A task force established by President Donald Trump has issued a comprehensive crypto report advocating for clearer regulations governing digital asset markets. Released on Wednesday, the report calls on federal regulators to utilize their existing authority to create more definitive rules surrounding the trading of digital assets, thereby facilitating the adoption of innovative financial products. White House Crypto Report According to Bloomberg, the White House described the report as an essential step toward positioning the United States at the forefront of the blockchain revolution. “By implementing these recommendations, policymakers can usher in the Golden Age of Crypto,” officials stated in a fact sheet accompanying the report from the Working Group on Digital Asset Markets. Related Reading: BlackRock Goes Heavy on Ethereum: Buys 4x More ETH Than BTC Formed through an executive order signed by Trump in January, the task force has proposed a variety of policy measures aimed at addressing the complexities of the digital asset landscape. Among its key recommendations is the urgent passage of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, which seeks to eliminate regulatory gaps by granting the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) authority to oversee spot markets for non-security digital assets. The report also emphasizes the need to embrace decentralized finance (DeFi) technologies as a vital component of the evolving financial ecosystem. The report also urges both the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the CFTC to act swiftly, providing clarity on critical issues such as registration, custody, trading, and recordkeeping to enable federal-level trading of digital assets. Bitcoin Reserve With 198,000 Seized Coins These recommendations come on the heels of Trump’s recent signing of a congressional bill called the GENIUS Act, aimed at regulating stablecoins, marking a significant victory for the cryptocurrency industry. This new law establishes rules for US dollar-backed stablecoins, which proponents believe will pave the way for broader integration of digital assets into the financial system. The White House has indicated that additional details about the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve will be forthcoming. This reserve is expected to consist of approximately 198,000 Bitcoin that the government has seized from criminal cases and other proceedings. Related Reading: XRP Traders Pull Back $2.4B—Brace For Impact Or Buy The Dip? An executive order issued earlier this year mandated that the Treasury Department retain these Bitcoin holdings, with directives to explore budget-neutral methods for acquiring more. The report also addresses other crucial issues, including the need for clarity on Bank Secrecy Act obligations to strengthen anti-money laundering (AML) efforts. On tax policy, it recommends that Congress classify digital assets as a new category subjected to modified tax rules applicable to securities or commodities. Furthermore, it calls for legislation to extend wash sale rules to digital assets, preventing investors from claiming tax losses on securities if they repurchase similar assets within a designated timeframe. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
JPMorgan Chase and crypto exchange Coinbase have announced a new partnership on Wednesday that marks a pivotal shift in the relationship between traditional finance and digital assets. As the crypto industry experiences a bullish resurgence, fueled by a more favorable regulatory environment in the United States, major financial institutions are reassessing their earlier skepticism toward digital currencies and are now eager to explore the opportunities within this sector. JPMorgan’s Collaboration With Coinbase The recent passage of key legislation—the GENIUS Act, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, and anti-Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) bills—through Congress has encouraged more banks and firms to consider integrating digital assets into their operations. Related Reading: XRP, Dogecoin, And Shiba Inu Get Major Boost From Gemini Exchange Announcement This renewed interest comes at a time when the cryptocurrency market has reached an impressive valuation of approximately $4 trillion, with expectations for continued growth as regulatory clarity emerges in major markets. Starting in 2026, JPMorgan customers will be able to fund their Coinbase wallets using Chase credit cards, according to Reuters, therefore facilitating easier access to cryptocurrency purchases. The partnership also allows Chase customers to redeem credit card reward points for Circle’s USDC stablecoin. This feature, alongside the ability to link bank accounts directly to Coinbase for funding crypto purchases, reflects the increasing integration of digital assets into everyday financial transactions. Financial Giants Step Into The Crypto Market Stablecoins, which are designed to minimize price volatility, are positioned as essential tools for facilitating seamless transactions in both trading and payments. They are now under a new regulatory framework established by the GENIUS Act, which was signed by President Donald Trump. Market analysts have noted that the adoption of cryptocurrencies is set to accelerate in light of the recent legislative changes. BCA Research highlighted that companies within the crypto ecosystem are well-positioned to benefit from this growth, suggesting that increased adoption will lead to price appreciation for digital assets. Related Reading: BlackRock Staking For Its Spot Ethereum ETF Has Been Acknowledged — But What’s Coming For ETH? Coinbase’s stock, COIN, has responded positively to the partnership news, rising by 6% in Wednesday’s trading session, closing the day at $377 and reflecting a broader trend in the company’s performance. With shares up around 50% this year, Coinbase has achieved a market capitalization of approximately $95 billion, further solidifying its role as a leader in the cryptocurrency space. Reuters highlighted that the crypto exchange’s recent inclusion in the S&P 500 index underscores its growing significance and acceptance in the mainstream financial world. Other financial institutions are also taking steps to engage with the crypto market. Earlier this month, PNC Bank announced its collaboration with Coinbase to offer cryptocurrency trading to its customers, indicating that the interest in digital assets is not limited to JPMorgan alone. Citibank, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America are among the largest US banks joining this growing trend, in which cryptocurrencies are expected to benefit tremendously. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) remains within a tight trading range following a recent pullback from its all-time high. At the time of writing, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is priced at $118,570, reflecting a 0.3% increase over the past 24 hours. Recent analysis shared on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform by market contributor ShayanMarkets highlights a noticeable change in Bitcoin’s futures market activity. According to the analyst, while previous price surges in the $70,000–$90,000 range were marked by significant speculative pressure and leverage buildup, the current trend shows signs of cooling despite elevated price levels. This shift could play a key role in determining Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming weeks. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin’s Final Leg Is Near – Time To Be ‘Cautiously Optimistic’? Bitcoin Futures Market Shows Signs of Normalization ShayanMarkets explained that during past rallies, the futures market displayed what he called “heating and overheating phases,” often visible in red clusters on the volume bubble map. These periods typically led to corrections or temporary price consolidations as leveraged positions unwound. However, the current data reflects a different setup. Despite Bitcoin remaining near record highs, futures market activity has transitioned to neutral and cooling phases, shown by grey and green bubbles on the chart. The analyst noted that this cooling phase could be a sign of de-risking among traders, as speculative activity eases while spot demand supports the price. In a statement on QuickTake, ShayanMarkets said: This reset in leverage, despite BTC staying above $100K, signals healthier market conditions as demand shifts toward organic buying rather than high-risk speculative bets. The analyst added that if the reduced speculative pressure continues, it could provide the foundation for another significant price increase, potentially setting Bitcoin up to break past its previous all-time high above $123K. Long-Term Whales Take Profits Amid Price Stability Meanwhile, another analysis from CryptoQuant contributor CoinCare revealed selling activity from long-term Bitcoin holders, often referred to as “whales,” who have maintained their positions for over a decade. According to CoinCare, some of these holders, including those who first accumulated Bitcoin around 2013, have started to liquidate a portion of their holdings. This selling activity aligns with the historical timeline of Bitcoin’s sharp rise from under $100 to roughly $1,000 during that period, representing a potential 117,900% return for early adopters. Such profit-taking from early investors is not unusual during periods of elevated prices and does not necessarily indicate a shift in long-term market sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rejected At $120,000: Binance Whale Inflows Suggest Possible Drop To $110,000 Historically, whale activity has influenced short-term volatility but has also contributed to market redistribution, allowing newer participants to enter the market. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Following another rejection at the $120,000 level, Bitcoin (BTC) is beginning to show signs of cooling off – potentially setting the stage for another rally in the second half of the year. Some analysts now predict that BTC’s next top could approach $150,000. Bitcoin’s Current Overheating Phase Short-Lived According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crypto Dan, Bitcoin is currently entering a cooling-off period after a short-term overheating phase. The warning signs are most evident in the cohort of BTC held for one day to one week. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flow Pulse Breaks From 2017, 2021 Patterns – What It Means For The Rally Crypto Dan shared the following chart showing that this short-term holding cohort is now recording successively lower spikes, suggesting that overheated market conditions are easing. The analyst compared the current environment to previous overheating phases seen between March-October 2024 and January-April 2025. In both instances, the overheating lasted longer and was more intense (shown in red boxes). In contrast, the current overheating conditions (shown in yellow box) show shorter extent and duration compared to the aforementioned two instances. The analyst added: Also, since the recent price increase was relatively modest, we may see a milder and shorter correction in the short term. However, it’s important to remain patient and look forward to a potential uptrend in the second half of 2025. The increase in BTC’s price during the latest rally saw the digital asset surge from around $108,000 on July 1 to a new all-time high (ATH) of $123,128 on July 13, before stabilizing around the $117,500 mark at the time of writing. Is BTC Preparing For Its Next Big Move? As Bitcoin consolidates, several analysts suggest the top cryptocurrency may be gearing up for a major move – likely to the upside. Veteran crypto analyst Titan of Crypto noted that Bitcoin is currently “in a pressure cooker.