Dogecoin started a fresh increase from the $0.0850 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now facing hurdles near $0.090 and might aim for a larger rally. DOGE price started a decent upward move above $0.0850 and $0.0880. The price is trading above the $0.0870 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.0870 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it stays above $0.0850. Dogecoin Price Faces Hurdles Dogecoin price remained supported above the $0.0850 zone and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.0865 and $0.0870 resistance levels. The price gained over 2% and tested the $0.0890 zone. There was a move above the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.0920 swing high to the $0.0855 low. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $0.0870 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. Dogecoin price is now trading above the $0.0870 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If the bulls remain active, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.0890 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.0920 swing high to the $0.0855 low. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.0905 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.0920 level. A close above the $0.0920 resistance might send the price toward the $0.0950 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.10 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.1050. Another Decline In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.090 level, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.0870 level. The next major support is near the $0.0855 level. The main support sits at $0.0850. If there is a downside break below the $0.0850 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.0820 level or even $0.080 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.0870 and $0.0855. Major Resistance Levels – $0.090 and $0.10.
Dogecoin has entered a deeply depressed on-chain valuation zone, according to analysis from Aphractal AI, with DOGE trading far below its realized price and several holder-profitability metrics pointing to capitulation. The signal matters because it suggests the market has already absorbed substantial pain, even as price momentum and derivatives positioning remain fragile. The analysis places DOGE at $0.08475, with a market capitalization of $13.36 billion and a circulating supply of 154.58 billion coins. Its realized price, however, stands much higher at $0.12845, meaning Dogecoin is trading roughly 34% below the aggregate cost basis implied by on-chain activity. That gap is the core of the current setup. Dogecoin Is Trading At Deep Value Aphractal AI highlighted MVRV at 0.6730, showing that Dogecoin’s market value is about 32.7% below realized value. NUPL, another measure of aggregate unrealized profit and loss, sits at -0.4859 and is classified as “Capitulation.” “This is the clearest on-chain signal in DOGE right now: the average holder is underwater,” the analysis said. “Price remains $0.04370 below realized price, which places the asset in a depressed valuation regime. MVRV below 1 and negative NUPL together point to a market where holders are still carrying substantial unrealized losses, not one showing euphoric excess.” Related Reading: Here’s The Dogecoin Perfect Bottom And The Top Target; Analyst That does not mean DOGE has confirmed a bottom. The same report shows a long-term delta growth rate of -77.79%, which Aphractal AI interpreted as evidence of a severe slowdown in valuation expansion compared with previous periods. In its framing, Dogecoin remains in a “post-distribution / low-growth phase” rather than a renewed structural bull phase. Network activity gives a more mixed picture. Active addresses rose to 37,510, up 13.71% over 24 hours and 2.43% over seven days. Transaction count reached 23,665, up 3.88% on the day but still down 3.97% over the week. Adjusted on-chain volume was stronger, climbing to $185.55 million, up 69.69% day-over-day and 29.23% over seven days. The divergence is notable. Capital is moving faster than raw transaction count, suggesting larger transfers are driving the increase rather than a broad expansion in everyday network usage. In Aphractal AI’s words, Dogecoin is showing “better value flow than user-flow.” Exchange balances offer a modestly constructive signal. Dogecoin exchange reserves stand at 28.33 billion DOGE, worth about $2.42 billion. Reserves fell 0.20% over one day and 0.60% over seven days. The decline is not large enough to imply aggressive accumulation, but it does suggest exchange supply is drifting lower rather than building into immediate sell pressure. Related Reading: Dogecoin (DOGE) At $0.086–Two Scenarios Ahead, Including A New 32% Crash Still, the market structure remains weak. DOGE is down 4.59% over seven days, 21.99% over 30 days, 31.69% year-to-date and 58.01% over one year. It also trades 23.09% below its 200-day moving average. RSI is near oversold at 33.9982, while the daily MACD remains bearish. Derivatives positioning adds another caution flag. Open interest stands at $750.82 million, up 1.79% over 24 hours but down 5.18% over the week. The open interest-to-market cap ratio is 5.73%. Traders remain heavily long-biased, with a long/short ratio of 2.3167 and top trader sentiment at 2.4115. Yet whale-versus-retail delta is negative at -0.3004, indicating larger-player behavior is not confirming the same optimism seen in broader speculative positioning. Recent liquidations also show pressure on bulls. Over 24 hours, DOGE saw $2.30 million in liquidations, including $1.62 million in longs and $0.68 million in shorts. Long liquidations accounted for roughly 70.6% of the total, reinforcing that bullish positioning has been more exposed to the latest downside. The main recovery threshold is the realized price at $0.12845. A move back toward that level would signal that DOGE is beginning to repair the gap between spot price and holder cost basis. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.08516. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
According to a crypto analyst, Dogecoin (DOGE) has returned to a key trendline that has repeatedly marked major cycle bottoms in past market phases. The setup comes alongside low sentiment and weakness, conditions that previously aligned with strong price recoveries. The analyst noted that this lower line could now form a potential base for Dogecoin’s next upside move to the top. Analyst Forecasts Dogecoin Perfect Price Bottom Market expert Cryptollica has announced that Dogecoin may have formed a cycle bottom after revisiting a long-term support trendline that has been building since 2021. The analyst noted that every previous market bottom since 2021 began at this same lower support line. Related Reading: Dogecoin Will ‘Pump Hard’ After This Happens, Analyst Clocks Generational Entry In his X post, Cryptollica pointed to psychological conditions that have historically aligned with this lower trendline. He noted that each time Dogecoin approaches this area, demand and interest in the meme coin plummets to low levels, with sentiment turning extremely negative and fearful. This area has also marked major reversal points for Dogecoin, allowing the cryptocurrency to begin a fresh recovery after a severe downtrend. Past movements from Cryptollica 2021 to 2024 price chart support this view. In 2021, Dogecoin touched this trendline around $0.095 before surging to new highs that marked its historical bull run. A year later, in 2022, the same trendline held at $0.045, again marking the bottom before a sharp rebound. The cryptocurrency also established a fresh bottom near $0.055 in 2024 before starting an uptrend that eventually pushed its price above $0.225. In the current market cycle, Dogecoin has revisited this lower trendline once again. The first time this happened was in early 2026 when its price crashed to roughly $0.085, and the second occurred just recently. Cryptollica has described this latest retest as the “perfect bottom” for Dogecoin, noting that the same structure and negative psychological conditions in 2021 are also present in the current cycle. With chart patterns and broader sentiment aligning almost perfectly, the analyst believes that a market reset may have already occurred or is nearing completion. If this view proves correct, he expects Dogecoin to enter a recovery phase soon, with potential upside targets near $1.6. Analyst Urges To Wait For Confirmation Before Calling Bottom In a separate analysis, market expert Erick Crypto revealed that Dogecoin has recently lost a major support zone. He said the key demand area near $0.085 failed to hold as market sellers took control, adding more pressure on the meme coin’s price. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Just Entered A Critical Level, But Analyst Says It’s Not Time To Buy The analyst added that the latest move raises questions about whether it was a liquidity sweep ahead of a potential recovery or the beginning of a deeper price correction. As Dogecoin continues its downtrend, Erick Crypto noted that its trading volume is still increasing, signaling strong market participation. He urged traders to closely watch price movements and wait for a clear confirmation before calling a final cycle bottom. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin is trading at $0.085 in early June 2026, which is about 88% below its all-time high but deep inside what one analyst believes is the most important technical setup the meme coin has seen since its pre-2021 launch sequence. The difference this time, however, is that the crypto market is no longer dealing with the same small meme coin from the last cycle but with a larger asset sitting in a different liquidity environment. Dogecoin Repeats Its Old Monthly Structure Technical analysis of Dogecoin’s price action on the monthly candlestick timeframe chart is showing evidence that the meme coin may be repeating the same long-cycle pattern that played out between 2014 and 2017 before the massive 2021 rally. The comparison, which was done by crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade, compares two major Dogecoin cycles, with both showing a long consolidation phase, a falling wedge, and then a breakout attempt. Related Reading: Bad News For Bitcoin: Historical Lows Show The Bottom Actually Lies Below $30,000 In the first cycle, Dogecoin spent years grinding through a wide downtrend wedge range between 2016 and early 2017 after its previous crash in 2014. After that, the price then entered the parabolic phase that eventually carried DOGE into its 2021 top. Dogecoin began 2021 trading at less than one cent, somewhere around $0.004. By reaching its all-time high in May 2021, Dogecoin saw an increase of over 18,000% in just five months. However, that completed structure produced a rally of about 29,000% from the 2015 low. The current structure, drawn from the 2021 peak into 2026, appears to be following the same sequence. Dogecoin first entered a broad post-bull-market decline after 2021 that ended in 2023, and is now trading inside another falling wedge compression on the monthly timeframe. The dotted projection on the chart predicts that a breakout from this structure could lead to a much larger expansion phase later in the cycle. Dogecoin Price Chart. Source: @TATrader_Alan On X What A Completed Pattern Would Mean For Dogecoin The optimistic case in this technical analysis depends on how Dogecoin reacts with the falling wedge. If Dogecoin breaks out of the monthly falling wedge, then the comparison to 2021 will have more significance. Related Reading: Institutions Are Loading Up On XRP, But Liquidity Tells A Different Story The projection on the chart by Trader Tardigrade maps a potential move that starts with a rally above the current range, then a pullback, and later a far larger parabolic rally into the end of the decade. The projected arc ascends to the $3 to $5 range, a possible rejection back below $1, and then a rally to triple digits, which is consistent with what a 29,000% move from current price levels would produce. Repeating that kind of rally would require far deeper inflows than the previous cycle, but Dogecoin now has a stronger environment of utility and avenues for institutional inflows. For instance, House of Doge and MoonPay recently announced their partnership to enable DOGE payments across over 6,000 merchants, and possible Spot Dogecoin ETF inflows are another institutional facilitator. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin (DOGE) bounced back on Monday in a modest relief rally, climbing to about $0.086 after sliding to a multi-year low of $0.077 over the weekend. But when looking for clues on where the memecoin might go next, market analyst Ali Martinez released a technical update arguing that DOGE is sitting at a “critical structural inflection point.” In his view, the next phase could follow one of two clear paths, shaped by both higher-timeframe chart patterns and on-chain activity. Is A Macro Expansion Cycle Next? Martinez said Dogecoin is currently resting on a broad demand base that has historically supported major macro expansion cycles. He framed the setup as more than just a short-term rebound, pointing to long-running structural behavior. According to his analysis, since DOGE’s early days, the asset has tended to move through extended, multi-year consolidation channels—periods that compress volatility and effectively “transfer” supply over time. Those phases, he argues, typically come before larger structural bull markets. Related Reading: Has The Bitcoin Price Crash Ended Or Is This Just The Beginning? Analyst Answers Martinez says that, at the moment, Dogecoin is testing a specific technical area at $0.081, which is slightly lower than the current trading price. This level corresponds to the lower mid-range boundary of an active five-year parallel channel. The analyst emphasized that this key chart level has support behind the scenes on-chain. He referenced the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD), which tracks the exact price levels where the tokens in circulation last moved. In Martinez’s description, there is a major cluster around $0.081: over 30 billion Dogecoin tokens were last transacted at roughly that same coordinate. The result, he says, is a large concentration of historical exposure that often becomes a psychological and financial “wall of defense,” making the area difficult for sellers to push through. Two Scenarios For Dogecoin When identifying the key levels to watch next, Martinez highlighted the $0.081 level, an active area where the URPD volume cluster overlaps with the channel mid-range. The second level is $0.058, which he calls the multi-year absolute channel floor. He then outlined two scenarios for what could happen next. Under Scenario A, the $0.081 volume block continues to absorb the market’s supply. If that support holds, Martinez believes the structure favors a steadier rebound and expansion back toward higher channel targets. Related Reading: XRP To $1 Or A Violent Reversal? Analyst Says Liquidity Setup Is Flashing Scenario B is more cautious. Martinez said that if macroeconomic headwinds intensify and Dogecoin closes weekly below $0.081, the chart structure would shift into what he called an extended valuation reset. In that case, the token could be pushed toward the lower portion of the macro channel, taking it directly to the $0.058 support floor—the multi-year level he highlighted as the ultimate baseline, which would also mean an additional 32% drop for the memecoin. Featured image created with OpenArt; chart from TradingView.com
A leading crypto analyst has further expressed their confidence that Dogecoin could be set for a bullish run in the current market cycle. This comes thanks to renewed buyer interest in the coin following its recent drop. Rising Volume Signals Strong Demand for Dogecoin In an X post, Crypto analyst Emilio Crypto Bojan described the latest drop in DOGE as a “generational entry” point. According to Bojan, trading volume began rising soon after the coin hit its low point, suggesting that many investors bought the dip rather than selling. Related Reading: Dogecoin Has Entered A Historically Red Month And The Result Could Be Catastrophic The meme coin fell by about 14% to $0.07763 during last week’s high-volatility period, when Bitcoin fell to $59,000. Bojan considers this a perfect moment to buy this coin at a low price. Since then, DOGE has recovered to around $0.08529. The coin has also maintained strong interest among traders, with a 24-hour trading volume of about $812.7 million and a market value of roughly $14.5 billion. Analysts are now closely watching the $0.099 price level. This is seen as an important resistance point for Dogecoin. Bojan believes that if the meme coin can move above $0.099 and stay there, it could confirm that buyers have regained control of the market. He expects the cryptocurrency to “pump hard” after reclaiming that level. Meanwhile, data from Santiment shows that wallets holding between 100 million and 1 billion DOGE have been reducing their holdings in recent weeks. These wallets now control 23% of Dogecoin’s circulating supply. The decline marks the lowest level in five months. At the same time, wallets holding more than 1 billion DOGE, which are often associated with crypto exchanges, have increased their share of the circulating supply. Their holdings have risen to 47%, suggesting high activity among retail investors. Bullish DOGE Sentiment Builds Up Among Analysts Another analyst, Trader Tardigrade, recently pointed to a chart pattern that mirrors Dogecoin’s historic bull cycle. The analyst noted that the coin appears to be repeating the same sequence seen between 2014 and 2017, where the coin went through a long consolidation period, followed by a falling wedge formation and then a breakout. Related Reading: Are Meme Coins Like Dogecoin And Shiba Inu Still Worth Buying? During the previous cycle, DOGE rallied by an astonishing 29,000% after the pattern was completed. Trader Tardigrade believes the current market structure looks quite similar, raising expectations that another powerful move could be developing. Adding to the bullish outlook, Ali Martinez noted that Dogecoin recently reached his target price of $0.0883. He said the meme coin is now testing the lower boundary of its current trading channel, which could determine its next move. As long as the coin remains above this support level, the analyst believes a recovery toward $0.1019 and possibly $0.1156 remains likely. At press time, the coin was valued at $0.08522, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin started a recovery wave above the $0.0820 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now facing hurdles near $0.090 and might struggle to continue higher. DOGE price started a recovery wave from $0.0775 and climbed above $0.0820. The price is trading below the $0.0820 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $0.0820 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it stays above $0.090. Dogecoin Price Faces Resistance Dogecoin price started a recovery wave from the $0.0775 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.080 and $0.0820 resistance levels. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $0.0820 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. There was a decent upward move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1008 swing high to the $0.0776 low. Dogecoin price is now trading above the $0.0820 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If there is another recovery wave, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.0865 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.090 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1008 swing high to the $0.0776 low. The next major resistance is near the $0.0920 level. A close above the $0.0920 resistance might send the price toward the $0.10 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.1035 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.1050. Another Decline In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.090 level, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.0840 level. The next major support is near the $0.0820 level. The main support sits at $0.0820. If there is a downside break below the $0.0820 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.0775 level or even $0.0750 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.0820 and $0.080. Major Resistance Levels – $0.090 and $0.0920.
