Market expert Orbion has advised market participants to sell all their Ethereum holdings by October. He analyzed ETH’s price action to explain why the altcoin could reach its peak by then. Why Investors Should Sell Ethereum In October In an X post, Orbion said that he is still bullish on ETH right now but that the plan is to fully exit by the end of October. He noted that the Bitcoin price has already recorded a 100% gain from the lows this year, showing strong momentum and institutional demand. Meanwhile, Ethereum has broken and held above $4,200, which sets the stage for a final push higher in the coming weeks. Related Reading: Here’s Why The $4,000 Level Is Important For Ethereum From An Options Point Of View Orbion claimed that the setup looks strong now, but every cycle ends the same way, in a fast and brutal manner when the top comes. The market expert stated that his short-term target for Ethereum is in the $5,800 to $6,000 range, if it sustains this momentum. This would represent a 300% gain from the cycle lows. The market expert expects Bitcoin to start showing signs of topping in late September, with Ethereum following shortly after, possibly in October. He predicts that by the end of October, BTC could be in the $55,000 range and ETH back to $1,400, which is why he is advising investors to take profits by October. Orbion remarked that this is not a bearish but simply how post-peak corrections have played out historically. He indicated that investors should start planning their exits from now because the markets don’t give anyone time to react when momentum dies. The expert noted that altcoins can drop about 20% in a single day as liquidity dries up. As such, market participants could end up selling into panic and not strength if they don’t prepare accordingly. Key Metrics To Watch For ETH’s Market Top Orbion stated that key metrics like NUPL, SOPR, and MVRV have efficiently signaled the tops in past cycles. He explained that NUPL at +0.75 shows extreme unrealized profit levels across holders, which the expert claimed is a major warning sign. Furthermore, the SOPR turning negative shows coins are being sold at a loss after euphoria peaks. Related Reading: Analyst Shares Where Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP Prices Will Be By 2032 Meanwhile, the expert explained that the MVRV being deep red means that the market value is far above the cost basis, which is unsustainable for an extended period. For now, Orbion is still bullish on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader crypto market because of the Fed rate cut expected to come in September. He claimed this will be a catalyst for crypto and that liquidity injections will fuel the final leg of the rally, although the expert warned it will be fast, lasting only weeks and not months. Therefore, investors have to start planning their exit before then. At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $4,310, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
The Spot Ethereum ETFs have recorded significant outflows recently, sparking a bearish sentiment for the ETH price. These outflows also come at a time when the altcoin has dropped from a six-month high of $3,900 and looks to retest the psychological $3,000 level. Ethereum ETFs See Record Outflows Putting The ETH Price At Risk SoSo Value data shows that the Ethereum ETFs recorded a net outflow of $465.06 million on August 4, their largest outflow since they launched last year. These funds also recorded a net outflow of $152.26 million on August 1, which was the first net outflow after 20 consecutive days of net inflows. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Reserves Just Hit A New 9-Year Low Amid Treasury Accumulations These outflows from the Spot Ethereum ETFs indicate a wave of profit-taking, especially considering that the ETH price had rallied to a six-month high of $3,900 last month. Outflows from these funds are bearish for ETH as they can add selling pressure, with fund issuers selling coins to redeem shares. However, a positive is that these net outflows from the Spot Ethereum ETFs have been short-lived. Further data from SoSo Value shows that these funds recorded net inflows of $73.22 million and $35.12 million on August 5 and 6, respectively. This coincides with the rebound in the ETH price, which hit the $3,700 level in the last 24 hours. Another streak of consecutive net inflows for the Spot Ethereum ETFs could spark another uptrend for the ETH price. Moreover, the Ethereum treasury companies like BitMine, SharpLink, and the Ether Machine continue to create massive demand for ETH as they expand their treasuries. BitMine’s Ethereum holdings topped 833,000 ETH this week, making it the largest ETH treasury in the world. Will the ETH Price Crash Below $3,000? BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has predicted that the ETH price could at least retest the $3,000 level. He highlighted the Trump tariffs, which take effect today, as one of the reasons that he holds this bearish sentiment towards Ethereum. The crypto founder also indicated that there