At 0.055, they were bidding at a six-month extreme. The index has since retreated to approximately 0.006. The premium has narrowed. The institutional urgency that briefly drove it has eased. That two-day arc — surge then retreat — is the development that demands interpretation. Institutional demand arrived at Ethereum in force, reached a six-month high, and then moderated. Whether that sequence describes demand satisfied and pausing, or demand tested and withdrawing, is the question the current price level cannot answer on its own. The Institutions Arrived. Then They Stepped Back. Both Facts Matter Equally The Arab Chain report gives the two-day sequence its structural interpretation. The index reaching 0.055 was not a routine fluctuation — it reflected a significant and measurable influx of institutional liquidity entering the Ethereum market, specifically through Coinbase. During that period, ETH was trading at a genuinely higher price on Coinbase than on Binance, meaning US institutional investors were willing to pay more for Ethereum than the global market was pricing it. That premium does not exist by accident. It exists because demand was outpacing supply on the institutional venue — buyers arriving faster than sellers could match them. The retreat to 0.006 is where the interpretation becomes more nuanced. The premium narrowing does not mean the institutional demand has reversed. It means the urgency has reduced. The gap between Coinbase and Binance has compressed because the pace of institutional buying has slowed — not because institutions have become sellers. That distinction is the most important analytical point the data supports. A surge followed by a moderation is structurally different from a surge followed by a reversal. The former describes demand that arrived, was partially satisfied, and paused. The latter describes demand that tested the level and retreated. The current reading of 0.006 sits close enough to neutral that it cannot yet confirm which story is being told. The next movement in the index — whether it rebuilds toward the 0.055 range or continues compressing toward zero — will be the answer the current data cannot yet provide. Related Reading: A Historic Ethereum Signal Just Fired – Discover What Happens Next Ethereum Approaches Resistance as Momentum Builds Ethereum is trading near $2,350–$2,400, extending its recovery from the February capitulation and testing a key resistance zone. The chart shows a constructive shift in short-term structure, with price forming higher lows and steadily pushing upward. This suggests that buyers are gradually regaining control after the sharp sell-off. However, the broader trend remains mixed. ETH is still trading below the 100-day (green) and 200-day (red) moving averages, both sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance. The 50-day moving average (blue) has turned upward and is now supporting price from below, indicating improving momentum in the short term. Related Reading: Ethereum Mirrors A 2023 Setup As Buyers Take Control Of Derivatives On Binance Volume behavior adds nuance. The spike during the February decline reflects forced liquidations, while the recovery has been accompanied by moderate volume, suggesting controlled buying rather than aggressive accumulation. This type of price action is typically associated with early-stage recoveries rather than confirmed uptrends. The $2,400 level is critical. A sustained break above this zone would signal a shift in structure and open the path toward the $2,600–$2,800 region. Failure to break higher could result in another rejection and a return to the $2,100 support area. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
As Ethereum (ETH) retests a crucial support zone, Bitmine, the second-largest crypto treasury, has announced its latest ETH purchase, which pushed the company’s holdings closer to its ultimate goal. Related Reading: Dogecoin (DOGE) Retreats, Can Bulls Reclaim Upside Momentum? Bitmine Reaches Major 4% ETH Milestone On Monday, the largest Ethereum treasury in the world, Bitmine Immersion Technologies, revealed it had reached a major milestone after purchasing roughly $157 million of ETH in the past week. In its latest update, the company shared that it acquired 71,524 ETH over the past week, its highest pace of buys since the week of December 22, 2025. Bitmine’s Chairman, Tom Lee, detailed that the Ethereum treasury “has maintained the increased pace of ETH buys in each of the past four weeks, as our base case ETH is in the final stages of the ‘mini-crypto winter.’” Notably, the company has been ramping up its bet on the King of Altcoins over the past month, significantly increasing its average of 45,000-50,000 ETH purchases from previous weeks. Now, the company’s crypto and cash holdings have reached $11.8 billion at current prices, comprised of 4,874,858 ETH, 198 Bitcoin (BTC), a $200 million stake in Beast Industries, an $85 million stake in Eightco Holdings as part of its “Moonshots” initiative, and unencumbered cash worth $719 million. In addition, Bitmine’s Ethereum holdings have reached 4% of the total ETH supply. This represents a key milestone toward the company’s goal of controlling 5% of the leading altcoin’s 120.7 million supply, which is currently 81% complete. Last week, the treasury firm announced its uplisting to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) from the NYSE American on April 9, 2026, and the expansion of the share repurchase program to $4 billion. Ethereum Starts Q2 In Green In the weekly update, Lee also discussed ETH’s performance amid the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran, noting that “this war remains the most important driver of global markets.” He highlighted that “ETH is now the best-performing asset since the start of the war, with a 17.4% gain and outperforming the S&P 500 by 1,830 basis points. And we believe ETH beating gold by 2,743 basis points demonstrates ETH is the wartime store of value.” “Ethereum continues to benefit from the dual tailwinds of Wall Street tokenizing on the blockchain and from agentic AI systems increasingly needing public and neutral blockchains,” he continued. Market observer Daan Crypto Trades pointed out that Ethereum started the quarter “slightly in the green so far,” with a 3.7% increase Quarter-to-Date (QTD), according to CoinGlass data. The trader noted that this quarter “is generally the best quarter, together with Q1, for Ethereum,” as it has ended in green eight out of ten times, with an average and median return of 58.3% and 15.3%, respectively. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Must Hold This Level Or Price Could Crash To $65,000 Again Meanwhile, crypto analyst Ted Pillows highlighted that ETH is back in its $2,150-$2,200 support zone after the weekend pump. Per the post, if this zone holds, the King of Altcoins could rally back above $2,250 and potentially move toward last month’s top near $2,400. Nonetheless, they warned investors about a potential drop if momentum doesn’t hold. “We’ve seen that historical price action has not really been in Crypto’s favor the past year, so take everything with a grain of salt,” Daan cautioned. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Ether is outperforming bitcoin as ETF flows, spot prices and a 41% jump in Ethereum transactions move in the same direction for the first time in months.
