The dogecoin price trending below $1 means that the meme coin is still around a 1,000% rally from hitting the coveted $1 level. Despite the expectations over the years, the digital asset has not performed well, instead ending its 2024 rally before it even got to its present all-time high of $0.74. However, this poor performance has not dissuaded investors, with one analyst predicting that the Dogecoin price will indeed end up hitting $1. Using Previous Cycles To Predict Price Trajectory Crypto analyst Javon Marks has predicted the trajectory of the Dogecoin price using the performance of the meme coin in the last few cycles. So far, there has been a consistent trend showing that the cryptocurrency has staged a major recovery with each cycle. While there was an over 500% surge in 2024, it has fallen short of the explosive rallies that investors have come to expect. Related Reading: XRP Negative Funding Continues, Crashes To Levels Not Seen Since 2022 Instead of an actual breakout, the analyst classifies the performance between 2023 and 2025 as being part of a stagnation period. What this means is that the Dogecoin price is still in a build-up phase that would lead to its next rally. If the trend holds, then it is possible that Dogecoin could see another explosive rally in 2026. A breakout from the bottom, somewhere around $0.09, would define the rally and set the tone to hit the first target. This target lies at $0.739, which would be a 750% rally. Next on the target list is the $1.25 level, meaning that the price would have to rise around 1,100% to complete this move. Then, the final target is placed somewhere above $1.80, and this would mean an over 2,000% move for the meme coin. Dogecoin Could Be Marking A Bottom Another analyst, CryptoAnalystSignal, on the TradingView website, has also proposed that the Dogecoin price might be hitting a bottom. This is because the price had been moving inside a descending channel on the one-hour chart. Usually, when the price reaches the lower boundary of this channel, as Dogecoin has done, it results in a bounce. Rising from this descending channel would mean that a possible bottom was in. Related Reading: Analyst Maps Out XRP’s Exact Path For 2026, Here’s The Roadmap There is still the question of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing a possible bearish trend. However, as the price moves toward the 100-MA, it is possible that Dogecoin will target above $0.097 before encountering major resistance. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
As XRP anticipates a potential rally toward a key short-term resistance level, an analyst has set a bold target for the cryptocurrency’s long-term performance, suggesting that the altcoin could soar by over 1,300% during the next bull run. Related Reading: Ethereum Eyes $2,100 Retest As BlackRock Debuts Staked ETH ETF XRP Targets $48 In Next Bull Run On Friday, XRP joined the broader market rebound, experiencing a 3.5% surge and reaching a one-week high of $1.45. Over the past month, the cryptocurrency has been oscillating between $1.20 and $1.50, hovering above the upper area of this range. Amid this performance, analyst Ali Martinez shared a bold prediction for XRP’s price in the next bull run, suggesting a massive rally could unfold in the coming years based on a multi-year pattern. According to the chart, the altcoin has been forming an ascending triangle pattern on the monthly chart since 2018, when it rallied around 1,500% over two months to its old all-time high (ATH). XRP has traded between the $3.30 horizontal resistance and the ascending trendline over the past eight years, marking the bottom and peak of each rally during the last two cycles. The analyst suggested the altcoin could continue to move within this pattern until the next bull run and potentially rally 1,350% to the $48 target once it breaks through the multi-year resistance. Similarly, market observer Chard Nerd shared XRP’s macro chart but highlighted a potential retest of a resistance-turned-support instead. He noted that the cryptocurrency broke out of a multi-year symmetrical triangle pattern when the price soared past its eight-year resistance during the Q4 2024 market rally. Per the post, XRP could test the pattern’s neckline, currently around the $0.70-$0.80 area, as support in the coming months before beginning to recover from the bear market lows. Is A March-April Rally Brewing? In a Friday video analysis, Chart Nerd also shared a short-term outlook for XRP, highlighting its attempt to break out of a one-month symmetrical triangle on the daily timeframe after today’s pump. As he explained, the altcoin’s price has been compressing between a major level of resistance and a major level of ascending support over the past five weeks, which could target a 25% rally in the next few weeks as it approaches the tighter range of its apex. The apex does have a date (…) we’re looking towards the end of March, 25th of March, where XRP could, if it rejects from this $1.42-$1.43 level, (…) get really tight and compressed into a corner to look for a decision. The analyst suggested that the pattern’s upper boundary has been a major level of resistance throughout February, which could squeeze XRP’s price “into this apex towards the end of March” before potentially choosing its next direction. Related Reading: Bitcoin ‘Sandwiched’ Between Two Key Zones As Price Tops $71,000 – Major Move Ahead? If XRP breaks out of this apex to the upside and reclaims the $1.50 horizontal resistance, it will validate a move toward the $1.80-$2.00 area, which he previously called “a critical inflection point,” by the end of March or start of April. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has expanded its digital assets offering and debuted its staked Ethereum (ETH) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) on Nasdaq. Amid the news, the King of Altcoins is attempting to break out of its local range to challenge its bearish outlook. Related Reading: BNB Chain Dominates 40% Of Global Stablecoin Transactions With Small-Value Transfers BlackRock Debuts Staked Ethereum ETF On Thursday, BlackRock introduced the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHB) on Nasdaq to “provide investors with exposure to spot ether while potentially generating income by staking a portion of its ether holdings.” The ETH-based fund expands the asset management giant’s digital asset suite, which includes the largest Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) of their kind, the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) and the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHA). As reported by NewsBTC, BlackRock submitted an S-1 form with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for its ETHB fund in December. The registration statement revealed that the fund sought to stake 70% to 90% of its Ethereum holdings and distribute staking rewards to stakeholders at least quarterly. The fund is set to share 82% of staking rewards with investors, while the remaining 18% will be split among the trust, custodians, and its staking service providers. BlackRock chose Coinbase Custody Trust as the custodian for the Trust’s ETH holdings, while Anchorage Digital Bank will serve as an available alternative custodian for the Trust’s ether holdings. Meanwhile, the Bank of New York Mellon is the Trust’s cash holdings custodian and administrator, according to the fund’s prospectus. In the official statement, Jessica Tan, Head of Americas for Global Product Solutions at BlackRock, affirmed that “Investors are increasingly allocating to digital assets as part of their strategic portfolio construction, and ETHB provides access to income and exposure to the asset in a convenient, transparent way.” “We continue to innovate to meet client demand and expand access, while providing the transparency and risk management clients expect from BlackRock,” she continued. ETH Price Holds Amid Breakdown Fears Following the news, ETH’s price broke above the $2,090 level to reach a one-week high of $2,095 before retracing. Analyst Ted Pillows noted that despite market volatility, the cryptocurrency has held the $2,000 psychological barrier throughout the past three days. “The macro uncertainty is still there, but Ethereum’s overall strength is good,” he said, adding that the King of Altcoins needs to reclaim the crucial $2,150 area for a rally. He forecasted that Ethereum could see a “10%-15% quick rally” once this level is reclaimed. Meanwhile, Rekt Capital underscored a critical level on ETH’s weekly and monthly charts. As previously reported, ETH is currently testing its multi-year uptrend, a structural support that has held since mid-2022. Last month, Ethereum marginally closed below its multi-year support, opening the possibility for this level to become resistance on March’s monthly close. On the weekly timeframe, ETH has recorded four consecutive closes below the trendline, suggesting the market is likely beginning to treat this key level as resistance instead of support. “Structurally, this behaviour resembles the early stage of a breakdown process, where price initially loses support, rallies back into it and begins treating the level as resistance,” the analyst explained, but emphasized that the breakdown is not confirmed yet. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Rockets as Oil Touches $100: Arthur Hayes Reveals Why Therefore, Ethereum could invalidate the bearish scenario if the price closes the week above the multi-year uptrend and successfully tests it as support. “A successful reclaim could then open the door toward the green resistance region above, which has historically acted as a major pivot in Ethereum’s broader trend,” he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
A new chart analysis from market technician Johnathan Carter highlights a defining stage in the current price cycle of Dogecoin. In a chart shared on X, Carter shows the meme coin trading within a descending channel on the daily timeframe, a structure that outlines both its present position in the trend and the price levels that could shape the next market move. Dogecoin’s Position Inside The Descending Channel Carter’s chart shows a clearly defined descending channel that has shaped Dogecoin price action for several months. The structure is formed by two downward-sloping parallel trendlines that continue to guide the asset’s pattern of lower highs and lower lows, outlining the broader corrective phase that has dominated the market during this period. Within this formation, Dogecoin is currently trading close to the channel’s midline. This level often acts as a temporary equilibrium point where the price pauses and stabilizes before deciding its next direction. Running through the pattern is the 50-day moving average, which further reflects the prevailing downward trend. Throughout the decline, this indicator has repeatedly acted as a dynamic resistance, limiting several recovery attempts. Related Reading: Bitcoin S2F Model Says BTC Price Is Headed To $500,000, Here’s When While this broader structure remains bearish, the lower section of the channel aligns with a clearly defined support zone between roughly $0.088 and $0.09. Recent candles have formed around this region, showing that the price is consolidating close to the base of the formation after the extended downward move. This positioning is central to Carter’s interpretation of Dogecoin’s current cycle stage. With Dogecoin stabilizing near the lower portion of the channel while holding above support, the chart places the asset in the accumulation stage of the pattern. Projected Recovery Path And Key Upside Milestones From this consolidation area, Carter outlines a sequence of levels that could shape Dogecoin’s next upward move if the price begins to rebound. The first objective appears at $0.100, representing the nearest psychological and structural barrier above the current trading range. If Dogecoin pushes beyond that level, the chart highlights additional milestones at $0.116 and $0.135. These zones previously acted as reaction areas within the descending channel, where price movements slowed or reversed during earlier stages of the downtrend. Related Reading: Why Did Bitcoin Price Crash To $67,000, And Ethereum Price Fell Below $2,000? Further up the structure, the next projected targets sit at $0.153 and $0.182. These levels lie in the upper half of the channel, meaning a move toward them would signal strengthening bullish momentum following the recent consolidation phase. The final level identified on the chart appears near $0.206, aligning with the upper boundary of the descending channel that Carter marks as a broader resistance zone. Reaching this region would suggest Dogecoin is moving from the lower support area toward the top of the channel. In that context, the current price zone could serve as a base for a rebound toward successive resistance levels. During this phase, selling pressure may ease as buyers gradually step in, creating conditions for a recovery toward the upper half of the channel. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP’s prolonged decline has seen its price down more than 60% from its 2025 peak, placing it inside what can be viewed as an extended corrective phase. As expected, this has led to questions among crypto investors as to whether XRP can still go on a rally this year that would see it push to new all-time highs and possibly above $4. One analyst has now laid out a scenario suggesting XRP could soon complete its correction and begin another upward wave that may eventually push the price to new highs. XRP May Be Nearing The End Of A Long Corrective Phase The prevailing discussion around XRP’s decline in the past few months has largely centered on the cryptocurrency topping out at its summer 2025 all-time high of $3.65. According to one analyst posting on X, that reading may be fundamentally incorrect. Related Reading: Expert Trader Shows ‘Simple Math’ To Calculate The Bitcoin Price Bottom Based on this analysis, the impulsive wave for XRP completed as far back as January 2025, when XRP reached a peak above $3.30. This was several months before the all-time high was printed. The subwaves originating from July 2024 fit best as an impulsive structure that concluded in January 2025, with the price action that followed, including the ATH, forming a corrective pattern. The last major corrective stretch on the weekly chart lasted 61 weeks from top to bottom and erased about 85% of XRP’s value before the next meaningful recovery began. Applying that same time window to the January 2025 high would place the current correction close to completion around mid-March 2026. XRP Price Chart. Source: @protechtor On X As shown in the chart above, XRP’s earlier correction after 2021 unfolded inside a descending channel and lasted 61 bars, or 427 days, before finding a low. The price decline during that phase reached about 85.34%. The current structure on the right side of the chart is looking like that earlier breakdown in both shape and duration. This time, the decline has so far reached about 71.52%, with the same 61-week duration highlighted as a key timing marker. A descending trendline cuts through the current price structure and converges at $1.05. According to the analyst, that level could serve as the final downside target if XRP has not already bottomed. Can XRP Still Reach $4 In 2026? A move to $4 in 2026 would require XRP to do far more than just bounce from support, but the scenario is not unrealistic if the current correction is approaching its end. A rally from the analyst’s suggested downside at $1.05 to $4 would represent a gain of about 281%. Even from the price zone shown on the chart, around $1.38, XRP would still need to climb 200% to reclaim and break beyond the upper boundary of the current corrective structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Liquidation Map Predicts The Next Targets To Watch Out For A confirmed monthly bottom followed by a strong push above the horizontal resistance area at $1.80 would likely be the first signal. From there, the upper trendline of the current structure and the prior highs around the $3.4 to $3.6 range would become the next price targets. This is where the $4 discussion will become more realistic. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum continues to struggle to surmount the resistance that has mounted at $3,000, with bears maintaining a firm grip on the price. Nevertheless, bullish sentiment surrounding the Ethereum price has not been completely eroded. This suggests that investors still expect the price to recover from the current decline. Crypto analyst Master Ananda shares a more bullish view for the cryptocurrency, predicting that 5-figures remain in the future. Ethereum Price To Push Above $10,0000 In the analysis, Master Ananda explains that the Ethereum story is far from over. The crypto analyst pointed out the appearance of Trend-Based Fibonacci extension numbers on the Ethereum price chart. These suggest that the Ethereum price is getting ready for another major rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin At The Bottom? The 23-Month Cycle That Has Never Failed Following this trend, the analyst believes that the digital asset’s price will hit 5-figures. However, despite $10,000 looking more elusive with each passing day, Master Ananda says it doesn’t look like the all-time high target for Ethereum. Instead, $10,000 is only a “mid-portion” target, meaning that he expects the price to rise higher. In contrast to the expected $10,000 target that Ethereum has been predicted to hit, the crypto analyst sees the price rising as high as $20,000 at this time. Such a recovery would mean an over 900% increase in price for Ethereum, and likely trigger an altcoin season, as has been the case in the past. Looking at the chart, there are some major resistance levels where the bears could put up a fight. The first is around $4,900, where the current all-time high sits. Then, moving further along comes the $10,690 resistance. This is a natural resistance as $10,000 is expected to be a major psychological level. Related Reading: Cardano Red Month Is Far From Over: Analyst Predicts Crash To This Target On the tail-end of this massive rally is the budding resistance that could send the Ethereum price crashing back downward at $20,000. This is expected to be the peak before the cryptocurrency moves into another bear market again. As for the timeframe for when this could happen, the crypto analyst explains that investors will not have to wait long for this to happen. “We don’t have to wait four years for this event to take place. It is all starting now… Ethereum is headed for a target of $20,000,” the post reads. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) is retesting resistance levels as its price recovers the $71,000 mark. However, an analyst has warned that the bear market is expected to continue and that the latest bounce could be short-lived. Related Reading: Dogecoin Risks More Pain As Price Retests Critical Support – Analyst Warns Of 37% Breakdown Bitcoin Eyes Reclaim Of Former All-Time High Resistance On Tuesday, Bitcoin surged 7.5% from the Sunday lows toward the $71,000 area, retesting this key level for the second time in a week before momentarily retracing toward the $69,000 level. The cryptocurrency has been trading between the $63,000-$71,000 price range over the past month, briefly surging above the upper boundary during last week’s market bounce. However, BTC’s price has failed to hold its multiple breakout attempts amid the market volatility. In a Monday analysis, market watcher Rekt Capital observed that Bitcoin is interacting with two key levels that form “an important overhead resistance”: the 2021 and 2024 all-time highs (ATHs) at $69,000 and $71,300, respectively. As the analyst explained, these levels turned into resistance in the monthly timeframe after the flagship cryptocurrency closed February at $66,970. Since then, BTC has repeatedly tested these key levels from below in the daily timeframe but has failed to reclaim them. Instead, it has produced upside wicks above $69,000 and $71,300, signaling that the former ATHs are acting as rejection levels in shorter timeframes and could become key resistance if it monthly closes below them. “For Bitcoin to begin shifting this structure, price would need to Monthly Close above $69,000 by the end of March to position itself for a reclaim of the 2021 All Time High as support,” the analyst asserted. “Similarly, the 2024 All Time High at $71,300 would likely require multiple Monthly Closes above the level in order to properly establish a reclaim process,” he added. BTC Bounce To Be Short-Lived? While the former ATHs risk turning into resistance, Rekt Capital noted that Bitcoin is currently finding crucial support at the 50-month Moving Average (MA), around the $64,000-$65,000 area. Historically, the flagship crypto has initially reacted from this level in bear markets, but eventually loses it as support. The recent bounce from the 50-month MA is enabling BTC to test the 2021 and 2024 ATHs as resistance “for the time being.” However, once the breakdown occurs, the level usually becomes a new resistance before further downside continuation follows. Now, “Bitcoin is effectively sandwiched between two key reactive zones,” he affirmed, which could lead to short-term relief before the mid-term downside continues. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Traders Rise in Arms as Bitcoin Hits 7-Day Low And Oil Soars The analyst also observed that BTC appears to be only halfway through the bear market, leaving the door open for further downside. In an X post, he noted that BTC’s shortest bear market lasted around 365 days, while it is currently just over 150 days into the current one. Other analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency could follow the 2022 cycle playbook. At the time, the price significantly retraced from the cycle peak, consolidated for months, and then had a final bull trap before its second major correction wave toward the market bottom. As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $71,307, a 3% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
The 2022 Bitcoin crash has been one for the history books, where the price went from $69,000 to $16,000 before hitting a bottom. Being the most recent bear market before the current cycle, there have been a lot of comparisons between the current trend and the previous one. So far, while the Bitcoin price has tried to hold up against the bears, there have been similarities to the 2022 bear market cycle that could suggest a repeat of such a crash. The Similarities That Say Bitcoin Price Might Crash Further A pseudonymous crypto analyst who goes by the name Sherlock on X pointed out multiple similarities that have popped up on the Bitcoin price chart that could suggest a repeat of the 2022 cycle. The first of these was the weekly trendline break that happened after the initial wave of declines. Once this was broken, the floodgates were opened for the bears. Related Reading: Analysts Predict Conservative XRP Price If It Follows 2017 Run Next on the list is that Bitcoin has recorded multiple red weekly candles. Then came a relief bounce that led to consolidation in the middle of this trend, as shown by the most recent bounce toward $74,000. This green candle pushed the price toward the next resistance. However, bulls were ultimately rejected from this level, leading to an impulsive break below the trend low. The last of the events that took place on the chart is the formation of the upper wick candle. Once this was completed and the price was rejected from this level, the next breakdown saw the Bitcoin price crash from $30,000 to $17,500 before the next relief, a 40% price decline. Presently, the completion of the upper wick candle is the only thing left for the Bitcoin price. Sherlock confirms that the digital asset is actually printing the upper wick candle. If this completes, then it could lead to the same breakdown that was seen back in 2022. Related Reading: XRP Bull Flag Breakout After 8-Month Consolidation To Send Price To $11 A repeat of this 40% breakdown from the current level would put the Bitcoin price back into the $35,000 territory. Following through to the end of where the last bear market bottom was established, it would mean falling as low as $30,000 before the sellers are exhausted. Interestingly, though, this was the last leg down that led to the end of the 2022 bear market. In the next few months that followed, there was a rapid recovery, and in the year following the bottom, the Bitcoin price would go on to hit new all-time highs. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