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Defend This Key Support For $180,000 Year-End Target, Analyst Says Titan of Crypto shared the following chart, highlighting that Bollinger Bands are tightening while volatility is shrinking. At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is compressing – often a precursor to a breakout. Fellow analyst Ali Martinez added that BTC’s next top could reach $149,679, based on the Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVD) metric. For context, the CVD metric measures whether buyers or sellers are dominating trading volume over time. That said, some warning signs linger. Recently, Bitcoin exchange reserves reached a one-month high, suggesting that some holders may be preparing to sell – potentially putting pressure on the current bullish trend. At press time, BTC trades at $117,546, down 0.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade within a narrow price range, showing limited upward movement over the past week. At the time of writing, the leading cryptocurrency is priced around $117,719, representing a 1% decline in the past 24 hours and a 4.2% drop from its recent all-time high above $123,000. Amid this price performance, a recent analysis shared on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform by contributor BorisVest sheds light on possible underlying market dynamics influencing Bitcoin’s current state. According to the analyst, data from Binance futures suggests that despite muted volatility, certain trading patterns could be shaping BTC’s near-term direction. These observations have prompted discussions about whether market makers are deliberately maintaining a controlled range before a significant price move occurs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Drops Among US Investors—Is a Price Correction Coming? Binance Data Suggests Strategic Positioning BorisVest highlighted that Open Interest on Binance has remained steady between $13 billion and $14 billion over the past 20 days. This stability indicates that while new positions are not rapidly increasing, existing trades are being actively maintained. “Such behavior in a range environment often signals silent accumulation or strategic stalling,” the analyst wrote, suggesting that larger players may be carefully managing exposure during this consolidation phase. The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio, currently at 0.9, points to increased selling pressure from market takers. However, Bitcoin’s price has not experienced a sharp decline despite this activity, indicating that passive buyers are absorbing the sell orders. BorisVest added that the Funding Rate, hovering around 0.01, reflects a lack of aggressive leverage from either long or short positions. This could mean that institutional or high-volume traders are building positions gradually, avoiding extremes that typically lead to rapid price swings. Bitcoin Possible Downside Shakeout Before a Breakout The analysis also examined Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) data on Binance, which shows persistent selling in futures markets. Yet, despite ongoing sell-side activity, Bitcoin continues to resist significant downward movement. According to BorisVest, this could set the stage for a potential liquidity-driven shakeout. He suggested that BTC might temporarily dip toward $110,000 to clear out weak long positions and attract additional short interest. This could pave the way for a stronger, more sustainable breakout in the future. Related Reading: Bitcoin Heat Macro Phase Signals Market Sits Between Accumulation And Distribution While these metrics do not guarantee an imminent breakout or breakdown, they point to a fragile equilibrium in Bitcoin’s market structure. Historically, prolonged consolidation phases in BTC have often preceded sharp moves in either direction. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Ethereum (ETH) has had an impressive July, surging over 60% from around $2,400 on July 1 to a high of $3,941 by July 27. What’s particularly notable about this rally is that it appears to be driven by fresh capital inflows – not a rotation out of Bitcoin (BTC), as some have suggested. ETH Rally Driven By Fresh Capital According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Carmelo Aleman, claims that ETH’s current rally is a result of capital rotation from Bitcoin to Ethereum are unfounded. Aleman references on-chain data – especially the Bitcoin Realized Cap – to explain his analysis. Related Reading: Ethereum Approaches Wyckoff ‘Liftoff’ Phase – Can ETH Reach A New High? For the uninitiated, Bitcoin’s Realized Cap measures the total value of all BTC in circulation based on the price at which each coin last moved on-chain, rather than the current market price. It provides a more accurate view of actual capital invested in Bitcoin, helping identify accumulation or distribution trends over time. Aleman shared the following chart showing that, as of July 25 at 11 AM UTC, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high (ATH) in Realized Cap at $1.018 trillion. This increase strongly suggests that capital remains flowing into Bitcoin – not out of it. In fact, Bitcoin’s Realized Cap has continued to rise, albeit gradually, even as Ethereum gained bullish momentum. Aleman explains that brief pauses in BTC price action typically align with phases of capital accumulation, which have historically preceded major rallies. Further, Aleman remarked that ETH is simply benefitting from the strong growth prospects of the Ethereum ecosystem. July witnessed a significant surge in interest in the ETH ecosystem, which reflected in the steep rise in price of the digital asset. Ethereum Network Seeing Returning Interest Multiple metrics reinforce the view that new capital is entering the Ethereum ecosystem. For example, data from DefiLlama shows that the Total Value Locked (TVL) in Ethereum’s decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms has risen significantly – from $49 billion on April 29 to $84.6 billion by July 29. Additional on-chain metrics point to a similar trend. According to etherscan.io, daily transactions on the Ethereum network have been climbing steadily, with nearly 1.48 million transactions recorded on July 27 alone. Related Reading: Analyst Forecasts Major Surge For Ethereum Price, Eyeing $4,000 In Its Best July Yet There’s also growing speculation that Ethereum’s declining circulating supply is contributing to upward price pressure. Over the past month, ETH reserves on centralized exchanges have dropped by one million coins, supporting the narrative of a developing “supply crunch.” Adding to that, Ethereum liquid staking recently reached a new record high, with 35.5 million ETH now locked in liquid staking protocols. At press time, ETH trades at $3,772, down 1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, DefiLlama, and TradingView.com
Rakbank, officially known as the National Bank of Ras Al Khaimah, has set a notable precedent in the UAE by becoming the first conventional bank in the country to offer crypto trading services to retail customers. This move highlights a significant shift in the banking sector within the region, reflecting the increasing integration of cryptocurrencies into traditional finance. Rakbank’s customers can now directly engage in crypto transactions via the bank’s mobile banking app, accessing services such as buying, selling, and swapping cryptocurrencies directly from their UAE dirham accounts. Related Reading: Crypto Hype Cools—Analyst Predicts When The Next Altcoin Surge Will Start Efficient Access to Crypto Assets In a carefully structured partnership, Rakbank collaborated with Bitpanda, a renowned global digital asset platform regulated by Dubai’s Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA). Through Bitpanda’s regional entity, Bitpanda Broker MENA DMCC, Rakbank has integrated crypto trading capabilities into its existing digital banking framework. The cooperation ensures transactions are efficiently executed in AED, removing common obstacles such as foreign exchange fees and complicated transfer procedures. With Rakbank’s newly launched crypto brokerage service, customers avoid many hurdles traditionally associated with crypto exchanges. Users transact directly through their Rakbank savings or current accounts, bypassing lengthy onboarding and fund transfer processes typical of standalone crypto trading platforms. This arrangement significantly streamlines the crypto experience, making it accessible to a broader range of customers by reducing complexity and enhancing convenience. Raheel Ahmed, Rakbank’s Group CEO, highlighted the strategic importance of this launch, stating that it aligns closely with the bank’s mission of digital innovation complemented by a human touch. Ahmed also emphasized that the integration with Bitpanda allows Rakbank to provide customers a regulated, simplified, and secure path into digital asset trading. Ahmed added: We recognize the opportunity this solution will provide to customers in the UAE, as we believe they deserve a more efficient and seamless crypto buying, selling and swapping journey that is fully regulated and entirely in AED. A Regulatory Milestone for UAE Banking The collaboration between Rakbank and Bitpanda signifies a pivotal moment for regulatory advancement in digital asset adoption within the UAE’s banking industry. Lukas Enzersdorfer-Konrad, Deputy CEO of Bitpanda, noted the significance of this partnership, describing it as a critical step toward establishing crypto services in a regulated, straightforward, and trustworthy manner. Related Reading: Crypto Market’s Fate Hangs On The Last Days Of July He expressed that integrating digital asset capabilities into established banks is representative of the future landscape of finance, marked by compliance and customer-centric simplicity. Initially, access to Rakbank’s crypto services is being offered on an invitation-only basis, with plans for a gradual rollout to a broader customer base in the forthcoming months. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a period of stability after its recent upward climb, currently trading around $118,502, marking a slight daily decline of about 0.3%. Despite approaching the notable resistance level at $120,000, the leading cryptocurrency has shown little indication of breaking through decisively. This quiet trading environment has drawn the attention of analysts, prompting a detailed examination of the current market sentiment and investor behavior patterns. A recent report by Arab Chain, an analyst at CryptoQuant, suggests there is waning interest among US investors at Bitcoin’s current price level. Related Reading: Bitcoin Remains Flat—And The SSR Ratio Might Explain Why Declining Demand from US Investors Utilizing the Coinbase Premium Index, a measure that compares Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase against other exchanges, Arab Chain highlights a clear downward trend in demand from American investors as prices have risen above the $105,000 mark. Arab Chain notes that although the Coinbase Premium Index remains slightly positive, indicating a minimal premium on Bitcoin in US markets, the significant reduction in this premium suggests declining enthusiasm at current price levels. Historically, strong buying interest from US investors has typically occurred when Bitcoin was priced under $105,000, suggesting that current valuations may be too elevated for many investors seeking favorable entry points. The analyst specifically noted: The index shows a significant decline in U.S. investor demand for Bitcoin. However, it remains in positive territory, indicating U.S. investors are not as active in purchasing Bitcoin at current prices compared to when it traded below $105,000. The trend suggests many potential buyers might be holding off, anticipating better opportunities should prices dip again. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Begin Profit-Taking Adding further context, another CryptoQuant analyst, Burak Kesmeci, identified emerging patterns among long-term Bitcoin holders at the key psychological resistance level of $120,000. According to Kesmeci, long-term holders have recently transitioned into net-negative territory, signaling initial phases of profit-taking. Such moves typically indicate that veteran investors, many of whom may have held Bitcoin through previous market cycles, are beginning to liquidate portions of their holdings to capitalize on recent gains. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Surges 28% as Metaplanet Adds $93M BTC — Analysts Eye $111K as Strategic Buy Zone Kesmeci highlighted the importance of monitoring this activity closely, pointing specifically to institutional involvement: One significant case to note is Galaxy Digital, reported to have sold approximately 80,000 BTC. Such sizeable institutional activity indicates this is more than typical retail profit-taking. This development raises questions regarding future market behavior, whether the current sell-off by larger holders represents strategic repositioning or signals broader market concerns. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Vape company CEA Industries and venture capital firm 10X Capital, supported by YZi Labs (formerly Binance Labs), have announced a $500 million private placement aimed at establishing the largest publicly listed Binance Coin (BNB) treasury company. New BNB Treasury Strategy The offering comprises a common equity Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE), which will generate $500 million in gross proceeds—$400 million in cash and $100 million in cryptocurrency. According to Monday’s announcement, the funds raised will be primarily directed toward developing a crypto treasury strategy focused on the BNB Chain. Related Reading: $120K Bitcoin In Sight: 90-Day US–China Tariff Truce Fuels Market Optimism Leading the new BNB treasury strategy will be incoming CEO David Namdar, a co-founder of Galaxy Digital and a senior partner at 10X Capital, alongside incoming Chief Investment Officer Russell Read. On the matter, Namdar noted: BNB Chain is one of the most widely utilized blockchain ecosystems, yet access for institutional investors has been limited until now. By establishing a US-listed treasury vehicle, we’re opening doors for traditional investors to participate transparently. Russell Read echoed Namdar’s view, emphasizing what he sees as the fundamental strength of Binance Coin as a digital asset: Institutional-grade exposure to BNB is appealing because it is driven by real utility across various sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi) and enterprise applications. By creating this treasury vehicle, we allow institutions to engage in the growth narrative of BNB. 10X Capital, which has a history of advising significant players in the crypto space, will act as the asset manager for the BNB treasury strategy with the backing of YZi Labs. The transaction is expected to close around July 31, 2025, at which point the company will begin deploying funds to acquire BNB tokens. CEA Industries Stock Soars 560% The company’s plans after the closing include building an initial position in BNB, with aspirations to scale its holdings significantly over the next 12 to 24 months through a “sophisticated capital markets program.” Additionally, they will reportedly explore staking, lending, and other opportunities within the Binance ecosystem to generate revenue while maintaining a conservative risk profile. Related Reading: XRP Won’t See Devastating Pullback Because ‘The Train Has Left The Station’ Ella Zhang, Head of YZi Labs, expressed confidence in the potential of a publicly listed Binance Coin treasury vehicle: We recognized the institutional potential from the outset, and with the PIPE announcement, our conviction has been validated. We are excited to see this vision materialize, enhancing BNB’s utility and institutional access in a sustainable manner. The market response to the announcement has been significantly positive for the company, with CEA Industries’ stock (VAPE) surging more than 560% on Monday morning following the revelation of the PIPE deal. As of this writing, BNB is trading at $825, which is a 3% gap between the current price and the all-time high of $863 achieved earlier on Monday. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) once again faced rejection around the $120,000 resistance level after briefly reaching a high of $119,760. At the time of writing, the top cryptocurrency is trading slightly lower at $118,900. However, a sharp increase in whale inflows to Binance threatens to trigger further downside pressure for the digital asset. Binance Whales Ramp Up Bitcoin Deposits According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisVest, Bitcoin whale activity on Binance has increased significantly in recent days. In particular, the Binance Whale Inflow metric recorded a notable spike on July 25, signalling rising institutional participation in exchange deposits. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flow Pulse Breaks From 2017, 2021 Patterns – What It Means For The Rally On that day alone, the 30-day cumulative inflow to Binance surged by $1.2 billion, fuelling short-term selling pressure across the market. Data from CoinGlass shows that between July 24 and July 25, roughly $141 million worth of BTC long positions were liquidated as a result. It’s worth noting that alongside this spike in whale deposits, retail investors have also been moving their holdings to exchanges. However, their participation remains relatively low in comparison, hinting that recent selling pressure is predominantly whale-driven. The following chart illustrates that while retail inflows have been trending upward for weeks, the sudden increase in whale deposits has introduced additional fragility into Bitcoin’s price structure. The surge in Binance whale inflows came just before Bitcoin was rejected at the critical $120,000 level. Following this rejection, BTC retraced to the $115,000–$116,000 range, which is now acting as short-term support. The analyst noted: This area is now acting as a short-term support zone. If it fails to hold, a move toward the $110K level becomes increasingly likely. On the other hand, if Bitcoin can bounce strongly from this region, there is still potential to retest $121K and even attempt a new all-time high. BorisVest concluded that BTC’s near-term price trajectory will be determined by how well the market absorbs whale sell-off. Meanwhile, fellow crypto analyst Titan of Crypto remarked that if BTC decisively breaks through the $119,900 level, then it could eye new all-time highs (ATH). What Else Does Exchange Data Suggest? Whale inflows aren’t the only factor spooking investors. BTC reserves on centralized exchanges also recently reached a one-month high, suggesting that some holders may be anticipating a temporary pullback or consolidation phase before resuming the uptrend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Defend This Key Support For $180,000 Year-End Target, Analyst Says That said, Binance’s share of BTC spot trading volume recently saw a sharp rise, suggesting that a rally may be on the horizon for the world’s leading cryptocurrency. At press time, BTC trades at $118,926, up 0.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com
A Bitcoin whale from the early 2010s, holding coins mined or acquired in Bitcoin’s infancy, recently awakened and sold 80,000 BTC. The sale was handled by Galaxy Digital, which executed the transfer of over 80,000 BTC (worth $9 billion) on behalf of this client, who is described as a “Satoshi-era” investor. Despite this massive sale and the volatility that came after, Bitcoin has managed to steady and the ensuing price action shows that bulls were more than prepared to absorb the sell shock. Related Reading: Wall Street’s Bold Bet: Bitcoin Could Hit $200K By December, Banking Giant Says Bitcoin Dips To $115,000, Bulls Quickly Bought The Dip News of the $9 billion Bitcoin sale initially caused price volatility. Bitcoin’s price had recently been trading around $119,000, so the sudden influx of sell orders caused a short-lived pullback. On July 25, as reports of Galaxy’s whale sale spread, BTC/USD swiftly fell to around $114,000 to $115,000. The sheer size of 80,000 BTC (over 0.4% of total supply) hitting the market had the potential to trigger panic. Indeed, there were signs of profit-taking and higher exchange inflows in the days surrounding the sale. This, in turn, led to a 3.5% drop, which is one of Bitcoin’s steepest intraday dips in weeks, temporarily breaking below the $115,000 support level. However, it soon became clear that Bitcoin’s bulls were more than prepared to absorb the shock. The price decline bottomed out in mere hours. By the end of that same day, Bitcoin had rebounded above $117,000, and it was trading back in the mid-$117,000. This rapid recovery demonstrated remarkable liquidity and depth in the Bitcoin market. “80,000 BTC, over $9 billion, was sold into open market order books, and Bitcoin barely moved,” observed crypto analyst Joe Consorti, showing how quickly buyers stepped in to counter the selling pressure. Image From X: Joe Consorti Back in earlier years, a sell order of this magnitude could have triggered a double-digit percentage price crash. By contrast, the ecosystem in 2025 handled it with surprising ease. “The entire sale has been fully absorbed by the market,” noted Bitcoin analyst Jason Williams. What’s Next For Bitcoin Price? With the whale’s 80,000 BTC sale now largely in the rearview mirror, the next step is looking ahead to where Bitcoin might go from here. The fact that the market digested a $9 billion sell-off with only minor turbulence has many observers feeling even more bullish about Bitcoin’s trajectory. “We’re going so much higher,” Jason Williams noted. It’s a sentiment shared by several crypto analysts on X, who see the quick recovery as evidence of strong upward momentum. The consensus among bulls is that new all-time highs could be on the horizon in the coming months. Bitcoin already notched a record around $123,000 on July 14, but analysts are still calling for new highs above $130,000, $150,000, or even higher. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s New Clock: How Wall Street Killed The Old Cycle, According To Expert At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $118,063, up by 0.5% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