Ethereum price started a fresh surge and traded above $2,350. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above $2,400. Ethereum started a steady increase from the $2,180 zone. The price is trading above $2,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $2,200 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it stays above the $2,320 zone. Ethereum Price Surges To $2,400 Ethereum price managed to stay above the $2,180 support and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained pace for a move above $2,200 and $2,250. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $2,200 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The bulls pumped the price above the $2,350 resistance. A high was formed at $2,395, and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,179 swing low to the $2,395 high. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,320, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,380 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,400 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,440 level. A clear move above the $2,440 resistance might send the price toward the $2,500 resistance. An upside break above the $2,500 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,550 resistance zone or even $2,620 in the near term. Downside Correction In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,400 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,345 level. The first major support sits near the $2,320 zone. A clear move below the $2,320 support might push the price toward the $2,260 support and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,179 swing low to the $2,395 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,230 region. The main support could be $2,180. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,260 Major Resistance Level – $2,400
Ethereum has been consolidating for weeks. Selling pressure is present. Uncertainty is higher. An Arab Chain analysis has identified a condition in the on-chain data that describes exactly what this market is doing — and why it cannot stay here indefinitely. Related Reading: Ethereum Mirrors A 2023 Setup As Buyers Take Control Of Derivatives On Binance The report tracks Ethereum’s Net Unrealized Profit and Loss on Binance — a measure of whether holders are, on average, sitting on gains or losses relative to their entry prices. The indicator currently sits at -0.053, holding near the neutral zone while Ethereum trades around $2,100. That reading describes a market in equilibrium: investors on Binance are neither panicking out of losing positions nor taking profits from winning ones. They are holding — and waiting. The behavioral picture that emerges from the data is specific. Volatility has declined. Panic selling is absent. Excessive optimism is equally absent. Short-term trading activity has reduced to the point where the market is generating neither the downward pressure of fear nor the upward pressure of greed. What remains is a market suspended between two states, maintained in place by the absence of a catalyst strong enough to break it in either direction. At -0.053, the indicator is not perfectly neutral. It is slightly underwater — a detail small enough to overlook and significant enough to matter when the next directional move begins. Stability Is Not the Same as Safety. It Is a Countdown The Arab Chain analysis draws the distinction that makes the current NUPL reading more significant than its proximity to zero suggests. The indicator’s persistence in slightly negative territory — holding at -0.053 without sharp movements in either direction — reflects a specific investor behavior: waiting. Not accumulating aggressively. Not distributing systematically. Waiting for a catalyst that has not yet arrived to clarify the direction that the data cannot currently confirm. That behavioral state has a historical profile. Periods where the NUPL holds near neutral without sharp deviations are typically associated with lower near-term risk — the absence of panic selling means forced exits are not driving price, and the absence of excessive optimism means unsustainable speculation is not inflating it. The market moves within narrow ranges because neither the fear that accelerates downside nor the greed that accelerates upside is present in sufficient force to break the equilibrium. The report identifies this condition as temporary by definition. Consolidation phases do not persist indefinitely — they persist until a catalyst resolves them. Ethereum stabilizing around $2,100 with NUPL hovering near neutral, and no sharp movements in the indicator reflect a market that has found a temporary balance between supply and demand. The word that matters in that sentence is temporary. The balance is real. Its duration is not guaranteed. When the catalyst arrives — macro clarity, a demand surge, a shift in sentiment — the indicator will move, and the narrow range that has contained Ethereum’s price will expand in the direction the move takes it. Related Reading: Capital Is Rotating From Bitcoin To Ethereum – On-Chain Data Shows It Is Not Over Ethereum Consolidates Below Resistance as Momentum Stalls Ethereum is trading near $2,150–$2,200, holding a tight range after recovering from the February capitulation. The chart shows a clear shift from aggressive selling to controlled consolidation, with price forming higher lows since the bottom near $1,800. This suggests stabilization, but not yet a confirmed reversal. Technically, ETH remains below all major moving averages. The 50-day (blue) is flattening and beginning to act as short-term support, while the 100-day (green) and 200-day (red) continue to trend downward above price, reinforcing overhead resistance. Recent attempts to break higher have stalled below the $2,300–$2,400 zone, indicating persistent supply. Related Reading: XRP Supply Is Thinning, and Leverage Is Absent. Learn What Happens When One Of Those Changes Volume dynamics support this interpretation. The spike during the sell-off reflects forced liquidations, while the subsequent decline in volume points to reduced participation. The current recovery lacks the expansion in volume typically associated with strong trend reversals. Structurally, Ethereum is compressing beneath resistance. The range between $2,000 and $2,300 is tightening, with neither buyers nor sellers showing dominance. A break above $2,400 would signal a shift in momentum and open a move toward the 100-day average. Conversely, losing $2,000 would invalidate the recovery structure. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum has been consolidating below $2,200 for weeks. The selling pressure is real. The uncertainty is higher. And the participants who hold enough ETH to move markets just crossed back into profit, which, in the history of this asset, has never happened quietly. Related Reading: Ethereum Mirrors A 2023 Setup As Buyers Take Control Of Derivatives On Binance A CryptoQuant analyst tracking the behavior of Ethereum’s largest holders has identified a transition that demands attention precisely because of how rarely it occurs. The cohort holding more than 100,000 ETH — wallets large enough that their decisions do not just reflect the market, they influence it — briefly entered an unrealized loss state as Ethereum’s price declined. They have now returned to profitability. That sequence matters for a specific structural reason. When whale-sized holders are underwater, they face a choice between absorbing the loss and selling to prevent it from deepening. The market lives under that overhead. Every session at the wrong price level is a session where the largest holders have an incentive to exit. When that cohort returns to profit, the incentive structure inverts — they are no longer potential sellers defending a loss, they are holders with gains and no urgency to move. Every Time. Without Exception. Until Now, Nobody Was Watching The analyst’s historical reading is the element that transforms the current whale profitability transition from a data point into a signal. In the entire recorded history of Ethereum, every single instance where this cohort — holders of more than 100,000 ETH — crossed from an unrealized loss state back to a profitable state marked the beginning of a rally. Not in most instances. Not the majority. Everyone. That is not a tendency. It is a pattern with a perfect track record across every market cycle Ethereum has experienced. The corrections, the bear markets, the prolonged consolidations — each one produced at least one moment where the largest holders briefly went underwater before recovering. And each one of those moments, without exception, preceded upward movement. The analyst’s conclusion is stated without embellishment: that historic signal has appeared again. What that means for the current consolidation below $2,200 is not a guarantee — no signal in financial markets carries certainty, and the macro environment remains genuinely uncertain. What it means is that the on-chain condition that has historically marked the beginning of Ethereum rallies is now present, for the first time since the current correction began. The pattern has never been wrong. The question is whether this cycle is the first time it fails — or the latest time it does not. Related Reading: Capital Is Rotating From Bitcoin To Ethereum – On-Chain Data Shows It Is Not Over Ethereum Holds Critical Weekly Support as Structure Tightens Ethereum is consolidating near the $2,150–$2,200 region on the weekly timeframe, a level that is increasingly acting as a structural pivot. After the rejection from the $4,000–$4,500 range in late 2025, ETH entered a corrective phase that found support just above the 200-week moving average (red), preserving the long-term trend despite the volatility. The current structure reflects compression rather than continuation. Price is trading between the 100-week (green) and 200-week moving averages, while the 50-week (blue) has flattened and is beginning to turn slightly upward. This convergence of key averages signals a market in equilibrium, where neither buyers nor sellers have clear control. Related Reading: XRP Supply Is Thinning, and Leverage Is Absent. Learn What Happens When One Of Those Changes Importantly, the recent downside wicks into the $1,700–$1,800 zone were met with strong buying, indicating demand remains active at lower levels. However, upside attempts have stalled below the $2,400–$2,600 region, reinforcing that resistance remains intact. Volume patterns align with this interpretation. Spikes during sell-offs suggest liquidation-driven moves, while the current normalization indicates reduced stress but limited conviction. Structurally, Ethereum is coiling within a broad range. A break above $2,500 would confirm strength, while a loss of $2,000 would expose deeper support. For now, the market remains balanced, awaiting resolution. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum may be closer to a major turning point than it appears, as key technical signals begin to align. Despite recent weakness, the emergence of a death cross, often seen near the end of downtrends, suggests the market could be approaching its final phase of capitulation. With historical patterns pointing to a nearing bottom, attention is shifting from fear to opportunity. Worst-Case Scenario: Final Phase Of The Bottoming Process In outlining a worst-case scenario for Ethereum, crypto analyst Sykodelic explained that if the market has not yet fully bottomed, it is likely in the final 2%–3% of the overall bottoming process. Such a narrow margin suggests that while some downside risk may remain, the majority of the correction has already played out, placing price action near a potential exhaustion point. Related Reading: Analyst Shares ‘Realistic’ Ethereum Price Targets For The Next 3 Years Historical behavior tied to the Death Cross on the 3-day chart further supports this perspective. In past cycles, Ethereum has either bottomed right at the moment of the death cross or very shortly afterward. Only one instance deviated slightly, with the market taking additional time before forming a final low. A death cross occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average, indicating a market that is deeply compressed and overextended. While often interpreted as a bearish signal, in many cases, it marks the late stages of a downtrend, where selling pressure begins to fade, and long-term buyers gradually step in. If Ethereum follows this historical pattern under a worst-case scenario, the final bottom could emerge roughly 54 days after the death cross, placing the projected timing around April 28. Expecting a significantly longer bottoming phase would be inconsistent with past cycles and may be unlikely, especially considering that the current market expansion has been relatively weak. With downside likely limited and the bottoming phase nearing completion, the focus increasingly shifts toward strategic accumulation rather than panic selling. ETH Struggles Below Key $2,300 Resistance Zone According to Chad, Ethereum is still not ready to break above the upper daily Bollinger Band and the key horizontal resistance zone around $2,300. Price continues to struggle in this region, showing repeated signs of rejection, which suggests that bullish momentum remains insufficient for a sustained breakout. Related Reading: Ethereum Mirrors A 2023 Setup As Buyers Take Control Of Derivatives On Binance So far, market structure is unfolding as expected, with key levels being respected on both sides. The inability to reclaim the $2,300 zone reinforces the idea that ETH is still in a consolidation phase. Attention now shifts to the downside, where a crucial confluence area sits around $2,150. This level combines a strong horizontal support zone with the 20-day SMA, making it a key level to watch. A breakdown below this region could open the door for further downside, while a successful hold may signal stability and set the stage for another attempt at higher levels. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum price started a fresh decline and traded below $2,250. ETH is now consolidating above $2,175 and might struggle to recover. Ethereum started a downside correction from the $2,330 zone. The price is trading below $2,220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2,210 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $2,140 zone. Ethereum Price Dips Again Ethereum price failed to remain stable above $2,250 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin. ETH price dipped below the $2,220 and $2,200 levels. Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $2,210 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The pair traded as low as $2,176, and is currently consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,329 swing high to the $2,175 low. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,175, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,210 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,235 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,250 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,329 swing high to the $2,175 low. A clear move above the $2,250 resistance might send the price toward the $2,290 resistance. An upside break above the $2,290 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,320 resistance zone or even $2,350 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,235 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,175 level. The first major support sits near the $2,140 zone. A clear move below the $2,140 support might push the price toward the $2,110 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,060 region. The main support could be $2,020. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,140 Major Resistance Level – $2,235
Ethereum’s growing base of active users may be one reason investors are putting more money into it — and less into Bitcoin. Related Reading: Cardano In Danger Zone? Trader Drops ‘Time Bomb’ Claim Exchange Outflows Point To A Shift In Holding Behavior Data from on-chain research firm XWIN Research shows Ethereum recorded a sustained drop in exchange-held supply throughout March 2026, a sign that more holders are moving their tokens off trading platforms and into long-term storage. Reduced exchange supply typically signals less intention to sell. At the same time, active addresses on the Ethereum network trended higher, pointing to broader usage across its ecosystem. Stablecoins, decentralized finance, and real-world asset tokenization all saw activity gains during the period. ETHUSD trading at $2,236 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView Bitcoin did not show the same kind of network momentum. While it posted a 1.80% price gain in March, its market cap slipped 0.41%. Ethereum, by contrast, climbed 7% and expanded its market cap by almost 3%. That gap drew attention from analysts tracking capital movement across the two largest cryptocurrencies. Why Ethereum Outperformed Bitcoin “ETH currently benefits from simultaneous capital inflow, supply tightening, and ecosystem growth. This positions Ethereum as a structurally stronger asset in the current phase.” – By @xwinfinance pic.twitter.com/khcggqJZk6 — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 10, 2026 Ethereum Runs Hotter Than Bitcoin On Volatility Measures The two assets moved largely in the same direction — their price correlation sat at around 0.94 — but how far they moved told a different story. Ethereum’s realized volatility came in at 62% for the month. Bitcoin’s was 49%. According to XWIN Research, that spread positions Ethereum as a higher-beta asset, one that reacts more sharply when liquidity conditions shift. Traders chasing bigger short-term gains appear to have taken notice. The Coinbase Premium Gap, a metric that tracks the price difference between Coinbase and other exchanges, remained negative for Ethereum. Reports indicate, however, that it showed early signs of narrowing — a potential signal that US-based demand is beginning to return. Related Reading: XRP Faces No Immediate Quantum Threat As Only 0.03% Supply Seen At Risk: Analyst Store-Of-Value Narrative Loses Ground To Utility Play Bitcoin has long been positioned as digital gold — a place to park value rather than a network to build on. That story may be losing some of its pull, at least for now. Based on XWIN Research’s analysis, attention appears to be rotating toward assets that respond more directly to shifts in liquidity and market sentiment. Ethereum, with its broader infrastructure role, is currently drawing that attention. The analysis stopped short of predicting how long the trend would last. What it did say is that Ethereum’s on-chain data and ecosystem activity place it in a stronger short-term position than Bitcoin. Whether that holds as broader market conditions change remains to be seen. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
Ethereum is pushing toward $2,200. The macro environment is uncertain. And top analyst Darkfost has identified a signal in the derivatives market that has not appeared in nearly three years — emerging at precisely the moment the price is testing a level that matters. Related Reading: XRP Supply Is Thinning and Leverage Is Absent. Learn What Happens When One Of Those Changes The signal comes from the ETH Taker Buy Sell Ratio on Binance — a measure of whether buyers or sellers are dominating perpetual contract activity on the exchange that processes more than a third of all ETH open interest globally. After an extended period of seller dominance, the ratio has returned above 1.0, with a monthly average of approximately 1.016, and has held there for several consecutive days. The last time this setup was observed was in 2023. That three-year gap is the detail that elevates the current reading from a routine metric improvement to a structural development. Derivatives markets are where conviction is expressed with leverage — where participants put real capital behind directional views with amplified consequences. When buyer dominance returns to that market after nearly three years of absence, it is not a technical footnote. It is a behavioral shift from the participants who feel the market most acutely. Darkfost’s assessment is measured: this is the early stage of a more constructive trend, not its confirmation. The macro environment has not been resolved. But the derivatives market has started moving in a direction it has not moved in three years — and that timing, against the $2,200 test, is not coincidental. 