While some market observers remain optimistic about Dogecoin (DOGE)’s long-term prospects, an analyst has identified a bearish continuation pattern in the short-term chart that could lead to another major correction for the memecoin. Related Reading: Why A U.S. Court Says Binance Is Not (Yet) Liable for Terrorist Crypto Flows Dogecoin Bottom May Be Lower On Monday, Dogecoin bounced 3% from Sunday’s lows and reclaimed the $0.091 level, which had been lost over the weekend due to recent market volatility triggered by the Middle East conflict. The cryptocurrency has traded between $0.086-$0.100 over the past two weeks, reaching an intraweek high of $0.104 last Wednesday before erasing the bounce and plunging to its local lows alongside the rest of the market. During this performance, market observer Ali Martinez noted that the cryptocurrency has been consolidating in a descending triangle since the mid-January correction, signaling that a potential bearish trend continuation could be around the corner. DOGE established a floor around the $0.088 level, the chart shows, representing a nearly 37% decline from the pattern’s top. Meanwhile, the descending trendline resistance is currently around $0.097. According to the analyst, the memecoin is setting up for a 37% move to the downside, targeting the $0.060 area if the price falls below the pattern’s base and loses its support role. The analyst had previously cautioned that Dogecoin could identify its next significant support level around this level if selling pressure persists. Notably, the $0.060 level served as a macro resistance and support level, marking the bear market bottom in 2022 and a pivotal bounce level during the market recovery in late 2023. Analysts Optimistic About DOGE’s Macro Chart Despite weak performance and bearish price forecasts, other market observers expressed a more optimistic outlook for Dogecoin in the mid- and long-term. Analyst Trader Tardigrade advised investors to zoom out on DOGE’s chart, suggesting that the memecoin’s broader perspective appears “insanely bullish.” In an X post, the analyst highlighted a massive bullish pennant on Dogecoin’s monthly chart, signaling a major breakout is likely. According to the chart, the pattern has been forming since the 2021 breakout, and the cryptocurrency has retested and held the lower boundary as support twice over the past five years, leading to a major rebound after each retest. Now, Dogecoin has retested this level a third time, managing a monthly close about the lower boundary in February. This has set up a potential price recovery rally if history repeats. “When this breaks to the upside, expect a massive surge. The setup is ready.” Meanwhile, analyst Bitcoinsensus suggested that the memecoin could be preparing for a massive rally based on its performance throughout this market phase. As he detailed, DOGE’s price action has been unfolding in “mini cycles” since the 2022 bottom, leading to higher rallies each time. Related Reading: WAR Token Explodes 100%, Then Crashes 20% In Sudden Sell-Off The structure has consisted of accumulation, markup, and pullback phases, resulting in 190% and 480% rallies in early and late 2024, respectively. Now, as Dogecoin continues to accumulate for the third time, it could see a breakout toward the $0.75 area in the coming months if it breaks out of its one-year downtrend line and the “mini cycles” pattern repeats. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
A crypto market analyst has outlined what he describes as a straightforward mathematical method that helped identify the bottom of Bitcoin’s previous bear market. By focusing on long-term Fibonacci levels and quarterly price behavior, the analyst argues that the same structural logic that marked the 2022 bottom is now shaping Bitcoin’s next macro phase. Simple Math That Identified The Bitcoin Price Bear Market Bottom In an X post shared on March 8, crypto analyst Chetan Gurjar revisited a prediction he made in December 2022 regarding Bitcoin’s bear market low. While he acknowledged that the timing of the call was slightly off by a few months, he stated that the price target itself proved accurate. Related Reading: Bitcoin Liquidation Map Predicts The Next Targets To Watch Out For The analysis referenced Bitcoin’s bear market bottom around the $15,000 region in late 2022, which the analyst had previously projected using this framework. His approach centers on macro Fibonacci extension levels plotted on the quarterly chart, with particular focus on the 1.618 Fibonacci level positioned near $62,084. The chart accompanying the explanation highlights how Bitcoin historically reacts to this macro level. During the 2021 bull cycle, Bitcoin repeatedly failed to break and sustain price action above the 1.618 Fibonacci level. The analyst pointed to the second and fourth quarter candles of 2021, both of which were rejected at that same zone. These repeated rejections signaled strong resistance at the time, reinforcing the significance of the level in the broader market structure. By mapping these macro levels across cycles, the analyst argues that long-term Fibonacci mathematics can help identify both extreme lows and potential expansion targets. Quarterly Fibonacci Retest Suggests Next Macro Phase The analyst’s latest chart interpretation suggests that Bitcoin’s relationship with the 1.618 Fibonacci level has shifted from resistance to support. After breaking above the $62,084 region on the quarterly timeframe, Bitcoin has not produced a quarterly candle close below the level since the breakout. The chart shows two notable retests following the move. In the second and third quarters afterward, Bitcoin briefly tested the level but managed to hold above it on a closing basis. One quarterly wick even dipped below $50,000 before reclaiming the $62,084 level. As of the current quarter ending in March, Bitcoin is again trading above the same macro Fibonacci level. According to the analyst’s interpretation, this behavior represents a bullish quarterly retest. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Bottom Hasn’t Happened Yet, Gives Timeline To Expect Reversal The projection drawn on the chart extends toward the next Fibonacci expansion level at 2.618, which sits near $393,874. Gurjar describes this level as the minimum macro target if the structure holds. The chart also signals potential volatility, suggesting price wicks could stretch toward the $500,000 region during the expansion phase. However, the analyst notes that deeper quarterly wicks remain possible depending on broader market conditions, including potential weakness in the altcoin market. Even with that caveat, the framework presents the current structure as a continuation pattern centered on Bitcoin holding the 1.618 Fibonacci level. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Like other altcoins in the space, the Cardano price has suffered a tremendous amount of losses over the last few months. This relentless sell-off has pushed the ADA price so low that it is now sitting at levels not seen since the last bear market. Even now, Cardano remains in danger of further decline, as explained by crypto analyst Lingrid in a recent analysis. Why Cardano Could Crash Further The major problem being faced by the Cardano price now is that the bulls have failed a number of times to reclaim control from the bears. With each failure, the hold by the bears becomes stronger, furthering the possibility of a bearish continuation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Market Could Be Shrinking, But Are We Watching History Repeating Itself? In the analysis, crypto analyst Lingrid revealed that Cardano remains below the consolidation support at $0.26. As a result of this, the cryptocurrency has now started moving below its former structure. At the same time, the price is also below the descending resistance, showing a lot of weakness. Despite the recent recovery, the fact that the altcoin’s price eventually moved back downward proved that bears are still in control of the market. The downside of this is that the bearish continuation is likely from here, especially as the price has also been rejected at $0.26, and the price could crash further. The only way this move gets invalidated is if the Cardano price were to successfully reclaim and break above $0.27 again. 6 Months Of Red With the red close of the month of February, Cardano marked five consecutive months of red closes, making it the third time in history that this has happened, according to data from CryptoRank. The first time was back in 2021-2022, when the bear market had begun, and then again, that year, Cardano recorded another five consecutive months of red closes. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Could Reach $1,000 By End Of 2026 If This Happens While the last time ended with a major surge in the sixth month, the Cardano price is already down by more than 11% in the month of March, suggesting that the red trend could continue. Now, back in 2021-2022, was the first time in history that the digital asset saw 6 red monthly candles, and what followed was interesting. After the sixth month of red in February 2022, the Cardano price had begun to surge, eventually ending the next month with gains of 18%. However, after this, the bleed continued, and Cardano fell further. Now, if this trend were to repeat itself, then the cryptocurrency could see a relief bounce after the sixth month of red. But this would not mean an end to the decline, but rather, a precursor to more decline. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s initial break above the 6-figure price point back in 2024, and then the eventual move to an all-time high of $126,000, has fueled the expectations of higher price points. Even now, as the price continues to trend below $100,000, it has done little to erase the bullish momentum surrounding the cryptocurrency, especially in the long term. As a result, predictions continue to come out that the Bitcoin price will eventually trade at 6-figures again, and eventually, new all-time highs. Mapping The Bitcoin Price Recovery In a post on the TradingView website, Setupsfx points out an interesting thing about the Bitcoin price chart and why this is bullish for the digital asset. After the Bitcoin price reclaimed $70,000 earlier in the week, it set the tone for another recovery trend, and the analyst suggests that this means that the price can still climb to $200,000. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price At $100 Is Not Insane If You Understand This The analysis highlights that, unlike before, the break above $72,000 came with strong bullish volume. What this simply means is that there is a lot of demand right now for the cryptocurrency, and that is what is driving the current uptrend. If this holds, then the price is likely to continue upward rather than experience another crash. Following the current trend, the analysis sets the first major Bitcoin target at the $104,000 level. This is important because there is a liquidity void sitting in this area. This means that there could be a stop to the uptrend at this level, being a major point of resistance. However, all hope is not lost at this point because it simply shows how important it is to break this resistance. Once this breaks, it sets the cryptocurrency on the path to the next major target, which lies at $124,000. Reaching $124,000 would be momentous for the Bitcoin price as this is just below its current all-time high levels. Related Reading: Dogecoin Morning Doji Star Shows Bullish Reversal That Will Send Price To $0.8 The final target for this analysis actually lies at the $134,000 level, which could deem the uptrend complete. As for the rally to $200,000, the analyst explains that this is still possible, despite many saying that it is unrealistic. Mainly, the $200,000 target is set for the long-term view of the cryptocurrency. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
