The Dogecoin price is currently down more than 70% from its all-time high of approximately $0.74. However, a crypto analyst has predicted that the likelihood of this top meme coin reaching a new ATH is exceptionally high. Based on recurring historical patterns and strong technical signals, the analysis suggests that Dogecoin is getting ready for a critical breakout that could open the doors to a powerful rally. Dogecoin Price To Record New ATH Soon According to a fresh analysis by crypto expert Javon Marks, the probability of Dogecoin setting new all-time highs in this cycle is “extremely high.” Marks’ outlines a compelling case by comparing Dogecoin’s current market structure with its historical price movements from 2014 to date, which appear to follow a repetitive pattern of consolidation followed by explosive upside. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Enters Bullish Livermore Cylinder That Could Catapult Price To $1.5 In his chart analysis shared on the X social media on July 30, the analyst shows that DOGE has historically moved through phases of compression within wedge-like formations, followed by major breakouts to new all-time highs. During the 2016-2017 bull market, the cryptocurrency hit an ATH of $0.01877 after undergoing a long compression. A similar pattern unfolded in the 2021 bull rally, when the meme coin’s price surged to a fresh ATH of $0.739 after an extended period of tightening consolidation. Currently, the chart structure is showing a striking resemblance to these past setups, with DOGE’s price coiling tightly near a potential breakout point. With this in mind, the analyst predicts that the meme coin is on the verge of a massive price rally exceeding 226%, setting the stage for a possible break-through of the $0.739 ATH if momentum continues to build. Based on the expert’s chart analysis, historical fractals further indicate the possibility of Dogecoin surpassing the $1 mark to reach $1.42 or even $2.11. A surge to both targets would represent a significant gain of approximately 545% and over 830% respectively, from the current trading price of around $0.22. Dogecoin Pullback Predicted Ahead Of Next Target Crypto analyst Bitguru revealed in an X post that Dogecoin is showing signs of a pullback that could soon transition into a breakout. The expert’s analysis shows DOGE recovering from the $0.2138 support zone that held firm following a recent decline from its local high of $0.2866. Related Reading: Dogecoin Breaks Out Of 4-Year Bearish Streak With 65% Rally Bitguru noted that Dogecoin’s decline was a healthy one, as it retraced back to test the previous breakout area. This pullback phase is showing signs of exhaustion, with the meme coin’s price now consolidating around $0.22. Notably, the analyst’s chart is reflecting a potential double-bottom structure, hinting at the possible formation of a bullish reversal pattern. Building on this setup, Bitguru forecasts a potential 28.83% upside for Dogecoin, with price targets in the $0.24 to $0.25 range in the short term. If bullish momentum persists, the chart’s projected trajectory points to an extended move near the $0.28 level. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin is showing signs of recovery, trading around $0.22 with a 31% gain over the past month. As it approaches a key trendline resistance, speculations are whether momentum can carry DOGE higher or if fading strength will lead to another pullback. Signs Of A Bottom: DOGE Prepares For Potential Uptrend Continuation Giving a key update on the DOGE daily chart, Master Kenobi pointed out early signs that Dogecoin may have established a bottom, potentially setting the stage for a continuation of its upward trend. Recent price action suggests that bullish momentum is building; however, follow-through is now crucial for confirmation. Related Reading: Dogecoin Unlock To Put $22.9M Worth Of Tokens Into Circulation For this bullish continuation to take hold, Kenobi emphasized that DOGE must make a decisive move above the yellow trendline within the next 1–3 days. Such a move would be essential to push the Relative Strength Index (RSI) back above its moving average, a signal that could help reignite bullish sentiment and strengthen the ongoing uptrend. However, if Dogecoin fails to break above the yellow trendline within that short window, the risk of a pullback increases. Kenobi warned that in such a scenario, the price may slide back toward the red trendline, which marks the base of the ascending channel and could be retested by early September. This technical setup places Dogecoin at a crucial juncture, with the coming days likely to determine its short-term trajectory. A successful breakout would validate the bottom and support a continuation of the rally, while a failed breakout may cause DOGE to retrace lower before attempting another leg up. Dogecoin Holds Steady At $0.22 After 31% Monthly Gain In a post on X, cexscan provided an update on Dogecoin’s current market performance, noting that the meme coin is trading around $0.22 and showing a modest upward trend in recent days. This recovery has sparked renewed interest among traders, particularly as short-term momentum appears to be gaining strength. Related Reading: Dogecoin Retests Crucial Support Following 8.6% Drop – Here Are The Levels To Watch Over the past 30 days, Dogecoin has recorded a solid gain of 31.84%, reflecting a notable rebound from previous lows. However, the broader picture remains mixed, as year-to-date performance is still down by 31.04%, highlighting the lingering impact of earlier sell-offs. Cexscan also observed that trading volume has been moderate overall, but a recent spike indicates growing market engagement. This increase in volume could support further price movement if sustained, especially if buyers continue to step in during key moments. Despite these positive signs, Cexscan urged caution, pointing out that some downward pressure still lingers in the market. While indicators suggest the potential for continued gains, Dogecoin will need to maintain momentum and avoid sharp pullbacks to confirm a lasting trend reversal. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
A closely watched chartist on X, Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow), says he added to his Dogecoin exposure after a key Ichimoku signal appeared on the weekly chart. Posting at 2:46 p.m. on July 30, 2025, he shared a TradingView snapshot and wrote: “DOGE weekly — Ichimoku cloud — Bullish Tenkan–Kijun cross — Finding support at the Tenkan (blue line).” He followed with a straightforward disclosure: “I bought a little bit more $DOGE here.” This Dogecoin Ichimoku Signal Can’t Be Ignored The chart he published was captured at 12:46 UTC on July 30 and showed Dogecoin (weekly timeframe) trading near $0.216 after a week-to-date decline of 10.23%. TradingView’s readout on the image lists weekly O/H/L/C at 0.24076 / 0.24854 / 0.21440 / 0.21613, alongside Ichimoku values Tenkan-sen 0.21517, Kijun-sen 0.21142, Senkou Span A 0.21329, and Senkou Span B 0.28247. The thrust of the analyst’s call rests on classic Ichimoku mechanics. The Tenkan-sen (conversion line) has crossed above the Kijun-sen (base line) on the weekly chart—an event technicians describe as a bullish Tenkan–Kijun cross. In the posted image, spot price sits marginally above the Tenkan and Kijun, consistent with his comment that price is “finding support at the Tenkan.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Unlock To Put $22.9M Worth Of Tokens Into Circulation In Ichimoku methodology, the Tenkan often acts as a fast-moving gauge of momentum and, when rising above the slower Kijun, can mark the start of a momentum-led trend attempt. On higher timeframes such as the weekly, participants typically treat those inflections as more consequential than on intraday charts. That said, the same screenshot shows DOGE trading beneath the weekly cloud (Kumo) projected ahead, with Senkou Span B up near the $0.28 area. In textbook terms, signals that occur below the cloud are generally categorized as weaker than signals that occur above it, even when the Tenkan–Kijun cross is bullish. The image also captures the context of the move: after a forceful green candle in mid-July, two red weekly candles followed, leaving price clustered around the Tenkan/Kijun zone. Related Reading: Is $1 Dogecoin ‚Inevitable‘? Analyst Cites Perfect Storm Of Factors Pressed for a status check a day later, the analyst reiterated that the technical picture had not broken down: “DOGE holding weekly Ichimoku Tenkan and Kijun support so far,” he wrote on July 31. That comment underscores how Ichimoku practitioners often judge trend health by whether price can close above the Kijun on the chosen timeframe and continue to respect the Tenkan on pullbacks. For now, the story is a straightforward one: a bullish Tenkan–Kijun cross on the weekly chart, with price attempting to base at those lines while the cloud overhead still looms as longer-term resistance. As ever with Ichimoku analysis, the coming weekly close relative to the Tenkan and Kijun will be the focal reference for traders tracking whether this early signal can mature into a broader uptrend. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.22. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
A large number of token unlocks are expected to hit the altcoin market this week, and Dogecoin is one of those with the most notable unlocks happening this week. With the uncertainty in the market, token unlocks like these could affect the Dogecoin price. However, with deep liquidity, there is a high possibility that the meme coin is able to absorb this massive unlock without much effect. Large Dogecoin Unlock To Hit The Market In an X post, Wu Blockchain reported that there are a number of single token unlocks that are set to go live in the altcoin market over seven days. However, the ones of concern are the linear unlocks that will continue into the first week of August, putting hundreds of millions of dollars into the market. Related Reading: XRP Won’t See Devastating Pullback Because ‘The Train Has Left The Station’ One of the major unlocks shown was for Dogecoin, which is supposed to see approximately 95.5 million DOGE tokens added to its supply. Going by the current supply, this would be an additional 0.06% added to the circulating supply. At the current market price, this would be around $22.9 million worth of tokens being added. Naturally, token unlocks can impact the price of a digital asset, and Dogecoin is no different. However, looking at the daily trading volume of the cryptocurrency, which is in the billions of dollars, as well as the deep liquidity across major crypto exchanges, it is likely that the DOGE market will absorb this new supply without much fuss. Additionally, not all of the 95 million tokens will be sent into circulation at once. Given that it’s a linear unlock, meaning the coins will be released into circulation in smaller batches, it is much easier for the market to absorb the supply without any negative impact to the Dogecoin price. Other Tokens Being Unlocked While the Dogecoin token unlock is significant, it is not the largest token unlock expected to happen this week. The crown goes to Solana, which is expected to see 465,770 tokens unlocked. This stash is worth a staggering $87 million and translates to 0.09% of the total supply. Related Reading: The Days Of Parabolic Bitcoin Bull Runs Are Over: Analyst Reveals How BTC Will Reach $1,000,000 Next on the list is the TRUMP token at 4.89 million tokens worth $50.13 million. This accounts for 1.67% of the total supply. Then, it is followed by Worldcoin (WLD), with an expected 37.23 million tokens to be unlocked, worth $44.67 million, and translates to 2.16% of the total supply. Other major unlocks include TAO with 50,400 tokens worth $21.49 million. There’s also Avalanche (AVAX) with 700,000 tokens worth $18.07 million, and Celestia (TIA) with 6.96 million tokens worth $14.20 million. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst TradingShot has revealed that the Dogecoin price has entered a bullish pattern, which could spark a parabolic rally to $1.5. Interestingly, the analyst also raised the possibility of the foremost meme coin reaching double digits. Dogecoin Price Eyes $1.5 With Bullish Livermore Cylinder Pattern In a TradingView post, TradingShot revealed that the Dogecoin price is inside a Livermore’s Cylinder, which suggests that the meme coin could soon rally to as high as $1.5. The analyst noted that DOGE has been trading within a bullish megaphone for the majority of its Bull Cycle since the October 9, 2023, low. Related Reading: Dogecoin Breaks Out Of 4-Year Bearish Streak With 65% Rally In line with this, TradingShot declared that this may technically have been so far one massive accumulation phase along with the rest of the altcoin market. This is where the Livermore Accumulation Cylinder comes in, as it draws comparisons with the Megaphone pattern. Based on this Livermore model, the analyst stated that the Dogecoin price is starting the aggressive breakout phase above the Cylinder. With the accumulation technically over, TradingShot predicts that the Dogecoin price may pursue levels 8 and 9, which give price targets of $1.50 and $12, respectively. These price levels will mark new all-time highs (ATH) for DOGE, with its current ATH at around $0.73. The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that the meme coin could reach this $1.5 target between now and year-end. Meanwhile, the Dogecoin price could reach $12 by July next year. In line with this, TradingShot admitted that the $12 target is not expected to happen in this current Bull Cycle, which he predicts would end in the next six months or thereabout. However, he added that the $1.50 target is well within reach in this cycle and exactly double the price of the previous cycle high. Therefore, the analyst declared that this target is a “very attractive top candidate.” Bullish Engulfing Candle About To Form For DOGE In an X post, crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade stated that the DOGE monthly candle will close in just one week and that a Bullish Engulfing Candle is likely to be established. In line with this, he declared that a big moment is coming for the Dogecoin price. His accompanying chart showed that the meme coin could reach as high as $7.5 on this run. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Prediction: Expect 60% Liftoff If This Channel Breaks: Analyst In another analysis, he declared that a rally to $1 is incoming for the Dogecoin price, echoing TradingShot’s prediction. His accompanying chart showed that the foremost meme coin could reach this psychological level between now and September. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.22, up over 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin could be approaching a structural breakout that carries it to the long-discussed $1 threshold, according to crypto analyst Stephan Burns, who in a July 24 livestream described a “perfect storm” of monetary design, market structure and what he characterizes as rare astrological alignments. Burns framed the move as an “inevitability,” while acknowledging timing uncertainty, arguing that the next parabolic advance could emerge within months. Is $1 Dogecoin Inevitable? Burns built his case first on tokenomics. Dogecoin’s fixed issuance of 10,000 DOGE per one-minute block—approximately 5.2 billion DOGE annually—translates today into an inflation rate of roughly 3.3% against a circulating supply he placed at 150 billion. With that supply base, he said, the network simultaneously sustains miner incentives, gradually replaces lost coins and avoids the periodic “supply shocks” embedded in Bitcoin’s quadrennial halving schedule. “It’s beautiful because of this inflation rate,” he said, calling Dogecoin “better as a currency than Bitcoin” precisely because of its predictability. By contrast, he argued, Bitcoin’s declining issuance—on track to fall below half a percent after the 2028 halving—forces a future reliance on transaction fees. “Eventually Bitcoin will be completely mined… the network has to be maintained by transaction fees. That’s probably not enough to incentivize miners at the end of the day,” Burns claims. Related Reading: Dogecoin Retests Crucial Support Following 8.6% Drop – Here Are The Levels To Watch He also asserted that Dogecoin’s governance surface is harder to co-opt than Bitcoin’s as large institutional and governmental actors accumulate BTC exposure. In his view, Dogecoin remains “the people’s currency,” with economic dilution limited by social and technical difficulty of altering code. The flat nominal issuance, he added, produces a declining percentage inflation rate over time without rendering the asset strictly deflationary or, in his words, vulnerable to miner attrition. Beyond economics, Burns devoted extensive time to what he calls “crypto astrology,” arguing that Dogecoin’s natal chart—anchored to its genesis block—now sits under exceptionally favorable transits. He highlighted Pluto’s conjunction with Dogecoin’s natal Moon, describing it as “a once in a roughly 250-year transit,” and an impending Jupiter return with the planet “exalted” near the project’s midheaven point. These, he claimed, historically correspond to phases of visibility, capital inflow and wealth symbolism. “Dogecoin is being activated… more than any other cryptocurrency this year,” he said, labeling the configuration a catalyst for renewed global attention. Burns linked those internal transits to a broader macro cycle, citing the approaching Saturn–Neptune conjunction at the first degrees of Aries in early 2026, which he associated—through earlier historical recurrences—with milestones such as the emergence of coinage and trade networks. Related Reading: Dogecoin Rally On Thin Ice: Analyst Predicts Sudden Shakeout In his view, that backdrop reinforces the plausibility of another speculative wave. A logarithmic review of Dogecoin’s price history, he said, shows three prior “parabolic” expansions separated by lengthening consolidation phases; the current basing structure, including what he described as an ascending W-pattern supported by long-term moving averages, could precede a fourth. “Just based off of that it looks like we may be due for another one of these parabolic moves up in the next few months,” he said, while conceding that “just because I think it doesn’t mean it’s going to happen.” He further projected that a Dogecoin exchange-traded fund “will get approved” and place the asset “in the spotlight,” though he did not provide documentation beyond his expectation. Burns also contrasted Dogecoin’s relative resilience on its Bitcoin ratio with altcoins that have reverted to prior ranges, arguing that structural holding above pre-2020 levels supports his thesis. Summarizing his outlook, Burns reiterated what he called the “inevitability of Dogecoin going to $1,” framing that level as the maximal target in his public analysis for the forthcoming cycle. The timing, he implied, hinges on the interplay between tokenomics-driven accumulation and the unfolding of the transits he tracks. “I do think it’s going to moon,” he concluded. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The Dogecoin price is on a fresh bullish path after surging past $0.26 over the weekend, igniting a new wave of optimism across the cryptocurrency market. As the meme coin regains momentum, one analyst is calling for a massive 2,600% surge that could take Dogecoin to a $1 trillion market cap and $6 price target this cycle. Analyst Sees Dogecoin Price Hitting $6.9 Soon Dogecoin has once again captured market attention with a powerful weekend rally that saw its price breaking above the $0.26 mark. This explosive movement came as renewed enthusiasm for the meme coin swept through the crypto market, bringing fresh momentum ahead of a possible breakout. Related Reading: This Fibonacci Level Puts The Dogecoin Price Above $10 This Cycle In an X social media post on July 17, just days ahead of the weekend, crypto analyst Kaleo predicted that Dogecoin is setting the stage for an almost 2,600% surge in this cycle. The analyst has also set a bullish target of $6.942 for Dogecoin, a massive leap from its current price of $0.27. Adding to the hype, Kaleo believes DOGE could eventually reach a $1 trillion market capitalization, marking an increase of over 2,350% from its current valuation of $40.8 billion. While his projections appear ambitious, they tap into the broader narrative that meme coins have transcended their joke origins to become digital assets with real value and utility. Throughout the bear market, Dogecoin has maintained a loyal following and consistent visibility, outlasting numerous tokens that faded into irrelevance. This sustained presence, combined with its cultural impact and bullish historical performance, has reinforced the idea that, despite its speculative nature, meme coins hold real and lasting value in the digital asset market. Although Kaleo’s ultra-bullish projection for the Dogecoin price and market cap this cycle has been met with varying degrees of skepticism and uncertainty, the market expert remains confident in his outlook. When a community member described his forecast as “a bit excessive,” Kaleo firmly responded that it was “not at all”. Dogecoin Set To Plummet Before Next Target In other news, crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade announced that Dogecoin appears to be following a classic bullish reversal pattern, as it completes a textbook Double Bottom formation on the daily chart. The meme coin broke out above the neckline resistance near $0.25, confirming the bullish structure that has apparently been developing since February. According to the expert, this breakout aligns with earlier predictions, particularly as the pattern began to take clearer shape during the June and July rallies. Related Reading: Dogecoin Returns To December 2020 Levels, Is Another 36,000% Rally Possible? As with Double Bottom patterns, Trader Tardigrade predicts that a temporary decline to the neckline, serving as the new support, is highly likely. If this scenario unfolds as stated, Dogecoin is then forecasted to surge to its next short-term target of $0.476, representing a more than 76% increase from current levels. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin begins the new trading week in an unusually precarious spot on its higher‑time‑frame chart: technically triumphant, yet visibly stretched. A cluster of weekly studies shared by pseudonymous market technician Cantonese Cat shows the meme‑coin pressing into resistance after an abrupt two‑week rally that added roughly 80 percent from the June lows. The analyst cautions that the move, though structurally bullish, may require a brief pullback to consolidate before further gains. Dogecoin Overextended? On the logarithmic Fibonacci retracement drawn across the 2024–25 range, last week’s candle managed to close marginally above the 0.618 level at $0.262 — a zone that has capped every breakout attempt since January. The close was technically significant: in classical market geometry, recapturing the 61.8 percent retrace often signals a transition from recovery to trend expansion. Related Reading: Dogecoin Erupts Past $0.23—Analyst Predicts Next Price Targets “It broke above the 0.618 log fib which can use a bullish back‑test,” Cantonese Cat observed, adding that a return to that same area “would flush back down to back‑test” the double‑bottom that formed around $0.15 earlier in the quarter. The Bollinger‑Band panel underscores the risk of near‑term mean‑reversion. Dogecoin’s weekly close at $0.267 is the first in eleven months to settle outside the upper band, which currently sits near $0.262. Such closes are rare on a high‑time‑frame chart and are typically followed by at least one candle that re‑enters the bands. “It’s above the Bollinger band,” the analyst notes. Historically, Dogecoin has struggled to maintain altitude when that spread becomes extreme, often retreating to the middle band — now near $0.19 — or, in stronger cycles, to the upper band itself on the subsequent week. The Ichimoku snapshot tells a similar story of progress meeting inertia. Price has vaulted both the conversion line (Tenkan‑sen) and the baseline (Kijun‑sen), confirming bullish momentum on those metrics, but remains pinned beneath the underside of the weekly cloud. The Senkō Span B that defines that lower cloud boundary sits around $0.28–$0.29, almost exactly where Dogecoin stalled on the final trading day of last week. Related Reading: Dogecoin Whale Bets $21 Million After $2.14M Profit – What’s Going On? Cantonese Cat labels that area “Ichimoku cloud resistance” and warns that until a decisive close pierces the cloud, the level should be treated as supply. A brief dip, therefore, would allow the Kijun‑sen (roughly $0.23) and the 0.618 Fibonacci level to compress into a confluence that could provide the next higher low. Supporting that idea is the supply‑demand band highlighted in grey on the fourth chart. It spans approximately $0.24 to $0.25 and corresponds to the base of February’s breakdown range. In chart‑pattern terms, the area acts as the neckline of the double‑bottom Cantonese Cat references. A retracement into that former resistance‑turned‑support could satisfy both the Fibonacci back‑test requirement and the Bollinger re‑entry, while leaving the broader reversal structure intact. The analyst sketches exactly that path on the chart: a pullback into the grey zone, followed by a renewed advance toward the mid‑$0.30s. Importantly, none of these observations undermine the longer‑term shift in market structure. The double‑bottom around $0.15 resolved higher in July with a weekly candle that engulfed eleven weeks of prior supply, signalling a change of control from sellers to buyers. The most recent candles, though smaller, have held every gain from that breakout. As the analyst summarizes: “Overall, these are very bullish developments, even if it dips down early this week to reset some technicals.” At press time, DOGE traded at $0.277. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst MMBTtrader has predicted that the Dogecoin price could record a 60% rally from its current level. He highlighted an ascending channel that the foremost meme coin needs to break above to witness this massive uptrend. Dogecoin Price Eyes 60% Rally To $0.4 In a TradingView post, MMBTtrader predicted that the Dogecoin price could rally to as high as $0.4 once it breaks above the ascending channel at around $0.243. He claimed that with good volume, the market will pump nonstop. The analyst is confident that this will happen, declaring that the breakout will be huge and that a 60% rally is a likely target. Related Reading: This Fibonacci Level Puts The Dogecoin Price Above $10 This Cycle MMBTtrader also stated that the market would be extremely bullish if the Dogecoin price should rally to this $0.4 target. He predicted that the $0.75 and $1 price levels will be in sight once DOGE reaches $0.4. A rally to these $0.75 and $1 targets would mark new all-time highs (ATHs) for the leading meme coin. DOGE has sometimes lagged behind other meme coins. However, the crypto analyst expects the Dogecoin price to pump massively this time and be “a leader of memes for weeks.” The meme coin looks to be already leading the way, standing out as one of the top gainers during the current crypto market rally. The Dogecoin price has broken above the psychological $0.2 level and looks ready to reach new highs in the coming weeks, with a break above the $0.42 level, MMBTtrader highlighted. Fundamentals, such as the potential launch of Dogecoin ETFs, could serve as a tailwind for higher prices. Bloomberg analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas predict there is a 90% chance the SEC will approve these funds this year. Only A Matter Of Time For DOGE In an X post, crypto analyst Kevin Capital remarked that it is only a matter of time before the Dogecoin price makes its move back up to between $0.28 and $0.30 and then “well beyond.” He added that as long as the Bitcoin price holds up and continues to show strength, this move for DOGE should come sooner rather than later. Related Reading: Dogecoin Returns To December 2020 Levels, Is Another 36,000% Rally Possible? Crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade revealed that the DOGE/BTC pair has formed a Cup-and-Handle pattern and broken out of the trendline. He had noted that this bullish pattern suggests that the meme coin may outperform the flagship crypto. The analyst added that the Dogecoin price has gained strong momentum. This recent analysis echoes an earlier prediction, when Trader Tardigrade also stated that DOGE may soon show a God candle on its BTC pair. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.24, up 14% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
The latest burst of momentum has carried the Dogecoin price through the psychologically significant $0.23 barrier, lifting the spot price to roughly $0.236 at press time and extending a weekly advance of more than 20 percent. The breakout unfolded while Bitcoin continues to consolidate just north of the $120 000 pivot, a level that many market technicians view as decisive for the entire altcoin complex. Technical strategist Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) published a daily DOGE/USD chart via X. In it, Dogecoin’s price action is framed by a multi-month falling-trend line whose boundary was first breached in November last year. Since that escape, price has returned to the diagonal three separate times—each touch ringed by Kevin in orange, signalling what he describes as “textbook post-breakout behaviour.” Related Reading: This Fibonacci Level Puts The Dogecoin Price Above $10 This Cycle “Only a matter of time before #Dogecoin makes its move back up to the .28-.30 level and then well beyond,” he wrote. “As long as BTC holds up and keeps showing strength this should come sooner rather than later.” Dogecoin Price Targets Kevin’s roadmap is built around a dense cluster of Fibonacci retracements that dominate the right margin of his chart. Immediate resistance lies at the 0.618 and 0.65 retracement bands—approximately $0.261 and $0.285, respectively—followed by 0.703 at $0.329 and the 0.786 level at $0.413. Lower down, the 0.5 retracement at $0.190 has acted as a floor throughout July, while 0.382 at $0.138 marks the last line of defence for medium-term bulls. Beyond the classical retracement grid, Kevin projects an aggressive trio of Fibonacci extension lines—1.618 ($3.97), 1.65 ($4.33) and 1.703 ($5.00)—arguing that Dogecoin’s “thin-air zone” above last cycle’s peak could enable a parabolic overshoot if liquidity conditions mirror those of 2021. He stresses, however, that such targets “remain contingent on Bitcoin punching through $120,000-$123,000 and, ideally, sprinting toward $140,000-$150,000 where overhead supply thins out dramatically.” “People are already forgetting that #BTC drives this market and if BTC goes down it will all go down. … BTC needs to break $123,274—point-blank period. I don’t like the moseying around at this level for too long.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Poised For A Monster Rally Amid Brewing Altcoin Season For now, Bitcoin’s sideways grind below its all-time high has tempered altcoin exuberance. The macro picture is complicated by the fact that, as Kevin notes, “BTC, Total 2, ETH, and many other Alts are at major resistance levels—so do not try and be a hero here. If you missed the lows, that’s unfortunate, but do not FOMO at major resistance.” Should Bitcoin deliver the breakout the analyst community is looking for, the DOGE/BTC pair could accelerate sharply, validating Kevin’s view that the memecoin is “playing catch-up” and may be poised for an outsized percentage move once the broader market trend resumes. With Dogecoin now perched on the lip of its 0.618–0.65 resistance shelf, traders are watching for a daily close above $0.285 to confirm the next leg higher. Failure to hold the wedge top near $0.19 would, by contrast, postpone the bullish narrative and leave the post-breakout retest zone vulnerable. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.242. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst DOGECAPITAL has drawn attention to a Fibonacci level, which suggests that the Dogecoin price could rally above $10 in this bull run. The analyst noted that DOGE previously reached this Fibonacci level, which suggests it may do so again in this cycle. Dogecoin Price Eyes Rally Above $10 With This Fibonacci Level In an X post, DOGECAPITAL predicted that the Dogecoin price could rally above $10 if it reaches the 423.6% Fibonacci level. The analyst used the Fibonacci tool to highlight the fact that both the first and second DOGE cycles topped at the 423.6% level. Based on this, the foremost meme coin could reach this level, surpassing the $10 target. Related Reading: Dogecoin Returns To December 2020 Levels, Is Another 36,000% Rally Possible? Interestingly, DOGECAPITAL noted that should history repeat itself, the Dogecoin price could rally to as high as $36, which is where the 423.6% is. This could mark the potential top for the meme coin in this cycle. The analyst also confirmed that DOGE is nowhere near its top in this third cycle based on the historical timing of past cycles. If this historical pattern keeps playing out, DOGECAPITAL predicts that the projected top for the Dogecoin price could occur around the final week of October. The analyst also believes that the market has entered DOGE season with Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs (ATHs) and the meme coin currently sitting near key support. However, despite the current bullish sentiment in the crypto market, it is worth noting that the Dogecoin price is still sitting just below the psychological $0.2 level. As such, this raises doubts about whether the DOGE season has truly begun. Crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade stated that the DOGE/BTC chart may show a God candle this season, which would kickstart the DOGE season. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Kevin Capital noted that the DOGE/BTC chart is sitting in a historical zone of support. He added that the monthly time frame indicators are also fully reset, providing the best setup for the Dogecoin price. DOGE Eyes Rally To $0.25 In The Short Term In an X post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez predicted that the Dogecoin price could rally to $0.25 in the short term. Alluding to DOGE’s daily chart, Martinez stated that the meme coin is trading within a channel and that it just bounced off the bottom. He added that a buying spike at this level could send DOGE to the top of the channel at $0.25. Related Reading: Analysts Predict Major Dogecoin Price Rally After Breaking 50-Day Trendline This level is significant as it marked the last local top for the Dogecoin price. As such, a successful break above this level could lead to higher prices for the meme coin. Meanwhile, Trader Tardigrade stated that DOGE’s daily RSI might find support soon, completing a healthy pullback and preparing for a new surge. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.19, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
In livestream that stretched beyond the hour‑mark, technical analyst Kevin (Kev Capital TA) laid out the most compelling bullish case for Dogecoin since the meme‑coin’s April lows. Speaking to a cross‑platform audience, Kevin argued that the market is standing “right on the verge of a genuine altcoin season,” and that the textbook double‑bottom visible on Dogecoin’s higher‑time‑frame chart positions the asset for what he called “a monster move” once resistance levels yield. Dogecoin Chart Turns Bullish Kevin began by situating Dogecoin inside a broader macro chessboard. This week’s cascade of inflation data—CPI and PPI prints bracketed by near‑continuous Federal Reserve commentary—could inject volatility, he conceded, but the direction of trend is already set by structural forces. “Trueflation is sitting at 1.71 percent,” he noted, adding that the crowdsourced gauge routinely prints about sixty to seventy basis points beneath official Bureau of Labor Statistics data. “Anything under two is good. It means inflation isn’t the story.” Related Reading: Fibonacci Maps Dogecoin Path To $23—Is It Too Far-Fetched? With macro risks in check, his focus narrowed to USDT dominance, the metric he has used all cycle to time rotations into riskier assets. Tether’s market‑share chart has completed a bear‑flag breakdown and is now pressing the 0.786 Fibonacci support band at roughly 4.14 percent. “When money‑flow is deep red on USDT‑D, that’s the green light for altcoins,” he said, emphasising that fresh downside in the stablecoin gauge would coincide almost mechanically with upside in DOGE. A hotter‑than‑expected CPI could deliver a short, counter‑trend bounce in USDT‑D, “but the path of least resistance is lower,” he insisted. The anchor for Kevin’s bullish thesis is an unmistakable double‑bottom on Dogecoin’s weekly chart that formed exactly on the macro 0.382 retracement of the 2024–25 advance and directly atop a multi‑year down‑trend line. “Flip the chart upside‑down,” he told viewers, “and you’d run from it—it looks like a perfect double‑top. Flip it back and it’s a gift.” Volume profiles confirm the pattern: sellers exhausted themselves on the second dip, while relative‑strength momentum created a higher low, an early signal that bulls are wresting control. Kevin’s conviction draws added weight from what is unfolding in the aggregate altcoin indices. Total 3—market‑cap ex‑Bitcoin and ex‑Ether—has slammed into a resistance “yellow box” that capped rallies all spring, yet the analyst believes the ceiling will crack soon. A pending daily golden cross on Total 2 (market‑cap ex‑Bitcoin) marks the fourth of the cycle; each prior cross generated a brief pullback of 9‑19 percent before giving way to fresh highs. “Golden crosses are lagging, so you manage risk here—pay yourself a little—but the trend is higher once the dust settles,” he said. For Dogecoin specifically, Kevin identified a hierarchy of breakout objectives: the local range high at $0.21, the $0.48 pivot from 2024, and the former all‑time high near $0.74. Beyond that he flagged extensions at $1.32 and $2.00, noting that targets lose utility if projected too far in advance. “We analyse the here and now; we let the chart earn the next level,” he cautioned, before reminding newcomers that DOGE is already a ten‑bagger off its June 2024 trough—a feat matched by few large‑cap tokens. Related Reading: Dogecoin To $3.94 This Cycle? This Chart Says It’s No Meme While audience questions repeatedly drifted towards Elon Musk and X and Tesla integration rumors, Kevin waved off the cult of personality. “Dogecoin doesn’t need Elon,” he said bluntly. The meme‑coin’s 10× rebound happened “with zero help from the world’s richest man,” and any future endorsement would likely serve as accelerant rather than spark. What matters, in his view, is liquidity: specifically, the Federal Reserve’s balance‑sheet trajectory and the timing of its eventual pivot away from quantitative tightening. “When QT ends, Bitcoin dominance tops. Then you get the real alt‑season,” he said, pointing to a perfect inverse correlation between Fed asset‑runoff periods and historical altcoin booms. Ending the session, the analyst projected that a decisive weekly close above Bitcoin’s 1.886 fib at $120,000—and a simultaneous rollover in USDT dominance—would ignite the next leg. In that scenario, Dogecoin’s double‑bottom would evolve into a full trend‑reversal, vaulting price into territory last visited during the meme‑mania of 2021. “You haven’t seen anything yet,” he concluded. “Stay calm, stay cool, and let the chart do the work.” At press time, DOGE traded at $0.19126. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The Dogecoin weekly structure is once again the talk of Crypto-Twitter after pseudonymous technician Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) published a logarithmic Fibonacci road-map for the meme-coin’s fourth bull cycle. The chart, built on TradingView and shared on 13 July, anchors the entire 2021–2022 range and projects both horizontal retracement levels and upward-sloping Fib-channels, offering a granular set of targets. Dogecoin To $23? At Friday’s close DOGE changed hands near $0.20, almost exactly against the 0.5 retracement line, highlighted on the graphic at $0.19049. The overlay shows price compressing inside a three-year ascending channel whose lower rail has provided support since the June 2022 capitulation. Volatility has been fading inside that corridor, shaping a broadening wedge that has so far respected every golden-ratio diagonal printed on the chart. Related Reading: Dogecoin To $3.94 This Cycle? This Chart Says It’s No Meme Cantonese Cat’s horizontal grid begins with the cycle floor—Fib 0 at $0.04909—and climbs through a dense cluster of intermediate resistances: 0.618 at $0.26232, 0.707 at roughly $0.33, 0.786 at $0.41368 and 0.886 at $0.54253. The 1.0 line—Dogecoin’s May 2021 macro-top—is fixed at $0.73905 and forms the upper boundary of what the analyst calls “the first liquidity wall.” Above it, blue extensions extend far beyond previous cycle extremes: 1.272 at $1.54518, 1.414 at $2.27089 and 1.618 at $3.94842. Super-cycle projections appear at 2.0 ($11.12397) and the headline-grabbing 2.272 extension at $23.25744—levels the trader himself stresses are “purely imaginative unless unprecedented liquidity flows in.” Golden channels running diagonally across the whole canvas translate the same ratios into time-adjusted dynamic support and resistance. Internal rails marked 0.236 and 0.382 have repeatedly capped minor rallies since mid-2022, while the 0.5 diagonal is now acting as an inflection point underneath spot price. The current weekly candle is probing that rail from above, echoing the analyst’s separate Ichimoku view that DOGE is “still under Tenkan resistance” and “will probably close the week right around 20 cents, then fight another day to push through resistance later. I don’t think we’ll get past this level on its first try.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Chart Is ‘One Of The Best’ In Crypto—$1 Remains Likely: Analyst The longer-term backdrop that keeps the feline strategist constructive is visible on the two-month chart. There, DOGE has printed what fellow technician @ManehattanStonk labels a “rising three methods” formation—a bullish continuation pattern that Cantonese Cat notes is “playing out alongside XLM.” Volume dynamics appear to support the thesis: in another post the analyst calls recent selling “pathetic” and argues: “Who’s selling DOGE? Nobody important. Sell volume’s pathetic. All it takes is just some volume to come in and this thing will pump to the moon.” Whether that pump can realistically reach the 2.272 extension—and thus the meme-laden target of $23—is the question that triggered the thread. Cantonese Cat’s answer is blunt: “I don’t think it’s going to $23 this cycle.” The comment underscores his broader point that Fibonacci projections, while mathematically neat, are ultimately hostage to liquidity conditions no one can forecast. The $3.94 region—marked by the 1.618 Fibonacci extension—stands out as a credible upside target. Analyst Kevin notes that in every previous bull cycle, Dogecoin ultimately advanced to this very extension. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.20575. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst TradingShot has drawn attention to a bullish pattern for Dogecoin, indicating that a significant price surge is on the horizon. The analyst suggested that this could be the final leg up for the foremost meme coin and advised market participants not to miss it. Dogecoin Eyes Parabolic Rally With Megaphone Pattern In a TradingView post, TradingShot predicted that Dogecoin could rally to as high as $1.25. He noted that the meme coin has been trading in a bullish Megaphone pattern within a channel up. The analyst added that the recent rebound on June 16 on the weekly MA200 is a higher low at the bottom of both patterns. Related Reading: Machine Learning Algorithm Predicts Dogecoin Price To Jump Double-Digits To $0.2 With the 1-week Relative Strength Index (RSI) also rebounding on its long-term support zone, TradingShot declared that Dogecoin is most likely at the start of a new bullish leg. He noted that this could be the final rally that will shape this cycle’s top. Meanwhile, the analyst claimed that DOGE is targeting $1.25 because the previous two bullish legs peaked on the 3.618 Fibonacci extension of the last decline. He told market participants that they can settle for $0.8 if they wish to pursue a target within the Channel up. A rally to both $0.8 and $1.25 would mark new all-time highs (ATHs) for Dogecoin, whose current ATH is at $0.73. His accompanying chart showed that DOGE could reach these targets in the first half of next year. Dogecoin is expected to maintain a steady climb from now till then as it reaches those targets. The meme coin has already begun another uptrend following Bitcoin’s rally to a new ATH. DOGE has again reclaimed the $ 0.20 psychological price level and could potentially reach its last local high at around $0.26. DOGE Against Its Bitcoin Pair In an X post, crypto analyst Kevin Capital stated that the DOGE/BTC chart is sitting in a historical zone of support with the monthly time frame indicators fully reset. The analyst indicated that this was possibly the best setup for Dogecoin, one that could spark a massive run for the meme coin. Related Reading: Analysts Predict Major Dogecoin Price Rally After Breaking 50-Day Trendline Meanwhile, crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade stated that the Dogecoin-to-Bitcoin chart might show a God candle this month. This God candle could spark a DOGE season, when the meme coin is expected to outperform the flagship crypto. The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that DOGE could rally to as high as $9 during this period. Meanwhile, he highlighted the $0.2 support level as being crucial for this lift-off for the meme coin. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.2, up almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin hovered near $0.20 on Friday, nursing a weekly gain of about 17 percent and a 24-hour trading volume above $2 billion as traders digested a late-June livestream by technical analyst Kevin, who argued that the meme-coin’s structure “has to be one of the best-looking altcoin charts out there.” Dogecoin Double Bottom Could Trigger $1 During the one-hour session Kevin highlighted a textbook double-bottom that printed on Dogecoin’s weekly chart exactly at the confluence of the 200-week simple and exponential moving averages, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the 2023–2025 advance, and a long-term up-trend line dating back to the 2022 bear-market trough. Entering at that zone, he said, “the risk-reward here is phenomenal,” noting that a tight stop just below the cluster implied limited downside while upside targets stretched toward the previous cycle’s highs. Kevin told viewers the weekly momentum profile supports a larger breakout. Money-flow on Market Cipher is curling higher for the first time in more than a year; the MACD is preparing to cross bullish from a higher low; and the stochastic RSI has turned up from mid-range. On the monthly chart, relative strength continues to print higher highs and higher lows, and the stock-RSI “is hanging on, ready to push back up,” he said, adding that the entire structure “looks freakin’ great” for a sustained move once Bitcoin clears its own resistance band near $116,000. Related Reading: Dogecoin To $3.94 This Cycle? This Chart Says It’s No Meme His price map for the coming months begins with a purple resistance box between $0.94 and $1.31—the 2021 peak plus the 1.618 extension of the 2022–24 base. “I’d be pretty shocked if Dogecoin can’t at least tag 94 cents,” Kevin said, stressing that a decisive break of a dollar would likely attract a new wave of retail traders and algorithmic trend-followers. He stopped short of offering an end-of-cycle target, but insisted “$1 remains likely,” conditional on Bitcoin extending toward the $150,000 region and—crucially—on macro tail-winds such as an end to quantitative tightening by the Federal Reserve. Even so, Kevin warned against complacency. Dogecoin’s intraday spike coincided with Bitcoin’s test of a major Fib cluster at $116,000, while USDT dominance hit golden-pocket support—levels that could spark a near-term cooldown. “Don’t be fooled by green candles,” he said, reminding viewers that meme-coins “can get crushed even in bull markets” and advising strict risk management: take partial profits after big thrusts, move stops to break-even, and “rinse and repeat.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Resistance Walls Ahead: Analyst Flags 3 Key Levels Beyond pure chart work, Kevin framed Dogecoin as a perpetual beneficiary of retail psychology. “You can walk into any gas station and someone owns Doge,” he quipped. “It’s the retail darling—it always will be—especially when new money shows up with deeper pockets than last time.” For now, price action is validating that thesis. If the double-bottom holds and macro conditions align, the analyst argues, Dogecoin could once again headline the next alt-season—this time with a dollar tag that traders in the last cycle could only meme about. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.1978. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a monthly chart shared on July 8, crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) outlined a long-term bullish thesis for Dogecoin (DOGE), identifying a clear historical pattern that may signal the next major leg in its price trajectory. The focal point of the chart is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension—used as a key projection level—which Kevin implies is Dogecoin’s next major upside target. Based on the chart, this level corresponds to $3.94. History Says Dogecoin Will Hit $3.94 Dogecoin’s price action has followed a remarkably consistent macro-pattern across three major market phases. In each, DOGE formed a clear descending wedge, followed by an impulsive breakout and parabolic rally. These structures are annotated in yellow on the chart and preceded both the 2017 and 2021 bull runs. The most recent wedge breakout completed in November last year, with a retest of the breakout currently taking place. Kevin marks two historical Fibonacci extension levels that were reached following previous consolidations. Both peaked near the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of their respective bases—a common target for extended bullish moves in technical analysis. For the current structure, this places DOGE’s long-term Fibonacci target near $3.94, which would represent a roughly 2,218% move from the current price around $0.17. Related Reading: Chartist Slams Misleading Dogecoin Analysis: ‘Focus On This Instead’ Indicators further support the notion of a long-term base having formed. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) on the monthly chart has just reclaimed the neutral 50 zone, currently sitting at 50.39, a signal often interpreted as the transition from bearish to bullish control. In prior cycle, the monthly RSI always topped above 90. Notably, the monthly RSI is also in an uptrend since mid-2022, respecting the yellow trendline drawn by the analyst. A significant confluence comes from the Stochastic RSI, which has just completed a bottoming crossover in the oversold region. The last time this occurred, in early 2020, Dogecoin followed with a parabolic surge. This same dynamic now appears to be setting up again, echoing the previous cycle. Also noteworthy is the chart’s structural emphasis on 0.382 Fibonacci retracement support, currently plotted at $0.13778, from which Dogecoin appears to be bouncing. This aligns with the green supertrend support, suggesting a critical local floor has been found. Related Reading: The $1 Dogecoin Dream Is Alive: Chartist Lays Out Parabolic Scenario While the purple zones on the chart above $0.50 are not formal price targets, Kevin clarified in a response to a community member that they are key resistance zones—intermediary checkpoints before DOGE can make a full move toward its final Fibonacci extension. These zones span from approximately $1.00 to $1.20 as well as from $2.30 to $2.50, and eventually up toward the $3.94 range. Kevin emphasized that “as well as Dogecoin has done this cycle especially compared to other altcoins, it still has not even come close to what it is capable of. That will change in the right environment.” He further noted that Dogecoin has already seen a 10x move from its bear market low to the local highs, but believes “there’s still work to do” when the cycle of quantitative tightening by the US Federal Reserve ends. The chart and commentary triggered a strong community reaction. Users like @MonetaryRegimee declared “We always hit the 1.618,” to which Kevin replied, “Typically yes,” reinforcing his confidence in the fractal repetition. Others described the current price action as “the calm before the storm.” Whether Dogecoin ultimately fulfills its fractal-driven destiny toward $3.94 remains to be seen. But the historical technical symmetry laid out by Kevin’s chart offers a compelling case that DOGE’s long-term rally may be far from over. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.174. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin may be gearing up for its next breakout. After holding firm near $0.17 on the weekly chart, DOGE recently bounced off key Fibonacci and trendline support, hinting at renewed bullish potential. With its 200‑week moving average offering steady support and price comfortably above the ascending channel, technicals suggest the setup is aligning. If the recent dip toward the 200 MA on the M15 chart proves to be a low-risk entry, this could set the stage for a retest of the $0.16490 resistance, and possibly more. Rejection At Resistance, But Technicals Still Favor Bulls In a recent analysis shared on X, Thomas Anderson presented a detailed breakdown of DOGE/USD price action across the M15 and M30 timeframes. According to the expert, Dogecoin is currently trading at $0.17043, and the price is facing rejection at the yellow horizontal resistance line around $0.16490. The price action shows consolidation just below this key level, signaling indecision among traders. Related Reading: Analysts Predict Major Dogecoin Price Rally After Breaking 50-Day Trendline Anderson pointed out that the 200 MA (red line) is acting as dynamic support from below, helping to anchor the price during the current consolidation phase. This moving average support provides bulls the foundation to regain control if momentum shifts in their favor. On the M30 chart, Anderson noted that the broader bullish structure remains intact, with DOGE price holding above the ascending trendline. This technical pattern suggests continued optimism for upward movement, provided the price does not break below key support areas. Thomas Anderson concluded that any pullback toward the 200 MA on the M15 timeframe could offer a buying opportunity, particularly for traders eyeing a retest of the $0.16490 resistance. Dogecoin Weekly Chart Echoes Elliott Theory’s Bullish Blueprint Taking a closer look at Dogecoin’s weekly chart, crypto analyst Andrew observed a notable long-term wave structure unfolding. He explained that over the past three years, DOGE has completed a five-wave impulse to the upside, which was followed by a typical ABC correction, consistent with Elliott Wave theory. Related Reading: Dogecoin (DOGE) Eyes Breakout — Can Bulls Unleash the Next Surge? Andrew further noted that price found a strong reaction at the 0.786 Fibonacci level, marked by a light blue line, which traces the retracement from the entire upward move. This reaction suggests that DOGE may have reached a critical support area, where buyers could begin stepping in. With this in mind, Andrew believes the current structure appears to be forming a larger 1-2 setup, which could lead to a powerful Wave 3 advance. If this pattern plays out, it may signal the start of a new bullish phase with the potential to break beyond previous highs. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Technical analyst Kevin, better known on X as @Kev_Capital_TA, rekindled debate over Dogecoin’s market structure on Sunday when he urged traders to ignore the “non-stop TA on DOGE for engagement purposes” and to concentrate on the two signals that have guided the meme-coin’s price for more than two years. “Not much has changed for Dogecoin here,” he wrote. “Don’t let the other analysts on this platform flood you with non stop TA on DOGE for engagement purposes. We know what to watch for here.” Dogecoin’s Fate Hinges On This Kevin’s view hinges on the weekly chart he posted on 26 June. At that time, Dogecoin (DOGE) was hovering near $0.166—and, according to his chart, sitting directly on an ascending support cluster that has defined every major move since the 2022 bear-market washout. “Looking at Dogecoin on the weekly time frame,” he said, “you can see that ever since the bear market breakout on the weekly RSI back in 2022, any time DOGE has hit that level again—which has happened five times now—Doge has gone on to see major bounces. A failure of this weekly RSI level along with a failure of the $0.143-$0.127 level would be the line in the sand between longer term bearish price action or continued bull.” Related Reading: The $1 Dogecoin Dream Is Alive: Chartist Lays Out Parabolic Scenario The chart shows Dogecoin sitting just millimetres above a confluence of the green 0.382 Fibonacci retracement ($0.13778), the upper boundary of a falling trend line that has been in force since May 2021 and the weekly 200 SMA and EMA. Previously, Kevin stated via X: “Weekly 200 SMA and EMA are must holds for Dogecoin along with the macro .382 and down trending support.” Beneath lies the horizontal “line in the sand” at $0.143-$0.127—a zone Kevin has ring-fenced with bold yellow trend lines. Below the price pane, the weekly Relative Strength Index tells an equally focused story. Kevin has drawn a white band just above the 40-line; the yellow RSI profile has now tapped that band five times. Each tag coincided with a price trough circled in orange on the main chart. The oscillator’s simple moving average (plotted in magenta) has curled below 50 but remains above the 40-support, keeping the pattern intact. Related Reading: Dogecoin’s Quiet Setup Could Detonate Shorty, Says Analyst—Here’s The Target Overhead, Kevin’s chart maps a hierarchy of Fibonacci checkpoints: the 0.5 retracement at $0.18988 (red), the tightly stacked 0.618 ($0.26169) and 0.65 ($0.28548) (yellow), and the 0.786 ($0.41317) (blue). Two large violet supply boxes—one between $1.00 and $1.30 and another around $2.20 and $2.70—represent possible bull run targets. Kevin refrains from forecasting how quickly those zones might come into play, emphasising instead that holding the current support cluster is the single prerequisite for any higher-time-frame bullish thesis. The analyst also zoomed out to the broader digital-asset landscape in a Sunday follow-up. “The biggest moves for #Altcoins have yet to occur,” he argued, tying potential break-outs to macro-economic easing. “If the macro leads us to further easing and the market sniffs that out … then the ingredients will be in place for a massive move higher on Alts. Altcoins have always required the proper ingredients to make a sustained out-performance over #BTC for months. We’re closer than many understand; we just need a few more things to fall into place.” For now, Kevin’s message is stripped to its essentials: watch the weekly RSI band and the $0.143-$0.127 price shelf. As long as both survive, the chartist sees no reason to overhaul his structural bias—no matter how crowded the Dogecoin commentary stream becomes. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.172. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The improbable $1 price target for Dogecoin has returned to the spotlight after independent crypto analyst Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) shared a bold new Ichimoku-based projection on July 3. In a chart posted to X, the analyst outlined a parabolic price trajectory for DOGE using 2-week candles, suggesting that the memecoin could begin an explosive ascent in late 2025, eventually reaching the symbolic one-dollar mark. The $1 Dogecoin Dream The projection rests on DOGE’s ability to maintain current bullish structure above the Ichimoku cloud, with a brief retest later this year during liftoff. “DOGE 2-week candles, Ichimoku cloud shown. Why am I buying doge? Because I’m delusional and this is what I’m thinking,” the trader wrote, pairing tongue-in-cheek self-awareness with conviction in a longer-term breakout scenario. At the time of the chart’s publication, Dogecoin was trading at $0.172, up nearly 14% on the fortnight. The price action shows a clean bounce off the top of the green Ichimoku cloud, suggesting that DOGE is holding bullish structure on a high timeframe, a key technical criterion in Ichimoku trend-following theory. Related Reading: Dogecoin’s Quiet Setup Could Detonate Shorty, Says Analyst—Here’s The Target The Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) on the 2-week timeframe, calculated with the traditional 9/26/52/26 settings, shows the Leading Span A (Senkou A) currently above Leading Span B (Senkou B), forming a green cloud—indicative of a bullish trend outlook. DOGE’s price is above the cloud, which acts as dynamic support. This is critical: Ichimoku practitioners consider price above the cloud to be in a bullish regime, especially on higher timeframes. The analyst’s hand-drawn black curve on the chart begins near $0.17 and initially curves downward, touching the upper boundary of the Kumo in the near future, likely near the $0.15–0.16 zone. This suggests an expected retest of the cloud support, a common setup in trend continuation trades. Rather than projecting a breakdown, the curve depicts this contact as a springboard for a rapid vertical rally. Related Reading: Dogecoin Under $0.20 ‘Is Free,’ Says Analyst—Predicts 2,000% Upside Once the price completes its cloud retest, the trajectory steepens dramatically, punching through overhead resistance near $0.29—the approximate flat Kijun-sen level—then continuing past prior 2024 highs. The final stretch of the curve accelerates toward the $1 level sometime in 2026, consistent with the behavior seen in prior memecoin mania phases. Interestingly, Cantonese Cat’s conviction comes despite several bearish near-term signals. Just two days prior to publishing the chart, the analyst wrote: “DOGE closed the month below the 20-month SMA, with a bearish engulfing candle! I would care if the volume wasn’t so pathetic…” That statement acknowledged structural weakness but dismissed it on the basis of low participation, hinting that sellers lacked conviction. The same day, the trader disclosed renewed entries into DOGE and Avalanche, stating, “I don’t know if I’m doing it right, but I bought AVAX and DOGE again this morning.” Broader Context DOGE’s memetic status makes it particularly susceptible to sentiment shifts, and it remains uncorrelated to fundamentals in the traditional sense. Still, in the 2021 and 2024 bull markets, DOGE served as a proxy for retail risk appetite, often outperforming once attention rotated from majors like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The green cloud forecast and the rising trajectory into 2026 may reflect not just technical setups, but a broader cyclical expectation: that another wave of liquidity, speculative mania, or cultural relevance could return DOGE to the spotlight. For now, however, the price must hold the cloud before the market can validate this roadmap. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.1678. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The Dogecoin price may be setting up for a significant rally as a technical analyst identifies a bullish breakout above the 50-day trendline. After months of compressed price action, the meme coin now appears poised to conclude its downtrend, igniting fresh optimism within the crypto community. Dogecoin Price Set For Game-Changing Rally Trader Tardigrade, a crypto market analyst, announced in an X (formerly Twitter) post on July 1 that the Dogecoin price has just broken above a critical 50-day descending trendline on its daily chart. With this new development, the analyst anticipates the potential start of a powerful upward price movement soon. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Retests 100 SMA Again – Here’s What It Means For Price Notably, the trendline breakout marks a significant shift in momentum for Dogecoin, which had been locked in a consistent downtrend over several weeks. The leading meme coin is currently trading at $0.17, having declined by almost 10% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap. With the potential end of this market downturn in sight, Trader Tardigrade suggests that DOGE’s microstructure is now beginning to show early signs of a bullish reversal pattern. In his price chart, the analyst notes that Dogecoin established a higher low, followed by a higher high after its breakout above the long-standing trendline. More recently, a second higher low has formed, reinforcing the possibility that a new uptrend is underway. This structure, characterized by successively higher highs and lows, is often seen as the earliest confirmation that buyers could be regaining control of the market. The breakout is also especially significant because it follows an extended period of lower lows and lower highs, with the 50-day trendline acting as a strong resistance barrier throughout. With that resistance now breached and early signs of a bullish market structure developing, Trader Tardigrade is increasingly optimistic about Dogecoin’s near-term prospects. If the current trend persists, it could signal the start of a sustained rally for the meme coin. Analyst Says Dogecoin Below $0.2 Is Free In a separate analysis, market expert Kaleo disclosed that Dogecoin’s current price below $0.20 presents a strong accumulation opportunity, implying that the meme coin is significantly undervalued when compared to its potential upside. Backing his view with a chart, the analyst projected that the Dogecoin price may be on the verge of a major breakout, with possible upside targets indicating a surge toward $1.5 and possibly beyond $ 3.50. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Rocked By Market Collapse, Analyst Reveals When To Buy Kaleo’s chart analysis highlights strong similarities between Dogecoin’s current market structure, following the April 2024 Bitcoin halving, and the 2020 breakout that preceded the meme coin’s historic bull run. In 2020, Dogecoin traded sideways within a Falling Wedge pattern for months before a breakout triggered a parabolic surge to fresh ATHs. The current price action exhibits a nearly identical setup, with the meme coin now emerging from a similar multi-year Falling Wedge, potentially setting the stage for another historic bull rally. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin was changing hands near $0.174 in European trading on Thursday, extending a two-day rebound that began when buyers twice defended the mid-June floor around $0.16. The 11% recovery since the Tuesday low has put the largest memecoin back on traders’ radars, but technical analyst More Crypto Online cautions that what looks like an impulsive burst is in fact “all corrective in nature,” with the market still trapped inside a complex diagonal wave pattern that could just as easily fail. Dogecoin Is Quietly Coiling For A Potential Breakout In a video update recorded on 2 June, the analyst dissected the one-hour chart and concluded that the advance from the 22 June low is best counted as a three-wave move. “Because wave 1 … was only a three-wave move, the third wave should unfold as an ABC structure,” he said, underscoring that the rally lacks the five-wave DNA of a trend reversal. Even so, as long as Dogecoin defends what he called a “micro-support area between $0.16 and $0.166,” the diagonal remains valid and a measured target at $0.196—the 138 percent Fibonacci extension of wave 1—“remains plausible.” The roadmap is conditional. First, the current A-wave has to finish; then a corrective B-wave should follow, “and in the C-wave we could then rally to round about $0.196.” A probe toward $0.182 before that pullback cannot be ruled out, but the analyst warned viewers not to assume a straight shot higher. “Please be aware that we could be dealing with very choppy and messy structures,” he said. Related Reading: Dogecoin Under $0.20 ‘Is Free,’ Says Analyst—Predicts 2,000% Upside If bulls do force a full five-wave climb from the July swing low, that sequence would mark the first leg of a larger five-wave advance—a textbook signal that the broader down-trend from Dogecoin’s March peak may finally be exhausted. Failure to hold $0.16, however, would invalidate the diagonal count and expose the June lows near $0.151, where on-chain data show a thin layer of spot bids and little derivative support. Market context is mixed. CoinGecko data show Dogecoin’s 24-hour turnover has topped $1.5 billion, roughly in line with last week’s average, while the memecoin’s correlation with Bitcoin has weakened to 0.62, its lowest reading since early May. Related Reading: Dogecoin Under Pressure: Only Top 10 Coin Where Loss-Taking Exceeds Profit In the short term, though, all eyes are on the $0.16 band. As More Crypto Online summed up, “The diagonal pattern basically remains plausible as long as we’re holding that $0.16 level.” Should that floor survive the inevitable B-wave turbulence, Dogecoin’s “quiet setup” might indeed detonate shortly—propelling the token toward $0.196 and potentially signalling a more durable trend change. Notably, the upper boundary of Dogecoin’s long-running descending channel in the daily chart, now situated near $0.20, lines up almost exactly with More Crypto Online’s bullish target. A decisive breakout through this confluence would not only pierce the ceiling that has capped prices since the December 8 high at $0.4843 but could also validate the analyst’s call for a trend reversal. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.174. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin is revisiting a technical juncture it has not seen since the months preceding its 2020–21 parabolic rally, according to a comparative chart published by the pseudonymous analyst Kaleo to his 705,000 followers on X. In the annotated TradingView graphic, weekly candles for DOGE-USD trace two multi-year falling wedge structures—one stretching from the January 2018 high to early 2021, and an almost mirror-image pattern extending from the May 2021 peak until today. History Repeating For Dogecoin? The first wedge resolved in late 2020 with a decisive breakout above a descending trend-line that had capped every rally for more than thirty-six months. Kaleo marks that moment with a yellow label reading “We are here” at roughly $0.003, immediately before the price detonated to the cycle top near $0.75 in May 2021. Related Reading: Dogecoin Under Pressure: Only Top 10 Coin Where Loss-Taking Exceeds Profit The current structure shows the same downward-sloping resistance—now anchored by successive lower highs from $0.16 in late 2022 to $0.11 in late 2023—finally giving way. Since the, DOGE has recorded higher highs in April at $0.22 and in December 2024 at $0.48. Friday’s close printed at $0.1604, still below the psychological $0.20 threshold but fractionally above the dotted secondary resistance that has defined the wedge’s upper boundary since mid-2022. Kaleo’s overlay projects the 2020 breakout trajectory forward in time, mapping a near-vertical thrust from the present $0.16 area to roughly $0.55, a brief consolidation, and a continuation leg that tops close to $3.50. While this upper target hasn’t ever been printed in DOGE’s history, the analyst’s replica path underscores how little overhead structure exists once price escapes the wedge. Related Reading: Dogecoin Flashes Rare Buy Signal—But One Move Could Ruin It A key role in the chart are playing the two vertical dashed lines labeled “BTC Halving”: 12 May 2020 and 21 April 2024. In Kaleo’s read, Dogecoin’s macro reversals are synchronized with Bitcoin’s quadrennial supply shock, implying that the breakout could be a post-halving echo of the 2020 move. Price construction within the wedge also mirrors the earlier cycle: successive lower highs and higher lows compress volatility until an impulsive weekly bar pierces resistance. The horizontal line intersecting the new breakout—will be the first major test of post-wedge momentum. Below, the lower dashed boundary intersects in the region between $0.10 and $0.09; a weekly close beneath that floor would invalidate the fractal. Kaleo distills the setup into a single line: “Dogecoin under 20 cents is free.” On the chart’s scale, the red quote-box at $0.1604 sits a hair’s breadth under the $0.20 psychological band, reinforcing the idea that the risk-to-reward profile remains asymmetric so long as price stays below that number. Whether history rhymes as precisely as the analyst’s fractal suggests will hinge on broader market liquidity and Bitcoin’s dominance, but from a purely structural perspective the meme-coin has already checked the same boxes it did four years ago. And the US Federal Reserve money printer hasn’t even started roaring again. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.161. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin appears to be in the midst of a quiet accumulation phase, with a technical setup that may soon shift market sentiment. As highlighted by Crypto Man MAB, a double bottom pattern is taking shape on the weekly chart — a structure often associated with strong trend reversals. Structure Aligns With Sentiment: Is Dogecoin Poised For A Comeback? According to Crypto Man MAB in a recent post on X, Dogecoin appears to be setting the stage for a potential upward move, with a classic double-bottom pattern taking shape on the weekly chart. This pattern, often seen as a signal of a bullish reversal, has caught the attention of traders who are closely watching for confirmation. The current chart structure suggests that Dogecoin could be gearing up for a significant trend shift, provided the conditions align in favor of the bulls. Related Reading: Spot Dogecoin ETF Gains SEC Traction—Is A Price Surge Next? At the center of this formation is the key support level at $0.142, which Crypto Man MAB emphasized as being critical to the potential breakout. This level was previously tested and held by bulls back in April 2025, demonstrating its strength as a defensive zone. If the support holds and bullish momentum continues to build, Crypto Man MAB pointed out that the next major focus will be on the neckline resistance around $0.26. A successful breakout above this point could validate the double-bottom pattern and open the door for a rally toward the $0.47 target. Downtrend Fatigue Sets In—Will The Bulls Take Over? Crypto Man MAB further noted that the ADX indicator, which is currently trending downward, signals a weakening of the recent downtrend from the neckline resistance. A slowdown in trend strength often precedes a shift in direction, and in this case, it supports the idea that Dogecoin could be preparing for a reversal. Related Reading: Dogecoin Sets The Stage For A Liftoff With Key Reversal Pattern At the same time, attention has turned to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is hovering just below the neutral 50 level. While there are signs of increased buying interest, the RSI has yet to cross into bullish territory. Crypto Man MAB indicated that a decisive move above the 50 mark would significantly reinforce the bullish scenario, increasing the likelihood of a sustained rally. Until then, some sideways consolidation around the $0.142 support level remains possible. In conclusion, Crypto Man MAB believes Dogecoin is at a critical juncture, buoyed by market optimism surrounding the potential approval of a spot DOGE ETF. With both retail traders and larger investors (whales) accumulating at these levels, the stage is set for a possible breakout. Should current technical conditions improve and sentiment remain favorable, the path toward the $0.47 target could soon come into focus. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitwise Asset Management has quietly nudged Dogecoin one step closer to Wall Street’s ETF club, filing an amended S-1 on 26 June that for the first time allows “in-kind” creations and redemptions. The tweak is more than procedural. It lines the proposed Bitwise Dogecoin ETF up with the operational playbook the US Securities and Exchange Commission already blessed for spot-bitcoin and spot-ether products, and it signals that SEC staff are now deep in the weeds on the mechanics of custody and settlement. Signs Point To Dogecoin ETF Approval “Bitwise has filed amended S-1s for their spot Dogecoin ETF and their spot Aptos ETFs. Good signs as it indicates SEC engagement, and tracks with other spot approvals,” Bloomberg Intelligence senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas wrote on X. He underscored the importance of the new language: “One HUGE update to the filing is ‘in-kind’ creations and redemptions… Near-lock at this point that in-kind will be allowed in spot ETFs across board.