37% of All Ethereum Derivatives Flow Through Binance Darkfost’s first point of context is the one that gives the current reading its full structural weight. Binance accounts for over 37% of total ETH open interest globally — meaning more than a third of all leveraged ETH positioning in the world sits on a single venue. When the derivatives signal on Binance flips from seller-dominant to buyer-dominant, it is not a reading from a peripheral platform. It is a reading from the venue that processes the largest share of the market’s directional conviction. The mechanism the ratio measures is straightforward and worth stating precisely. The Taker Buy Sell Ratio tracks the relationship between market buy and sell volumes on perpetual contracts. Above 1.0, buyers are dominant — more capital is entering through market buy orders than market sell orders. Below 1.0, sellers control the flow. For nearly three years, the ratio held below 1.0 on Binance. It has now moved above it, with a monthly average of 1.016, and has sustained that level for several consecutive days. What makes the current shift specifically constructive — rather than simply positive — is how it is unfolding. There are no excessive spikes. No sudden, violent imbalances of the kind that typically precede liquidation cascades in derivatives markets. The ratio is climbing gradually, methodically, in a way that reflects genuine behavioral change rather than a temporary flush of short positions. Darkfost names this explicitly: gradual shifts in derivatives markets are structurally healthier than sharp ones. A slow return of buyer dominance builds a more durable foundation than a rapid one. The market is not overheating into the signal. It is growing into it — and that distinction, for Ethereum at $2,200, is the difference between a setup and a trap. Related Reading: Ethereum’s $2.1B Leverage Flush Was Not a Breakdown Signal: Here Is What It Actually Was Ethereum Tests Resistance as Recovery Structure Builds Ethereum is extending its recovery attempt, now pushing toward the $2,200–$2,250 region, a level that is beginning to define short-term resistance. The chart shows a clear shift in behavior following the February capitulation: instead of continued downside, ETH has formed a series of higher lows, indicating that buyers are gradually regaining control. This change is meaningful, but still incomplete. Price is interacting closely with the 50-day moving average (blue), which is flattening after a prolonged decline. That suggests momentum is stabilizing. However, ETH remains below the 100-day (green) and 200-day (red) moving averages, both trending downward, which keeps the broader structure bearish. Related Reading: Aave Breakdown Deepens With Supply Flooding Back To Binance. Learn What Triggered The Rush Volume dynamics support the recovery narrative, but cautiously. The spike during the sell-off marked forced liquidations, while the subsequent lower volume during the rebound suggests a controlled, less speculative move higher. The key level to watch is the $2,200–$2,400 range. A clean break and consolidation above this zone would confirm a shift in market structure and open the path toward the 100-day average. Failure to break higher would reinforce this as another lower high within a broader downtrend. For now, Ethereum is transitioning — not trending — with early signs of strength, but no confirmation yet. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum is holding above key price levels as the market prepares for a decisive move. The chart looks constructive. The March data from XWIN Research Japan explains why the chart may be understating what is actually happening beneath it. Related Reading: XRP Supply Is Thinning and Leverage Is Absent. Learn What Happens When One Of Those Changes The report documents a capital rotation that played out in plain sight last month — and that most participants attributed to momentum rather than structure. While Bitcoin gained 1.83% in March, Ethereum rose 7.12%. That performance gap is not the headline. The market cap divergence is. Bitcoin’s market cap declined 0.43% over the same period while Ethereum’s expanded 2.97% — meaning capital was not just flowing toward ETH, it was flowing away from BTC simultaneously. That is the definition of reallocation, not coincidence. The structural reading goes further. Ethereum’s realized volatility in March reached 62.8% against Bitcoin’s 49.8% — confirming ETH’s role as the higher-beta asset in the relationship. Despite a correlation of approximately 0.94 between the two assets, Ethereum amplifies moves in liquidity and risk appetite disproportionately. When conditions improve, ETH responds harder. When they deteriorate, ETH absorbs more damage. March’s conditions improved. ETH responded accordingly. The question the report raises — and the one the current price level demands — is whether the conditions that produced March’s rotation are strengthening or fading. The Price Is Moving. The Structure Behind It Is Moving Faster The XWIN Research Japan analysis identifies three simultaneous developments that together describe something more durable than a momentum trade. Exchange outflows for Ethereum continue to build — coins leaving trading venues, reducing the immediately available sell-side pool, and reflecting a growing preference for long-term holding over active trading. Supply is thinning not because buyers have arrived in force, but because sellers have stepped back. The on-chain picture adds the demand dimension. The Coinbase Premium Gap remains negative — US institutional demand has not fully returned — but it is improving. That directional shift matters more than the current level: a gap moving toward zero is a market in early recovery, not stagnation. Active Addresses, meanwhile, continue trending higher, confirming that Ethereum’s network is being used more regardless of price direction. Real usage expanding before institutional capital arrives is the textbook early-cycle structure. The distinction the report draws between Ethereum and Bitcoin is structural rather than competitive. Bitcoin functions as a store of value — its thesis is monetary. Ethereum functions as financial infrastructure — stablecoins, DeFi, tokenized assets, settlement layers — its thesis is utility. In a market where real usage is already expanding and institutional demand is approaching rather than present, the infrastructure asset tends to re-rate before the monetary asset fully recovers. ETH is currently receiving capital inflows, tightening supply, and growing its network simultaneously. That combination does not produce a guaranteed outcome. It produces a structurally stronger setup than the price alone currently reflects. Related Reading: Ethereum’s $2.1B Leverage Flush Was Not a Breakdown Signal: Here Is What It Actually Was Ethereum Tests Strength After Post-Capitulation Recovery Ethereum is attempting to build a recovery structure after the sharp February breakdown that reset market positioning. The chart shows a clear capitulation event, followed by a period of stabilization and gradual higher lows. Price is now trading around $2,200, a level that has shifted from resistance into a short-term pivot. This transition is constructive, but not yet decisive. ETH remains below its 100-day (green) and 200-day (red) moving averages, both trending downward, which keeps the broader structure bearish. However, the 50-day moving average (blue) is beginning to flatten and price is interacting closely with it, signaling that short-term momentum is stabilizing. Related Reading: Aave Breakdown Deepens With Supply Flooding Back To Binance. Learn What Triggered The Rush The key development is the change in behavior. The violent sell-off has been replaced by controlled consolidation, with reduced volatility and more consistent buying on dips. Volume spiked during the February decline, indicating forced liquidations, and has since normalized, suggesting that the market is no longer under stress. Structurally, Ethereum is transitioning from distribution to early accumulation. A confirmed shift would require a sustained move above the $2,400–$2,600 range, where the 100-day average sits. Until then, this remains a recovery attempt within a broader downtrend, but with improving underlying conditions. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Crypto Patel has shared realistic targets that the Ethereum price can reach in the next bull run. The analyst matched potential market caps to those of popular U.S. companies, noting that Ethereum has gone mainstream and could go head-to-head with them. Realistic Targets For The Ethereum Price In The Next Bull Run In an X post, Crypto Patel stated that the ‘ultra bear’ target for the Ethereum price in the next bull run is $5,000, representing a 2.4x gain from current levels and a market cap of $610 billion. He also noted that this sits around Visa’s current valuation, with Ethereum set to match the payments giant. Related Reading: Ethereum Hitting A Bottom Or A Bearish Continuation? The Cycle Theory That Tells A Story Furthermore, he stated that the ‘bear’ target for the Ethereum price is $8,000, which is a 3.8x gain from its current level and a market cap of $965 billion. This puts Ethereum up there with retail giant Walmart, which currently boasts a market cap of $1 trillion. The ‘base’ case for Ethereum is a price target of $12,000, a 5.7x gain from its current level, and a market cap of $1.45 trillion. This matches tech giant Meta’s market cap of $1.6 trillion. Meanwhile, Crypto Patel stated that the ‘Bull’ case for the Ethereum price is a rally to $21,000, a gain of over 10x from its current level, which would give ETH a market cap of $2.54 trillion. This will put Ethereum in the same range as Microsoft, which has a market cap of $2.8 trillion. I am running a few minutes late; my previous meeting is running over. The Ultra Bull Case For ETH The analyst set an ‘ultra bull’ target of $30,000 to $60,000 for Ethereum. This represents a gain of 14x to 29x from current price levels and would give ETH a market cap of up to $7.3 trillion. This could put ETH above Nvidia, the world’s largest company by market cap at $4.5 trillion. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts That Ethereum Price Is Headed For $10,000 Minimum Crypto Patel explained that Ethereum is no longer just “crypto” but is competing with the world’s largest balance sheets, which is why he is confident the second-largest crypto by market cap could reach these targets. Tom Lee, the Chairman of Ethereum treasury company Bitmine, has also predicted that ETH could reach $60,000 and even rally higher to $250,000. Tom Lee predicted that the Ethereum price could reach these targets as the network proves to be the future of finance, driving the tokenization wave. He believes that Wall Street companies will adopt the Ethereum network as real-world assets (RWAs) tokenization gains more traction. At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $2,200, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum price extended gains above $2,250 before it started a downside correction. ETH is now consolidating above $2,120 and might aim for a fresh increase. Ethereum started a decent upward move above the $2,220 zone. The price is trading above $2,180 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $2,225 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $2,140 zone. Ethereum Price Holds Uptrend Support Ethereum price remained stable above $2,165 and started a decent upward move, like Bitcoin. ETH price climbed above the $2,180 and $2,220 resistance levels. The bulls pumped the price above $2,250. A high was formed at $2,273 before the price started a downside correction. The price dipped below $2,220. There was a spike below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,060 swing low to the $2,273 high. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,180 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,140, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,225 level. There is also a declining channel forming with resistance at $2,225 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The next major resistance is near the $2,265 level. A clear move above the $2,265 resistance might send the price toward the $2,320 resistance. An upside break above the $2,320 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,400 resistance zone or even $2,450 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,225 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,165 level. The first major support sits near the $2,140 zone or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,060 swing low to the $2,273 high. A clear move below the $2,140 support might push the price toward the $2,110 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,060 region. The main support could be $2,020. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,140 Major Resistance Level – $2,225
Bitcoin price started a strong increase above the $71,500 zone. BTC is consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above the $73,250 zone. Bitcoin gained pace for a move above the $71,500 and $72,000 levels. The price is trading above $71,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bullish flag pattern with resistance at $71,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $71,500 and $71,250 levels. Bitcoin Price Aims for More Gains Bitcoin price managed to climb higher above the $70,500 resistance zone. BTC gained pace for a move above the $71,500 and $72,000 levels. The pair even rallied above the $72,500 level. Besides, there was a break above a bullish flag pattern with resistance at $71,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. A high was formed at $73,130, and the price started a downside correction. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $70,536 swing low to the $73,130 high. However, the bulls were active above $71,500. Bitcoin is now trading above $72,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $71,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $72,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $73,250 level. A close above the $73,250 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $74,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $74,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $75,000. Downside Correction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $73,250 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $71,500 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $70,536 swing low to the $73,130 high. The first major support is near the $71,250 level. The next support is now near the $70,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $70,000 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $69,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $71,500, followed by $71,250. Major Resistance Levels – $72,500 and $73,250.