As the broader crypto market retraces, Solana (SOL) has erased its recent gains despite strong institutional demand for investment products based on the cryptocurrency. Some analysts have now suggested that the altcoin risks a deeper pullback similar to its 2022 correction. Related Reading: Ethereum ETFs Record Best Single-Day Performance Since January With $169M Inflows Solana Loses Mid-Week Gains As Market Wobbles On Friday, Solana dropped 7% intraday to retest the $84 area again, retracing most of its intraweek gains. The cryptocurrency had been trading between $78-$88 since the early February crash, attempting to break out of its local range but ultimately failing. Amid the ongoing market volatility, driven by the US-Israel war with Iran, the altcoin jumped 13% on Wednesday, reaching a multi-week high of $94.05 before stabilizing between the $88-$92 area. Market observer Trader Tardigrade affirmed that Solana could target the $100 barrier if the breakout confirmed. He noted that the cryptocurrency was retesting the consolidation range breakout area as support, which could form a base for a climb to higher levels. Nonetheless, SOL’s price has now fallen back into its one-month accumulation range after failing to hold the breakout level on Friday morning. Rekt Capital observed that broader market conditions resemble early-stage Bear Market behavior, which could suggest Solana may be preparing for a deeper correction. Per the analysis, the altcoin has historically deviated below the $123.28 historical support when it was lost on the monthly timeframe. In 2022, after losing this level, SOL produced a deviation below it and traded below the $99.06 psychological level before rejecting from this area. Therefore, a new monthly close below both $123.28 and $99.06 could signal that these levels have been officially lost as support. However, it also opens the door to a rally back into them to retest them as resistance, similar to 2022. Shallow rebounds could lead to rejection from the $99.06 region quickly, he explained. Meanwhile, a stronger relief rally could allow Solana to revisit the $123.28 level before determining whether additional downside continuation is next. SOL ETFs ‘Defy Physics’ Despite its recent price decline, experts have emphasized the positive sentiment exhibited by traditional investors toward Solana, as evidenced by the performance of investment products that track the altcoin’s price. In an X post, Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior ETF Analyst, stressed that although the cryptocurrency’s price is currently 57% down from when its spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) first launched in July, the category has accumulated $1.5 billion in flows and has “not really given any of it up.” He noted that half of those inflows have come from institutional investors, which he deemed a “serious investor base” and “really good signs” for the category’s future. “In reality/history of ETFs launching into that kind of downturn is near impossible to get inflows. Most wouldn’t even make it to age one or two if they went down 57% in the first six months. Timing is very important. Solana is defying physics here,” he explained. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reclaims $73,000 Amid Iran War Volatility, But Analyst Issues Key Warning Additionally, he offered a broader perspective by adjusting SOL’s $50 billion market capitalization to Bitcoin’s (BTC) $1.4 trillion market cap. As he detailed, Solana ETFs have seen the equivalent of $54 billion in net new flows, approximately double what Bitcoin ETFs experienced at the same stage post-launch, when BTC was in an uptrend. However, it’s worth noting that the category experienced its first negative day in over a month on Thursday, with $5.23 million in outflows, according to SoSoValue data. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Shiba Inu’s price trajectory has continued to disappoint investors with what seems like a never-ending sell-off. As a result of one year of downtrend, the Shiba Inu price has dropped more than 93% from its 2021 all-time high, now barely resting on levels not seen in two years. While this is going on, though, the bulls seem to be ramping up as the Falling Wedge Support continues to hold strong. Now, the question is, what happens if bulls are able to facilitate a bounce? Why Shiba Inu Could See A 500% Bounce According to crypto analyst Jonathan Carter, the Shiba Inu price is now sitting in a unique position that could trigger the next upward wave. This has to do with the Falling Wedge Support still holding strong, even after multiple attempts to break it. Related Reading: XRP Price Gears Up For A Major 680% Move Against Bitcoin To Reach $10 This shows that the level around $0.0000054 has become a stronghold for bulls. Thus, it has become an important entry level for investors looking to get back in, provided that the bulls are able to continue holding this support and trigger a lift-off from here. Once this support and the eventual bounce is completed, the first major level that the analyst outlines is at $0.0000068. It is the first of all the major targets that the Shiba Inu price has to surmount before continuing its journey toward the final target. Next on the list is the $0.00001, which has become a major psychological level and resistance. Once this is completed, then it leads to the third major resistance lying at $0.000013. However, bulls might find it easier to beat this level given how it has performed in the past. Related Reading: Expert Trader Says Bitcoin Surge To $220,000 Is Coming, But This Will Happen First The fourth target on the list lies at $0.000016, and at this point, the price would have risen 3x already. The uptrend could be in full bloom by then, leading to the next major support at $0.000022, where the bulls are likely to encounter the most resistance. The last and final target is placed at $0.000033 by the analyst. Going by the analysis, this would be the ideal level to sell after buying at $0.0000054. “Buyers are defending this established support zone as strength emerges from the consolidation phase,” the analyst said. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
As the crypto market bounces from the latest shakeout, Ethereum (ETH) and investment products based on the King of Altcoins recorded a remarkable single-day performance, potentially setting the stage for further recovery. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surge To $74,000 Fueled By US Institutions, Coinbase Premium Signals Ethereum ETFs Recover Amid Market Bounce Ethereum-based spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) recovered from Tuesday’s weak performance and recorded their best single-day in nearly two months, with $169 million in inflows on Wednesday. According to SoSoValue data, the category saw the highest netflow since January 14, when it drew in $175 million. Notably, the mid-January crypto market correction triggered massive outflows for investment products, with funds based on the two largest crypto assets, Bitcoin (BTC) and ETH, showing the weakest performance. Ethereum ETFs saw a five-week negative streak, bleeding $1.38 billion during this period. However, the funds ended their weekly outflow run last week after posting inflows worth $80.46 million. So far, the products have drawn in $197.35 million this week, potentially setting a base to register their best weekly performance since January 16, when it closed the week with $479.04 million. Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, recently highlighted that the strength of crypto ETFs, despite growing geopolitical tensions and financial markets’ selloff, could be seen as “a victory for cryptocurrencies,” suggesting that some traders may be considering digital assets as a safe haven. Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, emphasized that “recent client discussions have been almost entirely focused on identifying entry points rather than reducing exposure to the asset class.” ETH At A Structural Decision Point Ethereum’s price climbed 12% on Wednesday, its highest level since February 4. Amid the market recovery, the cryptocurrency reclaimed the $2,100 barrier and reached a one-month high of to $2,199 before retracing. The king of altcoins has been trading between the $1,825-$2,150 levels since the early February breakdown, unable to break past the upper boundary of its local range. Analyst Rekt Capital pointed out that ETH closed the month just below a crucial multi-year ascending trendline, which has served as macro support and a decisive directional point over the years. This places the price in a structurally bearish position, as it enables a monthly retest of this level as resistance instead of support. The analyst emphasized that if this trendline becomes a resistance, it would confirm a breakdown from the macro structure and increase the likelihood of a deeper move into a key horizontal zone and historical demand cluster situated around the $1,600 region. “If Ethereum rejects from the trendline and the current bounce retraces in full, that rejection would signal the trendline dissipating as support and confirm the breakdown scenario,” he stated. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price At $100 Is Not Insane If You Understand This However, he noted that bearish continuation is not confirmed yet, explaining that if ETH manages to reclaim the trendline as support in the monthly timeframe, the horizontal zone and historical supply area around the $2,250-$2,500 levels could act as a relief cluster “where price may rally before the market determines its next directional move.” “For now, Ethereum remains at a structural decision point around the multi-year trendline,” he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Dogecoin, despite being the largest meme coin, has been unable to replicate its previous explosive trends that had led to new all-time highs. Even now, the cryptocurrency continues to struggle below $0.1, spurred on by the bearish sentiment that has dominated the digital asset market in recent times. However, it seems that there might be a light at the end of the tunnel for the Dogecoin price, with the emergence of a bullish indicator that could signal the next recovery trend. What The Morning Doji Star Means For Dogecoin Prominent crypto and Dogecoin analyst Trader Tardigrade recently highlighted an interesting formation on the Dogecoin price chart. According to the crypto analyst, there has been the appearance of a Morning Doji Star on the meme coin’s monthly chart. Related Reading: Why XRP Is Being Hailed As The Top Trade Over Bitcoin And Ethereum The interesting thing about a Morning Doji Star is the fact that it is often a precursor to a bullish move. The last time that this same Morning Doji Star appeared on the Dogecoin monthly price chart was back in 2023. Following the appearance of this bullish formation, the Dogecoin price went on to rise by more than 400% over the next year. While the resulting rally from the 2023 Morning Doji Star formation did not lead to a new all-time high for Dogecoin, it signaled the potency of the move. In the end, the Dogecoin price had risen to as high as $0.5 before the momentum eventually fizzled out. This time around, though, the analyst is expecting the resulting rally to be even more explosive than what was seen back in 2024. Instead of just stopping at maybe a 400% move, the analyst expects that the Dogecoin price could rise over 700%. Related Reading: Seasoned Trader Says Final Bitcoin Flush Is Coming, Here’s The Target If this happens, then it would put the meme coin on a path toward $0.7, which could mean a retest of its current all-time highs. However, before the rally can begin, the price needs to bottom first, and if the historical performance is to be followed, then it could mean that the DOGE price could fall further toward $0.08 before finding a bottom. Nevertheless, the expectation remains that Dogecoin could be on its way to another historical rally. Meanwhile, all eyes remain on Bitcoin as the OG cryptocurrency has dictated the trajectory of other digital assets since its inception. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