isn’t enough liquidity in the market currently to boost crypto prices. Related Reading: Pundit Says Ethereum Price Is Headed For $9,000 After This Broadening Wedge Retest However, from a technical analysis perspective, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has predicted that the ETH price is likely to continue its uptrend soon enough and avoid a drop to $3,000. In an X post, he highlighted a Bull Pennant pattern, which puts $5,000 in sight for ETH. The analyst remarked that this pattern is shaping up on Ethereum and that if it confirms, then the technical target stands at $5,000. At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $3,680, up almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP ETFs have become one of the most anticipated filings in the crypto space, with over 10 already crossing the desk of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). While expectations were that the regulator would approve XRP ETFs for trading at the start of May, the decision has been postponed once again. What this has done is increase expectations for these exchange-traded funds, with most of the market patiently waiting for when the green light will come. Why Investors Are Anticipating XRP ETFs There are numerous reasons for why investors are anticipating the XRP ETFs. Some of these include easier access to investing in the altcoin by institutions without them having to buy XRP directly, as well as increased demand as the cryptocurrency goes mainstream. All of this is expected to culminate in the rising value of the token and possibly be the catalyst that helps the XRP price break toward a new all-time high. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Poised For Breakout Amid Accumulation, Here’s The Target Dan Tapiero, the founder of 10T Holdings, a US-based equity firm, has also come forward to explain why the XRP ETFs are being anticipated. In an interview with CoinDesk, the founder starts out by lauding XRP’s resilience so far, as it has managed to survive over the years. The altcoin has been through low market participation due to the SEC’s lawsuit spanning over four years, and has managed to come out and maintain its position as one of the most valuable cryptocurrencies. Speaking about the crypto firm itself, Ripple, Tapiero explains that it has managed to turn itself into a conglomerate of assets in the ecosystem. Given this, the private equity founder believes that “there’s value there”, and as such, there are investors who are anticipating the launch of the XRP ETFs. Another reason why these XRP ETFs are being anticipated is because “it’s made in America now.” This refers to the inclusion of XRP in Donald Trump’s strategic crypto reserve, alongside the likes of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano. Additionally, Ripple’s founder, Brad Garlinghouse, continues to work with President Donald Trump, feeding the narrative of XRP being “Made in America.” Pushing The XRP Price To New Highs The launch of the XRP ETFs is expected to be incredibly bullish for the XRP price, and the basis of this has been the reaction of BTC and ETH to the launch of the Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Before the launch of the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, the BTC price was trading below $50,000. However, in the months following the approval, Bitcoin rose by more than 100% to reach new all-time highs above $100,000. Related Reading: Ethereum CrossX Indicators Flashes Buy As Insitution Accumulates, Analyst Says Brace For $4,000 If the XRP ETFs are approved this year and follow this pattern, then it is expected that the XRP price will cross $4 this year, beating its 2017 high of $3.8. The influx of institutional funds would make an impact, especially given Ripple’s mission to make XRP the digital asset of choice for institutions and banks. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
The world’s largest cryptocurrency may be at risk of a supply shock as demand from United States (US) Spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) has surged far beyond expectations. In December 2024, the volume of BTC acquired through Spot Bitcoin ETFs more than tripled the amount mined during that same month, underscoring the severe imbalance between supply and demand. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Trigger Supply Shock Risks In December 2024, US Spot Bitcoin ETFs purchased an astonishing 51,500 BTC. On the other hand, BTC miners produced only 13,850 coins during the same period, according to data from Blockchain.com. This indicates that Bitcoin ETFs alone purchased nearly four times the amount BTC miners generated and supplied to the market that month. Related Reading: Dogecoin Gaussian Channel Turns Green On The 4-Hour Chart, Why A New ATH Above $1 Is Imminent According to reports, the demand for ETFs in December was nothing short of extraordinary, exceeding the available supply by approximately 272%. This massive increase in demand for Spot Bitcoin ETFs has raised concerns about a potential BTC supply shock, with analysts suggesting that it