XRP’s technical setup is playing out another major move, and this time the bullish momentum is being backed by the reappearance of one of its most powerful historical indicators. According to a new analysis posted by Egrag Crypto on the social media platform X, XRP’s 21 EMA and 55 SMA weekly crossover has been playing out quite nicely, with XRP recently hitting $3.65 on July 18 before cooling off. Now, this analysis projects that the pattern may still be in its early stages. Based on historical outcomes, XRP might be on track to reach as high as $9 or even $24. Related Reading: Wall Street’s Bold Bet: Bitcoin Could Hit $200K By December, Banking Giant Says Bull Crosses Cause Massive Rallies For XRP EGRAG’s chart, which displays XRP’s weekly price action with the 21 EMA and 55 SMA trendlines, shows that each time a bullish crossover occurred between the two trendlines, it marked the beginning of a strong price rally. The first instance of such a cross was in March 2017, and by the end of that cycle, XRP’s price had reached a peak that represented a 40,000% surge from its low. Then in August 2020, a similar crossover produced a 750% pump before topping out. The most recent bullish crossover occurred in October 2024 and has so far resulted in a 560% rise from XRP’s bottom in September 2024. However, there was a similar temporary pump in April 2023 that Egrag excluded from his model. Based on different assumptions about the previous price playout between the two cycles, the analyst outlined two possible targets for the current cycle. The first projection is a 1,500% rally, double that of 2020’s run, which would place the price peak for this cycle at $9. The second projection is a 4,000% rally, which represents just 10% of the massive 2017 spike. This second, more bullish projection places XRP’s price peak anywhere at $24. Chart Image From X: Egrag Crypto XRP Drops To Retest $3 After New ATH At $3.65 After reaching a new cycle high of $3.65 on July 18, XRP failed to hold above the $3.21 resistance zone and corrected down to test the $3.00 support level on July 24. The price volatility, although strong, wasn’t enough to break this support level. Crypto analyst CasiTrades also weighed in on the current technical setup by pointing to an Elliott Wave count that suggests a major third wave is about to begin. In her analysis posted on X, she confirmed that XRP has completed a subwave 2 correction, reaching the deep 0.854 Fibonacci retracement level before bouncing. What’s important here is that the price held above $3, never forming a new low, which is probably now a new price floor. Chart Image From X: CasiTrades Related Reading: Crypto’s Golden Rule Just Got Broken, According To Analyst If buying volume increases and XRP regains its hold above $3.21, the next move is to target $3.82, which coincides with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Interestingly, the analyst noted that $3.82 also aligns with what many platforms historically recorded as XRP’s new all-time high. Should XRP close a weekly candle above $3.82, it could lead to prices that align with Egrag’s projections. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.17. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has jumped more than 170% from its launch‑month price around $45,000 to about $123,000 earlier this month. Related Reading: Crypto’s Golden Rule Just Got Broken, According To Analyst Based on reports from Citi, the bank has laid out three scenarios for where the price might land by year‑end 2025. These range from a low of $64,000 in a weak market to a bull case of $199,000 if everything goes right. ETF Flows Take Center Stage In Bitcoin Uptrend According to Citi analysts, spot Bitcoin ETFs now explain over 40% of the recent price swings. Since their debut, US ETFs have snapped up about $54.66 billion worth of Bitcoin. That buying power helped drive BTC from roughly $45,000 to $123,000 in just a few months. The bank’s base case assumes another $15 billion in ETF inflows this year. At the ratio they’ve modeled—about $4 of price per $1 of flow—that would add around $63,000 to Bitcoin’s value. ???? Bitcoin Could Surge to $199K by Year-End, Says Citi Citigroup has released a new forecast projecting Bitcoin to reach $135,000 by the end of 2025 in its base-case scenario. The bullish case estimates a potential rise to $199,000, while the bearish outlook places the… pic.twitter.com/3Kp1o8OGsn — The Tradesman (@The_Tradesman1) July 26, 2025 User Growth Fuels Network Effects Based on figures from trading desks and on‑chain metrics, Citi expects a 20% rise in active Bitcoin users over the next year. That jump in adoption would support roughly $75,000 of price strength on its own. The idea is simple. More users mean more hands holding and trading Bitcoin. That activity tends to make prices less prone to sudden drops. Still, forecasts like this rest on the assumption that new users stick around rather than flipping coins for quick gains. Macroeconomic Factors Cut Forecast Slightly Citi’s model also factors in weaker performance in equities and gold, trimming the price by about $3,200. That adjustment reflects a view that if stock and metal markets struggle, Bitcoin won’t fully decouple from broader risk assets. At the same time, growing regulatory approval and deeper links between crypto and traditional finance should offer some support. ETF Demand Could Lift Bitcoin By $63,000 In the base‑case scenario, Citi adds the $63,000 from ETF flows to the $75,000 from user growth, then subtracts $3,200 for macro headwinds. That math lands the price at about $135,000 in 2025. That figure is only $12,000 above the recent peak of $123,000. It suggests Citi sees more upside but not a runaway rally—at least not in the base case. Related Reading: The US Is A Bitcoin Whale—Arkham Clarifies BTC Holdings After Brief Panic A Bull Case Of $199,000 Remains On The Table If ETFs keep pouring in far more than $15 billion and user growth exceeds 20%, Bitcoin could climb to $199,000 under Citi’s bull case. Conversely, a drop to $64,000 is possible if macro conditions sour sharply. Globally, ETFs now hold around 1.48 million BTC, worth over $170 billion—about 7% of the total supply. That level of institutional backing is unprecedented. It shifts Bitcoin’s fate more toward big‑money flows than pure retail hype. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
The Shiba Inu price is back in the spotlight after a massive Coinbase transfer of 5 trillion SHIB shakes the broader market and sparks speculation across the crypto community. With uncertainty surrounding the intent of the large-scale SHIB transfer, the transaction has drawn significant attention and comments from crypto watchers, especially as it comes on the heels of a recent crash in the meme coin’s price. Related Reading: The US Is A Bitcoin Whale—Arkham Clarifies BTC Holdings After Brief Panic Whale Moves Fuel Shiba Inu Price Speculation A new report from Whale Alert on X social media has confirmed a jaw-dropping transfer of 5 trillion SHIB, worth approximately $69.98 million from crypto exchange Coinbase to an unknown wallet. The move has reignited market discussions, closely following a significant crash in the meme coin’s price that erased weeks of gains. CoinMarketCap’s data shows that Shiba Inu is now trading at $0.000014, down by more than 7% in just a few days. Notably, the 5 trillion SHIB transfer by the anonymous whale has raised eyebrows across the crypto community, with many expressing their astonishment over the sheer size of the transaction and others viewing it as a calculated move. The timing and size of the transfer have also led some to interpret it as a bearish signal, potentially indicating an upcoming sell-off, which could lead to further declines in the meme coin’s price. Others assert that the tokens have been deliberately taken off the active trading market and put into a vault, hinting at a strategic supply reduction. If conditions remain optimal, this could set the stage for a possible liquidity squeeze. In addition, as demand returns to the market, the crypto member states that Shiba Inu could face a thin wall of available supply, potentially triggering a price rebound. What’s more, the lack of clear information regarding the receiving wallet has only added to the speculation, with a community member suggesting that the entity, the 5,000,000,000,000 SHIB transfer, may have been driven by insider knowledge. Typically, whale moves of this magnitude tend to influence market sentiment, potentially triggering sharp price reactions and raising questions about possible coordinated activity. Market Eyes Possible Price Revival Beyond the initial shock of the 5 trillion SHIB transfer and its potential implications on price action and whale activity, many in the crypto space are beginning to draw connections to a broader bullish trend or possible price resurgence. Some crypto members believe that the reemergence of high-value whale entities could be a potential precursor of big price moves. Related Reading: Crypto’s Golden Rule Just Got Broken, According To Analyst Others suggest that this move could trigger the start of a meme coin season, where speculative assets like Shiba Inu or Dogecoin experience renewed investor interest and dramatic price surges. Historically, large and sudden whale movements often precede market-wide interest and price rallies in meme tokens, particularly when those moves significantly shrink supply and hint at potential future accumulation. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
Scottie Pippen, the six‑time NBA champion, stirred up the crypto community this week. He put out a poll on X asking his 728,000 followers whether XRP will hit $10 by 2026. Alongside that question, he also threw out bold targets for Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana. The move sent traders and fans buzzing. Related Reading: The US Is A Bitcoin Whale—Arkham Clarifies BTC Holdings After Brief Panic Pippen’s Viral Crypto Poll According to his post, Bitcoin could climb to $233,000, Ethereum to $10,000 and Solana to $1,000. Pippen gave people four choices for each token and let them vote. Travis Turnbull and others in the comments threw their support behind XRP reaching $10, while some thought even 2026 might be too soon. Polls like this tend to draw big crowds, and Pippen’s name carries weight well beyond sports. Which one of these will happen in 2026: • Bitcoin will hit 233k • $ETH will hit $10k • $SOL will hit $1k • $XRP will hit $10 • Your UBER driver will tell you about the @game5ball • Optimus will deliver you food • Aliens will invade • 2pac returns — Scottie Pippen (@ScottiePippen) July 24, 2025 XRP is trading around $3.18 right now. That price is down 2.2% in the past day, though it’s still up 45% for the month. At that level, the token’s market cap sits near $156 billion. To hit $10, XRP would need to swell to about $500 billion based on its roughly 50 billion coins in circulation. That jump would rank it among the world’s biggest assets. Bullish Forecasts From Other Analysts Based on reports, an NFT project founder predicted XRP could top $10 by next year if Bitcoin rockets toward $250,000. A well‑known crypto analyst updated his earlier $4–$5 call to $10 after a surge in bullish momentum. Aaron Arnold, host of Altcoin Daily, went even further with an $11 target by 2025. He called that figure “realistic,” pointing to growing demand and fresh capital flows. Realistic 2025 #altcoin price predictions:$ADA – $4$XRP – $11$INJ – $99$BORG – $3.50$PENGU – $0.10$PUMP – $0.01$SOL – $400 What else? ???? — Altcoin Daily (@AltcoinDaily) July 25, 2025 If XRP ever hit $11, its market cap would soar past $650 billion. That would put it ahead of big names like Mastercard and Tencent on the value charts. Such a move would reshape how people see cross‑border payments and tokenized banking rails. Related Reading: Crypto’s Golden Rule Just Got Broken, According To Analyst What It Takes To Hit $10 Reaching $10 won’t happen on hype alone. XRP still faces legal hurdles in the US. Banks need clear rules before they can embrace it at scale. On‑chain activity must keep rising, and fresh partnerships with payment firms or tech players are a must. At the same time, rival tokens and layer‑2 solutions compete for investor money. Timing is key, too. Crypto often moves in waves, and a bull run can last months or years—but corrections can come fast. Featured image from NBA, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) may be on the cusp of another rally, as leading cryptocurrency exchange Binance saw its spot volume rise from around 40% on July 15 to as high as 60% on July 18. Historical data suggests that surges in Binance’s spot market share have frequently preceded upward movements in BTC’s price. Bitcoin Rally Imminent? Binance Data Suggests So According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Amr Taha, Binance’s spot volume market share surging to 58% on July 23, has further strengthened the premier cryptocurrency’s $117,000 support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Long-Term Holders Sell As Short-Term Buyers Step In – Sign Of Rally Exhaustion? This marks the second notable spike in Binance’s spot market dominance this month. On July 18, Binance’s