Cardano’s ADA token has returned to a familiar but uncomfortable zone. After months of lower highs and failed recovery attempts, the price has slid back toward long-term support levels that have defined its structure for more than two years. Related Reading: XRP Hasn’t Entered A Bear Market Yet; Analyst Shares Why The move comes amid a broader market pullback, as risk appetite weakens across equities and crypto, but ADA’s decline is also being shaped by internal technical signals that traders are finding hard to ignore. ADA currently trades near $0.38–$0.39, down approximately 5.57% over the past 24 hours. That drop places the token close to a multi-year ascending support trend line that has held for nearly 900 days. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Derivatives and Positioning Point to Caution Market data indicate that traders are stepping back rather than leaning into the decline. Futures open interest in ADA has decreased by approximately 11% to around $670 million, indicating that positions are being closed rather than expanded. Funding rates have also softened, with more than 55% of tracked positions now skewed to the short side. Together, these metrics point to reduced confidence in a near-term rebound and a market that is positioning defensively. This caution is not isolated to Cardano. Altcoins across the board have come under pressure as investors adopt a risk-off stance ahead of key U.S. macroeconomic data, including inflation and labor reports, and as concerns surrounding the AI sector spill over into correlated assets like cryptocurrency. Technical Structure Near a Breaking Point On the charts, ADA’s structure remains fragile. The token recently lost the $0.53 horizontal support, confirming a bearish shift on higher timeframes. Momentum indicators reflect that change. The RSI is below 50, and the MACD remains in a negative position. Recent price action looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the latest bounce may already have run its course. ADA is still hovering near its long-term diagonal support, but a clean breakdown would likely alter the outlook materially. Some analysts warn that, if this trend line fails, the price could retrace much deeper, potentially toward levels last seen during the previous bear market. Long-Term Targets Contrast With Short-Term Risk Despite the weak near-term picture, longer-term projections remain divided. One technical analyst has argued that ADA’s current consolidation resembles a prolonged corrective phase similar to the setup seen before its 2020 breakout, outlining upside targets ranging from the $5 area to above $10 in a full bull scenario. Related Reading: US Bitcoin Session Leads December Returns After Weak November However, those views hinge on the market first stabilizing and reclaiming key resistance zones. For now, ADA’s focus is simpler. The token is at a critical phase, with long-term support under pressure and sentiment cautious. Whether this level marks a base or a breakdown will likely shape Cardano’s trajectory into 2026. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview
Cardano (ADA) is getting the “2020 blastoff” treatment again — at least if you ask Quantum Ascend, a technical analyst on X who says the chart is starting to rhyme with the setup that preceded ADA’s last major run. In a Dec. 13 video shared on X, Quantum Ascend (@quantum_ascend) told followers he’s been working through a longer-term weekly count and thinks the market may be grinding toward the end of a drawn-out corrective structure. The punchline: a “conservative” target zone around $4.88–$5.50, and a “primary” bull-run target of $10.40. “Cardano Mirroring 2020 Blastoff Moment,” his post read, before laying out the two tiers: “Conservative: $4.88-$5.50” and “Primary: $10.40.” The Framework Behind The Cardano Price Prediction The framework he’s leaning on isn’t a clean five-wave impulse, he said. Instead, he framed it as something slower and messier — “more of like a large time-based macro correction here on the D-wave,” he said, describing what he believes is a triangle structure developing on the weekly chart. “We’re creating a triangle structure,” he said. “So I am going to be looking for the E-wave. That’s what ends up coming next.” Related Reading: Cardano’s December Slide Intensifies: What’s Driving the Decline and What Comes Next? A big part of the argument is confluence. Quantum Ascend walked through multiple measurements and trendlines, pointing to price zones where different tools cluster. One reference point was a prior A-to-B drawdown range that, in his view, still hasn’t been fully “closed out,” with a key level “up there at the $5.50 mark.” Then he zoomed out to the bigger structure, highlighting how an upper trendline from a C-to-D drawdown “converges with the 3.618 [Fibonacci extension] up here,” which he suggested adds weight to the $10 area. “So some confluence for that $10 area,” he said, pointing at the chart level he called out around $10.62. He also reached for a relative-performance comparison — not to Ethereum itself, but to Ethereum Classic. “I have another video from the past that compares Ethereum Classic to ADA,” he said. “And if it ends up doing a similar move to Ethereum Classic, that also puts us up into the $10 range.” Still, the near-term “safe” target he kept circling back to was the $5 region. After walking through a more recent drawdown “going back to the top of the Trump pump to where we’re at now,” he said a “full extension gets us pretty close… around $4.88,” adding that the $5 zone shows “a lot of different signs of confluence.” “For me, I’m going to say my conservative estimate for ADA is going to be that $5 range,” he said. Then he went straight to the headline number: “I think ADA gets up there around 10 bucks during this bull run.” To make the comparison feel less abstract, Quantum Ascend argued the current chop looks structurally similar to a prior period before ADA’s last breakout — a fractal-style read. “You guys notice the similarities here?” he asked, describing how both moves get “stopped out a little bit above the 0.5,” roll over, then revisit the lower trendline before pushing back to the top of the range. Related Reading: Cardano’s Recovery Stalls, but TVL Growth Signals Could Spark Year-End Upside And then he widened the lens beyond Cardano, tossing in a fairly aggressive macro view that sits underneath the bullish alt targets. “I honestly, guys, across the board right now, I believe that these corrections are coming to an end,” he said. “I think we have a blow off top in stock markets, in crypto and all of that coming.” But he also stressed he’s not married to a long-duration “supercycle” narrative. “I am not a long-term bull,” he said. “I am not [predicting a] Bitcoin super cycle to $400K.” His current bitcoin top, he added, is $155,000 — and he expects alts to “severely outperform” in the final leg before “it’s all over.” On the math side, Quantum Ascend framed $10.40 as big, but not absurd in a market that has already produced outsized multiples. “If we were to get that 1040, 25X, right?” he said, comparing it to prior cycles where ADA saw moves he pegged at “168X” and “75X.” “So we’re just talking about a 25er,” he added. “Not that crazy when you put it into perspective.” At press time, ADA traded at $0.4022. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Cardano has formed a technical analysis (TA) signal on its weekly chart that last led into a major price drawdown. Cardano SuperTrend Has Flipped Bearish In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a signal that has appeared in the SuperTrend of Cardano. The “SuperTrend” refers to a TA indicator that’s generally used for determining whether a given asset is following a bearish or bullish trend. It’s built using the Average True Range (ATR), another TA indicator that measures the degree of volatility being experienced by the price. Related Reading: XRP Mildly Undervalued On MVRV: What About Bitcoin, Ethereum? The SuperTrend is represented by a single trendline that acts as both support and resistance, depending on which side the asset is trading. When the price is above this line, the indicator signals that the asset is in a bullish trend. On the other hand, being under the line implies the dominance of a bearish trajectory. Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the trend in the SuperTrend of Cardano over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the weekly Cardano price broke above the SuperTrend line during 2023 and stayed over it throughout 2024 and much of 2025. Recently, however, the price has finally seen a reversal of trend, with the indicator now giving a bearish signal instead. In the chart, Martinez has highlighted what happened the last time that this pattern developed in ADA’s 1-week price. It would appear that the flip to a bearish trend led to a decline of more than 80% for the cryptocurrency in 2022. It now remains to be seen whether the SuperTrend giving a sell signal is foreshadowing something similar this time, or if Cardano will see the renewal of bullish momentum despite the pattern. Related Reading: Stellar (XLM) Forms Signal That Last Led To 95% Price Rally Cardano isn’t the only coin in the sector that has seen a flip in the SuperTrend recently. As the analyst has highlighted in another X post, the number one cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, has also seen a change in its SuperTrend. From the above chart, it’s apparent that the weekly price of Bitcoin is now trading under the SuperTrend line, a sign that a bearish trend is taking over. Like for Cardano, the last time this flip happened was in the last bear market. Back then, BTC dropped by over 60%. ADA Price Cardano saw brief recovery above $0.48 last week, but the cryptocurrency has since witnessed a retrace as its price is now back at $0.40. Featured image from Dall-E, charts from TradingView.com
Cardano has made a significant integration this week that fundamentally alters its approach to market infrastructure. Under the network’s newly operational Pentad and Intersect governance structure, the steering committee authorized the implementation of Pyth Network’s low-latency oracle stack. While the decision may appear to be a routine technical upgrade on the surface, it represents a […]
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The network uses a dual-state architecture that separates public and private data while allowing controlled disclosure to auditors, institutions or counterparties.
In an industry that thrives on noise and chaos, Cardano is betting its future on a “quiet” hard fork and improved coordination among its leading internal stakeholders. The blockchain network is preparing to execute a technical upgrade engineered to be virtually invisible to the market. Known as Protocol Version 11, the “no new era” hard […]
The post Cardano is executing a “silent reset” after a critical ledger error nearly fractured the network in November appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Cardano (ADA) has opened December under pressure, dropping more than 7% in the past week as broader market sentiment weakens and macroeconomic uncertainty rises. Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holders See First Uptick Since April Lows: Bullish Sign? ADA is now trading near $0.38–$0.4, testing key support levels and extending a month-long downtrend that has erased recent gains. ADA's price gains some small gains on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Macroeconomic Pressure and Market Sentiment Weigh on ADA The latest decline comes amid renewed concerns over global interest rate policy. Comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled the possibility of a rate hike, a shift that could unwind leveraged positions funded through low-interest yen borrowing. Cardano’s drop aligns with losses seen across the crypto market, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major altcoins also trading lower. High trading volumes, over $1 billion in the past 24 hours, reflect elevated volatility and growing caution among investors. On-chain indicators show dormant ADA wallets from as far back as 2017 moving coins to exchanges, a sign that long-term holders may be preparing to exit positions. Short interest in ADA futures has also increased, with open interest rising 12% over the past week. Traders are betting on a further slide below $0.35 unless ADA can reclaim the $0.40 resistance level. Ecosystem Developments Offer Some Long-Term Support Despite the market downturn, several developments within the Cardano ecosystem continue to generate attention. A $30 million liquidity initiative designed to strengthen Cardano’s DeFi sector is scheduled for rollout in early 2026. The fund aims to boost total value locked by supporting lending, staking, and decentralized exchange activity, areas where Cardano has historically lagged behind competitors. Another upcoming milestone is the launch of the Midnight sidechain on December 8. The privacy-focused network introduces new capabilities around data protection and secure enterprise applications. Some analysts believe the launch could increase Cardano’s adoption and improve sentiment, particularly if it leads to more activity in decentralized finance. Cardano’s long-term technical outlook also remains a topic of debate. Analysts note that ADA is once again touching the support line of a multi-year uptrend. Historically, similar tests have preceded recoveries, with some projecting a possible rebound toward the $0.50–$0.75 range if the market stabilizes. What Comes Next for Cardano (ADA)? The near-term outlook for Cardano remains uncertain. A break below $0.38 could expose the token to further declines toward the $0.30 area, especially if broader market weakness continues. However, strong staking participation, around 70% of circulating supply, may help cushion deeper drawdowns. Longer-term forecasts vary widely, ranging from modest recoveries to highly optimistic projections tied to expected ecosystem upgrades in 2026. Related Reading: Bitcoin Vs. Gold Metric Flashes Rare Signal Not Seen in Market History – See How For now, ADA’s trajectory will depend on whether macroeconomic pressures ease and whether Cardano can translate its upcoming developments into sustained network growth and investor confidence. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart on Tradingview
Cardano is entering a very important phase in its development, as its founding institutions are attempting to deliver the core infrastructure that every major blockchain already treats as standard. On Nov. 27, a new proposal sought community approval to allocate 70 million ADA tokens (worth about $30 million) to onboard tier-one stablecoins, custody providers, cross-chain […]
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Cardano (ADA) is once again dealing with an unstable market stretch as its price hovers near one-year lows, but renewed optimism is building ahead of December’s long-awaited Midnight launch. Related Reading: The Bull And Bear Scenario For XRP That Could Play Out In November Despite persistent criticism over declining network usage and shrinking DeFi liquidity, fresh technical signals and upcoming ecosystem catalysts suggest the blockchain may be preparing for a recovery phase into year-end. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview ADA Slumps as Liquidity and Sentiment Weaken Cardano (ADA) trades around $0.41, marking a steep 70% decline from its December 2024 peak of around $1.2 and placing the token among the weakest performers in the latest market pullback. Total value locked has plunged 36% in 30 days to $186 million, while stablecoin liquidity sits below $40 million, far behind competitors such as Monad, which neared $100 million in TVL shortly after launch. The “ghost chain” narrative resurfaced again this week after network glitches prompted jokes about Cardano’s low activity. Even Nansen’s CEO predicted ADA could fall out of the top 20 as rivals gain traction in real-world assets, gaming, and high-volume DeFi. Still, founder Charles Hoskinson insists the gloomy sentiment does not reflect what’s coming. In a recent update, he emphasized that Midnight, Cardano’s privacy-focused sidechain launching in December, is backed by major developer partnerships expected to reignite the ecosystem. Technical Structure Points to a Potential Relief Rally Despite bearish pressure, ADA’s chart shows signs of stabilizing. The token is forming a falling-wedge pattern, historically a bullish reversal indicator. The RSI sits at 30, signaling oversold conditions, while derivatives funding has turned positive, suggesting traders are positioning for upside. Key resistance levels lie at $0.49 and $0.5097, with a breakout potentially driving price toward $0.50–$0.61. Analysts warn, however, that failure to hold the $0.39–$0.40 support range could expose ADA to deeper downside toward $0.277, the August 2023 low. Midnight Launch Becomes Cardano’s Make-or-Break Catalyst With DeFi activity shrinking and market confidence fragile, the December rollout of Midnight is emerging as the pivotal moment for Cardano’s 2025 outlook. Success could trigger a meaningful rebound in TVL and development activity, metrics traders increasingly rely on as proof of real adoption. Related Reading: Capriole Founder Not Bearish On Bitcoin Despite Headwinds—Here’s Why For now, ADA remains in consolidation mode, but the convergence of oversold technicals, whale accumulation, and ecosystem upgrades sets the stage for a possible year-end upside, if Cardano can finally convert anticipation into measurable on-chain growth. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview
Cardano faced an unexpected shock when a corrupted transaction aimed at Charles Hoskinson’s personal stake pool caused the network to split for several hours. The incident triggered confusion, exposed weaknesses, and sparked a heated clash over motive and responsibility. Here is how a single action spiraled into a full-scale disruption. Cardano Founder Targeted, Network Shaken The Cardano network faced unexpected disruption on November 21, 2025, after an incident targeting the founder’s personal stake pool. What began as a ‘test’ by a stake pool operator quickly escalated into a risky experiment on the main network, where he reportedly followed unverified AI-generated instructions and submitted a malformed transaction. Related Reading: Analyst Shares Why He’s Not Worried About XRP Price – ‘The Road To Valhala The transaction exploited an obscure 2022 cryptographic library bug, causing newer nodes to parse it incorrectly while older nodes rejected it. This triggered a chain split, disrupted block production, and left validators, DeFi protocols, and everyday users struggling to stay aligned for several hours. The operator later admitted that the entire situation was the result of poor judgment, one he described as a personal challenge he handled recklessly. He insisted he had no financial motives, no collaborators, and no intention to target the founder. His message expressed regret for the disruption caused to stake pool operators and developers who had to react immediately. Many operators lost block rewards, and some decentralized applications experienced inconsistent states. While user funds remained safe, the event revealed how one misstep could trigger a chain-wide disturbance. Hoskinson Says It Was Personal And Months In The Making Despite the stake pool operator claiming no intention of harm, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson rejected the idea that this was an accidental mistake. He stated that the individual responsible had been active in online groups known for hostility toward Cardano and its leadership. According to him, the attacker had spent months discussing ways to disrupt the project’s operations and reputation. Hoskinson pointed out that his personal pool was the direct target. For him, this proved the act was intentional, not an experiment gone wrong. He emphasized that the disruption touched every user on the network, causing stake pool operators to miss earnings, parts of the DeFi ecosystem to stall, and Cardano developers to be forced into rapid emergency fixes. Related Reading: Barstools Founder Just Made A Million-Dollar Investment In XRP, Does He Know Something? He also stated that law enforcement had already stepped in, turning the event into a criminal matter. In his view, the public apology surfaced only after community investigators linked the operator to the incident and federal involvement became clear. The incident left the community divided between two narratives: one of reckless experimentation and one of calculated sabotage. What remains certain is that a targeted hit—intentional or not—exposed how quickly a malformed transaction can fracture the system and force an entire ecosystem into crisis mode. Cardano recovered, but the questions raised by this attack will continue to shape how the network prepares for the next potential threat. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The divergence emerged when newer nodes accepted a malformed transaction that older nodes rejected.
Cardano (ADA) is once again under heavy market pressure after a series of whale-driven shocks and broken support levels sent the asset spiraling toward multi-month lows. Related Reading: Why Is Bitcoin Price Crashing? Arthur Hayes Isn’t Surprised Trading around $0.46–$0.49, ADA has slipped beneath several key zones that protected the price structure throughout 2024 and early 2025. Analysts now warn that the sell-off could deepen toward the $0.43 – $0.30 range if downward momentum continues. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview ADA Slides as Whale Loss and Support Break Intensify Selling Pressure Much of the latest volatility stems from a dramatic whale incident. A dormant wallet holding 14.45 million ADA, inactive for five years, executed a swap into USDA, a pool so thin that the wallet absorbed devastating slippage. The whale walked away with only $847,000, realizing a staggering $6.2 million loss. The market’s response was immediate, confidence cracked, liquidity thinned, and sellers accelerated their exit. On-chain data shows broader whale activity amplifying the impact. More than 440 million ADA has been offloaded by large holders over the last month, further weakening the structure. ADA’s breakdown below $0.52, a level untouched since 2024, confirmed a bearish market regime dominated by lower highs, lower lows, and widening volatility bands. Technical Outlook Points Toward $0.43… or Even $0.30 Traders monitoring ADA’s trajectory highlight a crucial zone at $0.43, a technical target that aligns with the expanding bearish momentum reflected in indicators such as the MACD, RSI, and Bollinger Bands. The MACD’s deepening bearish crossover signals intensifying sell pressure, while the RSI hovering near oversold territory around 37 suggests weakness without confirming a recovery. Market analysts like Ali Martinez and Mr. Brownstone warn that failure to reclaim broken levels could expose ADA to a broader decline. Martinez identifies $0.30 as a long-term structural support, a cycle reset area that historically attracts accumulation during deep corrections. Analysts note that while capitulation metrics such as MVRV point to undervaluation, they do not eliminate the risk of further downside before any recovery materializes. Midnight’s NIGHT Token Launch Could Shift Sentiment, but Uncertainty Remains Even as ADA struggles, Cardano’s broader ecosystem is gearing up for a major milestone: the launch of Midnight’s NIGHT token on December 8, 2025. Midnight introduces privacy-focused smart contracts with selective disclosure, aiming to balance confidentiality with regulatory compliance. Analysts believe the NIGHT rollout could eventually inject positive momentum if adoption accelerates. Still, traders caution that ADA’s immediate outlook remains tied to technical fragility, liquidity challenges, and overall market sentiment. Related Reading: Dogecoin Cup And Handle Pattern Is Returning, What Happens To Price If It’s Completed? For now, ADA sits on a razor’s edge, stabilizing near support, but vulnerable to a deeper drop toward $0.43 and potentially $0.30 if sellers keep control. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview
The decision to route through an illiquid micro-cap stablecoin might go down as one of the year’s most costly errors.
Widely followed Bitcoin figure Lark Davis pushed back on suggestions that Cardano is finished, saying, “what is dead can never die.” At the same time, he pointed out that on-chain activity looks flat. Related Reading: Dogecoin Alert! Price Could Explode Over 2,800%, Analyst Says Cardano (ADA) was trading at $0.51, down 8.8% in the past 24 hours, and it holds a market cap of $18.8 billion. That is the context for a larger question now being asked across crypto circles: can community and hype move a token more than real network use? On-Chain Activity Shows Little Movement Davis admits that user activity is low and DEX volume is thin. Development updates are limited, daily revenue is weak, and stablecoins barely register on the chain. He made his point with humor too, joking that Cardano’s founder Charles Hoskinson has “a beard worth $25 billion.” But the main claim was serious: the chain’s raw on-chain metrics don’t look strong right now. Is Cardano $ADA dead? Here’s my take. ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/oGnVuQuy9N — Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) November 12, 2025 Community Strength And Brand Can Still Drive Prices Based on reports, Davis argued that numbers don’t tell the whole story in crypto. He compared Cardano to XRP and noted that a token can have a big market cap despite questions over intrinsic use; XRP once reached about $150 billion in market value. According to Davis, old buyers can return and push a token higher even when network use is low. That is part of why some traders treat certain assets as almost cult-like. Sentiment matters, but momentum matters more than steady on-chain growth in many cases. Technical Signals Point To A Narrow Upside If Key Levels Break TradingView analyst “AltcoinPiooners” has highlighted recent price action and a possible shift in market pressure. Reports show ADA tested support at $0.53 after hitting $0.60 on November 11 and falling the next day. Analysts See A Clear Path, But Risks Remain According to the analyst, ADA could move to $0.62 and then to $0.65 if $0.60 is cleared, a move that would equal more than a 16% gain from current levels. Reports also revealed that Cardano whales added 348 million ADA over four days while the price dipped below $0.50 recently. On the flip side, a failure at support could send ADA down toward $0.52. That risk was flagged by the same analyst. Related Reading: XRP Earns Academic Praise: University Study Calls It ‘Gold In Your Hands’ Although the debate around weak usage continues, reports have stressed that Cardano is far from dead. The project still commands a loyal base, steady interest from long-time holders, and a market cap in the billions. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Cardano (ADA) has reclaimed major ground in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, with total value locked (TVL) soaring by 28.7% in Q3 2025, the highest level since early 2022. Related Reading: Is The Dogecoin Bottom In? Analyst Explains What Matters Now According to Messari’s latest State of Cardano report, the network’s DeFi growth and robust treasury expansion have pushed ADA’s market capitalization up 42.5% to $29.5 billion, marking a strong rebound for the ecosystem. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Core Protocols and Treasury Expansion Fuel Cardano’s Momentum Key protocols like Liqwid and Minswap drove much of Cardano’s DeFi momentum, with Liqwid’s TVL jumping 50.8% to $101.6 million, while Minswap dominated 74.7% of DEX volume. Cardano’s treasury balance also climbed to $1.3 billion, showing renewed developer confidence and ecosystem resilience. Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson praised the community’s growing commitment to decentralization, emphasizing that ADA’s ecosystem could expand into “seven or eight digits” in DeFi value if users continue adopting native protocols. Whales Accumulate 348 Million ADA as Price Eyes Recovery Despite recent market instability that dragged ADA below $0.6, whale activity has surged dramatically. On-chain data from Santiment shows that between November 7 and 10, large holders accumulated 348 million ADA, worth over $204 million, representing nearly 0.94% of the total supply. This buying spree has coincided with a modest 21% rebound in ADA’s price from its $0.49 low earlier this month, as investors anticipate a potential breakout above $0.6. Analysts highlight a bullish “Power of Three” pattern forming, which could pave the way for a rally toward $0.73, and possibly higher in the next bullish phase. However, despite whale accumulation, overall network activity has softened slightly, with daily active addresses declining. This divergence suggests that while retail users are cautious, institutional and high-net-worth investors are positioning for long-term gains. Cardano Aligns with ISO 20022 and Expands Roadmap Cardano’s inclusion among digital assets aligned with the ISO 20022 global financial messaging standard has further strengthened its institutional narrative. Charles Hoskinson reaffirmed ADA’s full support for the framework, placing it alongside assets like XRP and XLM in global payment interoperability. In parallel, Cardano achieved full community-led governance in September 2025 and continues to roll out upgrades, such as Halo2-Plutus, which enhance privacy and scalability. Related Reading: Dogecoin Does Not Have Potential For A Strong Move Upward, Analyst Says The Cardano Foundation’s updated roadmap focuses on expanding DeFi liquidity, growing stablecoin adoption, and tokenizing real-world assets, indicating a maturing ecosystem ready for the next wave of blockchain adoption. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview
Cardano has entered a difficult phase as selling pressure intensifies across the crypto market. The price of ADA has fallen below the $0.60 level, a critical threshold that previously acted as both support and a psychological anchor for traders. With this breakdown, bullish momentum has faded, and the asset now faces mounting resistance amid a broader market downturn dominated by caution and fear. Related Reading: Bitcoin OI Suffers Deepest Drop Of The Cycle: $10B Leverage Wipeout Leaves Traders Cautious Market sentiment toward Cardano has turned notably bearish, reflecting growing uncertainty about short-term price stability. However, several analysts view the current decline as part of a natural market reset, potentially setting the stage for a healthier recovery once selling pressure subsides. According to recent on-chain data, whales — large holders responsible for significant portions of ADA’s supply — have been offloading millions of tokens in recent days. This selling activity has contributed to the latest drop, underscoring how institutional and large investor behavior continues to shape price direction. Whales Offload 4 ADA, Raising Fears of Panic Selling According to Santiment data, Cardano whales have offloaded more than 4 million ADA over the past week, signaling rising uncertainty among large holders. This wave of selling has added to the broader weakness seen across the market, as investors react to increasing volatility and fading confidence following Bitcoin’s recent dip below $100K. Analysts warn that such whale activity often triggers short-term panic selling, as retail traders interpret these moves as a sign of deeper distribution or loss of conviction from major holders. While the scale of the selloff remains moderate relative to Cardano’s overall supply, it has nevertheless amplified bearish sentiment around ADA’s short-term outlook. For the market to stabilize, much now depends on Bitcoin maintaining its current demand zone and Ethereum reclaiming higher levels above $3,400. Both assets continue to serve as the key drivers of broader crypto market sentiment and liquidity flow. If BTC can hold above $100K and ETH resumes its uptrend, confidence could quickly return to altcoins like Cardano. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Accumulate Aggressively: 394K ETH Worth $1.37B In Just 3 Days ADA Struggles Below $0.60 as Selling Pressure Persists Cardano’s (ADA) price remains under significant selling pressure, currently trading around $0.54 after losing the critical $0.60 support level earlier this week. The daily chart shows ADA struggling to gain traction above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, which now act as layered resistance between $0.70 and $0.75 — levels that must be reclaimed to shift momentum back in favor of the bulls. Recent price action reflects clear bearish control, with lower highs and lower lows forming since late September. The sharp rejection from $0.70 and subsequent decline below the 200-day moving average confirm that short-term traders remain hesitant to buy dips. However, the presence of a local demand zone around $0.50–$0.52 could provide temporary relief, as historical data shows this region acting as a strong accumulation area in prior market cycles. Related Reading: ‘Bitcoin $100K Break Was Emotional’ – On-Chain Data Shows No Structural Damage Volume spikes suggest active selling, likely driven by whale offloading identified by on-chain analytics. For a reversal, ADA would need to sustain a daily close above $0.60, supported by an increase in volume and a broader recovery across BTC and ETH. Until then, the outlook remains cautious, with risks of further downside if macro sentiment fails to stabilize. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Cardano (ADA) is staging a cautious rebound after testing the critical $0.52–$0.57 support range, a zone that has historically triggered major reversals. Related Reading: Galaxy Digital Slashes Bitcoin EOY Price Target To $120,000 Market analyst Ali Martinez highlighted that every touch of this area since late 2024 has resulted in a sharp upside reaction, signaling strong buyer interest. ADA now trades around $0.53, with bulls aiming to defend this zone to avoid retracements. The rebound coincides with improving on-chain sentiment and growing accumulation around long-term supports. Analysts say that as long as ADA maintains this base, the path toward $0.72 and $1.15 remains valid. A close below $0.52, however, could reintroduce bearish pressure and delay recovery hopes. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview TD Sequential Buy Signal Hints at a Cycle Bottom Adding to optimism, the TD Sequential indicator recently printed a buy signal on ADA’s three-day chart, a pattern known for marking potential market bottoms. Historically, similar setups have preceded strong bullish reversals, suggesting that sellers may be losing control. Trading volume and long/short ratios also support the bullish view. According to Coinglass, long positions now represent 52% of open interest, reflecting renewed trader confidence. A breakout above $0.60 could confirm the reversal, paving the way for a wider rally toward the $0.72 resistance level identified by several analysts. Can Cardano (ADA) Sustain Its Momentum? While ADA’s short-term charts show potential for recovery, longer-term indicators remain cautious. Cardano continues to trade inside a descending parallel channel formed since December 2024, with resistance sitting near $0.72. Analyst Valdrin Tahiri noted that unless ADA reclaims the $0.60 zone, the broader trend remains bearish. Regardless, the combination of strong support, bullish confluence signals, and improved trader sentiment paints a cautiously optimistic picture. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Crash To $87,000 If This Happens If the rebound holds and momentum strengthens above $0.65, ADA could confirm a new accumulation phase, setting the stage for a possible mid-term breakout above $0.72 and a retest of the $1 psychological level. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview
An analyst has pointed out how Cardano is retesting a level that has helped the asset’s price rebound multiple times during the past year. Cardano Is Retesting The Support Level Of A Parallel Channel In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has shared a pattern forming in the daily price of Cardano. The pattern in question is a Parallel Channel, a type of consolidation channel from technical analysis (TA). Related Reading: Bitcoin & Ethereum Social Sentiment Collapses, But XRP Just Sees Disinterest A Parallel Channel forms whenever an asset’s price trades between two parallel trendlines. If the channel has a positive slope relative to the graph axes, the pattern is called an Ascending Channel. Similarly, the trendlines pointing down create a Descending Channel. In the context of the current discussion, the simplest case of the Parallel Channel is of interest: a channel with a slope exactly equal to zero. This type of pattern corresponds to a phase of true sideways movement in the asset’s price. Just like other consolidation patterns in TA, the upper line of this pattern is also likely to be a source of resistance, while lower one that of support. If the price manages to break past one of these bounds, it may experience a continuation of trend in that direction. This means that a breakout above the channel can be a bullish signal, while a fall under it a bearish one. Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows the Parallel Channel that the 1-day price of Cardano has been trading inside for the past year: As displayed in the above graph, Cardano has witnessed a plummet toward the Parallel Channel’s lower level situated at $0.52 with the recent downturn in the cryptocurrency sector. Since ADA started trading inside the channel back in November 2024, its price has rebounded at this line several times. Given this pattern, it’s possible that the asset may find support at the mark once more. It only remains to be seen, however, whether the Parallel Channel will continue to hold or if a breakdown is coming next. Related Reading: Altcoin Winter Here? Ethereum, Solana Activity Plunges Speaking of Parallel Channels, Ethereum, the cryptocurrency ranked second by market cap, is also trading inside this type of pattern, as the analyst has pointed out in another X post. Unlike ADA’s channel, this pattern in the 3-day Ethereum price is a long-term one, beginning way back in 2021. ETH found rejection at the resistance of this Parallel Channel earlier in the year and has since been on the way down. “The worst-case scenario: Ethereum $ETH fails to reclaim $4,000, breaks through $3,800 support, and drops to $2,400 or $1,700,” said the analyst. ADA Price At the time of writing, Cardano is floating around $0.547, down over 16% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, charts from TradingView.com
Cardano (ADA) continued its downward slide on Monday, falling over 5% to trade around $0.57, extending last week’s 10% decline. Related Reading: XRP’s Next Earthquake: Billions Set To Flow In, ‘Supply Shock’ Coming—Analyst Market data from CoinGlass shows trader sentiment turning increasingly bearish, with ADA’s long-to-short ratio at 0.75, the lowest this month. The metric indicates that more traders are betting on further declines. On-chain data mirrors this negative outlook. According to Santiment, daily active addresses on the Cardano network dropped from 32,115 in mid-October to 24,280 on November 3, signaling reduced demand and declining engagement. Technical indicators also reflect weakness. ADA’s RSI sits at 32, deep in bearish territory, while the MACD histogram shows fading bullish momentum. Analysts warn that a sustained move below $0.55 could open the door to deeper corrections toward the $0.49 support zone. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Hoskinson: “It’s Not a Technology Problem, It’s a Coordination Problem” As prices decline, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has reignited debate over the network’s DeFi performance. In his latest podcast, Hoskinson criticized the ADA community for its limited participation in decentralized finance platforms, asserting that Cardano’s total value locked (TVL) could easily reach $5–10 billion if users embraced native DeFi protocols. He stated, “It’s not a technology problem. It’s a problem of governance, coordination, and accountability.” Despite over 1.3 million ADA holders staking on the network, few engage with DeFi apps, leading to stagnation. Current TVL stands at $271 million, far behind Ethereum’s $85 billion and Solana’s $11 billion. Hoskinson argued that without community adoption, attracting users from other ecosystems would remain difficult. Cardano (ADA) DeFi Integration and Institutional Accumulation Offer Hope Despite its sluggish DeFi performance, Cardano remains one of the most active blockchains by development activity, outperforming Ethereum and Solana in late October, per Santiment data. Projects like Midnight and RealFi aim to link Cardano with Bitcoin liquidity and real-world lending markets, potentially unlocking billions in capital inflows. Related Reading: Dogecoin Must Defend This Level To Avoid A $0.07 Meltdown, On-Chain Data Shows Meanwhile, large investors appear to be quietly accumulating. Recent data shows over 37.5 million ADA moved from Coinbase to private wallets, a sign of long-term confidence. Combined with steady token outflows from exchanges, this accumulation phase could lay the groundwork for a future recovery. As Hoskinson puts it, “We can pretty much do anything, the question is, can we do it together?” Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview
The selloff broke key $0.61 support on elevated volume, triggering a technical breakdown despite signals of a possible rebound.
The network’s native token, ADA, dropped 3% over the past 24 hours as selling pressure mounted and altcoin rotation gained pace.
The Cardano (ADA) price is flying under the radar amid growing accumulation by large-holders (“whales”) and a technical formation that traders seldom ignore, a symmetrical triangle. Related Reading: Is The Dogecoin Bull Run Over? Analyst Predicts When DOGE Rallies Again With ADA currently trading around $0.66, after briefly reaching $0.69 earlier in the week, the stage appears set for a breakout, or a breakdown. Analysts suggest that if the bullish scenario prevails, ADA could target $1 and beyond, potentially even reaching $5 or more in a longer-term move. Whale Accumulation Signals Long-Term Confidence Despite short-term price softness, on-chain data reveal that wallets holding large quantities of ADA are steadily increasing their positions. According to recent reports, wallets with 100,000 ADA tokens have been accumulating over the past six weeks, even while retail demand remains lukewarm. This accumulation is taking place as ADA forms a low-volatility consolidation, such behaviour often precedes major market moves. The divergence is noteworthy. While Open Interest and spot cumulative volume delta (CVD) remain weak, signaling limited retail/speculator engagement, whales are quietly buying the dips. Enthusiasm among large-holders suggests confidence in ADA’s fundamentals and plays into the bullish thesis that this accumulation could underpin a powerful move once the technical breakout triggers. Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Offers Route to Major Upside Technical analysts highlight that ADA has been trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern, a convergence of support and resistance trendlines, typically signalling a buildup of tension before a decisive move. The crucial support near $0.61 and resistance roughly at $0.70–$0.75 mark the boundaries of this formation. A decisive breakout above the upper trendline could unlock a rally toward $0.80–$0.85, and potentially beyond $1.70 per some projections. Conversely, a breakdown below the support would invalidate the bullish setup and could see ADA revisit $0.55 or lower. Given the whale accumulation underway, the bullish scenario currently seems favoured, but traders must still watch for confirmation. ADA's price trends sideways on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Bottom Line The question now gaining traction is: could ADA eventually hit $5? While the immediate target may be around $1 to $2, some longer-term models based on Fibonacci extensions and structural breakout maths place significantly higher levels on the table. Related Reading: Bitcoin And Crypto Market Set To Bounce As Rate Cut Probabilities Touch 98.3% If ADA converts supply zones into support and elevates its on-chain narrative, the powerful combination of whale positioning + breakout could carry it much higher. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview
The Cardano weekly chart is still looking strongly bullish according to independent technician Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy on X) who resurfaced his long-running Fibonacci roadmap and channel study. Can Cardano Top $6 This Cycle? His latest post on X on October 26 noted that “ADA is fine as long as uptrend holds,” a view that is anchored in a multi-year rising channel that has contained price action since the 2018–2019 base. The channel features a lower rail now passing through roughly the $0.33–$0.35 area, a midline that has behaved as a recurring pivot since 2020, and overhead parallels that intersect with Fibonacci extension targets later in the cycle. The chart history mapped on his visuals is orderly. The 2021–2022 bear trend, drawn as a steep descending line from the prior peak, ended into the channel’s lower support and resolved through a series of falling trendline breakouts during 2023 and early 2024. Since Q4 2023, the chart has shown a series of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the ADA price is again guided by a falling trendline. Related Reading: Cardano Gears Up for Major Rally as Technicals Flash Buy Signal and Traders Eye $2.50 Target Everything in the layout revolves around the Fibonacci ladder. The retracement set on the right margin—derived from the 2021 peak to the cycle low—marks 0% at $0.23488, then $0.33360 (0.136), $0.43180 (0.236), $0.62932 (0.382), a mid-range 0.5 at $0.85, $1.15694 (0.618), $1.43911 (0.702), $1.78464 (0.786), $2.32189 (0.888), and $3.09981 (1.000). Above that stack, the cycle extensions are plotted at $6.25325 (1.272), $9.00941 (1.414) and $15.26831 (1.618). Those numbers are consistent with how the analyst framed the market earlier in the year. On April 27 he wrote that “ADA fibs are very important here. The 0.618 is a STRONG resistance… the 0.382 MUST hold… neutral until one of these breaks on a weekly close.” That roadmap has aged intact. Rallies through spring and summer repeatedly stalled in the 0.500–0.618 zone, with the 0.618 level at $1.15694 capping advances. Pullbacks, in turn, have found bids near the 0.382 pivot at $0.62932. On September 18, after that rejection, he updated that “ADA higher low ✅ … higher high pending… still targeting 1.272 fib this cycle,” tying the price structure back to the extension grid. The implication is not casual moon-math; it is geometric. If ADA continues to defend the uptrend defined by the channel’s lower rail and, crucially, converts the 0.618 retracement at $1.15694 into support on weekly closes, the path reopens into the upper retracement shelf—$1.43911 at 0.702 and $1.78464 at 0.786—before confronting the 0.888 marker at $2.32189. A yellow waypoint for a higher high (on the main chart) sits near ~$2.30, deliberately aligning with that 0.888 level to flag a logical checkpoint for the next impulsive leg beneath the full retrace at $3.09981. Related Reading: Analysts Caution Cardano (ADA) May Drop Further Before $1 Rebound After 12% Dip Only beyond that zone does the headline question come into play. The analyst’s cycle objective is the 1.272 extension at $6.25325. On his canvas, that target is not an orphaned price label; it intersects with the upper parallels of the multi-year rising channel further out in time, which means the extension is technically consistent with the same structure that has governed ADA since the last cycle’s base. The risk management side of the ledger remains equally explicit: lose the 0.382 at $0.62932 on a weekly closing basis and the neutral-to-constructive stance is impaired, pushing focus back to $0.43180 and $0.33360, with the 0% anchor at $0.23488 defining the absolute boundary of the cycle floor inside the channel’s lower third. As the latest candles on the charts show, ADA sits mid-channel with the higher low confirmed and the range unresolved beneath descending trendline supply. The triggers are unchanged and numerically clear. A sustained weekly close above $1.15694 would validate an attempt toward $1.44, $1.78, and $2.32, with $3.10 the final retrace before extension math takes over. A failure through $0.62932 would flatten the uptrend call. Between those guardrails, the analyst’s October 26 message reads less like bravado and more like a conditional statement embedded in the chart itself: Cardano can still reach $6.25 this cycle—but only if the uptrend continues to hold and the 0.618 ceiling finally gives way. At press time, ADA traded at $0.67. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Cardano (ADA) appears to be preparing for a major rally, as bullish technical signals and network milestones spark renewed optimism among traders. Related Reading: HYPE Soars Beyond $40 Following Robinhood Listing: What’s Next For Hyperliquid’s Price? After months of consolidation, ADA’s price action is forming what analysts describe as a “textbook breakout setup.” The token currently trades around $0.65, below key moving averages, but with indicators pointing toward an imminent reversal. Cardano’s fundamentals continue to strengthen. The network recently surpassed 115 million transactions, signaling steady ecosystem growth despite broader market weakness. This achievement, combined with the rollout of Cardano domain names and anticipation for the Ouroboros Leios upgrade, builds more confidence. Technical Indicators Flash Buy as Bulls Regain Control Technically, ADA is nearing a decisive point. Chart analysts note a falling wedge pattern forming on the daily timeframe, a historically bullish setup that often precedes explosive moves. A break above the $0.79–$0.80 resistance could pave the way for a swift rally toward $1.10, and eventually, the projected $2.50 target. Momentum oscillators are beginning to turn upward, while futures market open interest is climbing, an indication that institutional traders are re-entering positions. Golden-cross signals between shorter and longer-term moving averages further validate the bullish bias, suggesting that accumulation is taking place at current levels. ADA's price moving sideways on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Ecosystem Growth and Institutional Interest Add Momentum Beyond the charts, Cardano’s ecosystem expansion continues to attract institutional and developer attention.The RWA (Real-World Asset) initiative, valued at over $10 million, and privacy-focused Midnight sidechain airdrops are driving renewed engagement. Meanwhile, analysts argue that ADA’s low gas fees and ongoing DeFi integrations position it as a strong alternative to Ethereum for scalable applications. Experts predict that if ADA breaks through resistance levels and maintains momentum, the path toward $2.50 or even $3.00 could unfold over the next market cycle. Related Reading: XRP Price At $1,000, Solana To $1,000, And Cardano At $100? Bull Run Predictions Catch Attention While short-term volatility may persist, the combination of strong fundamentals, bullish technicals, and growing institutional confidence make Cardano one of the most stable assets in the crypto space in Q4 2025. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD on Tradingview
Crypto analyst Remi has made his bull run predictions for coins like XRP, Solana, and Cardano. Despite the price targets being ambitious, the analyst described them as “semi-conservative,” suggesting the coins could rally much higher. XRP And Solana To $1,000, And Cardano To $100 In an X post, Remi predicted that XRP and Solana will rally above $1,000 while Cardano will reach $100. He stated that these price targets are based on information, research, and historical performance. The analyst also made predictions for HBAR, XLM, ONDO, LINK, XDC, and QNT, all of which he expects to record astronomical gains. Related Reading: Technical Analysis Suggests XRP’s Playbook From 2017 Could Repeat In 2025 Interestingly, the analyst stated that these were semi-conservative targets for XRP, Solana, and Cardano and that he personally thinks they could rally higher. He added that these targets might not even come close to his expectations and that they are simply based on utility and a super cycle without any black swan events. Remi also advised investors not to make the same mistake he made during his first bull run by leaving profits on the table in hopes that coins like XRP, Solana, and Cardano will go higher. He told them not to be greedy and take profits at different intervals. The analyst added that they should not wait for the high numbers because they might not happen for various reasons. Furthermore, the crypto analyst advised investors on custody, urging them to secure their XRP, Solana, and Cardano in a cold wallet. He explained that crypto exchanges are “in it to win it” and are not here for the customers. Meanwhile, the analyst didn’t mention what utility could spark these runs for these coins. However, it is worth noting that XRP, Solana, and Cardano are all set to have their spot ETFs, although it remains to be seen how high these coins could reach on the back of these institutional inflows. Why the Price Targets Are Not “Crazy” Remi admitted that the price targets for XRP, Solana, and Cardano may seem crazy, but assured that they are not. He explained that the market cycle is now 5 years instead of 4, indicating that “huge numbers are coming.” He noted that these big numbers will coincide with the voting season. Related Reading: Solana Price At Risk Of 50% Crash To $104 After Forming This Larger Bearish Trend This is why he thinks there will be a super cycle that runs into the fourth quarter of next year. He told XRP, Solana, and Cardano holders to be mindful of the winter Olympics next year, in February, warning that any major attack during the event would disrupt the cycle. As such, he remarked that it may be wise to take a little profit early on before the event. Notably, experts like Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan have also stated that the four-year cycle is likely over, predicting that the bull run could extend. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
A well-known crypto commentator has set off fresh debate by laying out a dramatic buy plan for Cardano (ADA), while market data points to a more cautious near-term picture. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Creator Just Took A $20 Billion Hit — If He’s Still Watching Analyst Lays Out Wild Upside Targets According to Mr. Brownstone, Cardano could offer a once-in-a-lifetime buying chance if price action follows a specific pattern. He highlighted sniper entry points and sketched a five-wave move that would, on his chart, lift ADA into three-digit territory. At the time reports were filed, ADA had risen 4% in 24 hours and was trading around $0.67. That followed a pullback of more than 20% over the prior two weeks and a flash crash low near $0.27 on Binance on October 10. Wave Forecasts That Aim Very High Based on the analyst’s wave count, ADA would first rebound to about $0.91 before slipping back to roughly $0.42. The third wave in his sequence is shown at $22.89. That number represents a 3,34% gain from the then-current price. $ADA ‼️ BUY OF THE CENTURY! ‼️ ????The opportunity of Cardano could be life changing! Q1 2026 could provide one of the best investments this century, by acquiring $ADA under $0.20 If this decline occurs, I expect price targets for the following years: ???? Intermediate wave (3) =… pic.twitter.com/KgsTp6lapR — Mr Brownstone (@GunsRoses1987) October 18, 2025 A corrective move to $7.5 would come after that, with a later target of $167 at the 1.38 Fibonacci extension. The chart’s most extreme path points to the 1.61 extension at $572 — a projection that Mr. Brownstone ties to long-term cycles, with a possible arrival year of 2034, which is about nine years away from now. According to his view, one last deep dip near $0.20 would set the stage for the entire structure. He suggests that a fall to about $0.20 — roughly a 70% drop from the market price at the time of his forecast — could happen in the first quarter of 2026. Derivatives Show Lower Confidence But market signals point in a different direction today. Reports have disclosed that futures Open Interest for ADA fell to over $112 million, the lowest year-to-date and levels not seen since November 2024, based on Coinglass data. Open Interest dropping usually means fewer new positions are being taken. At the same time, short bets rose and trader participation waned. ADA had corrected nearly 7% in the previous week and was hovering around $0.65 at the time of writing. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Moment? Analyst Urges Traders To Swap Gold For Crypto Big Targets, Big Questions Taken together, the picture is mixed. The analyst’s scenario offers huge upside numbers: $22.89, $167.4, and the eyebrow-raising $572.4. But those figures rest on a strict wave interpretation and the assumption of fresh, strong buying after a dramatic low near $0.20. Market breadth and derivatives data do not yet support that kind of conviction. Participation is lower and short interest is higher, which usually points to weaker near-term momentum. Reports have shown both sides: a vivid long-term plan and data that favors caution right now. Traders and investors will need to weigh the math of wave counts against real trading flows and the possibility that prices could stay subdued for some time. Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView
Cardano (ADA) fell roughly 27% this week, slipping below the $0.66 support as risk-off flows hit crypto. Bitcoin’s slide toward $104,000 and softer altcoin liquidity magnified downside, and on-chain data shows large holders leaning defensive. Related Reading: Is BlackRock About To Go Public With Ripple And XRP? Here’s What We Know Whale Flows Split as ADA Loses Support Santiment-tracked wallets holding 1–10 million ADA offloaded about 40 million ADA over seven days, while broader whale distribution reportedly reached 350 million ADA, pressuring price. other big wallets accumulated 140–200 million ADA, creating a split tape that’s fueling choppy consolidation between $0.65–$0.70. Derivatives add to the cautious tone. Cardano’s open interest slipped 2.12% to $669.9 million, and long liquidations ($1.13 million) dwarfed shorts ($187,000), signaling bulls bore the brunt of the latest flush. On the 4-hour chart, ADA is carving a falling wedge, but confirmation requires a breakout above $0.74. Until then, momentum indicators remain mixed: RSI 37 (approaching oversold) while CMF 0.12–0.15 hints at returning spot inflows that have yet to overpower supply from large holders. Downside Risk First, Rebound Later Technicians flag a “risk-first” path: losing $0.66 puts $0.65 in play; failure there opens $0.62–$0.60, then $0.57 (channel/structure confluence). A deeper shakeout could probe $0.53 if broader crypto weakness persists. On the upside, ADA must reclaim $0.66 and then clear $0.74–$0.80 (50-day EMA cluster) to flip trend strength. Above that range, bulls target $0.86, with a psychological $1.00 retest feasible into Q4 if risk appetite and flows improve. Several analysts still eye a path toward $1.20–$1.60 on a confirmed breakout, but most caution the market may dip before it rips given leverage resets and uneven liquidity. ETF headlines (including the Oct. 23 Grayscale ADA ETF decision window), stablecoin and ETF net flows, and whether whale selling cools. A rotation back into altcoins typically follows BTC stabilization; conversely, renewed BTC downside would likely extend ADA’s consolidation near the lows. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Treasury, Staking, and Ecosystem Still Build Beyond price, Cardano’s community treasury has surpassed 1.6 billion ADA ($1 billion), funded by fees and staking rewards and governed via Project Catalyst, a war chest that supports tooling, DeFi, and infrastructure without VC overhang. Related Reading: Why The Dogecoin Price Could Still Hit A 600% Rally To Send It Above $1.5 New staking access (e.g., eToro U.S.) and ongoing initiatives like Midnight and Leios continue to broaden the roadmap, even as TVL ($288 million) lags larger chains. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD on Tradingview
Cardano (ADA) edged higher to $0.70 (+2.2%) on Wednesday as on-chain data showed large holders buying the dip. Related Reading: Why This Resistance Could Trigger Another XRP Price Crash Soon Whale and mid-tier wallets snapped up roughly 200 million ADA over 48 hours, about $140 million at recent prices, after last week’s volatility knocked the market lower. The build-up comes as the project readies the Cardano Summit in Berlin (Nov. 12–13), adding a fresh narrative tailwind into Q4. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Whales Scoop ADA as Selling Pressure Cools Analytics platforms tracking address cohorts report renewed accumulation, with 10–100million ADA and over 1 billion ADA wallets expanding balances. Similarly, network “spent coin” metrics declined by 51%, suggesting fewer coins are moving to sell and that distribution is easing. Price-wise, ADA continues to defend the $0.70–$0.80 band many traders view as pivotal for basing. A sustained hold keeps the recovery structure intact and positions the token for attempts at prior resistance. Staking Access Expands, Berlin Summit In Focus Adding fuel to the thesis, eToro launched ADA staking in the U.S., potentially opening rewards access to over 40 million users and reducing liquid supply as holders lock tokens. Beyond flows, the community is eyeing the Berlin Summit, where ecosystem teams are expected to showcase progress across Midnight, Leios, and dApp growth, events that historically boost sentiment and developer visibility. Strategists argue these catalysts, paired with bargain hunting from whales, can help stabilize spot liquidity after the broader market shake-out. Cardano Price Outlook: Levels That Matter Now Technically, Cardano rebounded from the $0.61 swing low and is attempting to reclaim short-term signals. Bulls first want a clean move through $0.73 (recent pivot / 0.236 Fib area). Above that, chart watchers flag $0.86 as a major resistance repeatedly capping rallies; a breakout there exposes $1.01 and $1.12 as subsequent targets, aligning with an ascending-channel upper bound on higher time frames. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash Below $100,000 Coming? Factors That Highlight Another Decline On the downside, $0.61 remains the must-hold support; a daily close below would risk a deeper revisit toward $0.50–$0.60 and delay any trend resumption. A decisive push through $0.73, and especially $0.86, would strengthen the case for a broader recovery leg, while failure to hold $0.61 puts ADA back in consolidation. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview
“ETF inflows remain strong, exchange balances near cycle lows, and the broader narrative is arguably stronger after the washout,” one analyst said.
With interest rates at a 3-year low and $18 billion in ETF inflows, CoinDesk Indices sees a strong setup for continued gains in BTC and altcoins.