could happen soon. Specifically, Lark Davis, a crypto analyst, announced earlier in December that “a massive supply shock is imminent.” The analyst based this alarming forecast on the significant accumulation of BTC from US Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Davis disclosed that at some point in December, BTC ETFs had bought 21,423 BTC; meanwhile, miners had produced only 3,150 BTC around the same time. The analyst also noted that BTC ETFs globally held approximately 1,311,579 BTC as of December 17, 2024. This amount, valued at $139 billion, accounts for 6.24% of BTC’s total supply of 19.8 million. Given this staggering figure, Davis projects that during peak bull market phases, Spot Bitcoin ETFs could hold 10-20% of BTC’s total supply, raising more concerns about a major supply shock. Concentration Of Spot BTC Inflows In December Data from Glassnode has revealed that Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $4.63 billion in December, almost doubling their 2024 monthly average of $2.77 billion. Notably, Glassnode disclosed that the surge in Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows was more concentrated during the first half of the month, while the second half saw outflows, with December 26 being the exception. Related Reading: XRP Price Sets Bullish Flag Continuation On The Daily Chart, Next Stop $10? Not surprisingly, the timing for this surge and subsequent decline in Bitcoin ETF inflows aligns with BTC’s price movements in December. At the beginning of the month, BTC experienced upward momentum, skyrocketing to a new ATH above $108,000 on December 17, fueled by the bull market hype and soaring demand. However, following this peak, BTC’s price saw a sharp decline, a drop that coincided with the timing of significant outflows from Spot Bitcoin ETFs, as reported by Glassnode. Despite the surge in demand for Spot Bitcoin ETFs in December, new data shows that investors have extended their accumulation trend into January 2025. On January 3, investors purchased over $900 million worth of BTC through Spot Bitcoin ETFs. More recently, US Spot Bitcoin ETFs acquired an additional 9,500 BTC, worth over $966 million at the current market price. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Since their approval in January 2024, Spot Bitcoin ETFs have been steadily gaining traction in the United States, with the issuers buying hundreds of thousands of BTC as their popularity spread. This has led to a large stash of BTC by these issuers as BlackRock leads the charge. Given their buying spree so far, the number of BTC being held by the Spot Bitcoin ETFs has been rising and is almost at the 1 million mark, Spot Bitcoin ETFs Now Hold 924,768 BTC The United States Securities and Exchange Commission approved a total of 12 Spot Bitcoin ETFs for trading back in January 2024. Now, only eight months later, these ETFs have managed to acquire more than 4% of the total Bitcoin supply. Combined, this makes the Spot Bitcoin ETFs some of the largest BTC holders. Related Reading: Ripple Vs. SEC Battle Far From Over As Regulator Opposes Court’s Decision So far, the BlackRock IBIT has been one of the largest buyers of BTC, surpassing even Grayscale’s GBTC, which had a 600,000 BTC head start. Currently, Grayscale holds more than 350,000 BTC, making the firm a top Bitcoin holder. Grayscale is still in second place when it comes to the number of BTC held. However, the Bitcoin fund has recorded more outflows than inflows since January, losing more than half of its stash before the Spot Bitcoin ETF approvals. Now, Grayscale holds less than 250,000 BTC after losing more than $20 billion to other Spot Bitcoin ETFs due to their lower fees. Other Spot Bitcoin ETFs such as the Fidelity FBTC and the Ark Invest/21Shares ARKB has reached almost 50,000 BTC. So far, the funds have been able to garner 924,768 BTC, putting their total holdings very close to the 1 million BTC milestone. In total, the Spot Bitcoin ETFs now boast 4.685 of the total Bitcoin supply. Top Addresses With Largest Holdings The top Bitcoin wallet with the largest BTC holdings still remains the Satoshi Nakamoto wallet with 1.1 million BTC in it. However, this wallet has been long dormant, and often left out of the top Bitcoin wallets list due to its inactivity. Related Reading: ETH Rally Pushes Profitability To Nearly 70%: More To Come This Week? According to the BitInfoCharts website, topping the Bitcoin rich list is the Binance old wallet with 248,598 BTC worth over $16.3 billion. Next is the Bitfinex Hack Recovery wallet with 94,643 BTC, with $6.2 billion. The Mt Gox Hack wallet holds 79,957 BTC for the third-largest at $5.2 billion. The wallet holding the BTC confiscated from the Silk Road bust with 69,370 BTC is in fourth position worth $4.56 billion, and the Binance BTCB Reserve wallet has 68,200 BTC in it, worth $4.49 billion. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Post the Spot Ethereum ETFs launch, the ETH price has continued to struggle unexpectedly, proving that the launch of the Spot ETFs were a ‘sell the news’ event. So far, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has lost around 10% of its value since the Spot Ethereum ETFs trading began on Tuesday, July 23, and could see further decline from here, according to an analysis from Matrixport. Spot Ethereum ETFs Triggers Selling Following the launch of the Spot Ethereum ETFs, there was a lot of excitement in the market, especially around the fact that investors could now gain exposure to ETH without having to directly buy the underlying token. However, this excitement has been short-lived as days after the launch, the ETH price continues to struggle. Related Reading: End Of The Road? Shiba Inu’s Shibarium Sees Massive 80.3% Crash In Active Accounts In a report released on Thursday, Markus Thielen, Head of Research at Matrixport, outlined a number of reasons why the ETH price was declining. As Thielen explains, while the inflows crossed $100 million on the first day, the Grayscale Ethereum fund had been suffering outflows. Just like with the Spot Bitcoin ETFs launch, the Grayscale ETH fund, which holds around $9 billion in ETH, began recording outflows. This is due to the fact that Grayscale’s management fees remain high with competitors offering fees as low as 0.19%. On the first day alone, $481 million flowed out of the fund, and $326 million followed the next day. In addition to this, the Mt. Gox distributions began around the time of the Spot Ethereum ETFs launch, so this even also put extra selling pressure on the crypto market. Just as the Bitcoin price did with the Spot Bitcoin ETFs, the ETH price has responded negatively to these outflows, leading to a price decline below $4,200. Will The ETH Price Recover From Here? Outflows from the Grayscale ETH fund since the launch of the Spot Ethereum ETFs have been one of the major factors driving the ETH price decline. However, it is not the only bearish development that has emerged for the cryptocurrency. Thielen points out that the ETH price may have reached the top, using the daily stochastics indicator as a guide. Now, when the value of this indicator is low, it often means a buying opportunity and the price is hitting a low. Meanwhile, the value being high suggests that the ETH price may have hit its top. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Headed For $260,000 But This Must Happen First According to the report, the ETH price had hit a score of 92% in the days leading up to the Spot Ethereum ETFs launch. Usually, a score above 90% is bearish for the price as it means the cryptocurrency is currently in overbought territory. Subsequently, the value of the stochastic indicator is expected to decline as investors offload their holdings. So far, there have been a 5% decline from 92% to 87%, suggesting that there is still a long way to go before the ETH price stops bleeding. “Considering the recent rally and the potential overhang from Mt. Gox, the US earnings season, and the weak seasonals for August and September, it might make sense to press the Ethereum short a bit longer,” Markus Thielen said in closing. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
With the Spot Ethereum ETFs expected to begin trading on Tuesday, July 23, expectations for the ETH price have shot up drastically. Numerous analysts and market experts have come forward to predict that it would be a great development for the ETH price, pushing it to new all-time highs. However, one analyst has warned investors […]
Spot Bitcoin ETFs have achieved yet another milestone, recording a total of 900,000 BTC since its launch. This historic milestone occurs amidst the substantial wave of BTC accumulation in July. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Holdings Surpass 900,000 BTC Spot Bitcoin ETFs have accomplished an unprecedented feat, as the United States BTC ETF holdings have now surpassed […]
The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) has confirmed the launch date for Spot Ethereum ETFs, revealing when five Spot ETH ETFs will commence trading in the crypto market. CBOE Finalizes Launch Date For Spot Ethereum ETFs On July 19, the CBOE released a new issue notification on its official website concerning the launch of Spot Ethereum ETFs trading. According to the notification, five Spot ETH ETFs will begin trading on the Chicago Board Options Exchange on July 23, 2024, pending regulatory effectiveness. Previously, analysts, including Bloomberg Senior ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, had predicted that Spot ETH ETFs could start trading on July 2. However, Balchunas has since revised his forecast, suggesting in another X (formerly Twitter) post that ETH ETFs would likely launch on July 18. Related Reading: Crypto Market Rebounds From Lows, But Why Are Cardano Holders Suffering Losses? Amid the fluctuating timelines for Spot Ethereum’s debut, the CBOE’s confirmation carries significant weight, aligning with the summer launch date projected by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The adjustment to a July 23 launch date is partly due to delays from several Spot Ethereum ETF issuers, who have needed to amend and resubmit their S-1 registration forms to the SEC for review and approval. The five Spot ETH ETFs set to begin trading on July 23 include Fidelity Ethereum ETF Fund (FETH), Ark 21Shares Core Ethereum ETF (CETH), Franklin Ethereum ETF (EZET), VanEck Ethereum ETF (ETHV), and Invesco Galaxy Ethereum ETF (QETH). The launch of these Spot Ethereum ETFs represents a significant milestone in the crypto market, providing investors the opportunity to gain exposure to ETH without the significant risks of volatility often associated with cryptocurrencies. Furthermore, the introduction of Spot Ethereum ETFs is set to bring greater diversification in the crypto market, offering investors a new trading option beyond Spot Bitcoin ETFs. While CBOE’s confirmation of Spot Ethereum ETFs launch is a promising development for the crypto market, the real focus will be on the performance and demand of these ETFs, as their success could set a precedent for more crypto ETF filings in the future. Will ETH ETFs Match Bitcoin ETFs Demand Post Launch? The performance of Ethereum Spot ETFs has been a hot topic in the crypto space, as analysts constantly analyze whether the demand for ETH ETFs could potentially match or even surpass that of Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Related Reading: Can Burns Send The Shiba Inu And LUNC Price To $0.01? Expert Chimes In Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Bitwise, predicts that Ethereum Spot ETFs will be a resounding success, gathering about $15 billion in new assets within the first 18 months in the market. The Bitwise CIO also stated that the demand for ETH ETFs will surge significantly, potentially propelling the price of ETH to a $5,000 all time high. In contrast, Samson Mow, the CEO of JAN3, a Bitcoin technology company, believes that Spot Ethereum ETFs will not be as bullish as Spot Bitcoin ETFs. He further added that Ether ETFs will massively underperform Bitcoin ETFs in the market. While there are differing opinions regarding the success of Spot Ethereum ETFs, it remains uncertain just how well these investment products will perform following its launch. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum (ETH) is up in the last 24 hours. This is thanks to a recent development suggesting that the Spot Ethereum ETFs are set to launch anytime soon. These funds are expected to positively impact ETH’s price, with the second-largest crypto token poised to reach new highs. Why ETH Is Up Today Ethereum experienced a price surge following Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas’ revelation that the Spot Ethereum ETFs could begin trading by July 23. Balchunas mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has gotten back to the fund issuers and asked them to submit their final S-1 filings by July 22. Related Reading: Analyst Says Solana Price Could Rise 450% To $840 – Here Are The Drivers The SEC also asked them to request effectiveness on July 22 so they can launch on July 23. Therefore, the Spot Ethereum ETFs should launch by next week, provided there are no “unforeseeable” last-minute issues, as noted by Balchunas. The launch of the Spot Ethereum ETFs is undoubtedly bullish for ETH, giving the amount of new money set to flow into its ecosystem through these funds. Crypto research firm K33 predicted that these Spot Ethereum ETFs could attract as much as $4.8 billion in their first five months of trading. In line with this, crypto analysts predict that Ethereum could record massive gains thanks to these inflows. Crypto analyst Linda recently predicted that the crypto token could rise to as high as $4,000 soon enough. Other analysts, like Altcoin Sherpa, have also predicted that ETH will hit $4,000 soon. Meanwhile, crypto analyst and trader Tyler Durden has provided a more bullish prediction for ETH, stating that the crypto token will rise to $10,000 “just the way the chips have fallen.” The crypto analyst alluded to the Spot Ethereum ETFs as what will spark such a parabolic move for Ethereum. He claimed that institutional investors had put so much effort into ensuring that the Spot Ethereum ETFs were approved and that they would ensure that they made money from these funds while pumping ETH’s price. What The Spot Ethereum ETFs Mean For Altcoins The Spot Ethereum ETFs launch is also expected to spark massive moves for other altcoins and is likely to kickstart the altcoin season. Crypto analyst Crypto Rover advised market participants to prepare accordingly, boldly asserting that altcoin season will start once the Spot Ethereum ETFs begin trading. Related Reading: JPMorgan Says Crypto Liquidations Will End And Bitcoin Bull Market Will Begin, Here’s When From a technical perspective, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto mentioned that altcoins are ready to make major moves to the upside as Bitcoin’s dominance drops. Crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto also stated that the macro short-term correction for altcoins is about to end, meaning that the Spot Ethereum ETFs could be the catalyst that sparks a bullish reversal. At the time of