share surged to 60%, coinciding with Bitcoin holding above the critical $117,000 mark on the daily chart. Since then, the $117,000 level has served as a reliable support zone, likely buoyed by Binance’s deep liquidity and high execution reliability. Price stability at this level has been observed multiple times since the initial breakout. In addition to this, Bitcoin’s price has shown strong resilience around the Realized Price of the 1-day to 1-week Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) Age Band, which is currently near $118,300. For context, UTXO age bands classify Bitcoin held in wallets based on how long it has remained unspent, offering insight into investor behavior. Shorter bands – 1 day to 1 week – typically reflect activity by newer or speculative holders, while longer bands – 6 months to 5 years – are associated with long-term holders with stronger conviction. Taha explained: Historically, this metric acts as a dynamic support level, indicating that newer holders are not capitulating and that the average on-chain cost basis of recent buyers is being respected by the market. Meanwhile, fellow crypto analyst Titan of Crypto took to X to highlight BTC following the bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern. In an X post, the analyst shared the following weekly chart, adding that BTC is on track to hit a target of $144,000. Will BTC Hit $180,000 By Year End? Bitcoin’s recent all-time high (ATH) of $123,218 has reignited speculation around even higher price targets before year’s end. According to CryptoQuant analyst Chairman Lee, BTC remains on track to reach $180,000 by the end of 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Not Over Yet? Short-Term Holder MVRV Suggests Further Upside Recent on-chain metrics support this bullish outlook. Notably, the Bitcoin IFP indicator suggests that major holders continue to hold BTC despite its proximity to record highs – unlike in previous cycles, where exchange inflows typically preceded significant corrections. However, not all indicators point upward. Exchange reserves recently reached their highest levels since June 25, raising concerns about potential sell pressure. At press time, BTC is trading at $119,097, up 0.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com
Bitcoin continues to trade below its record high set earlier this month, hovering above the $119,000 mark. While price action over the past week has shown only a modest 0.3% gain, analysts suggest the market may be nearing a turning point. The sideways movement in price has not deterred the broader bullish outlook, but on-chain indicators now suggest caution may be warranted. One such indicator comes from CryptoQuant’s QuickTake contributor Arab Chain, who flagged potential overheating in Bitcoin’s current market structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Realized Price Chart Reveals Key Defense Zones Amid Volatility Bitcoin Bullish Trend Persists, but Signs Point to Caution In a recent post, the analyst highlighted the behavior of the Bull and Bear Market Cycle Indicator, which now sits in a zone typically associated with strong bullish trends. However, its proximity to the so-called “overheated bull” range has raised concerns about a possible correction on the horizon. The indicator’s historical pattern suggests this zone often precedes a price cooldown, leading investors to consider profit-taking strategies. Arab Chain noted that despite the bullish structure, the indicator’s advance toward overheated territory could prompt speculators to close positions. “The proximity of overheated zones suggests that this is not the right time for a major purchase,” the analyst explained. The insight reflects the broader sentiment that market participants may opt for a wait-and-see approach, anticipating a more favorable re-entry after a correction. Additionally, while the 30-day to 365-day moving averages still support a continued uptrend, they may also signal that a short-term top is forming unless disrupted by new market catalysts. Retail Interest Remains Muted as Institutional Demand Grows Supporting this view, another CryptoQuant analyst, Burak Kesmeci, emphasized the role of institutional activity in driving the current cycle. Kesmeci explained that retail investors have reduced their exposure to Bitcoin since early 2023, while large investors have increased their holdings, particularly from early 2024 onward. “This time, the source of the Bitcoin rally is not retail — the big players are in the driver’s seat,” he wrote. This accumulation by high-volume wallets, likely linked to institutions or ETFs, highlights a shift from previous cycles dominated by retail behavior. Related Reading: Bitcoin Final Push? Wave (5) Could Deliver A Spectacular Breakout Kesmeci further pointed to Google Trends data showing that search interest in “Bitcoin” remains subdued compared to previous bull runs. The absence of widespread retail excitement contrasts with the intense public engagement seen during Bitcoin’s surge in 2021. According to Kesmeci, the quiet phase may indicate that retail has not yet entered the market en masse — a stage that historically signals the final leg of a bull cycle. “The crowd has not awakened yet,” he noted, adding that “smart money is currently on stage — and most people are still watching from the sidelines.” Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below the $120,000 mark, exhibiting restrained momentum despite previous rallies that pushed it to all-time highs above $123,000. Over the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency has fluctuated between a low of $117,422 and a high of $119,197, ultimately trading at $118,578 at the time of writing. While price movement has remained relatively stable, on-chain indicators suggest that broader market sentiment is still in a transitional phase, with neither excessive enthusiasm nor panic selling present among investors. Related Reading: Are Traders Walking Into a Bitcoin Bull Trap at $118K? Here’s What the Data Shows Bitcoin Market Signals Suggest Ongoing Expansion Phase A recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Gaah highlights a key development in the Index Bitcoin Cycle Indicators (IBCI), a composite tool used to track phases in Bitcoin’s market cycle. According to Gaah, the IBCI has returned to the “Distribution” zone, an area historically associated with the late stages of a bull market. However, this return is moderate, as the index has reached only 80% of the zone’s upper boundary, falling short of the full saturation levels typically observed at major market peaks. The IBCI’s moderate level indicates that Bitcoin is in an expansionary stage, but without the typical signs of overheating. Gaah noted that two critical components of the IBCI, the Puell Multiple and the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR), remain below their midpoint levels. This suggests that short-term speculation and aggressive profit-taking, often seen in late-stage bull markets, have not yet fully emerged in the current cycle. As a result, while caution may be warranted, the broader trend does not yet resemble a typical market top. The Puell Multiple, in particular, continues to hover near the “Discount” range, indicating that miner profitability remains moderate even with Bitcoin’s recent all-time high. This points to a valuation structure where network participants have not yet entered the excess phase that typically precedes a market correction. Gaah emphasized that the current state of the IBCI reflects underlying market strength supported by fundamentals, not speculative fervor. However, he also warned that the market is in a high-risk correction zone in the short term and should be monitored closely for shifts in retail behavior and miner activity. Short-Term Holders Offer Support Around Realized Price Adding to the discussion, another CryptoQuant analyst, Amr Taha, observed that Bitcoin has maintained price stability near the realized price of the UTXO Age Band for 1-day to 1-week holders, currently around $118,300. This metric is often interpreted as a dynamic support level that reflects the average cost basis for recent buyers. According to Taha, the absence of capitulation among newer holders implies that recent market entrants remain confident, reinforcing the current price range as a psychological and technical support zone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hovers Below $120K as On-Chain Indicators Point to Slowing Demand Together, these insights suggest that while Bitcoin may face near-term volatility, broader indicators do not yet reflect an overheated market. Instead, current metrics imply a market that continues to expand at a measured pace, with room for potential upside if fundamentals remain intact. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
The cryptocurrency derivatives market has suffered heavy liquidations as altcoins like XRP (XRP) and Dogecoin (DOGE) have plummeted. Crypto Has Seen Almost $1 Billion In Liquidations During The Past Day According to data from CoinGlass, the cryptocurrency derivatives sector has been shaken up by a wave of liquidations in the last 24 hours. “Liquidation” here refers to the forceful closure that any open contract undergoes when its losses exceed a certain percentage (as defined by the platform). Related Reading: When Will Ethereum Turn Overheated? Report Says Watch This Level Below is a table that breaks down the numbers related to the latest liquidations in the digital assets market: As displayed, the cryptocurrency sector has seen a whopping $967 million in derivatives contract liquidations over the past day. Out of these, an overwhelming majority of the positions involved were long ones. More specifically, users betting on a bullish outcome took a beating of around $829 million. These mass liquidations have come as assets across the market have witnessed some degree of bearish price action. The likes of XRP and Dogecoin are currently down about 10%. Interestingly, Bitcoin (BTC) hasn’t been affected by this latest sector-wide downturn, suggesting that the decline could be a result of investors rotating capital out of altcoins. Given BTC’s relatively flat action, it’s not surprising to see that the number one cryptocurrency hasn’t been leading in liquidations this time around. From the above heatmap, it’s visible that Ethereum (ETH) has topped the market with a derivatives flush of almost $200 million, while XRP has come second with liquidations of $115 million. Despite the fact that Bitcoin hasn’t actually moved much in the past day, users have still managed to rake up $84 million in liquidations. Solana (SOL) and Dogecoin wrap up the top 5 with figures sitting at $58 million and $56 million, respectively. The mass liquidation event from the past day may be a product of overheated conditions that had already been brewing in the sector. As on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed in its latest weekly report, the Open Interest across the top altcoins has seen a significant increase since the start of July. The “Open Interest” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of futures positions related to an asset that are currently open on all centralized exchanges. As shown in the chart, the metric’s combined value for Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin sat at $26 billion at the start of the month, but it has now grown to $44 billion. Related Reading: XRP Whales Move $759M In Token: What Are They Up To? Historically, an excess of leverage has often led to volatility for the market, so the latest squeeze could just be this effect in motion. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $3.17, down 4% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, CoinGlass.com, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin continues to hover below its all-time high, with current trading levels near $118,000 reflecting a 0.6% daily drop and a 3.8% pullback from the peak above $123,000 recorded earlier this month. While the broader trend remains uncertain, analysts have assessed on-chain activity for signs of the next major move. Recent data from CryptoQuant analysts highlights a divide between retail and institutional behavior across leading exchanges, raising questions about potential profit-taking or strategic accumulation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Defend This Key Support For $180,000 Year-End Target, Analyst Says Bitcoin Retail Traders Sell into Strength, While Whales Accumulate On the one hand, short-term holder (STH) behavior on Binance suggests some market participants are opting to take profits following the asset’s strong rally. On the other hand, Kraken has recorded a sharp outflow of Bitcoin, a movement typically associated with whale activity or long-term accumulation. This contrasting activity across platforms suggests a split in market sentiment, with retail traders potentially trimming their exposure and larger players preparing for sustained upside. According to CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha, the Binance Exchange Inflow Ratio for Short-Term Holders recently crossed the 0.4 level, historically linked to increased retail selling pressure. These STHs, who typically hold Bitcoin for fewer than 155 days, tend to deposit funds to exchanges during periods of price strength to lock in gains. The spike above this threshold may indicate a growing tendency among retail investors to exit positions in anticipation of volatility. In contrast, the same analysis pointed to significant outflows from Kraken, with over 9,600 BTC withdrawn on July 22, one of the highest single-day outflows seen in recent months. Taha interpreted this as a potential signal of whale accumulation, with institutional or high-net-worth participants removing assets from exchange custody, often in preparation for long-term storage. This divergence in behavior between Binance and Kraken highlights the differing strategies employed by market segments, with retail users leaning toward short-term positioning and whales opting for long-term accumulation. Binance Reserve Trends Highlight Strengthening Profit Margins Adding another layer to the evolving market picture, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost shared that Binance’s unrealized profit on its Bitcoin reserves has hit an all-time high of approximately 60,000 BTC. This figure has grown despite a gradual decline in total BTC reserves held on the platform, which have fallen from 631,000 BTC in September 2024 to 574,000 BTC as of now. A portion of these holdings, around 16,000 BTC, is locked in custodial wallets to back the BTCB token on the BNB Chain, serving operational purposes. Darkfost emphasized that decreasing exchange reserves are often interpreted as a sign of investor confidence, reflecting a preference to store Bitcoin in personal wallets rather than leaving it on centralized platforms. Related Reading: Trump Media’s $2 Billion Bitcoin Buy Sparks Surge In Stock Price The rise in unrealized profit amid falling reserves may indicate that while outflows persist, the remaining holdings have appreciated significantly in value, highlighting the platform’s strengthened position. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s recent price action reflects a consolidation phase rather than a decisive move in either direction. After briefly touching an all-time high of over $123,000 earlier this month, BTC has seen a gradual pullback, currently trading around $118,000 at the time of writing. This represents a 1.1% drop in the last 24 hours and a 3.9% decline from its peak, as traders evaluate whether the current market structure suggests a continuation or a correction. According to new insights from CryptoQuant contributors, indicators present a split narrative. Some metrics suggest rising optimism among traders, while others indicate a more cautious and holding-focused environment. Related Reading: Trump Shares Viral Bitcoin Breakdown — Here’s What He Posted Surge in Long Positions Raises Contrarian Concerns CryptoQuant contributor BorisVest highlighted a notable spike in the long/short sentiment ratio on Binance, showing a growing preference among traders for long positions. This metric, which tracks the volume of long versus short positions on the exchange, has tilted significantly bullish within the $116,000–$120,000 price range. He noted that during Bitcoin’s previous consolidation between $100,000 and $110,000, sentiment leaned toward short positions, a setup that preceded a breakout to the upside and a wave of short liquidations. This time, however, the environment has flipped. BorisVest explained: Now that sentiment is skewed heavily toward longs, the same principle could apply in reverse. When the majority positions in one direction, it often creates a setup for the opposite move. The current range is acting as a trap zone, where traders’ expectations are repeatedly tested. The historical tendency for sentiment extremes to precede contrary price action has prompted some analysts to advise caution, suggesting that growing bullish bias could lead to a temporary reversal if met with enough liquidity pressure. Bitcoin Exchange Flow Patterns Reflect Investor Patience While Binance sentiment data leans bullish, another key on-chain indicator paints a different picture. CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain examined the Bitcoin Flow Pulse (IFP) indicator, which tracks BTC movements to centralized exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Defend This Key Support For $180,000 Year-End Target, Analyst Says According to the data, despite Bitcoin’s recent high above $120,000, there has not been a corresponding spike in exchange inflows, suggesting that investors are not rushing to take profits or exit the market. This behavior contrasts with historical cycles in 2017 and 2021, where price peaks were accompanied by large exchange inflows and followed by corrections. Arab Chain wrote: The market now shows a consolidating trend, with reduced selling pressure. The low flow to exchanges indicates confidence among holders and suggests that many participants are expecting the uptrend to continue. Still, he cautioned that a shift in the IFP indicator, such as a sudden rise in exchange flows, could act as an early warning for increased supply pressure. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade near its all-time high (ATH) of $123,218, concerns over rising exchange deposits are mounting. However, fresh on-chain data reveals a significant contrast between the current rally and previous ones – most notably, a decline in BTC deposits to exchanges. Bitcoin Flow Pulse Shows Low Exchange Activity According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the Bitcoin Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) indicator is exhibiting “interesting behavior” in mid-2025. Notably, large investors do not appear to be selling their holdings, despite BTC trading at record highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reserves On Exchanges Hit Highest Level Since June 25 – Is BTC In Danger? Typically, sophisticated investors begin profit-taking as an asset approaches ATH territory. However, that behavior appears to be largely absent this time. The lack of selling activity stands in contrast to the market peaks of 2017 and 2021. During both these instances, there were large BTC inflows to exchanges, which were closely followed by significant price corrections. Arab Chain shared the following chart highlighting the relationship between a rising IFP and Bitcoin’s price trajectory. The chart illustrates how price corrections followed rising IFP levels at the end of 2017 and again in 2021. In 2025, despite an IFP surge earlier in the year, the BTC market has since consolidated rather than corrected. For context, the IFP indicator tracks the volume of Bitcoin transferred between centralized exchanges, providing insights into investor sentiment and market conditions. A rising IFP typically suggests growing intent to sell or arbitrage, while a declining IFP indicates reduced exchange activity and stronger holder conviction. This year’s dynamic between IFP and BTC price suggests investors are choosing to hold Bitcoin, even as prices hover near record highs. Arab Chain noted that such behavior reinforces the bullish case. They said: This behavior indicates high confidence in the uptrend so far and partly explains why the price has continued to rise without any clear selling pressure. On the other hand, if the Bitcoin IFP indicator begins to rise, it indicates an intention to sell and an anticipated significant supply pressure. Therefore, a sudden rise in the indicator is a strong warning sign for speculators. BTC Miners Engaging In Profit-Taking While large investors remain largely inactive on the selling front, Bitcoin miners appear to be cashing in on the current rally. Miner outflows surged to 16,000 BTC on July 15 – the highest single-day level since April 7. Related Reading: No Mania Yet: Bitcoin ATH Lacks Hype, Suggesting Further Upside Potential As selling pressure builds, recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Chairman Lee highlights a key support level that BTC must defend to remain on track for the $180,000 year-end target. At press time, BTC trades at $117,529, down 1.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin hovers just below its mid‑May record at roughly $119,000, while the global crypto‑asset capitalisation approaches $4 trillion, but traders say the real test will come in the last week of July, when an unusually dense cluster of US macro‑policy events collides with an intensifying legal battle over President Trump’s tariffs. “The last few days of July will set the stage for markets for the rest of the year imo. FOMC meeting where dovish dissents are looking very likely. QRA meeting where we will get a look into how willing Bessent is going to be to try to weaponize treasury issuance for the first time since being chair. Tariff letter deadlines. The Supreme Court will begin deliberating on whether tariffs via executive order are legal or not. No big edge on either side right now personally, will just react once we get clarity. Stay frosty,” Forward Guidance host Felix Jauvin wrote via X. July’s Final Days Could Shape Crypto The two‑day Federal Open Market Committee meeting on 29–30 July is the first shot. Governor Christopher Waller, speaking last week, laid out the case for an immediate 25‑basis‑point rate cut, arguing that tariff‑linked inflation looks “temporary” and that the labour market is “under strain.” Related Reading: House Passes Major Bills During ‘Crypto Week,’ But Significant Changes May Take Time Prediction‑market platform Kalshi assigns a 40 % probability to two cuts and a 13 % probability to three cuts by December; Goldman Sachs now places the first move in September, but traders emphasise that even a single dovish dissent next week would cement that timetable. As The Kobeissi Letter summed up in a widely shared post: “Rate cuts are coming … Next week’s Fed meeting will pave the path for a September rate cut.” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has broken with predecessors’ reticence by all but instructing the central bank to move sooner. “If [tariff] inflation isn’t sticky, they could do it sooner than September,” he told Fox News on 1 July, after stating two months earlier that “the bond market is sending a signal that the Fed should be cutting.” Only hours after the Fed decision, Bessent will unveil the Treasury’s third‑quarter borrowing plans at the Quarterly Refunding Announcement. The agenda published on 11 July flags a noon release on 30 July. Desks are watching not just the size but the maturity mix: Bessent’s advisers have floated heavier use of short‑dated bills to “manage the yield curve,” a move that would soak up the very cash that cycles into stablecoins and crypto risk. Tariffs Come Back Into Focus Trade policy is the second pressure point. A 7 July executive order extended reciprocal tariffs and launched a volley of tariff‑rate letters to trading partners; the new levies take effect on 1 August unless renegotiated. Bessent flies to Stockholm next week in a last‑minute bid to defer a mooted 100 % surcharge on Chinese imports, underscoring how fluid the landscape remains. Related Reading: 2025 Crypto Thefts Spike: Stolen Funds Hit $2.7 Billion In H1– Report Even if diplomats buy time, lawyers may not. The Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit has set 31 July for expedited oral argument on V.O.S. Selections v. Trump, a case that could decide whether a president can impose tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Petitioners have already asked the Supreme Court for review before judgment, calling the tariffs a “$600 bn annual tax.” A ruling to curtail executive trade powers would remove what many bitcoin bulls see as a long‑term inflation tail‑risk; the opposite outcome could entrench the policy. Real yields—now the dominant macro driver of Bitcoin—move inversely to rate‑cut expectations and Treasury supply. The benchmark 10‑year has fallen about 30 bp in three sessions to 4.34 %, mirroring BTC’s 8 % bounce over the same period. For now, the market’s playbook is simple: Watch the Fed dots, count the bills in the QRA, read the tariff letters—and, as Jauvin advised, “stay frosty.” At press time, total crypto market cap stood at $3.81 trillion. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s price remains in a zone where it is seeing little upward momentum as it continues to hover below its recent all-time high. After reaching above $123,000 earlier this month, the asset has pulled back slightly, trading at $119,343 at the time of writing. This represents a 2% gain over the past week but still leaves BTC roughly 3% below its recent peak. The muted price action reflects a market that appears to be consolidating amid diverging signals from on-chain indicators and regional demand metrics. Recent analysis from CryptoQuant contributors points to a weakening appetite for Bitcoin in both the US and South Korea, two markets that have historically contributed significant trading volume. A closer look at exchange activity and regional pricing premiums suggests a potential shift in investor behavior, as profit-taking becomes more prominent and traders appear hesitant to buy at current levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Correlation To Altcoins Is Collapsing: A Warning Sign? Regional Premiums Point to Lower Demand from US and South Korea According to a post by CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain, the Coinbase Premium Index, which measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other global exchanges, has failed to climb significantly despite BTC reaching record highs in July. The index remained around levels seen in June, suggesting that US investors using Coinbase have not been aggressively buying Bitcoin during the rally. Arab Chain noted that the index’s movement toward negative territory alongside Bitcoin’s price increase may indicate profit-taking among American investors. This implies that some may be anticipating a correction before re-entering the market. Similarly, the Korea Premium Index has declined, signaling reduced demand from retail investors in South Korea. This index reflects the spread between Bitcoin’s price on Korean exchanges and global averages. The negative trend suggests Korean traders have been selling below the global average, with weak buying interest on local platforms. Arab Chain interprets this as retail traders possibly waiting for a discount to reenter the market, indicating caution among individual investors in Asia’s key crypto hub. Exchange Inflows Suggest Rising Sell Pressure Adding to the picture, another CryptoQuant contributor, ShayanMarkets, highlighted a notable development in BTC’s on-chain activity. The latest data reveals Bitcoin has experienced its largest net inflow to exchanges since July 2024. Typically, large inflows signal that holders are preparing to sell, increasing supply on trading platforms and contributing to potential downward price pressure. ShayanMarkets explained that this behavior, especially when occurring near all-time highs, may indicate institutional or fund-driven profit-taking. Such moves often align with efforts to reduce risk exposure during overextended market rallies. Historically, spikes in exchange inflows have been followed by price corrections, making this a trend to monitor closely. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holders Are Taking Profits—But Is the Top Still Far Away? However, the redistribution of capital from Bitcoin into other assets may benefit the broader crypto market. The analyst noted that altcoins could see renewed interest as funds rotate out of BTC. If the trend continues, traders may observe increased volatility and speculative movement across alternative tokens in the short term. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
As Bitcoin (BTC) consolidates near the $119,000 mark following a new all-time high (ATH) above $123,000 last week, several on-chain indicators are presenting a mixed picture regarding the cryptocurrency’s next major move. Bitcoin On-Chain Data Shows Mixed Outlook According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Chairman Lee, BTC exchange reserves have risen noticeably since late June. This sharp uptick suggests increased profit-taking activity, which could weigh on BTC in the short-term. Large holders and miners have also been ramping up their deposits since July 18. However, overall inflows to centralized exchanges remain relatively low compared to the levels observed during major market tops earlier this year. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Ahead? DXY Breakdown Suggests Capital Shift To Risk-On Assets Meanwhile, the Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) count continues to decline – a trend often interpreted as a sign of long-term accumulation. Investors appear to be consolidating their coins, reducing active transactions and indicating strong conviction in Bitcoin’s long-term potential. For context, a declining UTXO count typically reflects reduced short-term selling pressure as holders move BTC into fewer wallets rather than trading them. This behavior is commonly associated with an overall bullish market outlook. Chairman Lee also pointed out that institutional and exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows remain robust. Year-to-date (YTD), nearly $50 billion has flowed into Bitcoin investment products despite temporary pauses due to profit-taking. Data from SoSoValue shows that US-listed spot BTC ETFs have recorded four consecutive months of positive inflows, with more than $18 billion added since April 2025. Similarly, total net assets held by these ETFs now exceed $151.6 billion. Can BTC Still Eye $180,000 Target? From a technical standpoint, Chairman Lee highlighted the $116,400 area as the immediate support zone. The analyst remarked: A breakdown below this level could extend the correction toward $112K–$110K. On the upside, holding above $116K keeps the structure intact for another push toward $124K–$130K. The analyst emphasized that as long as Bitcoin defends the $110,000 level, the broader bullish trend will remain intact. Moreover, if ETF and institutional inflows gain further momentum, BTC could still reach the ambitious year-end target of $180,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set To Soar? Analyst Sees Fresh $2 Billion Liquidity Triggering Next Leg Up That said, some cautionary signs are beginning to emerge. On-chain data indicates that long-term holders are accelerating distribution, while short-term investors are entering the market in hopes of benefitting from further upside – behavior that has historically preceded local tops. On the contrary, the Bitcoin short-term holder Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) suggests that there may still be room for further growth in BTC’s price. At press time, BTC trades at $119,241, up 0.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover in the high $110,000 range, on-chain data suggests that a short-term price pullback may be imminent. That said, the broader market structure remains firmly bullish. Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Hit Near-Month High According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, BTC reserves on centralized exchanges have risen to their highest level since June 25. This surge in exchange-held Bitcoin may signal increasing profit-taking activity among investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set To Soar? Analyst Sees Fresh $2 Billion Liquidity Triggering Next Leg Up A rise in BTC inflows to exchanges typically precedes distribution phases, as more coins become available for potential sale. This shift is often interpreted as a weakening in buy-side pressure, which could lead to a short-term price decline. ShayanMarkets commented: Historically, rising exchange reserves are associated with local market tops, as more BTC becomes available for potential sale. However, this metric alone should not be seen as a definitive trigger for immediate price drops. Broader market liquidity, sentiment, and demand dynamics remain key. The analyst emphasized that while higher reserves may suggest short-term selling pressure, they don’t necessarily indicate a reversal in trend. Any correction should be evaluated in context, unless accompanied by a significant change in macroeconomic or technical indicators. In a separate CryptoQuant post, analyst Darkfost pointed out a sharp uptick in Bitcoin whale activity. Notably, the last two Bitcoin local tops occurred when monthly average inflows from whales exceeded $75 billion. Between July 14 and July 18, average monthly inflows from whale wallets surged from $28 billion to $45 billion – a $17 billion jump. This pattern suggests that some whales may be taking profits following Bitcoin’s recent all-time high of $123,218 on Binance. What Does On-Chain Data Suggest? On-chain data also shows that long-term holders are distributing their BTC, while short-term holders are increasingly accumulating. This kind of rotation is often associated with late-stage rally behavior and potential exhaustion. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set To Soar? Analyst Sees Fresh $2 Billion Liquidity Triggering Next Leg Up Still, the short-term holder Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio currently sits at 1.15, well below the typical profit-taking threshold of 1.35. This suggests that there may still be room for further price appreciation before a broader selloff begins. However, not all indicators are reassuring. The Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross – a metric that compares network value to transaction volume – is trending higher, which may point to growing market froth. Likewise, exchange data from Binance indicates that BTC could be facing a near-term pullback. At press time, Bitcoin trades at $118,052, down 0.4% over the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Despite the excitement surrounding what President Donald Trump has dubbed “Crypto Week,” experts caution against premature celebrations in the cryptocurrency space. The House of Representatives recently passed three significant bills aimed at regulating digital assets, marking a pivotal moment for the industry. However, these legislative changes are not expected to take effect for quite some time. Three Key Crypto Bills Passed The three bills—the Genius Act, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act—are seen as crucial steps toward establishing a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. This development has been fueled by intense lobbying efforts from industry players like Coinbase Global, which have successfully influenced politicians, including Trump. Related Reading: Bitcoin Re-Enters Profit Zone As Greed Rises, But Rally To $200,000 Still Possible In anticipation of this legislative week, Bitcoin prices soared to record highs beyond the $123,000 mark for the first time, alongside significant gains for other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH) and XRP. However, TD Securities analyst Jaret Seiberg notes that it could take over a year for the new legislation to come into effect. Among the passed bills, only the Genius Act has also cleared the Senate, and Trump signed it into law shortly thereafter. This act establishes a framework for regulating payment stablecoins requiring issuers to maintain one-to-one reserves in US dollars or Treasury securities. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has argued that this law could generate an additional $3.7 trillion demand for T-bills, although some analysts, like Raymond James’ Ed Mills, express skepticism about such projections. Implementation Timeline Remains Uncertain Despite the signing of the Genius Act, there will be no immediate impacts on stablecoin issuers such as Circle Internet Group or Tether. As reported by ABC news, the Treasury Department is expected to draft rules within a year detailing the qualifications for issuing stablecoins and the conditions under which foreign-pegged stablecoins can enter the US market. This process will involve public commentary and could lead to litigation, suggesting a lengthy timeline before any real changes are felt in the industry. Related Reading: Warning Signs Flash As Bitcoin Miners Unload At Record Pace The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, on the other hand, is particularly important as it delineates the regulatory oversight of crypto exchanges, brokers, and tokens between the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). With bipartisan support in the House, there is optimism that the Senate will pass its version before the upcoming August recess, potentially delivering a unified law for the president’s signature by September. The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act, the third piece of legislation, aims to prevent the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC). This bill, which passed with narrower margins, was attached to a national defense bill, and its future in the Senate will likely involve protracted negotiations, possibly extending until December. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
A major Dogecoin whale is making a bold $21.24 million leveraged bet just days after locking in a multi-million-dollar profit. The move, which was revealed by Lookonchain, sparked interest among crypto investors on the social media platform X. This comes as Dogecoin is starting to deviate from its bearish Q3 history with a strong performance in the past seven days. Related Reading: $57 Billion Mistake? Ex‑Ripple Engineer Reveals XRP Investment Blunder Whale Makes High-Stakes On Dogecoin According to on-chain transaction monitor Lookonchain, a crypto whale identified as address 0x6adb recently closed a previous long position on Dogecoin with a tidy $2.14 million profit. According to data from HyperDash, this position was open for 63 hours and was eventually closed on July 18. The entry was spot on, and the position was able to take full advantage of Dogecoin’s push from $0.19 to $0.24 within this time period. However, what makes this trade notable isn’t just the size of the gain but the fact that the whale immediately re-entered the market with even more confidence. A few hours after exiting, the whale opened a new 10x leveraged long position on 84.08 million DOGE, which was worth approximately $21.24 million at the time. Interestingly, the new long position was timed nearly perfectly again. As noted by Lookonchain, the position quickly moved in the whale’s favor, racking up an unrealized profit of $1.64 million. Whale 0x6adb closed his $DOGE long at the top yesterday, locking in a $2.14M profit. 10 hours ago, he jumped back in — going 10x long on 84.08M $DOGE($21.24M), with an unrealized profit of $1.64M. Smart moves! https://t.co/f3FekXx5yg pic.twitter.com/zc2tYXnLeP — Lookonchain (@lookonchain) July 19, 2025 Dogecoin Enters Q3 With 53% Gain Dogecoin’s strong performance in July has marked a positive start for its price action in Q3 2025. Interestingly, the last time Dogecoin ended Q3 with a positive close was in 2020. Since then, the memecoin has posted Q3 losses for six consecutive years, ranging from 6.9% in 2023 to as high as 18% in 2021. However, as it stands, data from CryptoRank shows that Dogecoin is now experiencing a 53.6% increase in Q3 2025. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.253, marking a 28% increase from $0.197 just a week ago. According to CoinGlass data, Dogecoin’s open interest on the derivatives market has crossed over the $4 billion mark for the first time since February. This data shows that there are a large number of active participants and strong interest in Dogecoin, which is a positive outlook for its price action in the new week. The $0.25 price level is now a support zone and Dogecoin could embark on a strong move to $0.30 and beyond in the new week if this floor holds. However, any decisive drop below it will flip sentiment fast. Related Reading: Whales? No, Newbies: Surge In New BTC Holders Fuels Market Rally—Study For a trader with a 10x long position, even a 10% dip in Dogecoin’s price will push the trade deep into negative territory. The whale’s position could be liquidated or severely impacted if Dogecoin retraces to earlier support levels around $0.22 or lower. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $122,838 on July 14, but has since slipped into a phase of consolidation around the $118,000 level. The recent pause in upward momentum hasn’t dampened market sentiment, which remains firmly bullish. According to Coinmarketcap’s Fear & Greed Index, Bitcoin is still currently sitting at a greed level of 68. This sentiment, combined with technical analysis of the Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC), shows that Bitcoin is still on track for powerful upward moves. Related Reading: $57 Billion Mistake? Ex‑Ripple Engineer Reveals XRP Investment Blunder Greed Returns To The Market, But Not Yet Overheated Bitcoin’s price action has spent the majority of the past 48 hours holding above $118,000 after a wave of profit-taking took place just after it peaked at $122,838. However, on-chain data shows an interesting overview of Bitcoin investors. Particularly, crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr. shared data from CryptoQuant showing that the 30-day moving average of the Fear and Greed Index has climbed back into the optimism zone, now sitting at 66.2%. Although sentiment surrounding the leading cryptocurrency is currently in greedy territory, this level is well below the 75% to 80% range, which coincided with new price highs in March 2024 and December 2025 The current 66% reading, while in the green level, suggests there’s still room for bullish sentiment to grow before the market enters a euphoric blow-off phase. In essence, this metric shows that if Bitcoin continues to consolidate and push higher without the sentiment entering into extreme greed levels between 75% and 80%, it will continue on a sustainable push to new heights. Image From X: @AxelAdlerJr Bitcoin Re-Enters Resistance Zone On Growth Curve As mentioned earlier, Bitcoin’s break above the $120,000 price level and its subsequent peak were followed by a wave of profit-taking. The trend saw Bitcoin’s price correct to $116,000 very briefly before stabilizing around $118,000. Interestingly, technical analysis of the weekly candlestick timeframe shows that Bitcoin re-entered the first band of the Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC) resistance zone as it reached this price peak. This band, which is identified as the light pink region in the chart below, has always served as the profit-taking area in each of Bitcoin’s past bull markets. Interestingly, Bitcoin briefly tapped this area in December 2024 and January 2025 before being rejected, in a pattern similar to that of January 2021’s first top in the previous bull cycle. Image From TradingView: TradingShot Basically, this indicator implies that Bitcoin is now at the start of a final build-up phase. According to crypto analyst TradingShot, who posted the analysis on the TradingView platform, the ultimate top for this cycle is going to be between October and November 2025. Depending on the timing and strength of factors like anticipated US rate cuts in September, Bitcoin’s peak could land anywhere between $140,000 and $200,000. Related Reading: Whales? No, Newbies: Surge In New BTC Holders Fuels Market Rally—Study At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $118,152. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
After years of trading below its previous all-time high from 2018, XRP finally broke through the $3.40 ceiling to hit a fresh record of $3.65 on Friday, July 18. The move capped off a rally that had seen the cryptocurrency rise by 68% from its July open. Related Reading: Whales? No, Newbies: Surge In New BTC Holders Fuels Market Rally—Study However, XRP has returned to hovering around the $3.40 to $3.50 zone following the breakout, and attention is shifting to the possibility of a strong pullback. Interestingly, prominent XRP analyst Egrag Crypto says that a retest to $3.12 might be necessary before any further price increase. Analyst Points To $3.12 As Retest Zone In a new post on social media platform X, respected crypto analyst Egrag Crypto cautioned that XRP may be due for a retest of the $3.12 level. The analyst referenced the Fibonacci 0.888 level, which currently sits at $3.1279, as a logical support zone if XRP were to retrace from its current price zone. According to his technical chart, XRP is currently consolidating within a descending channel on the 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart since it peaked at $3.65. However, it is still trading above $3.40, which is a bullish sign. “Staying above Fib 1.0 ($3.40) is a super bullish sign,” he noted, “but we still need to keep an eye on the descending channel.” Keeping this in mind, XRP could break below the $3.40 level, and a retest could happen at Fib 0.888 ($3.12). The $3.12 level stands out not just because of Fibonacci symmetry, but also because it coincides with an order block that formed as XRP pushed to new highs. If XRP returns to test this level and holds firm, it may confirm strength in the current rally structure and build the foundation for a continued climb toward the 1.21 Fibonacci extension, which is situated at $4.16. Chart Image From X: Egrag Crypto Bullish Momentum Still Intact Although some investors may see a drop to $3.12 as a setback, Egrag believes the outcome could actually be bullish in the bigger picture. “If we do see a retest here, it could set us up for another launchpad,” he explained. However, skipping the retest entirely would be even more telling as a clear sign that the bulls are stronger than anticipated. Related Reading: $57 Billion Mistake? Ex‑Ripple Engineer Reveals XRP Investment Blunder A clean hold above $3.40 in the coming days would point to bullish dominance, especially if XRP breaks out of the yellow descending channel featured in Egrag’s chart. On the other hand, a controlled revisit to the $3.12 zone may offer a better entry point for new investors and prepare XRP for its next leg up to the $4.16 price target highlighted in the analysis. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.49. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView