An expert crypto trader shares a strong view on Dogecoin and the broader market, saying conditions look very favorable right now. In their view, momentum is building for the Dogecoin price, and this is not a trend that traders should ignore. The trader warns that the current chart is one “you don’t want to fade.” Dogecoin ETF Launch In The U.S. Market Boosts Dogecoin Price The first reason the trader gives for their optimism is the imminent launch of the first Dogecoin Exchange-Traded Fund in the United States. The Dogecoin ETF goes live on September 11, 2025. By having an ETF in the U.S., the memecoin is gaining new legitimacy and stronger recognition from traditional investors, making participation much easier. Related Reading: XRP Price Is Ready To Break Out, But You Should Watch Out For $3.13 When a new financial product enters the market, it typically attracts new capital from investors, resulting in increased trading activity and more pronounced, noticeable price movements. For Dogecoin, the trader says, this could mark the start of a new phase of adoption. With greater access to Dogecoin through an ETF, liquidity could deepen, and price moves could become stronger. By listing in the U.S. market, Dogecoin gets a stamp of approval that could spark fresh momentum. The expert makes it clear that this is one reason the coin’s outlook looks “very good” right now. In their view, it signals that Dogecoin is moving into a different category of investment. What started as a meme coin is now entering the mainstream finance sector. With an ETF available, Dogecoin now stands alongside more established assets, which could alter its valuation. Rate Cuts And Altcoin Strength Add To Dogecoin Price Bullish Outlook The second reason for the expert’s bullish view is the broader macroeconomic conditions. They note that rate cuts will begin in about a week. When interest rates decline, risky assets like cryptocurrencies often become more attractive, as investors shift away from low-yield options and seek opportunities to earn higher returns. At the same time, the expert observes that several altcoins are starting to recover. When altcoins rise in tandem, the entire market appears healthier and more stable. According to the expert crypto trader, this momentum could help maintain the bullish outlook for the Dogecoin price. Related Reading: XRP Influencer Addresses Rumors Of Apple’s $1.5 Billion Buy, What’s The Truth? The expert stresses that Dogecoin’s chart is not one to fade right now. In other words, ignoring the setup could mean missing one of the strongest opportunities in the current crypto market. They believe the mix of an ETF launch, economic support from rate cuts, and fresh strength in altcoins makes this one of the most positive moments for Dogecoin in a long time. With these combined factors, the trader remains firm in their outlook: Dogecoin looks very promising, and the momentum is genuine. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin is approaching a familiar inflection on the monthly chart that previously preceded its most explosive advances, according to a new high-timeframe analysis from Kevin (Kev Capital TA) published on September 11. The analyst argues that a fresh stochastic RSI (stoch RSI) cross to the upside on the monthly timeframe—now forming but not yet above the 20 threshold—echoes the technical regime that fueled Dogecoin’s prior cycle blow-offs. Dogecoin Explosion Imminent? “Back in February 2017, Dogecoin got a V-shaped stock RSI cross above the 20 level and it went on another rally… 1,852%,” he said, adding that a subsequent monthly cross “produced a very nice 1,751% gain” before the market ultimately topped. The setup, he contends, is again coalescing into Q4. The framework is deliberately simple: pair the monthly stoch RSI with the monthly RSI and an anchored trend structure. In the 2015–2017 cycle, sustained stoch RSI crosses above 20 were the dividing line between failed bear-market feints and true bull-cycle advances. By contrast, a 2019 impulse rally faded because “the stock RSI never really got a durable cross to the upside,” occurring amid a still-dominant bear regime, he noted. In the 2020–2021 cycle, a new stoch RSI bull cross above 20 “goes on its major bull market rally, which was the biggest rally Dogecoin has ever been on.” Related Reading: Dogecoin To $0.50? This Channel Break Could Be The Catalyst Kevin says the present cycle has followed a cleaner sequence than prior ones. After a confirmed monthly stoch RSI bull cross earlier in the cycle, Dogecoin delivered an initial advance “roughly 280%,” then, following a corrective phase, another monthly cross powered a “November-December rally” of about “497%.” The market then reset again. Today, he sees that process restarting: “We are getting a monthly stock RSI cross again. However, we have not yet crossed the 20 level. So this is the very beginning stages of a potential rally for Dogecoin.” He emphasizes that historically, “you don’t even get your most bullish price action until the stock RSIs are above the 80 level,” calling the current moment the “first or second inning.” Beyond momentum, the analyst highlights a three-part structural confluence he considers critical on the monthly chart. First, the RSI itself has repeatedly crossed back above its moving average at inflection points; second, each of those RSI/MA recaptures “has coincided with a stock RSI cross to the upside”; third, price has defended a long-running trend line on a series of higher lows. Related Reading: Dogecoin Adam And Eve Pattern Teases Explosive Breakout: Here’s The Price Target After a brief deviation below, “we’re now breaking back above the trend line and the [RSI] MA at the same time after holding the 50 level,” which he describes as a textbook double-bottom reaction. He stresses that monthly closes still matter—“we still have… more than half a month to go… this is not guaranteed”—but the multi-indicator alignment is intact. In his words, “we’re talking about a combination of indicators and technicals that have never failed before,” provided the macro backdrop doesn’t flip adverse. Macro Conditions Need To Align Macro is the caveat and, potentially, the accelerator. Kevin frames US monetary policy as the decisive driver of the crypto risk cycle: “Monetary policy… that’s the earnings report for the crypto market.” He argues that inflation has been range-bound on a year-long view while labor data “continues to soften,” a mix he believes anchors expectations for rate cuts “this month… and… in November and December.” If that path holds and the Federal Reserve’s tone is dovish at the upcoming FOMC, he expects Bitcoin dominance to drift lower and for “alt season” dynamics to reassert, with Dogecoin positioned to “outperform over Bitcoin.” Conversely, a hawkish turn or a renewed inflation drift higher would be a “major hiccup” for the setup. Seasonality and timing also figure in his risk management guidance. September remains “seasonally weak,” and with the FOMC roughly a week away from his recording date, he anticipates choppier, indecisive price action in the near term while markets “sit back and wait for the tone of Powell.” The higher-timeframe roadmap, however, remains his anchor: monthly uptrend structure, RSI reclaim over its MA, stoch RSI in early-stage turn, and the historical tendency for major Dogecoin expansions to ignite only after those momentum gauges push well into overdrive. “These charts are telling us right in our faces that Dogecoin is preparing for a bigger move higher… the pathway is laid,” he said. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.261. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading around $0.249, pressing against the upper end of a six-week range between $0.22 and $0.25. Technical indicators now hint at a potential rally, with the meme coin attracting renewed attention from investors. Related Reading: Dogecoin To $0.50? This Channel Break Could Be The Catalyst The 20-day EMA near $0.225, alongside the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages clustered below $0.220, highlight a strong support zone. With the RSI at 60–61, DOGE shows steady buying momentum without being overbought. Similarly, the MACD histogram has turned positive, signaling a resurgence in bullish sentiment following muted August trading. Resistance at $0.25 Could Unlock Higher Targets Dogecoin’s short-term trajectory hinges on whether it can close above $0.246–$0.250, a level where both resistance and Bollinger Bands converge. A confirmed breakout may clear the path toward $0.263, $0.273–$0.276, and the July high of $0.300. Support sits at $0.238–$0.240, with deeper levels near $0.233–$0.231 and the 20-day EMA at $0.225. Any drop below the 100/200-day cluster around $0.214–$0.213 would weaken the bullish setup. Market analysts also note Dogecoin’s parallel channel pattern, with resistance near $0.29. A breakout here could potentially extend gains beyond $0.3 to as far as $0.50, based on the measured width of the channel. DOGE's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: DOGEUSD on Tradingview ETF Buzz and Whale Activity Add Fuel Beyond technicals, fundamentals are helping fuel optimism. Grayscale recently filed for a U.S. Dogecoin ETF, while the REX-Osprey Dogecoin ETF officially launched on September 11. These developments underscore rising institutional interest in meme coins, a trend once considered unlikely. Meanwhile, whale activity has picked up, with over 10 million DOGE withdrawn from exchanges. Such moves reduce market supply and are typically interpreted as long-term accumulation. Related Reading: XRP Price Completes Wave 3 Move, Why $3.13 Must Be Broken With institutional products entering the market and on-chain metrics improving, the bullish narrative around Dogecoin is strengthening. A decisive move above $0.25 could set the stage for a rally toward $0.30, and possibly higher if momentum carries through. Cover image from ChatGPT, DOGEUSD chart from Tradingview
The 12-hour Dogecoin chart shared by the analyst Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) maps a textbook Adam and Eve double-bottom that has been forming since early August. The left trough (“Adam”) is a sharp V-shaped selloff into the swing low at $0.18864. The second trough (“Eve”) is a broader, rounded base carved through late August and early September, with price repeatedly defending the lower-mid range around the $0.20–$0.21 band that aligns with the 0.136 Fibonacci retracement at $0.19976 and the 0.236 level at $0.20836. How High Can Dogecoin Go Short-Term? In classical charting, an Adam and Eve is a two-stage reversal structure: a fast, vertical capitulation (Adam) followed by a slower, more symmetrical and rounded retest (Eve) that often reflects absorption and basing. The pattern is validated by a breakout through the “neckline,” defined by the intervening peak between the two troughs. The measured move is typically calculated by adding the height from the neckline down to the Adam low to the neckline level. Failure is generally signaled if price closes back below the Eve trough, while quality improves when the neckline is broken on expanding range and follow-through. Related Reading: Could A Dogecoin ETF Be Launched This Week? This Expert Thinks So The pattern’s neckline coincides almost perfectly with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, plotted at $0.24473. Into the latest 12-hour candles, DOGE has rallied from the rounded “Eve” base to test this band, printing a wick marginally above it before slipping back to trade around $0.241 on the chart. That keeps the market pressing against the neckline formed by the mid-August reaction highs, but not yet conclusively through it. Measured traditionally, the Adam & Eve objective is derived from the height of the structure added to the neckline. Using the chart’s own anchors, the vertical distance from the neckline at $0.24473 to the Adam low at $0.18864 is $0.05609. Projected upward, that yields a primary price target at approximately $0.30082. This target sits between the Fibonacci extension cluster marked on the chart: the 1.0 extension at $0.28746 and the 1.272 extension at $0.32236, with higher extensions shown at 1.414 ($0.34223) and 1.618 ($0.37294). Related Reading: Dogecoin Mega Rally Ahead? Crypto Analyst Says $4 Is In Play The Fibonacci ladder also outlines the near-term battlegrounds. Immediate resistance is the neckline/0.618 at $0.24473. A clean 12-hour close through this band would put the prior swing area at the 0.786 retracement ($0.26268) and the 0.886 retracement ($0.27398) in view, before the chart’s 1.0 marker at $0.28746. On pullbacks, intermediate supports are layered at the 0.5 retracement ($0.23287), followed by 0.382 ($0.22157), then the 0.236/0.136 pocket at $0.20836/$0.19976. The structural floor of the entire formation remains the August swing low at $0.18864. In sum, the analyst’s 12-hour map frames DOGE compressing beneath a neckline at $0.24473 after building a two-month Adam & Eve base. The pattern’s measured objective is ~$0.3008, with the chart explicitly marking subsequent Fibonacci waypoints at $0.2875, $0.3224, $0.3422 and $0.3729 on continuation, and support shelves stepping down through $0.2329, $0.2216, $0.2084, $0.1998, to $0.1886 at the base. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.24. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The cryptocurrency market is closely watching Dogecoin this week as Nate Geraci, chairman and president of The ETF Store, says the first Dogecoin ETF could launch very soon, possibly within days. Meanwhile, market analyst Javon Marks predicts that the memecoin could be on the edge of a massive rally, which may bring huge gains of more than 860 percent for holders. First Dogecoin ETF Could Arrive This Week Nate Geraci shared his view on X that the first Dogecoin ETF appears likely to launch this week. He pointed to the REX-Osprey DOGE ETF, which will trade under the ticker symbol $DOJE. Geraci told followers to “get ready,” and he added that he thinks the next two months for crypto ETFs will be “wild.” His words suggest that not only Dogecoin but also other crypto funds could be part of a very active period in the ETF space. Related Reading: Ethereum Price To Clear $5,000 If This Level Is Broken ETF provider REX Shares also confirmed the REX-Osprey DOGE ETF. The company announced that $DOJE is coming soon and will be the first ETF to give investors direct exposure to Dogecoin’s performance. For fans of the iconic memecoin, this means there will be a new and regulated way to invest in DOGE without holding the coin directly. The ETF filing with the U.S. SEC, which includes a prospectus for the offering, confirms that the plan is official and already moving forward, making Geraci’s comments about an ETF launch this week more realistic. If it goes live, the Dogecoin ETF will join the growing list of crypto ETFs already on the market, but it will stand out as the first dedicated to DOGE. Analyst Predicts A 860% Surge In The Dogecoin Price While news about a Dogecoin ETF is making waves, market analyst Javon Marks has put forward an even more dramatic outlook for the coin’s price. Based on his review, he believes the coin could rise more than 860% from its current levels. His price target is about $2.28, though he added that the move could even go much higher. Related Reading: Chainlink Integration Brings Shiba Inu Into New Crosschain Market — What You Should Know Marks explained that Dogecoin’s earlier cycles have shown a pattern of big rallies, and the current setup is similar. That is why he thinks a near 10X rally could be looming in the future. In the past, the memecoin often spent long stretches moving sideways and building strength before breaking out into significant gains. Marks sees the same type of structure now, which is why he believes another large rally may be starting. With the possibility of the first Dogecoin ETF launching this week and a well-known analyst suggesting massive price growth, the coin is once again at the center of attention in the crypto market. Investors are now watching both the ETF decision and the price charts to see if these bold calls will become reality. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin flashes a bullish signal after crashing through the Kumo. However, with the $0.23 resistance in the spotlight, the question remains: Can DOGE clear this hurdle and rekindle its rally momentum? Cloud Turns Support: Kumo Now Shields Bitcoin Price Action In a recent analysis shared on X, crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade provided an updated technical outlook on DOGE’s price action using the Ichimoku indicator. The analysis points to a significant development: a Kumo breakout, which has triggered a long trade signal for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Dogecoin Mega Rally Ahead? Crypto Analyst Says $4 Is In Play The analyst explained that this breakout is a crucial turning point, as the Kumo, or “Cloud,” which previously acted as resistance, is now a key support zone for Dogecoin. Trader Tardigrade also specified the key support and resistance levels for Dogecoin based on the Ichimoku chart. The new support zone is highlighted by the Kumo itself, with a range of $0.21517 to $0.22661. This area is now expected to hold the price during any potential pullbacks. On the other hand, the immediate resistance is identified at $0.23804, which corresponds with the Ichimoku’s Kijun-sen line. A successful breakout above this level would confirm the bullish momentum and could lead to further gains for Dogecoin, according to the analysis. Trend Analysis Based on Trader Tardigrade’s analysis, the various components of the Ichimoku indicator present a mixed picture for Dogecoin’s trend, ultimately resulting in a neutral overall outlook. This complexity is revealed through a point-based system that scores the individual trend signals. Related Reading: Dogecoin Holds Support as Analysts Eye Technical Setup That Could Trigger a $2 Super Rally The first positive signal is the Kumo color, which is green, indicating a bullish bias. This is a key indicator within the Ichimoku system, as a green cloud signals that the faster-moving Senkou Span A is above the slower Senkou Span B, suggesting an upward momentum in the medium to long term. However, the analysis also points to conflicting signals. While the mid-term trend is bullish, with the price remaining above the Kumo, the short-term trend is currently bearish, as the price is trading below the Kijun-sen. In the long term, the trend is also negative. This is indicated by the Chikou Span being below the current price. The Chikou Span, or lagging span, compares the current price to the price 26 periods ago. When it is below the current price, it suggests that the current momentum is weaker than the momentum from a month ago, indicating a potential long-term downtrend. With an overall score of zero after adding up the conflicting signals, the analysis concludes that Dogecoin is currently in a state of consolidation, without a clear directional bias at this time. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin (DOGE) is leading the altcoin market higher as speculation surrounding a potential Rex-Osprey Dogecoin ETF intensifies. The memecoin surged 7% in the past 24 hours, climbing to $0.231, with daily trading volume spiking 123% to $2.6 billion. Related Reading: American Bitcoin, Backed By Trump, Ends Nasdaq Debut Up 17% According to prediction market Polymarket, the odds of DOGE ETF approval this week stand at 94%. Experts suggest such an approval could mark a turning point for Dogecoin, potentially placing it alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum in the regulated ETF landscape. Nate Geraci, President of NovaDius Wealth Management, noted on X that the “first Dogecoin ETF appears likely to launch this week,” fueling excitement across the crypto community. Analysts Eye Higher Targets for Dogecoin (DOGE) Technical analysts remain optimistic, with Dogecoin currently trading within a long-term logarithmic uptrend. Chart patterns highlight a broadening wedge, historically linked to explosive rallies. Analysts now point to $1.40 as the next major resistance level, with some forecasts suggesting a move toward $1.50 if ETF-driven momentum holds. Open interest in DOGE futures has surged 14.5% to $3.81 billion, while options activity has more than tripled. The skew toward bullish positions shows traders’ confidence, though analysts caution that a rejection at resistance could trigger sharp pullbacks. Despite near-term volatility risks, long-term projections remain bullish. Crypto strategist Javon Marks even suggested DOGE could see an 860% upside, targeting as high as $2.28 in the next major cycle. DOGE's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: DOGEUSD on Tradingview Altcoins Join the Rally Dogecoin’s surge is lifting the broader market, with XRP, Solana (SOL), and Hyperliquid (HYPE) also recording gains. Optimism is being boosted not only by ETF speculation but also by expectations of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut at the upcoming September 17 meeting. A dovish policy shift could inject fresh liquidity into risk assets, further supporting altcoin momentum. The Dogecoin ETF, if approved, would represent the first U.S.-listed investment product tied to a meme coin. Such a milestone could expand institutional access, reinforce DOGE’s market leadership, and provide a foundation for its next price breakout. Related Reading: Bitcoin LTH Aging Velocity Turns Negative: Distribution Phase Unfolds For now, all eyes remain on regulators. With sentiment strong and technicals flashing bullish signals, the market is watching closely to see if Dogecoin can extend its rally toward the much-anticipated $1.50 milestone. Cover image from ChatGPT, DOGEUSD chart from Tradingview
Crypto analyst DOGECAPITAL has predicted that the Dogecoin price could rally above $10. He revealed that the foremost meme coin needs to have a decisive break above a particular level for it to record this parabolic run to the upside. Dogecoin Price Eyes Rally To $10 Based On Cycle 3 Expectations In an X post, DOGECAPITAL indicated that the Dogecoin price could rally to $10 based on historical cycle patterns. He noted that in Cycle 3, which is the current cycle, DOGE has already crossed critical price levels and is now approaching the $0.30 range again. The analyst claimed that if the pattern continues, a decisive break above this level could ignite the next parabolic run. Related Reading: Can Dogecoin And Shiba Inu Prices Recover? What To Expect In September This prediction came as DOGECAPITAL revealed that the Dogecoin price monthly chart reveals a recurring pattern in its price action across each major cycle. He further noted that in every cycle, bullish momentum tends to ignite as the DOGE price nears the intersection of the green and red lines. The analyst added that a parabolic rally typically follows once the price breaks above the yellow line. DOGECAPITAL noted that, in Cycle 1, the Dogecoin price surged 9,221% almost immediately after crossing the green/red line intersection. Meanwhile, in Cycle 2, a similar setup led to a more parabolic rally of over 24,617% for the meme coin after the same crossover. Now, in Cycle 3, DOGE has crossed the green and red lines and is now looking to break above the yellow line for a parabolic rally beyond $10. DOGECAPITAL stated that historically, each bull run has outperformed the last. He alluded to factors such as growing adoption, less inflation, rising institutional interest, and ongoing technological advancements as what could spark a greater rally in this cycle than the previous ones. A Rally To A New ATH Is Imminent In an X post, crypto analyst Kevin Capital suggested that a Dogecoin rally to a new all-time high (ATH) is imminent. He noted that DOGE monthly Stoch RSI crosses during bear markets and bull markets have produced very predictable price action in the past. The analyst added that if the macro continues to align the way it is currently, then it will remain predictable, hinting at a rally to the upside. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Risks Crash Below $0.1, But Can Bulls Facilitate This 800% Rally To $1.82 First? Kevin Capital noted that the stars need to align not just from a technical analysis perspective, but also in relation to monetary policy expectations and macroeconomic data. From a fundamentals perspective, it is also worth mentioning that the first spot Dogecoin ETF could launch this week after Rex-Osprey teased about the launch last week. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.23, up over 7% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin (DOGE) continues to show resilience as it holds above the critical $0.21 support level, a price zone that has repeatedly acted as a launchpad for bullish momentum. At the time of writing, DOGE trades at $0.216, up 0.34% in the last 24 hours. Related Reading: Safe Haven Split: Bitcoin-Gold Correlation Turns Negative For First Time In 6 Months Analysts highlight the emergence of a bullish cup-and-handle pattern with an initial target of $0.30, but the long-term projections are even more ambitious, pointing toward a potential 850% rally to $2 if momentum accelerates. A recent whale transfer of 900 million DOGE ($200 million) to Binance temporarily triggered selling pressure, but strong buying support quickly stabilized prices. This recovery is seen by many traders as a sign of institutional and retail. Technical Patterns Hint at Breakout Potential Dogecoin’s technical indicators paint a mixed but promising picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 47, suggesting neutral momentum and leaving room for an upward push. While DOGE trades below short-term moving averages (7, 20, and 50-day), it remains above its 200-day SMA at $0.20, a sign of long-term structural strength. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) still shows mild bearish momentum, but signals of stabilization around $0.21 hint at a potential reversal. Meanwhile, Bollinger Bands indicate DOGE is trading near the lower range, with room to test $0.24 resistance. A confirmed breakout above $0.24 could unlock the path toward $0.30 and, eventually, higher levels if market sentiment improves. DOGE's price trends sideways on the daily chart. Source: DOGEUSD on Tradingview Analysts Eye $2 Dogecoin “Super Rally” September could prove decisive for DOGE. Crypto strategists believe the defense of $0.21 support may be the catalyst for a parabolic rally. If bullish momentum sustains, the cup-and-handle breakout pattern could evolve into a multi-stage rally, with $0.30 as the short-term target and $2 as the ultimate bull case scenario. Beyond technicals, regulatory optimism is adding fuel. With the U.S. SEC nearing decisions on crypto ETF approvals, including a potential Dogecoin ETF, analysts see institutional inflows as a major accelerant for future price action. Related Reading: First US Dogecoin ETF Could Debut Next Week—How Will It Impact Price? For traders, the $0.20–$0.21 range presents a favorable risk-reward setup with clear stop-loss levels. If DOGE holds the line, the meme coin may be preparing for its most significant breakout yet. Cover image from ChatGPT, DOGEUSD chart from Tradingview
The first US exchange-traded fund offering exposure to Dogecoin (DOGE) could debut as soon as next week, after the ETF Opportunities Trust filed a post-effective amendment that sets September 9, 2025 as the effective date for a suite of single-coin funds that includes the REX-Osprey DOGE ETF (ticker: DOJE). The filing—Post-Effective Amendment No. 367—explicitly names the DOGE fund alongside proposed TRUMP, BTC, XRP and BONK funds, and states that the amendment “designates September 9, 2025 as the new effective date” for those products. Dogecoin ETF Set To Launch Market expectations were turbocharged by a teaser from the issuer itself. On Wednesday, REX Shares wrote: “The REX-Osprey™ DOGE ETF, $DOJE, is coming soon! DOJE will be the first ETF to deliver investors exposure to the performance of the iconic memecoin, Dogecoin.” Soon after, Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas added fuel, noting: “Looks like Rex is going to launch a Doge ETF via the 40 Act a la $SSK next week based on the tweet below combined w how they just filed an effective prospectus. Doge looks like the first one to go out.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Signal That Nailed The Top Says It’s Time To Buy What makes DOJE viable on a near-term timeline is structure. Instead of the “commodity ETP” pathway (which typically requires a bespoke 19b-4 exchange rule change), DOJE sits inside a ’40-Act open-end ETF registration under the ETF Opportunities Trust—the same chassis REX-Osprey used to list its Solana fund (SSK) earlier this summer. The January 21, 2025 prospectus for the trust includes a full DOGE fund section, stating the investment objective is to track the performance of Dogecoin and disclosing that the fund may use derivatives (including swaps) and a wholly owned Cayman subsidiary—the REX-Osprey DOGE (Cayman) Portfolio S.P.—to hold positions, subject to a 25% cap for the subsidiary to preserve RIC tax treatment. REX-Osprey’s SSK is the immediate precedent. That fund listed in early July under a ’40-Act framework and quickly gathered assets and trading activity. MarketWatch reported the Cboe listing, ~$20 million first-day trading volume, and the fund’s positioning as the first US ETF with direct Solana exposure plus staking rewards. Notably, SSK crossed $100 million AUM within weeks. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bull Run Could Start On September 13, Analyst Predicts The September 9 effectiveness designation is the key gating item before a listing venue can post a trading date; it supports the “next week” launch expectation flagged by Balchunas. Notably, the same filing block references additional single-coin funds—TRUMP, XRP, BONK, BTC—indicating a broader shelf beyond DOGE. How The Dogecoin ETF Could Affect Price ETFs can influence spot markets through primary-market creations and redemptions when net inflows require the sponsor (or authorized participants) to source the underlying exposure. While attribution is never clean in crypto, Solana’s spot price rose roughly 34% from around $152 on July 3, 2025 (the day after SSK’s launch window) to roughly $204 today, with SSK racing to $100 million+ AUM in its early weeks. That precedent is directionally relevant for DOGE if DOJE lists and attracts sustained creations. In such a scenario, the fund complex and its authorized participants would need to acquire DOGE coins or DOGE-linked exposures—through spot purchases, swaps, or other instruments—to meet primary-market demand, potentially tightening available float at the margin. Liquidity in SOL is significantly deeper, with more than three times the market capitalization and trading volume of DOGE, while DOGE remains more retail-driven, so the magnitude of any ETF-related impulse could in fact be more pronounced. Still, the mechanism is similar: net inflows beget net buys of the reference asset, and the secondary market visibility can broaden the investor base beyond native crypto venues. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.216. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The Dogecoin price is at a significant decision point on the chart, and according to a new analysis posted on TradingView, the next move could be explosive. The popular token is trading above a key support area that it has repeatedly tested. If buyers continue to defend this structure, the top memecoin has room to rally higher. However, if the support fails, the bullish outlook could fade rapidly, leaving Dogecoin vulnerable to a deeper pullback. Dogecoin Price Holds Critical 0.5 Fibonacci Support According to the TradingView analyst, Dogecoin is consolidating just above the $0.214 level, which matches the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the ascending trendline support. The analyst described this support as a “make-or-break” zone for the Dogecoin price. If bulls can keep the price steady here, it may give them the strength to push higher. Related Reading: Crypto Adviser For The Ultra Wealthy Tells XRP Investors What To Do As Coins Turn To Real Money The 0.214 area is essential as it combines two key supports simultaneously: the Fibonacci 0.5 level and the rising trendline. According to the analyst, this means buyers must hold firm to keep control. The Stoch RSI indicator is also resetting in the middle zone, which shows the market has room for momentum in either direction. In simple terms, it signals that a bigger move could be coming soon, depending on whether buyers or sellers take control first. This zone is now watched closely by traders. Holding above it suggests that buyers are still in charge. Falling below it, however, would open the door for a deeper test of lower levels. Bounce Could Target $0.278, Breakdown Risks $0.197 The analyst notes that if bulls succeed in defending the 0.214 level, Dogecoin could bounce toward the $0.278 resistance zone. This level they described as a central horizontal supply zone, where sellers may attempt to halt the rally. Breaking past it would confirm strength from buyers and could drive fresh momentum into the market. Related Reading: Analyst Forecasts Bitcoin Price Will Break This Support Level, Can $100,000 Hold? The analyst cautions about the risks at play here. If the structure fails and price breaks down from the 0.214 area, the next necessary support lies near $0.197, known as the golden pocket. Falling under this level would cancel the bullish outlook and push the price toward the deeper retracement zone at $0.173. The analyst says that Dogecoin’s next direction depends on how the price reacts at this level. Bulls need to hold their ground if they want to trigger a run toward higher levels. Sellers, on the other hand, are waiting for any sign of weakness to lower prices. At this stage, Dogecoin stands at a decisive crossroads. Market watchers are keeping a close eye to see whether bulls can protect the structure and ignite the bounce toward higher resistance, or if sellers will seize control instead. Featured image from DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin could see its first meaningful turn higher around September 13, according to crypto analyst VisionPulsed, who argues the current drawdown fits a post-halving template in which markets remain weak until roughly 510–511 days after Bitcoin’s supply cut before staging a final run. In a video published on September 1, he told viewers, “I would argue starting around September 13th, the selling may subside… 511 days post halving last cycle, we were already going back up. 511 days post halving the cycle before that we were already going back up.” Dogecoin Pain May End September 13 The analyst frames the present weakness as part of a longer, slower cycle characterized by extended ranges rather than deeper collapses. “Unfortunately, we’re still going down,” he said, adding that in this cycle “the corrections have been longer… every time we go sideways, it’s forever.” He points to historical windows of September weakness—citing September 2–26 in 2021 and a shorter November dip in 2017—as signposts that align, by coincidence or causality, with the post-halving rhythm he tracks. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Risks Crash Below $0.1, But Can Bulls Facilitate This 800% Rally To $1.82 First? VisionPulsed’s timing call is backed by the liquidity gauge M2, which he contends continues to correlate with crypto leadership even as that leadership rotates between assets. “Some people are saying the M2 doesn’t work anymore. I would disagree,” he said. In his view, the indicator “followed Solana basically to the tee” in 2023, then tracked Bitcoin, and more recently has matched flows into Ethereum and BNB as Bitcoin dominance fades. “Let’s not pretend BNB is not going up with the liquidity,” he said, while conceding, “I’m not going to sit here telling you that I know exactly where the liquidity is going to go next… I don’t know.” That leadership rotation, he argues, helps explain why some large-cap tokens lag. “Maybe our coins are not getting affected by the liquidity ’cause our coins are rubbish,” he said. He suggested that assets which already printed cycle-highs may see limited additional upside, extending the same logic to Bitcoin by arguing its ultimate peak may be closer than many expect: “Maybe it’s $140,000. Maybe it’s $130,000. It’s not going to $200,000.” He also claimed that XRP’s structure shows prior all-time highs on his charts, adding that it has not been participating in the latest liquidity impulse. Related Reading: Biggest Dogecoin Cycle Explosion Looms If This Trigger Fires: Analyst For Dogecoin specifically, the analyst’s base case is that it remains down the market-cap leaderboard and has yet to benefit from the liquidity rotation that favored Bitcoin first, then Ethereum and BNB, with “slight” spillover to Solana. He cautioned that a broader “altseason” remains contingent on traditional risk appetite, pointing to the Russell 2000’s inability to break to new highs. “Until we have that present, I really wouldn’t be looking for an alt season,” he said, quantifying the lag between prior halvings and a confirmed small-cap equities breakout as roughly 18 days, then 123 days, then 190 days—versus more than 480 days without such a breakout in the current cycle. “Yes, this is the worst market cycle to date,” he said. “There’s no question. But that doesn’t mean it has to not happen. It just might be taking longer than we might have wanted it to.” While he pins September 13 as the earliest window for relief, VisionPulsed warned that the subsequent liquidity setup is noisier. He highlighted a zone from roughly September 14 to October 24 in which his M2 gauge tends to get “wonky,” noting that previous instances still allowed for a final all-time-high push even as the underlying measure wavered. “Will we go up for a top or will we just be bearish forever and ever? We’re going to find out together,” he said. For now, he concluded, “we are still bearish as of now,” emphasizing that the thesis is probabilistic and time-dependent rather than a guarantee. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.21. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
New technical analysis suggests that the Dogecoin price is teetering at a pivotal point that could dictate its trajectory for the coming months. According to a crypto analyst, the meme coin faces two stark possibilities: a massive bullish breakout that could catapult DOGE by 800% to a new peak of $1.82, followed by a potential crash that may drag the meme coin’s value below $0.1. Dogecoin Price To See Massive Rally Before Crash In an August 31 post on X social media, crypto analyst KrissPax announced that Dogecoin may be on the verge of a dramatic rally if historical price action and Fibonacci Extensions play out. He projected that DOGE could trade up to the 2.618 Fibonacci level this fall, which aligns with the $1.82 price mark. Such a bullish move would represent a remarkable 800% gain from the meme coin’s current value of roughly $0.218. Related Reading: Pundit Reveals Catalysts That Will Drive Dogecoin Price 150% To $0.55 KrissPax shared a chart showing multiple accumulation zones where Dogecoin held firm despite broader market corrections, indicating that long-term holders could be reinforcing price stability. Although the outlook points to an explosive upside potential for DOGE, the analyst also warned that a looming bearish scenario is still in play. Based on the chart’s trajectory, once Dogecoin hits the projected $1.82 all-time high, the meme coin could experience a steep crash toward $0.09 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement), revisiting its weakest levels since 2023. KrissPax referred to this zone as a “gift” in his chart, suggesting it may offer a chance to accumulate at lower prices. With the price now hovering near key resistance, Dogecoin appears to be approaching a decisive moment that could determine its next target. For investors, this presents a classic high-risk, high-reward setup that could offer strong gains to early accumulation ahead of a breakout or deliver significant losses if bearish pressure sends the meme coin plummeting. Moving forward, KrissPax indicated that Dogecoin’s current low price, relative to its previous peaks, could be an opportunity for traders to add to their portfolios. He warns that hesitating to buy at discounted levels could result in being left out when DOGE begins another steep climb. $0.23 Identified As Key Breakout Threshold In a separate X post, crypto market expert Ali Martinez shared his latest Dogecoin analysis, taking a more bullish stand. He pointed to a symmetrical triangle pattern forming on the Dogecoin 4-hour chart, where price action has been consolidating between tightening support and resistance lines. Based on his analysis, this type of formation often signals an impending breakout, with the direction ultimately determined by which boundary the pattern is breached. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Is Ready To Launch 100%+ With This Swing Move Martinez has identified $0.23 as the critical level to watch. If Dogecoin breaks above this threshold with convincing volume, it could trigger a fresh bullish rally toward higher resistance levels at $0.25, $0.28, and potentially $0.30. The analyst’s chart projection outlines a step-like ascent once the breakout is confirmed, suggesting a sustainable rally rather than an immediate spike. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Unichartz has highlighted a Dogecoin squeeze that could spark the next massive move to the upside for the meme coin. This comes amid a broader crypto market crash, which has also led to a decline for the foremost meme coin. Dogecoin Showing A Promising Structure In a TradingView post, Unichartz declared that a Dogecoin squeeze is incoming. He noted that the meme coin is currently showing a promising structure as it trades within a rising wedge formation. The analyst added that the DOGE price is holding above a rising support line, which it has respected multiple times, indicating a sign of bullish intent from buyers. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Is Ready To Launch 100%+ With This Swing Move His accompanying chart showed that this Dogecoin squeeze could lead to a rally to the psychological $0.3 level. If that happens, it will mark the first time DOGE reaches this level since a multi-year high of around $0.48 in 2024. It will also mark a 2025 high for the meme coin, with its current high at around $0.28. Unichartz revealed that a descending resistance line and a key horizontal supply zone at around $0.28 are acting as a strong barrier for the meme coin. He remarked that DOGE will need to flip this confluence zone cleanly for it to see a breakout and push higher. In the meantime, the meme coin continues to decline alongside the broader crypto market. Dogecoin has dropped from a recent high of around $0.24 and is down over 8% in the last seven days. This has occurred thanks to the massive drop in the Bitcoin price, with the flagship crypto on a downtrend since it reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $124,000 two weeks ago. The Goal Is For DOGE’s Stoch RSI To Cross The 20 Level In an X post, crypto analyst Kevin Capital said that the goal is for Dogecoin’s Stochastic Relative Strength Index (Stoch RSI) to cross the 20 level and show a follow-through. He explained that anything below that level is a sign of weak momentum. This technical indicator is currently crossing to the upside and is at the 13 level. Related Reading: Alphractal Says Resilient Dogecoin Metrics Could Lead To Price Breakout This is significant, as Kevin noted that monthly Stoch RSI crosses on Dogecoin, outside of the bear market, and, along with an uptrending monthly RSI, ultimately lead to massive rallies. He further remarked that DOGE’s biggest move of the cycle is likely if Bitcoin can move higher and Ethereum ultimately enters into price discovery with a dropping BTC dominance. The analyst added that DOGE just needs a little more time for BTC and the macro to support this move. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.21, down almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Raoul Pal says two of crypto’s most-watched legacy altcoins—XRP and Dogecoin—are coiling for their next act. In a new X thread framed as “the Crypto Waiting Room,” the Real Vision and GMI co-founder argues that a broad swath of the market is consolidating before another leg higher, with capital already “full ported” into Ethereum and rotation risk building for assets lower down the stack. XRP And Dogecoin Are In The ‘Waiting Room’ “Let’s talk about the Crypto Waiting Room… many key parts of the crypto ecosystem are in the waiting room ready to launch,” Pal wrote, opening a chart-dense series that he says draws on Global Macro Investor’s probabilistic framework. He placed Total3—the market excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum—“ready to launch from the waiting room,” while stressing that “OTHERS (Outside of Top 10… purest form of Alts season where all shit rises) [is] still in the waiting room but longer to launch.” Related Reading: XRP Holds Golden Retrace At $2.90: Wave 3 Breakout To $5.4 In Sight He added, “ETH… Full Port. SOL… next to leave the waiting room… Sui in the waiting room, will follow SOL.” He was explicit on the two crowd favorites: “DOGE – in the waiting room. Will full port when OTHERS does…” and “XRP… in the process of Full Porting…” Pal’s “waiting room” metaphor is shorthand for a market structure he says rhymes with past cycles: liquidity first concentrates in the highest-quality, most institutionally accepted assets, then rotates down the risk curve as momentum broadens. “People need to learn patience. The path is clear… but never, ever expect tick for tick perfection. It’s the pattern that counts,” he cautioned with regards to the infamous M2 money supply chart, emphasizing that GMI’s approach is to seek “rhythm and rhymes of markets” rather than one-for-one chart overlays. “As ever, at GMI we are working with probabilistic frameworks and contextualisation… we use a framework of around 1,000 key charts which we then simplify and simplify.” The macro pillar of the thesis is liquidity. “The rate of change is only going to rise in the key metric of Total Global Liquidity… US, EU, China and Japan all need to roll debts,” Pal wrote, calling that confluence “an absurdly bullish backdrop, along with the reg changes, DAT’s and sovereign accumulation along with Wall Street acceptance.” In his timeline, the current crypto cycle “extends into Q1 2026 and possibly Q2 2026 due to slow business cycle forcing more liquidity for longer.” Or, as he put it more colloquially: “wen banana? We’ve been in it since Aug 2024 and the acceleration phase lies ahead.” Technically, the “waiting room” framing aligns with what long-horizon charts of XRP and Dogecoin have been telegraphing. Multi-year weekly structures on both assets show a repeating cadence of broad, descending consolidations that ultimately resolve into impulsive upside, followed by new, tighter coils beneath prior cycle highs. Related Reading: XRP Whales Unload Massive Bags: Distribution Or Trap? The current phase features exactly that kind of triangular compression: XRP’s post-spring surge has bled into a small symmetrical triangle under its 2025 peak, while Dogecoin’s 2021–2024 falling channel gave way to a higher base that is now narrowing into a wedge. Pal’s point is not that breakouts are guaranteed or imminent on a given candle, but that the setup is consistent with earlier “pre-rotation” conditions. The investor also invoked cycle analogs without over-promising precision. “And it looks similar to 2017…” he noted, before repeating that GMI is “not looking for perfect matches.” The probabilistic takeaway, he said, is that the market remains in an expansionary regime, with breadth likely to improve as non-BTC/ETH segments clear their bases. “The only question is… will your bags go up or do you have the wrong allocation? That is up to you my friends. Buy the ticket, take the ride.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.84. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
After the market crash, the Dogecoin price suffered a decline to $0.2, which presented as a perfect opportunity for whales to get back in action. With the momentum rising for the meme coin, there are a number of factors that have been presented that suggest the price could more than double soon. Pseudonymous crypto analyst ProjectSyndicate highlights these catalysts in an analysis, showing what will drive the Dogecoin price to new yearly peaks. But First, A Retest Of The Reload Zone? Just like other digital assets in the space, Dogecoin features a low reload zone with lots of support that the price could retest before moving upward. In this case, the reload zone lies as low as $0.15, meaning that a failure to continue the uptrend could lead to a retest of this zone. Related Reading: XRP Price Holds Macro Consolidation Zone, Wave 3 Surge Could Send Price To $5 So far, the Dogecoin price has managed to escape testing this zone as the bulls continue to hold support. Initial support featured heavily above the $0.22 level. However, as bears have put pressure on this level with notable sell-offs, support above $0.2 remains the major zone. As the crypto analyst explains, the $0.15-$016 zone is the bottom of the Dogecoin accumulation range. It means that a breakdown from here would likely touch this level, making it the ideal spot to start getting into position before the Dogecoin price takes off again. Catalysts To Drive Dogecoin Price To New Peaks Outside of the reload zone, there are a number of factors that have positioned Dogecoin for a possible strong bullish move. The first here is the accumulation that has followed the price correction. So far, whales have been buying DOGE, marked by major withdrawals from exchanges. Another catalyst is the expectation of a Dogecoin ETF. So far, multiple firms have filed for a Dogecoin ETF, but none have been approved as the SEC continues to postpone its decision. But if an approval does come through, then the significant institutional inflow could drive the price higher. Related Reading: XRP Holds Golden Retrace At $2.90: Wave 3 Breakout To $5.4 In Sight The analyst also points to the DogeOS launch that allows Dogecoin users to take advantage of decentralized finance on the Ethereum network. This is another utility that has boosted Dogecoin’s popularity among investors and could help to prop up its price. On the technical side, the Dogecoin price is also throwing out bullish prospects, with a Golden Cross forming after the 50-Day Moving Average crossed the 200-Day Moving Average. Golden Crosses have often preceded strong bullish moves, and this time is expected to be no different. From here, the Dogecoin price simply has to hold above $0.15-$0.16, even in the case of a crash. If bulls can maintain this level, then the analyst expects price to reclaim $0.25, with the possibility of further upside to $0.34-$0.40, before expanding toward $0.55. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