In the 13 years that Dogecoin has been in existence, it has seen some interesting trends across various months. However, each month has had its fair share of greens and reds, but the month of June has mostly defied this. With Dogecoin mostly ending June in the red over the years, the odds of this repeating itself again are high, as this report takes a look at the numbers. June Is The Worst Month For Dogecoin Dogecoin’s historical performance in June has been nothing short of disappointing, with more red closes in a row than any other month in its history. Data from the CryptoRank website shows that in the last 12 years, the Dogecoin price has only ended the month of June in the green for only two years. Related Reading: Pundit Shares Why Most People Will Miss The XRP Run Interestingly, the first month of June of its existence ended in a double-digit loss of 21.4%. Subsequently, the next two years would see June close in the green, with 29.3% and 31.6% returns, respectively. However, that would be the end of any green closes for the month. Every year after 2016 has ended in the red, with no reprieve for Dogecoin holders. Following the red close of 2025, with losses of 14.2%, it marked nine consecutive years that the Dogecoin price has closed the month of June in the red. As a result of these red closes, the month of June is the most bearish month for the meme coin. CryptoRank data shows an average return of -7.29% for the month, the highest of all the months. Its median returns come out to -9.94%, second only to December’s -13.2% in this metric. If the historical trend is followed, then it could be another red month for the meme coin. So far, there have not been any indications that the price will see an upward reversal. According to Coinglass data, the Dogecoin trading volume is still low, continuing to fall in the new month. Related Reading: BNB Extended Price Target Says $780 Is Coming, But What About $1,000? This decline in the DOGE trading volume suggests that there is reduced participation from crypto investors. As the sentiment continues to wane, the price could follow, plunging it into the red territory. However, if there is a major rise in the Bitcoin price, then Dogecoin could follow and change this trend. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin’s price action has been quiet for months, but technical analysis shows that this quiet period may be exactly why the meme coin is worth watching again. According to a crypto pundit known as CoinForge on X, Dogecoin is repeating the same playbook it followed in 2024, when a long descending triangle eventually gave way to a violent breakout rally. The attached chart compares both structures side by side, showing the 2024 pattern before its explosive rally and the current 2026 formation now at a similar technical point. Dogecoin Repeating Descending Triangle From 2024 Dogecoin has spent much of 2026 looking like a forgotten asset in a market where traders have been more focused on Bitcoin’s breakdowns, Ethereum’s weakness, and other popular cryptocurrencies, including XRP. However, technical analysis of the daily candlestick timeframe chart shows a structural parallel between the rally in late 2024 and the present moment. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals Why Bitcoin Price Must Crash To $42,000 First In 2024, Dogecoin formed a descending triangle, a pattern defined by a series of lower highs pressing down against a support floor. This descending triangle pattern played out between March 2024 and mid-September 2024, before eventually resolving closer to the end of the month. Dogecoin broke out of that descending triangle pattern in a move that led to a 300% rally, where the meme coin’s price eventually peaked at a multi-year high of $0.48 in December 2024. As shown in the chart below, the 2026 side of the chart has been following a similar compression phase, albeit at a longer timescale. Dogecoin has been moving under a descending resistance line since August 2024, and repeated attempts to push higher have been rejected. However, the important point in the analysis is not that Dogecoin’s price action has already broken out of the triangle pattern, but that it appears to be tightening into the same kind of breakout zone before the 2024 surge. Dogecoin Price Chart. Source: @Realcoinforge On X Dogecoin Is About To Do Something Insane Now that it’s been determined that Dogecoin is about to form that same breakout phase, the analysis also shows projected upside movement if the 2026 pattern plays out like 2024. The dotted path on the current Dogecoin chart points to a breakout, a retest-like pause, and then a much larger rally that sees the Dogecoin price returning back to $0.5. “Don’t miss your second chance,” the analyst said. Related Reading: Has Bitcoin Bottomed At $60,000 To Return To $100,000, Or Is This Just The Start Of Another Crash? At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.09377, down by 5% in the past 24 hours. The leading meme coin can’t seem to catch a break from sellers, as it is also down by a larger 16.6% over the past 30 days. A breakout above the descending resistance line would be the first real sign that buyers are starting to regain control. That line now sits around $0.12, making it the immediate level Dogecoin needs to clear before the $0.12 to $0.15 range. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
A crypto analyst has presented a new bull case for Dogecoin (DOGE), sharing a long-term chart setup that he says mirrors the same pattern that led to the meme coin’s explosive rally in 2021. He also pointed to repeating sentiment shifts across market stages, where traders often doubt early moves before chasing prices at higher levels. Dogecoin Forecasted To Hit $2 Soon Market analyst Crypto Patel shared a new Dogecoin chart setup on X, projecting a potential rally toward $2 in this cycle. He based his bullish view on historical market patterns, with emphasis on the strong structure seen during Dogecoin’s 2021 bull run. Related Reading: Analyst Says This Dogecoin Chart Is Too Dangerous To Ignore – Here’s Why In that earlier cycle, Dogecoin climbed from a low of about $0.002 in 2020 to a peak above $0.72 in 2021. This move represented a gain of over 26,800%, marking one of the most aggressive rallies in meme coin history. Before reaching that ATH, the chart structure showed two major breakouts followed by successive upward legs marked as stages 3, 4, and 5. Based on this structure, Crypto Patel argued that Dogecoin’s current setup is closely mirroring the 2021 bull pattern. He noted that the meme coin has already gone through two breakout phases between 2023 and 2024, followed by a retest of key support levels within a broader accumulation zone. After that retest, Dogecoin recorded its next strong upward leg in 2025, labeled stage 3 on the chart. Since then, the meme coin’s price has been trading within a narrow range inside a descending channel. The chart also shows another retest to the previous accumulation area around the $0.11 level, which the analyst views as a second confirmation of support. Because of this structure, Crypto Patel believes that the next major move for Dogecoin could be a sharp rally toward $2. From current levels near $0.10, this would represent a potential gain of more than 2,700%. How Market Psychology Plays Into DOGE’s Run to $2 During his analysis, Crypto Patel also pointed to market sentiment and psychology that could influence price movements and trends ahead of Dogecoin’s potential run to $2. The analyst noted that at lower levels, such as $0.05, many traders would still dismiss Dogecoin as a dead coin. Related Reading: Dogecoin Millionaires Are On The Move Again, Here’s What They’re Doing Now As the meme coin moves higher toward $0.25, Crypto Patel said some market watchers will still expect a price drop while they wait on the sidelines. Once Dogecoin reaches around $1, the analyst stated that Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) will automatically return to the market, as investors try to catch gains. Finally, at his projected peak target worker $2, he noted that there will be the same pattern of regret from those who did not enter earlier, just like in past bull cycles. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin is showing classic signs of valuation stress, but Alphractal AI’s breakdown suggests DOGE bulls are still missing one crucial ingredient: stronger whale support. The analysis shows DOGE trading below holder cost basis while several market structure and participation metrics remain weak. DOGE was recently priced at $0.099, with a market capitalization of $15.48 billion and $1.06 billion in 24-hour trading volume. The asset ranked ninth by market cap, but its broader performance profile remained under pressure. DOGE was up 2% over 24 hours, yet still down 5.96% over seven days, 4.28% over 30 days, 30.82% year-to-date and 54.39% over one year. Whale Data Weakens Dogecoin’s Recovery Case The most notable issue is positioning. Alphractal shows a whale-vs-retail delta of -0.2464 and a whale-vs-retail ratio of 0.8963, suggesting larger players are not leading the move. The report described the setup as “mixed but fragile,” noting that funding remains subdued while whale behavior is not confirming a stronger bullish turn. “Funding is only 0.01%, so leverage is not overheated, but the negative whale-vs-retail delta suggests larger players are less aggressive than smaller participants,” the analysis said. “That weakens the quality of bullish positioning.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Monthly Triangle Pattern That Triggered 30,000% Parabolic Rally In 2021 Has Returned The distinction matters because DOGE’s depressed valuation metrics could otherwise make the asset appear attractive to dip buyers. A market can trade below aggregate cost basis for extended periods if larger holders are not accumulating or if exchange supply remains elevated. In DOGE’s case, exchange reserves stood at 28.26 billion DOGE, worth roughly $2.77 billion, with balances rising 0.45% over seven days. Alphractal called that “mildly negative” because it suggests available sell-side supply is not being withdrawn aggressively into long-term storage. Capitulation Signals Are Clear, But Not Enough DOGE’s valuation profile is one of the more constructive parts of the report, though it comes with caveats. The asset’s realized price stood at $0.12929, leaving spot price 22.99% below the average holder cost basis. MVRV was 0.7754, while NUPL came in at -0.2897, placing DOGE in what the analysis described as a capitulation regime. “The exact numbers show a market with capitulation-type holder conditions, subpar trend strength, and limited broad user participation, even though larger on-chain value transfer has improved,” Alphractal wrote. “The clearest conclusion is this: DOGE looks cheaper than its average holder cost basis, but not structurally strong yet.” DOGE’s technical structure also remains soft. The token traded 13.46% below its 200-day moving average, with daily MACD still bearish. RSI readings were near 40 on both the 24-hour and weekly timeframes, indicating weak momentum but not necessarily extreme exhaustion. Related Reading: Dogecoin Rally Loading? Analyst Eyes ‘Imminent Breakout’ From Textbook Falling Wedge Pattern The moving-average picture was mixed but mostly negative. DOGE traded below its 12-day, 21-day and 50-day moving averages, while sitting only 1.37% above its 100-day average. That keeps the broader trend tilted bearish despite the 24-hour bounce. Derivatives data did not show excessive leverage, but it also failed to show a strong return of speculative interest. Open interest stood at $907.32 million, up 0.57% over 24 hours but down 7.82% over seven days. Alphractal said leverage has stabilized in the short term, while the longer-term OI trend remains negative. On-Chain Value Moves, But Participation Lags One of the few improving signals came from adjusted transfer volume, which rose 32.52% in one day and 57.64% over seven days to $213.59 million. However, that increase was not matched by broader network participation. Active addresses fell 3.90% daily and 3.36% weekly, while transaction count dropped 8.37% over seven days. That divergence suggests larger-value transfers rather than broad retail re-engagement. For DOGE’s recovery case to strengthen, Alphractal’s framework points to a healthier combination: rising active addresses, falling exchange reserves, improving long-term open interest and a momentum shift back above key trend levels. Until then, DOGE remains in a difficult position. The data says the asset is cheap relative to holder cost basis, but the whale signal still does not look strong enough to validate a durable recovery. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin started a recovery wave above the $0.0980 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now facing hurdles near $0.1010 and might struggle to continue higher. DOGE price started a recovery wave from $0.0965 and climbed above $0.0990. The price is trading below the $0.10 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1010 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it stays above $0.1010. Dogecoin Price Faces Resistance Dogecoin price started a recovery wave from the $0.0965 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.0980 and $0.0988 resistance levels. There was a decent upward move above the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1031 swing high to the $0.0964 low. However, the price struggled near $0.10. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1010 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.10 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If there is another recovery wave, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.1005 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1031 swing high to the $0.0964 low. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.1010 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.1032 level. A close above the $0.1032 resistance might send the price toward the $0.1050 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.1065 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.1120. Another Decline In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.1010 level, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.0985 level. The next major support is near the $0.0965 level. The main support sits at $0.0950. If there is a downside break below the $0.0950 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.0920 level or even $0.090 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.0985 and $0.0965. Major Resistance Levels – $0.1010 and $0.1032.