writing, ETH is trading at around $3,300, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan recently discussed the inflows the US Spot Ethereum ETFs could attract. Specifically, he stated how much could flow into these funds in their first 18 months of trading. Spot Ethereum ETFs To Record $15 Billion In First 18 Months Of Trading Hougan mentioned in a note to investors that the Spot Ethereum ETFs could record $15 billion in net inflows in their first 18 months of trading. He elaborated on how he arrived at these figures to show that it wasn’t just a guess. First, Hougan highlighted the market capitalizations of Bitcoin and Ethereum and stated that he expects investors to allocate to their respective exchange-traded products (ETPs) in proportion to their market caps. Related Reading: Spot Bitcoin ETFs See 7 Consecutive Days Of Outflows, Here’s What Happened Last Time Hougan noted that US investors have, so far, invested $56 billion in Spot Bitcoin ETPs and expects that figure to reach $100 billion or more by the end of 2025, when these funds should have matured further and be approved on platforms like Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch. Using this as a reference, Bitwise’s CIO stated that the Spot Ethereum ETFs would need to attract $35 billion in assets to stay on par with the Bitcoin ETFs, which he believes could take about 18 months to happen. Hougan also highlighted that the Spot Ethereum ETFs will already have $10 billion in assets upon launch, thanks to the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE), which will convert to an ETF on launch day. Therefore, Hougan noted that the Spot Ethereum ETFs are now left with $25 billion in inflows to reach parity with the amount of inflows the Spot Bitcoin ETFs are expected to reach by 2025 year-end. Hougan then highlighted data from the international ETP markets to show that investors may be allocating to Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs roughly in line with their market caps. Using The International Markets As A Point Of Reference According to Hougan, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs in Europe hold €4,601 and €1,305 in assets under management (AuM), which translates to 78% and 22% of the aggregate available funds in both markets. Similarly, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs in Canada have $4,942 CAD (77%) and $1,475 CAD (23%) respectively. Related Reading: Crypto Research Firm Says Bitcoin Crash Below $60,000 May Not Be The End, Here’s Why Working with Ethereum’s ETP market share in Canada, Hougan estimated that the US Spot Ethereum ETFs could also get 22% of the US market. Based on this, Hougan lowered the estimate of net inflows for the Spot Ethereum ETFs from $25 billion to $18 billion, excluding Grayscale’s assets. Hougan eventually lowered the estimated net inflows to $15 billion by factoring in the fact that a significant portion of the flows into the US Spot Bitcoin ETFs are related to carry trades. He removed $10 billion of carry trade-related AuM from the Bitcoin market, lowering his estimates for Bitcoin from $100 billion to $90 billion and for the Spot Ethereum ETFs from $18 billion to $15 billion. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Since launching, the Spot Bitcoin ETFs have achieved immense success with mass adoption, which they have enjoyed among institutional investors. Thanks to this, inflows into these funds have accounted for most of the inflows that their respective issuers have recorded since the year began. Spot Bitcoin ETFs A Major Source Of Inflows For Fund Issuers […]
American multinational investment bank and financial services company, Morgan Stanley has revealed intentions to add Spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) into a selection of its institutionally focused funds. This strategic move potentially reflects Morgan Stanley’s intent to expand into the digital asset space while also capitalizing on the growing interest in digital assets. Morgan […]
Bitcoin ETF outflows are on the rise once again after a change in the tide last week. These outflows, given the ETFs’ correlation with the Bitcoin price, have a substantial impact on how well the cryptocurrency performs over time. So, as outflows are ramping up, will it trigger a crash in the BTC price? ARK Invest And Grayscale Lead Outflows While Grayscale’s Spot Bitcoin ETF has been the natural culprit for ETF outflows due to its high fees, another fund has joined the trend in a surprising turn of events. Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest saw a substantial outflow from its ETF, leading to a new record for the investment firm. Related Reading: Solana Whales Are Making Moves – Here’s The Direction They’re Headed In The Ark 21Shares Fund (ARKB) saw a record $87.5 million leave its fund on Tuesday, April 2. Interestingly, the fund’s outflows were even higher than that of Grayscale, which saw around $81.9 million in outflows in the same day. For both these funds, it marked the second consecutive day of outflows, although it was more concerning on the part of the Ark 21Shares Fund. This is because Grayscale saw a decline in outflows between Monday and Tuesday, going from $302.6 million to $81.9 million. Whereas the ARK Invest fund saw outflows go from $0.3 million on Monday to $87.5 million on Tuesday, resulting in a 29,000% increase in outflows in a single day. Only these two funds have experienced outflows this week though, as the other ETFs continue to see upside. While Monday’s net flows ended up being negative to the tune of $85.7 million, Tuesday’s numbers looked better with positive net flows of $40.3 million. How Will This Affect Bitcoin Price? Since the Spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved in January, their effect on the Bitcoin price has been positive overall. However, there have been points where outflows from the funds have affected the BTC price, causing it to crash. Related Reading: Dogecoin Hits Major Roadblock As Whales Go On Massive Selling Spree A few instances of this is back in January, a week after the ETFs were first approved. Outflows had plagued the funds and the Bitcoin price had declined as a result. Then again, in March, when outflows turned negative between March 18 and March 22 and the Bitcoin price crashed from $73,000 to $61,000. Given BTC’s performance during periods where outflows prevail in Spot ETFs, this current trend does not bode well for the price. There has been a recovery in the BTC price after inflows turned positive on Tuesday. But unless they stay positive through the end of the week, the BTC price could see further crashes toward the $60,000 level. BTC price recovers above $66,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Business News This Week, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin Spot ETF outflows have ramped up this week and has seen the week characterized by price declines throughout the crypto space. These outflows, like before, are being led by the Grayscale Spot ETF as investors believe their fees are too high. This has led to four consecutive week of outflows, which is the second time it is happening since Spot ETFs were approved for trading. So, where does the Bitcoin price go from here? Bitcoin Spot ETFs Hit 4 Consecutive Days Of Outflows The outflows began on Monday and continued into subsequent days. So far, the highest single-day outflow happened on Tuesday, March 19, with total net flows for the day coming out to $326.2 million, a new record for Bitcoin funds. Related Reading: Top 3 Solana Meme Coins To Buy Amid The Bitcoin Crash That Could 10x Subsequent days have seen lower figures when it comes to overall net flows but they continue to come out in the negative. On Wednesday, net flows were $261.5 million, and on Thursday, March 22, net flows came out to $94 million. This marked the second time that the Spot Bitcoin ETFs are seeing four consecutive days of outflows this year. The vast majority of these outflows, as mentioned above, are coming from the Grayscale Bitcoin ETF. In the last day alone, the fund saw outflows of 5,900 BTC, which translates to $339 million at current prices. Then, over the last week, Coinglass data shows that 28,207.5834 BTC has left the fund, causing its total BTC under management to fall by 7.35% in one week. Other funds have also seen outflows during this time but to a much lower degree. For example, the Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF saw the second-highest outflow of all the funds, but only 667 BTC flowed out of the fund in the last day. The WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund saw 10.8.2635 BTC in outflows, while all other outflow figures came in below 100 BTC. What Happened To BTC The Last Time? The last time that Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw four consecutive days of outflows was in January, lasting from January 22 to January 25. This also bears some similarities to the current outflow trend in some was, one of which was the outflows began at the start of the week and carried through to the end. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says XRP Price Is Headed For $27 As 2017 Pattern Emerges However, a difference between both times is that the ETFs had just begun trading with trading days fluctuating between inflows and outflows. Meanwhile, the current trend has come after almost two consecutive weeks of inflows, something that could have an impact on the BTC price going forward. In January, after four days, the outflows had begun to slow down, and by Friday, there was a change in direction, with inflows beginning to dominate. Once the tide turned and ETF inflows began to rise, the BTC price followed sharply. With the climb came a more established rally in the Bitcoin price, causing it to go from $40,000 to over $70,000 in the space of two months. If this trend repeats and inflows into Spot BTC ETFs outpace outflows, then the BTC price is expected to start climbing again. However, if the outflows continue, then the BTC price could be in for further crashes. BTC price drops below $65,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from 20 Minutes, chart from Tradingview.com