As the crypto markets rebounded on Wednesday, Bitcoin (BTC) bounced back from the recent selloff triggered by the escalating Middle East conflict, targeting a surge toward high levels. While some market observers see this as a sign of strength and potential bottoming, others warn that the rally could be short-lived. Related Reading: Bitcoin Leads Crypto Funds’ $1 Billion Rebound To End 5-Week Negative Streak Bitcoin Shows Strength Despite Growing Geopolitical Fears On Wednesday, Bitcoin surged 8.3% to trade above the $72,000 barrier for the first time in a month. The cryptocurrency has been trading between the $63,000-$73,000 price range since early February, but it has failed to break past the $70,000 mark throughout this period. Notably, the escalation of the US-Israel war with Iran has introduced significant volatility to risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. This resulted in sharp declines on Saturday, with BTC dropping to $63,000. However, the flagship crypto’s price quickly stabilized around the mid-zone of its local range, followed by a partial recovery above the $68,000 area at the start of the week. Now, Bitcoin has surged 15.87% from its recent lows, reaching a one-month high of $73,479 on Wednesday morning despite increasing geopolitical tensions. In a recent Bits + Bips podcast episode, Chris Perkins, Managing Partner and President of CoinFund, highlighted that BTC’s signs of strength and resilience, alongside signs of liquidity entering the market, are a “good setup” for a potential bottoming. It’s worth noting that US spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have seen a remarkable performance over the past two days, with $683.34 million in inflows since Monday, suggesting increasing demand for the investment products. Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, told Bloomberg, “This is a victory for cryptocurrencies, given the impressive selloff those financial markets and gold experienced the day before,” adding that “perhaps some traders are looking at crypto as a safe haven.” Too Early To Call BTC’s Bottom Despite the rebound, Kuptsikevich also warned that the situation remains “too fragile” to declare the market bottom. He explained that “Bitcoin is vulnerable due to the increased volatility of stock indexes, which is forcing institutional investors to reduce their leverage.” Meanwhile, market observer Ted Pillows suggested that BTC’s rally could be short-lived, drawing a comparison between the flagship crypto’s current performance and its early 2022 price action when the Russia-Ukraine war started. As the analyst noted, Bitcoin, which had already begun correcting from its 2021 all-time high, saw initial volatility when the conflict erupted, but pumped almost 40% in the following month before dumping another 67%. BTC targets a potential 45% correction toward the $40,000 area. Source: Ted Pillows on X This time, BTC is beginning to display a similar performance, which could lead to a 20%-25% rally toward the $78,000-$80,000 zone, according to the market watcher. However, this rebound could be followed by a strong rejection at this key horizontal area. Related Reading: Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Buy $14 Billion In BTC As Retail Headed For The Exit If history repeats, the next phase of the cryptocurrency’s downtrend could begin soon, Ted Pillows cautioned, potentially sending the price 45% below the rally’s potential peak prices. Analyst Ali Martinez observed that Bitcoin has consistently bottomed between the 1.0 and 0.8 MVRV Pricing Bands over the past decade. According to the chart, this would place BTC’s potential bottom between the $43,647-$54,559 levels. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $73,255, a 10% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s market cycles have often followed recognizable technical structures, and one analyst now believes those repeating structures may already be pointing toward the next major bottom. This is the foundational principle behind why Elliott Wave, Harmonic Patterns, and Wyckoff theory work: trade an asset long enough, and it begins to show a pattern memory. Right now, that memory is speaking. And it’s pointing to a Bitcoin price bottom below $40,000. Pattern Memory And Bitcoin’s Retracement History A chart shared by market commentator Lisa N Edwards outlined how Bitcoin’s retracement behavior could determine where the current cycle eventually stabilizes during the current downturn. The analysis revolves around the concept of pattern memory, the idea that assets with long trading histories tend to repeat certain behavioral patterns across cycles. Related Reading: XRP Price At $100 Is ‘Inevitable’, Analyst Explains Why This Is Pattern memory shows that Bitcoin’s previous market cycles have consistently ended near specific Fibonacci retracement levels from the previous peak. These levels have always acted as areas where the Bitcoin price finally found a durable bottom before beginning a new bull phase. During the 2013 cycle, Bitcoin ultimately formed its bottom near the 0.86 Fibonacci retracement. The 2017 cycle followed a similar structure, once again reaching the 0.86 retracement low before a new accumulation phase began. However, the 2021 market cycle bottom occurred slightly higher, around the 0.786 retracement level. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @LisaNEdwards On X Bitcoin Pattern Memory: Where Is The Next Real Bottom? If October 2025 was the true cycle high for Bitcoin, as the monthly chart on the 1M timeframe suggests, then history gives us a roadmap for where price is likely headed before the next major bull run begins. Applying the same retracement framework to the current market cycle produces a range where Bitcoin may eventually bottom if history repeats. Mapping the current cycle’s Fibonacci retracement from the cycle low to the October 2025 high reveals three critical zones. The 0.618 sits at approximately $57,000-$58,000, which also aligns closely with the Weekly 200 Moving Average. However, this level alone may not represent the final low, based on how previous cycles behaved. Related Reading: XRP Price About To Enter ‘Face-Melting Phase’, And The Target Is $27 Instead, deeper retracement levels appear more consistent with historical patterns. This is where the 0.786 and 0.86 retacements come into play. The 0.786 retracement level sits near $39,000 and coincides with the monthly 100-moving average. Beneath that, the 0.86 retracement level falls around $31,000. Both levels have previously defined major cycle bottoms; therefore, Bitcoin’s next long-term low could be somewhere within the $39,000 to $31,000 range if the October 2025 peak proves to be the true cycle high. Some market commentators have floated lower downside targets, including projections that Bitcoin could revisit the $20,000 region. However, the pattern-memory analysis shows that such a drop would represent a complete breakdown of Bitcoin’s historical cycle behavior. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s current price trajectory has left a lot to be desired, with the most concern currently being for when the digital asset will hit a bottom. There have been countless predictions since the decline began, and yet, Bitcoin remains below $70,000. Nevertheless, it has not stopped the barrage of bottom calls and price predictions. One of these was shared by crypto analyst Crypto Patel, who took to using historical data and performance to track how low the BTC price will probably drop before reversing upward. Bitcoin Price Could Still Crash To $50,000 In the analysis , Crypto Patel pointed to previous bear markets and how far the Bitcoin price had crashed each time before recovering. The first of these was the 2018 bear market, when the Bitcoin price had crashed 85% after hitting an all-time high of $19,000. Once the crash was over and the bottom was established, though, the Bitcoin price would go on to record a 350% rally. Related Reading: Blood Moon Affecting Bitcoin Price? Why A Surge Above $100,000 Could Be Coming Next on the list was the 2019 crash that had triggered a 70% Bitcoin crash. This was a continuation of the bear market trend that had begun back in 2018, as profit-taking was the order of the day. However, just like before, this bleed would eventually end, and what followed was a 1,500% rally that would see the Bitcoin price reach new all-time highs. It eventually peaked at $69,000 in 2021 before crashing again. Following the 2021 bull market, the year 2022 would kickstart the next bear run for the digital asset. With the collapse of crypto giants such as Celsius and the FTX crypto exchange, the Bitcoin price witnessed a 78% crash. But once again, after hitting a bottom and accumulation ramped up, the BTC price would eventually rise 750% to cross $100,000 in the next few years, and eventually hit its most recent all-time high of $126,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Fear Has Been This Low Only 2 Times In History, Here’s What Follows Each Time Using this trend, the crypto analyst outlines that it is possible that the Bitcoin price will drop further to $50,000, to complete a 50% price drop. However, despite the bearish prediction, Crypto Patel predicts that the BTC price is eventually headed for $220,000, which would be an over 300% increase from $50,000. Fully taking the historical performance into account, though, it shows that with each bear trend, the Bitcoin price has fallen an average of 70% each time. Using this, it is likely that the digital asset’s price will crash below $40,000, eventually finding support around $37,000, if history were to repeat itself. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Currently sitting under $1.5, the XRP price is projected to reach $100, representing a more than 6,500% increase. While this bullish forecast may seem ambitious given the cryptocurrency’s low price and slow growth over the years, analysts and market participants still believe a surge to $100 is inevitable. They base their outlooks on the expansion of the tokenization industry, predicting that such growth could become a catalyst for XRP, which recently entered this new and thriving market via its XRP Ledger (XRPL). Tokenization Growth To Fuel $100 XRP Price In a recent analysis report, market expert X Finance Bull made a compelling case for XRP’s future, predicting its price could ultimately soar above $100. This optimistic outlook is primarily based on the rapid growth anticipated in the tokenization sector, which the report estimates could leap from a current valuation of $20 billion to an astonishing $200 trillion. Related Reading: CMT-Certified Expert Flags Bitcoin Buy Signal, Is It Time To Go All In On BTC? With XRP at the center of this multi-trillion–dollar growth, driven by the XRP Ledger, X Finance Bull believes that the estimated growth of the tokenization market could potentially fuel a price surge to $100. Further supporting his bullish forecast, the analyst shared a video featuring Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan, who echoed similar optimistic projections for the tokenization industry. Hougan highlighted his enthusiasm for the sector, drawing comparisons to traditional asset classes to underscore its potential scale. He noted that global stocks are valued at approximately $110 trillion, bonds at $140 trillion, real estate at $250 trillion, and ETFs at $30 trillion, suggesting that tokenization could ultimately tap markets of comparable size. Based on the valuation and continued growth of these asset classes, Hougan projected that the overall tokenization market could grow by 10,000 times, with room to grow further in the future. XRP’s Correlation With The Tokenization Sector XRP’s connection to the tokenization market is already being built through the XRP Ledger. As of 2026, XRPL hosts approximately $2.3 billion in tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs), a figure that jumped sharply from $991 million at the start of the year. The over $1.3 billion added in just two months underscores the already accelerating pace of institutional adoption. The XRPL is specifically designed to make tokenization accessible to financial institutions without the overhead of complex smart contracts. Its in-built features, including a native decentralized exchange (DEX), automated market makers (AMM), near-instant settlement, and low transaction costs, give it structural advantages over larger programmable networks like Ethereum. Related Reading: 5 Monthly Red Candles: How XRP Is About To Create A Historical Losing Streak For asset managers and bankers seeking to issue and manage tokenized securities, these capabilities can significantly reduce developmental costs and operational risks. The Ledger is already being used to tokenize government debt, with recent reports revealing an increase in tokenized US Treasury holdings on the blockchain network. X Finance Bull’s $100 thesis for XRP assumes that if the global tokenization market skyrockets to $200 trillion and XRPL captures a meaningful share of that settlement activity, the downstream demand for XRP, its native token, could increase substantially. Under such a scenario, sustained capital inflows and transaction volume across the network could drive the cryptocurrency to a much higher valuation. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has returned to an extreme technical zone that has historically marked major cycle bottoms for the BTC price. According to crypto analyst @DurdenBTC, the Harmonic Oscillator has now printed its lowest possible reading, a level that previously preceded outsized one-year gains. The signal raises a direct question: Does history imply that Bitcoin is positioned to double from here? Bitcoin Harmonic Oscillator Signals BTC Price Could More Than Double A chart shared by the analyst highlights a striking signal for Bitcoin, showing the Harmonic Oscillator at -100, the lowest point on its long-term decaying price range, which spans from -100 to +100. This “Capitulation” zone marks periods when BTC trades far below its harmonic center and historical equilibrium, signaling extreme market pessimism. Related Reading: XRP Price About To Enter ‘Face-Melting Phase’, And The Target Is $27 Historically, every time the oscillator has hit this level—late 2011, early 2015, late 2018, March 2020, and late 2022—Bitcoin reached major cycle lows before entering strong upward trends. The chart quantifies this pattern, showing a median one-year return of +135% from the capitulation zone, with a 100% success rate across all recorded signals. For traders, this suggests that the BTC price could more than double over the next year if history repeats itself. The chart also contrasts other zones in the oscillator, illustrating the model’s cyclical reliability: the “Undervalued” zone historically produced +77% median returns, “Equilibrium” and “Overheated” zones delivered smaller gains, and the “Euphoria” band at the top often led to negative returns. In essence, the chart emphasizes that Bitcoin’s current capitulation reading may mark a rare opportunity for a major rally. By connecting extreme market lows with historically consistent gains, the oscillator provides traders a clear framework for anticipating BTC’s next potential cycle. Bearish Trend Model Meets A Generational Buy Signal Although the oscillator has a strong historical record, @DurdenBTC notes that his broader trend system currently leans bearish. This creates a tension between momentum-based trend signals and the oscillator, which indicates extreme undervaluation. The oscillator works on a damped harmonic model, where price moves around a rising long-term center line while volatility gradually compresses. Related Reading: XRP Daily Liquidity Is Pointing To A Rally To $4, Analyst Explains What’s Going On The chart shows Bitcoin trading below its harmonic center and fair value, with a negative deviation reinforcing the capitulation signal. A 90-day inset highlights a sharp drop to this lower boundary. Meanwhile, the two-year fair value estimate remains well above the current price, showing a significant gap between current levels and the modeled equilibrium. The oscillator also shows that cycle energy has reset to lower levels, similar to previous macro bottoms. Historically, these resets marked the shift from decline into accumulation phases. This does not mean price will immediately reverse, but statistically, readings like this have marked generational buying opportunities. While the analyst maintains a cautious stance aligned with the bearish trend, the -100 oscillator reading represents one of the most asymmetric setups in Bitcoin’s cycle history. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
After the Bitcoin price recovered from the flush to $63,000 over the last week, expectations are that the uptrend could continue. This has sparked predictions for the next rally and that the BTC price could move above $70,000 as a result of this. However, one analyst has thrown a wrench in this move, predicting that there could be another crash coming. This could lead to the final bottom, but suggests that much lower prices are coming first. The Ending Diagonal That Suggests Bitcoin Is Headed Downward EduwaveTrading posted an analysis on the TradingView website that paints a rather bearish picture for the Bitcoin price, at least in the short term. This prediction has to do with Bitcoin not reaching the previous swing low, and this could mean that there is another wave coming to help it hit that swing low. Related Reading: How High Will The Dogecoin Price Be If Bitcoin Reaches $200,000? As a result of the swing low not being hit, the crypto analyst suggests that Bitcoin could have dropped into an expanding ending diagonal pattern. This pattern, despite the recovery, points to another possible downward move. This move would be the start of a deeper downtrend that sends it to new yearly lows. The swing low target here lies just above $62,000 and could be a magnet for the price at this point. If the expanding ending diagonal pattern plays out, it means there is one more flush left. Once the swing low is broken, the analyst points out that Bitcoin could drop further below $59,000 before finding support again. Given this pattern, the crypto analyst suggests that investors may want to wait for this next flush to play out before doing anything. Only then would it be ‘safe’ to enter into Bitcoin, in order to avoid further losses. BTC Is Still Very Bearish Just like EduwaveTrading, another crypto analyst, Behdark, has predicted that Bitcoin will see another crash. This time around, the analyst points to the takeout on the downtrend lined the fact that the momentum has been dropping ahead, suggesting that Bitcoin is still very bearish. Related Reading: Are Institutions Killing Bitcoin And Ethereum? Here’s How They’ve Fared Since Companies Got Involved If the sellers continue to hold strong, then the crypto analyst sees Bitcoin falling toward $61,000, which coincides with the swing low that EduwaveTrading points out. Both of these analyses together say that it’s highly likely that the BTC price sees a strong move downward before establishing enough support to continue upward again. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
Recent commentary from crypto analyst Egragcrypto has stirred fresh debate around the XRP price’s long-term trajectory. In a recent X post, the analyst pointed to a potential high-volatility phase ahead, suggesting that even a short-term drop could set the stage for a powerful rally. His chart outlines both risk and opportunity, framing the coming period as decisive for patient investors. The Meaning Behind The XRP Price ‘Face-Melting Phase’ According to Egragcrypto’s outlook, XRP may be approaching what he describes as a dramatic expansion phase. The analyst emphasized that this stage is unlikely to be comfortable for market participants. He framed the move as one that historically rewards traders who withstand early volatility rather than those seeking immediate confirmation. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Surge To $500,000 As Ribbon Fractal Emerges In his view, even if price follows the projected yellow downside path first, such weakness should not be seen purely as bearish. He characterized it as a potential accumulation window that could precede a much larger upside move to $27. He insists that the market may demand endurance before offering meaningful gains. This perspective aligns with his broader principle that strong returns in crypto markets often follow periods of stress. The analyst stressed that many investors underestimate this dynamic, implying that emotional discipline could become a key differentiator if the projected scenario unfolds. Within this framework, short-term pain is positioned as part of a larger bullish structure rather than a breakdown of the trend. Chart Structure Points To High-Volatility Setup The accompanying chart provides the technical backbone for the thesis. XRP is shown trading within a long-term rising structure formed after the major breakout that began around 2017–2018. More recently, price action has compressed inside a large triangular formation, with the upper boundary gradually descending and the lower boundary steadily rising. The chart highlights several critical zones. A purple “death zone” sits below the current price, while a clearly marked psychological by support area near the $1.30 region acts as the first key defense. Above, a psychology resistance band around the $3 range caps the recent advance and defines the upper barrier XRP must reclaim. Related Reading: Bitcoin Final Sell-Off Coming? Analyst Says It’s Time To ‘Buckle Up’ Notably, the yellow projected path shows a possible dip back toward support before any sustained breakout attempt. From there, the analyst maps an aggressive expansion phase that extends toward the $27 region. This level sits well above previous cycle highs, signaling the scale of the move being proposed. The structure suggests that XRP is at a decision point rather than already in breakout mode. Price recently pulled back after testing the upper resistance zone, reinforcing the analyst’s warning that volatility may increase before any major upside confirmation. Overall, the commentary and chart present a high-risk, high-reward outlook. The projected “face-melting phase” is not portrayed as imminent without turbulence, but as a potential outcome if key supports hold and the broader structure resolves upward. For now, the market appears to be entering the proving ground that the analyst believes will separate patient holders from reactive traders. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
As the end of the month approaches, Ethereum (ETH) is attempting to end February above the crucial $2,000 barrier. Some analysts have suggested that the upcoming monthly close could determine the fate of the King of Altcoin’s price trajectory. Related Reading: XRP Rally Incoming? Analyst Forecasts March-April Recovery If This Level Breaks Ethereum Trajectory Could Be Defined This Weekend On Thursday, Ethereum briefly fell from its recent highs and retested the $1,980 level before bouncing. Notably, the cryptocurrency surged 11% on Wednesday morning, reaching a ten-day high of $2,148, then stabilized around the crucial $2,000 support. Amid this rebound, market observer Trader Tardigrade highlighted that ETH has momentarily reclaimed a critical monthly level, which had been lost in the shorter timeframes. The King of Altcoins is trading back above its multi-year trendline, suggesting that a potential price recovery rally could be coming if the level holds. Per the post, Ethereum “has a proven pattern: every time price holds above this ascending support trendline, it launches into a parabolic rally.” As the chart shows, the cryptocurrency displayed a similar trendline between 2018 and 2020, when the altcoin bounced from this support and embarked on a massive one-year rally toward its previous all-time high (ATH). Now, ETH shows a similar performance in the monthly timeframe, currently retesting the trendline that began forming in 2022. “If it holds here, history says we’re gearing up for another explosive climb,” the trader affirmed. Similarly, analyst Rekt Capital noted that this multi-year trendline has been “a structural level that has defined the broader macro trajectory for several years.” He stated that if Ethereum ends the month above this trendline, located around the $1,960-$1,970 area, “then price would have scope to rebound into the green region overhead,” between the $2,250-$2,500 levels. However, he warned that this key horizontal region has historically “not been kind to Ethereum across cycles.” Deeper Correction In The Books? Explaining ETH’s previous behavior around this level, Rekt Capital detailed that in 2022, once the price broke below this horizontal region in the monthly timeframe, it continued lower. Meanwhile, Ethereum closed below this level again in early 2025, retested it, turned it into resistance, and resumed its correction toward the April 2025 lows around $1,385. “So structurally, the green region remains a likely candidate for resistance unless Ethereum Monthly Closes above it and successfully turns it into support,” the analyst affirmed, cautioning that it seems less likely given the current bear market conditions. Moreover, he warned that if ETH Monthly Closes below the multi-year support trendline, the $1,570-$1,670 horizontal zone, which was a prior demand cluster, could be revisited. Related Reading: The ‘Next-Generation Trading Chain’: BNB Chain Eyes 2026 Optimization Following Strong Ecosystem Momentum “We have already seen downside wicking toward that orange region, but not a clean, picture-perfect retest. Losing the trendline would likely force price into that orange region more decisively and potentially even result in its loss as support,” he added. As Rekt Capital stressed, if a macro uptrend is lost, there is limited buy-side momentum to support the price against further downside over time. As of this writing, ETH is trading at $2,026, a 4.7% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
During the Wednesday market recovery, XRP surged 7.9% to hit a one-week high of $1.47. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between $1.35-$1.50 over the past three weeks but has failed to break above the local range’s upper boundary. As the price nears this resistance once again, an analyst has suggested that a short-term rally toward another critical level could be brewing, potentially setting the stage for the altcoin to decide its next market direction by the end of Q2. Related Reading: The ‘Next-Generation Trading Chain’: BNB Chain Eyes 2026 Optimization Following Strong Ecosystem Momentum XRP To See March Breakout On Wednesday, analyst ChartNerd called for a short-term 20%-30% XRP rally in the next month or two, affirming that “relief is overdue” after six months of continuous downside pressure. In a video analysis, the market observer affirmed that the cryptocurrency is attempting to build a base within its local range to retest a crucial resistance level after losing the $1.80-$2.00 area as support in January. As he explained, XRP is attempting to form an ascending triangle or double bottom pattern in the daily timeframe, with the formation’s neckline sitting around the $1.50 mark. Based on this, if the altcoin “coils up inside this triangle and eventually gets a breakout heading into March, this is where the potential lies of rallying back up to $1.80” to retest this previous area of support as resistance. Meanwhile, if the cryptocurrency is forming a double bottom pattern, the analyst noted that “even a retrace to the $1.20 level would still mark a higher low before a short-term bullish reversal.” In both cases, breaking out of the $1.50 resistance would validate a move toward the $1.80-$2.00 area, which he considers “a critical inflection point” as XRP held it as support for 400 days. It would be a critical inflection point. I mean, potentially, we could respect some sort of ascending channel here as well, leading into March, which is what may guide us up to that $1.80 resistance. (…) If XRP does sort of respect these trend lines, it’s resistance. We’re back at support. Is A Critical Retest Ahead? Despite the bullish outlook, ChartNerd warned that XRP still risks a correction of up to 50%. Per the analyst, the $1.80 retest will determine whether this area has turned into resistance and the price will continue to go lower, or if it will be reclaimed and push to higher levels. “If the rally into $1.80/$2 unfolds in March/April, that will be the telltale sign of whether $0.70 is on the cards or not. Breaking cleanly above $2 signals strength and invalidation of that potential. Rejecting it as resistance would then cause a potential $0.70 drop,” he added on X. A reclaim of this key area as support could open the doors for a retest of the golden $2.40-$2.70 range, not visited since the Q4 2025 crash. It could also signal that the corrective period may be over. Related Reading: Bitcoin Positioned For More Pain Following Weekly Close Below This Critical Level However, he recently cautioned that losing the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in the weekly timeframe and confirming it as resistance has historically signaled a major drop toward the $0.70 area. In previous cycles, XRP entered a deep corrective move when it failed to hold this level, crashing around 50% to its bear market bottom. Therefore, he emphasized that the cryptocurrency needs a convincing reclaim of its crucial area to invalidate this potential outcome. As of this writing, XRP is trading at $1.46, a 2.7% increase on the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (COIN) could be one of the biggest corporate beneficiaries of the United States’ first comprehensive crypto legislation, the GENIUS Act, which was signed into law in July 2025 and established a federal framework for stablecoin issuance and oversight. Coinbase Stablecoin Revenue Jumps 48% According to Bloomberg analysts Paul Gulberg and Samuel Radowitz, the new framework may significantly strengthen Coinbase’s fast-growing stablecoin business, particularly if adoption of dollar-backed tokens expands into mainstream payments. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Be In A Price Slump—But Adoption Is In A Bull Market In 2025, Coinbase generated an estimated $1.35 billion in revenue tied to stablecoins, a 48% increase from $911 million in 2024. That segment represented 19% of the company’s total annual revenue, underscoring how important stablecoins have become to the exchange’s overall business model. Unlike trading fees, which tend to rise and fall sharply alongside crypto market volatility, stablecoin-related income is derived from interest earned on reserves backing Circle’s USDC. Those reserves are primarily invested in US Treasuries and other low-risk instruments, producing yield. Coinbase receives a significant share of that interest income, making the business more predictable and generally higher margin than transaction-based revenue. The importance of this revenue stream became particularly evident in late 2025. During a period when Bitcoin (BTC) and broader crypto prices declined sharply, and Coinbase’s fourth-quarter revenue dropped 20%, income generated from stablecoins remained comparatively stable. Paul Gulberg and Samuel Radowitz argue that this consistency could become even more meaningful if regulatory clarity accelerates broader USDC adoption. GENIUS Act Expected To Accelerate USDC Growth The GENIUS Act is central to that outlook. By providing a national regulatory structure for stablecoin issuers, the legislation could remove barriers that have limited the use of USDC in areas such as cross-border payments and merchant settlements. If businesses and financial institutions adopt stablecoins more widely for real-world transactions, the overall supply of USDC could expand substantially. An increase in USDC circulation would require additional reserves to back those tokens, which in turn would generate more interest income from the underlying Treasury holdings. Because Coinbase shares in that yield, greater adoption directly translates into higher potential revenue. Bloomberg analysts estimate that under favorable conditions, Coinbase’s USDC-related revenue could grow by two to seven times its current level. Related Reading: Expert Forecasts $5 Trillions Pouring Into Crypto Post CLARITY Act Passage Yet, reaching the upper end of that projection depends on whether Coinbase can continue offering rewards to customers who hold USDC. If customer reward mechanisms remain in place, analysts believe USDC adoption could accelerate more rapidly. However, even if those programmes are limited or scaled back in the ongoing negotiations on the CLARITY Act, the clearer regulatory environment created by the GENIUS Act is still expected to support meaningful growth in stablecoin usage. At the time of writing, the exchange’s stock, trading under the ticker name COIN, surged towards $185 during Wednesday’s trading session, marking a 22% increase in the 24-hour time frame. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
After closing the week below a crucial support level, Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen below the $65,000 support for the first time since the early February crash, reaching a two-week low of $64,152. Amid this performance, some analysts have warned that the flagship crypto could be on the “cusp of bearish acceleration,” warning that another major crash could be around the corner. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mirrors Software Stocks More Than Any Other Market — Here’s Why Bitcoin Loses The 200-Week EMA On Monday, analyst Rekt Capital highlighted that Bitcoin produced a “historically pivotal” development after closing last week below the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which currently sits “at the center of a major confluence zone.” Notably, the 200-week EMA aligns with BTC’s Post-Halving Re-accumulation Range highs, located between $66,000-$71,000. Meanwhile, the Post-Halving Re-accumulation Range lows, around the $58,000-$60,000 levels, define the broader structure of BTC’s current range. Over the past three weeks, the cryptocurrency attempted to develop a demand region around this area, which was previously a major supply area. However, this level hasn’t historically been a structurally reliable support for BTC’s price, the analyst asserted, noting that it has previously acted as a 10-month resistance. “In the current structure, we have seen three consecutive weeks of elevated sell-side volume in this region, with limited meaningful buy-side response,” he explained. Per the post, this imbalance has led to a weekly close below the 200-week EMA, losing it as support in this timeframe. This suggests that a “continuation of Bearish Acceleration into its second wave” could follow soon. The analyst cautioned that now that price has closed the week below this critical level, there is a “strong probability that Bitcoin presses back toward the underside of that EMA to attempt turning it into new resistance.” If the underside retest holds, the structure would shift from defending the support to confirming the resistance at this level. He warned that if that level begins to act as resistance, downside continuation will become increasingly probable. BTC’s Bottom Targets $30,000 Rekt Capital also noted that BTC’s recent performance aligns closely with its price action in prior cycles. As he detailed, in 2018 and 2022, a weekly close below the 200-week EMA acted as a structural trigger to the second wave of bearish acceleration. “Bitcoin would attempt to reclaim the level, turn it into resistance, and then dissipate lower. That pattern is now attempting to replicate itself,” he asserted. Similarly, Ali Martinez pointed to the cryptocurrency’s historical performance, but on the three-day chart, affirming that this has been one of BTC’s key timeframes from a macro perspective. According to Martinez’s post, market observers must watch the upcoming interaction of the 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), as the crossover between these two indicators on the three-day timeframe has historically preceded the final leg down of the bear market. Bitcoin dropped around 50%-72% from its 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycle tops before its death crosses took place in late 2014 and 2018, and mid 2022. Following the 50-day and 200-day SMAs crossovers, the flagship crypto experienced another 45%-52% decline. Related Reading: Investors In Trump Family Memecoins Record $4.3 Billion In Losses As Tokens Sink Now, BTC has fallen more than 52% from its October 2025 peak and is approaching a potential death cross on the three-day chart by the end of February. “If history repeats — even partially — this could signal the beginning of the final leg down of this cycle,” the analyst warned. Based on this, Martinez predicted that another 30%-50% correction from current levels could follow, placing the cryptocurrency’s target near the $30,000-$40,000 supports. “If the cross confirms, it becomes a level to take very seriously,” he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
As market volatility sends Dogecoin (DOGE) to retest its breakout level, some analysts have advised “cautious” optimism for the leading memecoin, arguing that weak bullish momentum could invalidate the recent price action. Related Reading: SUI Eyes Price Recovery As Institutional Exposure Expands With Grayscale, Canary ETF Launches ‘Optimism With A Seatbelt On’ On Thursday, Dogecoin fell to a one-week low of $0.095 before bouncing back above the $0.098 support level. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between $0.096 and $0.104 for the past six days, briefly reaching a multi-week high of $0.117 during the weekend. Notably, DOGE broke out of a one-month descending trendline after last week’s price surge, igniting optimism among investors. However, the market’s volatility has halted the leading memecoin’s momentum, which is now moving sideways within its local range. Market observer Whale Factor highlighted that Dogecoin has returned to “the ultimate support level” located at $0.097. This level is a macro resistance-turned-support, serving as a key bounce area over the past two years. “We’ve seen this play out twice before with massive bounces. (…) If this horizontal support holds, the risk/reward for a long position here is insane,” he affirmed, adding that a rebound from this level could target the $0.15-$0.20 area. Meanwhile, analyst Trader Tardigrade noted the recent performance, explaining that the breakout and the subsequent retest of the downtrend line is “textbook bullish price action.” Nonetheless, he has warned that he is “cautiously optimistic” due to weak bullish momentum. As he explained, the descending trendline has been retested and held as support over the past five days, printing daily closes above the breakout level. This signals that the structure remains bullish. Despite this, the analyst considers the rally “feels a bit underpowered” and that DOGE’s uptrend momentum “is lacking strength” as the price is slowly retracing the recently climbed levels. “Price has to attract real demand to make this breakout credible. Keep an eye on volume and punchier candles—until those show up, it’s optimism with a seatbelt on,” he asserted. Dogecoin To Repeat Previous Performances? Trader Tardigrade also pointed out that Dogecoin seems to be mirroring the same pattern that has previously led to parabolic moves. Per the post, the memecoin has completed a “Solid Base structure” twice before, first in 2016 and then in 2020. The analyst emphasized that historically, “when DOGE finishes building these bases, it doesn’t take long before the breakout happens.” Now, the cryptocurrency is at the edge of the third base, with the “same prolonged consolidation, same gradual accumulation, same compressed energy.” Similarly, market watcher Bitcoinsensus observed that in past cycles, Dogecoin had “thrived during strong risk-on environments,” typically breaking out after long stretches of consolidation. Related Reading: BNB Chain’s AI Agent Ecosystem Surges As Crypto Markets Bleed Notably, the cryptocurrency saw a 95x move between 2017 and 2028 after breaking out of its macro consolidation range. Then, it recorded a 310x rally toward its latest all-time high (ATH) following its 2020 breakout. The chart shows that the altcoin could be near the end of its long consolidation period, and a parabolic move could begin in the next year. “If this cycle plays out like previous ones, Dogecoin may have room to push toward the $5 zone,” the analyst concluded. As of this writing, DOGE is trading at $0.097, a 1.1% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
As the crypto market recovers, Solana (SOL) has bounced from a major level trendline and momentarily reclaimed a key horizontal level. Some analysts have signaled that a retest of a crucial short-term resistance could be coming, while others have warned that a breakdown to new lows remains possible. Related Reading: Ethereum $1,900 Retest Could Decide Next Major Move – Is ETH Preparing For New Lows? Solana Bounces From Two-Year Trendline On Friday, Solana bounced 10.3% to break past the $85 area for the first time in three days. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between $78-$88 over the past week, briefly falling to $67 during last Thursday’s correction. SOL lost the mid-zone of its local range after recent market volatility, falling below $80 on Thursday. However, Today’s rebound has sent the altcoin above these recently lost levels, setting the stage for a potential recovery. Amid this performance, market observer Daan Crypto Trades highlighted that the cryptocurrency has reclaimed the key $80 level, which has historically served as major resistance and support. To the trader, the Solana must hold above this area and form a base above it before “watching for a low-timeframe market structure break back to bullish.” Analyst Ali Martinez observed that sustained buying pressure could push SOL’s price toward the $88 level, not seen since the start of the week. The altcoin has been unable to break above this level since last week’s breakdown, becoming a key short-term resistance area. A breakout from this level could open the door for a retest of the $90-$96 zone, where the April 2025 lows are. Meanwhile, Crypto Batman noted that Solana is retesting its two-year descending trendline in the weekly timeframe, located around the recent lows. The chart shows that the macro trendline has been holding since early 2024 and has been tapped multiple times throughout the cycle. As the analyst explained, “Over the past 2 years, every time the price touches this level, a massive reversal occurs.” During this period, it has also marked the bottom of each major correction, with the latest retest taking place in Q2 2025 and leading to the following quarter’s rally. SOL Breakdown Still Coming? Despite the bullish outlooks, other market watchers have shared potential bearish forecasts for Solana if momentum weakens. Altcoin Sherpa warned that SOL could drop to $50 if selling pressure pushes the price below a crucial area. The chart shows that after losing the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around the $121 mark, and the April 2025 lows, the key area to hold is the recently visited local range lows. As the analyst displayed, if the cryptocurrency fails to hold the $77-$78 price area, the next major historical support sits near the November 2023 breakout area, around the $51 mark. Market watcher Crypto Bullet suggested that Solana’s bottom may not be in yet, arguing that “those who bought BTC above $80k and SOL above $120 must stay trapped for a year or two.” Related Reading: LayerZero (ZRO) Soars 40% Amid Zero Blockchain Debut, Major Institutional Backing He affirmed that “returning to those levels anytime soon doesn’t make sense,” as the cryptocurrencies are in their markdown period. In an X post, he emphasized the market cycle phases, pointing out that the accumulation phase occurred between 2022 and 2023, while the distribution phase occurred between 2024 and the start of 2026. Based on this, the analyst’s chart shows that SOL could potentially find a bottom around the $40 area. As of this writing, Solana is trading at $84.17, a 2.5% decline in the weekly timeframe Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
As Bitcoin (BTC) trades roughly 50% below its all‑time high, investors are once again asking the familiar question: how long does recovery usually take? Market analyst Sam Daodu believes history offers valuable clues. No Systemic Bitcoin Collapse This Time? Daodu notes that steep corrections are not unusual for Bitcoin. Since 2011, the cryptocurrency has endured more than 20 pullbacks exceeding 40%. Mid‑cycle declines in the 35% to 50% range have often cooled overheated rallies without permanently derailing long‑term uptrends. In situations where there was no systemic breakdown in the broader market, Bitcoin has typically reclaimed prior highs in about 14 months. He contrasts the current environment with 2022, when multiple structural failures shook the crypto industry. Related Reading: Trump Media Files For Cronos, Bitcoin‑Ether ETFs With Staking Focus At present, there is no comparable collapse rippling through the system. The analyst highlighted that BTC’s realized price—currently near $55,000—may provide a psychological and technical floor, as long‑term holders have historically accumulated coins around that level. Whether the present downturn evolves into a drawn‑out slump or a shorter reset, Daodu suggests, will largely hinge on global liquidity conditions and investor sentiment. A Look Back At Historic Selloffs During the 2021–2022 cycle, Bitcoin peaked at $69,000 in November 2021 before tumbling to $15,500 one year later, a 77% drop. The downturn coincided with monetary tightening by the US Federal Reserve, alongside the collapse of the Terra (Luna) ecosystem and FTX’s bankruptcy. It ultimately took 28 months for Bitcoin to surpass its previous high, which it did in March 2024. At the market bottom, long‑term holders controlled roughly 60% of circulating supply, absorbing coins from forced sellers. The 2020 COVID‑19 crash unfolded very differently. In March of that year, Bitcoin plunged about 58%, sliding from approximately $9,100 to $3,800 as global lockdowns triggered a liquidity shock. Bitcoin rebounded quickly. It reclaimed the $10,000 level within six weeks and retook its 2017 high of $20,000 by December 2020, about nine months after the bottom. The eventual surge to $69,000 in November 2021 came roughly 21 months after the crash. The 2018 bear market presents yet another contrast. After reaching $20,000 in December 2017, Bitcoin collapsed 84% to $3,200 by December 2018. The implosion of the initial coin offering (ICO) boom, combined with regulatory crackdowns and limited institutional participation, drained speculative energy from the market. Active addresses declined by 70%, and miners were forced to capitulate as revenues shrank. Without significant new capital or a compelling growth narrative, Bitcoin required nearly three years to revisit its previous peak. Not Capitulation Yet The depth of the drawdown itself plays a critical role. Historically, corrections in the 40% to 50% range have taken roughly nine to 14 months to reverse, while collapses exceeding 80% have required three years or longer. Related Reading: Standard Chartered Lowers Bitcoin Forecast: Predicts Price Dive To $50,000 Before Rebound With Bitcoin now down about 50% from its peak, the decline falls into what Daodu describes as a moderate‑to‑severe category—substantial, but not indicative of full capitulation. Based on prior episodes of similar magnitude, he estimates that a return to previous highs could take 12 months or more, with macroeconomic conditions ultimately determining the speed of that rebound. As of writing, BTC was trading at $68,960, having recovered slightly on Friday with a 5% increase in an attempt to surpass its short-term resistance wall at $70,000. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com