Ethereum is trading above $2,200. The recovery is real. And a CryptoQuant report has identified the structural event that made it possible — one that most participants were reading as a danger signal at the time it occurred. Related Reading: Aave Breakdown Deepens With Supply Flooding Back To Binance. Learn What Triggered The Rush The report traces the current price strength to a single, measurable development in February: Binance’s ETH Open Interest 30-day Change fell to approximately -$2.13 billion in mid-February 2026 — the deepest deleveraging event since October 2025, when the metric reached a comparable -$2.11 billion. At the time, that reading looked like confirmation of further downside. The chart was falling. Leverage was being violently removed. The market appeared to be breaking. The distinction matters because of what followed in October 2025. When Binance recorded a comparable leverage flush at -$2.11 billion, Ethereum did not extend its decline — it stabilized and recovered. The deleveraging event that looked like a continuation signal was actually a cleanup event: speculative excess removed, liquidation pressure reduced, structural foundation strengthened. February 2026 produced the same reading. Ethereum held above $1,800 instead of extending lower. The recovery above $2,200 is what came after. The mechanism behind it is what the report has now confirmed. The Price Held. The Leverage Did Not The report’s core analytical observation rests on a specific divergence between what the open interest data showed and what the price did in response. When Binance’s ETH open interest fell by $2.13 billion, the expected outcome — given the speed and scale of the deleveraging — was a comparable collapse in price. Instead, Ethereum stabilized around $1,800. The price held while the leverage did not. That divergence is the signal. When open interest drops aggressively without a proportional price decline, it typically means one thing: the leverage being removed was speculative excess, not genuine demand. The forced exits cleared the market of positions that would have amplified further downside. The holders who remained were not leveraged longs waiting to be liquidated — they were participants with enough conviction to absorb the selling without flinching. Related Reading: XRP Longs Keep Getting Crushed On Binance – Here Is What That Imbalance Signals The report is precise about the consequences. The leverage reset on Binance most likely reduced the liquidation pressure that had been overhanging the market since the cycle peak. Without that overhead, the path to stabilization became shorter. Without the speculative excess, the recovery that followed had a cleaner structural foundation to build on. Ethereum above $2,200 is not simply a price recovery. It is the output of a market that absorbed its worst deleveraging event in months, held its ground, and rebuilt from a base that the cleanup made structurally more durable than the one that existed before it. Ethereum Price Stabilizes Below Key Moving Averages Ethereum is attempting to stabilize after a sharp breakdown that defined the February leg lower. The chart shows a clear shift in structure: a prolonged downtrend from late 2025 transitioned into a high-volume capitulation event, followed by a compression phase just above the $2,000 level. That level is now acting as short-term support, with buyers repeatedly stepping in to defend it. However, the broader trend remains fragile. ETH is still trading below its 50-day (blue), 100-day (green), and 200-day (red) moving averages, all of which are sloping downward. This alignment reflects sustained bearish control across multiple timeframes. Notably, the recent bounce toward $2,200 has failed to reclaim the 50-day average decisively, suggesting that momentum remains weak. Related Reading: A Key Bitcoin Signal Is Quietly Building While The Price Stays Flat: Here Is What to Watch Next Volume also provides important context. The spike during the February sell-off indicates forced liquidations rather than organic selling, which typically marks exhaustion. Since then, declining volume during consolidation suggests reduced participation, not yet renewed demand. Structurally, ETH is forming a base, but not a reversal. A confirmed shift would require reclaiming the $2,400–$2,600 region, where the 100-day average currently sits. Until then, this remains a recovery attempt within a broader downtrend. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto markets are showing early signs that the worst may be over, following a prolonged decline that began with the industry’s sharp sell-off back in October of last year. In a new report shared on social media, technical analyst Ali Martinez says the market is now starting to form what he calls a structural floor. Next Cycle Setup For Crypto Leaders Martinez’s view is rooted in the idea that seven months of heavy volatility may also be creating a rare opportunity. For those focused on the longer-term picture, he argues, the current turbulence can act as a reset period before the next multi-year cycle. Rather than treating the current sell-off as purely negative, Martinez suggests it may be setting up the conditions for a new upward phase once the market stops bleeding. Related Reading: Adam Back Denies Being Bitcoin Creator In Response To NYT: ‘I Am Not Satoshi’ When looking at the “big picture” for broader crypto market structure, Martinez points to a metric he says helps define the floor: the CVDD Channel, which stands for Cumulative Value Days Destroyed. According to his analysis, Bitcoin’s “Golden Zone” is currently near $49,330. He claims that historically, entries into this area have tended to show up before bull market runs, and he outlines upside targets for what could follow—potentially reaching $178,478, and in an even more extended scenario, $273,158. The analyst then turns to Ethereum (ETH). Martinez says he is watching whether ETH is moving within a parallel channel pattern, and if that interpretation holds, he believes the zone between current levels and $1,070 could offer a high-conviction entry point. From there, he highlights an ecosystem-wide rally scenario with a macro target around $8,670 as the next major objective, framing it as a move that would emerge as the broader crypto ecosystem matures. Outlook For XRP, SOL, And DOGE For XRP, Martinez focuses on a specific support level as the key to determining whether the crypto market can stabilize. He says that if XRP can hold support near $0.80, it could create a strong “buy the dip” setup, potentially giving traders a chance before a later retest of XRP’s all-time high near $3.30 and beyond. Solana (SOL) is next, and Martinez suggests SOL may need a broader “generational” reset to complete the bottoming process. He argues that the possible low area ranges from $74 to $50, describing that band as a total reset of speculative “froth.” Martinez characterizes that kind of clearance as a major launchpad for the next upward move, implying that the more aggressive the washout, the more room there may be for the following leg higher. Related Reading: JPMorgan CEO Says Bank Must Build Its Own Blockchain To Counter Crypto Threats Finally, Martinez discusses Dogecoin (DOGE) using what he calls fractal signals. He says the memecoin’s chart structure indicates a coiling phase that often appears before the next parabolic move. In that context, Martinez points to a zone he believes is where larger, more informed buyers could begin accumulating. His range for that buildup is between $0.090 and $0.060, which he describes as the area where accumulation could start to intensify ahead of a potential upside surge. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