The higher-timeframe momentum gauges for Dogecoin are quietly resetting, and two widely followed chartists say the setup that preceded DOGE’s biggest advances is close to reappearing. In a new monthly chart, Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) stacks three market cycles and highlights a repeating structure: long, descending consolidations that resolve into impulsive breakouts, followed by measured Fibonacci 1.618 extension targets penciled far above the range. One Trigger Could Ignite Dogecoin’s Cycle Surge The present cycle has already cleared its multi-month falling wedge on the 1-month chart and, critically, completed a clean throwback: price pushed through the descending trendline, retested it from above, and turned higher, converting former resistance into support. On Kevin’s canvas, DOGE trades in the ~$0.23 area on the monthly scale, sitting beneath layered horizontal supply bands but above the wedge ceiling that capped it through the consolidation. Related Reading: Dogecoin Crash Incoming? Analyst Warns Bulls Are Out Of Time Momentum is the hinge of Kevin’s thesis. “Anytime we saw Monthly Stoch RSI crosses on #ogecoin outside of the bear market along with an uptrending Monthly RSI ultimately lead to massive rallies to the upside,” he writes. He adds that “the goal is to get the StochRSI to cross the 20 level and show follow through as anything below that level is a sign of weak momentum. Currently crossing to the upside and at the 13 level.” His lower panel draws a rising diagonal on the 1-month RSI—explicitly labeled “Higher Lows on 1M RSI”—to underscore that longer-term momentum troughs have been stepping up even as price coiled inside the wedge. Kevin also reiterates the inter-market backdrop he’s watching: “If BTC can move higher and not putter out on us and we ultimately get ETH into price discovery with a dropping BTC Dominance then like I have said before DOGE’s biggest move of the cycle is likely. Just need a little more time and for BTC and the macro to support the move. That’s the reality not engagement farming hopium.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Stalls Near $0.22: Analysts Say a Major Breakout Pattern Could Be Forming With the structural breakout and retest in hand, the remaining confirmation on his checklist is mechanical—see the monthly StochRSI reclaim and hold above 20 while the monthly RSI preserves its pattern of higher lows. On targets, Kevin has previously mapped an aggressive trio of Fibonacci extensions above the last cycle’s peak: 1.618 at $3.97, 1.65 at $4.33, and 1.703 at $5.00. In prior cycles on the same template, wedge resolutions were followed by vertical expansion toward comparable 1.618 objectives; these three levels now serve as forward waypoints should trend acceleration resume. Ichimoku Cloud Analysis For DOGE A complementary, mid-cycle lens from Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) uses 2-week candles with Ichimoku Cloud to track the transition. “It’s doing more or less what I thought it would do from 2 months ago,” he notes, “where it bounced off the cloud, reclaiming Tenkan (blue line) as support, and is trying to launch itself above the green Ichimoku cloud on the right.” In Ichimoku terms, that sequence—cloud bounce, Tenkan regain, then an attempt to clear the top of the forward green cloud—aligns with a shift from corrective to trending conditions on the 2-week timeframe and dovetails with Kevin’s higher-timeframe momentum trigger. Taken together, the two studies narrow the focus to a clear condition set. Tactically, the 2-week chart is pressing the cloud top after reclaiming the Tenkan as support. And cyclically, the 1-month StochRSI is curling up from ~13 toward the threshold Kevin considers decisive at 20 while the 1-month RSI maintains a series of higher lows. If those momentum thresholds are secured against a supportive majors tape—firmer BTC, ETH in discovery, and declining BTC dominance—the Fibonacci extensions at $3.97, $4.33, and $5.00 could be DOGE’s price targets for this cycle. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.223. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin’s near-term uptrend may be running on fumes, with crypto analyst Kevin (Kev Capital TA) warning that a breakdown is already in motion and that the memecoin’s bull case now hinges on a thin band of support around $0.20. In a late-August 25 livestream, Kevin argued that DOGE’s structure has deteriorated into a classic post-rally trap while its fate remains tethered to Bitcoin’s next move. Dogecoin Bulls Cornered “This chart’s not really in control of its own destiny. It’s going to follow what Bitcoin and ETH do, mainly Bitcoin,” he said, adding that the setup turning heads on his screen was a “symmetrical triangle pattern… which is not bullish after an up move. It’s bearish. It’s typically [going to] break down,” a process he said appeared to be underway during the stream. The levels, in his view, are now brutally simple. On the top side, the “major level… remains the same,” with the golden-pocket resistance still parked at $0.285–$0.261. That band has capped impulse attempts since Q1 and, alongside higher Fibonacci checkpoints—0.703 at ~$0.329 and 0.786 at ~$0.413—defines the ceiling that bulls have repeatedly failed to clear with authority. Related Reading: Dogecoin Stalls Near $0.22: Analysts Say a Major Breakout Pattern Could Be Forming On the downside, Kevin marked $0.195–$0.189 as “a major support zone,” aligning the 0.5 Fib around ~$0.189 with DOGE’s trend MAs. “You’re even in support right now via the 100 EMA and daily 200 EMA,” he noted, while pointing to the 200-day SMA near ~$0.198 and a rising channel that has seen “multiple taps to the high and the low.” Lose that $0.19–$0.20 cluster, he warned, and the path of least resistance shifts quickly lower: “If Dogecoin loses that, very likely [it’s] coming back down to the trend line… anywhere from 16 cents,” with deeper legacy supports around $0.147, $0.137, and “the $0.14–$0.127 zone” described as the “big big support.” In other words, the “crash” risk Kevin is flagging is less about sensational downside targets and more about the mechanical nature of DOGE’s structure if $0.19 gives way: a vacuum to the channel base near $0.16 first, then prior demand shelves if momentum accelerates. Related Reading: Dogecoin About To Explode? On-Chain Models Hint At A Massive Rally Context matters, and Kevin stressed that DOGE beta is overwhelmingly macro-driven inside crypto. When Bitcoin rallies while Bitcoin dominance falls, DOGE can rip—“Dogecoin had a phenomenal day” on a recent Friday, he said, citing a roughly 11–12% surge when BTC rose ~3.5% and dominance slid more than 0.7%. But “if ETH is outperforming and it’s in ETH season, you’re not going to get massive Dogecoin performance,” he cautioned, explaining much of DOGE’s relative lethargy while Ethereum-linked majors and ETH-beta names have led flows for months. Kevin’s tactical roadmap is therefore stark. First, respect the $0.195–$0.189 shelf as the line between a controlled pullback and a disorderly trendline test. Second, accept that the upside will likely remain capped beneath $0.285–$0.261 until Bitcoin resolves higher and dominance sustainably bleeds. Third, avoid the classic liquidity trap of buying emotional spikes into resistance. “Don’t buy altcoins at the highs,” he said. “Allocate into ones that are at major support,” and do it in small, risk-aware increments rather than overextending into weakness. The analyst’s bottom line for Dogecoin is blunt and time-sensitive. The post-rally triangle has already begun to fracture; the $0.19–$0.20 belt is “the lifeline.” Hold it and DOGE can stabilize inside its rising channel while it waits for a friendlier Bitcoin-led tape. Lose it, and “a crash” in Kevin’s definition—an accelerated move toward ~$0.16 and, if pressure persists, the mid-teens support stack—is the next chapter. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.21. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading near $0.22, caught in a tightening range that has traders eyeing a potential breakout. The memecoin dipped 5% over the past 24 hours, holding flat on the weekly chart, while trading volume crossed $3 billion. Related Reading: Here’s What Powell’s Possible Rate Cuts Could Mean For The Shiba Inu Price On the 4-hour chart, DOGE has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, a technical setup often signaling an explosive move once price escapes the structure. Analyst Ali Martinez noted that the asset is nearing the lower boundary of this formation. He suggested that “one last dip before the breakout” may occur, with support at $0.22 and resistance at $0.24–$0.25. A push above this resistance could target $0.26, $0.28, and $0.31, while a breakdown below $0.22 risks testing $0.21 and $0.19. Analysts See a Dogecoin (DOGE) Breakout Potential Trader Tardigrade applied Elliott Wave Theory, identifying DOGE in the final leg of a correction that typically precedes a strong motive wave. This pattern has historically led to trend continuation, raising expectations of a rebound toward $0.30 or higher if buyers reclaim control. Meanwhile, chart analyst Umair emphasized the $0.25 level as a crucial pivot. According to him, “recovering this will lead to 31c,” while failure to hold could drag DOGE back toward $0.1949. DOGE's price records major losses on the daily chart. Source: DOGEUSD on Tradingview Technical indicators also reflect this uncertainty. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near 57, suggesting balanced momentum without overbought pressure. Price remains squeezed between a rising trendline and horizontal resistance, awaiting confirmation of direction. Market Sentiment and Catalysts Market sentiment around Dogecoin is mixed. Data from MarketProphit shows cautious optimism among traders, though broader models remain reserved. External factors are also adding intrigue: the Federal Reserve’s softer stance on crypto banking has boosted sector sentiment, while Thumzup’s $50M acquisition of Dogehash positions the company as the largest Dogecoin mining operator to date. On lower timeframes, analysts have also flagged a potential 2-hour bull flag pattern, though its validation depends on DOGE’s ability to close back within the flag zone. If confirmed, this could strengthen the bullish case for a rally beyond $0.25. Related Reading: This Week In XRP: Ripple CTO Set To Announce Important Update For now, Dogecoin is at a crossroads. With price consolidating tightly near support and resistance, traders are preparing for a decisive move that could set the tone for the coming weeks. Cover image from ChatGPT, DOGEUSD chart from Tradingview