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Flashes Rare Buy Signal—But One Move Could Ruin It The change matters because in-kind processing lets authorized participants swap DOGE directly for ETF shares (and vice versa) without the tax friction and slippage that accompany the cash-only model imposed on futures-based crypto funds. The SEC’s willingness to consider that structure for a dog-branded altcoin would have seemed fanciful a year ago. It now appears consistent with the regulator’s post-bitcoin-ETF détente, during which issuers also sought in-kind redemptions. Approval odds are converging on the high end of the spectrum. Less than a week ago, Balchunas and fellow analyst James Seyffart raised their probability for “the vast majority” of pending altcoin ETFs—including Dogecoin—to “90 percent or higher,” citing what Seyffart called “very positive” SEC engagement. Related Reading: Dogecoin Crash Far From Over? Analyst Reveals The Target Notably, that optimism has not fully washed into prediction markets: on Polymarket, the contract titled “Doge ETF approved in 2025?” was trading around 69% early Friday morning in Europe, while a shorter-dated line for approval by 31 July priced in barely 13% odds. Dogecoin Price Stalls (For Now) Dogecoin itself has yet to reflect the regulatory tail-wind. The token changed hands near $0.161—down roughly 2% on the day. Technical trader Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) argues that bulls still control the longer-term picture: on his weekly chart, DOGE has respected a momentum breakout line traced back to late-2022 on five separate tests, each time spring-boarding into “major bounces.” He pegs the “line in the sand” at the $0.143–0.127 support band: “ Yet Kevin cautions that meme-coin exuberance ultimately hinges on the Federal Reserve, not tweet-driven hype. In a separate post this week, he noted that fresh highs in bitcoin dominance continue to ride “restrictive monetary policy and an uncertain geopolitical environment.” Alt-season, he wrote, will require the end of quantitative tightening and a tangible decline in the US terminal rate—conditions absent since late-2023 and still distant according to Fed-funds futures. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.16123. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin changed hands near $0.162 in late-European trading on June 26, little changed on the day but still more than 13% above last Sunday’s swing low. Yet beneath that placid price action, the market is balancing on what YouTube analyst More Crypto Online calls “a wait-and-see situation” that could ignite either a decisive upside impulse or a slide back toward $0.14. Dogecoin Teeters On The Edge In a video published yesterday under the headline “Is DOGE About to CRASH or SOAR? Price Analysis & Scenarios,” the Elliott-wave commentator argues that the advance from the June 22 bottom remains incomplete. “The Doge chart is currently still, yeah, trying to reverse here to the upside from the swing low that formed on the 22nd of June,” he says at the outset, stressing that the rise so far is “only a three-wave move.” Because the structure has not yet printed the full five-wave sequence that typically inaugurates a new bullish trend, he cautions traders against assuming the worst is over. Related Reading: Dogecoin Flashes Rare Buy Signal—But One Move Could Ruin It The technician locates that June 22 low inside a demand band between $0.15 and $0.14, a zone that also includes the 78.6 percent Fibonacci retracement of the May–June rally and sits just above April’s cycle through—his hard “invalidation point.” From there, Dogecoin bounced in what he labels an a-b-c recovery, with the third wave peaking at $0.169, exactly the 1.618 Fibonacci extension he looks for in a “healthy third wave.” If price can now carve a fourth-wave higher low and extend to a fifth-wave high near $0.174–$0.177, the analyst says, “we actually get five waves up and then we can add support … and we have a setup.” Until that confirmation, the move remains a “chameleon-like” B-wave—prone to deeper pullbacks than the more bullish wave-two alternative. The line in the sand is $0.158. “Any break now below $0.158 cents would indicate the upside-reversal attempt is failed and we fall back into the support region, maybe we’ll even test the $0.14 level,” he warns. Conversely, holding that micro-support and punching through the $0.17 handle would provide the first “evidence” that a durable bottom has formed. Related Reading: Dogecoin Crash Far From Over? Analyst Reveals The Target The stakes are high because, as the analyst points out, confirmation of a five-wave impulse would force subsequent corrections to respect a higher-low framework, allowing traders to reposition with clearer risk parameters. Failure would likely drag Dogecoin back into the wide consolidation range that has dominated June and risk flipping sentiment toward a protracted downside grind. For now, the memecoin’s near-term fate rests on whether buyers can engineer that final fifth-wave pop without first violating $0.158. “At the moment,” he concludes, “we’re in a wait-and-see situation to see if we actually get five waves up.” Until the chart resolves, Dogecoin remains suspended between a technical breakout and another leg down—boom or bust hinging on a single intraday signal. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.161. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The Dogecoin price is in focus, having closed the daily candle with a Doji. Crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade commented on this development and revealed what it could mean for the foremost meme coin. What’s Next For Dogecoin Price Following Doji Daily Close In an X post, Trader Tardigrade highlighted the fact that the Dogecoin price daily candle closed with a Doji. He remarked that a new sign of a breakout has emerged following a Doji at the end of a downtrend. The analyst noted that this indicates a high possibility of a trend reversal from downtrend to uptrend. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Enters Historical Bounce Zone, But Will This Time Be Different? The Dogecoin price has witnessed a massive decline over the last month, down over 27% during this period, according to CoinMarketCap data. DOGE has dropped way below the psychological $0.2 price level, providing a bearish outlook for the meme coin. However, Trader Tardigrade’s analysis suggested that the meme coin could soon record another massive rally to the upside. The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that the Dogecoin price could reclaim the $0.2 level on this projected trend reversal to the upside. Fundamentals also support a DOGE rally, seeing as tensions in the Middle East have cooled off, with Israel and Iran agreeing to a ceasefire. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin price has again rallied and reclaimed the $106,000 level. This is bullish for the meme coin given its correlation with the flagship crypto. In another X post, Trader Tardigrade provided a bullish outlook for the Dogecoin price, stating that DOGE season could be approaching soon. He revealed that the DOGE/BTC pair has experienced the last shakeout, signaling the start of the meme coin’s season. His accompanying chart showed that Dogecoin could rally above $2 once this DOGE season begins. Key Levels To Watch For DOGE In a YouTube video, crypto analyst Kevin Capital highlighted the range between $0.12 and $0.142 as the key level to watch for the Dogecoin price. The analyst also alluded to DOGE’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), stating that the meme coin cannot afford to drop below 38. He claimed that a drop could lead to the meme coin falling into a bear market structure. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Crash Below $0.2: 4H Order Block Shows Exactly What’s Happening Kevin Capital then highlighted the DOGE/BTC pair, noting that the meme coin is at a critical level that it needs to hold above if it is to outperform Bitcoin later in the year. The analyst expects the meme coin to make a significant run and outperform the flagship crypto when the Fed begins to ease monetary policies. The analyst remarked that a positive for DOGE is that there are bullish indicators flashing for the meme coin on the daily timeframe. At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.16, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin is once again at a technical crossroads, flashing a rare confluence of bullish indicators—but one wrong move could unravel the setup entirely. In his June 24 video analysis, crypto strategist Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) outlined why Dogecoin’s recent bounce from the $0.14 region may mark the beginning of a new uptrend—or the last gasp before breakdown. Dogecoin Hits Critical Zone “We’re hitting a very, very key level, folks,” Kevin stressed. “That being the weekly 200 SMA, the weekly 200 EMA, and again that macro 0.382 Fib.” The confluence of these levels between $0.143 and $0.127 marks what he calls a “make-or-break zone,” and Dogecoin is currently sitting right in the middle of it. The analyst previously entered a swing long position at $0.141, highlighting the area as a strong risk-reward trade zone. “Worst comes to worst, you could throw your stop loss below that level… but the upside is great,” he said. Since then, DOGE has bounced about 6–7%, but the real test lies ahead. Kevin noted that this level has acted as structural support since the end of the 2022–2023 bear market. The macro 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, drawn from Dogecoin’s full bull run top to its bear market bottom, aligns with long-standing trendlines and a weekly demand candle. “This is your zone,” he emphasized. “Mark this off on your charts.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Crash Far From Over? Analyst Reveals The Target Yet despite the recent bounce, Dogecoin remains beneath all its major daily and 4-hour moving averages. The next critical resistance stands at $0.19. “If you can reclaim $0.19 on Dogecoin, you then break back into this range—the $0.19 to $0.26 range,” Kevin explained, calling it the key to any continuation higher. Until then, he cautions against assuming a full reversal is underway: “Let’s not get too crazy here… still a lot of work to do.” The RSI also tells a story. Kevin pointed out that Dogecoin’s weekly RSI has repeatedly bounced off the 38 level throughout the current bull cycle. The coin now hovers just above that zone once again. “Anything below 38 on this weekly RSI is going to be a breakdown of that $0.143 to $0.127 range, which would be very, very sketchy at that point,” he warned. Momentum indicators on multiple time frames are sending mixed signals. The daily chart is flashing oversold conditions, and Kevin’s custom indicator lit up with a buy signal. On the 3-day timeframe, market cipher’s momentum wave is “kind of trying to clip” upward, while money flow is beginning to tick slightly higher. “That three-day candle was very nice,” he added. “That’s the kind you want to see—strong demand candles at major support.” Related Reading: Dogecoin About To Explode? ‘Don’t Send It Too Hard,’ Analyst Warns Still, Kevin urged caution. “If that doesn’t work out and we start to head lower, the daily time frame doesn’t produce the buy signal, doesn’t produce much upside, we start to roll over—then you know your Dogecoin support.” DOGE/BTC Remains The Focus On the DOGE/BTC pair, Kevin noted that Dogecoin has returned to an “orange zone” he previously highlighted as critical support. The strength of that zone may determine whether DOGE can hold relative strength against Bitcoin—or continue to bleed lower as BTC dominance increases. “Doge will follow Bitcoin at the end of the day,” he reiterated. “Anyone not doing their Dogecoin analysis in tandem with Bitcoin and USDT dominance—be suspect of that analysis.” Kevin concluded with a warning rooted in experience. “I’ve been in this game a long time. The first move out of these patterns… sometimes it’s the wrong move. It traps people.” While a reversal may be underway, confirmation is everything—and the climb above $0.19 remains the gatekeeper. For now, Dogecoin teeters on the edge. The signals are there—but so is the risk. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.166. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The news that Iran and Israel have agreed to a ceasefire brokered by US President Donald Trump may have marked the bottom for the Dogecoin price. Via X, independent chartist Maelius (@MaeliusCrypto) uploaded a weekly DOGE/USDT study that he believes is tracing an unusually clean, nested 1-2, 1-2 “spring-loaded” Elliott set-up – the kind of formation that often precedes an outsized third-wave rally. “DOGE … Market makers, please, don’t send it too hard,” the analyst joked on 23 June, imploring liquidity desks to let the structure mature before unleashing volatility. Dogecoin Ready To Explode? In Maelius’ count, the second of the two minor wave-twos ended last week when price tagged $0.142 and immediately snapped higher. That inflection, visible on his chart as the tip of a long lower wick, occurred exactly where the 200-week exponential moving average ($0.142) intersects a rising support trend-line that has tracked Dogecoin since late-2023 – a textbook area for long-term money to defend. The bounce printed on Sunday’s weekly close, giving technicians a hard reference point for risk. If the wave map is correct, the composite third wave that now follows could push into the $1.10–$1.30 corridor, Maelius annotates. A fourth-wave pause somewhere near $0.60 would then reset oscillators before a terminal fifth wave above $1.60 completes the cycle. While the analyst stops short of publishing time targets, the price levels are etched in full on the chart, making the roadmap unambiguous. Related Reading: Dogecoin Crash Far From Over? Analyst Reveals The Target Underlying demand is also drawn into the picture. A broad green rectangle labelled “DEMAND” spans roughly $0.12–$0.17. Last week’s wick once again penetrated that zone before reversing, adding statistical weight to its importance. At the bottom of Maelius’ chart lies the WaveTrend Oscillator (WTO), comprising a fast line (WT1), a slow line (WT2) and a histogram that plots their spread. The analyst shades the band between about –60 and –30 in green to denote the oversold floor. Both momentum lines double-bottomed in that zone in autumn 2024 and April this year, immediately before price rocketed higher. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts $4 Dogecoin After Exhausted Selling Phase As of Sunday’s close WT1 prints –18.49 and WT2 –33.21, with the histogram at –22.80. In other words, momentum is cooling but could be reversing as it is touching Maelius’ bottom zone as in previous instances. Sceptics note that a nested 1-2 count can fail if price undercuts the second wave-two, and that liquidity-driven memecoins are intrinsically prone to whipsaw. Even Maelius tempered his enthusiasm in a follow-up exchange when a follower warned of a “choppy summer,” replying: “We are almost in July bro, one or two months of chop not changing anything if [it] happens.” For now the battleground is clear: as long as Dogecoin holds above the converging 200-week EMA–trend-line nexus and the upper rim of the demand zone, the wave thesis remains intact and the next directional verdict will belong to the market rather than the meme. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.1634, up 17% since the bottom on Sunday. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The price of Dogecoin continues to bleed, and crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) warns that the worst may still lie ahead. Citing an earlier bearish pattern, Kevin emphasized over the weekend that Dogecoin’s Head and Shoulders formation—identified nearly two weeks ago—is rapidly approaching its technical “measured move” target. But he also made it clear that the full downside potential has not yet played out. Dogecoin Collapse Far From Over? “I didn’t say we are there now,” Kevin clarified in a follow-up post, “the orange circle represents a zone of where the measured move could go, with a precise measured move target of the .786 fib at .119.” This $0.119 level aligns with a broader confluence of technical supports that are quickly becoming critical for DOGE’s structure. “The Head n Shoulders I pointed out on Dogecoin almost a couple of weeks ago is almost at its measured move target range. Certain daily indicators are also starting to enter inciting levels. Watching closely along with BTC and USDT Dominance for further confirmations,” he wrote. Kevin also highlighted the importance of the weekly 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA), along with the macro .382 Fibonacci retracement and a long-term descending trendline. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts $4 Dogecoin After Exhausted Selling Phase Together, these levels form what he described as the “must-hold” zone, specifically between $0.1434 and $0.1265. A sustained breakdown below that region would likely confirm a macro bearish shift for the meme asset. What To Monitor Now Zooming out, Kevin sees Dogecoin’s fate as inseparably tied to Bitcoin and the wider altcoin market, which he describes as being in its weakest state in years. “So far 2025 has been more bearish for altcoins than 2024 and 2023,” he noted. “Worst year for Alts since the bear market in 2022.” The overwhelming strength of Bitcoin’s dominance has been a key factor in that trend. That dominance, Kevin argues, is not a temporary spike. “Fresh highs for BTC Dominance on the back of restrictive monetary policy and an uncertain geopolitical environment,” he wrote, referring to global macro conditions including persistent quantitative tightening (QT). He has long warned that without a pivot in central bank policy, any talk of a true “altseason” is premature. Related Reading: Dogecoin Looks Like ‘It Wants To Play Dead’—Again “Been saying since late 2023, early 2024—when AI coins were running crazy and people were saying it was #Altseason—that until QT ends and the terminal rate comes down, you will not see real sustainable altcoin outperformance. That continues to hold true.” His caution extends well beyond Dogecoin. In previous posts, Kevin identified key danger zones for Bitcoin and Ethereum, which he argues must be reclaimed to prevent broader market deterioration. “As long as BTC cannot break the $106.8K level and show real follow-through on 3D-1W time frames, then the market is in real danger,” he wrote. “Same for ETH not being able to break the $2700-2800 level.” For Dogecoin traders, the message is clear. The meme coin’s fate rests not just on its own technical health, but on a wider macro and intermarket structure that remains fragile. As long as Bitcoin struggles to hold above key breakout levels and US monetary conditions remain tight, the probability of a deeper Dogecoin correction remains high. Whether DOGE can stabilize above the $0.1265 level will be closely watched by traders in the days and weeks ahead. A loss of that zone, especially in conjunction with renewed Bitcoin weakness, could mark the beginning of a deeper and more painful phase for the once-beloved meme coin. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.152. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin’s six-month consolidation is a coil, not a coffin, according to the pseudonymous technician Cantonese Cat, whose 19 June video marshals multiple time-frame evidence to argue that the meme-coin’s next directional break will be up—potentially as far as $4.13 before the current cycle tops out. Dogecoin Breakout Is Only A Matter Of Time The analyst begins by addressing sentiment. Retail comment threads have turned caustic, he notes, because price has slipped from last autumn’s spike and then “done nothing for months.” Yet such fatigue is precisely what bull-market retracements are meant to produce: “A lot of people are getting really bitter about Doge … that’s exactly how higher highs and higher low type situations are supposed to get you all frustrated. This is still a bull trend until proven otherwise.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Looks Like ‘It Wants To Play Dead’—Again At the highest zoom level, Dogecoin is tracing what he calls “still a cup and … still a handle until proven otherwise.” The first thrust of that handle halted almost exactly at the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the 2022–24 bear range—“a very important fib level here.” Because initial attempts rarely pierce that resistance, he expected rejection. What matters is where the pullback found support: “In the case of Dogecoin, it decided to go all the way down to 0.382, which is nothing unusual … this is actually a pretty important zone of this nice Adam-and-Eve double bottom.” The market is therefore testing, not violating, an historically powerful neckline. Zooming to the monthly chart, Dogecoin sits beneath what the analyst calls “a pretty thick Ichimoku cloud.” Two breakout attempts have failed, producing a pair of wicks that look ominous to casual chart watchers. Cantonese Cat disagrees: “We had a little bit of a false breakout here on the monthly … I think a third time is going to be the charm.” Beneath the cloud, six consecutive monthly candles have nested entirely inside the tall green bar printed last November. He interprets the formation—six inside bars—as latency building for a violent move: “You’re talking about consolidation with six inside candles forming a lot of energy here.” That compression is mirrored on the weekly time frame: “If you also look at the weekly here, you can also see that you have six inside candles over here too … that tells me that there is not much bearish energy necessarily left anymore. I think we’re closer to the bottom than the top.” Key structural support is supplied by a rising 20-month simple moving average, now at $0.1737. Price currently ticks below it, but the slope is still positive. Historically, such combinations resolve in favour of the trend: “If you have a 20-month moving average that is up-sloping, most likely this is just going to be a wick.” He cites an earlier cycle when Dogecoin wicked beneath the same metric before staging a dramatic reversal. Price action, he argues, is meaningless without context. “If I end up looking at Doge here on Coinbase and I pull up the volume here, you can also see that there is no selling volume here at all.” Binance, the world’s deepest Dogecoin market, shows identical inertia. “The selling volume is essentially non-existent,” he says, concluding that supply overhang has vaporised and only demand is required to propel a reversal. Twice before—in July 2023 and February 2024—identical volume droughts preceded V-shaped rallies: “Low selling volume over here, reversal once volume comes in … low selling volume over here, reversal once volume comes in.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Shows Signs Of Life With Bottoming Signal Daily-chart oscillators are beginning to corroborate the structural read. Dogecoin has just registered what Cantonese Cat labels a “treasure bottom”—his term for a localised capitulation whose candle body is far smaller than its wick. More formally, the relative-strength index has exhibited bullish divergence: price has etched lower lows while RSI turns higher. “Last time when you have some bullish diversions was right here … that was the local bottom right there,” he says, pointing to the October 2023 reversal. The pattern repeated in March 2024 and appears again today: “I think that we might be experiencing a trend change here relatively soon.” DOGE Price Targets Should volume arrive and price claw back through the 0.5 and 0.618 retracements, Cantonese Cat’s Fibonacci ladders flag successive targets. From the Binance dataset, “$1.60, $2.26 and $4.13, all of these are possibility for Dogecoin.” A composite feed of multiple exchanges tweaks the numbers to $1.50, $2.27 and $3.94. What he does not foresee is a reprise of 2021’s parabolic blow-off, when Dogecoin tagged the 2.272 extension and briefly suggested a trajectory towards $23. “I think that $23 doge is insane … I don’t think that doge is going to end up becoming, you know, like anything like $3 trillion market cap.” A quarter- to half-trillion-dollar capitalisation, however—roughly the price zone between three and four dollars—remains “something to think about” given current monetary expansion. Cantonese Cat interprets the community’s malaise as a contrarian gift: “The market makers are giving us more time to buy while the sentiment is extremely, extremely poor.” Inside-bar ranges serve as a simple trigger. A close above the six-month range high would, in his reading, unlock the primary up-trend’s next leg. Conversely, a close below the 20-month average might delay—but not necessarily invalidate—the thesis, provided the moving average itself keeps rising. Across every lens—the macro cup-and-handle, the Adam-and-Eve neckline test, Ichimoku resistance, 20-month moving average support, volume exhaustion, daily bullish divergence—the weight of evidence converges on a bullish outcome. Timing, he concedes, is unknowable: “When is that going to be? I don’t know.” Yet none of the data justify capitulation. He closes with the maxim he repeats three times in the broadcast: “The trend is your friend, and the trend is up.” If that view holds, Dogecoin’s dormant coil may eventually unwind toward the analyst’s most ambitious extension at $4.13—a level unthinkable to today’s demoralised sellers, and precisely for that reason, he argues, still within reach. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.171. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com