While Ethereum (ETH) retests a key level for the first time this month, some market watchers have advised caution, warning that the start of a new bull run may not be here yet. Related Reading: XRP Leads Crypto Funds $224M Rebound With Largest Weekly Inflows Since December No Ethereum Party Until This happens After jumping nearly 10%, Ethereum is attempting to reclaim a crucial area that has served as a major resistance zone since the early February crash. Over the past two months, the King of Altcoins has been trading sideways, hovering between the $1,800-$2,200 levels. As the altcoin breaks past the $2,150-$2,200 area, some market observers cautioned investors not to celebrate yet, arguing that ETH has failed to hold this level despite multiple retests during this period. Analyst Ted Pillows affirmed that as long as Ethereum holds above the $2,200 level, it could make a move towards last month’s top, around the $2,400 area, but warned investors not to “mistake it for the start of a bull run,” suggesting that new lows will come between Q2 and Q3 2026. Similarly, market watcher Crypto Scient advised investors not to “confuse positioning with guessing,” explaining that the cryptocurrency hasn’t broken out of its macro downtrend, which began last October. According to the chart, Ethereum is currently near the macro trend resistance while still respecting a Lower High (LH) structure. To him, this is “where most people front-run and get chopped.” Scient argued that even if the bottom is on and ETH’s bull run has begun, “the money won’t be made under this trend. It will be made once the price is above it.” Nonetheless, the price needs to break above the trend, flip it into support, and show acceptance above it before investors can call a true reversal. “Until that happens, this is just another retest in a downtrend,” he asserted. Key Levels To Watch Ali Martinez shared “the ultimate accumulation zones” for Ethereum, outlining some potential scenarios for its price. In the first case, the cryptocurrency could be trading in a multi-year ascending triangle, with the $1,800 level being the “line in the sand.” As he explained, this price point serves as the triangle’s hypotenuse and, if it holds, could trigger a rally toward the $4,900 x-axis. This level also aligns “almost perfectly” with the 0.80 MVRV Pricing Band, located around the $1,880 area. The 0.80 band “has been a reliable indicator of cycle bottoms,” as it has historically marked where sellers exhaust themselves, and “Strong Hands” take over, Martinez highlighted. Meanwhile, in the second scenario, Ethereum could be moving within a parallel channel, risking another 30%-50% correction toward the channel lows between $1,150-$1,170. Martinez emphasized that the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) reveals massive clusters of ETH were bought between $2,079 and $1,882. The URPD also shows that below $1,880, the most significant buy-walls sit at $1,584, $1,238, and $1,089, meaning that if the February lows are lost, the price would visit those levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Next Big Move In Mid-April? Analyst Explains Why ‘Decision Time’ Could Be Near “While accumulation happens in the $1,000s, the ‘Start Engine’ for the next major rally is the Realized Price at $2,500,” the analyst noted, adding that whenever Ethereum reclaims its Realized Price, it has historically signified that the average holder is back in profit and the “cooling period” has finalized. “A clean break and hold above $2,500 is my primary trigger for the beginning of a new macro bull rally,” Martinez concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum price extended gains above $2,265 before it started a downside correction. ETH is now correcting gains and might find bids near the $2,120 zone. Ethereum started a decent upward move above the $2,250 zone. The price is trading above $2,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $2,220 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it stays above the $2,120 zone. Ethereum Price Corrects Some Gains Ethereum price remained stable above $2,150 and started a decent upward move, like Bitcoin. ETH price climbed above the $2,165 and $2,200 resistance levels. The bulls pumped the price above $2,250. A high was formed at $2,274 before the price started a downside correction. The price dipped below $2,200. There was a move below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,059 swing low to the $2,274 high. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,120, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,220 level. There is also a declining channel forming with resistance at $2,220 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The next major resistance is near the $2,250 level. A clear move above the $2,250 resistance might send the price toward the $2,320 resistance. An upside break above the $2,320 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,400 resistance zone or even $2,450 in the near term. More Losses In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,220 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,165 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,059 swing low to the $2,274 high. The first major support sits near the $2,120 zone. A clear move below the $2,120 support might push the price toward the $2,080 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,050 region. The main support could be $2,020. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,120 Major Resistance Level – $2,220
Ethereum (ETH) slid on Tuesday, trading just above $2,080 as the wider crypto market weakened — a level well shy of a critical threshold identified by expert Ali Martinez as the trigger for a sustained macro bull run. In a breakdown shared on social media platform X, Martinez argued that reclaiming a realized price near $2,500 would mark the moment the average holder returns to profit and signal the end of the market’s “cooling period,” opening the door to a renewed, extended rally. Technical Crossroads For Ethereum Martinez framed the current price action in technical terms, suggesting Ethereum could be forming an ascending triangle. In that scenario, he places a “line in the sand” at roughly $1,800, and notes that this figure overlaps closely with the 0.80 MVRV pricing band at about $1,880. MVRV, or Market Value to Realized Value, compares an asset’s market price with the average price paid for the asset by holders; Martinez describes the 0.80 band as an “Average Receipt” indicator that has historically marked cycle bottoms. When the band is reached, he said, Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market is often in a state of “extreme pain,” a phase in which selling tends to exhaust itself and long-term holders step in. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rainbow Chart Says Price Is Ranging Above $60,000 For A Reason, Here’s Why Beyond the ascending triangle scenario, Martinez acknowledged a more bearish alternative. If Ethereum’s price is actually confined within a parallel channel rather than an ascending triangle, he warned that a deeper reset is possible. In that case, he is watching the channel’s outer limits at approximately $1,550 and $1,070. To support these observations, he pointed to the URPD — the UTXO Realized Price Distribution, a tool that maps the prices at which existing ETH last moved. Martinez calls this distribution “the market’s memory,” because it identifies levels where large clusters of coins were acquired and where defending buy pressure is likely to appear. $4,900 Near‑Term And $5,900 Longer‑Term According to Martinez’s URPD read, the most significant buy walls below the 0.80 MVRV band are at roughly $1,584, $1,238, and $1,089. These price clusters, if tested, could generate meaningful support as holders who bought at those levels attempt to defend their positions. Martinez believes accumulation is likely to occur in the “low‑thousands”; however, he asserted that the “start engine” for the next major upward leg is Ethereum reclaiming its realized price at $2,500. If Ethereum can break and sustain above $2,500, Martinez says the technical and on‑chain signals would point toward a “target‑rich environment.” Related Reading: Underdog Bitcoin Miner Bags $210,000 BTC In Stunning Block Discovery His analysis places a near-term upside toward $4,900— a level he ties to the structure of the ascending triangle — and ultimately toward the 2.40 MVRV band, near $5,900, which would represent a new all-time high for the Ethereum price. Reaching those zones, in the expert’s view, would confirm that average holders are back in profit and that the market has shifted decisively from accumulation to a broader speculative phase. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com