The Dogecoin price has been somewhat inconsistent over the past few weeks, mirroring the indecisiveness of investors in the general cryptocurrency market. This instability was on display in the past week when the price of DOGE fell from $0.24 to as low as $0.21 on Friday, August 22. On Friday, the Dogecoin price briefly returned to above $0.24, triggered by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole. However, the latest price data shows that the meme coin might only be at the beginning of an extended rally over the next few weeks. DOGE Price Set For A Move To $0.3 – Analyst In an August 23 post on social media platform X, crypto analyst Ali Martinez put forward a bullish prediction for the price of Dogecoin in the coming weeks. The online pundit shared that the largest meme coin by market capitalization could be on the verge of a 30% move to the upside. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts What Will Happen When XRP Price Hits $4, $10, $100, And $1,000 This optimistic projection revolves around the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour timeframe of the Dogecoin price chart. The symmetrical triangle is a technical analysis pattern characterized by a diagonally falling upper trendline (connecting the swing highs) and a diagonally rising lower trendline (along the swing lows). The token’s price typically constricts and moves toward the apex in a symmetrical triangle pattern. In the end, the price either breaches the upper trendline for a breakout or the lower trendline forming a breakdown. Depending on the direction of the break (breakout or breakdown), the symmetrical triangle formation could be seen as a continuation or reversal pattern. It is worth mentioning that symmetrical triangles tend to be continuation break patterns, as the asset’s price usually breaks in the initial trend direction before falling into the triangle pattern. Going by this logic, Martinez suggested that the Dogecoin price is likely to continue its uptrend after breaking out of the current setup. If the price of DOGE plays out as projected, the crypto analyst expects the meme coin to move toward the $0.3 mark—representing a 30% move from the current price point. The price target is determined by adding the length of the widest point of the triangle (or base) to the breakout point. Nevertheless, investors have to wait for the close of at least two candlesticks above the triangle’s upper boundary to confirm a bullish breakout. Dogecoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of DOGE stands at around $0.2366, reflecting an almost 1% decline in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Strong In ‘Wall Of Worry’, Path To $183,000 Remains Open – Analyst Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Dogecoin (DOGE) is again drawing attention with new analysis from an investment data analysis platform, Alphractal points to strengthening network metrics that could pave the way for a significant price breakout. With miners driving hash rate levels toward record highs and long-term valuation models signaling room for growth, the popular meme coin appears to be building a solid base for its next potential move higher. Dogecoin Market Metrics To Spark Breakout In an X social media post on Thursday, Alphractal highlighted that Dogecoin’s underlying blockchain strength may set the stage for a potential breakout. Despite being one of the most volatile assets in the crypto market, Dogecoin’s mining network continues to showcase resilience, with hash rate activity trending toward record highs. Related Reading: Dogecoin Targets $1.25, But This 170% Move Is The Start The latest data shows that Dogecoin’s mean hash rate has steadily climbed since 2020, closely mirroring its price growth, and signaling that miner commitment has persisted and intensified even during long consolidations. This level of mining participation demonstrates miners’ continued confidence and reflects the DOGE network’s growing robustness. With hash rate trending near its highest historical levels, the meme coin’s security and transaction reliability remain well-supported, mitigating concerns over structural weakness. At the core of Alphractal’s analysis is its newly developed Network Stress Index, a metric designed to gauge blockchain health by combining multiple key stress indicators. Higher readings on the stress index typically point to turbulence or instability, while lower values reflect a balanced and secure network environment. Recent readings show that Dogecoin’s network is currently stable, with no immediate signs of systemic stress, opening the door for potential upward momentum. The resilience of Dogecoin’s network metrics may also play a key role as it continues trading around what Alphractal calls the True Market Mean Price. As DOGE consolidates within this range, a strong foundation is being built for a potential breakout that could drive the meme coin toward its next major price milestone. Alpha Price And CVDD Highlight DOGE’s Long-Term Upside Beyond network resilience and hash rates, Alphractal’s models, such as the Alpha Price and the Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD), provide deeper insights into Dogecoin’s valuation potential. The Alpha Price acts as a sentiment-driven gravitational model, capturing where the asset should trade relative to broader psychological and technical conditions. Related Reading: Dogecoin Open Interest Remains Above $3 Billion, Can Bulls Take Control? Historical alignment between Dogecoin’s market price and the Alpha Price suggests that this model often serves as a reliable compass during rallies and corrections. Meanwhile, the CVDD model has been one of the most accurate indicators for identifying long-term tops and bottoms in UTXO-based blockchains like Dogecoin, Bitcoin, and Litecoin. According to Alphractal, current CVDD readings for Dogecoin highlight how the price is consolidating between the lower and upper bands, mirroring patterns seen ahead of previous major rallies. The analysis reports that the CVDD top currently sits at around $0.54, but this threshold could rise as dormant coins begin moving back into circulation. This dynamic is expected to drive the DOGE price to $1, particularly if heightened network activity sparks a new wave of speculative demand. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
An emerging set of on-chain and market structure signals suggests Dogecoin could be coiling for a fresh advance, according to analytics platform Alphractal, which published a new chart pack and methodology notes on X on August 21. The firm argues that miner resilience, a stable “Network Stress Index,” and model-derived bands such as Alpha Price and CVDD have lined up in a way that historically preceded major DOGE trend accelerations. $1 Dogecoin Back In Play? “Dogecoin’s miners remain incredibly resilient, with hash rate activity pushing toward record highs,” Alphractal wrote, before posing the core question animating its latest study: “Could trading around True Market Mean Price and models like Alpha Price and CVDD pave the way for a potential new all-time high in DOGE?” At the foundation of the call is a composite gauge the firm calls the Network Stress Index. It blends three dimensions of chain health and pressure—“Fee Stress (fees / market cap – 40% weight), Hash Stress (30-day hash rate volatility – 30% weight), [and] Supply Stress (7-day active supply volatility – 30% weight).” Related Reading: Dogecoin Targets $1.25, But This 170% Move Is The Start As Alphractal summarizes the read-through: “Higher values suggest potential instability or major transitions. Lower values reflect a balanced network across economic, security, and activity dimensions.” In the current regime, the firm says the indicator “signals stability — showing no warning signs of network risk.” Beyond raw network conditions, Alphractal overlays two valuation and cycle tools it says have been reliable for UTXO chains such as DOGE, Bitcoin and Litecoin. “Our Alpha Price model works like a magnetic force for sentiment,” the firm noted, describing a behavioral anchor that price tends to respect over time. It pairs that with an adjusted version of Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD), a metric that tracks the age-weighted value of coins moving on-chain. “Our advanced CVDD adjustment has proven to be one of the most accurate tools for identifying tops and bottoms in UTXO blockchains like DOGE, BTC, and LTC,” Alphractal wrote. Where those models sit today is central to the thesis. “Currently, the CVDD Top sits at $0.54, but it can climb higher as dormant Dogecoins move — potentially pushing targets above $1,” the post states. The implication is explicitly conditional: if a rally entices long-inactive supply to circulate, the top band would ratchet upward, turning $0.54 from a ceiling into what Alphractal calls “just the starting floor, with euphoric network activity driving further upside.” The firm frames miner posture as a reinforcing pillar. With hash rate activity “pushing toward record highs,” the view is that security spend and miner participation leave the network well positioned “for a surge in global demand.” That strength, together with price action clustering near what Alphractal labels True Market Mean Price, is presented as the setup phase that has preceded prior Dogecoin expansions on the attached Network Stress, Alpha Price, and CVDD charts dated August 21. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bull Run Over? Don’t Bet Against This Chart, Says Analyst Even so, the message is not unqualifiedly bullish. Alphractal closes with a risk caveat tailored to crypto’s current market microstructure: “This opportunity may be sustainable… Still, with leverage building across crypto markets, traders must remain cautious of sudden traps and mass liquidations as DOGE gains momentum.” In other words, while the model complex sketches a constructive backdrop, positioning and derivatives dynamics could inject sharp downside shocks along the path. Taken together, Alphractal’s work posits a simple, testable roadmap: a stable network, resilient miners, and price hewing to historically meaningful on-chain bands create room for upside, with the CVDD “Top” currently marked at $0.54 and mechanically capable of rising toward and “above $1” if dormant supply awakens. Whether Dogecoin converts that setup into a full breakout will hinge on the interplay between organic spot demand and a leveraged market prone to abrupt squeezes in both directions. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.218. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The Dogecoin question of the summer—whether the crash is finally over—met a hard-edged reality check in crypto analyst VisionPulsed’s August 20 video analysis. Stripping away “bullish propaganda,” he argued that Dogecoin will not meaningfully trend until two outside markers flip decisively risk-on: Ethereum crossing its all-time high and the Russell 2000 clearing its own peak. “We’re bearish until the Russell breaks the high and we’re bearish until ETH breaks the high,” he said, adding that the absence of those breakouts explains why familiar cycle cues have failed to ignite altcoins this time. Is The Dogecoin Crash Over? VisionPulsed opened with deliberate satire—“daily dose of bearish because it’s always bearish forever and ever”—but moved quickly to the data. He noted Dogecoin has printed higher lows and higher highs since October 2023, yet the tape has been locked in drift for months: “The price of Dogecoin has not done anything for almost 7 months now… we’re at 175 days of sideways.” He framed that range as potential accumulation by analogy to prior long compressions, observing that earlier multi-month stalls preceded sharp expansions: “In the big picture, one would consider that to be bullish… This one was massive, like 400 days of sideways… we might even be [in] accumulation, if you will.” The analyst’s core contention is that historical triggers that once synchronized altseason have broken down in this cycle. He revisited two now-faded playbooks: post-halving timed runs and the “BTC makes ATH → DOGE follows” sequence. “If we look at the halving… Dogecoin [historically] went to the moon about 240–260 days post-halving,” he said. “Right now… we’re almost at 500 days post-halving and there’s still no shot on the moon.” Likewise, Bitcoin tagging fresh highs has not transmitted to DOGE: “Bitcoin breaks the high, Doge makes a new all-time high… Bitcoin breaks the high, nothing happens. We’re still bearish.” In his view, that leaves only two unfulfilled, cycle-consistent conditions—Ethereum and the Russell 2000 at record levels—before declaring an altseason regime change. Related Reading: Dogecoin Gets $153.8 Million Boost With This Latest Acquisition Market leadership and “dominance” dynamics are part of his diagnosis. On his charts, previous attempts by the Russell 2000 to push through the top coincided with a decline in dominance, a pattern he says could help unlock altcoin breadth. But he cautioned that a failed breakout would likely reset the clock: “Everybody thinks this is altseason, but the dominance is going to go back up because the Russell is going to go down? It’s very possible.” Until the equity small-cap gauge and ETH both clear resistance, he prefers “optimistic” to “excited.” Even as he dismantled over-promotional narratives—“the data doesn’t actually support [‘biggest altseason of all time’]”—VisionPulsed did outline the only scenario he’s willing to call “hopeium.” He mapped the Russell 2000 “getting close to the all-time high” alongside ETH “also getting close to the high,” pairing that backdrop with DOGE’s compression as the same setup that preceded prior impulsive legs: “Once the Russell gets over the high and once Ethereum gets over the high, I’m going to start getting very excited. But until then, we’re not there.