Dogecoin has drifted quietly around the $0.10 region for months, but a new monthly chart shared by market analyst @TATrader_Alan is now reviving comparisons to the structure that preceded the cryptocurrency’s explosive 2021 rally. The analyst points to a recurring triangle formation that has appeared before every major Dogecoin expansion cycle, with the current setup now approaching the same breakout zone that historically triggered aggressive upside momentum. Dogecoin Rally Setup Reappears The latest monthly chart shared by the analyst outlines a repeating formation that has surfaced across three different market cycles. In each case, Dogecoin spent months trading inside a narrowing triangle structure before erupting into a steep vertical advance. The first occurrence appeared ahead of the 2017 bull market, while the second developed before the massive 2021 breakout that delivered gains exceeding 30,000% from cycle lows. Related Reading: Pundit Points Out Major Mistake Being Made With The XRP Pricing On the chart, both previous formations followed nearly identical behavior. Price gradually compressed between descending resistance and rising support lines before eventually breaking upward with force. After the breakout, Dogecoin entered a rapid expansion phase marked by large green monthly candles and increased momentum. The current structure appears to mirror those earlier conditions almost point for point. Dogecoin has once again spent several years tightening inside converging trendlines, with price now positioned directly near the apex of the formation. According to the chart projection, this region historically marked the beginning of Dogecoin’s strongest advances. What makes the pattern notable is its long-term timeframe. Monthly structures often carry heavier technical significance because they reflect broader investor positioning and multi-year market behavior rather than short-lived volatility. Analysts tracking the setup believe the extended compression phase could increase the intensity of any eventual breakout move if historical behavior repeats. Monthly Breakout Signals Growing Momentum The timing of the formation is also attracting attention because Dogecoin continues to hold near the psychologically important $0.10 level on the monthly chart. Despite broader market fluctuations, the asset has maintained support around that range while gradually pressing against descending resistance that has capped price action since the previous cycle peak. Related Reading: Bitcoin Upper Trendline Resistance Is Holding Price Back, Can It Push It Below $60,000? Analyst Answers The analyst’s projection suggests the breakout zone has now been reached, echoing the positioning seen before earlier rallies took off. On the chart, projected purple candles indicate a possible expansion phase that could push Dogecoin toward levels not seen since the height of the previous bull market. Beyond the technical structure itself, market participants are also watching growing institutional involvement across the digital asset sector. Speculation surrounding crypto-based exchange-traded products, renewed meme coin activity, and increased retail participation have all contributed to improving sentiment around Dogecoin in recent months. While the chart does not guarantee another parabolic rally, the similarity between the current structure and the formations that preceded previous rallies has become difficult for traders to ignore. With Dogecoin now sitting at another critical monthly inflection point, analysts believe the coming months could determine whether the meme coin could see yet another historic rally. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin corrected some gains from the $0.1050 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now holding the $0.10 support but could extend losses. DOGE price started a fresh downside correction below $0.1020. The price is trading below the $0.1020 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1020 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.10. Dogecoin Price Holds Support Dogecoin price started a downside correction after it failed to surpass $0.1050, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1035 and $0.1020 levels. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.0968 swing low to the $0.1048 high. The price even spiked below $0.10 before the bulls appeared. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1020 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.1015 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.1020 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.1036 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.1050 level. A close above the $0.1050 resistance might send the price toward $0.1088. Any more gains might send the price toward $0.1120. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.1150. Downside In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.1020 level, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.10 level. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.0968 swing low to the $0.1048 high. The next major support is near the $0.0985 level. The main support sits at $0.0965. If there is a downside break below the $0.0965 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.0920 level. Any more losses might call for a test of $0.0880. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.1000 and $0.0965. Major Resistance Levels – $0.1020 and $0.1050.
Dogecoin’s rejection from the top of its multi-week channel has raised fears of a deeper correction. After losing momentum near resistance, DOGE is now testing the crucial $0.1020 support zone, where bulls must step in to prevent increased downside pressure. DOGE Pulls Back Toward Key Mid-Channel Support Dogecoin has recently experienced a notable price adjustment following a test of its upper channel boundary. Crypto analyst Ali Charts notes that the asset has retraced to the $0.1020 level, a cooling-off period that provides a clearer view of the market’s current structural integrity after testing overhead resistance. Related Reading: Dogecoin Millionaires Are On The Move Again, Here’s What They’re Doing Now Furthermore, this specific price point is technically significant, acting as a critical junction for the asset. The $0.1020 level aligns precisely with both the midpoint of DOGE’s multi-week trading channel and the influential 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), creating a strong area of technical confluence that market participants are watching intently. If buyers can successfully hold this support, the current setup favors a constructive recovery, with the price potentially aiming to reclaim lost ground and return to the upper channel resistance situated at $0.1156. Conversely, a failure to defend this support could signal a tactical dip, potentially serving as a mechanism to flush out overleveraged positions before further movement. In such a scenario, the market focus would immediately shift toward the lower boundary of the channel at $0.0883, which stands as the next significant area of interest for traders anticipating deeper volatility. Dogecoin Retraces After Upside Liquidity Sweep Trading Different highlights that Dogecoin is currently undergoing a retracement following a recent sweep of a liquidity zone to the upside. This downward move suggests that the market is attempting to stabilize, with price action currently engaged in a search for a reliable support foundation. Related Reading: Dogecoin Breaks Out Strong: Bullish Structure Aligns For More Upside To the upside, the most significant liquidity pool is firmly anchored at $0.10445. This area represents a solid cluster of accumulated orders; however, as the price continues to lose ground, this target is drifting further out of reach. Consequently, the barrier to a bullish reversal is increasing, making this level an increasingly challenging objective for the bulls to reach in the short term without a substantial shift in market sentiment. Looking toward the downside, substantial liquidity is concentrated at $0.10040. With bearish pressure currently dominating the market landscape and the distance to this zone remaining minimal, the technical setup suggests a high probability that this level will be swept in the immediate future. Traders are likely to closely monitor this specific pocket, as it serves as a critical magnet for the current price decline. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin’s price action looks bare on the surface, but the wallets that often matter most are making interesting moves. Notably, on-chain data shows that large DOGE holders have returned to accumulation at a time when the meme coin is trading below its most important technical price zones of the year. Dogecoin Whales Are Buying Into Weakness DOGE has spent much of 2026 under pressure, with rallies repeatedly struggling to turn into upside above $0.10. That has made whale behavior more important because large holders tend to accumulate during periods when smaller traders are either selling, waiting, or losing interest. Related Reading: Dogecoin Adoption Is Back In The Cards, But Why Is DOGE Price Still Crashing? On-chain data tracked by crypto analyst Ali Martinez and sourced from Santiment shows that large DOGE holders purchased more than 525 million tokens in a 96-hour window. At the time the accumulation was recorded, Dogecoin’s price action was locked in a tight squeeze directly below the 200-day moving average, a long-term trend line currently around $0.12. For context, that level has acted as a ceiling for most of 2026. Interestingly, the 525 million DOGE purchase reported by Ali Martinez is especially notable because it happened within only four days. This shows that large wallets were actively absorbing supply during a compressed trading window. This kind of buying can reduce immediate sell pressure on Dogecoin. Another interesting thing is that the large wallet inflows do not appear to be coming from Spot Dogecoin ETFs. These funds have recorded only $860,960 in inflows over the past week, a relatively small figure compared to the whale accumulation. Based on Dogecoin’s current price, the 525 million DOGE bought by large holders is worth more than $52 million. The 200-Day Moving Average DOGE Must Beat The main technical issue for Dogecoin is the 200-day moving average. At the time of writing, Dogecoin’s 200-day MA is at $0.12. Dogecoin is also trading at $0.1025, which places it just 15% below the moving average. Related Reading: How To Time The Dogecoin Bottom And When The Price Will Reach $2 A Dogecoin price breakout above the 200-day moving average would give bulls their first major technical confirmation in months. It would show that the whale accumulation is starting to affect the chart, and it could also force short-term traders to reassess Dogecoin’s position. According to a crypto analyst that goes by the name Cryptollica on X, Dogecoin is now facing a kind of opportunity that has appeared only a handful of times in the last 12 years, pointing to previous cycle bottoms in 2015, 2020, and 2022. In each case, DOGE spent a long period looking inactive. As it stands, the Dogecoin Cycle Score has dropped back to the rebuild zone, which is a level that has always appeared when attention to the meme coin is very low. All that needs to happen now is for Dogecoin to break above the 200 MA, and a rally could start to make sense. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin started a recovery wave above the $0.10 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now facing hurdles near $0.1050 and might struggle to continue higher. DOGE price started a recovery wave from $0.10 and climbed above $0.1020. The price is trading below the $0.1035 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1030 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it stays above $0.10. Dogecoin Price Hits Resistance Dogecoin price started a recovery wave from the $0.10 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.1015 and $0.1020 resistance levels. There was a decent upward move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1066 swing high to the $0.0968 low. However, the price struggled near $0.1045. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1030 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.1035 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If there is another recovery wave, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.1030 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.1042 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1066 swing high to the $0.0968 low. The next major resistance is near the $0.1050 level. A close above the $0.1050 resistance might send the price toward the $0.1085 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.1120 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.1150. Another Decline In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.1050 level, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1005 level. The next major support is near the $0.10 level. The main support sits at $0.0980. If there is a downside break below the $0.0980 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.09650 level or even $0.0950 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.1005 and $0.1000. Major Resistance Levels – $0.1050 and $0.1120.
Dogecoin is once again drawing attention as its current market structure begins to resemble the early stages of previous mega bull runs. After reclaiming key support and forming a familiar consolidation pattern, analysts believe DOGE may be positioning for another powerful breakout, raising speculation that a new parabolic rally. Dogecoin Repeats Bullish Fake-Breakdown Pattern Seen In Previous Cycles According to crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade, Dogecoin has just successfully reclaimed its critical support level following a fake breakdown, a technical event that carries significant bullish weight. This specific maneuver, where the price dips below a vital floor only to quickly recover, has historically preceded explosive market rallies. Related Reading: Dogecoin Could Be Setting Up For High-Beta Rally After Final Shakeout The historical precedent for this pattern is striking. Twice before, Dogecoin has exhibited this exact behavior, each time serving as the precursor to parabolic growth. In 2017, the asset staged a breakdown before reclaiming support, triggering an impressive 29,000% rally, followed by a similar 16,000% surge in 2020 after a near-identical move. Now, in 2026, the charts are repeating this signature setup, as DOGE has successfully defended and reclaimed the same key support zone. This structural alignment suggests that the market is currently mirroring the foundations that preceded the largest historical moves for the meme coin. Given this repetition, anticipation is building regarding whether a new cycle of immense growth is underway. While historical patterns do not guarantee future performance, the consistency of this fake breakdown and reclaim setup remains one of the most closely watched indicators in Dogecoin’s history. Reclaiming Critical Support After Major Fake Breakdown As its price action wanes, Nehal has highlighted that Dogecoin is currently mirroring the structural evolution seen following the August 2024 bottom. During that previous cycle, the asset printed four consecutive strong bullish weekly candles, followed by two weeks of red consolidation before initiating a major breakout rally. Related Reading: Dogecoin Recovery Push Continues, But Bears Still Threaten One Final Drop The current price action is exhibiting a virtually identical rhythm. Since the February 2026 low, DOGE has again recorded four consecutive bullish weekly closes and is currently navigating its second week of red consolidation. Moving forward, the expert identifies two primary scenarios that favor the bulls. Firstly, the price could either close the current week red near the open before resuming its upward trajectory, or it could flip green immediately to accelerate beyond expectations. In both cases, the fundamental bias remains geared toward continued upside momentum. This setup suggests that current price action is moving beyond mere speculation and into a phase of genuine structural alignment. As the recovery structure and market behavior mirror previous bullish cycles, the return of early market FOMO indicates that the asset may be preparing for a significant move. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Revolut just handed Dogecoin its most mainstream moment in years. The move gives Dogecoin something it has often struggled to hold for long periods, which is a real-world payment story that extends beyond social media hype. However, this is yet to translate into bullish price action for Dogecoin, which is still trading close to the $0.10 region. Revolut Brings Dogecoin Back Into The Payments Conversation Dogecoin has found its way back into the adoption conversation after Revolut launched a physical DOGE-themed crypto debit card across the UK and most of the European Economic Area. Related Reading: How To Time The Dogecoin Bottom And When The Price Will Reach $2 The card was described by the fintech company as its first physical crypto debit card, featuring a Dogecoin design and an LED display that lights up when users make contactless payments. The rollout is initially available in the UK and most EEA markets, although Hungary, Switzerland, and Portugal are excluded from the first phase. The card can be used anywhere Visa and Mastercard are accepted, which is where Dogecoin’s adoption for payments comes into play. Users link the card directly to their Dogecoin holdings within the app, and when a purchase is made, the platform automatically converts the required amount of DOGE into the local currency at real-time exchange rates, with no additional conversion fees applied at the point of sale. However, this creates a condition where merchants receive local currency instead of DOGE. Revolut serves over 70 million users globally and has been pushing into the crypto industry. Revolut is also deepening its regulatory standing, and the company recently received its full UK banking license in March 2026. Why DOGE Price Is Still Struggling The adoption of Dogecoin exists in parallel to suppressed price action. Revolut’s card is the most visible element of a change that the DOGE price chart has largely ignored. Related Reading: Dogecoin Has Now Entered Oversold Levels That Has Led To Previous Cycle Bottoms At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.106, down approximately 8.5% from $0.115 recorded just last week. A more immediate factor for the most recent decline came on May 18, when geopolitical tension caused by a US presidential warning to Iran led to a move that sent Bitcoin below $77,000 and pulled the broader crypto market lower, with Dogecoin among the casualties. The problem for Dogecoin is that adoption headlines do not always create immediate buying pressure. The longer-term picture is more revealing. Dogecoin hit $0.48 in December 2024 and $0.29 in September 2025, and has since fallen back to the $0.109 to $0.115 range in the past two months, a drawdown of about 75% from its cycle peak, with no convincing recovery in sight. Spot Dogecoin ETFs have also not done much to help, with the early excitement around the products failing to translate into buying pressure for the meme coin. The ETFs were expected to give institutional and traditional market investors easier exposure to Dogecoin, but inflows have been modest compared to other crypto ETF products. At the time of writing, Spot Dogecoin ETFs have only attracted $11.78 million in total net inflow since launch. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin started a recovery wave above the $0.1040 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now facing hurdles near $0.1075 and might struggle to continue higher. DOGE price started a recovery wave from $0.1020 and climbed above $0.1040. The price is trading below the $0.1075 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $0.1040 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could continue to move up if it stays above $0.1020. Dogecoin Price Hits Resistance Dogecoin price started a recovery wave from the $0.1020 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.1035 and $0.1040 resistance levels. There was a decent upward move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1127 swing high to the $0.1021 low. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $0.1040 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.1075 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If there is another recovery wave, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.1062 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.1075 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1127 swing high to the $0.1021 low. The next major resistance is near the $0.1088 level. A close above the $0.1088 resistance might send the price toward the $0.1120 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.1150 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.1165. Another Decline In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.1075 level, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1040 level. The next major support is near the $0.1020 level. The main support sits at $0.10. If there is a downside break below the $0.10 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.09650 level or even $0.0950 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.1040 and $0.1020. Major Resistance Levels – $0.1075 and $0.1120.
