Crypto analyst Crypto Patel has outlined a roadmap for how Bitcoin could rally to $300,000. The analyst also indicated that investors will have the opportunity to buy at lower levels, as he predicts BTC will first drop to $44,000. Roadmap For The Bitcoin Rally To $300,000 In an X post, Crypto Patel laid out the roadmap for the Bitcoin rally to $300,000. First, he stated that BTC will bounce into the $89,300 to $98,000 range, which is the higher timeframe bearish order block. Once that happens, he predicts the leading crypto will face rejection from that zone, triggering the final leg down to $44,000, which is the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Related Reading: How Is Bitcoin Price Following A 100-Year Pattern If It’s Only 16 Years Old? Expert Tells All The analyst noted that Bitcoin has so far followed his analysis, with the rising wedge breakdown and the dump to $60,000 occurring just as he predicted. Meanwhile, Crypto Patel stated that the drop is an opportunity to accumulate heavily ahead of the rally to the long-term target of $300,000. Crypto Patel assured that the drop to $44,000 is not a crash but a gift, and that this level sets up healthy long-term growth. He reiterated that this is not a crash level but a reset level. He advised that market participants not to miss the opportunity if Bitcoin hits $44,000 or below. His accompanying chart showed that BTC could rally to $300,000 between 2027 and 2028. This coincides with the period that could mark the start of the next bull run, with experts like Doctor Profit predicting that Bitcoin could bottom by year-end. An accumulation phase then begins, leading to a bullish reversal for the leading crypto. Where BTC Is Likely To Bottom Crypto analyst Colin said that the very bottom of the green band, currently at $42,000, could be a reasonable place to look for a Bitcoin cycle bottom. However, he noted that the band would move lower as the bear market progresses. As such, he believes that $35,000 could be a more reasonable place for the leading crypto to bottom. Related Reading: If Bitcoin Price Doesn’t Hold Take And Hold $69,000 With Momentum, It Could Get Very Bad The analyst had earlier mentioned that Bitcoin is still likely in a bear market despite the recent rally. This came as he noted that BTC was trading in a bear flag since the February 6 low. He also stated that the leading crypto could find a local top around $79,000 before breaking down below the lower range of this bear flag. It is worth noting that BTC has broken above $70,000 amid reports that the U.S. and Iran could agree to a one-month ceasefire. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $71,200, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Celal has predicted that the Bitcoin price could hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $145,000. The analyst also provided a timeline for when the leading crypto could hit this milestone. When The Bitcoin Price Could Hit $145,000 In an X post, Celal stated that the Bitcoin price will rally to $145,000 between October and November. His accompanying chart showed that this rally could happen as BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) picks up and hits overbought, rising to 90. The chart also suggested that the leading crypto may already be forming a bottom as it eyes this rally to a new ATH. Related Reading: The Bear Market Divergence That Shows What’s Really Going On With Bitcoin This Bitcoin price prediction comes as BTC continues to struggle to hold above the psychological $70,000 level. The leading crypto is under pressure due to the U.S.-Iran war, with U.S. President Donald Trump threatening to escalate things if Iran doesn’t open the Strait of Hormuz. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that it is currently a waiting game as the Bitcoin price is at a crossroads. He said that BTC is stuck in a “no-trade zone” and that right now, the area between $70,685 and $65,636 are the most important spot on the chart. The analyst further revealed that over 1.72 million BTC have been transacted around this range, meaning that “buyers and sellers are digging in their heels.” Martinez added that there won’t be a big move for the Bitcoin price until it either breaks above $70,685 or falls below $65,636. Crypto analyst Ardi stated that BTC is still in a bear market and that the rally over the past few weeks was because of short covering. As such, the leading crypto is still at risk of a larger decline. The Economic Backdrop Is Bad For BTC Crypto analyst Colin stated that the economic backdrop is bad for the Bitcoin price, with oil prices rising and the Fed unlikely to lower rates anytime soon. He also noted that this is bad for BTC, considering that it is further up the risk curve than stocks. Based on this, Colin remarked that an eventual breakdown from the bear flag, which it has been trading inside since February. Related Reading: How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go? Analyst Shares Worst-Case Scenario As such, it is just a matter of how long the Bitcoin price holds on for at this point, the analyst said. He also noted that BTC has been in a bear market since October 5 and is only five months into it. Colin said that this means there is likely further downside since a typical bear market lasts for 12 months. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $68,800, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Ardi has pointed to a bear market divergence to explain what has been going on with Bitcoin’s price for a while now. His analysis comes just as BTC continues to struggle to hold above $70,000 amid the U.S.-Iran war and rising oil prices. Analyst Explains What Is Happening With Bitcoin as Price Struggles In an X post, Ardi noted that this is the first time in this bear market that Bitcoin’s price and open interest have diverged on an intermediate timeframe. BTC has climbed over the last six weeks to a low of around $60,000 while its open interest has declined during the same period. He stated that this indicates the recent rally wasn’t driven by new buyers entering, but rather by a large part of it being shorts closing their positions. Related Reading: How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go? Analyst Shares Worst-Case Scenario The analyst further remarked that traders who shorted the Bitcoin top like saw the drop to $60,000 and felt it was a good position to take profits. “They locked profit. They exited. That exit pressure pushed the price up,” he said. However, Ardi added that this development is not the same as fresh demand, which is sufficient for a reversal. He said that open interest typically rises when the Bitcoin rally has real strength, as shorts close and longs open to replace them. Meanwhile, new capital enters, forming the foundation for the bullish reversal in BTC. Ardi declared that none of that has happened in this range, with trading activity one-sided even as the leading crypto climbed to as high as $75,000 last week. Ardi said that the problem is that short covering has a ceiling, and once the last short has closed, the source of upward pressure is gone, leaving no other factor to sustain the move to the upside. How It Could Play Out For BTC In The Near Term Crypto analyst Colin noted that Bitcoin has been tracking inside the channel of a bear flag since the February 6 low. In line with this, he opined that BTC will eventually break down and that it is not a question of if but when. The analyst also questioned how high the leading crypto will rise before it suffers this breakdown. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Showing Dangerous Weakness, Here’s Why Colin opined that the highest price Bitcoin might reach before this projected breakdown is around $80,000. He described this as the best-case scenario at this point and that BTC might not even reach this psychological level. However, the analyst also admitted that there are some outlier outcomes, like BTC rising above $80,000 if the U.S.-Iran war suddenly ends. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $70,700, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Crypto Waterman, who predicted the Bitcoin price action with Chinese Astrology, has revealed when the flagship crypto will surge alongside altcoins. This comes as BTC looks to rebound from its recent crash to as low as $81,000. Analyst Reveals When The Bitcoin Price Will Surge In an X post, Crypto Waterman predicted that the Bitcoin price would surge from December 5 after it bottoms between November 28 and 29, when Mercury retrograde ends. He further remarked that there will be high swings up and down between November 29 and December 5, noting that the current market action is similar to mid-July 2021 in the previous cycle. Related Reading: Analyst Who Sold Bitcoin At $102,000 Predicts Crash To $40,000, But There’s Something Else The crypto analyst stated that the Bitcoin price rise will happen from December 5 to December 18 for two weeks, with the relief rally sending BTC to between $100,000 and $110,000. Once that happens, he predicts a three-week dip from December 18 to January 6, which will push BTC down to between $90,000 and $100,000. After the dip, Crypto Waterman predicts that the Bitcoin price will rise from December 6 to mid-February, hitting a new all-time high (ATH) during that period. He expects the flagship crypto to rally to between $140,000 and $145,000. Notably, the crypto analyst has so far accurately predicted the November BTC price action, which he claimed was with the help of Chinese astrology. Based on this, the crypto analyst is confident that the Bitcoin price is about to have its final leg in this bull market cycle. He also expects altcoins to witness one final rally to the upside, predicting that altseason should happen between January and February. Crypto Waterman also revealed that he plans to exit most of his bags in mid-February or the beginning of March as the market enters the horse year. ‘Too Early’ To Call For New ATH Crypto analyst Colin has indicated that it is too early to predict that the Bitcoin price could reach a new all-time high. This follows the recent BTC rebound from its lows of around $81,000 last week. The analyst explained that a bounce was inevitable after the flagship crypto was so oversold. However, he isn’t flipping macro bullish on expecting a new ATH too quickly. Related Reading: Bitcoin To Suffer 40% Crash From All-Time High? Analyst Reveals ‘Final Target’ The analyst further remarked that such a bounce says nothing about new ATHs and that BTC must reclaim major key levels well above current levels to have a chance of reaching new ATHs. He added that he expects the Bitcoin price to reach $100,000 on this bounce, but that won’t mean that a new ATH is in sight. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $87,500, up almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto pundit Andrea has shared a 3-month scenario for Bitcoin that shows the flagship crypto could suffer a massive crash. This crash is expected to follow BTC’s rebound and an end-of-year rally to new highs. Pundit Projects Bitcoin Crash To $60,000 After Rebound To New Highs In an X post, Andrea shared an accompanying chart showing that Bitcoin could eventually crash to $60,000, with the crash expected sometime in mid-2026. However, before then, the crypto pundit predicted that BTC could still rally to new highs despite its recent crash below the psychological $100,000 level. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Keeps Crashing- Is $80,000 Next? Specifically, he revealed a potential three-month scenario for Bitcoin, stating that he expects an end-of-year rally to at least $115,000-$116,000. The crypto pundit added that if BTC can break that level, then it could push towards $135,000 and $140,000, which will mark new all-time highs (ATHs) for the flagship crypto. However, Andrea stated that the peculiarity of this pump will be with a dropping BTC dominance, with altcoins outperforming the flagship crypto. This analysis comes amid Bitcoin’s most recent crash below $90,000, which marked a seven-month low for BTC. Notably, veteran trader Peter Brandt has predicted that this decline could extend further, with the flagship crypto dropping to as low as $58,000. Brandt questioned whether Bitcoin’s sweeping reversal on November 11, followed by 8 days of lower highs and the completion of a massive broadening top, qualifies as a bear market. He added that the targets implied are $81,000 and $58,000. The veteran trader also remarked that those who claim they will be big buyers at $58,000 will be pukers by the time BTC reaches $60,000. BTC Suffers A Breakdown Of The Megaphone Pattern Crypto analyst Colin revealed that Bitcoin has broken down from the megaphone pattern. He noted that without a quick recovery in the next day or two, this would suggest that BTC is entering a bear market. He opined that this bear market may be less intense due to diminishing returns and diminishing losses each cycle. Related Reading: 4 Bitcoin Indicators That Led To Market Rallies In The Last 2 Years Have Returned The analyst reiterated that if the Bitcoin price can reclaim the 50-week moving average before the week is over, it could signal a bullish outlook for the flagship crypto. However, until then, he remarked that it is better to assume that a bear market or bigger correction is the most likely scenario. Colin also raised the possibility of BTC following the ISM (business cycle) higher in a big move next year, after this corrective period. If that happens, then the bear market may be short-lived. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $93,000, up almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Colin has revealed that the Bitcoin price has flashed a death cross, which he noted was bullish for the flagship crypto. This comes amid BTC’s recent decline, which has erased all its year-to-date (YTD) gains. Bitcoin Price Flashes Death Cross, Marking Potential Bottom In an X post, Colin stated that a death cross just flashed for the Bitcoin price, with the “ironically” bullish indicator triggering at the same time that BTC tagged the lower boundary of its megaphone pattern. The analyst noted that this is a bullish setup from this point forward, as the death cross often marks bottoms. He indicated that this is likely the bottom, as BTC has ended at the lower end of the megaphone pattern channel. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Won’t Crash To $92,000, Here’s Why Colin remarked that these factors combined indicate a high likelihood of a move up for the Bitcoin price from its current level. He added that a bounce is likely in the short term. However, the analyst noted that the bigger question is whether this would be a bounce to new all-time highs (ATHs) or just a relief rally on the way down in a bear market. Regardless of what happens, he is optimistic that an upward move will occur in the short term. Colin also alluded to the fact that the Federal Reserve will end quantitative tightening (QT) by December, a move which he described as another bullish catalyst for the Bitcoin price. This move is expected to inject more liquidity into the BTC and possibly spark higher prices for the flagship crypto. The Fed could also cut rates again at the December FOMC meeting, which would be a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin. Another Analyst Confirms Death Cross Popular crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen also confirmed that the Bitcoin price just had a death cross. He noted that prior death crosses have marked local lows in the market. However, he added that the death cross rally fails when the cycle is over, which could be the case this time if the bull market is over. Related Reading: Why Are The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices Down Again? Cowen stated that the time for the Bitcoin price to bounce if the cycle is not over would start within the next week. The analyst further remarked that if no bounce occurs within one week, another dump is likely before a larger rally back to the 200D SMA, which he claimed would mark a macro lower high. Meanwhile, market analyst Subu Trade shared data on how BTC has reacted after historical death crosses. The last death cross occurred in April this year, and the flagship crypto recorded a 22% gain following it. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $95,100, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Colin has raised the possibility of the Bitcoin price mirroring gold’s parabolic move. The analyst further revealed how this could play out for BTC if it were to happen eventually. What Will Happen If The Bitcoin Price Mirrors Gold In an X post, Colin indicated that the Bitcoin price will record another uptrend as soon as next week if it were to follow gold’s move. He opined that it is unlikely the flagship crypto will not witness another significant move to the upside, given that gold and stocks saw meteoric rises to new all-time highs (ATHs) in recent months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Market Peak Indicators Says Hold Despite Crash Below $100,000, What’s Happening? Coilin further remarked that money will still flow toward crypto, with a delay, as he highlighted in the gold vs BTC chart. He added that the gold top would forecast a top for the Bitcoin price in January 2026 when shifted forward by 80 days. His accompanying chart showed that BTC could still rally to $175,000 if its bull market extends into January next year. Colin admitted that this could be wrong for the Bitcoin price, but noted that many other metrics were pointing toward more upward price action for BTC. Meanwhile, he also highlighted the fact that sentiment was getting bearish in the crypto market. The market is currently on a downtrend, with the BTC dropping below $100,000 on several occasions this week. This has raised concerns that the Bitcoin price may already be in a bear market. However, Colin has indicated that BTC could still rally to new all-time highs before this cycle ends. His prediction aligns with that of the likes of Standard Chartered, which has predicted that BTC could reach between $150,000 and $20,000 by year-end. Why The BTC Top May Not Be In In another X post, Colin also explained why the top might not be in for the Bitcoin price in this bull run. He noted that the intersection of the 1150-day SMA with previous bull run peak times the top of the next peak. This happened in both the 2017 and 2021 bull runs, which marked the top for BTC at the time. Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin Price October Top Is Back With A New Prediction Now, the analyst said that this moving average hasn’t quite lined up with the $65,000 top from the previous cycle, indicating that BTC still has more room to rally to the upside in this market cycle. Colin added that this 1150-day SMA, if projected out, will indicate a top for the Bitcoin price around late December this year or January next year. He reiterated that all metrics collectively point to a top around late December or January next year. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $102,400, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