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Bull Run Over? Don’t Bet Against This Chart, Says Analyst That sobriety extends beyond price. He pointed to dwindling engagement as a sentiment tell: “It’s very possible that at any moment the videos will start getting below 2,000 views… There’s nobody here. Google Trends back that up.” In his reading, the absence of retail heat is consistent with an unresolved cycle transition rather than a coiled spring already in motion. The conclusion landed where it began: Dogecoin’s crash narrative cannot be retired on crypto-native signals alone. Without concurrent breakouts in ETH and the Russell 2000, he argues, DOGE remains range-bound and the altcoin complex underpowered relative to past cycles. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.21757. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin, despite being held up around the $0.21 to $0.23 price zone, has seen its user base grow with adoption among crypto investors of all types. Notably, on-chain data shows that Dogecoin has now surpassed 8 million in terms of addresses holding a non-zero balance. On‑chain analytics from Santiment reveal that Dogecoin has risen from approximately 6.9 million holders earlier in 2025 to the latest 8 million milestone. Only Ethereum and Bitcoin exceed Dogecoin when it comes to user base size. Dogecoin Holder Count Keeps Surging The momentum behind Dogecoin’s adoption shows no sign of slowing down, and the number of addresses holding the meme cryptocurrency is now above 8 million. This trend in Dogecoin holders stems from the cryptocurrency increasingly becoming the go-to asset for many retail traders. This, in turn, has seen the number of Dogecoin holders continue to surge this year, especially as retail investors start to transition from other large market-cap cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, which many now argue is the crypto for institutions. Related Reading: 4-Year Cycle Says Dogecoin Price Will Reach $1, Here’s Why Although Dogecoin also saw a huge growth in the number of holders in 2024, the growth in 2025 is outpacing the trend seen in 2024, To put this into perspective, it took the whole year to add 1 million new DOGE holders in 2024, whereas in 2025, the same milestone has taken less than eight months. This is a substantial increase from about 6.9 million holders in the beginning of 2025. The latest figures place Dogecoin well ahead of other large market cap cryptocurrencies such as Cardano (ADA), Chainlink (LINK), and XRP, as well as major stablecoins including USDT and USDC, in terms of total holder count. Only Ethereum, with about 148 million addresses, and Bitcoin, with around 55 million, surpass Dogecoin’s adoption levels. DOGE Whales Continue Accumulating The steady increase in new Dogecoin addresses has been supported by a corresponding increase in whale accumulation. Trading data shows that large wallets have added more billions of Dogecoins in recent weeks. For instance, recent on-chain data shows that wallet addresses holding between 100 million and 1 billion Dogecoin recently added about 2 billion Dogecoin worth $448 million to their holdings within a week. At the institutional level, Bit Origin made headlines after committing $500 million to a Dogecoin treasury last month when the price was hovering around $0.24. Related Reading: Dogecoin Targets $1.25, But This 170% Move Is The Start Technical traders are also paying close attention. One analyst known as Trader Tardigrade pointed out that DOGE’s current chart setup is nearing the final stages of consolidation before a pump on the daily candlestick timeframe chart. If this pump were to manifest, the analyst projects a pump to $0.41 after breaking out of a triangular consolidation pattern. Interestingly, a longer-term analysis from the same analyst on the monthly candlestick timeframe chart shows that Dogecoin has built a support base and is ready for the next leg up that would take it to as high as $4. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.222, up by 4.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin is getting a lift with news of a $153.8 million deal as Thumzup Media Corporation will acquire Dogehash Technologies with its shares, marking one of the most significant transactions in the Dogecoin ecosystem to date. With Thumzup’s digital-asset strategy and Dogehash’s large-scale mining operations, the two companies are setting the stage for a robust expansion. A $153.8 Million Deal To Build The Biggest Dogecoin Miner The agreement between Thumzup Media and Dogehash Technologies comes with a clear goal: to build the world’s largest Dogecoin mining platform. The multi-million dollar all-stock deal will create a new company called Dogehash Technologies Holdings, Inc.. Once finalized, this new entity will trade on the Nasdaq exchange under the ticker XDOG. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Takes Major Step With Community Governance Model — Details Thumzup has strong skills in digital money and ways to grow it, while Dogehash has many years of experience running large mining operations. By joining forces, Thumzup and Dogehash could combine their skills and resources to grow much bigger than they could alone. Through the merger, the company can now enter Nasdaq’s public markets, where new investors may step in to support Dogecoin. Backed by the million-dollar all-stock deal, the new entity could use Thumzup’s growth expertise and Dogehash’s mining strength to secure a leading position in the Dogecoin mining sector. As a result, Dogecoin, one of the most popular meme coins in the world, may see more mining activity. Expanding Mining Power With A Green Energy Push Dogehash Technologies currently operates approximately 2,500 Scrypt ASIC miner machines, which mine Dogecoin (DOGE) and Litecoin (LTC) daily across North America. But the company is not stopping there. Over the next two years, Dogehash plans to add renewable-energy-powered data centers to the mix, expanding its mining fleet through 2025 and 2026. Since electricity accounts for most of a miner’s expenses, this strategy could make Dogehash more competitive in the long run. Dogehash could increase its mining capacity by using cleaner energy while reducing its environmental footprint, an approach with the potential to make it one of the leaders in sustainable crypto mining, a growing concern in the digital asset industry. Related Reading: What’s Next For XRP After Crashing Below $3? Analyst Answers Dogehash plans to roll out DogeOS, Dogecoin’s Layer-2 protocol, to make mining more efficient. DogeOS lets miners earn extra rewards through DeFi tools like staking and liquidity pools, on top of regular block rewards. For miners, that means more ways to boost returns; for the Dogecoin network, it means more substantial support and more activity. These tools will provide Dogehash with numerous opportunities to expand its earnings and participate in various financial products associated with mining. The company will not only look for ways to increase its mining profits but also explore other revenue streams that can add to its strength. With these steps, Dogehash Technologies Holdings could extend beyond merely creating more coins and develop a more robust and reliable system that supports the Dogecoin community and provides users with long-term value. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin has been trading steadily over the past 48 hours by holding its ground around the $0.21 to $0.23 range. Although the meme coin leader is down by about 12.8% in the past seven days, it has managed to stay above $0.21. This resilience is highlighted as a higher low on the 5-day candlestick timeframe chart, and according to a technical analysis by crypto analyst Javon Marks, Dogecoin’s next major move may be far larger than most expect. Technical Setup Points To $0.6533 Breakout According to a technical analysis shared on the social media platform X by crypto analyst Javon Marks, Dogecoin’s price action has created another higher low on the 5-day candlestick timeframe. The most recent higher low is part of a trend that has created a series of higher lows since 2024. Related Reading: 4-Year Cycle Says Dogecoin Price Will Reach $1, Here’s Why The pattern of higher lows suggests that buying pressure is outweighing selling pressure, even in times of market weakness. Furthermore, it means Dogecoin is creating new price floors after each rally and subsequent rally, which strengthens the case for a continuation rally. In this case, the two most recent rallies were in the middle of July when the Dogecoin price broke above $0.27, and another rally in August when it touched $0.25 very briefly. Despite the correction that followed both rallies, the candlestick chart indicates that these lows were higher than previous highs and corrections. Now, according to Javon Marks, the immediate breakout target has been identified at $0.6533, which would represent a gain of more than 170% from the current price level. This target is derived from the technical setup of the holding breakout structure that Dogecoin has been playing out for many months. $1.25 Comes Into Play After Breakout If Dogecoin were to reach the $0.6533 breakout target, it would be its strongest bullish rally since early 2021. However, it would still fall short of its all-time high of $0.7316. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Crash Could End Soon With A Roadmap For $5 The analyst further predicted an even more ambitious scenario. Once the $0.6533 breakout target is achieved in this scenario, Dogecoin could extend its rally towards $1.25. Such a move would confirm a major shift in its long-term trend and create more consistent higher highs and higher lows across the 5-day candlestick timeframe chart and above the much-anticipated $1 price level. A rally of this magnitude would not only confirm Dogecoin’s standing as the leading meme cryptocurrency but also reintroduce its price action into breaking multiple all-time highs. It would also translate to a 490% surge from the current price level. Nonetheless, the first step is for Dogecoin bulls to convert its higher-low structure into a decisive breakout. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.2131, down by 2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin’s consolidation has not broken its higher-timeframe uptrend, according to crypto analyst Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow), who in an August 19 livestream argued that DOGE continues to respect key support structures despite choppy day-to-day price action. “A lot of people are very very bitter about Doge, of course,” he said, because the meme-coin “has been [forming] higher highs and higher lows.” In his view, the technical context remains constructive: “This is a bull trend until proven otherwise.” Dogecoin Defies The Bears Cantonese Cat anchored his call in multi-timeframe signals rather than short-term oscillations. On the weekly and monthly charts, he said Dogecoin has been holding the 20-week and 20-month moving averages, a combination he characterizes as consistent with an intact primary uptrend. “I don’t operate on the daily basis… I operate on a much higher time frame,” he explained, stressing that the broader structure outweighs near-term volatility. Related Reading: 500% Parabolic Dogecoin Run Could Be Closer Than You Think: Analyst On the daily chart, he acknowledged weakness relative to shorter moving averages and cloud resistance, noting that DOGE is “consol[i]dating sideways” and has “broken down underneath the 20-day.” He framed that as a routine reset within trend rather than a breakdown, pointing to Ichimoku dynamics: after being “rejected up here by the Ichimoku cloud a few weeks ago,” price is “trying to hold the tenkan/kijun back-testing area [to] find some energy here to break back above.” As part of that attempt to rebuild momentum, he said, Dogecoin “just had a double bottom over here,” a pattern he reads as evidence of demand at support. Via X, he added: “DOGE weekly: Endless back-test of the Ichimoku Tenkan, but forming higher low here after its recent double bottom formation.” Responding to concerns that rangebound price action implies exhaustion, he emphasized “timeframe bias”—that traders overweight recent chop and underweight the series of higher lows that has defined DOGE’s structure since its cycle base. While he conceded that “it’s always possible” for supports to fail, he found no decisive evidence on higher timeframes that Dogecoin’s bull phase has ended. Instead, he cast the current tape as a pause beneath overhead resistance, with the cloud, the 20-day average, and prior rejection zones acting as the near-term hurdles to clear for continuation. Related Reading: Dogecoin Under Fire as Qubic Targets DOGE After Monero Attack: Can Bulls Prevent a Freefall? Crucially, he situated his DOGE view within broader market-cap structures—what many traders track as TOTAL and its variants. On OTHERS (crypto market cap excluding Top 10), he observed that the composite “just broke about the 0.5 here and… couldn’t break through 0.618,” describing a market that is still consolidating within a Fibonacci-defined range. More pointedly, he highlighted TOTAL3—the total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum—as a constructive backdrop for altcoins: “Total three actually looks pretty decent here. If you look at the… chart, like this looks like a beautiful cup and handle… [it has] broken about the 0.86 [and is] getting ready for some all-time high stuff here.” On that basis, he rejected the idea that a cyclical top is already in for altcoins: “I cannot be bearish on the entire cryptocurrency market… I just cannot when Ethereum just had [its] breakout above the 0.86.” That macro-alt setup, he argued, helps explain why DOGE’s higher-timeframe supports continue to attract buyers even as intraday moves turn noisy. The upshot is a patience-trade: DOGE’s 20-week and 20-month moving averages remain his “primary line of defense” for the uptrend; the daily chart remains the battleground where cloud resistance and tenkan/kijun retests will determine when momentum can re-assert itself. Until those higher-timeframe anchors give way, Cantonese Cat’s verdict on Dogecoin is unchanged: “It is still a bullish chart until proven otherwise.” At press time, DOGE traded at $0.21466. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Analyst Cryptoinsightuk argues that Dogecoin is primed for one of its characteristic “violent” upside phases, contending that a 500% rally from current levels is a realistic scenario in the next leg of the market cycle. In a new YouTube analysis focused on altcoin rotation, he frames DOGE as a top-10 laggard that has yet to print a new all-time high this cycle—precisely the kind of setup that has historically preceded its biggest moves. Dogecoin Could Still Rip 500% This Cycle The analyst’s core thesis is structural rather than narrative-driven: Dogecoin advances in compressed bursts, with most of the cycle’s gains arriving in just a handful of outsized monthly candles. “If you look at it on the monthly… the majority of Doge’s move happens in like two different monthly pops,” he says, citing prior surges of “six, seven hundred percent,” followed by another consolidation and a second leg of roughly “five hundred percent.” By contrast, the largest single monthly gain so far this cycle sits near “about 150%,” a magnitude he views as small relative to DOGE’s historical blow-off dynamics. From a momentum perspective, he highlights a looming inflection on high-timeframe oscillators: “The monthly RSI is potentially about to cross bullish also,” adding that DOGE has “either wicked or got close to the oversold area” twice on the monthly. In his read, those conditions have coincided with DOGE’s most explosive phases: “The oversold area is when all the violent price action happens on the monthly or the weekly… for cryptos generally.” Related Reading: After Monero Hit, Qubic Group Puts Dogecoin On Target List Price mapping and targets are explicit. Assuming a repeat of DOGE’s typical impulse size, the analyst sketches a 500% scenario that would “take us up to like $1.40,” with a staged take-profit ladder beginning “at like $1.18.” He stresses this is a path consistent with DOGE’s historical cadence rather than a call on exact timing: the coin tends to grind, then erupt, compressing multiple hundreds of percentage points into one or two monthly candles. The setup he prefers is rooted in range structure and risk-reward. Across majors and large-cap alts, he observes a similar pattern: form a base, run to a range high, retrace to the base, and compress. “At the bottom of the range is where the best risk-reward is,” he notes, emphasizing that asymmetric entries come when price returns to prior support and sentiment is fragile. He applies the same logic to DOGE, arguing the current structure resembles past pre-acceleration phases rather than distribution. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bullish Signal: Whales Buy 2 Billion DOGE Rotation is the second pillar of the call. The analyst expects capital to continue sliding down the risk curve from Bitcoin into large-cap altcoins and then into high-beta names like DOGE. He points out that even a modest replication of recent capital flows into a single top-10 asset can reprice peers dramatically, and he uses market-cap arithmetic to illustrate the point. With Dogecoin around the mid-$30 billion range by his count, a few hundred billion dollars rotating across the complex—as seen elsewhere this cycle—would imply multi-fold upside for laggards. “That’s where market cap has a bit of an issue in crypto,” he cautions, but the example underlines how quickly prices can gap when liquidity chases momentum. The crux of the trade, he argues, is to stay aligned with the prevailing trend and use pullbacks to build long exposure: “Pullbacks are for buying in trending bull markets and that is what we’re in.” In his framework, the invalidation sits below established range lows, while the upside tails are long if DOGE repeats its signature monthly expansions. As for timing, he refrains from precision. Instead, he reiterates the behavioral pattern: DOGE’s cycle gains typically arrive in a short, violent window after prolonged compression. With a potential monthly RSI turn, a still-muted largest monthly candle compared to prior cycles, and a wider backdrop of alt rotation, he concludes that the conditions for Dogecoin’s next act are falling into place. “It’s probably crazy season,” he concluded, adding that investors who wait for unambiguous confirmation often find “when it’s happened, it’s too late.” At press time, DOGE traded at $0.2217. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Despite flashing a bullish golden cross, where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day, Dogecoin failed to sustain upward momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Must Survive Brutal September Before Q4 Hope, Analyst Predicts Instead, heavy selling pressure drove DOGE from $0.24 down to $0.22, marking a 6% drop within 24 hours. Intraday volatility spiked at 7%, as a midday rally was quickly crushed by late-session selloffs. Volume analysis points to stronger conviction from sellers, with spikes during breakdowns rather than recovery moves. Losing the $0.23 support zone has left DOGE vulnerable to further downside, with traders now eyeing $0.2165 and $0.2150 as the next key levels. Dogecoin Whales Keep Buying, But Confidence Wavers Interestingly, whale wallets continue to show aggressive accumulation. In August alone, 680 million DOGE were added, pushing total whale holdings to nearly 100 billion tokens, the highest level in months. While this suggests long-term confidence, the accumulation has yet to translate into upward price momentum, as technical damage from repeated rejections at $0.24 resistance weighs on short-term sentiment. Market analysts warn that if whales pause accumulation amid network risks, the lack of strong buyer support could trigger a deeper freefall below the current $0.22.ç DOGE's price moving sideways on the daily chart. Source: DOGEUSD on Tradingview Qubic Vote Sparks Security Concerns The latest blow came when Qubic, an AI-driven blockchain project, announced that its community had voted Dogecoin as its next proof-of-work target. The move follows Qubic’s controversial 51% attack on Monero, which allowed it to reorganize blocks and manipulate transactions, forcing Kraken to suspend Monero deposits. With Dogecoin’s market cap above $35 billion, the stakes are considerably higher. A successful attack could disrupt transactions, enable double-spending, and dent investor confidence. While some experts argue DOGE’s larger network makes it harder to compromise, others caution that the intent alone has raised red flags across the crypto industry. DOGE Outlook: Make-or-Break at $0.23 Dogecoin’s immediate future hinges on whether bulls can reclaim the $0.23 level. Failure to do so could open the door to deeper losses, especially if Qubic escalates its campaign against the network. For now, traders are closely monitoring derivatives positioning, whale behavior, and global trade tensions that continue to pressure risk assets. Related Reading: It Is ‘Genuinely Impossible’ For XRP To Hit $1,000; Pundit Warns Dogecoin may have survived many market downturns, but this time, both technical fragility and network security are in question, making the coming weeks critical for the memecoin’s stability. Cover image from ChatGPT, DOGEUSD chart from Tradingview
Dogecoin’s bullish momentum is putting short positions under pressure as the price eyes a crucial $0.27 retest. A successful breakout above this level could spark a powerful multi-stage rally, opening the door to higher targets and renewed market excitement. DOGE/USDT Clears $0.2533 Resistance With Conviction GemXBT, in a recent update on X, highlighted that DOGE/USDT is showing a bullish trend after breaking above the key resistance level at $0.2533 with strong upward momentum. This breakout signals renewed buying pressure, as the price pushes beyond a level that had capped recent advances. The move suggests bulls are gaining control and could be preparing for further upside if momentum holds. Related Reading: Dogecoin Eyes Breakout Above Key Trendline-Will Momentum Hold Or Fade? According to the update, the 5-day moving average (5MA) has crossed above both the 10-day and 20-day moving averages. Such crossovers often reinforce the continuation of an uptrend, especially when supported by other confirming indicators. Volume has also been increasing alongside the price rise. Higher trading activity at elevated price levels shows that demand is growing, adding credibility to the upward move. This combination of technical strength and volume support positions Dogecoin for potentially sustained gains. However, GemXBT also noted that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought levels, while the MACD is in positive divergence. These conditions suggest there is still room for more upside, but they also warrant caution for possible short-term pullbacks. Cup & Handle Emerges: A Textbook Bullish Signal For Dogecoin Examining the daily chart, RISK highlighted that Dogecoin is forming a classic cup-and-handle pattern, one of the most reliable bullish formations in technical analysis. Following a deep, rounded recovery from the June lows, the price is once again testing the $0.27 resistance zone, a level that has repeatedly capped previous rallies. Related Reading: Dogecoin Just Flashed A Rare Weekly Bullish Signal — This Analyst Is Buying The handle portion of the pattern is taking shape with controlled pullbacks and reduced trading volume. This behavior typically signals that sellers are gradually running out of steam while buyers quietly build positions. Such consolidation often precedes a breakout, as the market transitions from profit-taking to renewed buying pressure. If DOGE manages to break and close above the $0.27 resistance zone, the technical structure suggests that momentum could accelerate sharply. In this case, bullish targets would likely extend toward $0.31, then $0.39, and potentially $0.50 or higher as confidence grows among traders. For now, the broader outlook remains bullish as long as the series of higher lows on the chart stays intact. With the breakout scenario still firmly in play, Dogecoin is positioned for a strong upward move should buyers push it past the $0.27 key resistance barrier. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com