Dogecoin spot ETFs are showing a clear pickup in May inflows, with SoSoValue data pointing to $2.15 million in net additions so far this month and no recorded outflow day in the period shown. The numbers remain small in absolute ETF-market terms, but they mark the strongest monthly inflow total for DOGE products since January and suggest that demand has reappeared after several quieter months. The May data gives DOGE ETF bulls a cleaner talking point than in prior months: inflows have returned, the monthly total has already reached $2.15 million, and the product group remains net positive every month since its November 2025 launch. Still, the scale is important. The inflows are meaningful for DOGE’s young ETF market, but they remain modest in absolute terms and are concentrated across only a handful of trading days rather than showing steady daily accumulation, according to SoSoValue data. Dogecoin ETF Momentum Builds Again From May 1 through May 19, DOGE spot ETFs recorded five positive inflow days: $400,194 on May 5, $227,207.79 on May 6, $393,135 on May 11, $272,886 on May 14 and $860,958 on May 18. That brings May’s month-to-date total to exactly $2,154,380.79. There were no negative-flow days in the period, but there were eight sessions with zero net inflow, including May 19. That distinction matters. The trend is positive, but it is not a continuous daily accumulation pattern. May’s inflow total is heavily supported by a handful of sessions, especially May 18, which alone accounted for roughly 40% of the month’s net inflows. The data therefore points less to a broad, uninterrupted bid and more to episodic demand returning to a still-small DOGE ETF complex. Related Reading: Smart Crypto Whale Loads Up On Dogecoin With $2 Million Long Position The cumulative picture is also notable. DOGE spot ETFs ended May 19 with $11.78 million in cumulative net inflows, up from $9.63 million at the start of May. Total net assets rose from $13.19 million on May 1 to $14.51 million on May 19, despite DOGE price falling. Month-to-date trading value reached about $10.06 million. The monthly sequence strengthens the “since launch” claim. The data series begins in November 2025, when DOGE spot ETFs drew $2.16 million in net inflows. December remained positive at $177,891.84 despite a $972,840.16 outflow on Dec. 4. January was the standout month with $4.07 million in net inflows, followed by $252,534 in February, $972,455.30 in March, $1.99 million in April and $2.15 million so far in May. The current fund-level split shows a concentrated market. As of May 19, Grayscale’s GDOG had the largest cumulative net inflow at $10.97 million and net assets of $9.88 million. TDOG, the 21Shares product, showed $2.19 million in cumulative net inflows and $3.96 million in net assets. Bitwise’s BWOW was the outlier, with a cumulative net outflow of $1.38 million and only $678,470 in net assets. Related Reading: How To Time The Dogecoin Bottom And When The Price Will Reach $2 Trading activity also remains thin. On May 19, GDOG traded $187,930, while TDOG and BWOW traded just $5,480 and $4,290, respectively. All three funds recorded zero daily net inflow that day. Premiums and discounts were small, with GDOG at a 0.01% premium and TDOG and BWOW at discounts of 0.19% and 0.20%, suggesting no major pricing dislocation around NAV. Compared with larger altcoin ETF categories, the main takeaway is scale. DOGE’s flow direction has improved, but the asset base remains modest enough that a single sub-$1 million inflow day can reshape the monthly narrative. For DOGE bulls, May offers evidence of renewed ETF demand. For market structure observers, it is still an early, shallow product set where liquidity, sponsor concentration and day-to-day flow lumpiness matter as much as the headline inflow streak. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.10. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
A crypto trader tracked by Lookonchain has opened a fresh leveraged long position in Dogecoin, adding DOGE exposure alongside larger Bitcoin and Ethereum bets. The move matters because the wallet, identified as 0x152e, is described by the on-chain analytics account as a “smart whale” with $24.79 million in total profit. According to Lookonchain, the trader moved aggressively across major crypto assets over a three-hour window, opening longs on Ethereum, Bitcoin and Dogecoin. The DOGE position totaled 19.47 million tokens, worth about $2.04 million, while the Ethereum and Bitcoin trades were substantially larger in dollar terms. Dogecoin Draws $2 Million Long From ‘Smart Whale’ “Smart whale 0x152e, with $24.79M in total profit, is going long on ETH, BTC, and DOGE,” Lookonchain wrote on X. “Over the past 3 hours, he opened longs on 4,601 ETH ($9.82M), 118.2 BTC ($9.11M), and 19.47M DOGE ($2.04M). He also placed limit orders to keep adding to his BTC and ETH longs.” Related Reading: How To Time The Dogecoin Bottom And When The Price Will Reach $2 The positioning suggests the trader is not making a single memecoin bet in isolation. DOGE appears to be part of a broader directional long setup across higher-liquidity crypto assets, led by Ethereum and Bitcoin. The Ethereum position, worth $9.82 million, was the largest of the three disclosed longs, followed closely by the $9.11 million Bitcoin position. Dogecoin accounted for the smallest new futures exposure, but still represented a notable $2 million-plus leveraged bet on the memecoin. The additional limit orders are also important. Lookonchain said the whale had placed orders to continue adding to Bitcoin and Ethereum longs, indicating that the trader may be scaling into the position rather than treating the initial entries as a complete allocation. The post did not say whether similar add-on orders were placed for Dogecoin. Related Reading: Dogecoin Fisher Transform Turns Bullish: The Last Setups Were Explosive Beyond the new perpetual positions, the same wallet also holds sizable spot positions in Zcash and Hyperliquid’s HYPE token. Lookonchain said the trader holds 10,797 ZEC, worth about $6.14 million, with an unrealized gain of $3.5 million. The wallet also holds 114,547 HYPE, valued at $5.48 million, with an unrealized gain of $2.2 million. Those spot holdings add context to the “smart whale” label. The wallet is not only showing realized or total profit, according to Lookonchain’s framing, but is also sitting on multi-million-dollar unrealized gains across separate spot positions. The new DOGE long therefore comes from an address that has already built profitable exposure elsewhere in the market. Still, whale tracking has limits. On-chain position data can show what a wallet is doing, but not the trader’s full risk book, hedges, off-chain exposure or intended holding period. A large Dogecoin long from a profitable wallet may attract attention, but it does not by itself confirm a market-wide shift in DOGE demand. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.10429. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.1080 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.1065 and $0.1075. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.1080 level. The price is trading below the $0.1075 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1075 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.1075 and $0.110. Dogecoin Price Dips Further Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.110, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.1080 and $0.1050 support levels. The price even dipped toward the $0.1020 level. A low was formed near $0.1025, and the price is now showing bearish signs well below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1127 swing high to the $0.1025 low. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.1065 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If there is a recovery wave, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.1065 level. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.1075 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.1127 swing high to the $0.1025 low. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.110 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.110 level. A close above the $0.110 resistance might send the price toward the $0.1120 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.1190 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.120. More Losses In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.1075 level, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1020 level. The next major support is near the $0.10 level. The main support sits at $0.0965. If there is a downside break below the $0.0965 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.0920 level or even $0.090 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.1020 and $0.1000. Major Resistance Levels – $0.1065 and $0.1075.
Dogecoin continues to attract attention as market analysts suggest the meme coin could be entering the final stage of its consolidation phase before a stronger breakout attempt emerges. While short-term volatility and liquidity sweeps still threaten downside pressure, the broader setup is beginning to resemble the kind of high-beta structure that has historically fueled explosive DOGE rallies during periods of renewed market optimism. Historical Breakout Behavior In Dogecoin Cycles Crypto analyst APCL explained that Dogecoin may be entering a critical cleanup phase following the fill of the $0.08904 wick formed on October 10. DOGE often behaves differently from many other altcoins during breakout attempts, revisiting the origin of the move with a sharp liquidity sweep before beginning its stronger directional rally. Related Reading: Dogecoin Has Now Entered Oversold Levels That Have Led To Previous Cycle Bottoms APCL noted that Dogecoin’s historical price behavior rarely involves immediate vertical breakouts. Instead, the asset tends to produce a downward wick that retests the breakout base and clears out weaker positions before momentum shifts higher. Based on this pattern, the analyst believes the market could be approaching that final liquidity-clearing stage before a larger move develops. On the macro side, APCL shared the view that former Federal Reserve official Kevin Warsh could eventually replace Jerome Powell. The analyst argued that such a shift, combined with easing geopolitical tensions and policies aligned with Donald Trump, might temporarily trigger a broader risk-on environment across financial markets. However, APCL cautioned that the rally may only form a lower high before another consolidation phase takes place. According to the analyst, DOGE remains one of the preferred assets for capitalizing on any temporary momentum-driven rally because of its strong visibility in the United States due to Elon Musk. Furthermore, Dogecoin’s active narrative and high-beta nature often allow it to outperform during short-term speculative waves. Dogecoin Setup Focuses On Patience, Precision, And Risk Control APCL has outlined a detailed trading plan for Dogecoin, identifying the $0.09255 and $0.10099 region as the primary spot buy zone. Here, traders are presented with two different ways. The first approach involves gradually building a position through staggered limit orders within the highlighted accumulation zone while monitoring price consolidation. Related Reading: Dogecoin Recovery Push Continues, But Bears Still Threaten One Final Drop The second method, which APCL described as the more disciplined setup, involves waiting for confirmation of a potential triple-bottom formation before entering, offering a potentially stronger risk-to-reward opportunity. For traders seeking a more precise entry point, $0.09924 is the key reference level to monitor closely. Once the expected upward move begins, profit-taking should be handled gradually. Instead of holding the entire position until the last stage of the rally, APCL recommended scaling out of trades step-by-step at predefined target levels shown on the chart. Meanwhile, the analyst maintained a strict invalidation level at $0.08789, stressing that a breakdown below that support would completely invalidate the bullish thesis and close positions while a new setup develops. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin’s next major move may depend less on hype and more on exhaustion. A new technical analysis from crypto analyst Cryptollica proposes that the leading meme coin is now trading at another cycle-bottom zone, and the weekly chart is showing the same kind of RSI washout and long compression that previously appeared before notable Dogecoin rallies. Dogecoin’s Fourth Cycle Bottom Comes Into View Dogecoin has spent the better part of the past year being written off. Sentiment has collapsed, price has compressed, and the crowd that once celebrated the meme coin has gone silent. However, a structure that has correctly identified every major Dogecoin bottom since 2015 is saying this is precisely the moment worth watching. Related Reading: Dogecoin Has Now Entered Oversold Levels That Has Led To Previous Cycle Bottoms This structure analysis in question is built around the idea that Dogecoin’s chart is not only a price chart but also a record of market cycle psychology. According to analyst Cryptollica, the 2015 bottom was a period of disbelief, the 2020 bottom was boredom, and the 2022 bottom was anger. This makes the current setup the fourth cycle bottom, where sentiment appears exhausted while the bullish structure is resetting. The weekly chart shared by the analyst shows Dogecoin moving along a long-term rising support structure, with each major low forming during a period when the weekly RSI dropped into or near oversold territory. Interestingly, the latest RSI reading shown on the chart shows the Dogecoin price bouncing from that RSI in early 2026 and slowly trending upwards. Where The Structure Says The Bottom Is Dogecoin is currently looking like it is registering a bottom around $0.10. However, the most important point in this analysis is that timing the Dogecoin bottom is not confirmed by price alone. Timing the Dogecoin bottom comes from a combination of three things: an oversold weekly RSI, long compression, and price holding around the cycle support zone. Related Reading: Dogecoin Has Only 3 Steps Left Until A Surge Above $1, But A Major Factor Is Missing The first signal is already visible in the chart. Dogecoin’s weekly RSI has fallen into the same region as previous cycle lows. The second signal is compression. Dogecoin has spent months grinding through a wide base around $0.10 instead of moving in a clean upward trend. That may look weak on the surface, but in cycle analysis, extended compression often means sellers are losing control gradually. The third signal is confirmation. In order for the bottom argument to become stronger, Dogecoin would need to hold the current support region at $0.10 and begin forming higher lows on the weekly chart. A move back above the nearest major resistance zones at $0.15 and $0.2 would add more weight to the claim that the cycle bottom has been made. That means $0.10 is now one of the most important areas for the Dogecoin price. If the fourth cycle bottom is confirmed, then the question changes from where Dogecoin is now to how it has rallied from similar structural positions. Cryptollica’s analysis points to a top target above $2. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.104, back to retesting $0.10 from an intraday high of $0.1126. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Doggy-themed meme coin Dogecoin (DOGE) has once again slipped into oversold territory, as rising volatility and weak price action continue to drive investors toward the exit. While this may seem bearish on the surface, analysts note that this oversold region has historically preceded Dogecoin’s cycle bottoms. They predict that once a price floor is established, it could signal the end of the meme coin’s prolonged downtrend and potentially pave the way for a fresh bullish trend. Dogecoin Oversold Level Signals Incoming Bottom Selling pressure has been building steadily for Dogecoin, with broader bearish sentiment weighing heavily on the meme coin’s short-term outlook. Adding to the concern, market expert Cryptollica revealed in an X post on May 12 that Dogecoin has officially entered oversold regions on the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI). Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Set To Hit $5 Amid New Influx From Smart Money? What makes this development particularly interesting is just how rare it occurs. According to the analyst, a return to the weekly RSI oversold zone has only occurred four times in 12 years. Moreover, he added that each time this happens, Dogecoin has reached a final price bottom, completely resetting its market. Sharing a chart, Cryptollica noted that during the 2015 cycle, DOGE entered oversold territory on the weekly RSI and found a cycle bottom right after. Similarly, in 2020, the cryptocurrency did the same, recording a price floor during the COVID-19 crypto market crash. Later in 2022, a year after the historic 2021 bull market, Dogecoin also entered oversold territory and formed its third cycle bottom. Now in 2026, Cryptollica believes that the meme coin has repeated the same historical trend. His accompanying chart shows that Dogecoin has formed a cycle bottom around the $0.10 range as its price navigates oversold levels. During the past cycles, the analyst noted that the market was saturated with various negative emotions, including fear, anger, and disbelief, as investors lost confidence and sold their coins. He said that the crowd wrote off Dogecoin as a dead coin when it entered this bearish phase. However, to him, this phase was a “rare cycle-location signal” that could fuel a fresh bull rally. Based on this view, the analyst has projected a bullish target of $5 on his chart once Dogecoin confirms its anticipated market bottom. A move to that level would represent a gain of roughly 4,900% from current levels around $0.115. Oversold DOGE Zone Reveals Major Buying Opportunity In another post, Cryptollica said Dogecoin is offering a rare buying opportunity after entering its rare oversold territory that has only appeared a few times. The analyst stated that most people will miss this opportunity because the best cycle signals arrive when the chart looks dead, not when the crowd is excited. Related Reading: Dogecoin Trap Shows A Major Crash, But How Low Will The Price Go? The analyst noted that each time this oversold zone emerged, the market was not paying attention. In 2015, investors ignored Dogecoin, and then they feared it during the 2020 crash. Moreover, the market entered a state of exhaustion when the zone reappeared in 2022, and now, in 2026, it presents the exact same rare signal. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin continues to show signs of recovery as bulls gradually push prices higher from recent lows. However, despite the improving momentum, the broader market structure still suggests caution, with bears attempting to keep the rally contained below key resistance levels. Building Momentum Ahead Of Potential Breakout Dogecoin is still climbing gradually, and crypto market commentator Caligh believes that slow buildup phases like this often come before explosive rallies. Traders who have been in the market for years understand how quickly DOGE can accelerate once momentum truly kicks in, turning quiet accumulation into aggressive upside expansion. Related Reading: Dogecoin (DOGE) Breaks Away From Pack As Momentum Turns Aggressive According to Caligh, DOGE is more than just another meme coin; it has historically acted as a signal that liquidity is flowing back into the altcoin market. Since Ethereum lost part of its dominance after the 2021 cycle, strong Dogecoin rallies have repeatedly coincided with renewed speculative appetite across the altcoin market. Caligh also highlighted that the current consolidation phase can feel exhausting for traders because the market often moves slowly before a breakout finally arrives. However, these drawn-out periods of patience and uncertainty are usually what create the foundation for larger price expansions later on. For traders looking ahead, Caligh stressed the importance of positioning early rather than chasing moves after the market has already surged. Waiting patiently during accumulation phases may offer stronger opportunities than entering after fear of missing out takes over and the broader altcoin market begins moving aggressively higher. Dogecoin Recovery Rally Remains Corrective For Now Crypto analyst MCO Global explained that Dogecoin is still moving higher within what appears to be a corrective recovery pattern. Although the meme coin has managed to rebound from recent lows, the rally has not yet formed a convincing five-wave impulsive move, keeping the broader outlook cautious for now. Related Reading: Dogecoin Breaks Out Strong: Bullish Structure Aligns For More Upside According to the analyst, several key resistance levels are now coming into focus. The first major barrier stands at $0.118, followed by $0.133, which also aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If bullish momentum strengthens beyond these zones, the next upside targets are projected to be around $0.156 and $0.183. On the downside, MCO Global identified $0.105 and $0.089. Holding above these levels may help sustain the current rebound structure; however, a break below them could significantly weaken short-term momentum. Despite the recent upward movement, the analyst noted that the broader chart structure still leaves room for another larger fifth-wave decline to the $0.058 to $0.047 range over time. A strong impulsive breakout above resistance levels would be needed to invalidate the bearish outlook and confirm a more convincing trend reversal. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
Dogecoin’s monthly Fisher Transform has crossed bullish again, according to trader Cantonese Cat, reviving a macro signal that has previously appeared near major DOGE basing periods rather than at clean, immediate breakouts. The chart, posted May 14 via X, shows DOGE near $0.1146 after a multi-month decline from its 2024 high, with the Fisher line turning up from deeply negative territory. The Fisher Transform is a technical indicator designed to convert price action into a more normalized distribution, helping traders identify potential reversals or major shifts in price behavior. In charting practice, a bullish flip typically refers to the Fisher line crossing above its signal line after an oversold trough. On a monthly chart, that makes it a slow regime signal, not a short-term trigger. Cantonese Cat framed the move cautiously. When another user asked, “2 more years to see god candle? Looks like nothing happens when Fisher is under 0,” the trader replied: “It’s true, it may consolidate for longer, but it depends on how impulsive liquidity goes. I’m OK with it being slow as long as it bottomed.” Related Reading: Dogecoin TD Sequential Flashes Sell Signal: Price Correction Ahead? That distinction matters. The chart is less a call for an immediate vertical move than a claim that DOGE may have shifted from capitulation into base-building. History Says Watch Dogecoin Historical cases support that more careful reading. The first comparable macro reversal on the chart came after Dogecoin’s 2019 trough. DOGE closed around $0.0018 in early February, 2019, while it ended the year at $0.00437. That implies a roughly 143% rebound from the low, but it was not the blow-off phase many traders associate with DOGE. It was a recovery from a depressed base. The 2020 setup was more consequential. DOGE traded as low as $0.00125 in mid-March 2020, during the market-wide COVID liquidation. Dogecoin later recorded its all-time high at $0.7316 on May 8, 2021. Measured from the March 2020 low to that peak, the rally was about 58,400% and took roughly 14 months. The timing lesson is that the bottom came long before the speculative mania reached its endpoint. The 2022 cycle also underscores the delay. DOGE price bottomed at $0.04908 on June 18, 2022, while the next high came in December 2024 at $0.4825. That implies an advance of roughly 883% from the bear-market low to the 2024 cycle high, across about two and a half years. There were rallies inside that period, including the late-2022 rebound, but the larger recovery was a drawn-out structure rather than a single monthly candle. Related Reading: Dogecoin Rally Hits Make-Or-Break Zone, Crypto Analyst Warns The current setup looks closer to those basing phases than to a confirmed breakout. DOGE’s 2026 yearly low is near $0.0813. Against the chart’s roughly $0.114–$0.115 level, DOGE has moved off the low but remains far below the prior cycle’s range high. That is why the Fisher flip is best read as a momentum reset, not a price target. For bulls, the signal suggests monthly downside momentum may be losing force after a deep oscillator trough. For skeptics, the caveat is equally clear: past flips did not prevent extended consolidation, and DOGE’s largest rallies required enough liquidity and risk appetite to turn a technical base into sustained demand. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.1137. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin started a decent increase above $0.1125 against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating and might aim for an upside break above $0.1155. DOGE price started a fresh increase above $0.1120 and $0.1135. The price is trading above the $0.1120 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a contracting triangle forming with support at $0.1115 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could aim for a fresh increase if it remains stable above $0.110. Dogecoin Price Climbs Above $0.1150 Dogecoin price started a fresh increase after it settled above $0.110, outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE climbed above the $0.1120 resistance to enter a positive zone. The bulls were able to push the price above $0.1150. A high was formed at $0.1153 and the price is now consolidating. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.1095 swing low to the $0.1153 high. Dogecoin price is now trading above the $0.1120 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a contracting triangle forming with support at $0.1115 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. If there is another increase, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.1140 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.1150 level. The next major resistance is near the $0.1165 level. A close above the $0.1165 resistance might send the price toward $0.120. Any more gains might send the price toward $0.1220. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.1250. Downside Correction In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.1150 level, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.1115 level, the triangle, and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.1095 swing low to the $0.1153 high. The next major support is near the $0.110 level. The main support sits at $0.1075. If there is a downside break below the $0.1075 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.1030 level or even $0.1020 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.1115 and $0.1100 Major Resistance Levels – $0.1150 and $0.1200.
A crypto analyst has set multiple bullish price targets for Dogecoin (DOGE), predicting a strong, sustainable rally to the highly anticipated $1 milestone. The analyst has shared technical chart patterns to back his optimistic forecast. However, he still believes that a critical catalyst is needed to propel Dogecoin to these higher levels. His analysis shows how the DOGE price will climb to each target until it crosses $1. Dogecoin Rally To $1 Contingent On Elon Musk As Catalyst Crypto analyst Celal Kucuker has laid out seven bullish price targets for Dogecoin on X, with his outlook depending significantly on billionaire investor Elon Musk serving as a key catalyst for a major rally. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Set To Hit $5 Amid New Influx From Smart Money? Kucuker’s confidence in Musk as a driver is based on past incidents between Dogecoin and the Tesla CEO. Musk has a well-known track record of moving the meme coin’s price with little more than a tweet or public endorsement. From referring to DOGE as “the people’s crypto” to changing his X profile to Dogecoin-related images, Musk’s past interactions with the meme coin have triggered some of its most explosive price surges. At the same time, Kucuker anchors his projections in what he describes as a “very clean chart,” which traces a descending channel that has been guiding Dogecoin’s price action since its peak earlier in 2025. Within this channel, DOGE has been moving in a consistent zigzag pattern, grinding sideways while hitting the channel’s upper and lower boundaries. The channel reveals a consistent, recurring pattern in Dogecoin’s price. Each time the meme coin has risen to touch the upper boundary of the descending channel, it has formed a local high before pulling back. The first touch led to a local top of around $0.517, and the second produced a lower high of roughly $0.315. Based on this recurring trend, Kucuker believes that Dogecoin is preparing to touch this upper boundary a third time, potentially leading to a lower high at $0.204. Once that happens, the analyst expects a pullback toward $0.09. At this bottom point, Dogecoin is likely forming a strong base for its next upward move. Kucuker predicts that once this potential rally begins, Dogecoin’s price will officially break free from its multi-year descending channel and begin its ascent toward its ultimate top around $1.61. However, before reaching that target, the analyst noted that Dogecoin will have to cross several resistance and support levels. He marked them at $0.50, $0.12, $0.30, $0.08, $0.20, $0.010, and finally $1.60. Each of these levels represents critical checkpoints where price could rise sharply toward or reverse its advance before the next leg up begins. Analyst Reveals Best Time To Buy DOGE Before A $12 Run Market expert Mikybullcrypto has shared the ideal time for investors and traders to reenter the Dogecoin market. According to the analyst, the best time to build positions in the meme coin is around the $0.10, where DOGE is currently trading Related Reading: Dogecoin Has Entered The Zone That Led To The 2021 26,000% Surge And The Target Is Above $2 The reason the analyst has marked this area as a key buy zone is because he believes that a strong bullish rally to $12 is imminent. His chart shows an ascending trend that has been forming since 2014, with trendlines pointing toward upper targets between $0.5 and $50 for Dogecoin. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com