The Bitcoin price crashed from as high as $106,000 to $102,000 on June 20, sparking sell-offs among investors. Now, crypto analyst Colin has indicated that the flagship crypto could still drop to as low as $92,800 and revealed what will happen if BTC gets there. The Current Bitcoin Price Action And What To Expect In an X post, Colin said that it looks increasingly likely that the Bitcoin price will see a retest of at least 100,800 as the first major level of support. The analyst made this statement as BTC dropped out of a bullish pennant for a second time. The measured target for this bull pennant is $150,000. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Could Rise 3x To $300,000 As AVIV Levels Resemble Previous Bull Cycles However, with the most recent breakdown, the Bitcoin price threatens to decline further before any potential move to the upside. Colin stated that the next major levels below $100,800 are $97,600 and $92,800. He opined that BTC is likely to quickly rebound from these support levels if it gets there. The crypto analyst remarked that this Bitcoin price movement is all possible within the confines of the right shoulder of the larger inverse Head-and-Shoulders pattern. He added that this can make the right shoulder more complete, basically on the same level as the left shoulder. This analysis comes just a day after Colin revealed that BTC has deviated from the global M2 money supply. However, he suggested that the BTC bull market is far from over. The analyst noted that the deviation happens 20% of the time and doesn’t invalidate the macro trend. Basically, the Bitcoin price is primed to rally higher at some point and possibly reach the $150,000 measured target. Market expert Raoul Pal also commented on BTC’s correlation with the money supply, stating that it shows that there is no need to worry about the current price action. Bulls Need To Step In For BTC In an X post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto stated that the Bulls need to step in now for the Bitcoin price. He noted that BTC is facing a key test, having just been rejected at the Fair Value Gap at around $106,000. The analyst added that the flagship crypto is now retesting the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Could Rise 3x To $300,000 As AVIV Levels Resemble Previous Bull Cycles Titan of Crypto stated that if this lower boundary at around $104,000 fails, then the next level would be the previous weekly low at $102,679. If the Bitcoin price fails to hold that level, it could further drop to the liquidity pocket near $100,300. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $103,500, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Colin has highlighted the Bitcoin price’s deviation from the Global M2 money supply, raising concerns that the bull run may be over. The analyst quickly addressed concerns, noting how such deviations usually happen at some point but don’t invalidate the macro trend. Analyst Highlights Bitcoin Price’s Deviation From Global M2 Money Supply In an X post, Colin revealed that the Bitcoin price has deviated from the global M2 money supply. He noted that this deviation was short-term in an otherwise broad correlation. The analyst added that this current deviation is similar to the position that BTC was in February 2025. Related Reading: Will The Bitcoin Price Move Above $110,000 Again? Global M2 Money Supply Shows What’s Next Colin remarked that this development doesn’t mean the M2 is broken, just as it wasn’t broken back in February. Instead, he claimed that it just means that market participants haven’t zoomed out enough and are allowing for the non-correlated periods. The analyst added that non-correlation between the Bitcoin price and global M2 money supply happens 20% of the time. He then alluded to the regular chart, which shows the strong correlation between the Bitcoin price and the global M2 money supply. Colin explained that the M2 is “directionally predictive” for BTC and that it is not 1:1 price-related. The analyst further remarked that the M2 does not predict a specific BTC price. Instead, the global M2 money supply only predicts the market direction, with about 80% accuracy. Colin added that the Bitcoin price has its y-axis while the M2 is on a different y-axis. He also opined that the M2 may decouple from BTC near the cycle top. Although the analyst didn’t provide a timeline for when the cycle top will be, his analysis indicates that the cycle top is not yet in and the bull run isn’t over. Money Supply Shows No Need To Worry About BTC Price In an X post, market expert Raoul Pal suggested that the Bitcoin price’s correlation with the money supply shows that there is no need to worry about the current price action. He remarked that if 89% of BTC’s price action is explained by global liquidity, then by definition, almost all “news” and “narrative” is noise. Related Reading: Brace For Impact: Bitcoin Price Primed For Deep Correction Below $90,000 This suggests that the current geopolitical risks, heightened by the Israel-Iran conflict, are unlikely to impact the Bitcoin price as much as expected. Trading firm QCP Capital recently noted that the flagship crypto has yet to show full-blown panic, which shows how much the asset has matured. The firm remarked that BTC’s resilient price action appears underpinned by continued institutional accumulation, with companies like Strategy and Metaplanet buying the dip. The Bitcoin ETFs also continue to record positive flows. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $104,700, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s current trading range is all part of a consolidation move before a return above $110,000. Although the leading cryptocurrency has largely held above the $105,000 support zones in recent days, its rally has taken a hit in the past two weeks. Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price action, when overlapped with the Global M2 Money Supply metric, shows that it is only a matter of time before it enters into a new all-time high. Global M2 Offset Models Says Something Interesting According to a detailed post by crypto analyst Colin, also known as “The M2 Guy,” on the social media platform X, Bitcoin’s price action appears to be tracking the global M2 money supply with a high degree of correlation when the data is offset by 68 to 76 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bears Back In Control After $110,000 Rejection, What Comes Next? Two separate charts presented by Colin reveal this trend vividly, showing how Bitcoin price movements have followed the trajectory of the Global M2 Money Supply when adjusted for time. The short-term 68-day offset chart aligns closely with Bitcoin’s behavior since April 2025, while the 76-day offset chart offers a longer-term view of the relationship. In both cases, the analyst highlighted that the M2 curve is pointing upward, where Bitcoin has yet to play out, implying a similarly bullish trajectory for its price action. Colin describes this as a form of confluence, noting that when two correlated indicators show the same directional outcome, the probability of that outcome increases. Particularly, the average correlation across both charts is around 76.6 to 76.9%, both of which are very high and lend statistical weight to the prediction. What Does This Mean For Bitcoin Price? The 68-day offset chart shows Bitcoin trailing the M2 curve with high precision since April, with the highest 89.9% degree of accuracy on the 90-day timeframe. Similarly, the 76-day offset, while less accurate in the short term, displays a strong correlation over longer intervals of 92.2% over one and a half years and 86.2% across two years. These correlation values shows that Bitcoin is increasingly sensitive to global liquidity trends, especially now that its price movement is tied to inflows/outflows surrounding Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Related Reading: Can Bitcoin Price Bounce To $120,000 Or Will It Break Below $100,000? This relationship becomes even more notable considering the M2 money supply itself has been climbing within a rising channel. If the alignment continues, Bitcoin may soon follow suit, lifting it back above the $110,000 level and breaking above its all-time high. Bitcoin’s price action will be very interesting to follow in the next few days. In Colin’s view, this next move up is not only likely but could happen within days. If Bitcoin follows this alignment, the projection shows that Bitcoin will continue to move within a channel of higher highs and higher lows before eventually crossing above $150,000 in August. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $106,549, up by 1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has seen a sharp pullback in the past few days, dropping below $110,000 after setting a fresh all-time high of $111,900 just four days ago. The correction saw the price fall as low as $107,500 before rebounding slightly, raising doubts among investors about the strength of the recent rally. Despite this retracement, some analysts argue that the bullish structure is still intact for Bitcoin. Particularly, crypto analyst Colin pointed to an interesting macroeconomic indicator called the Global M2 Money Supply as a reason for continued optimism. Global M2 Money Supply Says Bitcoin Rally Still Strong According to an analysis posted by crypto analyst Colin on the social media platform X, Bitcoin continues to track the global M2 money supply with accuracy offset by an 82-day lag. The chart highlights that the global M2 aggregate, which reflects the total liquidity circulating in the world’s largest economies, has recently hit a new all-time high. Historically, Bitcoin has closely mirrored this trend with a slight delay, and Colin believes this pattern suggests there is still considerable room for the Bitcoin price to climb. Related Reading: Bitcoin Vs. Global M2 Money Remains Bullish To Push Price To New ATH Above $100,000 The correlation between the Global M2 money supply and Bitcoin’s price action is statistically significant across various time frames, with the highest correlation of 93% found in the 1½-year window. This strong correlation shows that Bitcoin’s recent rally is on the back of deeper monetary expansion trends. Keeping this in mind, the interpretation is that Bitcoin is undergoing a healthy retracement within a broader upward trend, especially when viewed in the context of the global money supply. The pullback to $107,500 doesn’t invalidate the bullish setup, and Bitcoin’s ability to hold above the previous consolidation level between $102,000 and $104,000 is also a positive note. Colin: Social Sentiment Still Skeptical, But Data Speaks Loudly Despite the new $111,900 all-time high and Bitcoin bulls successfully holding its breakout level as support, social sentiment is still somewhat uncertain. This was also noted by Colin, who pointed out that many market participants still doubt the sustainability of the breakout, describing this disbelief as ironic given the strength of the underlying data. Related Reading: Technical Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Blow Off Top To $325,000 – The Timeline Will Shock You Colin also referenced the CBBI (Crypto Bull Run Index), which currently reads 79, still comfortably below the overheated threshold. This indicates that, by normal standards, the market is far from its euphoric peak, and there’s still significant upside left in the cycle. The chart provided by Colin highlights a projected upward trajectory that would see Bitcoin breaking above current levels toward $130,000 and beyond if the M2 correlation continues to play out. Interestingly, Colin’s analysis of the Global M2 supply and its relation to Bitcoin has been spot on in predicting Bitcoin’s rally. In April, when Bitcoin dropped to as low as $74,000, he projected that May would mark the next major breakout period for Bitcoin’s price, and this forecast has materialized exactly as he anticipated. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $109,670, up by 2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s price movement is starting to look positive after a brief stretch of crashes on Sunday and Monday. After breaking down to $74,000 on Monday, bearish momentum looked ready to drag Bitcoin’s price down further. However, bulls quickly stepped in to defend the dip. Their aggressive buying has pushed the price back up, with Bitcoin now moving towards the $80,000 level again. This recent crash is interesting because it aligns almost perfectly with a high-telling metric. This metric not only foreshadowed the crash, but it is now pointing to a powerful upward move for the next Bitcoin rally. Analyst Says Global M2 Is A Leading Signal For Bitcoin’s Next Move Colin, a well-followed crypto analyst on X, recently drew attention to Bitcoin’s relationship with the global M2 money supply. Taking to social media platform X, the analyst shared a chart showing Bitcoin’s price correlation with the Global M2 Money Supply, although with a 108-day offset. It almost looks like the Global M2 Money Supply is working as a template for Bitcoin’s price action, as the leading cryptocurrency has been tracing this offest almost step by step since August 2024. Related Reading: Bitcoin Vs. Global M2 Money Supply Shows A Big Move Coming, Here’s The Target In his latest post, Colin explained that Bitcoin continues to “follow Global M2 like glue.” The chart he shared overlays Bitcoin’s candlestick movements with a yellow line representing the M2 supply offset by that duration. The result is a striking correlation that Colin has consistently tracked for over a year. The chart below highlights what Colin labeled a mini-rally that failed and another crash, which has played out just as M2 had predicted. Now, with Bitcoin starting April with this crash, the M2 indicator suggests that it could very well blast off anytime soon. However, Colin noted that the price could consolidate further or experience minor dips before the anticipated rally. The analyst noted that the leading cryptocurrency is not fully out of the woods. But if lucky, it will be mostly sideways from here until the blastoff shown by the M2, which is not until May. May Blast-Off? BTC’s Rally Setup Strengthens Despite Short-Term Crash Colin’s forecast is based on the idea that Bitcoin could begin a major upward move by early May, which he called a May “blast-off.” The yellow M2 projection curve on his chart shows a steep climb ahead starting from May 1, indicating the possibility of Bitcoin rallying toward $128,000 if the correlation remains intact. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Struggles: Crypto Analyst Bucks Back Against Bearish Sentiment, Top Is Not In However, the analyst did not forgo the short-term risks that Bitcoin and the entire crypto market might face in April. These short-term risks are based on policy concerns regarding the “Trump tariffs,” which have set the investing markets ablaze in the past few days. The coming weeks will be important for the outcome of this blastoff. Should it hold above the $78,000–$80,000 level while maintaining alignment with the Global M2 Money Supply, May could usher in the parabolic move Colin is hinting at. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $79,255, up by 5.5% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com